The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - August 16, 2024


Poll finds young Canadians like Donald Trump


Episode Stats


Length

10 minutes

Words per minute

186.74626

Word count

2,044

Sentence count

116

Harmful content

Misogyny

2

sentences flagged

Hate speech

2

sentences flagged


Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

A new poll released by Spark Insight shows that young Canadians would vote for Donald Trump over Kamala Harris if the election were being held today. And it's not even close to a close race between the two presidential candidates.

Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Misogyny classifications generated with MilaNLProc/bert-base-uncased-ear-misogyny .
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
00:00:00.000 Some truly surprising polling results have just been released that I think say quite a bit of the Canadian media landscape and less about our political landscape.
00:00:10.260 I'm not sure if you guys have seen the sort of polling that's done about who would Canadians vote for in the U.S. presidential election, and it's whoever the Democrat is has like 82% of the vote, and then whoever the Republican is has like, you know, 18%.
00:00:25.700 It's extremely lopsided because Canadians live in a bubble of mostly left-wing news.
00:00:32.540 It doesn't matter if the CBC, CTV, Global, City News, if they're pretending to be objective, whenever they shift to foreign affairs, international news, especially American presidential election news, they go into just full eye-rolling mode whenever a Republican is saying something.
00:00:50.380 If a Republican takes some stance on anything, even if it's the most reasonable common-sense position, you will have somebody like Lisa Laflamme on screen rolling her eyes at mock speed so that you, as the viewer, know that whatever they said is completely ridiculous, stupid, and you should probably like Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, or Kamala Harris.
00:01:12.620 But some new pollings come out that shows that young Canadians actually really like Donald Trump compared to Kamala Harris, no matter what push that they are putting behind Kamala Harris on platforms like TikTok and Instagram and other social media platforms used by younger people.
00:01:29.580 So these are the poll results that are from Spark Insight.
00:01:32.520 You see that if you were voting in the U.S. election, who do you vote for between these two candidates?
00:01:38.160 And to be fair, Spark Insight has also done, just in general, a much better job conducting this poll.
00:01:44.420 Most of the time, they just grab 1,000 people from anywhere in Canada.
00:01:47.300 They say, do you like Trump or Kamala Harris?
00:01:49.260 And they don't ask detailed questions.
00:01:51.260 This one was done in a better manner, so it has a bit more of a balanced result.
00:01:55.920 It looks like the state of Hawaii, effectively.
00:01:57.800 So 68% of Canadians would vote for Kamala Harris, 32% would vote for Donald Trump.
00:02:04.140 Obviously, very few liberals would vote for Donald Trump.
00:02:07.060 It's 80-20, probably reflecting a lot of Quebecers would be maybe open to voting Trump, who are liberals, just since they are more anti-immigration.
00:02:16.220 Conservatives, it's about 50-50, 54% to 46% between Trump and Harris.
00:02:22.780 NDP, 16% Trump, 84% Harris.
00:02:25.440 And also, I think this just proves, too, just on those points alone, it gets better with young Canadians later, that it doesn't really matter what party you vote for in Canada.
00:02:36.060 You probably vote for it because of more regional reasons.
00:02:39.600 You probably vote for them because you voted for them 10 years ago, and now you still do.
00:02:44.280 The fact that you can get anyone from the NDP or the liberals to say that they'd vote for Trump really shows that people kind of vote for who they think they're supposed to vote for.
00:02:53.040 And then once you divorce them from the election that's happening locally and you talk to them about what's happening in the U.S., a lot of those people kind of secretly like Trump.
00:03:01.520 Or at least they don't specifically like Kamala Harris, or they don't know who she is.
00:03:05.580 But now let's jump back down to the demographics polling of you have 18 to 29 and 60-plus.
00:03:13.400 And I don't doubt that they published it this way because this was the more interesting results.
00:03:18.240 You know, middle-aged voters are probably about the same on some of these issues.
00:03:22.140 So 60-plus voters, only 19% of 60-plus voters would vote for Donald Trump.
00:03:27.440 81% would vote for Kamala Harris.
00:03:29.480 And remember, liberals were at 20% and NDP was at 16.
00:03:34.200 So 60-plus voters in Canada, probably not the guys, you guys watching this show if you happen to be over the age of 60.
00:03:40.920 But when you poll Canadians who are more likely, disproportionately likely to watch mainstream news,
00:03:47.440 because you've watched television your entire life, that's how you get your news.
00:03:50.940 So 60-plus voters watching Lisa Laflamme, watching the newscast on CBC, watching Rosemary Barton,
00:03:58.360 they don't like Trump, even more than the average liberal voter when you add in all demographics.
00:04:05.020 But then you jump over to the 18- to 29-year-olds.
00:04:09.520 So young Canadians who can vote, 53 would vote Kamala Harris.
00:04:13.340 47% would vote for Donald Trump.
00:04:15.920 And then you jump down to 18- to 29 men and women.
00:04:18.780 60% of men, 18- to 29, would vote Trump.
00:04:22.520 33% of women would vote for Donald Trump in Canada in that age bracket.
00:04:26.680 And it demonstrates that when you do not watch mainstream news, when you don't trust Rosemary
00:04:34.160 Barton to tell you the truth straight down in the middle, what are the different presidential
00:04:38.040 candidates in the U.S. saying, you're actually far more likely to go and see what those campaigns
00:04:43.040 put out as messages themselves.
00:04:45.060 I also have no doubt a lot of younger people are the people watching outlets on YouTube,
00:04:51.100 like True North, like the Daily Wire from the U.S., like my channel, the National Telegraph
00:04:56.020 here, like a lot of different alternative media, who's willing to actually cover the
00:05:00.860 news in such a way where they let the other side say what they want.
00:05:04.460 That's the thing in Canada.
00:05:05.780 Even the left-wing media in the U.S., the CNNs, MSNBCs, I find that they at least play
00:05:11.460 clips of what Trump actually says.
00:05:13.580 They cover his rally.
00:05:14.820 So even if you're a CNN viewer and Trump's at a rally or doing a press conference and
00:05:18.880 he says something reasonable, you're like, well, you know, that's reasonable.
00:05:22.580 That's not wrong.
00:05:23.520 You know, it's not wrong to want no tax on tips with then Kamala Harris stole as a policy.
00:05:29.360 It's reasonable to want border enforcement to build a wall to have more ice, you know,
00:05:33.520 enforcement to cut taxes, all this stuff to tariff enemies of the state like Venezuela 0.92
00:05:39.520 and Iran and China.
00:05:41.200 It's probably a reasonable thing to do.
00:05:43.440 But in Canada, they never do that because nobody's ever actually in Canada who's watching
00:05:47.920 mainstream media news while reading the CBC or watching the CBC.
00:05:52.100 You will never be exposed to Trump talking for more than a 10 second clip of him saying
00:05:56.960 something out of context for everyone to tut and cluck their tongues about.
00:06:01.700 You know, Andrew Coyne gets on television in his little power panel or whatever, some other
00:06:07.460 people, and they're all just talking about how non-normal Donald Trump is.
00:06:12.760 And there's things you can criticize about Donald Trump, even though obviously I'd vote
00:06:16.500 for him between Kamala Harris and himself.
00:06:19.280 There's some areas of policy I don't exactly agree with him on, but you shouldn't ever agree
00:06:24.460 with someone 100%.
00:06:25.740 But you'll have Andrew Coyne get on and basically be upset that Donald Trump's not normal.
00:06:30.540 And when he says not normal, he just means that he doesn't fit Andrew Coyne's very shallow
00:06:36.120 aesthetic version of what normal is.
00:06:38.880 Even as Kamala Harris is actually the one with far more radical policies, she's normal 1.00
00:06:44.340 because she's aesthetically normal.
00:06:46.520 She's a bit odd, too.
00:06:47.780 She's still an odd duck. 0.99
00:06:49.360 But, you know, she fits into the corporate Democrat appearance, whereas Donald Trump is
00:06:54.900 very much a weird guy.
00:06:55.920 And I will admit that.
00:06:57.200 You know, Donald Trump is a strange person.
00:06:58.920 You'll meet 2 million people, 10 million people, a billion people, and you will not
00:07:03.800 really come across another Donald Trump.
00:07:05.360 So he's weird.
00:07:06.220 But I find that it happens all the time in Canada.
00:07:08.380 You get people who they actually don't know why they dislike him.
00:07:12.060 They just know that he's not normal and he's bad and he's evil.
00:07:14.720 And they can never tell you a straight story about something bad he's actually done.
00:07:18.840 At the same time that when I've talked to a lot of Canadian people at the doors, because
00:07:22.800 sometimes American politics is brought up, you get a lot of people who will like almost
00:07:26.860 start whispering and saying, like, yeah, you know, like, I don't like Trump, but, you know,
00:07:30.360 as Biden guy, it just sucks at being president.
00:07:32.360 Like, I don't know how anybody voted for Biden and what these type of results.
00:07:37.080 And yeah, I don't know either.
00:07:39.140 But that should be it there today.
00:07:41.160 I'm not sure if there's really anything else to go over in this poll.
00:07:43.420 Like, you see the normal distribution you'd expect.
00:07:46.240 You know, 44% of people in Alberta would consider voting for Trump.
00:07:49.120 36% Ontario, 19% Quebec.
00:07:52.220 But yeah, I'd like to actually see more information on how Spark Insights did its poll, because
00:07:57.400 this is far better than the polls that usually come out where it's like 90% whoever the Democrat
00:08:02.100 is, 10% whoever the Republican is.
00:08:04.420 And this has been going on for election after election.
00:08:06.700 This is not a new thing.
00:08:08.120 If you polled Obama versus Mitt Romney back in the day, it would be the basically the exact
00:08:13.780 same polling, you know, George Bush versus, uh, versus Kerry, you get very similar results
00:08:20.120 because in Canada, there is the U S stereotype that the media likes to rely on that Republicans
00:08:25.600 are, are crazy right-wingers and Democrats are moderate, basically somewhere in between
00:08:30.920 a moderate, somewhere in between the Canadian liberals and the Canadian conservatives.
00:08:34.540 They're really not.
00:08:35.860 Most Democrats are basically exactly like Justin Trudeau and the liberals, if not sometimes
00:08:40.200 a little bit further left, if you're a Bernie Sanders type character or Kamala Harris, in
00:08:44.960 which they would actually fit in quite well with the federal NDP and Jagmeet Singh, the
00:08:49.700 proposing price controls, stuff like this, like anti-scab legislation.
00:08:53.820 So you can't fire people striking on the job for absolutely no reason, but yeah, that should 1.00
00:08:59.280 be it for me today.
00:09:00.040 Guys, if you want to support the show, I have my give, send, go legal fundraiser in the description
00:09:04.440 of this video for any of you who subscribed recently, because I did have a video go above
00:09:09.060 a hundred thousand views.
00:09:10.440 I do have a better looking studio most of the time.
00:09:13.920 I just happened to have been in Abbotsford for a while there helping out the BC conservatives.
00:09:18.600 I will be going back to BC to help the conservatives, but I booked a trip to Japan in February, you
00:09:25.100 know, obviously wasn't going to cancel that.
00:09:26.700 So I will be in Japan for the next couple of weeks, but I'm basically going on a filming
00:09:31.740 blitz of having a bunch of evergreen content that isn't particularly breaking news, but it's
00:09:36.480 just interesting for me to put it out there and, you know, release it slowly over the
00:09:40.640 two week period.
00:09:41.180 So it's not like there's just a blank spot where people are wondering if I like choked
00:09:45.220 on something or not, but yeah, so there's that.
00:09:47.940 And if you live in BC, I always do have the Abbotsford South EDA.
00:09:51.940 You can donate to at least donate a hundred dollars to the conservative campaign.
00:09:57.060 I know that sounds weirdly demanding, like donate to them.
00:09:59.580 But the thing is that the NDP is literally getting taxpayers to fund them.
00:10:04.260 They get $1.56 per vote that they got every single year from the 2020 election.
00:10:09.700 So they get around like $1.5 million.
00:10:13.260 I think it might be a bit more than that per year, every year up to election day, where
00:10:18.120 the BC conservatives only had like 50,000 votes, less than that, I believe.
00:10:22.580 So they obviously don't get a lot of money.
00:10:24.440 And that means that it allows the current financing laws, it lets the NDP sort of stay
00:10:30.260 like more, they have a lot more staying power in government simply because they have more
00:10:34.280 money, where it's harder for a small insurgent party to actually make a rise.
00:10:38.500 So if you live in BC, it's like a moral imperative to donate something to the BC conservatives.
00:10:45.080 You get 75% back in tax credit up to $100, 50% back up to $5.50, and 33% back up to $1,450.
00:10:52.620 Anyways, that should be it for me today, guys.
00:10:56.100 Have a good one.