Nenshi is the WORST - claims fake “victory” and smears Danielle Smith
Episode Stats
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Summary
Wyatt Claypool breaks down the results of the by-elections in Alberta and gives his thoughts on why the Alberta NDP is in serious trouble. Also, the UCP wins a riding that the NDP has not held since 1992.
Transcript
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Hey guys, Wyatt Claypool here. You can tell the Alberta NDP is in really bad shape right now
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based on what they choose to declare victory over. Alberta NDP leader Nahid Nenshi has degraded that
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party's support so badly that he had to pretend it was a big victory the other day that the Alberta
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NDP was able to win two out of three by-elections that were held. The two that they won were both
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in Edmonton, a city that the NDP has won every single seat in for the past three elections straight.
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It is just a union and government worker town. That is why the NDP wins. And even in one of the
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ridings, Edmonton Ellerslie, they dropped 11 points of support since the 2023 election and the UCP went
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up a bit despite having to compete with other right-wing parties running against them. I need
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to show you this clip because it's absolutely hilarious. So Nenshi, who ran in the riding of
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Edmonton Strathcona, the safest seat for the NDP in the entire province. He got up on on that his
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victory night to say that Albertans across the province had basically sent a message to Danielle
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Smith. Check this out. He said tonight's by-elections show that Albertans do not want to separate from
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Canada. We get one message from today. That message should be that Albertans have across
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this province resoundedly rejected the UCP's plans for taking Alberta out of Canada. Now that's patently
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insane and I'm about to get to it. I just want you to also hear this next part because there is a bit
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of it I want to comment on. Nenshi also said his party will be working to improve affordability,
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health care, and public education, target organized crime, and prevent coal mining in the Rocky
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Mountains. Who could guess why this party's not popular in Alberta right now? We only want to shut
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down coal mining in the province. Oh, but coal mining's bad. Oh, but coal mining's bad for the
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environment. Okay, that's people's jobs. And no, it's not. I think that people are allowed to use
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whatever energy they please. And in fact, they phased out coal when they were in government back in
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2015 to 2019, which ended up leading to near power outages in the frigid winter. But you know,
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keep doing this, guys. Keep doing this. I guarantee you will get a lot of support from the union members
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you rely on when you start trying to take their jobs away. But now let's talk about the former part
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of that clip where he says that this is Albertans across the province sending a message to Daniel Smith
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and the UCP that they don't want Alberta taken out of Canada. The UCP aren't doing that. It is a pro-federalist
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party. They want to stay in Canada. The line Daniel Smith keeps saying is she wants a sovereign Alberta
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within a united Canada. She wants a strong Alberta within a united Canada. So there's a few variations of it.
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How is this a refutation of what the UCP is supposedly doing? Even if we were to pretend
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that they were even doing that, you won a riding that the NDP hasn't lost since 1992, Edmonton-Stratkona.
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And in 92, they lost it to the Alberta liberals who don't even exist anymore. And the last time they
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lost it to a conservative party was in 1982, back when Alberta politics was effectively just
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the progressive conservatives versus the social credit party. Yeah. And then Ellerslie, it's been
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an NDP riding for quite a while now, since 2015. Last time the PCs won it was back in 2012. They did
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run the guy who used to be the MLA in this election, but it's a by-election. The NDP put a lot of resources
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into holding on to it, but even their vote share there fell down. The UCP, by the way, won the riding
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of Olde's Didsbury Three Hills, which is a UCP stronghold. But by the way, they defeated a
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separatist party in that election. So the UCP are the separatist party, yet their big victory in
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election night was clobbering the Republican party of Alberta in that riding. And the NDP did not do
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very well in that riding. I think they gained like 1% of the vote from what they had gotten last time
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in the general election. No, this is not Albertans across the province telling Daniel Smith they don't
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want to leave. This is voters in Edmonton, Strathcona, and Edmonton Ellerslie. So voters
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all the way from Edmonton, the center of Edmonton to the southeast of Edmonton saying they will still
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vote for the NDP like they voted for last time. I guess you just get to declare that your victory
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means anything when you win. I guess to the victor goes the spoils. If I ever win an election one day,
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guys, I'm going to say that it's because that this is demonstrating that Canadians all over the
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multiverse really like jello because I won a riding in the middle of Calgary or I won a riding in
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wherever I choose to run. I'm going to run in Yukon and say that this proves that voters across Canada
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want New Brunswick to not sink into the ocean. I need to bring up some other stuff regarding this.
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So Danielle Smith has recently posted a video about her Alberta Next program that she's launching,
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the Alberta Next panel, which is an explicitly anti-separatist program. It is basically
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a new, it's kind of like the, I forget what it was called, but we had a similar panel that was kind
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of exploring other ways for Alberta to basically be treated more fairly within Canada. And this is
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kind of a follow on to that. The Alberta Next panel is people being able to basically try and give policy
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proposals to the Alberta government. They're going to have a series of town halls, all that stuff.
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And yeah, it's not a separatist thing, but because Mr. Nenshi has absolutely nothing to run on,
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he is having to pretend that this is a new separatist move. So, and he is, it's so tiring.
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No wonder nobody likes this guy. He used to be popular as the mayor of Calgary, but people have
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to remember, he kind of acted more like a center left moderate for his first two terms. Was he good?
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No. But at the same time, he kind of, you know, kind of tamped down his more radical side. Towards the
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end, he became a defund the police, hyper-progressive, you know, that climate change is a now a municipal
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issue, bike lanes everywhere, you know, like just like anti-oil and gas guy towards the end. And he even
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like, so, and he's never gotten off that. He is just a snarky jerk. And this is why people don't like
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him anymore. It's because he's just, he only cares about his own opinion. And unless you're
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going to parrot his opinion back to him, he doesn't care about what you think. And so he says here,
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Albertans should ask the premier why she is wasting public dollars on this separatist pet project where
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there are so many pressing issues that need to be dealt with. Read my full statement regarding Alberta
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and the ex panel survey below. Yes, we have, there's pressing issues that need to be dealt with,
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like the Alberta NDP wanting to shut down the coal industry. They also want to nationalize DMVs. I
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don't know why. They tried that during Notley's time as premier, and it was a complete disaster.
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And she goes on in his statement to say the UCP government surveys aren't about creating new jobs,
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bringing back investment, lowering the cost of utilities and car insurance, making our streets
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safer, reducing wait times in our overcrowded yards, or getting the teachers we need, or stop coal mining in the
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Rockies. They really do keep bringing that up. Instead, they're they've rolled out a separatist
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do nothing panel that will cause serious damage to our economy and Alberta's reputation as a place to
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invest. It is literally the opposite of that. The whole point of the Alberta next panel is to basically
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put pressure on Mark Carney to take some reasonable suggestions from Alberta on how to fix the relationship
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between Alberta and the Canadian government in order to stave off the separatist movement.
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Because although the Republican Party of Alberta proved itself to not be very popular,
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the actual separatist movement is probably more popular than the Republican Party is. Because
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people may not want to vote for a separatist party, but they may vote for separatism itself if it is a
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referendum question. And so the Alberta next panel is basically trying to put things up for a referendum
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to basically push forward specific policies. Come up with some policy ideas, put it on for a referendum,
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and then use that vote to put pressure on Carney to approve pipelines. And Carney's been playing a lot
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of games saying that he wants to get big projects done. That's what Bill C-5 is all about. But then
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attaching so many strings to projects saying it needs to be private investment, which is what David Eby in
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British Columbia is also demanding if there's a Western pipeline. It's saying that they still have to go
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through all the environmental inspections and we need indigenous consultation and indigenous buy-in on
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this thing. And also we're not going to get rid of Bill C-69 and Bill C-48, but we can find a way of
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getting it done, which is kind of deliberately meant to scare away private investment. So Daniel Smith is
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playing her cards very well right now. She has all the momentum and then she has none of it. And also all he has
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is just this separatist boogeyman that he keeps going on about. Apparently the separatist boogeyman
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and wanting coal miners to lose their jobs. That is what is going to rocket the NDP back into office.
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Peter McCaffrey pointed out, Alberta polls since NG joined the NDP. March 2024, UCP 46, NDP 44.
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August 2024, UCP 48, NDP 40. May 2025, UCP 52, NDP 38. June 2025, UCP 58, NDP 32. UCP is up 12, the NDP is down 12.
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And yeah, and he was responding to this CTV Edmonton article saying people are really angry. NDP
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Leard and Nahid Nenshi says separatism talk turn voters off conservatives. Turn voters off conservatives.
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Oh, you mean the conservatives didn't win Strathcona? Who could have guessed they wouldn't have won
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Strathcona? What a mystery as to why they didn't win Edmonton Strathcona. Again, this is all he does
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now. It is just this. Obviously, you've been sitting on the sidelines in that time while Christina Gray
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has been handily running the ship. One year wait though, how much of an actual turning point does this
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by-election win represent for you? It's more symbolic than anything else and it's sort of
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under the hood more than anything else because I have been working more than full-time this entire
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time. The only thing is for the 12 or 13 weeks of the year that the legislature was sitting,
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I think it might have been 16 this year, I wasn't literally in the house. I was sitting in the gallery
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for those minutes. So a lot will change under the hood in terms of making my life a bit easier,
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in terms of what I can access, what I can do and so on. Certainly Christina's life will be a bunch
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easier, but I'm not sure people will see much of a difference in terms of us being in their lives
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and talking about what's important to Albertans. Okay, well now much was made going into these
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by-elections of how you and your party have been struggling in the polls against the UCP that maybe more
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was expected to come with your arrival a year ago. Now that you do have a seat,
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when do you put a significant Nahid Nenshi stamp on the party? Well, I think we've done that.
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Okay, I got to stop it right there. Sorry, I let this clip play a lot already, but he's already,
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the interviewer is actively, so when are you going to put your stamp on the party? He has been for a
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year and people hate him. That's the problem. The media is trying to get, would they ever treat
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a conservative leader like this if their party had started slipping in the polls? They could have slipped
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half as much as Nahid Nenshi's NDP have, and they'd be like, so people don't like you very much.
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They wouldn't be like, oh, well, you haven't been in the legislature very long. They'd just be like,
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you suck. Why are you Hitler? And with like Nenshi, it's just like, you know, you've fallen 12 points
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in the polls. You're struggling. But when are people going to start loving you?
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Not already. You know, 89.5% in the leadership review is nothing to scoff at.
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But, you know, nobody voted in the leadership review or the leadership race.
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We'll say that the polls have been all over the place. There have been some that have shown that
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we're really doing well. Some have shown we're doing poorly. At the end of the day.
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He's also the type of man who will compare Daniel Smith to Donald Trump. And if there is one thing
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that Nenshi and Donald Trump share in common heavily, and I like Trump, but the one thing that
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Nenshi shares in common with him is pretending that there are polls out there showing him up when there
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might not be polls. And Trump way outperformed the polls, but the whole point is that there
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usually wasn't a lot of good polls out when he was like, we're leading massively. There is not
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one poll showing Nenshi's NDP doing even remotely well, not even in a spitting distance. And while,
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yes, the UCP beat the NDP by 8% in this last election, but it was technically close on seats
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because of the vote margins in Calgary ridings, still the NDP is way below 8%.
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I think one poll had the UCP leading by like 20 or something like that. And one had them leading by
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14. We are well past the point that the Conservatives are at risk of losing the election. They are firmed
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up in Calgary since they're finally cutting taxes, which is something I was critical of them for not
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doing. They've actually gotten off the net zero stuff and they are just ignoring that. That was
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something I was happy with Daniel Smith for announcing. Late times are getting better in
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hospitals. We actually are having the economy in Alberta improving at the same time economies
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like the in BC and Ontario are doing really badly. He, the idea that like, oh no, we're doing really
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well. People want us is patently insane. The joke that politicians always use is polls
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are for dogs and firefighters. What really matters is on election day. And last night we had an amazing
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night for the Alberta New Democrats. We actually matched the highest voter turnout, our highest
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voter percentage we've ever had in Edmonton Strathcona. We matched 2015, which was our high
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point there. And in fact, even in Old Stittsbury Three Hills, we got more of a vote percentage than
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the Alberta New Democrats have ever had in that riding. It was 1% better than last time. And again,
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celebrating having a really big win in the safest of safe Edmonton seats for the NDP is stupid. Do you
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think if, do you think Pierre Polyev, after he gets into office in Battle River Crowfoot, that,
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that by-election is probably happening federally in like August. Do you think he's going to get up and
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say, you know, this is the biggest win we've ever had in Battle River Crowfoot in the entire time the
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pro- the riding has existed? No, because that's loser energy. The fact that the NDP is trying to
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celebrate this as a big victory proves that they do not have any victories. They are trying to turn
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something that's not even a victory into a victory. But anyways, that should be it for me today, guys. I'm
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going to be back with more Alberta news at some point. By the way, if you live in the city of Calgary,
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make sure to sign up for a Sonia Sharp for mayor sign. She is the only conservative who actually can win.
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I'm going to start doing a review of all the candidates because the other guys pretending
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to be conservative like Jeff Davison and Jeremy Farkas are absolutely insane. Jeff Davison literally
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has a land acknowledgement on his own website and won't even commit to cutting taxes. But that should
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be it for me today, guys. Again, Sonia Sharp link description below in the top comments,