00:00:00.000Ahoy, everyone. Yes, I am alive. And I'm not just making pre recorded videos as an AI. I do, in fact, have, you know, a life. I'm still around doing stuff. I have not been doing live streams for a long time. And I don't know why. I think I just got out of the habit of doing it. And so it just turns into this thing where every time I thought about I'm like, Oh, my goodness, that feels like such a chore. And then I was getting to the point where I just had all these like, I guess,
00:00:30.000ideas for videos popping up and sometimes when ideas just become you know too numerous i eventually
00:00:37.040think you know i could probably just make this a live stream rather than trying to make a video
00:00:42.560out of like very thin uh content because i want to talk about a leger poll and that really doesn't
00:00:49.220need to be in its own video or it seemed like i'm just whining about a poll uh or if i was trying to
00:00:54.900do like talk about some minor things that the carny liberals are doing if i made a whole video
00:01:00.260about it it makes it look like i'm nitpicking rather than just talking about something i found
00:01:04.040interesting hello verinder thank you for showing up to the live stream it's going well br radian
00:01:12.300dawn hello karen ahoy yeah i haven't done a live stream in like literally let's even just
00:01:18.980see how long it's been. It's been quite a hoof since the last one here.
00:01:26.240We're going back to my content page on the back end of YouTube. I technically did one with Dr.
00:01:31.720Frances Widowson, but that was a little bit different because that was more so she just0.97
00:01:35.260likes doing live streams more than pre-recorded content because she likes being able to interact.
00:01:39.560But before that, my last live stream was August 18th of 2025. And it's probably good that I do one
00:01:48.740before we literally hit the anniversary of the last one I've ever done.
00:01:53.440But in today's show, I do want to pull out...0.99
00:01:56.380Blech. Moo. We're bringing up the whiteboard.1.00
00:01:59.700Because I want to talk about a new awful Leger poll
00:02:02.700that the Great Canadian Bagel, Chris, made me aware of.
00:02:07.180Chris, by the way, if you don't subscribe to the Great Canadian Bagel
00:02:10.360and you like polling videos, that guy's fantastic.
00:02:13.420He, in fact, even does all of the polling right now
00:02:16.680for the 1BC party in British Columbia.
00:02:20.020Oh my goodness, I haven't cleaned the whiteboard in a while.
00:03:57.940Just randomly, have you ever not done something for a while?
00:04:00.680And usually it's easy and fun, and then you haven't done it for a while, and you're like,
00:04:04.160oh my goodness, I don't want to do that.
00:04:06.860And I would always just be at the end of a day, or I just got back from Victoria working with Dallas Barone. I was just exhausted from the legislative week. But we're going to be talking about the Leger poll.
00:04:18.080now this poll just so you have the top line numbers uh this one shows the liberals i think
00:04:32.260believe they're still leading by double digits in their particular poll at the moment i'm not
00:04:37.840going to do bars because it's a bit difficult at the moment right now leger has the current
00:04:44.960polling in the country, 48% liberal to only 34% conservative. And then dropping markers
00:04:58.420all over the place. And then we have 6% MDP. We have 6% Bloc Quebecois. And then we have
00:05:10.7804% Green Party. Now, already, any poll that is only putting the NDP at 6 points is wrong,
00:05:19.980and I think any poll that is putting the Conservatives below 35-36 is also wrong.
00:05:26.520Even 36 is kind of a little bit too low, because although a lot of people do like the
00:05:32.920carny liberals, they see them as fighting back against Trump, you're not just going to see a big
00:05:39.080like 10-point exodus of conservative voters over to the Carney liberals when all the underlying
00:05:46.640problems of the economy are still there. Nothing has really been reformed. Major projects are
00:05:50.840still sluggish. If Carney actually got on his horse and started doing stuff, then I could
00:05:55.700actually see the liberals being at 48%. But no, not based on their current record, especially
00:06:01.980in the aftermath of the recession and scandals. I had one person point out to me in the new
00:06:07.300Abacus data poll, 57% of people say, yes, we are in a recession. I think only 23% or 27% say no,
00:06:14.720we're not in a recession. They did say, well, it's not that good for the conservatives because
00:06:18.320a large portion of people still blame Trump for the recession. But that's only 34% of the people
00:06:23.840who said, yes, we're in a recession, blame Trump. That's actually not that much. And that doesn't
00:06:28.480even preclude those people from voting conservative. You can blame Trump for the recession and still
00:06:33.400think over time that Carney sucks at dealing with Trump. But now I want to take you guys into
00:06:38.580the urban and rural numbers for Leger, and I can show you how pollsters like Leger come to just0.97
00:06:45.620these garbage numbers. So let's go first with the urban sample. Sometimes I like spell a word. I'm
00:06:55.660like, did I spell urban wrong or something like that? Maybe I did. I feel like I'm becoming
00:06:59.420dyslexic over time it's ridiculous anyway so urban sample from this leger poll they currently have it
00:07:08.460at 49 liberal which kind of makes sense that is urban canada they have the conservatives in urban
00:07:16.700canada sitting at 31 which i would actually say feels like a bit of an over poll considering the
00:07:24.060number we're about to get to in a rural area, Avi Lewis and the NDP are at eight, which again
00:07:31.340feels a bit odd. They should probably be doing better in an urban area. And we're not going over
00:07:37.260of course the block because we're not doing national numbers, but the Green Party in urban
00:07:41.500areas is 5% doing 1% better than they do just nationally in general. Now let's look at rural numbers.
00:07:54.060Rural, we have the Liberals in this Leger poll that's absolute hot garbage at 39%.
00:08:04.780I shouldn't have to tell you, the Liberals being at 39% in a rural area is a massive overpoll,0.90
00:08:13.500even including the fact that, yes, this is taking into account rural maritime areas,
00:08:18.700rural areas in Quebec and the territories.
00:08:23.740This poll only has conservatives at 41% in rural areas, with the NDP at 5%, which I got to say, if the NDP are only at six nationally, they should be at like two in a rural area.
00:08:39.080They might not even bother running candidates, honestly.
00:08:41.960And then the Greens are somehow at 3% in rural areas.0.97
00:08:47.500This is what people like me mean when we say that leger sucks as a pollster. This is way too uniform of polling between the national top line numbers, urban and rural. And there was also a suburban sample in here.
00:09:06.460Suburban was like 52% liberal, 33% conservative, and like 4% NDP, which is obviously another overpull for the liberals. But really, rural, 2% lead for the conservatives in a rural area?
00:09:21.280Have you ever heard of the province of Saskatchewan? Have you ever heard of the province of Alberta or northern or even southern British Columbia? Northern Ontario? Like, yes, there are some liberal rural seats on the border of Ontario and Quebec.
00:09:39.680You know, northern Saskatchewan is currently is currently liberal by a pretty small margin.
00:09:46.920And the conservative writings in Saskatchewan are being won by the conservatives by Saddam Hussein dictatorship numbers.
00:09:53.480And yet you'll still have the mainstream media see a poll from Leger like this.
00:10:00.160And they're like, oh, it looks good to me. Yes. Somehow the conservatives are only leading two percent in rural areas.
00:10:06.480And if you go to suburban, it's even more lopsided with the liberals winning 52 to 33.
00:10:12.480Have you ever been to a suburban area?
00:10:19.100But it's definitely not liberal country by, what is that, like 14 points or something like that?
00:10:25.780Let's actually just throw the suburban numbers in here just for the fun of it.
00:10:29.080But again, thank you to the great Canadian bagel for mentioning this to me, because it's absolutely nuts, the kind of numbers that Leger puts out in its crosstabs that are never questioned by reporters looking at it.
00:10:45.780This is the problem with having people who don't understand polling writing about politics, because they'll just take this and be completely credulous about it all.
00:10:55.880No complete credulity. They will not act like this is weird at all, that this is a suburban result in a Leger poll. 52% to 33% with the NDP sitting at 4% and the Greens sitting at 3%.
00:11:15.120i i don't know what to tell you actually wait am i doing doing this wrong no no no the greens
00:11:22.200actually on the rural sample were at four percent which i'm not sure if you've ever met someone in
00:11:26.740a rural area maybe on vancouver island in a rural area the uh the greens do okay but in the rest of
00:12:32.500They're not a small town business owner who runs a coffee shop.
00:12:36.420They're somebody who works as a public school teacher.
00:12:39.040They work for the local government and administration, and they sit on their computers all day.
00:12:44.160taking leger polls and they come from a rural postal code and now that person is speaking on
00:12:50.240behalf of the 80 people who vote conservative and even ppc the ppc does better than the mdp
00:12:59.120and the greens probably combined in a lot of these rural alberta and saskatchewan ridings despite
00:13:05.200being a thoroughly irrelevant party at this point but that is how like that is how like overall
00:13:12.080like right wing the rural areas are. So when you see something like this, throw it out. Throw it
00:13:19.440out if this is the result a rural survey is giving you in Canada. And by the way, if you see the
00:13:26.720Conservatives at 38%, 40% in an urban area, throw that poll out too. Unless we're talking about
00:13:34.440Calgary, that's not real. If you're in Toronto and you're seeing 40% Conservative, probably a bad
00:13:41.160poll result. If you are seeing a suburban poll that is putting the NDP above 15%, 18%, and it's
00:13:49.000not in Vancouver, probably a bad poll. That is just not what the cities are really like in this
00:13:54.280country. That's not what suburbs are like. That's not what rural areas are like. It becomes a 5 plus
00:13:59.0205 equal, or 2 plus 2 equals 5 situation. Throw a poll out if it doesn't make any sense to any
00:14:05.820election that you've ever seen uh thank you to cam tjr for becoming a new member really does help
00:14:11.740out the channel uh we have i have d1 s-r-o-y-d i hate how youtube displays names like this it's
00:14:19.700kind of annoying but thank you for uh super chat hey white i'm officially condemning you for not
00:14:25.020doing a live stream since pure poly is by election glad you are finally doing one question why do
00:14:30.46055% Canadians don't care about economy as they probably should, should do. I assume you mean
00:14:36.880in terms of people who vote left wing parties, like combined are around that 55% number overall.
00:14:45.080People care, those voters would say they care about the economy. And I wouldn't pretend that
00:14:50.300they don't care about the economy, but they care about the economy in a very different way that
00:14:55.400like a hardcore conservative voter does. So many, and I know there's tons of people who watch my
00:15:02.000show who are over the age of 50, especially people who are retired. Those are just the people who
00:15:07.020care about politics. You care more because you've seen more things happen over time and you, you
00:15:11.740know, with experience understand the, how much politics does affect your life. So you get more
00:15:16.680involved, but there is a large number of retired liberal voters because liberals are perceived as
00:15:23.820the party that will increase and maintain your benefits the best for your pension.
00:15:29.240Not as much the NDP because they're considered too radical on the economy that it freaks out
00:15:33.900people with pensions. And younger conservatives, they don't really think about their pensions as
00:15:39.560much. That's not their main concern in life. Their main concern is making an income and keeping as
00:15:43.560much of it as possible. So they vote for the conservatives. And I still think, I'm sounding
00:15:48.600a broken record. Conservatives do need to run on a bigger tax cut. They're running on a two and a
00:15:56.360quarter percent tax cut under $50,000 and a couple small tax eliminations around the industrial
00:16:01.520carbon tax or the gas tax. And it's like, I want to get rid of those too. Still, you got to run
00:16:07.420on something bigger than that, in my opinion. You can't just run on some small cleanups on the tax
00:16:14.100code, you need to run on massive tax reform, because people do believe that we are currently
00:16:19.340in a recession. But if your solution is too minor, you kind of just kind of get lost in the shuffle,
00:16:26.240people might not like what Cardi is doing. But if you're not offering something big enough,
00:16:30.040they don't really see you as an alternative either. Tiffany Elizabeth asks, is this alive?
00:16:37.660Yes, it is live. And I'm not some AI here talking to you in a rambling, quiet voice.
00:16:45.500Karen Law 43 says, yes, I agree. I'm 59 and I'm more involved in politics, but not for my pension for my grandkids.
00:16:52.700And of course, that is a far better motivation than your than just your pension there.
00:17:00.520Yeah, I know that's where I'm going to get to Maria.
00:17:03.660a back country brings up that's why we need to stop the friggin bailout absolutely the bailout
00:17:09.400is actually probably what i'd consider to be carney's first really big scandal maybe paired
00:17:14.800with the alto high-speed train those two combined are like the first big scandal of carney's like
00:17:22.060government there's been other minor hiccups there have been problems that have arisen but this is
00:17:27.360the first thing that's like what I would consider to be like a actual thing that may like changes
00:17:33.620people's opinions of the liberals especially young voters who want housing to be cheaper
00:17:39.340seeing the liberals bail out developers to maintain high prices is absolutely delusional
00:17:47.180and that actually will make people more willing to shift but in order to make that shift happen
00:17:54.240The Conservatives then need to not only have the right answer on that issue, but then follow up with their own better solution.
00:18:02.540So first, PolyEver has done the right thing of going after the bailout, going after the Alto high-speed train, not kind of sitting out wondering if people like the train or not sure what to say on the bailout.
00:18:13.680They've been decisive in attacking it.
00:18:15.780The NDP hasn't, which is actually kind of shocking, since you think they would say, well, screw those big developers.
00:21:03.580Here's actually what is going on inside the federal conservative party right now.
00:21:09.300There are people deeply dissatisfied with Pierre Polyev. They think that he doesn't know what to do right now in the face of Mark Carney's popularity. They'd maybe like to see a change in leadership, but they don't want to force Polyev out simply because they think Jason Kenney will run, and they all hate Jason Kenney so much that everyone is basically completely fine with Pierre Polyev sticking around.
00:21:33.720Now, Polyev definitely has a loyal faction, and I'm not coming down on this in any particular way, and I'm not doing it for political reasons like I'm trying to be everyone's friend here. I think Polyev's quite good. I think he needs to get better in many ways. I think he has a platform and the popularity to quarterback a good idea to victory, and right now he just needs that big idea because right now I find too many of his ideas small.
00:21:58.140He's going after Carney's failure and then following up by saying, hey, I think we need to get rid of the industrial carbon tax.
00:22:06.260And it's a bit of a snoozer. So I think Polyev needs to find a bigger issue to run on, like a massive tax cut.
00:22:13.000He's doing well with the trade issue. That's pretty good. But right now, I would say that his platform at the moment is thin, but he could be doing better.
00:22:20.540There are factions who like him. There are factions of MPs who don't like him.
00:22:24.260But the funny thing is the factions of MPs who don't like him are not going to force him out if there is a threat that Jason Kenney will run for leadership because Jason Kenney is just regarded that poorly inside the party right now.
00:22:38.100Many of these people used to work with him, but they see Jason Kenney as basically just being somebody jaded about getting thrown out as premier in Alberta and wanting some other title to mount to his Wikipedia page.
00:22:51.640uh raptor fan says why who do you see as an alternative for poly if a leadership
00:22:57.640election happens i genuinely don't know i am i'm not punting on that i would just say people need
00:23:04.360to prove themselves at this point i'll just keep dropping the link to my website and chat every
00:23:09.080once in a while if people want to sign up to the list and i'll again i'll try and reach out and
00:23:12.680start recommending good candidates to uh to vote for in nomination races as nomination races heat
00:23:19.640up towards the next federal election or if any elections happen provincially as well try and
00:23:25.820point out good people there's some people I was going to even try and endorse in UCP nominations
00:23:31.480in Alberta Ken Kennedy Wyatt for prime minister and he gives us money yes I'll just throw money
00:23:39.280out the back of a train and that's how I'll get elected let's be giving my money money back to
00:23:44.000you so it's not a bribe it's actually me returning the money to you like I'm Robin Hood in some way
00:23:49.640Yeah, Karen Law says Scheer already failed. And I don't mind Andrew Scheer as a person. But my problem with him as a leader when he was leader is he was far too reliant on bad advisors. I would say Aaron O'Toole was far too reliant on bad advisors, although I don't think Aaron O'Toole was ever really a conservative anyway.
00:24:11.400So it was a combination of him not being that conservative and listening to very not conservative advisors who suck at their jobs like Fred DeLore.
00:24:20.820And then Pierre Polyev kind of has the same problem.0.80
00:24:28.080In fact, I have heard, and this is not something to do with him.
00:24:31.420This is just a fact of life in conservative politics.
00:24:34.060The turnover rate in the conservative party offices, both party side as well as the parliamentary side, is like the front lines of the SOM in World War I.
00:24:46.980The amount of donors, kids who get hired and turfed within two months is quite funny.
00:24:53.420all these guys who kind of like to pretend that they're somehow like communications experts
00:24:59.200because they've once operated the social media page for a politician is very funny. All the
00:25:05.180people who are basically, you know, flashing their degrees in order to get into, you know,
00:25:10.360advisory roles. And then you find out they have like no mind of their own and they like to only
00:25:14.860play it safe because they're terrified of losing their jobs. And they then lose their jobs because
00:25:19.020they play it too safe and they get nothing done yeah it's it's quite something christine f says
00:25:26.580enough of cory i wish you'd go away and of course christine is talking about cory to nike who many
00:25:31.620people in chat are also talking about cj kanda a loyal member here says never jason kenny and the
00:25:39.720funny thing is i and i'm not again i'm not saying this to like split the baby and pretend to be
00:25:45.700everyone's friend. I don't mind Jason Kenney. I don't think he's a bad guy. He just shouldn't run.
00:25:51.020He just doesn't have the credibility. If he wants to run as an MP, that's fine with me. If he can
00:25:56.160win a nomination, fair enough. Voters chose you in that riding. Should he be leader? No, because
00:26:01.880in a crisis during COVID, he proved himself not to know what to do. My caricature of Jason Kenney
00:26:08.180was that he had been such a loyalist to Stephen Harper, which isn't necessarily a bad thing in
00:26:13.300any way. But he was such a loyalist that he got used to whenever he got trapped in making a
00:26:18.180decision as a minister, he'd run over to Stephen Harper and ask him what to do. And when he became
00:26:24.440the premier of Alberta, well, he was the top dog. And during COVID, when he was under pressure to
00:26:29.680lock everything down and mandate vaccines, rather than actually standing on principles of freedom
00:26:34.840and conservatism and free markets, he just buckled and gave all the authority over to the AHS. So
00:26:40.760he has lost, he failed the job interview for leader of the conservative party and prime minister,
00:26:46.680in my opinion, unless he goes out into the woods and just really reforms who he is. For the next
00:26:52.42015 years, I don't want him to be prime minister. You know, maybe I'd swap him out for Mark Carney.
00:26:58.480If that was the deal with the devil, I would do that. That's very, you know, fair enough.
00:27:02.240I'll do, I'll go ahead with that. Hero Workshop for $2 says, have you beat Battletoads Wyatt?
00:27:08.700I have not you know what I actually got this like mint condition copy of Battletoads for NES
00:27:14.780for five dollars at a pawn shop in Montana which actually I'm about to go to Montana tomorrow
00:27:20.620it's crazy how cheap you can get certain items in Montana at pawn shops because it's a bit of
00:27:27.100a depressed economy so people just find stuff uh from when they were kids and they just sell it to
00:27:31.800a pawn shop for like yeah I'll fill 50 bucks for my entire game collection so stuff that would go
00:27:36.600for $450 on eBay is just thrown out into a bin in a pawn shop for $5, and they probably
00:27:42.920only gave three, they probably bought it off the guy for $2.
00:27:47.680Yeah, I have about like 140 or 150 NES games at this point, which was borderline just for
00:27:54.200a gag behind me in videos of always having a rotating game.
00:28:00.800Mason says, if you shove out Pierre, not going to lie, lots of conservatives will become
00:28:06.480jaded and no one really likes anyone else. Fear isn't MAGA, but like MAGA, his support somewhat
00:28:13.360bypasses the party label. I would say that that is partially right. I know a lot of people really
00:28:18.620like Jamil Javani. I would say that I don't mind him. He's pretty good, but he'd have to prove
00:28:24.440himself more. Michael Barrett, kind of like him. He'd have to prove himself more. Chivaloy Majumdar,
00:28:30.560I like him. He has to prove himself more. There's just lots of guys who are either too green,
00:29:04.780in Calgary which is my favorite men's wear store in Canada it's really good they have great summer
00:29:10.820and winter sales so if you're a woman make sure your husband goes there if you live in Calgary
00:29:15.960they're actually really great and a bunch of the people there watch the show so shout out to those
00:29:20.140guys at O'Connor's downtown Calgary um oh so Bubbly Kettle says Northern Perspective did a piece
00:29:29.540today about how Mexico was reporting that Canada wasn't showing up to participate in the trade talks
00:29:34.780Interesting to hear third party confirmation of Carney's absence. And of course, we have the U.S. ambassador Pete Hoogstra today on CTV News with Avakshi Kapalos just saying that, yeah, there's been no movement on trade on trade talk since last October.
00:29:52.040He had previously already said that. That was like two or three months ago when I had been reporting on the fact that Carney is like terrified to actually negotiate with Trump. And now we have further confirmation that nothing has changed at all. And I think that's really it. Carney is terrified of making of looking like he lost to Trump. So I guess he believes the only winning move for him is to not play.
00:30:13.420um someone said ontario conservative party needs to replace ford with an actual conservative
00:30:21.800who puts ontario first and i that's why i promote the new blue party it's not exactly like i think
00:30:28.880they're ever going to form government it's just a good place to park your vote while the
00:30:32.640conservatives are not being conservative because at some point there is a party the party is just
00:30:38.300not doing a good enough job to justify voting for, and I think that is the current situation
00:30:42.920we have with the Doug Ford Conservatives.
00:30:49.060Aaron Gunn, or what about Coop or Brockman? I don't know who Brockman is. I assume you mean
00:30:53.740Coop as in Michael Cooper. I really like Michael Cooper. I'm not sure if he has the presence to be
00:30:58.780leader. I do like him a lot, though. Michael Cooper, I'd almost put him in the same category
00:31:03.520as like an Arnold Veersen or an Andrew Lawton.
00:31:07.160Would they necessarily make a good leader?
00:31:33.520People are asking about Corey Hogan. He's the liberal guy in the Calgary Confederation, so I'm not sure if he's going to run for leader, although I'm not sure if that's what Jamie is getting at here.
00:31:44.240stop fascism now is at is calling me why ass kkk clayton the child boy gamer so predictable0.91
00:32:01.080ever leave your basement you eving loser that's a fun one i always like when people0.99
00:32:07.580who don't like me bother showing up to leave comments. Dan Demand966 says, what's your0.98
00:32:16.260opinion on Bill C-25 basically destroying the longest ballot? Your thoughts? My thoughts would
00:32:21.840just be, I think that Northern Perspective and Ryan and Tanya Davies did a really good job on
00:32:26.800that file because they're kind of like the quarterbacks of that issue. Yes, there were
00:32:31.520people like Ned Keurig and other MPs who were also tackling the longest ballot issue, but it was
00:32:36.640probably their investigative work that got it pushed up as a priority. And without them, I think
00:32:42.860we would maybe be waiting another couple of years before we'd have seen something like Bill C-25.
00:32:48.300Now, I don't know the specifics of the bill. I just know that it's blocking a lot of the
00:32:53.280shenanigans that the longest ballot committee uses, like having somebody act as the financial
00:33:00.180or the agent of just as many candidates as they want. And it's making it so that the person
00:33:06.160actually has to be like a handing i'm not sure if they have to hand in their signatures in person
00:33:11.540but there's a bunch of procedures that are now in place that block the sort of things that the
00:33:16.460longest ballot committee was doing neon dreamer 98 asks why are you related to former nfl or chase
00:33:23.320claypool i've always wanted to know honestly if someone has the last name claypool it's probably
00:33:28.600like a 99 chance that we're related because there's not actually that many families with
00:33:33.480the name Claypool. It's not like Smith or Miller or, you know, other sort of common type names that
00:33:39.340you just see tons of. You know, it's not like a Valdez or whatever, where there's probably like
00:33:43.740tons of people from certain countries with that last name. Tweezy171 says, I still believe
00:33:51.640Polyev has a lot to go still in his leadership. I don't see him getting out as leader, because
00:33:56.360really, who else is there? Maybe Melissa Lanceman, but that's Stretch. I don't think Melissa Lanceman
00:34:01.740could be leader either. And I like general, I like Melissa Lansman. Fine. She's just good at
00:34:07.260her particular area of policy. She's good at foreign policy. And even today, she kind of0.98
00:34:13.040announced something that was dumb alongside Scott Aitchison. They're apparently doing some fundraising0.86
00:34:17.080crews for 2SLGBTQ plus refugees, which I ask, why? Why is that something that Canada needs to0.99
00:34:26.760be helming as a country. Why not some other country nearby the countries where people are
00:34:32.900fleeing from? That's one of those things where I think she is just too socially liberal to end up1.00
00:34:38.080being the conservative party leader. Too many social conservatives would frankly, rightfully,0.99
00:34:43.420not really want to support her as the woman in charge there. Karen Law says, I wonder how
00:34:52.740Marilyn Gladjew feels about being a useful vote, or did she mean useful, or did he mean useful1.00
00:34:58.280idiot? Well, that's basically what he means, but I don't think Marilyn Gladjew actually cares.0.98
00:35:03.360And here's the other thing I'd heard about Pierre Polyev recently from people who have
00:35:07.240connections inside the party. The one complaint right now is that they're saying that Polyev
00:35:11.960seems to be coasting too much, and that inside he's not really calling MPs anymore, keeping
00:35:18.360people in the loop, trying to meet with people. He's kind of just doing his own thing and not
00:35:23.240really keeping caucus in the know with what he's doing. Now, maybe that's not true. Maybe it is
00:35:29.320true. My thing is I at least observe in what he's doing. Just too many repeated lines, too many of
00:35:36.480the same speech is given over and over again. And by the way, my pet peeve right now is conservatives
00:35:40.880using alliteration in question period stop using alliteration i hate it i hate when people are like0.52
00:35:48.700this person's a not this isn't like a literal alliteration but you get what i mean where0.62
00:35:52.880they're like this person's a fake phony fraud and it's like well thank you madge from the new york0.60
00:35:58.920times from 1972 i hate when people use alliterations and they make everything sound0.63
00:36:04.760trying to make everything sound too corny and punchy all the time have somebody ask a question
00:36:10.480like a prosecutor have questions that aren't always about like there's too many questions0.99
00:36:18.240about the stupid flight that Carney took where he spent $250,000 or whatever the number was on0.98
00:36:24.160on food in flight food over like two or three trips that's bad I don't know why the conservatives1.00
00:36:29.960ask like a million questions about it it just makes that seem kind of I don't know it seems
00:36:35.520gimmicky to focus on stuff like that because to the average Canadian they would look at that and
00:36:40.060say, is this really the only issue that you have with Carney, is him spending $200,000 on food?
00:36:45.580Because my thing would be, if the person was killing it as prime minister, would we have a
00:36:50.940problem with this? And with the developer bailout and with the Alto train, yes. Even if Mark Carney
00:36:57.620was just killing it on every other file, he's amazing on immigration, he's pretty much on all
00:37:03.820other public finance issues in the economy, he's doing great on crime, he's doing great on the
00:37:08.100military he's doing great if he was doing great would we still have a problem with the food on
00:37:13.620his flights i think all of us would say not really we're totally fine with it if he's spending a lot
00:37:18.440of money if he's having oysters and champagne every meal of the day if he was making our lives
00:37:22.940better go for it dude that's that's only a cherry on top sort of thing if he's doing a bad job to
00:37:28.720mention but sometimes the conservatives go on and on about it and it's just a waste of a question
00:37:34.500The Alto train thing is something to harp on about.
00:37:37.640Because even if he was doing great, we would still say, hey, whoa, hold up.
00:37:41.400We're not spending $200 billion on a train nobody wants.
00:37:44.460Or on the developer bailout, we'd be like, hey, wait, no, people are trying to,
00:37:48.320people want to be able to afford homes in Vancouver,
00:37:50.240and we're going to pay developers to keep the prices high?
00:37:55.100But hopefully you guys get what I mean when I say this.
00:37:59.560Tracy Smith says, only Wyatt wears a sweater in the summer must be the AC.
00:38:03.920Well, I mean, I am in a basement. So that one person who hates my guts is right that I'm in a basement. But I don't know, I'm not going to put my studio on a main floor. I need controlled lighting and all that stuff. But yeah, I'm also pretty heat resistant overall.
00:38:17.700uh sorry some people were messaging me some questions here i'm a conservative boomers uh
00:38:23.680who's a member says and she's been a member for five months so thank you for being around that
00:38:27.860long hi wyatt my uh my fee clothes horse from patricia well thank you patricia oh yeah i've
00:38:35.940met patricia at the federal conservative convention thanks for swinging by chone 5761
00:38:41.780says for $6.99, if Skidmark makes a deal, he can't fear, he can't, if Skidmark makes a deal,
00:38:49.660he can't fear monger Trump. And that is also correct. If the liberals sign a deal with Trump,
00:38:55.800and it removes Trump as an issue, and now the liberals are, you know, living and dying based
00:39:00.920on the performance of the economy, without any pressure from the Trump administration,
00:39:05.580they would lose an electoral edge quite quickly i'm a conservative boomer patricia says for 279
00:39:13.220how is my uh oh wait is that did that pop up twice oh she just sent the same thing back but
00:39:20.520with 279 so thank you for that patricia and thanks for supporting the channel barking up
00:39:26.760the right tree for 699 thank you for that says with the saskatchewan ndp gaining seats with each
00:39:31.720election, what should Scott's Moe's move be? I don't follow Saskatchewan stuff enough. If
00:39:40.100anything, pretty much every time conservatives in a conservative province lose, it's because
00:39:45.920they're not being conservative enough. Have taxes gone down? Have they been really doing
00:39:51.780things on affordability properly? Or have they basically just been coasting? Even right now,
00:39:57.500I would say a big problem for Danielle Smith and the UCP in Alberta is that, well, where is
00:40:04.160the big tax cut? Why do we have a deficit? Why do we have such a big deficit? The price of oil,
00:40:10.380in fact, should make it pretty difficult to have a deficit. And maybe our deficit is going to be
00:40:14.640way adjusted down now because of the price of oil. But in Alberta, we should always be trying
00:40:20.400to make people, we should, the way conservatives should get reelected is they cut taxes, cut
00:40:25.100regulations, make life super easy, and then run on the fact that they did it. I don't like when
00:40:30.120conservatives basically just kind of keep things okay, and then they maybe offer a small tax
00:40:36.640benefit when an election comes around. It's like, guys, you're now going to be, you're going to,
00:40:42.400you're just hoping that the economy is going to hold up for the next election. If we have a
00:40:46.340downturn because of global trends, then Nahid Nenshi could win. Then Carla Beck in Saskatchewan
00:40:51.760could win if the economy turns down. The way that you prevent that from happening is that you
00:40:57.820aggressively cut taxes. Get to a 10% flat tax would be my advice to the UCP. If the lowest
00:41:04.840tax bracket's already eight, sure, that can be the one that's not flat. And then after you get
00:41:08.940above a certain amount of money, it just stays at 10. Super easy re-election. But I find even the
00:41:14.340UCP, even the Saskatchewan party engages in a lot of vote buying by targeting money to certain
00:41:20.220you know, industries and groups or regions in order to like say, hey, look, look at all the
00:41:25.200stuff we did for you because politicians love a ribbon cutting. But thank you for sending in that
00:41:30.000question. Elon Mars sends in $5 with no question attached to it. But thank you, Elon, for supporting
00:41:36.700the show. Cam TJR for $5 says, do you think we have an early election? If not, how much damage
00:41:45.300will be done in three years, and what if the Liberals get in again? Well, if the Liberals
00:41:50.840get in again, everything just continues to get worse. Will an early election occur? Probably not
00:41:56.620right now. The only time I'd say an early election would be called, or the only scenario,
00:42:03.140is if the Liberals' polling starts getting worse, but they don't think they're going to recover
00:42:08.420in three years, then they might try and trigger an early election to get another full four years
00:42:14.460before all the unpopularity sets in because they need to buy themselves some more time so they
00:42:19.540might risk it all then if they obviously lose a majority there could be an uh an early election
00:42:25.100which in three years isn't that unlikely for that to happen where the liberals end up in a couple of
00:42:32.500by-elections losing somebody because somebody resigned or someone crosses the floor and joins
00:42:37.320the NDP because they don't see the liberals as being zealous enough on certain issues or they
00:42:42.000lose someone to the Bloc Quebecois. It could happen, but right now I would say all of that
00:42:46.800is unlikely, and we're just going to have to sit back and see what happens for now.
00:42:53.680Wikenden1969 says, sorry I'm late. I didn't know you were live catching up on the rest
00:42:58.620of the usual sources of useful information. Well, thank you for the $5, and thank you for
00:43:03.640including me in the categories of useful information. Now I'll just get back to just
00:43:08.900normal questions and whatnot. And by the way, never feel like you ever have to donate to answer
00:43:12.860a question. I'm always fine with people not doing that. Steve Hess says for $5, why doesn't
00:43:21.100Polly have say no more protective custody for child sex offenders and get non-voters to vote
00:43:26.560for him? No more protective custody? Well, what do you mean by no more protective custody? Because1.00
00:43:33.920if you're saying that like the state shouldn't be uh like protecting sex offenders and whatnot from
00:43:41.320like you know from the public and whatnot that's a bit of a dicey uh situation because i would say
00:43:47.880if someone committed a horrific crime and they're likely to be potentially harmed or murdered the
00:43:53.180state does for legal reasons have the obligation to protect them i would say the better thing for
00:44:00.460poly have to do is run on far higher sentences for sex offenders, run on bringing them back the
00:44:07.040death penalty for multiple murderers. Easy vote getter right there. I think, you know, why not
00:44:12.380run on a stronger parental rights platform and say we're going to ban all child transitioning,0.99
00:44:19.100and we're going to make it so that we are not going to give the full, we're not going to support
00:44:25.300provincial school systems with as much money, with as many grants from the federal government,
00:44:29.960if they have something like SOGI, SOGI, the Sexual Orientation and Gender Identity Programming in
00:44:37.380their curriculums. If they have that, we'll cut the money off. So if we're in the game of protecting
00:44:42.400kids, which I hope we're all in, then I think it's more so you want to protect families and kids
00:44:48.060more than you want to go after the perpetrators. I still want to have higher sentences, but I
00:44:53.940wouldn't want to take away protective services from the government because, again, that is a
00:44:59.100little bit you know of a dicey situation where it looked like a politician is calling for like
00:45:04.100vigilante justice the shift is at the fan for two dollars says do these live shows uh do these live
00:45:10.700shows more often well i will try i will try and stop being so lazy karen law 43 for 13.99 says
00:45:18.400why do you think the u.s will do something if we continue with china what do you think they'll do
00:45:23.120if we don't stop opening the doors to china uh well thank you for the super chat and that's a
00:45:27.480great question. I think what happens with China, if we do not drop or soften our dealings with0.98
00:45:33.980China or guarantee we will go no further, I think that is what is going to cause the tariff
00:45:39.800situation and just sort of the lack of willingness to cooperate from the US to continue. That's the
00:45:46.420thing that's so pathetic about Carney. When he was caught on the hot mic of the G7, I saw it as0.97
00:45:50.900he's begging Trump not to have a problem with his EV, the EV dumping from China that he's agreed to.
00:45:56.540If Carney was smart, he would say, hey, China's trying to tariff us on canola and seafood. If you can help me out with that, I'll scrap my deal with China I just signed, and I will get rid of supply management.
00:46:10.040If he did that, we could actually get to a zero-tariff situation, but I think Carney ideologically doesn't like the United States and would rather get closer to China right now, as well as he's kind of too pathetic to admit to being wrong about something.
00:46:24.820Even though he's pulled back on the DST and streaming tax, it took him up until like the last second before implementation to finally quietly get rid of it when the Trump administration made it known that they were absolutely serious about hammering Canada harder if we didn't get rid of those things.
00:46:40.060Steve Hess for $2 says general population in prison uh oh so you're saying for sex offenders
00:46:48.820having protective custody in prison I still think the state does have a duty to make sure that
00:46:54.640prisoners are not being killed and frankly a lot of those prisoners if we were getting to who
00:46:59.000deserves to be harmed probably all of them do so the thing is I always I always never really like
00:47:04.200the sort of strange prison justice of like oh well yeah I've only hurt multiple women but you0.99
00:47:10.000hurt a child so I feel better than you they're all scumbags and I think that they should all0.99
00:47:14.140basically be prevented from doing violence to each other because that's really what those sadists0.99
00:47:19.280want and I would say that we probably need more solitary confinement for many of these people
00:47:23.580overall or again if they're murderers executions would be a good idea I think that executions
00:47:29.640should be brought back for people who dead to rights are first degree multiple murderers
00:47:34.640Scotty48R for $5 says, isn't it true the only real reason the Conservatives are losing federally
00:47:42.520is that they're being outsmarted? In part, yes. Right now, I would say the Conservatives are
00:47:48.720being outsmarted in the fact that the Liberals always pick what the election ballot box question
00:47:53.540is going to be about, and the Conservatives go along with it. Like in this last election,
00:47:58.140the Liberals picked the question was going to be about Trump, and the Conservatives never
00:48:02.480contradicted that and nor did they even try and make sure that issue would work for them they
00:48:07.900basically said mark carney thinks he's going to be tough on trump i'll be tough on trump too
00:48:11.280never say me too in election never never have your opponent proposing something and you're like me too
00:48:17.840i'll do that too or i'll do it better than him or he's not serious about it i am no you go after
00:48:23.240carney as being a weakling and talk about how basically he's the one who is making it easy
00:48:29.560the liberals have been the ones making it easy to push around Canada. That is what they should
00:48:34.440have been doing. But it was too much. Well, me too. I'll be hard on Trump too. It's like,
00:48:38.820make the election about massive tax reform. Make the election about massive social reform.
00:48:44.480And I found that they never did that. Steve Hess for five says, will the gun bans be scrapped if
00:48:52.960the Supreme Court says it's unjust, or will they find a way to keep them banned? I'm not sure.
00:49:00.120I don't really rely on the Supreme Court to shut this one down. They could maybe find another way
00:49:06.140of banning weapons. Really, in government, there's always another way of doing something,
00:49:10.100even if temporarily, until the court cracks down on your next mechanism. I would say that the best
00:49:16.380way of shutting down the gun grabs is doing, frankly, what Daniel Smith has done, and just
00:49:20.580saying provincial resources will not be used to assist the federal government in enforcing the law
00:49:25.780and force the government to eat their own bad policy decision, because this is a very unpopular
00:49:33.440policy for the liberals. And so right now, by having provinces just disconnect like the Yukon,
00:49:39.380Saskatchewan, Alberta, say, okay, sure, try and take people's guns, but we're not going to help
00:49:43.540you. It would be a massive money sink to try and collect almost even 1% of firearms. The Cape
00:49:50.060bretton experiment completely failed for good reason and now i think the mark carney liberals
00:49:55.880are even moving a little bit slower on it now because they know it's one unpopular two a money
00:50:01.860hole and three uh it is actually putting them in a hostile uh relationship with the provinces
00:50:08.080and miles 452 for 279 thank you miles do you see pierre changing the current strategies
00:50:15.640I hope he does at the same time I'm like halfway between pessimistic and optimistic
00:50:21.780so I'm an optimistic pessimist I think in the short run the conservatives think that they just
00:50:28.320have to wait for Carney to mess up and then they're going to walk into government well one
00:50:32.280we already know that Carney has up to three years so any real bump in the road Carney could weather
00:50:38.160and I also think and so one he can always weather the storm and the by the by the way if you don't
00:50:44.920have your own vision to replace the Carney vision, it doesn't necessarily just because people think
00:50:51.120Carney screwing up doesn't mean they're necessarily going to come and vote for you. Because why the
00:50:54.820heck should I vote for you? I think the conservatives never answer that question. They always say why
00:50:59.420the liberals are bad. And then by implication, imply that they're good. But so often they run
00:51:05.000on just blah kind of policies. You know, hey, Carney's going to give you 1% 1% tax cut under
00:51:11.600$50,000? Well, I'll give you two and a quarter, to which I think big whoop. Big whoop. Who cares?
00:51:18.220Under $50,000, you mean the bracket where you don't even get taxed on the first 20 or 18,000?0.99
00:51:23.780Who gives a crap? Run on a 20% across-the-board cut, including corporate, and a point off the GST.0.84
00:51:31.160Simple as. Maybe also get rid of the industrial carbon tax, too, obviously. That's fine, too.
00:51:36.520But your tax proposal shouldn't take 10 minutes to explain. And that's currently what the poly of tax proposal is like. And I've heard he relies too much on the Canadian Taxpayers Federation. Now, I like them. At the same time, because they are kind of supposed to promote both small government, as well as fiscal responsibility.
00:51:58.920I think the Conservatives feel like in order to please groups like the Canadians Taxpayers
00:52:04.300Federation, they need to balance the budget. And so they're not pushing aggressive tax reform
00:52:08.960because they're scared if they ever got into government, what happens if we don't balance
00:52:12.180the budget in the first year? To which I say, who cares? I like balanced budgets as much as the next
00:52:16.980guy. But how about we cut people's taxes first, and then figure out the balanced budget by maybe0.65
00:52:22.540year three or four of a government? I'm not allergic to a deficit if people are getting
00:52:28.000their own money back first. I've even talked to the Canadian Taxpayers Federation. They secretly
00:52:33.160are kind of okay with a deficit under the Conservatives if it was followed by or if it
00:52:39.020was following a massive tax cut. Some people are saying Outhouse, mentioning Steve Outhouse,
00:52:45.580the current Conservative advisor or campaign manager. I actually genuinely think Steve Outhouse
00:52:52.840is a good manager for Pierre. And when I say that, I like Steve Outhouse. At the same time,
00:52:58.800I don't like Steve Outhouse for certain things. No shot at Steve Outhouse. I think his campaign
00:53:03.420style actually might work well for Pierre Pauly because Steve Outhouse tends to not tell a
00:53:08.860candidate what to do. He is a very good technical campaigner. He will make the campaign very
00:53:13.420technically sound and let the candidate be the candidate. And in certain cases, that's a bad
00:53:18.460think as the candidate, their instinct is to be passive and not rock the boat too much and not
00:53:23.980take any risks. Danielle Smith is actually a fairly risk averse politician if you study her1.00
00:53:28.360for a long time. And I think with Steve Outhouse as her manager in 2023, she barely won because1.00
00:53:34.540she didn't take any risks and Steve Outhouse didn't push her to. He didn't push Lesley Lewis
00:53:40.620to take any risks in 2020 or 2022. And he didn't push Blaine Higgs to take any risks when he was
00:53:48.260running for his re-election in New Brunswick in 2024. So I think that's the thing that ends up
00:53:53.720happening with Steve Outhouse. But I do believe Polyev is instinctually a risk taker, which means
00:53:59.400he pairs up well with Steve Outhouse. Steve Outhouse does all the technical campaign work
00:54:04.460very well, and then Polyev can be Polyev. Whereas I think with Jenny Byrne as the manager,
00:54:10.820is she technically okay? Meh. I think as a technical campaign manager, and when I say
00:54:16.840technical. I mean, in terms of is the mechanics of the campaign working out? Is the messaging
00:54:22.380going out right? Are we spending money in the right places? Are we, is the tour organized
00:54:27.280properly and all that stuff? I heard there was a lot of problems on the tour for Polyev. Maybe
00:54:31.060that's not right. But Jenny Byrne is a meddler. She likes meddling in the messaging because she's1.00
00:54:37.240a risk averse person. She doesn't want to take risks. And so she tends to push people to kind
00:54:43.980of be more passive. Let the other guy mess up and then exploit them messing up by trying to fill in0.59
00:54:49.660the gap that they missed. And it's like, no, up against the Carney liberals. Carney is on policy
00:54:58.300as bad as Justin Trudeau, pretty much. He's a little better in certain areas, a little worse
00:55:02.600in other areas. Pretty much it's a wash at the end of the day. He's borderline no change when
00:55:07.200you average it all together. But Carney is never going to mess up in fantastical fashion. There's
00:55:13.600no picture of Carney in blackface. I can guarantee you that. I don't think he's ever been invited to
00:55:18.040a party. And so he's never had an opportunity to dress up in blackface at a party. And so you can't0.72
00:55:24.300wait until Mark Carney messes up. You need to aggressively bulldoze him with a better vision.
00:55:29.520You need to make him look pathetic and weak because you're so much more bolder than the guy0.99
00:55:34.680who said he was a financial guru. That's what you do with Mark Carney. You don't sit there like0.99
00:55:39.260with Justin Trudeau and you point over and say, look at this clown. Replace him with me and I'll0.99
00:55:44.480get it done. That was enough for Trudeau. Up against Carney, you can't say, look at this
00:55:49.000clown because he's not a clown. He's a boring gray businessman. Not a very good one. And you0.99
00:55:54.920can go after him for that. But the way you capitalize on him is you aggressively push
00:55:59.880a different vision. This guy's going to have to tell me what his name is because there's something
00:56:06.880about YouTube that's showing me people's apps rather than their actual channel names. But
00:56:12.820D1SR0YD, who's been a member for six months, asks, any career plans for the next 10 years?
00:56:22.040When are you thinking of transitioning to federal politics from 1BC? What are the plans targets for
00:56:26.7601BC? Well, 1BC and Dallas-Roddy, we are always just basically trying to push the Overton window
00:56:33.280to their political right in British Columbia. And I would say right now with Carrie Lynn Finley as
00:56:39.440Conservative Party leader, she's a much better leader than Trevor Halford or John Rustad.0.99
00:56:45.280At the same time, she needs to make big reforms. And I think right now, 1BC, we're actually still
00:56:50.480probably around about nine to 11% of the vote. We need to keep aggressively pushing to either
00:56:56.400change politics by forcing the Conservatives to be different or potentially winning four or five
00:57:01.680seats so that if the conservatives win a minority, we can force them to make the reforms that
00:57:06.180British Columbia really needs. And I have no transition plan from 1BC. I have no 10-year
00:57:11.980horizon. In fact, what I'd probably do is if I ever worked somewhere else, I'd work at it
00:57:16.780simultaneously with 1BC. I might even be helping somebody out in Manitoba over the next year or so
00:57:24.560based on how things sort of develop in that province as well.
01:01:22.480doesn't show Confederation nearly as safe. I really don't see the Conservatives falling down
01:01:28.680further while left-wing parties gain. The Greens are not getting 2% in Calgary Confederation.
01:01:34.580The NDP are not going to focus their resources there. And I don't think the PPC is somehow
01:01:38.780going to gain another 0.6%, nor is the Liberals going to gain. Plus, in the next election,
01:01:46.000we are going to have Alain Harper, Stephen Harper's sister-in-law, running in that riding.
01:01:51.700And I can tell you that is not a nepotism choice. It's not somebody where they're just picking Stephen Harper's sister-in-law because it's Stephen Harper's sister-in-law. She has been a professional organizer for a while. She helped win back Skyview in the last election. She ran a good nomination campaign against someone I actually know, Kelly Hopper, who is quite good. So she ran a formidable campaign against a formidable opponent.
01:02:14.720I think that really it's the campaigning in Confederation that was the problem in 2025.
01:02:20.180Plus, the Conservative Party ran the guy as the Conservative candidate who they actually kicked me out of Signal Hill for running against.
01:02:29.780I always have my literature here. I like to pull it out every once in a while.
01:02:33.420If you do not know because you're new to the channel, I ran for the Calgary Signal Hill Conservative Party nomination.
01:02:40.780and because I had like a thousand supporters and I was actually one of the more likely people to win
01:02:46.640alongside the former deputy premier Lila Ahir they kicked me out of the race because they wanted
01:02:53.840Jeremy Nixon to win the race and then they got really ticked at me because I made sure to tell
01:02:59.260all my people to show up to vote anybody but Nixon and drove like three four hundred people out to
01:03:04.800the got three or four hundred people to still show up and vote the ballot I wanted I had more voters
01:03:10.080than that, obviously. But a lot of my own people probably just disconnected once I was kicked out.
01:03:14.300I had tons of people tell me that they just canceled their memberships afterwards. But we
01:03:18.580made sure Nixon didn't win by seven votes. And then they just appointed him in another riding.
01:03:22.460And it turns out the guy who shows up to ridings expecting to win lost an actual competitive race
01:03:29.720because he couldn't stand up to me and Lila here in a competitive race. And he couldn't even stand
01:03:34.940up to the rest of the field who I endorsed afterwards. So why did we think he was going to
01:03:39.540beat a liberal when he couldn't beat conservatives in a conservative area. Whatever, I guess. I know
01:03:46.160maybe I'm just stupid. Maybe I'm just some knuckle-drager here. Karen Law says, could you1.00
01:03:56.020imagine if Pierre was PM and doing what Carney is doing? I heard he was left out of at least 19
01:04:01.920decisions in Canada because of his conflicts, but he has his clowns to do his bidding. That is0.97
01:04:06.800actually something I, that's a good reminder, because I did want to talk about that in a
01:04:10.580upcoming video. That is a big deal, because by the way, he is technically doing the right thing.
01:04:16.500He has a conflict of interest in a specific issue, and so he exits the room and lets, you know,
01:04:22.240his own cabinet ministers figure it out for him. He disconnects. Although the cabinet probably knows
01:04:28.380if they want to curry favor, maybe if a Brookfield company is involved in a bid, give it to them,
01:11:20.640one, I would say run on cutting taxes 20% across the board.
01:11:24.140And then you take that bold vision, that bold idea,
01:11:27.640And you go town to town, having town halls about it, handing out lawn signs of people saying, I support cutting property taxes 20%. I'm a conservative. Or getting people on board with that messaging. Because you can't just simply declare what the new party messaging is and having everyone follow it. You actually have to go out there and talk to grassroots people in person and talk to them so they'll talk to their neighbors and they'll talk to their friends.
01:11:49.980I think Polly of these days does too many events purely just to kind of somewhat stay engaged with the base rather than coming with a new idea.
01:11:59.500That's the thing. He needs to feel new. And right now he feels old in a lot of ways.
01:12:05.660Scotty for $5. Thank you, Scotty, says I've been door to door in Calgary.
01:12:11.340High density, massively socialist. Joe Ceci campaigned in other areas.
01:12:15.280uh yeah so you're right the lot of the high density parts of calgary can be much more
01:12:20.960liberal and left-wing although the the beauty of calgary is there's so much low density
01:12:26.300that almost every riding federally is absolutely winnable for the conservatives again confederation
01:12:32.740is the only seat that the liberals won and it was only by a few percentage points the conservatives
01:12:37.880just need to again um i think it was just they got lazy with their campaigning last time even
01:12:43.920provincially actually has become far more winnable because calgary buffalo joe cc's seat that was
01:12:48.840pretty much all downtown has actually been redistricted to being a little bit more suburban
01:12:53.540which is fair because before it was like a perfectly cut out riding that only the ndp could
01:12:59.260win because it was all high density and it's like well that's not a fair electoral boundary
01:13:03.560that's like you just drew the lines around every single person predisposed to vote ndp and nobody
01:13:08.760else um karen says you're awesome to still support the conservatives after that and well i would say
01:13:16.660and it's not like me maneuvering and it's like the right thing to do for my career or anything
01:13:20.760like that but it's like well what's the alternative well can i still make a change there is at times
01:13:27.520where you have to leave a party because you can no longer make change the conservatives are far
01:13:31.820from that they're not perfect but they're at least you can pressure them you can kind of bully them
01:13:36.100into making changes um what uh jody knight says why how do you pollster select participants
01:13:43.460we never get called and that's kind of the a long-running joke like everybody else i've also
01:13:49.480never seen a pollster in my life uh some pollsters use online panels which i do not like because
01:13:55.600they're opt-in people opt in to be part of the lege polling uh like polling sample and then they
01:14:03.020get randomly selected out of that sample. But the problem is if your base sample is already more
01:14:09.080left-wing than the general public, you are going to get a lot more left-wing results, especially
01:14:13.780if the pollster is not good at balancing the results. And like I showed at the start of the
01:14:17.860video when I was on the whiteboard earlier, you get absurd rural results where it's 39 liberal to
01:14:24.62041 conservative in a rural area. Like not a chance. Ones like Main Street Research will do online as
01:14:32.640well, but it's randomized online every single time. So they're not pulling from a pool that
01:14:38.520is opt-in. People don't know if they've opted in or not. Other surveying companies are getting
01:14:44.920people's random contact information. That's how they survey people. And then there is what you
01:14:49.420call IVR polling that other firms use. I'm not sure if Abacus does it, but I do know some do it.
01:14:56.420IVR is when you pick up the phone and there's a robotic voice saying,
01:15:00.000we are doing a national survey, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah. Hit number one if you support Mark
01:15:04.940Carney's Federal Liberal Party. Hit two if you support Pierre Polyev's Conservative Party. And
01:15:09.740then it kind of goes down the list. And then there is live caller polling where you actually have
01:15:14.080a live person on the other end of the phone asking you questions. Now, that's what people
01:15:20.140still do. If it's done poorly, sometimes that polling is terrible. If it's done well, it can
01:15:24.420be some of the most accurate. That's what Janet Brown does. And she is the most accurate pollster1.00
01:15:29.180in Western Canada, literally got the last Alberta provincial election within decimal points of what
01:15:35.840every single party got. She's very good. And that's why I say that the independence vote's
01:15:40.320not going to win. She has pulled it twice. One time, they got 30%, which is nothing to sneeze
01:15:45.840at. That's a lot of people. The second one was only 27%. And that was more recently. And I think
01:15:51.240the general vibe around the issue has been turning a sort of those swing voters off of it so you
01:16:00.060don't sneeze at 27 that's a lot of people voting for independence in a province where five ten years
01:16:05.660ago it would have probably been only 10 of people voting for it but it's still a far cry from
01:36:12.620I don't think women actually liked, there were some women who liked Trudeau because he was attractive. I think it was because at the time woke politics was popular, especially with women, and Trudeau was like the uber woke. And so at a time when the economy was better, I think there was just more women willing to vote for the social woke policies instead of thinking about the economy because the economy hadn't gotten bad enough yet.
01:39:23.880Rob Hellfire says he has watched Razor Fist. Heck yeah. He follows me on X, which is one of my prouder follows.
01:39:35.560What do I think about the Russian-Georgian war in 2008, and why do I have Georgian language statement behind you?0.69
01:39:42.540Well, I think that Russia was definitely in the wrong, and they were effectively trying to control Georgia.
01:39:47.400And they effectively came in in defense of people in South Ossetia and Abkhazia, which was just an excuse to basically try and invade Georgia over them literally just backing proto-communist separatists.0.56
01:40:02.380It was dumb, but that behind me, Social Smile, was a book that cataloged Georgian cartoons, Georgian political cartoons, from the czarist days until the end of the short-lived Georgian Republic that happened after the revolution between 1918 and 1921.
01:40:20.720Masterpiece593. I'm highlighting a lot of comments, but they're just setting me up for0.92
01:40:32.900good things to say. Wyatt, if there was anything that we, the public, could do for Pierre and the
01:40:38.440CPC, what would you recommend? Posters, sharing grievances with our grandparents. What's the
01:40:43.600best angle? I actually think the best thing to do is right now putting pressure on the
01:40:49.140conservatives to run on something like a 20% tax cut. It's just that it's not, we're not doing
01:40:57.480anything wrong. We're not, not believing them in them enough. I think it's more so that they need
01:41:03.420to do better. They need to be bolder. They need to offer something so different from Mark Carney,
01:41:08.560it gets attention. Because right now, I find that there's no magnetism from the conservative party
01:41:12.980right now. You want to cultivate as a leader in a party, magnetism, that your ideas are so
01:41:18.280bold and striking that people need to talk about them. And right now, I don't think people need
01:41:22.700to talk about what the Conservatives are doing. Would they be way better than the Liberals in
01:41:26.700office right now? Sure. But if your proposals are too complicated or too minor, it means that
01:41:35.800people, if they hate the Liberals, might just not vote. You have to turn the people who are
01:41:40.280leaving the Liberals into not just non-voters. You need to turn them into Conservative voters,
01:41:45.440And that often takes a big vision to run on. So I would say that we need to tell the conservatives to make the vision bigger, run on a bigger tax cut, run on more social reform, run on more immigration reform. It needs to be big or stop bothering with it. Because if you have to take 10 minutes to explain, it's a bad policy.
01:42:15.440Karen Law says, what about the hypocritical massive flying that Carney does when his
01:42:23.560book says less flying and we're supposed to sacrifice?
01:42:26.440I guess he would say he's a world leader, so he has to fly around so it's not hypocritical
01:42:30.600because not everyone's prime minister.0.66
01:42:33.700At the end of the day, I actually don't mind these people being hypocritical because it0.94
01:42:37.000just ends up undermining their own message.0.51
01:42:38.760So I'm happy to have Carney fly around as much as he wants.
01:42:46.320And VADEC 5909 also points out we have a lot of trees, which is right.
01:42:52.040We do have a massive emissions, kind of like, we have a good ability to absorb emissions in Canada.
01:43:00.380Now, I guess other countries would say, well, you just happen to have all that stuff.
01:43:04.960It doesn't mean that you're not emitting a lot.
01:43:07.080At the same time, again, if you look at the effects of climate change, it's basically nothing.
01:43:12.580And honestly, most problems when it comes to the environment are usually bad land management, not really because the climate's gotten significantly hotter in any ways.
01:43:23.400Miles Mandel says, I hype all your videos. You should have way more followers than you do.
01:43:30.040And I hope that YouTube would be nicer to me.
01:43:32.260I even got into a conversation with them where it seemed like they were going to help me with the problems I'm having.
01:43:37.580and then at the end they were just like maybe you should work on your thumbnails and click-through
01:43:41.320rates and titles and stuff like that and make more engaging content it was boilerplate nonsense
01:43:46.440when i've talked to all the other conservative youtubers in canada and they pretty much all
01:43:51.240have been experiencing just drops in reach for no reason even if they're getting way more views than
01:43:56.340me proportionately to how many subscribers they have they're still taking a hit like jasmine lane
01:44:02.040like Clyde do something, like Josh Udall, everyone is being hurt.
01:44:06.540So does everyone's thumbnail and click-through rate game suck now, YouTube?
01:44:11.360Obviously, they can't answer that because, you know, it'd be too revealing.
01:56:06.040um no i wouldn't say so although brookfield a lot of ways is kind of kleptocratic in the way
01:56:13.120that they operate brookfield in investments okay my my internet cut out there for a second
01:56:20.420but if you look at brookfield's investments and where they made money it was all these areas of
01:56:25.320the economy that are not productive green energy batteries stuff like that you know other form
01:56:31.640wind farms, whatnot, solar. They were involved in areas where you were only making money because
01:56:37.040the government subsidized it a lot. And I think that has kept up. They're invested in the Vancouver
01:56:42.300real estate market that Mark Carney just bailed out to the tune of billions and billions of
01:56:48.020dollars. They are in areas where effectively government regulations or grants and subsidies
01:56:53.720make it profitable. It's not actually profitable. It's profitable because the government throws
01:56:58.220money in. So in a certain sense, Carney's a little bit of a kleptocrat. I would just say he's a
01:57:03.820garden variety technocrat who thinks that it's the government's job to drive growth, to subsidize us
01:57:10.180into prosperity, which is absolutely absurd. And Liam Loves Metal says for 279. Thank you, Liam.
01:57:18.060Our politics aren't boring. The MSM slopaganda is. And that is actually a big truth about the
01:57:26.180The MSM, the mainstream media in Canada, makes politics boring, and boring politics oftentimes makes people think everything's okay. Everything's okay, and the only times they ever actually get heated about something is when they can attack a conservative, or when it's time to get rid of Trudeau because the liberals are becoming too unpopular and they need to force them out.
01:57:45.440But most of the time, they make everything seem like nothing in particular is going on at all.
01:57:50.840Hoping that makes voters comfortable to keep voting liberal.