The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - Liberals massively down in polls despite what anti-Poilievre pollster claims (EKOS response)

00:00:00.000 Hey guys, Wyatt Claypool here, and today we're going to be talking about polling,

00:00:06.220 specifically why the Liberal Party of Canada has no chance of winning the next federal election.

00:00:12.640 I'm doing this because ECOS and Frank Graves have been putting out absolutely ridiculous polling

00:00:19.280 results that are giving a lot of liberals online this false impression that they're having a big

00:00:24.340 comeback. Frank Graves is a propaganda pollster at this point. Maybe he had integrity several years

00:00:31.780 ago and he used to actually try and have good results, but now because of his steaming hatred

00:00:37.040 for Pierre Polyev, he is just putting out results that try and build Liberal Party momentum.

00:00:43.000 This is an actual tweet by Frank Graves. He then deleted it a bit later because of course he

00:00:49.200 deleted it. He said, a real conservative option is a healthy counterbalance in a healthy democracy.

00:00:54.660 Here Polyev is an acolyte of authoritarian populism. This is never healthy. You are on notice.

00:01:02.020 Going to make sure you are never going to lead my country. I don't make idle threats.

00:01:07.480 That is from a Canadian pollster. Now do you think we should take any of his polling results seriously?

00:01:14.520 Well maybe if the work is done right, but as I am going to get into, ECOS is not putting out good

00:01:20.980 work anymore. In fact, they haven't been putting out good poll results probably for about four or five

00:01:26.960 years at this point because he has such a liberal bias in his own head. Even if he was trying to be

00:01:33.160 accurate before, his liberal bias seems to have seeped into who he ends up polling and who he ends up

00:01:39.540 assuming will show up and vote on election day. But before I get into ECOS's numbers and Frank Graves,

00:01:46.120 I want to talk about numbers from other pollsters. But before I do that, guys, reminder, like this

00:01:52.420 video, subscribe to the channel. I'm trying to get to 100,000 subscribers by mid-December. So share this

00:01:58.320 with other people if you like it and leave a comment on whatever you think about. But it does help the

00:02:03.880 video in the algorithm and I do like scrolling through your comments, replying to some of you,

00:02:08.500 and reacting to some of it. But here is the trend line since 2014 from Nanos. Nanos is a pollster I'm

00:02:17.220 not in love with. I don't hate it. They're just a decent pollster. This right here is the current lead

00:02:23.620 that they have in their latest poll for the conservatives. They have the conservatives at

00:02:28.220 45.2, the liberals at 20.8, the NDP at 18.7, blocks 7.7, you know, greens 5.3, PPC 1.9,

00:02:39.260 This, to put it lightly, is a massive lead for the conservatives. And now when I'm going to get

00:02:46.120 into this later that you're supposed to believe that the liberals are going to be able to surpass

00:02:50.960 the conservatives or at least catch up to them, remember that both in Nanos' polling data as well

00:02:57.360 as all the other non-ECOS pollsters, this is what the gap looks like. It is a 25, nearly 25-point gap.

00:03:06.480 I am sorry, where else in the polling has there ever been a gap overcome that that was that big?

00:03:13.400 Ignoring this area over here, because this is when Justin Trudeau first got into office,

00:03:18.580 and this is his honeymoon period. Yes, over here we have this deep trough. This is when Aaron O'Toole

00:03:26.360 was breaking tons and tons of promises to the conservative base and fell all the way down to

00:03:31.240 about 24% in the polls. But this is 24 compared to the liberals at 38, 37, 39. This is not that big

00:03:40.720 of a deal. And then the later the conservatives caught back up and there was a bit of a car crash

00:03:45.440 election like we had also in 2019, where because the conservatives were kind of being incompetent,

00:03:52.080 really were not playing to their base, just running an apathetic campaign and Trudeau's unpopular.

00:03:57.760 Both parties basically finished in a tie, which slightly advantaged the liberals in seats.

00:04:02.580 But this, when we, this is like a, you know, 15-point gap. This is a 24.6% gap. This is not something

00:04:13.720 that you come back from. And if we go into other data from Nano, so I'm just going to take this off

00:04:18.900 screen for a second. The thing is that it's not just, you could say, well, people have come back

00:04:23.720 by bigger degrees in the past. Sure, maybe. But the problem is right now that all the issues are

00:04:34.400 going for the conservatives. Polyev's popular. For the liberals to come back, not only would they

00:04:40.740 need a star candidate as their new prime minister, a serial candidate, their new leader, which is not

00:04:47.300 Mark Carney. It's not Chrystia Freeland. It's basically none of those people. They will have to. So they

00:04:53.360 would have to have a star candidate and Polyev would somehow have to start becoming less popular

00:04:58.160 because look at Nanos' preferred prime minister polling over time as well. This was starting back

00:05:04.640 in January of 2024, which is a fair timeline considering not a lot of people knew who Polyev was

00:05:11.220 until later 2023. Right now, Polyev is sitting at a 39.7 preferred prime minister rating. 39.7% of

00:05:20.260 Canadians prefer him to be prime minister. The second place right now, which is understandable

00:05:24.940 because Justin Trudeau announced that he's leaving, is at 19.9% is unsure in second place. Third place

00:05:32.100 is actually NDP and Jagme same with 14.8% and Trudeau is at 14%. Do you really think once Mark Carney

00:05:40.960 or Chrystia Freeland or, I don't know, Frank Bayless or this new Ruby lady who's trying to run, 1.00

00:05:47.300 when they're the new leader of the Liberal Party, do you suspect that suddenly a bunch of Canadians

00:05:52.680 are going to be like, oh, I like them? That's not how public opinion works. And I've said this in

00:05:57.760 other videos. I've said it on X. You guys should go follow me on X. That's linked in the pinned comments

00:06:02.980 if you want to go and follow my X account. But I've said this, and it's true, that when you see a major

00:06:09.020 shift in polling, there has to be an underlying political reason for why. Prime Minister Justin

00:06:15.360 Trudeau stepped down or is saying he's going to step down as prime minister in March. And so, yes,

00:06:20.740 that is a big shock in Canadian politics, but that doesn't change the Liberal brand. That doesn't

00:06:26.780 change the issues of the election. In fact, that basically does absolutely nothing for the Liberals.

00:06:33.640 Let's go up and just look at the top issues that people are thinking about in this next election.

00:06:39.560 This is comparing December to January, so it's only a month difference. And you'll notice the main

00:06:44.060 difference between the two bars in this chart is just that change in prime minister is up heavily

00:06:50.720 and change in government is up quite a bit. But everything else is kind of fluctuating a little

00:06:55.640 bit here and there. You know, obviously, some immigration numbers probably went towards change

00:07:00.600 prime minister. There's a big health care crisis recently in British Columbia. So that one's up

00:07:05.560 probably disproportionately in BC. But if you look at the top issues, you have jobs and economy,

00:07:12.240 inflation, health care, housing costs, environment. Maybe you could say health care is a good liberal

00:07:18.100 issue. Maybe you could say environment is a good liberal issue. But the top three issues, the top two

00:07:25.320 issues are really big conservative issues. And health care, I would say, is a toss up at this point.

00:07:30.300 Look at this, too. These are I'm going to go find this one. So yeah, this is just since 2024. These are

00:07:37.580 the trend lines and different issues that people have been caring about that Nanos has been pulling.

00:07:42.760 So the blue line here is jobs and economy. Green line is inflation. Red is health care. And then you have

00:07:52.540 some of these other ones like environment and whatnot. Look at environment right here. Environment has fallen all

00:07:58.960 the way from low teens to like 5.3%. In fact, if I go up here, you'll see that at one point, environment

00:08:07.200 was in the 20s. Or yeah, it was like 27%. It was technically the top issue at some point. That's

00:08:14.780 absolutely insane. The liberals have lost one of their big issues. All of the issues are currently

00:08:21.080 conservative issues. I want to see if I can quickly bring up an abacus data poll here because they do a

00:08:26.380 good government approval rating. I might have to bring up their last one because I don't think

00:08:30.620 they pulled government approval this last time. But their government approval right now in the

00:08:37.880 liberal party or in the liberal government is abysmal. It's as bad as Trudeau's approval rating. And you

00:08:43.600 know that's literally scraping along 21%. I might have to go back to the beginning of the month before

00:08:49.120 Trudeau stepped down to get the good data here. Yes, here we go. Government approval rating. And

00:08:57.520 someone could argue, well, it'll change when Justin Trudeau is out of office and it's Mark Carney or

00:09:05.080 Chrystia Freeland leading the government. Again, that's not how polling works. Even Mark Carney is

00:09:11.080 perceived as being a Trudeau-like person. This was data collected like the second after Trudeau stepped

00:09:17.480 down or I even believe the day before or so. Government's approval rating as disapproval is

00:09:23.600 at 63%. 63% of Canadians think the government is doing a bad job. Who thinks that they're doing a

00:09:31.940 good job? 21%. Less than a quarter. That is basically the people willing to vote liberal are the people

00:09:39.980 who approve of the government. Every other person that the liberals gain, they will have to first

00:09:45.820 basically assure them that they are different and they will have to scratch and claw to get every 0.71

00:09:51.680 half a percent that they increase onto their approval rating as a government. And guess what? Their

00:09:56.980 bandwidth is at this point. Once the new leader comes in, in probably early March, they will have

00:10:03.180 maybe as little as two weeks. Maybe they have until October. Let's just give them to October

00:10:08.900 to make a mark on Canadians.

00:10:14.960 How many people are going to even be paying attention to what the liberals are doing? Let's

00:10:19.760 say somehow they're doing good things. Still doesn't matter. They have just become rusty. And

00:10:24.640 the thing is, by getting rid of Trudeau, a lot of the Trudeau cheerleaders and loyalists are not going

00:10:29.540 to show up. That's not a massive portion of the population, just as cheerleaders for any leader 1.00

00:10:34.880 don't tend to be like as overwhelming portion of Canadians. But that's going to be one or two

00:10:40.800 percent of Canadians who are just probably not going to show up because they were ride or die

00:10:44.880 Trudeau people. And once it's Carney or Freeland, they can't really bring themselves to care anymore

00:10:49.500 because they were, you know, Trudeau-anon people. They were Trudeau can do no wrong. And if Trudeau is

00:10:55.260 gone, well, voting for another liberal leader is basically saying, well, Trudeau did suck. At least 0.99

00:10:59.580 we have Mark Carney now. They won't do it. People are very funny that way. But now I want to get into

00:11:06.880 the ECOS polling because this stuff is what is truly embarrassing. So first, I just want to go

00:11:14.140 to some of the reactions on social media because I find some of the stuff just funny. All of the

00:11:19.780 liberals who are thinking that this is going to be like a big comeback now for the liberals. And look

00:11:25.420 this trend line. This trend line right here I'm about to bring up on screen really demonstrates how

00:11:29.980 wonky ECOS is. This is what ECOS is showing. This massive bump up for the liberals right as they

00:11:38.180 need it when the liberal leadership race is kicking off and they need some artificial excitement.

00:11:43.100 That is not happening. But you get people like this Clay Thomas guy, Thompson guy saying, well,

00:11:48.660 when Mark Carney becomes leader of the liberal party, it's all over for Pierre and he knows it.

00:11:54.060 There's a light at the end of the tunnel. My goodness. Well, what is the darkness

00:11:58.820 and being implied as the liberal government? Like what's the darkness here that we're in the

00:12:03.780 tunnel for? But anyways, here's the Jean-Philippe Fournier guy. I don't even know who he is.

00:12:10.340 But he says, man, I want whatever this guy is smoking. And he is reacting to Frank Graves saying,

00:12:15.700 quick update. The margin between the Conservative Party of Canada and the Liberal Party of Canada

00:12:20.760 has now shrunk to a barely significant 5% in our most recent four day roll up. And that means

00:12:26.900 the last four days of polling, the average between the parties has been 5%. He says,

00:12:32.920 I have rarely seen such straight line decline. The NDP are now at 13%. This is a profoundly different

00:12:39.580 voting voter landscape than even a month ago. And it's not real. We're going to get into some of

00:12:46.400 these numbers more in detail. But these are some of the underlying numbers in his recent poll claiming

00:12:51.400 that the Conservatives are only ahead by 7 to 9 points. Look at this. Atlantic Canada. PPC is at 11.7%.

00:13:00.040 Green Party is at 18.2%. What? The Green Party is in fact closer to the Conservatives than they are

00:13:06.620 than like the NDP. That's insane. The Liberals are ahead in Atlantic Canada. In British Columbia,

00:13:14.940 somehow the Conservatives are at 50%, which seems weird if they're that far behind or they're only

00:13:19.140 at 27 in Atlantic Canada. In Ontario, the Liberals and Conservatives are neck and neck. In Quebec,

00:13:26.520 the Liberals are back up to a very tight second place next to the block. And in other provinces,

00:13:33.040 the Liberals are just like basically either ahead or very close to where the Conservatives are. You

00:13:39.340 have British Columbia. Other than British Columbia, all the other places have the NDP and Liberals doing

00:13:45.320 way better than they usually are. It's actually kind of like remarkable. Liberals at 26.3 in Alberta

00:13:50.920 doesn't sound like a lot. That's a crazy result for the Liberals these days who are getting used to

00:13:56.400 like 12%, 13% results in Alberta. And it makes sense. Think about it. Alberta is the provincial

00:14:02.880 province of provincial UCP and provincial NDP. There is no Alberta Liberal Party anymore. So do you

00:14:11.620 think that the Liberals are going to be punching over a quarter in that province while the NDP trails

00:14:17.260 them? The Liberals have two seats. Granted, the NDP also only have two seats. But George Chahal's

00:14:23.480 riding in Calgary is a complete write-off at this point. Probably same with Randy Boissoneau. The only

00:14:28.840 solid ridings that could possibly be won by a non-conservative party are Blake Desjardins riding

00:14:34.280 in wherever that was. Which one is that? It doesn't really matter. But his riding in Edmonton and then

00:14:41.440 Edmonton Strathcona with Heather McPherson. Those are the only two people who can possibly win seats in

00:14:47.520 this province who are not Conservatives right now. Want to get to another reaction here? I'm going to

00:14:54.040 jump over to my friend Chris from the Great Canadian Bagel podcast in a bit. But you have

00:14:58.260 these other people. This unbranded guy who's a big liberal pusher on social media saying,

00:15:03.920 buckle up, Polyev. You're in for a rough ride. Reacting to Frank Graves saying that, you know,

00:15:09.420 they're catching up. The Liberals are on a straight line path back into government. And by the way,

00:15:15.120 Frank Graves' numbers do indeed imply that the Conservatives would only win a tiny minority

00:15:21.320 government. And in fact, the Liberals would probably still be in power with the help of a

00:15:28.100 coalition government between the NDP and like the bloc. Anyways, but this is what Chris, the Great

00:15:34.520 Canadian Bagel said. He said, the last ECOS poll is blatantly a push poll, manipulated to change

00:15:41.700 voters' opinions. ECOS overweighted university-educated voters by 30% to 55% of the electorate from the

00:15:49.400 Stats Canada report value of 26%. Because there's not actually as many people as you would assume

00:15:57.040 that have university degrees who then vote. And I'm going to get into that in just a second here,

00:16:02.820 but I'm just going to take a break to pull up ECOS's actual charts so I can zoom in.

00:16:09.860 Okay, I'm back. And I have the ECOS numbers right here for you to look at in their PDF.

00:16:15.920 The funny thing is that when you look at the ECOS numbers, and I'll bring that up later,

00:16:20.360 when you look up the ECOS numbers that have been treated by Frank Graves, and then you look at his

00:16:25.740 actual data tables, they make no sense. Because what you have to understand to understand how

00:16:30.780 pollsters work, you have to notice the difference between total and weighted total. The difference

00:16:36.640 between a total and a weighted total, total is just all the people that you polled. All the people

00:16:41.040 that you polled, what are the numbers in each of the regions, and that's it. Weighted is the pollster

00:16:47.180 now making assumptions. It's not bad for the pollster to make assumptions. If you do a poll,

00:16:52.440 and like 60% of the people who answered your poll only have a high school diploma, and that's it,

00:16:59.120 that's probably not what the electorate in the next election is going to look like.

00:17:03.320 The electorate is naturally pretty diverse, you're not only going to get one type of person voting.

00:17:08.620 So if you do a poll, and you don't have a lot of rural people voting in your poll, and that result

00:17:15.260 is like really weak, well, the liberals look like they could technically win in Alberta,

00:17:19.700 because you only pull people in downtown Calgary and downtown Edmonton. So when you get a wonky result,

00:17:26.360 either you have to weight that total, or you go out and get more surveys. I naturally tend to like

00:17:32.560 just getting more surveys and more data, because it gives you more to work with, rather than taking a

00:17:37.640 small amount of voters that are only 15 of them, and you assume that you should have probably gotten

00:17:42.560 26, and then just inflating the result from that sub-demographic.

00:17:50.000 Sorry if I'm getting kind of technical and specific here, but here's the problem with Frank Graves.

00:17:55.160 He weights his polls, everyone weights their polls, that's totally fine.

00:17:59.060 Now, the problem is, look at the normal totals here, in terms of what he got in each of these

00:18:06.200 provinces. One, it already shows he has a really bad online and phone sample. He is not getting the

00:18:13.660 normal voter in his current samples. Look here, look at the People's Party of Canada, like I mentioned

00:18:20.360 before, in Atlantic Canada, getting 18.2% of the vote, or the Green Party getting 18.2%,

00:18:26.320 and the PPC getting 11.7%. Not a chance they're doing that. Look, People's Party is getting 17.2%

00:18:34.020 in Manitoba, 5.9% in Saskatchewan. That doesn't even make sense. If the People's Party is going to

00:18:39.980 get a heavy amount of the vote somewhere, it's more likely to be Saskatchewan than Manitoba. I know

00:18:45.140 Portage Lisgar is in Manitoba, but rural Saskatchewan is going to have far more average PPC voters

00:18:51.580 than the average Manitoba riding, considering that Winnipeg makes up so much of the politics in that

00:18:58.440 province, and they're very left. But yeah, overall, this poll doesn't make sense. 7.8% for the Green

00:19:05.500 Party in Manitoba. How? Look, Ontario, the Green Party gets 2.3%. In BC, in the territories, they get

00:19:13.840 2.3%. Somehow, the Green Party in this poll is getting 18.2% in Atlanta, Canada, a place where

00:19:22.540 they don't have a seat, but they're only getting 2.3% in BC and Ontario where they do have seats.

00:19:28.780 Make it make sense, people. It doesn't. It shows that he doesn't have enough surveys from these

00:19:33.220 places. He only has 54 respondents from Atlanta, Canada, only 24 from Manitoba, and then he's just

00:19:39.280 not going to... He's just going to be willfully stupid about his poll and think, well, no, that's 0.99

00:19:45.720 just a legitimate thing. We called up five people, and one of them was a PPC person. Ergo, 20% of the 0.99

00:19:51.040 electorate is PPC. It's not. You didn't poll right. You are oversampling in other provinces, or you don't

00:19:57.340 have enough sample in some of these places to make good conclusions. 54 is not how you make conclusions.

00:20:03.300 And then the waiting, this is really where the waiting gets thrown off, and this is what Chris

00:20:08.880 mentioned. So this is who he ended up polling. He had 491 people who had university educations who

00:20:15.720 were polled, college 275, and high school 155. The problem here is that the amount of people who

00:20:24.720 are going to vote who have university educations is going to be a little bit under half. Frank Graves

00:20:32.460 cranks it up to 55%, and then he cranks down people with trade degrees, college degrees, and high

00:20:39.420 school diplomas. He cranks those down and cranks up the amount of metropolitan voters voting in the

00:20:45.100 election. That is not how you run a poll. You don't. Basically, just this is what Frank Graves is doing

00:20:52.580 to create what I would consider to be, and what Chris is saying, is a push poll. It's a poll to try and

00:20:58.640 jar the electorate into thinking that that's realistic, and thinking, well, maybe I should

00:21:04.580 be voting liberal because other people are. This doesn't usually work. I will give you. That's the

00:21:09.760 one good thing, is that it's hard for pollsters to really manipulate the electorate. But I have no

00:21:14.100 doubt that this is trying to build up motivation within the liberal base, get them donating more,

00:21:20.700 trying to make it seem like there's momentum behind the liberals, so you should jump back on the

00:21:24.820 bandwagon. It's entirely wrong. This is just bad data, and he is using bad data to come to conclusions

00:21:36.000 that he cannot come to. Even then, I would actually say he's under-polling young people, and then he

00:21:41.520 cranks it up. Look at this. Under 35. He only got 94 surveys. And instead of saying, hey, let's go and

00:21:48.120 get more young people to take the poll. No, he's going to crank that up to 215. That's not how you run a

00:21:54.620 poll. That's not what you do. He has 65-plus voters, 362, and then he cranks them way down.

00:22:01.780 What? He's basically making it a perfect quartering of the thing. There's a quarter of the voters are

00:22:09.360 under 35, a quarter of the voters are 35 to 49, a quarter of the voters are 50 to 64, and a quarter of

00:22:14.140 the voters are 65-plus. That is not an electorate that exists in Canada. But you'll notice that the

00:22:22.440 new Democratic Party gets, or that the liberals end up benefiting quite a bit from the way he ends

00:22:29.560 up re-weighting all this stuff. Anyways, it's just ridiculous. And the thing is, again, the man's 0.93

00:22:36.780 polling has been off in other elections. In 2021, Frank Graves was saying the entire time that the

00:22:45.080 PPC was at 10 percent, the PPC was at 12 percent, 11.8, 9.9. They got half of that. He has a corrupted

00:22:54.300 sample and he doesn't give a crap. He doesn't care because he needs Polyev to have a narrative against 0.98

00:23:01.260 him in the liberal media that he's trailing off. People don't like him. This is the type of stuff

00:23:07.520 that fuels outlets like CultMTL, who every single time there is a stat they can twist to make it an

00:23:14.060 anti-Polyev stat. They will do it even if it's from a poll where the other leaders had worse stats than

00:23:19.500 Polyev by far. This is literal propaganda. This is not how real polling works. This is what like

00:23:27.240 American pollsters like Ann Seltzer were doing at the end of the 2024 federal election or the

00:23:32.940 presidential election where she plops out a poll. She's supposedly the best pollster in Iowa and maybe 1.00

00:23:38.500 at one point she definitely was. But two days or a day before the presidential election, she puts out

00:23:44.980 an Iowa poll saying Harris plus eight. Harris lost Iowa by like 12 to 18 points. I think it actually

00:23:51.540 was 20. No. Frank Graves can say, oh, you can disagree with the numbers, but the numbers are the

00:23:57.160 numbers. The numbers don't make sense. Do you know what this poll would result in? I need to bring

00:24:02.060 this up on screen, too. This makes less sense than anything I've seen in my entire life. This poll

00:24:10.080 would result in, if I can bring up Sherea Teest's numbers, who runs PolyWave. And Poly, by the way,

00:24:15.000 PolyWave and Sherea Teest have now dropped Ecos because their polling is so crap that they don't want

00:24:20.060 to mix it into their other polling stats. This poll is so stupid that when it's added into Sherea Teest's 0.99

00:24:29.380 model, because these polling model guys will take the poll. They'll stick it into their model 1.00

00:24:33.920 with some of their other data that they include. And Sherea Teest, with Frank Graves' Ecos poll,

00:24:39.900 gets the Conservatives only at 149 seats, Liberals 140, Block 34, NDP 11, Greens 7, and PPC 2.

00:24:48.620 No. And guess what? All the Green seats are now in Atlantic Canada. They lose all of their...

00:24:54.520 Elizabeth May somehow loses. But the Greens have a big surge on the Maritimes. 1.00

00:25:02.820 Around Winnipeg, in Portage Lisgar and another riding, the PPC pick up seats. The Greens barely

00:25:08.640 hold on to their seat in Ontario. And then the Liberals basically recapture all of Toronto,

00:25:16.700 all of Montreal. And then they even expand into places that they didn't have seats in before.

00:25:22.080 Look at Calgary! Look at it! They win Centre. They win McKnight. They win Skyview. George Chahal,

00:25:30.640 the Porch Pirates, keeps his seat. This isn't real. This is fantasy numbers. This is not how politics works.

00:25:38.980 This is not how public opinion works. Public opinion does not change from 25% in an Ecos poll

00:25:46.300 in December 18th to now December 22nd. The Liberals are only down 7 or 9. You don't go from 25 to 9

00:25:56.600 in a month and two days. I'm sorry. That's just not how it works. But yeah, so this has driven me up the

00:26:05.060 wall. I hate when people then promote these numbers as if they're real. It's so obvious you're

00:26:11.300 just pushing the agenda if you think these numbers are real. Just as if you were a PPC guy thinking

00:26:16.640 you are at 12% in 2021. You are also delusional. That's not what you even experience out in the

00:26:22.640 public. Is there some big Mark Carney mentum that I haven't been picking up on? The guy couldn't raise

00:26:28.220 more than $125,000 in the first day of his campaign. And that's pathetic because he's been 0.97

00:26:33.520 running a shadow campaign for months. And in a day where he was probably blitzing all of his donors, 0.98

00:26:38.940 big donor buddies with emails, text messages, phone calls, doing Jon Stewart's show, doing a big

00:26:44.420 announcement, he could only bring in $125,000. Does this tell you that people are excited? No. The contrary

00:26:51.940 tells me that they don't give a crap anymore. So anyways, that's it for me today, guys. Watch out 0.98

00:27:00.300 with what polls you look at. Most of the pollsters are great. But if the polls do not match up with

00:27:05.760 reality, not just how you feel, but with what other pollsters say, what you experience in real life,

00:27:11.240 what you experience on social media, what you experience in the culture, the fact that Pure

00:27:17.100 Polyev came out and he just said, I'm not aware that there's any other gender than men or women.

00:27:21.020 That is a turning point in the culture that the conservative leader would say something that

00:27:24.820 Aaron O'Toole would never say. Do you know why he said that? Because conservatism is currently on the

00:27:29.840 ascent. It's not because Mark Carney's super popular that he's saying stuff like that. It's because

00:27:35.040 conservatism is super popular right now. So anyways, like the video, guys, subscribe to the

00:27:42.580 channel, leave a comment, and I'll see you guys later.

The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - January 23, 2025

Liberals massively down in polls despite what anti-Poilievre pollster claims (EKOS response)

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