The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - February 13, 2024


Nightmarish polling result for the Liberals (Trudeau losing the middle class)

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Wyatt Claypool
Mentioned
Justin Trudeau Polyev Jagmeet Singh Jody Wilson-Raybould Erin O'Toole Paul Martin Kim Campbell Daniel Boardman Jack Phillips Bill Morneau Albuquerque Greenbrier Chrétien Kretzky Rolex
Recall Mayor Jyoti Gondek! (Calgary's Union Mayor) NDP MP makes Fool of himself attacking pro-oil speech

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11 minutes

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196.4

Word count

2,311

Sentence count

130

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2

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Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

A new poll shows that less than a quarter of Canadians now support the Liberal Party of Canada, and that number is worse than it has ever been in a poll before. The Liberals are losing ground nationally, and the Tories are gaining ground. I discuss why this is happening, and why the Liberals are not going anywhere.

Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Toxicity classifications generated with s-nlp/roberta_toxicity_classifier .
Hosts, guests, and mentioned names generated with spaCy (en_core_web_sm), reconciled against Wikidata.
00:00:00.000 Some new and very nightmarish polling numbers have come out for Prime Minister Justin Trudeau
00:00:04.520 and the Liberal Party of Canada. Every time I think these guys have hit rock bottom in terms
00:00:09.160 of their support, somehow they come back to surprise me and gain the courage to alienate
00:00:13.940 more Canadians and become less popular. This new Abacus data poll shows that less than a quarter
00:00:19.260 of Canadians now support the Liberal Party. They only got 24% in this poll, losing 1% since Abacus
00:00:26.160 lasted a poll, and somehow the NDP, who usually gains support when the Liberals lose support,
00:00:31.360 also lost 2% since the last poll was done. The Conservatives gained 3% and are now sitting at
00:00:36.820 43% support. That is a 19% lead for the Conservatives, a monumental lead that you only expect them
00:00:44.300 usually to get in individual provinces like Saskatchewan and Alberta, and now this is
00:00:49.500 nationally. The Liberals literally swept the Maritimes back in 2015, and now the Liberals
00:00:56.220 are probably going to lose most of their Maritime support. The Liberals might lose seats in downtown
00:01:00.620 Toronto. They are uncompetitive in Vancouver, and they're now competing with the Bloc Québécois
00:01:05.900 to see who's going to come in second place in terms of seat count. It's absolutely hilarious to watch.
00:01:12.060 But before I get into some more of the deeper data that this Abacus data poll had, it's very
00:01:16.300 interesting to look at. I just want to quickly plug the fact that I, Wyatt Claypool, am running
00:01:21.320 for the Calgary Signal Hill Conservative Party nomination. So if you live in Calgary Signal Hill,
00:01:25.940 check out my website, wyattclaypool.com, buy a Conservative membership and vote for me number
00:01:30.680 one on your ballot when the nomination is called. It's likely going to be called after April because
00:01:35.180 riding boundaries are changing in April because Alberta is getting a few more seats.
00:01:39.220 Bowness and Greenbrier are being cut out of the riding, and then we are gaining the Curry Barracks
00:01:43.500 area and Lincoln Park. So if you live in this general area of the map of Calgary,
00:01:49.140 buy a membership, support me, check out my website, wyattclaypool.com. Sorry for the shameless
00:01:53.320 plug, everyone who doesn't live in that area. Anyways, so this is the demographic polling that
00:01:58.180 we got. Not regionals. The regionals are horrific for the Liberals, and I don't want to belabor that
00:02:02.420 point. The thing that is really nightmarish for the Liberals is that they don't even compete when it
00:02:08.240 comes to the biggest demographic that they need in order to win an election. Obviously, young people
00:02:13.620 are important. 60 plus voters are important. Every demographic of voters are important. But the
00:02:19.140 really important demographic is the one that has the largest population, and that is the 30 to 45
00:02:24.800 year old demographic. Check this out. So between the ages of 30 to 44, the Conservatives now win 45%
00:02:32.920 support. That is insane. The Liberals aren't even second place. They are at 19% with the NDP at 20%.
00:02:39.620 And again, the reason why this is happening is because the NDP and the Liberals decided that they
00:02:46.280 don't need middle class voters anymore. They don't need non-pensioners. They don't need non-progressives.
00:02:52.600 And all these people who are at the point in their lives where maybe they used to vote NDP and Liberal
00:02:56.740 are now voting Conservatives because they don't want to be taxed to death. They don't want industries
00:03:00.960 they are working in to be destroyed by environmental regulations. They care about public safety. They
00:03:05.720 care about family values and their being able to raise their own children. They care about all
00:03:10.540 these things. And the NDP and the Liberals think that standing up for public safety, not jacking up
00:03:16.140 taxes, those are all optional things to win the next election. They think that there are enough
00:03:20.520 downtown progressives in order to put them over the top. That's not true. That's why in these latest
00:03:26.500 polls, they continue to lose voters and they're not gaining anybody new. Progressive voters in Canada
00:03:31.960 are probably only altogether about 20% of voters, people who vote for socially progressive policies
00:03:37.740 and don't care about the economics. The Liberals think that if they just accuse the Conservatives
00:03:43.020 of being dangerous by saying that they're going to cut spending, which is true because we have way too
00:03:47.120 much spending in this country from the government, that they'll be able to somehow gird up their fiscal
00:03:52.420 conservative liberal base because in 2015, the Liberals were able to get an off of the backs of
00:03:58.040 people who are softly fiscally conservative, but like the progressive policies of Justin Trudeau.
00:04:03.300 But after seeing those progressive policies in play and that the Liberals are not at all fiscally
00:04:08.180 responsible, those people have left a long time ago. And saying that the Conservatives are going to
00:04:12.960 cut bloated government programs is not going to win them back. And the NDP is losing support too,
00:04:18.700 because it's not that, well, people who are disillusioned with the Liberals might like the
00:04:23.320 purity of the NDP. The thing with Justin Trudeau, he's a very orange liberal leader. If you don't
00:04:29.140 like Justin Trudeau, chances are you're going to hate Jagmeet Singh. And even Jagmeet Singh's own
00:04:34.100 personal popularity has fallen off a cliff. Even though the NDP leader is usually popular just
00:04:39.320 because nobody thinks they're a threat, he's not popular anymore because people do not see him and
00:04:44.540 Justin Trudeau as being a very different person. He props up Justin Trudeau and then he blames
00:04:49.020 everything on Trudeau and the Conservatives, even though he has a lot of power. He's a very pathetic 1.00
00:04:53.580 politician. I don't need to go too much into him though. Justin Trudeau as well, and I'll pull up 1.00
00:04:58.500 the abacus data poll, like there are sort of the details right here. I want to go down to his personal
00:05:03.440 popularity because I keep noting this and it's because it's absolutely true. Look at Justin Trudeau's
00:05:09.640 popularity numbers right here. He's only sitting at 24% popularity with 57% unpopularity, negative
00:05:18.260 impression of him. My thesis has been for a long time, and it's absolutely true, that Justin Trudeau
00:05:25.120 has soul sucked the Liberal Party so much since the Kretzky and Paul Martin years that nobody
00:05:30.500 distinguishes the Liberal Party as being anything different from Justin Trudeau. With the Conservatives,
00:05:35.700 there's Polyev, and maybe I'll pull up the polling results back up to make this point. If you look at
00:05:41.020 Polyev's numbers, he has 38% approval, 36% disapproval. And that's mostly because the Liberal
00:05:47.080 media does a lot of attacks on Polyev, so his negatives are rising fast because basically the
00:05:52.780 media is trying to destroy him. And so also it's hard to be able to gain a lot of name recognition as
00:05:58.120 an opposition leader, so only the most partisan people have an opinion about you. But the thing is
00:06:03.540 that you'll notice that Polyev has an approval of 38%, but the Conservative Party is pulling at 43%
00:06:10.640 because you don't have to like Polyev to like the Conservative Party. I like Polyev. I think he's
00:06:15.860 doing great stuff, way better, leagues better than Aaron O'Toole. I would never try and run for a
00:06:21.100 nomination for the Conservatives under O'Toole because he's effectively a Liberal. Polyev is actually
00:06:26.080 a Conservative, and even if you don't love his personality, even if you don't love his personal
00:06:30.360 positions on everything, you can like the General Party's positions on things or like your individual
00:06:35.660 MP. And that's why Conservative Party support is out of step with the actual leader support.
00:06:42.960 This is the same thing with the NDP. Even though Jagmeet Singh is awful, people don't see Jagmeet Singh
00:06:48.520 as the entire NDP. So he actually pulls much higher in terms of his personal approval rating
00:06:53.640 than the actual party's approval rating. Okay, they actually did show his, sometimes they don't
00:06:58.580 show, Albuquerque doesn't show the NDP leader's approval rating. So he's now in the negatives. He's
00:07:03.620 at 33% approval, 34% disapproval, which is really funny that there's still a lot of people out there
00:07:09.240 who don't have an opinion about him. It really demonstrates that you don't have to care who the
00:07:13.640 NDP leader is, but he's at 33% support, but the NDP is only at 18% in the polls. Because you can
00:07:20.320 think Jagmeet Singh's a nice guy. He's not a nice guy. He's a socialist windbag who thinks that all
00:07:25.400 of your stuff belongs to him, you know, Mr. Rolex. But so you can have a nice impression of him, but
00:07:31.340 you can still not care about the NDP. The reverse is true for the Conservatives. You can maybe not love
00:07:36.320 everything about Paulia, but you'll still vote Conservative. With the Liberals, if you don't like
00:07:41.080 Trudeau, you're not voting Liberal, because the entire party is just Justin Trudeau. Every cabinet
00:07:47.260 minister should be required to wear a Justin Trudeau mask when they show up to Parliament,
00:07:51.500 because they are just Justin Trudeau. Since 2015, Justin Trudeau has gotten rid of all the
00:07:56.240 independent-minded people, all the non-hyper-progressives. Bill Morneau's no longer
00:08:00.740 around. There's a lot of other cabinet people who've been kicked out. Jane Philippot, Jody
00:08:04.320 Wilson-Raybould, although people don't realize that Jody Wilson-Raybould is probably more left-wing
00:08:08.140 than Trudeau is. All the more independent-minded people were soul-sucked out of the party.
00:08:12.960 So now all there is left is a bunch of yes-men for Trudeau. So if you don't like Trudeau, you're
00:08:17.860 not going to say, well, I don't like Trudeau's personality, but I love the policy. That's why in
00:08:22.600 all of these abacus data polls, as I pointed out over the last year, Trudeau's approval rating is
00:08:27.300 almost exactly what the Liberal Party support is. This is the danger zone for the Liberals, because
00:08:31.780 if Justin Trudeau steps down as leader, they'll probably fall further in terms of support. But with
00:08:36.580 him around, they also can't win the next election. This party is going to fall into like a Kim Campbell
00:08:42.080 era, where they were going to have to rebuild over the next 10 years. I could see the Green
00:08:46.780 Party winning five or six seats in this next election, just because all the left-wing voters
00:08:51.260 are just tired of their parties being incompetent. Doesn't mean the Greens are good. They're somehow
00:08:55.520 even worse. But out of frustration over their parties gaining no traction, they might end up going
00:09:01.440 to the Greens. And then the Liberals, Greens, and NDP are going to have to sort themselves out over the
00:09:06.700 next 10 years and figure out who's going to be the dominant left-wing voice in the next 20 years.
00:09:12.340 I hope it takes them 40 years. I'd love to see them out in the woods in the Conservative Party to gird
00:09:16.940 up its Conservative bona fides and govern really strongly. The government needs deep reforms. This
00:09:23.880 is not a situation where if we just get rid of the carbon tax, everything will be good. That's why
00:09:28.240 specifically in Calgary-Signal Hill, my entire platform is the idea that we actually need to gut
00:09:33.500 government of liberal policy. We need to go through all the regulatory books, all the legislation,
00:09:39.000 just take a highlighter out. Even if you're a backbencher, highlight bad regulations, and we'll
00:09:43.260 just start chunking it out in large sort of reform, like large sort of, you know, spates. I'm getting
00:09:50.440 the wrong word. But just sort of large pushes for reform, we would just start gutting the government
00:09:55.460 books of all these terrible regulations and pieces of legislation. That would be a dream in my
00:10:00.860 opinion. The Conservatives need to eat their vegetables before they start passing their own
00:10:04.340 policy. Definitely they should pass their own policy when they get into government, but there
00:10:07.780 needs to be a strong focus on making sure that we roll back the entire Trudeau and part of the
00:10:14.020 Chrétien and Paul Martin errors. It's been super toxic. Anyways, that should be it for me today. I might
00:10:20.120 break down a little bit more of this abacus data poll in the future. I know you guys like me talking
00:10:24.280 about polling because, you know, it gives you a good feel about how the country is in a more
00:10:28.360 microscopic way. And but other than that, I'll just quickly plug again the fact that I, Wyatt
00:10:34.080 Claypool, I'm running for the Calgary Signal Hill Conservative Party nomination. I always say it in
00:10:37.980 that weird way because I don't say what my name is at the beginning of the videos. So if you live in
00:10:42.140 Calgary Signal Hill, buy a Conservative membership, visit my website, WyattClaypool.com. There's links
00:10:47.260 there to go buy a membership. And also I have the legal fund, the Give, Send, Go link in the description
00:10:52.580 of the video below as well. We're being sued by a billionaire developer for a nonsense defamation
00:10:58.040 claim where we somehow defamed him, even though our guest writer just kind of mentioned him in an
00:11:04.320 article about O'Toole in which every piece of information about him was either public domain,
00:11:09.200 easily verifiable, or it was based off previous reports by other publications years before who
00:11:14.760 have never retracted their stories because they're fully accurate. Anyways, so if you want to pitch into
00:11:19.780 that, it helps me out a lot. I've had to pay over $25,000 into defending the National Telegraph.
00:11:25.180 So any money at all does help loosen the burden on us and helps us be able to put out more content
00:11:30.880 and expand our, you know, our, I guess our media empire, even though it's basically just me and
00:11:36.640 Daniel Boardman at the moment. So other than that, I hope everyone has a great night and continues
00:11:41.120 watching our channel. Like, share, and subscribe. All those great things. Thanks for watching.