The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - August 12, 2025


Liberals are lying about Canada s crime rate! - Debunking propaganda


Episode Stats

Length

19 minutes

Words per Minute

158.41212

Word Count

3,094

Sentence Count

179

Hate Speech Sentences

4


Summary

In this episode, I talk about how Liberals in the media and online are lying about crime in Canada, and why it really gets under my skin. These lies drive public policy makers to not actually fix the problems they've created, because haven't you seen the headlines? Crime is getting worse, and some of the lies from the media are so ridiculous, you can use the same source they used in order to prove them wrong.


Transcript

00:00:00.000 Hey guys, Wyatt Claypool here. Liberals in the media and online are lying about crime in Canada, and it really gets under my skin as someone with a research background on the topic of crime.
00:00:13.720 What the liberal allies are doing is effectively giving a permission structure to Prime Minister Mark Carney and his liberal government to do nothing about crime because supposedly the problem is already getting better, so why should they have to repeal the Trudeau-era soft-on-crime policies like Bill C-75?
00:00:34.460 That is why this is so toxic. These lies can drive public policy makers to not actually fix the problems they've created because haven't you seen the headlines? Crime is getting better.
00:00:46.640 It's not. It's going up, and some of the lies from the media are so ridiculous you can use the same source they used in order to prove them wrong, and it's not that difficult to do.
00:00:58.960 You don't need a master's degree in this. You just need basic internet connection.
00:01:04.460 Anyways, before I get into the topic, guys, make sure to like the video if you like the channel. Subscribe if you are not yet a subscriber. I'm trying to get to 100,000 subscribers by mid-December of this year, or I owe my four friends dinner.
00:01:19.540 If I get to 100,000 subscribers, they just owe me dinner. I made a very lopsided deal in order to scare myself into working harder, and then also leave a comment on what you think about this topic.
00:01:30.560 I do like to scroll through and see what people are saying, as well as replying to a smattering of people.
00:01:36.500 Anyways, so let's get into this topic, starting with this headline from Global News that reads,
00:01:44.160 Police reported crime in Canada, well, in 2024 for first time since pandemic.
00:01:49.600 Now, right off the bat, I'm going to tell you this is not true. It is obviously not true based on the source he uses, which is Statistics Canada.
00:01:59.820 Maybe he's trying to be a bit weaselly by saying police reported crime, because the way crime statistics are actually compiled is that they, you know, take police reports,
00:02:10.380 but then they also survey people to see if there has been crimes committed against them that were not reported.
00:02:16.880 You know, a bicycle was taken from the side of your house, and you didn't notice that it was taken two days ago,
00:02:22.500 so you don't even bother putting out an incident report or calling the police.
00:02:26.600 You know it's probably long gone. It's been scrapped, or it's across the city, so what's the point?
00:02:31.260 Or you were, you know, you were struck somewhere, someone punched you, the guy ran away, you know that the police are probably not going to catch him, so you didn't report it.
00:02:40.880 Or there are certain things you can't report anymore, like drug crimes in British Columbia and Toronto,
00:02:46.980 because they are living under states of decriminalization, which also drives down statistics and means that people don't report things that are still felonies,
00:02:55.980 because they believe that the decriminalization makes it okay.
00:02:59.080 Even in BC, you still are only allowed to possess a certain amount of controlled substances,
00:03:04.700 but it means that nobody really ends up reporting it on the off chance that someone has a gram or more than they're supposed to be able to carry at one time.
00:03:13.480 So, already, this is just not accurate, and when you read the article, what they end up doing is often just focusing on non-violent crimes.
00:03:23.420 Wow, overall crime is down because, I guess, fewer people committed misdemeanors, or there has been slightly lower motor vehicle thefts.
00:03:32.420 You know, motor vehicle thefts are serious crimes, but it's a crime that doesn't really reflect the actual amount of criminality out there.
00:03:39.700 In 2021 and 2022, there was that big spate of theft of Kia cars, because there was easy exploits in order to be able to break into them and hotwire them.
00:03:50.500 So, you had all these people around North America stealing Kias any chance that they got, because it was super easy.
00:03:56.820 That's a crime that naturally went down, because car companies have had to put more security measures in place to prevent stuff like that from happening.
00:04:03.800 And then, again, there's just other crimes that better security ends up driving down.
00:04:08.640 But, again, this article headline is still wrong.
00:04:12.320 Even when I take non-violent offenses into account, crime is still up.
00:04:18.460 Now, I'm going to use the same source that this author supposedly used.
00:04:23.180 Maybe Stats Canada put out a press release, and he just copy and pasted it.
00:04:26.980 That would mean Stats Canada's lying about their own stats.
00:04:30.480 These are the statistics I'm using.
00:04:32.120 Obviously, I'm not going to keep these on screen very long, because they are just hard to look at.
00:04:37.140 But you can be very well, you can rest assured that I have the incident-based reporting here.
00:04:43.820 That takes, again, into account police crime statistics, like the police reports, as well as the survey results.
00:04:50.040 In the year 2020, because that article said that incidents of crime had dropped for the first time since the pandemic, although I also noticed that the article seems to imply that the pandemic COVID started in 2021.
00:05:05.660 That seems like a deliberate choice, but even then, that wouldn't change anything.
00:05:08.680 I will focus on the crime rate, not just raw incidents, although the rate is actually a little bit dishonest, because naturally, when we've had mass immigration, a lot of students, a lot of TFWs, those people are not going to commit a lot of crimes.
00:05:24.840 Naturally, when you enter a new country and you're terrified of potentially being deported, if you do anything wrong, you're going to be on your best behavior.
00:05:32.140 We do have foreign students, and we do have TFWs committing crimes.
00:05:36.380 But the thing is, it's a little bit of a, it ends up kind of padding the numbers out a bit, because most TFWs work and go home, work, go home, send remittances home.
00:05:46.480 They finish their time, and then they try and get an extension, or they're supposed to leave, but many of them don't.
00:05:51.960 But generally speaking, if you immigrate to a new country, you don't get off the plane and just start committing crimes left and right.
00:05:57.120 So it actually under-represents how bad the crime rate is by only just focusing on the rate.
00:06:02.700 But that's what we will do today, because that's what the article did.
00:06:06.380 So in 2020, this is all instances of crime, 2020, per capita, per 100,000, there was 5,896.62 crimes per 100,000.
00:06:23.700 I also have 2015 here, because I want to show what it was like when Justin Trudeau first entered office.
00:06:29.360 But in the year 2024, which we have been told by the reputable global news outlet,
00:06:36.380 that it's down for the first time since the pandemic, in 2024, we had 6,133.52 crimes per 100,000.
00:06:51.700 Now, maybe Mr. Sean Boynton doesn't know how to do math, he doesn't know what numbers mean,
00:06:59.440 but this number is in fact bigger than that number.
00:07:04.680 And also, what is kind of dishonest here that people will do is that they will take a crime peak.
00:07:10.900 In many ways, 2023 was a higher crime year than 2024.
00:07:18.160 But they can't say since the pandemic, it's gone down.
00:07:20.980 Are they counting 2023 as the pandemic?
00:07:23.300 I would say I'd rather count it since the start of the pandemic, since the start has crime gone down,
00:07:28.500 because those were higher crime years.
00:07:30.580 2020 was actually a low crime year, and we are way above that.
00:07:34.740 We're way above 2021 and 2022.
00:07:37.940 We're only down if you count 2023.
00:07:42.100 So I will just put 2023 down here just to show the tactic the media uses to pretend that crime is down.
00:07:49.180 So look, 2023, we had 6,345 instances of crime per 100,000.
00:07:57.480 So we're down from that in the year 2024, but that's not how crime statistics should be measured.
00:08:06.100 You should be measuring it over the 5 to 10-year span.
00:08:10.280 In the long run is crime down.
00:08:12.360 I don't care if we spike and then we go down a bit.
00:08:15.960 I would still consider that crime being up.
00:08:18.420 You can't have crime shoot up 200%, and then it goes down by 5%.
00:08:22.300 We're like, oh, it's down.
00:08:23.680 That is dishonest.
00:08:24.940 So let's go back to 2015 just to show how much we've come up.
00:08:29.960 So in 2015, we were at 5,986.93 crimes per 100,000.
00:08:40.680 Oh, actually, it's 3,4, 9, 3, 4.
00:08:44.740 It is higher than 2020 because it was a lockdown year,
00:08:48.680 and naturally, people couldn't get out of the house in order to commit a crime.
00:08:53.040 It was just, you know, the cops had fewer people to deal with,
00:08:56.420 so it was, you know, easier to dissuade crime.
00:08:59.900 You know, stores were closed.
00:09:01.460 You know, you don't really want to break and enter someone's home
00:09:03.860 when you can be guaranteed that people are, in fact, home.
00:09:07.400 But by 2019, the crime rate was 6,487.
00:09:13.000 2020, it went down because of the lockdowns,
00:09:15.020 and then we also had that very high crime year in 2023 of 6,343.
00:09:20.360 But again, considering the timeline from 2015 to 2024,
00:09:25.860 it's up quite a bit.
00:09:27.940 Crime has not been going in the right direction.
00:09:30.440 And this is all incidents.
00:09:32.700 This is, we can mix in, you know,
00:09:35.120 minor crimes going up or down to, like, you know,
00:09:39.460 inflate or deflate the crime rate.
00:09:41.320 Let's focus on something different, something that is very serious.
00:09:45.340 Let's look at violent crime.
00:09:47.740 Because violent crime, I'm not, I don't know about you,
00:09:50.820 I consider that worse than, you know,
00:09:53.000 somebody, you know, being caught with possession of
00:09:55.800 illegally sourced marijuana or whatever,
00:09:58.140 which is included in these stats.
00:10:00.160 Violent crime is one of those things
00:10:02.440 where we should be trying our absolute best to hammer it down,
00:10:05.940 but the liberals with their bail reform
00:10:08.520 have been absolutely incentivizing people
00:10:11.280 to commit violent crimes
00:10:12.240 because you will be immediately released
00:10:14.620 if you commit one.
00:10:15.860 I'll clean up the board,
00:10:16.820 and then we'll get back to it on violent crime.
00:10:20.320 So when it comes to violent crime,
00:10:23.400 in the year 2015,
00:10:26.200 our violent crime rate in the last year of Stephen Harper
00:10:29.300 was 1,070 out of every,
00:10:33.820 for every 100,000 people.
00:10:35.940 This, of course, is assaults,
00:10:38.220 everything up to murder,
00:10:39.680 you know, all sorts of assaults,
00:10:42.540 you know, whatever, battery, stuff like that.
00:10:46.440 Then we go to 2020,
00:10:48.880 in which the actual violent crime rate,
00:10:51.500 even though it was that lockdown year
00:10:53.080 where other forms of crime were down,
00:10:55.340 the violent crime rate was actually up.
00:10:58.060 We had that go to 1,265 per 100,000.
00:11:05.060 And now in the year 2024,
00:11:08.140 it is 1,433 per 100,000.
00:11:15.080 In 2023, it was 1,441,
00:11:18.680 so it's a little bit less than it was in 2023 and 2024.
00:11:23.880 But my goodness,
00:11:25.240 look at how much higher that is,
00:11:28.000 going from 1,070 to 1,433.
00:11:32.040 That is a very big deal.
00:11:36.140 And yes, that is a consequence
00:11:38.320 of the current policies of this liberal government.
00:11:42.500 So I really dislike, too,
00:11:44.840 when people will just,
00:11:46.320 one, the global news article is still wrong
00:11:48.240 that crime is down.
00:11:49.320 We've seen me go through the numbers.
00:11:51.040 It's up.
00:11:52.020 But then they will mix in
00:11:53.820 all these nonviolent offenses going down
00:11:56.160 to pretend like crime severity is down.
00:11:59.000 It's like, but is it really?
00:12:00.440 Because the crimes people most care about
00:12:02.360 are way, way up.
00:12:05.460 And like I pointed out before,
00:12:07.120 B.C., Toronto,
00:12:08.620 you can't enforce certain drug crimes anymore.
00:12:11.240 So naturally, that drops the rate.
00:12:13.140 We have tons of crimes.
00:12:14.200 We barely enforce anymore.
00:12:16.180 And so, of course,
00:12:17.060 the crime rate is going to go down.
00:12:18.520 And here is something else
00:12:19.640 that the liberals will really not like.
00:12:21.800 It's that a lot of the general decline
00:12:25.140 in the crime rate since 2023
00:12:27.260 was because of provinces like Alberta.
00:12:31.540 Alberta was why a lot of the total crimes
00:12:34.700 were going down.
00:12:36.000 I'll just quickly bring this up on screen
00:12:37.480 so you guys can see it.
00:12:38.560 I'll go between the different years again.
00:12:41.460 You can just see me erase it.
00:12:43.220 See this hot erasing action going on.
00:12:48.360 There we go.
00:12:49.780 But so this is Alberta.
00:12:51.520 I'm going to be going over now.
00:12:53.900 So in 2015,
00:12:56.140 which is actually when the NDP took over,
00:12:58.660 we had the crime rate at,
00:13:01.740 this is overall crime, by the way,
00:13:03.620 we had 8,916 for 100,000 people.
00:13:09.880 And by 2020,
00:13:11.640 the year after the UCP took back over,
00:13:14.020 but it was a pandemic year, to be fair,
00:13:15.980 it had been down to 8,832.
00:13:21.520 But since 2020,
00:13:23.820 the low crime year for the country,
00:13:26.140 to give you an idea,
00:13:28.020 in 2019, the number was 10,000 in Alberta
00:13:31.000 for the crime rate.
00:13:32.260 In 2024 now,
00:13:33.900 with Daniel Smith and Mike Ellis'
00:13:36.220 more tough on crime approach,
00:13:37.780 actually trying to make sure criminals
00:13:39.420 go through the court system,
00:13:41.220 are prosecuted,
00:13:42.180 and giving a hard sentence.
00:13:45.440 Despite the bad laws,
00:13:46.680 they are trying to make sure the system
00:13:48.160 is as efficient as possible,
00:13:49.240 and we are not waiting or letting criminals
00:13:52.300 get away with their crimes
00:13:54.060 by the court system moving too slow.
00:13:55.640 In 2024,
00:13:57.100 the actual crime rate now
00:13:58.500 is 7,754.
00:14:01.640 And so a lot of the national decline
00:14:05.500 in the crime rate
00:14:06.520 is going to be because of places
00:14:08.800 like Alberta
00:14:10.180 having their crime rates fall massively.
00:14:13.100 It even fell,
00:14:14.280 I believe,
00:14:14.940 yeah,
00:14:15.160 it fell off massively.
00:14:17.360 Yeah,
00:14:17.620 so the low crime year,
00:14:20.300 even that year,
00:14:21.460 it's lower than,
00:14:23.260 it's higher than the current year.
00:14:25.200 Whereas with all crimes
00:14:26.780 federally right now,
00:14:28.060 nationally,
00:14:29.460 2024 is still higher than 2020,
00:14:32.200 but in Alberta,
00:14:33.460 it's lower in 2024
00:14:34.940 than it was in the low crime year of 2020.
00:14:37.920 That's great progress.
00:14:39.680 But now I need to move on
00:14:41.220 to a post that really annoyed me
00:14:42.960 that based on what I've just showed,
00:14:45.220 you should just seem like
00:14:47.060 the stupidest thing
00:14:47.660 you've ever seen in your life.
00:14:49.240 Here's a liberal activist online
00:14:51.140 pretending like crime
00:14:52.660 is just doing really well,
00:14:54.620 that conservatives are lying.
00:14:56.240 So he makes the subtext
00:14:57.400 of the Global News article,
00:14:59.440 real text,
00:15:00.380 and says,
00:15:01.560 Mr. Polyev,
00:15:02.620 everything is broken in Canada,
00:15:04.400 isn't quite reflected
00:15:05.700 in Toronto in 2025.
00:15:08.100 Auto theft down 39%,
00:15:09.960 home invasions down 42%,
00:15:12.120 homicide down 67%,
00:15:13.860 shootings down 46%,
00:15:15.340 hate crimes down 47%.
00:15:17.460 Great job,
00:15:18.500 Toronto Police Service
00:15:19.400 and City of Toronto.
00:15:21.300 Okay,
00:15:22.220 well,
00:15:22.560 how about I go to
00:15:23.520 all violent crimes
00:15:24.900 in the City of Toronto
00:15:26.120 and we check
00:15:27.340 if this is even true?
00:15:30.440 It's actually,
00:15:31.060 the Statistics Canada thing
00:15:33.220 is actually a lot of fun.
00:15:34.100 I like using their stats.
00:15:35.500 They're very efficient.
00:15:36.880 Let's look at violent crime.
00:15:38.340 It's, again,
00:15:38.580 one of these things
00:15:39.300 that matters.
00:15:40.400 And I don't really care
00:15:41.700 to look up the specific crimes.
00:15:43.180 Homicide's a strange one
00:15:44.680 because it's not like
00:15:45.940 thousands of people
00:15:46.680 are being murdered every year.
00:15:47.900 And so a serial killer
00:15:50.060 being present one year
00:15:51.380 and not being present
00:15:52.220 the next year
00:15:52.800 can really mess
00:15:53.400 with statistics.
00:15:54.980 But let's look
00:15:56.320 at the actual crime rate.
00:15:58.280 So let's go through
00:15:59.760 this practice
00:16:00.420 I've been doing
00:16:01.300 and let's look
00:16:02.680 at the City of Toronto
00:16:04.160 for violent crime
00:16:06.060 between 2015,
00:16:08.240 2020,
00:16:09.260 and 2024,
00:16:10.960 the years that I'm using
00:16:12.940 for our benchmarks.
00:16:14.020 So in 2015,
00:16:16.440 the crime rate
00:16:17.640 in the City of Toronto
00:16:19.220 for violent crime
00:16:20.720 was 743 per 100,000.
00:16:24.860 Naturally,
00:16:25.740 urban areas actually
00:16:26.560 have generally lower crime
00:16:28.220 because it's easier
00:16:29.540 to enforce the law
00:16:30.640 in a dense urban center,
00:16:32.520 although more people
00:16:33.440 notice crime
00:16:34.480 and they get,
00:16:35.180 you know,
00:16:35.480 it affects their lives
00:16:36.400 because it's happening
00:16:37.060 around them.
00:16:37.680 You know,
00:16:38.140 they weren't the one
00:16:38.980 assaulted,
00:16:39.940 but there was assaults
00:16:40.800 going on at the train station
00:16:42.100 they're at or whatever.
00:16:43.100 So you don't really
00:16:44.000 consider the fact
00:16:44.700 that, oh,
00:16:45.100 I wasn't punched
00:16:45.740 so it doesn't matter,
00:16:46.520 but you saw it happen,
00:16:47.520 whereas sometimes
00:16:48.220 in rural areas
00:16:49.080 crime is actually higher
00:16:50.040 simply because police
00:16:51.160 can't police it as well,
00:16:52.200 but it's usually more minor
00:16:53.300 like someone stole
00:16:54.440 something off your farm
00:16:55.440 type stuff.
00:16:56.860 But,
00:16:57.080 so we have in 2015
00:16:58.980 743 crimes
00:17:01.400 per 100,000
00:17:02.360 in the City of Toronto
00:17:03.100 for violent crime.
00:17:04.620 2020,
00:17:05.540 we have 763 crimes
00:17:09.420 per 100,000
00:17:10.640 for violent crime.
00:17:11.660 So even in the low year,
00:17:12.700 it was actually higher
00:17:13.980 than it was in 2015
00:17:15.220 because of bail reform.
00:17:17.240 In 2024,
00:17:18.340 guys,
00:17:19.080 how,
00:17:19.520 what do you think
00:17:20.580 this number is?
00:17:21.940 Because this man here
00:17:23.700 has assured me
00:17:25.320 it's very low.
00:17:27.560 Homicides are down,
00:17:28.500 shootings are down,
00:17:29.260 hate crimes are down,
00:17:30.120 home invasions,
00:17:30.820 auto thefts,
00:17:31.420 and some of those
00:17:32.040 may be down,
00:17:32.840 but they're very
00:17:33.380 specific statistics.
00:17:36.220 So guys,
00:17:37.240 violent offenses,
00:17:38.900 drum roll please,
00:17:40.400 violent offenses
00:17:41.240 in the year 2024
00:17:42.680 in Toronto,
00:17:44.860 are 1,116.
00:17:48.900 In fact,
00:17:49.840 that number is higher
00:17:50.680 than it was in 2023,
00:17:52.120 which was 997.
00:17:53.520 It is now 1,016.
00:17:55.240 The first time
00:17:56.300 the number
00:17:57.240 has been above 1,000
00:17:59.060 since 2007.
00:18:01.620 Goodness.
00:18:03.020 Maybe these people
00:18:04.100 might be lying.
00:18:05.480 It's almost like
00:18:06.280 they don't actually
00:18:07.500 care about being honest,
00:18:08.420 they just care
00:18:09.400 about pumping up
00:18:10.820 their own team.
00:18:12.840 This number,
00:18:13.820 just in case
00:18:14.340 there's people
00:18:14.780 in the cheap seats,
00:18:15.640 this number right here
00:18:16.680 is higher than
00:18:17.640 that number
00:18:18.300 and that number.
00:18:20.240 It's not down,
00:18:22.180 but people are
00:18:23.900 trying to drive me
00:18:25.340 up the wall
00:18:25.760 by just claiming
00:18:26.680 things about crime
00:18:27.500 that are not true.
00:18:28.980 The most serious
00:18:29.720 form of crime
00:18:30.400 is way up.
00:18:31.820 Yes,
00:18:32.080 motor vehicle theft
00:18:33.160 might be down,
00:18:34.460 but there's a reason
00:18:35.620 why the Toronto police
00:18:36.800 are trying to tell people
00:18:37.740 to leave their car keys
00:18:38.740 at the front door
00:18:39.520 in case someone
00:18:40.600 breaks into trying
00:18:41.260 to look for them
00:18:41.960 because it's become
00:18:43.580 very common
00:18:44.620 that the police
00:18:45.280 are having to address it.
00:18:46.640 These things have become
00:18:47.480 more common
00:18:48.140 over the last 10 years.
00:18:49.460 Yes,
00:18:49.700 motor vehicle thefts
00:18:51.140 may be down since 22,
00:18:52.620 but they're up since 2015,
00:18:54.420 at least in specific places.
00:18:56.180 And when it's actually
00:18:57.560 trending downwards
00:18:58.560 in Canada
00:18:59.160 compared to 23,
00:19:00.420 you have to thank
00:19:01.240 places like Alberta,
00:19:02.580 places that the liberals
00:19:03.600 don't want to thank.
00:19:05.400 But anyways,
00:19:05.920 that's it for this video,
00:19:07.580 guys.
00:19:07.880 Hopefully you found
00:19:08.760 this helpful
00:19:09.400 for the next time
00:19:10.900 someone tells you
00:19:11.580 that you're fear-mongering
00:19:12.680 by highlighting
00:19:13.480 the crime rate.
00:19:14.620 You're not.
00:19:15.440 You're being accurate.
00:19:17.120 But with that,
00:19:18.140 guys,
00:19:18.480 remember to like the video,
00:19:19.760 subscribe to the channel,
00:19:21.140 leave a comment,
00:19:22.080 do all that great stuff,
00:19:23.260 and I will see you guys
00:19:24.340 all next time.
00:19:25.420 and we'll see you guys
00:19:31.500 right now.