The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - Liberals are getting very nasty as Conservatives gain momentum!

00:00:00.080 Hey guys, Wyatt Claypool here. It's great to be back in the normal studio, not trying to make a corner of a hotel room work,

00:00:08.460 and we are here to talk about the Liberals' insufferable 2025 election campaign.

00:00:14.580 I'm not just saying this because I don't like the Liberals, so I'm going to cast them as extremely negative.

00:00:20.560 Think back on the 2021 campaign, the 2019 campaign, 2015, 2011, 2008, 2006.

00:00:27.820 You can go back to any election and you will never find a campaign where the Liberals were as insufferably negative and willing to smear their opponents as this one.

00:00:37.900 In 2021, we had Justin Trudeau talking about how he doesn't want to sit next to an unvaccinated person on public transit or an airplane or whatever.

00:00:46.980 That was gross, but that was trying to divide Canadians for his own political benefit, which is definitely a nasty thing to do.

00:00:54.960 But in this campaign, the amount that the Liberals are just projecting hatred at people who are not them is quite insane.

00:01:03.620 I liked this post from Kirk Lubinmov, who says,

00:01:08.300 How can you tell it's a Mark Carney rally?

00:01:10.440 And, well, you can tell because of the insufferable people flipping off cameras or merely asking them why they're there,

00:01:17.880 why they're voting for the Liberals and whatnot.

00:01:19.520 There is, like, such a high tension right now inside the Liberal campaign as well as with the supporters.

00:01:27.420 And there's this insufferable attitude that not only are they right, but they're going to cram down on you and they hope that you're mad about it.

00:01:35.680 Now, I don't want Liberals to suffer by the Conservatives getting in.

00:01:40.620 I want things to be better for everybody.

00:01:42.580 But there seems to be this actual attitude among a lot of Liberal supporters where they have contempt for people who are not voting the same way that they are voting.

00:01:52.400 This has been the famous image out of the election so far now.

00:01:57.240 This man, who's voting for the Liberals and I believe is a Liberal Party campaign worker, not just some random guy,

00:02:03.580 flipping off Prima Sad at an event.

00:02:06.320 And Prima Sad herself is more of a centrist, center-left person who goes around filming protests and events.

00:02:13.720 And this man, for some reason, has the contempt in his heart to flip her both birds because, I guess, screw you.

00:02:21.400 That is the main message of the Liberal campaign.

00:02:25.220 Vote Liberal because screw the other guys.

00:02:28.080 That is it.

00:02:28.680 It has nothing to do with making people's lives better because, if you actually look at their plans, nothing was going to make anyone's lives better.

00:02:35.240 There are people who I know are Liberals themselves who are economists and have to be at least somewhat honest about what the Liberals are planning to do with their next term.

00:02:45.080 And even they're saying, it's just a lot of debt and a lot of massive spending.

00:02:48.820 Nothing's changing.

00:02:50.080 In fact, our debt-to-GDP ratio is going to get worse over time with Mark Carney's plan, even compared to Justin Trudeau's plan.

00:02:58.120 Justin Trudeau, the ski instructor and high school drama teacher, was better for the economy than Mark Carney is going to be, based on the plans that Mark Carney has put forward.

00:03:10.480 His ideal plan is worse than the reality of what Justin Trudeau was doing.

00:03:15.000 Anyway, so before I get a little bit deeper into this topic, I also want to talk about some poll results that are coming out, as well as David Coletto from Abacus Data calling out Frank Graves and Ecos for just being a crap pollster this entire time.

00:03:30.380 I do just want to remind you guys, hey, if you like my federal election coverage, make sure to hit the like button on this video.

00:03:36.980 Subscribe to the channel if you're not yet a subscriber, and leave a comment on what you think about the topic of the day.

00:03:43.840 The main topic here being just the way the liberal campaign is conducting itself.

00:03:48.800 Do you know liberals who are people who are voting liberal?

00:03:52.180 Have you noticed an attitude, a sort of, I would say, blind arrogance for the liberal party?

00:03:58.280 Just the idea that it's better than you.

00:04:00.280 They are better than you for voting liberal because your party is the evil orange man party. 0.87

00:04:06.980 And I'm going to follow that up with an example, because it's literally how the liberals are running this campaign.

00:04:12.980 They're literally running a campaign based on the idea that their opponents are just bad people.

00:04:18.700 You vote liberal because Pierre Polyev is like Donald Trump somehow.

00:04:22.940 This is an actual new liberal party ad.

00:04:27.480 How do you address the concerns of being too closely aligned to a foreign government that is threatening Canada and is destroying its own country right now?

00:04:36.980 Will, your question is false.

00:04:40.100 Everything is broken.

00:04:41.340 Everything is broken.

00:04:42.620 The left-wing censorship regime.

00:04:44.560 Their woke censorship ideology.

00:04:46.100 This is why this is so frustrating.

00:04:50.140 Sorry, is Polyev wrong?

00:04:52.680 The liberals are literally passing laws that censor social media as well as could have you put under house arrest or having the capacity to say something hateful and not that someone else report you for.

00:05:05.140 That is something the liberals have actually attempted to do.

00:05:09.040 There's Bill C-11 to try and change social media and other video and content-providing platforms algorithms to try and show you more good, clean Canadian content.

00:05:23.480 There's Bill C-18 that basically shut down news on Facebook in Canada.

00:05:28.160 There's Bill C-36, which is the anti-hate speech or the Online Harms Act.

00:05:33.620 Again, attempting to put people under house arrest because somebody reports that you may commit some sort of a hateful offense.

00:05:42.040 A hateful offense is literally described as shallowly as detesting something, even if that thing should be detested.

00:05:49.360 It's insane.

00:05:51.700 But yeah, this is their actual gambit, is that Polyev, and they've been doing this for two years, Polyev uses some of the same words as Donald Trump.

00:05:59.120 Feeding the radical left.

00:06:00.480 Radical leftist authoritarian.

00:06:02.800 It's not the Americans' fault.

00:06:03.760 It's our fault.

00:06:04.540 We're stupid.

00:06:08.620 It's so shallow.

00:06:10.620 And the thing is, the liberals know they're lying.

00:06:13.020 If they had a substantial attack on pure Polyev, they would have made it by now. 0.84

00:06:17.680 They just don't have one.

00:06:19.360 And I want to show you a clip here from a liberal press conference that happened recently.

00:06:24.200 I'll have to pull it up here.

00:06:25.460 Where Mark Carney brings up abortion for no reason and just says that Polyev is going to use the notwithstanding clause to ban all abortion.

00:06:37.040 It's insane.

00:06:37.800 I'm pro-life.

00:06:39.180 And I can tell you, no way is Mark Carney actually going to do that.

00:06:43.920 Not a chance is he going to do that.

00:06:46.680 Because pure Polyev has said he's not going to do it.

00:06:50.340 Explicitly.

00:06:50.920 He said he's pro-choice.

00:06:51.880 And yet we still have Mark Carney saying this at press conferences, even after being confronted.

00:06:57.420 It is in French here, but you can see her.

00:07:13.840 You can hear her saying the word explicitly because she is talking about how he has explicitly said that he will not be passing any law restricting abortion.

00:07:23.480 Well, it's an accusation, but it's not an accusation.

00:07:26.560 It's a fact.

00:07:27.120 It's a fact.

00:07:28.440 He wants to ignore the constitution of our country.

00:07:35.600 I'm going to read you the transcript of what that was in English.

00:07:39.380 I actually didn't know the clip wasn't in English.

00:07:41.640 But No Cartier from the Epoch Times transcribes it as this.

00:07:47.740 Question.

00:07:48.600 You accused Polyev of wanting to use the notwithstanding clause to go after the right to abortion.

00:07:54.240 Carney says yes.

00:07:55.580 Question.

00:07:56.340 Mr. Polyev explicitly said he wouldn't, so why this accusation today?

00:08:01.220 Carney says it's not an accusation.

00:08:02.780 It's a fact.

00:08:03.520 It's a fact.

00:08:04.080 He wants to ignore the constitution of our country.

00:08:07.600 What?

00:08:08.440 Because Polyev wants to use the notwithstanding clause to change the way sentences work for mass murderers so that if you've killed six people, you don't serve those sentences concurrently.

00:08:22.180 You serve them in a row.

00:08:26.100 You serve the first term, then your second term, then your third term.

00:08:28.500 You don't get to murder ten people and then it's considered basically one sentence of 25 years that you carry out.

00:08:35.660 It happens one after another, which is a sensible policy.

00:08:39.860 And he would use the notwithstanding clause if a court tried to challenge that, which I think the vast, vast, vast majority of Canadians would support.

00:08:47.460 And Carney, because let's be very clear here, he's a lying scumbag, is then going to use the fact that he's willing to use the notwithstanding clause, when 95% of people would support it, that now he is against abortion and he's going to take it away.

00:09:02.760 He's now going to, I don't know, he's going to strike down French language laws in Quebec.

00:09:10.980 He's going to do anything that voters would react negatively to.

00:09:14.560 He's going to ban green energy.

00:09:16.260 He's going to ban, like, he's going to end gay marriage.

00:09:20.160 He's going to do it all.

00:09:21.360 This is the type of campaign Carney is running because he's got nothing.

00:09:26.000 He has actually nothing to criticize the conservatives for, so he's just making things up.

00:09:31.120 All he has, like, Trump, he's going to ban all the good things in the world.

00:09:34.400 He's going to push your grandmother down the stairs. 1.00

00:09:36.280 He's going to do it all because you can't trust him or something.

00:09:39.680 The man knows he's lying.

00:09:41.620 It's pathetic.

00:09:42.840 And the media has been complicit in all this.

00:09:45.380 It's good that somebody actually asked him that question because, for the most part, the media has actually been mostly just focusing on the fact that Paulieff doesn't let him, let them ask him enough questions.

00:09:57.520 This is what the election really needs to be about.

00:09:59.700 The fact that they don't feel like they get enough alone time with Mr. Paulieff.

00:10:03.340 Here's a great clip of somebody who asked Paulieff a question, and Glenn McGregor at CTV News deemed it too friendly of a question.

00:10:12.920 So he grilled that person outside the press event afterwards.

00:10:16.480 I understand that, but we get only a limited amount of questions to ask.

00:10:25.400 You're coming here, you have an issue.

00:10:26.960 I understand how passionate you are and how important it is to you personally.

00:10:30.180 But you're asking a question that sounds like to a lot of people who's in the home that he was planted by the campaign.

00:10:34.480 And you're attacking the list of his opponents.

00:10:36.780 You're attacking his opponents.

00:10:39.780 Okay, great.

00:10:40.340 An investigative report, and I hope that you do read it.

00:10:42.680 I will.

00:10:43.120 We know for a fact that the health care ministry has delivered to activists millions and millions of dollars funneled down to support what?

00:10:57.720 So her thing is perfectly legitimate.

00:11:00.620 An investigative report came out, and I don't know specifically what the background on this question was, but her whole thing is that an investigative report came out showing the government had done something wrong.

00:11:10.880 And she was asking Pierre Paulieff his opinion on it because it had just come out.

00:11:16.000 And Glenn McGregor at CTV News had to, let's be very clear here, intimidate her over it.

00:11:21.040 And after, she had the audacity to ask her question at a press conference that wasn't negative enough for him, that he had to go outside and bring her aside and ask her why she even said, were you planted by the campaign?

00:11:34.860 It's a press conference, and you took up our time.

00:11:38.320 Who cares, Glenn?

00:11:39.620 Who cares?

00:11:40.600 You're not the main character of this campaign.

00:11:43.100 You don't get to have a question every single press conference just because you think you're important.

00:11:47.400 Here's another clip from back after the French debate of the CBC whining that Rebel News got a question.

00:11:55.220 I can't believe those dirty people were able to actually ask a question at the French debate.

00:11:59.740 Don't they know that they're not serious journalists like us?

00:12:03.120 Having watched the debate, David, the debate was one type of conversation.

00:12:08.580 This feels very different.

00:12:10.580 I think the debate commission is going to need to be accountable for what's kind of happening here.

00:12:15.940 They moved the time of the debate the day before.

00:12:18.540 They kicked the Greens out the morning of, and they've opened up the scrums and the press access to it.

00:12:23.920 By the way, they kicked the Greens out because the Greens didn't qualify.

00:12:28.100 The Greens actually axed a bunch of their own candidates to help out the Liberals, which brought them below the 90% candidate threshold.

00:12:35.440 And so the debate commission actually did the right thing and kicked them out.

00:12:38.760 And the debate commission on the first night, on the French debate night, did the right thing and said, you're independent press.

00:12:44.700 You have millions of watch time over a month, like millions of hours of people watching you over a year.

00:12:52.000 Well, fair enough.

00:12:52.560 You can come in because more people watch True North or Juneau News, Rebel News.

00:12:57.000 More people read the Western Standard than the average CBC broadcast or article.

00:13:01.380 So why can't they come in?

00:13:03.180 A bunch of groups who sometimes are registered charities or have been defined by their owner as not actually a journalistic organization or have been ruled by the federal court to not be a journalistic organization.

00:13:13.900 And in an election like this one with very, very substantive debate on very substantive issues, moderated very well and executed very well by all the leaders, this is where this is going.

00:13:23.320 So look, the debate commission was set up to make this stuff run in a professional, coherent way, shifting the time for a hockey game, kicking out the greens.

00:13:32.920 Why was it bad that they shifted for a hockey game?

00:13:35.340 The whole point is they wanted people to watch, but the CBC doesn't want people to watch and they want Polyev and Blashev to have less time to speak.

00:13:43.840 So they wanted the greens there.

00:13:45.620 Basically, they wanted Mark Hardy to win.

00:13:47.140 They're like, well, why, why would they change sensible things at the last moment to allow it so that Mark Carney might not guaranteed win this debate by basically limiting his opponent's time and putting it at a time of day where no one's watching so effectively it doesn't hurt his polling numbers in Quebec.

00:14:05.340 About a problem that has been known about for a week and now this, I think I would like an explanation as a journalist.

00:14:12.400 I think a lot of people at home would like an explanation as to why it happens this way.

00:14:15.760 I mean, who knows what's going to happen with the English debate tomorrow?

00:14:18.700 But we've seen this, that they're talking about.

00:14:21.280 There was immigration questions in the debate, a consensus on living up the safe third country agreement.

00:14:26.800 Can you really do that with an administration like the Trump administration right now, where you send people back when the foundational principle of the safe third country agreement is people you deny access at your border are going to get due process and proper legal treatment.

00:14:41.680 In the country you're sending them back to, when people are just being snatched and sent to, they sent an American citizen to Central America. 0.58

00:14:49.480 He's just wrong on that.

00:14:50.800 They didn't send an American citizen to, well, like to, like to send to like Central America.

00:14:57.320 They didn't send them to, what is this, country, naive McKellie is the president.

00:15:03.340 Why am I forgetting the name?

00:15:04.420 It doesn't matter.

00:15:04.820 But that's not true.

00:15:06.540 And the thing is, the safe third country agreement, I guarantee David Cochran doesn't know what the third safe country agreement is.

00:15:12.740 The whole point is that people, as El Salvador is a country I'm thinking of, you don't get to come from like, let's say, Peru or Guatemala, Nicaragua, Venezuela.

00:15:21.760 You don't get to come all the way to the U.S. or Canada.

00:15:24.640 In the safe third country agreement, you have to go to the next safe country.

00:15:29.100 You don't get to all pile into your dream jurisdiction before then you claim asylum.

00:15:34.100 You have to claim asylum at the next place that makes sense, not whatever feels right for you. 0.78

00:15:39.560 That's not how it works.

00:15:40.540 But David, I am not surprised that David Cochran doesn't understand this.

00:15:43.920 They're refusing to bring back.

00:15:45.340 So there are substantive follow-ups.

00:15:47.020 And by the way, the guy that they kicked out, yeah, I would agree that they didn't do it the right way.

00:15:51.180 He's not a citizen.

00:15:53.140 In fact, he's also probably a gang member.

00:15:54.900 Follow-ups on these things for these leaders, they only get 10 minutes.

00:15:59.580 And it's being monopolized by people who are asking on issues that are not central to the campaign.

00:16:05.540 And certainly were not central to this debate.

00:16:07.520 And we have about 30 seconds left.

00:16:09.260 Anything of substance that you heard there, policy-wise, or that you've heard tonight that you hadn't heard before?

00:16:14.720 Not in any of these scrums, because they are being taken over by other agendas, right?

00:16:20.840 Rebel News was able to ask questions, so disgusting.

00:16:23.360 But the CBC asked the same amount of questions.

00:16:25.960 Rebel got four, CBC got four.

00:16:28.060 It wasn't like a lottery.

00:16:29.040 You just had to get up and stand in front of the mic.

00:16:31.860 Are CBC journalists just less athletic than the average Rebel News journalist?

00:16:36.640 Get to the front of the line.

00:16:37.640 Again, stop waiting for people to part the ways so that you get to come up and ask your question.

00:16:43.400 It's so ridiculous.

00:16:44.900 But so much of the media's time this election has not been covering any of the substantial issues.

00:16:50.980 It's been either attacking conservatives, going really soft on liberals,

00:16:54.760 and then whining that they don't get to ask enough questions,

00:16:57.360 whining that independent media is around.

00:16:59.480 Their whining got so intense that the next day at the English debate,

00:17:02.660 In fact, the Q&A press scrum got cut, because, oh my goodness, Rebel might be able to ask another question,

00:17:09.840 because we're too slow and sluggish to be able to get up to the microphones before that.

00:17:14.580 But yeah.

00:17:15.540 Now I want to move on to another issue here, and that is, well, actually I want to talk about one more post,

00:17:22.100 just because I find it indicative of what the liberal campaign has been like.

00:17:25.340 But then I want to talk about a little bit of some poll results,

00:17:28.200 and then shuffle on to talking about David Coletto going after Frank Graves at Ecos,

00:17:34.500 and basically saying, yes, these plus 10 liberal leads were always fake.

00:17:39.600 But this guy, Terry T, here says, and this one drives me up the wall,

00:17:43.860 because it's been debunked so many times.

00:17:45.960 Terry T says,

00:17:46.740 It turns out that while Pierre Polyev has been campaigning for the last three years,

00:17:50.800 telling Canadians how poor they are and how broken Canada is,

00:17:54.060 he almost tripled the expenses of Justin Trudeau.

00:17:56.800 Typical con, do as I say, not as I do politics.

00:17:59.980 And it has this graphic below and says,

00:18:01.900 Who spent more taxpayer money in the last two years?

00:18:04.380 And it shows Polyev, with all of his staff salaries, expenses, and travel,

00:18:08.600 has spent $3 million, or $11, sorry, $11.3 million,

00:18:14.300 and Trudeau has only spent $4.8 million.

00:18:18.700 You're going to be shocked when I tell you that this isn't true.

00:18:22.600 This only accounts for, like, Justin Trudeau and Pierre Polyev's office expenses.

00:18:30.520 They're generic Member of Parliament office expenses.

00:18:34.060 It has nothing to do with Justin Trudeau's expenses in the Prime Minister's office,

00:18:40.100 in which, you would not be shocked to find out, are far more than $11 million.

00:18:45.660 In fact, I have no problem with that.

00:18:48.520 Trudeau was the Prime Minister.

00:18:50.300 Obviously, he's going to spend more than any other politician in Canada.

00:18:55.160 Probably he spends more than half the MPs combined,

00:18:58.200 because he's the head of state.

00:18:59.980 He goes to a lot of trips internationally.

00:19:02.280 He has security.

00:19:03.060 He is running the government.

00:19:04.760 It makes sense.

00:19:05.880 But you will still have people see just low IQ attacks on Pierre Polyev like this,

00:19:11.140 that have been debunked three or four times over the years,

00:19:14.740 every time it comes up on social media in a major way,

00:19:17.660 and they'll still share it.

00:19:19.640 Because the mentality of the liberal camp has just become screw conservatives.

00:19:24.280 And if something comes up in it, and it smells of screw conservatives,

00:19:27.680 they share the screw conservatives thing.

00:19:29.640 And obviously, there can be people on the conservative side who can just have the screw liberal mentality,

00:19:35.780 and that is equally annoying to me.

00:19:38.180 But as I go door-to-door campaigning, and as I talk to people on social media,

00:19:42.840 and as I view other people's discourse,

00:19:45.400 it is very clear to me that conservatives are very motivated by policy change,

00:19:50.320 by things that they don't like going on inside the current government that they'd like to see change with.

00:19:54.640 Whereas the liberals are motivated by the guy-flipping-off-the-camera kind of mentality.

00:20:00.100 Screw you.

00:20:01.000 We don't care that everything's not working out very well.

00:20:03.520 It worked fine for us.

00:20:06.160 Anyway, so now I want to move over to some of the polling,

00:20:09.720 because we actually have some encouraging signs out there.

00:20:12.320 Things are continuing to tighten up.

00:20:14.840 We had the Main Street poll go from that plus three conservative rating down to just,

00:20:19.960 I think, almost to tie, like, basically, like, a plus one conservative.

00:20:24.460 That was likely to happen.

00:20:26.700 I've always heard that the weekday polls tend to lean more liberal,

00:20:29.880 and the weekend polls tend to lean more conservative,

00:20:32.220 but it's still a pretty good result for the conservatives overall.

00:20:36.020 This one from Angus Reid is actually very good for the conservatives.

00:20:40.260 And I don't cite Angus Reid a lot because they're bad.

00:20:43.360 And I'm going to still say, they're still a bad pollster.

00:20:45.960 But when a bad pollster tells you something like this,

00:20:49.200 it means that things are probably going much better.

00:20:52.000 And this is not a bad poll.

00:20:54.340 Angus Reid has the federal election at 44 liberal, 39 conservative, NDP 7, Block 7, Green Party 2, PPC 1.

00:21:03.840 Now, I suspect that the conservatives are probably doing a couple points better,

00:21:07.480 maybe a point and a half better, and the liberals are doing a point and a half worse,

00:21:10.940 or two points worse, because I don't think the NDP are just going to get 7% of the vote.

00:21:14.820 The reason why this is such a good poll result is because the Bloc Québécois being at 7%

00:21:21.100 basically means the liberals are not getting a big boost of seats out of Quebec.

00:21:25.920 They're getting, in fact, probably nothing out of Quebec.

00:21:28.700 The liberals always do well on the island of Montreal.

00:21:33.480 The problem for the liberals is they need to break out of Montreal

00:21:35.720 and start winning these Bloc Québécois historic suburbs

00:21:38.980 in order to get a big boost of seats coming out of that province.

00:21:42.740 If they don't, and they just win what they won in 2021, it was an okay province for them.

00:21:48.520 And with the liberals slated to lose a lot of seats in the southwest of Ontario

00:21:52.340 and around the Ottawa area and potentially some seats in the GTA,

00:21:56.260 now the liberals are just on the defensive.

00:22:00.020 And I've seen a lot of polls out that have very encouraging numbers.

00:22:03.840 By the way, you want to know a pollster that has encouraging numbers somehow?

00:22:07.860 Now, ECOS, the pollster that Frank Graves runs, this guy right here,

00:22:13.560 I need to bring this up on screen, the guy who once posted,

00:22:17.860 a real conservative option is a healthy counterbalance and a healthy democracy.

00:22:22.540 Pierre Polyev is an acolyte of authoritarian populism.

00:22:25.600 This is never healthy.

00:22:27.000 You are on notice, going to make sure you are never going to leave my country.

00:22:30.700 I don't make idle threats.

00:22:33.100 So Frank Graves, who's running ECOS, who's been putting a crap poll after crap poll today,

00:22:39.960 just released a result that actually looks kind of realistic.

00:22:44.140 Because in fact, the liberals were never leading by nearly as much as Frank Graves was showing.

00:22:49.540 This is April 21st.

00:22:51.940 Today's poll.

00:22:53.320 ECOS has this race, 43.4 liberal and conservatives at 40.7.

00:22:58.840 Do you want to see what they were back in March?

00:23:02.260 Look, March 13th, they had this race, 49.5 liberal to 31.8 for the conservatives,

00:23:11.440 a 17.7% lead for the liberals.

00:23:15.800 It's almost like that was fake.

00:23:18.360 And what I've been saying this entire election,

00:23:20.320 that this is not going to be an election where any party is going to be leading by 12 points,

00:23:25.260 was right on the money.

00:23:26.520 Even Frank Graves is having to herd his results towards something realistic by the end.

00:23:31.800 And I still think he is under-polling the conservatives right now.

00:23:35.280 I think the conservatives actually have a chance of winning the popular vote.

00:23:38.420 And in fact, in this election cycle,

00:23:40.780 the conservatives may actually have the more efficient vote than the liberals do.

00:23:45.140 Whereas the liberals might actually gain a bunch of vote in Quebec,

00:23:48.500 but it's all concentrated in Montreal writings that they always win anyways.

00:23:51.480 Whereas the conservatives are losing some vote in Alberta,

00:23:54.440 but they're gaining votes around the Hamilton area,

00:23:58.060 southwestern Ontario, the GTA around the Ottawa area.

00:24:01.820 They're gaining votes in British Columbia, in Atlanta, Canada,

00:24:04.900 and that might be able to allow them to eke out a minority government.

00:24:08.380 Now, it is tight.

00:24:10.540 I acknowledge it's extremely tight out there.

00:24:12.720 Make sure you vote.

00:24:13.960 Make sure your kids vote if you have kids.

00:24:16.060 Make sure everyone you know votes conservative.

00:24:18.960 And also, try and convert some of your liberal-leaning friends

00:24:21.760 because they think Paulie is like Trump.

00:24:23.760 It should be a very easy argument to win because there's no evidence.

00:24:26.540 But David Coletto, my hero of the day,

00:24:31.180 actually came out to call out Frank Graves,

00:24:34.360 and I am here for it.

00:24:35.700 Because somebody in the polling industry finally had to say it.

00:24:39.980 Because there was this kind of unanimity among pollsters

00:24:42.440 where you don't call each other out.

00:24:44.220 You know, you may have a plus-two conservative result,

00:24:47.080 and they may have a plus-ten liberal,

00:24:48.880 but let's pretend one of us could be right,

00:24:52.040 even though one's obviously right and the other's completely fictitious.

00:24:54.860 But David Coletto has finally come out

00:24:57.900 and gone after Frank Graves without naming him.

00:25:01.720 So, he says this.

00:25:04.280 And he's obviously talking about Frank Graves.

00:25:05.860 I am not making this up.

00:25:08.240 David Coletto says,

00:25:10.140 to go from a 15-point,

00:25:12.220 and he runs, sorry, he runs Abacus Data, by the way,

00:25:14.660 if I didn't mention that before.

00:25:16.520 But David Coletto says,

00:25:17.840 to go from a 15-point liberal lead a month ago

00:25:21.380 to a 2.1 today is pretty remarkable.

00:25:26.100 If you believe that,

00:25:27.480 then you also have to believe,

00:25:29.040 one, the liberals have run a horrible campaign,

00:25:31.940 and two, the conservatives have run an amazing campaign.

00:25:35.360 And that is absolutely correct.

00:25:37.120 There is no way in a normal election

00:25:39.420 where crazy stuff isn't going down

00:25:41.160 to close a 15-to-17-point gap

00:25:44.960 down to just 2.7%.

00:25:47.960 That's insane.

00:25:49.840 David Coletto says right here,

00:25:51.820 what if the liberals never really led by 8-to-12 points

00:25:54.620 and it was just response bias?

00:25:56.840 Going on to say a little bit later,

00:25:58.840 let me be clear,

00:25:59.680 I still believe the liberals are winning,

00:26:01.440 and unless something changes,

00:26:02.580 they should win this election.

00:26:04.020 So, it's not even like David Coletto

00:26:06.940 is pro-conservative.

00:26:08.640 I've even heard he is a liberal,

00:26:11.700 he is like a personally more liberal person,

00:26:13.860 but Abacus Data actually puts out good data.

00:26:17.960 They know how to sample people.

00:26:20.680 Angus Reid, by the way,

00:26:22.200 who actually still shows the race tightening up

00:26:24.340 and the block doing well,

00:26:26.240 I suspect they're still under-polling the conservatives

00:26:29.160 because you know where they get their data from?

00:26:32.620 Air miles.

00:26:34.460 So, if you're getting all your data from air miles,

00:26:37.440 you are obviously going to be getting

00:26:39.640 disproportionately a certain type of person

00:26:42.560 who jets around a lot,

00:26:44.440 who probably works in a white-collar field

00:26:46.900 that has a lot of time

00:26:48.540 or in the job description,

00:26:50.640 you tend to travel a lot.

00:26:51.840 It's a very metropolitan person.

00:26:54.020 So, when you see Angus Reid

00:26:55.280 showing at 44-39 for the liberals,

00:26:58.780 I don't quite believe them.

00:27:00.960 Could the liberals be at 42?

00:27:02.220 Could they be at 41 and a half?

00:27:03.900 Sure.

00:27:04.580 But I don't think the conservatives

00:27:05.740 are going to be falling behind them by five points.

00:27:08.660 I think the conservatives are probably neck and neck,

00:27:11.080 leading a bit or trailing a bit.

00:27:13.180 I think that is a realistic way

00:27:15.160 of looking at the election

00:27:16.180 based on where I know these pollsters

00:27:18.620 are getting their data from.

00:27:20.820 But that should be it for me today

00:27:22.520 in this video, guys.

00:27:24.200 Great to finally see the pollsters

00:27:26.500 basically having to acknowledge to the public

00:27:28.420 that their numbers suck.

00:27:29.740 Frank Graves has been sheepishly

00:27:32.040 trying to reduce the lead he has

00:27:33.900 for the liberals for a couple weeks now.

00:27:36.180 And I like that a lot of people

00:27:37.720 are calling him out

00:27:38.440 and not letting him get away with it.

00:27:39.900 That, ooh, maybe the liberals

00:27:40.860 were just leading by a lot before,

00:27:42.500 but now they're not now.

00:27:44.300 They were never leading by 17 points.

00:27:46.820 He was lying

00:27:47.500 because Frank Graves hates Pierre Polyev

00:27:49.580 and was probably trying to artificially

00:27:51.400 pump up enthusiasm on the liberal side.

00:27:54.320 Create a bandwagon effect.

00:27:55.420 I don't think that's an extremely effective tactic,

00:27:58.920 but he was trying to use the tactic

00:28:00.500 in my opinion.

00:28:02.260 So make sure you guys like this video

00:28:04.620 if you've been liking

00:28:05.380 the federal election coverage.

00:28:07.000 Subscribe to the channel.

00:28:08.300 Leave a comment.

00:28:09.520 Do all that great stuff.

00:28:10.920 And I'll see you guys tomorrow.

The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - April 22, 2025

Liberals are getting very nasty as Conservatives gain momentum!

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