The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - Liberals down MASSIVELY on Top Issues - CPC holds wide lead!

00:00:00.000 Hey guys, Wyatt Claypool here. On Sunday, I did a video where we went over the recent

00:00:06.060 Abacus data poll that showed for the first time since March of this year, the Conservatives

00:00:11.720 leading the Liberals in a nationwide poll. This is very good news for the Conservatives,

00:00:17.480 and even if we assume it's a bit of an overpoll for the Conservatives, it still demonstrates

00:00:22.960 that Prime Minister Mark Carney and the Liberals are in a very vulnerable position, despite

00:00:28.200 having just been re-elected back in April. Now today, I want to go over the top issue polling

00:00:35.100 with you guys to show that on these top issues for Canadians, the Conservatives are absolutely

00:00:41.060 cleaning the Liberals up. People may say they're voting Liberal in the polls, but when you actually

00:00:46.520 ask them who would be better suited to tackling these individual issues, the Conservatives are

00:00:51.580 leading on the vast majority of them widely. So before we get into these numbers, I do just want

00:00:58.060 to recommend that if you like the show, make sure to leave a like on this video, subscribe to the

00:01:03.020 channel if you are not yet a subscriber, leave a comment on what you think, and I also want to

00:01:07.640 remind you guys, if you live in British Columbia, I, with the 1BC Party, are doing a town hall in

00:01:14.260 Abbotsford on September 13th. Check out the details for that if you want to swing by in the description

00:01:19.900 below, as well as pinned at the top of the comments. But now, without further ado, let's get into

00:01:25.320 some of these numbers. So this is the rank order of what Canadians in this abacus data

00:01:31.140 poll said were their top issues. You got to pick three top issues, so naturally there was

00:01:36.920 like a dozen or so. I'm only taking the top serious ones. Once you go below crime, you

00:01:42.680 actually start to get into things where only about like 6% of people chose it as one of their

00:01:47.660 top issues, which I would say is a very niche thing that's difficult to track. I'm always actually

00:01:53.240 kind of shocked how low crime is on these polls. I guess it really is that if you live in a safe

00:01:58.440 community, it's not going to make your top three, but if you live in an area where there's a lot of

00:02:02.500 carjackings, it's probably your top issue. Crime is probably one of those things. Either it's your

00:02:07.280 very top issue, or you don't really think about it because it's not affecting you as much, but

00:02:11.640 in this poll, about 11-13% of people made it one of their top issues. So let's start at the top

00:02:18.100 with cost of living, which is by far the most chosen top issue for Canadians, with 60% of Canadians

00:02:25.220 putting it within their top three. Naturally, after that, it becomes a bit of a drop-off,

00:02:30.140 with some of these things kind of being a little bit related, like the economy and cost of living

00:02:35.120 and housing. It just is more of a niche priority compared to just cost of living alone. But I want

00:02:41.640 to go over how each of the parties are perceived on these issues. The question specifically is,

00:02:47.760 who is the best party to take on these different issues? So let's start off on the cost of living.

00:02:54.760 Specifically, in this one, it was the rise of cost of living, but same difference. So the Liberals on

00:03:00.520 the cost of living get chosen by 27% of Canadians as being the best party to tackle the issue. This is,

00:03:09.580 again, the biggest issue. Then you have the Conservatives with 39% of people believing they

00:03:17.500 are the best party to take this issue on. That is embarrassing for a government that was just

00:03:24.640 re-elected. It's not like they messed up a couple years in and now it's shifted. They basically got in

00:03:30.920 despite the fact that people do not actually trust them on the issues. But now we will jump down to one

00:03:37.380 of the few issues that does favor the Liberal Party, and that is dealing with Donald Trump.

00:03:42.460 Although, remember, this poll was conducted before Mark Carney flip-flopped on wanting to get a trade

00:03:48.080 deal done and pulling back on all his retaliatory tariffs. Plus, Trump back in late June, that was

00:03:54.680 rated by people as, like, 46% of Canadians put it as one of their top three issues. It's down to just

00:04:00.580 38%, and I think it's going to keep dropping. But here, as being the second biggest issue,

00:04:06.800 we have the Liberals with 56% of people believing that they are the best party to take on Donald

00:04:14.400 Trump and his administration, with only 21% people thinking that the Conservatives are the best.

00:04:21.420 And that would mean, let me grab a black marker here. On the first issue, it's plus 12. Actually,

00:04:27.520 I don't need a black marker. I'll indicate the party color. It's 12% of people trust the

00:04:32.860 Conservatives more than the Liberals by the margin on that particular issue. On this particular one,

00:04:40.780 it's 35% of people favor the Liberals on Donald Trump. But the problem with this, and I think you

00:04:47.200 guys probably agree, it's kind of a frivolous issue to be your issue in the long run. It doesn't say

00:04:53.040 anything fundamental about the Liberal government or how they do things. It's just saying, I guess

00:04:58.280 they're going to be more elbows up. But they're not only not doing that, but it's one of those

00:05:04.540 things that stops mattering when the economy bottoms out. But now, let's just go to the generic

00:05:10.300 economy. Just generically, who is best for economic growth? The Liberals on this issue score 34%,

00:05:19.280 which normally would be decent or pretty good. But the problem is, is that the Conservatives rank on

00:05:27.160 this one at 45% with an 11% spread on the economy. That is a great result for the Conservatives. I

00:05:35.380 probably don't need to tell you. Now, we are going down to housing. Now, on the issue of housing,

00:05:43.140 trying to find it here. The Liberals are, again, like the cost of living, which makes sense because

00:05:49.060 it's a big cost of living issue, only get 27% of people saying they're the best party to tackle the

00:05:55.600 issue. And then we have 36% of Conservatives, giving them a plus nine margin. Now, granted,

00:06:05.120 the NDP are also in a bunch of these polling questions as well. They only lead on a single one

00:06:10.320 that doesn't even make any of this top, what is it, three? Yeah, the top nine. Their next one is

00:06:16.760 like their best one is inequality and poverty, in which they lead by like one point over the Liberals

00:06:21.660 and two points over the Conservatives. It's really not worth celebrating for them. And now let's go down

00:06:28.620 to healthcare. Healthcare is much tighter, which is kind of expected. It's more of an abstract issue.

00:06:35.040 It's like, for a lot of Canadians, it gets viewed as who cares more about the public healthcare system.

00:06:42.440 But over time, this used to be a far more left-leaning issue to care about. But as the

00:06:48.200 Liberals and as left-wing governments around Canada have failed on the issue of healthcare,

00:06:52.660 we now only have the Liberals sitting at 28% on this issue, with the Conservatives surprisingly

00:06:59.100 leading, but with 30%, which is just a two-point spread, which is, I would say, in the margin of

00:07:05.220 error. They're effectively tied on this issue. The NDP was able to get 16%, which makes it one of

00:07:10.660 their better issues. But again, it's one of those things where I think it's just a bit of a dog's

00:07:15.960 breakfast. The government in power usually gets blamed for doing a bad job. And then the Conservatives

00:07:21.820 get, you know, people shaking their fingers at them because they're not sufficiently pro-public

00:07:25.900 healthcare enough. But if that's, that should be a Liberal issue. And the fact that Conservatives

00:07:31.700 are even leading by two is a big deal. Now let's go to immigration, which I just have down as 0.99

00:07:37.420 migration on the board. This one's embarrassing. Okay. We have the Liberals at 15. 15% of Liberals in a

00:07:48.040 poll where 39% of people said they would vote Liberal. When you ask people who do the best job on this

00:07:54.260 issue, 15 choose the current government. Whereas the Conservatives, and this is before the Liberals

00:08:00.180 got exposed for fudging immigration numbers, the Conservatives are at 56%. That is a plus 41%

00:08:13.500 issue. This is why during the election, I said they should run on cutting immigration rates by 80%. 0.94

00:08:19.140 And actually, right now, you have Mark Carney affected, sorry, not Mark Carney, you have Pierre

00:08:24.660 Polyev effectively running generally on what I was suggesting. Not that he specifically listened to

00:08:30.180 me, although I always would appreciate if I was able to contribute to the switch. I think Polyev is kind

00:08:37.600 of at the place he's always wanted to be. But I think he was listening to too many fussy advisors before

00:08:42.560 the election and saying just lower immigration, another 100,000. It's like net negative migration that

00:08:47.840 Polyev is running on right now is like lowering it by 80%. Anyone who has a temporary foreign worker 1.00

00:08:52.840 visa has to go, you know, and we're going to let a very limited amount of people into the country after

00:08:57.720 that who actually have real skills that we need or who are real asylum seekers coming from Iran who 0.98

00:09:03.700 would have been killed if we didn't let them in. So yeah, 41% spread. The Conservatives do not need

00:09:10.740 to focus group this anymore. Talk about immigration. It's a winning issue. And the Liberals have no leg to 0.92

00:09:16.460 stand on that one. So now let's go down to climate change and the environment because the Liberals

00:09:22.800 need some numbers on the board here. 37% of people trust them on this particular issue. And then you

00:09:29.260 get 9% for the Conservatives. No matter, this is just really not an issue anyone cares about them on.

00:09:36.580 In fact, actually, the second place party on this issue was the Green Party who got like 28% of the vote.

00:09:43.880 I don't even need to show you the Liberal spread on it because it's just one of those things where

00:09:47.720 people, you know, generically think the Liberals are good for windmills and, you know, putting up

00:09:51.800 solar panels. At the end of the day, Conservatives don't need to fret about only having a 9 on climate

00:09:57.020 change. It's an issue where the type of people who would make it their top issue are greeny, 0.99

00:10:02.760 granola, Liberal voters. They're not coming over to the Conservatives. There's no point in breaking up your

00:10:08.320 own party just to try and please the people of Saanich and the Gulf Islands and Victoria and,

00:10:14.380 you know, Toronto Centre and Montreal, Papineau voters. Don't bother with it. Let the Greens 0.98

00:10:21.180 fight the Liberals on that issue. Who cares? But now we keep going on the Conservative Victory Parade

00:10:28.760 because we are now jumping down to the issue of jobs and employment security. The Liberals,

00:10:36.320 this one's a little bit closer, but it also is because the Liberals tend to be, you know,

00:10:41.040 pro-subsidizing industries, which naturally, I guess, is good for certain people's job security.

00:10:47.200 The Liberals score on this one 35% and the Conservatives are at a 40, so they still take that

00:10:55.340 one with a respectable plus five, which I don't think anyone would sneeze at. And then we will

00:11:02.260 jump down to crime. On the issue of crime, we have crime and public safety. This actually is

00:11:09.380 the biggest lead for the Conservatives on any issue, which makes sense because the Conservatives are like

00:11:15.380 the only ones who actually emphasize locking criminals up and for longer. The Liberals on this

00:11:21.020 issue, a little bit better than immigration, they are at 16 points. But bad news for the Liberals,

00:11:27.760 the Conservatives are at 61%. Now remember, this poll had only like 41% of people saying they're voting

00:11:39.620 Conservative. So another 20 people, another 20 people who didn't say they were voting Conservative on a

00:11:47.800 national level. If you were getting, if you were trying to cobble together a government with ministers

00:11:53.440 from different parties who had free reign to do whatever they want on that issue, on crime, another

00:11:58.760 20 people who weren't saying they're voting Conservative on a national level would admit that they are still

00:12:03.900 far better on that particular issue. And so this would be, you know, 51, a plus 45 spread for the

00:12:13.060 Conservatives on the issue of crime. And so if you were putting together a platform for the

00:12:18.320 Conservatives, you would probably rightfully say you should be running on crime, you should be running

00:12:25.300 on immigration. It's a terrible writing for me, guys. I'm sorry about that. Crime, immigration, 1.00

00:12:34.700 housing is always a good one in general, you kind of have to, but you would run on then the cost of

00:12:39.060 living, that you are going to reduce taxes. And it can't be a small reduction. Again, that was a

00:12:44.660 problem during the federal election. Mark Carney saying, I'm going to give you 1% off, ooh, 1% off

00:12:52.040 on your first $50,000 of income, even though you don't even pay tax on the first 18. If you're the

00:12:58.040 Conservatives, then you then counter saying, we'll give you 1.25 points more off your taxes. It's like,

00:13:04.420 is it better? Well, yes. If someone offered me, you know, $500 back on my taxes, and someone offered

00:13:12.300 me $501, yes, strictly speaking, that is better. But if you are supposed to be the economy party,

00:13:20.180 the jobs party, the party that's really good on growth and is small government, you got to cut

00:13:25.940 taxes by three points or four points or an overall trying to reduce the amount of taxes people pay by

00:13:32.620 about 25%. You got to do a cut across the board. Even if you can't balance the budget for your

00:13:38.600 first year in office, because of all the cuts in taxes, who cares? I'd rather have deficits to let

00:13:45.000 people keep their own money than have deficits spending on stupid garbage. Plus, cutting taxes 1.00

00:13:50.700 kind of is going to, like a drill sergeant, put pressure on your own ministers, your own staff,

00:13:56.940 in order to find things in the budget to cut. Useless spending, ways of making spending more

00:14:02.460 efficient, reforming the way things are done. You kind of need to give yourself a big challenge in

00:14:07.340 order to rise to the occasion. But look at this here. We can maybe just quickly throw in that the

00:14:14.380 Liberals have a lead over the Conservatives on the issue of climate by, like, what is that, 28%?

00:14:22.000 Like, okay, like, whippy. But when you actually consider all of this, knowing that these are the

00:14:29.080 top issues, Trump's fading. That's not a big issue. The Liberals cannot run on that issue. It's

00:14:35.480 impossible next election to run on that issue. Because Trump will be halfway through his second

00:14:41.000 term, can't run for office again. And we've already admitted that our trade relationship with

00:14:45.160 them is great. And we've had Carney keep saying nice things about him. That's not an issue they can run

00:14:49.340 on again. And then what you're going to do run on climate change? They need one of these other

00:14:54.200 things. Maybe they can eke out healthcare. Maybe they can do that. But can they really? That's the

00:15:00.620 problem. Can they actually eke out a, like, a win even on that? Because they're, they, I don't suspect

00:15:07.080 they're actually going to do anything to reduce wait times. It technically is a provincial issue.

00:15:11.720 And by the way, do you know the provinces that are actually doing well on healthcare?

00:15:14.720 It's places like Alberta that Carney doesn't even like. Ontario, I can give Doug Ford credit

00:15:20.040 for something that generally their wait times have not been nearly as bad as anywhere else in Canada.

00:15:25.140 So there's no, like, liberal individual that Mark Carney can lean on as being his partner on

00:15:31.740 healthcare and shows that liberals are really great on that issue. Another person who I'm not

00:15:35.820 even sure if he's doing a good job or not, but he's popular is Wob Canoe, but he's not a liberal.

00:15:40.060 He's part of the NDP. But anyways, so yeah, that's probably going to be it for the whiteboard.

00:15:47.380 But I do just want to show you guys just specifically why I didn't end up highlighting any

00:15:52.500 other issues. There are some other issues here that do favor the liberals that we didn't talk about

00:15:57.860 yet. Threat posed by China and Russia does favor the liberals by a spread of eight points. And then we

00:16:05.380 have indigenous reconciliation in which they beat the conservatives by another wide margin.

00:16:10.860 But if you go up here and you actually look at the amount of people who can, who care about those

00:16:16.080 issues, Chinese election interference and threat posed by China and Russia, 7% and 2%. And even the

00:16:23.660 Chinese election interference obviously favors conservatives, but it's still a small, small

00:16:28.300 issue. Maybe it matters in Richmond where people don't like being bullied by CCP agents into voting a

00:16:33.860 certain way, but, and the conservatives are good on that. So it doesn't matter. But indigenous 0.83

00:16:37.900 reconciliation is down at 3%, just three. And the people who are selecting that are part of the

00:16:45.500 hardcore base of the liberals who were never going to leave in the first place. That is the baked in 20%

00:16:51.440 that they would have to like fight heaven and earth to get below. It's like the true and on crowd who

00:16:57.460 won't leave even if they're told to stop voting liberal by the liberals themselves. Even if it became a,

00:17:03.060 like a communist party, they would still say that they're correct because they vote liberal. And so that's the

00:17:09.000 problem here. The liberals have no real path on the issues for reelection unless Carney just proves that

00:17:16.300 he's so good at governing that people can't resist him and he can reverse all of these deficits he has. He's

00:17:22.400 going to be in a very tough spot in justifying why he should be reelected, especially so far with all of the

00:17:28.780 stumbles and fumbles on various issues, breaking promises already, hiding information. Now they don't even

00:17:34.880 want to replace the parliamentary budget officer watchdog because they don't like being scrutinized on how they

00:17:40.400 spend money. It's just not been very good performance from Mark Carney so far. But anyways, with that being said,

00:17:47.480 guys, again, reminder, like the video if you like the way I do this thing here. Subscribe if you want to help me get to

00:17:53.720 100,000 subscribers by mid-December of this year and leave a comment on what you think about politics

00:17:59.680 of the day. I do scroll through, contrary to popular belief, and try and answer about a couple dozen

00:18:05.380 people on comments and trying to acknowledge them and reading through them. But when I do get 1,000

00:18:11.100 comments on certain videos, great job, guys, by the way. Naturally, I'm not going to get back to every

00:18:16.260 single person or I would stop making videos and start answering comments full time. Anyways, so with that

00:18:22.340 being said, see you guys all later.

The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - August 26, 2025

Liberals down MASSIVELY on Top Issues - CPC holds wide lead!

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