Justin Trudeau's Polling Is Abysmal
Episode Stats
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Summary
In this episode, I talk about Justin Trudeau's unpopularity, and why he's not going to win re-election in the next election. I also talk about why I don't think he'll ever be Prime Minister again.
Transcript
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is that you have a lot of liberal commentators, a lot of liberal kind of, I guess, fan accounts
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on places like Twitter and Facebook, who constantly talk about how, you know, the Freedom Convoy,
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it was so unpopular. Just look at the polling. When you actually looked at the polling,
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the poll questions were ridiculous. They were designed to give very negative reactions to the
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Freedom Convoy. But those people would look at any polling about the Freedom Convoy and say,
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this is absolute factual information. This is like the closest thing to absolute truth there is,
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is this very vague polling about what people think about the Freedom Convoy. Yet when the same polling
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is about the Liberal Party and Justin Trudeau, suddenly, oh, it doesn't matter. It's actually,
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it doesn't indicate what you think it indicates. And you know that the polling's accurate because
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Justin Trudeau feels the need to actually respond to it and try and justify himself. Justin Trudeau
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would not be putting out articles with the Toronto Star where he's being interviewed saying that,
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well, you know, my polling is down just because there's racism and intolerance out there and that
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I'm here to combat all those things and it makes me unpopular. It's like, dude, it's 2023. Stop
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acting like we're in Selma, Alabama. It's getting kind of ridiculous. But the fact that he feels the
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need to do that demonstrates there's a lot of truth to the polling that's coming up. And this is why I
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think that he's probably never going to be Prime Minister again if there's another federal election.
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And I know there's a lot of people out there who always want to say, oh, there's one bad poll for
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this person. That means they're just done. The problem for the Liberals is that their polling's
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been bad for like six months now. And it's not like bad in the sense that a scandal came out and they
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just, you know, they bottomed out and now they're in their recovery. I mean that nothing over the past
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six months has really happened. They just slumped and it's just staying that way. And that's the most
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dangerous position to be in as a party is that there's nothing exciting going on in the news.
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Just people have just gotten this sort of malaise of why am I voting Liberal anymore? And their
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polling numbers hit 28%. And the same thing with Justin Drew's popularity. That guy wrote his entire
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Prime Ministership, no matter how bad things got, was always around kind of like a 45, 47, even into
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the mid to high 50s percent approval rating. That's a fairly good approval rating considering that we are a
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multi-party system. So everyone kind of has a bit of a motivation if you don't vote Liberal to say
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that they don't like the current Prime Minister. But he usually gets a Bloc Quebecois and MVP voters
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to also say, yeah, I don't mind the guy. But these days he's at like 32% approval. He's at like 34%
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approval. And his disapproval is usually at like 48 to 55. It's horrible. Again, it's not because
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an SNC-Lavalin scandal happened recently. It's just because people are kind of tired of him. And you
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can't really recover from people getting bored of you. Especially when your schtick is the fact that
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everyone else is a horrible racist. That's not going to get anyone back on your side. And I think
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since 2015, Justin Trudeau probably in around 2015, had a ceiling of about 65% of Canadians who would
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probably think about voting for him. It's come down so far now. I think that whatever the Liberal
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Party currently polls at, around anywhere from 28 to 34%, that's the cap. I don't see him doing
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anything where people are going to think, well, that really made me reevaluate Justin Trudeau. No,
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he's a really dynamic leader. And the thing is, I only think Justin Trudeau is out of touch.
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And I know saying that makes it sound like, oh, you must like Justin Trudeau. He must be a liberal
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show. No, no, no. Justin Trudeau is not out of touch. He knows exactly what Canadians want from
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him and which policies he could change if you actually wanted to regain popularity. The problem
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is he's so arrogant and narcissistic. He never wants to admit to a failure. And in my mind, that's
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actually worse than being out of touch, is that being in touch and not caring. And the Liberal cope
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about all this is that, well, you know, Pierre Polyev is actually more unpopular than Justin
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Trudeau in terms of like net popularity or like net disapproval or whatever. I'm like, yeah, it's
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because like 55% of people don't even know who Pierre Polyev is. And also, let me just say,
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opposition leader approval ratings don't matter at all. Who cares what Jagmeet Singh's approval rating
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is? His approval rating is always positive, yet nobody votes NDP because nobody actually really
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likes Jagmeet Singh. It's just that people who tend to answer polls just sort of say, well,
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he's not Justin Trudeau, and he's not one of those evil conservatives. So both Liberals,
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NDPers, and, you know, some Green Party people will say, yeah, I like just Jagmeet Singh. But like
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when you go to other leaders, like the Green Party leader will have a net positive approval rating.
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Nobody even knows who the Green Party leader is. It doesn't matter. What matters is Justin Trudeau,
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who has 100% name recognition in this country, having a 55% disapproval rating, or like a little bit
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lower. That's awful. And the thing is, nobody doesn't have an opinion about Justin Trudeau,
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and he cannot recover this. That's why he feels like he has to lash out against people
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to at least hopefully, like, fear monger his base into turning up. Every election from now on for
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Justin Trudeau is a turnout election. He needs leaders like Aaron O'Toole and Andrew Scheer to
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be running the Conservative Party in order to win. Because those two leaders, like Andrew Scheer wasn't
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even that bad. I don't hate Andrew Scheer in any way. But the way that the Conservative team ran the
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election around Andrew Scheer bored Conservatives into staying home. That was the problem for him.
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Aaron O'Toole basically betrayed the base. And he was, to a certain extent, I think more people
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should have seen it coming. He was a liberal before he started running for the leader of the
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Conservative Party. Not like a literal liberal, but he's effectively a liberal in a Conservative
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seat. But he was a Liberal before then. And then he became the Conservative leader. And then he started
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breaking promises. And then that caused a lot of Conservatives to stay home or vote PPC out of
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frustration. But this time, the thing is that Pierre Polly probably doesn't check all the boxes off
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people's lists and what they want out of a Conservative Prime Minister. At the same time,
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he does enough. And he's especially focused on economic issues that are really kind of the
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things that are top of mind for Canadians. So he's going to have high turnout. And he probably has the
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ability to convert a lot of NDP Labour voters and a lot of kind of blue Liberals, although there's not
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many blue Liberals. But he can convert those last couple percentage points of blue Liberals over to
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voting for the Conservatives. And the thing is that where Pierre Polly is dominating is all the
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provinces you absolutely need to become Prime Minister. He's expanding the Conservatives' lead
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in Ontario. He's in like the low to mid-40s in Ontario. That's insane. That's like a sweep of
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the areas around downtown Toronto kind of polling numbers. And he's doing way better than BC. He's
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probably going to clean up most of the remaining Liberal and NDP seats in Alberta. The thing is
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that there's really no path left for Justin Trudeau. He doesn't even do that well in Quebec. Yeah,
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he's ahead in Quebec. But the bloc is going to still steal away a lot of those rural ridings and
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some of those Montreal and Quebec City ridings. So really, what does he have left? He has downtown
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Toronto and he has Montreal. And then he has like the Atlantic Canada. Like that's kind of around like
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Michael Ignatieff numbers of doing bad. Like I don't think he's going to do as bad as Michael
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Ignatieff. But Justin Trudeau is having this ever shrinking base he's relying on. And he's kind of
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played out of all his tricks. He's offering nothing to voters anymore. In 2015 and 2019,
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he was actually offering people like, you know, different benefit programs, things that his base
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likes, kind of modern economic theory garbage where, you know, actually, the government should have a
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bigger role in the economy. And the economy can only work well if the government's just burning
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money in a barrel somewhere. But these days, it's just like, you know, racism is out there.
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You should vote for me or you're a racist. Or like, I'm going to censor the internet,
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vote for Trudeau. There's nothing left that actually indicates that this is someone that anyone
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would truly be in love with as a leader. That's the thing. I don't see anyone being able to justify
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voting for me. Honestly, the only way I can see Justin Trudeau winning another minority government
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is if Jagmeet Singh just face plants in an election, which honestly isn't that. It could
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happen. It is Jagmeet Singh. The guy did wear a Rolex watch in every single video he was complaining
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about billionaires. And then just this like last couple of days finally took the Rolex off.
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The guy is not a dynamic leader. He's kind of a goofball. I don't think anyone takes him
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particularly seriously. But that's all Justin Trudeau can rely on is the incompetence of the MVP.
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The guy has nothing left. And and pure poly of actually understands seemingly how the media
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works and how social media works. Justin Trudeau has a very 2010 kind of understanding of social
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media that you put out a positive post about, hey, guys, we're all in this together. Hey,
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and like puts out a campaign video about how Canada is so unified. And isn't Canada such a great
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country vote liberal where Justin or pure poly of understands that people actually want you to
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talk about issues. They want you to needle in on an issue, which is why he's getting
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so much traction out of making videos just as if he's talking to Justin Trudeau, because
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just pure poly of understands that people are so frustrated with Trudeau. They want a politician
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who actually can show that they emulate their same frustration that they kind of mirror the
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same frustration they have. We're like, what's Justin Trudeau mirroring? Like he mirrors the
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kind of peevish, paranoid views of people who live in the GTA and Montreal, people who actually think
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that hate crime is a bigger issue than just crime itself. Like just the kind of obnoxious liberal
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opinions that he is is mirroring. Like this is not something that especially like ethnic minority
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voters care about. They don't they don't care about hate speech laws. They care about jobs in the economy,
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just like everyone else does. Yet Justin Trudeau doesn't even seem to understand his base anymore,
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other than the fact that he may he has to try and scare them into voting. It's it's like a complete
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clown show from the liberals these days. I don't see them being able to recover. Like I just want to
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quickly even just demonstrate to you just how long and hard this slump has been. This is from the
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abacus data polling. I like the way that they display stuff. So I just want to show this one.
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Like, look how long that slump has been for over a year. He's been in like the negatives for approval
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in like by a pretty wide margin, and it keeps getting wider. And again, look at that gap that's
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really kind of opened up just recently in the last six months. Again, name the name the liberal
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scandal that's really happened that really like, you know, galvanized Canadians into hating Justin
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Trudeau. Like there was the Mary New thing that happened where she was giving sort of, you know,
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contracts to her friends who were like, who shouldn't have had government contracts for
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the services they were delivering. He's had like a couple other things. I honestly can't even name
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that many like issues. He said, I guess there was the, the, the public order emergency commission,
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but like frankly, Justin Trudeau actually kind of performed well when he was under questioning from
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there. It wasn't, and the most people don't really watch the commission. It was mostly just people
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who are very liberal and very conservative watching it. So really nothing actually has big as
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happened in Canada. I think that a lot of people have just kind of finally taken the long, hard
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look that, Hey, inflation's really bad. Cost of living is not going down anytime soon. And what's
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Tristan Trudeau doing other than, you know, vaguely promising that he might burn more money,
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pretending he can fix inflation and talk to the hate speech. But the man is fully, the man has been
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at the cocktail party too long to understand how middle-class Canadians think. Whereas Pierre
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Polyev and you can, you can point out maybe some faults of Pierre Polyev, but Pierre Polyev actually
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kind of understands the person who worked, who doesn't earn six figures and goes to work every
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day and doesn't have, doesn't like, you know, complain to HR every other week about hate speech.
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The guy actually understands what people prioritize their lives and Justin Trudeau doesn't. And
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well, I guess, I guess his only hope is that Chegmeet Singh doesn't understand the average
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Canadian even more than him. But honestly, frankly, I think the, the MVP might just do well this
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next election simply because they're not the liberals, nothing to do with Chegmeet Singh's
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popularity. That guy's, I think everyone understands he's a complete hack. Whenever I talk to NDPers
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in Alberta, they'll even say that, yeah, they vote NDP Alberta, but they vote Trudeau federally. Like,
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I don't think that that's reflective of the rest of the country since it is an Alberta NDP voter,
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but it is telling about how poor the whole liberal and NDP opposition has become these days. Like,
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there's no Jack Layton's, there's no, you know, John Chrétien's left on their benches. And I don't
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think they can replace Chegmeet Singh or Justin Trudeau. But well, hopefully I didn't bother too
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many people with this long rambling video, but I just want to kind of talk about the polling because
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I feel like people just look at the numbers, but they don't really think what the implications
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about how bad this truly is for Justin Trudeau. I do not see this man getting back into office.
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I also don't see him calling an election in 2023. I think he understands that as soon as he calls
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another election, I think his polling falls even further. If people do not want an election right