In this episode, I talk about the dismal polling numbers coming out of ECOS, and why you should be mad at the Liberals. I also talk about Bill C-9, and how the government is screwing up the public's right to free speech.
00:05:37.040They won, you know, to the victor goes the spoils.
00:05:39.740And people start voting liberal more often in the polls.
00:05:42.080Plus, conservative voters might be a little depressed.
00:05:44.520After not winning, they're less likely to take a poll.
00:05:47.860And now you jump six months ahead and all the polls averaged out have the liberals and
00:05:53.220conservatives within basically a point of each other, an average of 40.9 to 38.4.
00:06:01.400And by the way, guys, 40.9 to 38.4 would have the conservatives win the entire election.
00:06:07.980Maybe not a majority, obviously, but they would win a minority.
00:06:10.620Because, again, their vote is far more efficient these days than the liberals.
00:06:14.520They can win Rosedale, University of Rosedale in Toronto, with 70% of the vote.
00:06:19.700It doesn't make a difference in terms of how many seats that party is actually going to win.
00:06:25.120You don't get a bonus seat for winning one rural or one super urban riding by, like, a massive margin if you're the conservatives or the liberals.
00:06:32.780But now we've got to go into the actual poll that Ecos put out and all the detail to show you what a bad poll looks like and also the propaganda effect that the liberals are clearly wanting from this.
00:06:46.560Now, I'm not saying this is paid for by the liberals, although it kind of is when you look at all the contracts that Ecos gets from the liberal government.
00:06:53.220And I'm not saying that they were in contact with Frank Graves saying, can you do a poll on this?
00:06:58.260But isn't it kind of suspicious at a time when the liberals are panicking about potentially having to face an election either in the next couple months, which is unlikely, but more likely in the next six to eight months next spring, that they want polling out there that says Canadians don't want this right now.
00:07:14.720Oh, don't guys, don't go for the election.
00:08:10.480However, it's such just kind of a limp question, like, oh, well, people don't really want an early election.
00:08:17.460That doesn't mean that Carney would perform well in an early election, though, because his base is going to feel like, really, we're having to fight for this guy again after he basically didn't deliver anything he actually promised.
00:08:29.140And again, the conservatives are not going to be forcing election likely over this budget.
00:08:35.720They're going to fight that thing out before they actually decide whether or not to go into a new election, which will mean that there's not going to be an election opportunity until after February or March of next year.
00:08:48.240But within the summer or spring of that of the year 2026, you could have an election.
00:09:05.800Well, of course, the liberal establishment wanted Trudeau out.
00:09:08.260So even ECOS was eventually going to start showing that the liberals are doing terrible.
00:09:12.680Before December of 2024, where this chart starts, ECOS was the one showing that Trudeau was only, you know, was still only behind by seven or eight points, which he wasn't.
00:09:22.420He was clearly behind by double digits at the very least, probably mid-teens, if not 20%.
00:09:27.380And then as soon as the liberal establishment needs Trudeau out, suddenly ECOS says, oh, actually, Trudeau's behind by 25 points.
00:09:33.860They actually had an overcorrection, and they said that the liberals were literally below 18% or below 20%.
00:09:43.220I don't think the liberals were ever below 20%, but ECOS is a propaganda pollster.
00:09:47.380So their polls, that little crossover point right there, you can see in the middle, that's the actual election result.
00:09:54.040Now, I think the conservative line overlays the liberal line a bit, so it makes it look like they're higher.
00:09:58.500But the liberals did better than the conservatives in the election, obviously.
00:10:02.500But right after the election, you just see these two lines where it just shows the liberals above 40% and the conservatives in the mid to low 30s the entire time since the election.
00:10:12.320It's almost like ECOS exists just to basically say, nope, liberals are still popular.
00:15:06.720Ecos is a government pollster, so you wonder why they have a government bias when it comes to the numbers.
00:15:12.600Even when Nanos, Nanos tends to lean liberal between elections with its sample.
00:15:18.080They're actually quite accurate during election time.
00:15:22.200The problem is they go to a cheaper form of polling between elections that tends to get more liberal sampling.
00:15:27.160But even their sampling right now is showing the liberals are, like, leading by 1%, which would mean the conservatives would win the election.
00:15:34.520Well, it's so obvious what Frank Graves is doing here.
00:15:38.660And I don't even, we can bring it up again, but, like, there's famous posts.
00:15:43.680Maybe I don't have it here right at my fingertips.
00:15:46.680But, like, Frank Graves is famous for having put out tweets about the fact that he doesn't want to see pure poly have become prime minister
00:15:53.580and he will do everything in his power to prevent him.
00:15:56.140And you think this guy's not willing to just put out a crap poll in order to make it look like Clark Carney's still riding high
00:16:03.660to basically give some confidence to liberal donors to keep putting in money
00:16:08.480or to try and prevent the NDP and the bloc and the conservatives from triggering an election
00:16:13.980because, hey, look, my poll says you guys would be super unpopular if you did that.
00:16:17.340At the end of the day, I don't really think, I don't think Canadians want an election within a year.
00:16:22.640But if the government just completely fails on delivering everything and things get significantly worse,
00:16:28.160this isn't like you only gave a new government a year and a half.
00:16:31.360This is saying the government that's been around for already 10 years maybe doesn't deserve another four.