Conservatives have a 20 point lead over the Liberals in the polls, and it's not even close. Is it time to call it quits on the Liberals? Or is there still time to save the party?
00:00:33.500And what's truly embarrassing is that the NDP are not really benefiting that much from the 10% collapse of the Liberals since the last election.
00:00:41.400Really, it's the Conservatives who are just gaining votes from everyone.
00:00:44.660From the Greens, from the Bloc, from the Liberals, from the PPC.
00:00:48.220Everyone's just voting for the Conservatives.
00:00:50.100And yes, guys, the PPC is not a party anymore.
00:00:59.540But getting back to Justin Trudeau and the Liberals, the pain does not stop there.
00:01:04.740We have this other poll showing that people's top issues, and I've never really liked the way that Nanos does the top issues,
00:01:11.260because I believe they let you pick two or three issues.
00:01:13.700I think that voters should just be asked to pick one issue that they care about.
00:01:18.040Once you start asking people to pick three issues, people start picking things because it feels very socially conscious to do,
00:01:23.600even though it's not something they really voted for.
00:01:25.940What this is showing me is that, yes, it makes sense that jobs, economy, inflation, and housing are so high up there in terms of people's top issues.
00:01:34.140But the real telling thing is the 7% that Environment got.
00:01:38.080Why that is telling is I remember not long ago, and I'm just thinking like a month and a half, two, three months ago,
00:01:44.520Environment in the Nanos polls used to poll at 12%, 13%.
00:01:49.060The fact that it's almost only half as much as it used to be is showing that people aren't even going to pretend that they care about environmental issues going into the 25 election.
00:01:58.940The Liberals rely on a lot of very left-wing, socially progressive voters showing up to vote for ancillary sort of issues in order to beef up their base of support and turn out the vote.
00:02:11.920The Liberal Party's left-wing activists tend to be their most active voters.
00:02:15.800And now this poll is showing that a lot of people are actually kind of waking up, smelling the coffee,
00:02:20.940and realizing that they can't live life focusing on abstract environmental issues, and eventually the rent needs to be paid.
00:02:28.280And that is the biggest issue for the Liberals.
00:02:31.160As much as I am a very socially conservative person, I'm also a fiscal conservative,
00:02:35.600and I understand that fundamentally 80% of voters mostly care about pocketbook issues.
00:02:41.340And when you combine all of the issues on this poll, on stuff that really just ends up being the economy and cost of living,
00:02:49.020it's more than like 50% of people basically saying,
00:02:52.200I'm just going to vote for whoever's going to slow down inflation, cut my taxes, and all that other good stuff.
00:02:57.960And the Liberals in the NDP are frankly just too arrogant to listen to Canadians and adjust their economic plans.
00:03:04.880If the Liberals just said, you know, we were pushing the carbon tax earlier to try and, you know, fight climate change or whatever, even though it doesn't,
00:03:12.920they could say, well, but Canadians are hurting so much right now, so we're going to put a three-year pause on the carbon tax.
00:03:18.600They would probably gain five or six points in the polls right away.
00:03:22.400If they just had the humility to basically state that, yes, this is not the time for the carbon tax.
00:03:28.120It's never the time for the carbon tax, it's a terrible policy, and they know that the carbon tax doesn't even do anything for emissions if emissions reductions would actually, you know, fix the climate.
00:03:37.980But if the Liberals just said three-year pause, they would immediately gain support back.
00:03:43.240That is why the Newfoundland MP Ken McDonald voted to get rid of the carbon tax.
00:03:48.520Because like a lot of politicians in the U.S. do, sometimes you have to vote against your own party to try and gird yourself up in your riding.
00:03:55.200And when Liberal Party MPs, a party notorious for having no independent thought in it, is having their MP starting to split from the Prime Minister, that is a telling thing.
00:04:05.560He's willing the risk of getting kicked out of caucus just to try and gain a little bit more support back in his own riding so that people slap him on the back and say,
00:04:13.800hey, thanks for doing that, Ken, you did the right thing.
00:04:16.580Here's another poll result that's a lot of fun to look at.
00:04:19.020So Pierre Polyev, who supposedly, from listening to the mainstream media, is a deeply unpopular figure in Canadian politics.
00:04:26.040Well, he is 37% preferred as the next Prime Minister of Canada.
00:04:31.140Trudeau is actually underperforming his own national polling numbers, so the Liberals are at 23 nationally.
00:04:36.920And he only has 19% of people preferring him as the Prime Minister.
00:04:40.880Singh at 17, Blanchet at 4, obviously a bunch of block people are just going to say Blanchet.
00:04:45.260And some other ones will pick Polyev or Trudeau because they know a block leader is never going to be the Prime Minister.
00:06:01.160This might be the worst falling down of an incumbent government in Canadian history if we ignore Campbell.
00:06:07.840Justin Trudeau, again, it's all a personality and arrogance problem.
00:06:12.220The funny thing is it's actually kind of easy to win elections as a Liberal-like politician.
00:06:16.740You can make Eastern Canada happy, keep their benefits stable, grow them over time, raise taxes a little bit on the top 1% to get your progressive base liking you.
00:06:26.460And then just throw out a lot of sort of small micro kind of benefits to families and whatnot.
00:06:32.060And, you know, hire a bunch of government workers who are like beholden to voting for you after that.
00:06:37.100The Liberals, though, have started trying to edge into the NDP's territory more and more.
00:06:42.620Every time they've lost voters due to corruption scandals, they're thinking, okay, well, we can maybe recover some of our votes by shifting left and grabbing up some of the progressive NDP voters.
00:06:51.480The problem with that is as incompetent and silly as the NDP is, the NDP is effectively a political cult whose members will never vote for the Liberals.
00:07:00.180Or unless they have a chance, like the NDP has no chance in their riding, they'll vote Liberal to stop the Conservatives.
00:07:06.040Even that in practice really doesn't happen that much.
00:07:08.860But the Liberals, in moving left to try and take NDP votes to recover their support, have actually just been alienating more and more sort of middle-of-the-road, middle-class voters who just wanted stability in the government.
00:07:21.320And as much as the Liberals are fear-mongering about Polyev, both in the media and in like press conferences from like their own politicians and ministers,
00:07:28.880saying that Polyev's going to be a dangerous, radical figure because he might cut government spending.
00:07:35.020Guys, government spending went up 66% since 2015.
00:07:39.780Don't threaten Canadians with a good time.
00:07:41.980I have not, like I'm running for the Calgary Signal Hill Conservative Party nomination.
00:08:04.380Everyone knows that there needs to be cuts made.
00:08:07.360And so saying that they might cut vital social services, nobody believes that.
00:08:12.360Everyone knows that all the cuts are going to happen in administration and HR and get reinvested either in real things that Canadians actually need,
00:08:20.640like more services at passport offices, or it's just going to be given back to taxpayers.
00:08:25.540Nobody thinks that government spending is a requirement for people to live their lives.
00:08:30.380People know that actually government spending happens to be the problem these days.
00:08:34.160But again, the Liberals have doubled down on the idea that they just need to drive out their progressive base more and try and steal progressive votes from the NDP.
00:08:42.340So they've just been shoveling more of their kind of blue Liberal votes back over to the Conservatives, not realizing that's not even – I like Polyev.
00:08:52.640He motivates me to vote for him in a way that Aaron O'Toole did not motivate me to vote for the Conservatives.
00:08:57.680But I'd say in a national picture of this whole thing, I don't even think that Pierre is winning himself as many more votes as much as Justin Trudeau is just giving it to Polyev because Trudeau doesn't even know what Canadians want anymore.
00:09:12.300So every time he says something, it scares people over to the Conservatives who are not as scary as the Liberals want to make them out to be.
00:09:20.080Anyways, that should be it for me today.
00:09:37.080If you live in Calgary, every time I release a video, there's like 3,000 people watching from Calgary.
00:09:43.020I guarantee a bunch of you live in the riding or you know somebody who lives in the riding.
00:09:46.600So help me win this thing so we don't end up getting a politician who takes photos with Jody Gondek representing this area who doesn't even live in it.
00:09:56.060That is Jeremy Nixon, by the way, who's the guy I'm competing against.
00:10:00.020And then other than that, you can donate to the Give, Send, Go National Telegraph legal fund that's linked in the description below.
00:10:07.240We're being sued by a ridiculous billionaire developer who's suing us for defamation that he cannot prove.
00:10:12.620We did not defame him at all, and even all of our reporting on him pretty much just references a long Globe and Mail article that had already been written about him a year and a half ago.
00:10:21.160But he expected that I couldn't pay for the lawsuit because I was a 22-year-old.
00:10:25.740I think I was only 21 when the lawsuit started.
00:10:28.140So he assumed that he could pressure me into giving him fake apologies so that he can pretend every bad thing ever said about him is false when it's all true.
00:10:36.360And so he ended up just getting into this long, drawn-out legal fight, and it's costed me more than $26,000.
00:10:43.000But I refuse to apologize for people for dumb garbage, so we're going to fight this out to the end and hopefully get all of our money back.
00:10:50.500Anyways, that should be it for me today.