Since Canada's election kicked off, it's been remarkable to watch the differences in energy levels between Pierre Polyev's Conservative Party and Mark Carney's Liberal Party. In this episode, I discuss the differences between the two candidates, and why the Conservatives are winning the election.
00:00:00.000Hey guys, Wyatt Claypool here. Since Canada's election kicked off, it's been remarkable to watch the differences in energy levels between Pierre Polyev's Conservative Party and Mark Carney's Liberal Party.
00:00:13.520Now, I want to state it from the outset that a rally size doesn't necessarily mean that you're going to win the election.
00:00:20.320Just because you bring in 10 times more people to a rally than your opponent doesn't mean that more people are going to show up to vote for you.
00:00:28.620Politicians have their own styles. Some are rally guys. Some are not rally guys.
00:00:34.060But I still have to say, my goodness, if Polyev brings in 5,000 people and Carney, who is the brand new prime minister with tons of media hype around him, can only bring in 500, that says something.
00:00:47.340It doesn't mean that Polyev has 10 times more support than the general public, but it demonstrates that the Conservatives will show up.
00:00:54.460The Liberals might show up, and I actually think that Mark Carney's entire election strategy is to have a very short election, bore Canadians to death, have them not really pay attention too much, and have people who vote every election show up and just default vote Liberal.
00:01:09.760And it is now the Conservatives' job. It is Pierre Polyev's job to excite Canadians, to propose policies that get people's attention.
00:01:19.720Because Carney is hoping for low turnout. The Conservatives need high turnout. Change elections are always high turnout elections.
00:01:28.320So the rallies do matter, but they also need to be running on policies that get those who don't really care too much to suddenly be jarred into taking this election seriously and realize,
00:01:38.500my goodness, we are voting on two extremely different visions for the country, we have Mark Carney, the economic planner who wants the government to run our lives,
00:01:47.680and we have Pierre Polyev and the Conservatives who actually want to cut taxes and let us succeed or fail on our own, be able to make our own fortunes, make our own luck out there in the world.
00:01:57.720And I think that is how they need to be playing it. Slash immigration, slash wasteful spending, slash taxes, rather than just offering slightly lower taxes than the Liberals.
00:02:09.080And I think that they actually have done that so far decently well, where Carney wants a 1% tax cut, and Pierre Polyev wants a 2.25% tax cut. Much better.
00:02:19.160That is something that people will actually decide their votes on, whereas O'Toole and Trudeau, that was a pathetic election in 2021, where there was almost no differences.
00:02:27.160But I want to cut to some of this rally footage in just a second here, and then I want to show you some of what the Liberals have been putting out
00:02:34.460to demonstrate my point that the Liberals are hoping that people are going to be comatose in this election.
00:02:40.700So guys, harass your neighbors to vote Conservative, because the only way the Liberals win is if people don't take this election seriously.
00:02:49.280But before I get into it, guys, if you like my coverage, make sure to like this video, subscribe to the channel, leave a comment.
00:02:55.840It really helps us out in the algorithms.
00:02:58.000I've been noticing you guys commenting way more.
00:03:00.380I always try and scroll through and read not only the top comments, but I always like to switch to newest comments and to see what people are saying, you know, even several hours after the videos come out.
00:03:09.300I've been really appreciating it, guys.
00:03:11.320And now, without further ado, this is the rally that Polyev just had in Surrey.
00:03:16.880I'm not sure if it was directly in the Surrey city limits, but apparently they had to move it because they were planning on 3,000 people, and their registrations punched well past that, to the point where they had more than 5,000.
00:03:29.540And there was still a crowd of people waiting outside who couldn't get in.
00:03:49.820This is kind of a difference in scale and tone to Mark Carney's campaign, which cannot attract flies.
00:04:02.160Again, even when Carney brings in like 500 people to a rally, when you actually break it down, it's like, you know, maybe 100 of them are staffers and media and security.
00:04:13.260And past that point, you just get some like default liberals who think that they're thumbing their nose at Donald Trump by attending a Carney rally.
00:04:20.460Here's the two rallies put side by side last night.
00:04:23.480There's no sound, but you can even see the big media guys back here with their cameras and whatnot.
00:04:50.920If people show up and the ballot question in their mind is that am I a proud Canadian standing up to Donald Trump, they may vote liberal because it's the anti-Trump option.
00:05:01.040And that would be a very sad day in Canada that we have people so unserious about the actual structural integrity of this country that they vote because maybe the orange man won't like how they voted.
00:05:12.460Even though Trump has been basically endorsing Carney.
00:05:25.280And he thinks he can easily out-negotiate them because that is Trump's responsibility as the president of the United States.
00:05:31.180He is trying to get the best deal for the American people that he can.
00:05:35.240And in theory, he gets a worse deal if Pierre Pollard and the conservatives get in.
00:05:39.560And they are going to cut their own taxes and regulations and make it so that there's tougher competition for the U.S. to take Canadian jobs and vice versa, that Canada could actually start sucking jobs from the U.S. into Canada from, you know, better tax policies if Polyev gets in.
00:06:35.380There is literally another parking lot full of people outside, but waiting to see him hours after the event.
00:06:47.700And if you've ever been to a Polyev event, maybe he can't do it these days because you've got to keep going.
00:06:52.280Usually stays behind for a couple hours to shake people's hands.
00:06:55.680So these people have been out there, not able to listen to the rally, waiting for him to be done, waiting for him to meet and greet people just so that they can meet and greet him outside.
00:07:06.420And I would urge you guys, if you want Polyev to win, especially if you're in a swing riding, volunteer for your local conservative candidate.
00:07:13.080I know a lot of people are running around following conservative candidates and retweeting and liking what they say.
00:07:18.740The problem is social media, especially on X, can be a bit of a small, very partisan pool.
00:07:23.260So you're mostly only talking to people who either vehemently disagree with you or strongly agree with you.
00:07:28.800So make sure you get out to the doors and wake up a bunch of the people who don't know what this election is about and may be at risk of saying, I'm going to vote Carney because Trump doesn't like him.
00:07:38.240My goodness, Trump likes him because he's a weakling.
00:07:41.040And that's Trump's job to want the weakling.
00:07:43.620But anyways, I want to move on now to what Carney's people have been posting.
00:07:48.220So even they, the funny thing is they're actually trying to make it seem like they have energy, that there is like this big crowd of people coming out for Carney.
00:07:56.280So this is on Mark Carney's own social media page.
00:07:59.640This is the best they could do to make the crowd look big.
00:08:02.560They have everyone lined up waiting to walk in.
00:08:05.540And the actual lineup shot only lasts a few seconds because there's not actually that many people to shoot here.
00:08:15.120And then it was getting too sparse to move it on because it started getting to the parking lot where people weren't really standing in line anymore.
00:08:21.640There were maybe 90 people they walked past.
00:08:24.600At best, let's say past the night, there was a bit of a group.
00:08:32.380So when you later see here him in the rally and people being filmed, they probably had to wait for people to trickle in to have enough to actually film this.
00:08:41.140And they're going to have a lot of tight shots, by the way.
00:09:28.980And this is, and again, when I'm talking about energy, this is the kind of low energy stuff the liberals have been posting on their own social media.
00:09:37.180And again, social media isn't everything, but they maybe post once a day because there's nothing, there's no content.
00:12:52.180And then there's a Globe and Mail headline.
00:12:53.840And the Globe and Mail, my goodness, they've been carrying water for the liberals in this election.
00:12:57.760My mom has been pointing out to me every time she swipes left on her phone to see what the headlines are.
00:13:02.940It's gushing headlines about Carney or just positive stuff.
00:13:07.760And then it's always negative implications about Polyev or it's downplaying anything he promises or it's attacking him for his association with, like, Daniel Smith or something, who's not wrong about wanting to delay tariffs.
00:13:23.360People are attacking Smith because she suggested to Trump, hey, how about we hold off on tariffs until we get through this election?
00:13:30.080Because naturally you don't have anyone to negotiate with, which is what Trump figured out when he talked to Carney and Carney basically had to admit he has no power.
00:13:36.480So, yeah, but it's just like Carney calls Trump tariffs on vehicles a direct attack on candidates, auto workers.
00:13:44.620The auto workers themselves, by the way, I'm going to bring this up on screen.
00:13:48.520The auto worker unions or auto companies are saying, please don't do any retaliatory tariffs.
00:13:55.740We don't want this because you put us at risk of actually losing more ground.
00:14:01.020We actually don't want to get this into a hot war right away.
00:14:03.760So this is posted by the this is posted by the food professor.
00:14:09.300He does great work when it comes to economic policy.
00:14:11.980He says Canadian automakers advise Carney against immediate retaliation on U.S. vehicle tariffs.
00:14:18.200Sound advice for us all agreed because it pushes back the win win scenario we can achieve if we just start throwing up retaliatory tariffs because now we are back in trench warfare and nobody wants to admit that they went too fast.
00:14:32.060So one side, especially the side who cannot fight and win a trade war, should be the one saying, OK, no, well, well, we're not going to tariff you, but let's sit down and talk.
00:14:43.760He wants to fight because it's the only way he's going to win any votes.
00:14:47.000But yeah, and he made this absurd comment the other day where he said that, like, our relationship with the U.S. is over.
00:14:54.500Carney is resisting the win win scenario so hard.
00:15:00.720And this is going to result in a win for the for Trump in the U.S.
00:15:04.660And a lose for Canada by talking like this, because he is climbing very high up on a ladder that he cannot climb down from.
00:15:11.140The old relationship we had with the United States based on deepening integration of our economies and tight security and military cooperation is over.
00:15:22.840Why did we Canada has some of the most tariffs on imports of any country?
00:15:28.000Why were we in the right for having dairy, cheese, softwood, lumber tariffs?
00:15:34.140We've had tariffs. We've had other tariffs on other agricultural supplies, other manufactured goods.
00:15:39.720We have tons of tariffs. Why were we right for it and the U.S. wasn't right for it?
00:15:44.600By the way, both are wrong. Both are wrong and we should get rid of it all.
00:15:49.600But the thing is that he looks like a hypocrite. And guess what?
00:15:52.540Trump can pull the rug out from under the sky at any moment because he can just come out and say, here's all the tariffs that you guys have on us.
00:15:59.680Get rid of them. If you want ours gone, you had to get rid of yours.
00:16:02.320And that's actually probably the right move, is that both countries should have freer markets.
00:16:08.160But exactly what the United States does next is unclear.
00:16:12.540But what is clear, what is clear is that we as Canadians have agency.
00:18:20.540This guy cannot negotiate with Trump, who has been doing hot-blooded real estate deals in New York City since he was like in his early 30s.
00:18:30.160And this guy is going to negotiate with him, a man who messed up the UK's finances for like two decades.
00:18:46.660I'm going to be up with something a little bit later today regarding the specific issues with Trump.
00:18:51.240But that is a different issue for a different video because I really do want to dig down into the psychology of liberals that whenever Trump obviously wants to negotiate with Carney because he's weak, they say that that's to help up Polyev.
00:19:04.300But if Trump has said anything nice about Polyev or even one of his advisors has ever said something nice about Polyev, that's because he wants Polyev to win.
00:19:13.240Literally, it is a conspiracy theory where they believe anything Trump says means he wants Polyev to win, which is insane.
00:19:20.780And it just demonstrates that they are coping hard with the fact that they actually don't have a narrative for this entire election.