The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - Poilievre overtakes Carney in popularity! Liberals platform FLOPS

00:00:00.000 Hey guys, Wyatt Claypool here. Well, now that it's been three days since the English language debate, things have gotten even better for the conservatives.

00:00:10.400 Yesterday, I covered a Main Street research poll that had the conservatives leading the liberals by three points, and today it is now four points.

00:00:18.920 But the more interesting stat I want to get into today is the popularity numbers between Pierre Polyev and Mark Carney, because now for the first time in this entire election cycle, Pierre Polyev is more popular than our technical Prime Minister, Mark Carney.

00:00:37.080 Before I get into it in detail, guys, I just want to remind you, if you like the show and you've been liking my federal election coverage, make sure to leave a like on this video, subscribe to the channel if you are not yet a subscriber.

00:00:48.240 Help me get to 100,000 subscribers by mid-December of this year, as well as leave a comment on the topic of the video today.

00:00:56.140 And now, without further ado, I want to cut to the stats posted by Sheree Attiste here on X.

00:01:02.300 He's actually a great person to follow on X if you're looking for political stats.

00:01:06.340 And he shows leaders' favorability as of March 23rd.

00:01:10.900 So last month, March 23rd, Mark Carney had a net approval rating of plus 15%.

00:01:16.680 Polyev had a negative 9% net approval rating.

00:01:21.140 Leaders' favorability as of April 19th.

00:01:24.440 Carney is plus one, so he is a little bit more favorable than he is unfavorable.

00:01:29.780 And Polyev is beating him by four points with a net favorability of plus five.

00:01:34.860 I don't know what is more incredible here, how much Carney has fallen over time or how much Polyev has gained.

00:01:42.780 Polyev was popular last year.

00:01:45.280 But because there is so much legacy media propaganda going against him, naturally, there was always a certain type of voter who would just say that they didn't like him, even if they were voting conservative.

00:01:55.840 Oh, he's negative. He's too much of an attack dog.

00:01:58.760 Why can't he be positive?

00:02:00.400 Which is always kind of funny to me that the same people who want a leader who's going to fight back against Trump don't like that pure Polyev is a fighter.

00:02:09.700 Really, it's just that there are a lot of voters out there who are purely arbitrary with how they decide whether or not they like somebody or not.

00:02:16.360 So they'll say something in one moment that completely contradicts what they say in the next moment.

00:02:22.320 And it makes sense in their minds at the very least.

00:02:24.800 So I guess more power to them.

00:02:26.640 Now I want to jump over to what the actual overall stats are looking like for this election in the new Main Street poll.

00:02:34.600 I want the undecideds added in just so you see how tight this race is and how few undecided people there are left.

00:02:41.740 But I do believe that based on the momentum, the conservatives are going to be able to capture them.

00:02:47.220 So this was the poll that was conducted yesterday.

00:02:50.540 We have the conservatives and pure Polyev at 42% nationally, the liberals at 38%, NDP 6, Block 6, and you have like the PPC 2 and the Greens 1.

00:03:02.740 The one thing I will criticize about the Main Street poll is I find that they tend to be able to pick up on macro trends better than they're able to pick up on micro trends and regionals.

00:03:14.500 So I find that they're, if I could put it this way, their numbers tend to be very, very stereotypical.

00:03:21.080 So when the liberals or the conservatives are leading, they're doing super well in Alberta.

00:03:24.900 And when the liberals are leading, they're doing super well in Atlantic Canada, even if that's not quite what we see on the ground.

00:03:31.400 But what I want to note here is, look, the undecideds are only at 3%.

00:03:37.360 They were at 6% yesterday.

00:03:39.780 And so what I think we had from the debate, because we saw a quick rise and fall over the last few days where pre-debate, there was maybe 3% of people undecided.

00:03:50.380 And then post-debate, it jumped to 6%.

00:03:52.520 And then since then, it's fallen back down to 3%.

00:03:55.260 But the party that we've been noticing benefiting the most out of all this has been the conservatives.

00:03:59.860 What happened at that English debate, because the media is even telling you that Mark Carney sucked because they do not want to talk about the debate,

00:04:08.160 they talked about it for about five seconds afterwards, and then they've not spoken about it since then.

00:04:12.460 Carney was terrible.

00:04:13.680 And what happened was there were a bunch of people leaning liberal before the debate.

00:04:17.480 Debate happened.

00:04:18.280 They became uncertain.

00:04:19.800 A bunch of them immediately went over to the conservatives.

00:04:21.580 And then their certainty was broken by the fact that they're like, I guess I'm going to go back to voting for the conservatives like I was four months ago.

00:04:30.580 So the liberals are in a very bad place right now.

00:04:33.540 We are in the last week of the election.

00:04:36.060 This is the last day of early voting.

00:04:38.320 By the way, guys, if you're a voting conservative, make sure you do it early.

00:04:41.940 We want the lines on election day to be as short as possible so that low propensity voters, people who don't usually vote, show up at the poll station.

00:04:51.180 They're like, oh, it's an hour and a half wait.

00:04:52.500 I'm going to go do something else.

00:04:53.840 We want those lines to be short on election day for those lower propensity voters.

00:04:58.700 And the thing is that the conservatives right now are getting all their early vote through.

00:05:03.120 There were record-breaking numbers for early votes on day one.

00:05:06.760 On day one, two million Canadians voted on first day of early voting.

00:05:11.940 And from the anecdotal reports I've heard from a lot of sources, people were standing in line and everyone around them was voting conservative.

00:05:18.900 It was pretty overwhelming how many conservatives showed up on the first day of early voting.

00:05:24.840 And that's because, like I have been saying in so many videos before this, the liberals are softly supporting the liberals for the most part.

00:05:33.160 There's not like this big chunk of hardcore liberal supporters.

00:05:36.760 Only about half of the liberals to two-thirds of the liberals are definitely sure they're going to be showing up and voting for the liberals.

00:05:43.760 That, again, is why the debate was so bad, is that there's a lot of people uncertain if they want to actually show up and vote for these guys because there's a lot of question marks around if Mark Carney is really different than Justin Trudeau.

00:05:54.600 And the debate and now the platform release have proven that he's not different at all and now these people are kind of pulling back or maybe they're just not going to vote at all because who cares at this point.

00:06:05.100 For some reason, they don't like Paulio, but they also don't like Carney and they don't like the Liberal Party.

00:06:09.660 So what's even the point?

00:06:11.400 And so the liberals have been suffering in early votes.

00:06:13.520 If they don't get a lot of early vote out today and I don't think that platform is going to help them at all, they're going to have to push hard for Election Day.

00:06:22.520 And by the way, it tends to be that conservatives show up on Election Day.

00:06:26.340 So the fact that conservatives are winning on the early vote and they might win on Election Day, this could be close to a majority government, if not a majority government, for the conservatives.

00:06:37.060 Could the conservatives still fall on their face and lose?

00:06:39.940 Obviously.

00:06:40.840 Anything's possible.

00:06:42.420 Never underestimate the conservatives' ability to lose an election.

00:06:45.980 Just look at 2021 and 2019 and even 2015.

00:06:49.900 But yeah, so things are currently in a very good place.

00:06:53.140 I even want to jump down and explain to you what I mean when I say that Main Street has a very stereotypical sample.

00:06:59.440 Look at this.

00:07:00.080 When the conservatives are leading the liberals by 42.2 to 37.7, they have the conservatives at like 70% in Alberta.

00:07:09.600 But then they still have the liberals leading with 51% in Atlantic Canada, conservatives slightly leading in BC, but then Ontario is effectively a tie with the liberals leading by 0.3.

00:07:19.400 This is what I mean when I say that Main Street has a very stereotypical sample.

00:07:24.180 I don't think that the conservatives are going to be 70% in Alberta.

00:07:27.660 They're going to do well in Alberta.

00:07:29.060 They'll get maybe 64%, 65%, which is enough to effectively win every single riding except, you know, three or four in Calgary and Edmonton.

00:07:38.220 It's a very good result for the conservatives.

00:07:40.200 They're going to do way better in Atlantic Canada than Main Street thinks.

00:07:43.820 Do you think 150 working class fishermen show up to protest a Mark Carney event when he was with the fishing minister for no reason?

00:07:53.320 That's not something they do on a normal Saturday night, I can tell you.

00:07:56.840 And it's because these guys who usually don't show up and vote are showing up and they're showing up for the conservatives.

00:08:03.420 The liberals will do well in Atlantic Canada.

00:08:05.740 They always do well in Atlantic Canada.

00:08:07.100 But I could see the conservatives grabbing up close to half the seats.

00:08:11.980 And if they're grabbing up close to half the seats, the liberals are dead.

00:08:15.020 And as we see in Quebec, the Bloc Québécois are starting to rise.

00:08:18.760 I think they might even be able to get 7% nationally or 8%, which means that they'll hold on to all their seats from last election.

00:08:24.780 Which means the liberals have lost two of the big areas of support that they need to be able to form a government.

00:08:30.520 Which means they're not forming a government.

00:08:32.140 Because all they have left is the GTA, which could even be a little more mixed than you think. 1.00

00:08:36.820 And Vancouver, which seems to be just kind of okay for the liberals.

00:08:41.200 Which means they might come in at 130 seats and not much more than that.

00:08:44.640 Which means the conservatives would be able to win a minority government at the very least.

00:08:48.440 Reroll it into a majority in a year and a half after that.

00:08:51.980 Or they might even be able to cross the finish line of a majority with one or two seats.

00:08:57.140 In fact, and I'm going to be getting to the platform in a bit here.

00:09:00.220 In fact, Mark Carney is actually screwing over a bunch of his candidates in the Ottawa area.

00:09:04.940 As you may know, Mark Carney is running in the riding of Nepean against the conservative candidate Barbara Ball.

00:09:11.660 The problem is, whether it's Mark Carney's team doing this intentionally or it's happening unintentionally,

00:09:17.740 tons and tons of liberal staffers and volunteers who don't even live in Nepean are going to Nepean

00:09:23.020 because they want to help elect the prime minister.

00:09:24.940 Because isn't that going to look good on their resume?

00:09:27.340 And it's depriving all of the other liberal candidates in places like Kanata and Ottawa, West Nepean and Barhaven.

00:09:36.360 None of them have volunteers.

00:09:37.740 They have maybe 10 people out there.

00:09:39.240 While Mark Carney is like 50.

00:09:41.200 Which means that Mark Carney in winning Nepean might have lost like three or four other liberal ridings

00:09:46.920 that should, in theory, be easy wins for the liberals.

00:09:51.280 He did not think through where he was going to run very well.

00:09:54.840 Before I get into what's in the liberal platform, and it's just going to be generally a cursory overview

00:10:00.840 because a lot of these platforms tend to be fluff.

00:10:03.620 They're just telling you a bunch of nice things.

00:10:05.200 I'm going to give $2 million to Canadian Cancer Research.

00:10:09.100 It's full of a lot of little bullet points like that where nobody cares.

00:10:12.700 It's uncontroversial.

00:10:13.760 Fair enough.

00:10:14.600 But before I get into the platform and some of the more major points, 0.98

00:10:19.060 I just want to note, if your campaign is scared of Kareem Assad, that's pathetic. 0.95

00:10:26.840 Kareem Assad, in fact, is more of a liberal herself. 0.96

00:10:29.620 You know, more on the center left.

00:10:31.300 Maybe doesn't like the liberal party.

00:10:33.060 But the liberals blocked her from showing up to the policy announcement event. 0.51

00:10:38.740 Look at this.

00:10:39.600 Or some Mark Carney event that happened yesterday.

00:10:41.500 I'm not sure I understand.

00:10:52.760 How do you...

00:10:53.320 I think, you know, you're part of this group.

00:10:55.220 We saw you get out of the car.

00:10:56.300 It's a closed event.

00:10:57.300 You aren't registered unless you can show me a registration.

00:11:01.980 It's a closed event.

00:11:05.040 I don't know.

00:11:06.000 That's Kareem right there.

00:11:06.840 So she didn't even register for the event, but they're not going to let her in.

00:11:09.320 But the funny thing about not being able to handle Kareem is that it tells you that Mark Carney and the liberals are, in fact, a very left-wing party. 0.95

00:11:19.940 Because if you don't like Kareem Assad, you either are keeping her out because you're scared that she's just going to film and that Mark Carney is going to make a fool of himself because every time he talks, he makes a fool of himself.

00:11:31.300 Or what you are is you're trying to block Kareem Assad from entering because the Marxist Antifa left doesn't like her.

00:11:39.940 Again, Kareem Assad is actually on the center left.

00:11:43.400 She is, in fact, decently pro-Palestine, like not pro-Hamas in any way.

00:11:47.920 I would say she's respectfully pro-Palestine as somebody who's pro-Israel.

00:11:52.720 They don't like her because she shows up to events and films them doing bad things.

00:11:56.140 So if you're the liberal party, you won't let Kareem Assad in, either you are just scared she's going to film Mark Carney, he's going to mess up, and you don't want anyone seeing it.

00:12:04.540 Or it's one of those things where the Antifa left is going to get mad at the liberals for letting her in. 1.00

00:12:11.380 And for some reason, the liberals highly value the opinion of the Antifa left. 0.99

00:12:16.100 Pathetic. 0.96

00:12:17.060 Anyway, so now I want to move over to the liberal platform. 0.97

00:12:20.900 I'm not going to bring up anything on screen.

00:12:22.380 I just kind of have these quick notes of what's in it.

00:12:26.420 This is why it's such a disaster.

00:12:28.920 Mark Carney released a platform that Justin Trudeau would have released.

00:12:32.740 There is $130 billion of new spending over the next four years.

00:12:38.400 And a lot of this is going into things like housing.

00:12:40.860 $12 billion in new infrastructure.

00:12:43.580 $25 billion for these prefabricated homes that they want to put up.

00:12:48.580 And extra financing for, like, debt relief for people purchasing new homes to make it easier for them to get a mortgage.

00:12:56.360 Are you going to make it easier to build?

00:12:58.280 You can say, oh, we're going to make prefab houses. 0.95

00:13:00.860 Unless you're going to get rid of all the stupid zoning laws and crazy building regulations that make it take forever to actually get approved to even start putting the thing up. 0.77

00:13:08.920 It doesn't matter if it's prefab or you're putting up a skyscraper. 0.96

00:13:12.080 That's what's delaying things by years, getting units on side.

00:13:17.340 It's like Carney thought, well, I'll just say we're building simpler houses and that will make it better.

00:13:21.460 The whole point is you can't build a small shack, let alone a mansion, based on the current regulations.

00:13:27.840 And he doesn't want to get rid of the current regulations because that's how a lot of people in Ottawa are employed, working in housing policy.

00:13:34.980 And if you make housing policy simpler, well, thousands of these people and housing inspectors from the federal and provincial governments are all out of a job.

00:13:42.840 So he doesn't want to do that.

00:13:44.380 Moving on.

00:13:45.080 So we have defense spending.

00:13:46.240 He wants $18 billion in defense spending over the next two years or four years to meet NATO's 2% GDP defense goal.

00:13:53.480 That's not bad.

00:13:54.240 At the same time, they're still only trying to meet that target by 2029 or 2030, which is exactly what the conservatives got criticized for, because the conservatives realize you can't go from what we currently are at, like, 1.3 to 2% in four years, especially because most of the spending actually needs to be slashed first, because most of the defense spending is in, like, HR and DEI garbage.

00:14:16.180 So that's part of the platform.

00:14:17.600 That's not too bad.

00:14:18.260 They want another $5.4 billion in healthcare spending for infrastructure and hospitals.

00:14:24.600 This is the big lie about healthcare in Canada.

00:14:28.680 It's bad because we don't have enough hospitals.

00:14:31.260 Not a chance.

00:14:32.700 That's the problem.

00:14:33.580 The problem is we don't have enough nurses and doctors because our healthcare systems are extremely heavily sided or heavily overweighted by administration, management, HR, and whatnot.

00:14:43.260 Many people who work at administration and HR in hospitals who are managers are registered nurses or doctors, but they don't work on the floor.

00:14:51.600 That's the big problem.

00:14:53.100 But this is one of those, again, one of those things where the liberals are just putting money towards stuff to make it seem like they're doing something.

00:15:00.740 Trade and diversification.

00:15:01.900 We have $5 billion for trade diversification corridor fund to reduce reliance on U.S. markets.

00:15:08.240 Okay.

00:15:09.020 How about we just cut taxes?

00:15:10.100 How about we just make our products cheaper so we can compete better?

00:15:14.340 It doesn't matter if they put tariffs on us or we are still just the cheaper place to do business.

00:15:19.200 Another $2 billion for a strategic response fund to protect industries like automotive from U.S. tariffs.

00:15:25.360 How about cut their taxes?

00:15:27.420 How about cut their taxes?

00:15:28.680 But this is one of those things.

00:15:30.220 Federal government logic or just government logic in general goes, well, if we just cut taxes, we could create 50,000 more jobs.

00:15:38.040 But if we tax people more and we hand out a bunch of money, we can create 35,000 jobs.

00:15:45.140 But we own that creation of 35,000 jobs because we are the ones who cut the check to the industries to hire those people, even if in getting those 35,000 people jobs, we actually might have lost another 3,000 jobs over there in the private sector that wasn't being given the handouts.

00:15:59.880 I hate government logic.

00:16:01.740 They would rather have their name underneath the job as being the person who created it rather than creating multiple times more jobs by just leaving people alone and cutting their taxes. 1.00

00:16:13.160 Stupid. 1.00

00:16:14.080 We have clean energy and climate. 1.00

00:16:15.640 We have a billion dollars for retrofits.

00:16:18.220 We're going to give people a billion dollars to buy heat pumps in their house and a bunch of money for none of other investments.

00:16:23.800 And in all this, they're apparently going to find $28 billion of savings in order to offset the cost of that $130 billion of new spending.

00:16:35.100 So part of the new spending, in theory, will be paid by or cuts elsewhere.

00:16:40.240 If the liberals ever cut a dollar of spending from the government, I will give them a lifetime achievement award of conservatism.

00:16:47.820 They've never done it, and they're never going to do it.

00:16:49.740 The thing is, when they say they're going to find cost savings, it's going to be like nonsensical cost savings, where they're just shifting $1 billion from here to there to do the exact same thing, and nothing was achieved.

00:17:01.320 Anyways, but this flopped heart.

00:17:03.320 Every voter who was considering voting for the liberals but was not fully on board looks at this and says, it's just a Justin Trudeau platform. 0.99

00:17:09.720 Again, it's absolutely pathetic. 0.96

00:17:11.540 I need to bring up something on screen to show how poorly this is being delivered. 0.97

00:17:16.900 Third, this guy, Bruce Anderson, I don't know who Bruce Anderson is.

00:17:20.600 It doesn't really matter.

00:17:22.360 He's trying to spin this as a very good platform.

00:17:25.320 He says right here, this is a massive shift in approach from the 2021 liberal platform, building up Canada's assets to Trump-proof the economy.

00:17:33.720 Ignore those who are pretending this is similar.

00:17:35.740 It is literally the inverse of 2021 in terms of spending focus.

00:17:38.840 Okay, so what he's showing is in 2021, 65% of the budget was in operational spending.

00:17:44.800 So, you know, program spending, things that already exist, we're giving people CERB checks, or we're giving people money for, you know, lockdown relief and whatnot that was going on.

00:17:56.860 All that sort of stuff.

00:17:57.980 COVID spending was most of the operational spending back in 2021.

00:18:00.820 And only 32.4% of it was in capital.

00:18:04.000 And now the 2025 budget is 64% in capital and 33% in operational spending.

00:18:09.840 And then we have a little bit more in debt.

00:18:12.420 The problem is, is that they're basically admitting that debt spending has gone up by 0.3 in just a few years.

00:18:19.520 Guys, capital spending was what the liberals promised mostly in 2019 and 2015.

00:18:25.620 The only reason operational spending was so high in 2021 was because of COVID.

00:18:30.460 They're pretending like it's different because it's different than 2021.

00:18:34.280 No, no, no.

00:18:34.880 This, this budget, this platform budget is the exact same as it was in 2019 and 2015. 0.98

00:18:42.860 Those two, those two platforms sucked too.

00:18:45.860 You're just saying it doesn't suck in the exact same way that 2021's platform sucked because, oh, wow, we're going to build stuff.

00:18:51.500 Well, Trudeau promised that in 2019 and 2015.

00:18:54.960 It just never happened.

00:18:56.320 And Mark Carney is promising the exact same thing in the exact same way.

00:18:59.500 But because it's Mark Carney and this is my serious face, guys, then we're supposed to believe that it's actually going to get done.

00:19:05.780 It is not.

00:19:06.560 I can guarantee it's not.

00:19:08.460 Anyways, so that should be it for me today, guys.

00:19:11.660 Really good news.

00:19:12.720 So Polly was popular.

00:19:14.320 The conservatives have a lot of momentum and are rising and are, in fact, ahead in the Main Street polls.

00:19:18.680 And the liberals have only been shooting themselves in the foot with stuff like this platform release.

00:19:24.460 So other than that, it's been a great day.

00:19:27.420 And so I'll see you guys later.

00:19:28.920 Make sure to like the video, subscribe to the channel, leave a comment, do all that great stuff.

00:19:32.660 And I'll be back probably tomorrow or even later today with another video.

The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - April 20, 2025

Poilievre overtakes Carney in popularity! Liberals platform FLOPS

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