The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - Justin Trudeau's Polling Is Abysmal

00:00:00.000 is that you have a lot of liberal commentators, a lot of liberal kind of, I guess, fan accounts

00:00:05.480 on places like Twitter and Facebook, who constantly talk about how, you know, the Freedom Convoy,

00:00:10.920 it was so unpopular. Just look at the polling. When you actually looked at the polling,

00:00:14.620 the poll questions were ridiculous. They were designed to give very negative reactions to the 0.62

00:00:18.500 Freedom Convoy. But those people would look at any polling about the Freedom Convoy and say,

00:00:23.600 this is absolute factual information. This is like the closest thing to absolute truth there is,

00:00:32.580 is this very vague polling about what people think about the Freedom Convoy. Yet when the same polling

00:00:37.880 is about the Liberal Party and Justin Trudeau, suddenly, oh, it doesn't matter. It's actually,

00:00:42.180 it doesn't indicate what you think it indicates. And you know that the polling's accurate because

00:00:47.400 Justin Trudeau feels the need to actually respond to it and try and justify himself. Justin Trudeau

00:00:51.960 would not be putting out articles with the Toronto Star where he's being interviewed saying that,

00:00:57.320 well, you know, my polling is down just because there's racism and intolerance out there and that

00:01:01.700 I'm here to combat all those things and it makes me unpopular. It's like, dude, it's 2023. Stop

00:01:07.920 acting like we're in Selma, Alabama. It's getting kind of ridiculous. But the fact that he feels the 0.98

00:01:13.600 need to do that demonstrates there's a lot of truth to the polling that's coming up. And this is why I

00:01:18.060 think that he's probably never going to be Prime Minister again if there's another federal election.

00:01:21.960 And I know there's a lot of people out there who always want to say, oh, there's one bad poll for

00:01:25.920 this person. That means they're just done. The problem for the Liberals is that their polling's

00:01:29.900 been bad for like six months now. And it's not like bad in the sense that a scandal came out and they

00:01:35.380 just, you know, they bottomed out and now they're in their recovery. I mean that nothing over the past

00:01:40.380 six months has really happened. They just slumped and it's just staying that way. And that's the most

00:01:45.600 dangerous position to be in as a party is that there's nothing exciting going on in the news.

00:01:49.520 Just people have just gotten this sort of malaise of why am I voting Liberal anymore? And their

00:01:55.300 polling numbers hit 28%. And the same thing with Justin Drew's popularity. That guy wrote his entire

00:02:00.320 Prime Ministership, no matter how bad things got, was always around kind of like a 45, 47, even into

00:02:07.060 the mid to high 50s percent approval rating. That's a fairly good approval rating considering that we are a

00:02:13.400 multi-party system. So everyone kind of has a bit of a motivation if you don't vote Liberal to say

00:02:17.820 that they don't like the current Prime Minister. But he usually gets a Bloc Quebecois and MVP voters

00:02:22.800 to also say, yeah, I don't mind the guy. But these days he's at like 32% approval. He's at like 34%

00:02:28.300 approval. And his disapproval is usually at like 48 to 55. It's horrible. Again, it's not because

00:02:35.620 an SNC-Lavalin scandal happened recently. It's just because people are kind of tired of him. And you

00:02:40.560 can't really recover from people getting bored of you. Especially when your schtick is the fact that

00:02:46.240 everyone else is a horrible racist. That's not going to get anyone back on your side. And I think 0.96

00:02:51.060 since 2015, Justin Trudeau probably in around 2015, had a ceiling of about 65% of Canadians who would

00:02:57.520 probably think about voting for him. It's come down so far now. I think that whatever the Liberal

00:03:02.300 Party currently polls at, around anywhere from 28 to 34%, that's the cap. I don't see him doing

00:03:08.340 anything where people are going to think, well, that really made me reevaluate Justin Trudeau. No,

00:03:12.940 he's a really dynamic leader. And the thing is, I only think Justin Trudeau is out of touch.

00:03:17.080 And I know saying that makes it sound like, oh, you must like Justin Trudeau. He must be a liberal

00:03:20.520 show. No, no, no. Justin Trudeau is not out of touch. He knows exactly what Canadians want from

00:03:25.280 him and which policies he could change if you actually wanted to regain popularity. The problem

00:03:29.720 is he's so arrogant and narcissistic. He never wants to admit to a failure. And in my mind, that's 0.97

00:03:35.460 actually worse than being out of touch, is that being in touch and not caring. And the Liberal cope

00:03:41.500 about all this is that, well, you know, Pierre Polyev is actually more unpopular than Justin

00:03:46.220 Trudeau in terms of like net popularity or like net disapproval or whatever. I'm like, yeah, it's

00:03:51.220 because like 55% of people don't even know who Pierre Polyev is. And also, let me just say,

00:03:56.180 opposition leader approval ratings don't matter at all. Who cares what Jagmeet Singh's approval rating

00:04:01.100 is? His approval rating is always positive, yet nobody votes NDP because nobody actually really

00:04:05.260 likes Jagmeet Singh. It's just that people who tend to answer polls just sort of say, well,

00:04:10.120 he's not Justin Trudeau, and he's not one of those evil conservatives. So both Liberals,

00:04:14.180 NDPers, and, you know, some Green Party people will say, yeah, I like just Jagmeet Singh. But like

00:04:19.660 when you go to other leaders, like the Green Party leader will have a net positive approval rating.

00:04:23.360 Nobody even knows who the Green Party leader is. It doesn't matter. What matters is Justin Trudeau,

00:04:27.700 who has 100% name recognition in this country, having a 55% disapproval rating, or like a little bit

00:04:34.260 lower. That's awful. And the thing is, nobody doesn't have an opinion about Justin Trudeau,

00:04:38.420 and he cannot recover this. That's why he feels like he has to lash out against people

00:04:42.420 to at least hopefully, like, fear monger his base into turning up. Every election from now on for

00:04:48.080 Justin Trudeau is a turnout election. He needs leaders like Aaron O'Toole and Andrew Scheer to

00:04:54.460 be running the Conservative Party in order to win. Because those two leaders, like Andrew Scheer wasn't

00:04:59.260 even that bad. I don't hate Andrew Scheer in any way. But the way that the Conservative team ran the

00:05:03.960 election around Andrew Scheer bored Conservatives into staying home. That was the problem for him.

00:05:08.420 Aaron O'Toole basically betrayed the base. And he was, to a certain extent, I think more people

00:05:12.380 should have seen it coming. He was a liberal before he started running for the leader of the

00:05:16.140 Conservative Party. Not like a literal liberal, but he's effectively a liberal in a Conservative

00:05:20.780 seat. But he was a Liberal before then. And then he became the Conservative leader. And then he started

00:05:26.500 breaking promises. And then that caused a lot of Conservatives to stay home or vote PPC out of

00:05:30.880 frustration. But this time, the thing is that Pierre Polly probably doesn't check all the boxes off

00:05:36.200 people's lists and what they want out of a Conservative Prime Minister. At the same time,

00:05:40.660 he does enough. And he's especially focused on economic issues that are really kind of the

00:05:46.560 things that are top of mind for Canadians. So he's going to have high turnout. And he probably has the

00:05:51.040 ability to convert a lot of NDP Labour voters and a lot of kind of blue Liberals, although there's not

00:05:57.000 many blue Liberals. But he can convert those last couple percentage points of blue Liberals over to

00:06:01.820 voting for the Conservatives. And the thing is that where Pierre Polly is dominating is all the

00:06:06.660 provinces you absolutely need to become Prime Minister. He's expanding the Conservatives' lead

00:06:12.260 in Ontario. He's in like the low to mid-40s in Ontario. That's insane. That's like a sweep of

00:06:19.280 the areas around downtown Toronto kind of polling numbers. And he's doing way better than BC. He's

00:06:25.720 probably going to clean up most of the remaining Liberal and NDP seats in Alberta. The thing is

00:06:32.340 that there's really no path left for Justin Trudeau. He doesn't even do that well in Quebec. Yeah,

00:06:36.820 he's ahead in Quebec. But the bloc is going to still steal away a lot of those rural ridings and

00:06:42.020 some of those Montreal and Quebec City ridings. So really, what does he have left? He has downtown

00:06:45.840 Toronto and he has Montreal. And then he has like the Atlantic Canada. Like that's kind of around like

00:06:51.300 Michael Ignatieff numbers of doing bad. Like I don't think he's going to do as bad as Michael

00:06:55.380 Ignatieff. But Justin Trudeau is having this ever shrinking base he's relying on. And he's kind of

00:07:01.460 played out of all his tricks. He's offering nothing to voters anymore. In 2015 and 2019,

00:07:05.720 he was actually offering people like, you know, different benefit programs, things that his base

00:07:10.760 likes, kind of modern economic theory garbage where, you know, actually, the government should have a

00:07:16.220 bigger role in the economy. And the economy can only work well if the government's just burning 0.98

00:07:20.980 money in a barrel somewhere. But these days, it's just like, you know, racism is out there.

00:07:25.860 You should vote for me or you're a racist. Or like, I'm going to censor the internet, 0.60

00:07:29.600 vote for Trudeau. There's nothing left that actually indicates that this is someone that anyone

00:07:34.160 would truly be in love with as a leader. That's the thing. I don't see anyone being able to justify

00:07:40.420 voting for me. Honestly, the only way I can see Justin Trudeau winning another minority government

00:07:44.620 is if Jagmeet Singh just face plants in an election, which honestly isn't that. It could

00:07:51.120 happen. It is Jagmeet Singh. The guy did wear a Rolex watch in every single video he was complaining

00:07:57.740 about billionaires. And then just this like last couple of days finally took the Rolex off.

00:08:02.500 The guy is not a dynamic leader. He's kind of a goofball. I don't think anyone takes him 0.98

00:08:07.740 particularly seriously. But that's all Justin Trudeau can rely on is the incompetence of the MVP.

00:08:12.640 The guy has nothing left. And and pure poly of actually understands seemingly how the media

00:08:18.540 works and how social media works. Justin Trudeau has a very 2010 kind of understanding of social

00:08:24.260 media that you put out a positive post about, hey, guys, we're all in this together. Hey,

00:08:28.520 and like puts out a campaign video about how Canada is so unified. And isn't Canada such a great

00:08:33.180 country vote liberal where Justin or pure poly of understands that people actually want you to

00:08:38.020 talk about issues. They want you to needle in on an issue, which is why he's getting

00:08:42.400 so much traction out of making videos just as if he's talking to Justin Trudeau, because

00:08:47.900 just pure poly of understands that people are so frustrated with Trudeau. They want a politician

00:08:52.800 who actually can show that they emulate their same frustration that they kind of mirror the

00:08:57.700 same frustration they have. We're like, what's Justin Trudeau mirroring? Like he mirrors the

00:09:02.460 kind of peevish, paranoid views of people who live in the GTA and Montreal, people who actually think

00:09:10.640 that hate crime is a bigger issue than just crime itself. Like just the kind of obnoxious liberal 0.84

00:09:17.400 opinions that he is is mirroring. Like this is not something that especially like ethnic minority

00:09:22.820 voters care about. They don't they don't care about hate speech laws. They care about jobs in the economy,

00:09:27.340 just like everyone else does. Yet Justin Trudeau doesn't even seem to understand his base anymore,

00:09:31.580 other than the fact that he may he has to try and scare them into voting. It's it's like a complete

00:09:36.880 clown show from the liberals these days. I don't see them being able to recover. Like I just want to 0.97

00:09:40.860 quickly even just demonstrate to you just how long and hard this slump has been. This is from the

00:09:45.500 abacus data polling. I like the way that they display stuff. So I just want to show this one.

00:09:49.700 Like, look how long that slump has been for over a year. He's been in like the negatives for approval

00:09:57.820 in like by a pretty wide margin, and it keeps getting wider. And again, look at that gap that's

00:10:04.000 really kind of opened up just recently in the last six months. Again, name the name the liberal

00:10:10.780 scandal that's really happened that really like, you know, galvanized Canadians into hating Justin

00:10:14.680 Trudeau. Like there was the Mary New thing that happened where she was giving sort of, you know,

00:10:18.800 contracts to her friends who were like, who shouldn't have had government contracts for

00:10:22.660 the services they were delivering. He's had like a couple other things. I honestly can't even name

00:10:27.400 that many like issues. He said, I guess there was the, the, the public order emergency commission,

00:10:33.400 but like frankly, Justin Trudeau actually kind of performed well when he was under questioning from

00:10:38.100 there. It wasn't, and the most people don't really watch the commission. It was mostly just people

00:10:42.760 who are very liberal and very conservative watching it. So really nothing actually has big as

00:10:47.560 happened in Canada. I think that a lot of people have just kind of finally taken the long, hard

00:10:51.520 look that, Hey, inflation's really bad. Cost of living is not going down anytime soon. And what's

00:10:57.380 Tristan Trudeau doing other than, you know, vaguely promising that he might burn more money,

00:11:02.160 pretending he can fix inflation and talk to the hate speech. But the man is fully, the man has been

00:11:07.260 at the cocktail party too long to understand how middle-class Canadians think. Whereas Pierre

00:11:12.680 Polyev and you can, you can point out maybe some faults of Pierre Polyev, but Pierre Polyev actually

00:11:16.700 kind of understands the person who worked, who doesn't earn six figures and goes to work every

00:11:21.460 day and doesn't have, doesn't like, you know, complain to HR every other week about hate speech.

00:11:26.660 The guy actually understands what people prioritize their lives and Justin Trudeau doesn't. And

00:11:32.380 well, I guess, I guess his only hope is that Chegmeet Singh doesn't understand the average

00:11:37.080 Canadian even more than him. But honestly, frankly, I think the, the MVP might just do well this

00:11:41.760 next election simply because they're not the liberals, nothing to do with Chegmeet Singh's

00:11:45.000 popularity. That guy's, I think everyone understands he's a complete hack. Whenever I talk to NDPers

00:11:50.000 in Alberta, they'll even say that, yeah, they vote NDP Alberta, but they vote Trudeau federally. Like,

00:11:56.340 I don't think that that's reflective of the rest of the country since it is an Alberta NDP voter,

00:12:00.040 but it is telling about how poor the whole liberal and NDP opposition has become these days. Like,

00:12:07.740 there's no Jack Layton's, there's no, you know, John Chrétien's left on their benches. And I don't

00:12:13.120 think they can replace Chegmeet Singh or Justin Trudeau. But well, hopefully I didn't bother too

00:12:18.100 many people with this long rambling video, but I just want to kind of talk about the polling because

00:12:21.500 I feel like people just look at the numbers, but they don't really think what the implications

00:12:25.580 about how bad this truly is for Justin Trudeau. I do not see this man getting back into office.

00:12:31.360 I also don't see him calling an election in 2023. I think he understands that as soon as he calls

00:12:36.300 another election, I think his polling falls even further. If people do not want an election right

00:12:40.580 now and his polling wasn't good to-

The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - January 23, 2023

Justin Trudeau's Polling Is Abysmal

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