The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - February 14, 2025


Liberal Minister are quitting left and right despite alleged "polling surge"

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Carney claims fentanyl is a "challenge" and not a crisis in Canada Carney's leadership campaign is in BIG Trouble - Team Trudeau flops

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13 minutes

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Word count

2,468

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185

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7

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6

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Hate speech

3

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Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

Is the Liberal Party of Canada surging in the polls? Is it really a party that s surging? I even know the Liberals know that they are not surging, because their own ministers and MPs are declaring that they re not running for re-election in safe Liberal seats historically for the party. Just today, Jennifer O'Connell, the MP for Pickering-Uxbridge and the parliamentary secretary to the Minister of Public Safety, is not running again.

Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Misogyny classifications generated with MilaNLProc/bert-base-uncased-ear-misogyny .
Toxicity classifications generated with s-nlp/roberta_toxicity_classifier .
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00:00:00.000 Hey guys, Wyatt Claypool here. If you're like me, you've been hearing it from the mainstream media,
00:00:06.780 liberal cheerleaders online, and various pollsters of dubious quality that the Liberal Party of
00:00:12.580 Canada is in fact having a new renaissance in support. They are surging in the polls off of
00:00:19.360 the back of the idea of Mark Carney, the star child himself, becoming the Liberal leader and
00:00:25.400 unelected prime minister. This is obviously basically a fake political narrative to generate
00:00:32.140 artificial hype for the Liberal Party at a time when their approval ratings are at their lowest
00:00:37.960 point possible. Mark Carney has less than 50% name recognition. Chrystia Freeland, his next closest
00:00:45.980 competitor, does have more than half of Canadians who can recognize her, but they don't tend to like
00:00:51.680 her very much. Is this really a party that's surging? I even know the Liberals know that they
00:00:57.720 are not surging. How do I know? Because their own ministers and MPs are declaring that they are not
00:01:04.520 running for re-election in safe regions historically for the Liberal Party. Just today, Jennifer O'Connell,
00:01:12.760 the MP for Pickering-Uxbridge and the parliamentary secretary to the Minister of Public Safety,
00:01:17.800 is not running again. She's only 41 years old. This is not somebody who needs to retire and go 0.62
00:01:24.380 sit on a beach somewhere. This is someone who has a long political career ahead of her if she actually 0.99
00:01:30.400 saw a path to victory. Now, maybe there is personal reasons that is requiring her to step back. 0.99
00:01:36.720 Obviously, there are MPs who end up having, you know, family issues and they have to take a step back or
00:01:42.640 maybe they get a better opportunity somewhere else. But most people who get into politics like to stay
00:01:48.020 in politics. And she absolutely assaults our eyes right here with literally three panels of her 1.00
00:01:55.280 waterboarding us with the reasons why she's not running and thanking everyone and her dog for
00:02:00.820 supporting her. It's kind of belabored. But in just a second here, I want to go over just how bad
00:02:08.500 the bleed-off in MPs has been for the Liberal Party of Canada. But first, guys, reminder,
00:02:15.380 make sure to like this video, subscribe to the channel if you are not yet a subscriber,
00:02:20.360 and leave a comment. By the way, guys, you should visit my website. I always have it linked in the
00:02:25.540 description below and pinned at the top of the comments. WyattClaypool.com. If you want to sign up
00:02:31.280 for my contact list whenever there is a leadership race or a local nomination going on, I like to
00:02:37.140 recommend the best and most conservative candidate. Right now in Manitoba, if you live there, take out
00:02:42.780 a PC membership and vote for Wally Daldrich in the leadership race. He's a very good candidate. It's
00:02:49.520 only two people in the race, and he is not just the best of the two. He is actually a very good candidate
00:02:54.600 regardless of how many people there are. And if you live in the Bow River Federal Riding in Alberta,
00:03:00.980 I would urge you to buy a federal membership and vote for David Bextie. He is in fact the father of
00:03:06.980 Kian Bextie, the former operator of the Counter Signal, which just merged with True North to start
00:03:12.680 Juno News. But anyways, now I just want to open up this Wikipedia article just to show you on this chart
00:03:20.560 just how bad the actual bleed-off of Liberal MPs has been. You'll notice some conservatives here,
00:03:27.960 and some block people, and some NDP. The thing is, the difference between people who are not running
00:03:33.980 for re-election who are liberals and people who are not running for re-election who are conservatives
00:03:39.580 is that the liberals tend to be quite young. People who could, in theory, be in office for another 30
00:03:46.900 years if they wanted. The guy in my riding, Ron Liepert, was the first one in 2023 to announce that he
00:03:53.220 wasn't running for re-election. The man in 72, I get it. You don't really want to be in office
00:03:58.160 into your 80s. This isn't American politics. People tend to resign, actually, usually in their later 60s or
00:04:04.520 early 70s. I ran for that nomination. I got falsely kicked out because somebody didn't want me to win
00:04:10.180 the federal conservative nomination. But let's move on. We have here, if I can pull it back up,
00:04:16.760 Wayne Long, who isn't running again for the Liberal Party. You could say that he was a bit older.
00:04:22.980 The man, I think, is in his early 60s, mid-60s. But he was the first MP to call on Justin Trudeau to
00:04:29.380 resign. I think he sees the writing on the wall. They're not going to win again. Lloyd Longfield
00:04:34.640 is a bit older. Some of these other people are legitimately a bit older, like Joyce Murray. 0.98
00:04:40.760 Omar al-Ghabra left because he's corrupt. That's pretty obvious. Anthony Roda had to leave,
00:04:47.420 obviously, because of the SS officer or SS soldier scandal, where he brought that hunka guy to
00:04:55.000 parliament and everyone stood up and applauded him. I don't blame the other parties except the
00:04:59.480 liberals for that, because what are you going to do, not stand up and clap when they introduce
00:05:03.160 somebody? Or are you going to demand a background check before you clap? It's their responsibility to do
00:05:07.680 it. But as you go down here, most of these people are fairly young. But let's catch up
00:05:12.380 to today. Jennifer O'Connell, 41 years old, Hickering Artsbridge. Mary New, on February 10th,
00:05:20.940 resigned. She's, in fact, endorsing Mark Carney. So it's not like she endorsed Freeland. She sees
00:05:27.240 Freeland's going to lose, so she wants to get out early because she doesn't want to work for Carney. 1.00
00:05:31.340 No, she endorsed him. Markham Thornhill should be an easy place to win for the liberals.
00:05:36.920 Arif Farhani. Parkdale High Park. That is blood red. That should be blood red. But I think he knows
00:05:45.860 that either he's going to lose re-election or he's not going to have a very good time in office in
00:05:52.180 opposition. Before that, this lady in Quebec, I looked at her. She is not old at all.
00:05:58.780 This is a Montreal suburb. Somebody in a Montreal suburb cannot see a path to victory.
00:06:05.180 Jenica Atwin. Fredericton, New Brunswick. Not running. Harjit Sejan. Vancouver South.
00:06:10.360 Not running again. This is a liberal stronghold. Of course, Justin Trudeau's not running again.
00:06:14.680 That makes sense. Anita Anand. Not running again in Oakville.
00:06:19.800 Yvonne Jones. Not running again in Labrador. This is insane that these people aren't running again.
00:06:26.120 There's dozens and dozens of liberals not running for re-election again.
00:06:30.080 And this should put a lot of cold water on the theory from some conservatives than the media that
00:06:37.340 Mark Carney is immediately going to call for an election as soon as he gets in as the unelected
00:06:42.800 prime minister of Canada. He doesn't have a full slate of candidates. Think about how hard it's
00:06:48.440 going to be to get liberals to run in Alberta ridings and Saskatchewan ridings. You're going to
00:06:53.260 have to get a lot of paper candidates who are just willing to put up their name as sacrificial lamb
00:06:57.680 candidates. It's not going to work. And he has a lot of major ridings to actually fill in
00:07:02.820 candidates for. And appointing people looks really bad. People at least want a nomination
00:07:07.740 race. And by the way, the nomination process in Canada for all the parties needs to be drastically
00:07:13.260 reformed. I really would like to see Elections Canada actually monitor nominations just as the
00:07:20.460 American basically election body monitors primaries. There's so much shenanigans that go on
00:07:25.980 of nominations in this country. And nominations basically determine who the MP is going to be
00:07:30.980 in the vast majority of ridings. And in theory, it really does determine every single riding because
00:07:35.840 every single person is either appointed or nominated. But anyways, that's a small digression
00:07:40.900 here. But Mark Carney is not going to have a full slate of candidates. I would be shocked if they have
00:07:46.680 a candidate for more than 200 ridings right now. And just picking a bunch of people at the last
00:07:51.200 second is going to look silly. And by the way, the Liberals have the cash issue that the NDP has.
00:07:59.400 Both of the parties are nearly broke relative to the size of the parties. The NDP doesn't even maybe
00:08:05.700 have more than four or five riding maxed spending limits because you can spend up to like $200,000
00:08:12.660 in a Canadian federal election. In most ridings, you'll never spend anywhere close to that because
00:08:17.500 either it's a safe seat for you or it's a seat you have no chance at winning. But the NDP, for the
00:08:23.080 ridings that they're going to have to defend and probably drop more than $100,000 into, they do not
00:08:27.960 have the money to do any of that. That's why we're also probably not going to see an election until late
00:08:33.280 summer, if not right at the very end in October. Plus, Doug Ford, the fake conservative, has just given
00:08:40.220 Jagmeet Singh and the Liberals the best reason possible to not call an election. Because there's an
00:08:45.960 Ontario election on right now, and you don't want to call an election federally after Ontario just had
00:08:51.920 one, or voters are going to be suffering from election fatigue. Doug Ford really just did this
00:08:57.380 to help himself out, justifying that, uh, Donald Trump, we need to have a provincial election. 0.95
00:09:02.100 It's silly. Anyways, if you live in Ontario, please vote for the New Blue Party. Literally, 0.94
00:09:07.100 the PCs and Liberals and NDP are basically the same. I am not saying that to be hyperbolic because I just
00:09:13.120 like New Blue, it's true. The PCs Ontario are to like the left of Erin O'Toole's version of the federal
00:09:20.620 conservatives, which were basically not conservative at all. But anyways, so the thing too here is that I
00:09:28.720 really don't, like, this is why I don't believe the polls. When they show the Liberals surging, why are these
00:09:34.140 people leaving if supposedly they're surging? So not only can Mark Carney not call an early election, because he has to,
00:09:41.160 you'd have to appoint like a hundred candidates at least in a lot of these ridings, not only are they
00:09:46.700 not pretty cash strapped, they don't have a lot of money on them right now, but whenever you actually
00:09:51.380 see a good quality poll come out, like from Abka's data, they are still way behind. Plus, all of the
00:09:58.400 issues right now in the election are not going their way, and Mark Carney is having all of his skeletons
00:10:02.660 fall out of the closets right now, because he is an elitist at heart. And all of his very elitist
00:10:09.000 assumptions about Canadian politics are just spilling out onto the floor. The idea that he
00:10:13.700 thinks that there is no fentanyl crisis in Canada, it's just a challenge. Talking about carbon tax
00:10:19.500 tariffs, central bank digital currencies, all this stuff. He just is very out of touch with Canadian 1.00
00:10:26.480 politics. It's pretty crazy to watch. But yeah, so, and another thing that the Liberals have is that
00:10:32.980 the talent in the current party is just bad. The fact that Arif Farhani was even the justice minister
00:10:39.460 is very telling. It's the C squad that the Liberals are currently working with. And like I showed in the
00:10:45.740 Abacus data video where I went over their most recent poll, the government's approval rating is only at
00:10:51.660 27% right now. With only a little bit more than a quarter of Canadians generally approving of the
00:10:58.000 party's government after Trudeau stepped down and a lot of people are potentially coming back, 0.98
00:11:03.520 that's pathetic. Mark Carney is going to want a little bit more room to run with. And I don't 0.94
00:11:09.920 think it's going to help him at all. So I think he's wanting to stay in office as long as seemingly
00:11:13.880 possible. In fact, he might even push back the date of this next election. But yeah, things are not
00:11:21.040 going very well for the Liberal Party of Canada. And again, a lot of these people are endorsing Mark
00:11:26.140 Carney. They're endorsing him on their way out. Maybe they want to jump to provincial politics.
00:11:30.920 Maybe they want to go somewhere completely different, get a job on Bay Street. But yeah,
00:11:35.860 the fact that at this surge time in February, we're having all these people leave is pretty pathetic. 0.96
00:11:42.520 Again, look, Sororia Martinez-Feranda, who dropped out on February 6th, not an old lady. She is not old 0.99
00:11:50.280 by any means. And they're not running yet. And I think Jenica Atwin, isn't she like the former Green
00:11:54.340 Party person who's like extremely anti-Semitic, also not very old. Fredericton, easy territory 0.68
00:11:59.580 for the Liberals. In fact, let's look at Parkdale Hyde Park right here, just so I can make my point.
00:12:06.200 This is 2021. Arif Farhani won with 42.45% of the vote. The next closest opponent was the NDP,
00:12:14.360 and they're not doing very well these days. So I doubt they're going to be much of a challenge.
00:12:18.420 The fact that this might be a riding that the Liberals can lose is utterly pathetic. Even 0.97
00:12:24.860 after redistribution, because some of the riding has changed by a block or two, the boundaries,
00:12:31.660 his margin of victory has actually, in fact, gone up. The Conservatives only got 12.9% here.
00:12:38.280 Insane. And this guy's not running again, because the Liberals have terrible prospects.
00:12:42.460 Anyway, so that should be it for me today, guys. By the way, another riding I wanted to shout out,
00:12:48.020 a good candidate is if you live in Abbotsford, South Langley. I've mentioned this one before.
00:12:53.540 Make sure you have a federal conservative membership. I've heard there's like 8,000
00:12:57.600 memberships in that riding. It's pretty massive. There was a lot of candidates at one point.
00:13:02.260 Vote for Steve Schaefer, number one, on your ballot in that riding. I believe there was somebody else I
00:13:08.480 was recommending before. Mike Murray. He's a good number two. And you could probably put
00:13:15.460 Suk Mingil as number three or so. Mike DeJong is a terrible candidate. The guy is a flat-out liberal.
00:13:23.000 He actually was the one who proposed the provincial carbon tax that BC passed under Gordon Campbell.
00:13:28.460 He was the one who sponsored that. He sponsored Soji. Just an awful candidate. Please put in Steve
00:13:34.120 Schaefer or Mike Murray. Steve Schaefer is an orthodox conservative. Mike Murray, too. I just think
00:13:39.120 Steve Schaefer has a little bit more experience and is good as a good political organizer. Anyways,
00:13:44.160 so that's it for me today, guys. Remember to like the video, subscribe to the channel,
00:13:47.980 leave a comment. I'll see you guys later.