The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - September 25, 2025


Liberals trying to undermine Danielle Smith in Alberta! (Poll analysis)


Episode Stats

Length

19 minutes

Words per Minute

175.13933

Word Count

3,436

Sentence Count

188

Misogynist Sentences

3

Hate Speech Sentences

1


Summary

Wyatt Claypool explains why we need another conservative party in Alberta, and why we should vote for another party in Canada. He also explains why the current conservative option in British Columbia is not good enough, and what we should do about it.


Transcript

00:00:00.000 Hey guys, Wyatt Claypool here. As we all know, politics can be a very dirty business.
00:00:07.240 Unscrupulous people will use underhanded tactics to hurt their opponents, and there are many
00:00:12.360 examples of this in past Canadian elections. We even just saw the liberals and the media deploy
00:00:19.300 such tactics against Pyripaliev and the conservatives in this last federal election,
00:00:23.880 trying to paint them as basically stooges of Donald Trump and the Americans. So you have to
00:00:28.880 vote liberal if you don't want to be taken over by the United States. That's how overheated the
00:00:34.500 rhetoric ended up getting during that election, and on certain people it actually worked. That's
00:00:39.600 why we still have a liberal minority government right now. But today I want to lay out for you
00:00:45.240 guys what I think the federal liberals are currently doing to Premier Daniel Smith of Alberta in real
00:00:52.160 time. I'm sort of detecting a liberal scheme going on right now in order to take out one
00:00:58.660 of their strongest provincial opponents. While yes, premiers like Scott Moe also oppose many of
00:01:05.280 the things the federal liberal government does, Danielle Smith in Alberta is the most vocal.
00:01:10.900 Around every turn, she will oppose Mark Carney and the liberals trying to undermine Alberta
00:01:16.140 provincial sovereignty or hurting the Alberta oil and gas industry or breaking their promises to
00:01:21.560 support it. And so I think that the liberals are probably behind what is going on right now in
00:01:28.140 Alberta provincial politics where there are people, very liberal people, attempting to revive the old
00:01:34.880 progressive conservative party. Because let's be clear, Nahid Nenshi, the leader of the Alberta NDP,
00:01:41.700 had not become Premier on his own strength. The guy is a crap politician. I actually thought he may be a
00:01:48.880 good NDP leader, not from a policy standpoint, but just from a charismatic politician standpoint.
00:01:54.360 I have the naive idea that while he was a Calgary mayor three times in a row, he's probably going to
00:02:00.360 do well in Calgary. Not at all. I made the mistake of assuming that municipal politics has any reflection
00:02:06.580 on how someone would do in provincial politics. Very few people vote comparatively in municipal politics
00:02:13.580 compared to provincial politics. So winning, becoming mayor doesn't actually mean you can become Premier in
00:02:20.040 any way, shape or form. And because Nahid Nenshi, since becoming Alberta NDP leader, has been plowing his own party
00:02:27.780 into a wall in terms of their popularity, they need the dance floor to be a little bit more cluttered if they have any
00:02:34.620 hope of actually being able to win a government. And so now we have the progressive conservative party coming back
00:02:42.040 with two MLAs who were kicked out of the UCP, starting it not for any principled reason.
00:02:49.540 In fact, it's actually very difficult when you listen to any interviews of Peter Guthrie and Scott Sinclair
00:02:54.820 to actually get a reason for why this exists. They give a lot of very centrist, like centrist
00:03:01.040 justifications for why we need the progressive conservative party back. And it's all stuff around
00:03:05.780 politics is divisive. You know, people want a kinder, happier, gentler party to vote for. It's like,
00:03:13.480 that's nonsense. It's politics, guys. It's rough. Nobody's looking for the kinder, gentler party.
00:03:19.500 They want the party that passes the policy they like. And right now, the Alberta UCP government
00:03:24.900 is quite popular. They ended up passing protections for children in schools from like, you know, so that
00:03:31.800 girls can play sports with actual other biological females. They don't want gender theory in schools.
00:03:37.220 They're trying to take inappropriate books out of libraries. They're strengthening parental rights.
00:03:41.080 They're finally cutting taxes. They're supporting the oil and gas industry. They're actually not
00:03:46.160 cracking down on coal mining in the Rockies, like the NDP wants to do, which is a terrible thing to do
00:03:51.820 to Alberta's economy. Overall, they're cutting, you know, the crimes going down, wait times in hospitals
00:03:58.040 are going down. We are on the right track. Now, I can criticize whether or not I think we are moving
00:04:03.360 towards those goals fast enough or whether or not we should be reducing spending here and there. I
00:04:08.200 could find many areas of the Alberta budget where I could cut a few billion dollars. But overall,
00:04:14.600 I can't complain too much. But for some reason, now is the time that we need another party. And I say
00:04:21.900 this as someone who works for 1BC in British Columbia, I am not against small parties. I have
00:04:28.240 no, they don't offend me at all. I like small parties when they're doing things for principled
00:04:32.400 reasons and the current other conservative option is completely failing, like in the case of BC
00:04:38.700 conservatives who have gone into massive debt, don't respect their members, are watering down their
00:04:43.580 platform, and their internal governance is absolutely terrible. But that's not really the case with the
00:04:50.080 UCP exactly. I even attempted to reach out to Peter Guthrie and Scott Sinclair, the two MLAs who
00:04:58.000 were kicked out of the UCP government to get their side of the story. I was genuinely curious. I was
00:05:02.740 even thinking, well, is there any way I can help you guys if you're sitting as independents, if you
00:05:07.280 have, you know, a good point to be doing what you're doing? I'd heard that there was internal struggles
00:05:12.680 where Guthrie had been leaking stuff or Sinclair had been leaking stuff. I never got the side of the
00:05:18.840 story from those two because they just ghosted me. And now suddenly they are joining the Alberta
00:05:24.440 Party, which is a left-wing party. It is a center-left-to-left liberal party, and they're
00:05:30.620 going to try and hijack the old progressive conservative name in order so that, like, basically
00:05:36.640 to split the vote. And I'm somebody who generally doesn't believe in the concept of vote splitting.
00:05:43.620 That if two parties compete against each other, the federal conservatives and the PPC, and the PPC
00:05:49.540 in 2021 gets 5% of the vote, and the conservatives end up losing some seats with the difference being
00:05:56.220 made up by the PPC vote, I don't really think that the conservative vote was split. I think the
00:06:00.880 conservatives lost voters to the PPC because those voters probably weren't voting conservative
00:06:05.220 in the first place. Where vote splitting exists is when you have one party that is doing something,
00:06:12.880 and then you have another smaller version of that party pop up, which is basically almost
00:06:18.580 promising kind of the same things with watered-down language. It's not attempting to win, but it's
00:06:24.380 going after the same voters as the other party, and that's all it exists to. That's actual vote
00:06:29.060 splitting. We see this actually in Ontario, where you have the new blue party of Ontario that was set
00:06:35.400 up to oppose Doug Ford's very wishy-washy PPC government. And then Doug Ford's people, I'm not even
00:06:42.000 kidding, funded the Ontario party, which already existed but was like nothing before some of their
00:06:47.580 people started throwing money into it, to basically just shadow the new blue party and say almost the
00:06:52.660 same things in a watered-down form but never actually criticizing Doug Ford in order to just
00:06:57.700 make sure that a large portion of vote never consolidates behind the new blue party and becomes
00:07:03.700 a real threat to Doug Ford's very liberal PPC government. So this has already been a long-winded rant,
00:07:10.500 but I want to actually go to the board in just a second here after I play a clip to show you just
00:07:17.020 how messed up the polls can get once you start throwing a progressive conservative option into
00:07:22.080 the mix. Because again, this is basically just attempting to act as a stalking horse for the UCP,
00:07:27.980 not attempting to actually win, but just getting in there, confusing voters, thinking, oh,
00:07:32.600 the progressive conservatives are back? Oh, I'll put a vote in for them, not realizing that it's like
00:07:37.100 even more liberal than the Allison Redford version. They're not even serious about actually running.
00:07:42.360 And in fact, it may actually be illegal for them to attempt to take the progressive conservative
00:07:46.620 name. Because if you will remember, if you were from, if you're from Alberta, you'll probably
00:07:51.320 remember. If not, back in the day, the PC party and the Wild Rose party combined to create the UCP.
00:07:58.120 So the UCP, in essence, owns both of those names, because they are the party that was a merger of the
00:08:04.440 two. You can't just then take one of the names of the previous parties and then just go
00:08:07.900 start it again, because those party members voted to merge into this new thing. You can't just walk
00:08:15.180 away with one of the names. And even then, you shouldn't be able to run with a name that is
00:08:19.260 almost the exact same as the other party. But now I just want to cut to this clip of David Bextie
00:08:26.880 talking about the liberals' broken promises, and this is a federal parliament, when it comes to the
00:08:33.480 emissions cap, which is effectively a production cap on the Alberta oil and gas industry. Because I
00:08:39.360 think this adds some flavor in for why the liberals may want Daniel Smith out of the way. This is a
00:08:46.180 federal example, but Daniel Smith, as Mark Carney breaks promises to her, he will come and promise
00:08:52.160 a bunch of stuff, oh, I'm going to be nice to the energy industry, and then he will do the opposite.
00:08:56.900 And then now I think the liberals, not knowing that they're not going to be able to get Daniel
00:09:01.720 Smith on side to cheerlead Carney, are backing this scheme. Not like overtly, not like I can show
00:09:08.660 you the money, but in the sense that every single person who is a liberal organizer is now attempting
00:09:15.100 to help pump up Peter Guthrie and Scott Sinclair.
00:09:18.600 Mr. Speaker, just yesterday, the liberals voted to keep the liberal energy production cap in place,
00:09:27.160 a move that kills Canadian jobs and weakens our economy. This isn't just bad policy, it's common
00:09:32.780 sense ignored. The liberals are choking off Canadian energy, and the Prime Minister pats Beijing on the
00:09:37.700 back. The regime building two new coal-fired power plants every week. The parliamentary budget
00:09:42.500 officer stated the emissions cap will wipe out $20 billion in GDP. It will cost over 40,000 jobs.
00:09:48.760 That's families struggling, communities hurting, and a country falling behind. The emissions cap is a
00:09:54.560 production cap. The Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers stated the emissions cap has driven
00:09:59.640 investment out of Canada. The Prime Minister promised a new era that Canada will become an energy
00:10:04.280 superpower, and what do the Canadians get? Bait and switch. A list that doesn't even include a pipeline
00:10:10.020 project on its national interest list. Albertans know the answer isn't to keep strangling jobs with
00:10:15.300 Ottawa's red tape. It's time to scrap this emissions cap. It's a production cap to stop killing Canadian
00:10:20.320 energy and revive our country. I thought that was just a great clip of David Bextie, so I just wanted
00:10:25.180 to play that. But it kind of leads into me also wanting to mention how Danielle Smith is also having
00:10:30.640 opposition from the federal liberals when it comes to her new policies in order to protect, you know,
00:10:36.240 girls in female sports from having to compete against biological males. You have Sean Frazier, the current
00:10:43.660 Attorney General of the Liberal government, attempting to undermine the Notwithstanding Clause, which provinces
00:10:49.580 like Alberta and Quebec rely on to not have their legislation struck down by very liberal court
00:10:56.160 justices who don't actually really care about the Charter because they just let the Charter mean
00:11:01.020 whatever liberal opinions they already hold. But now I want to jump over to the stats, and we will be
00:11:07.380 bringing out the board because I want to show you guys just how much an election could be changed if a
00:11:13.380 progressive conservative party is allowed to compete alongside the UCP. Again, in British Columbia,
00:11:20.320 when we were starting 1BC, we didn't call ourselves also the BC conservative party. No, we're starting
00:11:25.700 something different. We're not trying to trick people. You're going to convince them. The PC party
00:11:30.400 in Alberta, if they are able to change the name from Alberta party to progressive conservative,
00:11:35.120 is not trying to convince people that they're the shiny, happier people that you should vote for.
00:11:38.900 They're just going to hope that you're stupid enough to vote PC at the ballot box not realizing
00:11:43.500 that this is not actually the old PC party and that it's just some random people hijacking it for
00:11:49.080 an ego trip. Anyways, so before I get into that though, I do just want to make a quick plug because
00:11:55.040 we're talking about Alberta stuff and how Calgary municipal politics has been so insane. I've had
00:12:00.720 someone basically say I should be shot in the head instead of Charlie Kirk from a different
00:12:05.540 campaign that I'm not supporting. I've been partially doxed. It's been pretty crazy. People have been
00:12:12.100 putting my phone number out on social media and this is all frankly originating from Jeff Davison's
00:12:18.140 campaign. So I've already, and the things I've been accused of being a shill for Sonia Sharp, I am not a
00:12:25.280 shill for Sonia Sharp. In fact, I paid her a thousand dollars. I put a donation into her campaign of
00:12:31.100 $1,000. I'm not paid. I'm in fact getting a negative salary in effect, but I just want to
00:12:37.480 make a quick pitch that if you live in Calgary, please go and get yourself a Sonia Sharp for mayor
00:12:42.460 sign. She is the most conservative candidate that actually has a good chance of winning and a lot of
00:12:47.920 new conservative people are on board her team that I trust and she's actually very good specifically on
00:12:53.180 the issue of spending and crime, which are my two really big things I want handled on a municipal
00:12:59.140 level. Obviously, she's also against blank rezoning all that. So I'm putting a link in the description
00:13:04.160 below and pinned at the top of the comments for the Sonia Sharp lawn signs if you want one and you live
00:13:09.580 in the city of Calgary. But anyways, I'm going to pause the video and then I'm going to come back
00:13:13.900 with the whiteboard so we can talk about how an election gets completely warped by including the PC
00:13:20.460 party. So now we are back and I want to take you through two polls from Cardinal Research. I really
00:13:29.880 don't think they are the best pollster, but for our purposes today, I think they should be generally
00:13:34.720 giving us a good picture. They've even done a mayoral poll that when you actually look at the
00:13:38.840 numbers, it doesn't quite make sense. So you are going to get a little bit of an issue with, I've heard
00:13:44.940 what they do is that they let people at the doors or they have basically campaigns give them some of
00:13:50.300 their day to day ID data. I don't really quite know how they gather stuff. But in general, sometimes
00:13:57.100 they're accurate, sometimes they're very off. But even if they are very off here, it still demonstrates
00:14:03.660 my point. So I want to show their poll, just asking people who they'd be voting for in the next
00:14:09.860 provincial election in Alberta with the options currently on the table available to them. And so
00:14:16.760 what we have with this poll is that we see currently Danielle Smith is leading with 43% of the vote.
00:14:26.500 And she's leading the NDP, who only have, it's not a crazy big lead, but they have
00:14:35.900 36%. And this is even with the Republican Party of Alberta able to take 11%. We then also have the
00:14:50.500 Alberta Liberal Party getting 5%. And the Alberta Party getting 4%. The Alberta Party being the party
00:14:57.260 that is trying to change their name to the Progressive Conservatives. So this is just a normal
00:15:04.780 election. This is our normal one. But now let's go to the hypothetical one, the crazy bizarro world
00:15:16.200 election, where we have the UCP and the PC Party in the same race. So this gets very crazy. I'm going
00:15:25.200 to bring it up on screen here so I can put it out. So in this race with the PC Party involved, we have
00:15:32.920 the NDP leading with, I know the size of these bar charts don't really make any sense, but it doesn't
00:15:39.940 matter. You get my point. 30%. They would be leading with 30. With the PC Party, that's really just the
00:15:46.840 Alberta Party, getting almost that much. 28% of the vote for the Alberta Party slash PC Party, the
00:15:56.580 dishonestly renamed one. And then the actual UCP, the actual Conservatives, would be getting
00:16:03.000 25%. And that's even again, with the Republican Party getting 11%. And then it doesn't even stop
00:16:16.940 there. Then you also have the Alberta Liberals getting 4% of the vote. So yeah, maybe this doesn't
00:16:27.200 really happen in reality. And this is just what people answer when they're surveyed, and they don't
00:16:32.280 really know that the PC Party is just some rebranded pile of garbage. But yeah, this is what I would
00:16:39.900 consider a bit of a danger zone result. We do not want to end up here in Alberta, where conceivably
00:16:48.320 the NDP ends up winning the election. Maybe technically the Conservatives could still cobble
00:16:54.840 together some sort of a minority government with the PCs here. I think even with 11%, the Republican
00:17:01.700 Party would be winning seats. Although I don't quite believe that because in Old Didsbury Three
00:17:06.120 Hills, they only got like 17% in their strongest possible place, which means your average is not
00:17:11.340 going to be 11. But still, this is an actual example of vote splitting. Even in 2015, I wouldn't even
00:17:17.600 exactly call that vote splitting when the NDP won, because they still got 43% of the vote. It was still
00:17:23.200 quite a bit. It was just that the Wild Rose and PCs truly couldn't agree on a lot of stuff. So they ended up
00:17:28.400 both running. With the PCs, again, when I hear Guthrie and I hear Scott Sinclair talking about the
00:17:34.940 whole narrative arc for their party, I don't get it. I don't get it at all. It's like, oh, we need
00:17:41.240 less of this than this in politics. Who gives a crap? Honestly. How will we just have good policy?
00:17:46.780 Because when they were part of the UCP, they were helping contribute to good policy. Why do we want
00:17:51.240 them now in a different vehicle where they still basically kind of describe the same policies as the
00:17:56.680 UCP? But whatever. It's all just stupid. And here's something that's fairly revealing,
00:18:02.260 is that when we saw this hypothetical result come out, we see Peter Guthrie here, the former UCP MLA,
00:18:10.080 saying, fascinating. Join us in building that Alberta PC future. Become a member today in
00:18:16.420 linking to the Alberta party again, attempting to, in effect, steal the old progressive conservative
00:18:22.200 name from the UCP merger. So that should be it for me today, guys. That's just a bit of an overview of
00:18:30.120 what I think is going on in Alberta. I think that this is kind of a project of the Liberals. You
00:18:36.040 couldn't really convince me that this is something that grassroots conservatives want, because the
00:18:40.400 NDP voters don't want it. They're already, they're still voting NDP. They only lose a few points when you
00:18:44.760 add the PC party back in. It might be some Calgary PCers who are very much on the left side who now vote
00:18:50.340 NDP. But this is something where the NDP is not going to hurt itself and drop in support just to
00:18:56.320 have another party on the ballot to hurt their opponents. They'd rather probably hold on to as much as
00:19:00.220 they can. This is obviously something from the outside. And I don't think that Scott Sinclair or even
00:19:05.340 Guthrie can even articulate why it exists. I feel like you'd have to ask the federal Liberals why this
00:19:10.140 exists, because they seem to be the main people motivated to get something like this to happen.
00:19:14.960 Anyways, so, that's it for me today guys. Like, share, and subscribe. Do all that fantastic stuff.
00:19:20.880 Again, get yourself a Sonya Sharp lawn sign in the description below if you're interested. Again, most
00:19:27.400 conservative mayor that can actually win. So, you know, make your own choice. But that's my recommendation.
00:19:34.420 Anyways, with that being said, I will see you guys all later.