Wyatt Claypool talks about all the hypocrisy coming out of the Liberal Party and why it's time for Justin Trudeau to step down as Prime Minister of Canada. He also talks about why he thinks Justin Trudeau can win the next election.
00:00:00.000Hello, everyone. Welcome back to the Wyatt Claypool Show.
00:00:04.420To put it mildly, this has not been a very cheery Christmas season for Prime Minister Justin Trudeau or his Liberal Party.
00:00:12.440Rightfully so. But if you don't support the Liberal Party, this may have been one of your favorite Decembers on record.
00:00:18.900Because it is objectively a lot of fun to watch all of the issues that the Liberal Party has ignored for years finally come back to bite them.
00:00:27.300How hard is it biting them? Well, depending on the polling projection website that you look at,
00:00:33.500either the Liberals are going to come in third place or even fourth place in terms of the seat count in the 2025 election.
00:00:41.840And while there are a lot of Liberal MPs now saying that it's time for Justin Trudeau to step down,
00:00:46.980he should resign and maybe be replaced by Chrystia Freeland, or we should have a leadership election,
00:00:52.240it's too little too late, guys. All these Liberals are complete hypocrites.
00:00:56.120They should have been out five years ago, four years ago, I'll even give them two years ago,
00:01:01.620saying that Prime Minister Justin Trudeau is not fit to be the leader of this country.
00:01:06.620But only now, when it benefits them to not lose their re-elections, do they finally come out and say,
00:01:12.540yeah, Justin Trudeau really has to go. And who's their replacements?
00:01:16.360Oh, Christy Clark maybe, or Chrystia Freeland.
00:01:18.800That leadership election would be like watching paint dry. I would rather be poisoned than watch a
00:01:27.140leadership election between Chrystia Freeland and Christy Clark. It actually makes me want Justin
00:01:32.360Trudeau to stay on as Prime Minister, because at least he's funny in how terrible he is.
00:01:37.560Chrystia Freeland's just annoying. She is the definition, her and Christy Clark,
00:01:42.180of a bad politician. They are boring, they are annoying, they are dumb.
00:01:48.060But this is a headline that just came out recently, and again, I find it so hypocritical
00:01:53.480and funny because it probably is not going to make a hill of beans of a difference before the next
00:01:58.840election. So we see this from Six Buzz, but they're just reporting from other news sites. They say,
00:02:04.280Hashtag report, Liberal MP Anthony Housefather says the vast majority of Liberal caucus
00:02:10.060wants Prime Minister Justin Trudeau to resign. But is that actually going to happen? I don't know.
00:02:16.780Justin Trudeau doesn't have to do anything until late January now because we're on a holiday.
00:02:22.600What, are Liberals going to leave their families on December 25th to go down to Parliament to have
00:02:27.500meetings about getting rid of Trudeau? Probably not. Trudeau can play the waiting game.
00:02:31.860He's played it before. And I think that the Liberal Party caucus has proven that half of them don't know
00:02:38.460where their spines are, and the other half only sometimes make chirpy noises from the back that
00:02:44.060maybe we don't like Justin Trudeau. Maybe he should try doing a better job. But they never really pull
00:02:49.760the trigger to get rid of him. Plus, if you don't know this, the Liberal Party and every other party but
00:02:55.660the Conservative Party has signed on to the Transparency Act. The Transparency Act is basically just
00:03:01.520how caucus is governed in the House of Commons. That caucus has certain powers that allow them
00:03:07.540to basically hold leaders and other people to account within their party. So the Liberal Party
00:03:13.100has not signed on to this, which means that the Liberal caucus cannot vote to get rid of Justin
00:03:18.580Trudeau. They do not have to abide by it. Technically, it's non-binding even on the Conservative
00:03:23.460Party. But no leader would really want to say, I'm going to ignore the Transparency Act after their
00:03:28.680caucus votes to get rid of them. But the Liberal Party can't even vote to get rid of him because
00:03:33.180there's no procedure to do it because they've never signed on to the legislation that enables it.
00:03:38.000It's wild. They thought this made them stronger for years. And now it's actually showing that
00:03:43.840they're weaker than ever because they can't get rid of a bad leader because they wanted a strong man for
00:03:48.900years. And now that strong man who nobody likes won't leave. I think Trudeau actually probably has
00:03:55.520the gall to just wait this out so long that the Liberal Party doesn't even have time to do a
00:04:00.900leadership election because Justin Trudeau is delusional. But I don't think he is delusional
00:04:06.720enough to think he can win the next election. I think he wants to go down swinging so then he can
00:04:12.140have like a comeback like his dad. That's the big delusional part because he's not going to have a
00:04:17.340comeback. Nobody liked him. The pure Trudeau had kind of a nostalgia because while he had terrible
00:04:23.640policies that the West hated, the East probably liked some of his policies. So they were willing
00:04:28.700to have him come back after Joe Clark and others messed up. And so, you know, he had a path.
00:04:35.420What path does Justin Trudeau have if Pierre Polyev becomes the prime minister for eight years
00:04:39.940and couldn't possibly do a worse job than Trudeau? Is Trudeau going to come by and say,
00:04:45.480you know, I could mess this up really bad right now. How about you guys reelect me?
00:04:49.420There's no pitch here. Anyways, I want to go into some of the polling numbers because some of
00:04:54.680these polling websites projections are insane. These polling websites are pretty conservative
00:04:59.540in terms of their like the slowness at which they react to the polls, not ideologically conservative.
00:05:05.960I don't think they're ideologically anything. In fact, I think some of the people who run these
00:05:10.200places may be more default liberals, but that doesn't matter. But they don't tend to be super
00:05:15.680anti-liberal in terms of their projections. They try and stay pretty neutral. All of these websites
00:05:20.320now either have the liberals in third place or fourth place in terms of the seat count.
00:05:25.720But before I get into that, I just want to remind you guys, if you like this show,
00:05:29.420make sure to hit the subscribe button, like the video and leave a comment for me. It really helps
00:05:33.440me out. And you can always consider donating to our legal fund linked both in the description below
00:05:37.940as well as pinned at the top of the comments. Anyways, so I'll get the right thing on screen.
00:05:43.160So we're going to start off with 338 Canada. 338 is hyper-conservative in terms of how slowly they
00:05:50.300react to polling trends. If one really bad poll for the Liberal Party comes out, usually they'll
00:05:55.460downrank it because they'll say it might be an outlier. The Liberal Party seems to still be
00:06:01.340polling in the mid to high 20s. So if we see a poll that comes out that puts the Liberals at 21 or 22,
00:06:07.780we will rate that one down. And that's a perfectly legitimate way of doing things. You don't want an
00:06:12.180outlier poll to affect your overall sample, but they'll include very pro-Liberal polls like ECOS
00:06:18.720and NANOS that tends to over-poll the Liberals. But even with all that being said, this is their
00:06:25.320current seat projections. 232 seats for the Conservative Party with only 172 seats needed for
00:06:32.940the majority. The Bloc would come in second with 45 seats. The Liberals would come in third at 39
00:06:39.760seats. The NDP 25 and the Green Party of Canada with two seats. That is impossible almost to suck
00:06:47.300that bad in Canadian politics as the Liberal Party. And this is actually the problem for the Liberal Party.
00:06:52.760Being the natural governing party of Canada actually can come back to haunt you. Because natural
00:06:58.860governing party meant that the Liberals were kind of everyone's default choice if they didn't have a
00:07:04.760strong feeling about politics. So the Liberals could clean up a lot of seats in Toronto and Montreal where
00:07:09.980people are ideologically more liberal. But in places like Vancouver and Calgary, Edmonton, Winnipeg,
00:07:15.900the Maritimes, a lot of people who didn't have extremely conservative, not like extreme in a bad way,
00:07:21.680but like they weren't like diehard Orthodox conservatives like I am. They might vote Liberal sometimes.
00:07:27.660And so the Liberals are able to cobble together majority governments in a lot of ridings with
00:07:32.280like 37% of the vote, not very high vote counts, 42%, which even in Canadian politics is still not
00:07:38.600that big of a vote yet. In America, 42% is awful because it's a two-party race. So if you got 42%,
00:07:44.560your opponent got 58%. But 42, 38 is like thin margins of victory. And the Liberals have always rested in
00:07:52.180that little category of having very thin margins of victory in a lot of ridings. The problem with that is
00:07:57.320if you fall to, let's say, 20% of the vote, which is not impossible for Justin Trudeau right now,
00:08:04.060in fact, his average poll these days shows him at 20%, you basically win nothing. You win nothing
00:08:11.180outside of the island of Montreal. You got like one seat from all the Calistanis that vote for
00:08:18.560Sook Dollywall in Vancouver. You might get Rosedale. You might get Christy Freeland's riding.
00:08:25.900And then it becomes really slim pickings after that. Like maybe a Winnipeg riding goes for you.
00:08:32.380I'm like, I'm actually lost. Maybe you win a territory. You win nothing past a certain point.
00:08:37.700And that's not even the worst polling projections for the Liberals. Polywave, which Sheree Attiste on
00:08:43.580Twitter runs. It's a really good website. I'll link the website in the description below as well.
00:08:49.120He actually is, you would maybe consider him a little bit more of a hawkish person for the
00:08:53.940Conservatives. He tends to assume the Conservatives will do better than the polls tend to say,
00:08:58.240which I think in turnout has been true. The Cloverdale-Langley city by-election just showed
00:09:04.100that the Conservatives blew out the Liberals by 50 points. 338 Canada thought they were going to win
00:09:10.120by 26. And Sheree Attiste, I think he reads sort of the momentum into the polls a little bit. He
00:09:16.640assumed that they were going to do better than 25. And he was right. They ended up doing 50% better than
00:09:21.560the Liberals. So look at this though. His current seat projections show that the Conservative Party of
00:09:27.920Canada will get 248 seats. The Bloc 42, the NDP 26, and the Liberals coming in fourth place at 25 seats.
00:09:37.620And I think that this is purely, this is absolutely realistic. The NDP, as much as the NDP is an utter
00:09:45.020embarrassment, we will talk about the NDP a little bit later in the show more. The NDP is an embarrassing
00:09:50.560party, but they still have better margins of victory in the seats that they do win than the Liberals do on
00:09:57.580average. And so the NDP hasn't exactly fallen in the polls. Some show that they've fallen, some show
00:10:03.500they've risen. Probably means that they haven't budged an inch since 2021. But that means that
00:10:08.920they actually might gain seats because the NDP, when they do win a riding, it would be like a
00:10:13.980Winnipeg Center riding. It'll be like a Hamilton riding, some of these Vancouver ridings, Vancouver
00:10:18.940Island ridings, where they can win 58% of the votes sometimes. Really unionish towns, trade union towns,
00:10:24.860public sector heavy areas of the country, very metropolitan progressive areas, university
00:10:31.040towns. Those are the places that the NDP can win. If those institutions are present or those
00:10:36.620demographics are present, they have a good ability to win seats. And now that the Liberal Party is
00:10:41.180falling, they can now win some of these more marginal Toronto seats where they used to usually
00:10:45.600only get 30% of the vote and the Liberals would win like 45%. Those seats are not safe at all.
00:10:51.220They just won or they didn't win, but they got close in Montreal. They've also been close in
00:10:56.780other Toronto by-elections recently. And I think their numbers in that recent by-election in
00:11:02.100Winnipeg, it was a Manitoba seat, might not have been Winnipeg, showed that the NDP are at least
00:11:07.340maintaining most of their votes, although the Conservatives are coming up on them just from
00:11:11.860sheer popularity. A lot of Liberals are voting Conservative, not NDP. The NDP is just the Liberal Party
00:11:17.900with more dollar signs effectively. They have more union scab, stool pigeon rhetoric,
00:11:23.300but it's still a metropolitan progressive party. It's also really not a working class party anymore.
00:11:29.380It's a party for people who like to do this. It's the party for people who put their fists in the air
00:11:34.420and think they're super working class for doing so.
00:11:39.320It's a party that frankly has contempt for people who actually work with their hands. Unless your hands
00:11:45.120are typing up DEI reports on a computer, the NDP does not care about you, even if you're a unionized
00:11:50.860employee. In fact, they think that you're, they don't like you if you work in a private trade union,
00:11:56.260because you probably are in favor of oil and gas and industry and all that sort of nasty stuff.
00:12:01.820But, so let's look at some of these other statistics from Polywave. Again, great website.
00:12:07.240This is what he is projecting as being the vote counts, the popular vote counts, which demonstrates
00:12:13.140my point from earlier. The conservatives are going to get 46 and a half percent, or at least projected
00:12:17.840yet. Liberals, 20.1. NDP, 18.5. Block, 8.1. Greens, 3.6. And PPC, 2.3. Please, PPC, I'm not telling
00:12:27.360you guys to go away because I'm like, oh, I don't want you hurting the conservatives. I don't think
00:12:31.740you can hurt the conservatives. And that is not really something I care about. I'm not like, oh,
00:12:35.540I only want what's good for the conservative party. Guys, do whatever you want. I voted for you
00:12:39.400in 2021. But try harder. Try. Try to do door knocking. I had a guy on Twitter just today tell
00:12:46.700me, well, door knocking is actually the least effective way of doing voter outreach. Are you
00:12:51.560insane? Are you smoking the devil's lettuce right now? Because what? No, most people are not on social
00:12:59.380media. In fact, most people don't really watch that much YouTube outside of more frivolous
00:13:04.560entertainment. You and I are the weird ones who end up engaging with politics online.
00:13:10.120Most people don't think about it too hard because, frankly, politics, if you think about it,
00:13:15.020is kind of boring. I enjoy it. I find it interesting. But I'm a dork. I'm a nerd. You have to actually go
00:13:20.900to people's homes and talk to them about politics. And not in an aggressive, hot-blooded sense, but,
00:13:26.580hey, I'm running on this. I think we should be doing this. This program hasn't been working.
00:13:30.780Here's my information. Check it out. Voting days on this day. It is so much more casual the way you
00:13:36.760have to talk to an oral person about politics. They don't care what the hashtags currently are
00:13:41.360on Twitter. They don't care about what trends are. They don't know who your favorite account is on
00:13:46.700Twitter at all. They don't know who I am. They don't know who even some of the biggest conservative
00:13:52.760YouTubers in the country are, or especially the PPC guys. Nobody knows who those people are.
00:13:57.320So you actually have to doorknock at some point. But the Liberals are, again, suffering from the
00:14:02.520fact that their vote outside of the island of Montreal is spread out very thinly. And the funny
00:14:09.320thing is the Liberals aren't losing any seats in Montreal, really, to the Conservatives. Conservatives
00:14:13.600can technically win Mount Royal. Anthony Howe's father's seat, the guy who's saying that the vast
00:14:18.620majority of Liberal MPs want Trudeau to resign. Too little, too late guys. I don't mind Anthony Howe's
00:14:24.980father in the sense I can agree with some of his opinions. I still think he's a pretty awful
00:14:29.320individual if you look into his background. I called him out a couple of years ago, and he
00:14:34.180blocked me on Twitter because he called Clarence Thomas effectively an Uncle Tom for his decision
00:14:41.080on Roe v. Wade, for overturning Roe v. Wade. He basically implied that, well, Clarence Thomas
00:14:47.200must want slavery back for Black Americans. Yes, Clarence Thomas, a Black man, wants slavery to come
00:14:53.920back. But that's just kind of the nasty person that Anthony Howe's father can be. But he does get
00:14:58.340this outsized respect because now he's going after Trudeau. Okay, when it's convenient for him,
00:15:03.860it'll go after Trudeau. Once finally Trudeau has let all the anti-Semites into the party,
00:15:08.720Anthony Howe's father kind of makes a bit of a protest about it because all those people hate
00:15:12.880him for being Jewish. But at this point, Anthony, come on. You should have figured out you should have
00:15:17.720done something way before this. But yeah, it is not looking very good for the Liberals. And here are the
00:15:23.100regionals. I think he does a really good job displaying these. Sheree Attiste does.
00:15:27.520BC, Liberals will get zero seats. NDP, six. Greens, one. And Elizabeth May's fiefdom. Alberta,
00:15:34.180he is projecting 36 seats for the Conservatives, only one for the NDP. I declare that if you live
00:15:39.980in Edmonton, everyone should just go to Heather McPherson's NDP riding and campaign against her.
00:15:45.160She's awful. Prairie's, 26 for the Conservatives. Ontario's, 106 for the Conservatives,
00:15:50.020nine for the NDP, six for the Libs, and one for the Greens. Quebec, it is just a block-centered
00:15:55.680area. And then the Conservatives are probably going to clean up in some suburbs outside of
00:15:59.360Montreal and Quebec City. The Liberals still get their 16, but it's pretty sparse.
00:16:04.980Their best showing in all of this, notice how their best showing, is a third place finish
00:16:09.420in Quebec. Technically, I guess, Atlantic Canada, but a three-seat tie with the NDP is not exactly a good
00:16:17.900result. It's embarrassing out there. And they deserve it. They absolutely deserve it.
00:16:23.400Because for the longest time, we were considered, like, radical, or we're just fringe for disagreeing
00:16:29.320with Justin Trudeau on policy. Oh, actually, don't you know that the carbon tax actually puts more back
00:16:34.940into your pocket than you pay in it? No, it's not true. I don't care about all of the fake studies
00:16:41.720that people like Max Fawcett and Markham Hislop and all these other people come out with to try
00:16:47.520and tell you that carbon pricing is actually very good. It's actually very good. And I'm not saying
00:16:52.260it's like a fake study, like they're just faking data. But everyone, I can make a study to prove
00:16:57.380anything. I could make a study today to prove that the carbon tax lowers food prices if I was
00:17:02.780unscrupulous enough. And in fact, all the people showing that the carbon tax doesn't affect food prices
00:17:08.200that much are unscrupulous. You know what they do? The consumer price index is the stupidest measure
00:17:14.240of how prices are, like, increasing over time. Because what it does is it just takes a generic
00:17:20.680basket of goods. The basket of goods that people are buying is just the average basket that people
00:17:25.580are purchasing at the grocery store. And it's just seeing how that price changes over time. And so what
00:17:31.940happens is because it's measured by every quarter, so the CPI is prices over the last four
00:17:38.080quarters. What happens is that as people buy cheaper food because they're so broke, then it
00:17:44.580shows that, well, your basket of goods went from $100 on average to $103 on average. Wow, it's only
00:17:51.620up 3%. But if you kept buying the exact same products, it would have been $135. But they'll say,
00:17:58.760well, see, and the carbon tax only affected 50 cents of that $3. So it's a very negligible part of your
00:18:07.140grocery bill. But if you purchased the full $135 basket, it would have been like $5 of it. And it would
00:18:14.880have been a pretty big part of your grocery bill increase. But then they can blame a bunch of other
00:18:19.700factors. You can make a study to prove anything. At some point, common sense actually has to come into how
00:18:25.300you read the data, or it's a worthless document. Now, let's talk about the NDP a little bit more, because I don't like
00:18:34.460them. I don't like them. That's it, guys. I don't like the NDP. So we're talking about them. I'm just
00:18:38.880going to be shameless about it. This is a great clip from Alex Soltan. He posts, appearing to lack
00:18:45.080any self-awareness, Charlie Angus acts shocked about the Canadians being rude to him on the internet.
00:18:50.220He then brags of mass blocking people over his morning coffee. Who could wonder why the NDP
00:18:55.740has never really broken through into the mainstream in Canada with people like Charlie Angus as
00:19:01.340they're like flag bearers for the past decade. He's finally leaving office. My goodness.
00:19:06.920I've been in confrontational situations as part of my job. But what I've seen just in the last few
00:19:16.500years is something very, very different. By the way, this man mocked that Sherry woman who died
00:19:22.960because she wouldn't get the COVID vaccine and was denied the ability to get a life-saving surgery.
00:19:27.940He is worried about how people are acting on the internet. It began during the final days of
00:19:35.360COVID. It began during convoy, my first death threat, and then the second, and then the online
00:19:41.260abuse of like sort of this toxic pool of hate that continued to build. And then it began to appear in
00:19:48.380real life situations. So there's this atmosphere now of toxicity and rage where threat has become
00:19:57.900a normal way of engaging with public officials.
00:20:04.580The very first times I received online abuse, I sometimes reached out to the person and said,