The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - May 03, 2024


Poilievre Conservatives tripled the Liberals in fundraising! (Q1, 2024)


Episode Stats


Length

10 minutes

Words per minute

197.15042

Word count

2,011

Sentence count

89

Harmful content

Misogyny

1

sentences flagged

Hate speech

1

sentences flagged


Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

Justin Trudeau and the Liberals are in a pick-me-me situation. The Tories are gaining ground in the polls, and are on track to win a majority government in the next election. But is there any hope for the Liberals?

Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Misogyny classifications generated with MilaNLProc/bert-base-uncased-ear-misogyny .
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
00:00:00.000 Despite what many left-wingers in the legacy media are claiming, that the Conservative Party and pure Polyev have a lot of deep flaws that could possibly see them lose next election, they're too extreme, they're too radical for the general Canadian public, it's not true at all.
00:00:15.720 They're trying to spin a comeback narrative for Justin Trudeau and the Liberals, hoping that if they push it hard enough that the race is going to close up and that Justin Trudeau actually has a chance of winning the next election, it's not going to happen.
00:00:28.240 Yes, Frank Graves can put out a poll from ECOS showing the gap narrowing a little bit, but even in Frank's poll, the Conservatives were still crushing the Liberals by 11 points, and that was still going to be a majority government for the Conservatives.
00:00:42.700 When that's your best poll, from a pollster that's not very good, that should terrify Justin Trudeau and the Liberal Party.
00:00:50.200 The vast majority of other pollsters are showing the Conservatives not just winning by like 15 points or 16 points, which would be a very comfortable majority, they're winning as high as 19 points and even 21 points, according to this new ledger poll.
00:01:03.440 And that ledger poll is not an outlier. Most of the polls in the last week from various pollsters are showing the Conservatives exactly at 20 points ahead of the Liberal Party.
00:01:12.080 But what's even worse for the Liberals than just the polling is the fundraising, because if you call up people, especially engaged voters who are very political and tend to be very unwilling to change their opinions,
00:01:24.140 like if you're the type of person who answers a poll, it's actually very difficult to get that sort of person to change their opinion on politics because they're very engaged.
00:01:31.160 They usually have a team that they cheer for, though you can get some people in those phone polls to still say that they're sticking with the Liberals or they like the NDP or whatever.
00:01:39.200 But what's even more telling about where you are going to place your vote is who you are actually willing to donate to.
00:01:46.320 So last year and the year before that, even the Conservatives were doubling the Liberals in fundraising, that if the Liberals raised $2 million in a quarter,
00:01:55.640 the Conservatives would at least raise $4 million. And that's basically what happened last year.
00:02:01.640 The Conservatives raised, I think, like $21 million, $23 million by year's end of 2023, and the Liberals had raised like $10 million or like $9.8 million.
00:02:11.740 That is an absolute trouncing. But the year 2024 appears to be even worse for the Liberals.
00:02:18.720 And remember, the fundraising numbers I'm about to show you do not include the recent sort of wacko thing that happened in Parliament that I guarantee you raised the Conservative Party another $250,000,
00:02:29.820 because that was a big news attention-getting kind of situation there.
00:02:33.840 In the first quarter of 2024, the Conservative Party tripled the fundraising numbers of the Liberals.
00:02:40.160 They raised $10.7 million, and the Liberals raised $3.09 million.
00:02:45.660 That is absolutely disgusting. That should be illegal to be able to raise that much money.
00:02:51.640 Not actually, but it is really sort of indicative of who is going to actually show up and vote.
00:02:57.620 Because there is a difference between saying that you're going to vote Liberal on the phone and actually showing up on Election Day to vote Liberal.
00:03:04.340 And when the Liberal donors have effectively fled to the Conservatives, or they're just holding on to their money and not going to donate at all,
00:03:11.500 that probably is demonstrating that their voting behavior is going to be similarly sluggish.
00:03:17.140 Yes, some people who are party diehards, or people who just vote every election because that's what they do, might still show up and vote Liberal.
00:03:24.260 But the people who, if they'll show up if it feels like you've done the work to actually win, those people are going to stay home.
00:03:31.320 Because the Liberals have done very little work to actually win this next election.
00:03:34.780 Even going outside of ideology and policy, like obviously the Liberals' policy over the last eight years has been horrific, especially horrific over the past four years.
00:03:44.220 But the Liberals right now, the problem that they have is that all of their media, all of their advertising, all of their messaging against the Conservatives or in favor of themselves is just whiny.
00:03:55.580 Nobody's going to show up for whiners. Justin Trudeau is an absolute whiner, and I think the wacko situation recently demonstrated it.
00:04:04.020 Even saying a lighthearted, negative label about the Prime Minister was enough to get Greg Fergus, the Liberal speaker, to throw pure Polyev out of the House of Commons. 0.93
00:04:14.800 That is demonstrative of a party that doesn't know what it's doing.
00:04:18.460 It just wants all the negative press, all the negative attention, all the negative words to stop.
00:04:22.920 This is what's motivated the Liberals to pass Bill C-18, the Online News Act.
00:04:27.640 They're supposedly trying to get journalists paid by saying that Facebook must pay Global News, CTV, and CBC for their articles on their website or they can't host any Canadian news.
00:04:38.100 When I think that the real motivation behind that was not to get anyone paid.
00:04:41.720 It was just to almost try and extort Facebook for so much money that Facebook would refuse and block all news on Facebook because the Liberals just want everyone to shut up right now.
00:04:50.980 No news is going in their favor, even most of the stuff from the legacy media, because the legacy media can't spin bad economic numbers or bad polling numbers.
00:04:59.840 So even in their best attempt to be as neutral as possible, the news is still horrible for the Liberal Party.
00:05:06.500 And so the Liberals just passed Bill C-18 to hope that all the news would stop distributing and people would be less informed and hopefully that would help them out.
00:05:14.520 It hasn't because people just went on to other social media news sources in order to get their news and everything that they're hearing is still horrible.
00:05:23.360 People who are watching television are still hearing horrible news from the Liberals.
00:05:26.880 And even then, even if you're not really paying attention to the news at all, just the gas prices at the gas stations, just your home heating bill, the carbon tax on top of that, just the unaffordability of living in Canada is pushing people away from the Liberal Party.
00:05:42.680 It's that the Liberals aren't even just incompetent.
00:05:45.200 It's that they aren't willing to acknowledge any of the mistakes they've made, and it makes them deeply out of touch.
00:05:50.880 Think about it this way as well.
00:05:52.020 The Conservatives are hitting fundraising records at a time when people don't have that much money to spend on politics.
00:06:00.040 Right now, Canadians are struggling to get by financially, and there is still a large chunk of Canadians who are willing to give $400, $25, $1,000 to the Conservative Party so that they can smash the Liberals, get a massive supermajority.
00:06:15.600 I know that there's no such thing as a supermajority in Canada, but I mean, in the sense that even if you had 10 defections, you can still easily pass legislation.
00:06:23.680 They want the Conservatives to have a supermajority so that they can kill all of the current Liberal legislation, repeal it all, get rid of the regulations, lower taxes, cut government spending, because that's what Canadians want.
00:06:34.780 The Liberals all day long can fear-monger about cuts, but all that's doing is threatening Canadians with a good time.
00:06:41.340 In Canada, the default is usually that people are in favour of government spending, because we live in a country where people tend to not like things that feel American.
00:06:50.340 It's just the nature of being Canadian.
00:06:51.840 You tend to compare yourself a lot to America, and so you tend to not like to do things that feel too American.
00:06:58.180 And being conservative about government spending feels very American, so that's why the Liberals always tend to run against American-style conservative politics.
00:07:06.800 But these days, when people are struggling so much to get by, you can't threaten them with cuts and get them to vote for your party,
00:07:13.240 because they know that you are having a very easy, breezy time as a government official getting all the tax money you want to spend on your stupid failed programs and projects,
00:07:23.080 and that they cannot afford the basic food items that they used to rely on and are having to buy cheaper alternatives.
00:07:29.120 They're not going to throw away their vote in order to protect your stupid bloated government programs. 0.98
00:07:34.760 In fact, they're going to vote against your government programs because they would like to see entire departments,
00:07:39.840 large chunks of HR administration being removed from the government.
00:07:43.820 Nobody thinks Polyev is going to cut Social Security or pensions or anything like that.
00:07:48.540 That's silly.
00:07:49.060 There are entire departments in the Canadian government that nobody could tell you what they actually do,
00:07:54.440 or at least if they could tell you, they can't actually explain why that's good.
00:07:57.900 I think there's an entire department in the government that's called Free To Be Me, and it's just about identity politics.
00:08:02.940 We spend tens of millions of dollars a year so that people working in the Free To Be Me department that has their own social media account
00:08:09.800 can celebrate things like asexuality, like International Asexuality Day.
00:08:14.740 What?
00:08:15.480 No.
00:08:15.960 This is why people are donating to the Conservatives.
00:08:18.260 They want this stuff gone, and they're even willing to pay money to ensure that it happens.
00:08:23.640 Anyways, that should be it for me today, guys.
00:08:26.620 I'm going to do my normal plug that I, Wyatt Claypool, am running for the Calgary Signal Hill Conservative Party nomination.
00:08:33.000 This is on the west side of Calgary, so if you live on the west side, check out if this is in your area.
00:08:37.800 It's like basically straight west from downtown, so buy a federal Conservative membership, vote for me number one.
00:08:44.280 I'm running against a ton of people who I would describe as capital P progressive Conservatives.
00:08:49.700 They're really only running as Conservatives because they happen to live in a very Conservative city,
00:08:54.240 but other than that, there are people who were super pro-lockdown.
00:08:57.560 They're in favor of gender theory.
00:08:58.900 They, in fact, attacked people back in the day for protesting in favor of parental rights and whatnot.
00:09:04.280 People I know who literally call social Conservatives the crazies and whatnot, including my current MP, did that when I was on his board.
00:09:11.100 What we need in the Conservative Party and the biggest threat to a Conservative majority is way too many Red Tories getting into these Conservative nominations
00:09:18.620 and being the type of weak-kneed individuals because they would have run Liberal if they could have won the riding as a Liberal.
00:09:24.980 They're the type of people who will hold up actual good Conservative reforms that need to be made.
00:09:29.580 So if you live in this riding, buy a membership, support me if you can, visit my website, wyattclaypool.com.
00:09:34.360 And if you want to contribute to the National Telegraph's legal fund, the Give Sen Go link is also in the description below for being sued for defamation by a Chinese billionaire developer for no reason.
00:09:44.960 He has no evidence we defamed him.
00:09:46.740 We basically just mentioned him in an article and linked to a Globe and Mail investigation about him.
00:09:51.640 But that was enough to set him off, even though he never sued the Globe and Mail for what they wrote about him because it was entirely accurate.
00:09:57.140 So he's just legally abusing us, assuming that we could not pay and that he could extract a fake apology out of us to, I don't know,
00:10:03.380 demonstrate his political power or pretend that every negative thing ever sent about him is somehow wrong.
00:10:09.280 Anyways, that should be it for me, guys. See you around.