Nightmarish polling result for the Liberals (Trudeau losing the middle class)
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Summary
A new poll shows that less than a quarter of Canadians now support the Liberal Party of Canada, and that number is worse than it has ever been in a poll before. The Liberals are losing ground nationally, and the Tories are gaining ground. I discuss why this is happening, and why the Liberals are not going anywhere.
Transcript
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Some new and very nightmarish polling numbers have come out for Prime Minister Justin Trudeau
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and the Liberal Party of Canada. Every time I think these guys have hit rock bottom in terms
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of their support, somehow they come back to surprise me and gain the courage to alienate
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more Canadians and become less popular. This new Abacus data poll shows that less than a quarter
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of Canadians now support the Liberal Party. They only got 24% in this poll, losing 1% since Abacus
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lasted a poll, and somehow the NDP, who usually gains support when the Liberals lose support,
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also lost 2% since the last poll was done. The Conservatives gained 3% and are now sitting at
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43% support. That is a 19% lead for the Conservatives, a monumental lead that you only expect them
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usually to get in individual provinces like Saskatchewan and Alberta, and now this is
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nationally. The Liberals literally swept the Maritimes back in 2015, and now the Liberals
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are probably going to lose most of their Maritime support. The Liberals might lose seats in downtown
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Toronto. They are uncompetitive in Vancouver, and they're now competing with the Bloc Québécois
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to see who's going to come in second place in terms of seat count. It's absolutely hilarious to watch.
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But before I get into some more of the deeper data that this Abacus data poll had, it's very
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interesting to look at. I just want to quickly plug the fact that I, Wyatt Claypool, am running
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for the Calgary Signal Hill Conservative Party nomination. So if you live in Calgary Signal Hill,
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check out my website, wyattclaypool.com, buy a Conservative membership and vote for me number
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one on your ballot when the nomination is called. It's likely going to be called after April because
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riding boundaries are changing in April because Alberta is getting a few more seats.
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Bowness and Greenbrier are being cut out of the riding, and then we are gaining the Curry Barracks
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area and Lincoln Park. So if you live in this general area of the map of Calgary,
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buy a membership, support me, check out my website, wyattclaypool.com. Sorry for the shameless
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plug, everyone who doesn't live in that area. Anyways, so this is the demographic polling that
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we got. Not regionals. The regionals are horrific for the Liberals, and I don't want to belabor that
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point. The thing that is really nightmarish for the Liberals is that they don't even compete when it
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comes to the biggest demographic that they need in order to win an election. Obviously, young people
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are important. 60 plus voters are important. Every demographic of voters are important. But the
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really important demographic is the one that has the largest population, and that is the 30 to 45
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year old demographic. Check this out. So between the ages of 30 to 44, the Conservatives now win 45%
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support. That is insane. The Liberals aren't even second place. They are at 19% with the NDP at 20%.
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And again, the reason why this is happening is because the NDP and the Liberals decided that they
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don't need middle class voters anymore. They don't need non-pensioners. They don't need non-progressives.
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And all these people who are at the point in their lives where maybe they used to vote NDP and Liberal
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are now voting Conservatives because they don't want to be taxed to death. They don't want industries
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they are working in to be destroyed by environmental regulations. They care about public safety. They
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care about family values and their being able to raise their own children. They care about all
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these things. And the NDP and the Liberals think that standing up for public safety, not jacking up
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taxes, those are all optional things to win the next election. They think that there are enough
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downtown progressives in order to put them over the top. That's not true. That's why in these latest
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polls, they continue to lose voters and they're not gaining anybody new. Progressive voters in Canada
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are probably only altogether about 20% of voters, people who vote for socially progressive policies
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and don't care about the economics. The Liberals think that if they just accuse the Conservatives
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of being dangerous by saying that they're going to cut spending, which is true because we have way too
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much spending in this country from the government, that they'll be able to somehow gird up their fiscal
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conservative liberal base because in 2015, the Liberals were able to get an off of the backs of
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people who are softly fiscally conservative, but like the progressive policies of Justin Trudeau.
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But after seeing those progressive policies in play and that the Liberals are not at all fiscally
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responsible, those people have left a long time ago. And saying that the Conservatives are going to
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cut bloated government programs is not going to win them back. And the NDP is losing support too,
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because it's not that, well, people who are disillusioned with the Liberals might like the
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purity of the NDP. The thing with Justin Trudeau, he's a very orange liberal leader. If you don't
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like Justin Trudeau, chances are you're going to hate Jagmeet Singh. And even Jagmeet Singh's own
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personal popularity has fallen off a cliff. Even though the NDP leader is usually popular just
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because nobody thinks they're a threat, he's not popular anymore because people do not see him and
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Justin Trudeau as being a very different person. He props up Justin Trudeau and then he blames
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everything on Trudeau and the Conservatives, even though he has a lot of power. He's a very pathetic
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politician. I don't need to go too much into him though. Justin Trudeau as well, and I'll pull up
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the abacus data poll, like there are sort of the details right here. I want to go down to his personal
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popularity because I keep noting this and it's because it's absolutely true. Look at Justin Trudeau's
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popularity numbers right here. He's only sitting at 24% popularity with 57% unpopularity, negative
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impression of him. My thesis has been for a long time, and it's absolutely true, that Justin Trudeau
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has soul sucked the Liberal Party so much since the Kretzky and Paul Martin years that nobody
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distinguishes the Liberal Party as being anything different from Justin Trudeau. With the Conservatives,
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there's Polyev, and maybe I'll pull up the polling results back up to make this point. If you look at
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Polyev's numbers, he has 38% approval, 36% disapproval. And that's mostly because the Liberal
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media does a lot of attacks on Polyev, so his negatives are rising fast because basically the
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media is trying to destroy him. And so also it's hard to be able to gain a lot of name recognition as
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an opposition leader, so only the most partisan people have an opinion about you. But the thing is
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that you'll notice that Polyev has an approval of 38%, but the Conservative Party is pulling at 43%
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because you don't have to like Polyev to like the Conservative Party. I like Polyev. I think he's
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doing great stuff, way better, leagues better than Aaron O'Toole. I would never try and run for a
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nomination for the Conservatives under O'Toole because he's effectively a Liberal. Polyev is actually
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a Conservative, and even if you don't love his personality, even if you don't love his personal
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positions on everything, you can like the General Party's positions on things or like your individual
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MP. And that's why Conservative Party support is out of step with the actual leader support.
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This is the same thing with the NDP. Even though Jagmeet Singh is awful, people don't see Jagmeet Singh
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as the entire NDP. So he actually pulls much higher in terms of his personal approval rating
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than the actual party's approval rating. Okay, they actually did show his, sometimes they don't
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show, Albuquerque doesn't show the NDP leader's approval rating. So he's now in the negatives. He's
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at 33% approval, 34% disapproval, which is really funny that there's still a lot of people out there
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who don't have an opinion about him. It really demonstrates that you don't have to care who the
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NDP leader is, but he's at 33% support, but the NDP is only at 18% in the polls. Because you can
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think Jagmeet Singh's a nice guy. He's not a nice guy. He's a socialist windbag who thinks that all
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of your stuff belongs to him, you know, Mr. Rolex. But so you can have a nice impression of him, but
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you can still not care about the NDP. The reverse is true for the Conservatives. You can maybe not love
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everything about Paulia, but you'll still vote Conservative. With the Liberals, if you don't like
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Trudeau, you're not voting Liberal, because the entire party is just Justin Trudeau. Every cabinet
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minister should be required to wear a Justin Trudeau mask when they show up to Parliament,
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because they are just Justin Trudeau. Since 2015, Justin Trudeau has gotten rid of all the
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independent-minded people, all the non-hyper-progressives. Bill Morneau's no longer
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around. There's a lot of other cabinet people who've been kicked out. Jane Philippot, Jody
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Wilson-Raybould, although people don't realize that Jody Wilson-Raybould is probably more left-wing
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than Trudeau is. All the more independent-minded people were soul-sucked out of the party.
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So now all there is left is a bunch of yes-men for Trudeau. So if you don't like Trudeau, you're
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not going to say, well, I don't like Trudeau's personality, but I love the policy. That's why in
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all of these abacus data polls, as I pointed out over the last year, Trudeau's approval rating is
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almost exactly what the Liberal Party support is. This is the danger zone for the Liberals, because
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if Justin Trudeau steps down as leader, they'll probably fall further in terms of support. But with
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him around, they also can't win the next election. This party is going to fall into like a Kim Campbell
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era, where they were going to have to rebuild over the next 10 years. I could see the Green
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Party winning five or six seats in this next election, just because all the left-wing voters
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are just tired of their parties being incompetent. Doesn't mean the Greens are good. They're somehow
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even worse. But out of frustration over their parties gaining no traction, they might end up going
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to the Greens. And then the Liberals, Greens, and NDP are going to have to sort themselves out over the
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next 10 years and figure out who's going to be the dominant left-wing voice in the next 20 years.
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I hope it takes them 40 years. I'd love to see them out in the woods in the Conservative Party to gird
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up its Conservative bona fides and govern really strongly. The government needs deep reforms. This
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is not a situation where if we just get rid of the carbon tax, everything will be good. That's why
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specifically in Calgary-Signal Hill, my entire platform is the idea that we actually need to gut
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government of liberal policy. We need to go through all the regulatory books, all the legislation,
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just take a highlighter out. Even if you're a backbencher, highlight bad regulations, and we'll
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just start chunking it out in large sort of reform, like large sort of, you know, spates. I'm getting
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the wrong word. But just sort of large pushes for reform, we would just start gutting the government
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books of all these terrible regulations and pieces of legislation. That would be a dream in my
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opinion. The Conservatives need to eat their vegetables before they start passing their own
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policy. Definitely they should pass their own policy when they get into government, but there
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needs to be a strong focus on making sure that we roll back the entire Trudeau and part of the
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Chrétien and Paul Martin errors. It's been super toxic. Anyways, that should be it for me today. I might
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break down a little bit more of this abacus data poll in the future. I know you guys like me talking
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about polling because, you know, it gives you a good feel about how the country is in a more
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microscopic way. And but other than that, I'll just quickly plug again the fact that I, Wyatt
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Claypool, I'm running for the Calgary Signal Hill Conservative Party nomination. I always say it in
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that weird way because I don't say what my name is at the beginning of the videos. So if you live in
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Calgary Signal Hill, buy a Conservative membership, visit my website, WyattClaypool.com. There's links
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there to go buy a membership. And also I have the legal fund, the Give, Send, Go link in the description
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of the video below as well. We're being sued by a billionaire developer for a nonsense defamation
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claim where we somehow defamed him, even though our guest writer just kind of mentioned him in an
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article about O'Toole in which every piece of information about him was either public domain,
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easily verifiable, or it was based off previous reports by other publications years before who
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have never retracted their stories because they're fully accurate. Anyways, so if you want to pitch into
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that, it helps me out a lot. I've had to pay over $25,000 into defending the National Telegraph.
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So any money at all does help loosen the burden on us and helps us be able to put out more content
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and expand our, you know, our, I guess our media empire, even though it's basically just me and
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Daniel Boardman at the moment. So other than that, I hope everyone has a great night and continues
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watching our channel. Like, share, and subscribe. All those great things. Thanks for watching.