Poilievre schools Liberal hack Rosemary Barton on CBC!
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Summary
After losing two Conservative MPs to the Liberal Party, questions have been raised about the leadership of the Conservative Party of Canada. Is there a leadership crisis within the party, or is there just a problem with the leadership itself? On today's show on the CBC's Rosemary Barton, Conservative Party Leader Pierre Polyev answers these questions and more.
Transcript
00:00:02.780
It's been a frustrating week in politics all across Canada,
00:00:07.220
but I really appreciate watching Federal Conservative Party leader Pierre Polyev
00:00:12.500
absolutely school Rosemary Barton on her own show on the CBC.
00:00:18.140
Now, after the floor-crossing of Michael Ma, that is absolutely shameful,
00:00:26.080
They want to try and undermine Polyev's leadership of the Conservative Party
00:00:30.100
and give Mark Carney a boost, act like Mark Carney is the unifier of Canada
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because a corrupt Conservative MP decided to cross the floor and join the Liberals.
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Now, obviously, I'm extremely frustrated at whoever allowed for Michael Ma to be appointed.
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Yes, people would say, well, that's Polyev's fault because the buck stops with you as leader.
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Well, the reality is, on a campaign, you're not going to be able to actually micromanage stuff that closely.
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You are going to have a recommendation come before you saying,
00:01:00.680
you should appoint this guy and then you just let it happen because you've got to get back to others.
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It's kind of the people below you's responsibility to actually look behind someone's background
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to see if they're actually an ideological Conservative or just a self-interested hack
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who is willing to leave you if he is promised something by the Liberals.
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But anyways, without too much more rambling, I want to get to the Rosemary Barton segment here.
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But before I do, I just quickly want to plug the fact that the channel now has a membership program.
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So if you want to support my channel and help me make sure that this thing can remain sort of a full-time gig,
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if you basically join one of the two tiers, I think the top tier is like $9 or $10 to join,
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It just helps make the channel more consistent so that I'm not white-knuckling it through months
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when the algorithm decides to turn on me and not promote my videos at all.
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It happens, it's annoying, but we will overcome people.
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Well, now let's get to the Rosemary Barton live segment with Conservative Party leader, Pierre Polyev.
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Let's move on to some politics now, and I want to talk politics and a bit of policy as well.
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Both have pointed to your leadership as issues.
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Michael Ma saying that he was more interested in unity than division.
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Is this a problem if you're a leadership at this point?
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That's such a stupid question right off the bat.
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You were the problem and you weren't unifying enough.
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And by the way, the two people who left, there is far more information to suggest
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that they left for petty personal reasons than actually having a lack of confidence in Pierre Polyev.
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Michael Ma, unlike Chris Dontremont, wasn't even around before Polyev was leader.
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So I don't think he can really say, oh, my goodness, I didn't sign up for this.
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I'm going to go over and join Mark Carney because he's a unifying, stable leader.
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I showed a member of the channel, Nehan Azam, literally took Michael Ma's statement,
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put it through an AI detector, and it found that it was 100% written by AI.
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By the way, I believe that Michael Ma had some investments and worked with Chinese state-connected
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Again, no excuse for whoever green-lighted this guy inside the Conservative Party.
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But this is obviously the more operative concern right now.
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The fact that we have people in our parliament who are willing to cross the floor for no reason,
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maybe because they were bribed, maybe because they had some other personal incentive to do so,
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that has nothing to do with what their actual voters want.
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But Rosemary wants to turn this into a Polyev leadership issue when, I'm just going to say,
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There's not been rumblings about people being upset with Polyev.
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The only people saying, oh, Carney's better, are the people leaving who are incentivized
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Chris Dontremont was just upset he didn't get to become deputy speaker.
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But at the end of the day, no one else is backing up their stories through even anonymous sources
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aren't even coming out and saying, oh, Polyev's doing this.
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Is this a problem of your leadership at this point?
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No, it's a problem of Mark Carney's leadership that after Canadians clearly rejected a liberal,
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a costly liberal majority, because they knew it would mean higher grocery prices
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and higher food costs, he is trying to manipulate his way through backroom deals
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But the whole point is, what does this look like?
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Does this look like an organic floor crossing that came from Carney's government just performing
00:05:06.780
And there was internal issues inside the Conservatives.
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So somebody said, my constituents genuinely have been calling for me.
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They have a petition with this many signatures from people.
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They've been asking for me to cross for a while now.
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And I was trying to get the Conservative Party to be better.
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Because in a certain sense, you don't want to be the guy cobbling together a majority government
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through basically, like I think Paulio puts it right, backroom deals.
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It's a government that is being created through backroom negotiations that the public is not
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I had somebody very deeply involved in federal politics actually assure me it pretty much doesn't
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even matter if Carney gets a majority, because it's not going to be a very functional
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And we are probably still going to have a 2026 or very early 2027 federal election.
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Because again, Carney, even if he gets a bare majority, it's going to get extremely contentious
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after that, where the Conservatives are going to be even more like oppositional in order
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to try and deprive Carney of the ease of moving legislation forward.
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But he's trying to take a majority, a costly majority that would drive up the cost of living
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and enrich liberal elites, of course, but not through democratic means.
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My message to Mark Carney is that if you want a costly majority government to drive up taxes
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and deficits, then you have to go to the Canadian people and have them vote for it, not do it
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I mean, I know you don't lick it, and we can talk about the merits of floor crossing and
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whether it should be allowed, but it is allowed.
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So back to my question, is this a sign of a weakness in your leadership that two members
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It's just falling out with the same question, because this is really what she's just trying
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Just keep repeating that Polyev has a problem with his leadership.
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Hoping that that becomes the narrative like, wow, this really reflects badly on Polyev,
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even though there's, again, nothing actually out there to suggest that Polyev in the public's
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In fact, his polling numbers are pretty robust.
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Yes, people point to preferred prime minister polls.
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The only polls that really work are national polls, obviously regional ones, and then also,
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you know, a general approval rating of one person.
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Preferred prime minister is a question that gets very abstract in many members of the
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public's mind, and they all don't answer it the same way, which means it's a completely
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No, it's a sign of backroom dealings that will drive up the cost of living.
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We are in a shameful situation in this country where over 2 million Canadians are visiting food
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At the end of every month, paychecks are not going far.
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The liberals want to deflect and blame this solely on the trade deficit.
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When we create more units of currency and map them into the economy that is not meaningfully
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producing more goods and services, we get inflation as a case in point.
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It's almost like he's bulldozing your entire point here.
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That you're acting like, well, because they imply that you're a bad leader, then you're
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When, again, he's showing that just weeks ago, they are talking about how much of a failure
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If they didn't believe that, they would probably have just said, I don't want to do a QP.
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I don't want to do a question period question for the party today.
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The fact that these people are still supporting the Conservative Party and attacking the liberals
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like a week before, a couple of weeks before they cross, demonstrates that this was not
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some sort of organic conclusion that they came to, that they just like the liberals better
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and it's more aligned with their values or it's more aligned with what their constituents
00:09:03.640
Michael Ma is being protested pretty heavily by his own people at the moment.
00:09:09.300
In the last five years, grocery prices have risen more than 20%.
00:09:18.360
So it's possible he didn't write that, though, as we know, many of your MPs.
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Okay, so what he was writing that when he said that.
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What are you doing now to make sure other caucus members don't leave?
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Canadians cannot afford grocery prices because of Carney's hidden liberal taxes on food.
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What unites all Conservatives is the belief that you should be able to have a full bank
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account, a full fridge, and a full stomach all at the same time.
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So I have to go back there and basically explain what I think Rosemary Barton was doing.
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Because, again, she keeps kind of slipping narratives in, not actually asking real questions.
00:10:03.780
When she asks him, what are you doing to prevent anyone else from leaving?
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The idea is, again, that somehow it was a personal failure on his own part to reassure
00:10:12.580
Dontremont and Ma that he was the right guy for the job.
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As if there was actually a negotiation going on where there was a little bit of give and
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No, Michael Ma was happily taking photos with Pierre Polyev at a Christmas party the day
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Does Michael Ma have a rift between himself and Polyev?
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It seems, in fact, like an artificial floor crossing incentivized by things that have nothing
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to do with normal political metrics for the average voter.
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It has to do with whatever Michael Ma maybe personally wanted.
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And, again, Rosemary Barton is asking a question in such a way that implies, again, there was
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some moment where Chris Dontremont or Michael Ma were talking to Polyev and they're like,
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but, Polyev, we need you to do more of X or we need you to do more of Y and you're not
00:11:03.520
I might have to leave when that clearly is not what happened here.
00:11:09.080
We were talking to Minister Champagne about that and a gentleman who's using a food bank
00:11:12.720
because you're right, they are at record highs.
00:11:14.800
But, obviously, there are some people who believe that Mark Carney has the solutions to
00:11:19.060
There's people who think, well, Elizabeth May has the solutions to problems.
00:11:23.880
It's basically her just saying, well, some people really like Mark Carney.
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That's just basically a counter to Polyev with no question.
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Well, he is the one who's causing the problems.
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He's bringing in an industrial carbon tax on farm equipment and on fertilizer that drives
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up food prices, a food packaging tax that adds about a billion dollars to grocery bills across
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the country, a new fuel tax that will be seven cents a liter next year on farmers, on truckers
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And then, of course, there's a $78 billion deficit, twice the size of Trudeau's, which is causing
00:12:06.740
And I'm the only one who's going to reverse that inflationary policy.
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I've been saying this now for five years, and I'm regrettably continually proven right
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that when you spend more and tax more, then Canadians have to pay more for groceries after
00:12:23.540
Let's talk a bit about policy, because that's obviously where you want to go, too.
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The memorandum of understanding with Alberta, the overall goal of that deal is to get a
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pipeline, at least one pipeline to the British Columbia coast to get more oil to Asian markets.
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Again, I really don't like the way she's asking that question, because she just says it like
00:12:47.480
You know, this thing is trying to get a pipeline to the West Coast so that we can export oil
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Because, you know, from my silly perspective, the whole MOU effectively allows for Carney to
00:13:05.080
pretend like he wants a pipeline while allowing for the British Columbia government and First
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If he wanted a pipeline, he should have already mapped out a general course where he would
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absolutely say, yes, I will sign off on that and I will pursue it.
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And now we can get a private partner to back the pipeline.
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The reason why private industry is not putting money in for a pipeline is because the regulatory
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And it's because there are way too many vetoes in the way for them to actually be able to put
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together a proposal that they could actually afford to pay for.
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In any other country, this would be very simple.
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In Canada, there ends up being so many question marks, so many imponderables to the project
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that they're not going to actually even bother putting something forward.
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And then Carney and Eby said, they're like, oh, see, nobody wants it.
00:13:56.160
Like, no, you have basically killed the project preemptively and then wondered why the project's
00:14:03.620
But again, Rosemary Barton's framing acts like, no, this is what it's doing.
00:14:08.900
It would have been improper to say this is what Carney's arguing that the MOU does.
00:14:12.300
When it does not do that, he wants to be Mr. Pipeline without actually ever having to build
00:14:18.340
Do you think that the fundamentals behind that deal are a good idea, that that itself is
00:14:27.100
Well, that part of the deal that the prime minister has put on the table with the Alberta
00:14:32.300
Yes, obviously, that's why I put forward a motion in favor of that pipeline.
00:14:37.160
But Mark Carney doesn't think it's a good idea.
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Well, he did that because it didn't have the industrial carbon price in it.
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She can maybe say, well, he claimed it was this.
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It was a nonsensical claim by Carney and the liberals to not vote for the MOU because they
00:14:55.440
have a lot of green liberals in their caucus, maybe a majority, who don't want to build a pipeline.
00:15:00.200
I don't think Carney wants to build one either.
00:15:02.560
And they acted like the MOU motion vote was unfair.
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It doesn't have every little stipulation in it.
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No, the motion was basically to say, when it comes to the fundamental question about building
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a pipeline, is this liberal government on board or not?
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It even included a couple of basically clarifying statements in it to make it a little bit softer
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in favor of the liberals of what they were demanding.
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If you put up a motion that was the entirety of the MOU, we would have maybe voted for it
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Well, then why don't you guys do that the next day?
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Put up the entire MOU as its own motion, basically saying, is this house in favor of
00:15:48.600
They wouldn't do that because they don't actually support their own MOU.
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Rosemary just says, well, you didn't have the industrial carbon tax in there.
00:16:01.940
You keep talking as if these are just words from, you know, the words from the Bible of
00:16:08.500
And it's all just stuff we can take as absolute fact.
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If you had put the whole MOU on the table to vote against, it probably would have worked
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And sometimes you have to be the devil's advocate.
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She just keeps saying, well, you didn't put the whole MOU in.
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Well, you kind of messed it up, didn't you, Mr. Paul?
00:16:40.760
Put the whole MOU on the table to vote against, it probably would have worked out better for
00:16:46.720
But then I would be voting for a costly carbon tax, as you point out, a tax on food, because
00:16:52.180
when you tax the farm equipment and fertilizer, you tax the food.
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And it's not Paulieff's point to back up the whole MOU.
00:17:01.200
I don't think even Alberta Premier Daniel Smith likes it.
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She's just going along with it to prove that she's willing to play ball.
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And then when Carney never delivers a pipeline or walks it back, she can say, hey, I was
00:17:12.100
trying to be as cooperative as possible, and Carney lied to me.
00:17:16.740
But it's not Paulieff's, it's not his job to market Carney's own MOU.
00:17:21.820
He's basically just selecting the pipeline part, saying, are you guys fundamentally in
00:17:29.180
Tax on homes, because when you tax cement, glass, concrete, wood, and other things.
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Alberta is comfortable with industrial carbon pricing.
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If I could, you asked me why I didn't put it in, because I am against carbon taxes, period.
00:17:43.740
And again, Rosemary just said that, well, the Premier of Alberta is comfortable with it.
00:17:48.040
Is she or did she just sign an MOU because she wants the pipeline part?
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The thing is that, like, yeah, at the most, you can basically say the deal is Danielle Smith
00:17:56.440
having to put a bunch of water in her wine here in order to get a deal signed.
00:18:00.300
But is that something that Danielle Smith actually is comfortable with?
00:18:04.360
Or is it something that she just simply has to agree to to get Carney to the table?
00:18:09.260
Because again, the problem is that Carney is making a terrible compromise deal that even
00:18:14.700
if it got a pipeline built someday, it would be late.
00:18:18.400
And it's adding a lot more tax and regulations onto the economy when we could just have pipelines
00:18:23.260
without the taxes and regulations and be far more prosperous.
00:18:26.280
Like, we're falling behind the United States for average income even before converting from American dollars.
00:18:33.500
An American dollar is worth, like, 1.4 Canadian dollars.
00:18:41.160
And even if you look at Canadian incomes in CAD, like in Canadian dollars,
00:18:48.540
they are often making more than us with a more stronger dollar.
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The amazing and brilliant Premier of Alberta who said just the other day when she was endorsing my leadership
00:19:00.540
that I would not have forced a carbon tax on her.
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And if I were Prime Minister right now, we'd be well on the way to planning a pipeline,
00:19:09.300
something that is not happening under the current Liberal government.
00:19:15.440
He's pretending to adopt my policies because he knows they're popular,
00:19:20.660
So you don't believe that he actually wants a pipeline?
00:19:25.940
Does she actually believe it or did she sign the deal that now puts the ball into his court
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And Paulyev has already done a lot to prove he doesn't really believe in it with the MOU motion.
00:19:37.920
This is just, is Rosemary the actual Liberal on the panel here and the host didn't show up?
00:19:48.680
I do believe what he voted against, which was the pipeline.
00:19:53.360
And Mark, let's take a look at the history here.
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What you have to believe to trust Mark Carney on this.
00:19:59.920
His party killed this pipeline in a 2016, November 2016 cabinet decision.
00:20:07.180
Mark Carney endorsed that decision to kill the pipeline.
00:20:09.880
I don't believe that Mark Carney has changed from the things that he wrote for 10 years
00:20:15.180
and that his party did for 10 years, which is to block pipelines and try to keep oil and gas in the ground.
00:20:21.680
Daniel Smith was very clever because she forced Carney to flip-flop
00:20:26.160
and break his word to his leave-it-in-the-ground caucus
00:20:34.160
I like that he's actually explained the tactic now and this is what he should do.
00:20:44.380
What Carney is doing is he is outsourcing saying no.
00:20:48.360
He does not want a pipeline, but he can pretend to be Mr. Pipeline by saying yes to it all day long,
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but giving vetoes to everyone and their dog in order to actually get it to not happen.
00:20:58.980
Carney is trying to split the baby and have it both ways,
00:21:01.880
which is funny because he's even ticking off his left flank,
00:21:04.260
which is why Stephen Gilbeau may now leave office.
00:21:06.480
But he's also ticking off the right flank of the party,
00:21:09.900
which maybe isn't represented by any particular MP,
00:21:12.880
but there was a lot of voters who I would define as business liberals
00:21:16.340
who thought that Carney was going to be more fiscally responsible
00:21:24.040
If he is, it's like an infinitesimally small difference at this point.
00:21:29.420
The Major Projects Office is a joke where they just fast-track projects that are almost done anyways,
00:21:35.000
pretending like he's getting points on the board because, again,
00:21:41.220
I'm going to remind myself, because sometimes you guys point out
00:21:47.380
I will be talking about why a majority government for Carney
00:21:53.580
and that he's probably pursuing a federal election in 2026 anyways.
00:22:01.240
because those things would have driven up the cost of energy
00:22:05.220
Now, Ms. Smith defended her province by forcing Carney to flip-flop on that.
00:22:10.960
But that, at the end of the day, does not mean that we should give him credit.
00:22:22.340
The federal government has the sole legal authority to approve it.
00:22:28.260
and the private sector will build it because it's wildly profitable.
00:22:33.600
As he's making the good point about that Carney could just prove the whole thing himself right now
00:22:37.360
and there's no need for extra sign-off from anyone else.
00:22:41.200
So, Mr. Paul, well, did you consider, well, you know, that's not quite, it's like,
00:22:53.320
Like, did she just drink only Pop Rocks and coffee today?
00:22:56.380
You referenced Northern Gateway, and you know that the problems there,
00:22:59.460
yes, it was a cabinet decision, but the problem is British Columbia and First Nations.
00:23:03.080
So what would you do to try and get their support for a pipeline?
00:23:06.700
Or would you just say, too bad, we're doing it?
00:23:14.620
It's like, you know, I hope, I'm sorry to rain on Rosemary Barton's liberal parade,
00:23:21.520
but genuinely, the federal government's sole authority is to approve interprovincial projects,
00:23:30.500
because there's going to be one province who wants it and one province that doesn't.
00:23:35.260
Not even the province, the party that's in power in one of the provinces will not want it
00:23:39.700
because it relies on a small minority of the electorate who is anti-whatever-the-project-is.
00:23:51.000
Prohibitionists were probably only ever maybe 14% to 20% of the voters,
00:23:55.220
but prohibition was wildly popular from a legislative level
00:24:00.540
because if you wanted that 14% of the vote to 100% back you, you would do what they said.
00:24:09.840
Certain people are only going to show up if you do X thing.
00:24:12.640
And so Republicans and Democrats all over the United States were banning alcohol
00:24:17.240
because 14% of the vote was guaranteed to be delivered to you if you did so,
00:24:22.240
and then you can cobble together a bunch of other voters
00:24:26.640
and they just don't really care about the alcohol issue in general
00:24:28.960
or they don't realize how serious it's going to be about it actually being banned.
00:24:32.700
That's what we have going on in British Columbia and in Quebec.
00:24:36.580
Quebecers and British Columbians want a pipeline by all the polling,
00:24:40.240
but the current incumbent governments or the ones that are most likely to win in Quebec's case
00:24:46.060
because the CAQ party's dead and it's probably going to be the party Quebecois coming back,
00:24:52.060
both of those parties rely on the green left who does not want a pipeline.
00:24:58.920
They rely on the green left in order to get elected
00:25:01.920
and even if the green left is only 20% of the voters, well, that's half their base.
00:25:08.220
Of course I would consult. That's what my motion said.
00:25:10.900
We do consultations, but we are going to build a pipeline when I'm Prime Minister.
00:25:16.900
As for British Columbia, the Premier does not have a veto.
00:25:20.820
Under our Constitution, Section 92, it is the exclusive domain of the federal government
00:25:26.120
and under Bill C-5, which Mark Carney asked for,
00:25:29.640
it is the exclusive decision of the Prime Minister.
00:25:32.680
So there's only one person who will decide on this in the end,
00:25:38.220
Mark Carney is quietly whispering to the leave-it-in-the-ground Liberal Caucus,
00:25:44.820
No, he must not be saying that because Stephen Gilbeau quit.
00:25:47.840
Stephen Gilbeau quit because of the emissions cap,
00:25:51.260
but he is saying it, and his own MPs in British Columbia are saying it.
00:25:56.180
And then he voted against a pipeline in the House of Commons.
00:25:58.700
And also, Stephen Gilbeau was rumored to want to leave anyways well before this.
00:26:04.200
He's maybe trying to find some principled reason to storm out of office
00:26:07.380
and seem like some sort of hero to the green left.
00:26:11.440
You can't take Stephen Gilbeau too seriously here.
00:26:15.120
What he's doing, let's be clear, pipelines are popular and profitable.
00:26:19.860
So he's pretending that he's open to one until after the next election
00:26:28.460
If you want a pipeline to the Pacific to add $30 billion of overseas exports,
00:26:34.200
the biggest export project overseas in Canadian history,
00:26:36.840
you will need a conservative government that will get out of the way and let it happen.
00:26:41.060
Okay, let's ask, I want to ask you about trade,
00:26:42.920
because that's the other piece that is coming in the new year.
00:26:46.800
Talks are still stalled, although the Prime Minister speaks to the President.
00:26:50.540
Do you think that the Kusma review is now the best way forward for Canada
00:26:54.480
in getting any kind of deal with the United States?
00:27:02.000
to the biggest and most lucrative market in the world,
00:27:04.140
which we had before the Liberal government was elected in 2015.
00:27:11.540
President Obama started hammering us with new tariffs on softwood lumber
00:27:24.500
We should reflect on the fact that Mark Carney was elected on one promise,
00:27:28.400
that he would negotiate a win with President Trump by July 21st.
00:27:35.200
his promise is broken, American tariffs have doubled,
00:27:49.940
But if you're the guy who marketed yourself as the Trump whisperer
00:27:58.680
Because, you know, Trump, oh, he was tougher to talk to than I thought.
00:28:04.300
Because what he does is he goes in with the ideal,
00:28:10.840
The thing is that he actually has made concessions, though,
00:28:14.140
because every time Trump pushes him, Carney does something stupid,
00:28:18.480
and then Carney gives him a bunch of concessions just to come back to negotiate,
00:28:21.520
rather than having made those first concessions before in order to come to a deal.
00:28:41.620
They are an economy that is ten times the size of ours.
00:28:45.340
So, obviously, we have to play ball a little bit here.
00:28:48.360
But Carney only ever actually makes the concessions when Trump threatens to leave.
00:28:52.220
He never does it when that could actually get us towards a deal,
00:28:56.040
But Rosemary's like, oh my goodness, well, it was Trump's fault.
00:29:00.480
Well, then don't promise you can make a deal, dude.
00:29:04.980
What would you do in dealing with Donald Trump?
00:29:07.840
I will answer that question, but let's be clear.
00:29:13.060
So, yeah, but he was not the one who failed, Rosemary.
00:29:19.740
Is Rosemary Carney's wife and I didn't know it?
00:29:32.020
So, and I would have if I were prime minister right now.
00:29:36.100
We have to negotiate from a position of strength.
00:29:41.440
We need to approve pipelines and natural gas projects and other major resource projects
00:29:47.880
that allow us to ship our single biggest export overseas so that we are not monolithically
00:29:52.880
that we are not monolithically dependent on the Americans.
00:29:57.800
She's acting like that was a stupid thing for him to say.
00:30:02.460
But yes, if your economy is going great guns and you are building pipelines and you're
00:30:08.260
lowering taxes and you're hyper competitive, yes, Trump will be more likely to negotiate
00:30:13.260
because you are an economic threat, because business may actually move back to Canada from
00:30:18.740
That's when you can get into a position where you can make some demands, you can give some
00:30:22.580
And I would actually say you organize something to say, hey, Trump, let's fight back against
00:30:28.260
Let's fight back against the CCP by making it that we don't have tariffs so we can get
00:30:35.080
The capital gains tax on reinvestments in Canada to bring back the half trillion dollars
00:30:40.160
of investment liberals have driven into the U.S. economy.
00:30:43.080
And then you can sit down with the president and say, look, now we're selling our resources
00:30:50.720
Now we're bringing back our investment and becoming more sovereign, strong and self-reliant.
00:30:58.860
And that would be a far better approach than what Mr. Carney is doing, which is blocking these
00:31:03.380
projects, keeping all of the liberal taxes and anti-resource laws in place of the last
00:31:10.240
10 years and giving even more of our investment to the Americans.
00:31:27.340
It's like an interrogation where she's getting dumped on the entire time because she keeps
00:31:31.860
saying extremely stupid things, trying to like buy back some points from Mark Carney
00:31:37.560
But now I'm going to talk about, I know it's already been a long video.
00:31:41.940
Now I'm going to talk about why it doesn't even really matter if Carney gets another MP
00:31:48.940
What I've been told by someone who is very, very clued in with what the Conservatives are
00:31:53.080
doing, if Carney gets a majority, the thing is, we have a tradition in federal politics
00:31:58.620
that generally speaking, especially when there is a majority government for one side in Parliament,
00:32:08.820
If a Liberal goes on vacation for a couple of weeks, a Conservative will go on vacation
00:32:13.740
for a couple of weeks and they will recuse themselves from voting.
00:32:17.280
So there's not this brinksmanship where nobody will leave the building because they're all
00:32:21.960
going to be ready to vote against whatever the government's doing or in favor of whatever
00:32:26.100
It creates a little bit more of a cooperative atmosphere saying, hey, let's at least agree
00:32:30.820
that we could all sit here all day and never leave our offices ready to vote on stuff because
00:32:37.180
Or if one person from our side leaves, we'll agree, someone from your side will leave just
00:32:42.500
so that people do have the ability to go traveling if they need to or go visit a family member.
00:32:46.880
If this happens, if Carney gets to the point where he gets a majority of maybe just a singular
00:32:52.280
seat or maybe one or two seats, the Conservatives are not going to let them ever pair an MP.
00:33:00.380
And the problem for the Liberals, and this is actually one of those things that starts to
00:33:03.820
matter a lot now, since the Liberals have been around for a while, their government's been here
00:33:08.520
for 10 years, and there were people from the previous Chrétien Martin Liberal government still
00:33:12.780
in office, there are some very old Liberal MPs who really don't want to put up with that,
00:33:18.020
who probably, if it gets that stressful, is going to be more favorable to either retiring
00:33:23.200
or getting Carney to call an election and then they can step out, or that they'll maybe want
00:33:29.220
to make some conceptions to the Conservatives on stuff because they're going to make their lives
00:33:35.200
And so Carney also, getting a majority of only one seat in a caucus like the Liberals who don't
00:33:40.860
exactly even agree with the Prime Minister on everything, it's difficult.
00:33:46.960
And so what I've been told is that an election is very likely to happen spring of 2026 to spring
00:33:54.200
Within that range, there is a likely opportunity for an election if Carney thinks that he has
00:34:00.460
And if he doesn't have a majority at that point, and the opposition thinks they have an advantage,
00:34:05.160
both Aliyev, Don Davies, or whoever the new NDP leader is going to be, probably Heather
00:34:09.940
McPherson, and Francois Lachet, if it's Frank, there was some, his name, whatever, it doesn't
00:34:18.040
If they see an advantage, they will call a new election, and Carney will then be forced
00:34:23.920
to polls at whether he's in a good position or a bad position.
00:34:27.400
And the NDP definitely needs a new election because they are not an official party right
00:34:31.980
now, and the remaining rump caucus of the NDP is the more radical faction who's less
00:34:40.660
And so Carney is actually in a position here where even if he insulates himself with the
00:34:45.080
majority, he's not going to have a comfortable majority, and based on his personality and
00:34:49.220
what everyone says about him, he's not going to be happy sitting there with people basically
00:34:54.640
hammering on him every day and not letting him pair MPs and making everything a tooth
00:35:00.100
There will probably be an election next year, no matter what happens.
00:35:04.320
But anyways, with that all being said, congratulations for making it through this extremely long video
00:35:09.720
and hearing me ramble and listening to the Nails on Chalkboard presentation of Rosemary Barton.
00:35:17.120
If you like the channel, see if you want to sign up for the membership program.
00:35:21.940
You're already doing enough for me by just watching, liking the video, subscribing.
00:35:27.160
I'm not going to probably offer really any special things to members, at the very least
00:35:30.480
right now, simply because I don't want to have it be like this two-tiered channel where
00:35:34.800
I have a bunch of exclusive content that you have to pay money for and a bunch of free
00:35:38.920
I'd rather just keep the entire thing free and find some subtle perks that people can
00:35:43.760
But again, if you feel like, well, if there's not going to be anything extra, I don't want
00:35:50.060
Your quality of life will remain the exact same no matter what you do.
00:35:54.100
Anyways, with that all being said, thank you guys for watching, and I will see you all