The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - April 02, 2025


Liberals outraged at the TRUTH while Pierre holds massive PEI Rally!


Episode Stats


Length

13 minutes

Words per minute

177.95386

Word count

2,463

Sentence count

130

Harmful content

Misogyny

2

sentences flagged

Hate speech

2

sentences flagged


Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

Pure Polly and the Tories are gaining momentum in Atlantic Canada, and the Liberals have run out of options to attack them. So they go after Pure Polly with a made-up issue about a 36-year-old couple whose biological clock is running out faster than they can afford to have kids.

Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Misogyny classifications generated with MilaNLProc/bert-base-uncased-ear-misogyny .
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
00:00:00.000 Hey guys, Wyatt Claypool here. The first week of Canada's federal election campaign did not go very well for Mark Carney and the Liberals.
00:00:08.640 And although they and their legacy media allies can point to polls mostly showing that the Liberals are still leading the Conservatives by 1-5 points, the problem is things change.
00:00:19.200 Look back at 1993 after the Progressive Conservatives swap out Brian Mulroney for Kim Campbell. For a short while, Kim Campbell, the PCs, rocket in terms of their approval before falling back down to Earth.
00:00:31.880 At one point, they even eclipsed John Cretchen and the Liberals, but it doesn't matter.
00:00:36.520 Public opinion eventually catches up with reality and the news cycle, and both of those things are going against the Liberals right now,
00:00:43.600 to the point where they're flailing around in desperation, trying to throw mud on Pure Polly and the Conservatives, and it's just not going to work.
00:00:51.860 I want to talk first about this made-up issue that they had yesterday, and then I want to go on to Pure Polly and the Conservatives actually having a lot of momentum in Atlantic Canada.
00:01:01.540 Specifically, in a province that the Conservatives didn't win any seats in, in 2015, 2019, or 2021, they are having a big rally in PEI.
00:01:12.640 Anyways, before I get into it though, guys, reminder, if you like my videos and my federal election coverage, make sure to like this video, subscribe if you're not yet a subscriber, and leave a comment. It really helps us on the algorithm.
00:01:24.500 So yesterday, the Liberals, having no prospects, started going after Pure Polly, because they didn't have any real things to hit Polly with, over this made-up issue of Polly saying biological clock,
00:01:39.840 which is apparently like a crime against women to mention, even though he didn't even exactly mention it in the context of women specifically.
00:01:47.400 Here is the 10 seconds that the Liberals are trying to make a lot of hay about.
00:01:52.280 We will not forget that young 36-year-old couple whose biological clock is running out faster than they can afford to buy a home and have kids. 0.94
00:02:02.040 This is something that loads of Liberal MPs are posting about.
00:02:07.740 Who cares?
00:02:09.180 By the way, he's correct. I don't know why this is controversial.
00:02:12.720 He's talking about the fact that young Canadians cannot buy a house and have kids because of how bad the economy and the market is.
00:02:21.160 By the way, housing prices have literally doubled since Justin Trudeau became Prime Minister in 2015.
00:02:27.740 And by the way, Mark Carney was the economic advisor for five years towards the end of Trudeau's tenure.
00:02:34.820 So this is on him too.
00:02:36.100 The idea that this is offensive is, in fact, I find quite offensive to Canadians who actually care about physical reality and needing to live their lives. 1.00
00:02:46.080 Oh, but he said biological clock and he's treating women like baby factories. 1.00
00:02:51.360 No, he's not.
00:02:52.120 He's treating people like human beings who want to have families be able to buy a house and actually own it.
00:02:57.780 But that's what's going on here.
00:03:00.400 And anti-gender theory activist Amy Hamm pointed out that this is something that the CBC has used as a term in the past.
00:03:10.220 Look at this.
00:03:11.100 She said, not the CBC too.
00:03:13.560 And below is a headline that says, when the biological clock gets loud, free perspectives on pressure to have kids.
00:03:20.340 Yeah, it's almost like it's a commonly used term and the Liberals have got nothing here.
00:03:25.840 The Liberals in the last week have had to drop two candidates for massive ethical issues.
00:03:31.900 The Conservatives have also had to get rid of two, but it was over like dumb misstatements that were going to be distracting and they got rid of them right away.
00:03:38.380 The Liberals dragged their feet on getting rid of people who were like ex-wife beaters and people who were basically like asking for the Chinese government to arrest Conservative candidates.
00:03:51.740 Absolutely nuts.
00:03:53.260 Carney obviously doesn't have any momentum.
00:03:54.980 He was in Georgetown yesterday at just what was like a pub event.
00:04:00.220 The man who is prime minister running for re-election in the federal election period is having to do small-scale pub events in Georgetown, a swing district where you want to have momentum and energy.
00:04:11.900 He hasn't really released any policies either.
00:04:14.120 His only policy is like this housing investment fund where they're going to have the government for a grand total of $36 billion probably build no houses because this is a Trudeau era policy that he first announced back in like 2017 that we're going to take billions of dollars and we're going to build houses ourselves.
00:04:33.700 And like nothing got built and like nothing got built and Mark Carney is basically saying how about we do that with a bigger price tag.
00:04:40.380 And that's it will still not be successful because in his entire pitch for this policy.
00:04:45.960 He did not mention deregulation and reducing all the bureaucracy around getting the land use approvals, getting approvals to start building, having to have work stops so that another inspector can swing by to make sure that you're not, I don't know, poisoning a lake for no reason.
00:05:01.880 He's not a serious person, but now I want to jump over to what the conservatives are currently doing, which is having massive rallies in ridings like P or in provinces like PEI.
00:05:13.640 I will remind you, this footage is coming from a province that only has around 175,000 people living in it.
00:05:20.260 And there are four ridings that are actually each potentially winnable for the conservatives.
00:05:26.720 I probably have to mute that because of the music.
00:05:28.980 But this is the size of a rally on Prince Edward Island.
00:05:33.400 Maybe people are coming from different provinces.
00:05:36.460 They're driving over the bridge into PEI.
00:05:39.260 I kind of doubt it.
00:05:40.740 This is probably 1,500 people.
00:05:42.960 Maybe it's 2,000 people in a province of 175,000 people, not all of which are actually voters.
00:05:50.760 So more than probably one and a half percent of people who live on PEI came out to see Pierre Polyev.
00:05:58.180 That is very good news at the same time that the carny liberals are having to, like, pretend they have bigger crowds than they do.
00:06:06.220 This is what the liberals posted recently to show how big their rally is tonight in Winnipeg.
00:06:12.060 But what you'll notice is that it starts looping pretty fast.
00:06:15.480 This is a five-second video.
00:06:16.940 Because in reality, outside of these two stretched out lines of people that, let's give them 1,000 here, it's not that many.
00:06:25.180 They just don't have the energy on the ground.
00:06:28.020 And energy on the ground doesn't mean necessarily that you're going to win the election, but it does help a lot.
00:06:33.560 But what the polls have been showing, even the ones showing the liberals ahead by five points, six points like Angus Reid,
00:06:40.860 they also show that the liberals' support base is extremely soft, that they might not really show up and vote.
00:06:48.680 This is what happened for Kim Campbell and the PCs.
00:06:51.860 When Kim Campbell replaced Brian Mulroney, suddenly there was that artificial second look at the PCs.
00:06:58.040 Oh, hey, new fresh face is in power as a leader.
00:07:01.700 Let's give them another look.
00:07:02.920 And so people start picking PC in the phone polls.
00:07:05.940 And then as they start to get to know Kim Campbell and they start to see that the PC policies haven't shifted at all,
00:07:13.100 people start moving back to the liberals like they were going to vote for before.
00:07:17.840 And so what we have here, I think, with Mark Carney is that we are in the latter half of his honeymoon phase after taking over for Justin Trudeau.
00:07:25.800 And like what Main Street research is showing, his approval rating is quickly falling as people are realizing that he is not the solution to all of their problems.
00:07:35.380 He does not contain all their hopes and dreams within him.
00:07:38.240 In fact, he is a very peevish man who is not very good at speaking in front of people.
00:07:42.820 And yet we are supposed to expect that he is going to hold Donald Trump and Xi Jinping's feet to the fire.
00:07:48.780 Here is another good piece of polling news.
00:07:51.320 This is from David Coletto.
00:07:52.740 He just released it an hour ago, and it's voting intentions based on education.
00:07:57.820 This is extremely good for the conservatives.
00:08:00.600 I cannot overemphasize.
00:08:02.860 High school or less is going 46% conservative, 30% liberal, 11% NDP, you know, 4% green, 6% block, doesn't really matter.
00:08:12.520 College, people with trades degrees and certificates and whatnot, 38% conservative, 38% liberal, 13% NDP.
00:08:20.800 And then we have university, which is 34% conservative, 48% liberal.
00:08:26.020 The problem is, is that the conservatives are overperforming with the university educated, where the liberals are underperforming heavily with high school or less.
00:08:36.120 The problem here, and if the polls start improving wholesale for the conservatives, this is a very good sign for the conservatives.
00:08:42.740 Because already, they're leading heavily with 40% of the population.
00:08:48.100 Because people who have full four-year bachelor degrees or higher are still only about 30% of the population.
00:08:56.080 And depending on the province, it can be even less than that.
00:08:58.660 Like, Newfoundland and Labrador, a lot of people work on oil and gas rigs.
00:09:03.140 They maybe have trades degrees.
00:09:04.500 Sometimes it's bachelor degrees or less.
00:09:07.000 Or their high school diplomas or less.
00:09:10.160 And many of them, like, work in other areas where you just don't need a bachelor degree.
00:09:15.220 And so the problem is, those bachelor degrees are also going to be heavily concentrated in ridings that the liberals were never going to lose.
00:09:21.600 And the conservatives weren't even trying for it, like in downtown Toronto areas, like University Rosedale, where Chrystia Freeland is.
00:09:29.780 And so with the conservatives leading with 40% of the population and then being tied with the trade school degrees and lagging behind the liberals when it comes to bachelor degree holders,
00:09:40.160 that sets them up very well to win if this becomes a high turnout election.
00:09:45.160 And I do not see this having low turnout like in 2021.
00:09:49.000 2021, conservatives didn't want to show up for O'Toole.
00:09:51.900 And yet they still won the popular vote.
00:09:54.400 In this election, people who like the conservatives are definitely going to be voting for Pierre Polyev because they actually like him.
00:10:01.320 And so if this election has a turnout rate of 65%, 70%, you're going to have a lot of those high school diploma holders who don't usually vote turning out in large waves.
00:10:12.740 Because when the turnout is only 53%, that usually favors the liberals because it means those who are older and have bachelor degrees are going to be making up a far larger portion of the voting population.
00:10:25.600 High turnout is extremely good for the conservatives.
00:10:27.480 So that's why I actually will plug guys, get a lawn sign, promote the fact you're voting conservative, make it the default in your riding.
00:10:35.040 Even if it's swing riding, we should have so many conservative signs up on private lawns.
00:10:39.540 Everyone in the neighborhood realizes that it is becoming the default, the bandwagon to jump on board of.
00:10:45.580 Anyways, I do want to pull up a few more videos from this rally that the conservatives had.
00:10:53.120 But this is pretty amazing that you can get this many people out in PEI.
00:11:02.240 And by the way, 338, while they're still showing all four of the PEI ridings going liberal, that's considering the fact that PEI includes or the 338 includes all the pollsters, I think, are just flat out, like just bad, like ECOS.
00:11:16.060 They're showing them liberal likely, but if things shift three or four points back to the conservatives, I think the conservatives take two of the PEI ridings at least.
00:11:25.280 So, and that's, I believe, what the path to victory for the conservatives are.
00:11:28.860 It's not the GTA.
00:11:30.400 Maybe the conservatives do well in certain Mississauga or Brampton ridings.
00:11:34.860 Let's assume they win none of them.
00:11:36.420 Let's assume they also win no Toronto downtown core.
00:11:39.540 You don't need it.
00:11:40.240 You need southwest Ontario, Niagara, Windsor, grab up some of the northern ridings, steal Angus, Charlie Angus's Thunder Bay riding.
00:11:50.260 Do decently well in the Maritimes and BC, and we're fine.
00:11:55.540 That is what the conservatives need to at least get a minority government.
00:11:58.800 And a minority government is completely fine to get. 0.54
00:12:01.100 But, because if the conservatives get a minority, they can try and do as much good as possible in a year and a half, and everywhere the liberals and the NDP obstruct them, they can use that as an excuse to have another election and say, hey, we got a bunch of good stuff done, but we can't get the rest of it done with these guys trying to oppose us at every turn.
00:12:19.280 So, right now, I think that it's silly whenever I see conservatives on social media getting really doomerish over this election.
00:12:27.200 Oh, my goodness, Leger just has us down by five.
00:12:30.560 In 2021, pollsters had the conservatives down by eight and 12 at the start of the election.
00:12:35.880 Things change.
00:12:37.380 Get a lawn sign, volunteer, and it can easily be a conservative victory still.
00:12:43.020 Anyways, so that should be it for me today, guys.
00:12:45.920 Hopefully, my videos don't seem so all over the place, but it's more so I see three or four issues, and I see a general connection between all of them, and so then I end up turning it into its own video.
00:12:56.500 The liberals trying to hit Polyev over the biological clock comment just demonstrates how unserious they are, and it demonstrates how desperate they are, because if they truly thought they were leading by five or six points on a federal level, they wouldn't be doing all the shenanigans of destroying conservative signs and trying to obstruct them
00:13:12.920 and hitting Polyev over silly nonsense, because they know that the lack of people showing up to see Mark Carney is reflective of the fact that they're probably not going to show up to vote for him either.
00:13:23.820 It doesn't mean a lot of people wouldn't vote liberal if they suddenly appeared at the polling station,
00:13:30.060 but suddenly appearing at the polling station and submitting a ballot for the liberals is very different from being tired at work and then deciding whether or not you want to stand in line to vote for a man who can barely articulate himself in front of the press.
00:13:43.700 Anyways, so that's it for me today, guys.
00:13:46.280 Make sure to like the video, subscribe to the channel, leave a comment, do all that great stuff, and I'll see you later.