00:00:01.000Ahoy everyone, Wyatt Claypool here and we're doing a live because I did promise I would do these more often and we actually have had a lot of big news stories as well as internal conservative news stories popping up recently as you may have seen from one of the last videos I made.
00:00:19.020There is like this really obnoxious effort going on right now to try and remove your poly of as the leader of the conservative party by allies of like Doug Ford and Jason Kenney and Mark Malaruni.
00:00:33.500Hey, Jamie, thank you for the W in the chat right away.
00:00:37.580But in this, I'm just going to go through a lot of all that stuff that we see going on right now, including Nick Kuvalis, the pollster ally of Mr. Corey tonight, having a meltdown, not just I was going to say the other day, but my goodness, he's been having a meltdown like every single day, including today.
00:00:55.340So we have to talk about his excuse making for why everyone, for why like their team is currently going after Pierre Polyev and trying to remove him as the conservative party leader.
00:01:08.960I already found the post where he's claiming that, you know, Corey Tanik and him, they didn't start this fight against Pierre Polyev.
00:01:17.000It was in fact, it's Polyev's fault if you think about it.
00:01:21.360We're going to go through this in just a second here, but I'll let more people get in.
00:01:24.860And we'll just start with this post by this Warren James person that Nick Kuvalis started going after.
00:01:31.100But Nick, if you don't know, he runs the polling firm Campaign Research.
00:01:40.700And when I say that, I'm not saying it like I don't like their numbers, so it's a propaganda pollster.
00:01:45.100I mean, he was the pollster for the main opponent to Patrick Brown in the last Brampton mayoral election like four years ago.
00:01:54.020and he showed her like neck and neck with with patrick brown it was going to be like you know
00:01:59.88042 42 in the race and he got like 50 and and nick cuvallis's client that he was pulling for
00:02:07.960got what was it like 28 it was absolutely pathetic yes it is it is real i am actually doing a live
00:02:17.520stream there okay aromatic i hate how they don't they show people's at names now and not their
00:02:24.360display names because it's always so much easier uh yeah i also i also forgot to mention caroline
00:02:30.440elliott was also one of the people going after um pure poly of recently it's all just so fake
00:02:37.560and lame all these people coming out of the woodwork being like oh my goodness pure poly
00:02:41.880i was like dividing the conservative movement because he took a shot at cory tonight it's like
00:02:46.020good nobody likes cory tonight apparently apparently a sleazy lobbyist and consultant
00:02:52.740is who everyone needs to stand up for the honor of in the conservative party like cory tonight
00:02:59.220had been firing shots at pure poly of for over a year since before the last election
00:03:06.160and i guess poly of is just supposed to take it if he fires back at cory all these people
00:03:11.720immediately go into the mode of oh my hey hey we're just trying to we're just trying to ruin
00:03:15.420your political career here. Hey, what's the big deal, man? Hey, I'm just trying to replace you
00:03:20.120with Doug Ford. You don't have to call me a liberal lobbyist from out east, despite that
00:03:24.680being a very good description of who I am. But whatever. And yes, and as Bob Scaffield here
00:03:33.280says, Brian Lilly needs to be called out. Now, I think Brian Lilly's commentary can be pretty good
00:03:38.520at times, a bit generic. I do see a lot of people sometimes overpraise people like Brian Lilly for
00:03:44.180having microwaved takes on an issue like a week after everyone else was already saying that very
00:03:49.860thing that he wrote. But Brian Lilly is a Doug Ford shill. He literally lives with the director
00:04:00.020of media relations for Doug Ford. He was caught doing that because he wasn't even actually
00:04:06.060disclosing that that was a relationship he had while he was just pretending he had an objective
00:04:12.180view when talking about the Doug Ford PC party. And that's why he was basically whitewashing a
00:04:18.260lot of Doug Ford's performance during COVID for him. Not again, not disclosing that. Well,
00:04:23.960maybe you only have that opinion because you are directly dating and living with
00:04:28.600his director of media relations. Rinder Sidhu for $2 here says Caroline Mulroney, not Elliot.
00:04:36.740Oh, well, I don't think anyone, Caroline Mulroney is not going to be running in the next election or next leadership, no matter when it happens.
00:04:46.400The Mulroney who is most likely to run is Mark Mulroney, because apparently the Conservative Party of Canada needs its own banker named Mark, and then will win, guys.0.98
00:04:59.080These people are completely ridiculous.
00:05:00.720John Iveson at the National Post wrote this really cloying article about Mark Mulroney at the Canada Strong and Free Network event in Ottawa, pretending there was like buzz in the room.0.95
00:05:13.940At the same time, and I like him, but, you know, I'm wondering who got him to make this video.
00:05:19.020Adam Zeevo made a video about how CFSN Ottawa was so dead, there was no energy in the room, and maybe Polyev's career is coming to an end or whatever.
00:05:29.140So you have to pick a lane. Is there buzz in the room for somebody or is the event pretty much dead?
00:05:37.580John Iveson is kind of a bit of a gadfly of conservative world.
00:05:42.460Whatever a strategy firm wants to kind of astroturf into the public's view, he will be the one to post it.
00:05:49.680So check out this article that he wrote back on May 8th of this year.
00:05:54.520John Iveson the buzz in conservative circles this week isn't about Pierre Polyev the quintessent
00:06:01.080of the the quiescence of Tory MPs could be for a lack of alternatives now one such possibility
00:06:07.880is making the rounds at conservative at a conservative conference and again it's funny
00:06:13.140because people were saying that it was a completely dead event and not many people were there which
00:06:17.340is pretty typical for Candace Strong and Freenauer but he starts talking about how like I need to
00:06:22.860find them when he starts talking about Mark Mulroney here. There we go. And then partway
00:06:29.200through the article, we just start talking about how apparently everyone's running around the room
00:06:33.960being like, have you heard of Mark Mulroney? And it says here, however, there is another name
00:06:39.140running up and down the corridors of the Ottawa Weston Hotel, which is hosting the Canada Strong
00:06:43.900and Free Conference. Mark Mulroney, the second son of former Prime Minister Brian Mulroney,
00:06:49.100who Mulroney was interested in running for the top job in 2019 after Andrew Scheer resigned,
00:06:55.480but ultimately told me, it is not my time.
00:06:58.780Seven years later, it is possible he could have a change of heart.
00:07:02.300The debonair CIBC Investment Bank remains a close confidant of Polyev,
00:07:07.020and Mulroney's wife, Vanessa, has advised the conservative leader, Anita.
00:17:06.120goes on to say last year after his loss Pierre went on to blame his campaign team and staff
00:17:11.560more proof that he's an immature selfish cry baby in fact it is the campaign team as to why he lost
00:17:18.680and I didn't even exactly see Polly of blaming anyone publicly for the loss like I didn't see0.97
00:17:25.160that at all but in fact it was still the campaign team the campaign team ran and encouraged him to
00:17:32.360run an extremely wishy-washy type campaign that focused a lot on old slogans and not a lot of
00:17:39.400like really hard-hitting policy ideas uh and but we're anyways we're gonna get to the rest of this
00:17:45.320yeah coval says i'm not kissing his ring i'm going to do whatever i can to see him out as leader i
00:17:51.160pray to god he becomes a consultant lobbyist and then i'm going to work on taking his clients away0.95
00:17:56.040from him one at a time for as long as i live oh as for as long as i'm alive this is so pathetic
00:18:01.880So Nick Kuvalis is trying to imagine a future where Polyev is no longer a politician and he's having to be a consultant so that Nick can be there pulling strings to take his clients away.0.96
00:18:14.060Nick Kuvalis, even though he calls other people babies, is himself a baby.0.97
00:18:21.300And it was pointed out by people like Northern Perspective in the comments of this and other people like Rick Perkins, who was fairly the former federal conservative MP candidate or federal conservative MP.
00:18:35.600I believe he wants to be a candidate again. And I thought that they both had really good responses to this.
00:18:41.180Rick Perkins says, give me a break. So childish, you guys. Grow up. Shame on us for campaigning
00:18:47.180in the campaign year, in the fourth year of a mandate, when you called an election a year
00:18:51.980early. Seriously, F off. Northern Perspective says, who called the snap election a year early
00:18:58.580when all of these events were already booked? Nice try. In fact, it was actually over a year
00:19:03.800early. And yeah, it's not Polly's fault. It was an easy election for the PCs anyways.
00:19:08.300It really shouldn't be. They're an absolutely terrible government. But that is the origin story, according to the Corey to Nike squad, that is justifying Corey to Nike constantly taking shots at him.
00:19:21.960By the way, I don't know anything about whether Polyev's people went to big city mayors and said to not be seen standing next to Doug Ford. That sounds fake to me, but it doesn't really matter if it's fake or real.
00:19:36.560I've never, Paulie have never took a public shot at Doug Ford the entire time. Even Jamil
00:19:42.520Javani, who hates Doug Ford, did not say anything about Doug Ford in that election. They let them
00:19:49.500go. Many conservatives endorsed the local PC candidate. And yet we're still, we're supposed
00:19:55.340to believe that whatever Paulie have did behind the scenes has been worth Corey to Nike going on0.88
00:20:02.260mainstream news pretty much every day of the federal election campaign to attack the poly
00:20:07.800of conservatives, to imply they're being too easy on Donald Trump, to basically continually talk
00:20:13.680about how it's a dying campaign and whatnot. And remember, the last federal election was
00:20:19.220extremely close. Even though the liberals won by like two and a half points in the popular vote,
00:20:24.980there were an incredible amount of ridings that were within a few hundred votes.
00:20:29.960The real margin between if the Conservatives became the minority government or the Liberals became the minority government was like 8,000 votes across like 40 ridings or 30 ridings.
00:20:42.300It was very, very close in a lot of these areas.
00:20:48.060RonnieBaby604 says, good Super Saturday today with Stephen Curran.
00:20:53.280Yeah, so everyone, if you actually live in the Vancouver area, make sure that you go out and help Stephen Curran.
00:21:00.520He's running for the North Vancouver Capilano by-election.
00:21:04.380I'll actually just drop the link in the chat here for Stephen Curran's link to the Conservative website is portal to it, I guess, if you guys want lawn signs if you live in the riding.
00:21:13.900If you live in the riding, definitely get a lawn sign, definitely volunteer.
00:21:16.780and if you live somewhat close by, drive into the riding, help place some lawn signs, help
00:21:22.440door knock a little bit. By-elections are very weird. Even though it's a safe liberal riding,
00:21:28.420it used to be held by the conservatives before Jonathan Wilkinson. And with really weird by-election
00:21:33.440turnouts and the green left kind of rebelling against Carney right now, you could end up having
00:21:38.720conservatives keeping their base together. They drive out enough people to beat the liberals
00:21:43.100because the liberals get complacent it absolutely happens by election upsets happen quite often
00:21:49.900um i'm sorry i'm trying to go down here i'll drop that link a couple more times just so people can
00:21:54.220see it if you guys want to check it out mickey says wyatt claypool here well that's not you're
00:22:00.860not wyatt claypool to my knowledge and uh candabud 23 says paul up here could be the whiniest bee in
00:22:09.180the country he is still correct on most things that's all i care about and so yeah um i don't
00:22:16.220even i don't think like obviously you're being facetious about that but like what i've never
00:22:21.100understood the the narrative that comes from the media and people like cory tonight and other fred
00:22:27.420delori does this a lot too on the cbc always saying oh it's loser talk the conservatives
00:22:32.460shouldn't be talking about corrupt things the liberals are doing they shouldn't oppose the
00:22:36.940really sketchy pipeline plan, that, you know, they shouldn't do that, because that sounds0.90
00:22:43.380loser, that's, that's loser talk, you should just be sitting there clapping for whatever the
00:22:48.260carny liberals do, apparently, that's, that's winner talk, winner talk is basically just saying0.97
00:22:54.540the current guys in government are doing a good job, so don't vote for us, that's always the
00:22:59.040implication, and I always ask, what is the point of swapping Polyev out with Jason Kenney, Doug
00:23:05.800Ford, Mark Mulroney, or Leo Housakis. Who is going to switch from voting liberal to Doug Ford
00:23:14.000or Jason Kenney federally? Who? There's no one that that describes. Who's going to vote for
00:23:20.240another banker named Mark running the conservative party? If anything, that will be taken as a
00:23:26.020massive joke. All of the conservatives couldn't beat Mark Carney, so they basically got their
00:23:31.000own Mark Carney. What does he believe in? All the same things that the current Mark Carney
00:23:35.400believes in with a little bit of tinkering around the outsides of policies. Oh, well, that's a
00:23:40.240great, that's like a tacit endorsement of Mark Carney. When you run on effectively the same
00:23:46.100platform as the current government, you are going to lose. Even the poly of conservatives in 2025
00:23:52.580ran on a platform that was too similar to the liberals. Liberals offering a 1% tax cut under
00:23:59.300$50,000? Well, the conservatives are here with a 2% tax cut under $50,000. Guys, you run on
00:24:06.940something so big, this is advice, you always run on something so big, your opponent will never take
00:24:14.300it from you. Do not run against the gas taxes. Because guess what? Mark Carney is not, you know,
00:24:20.020he's not against lowering gas taxes. In fact, he had a great opportunity because the Iran war
00:24:24.760heavily inflated gas prices. So the government, even with having, even if they got rid of all the0.99
00:24:30.860other gas taxes except the GST, they would still be bringing in pretty much as many, as high of
00:24:36.300revenues from gas as they would have if the Iran war didn't happen just because the prices were so
00:24:41.780elevated. But the poly of conservatives making that like a big thing, pushing them on the gas
00:24:46.080prices was not great because although the Carney liberals were never going to, you know, get rid of
00:24:52.780all the gas taxes that the poly of conservatives were asking for. The problem is that they'll at
00:24:59.100least go halfway and completely diffuse the point that you're trying to make against the government.
00:25:04.320Run on a 20% across the board tax cut, including corporate, including a point off the GST.
00:25:10.500The Carney liberals will never run on that. And guess what? Not only does that interest people
00:25:17.140because people think they pay too many taxes because they do, but also if the liberals oppose
00:25:21.960your plan it's an amazing counterpunch you they say that's unrealistic we can't cut taxes that much
00:25:28.360and so effectively what they're saying and this is what you would say if you're a conservative
00:25:31.720it's like oh so you don't think canadians deserve tax relief oh if you want tax relief apparently
00:25:36.760go down to the united states where the taxes are lower if you want to stay you know basically if
00:25:41.560you want to go bankrupt stay in this country like you have to run the patriotism you have to flip
00:25:46.520the patriotism book on the liberals. And I think that is very easy. But all these people that
00:25:52.740people like Corey Tanaik and Nick Kuvalis and Ben Woodfindon and Anthony Koch and all these
00:25:58.300individuals, probably Jeff Bollingall too, somewhere in there, all these people think that
00:26:03.500Poliev just can't win or he's doing everything wrong. And if you just let them take control of
00:26:08.540things, everything will get better. But all these guys don't really, they don't, they're not that
00:26:12.900conservative they don't run conservative campaigns they just ran caroline elliott's campaign into the
00:26:18.100floor they're not good at this i'm sorry and like there's no i don't even know how to like describe
00:26:25.980what these people believe because they truly just don't believe in anything but if you want to win
00:26:31.760an election you need to be different than all the all the other parties you need to be very different
00:26:37.260but the people that these guys want to run as leader leo hussakis may be being the most
00:26:42.200conservative would still pretty much be a leftward shift from Pierre Polyev. I think Polyev should
00:26:48.440be taking a rightward shift right now, but they'd be a leftward shift to which what is the point of
00:26:53.620showing up and voting for you if you're offering effectively the same product as the current
00:26:58.340government? People show up to vote for the current product by voting for the incumbent. They don't
00:27:04.360vote for the current product by voting for somebody who's going to change the color of the current
00:27:08.760product. Uh, sorry, I'm just trying to find some good comments here. Uh, dub says you can't promise
00:27:29.380things to such a widespread population. The only thing everyone could agree on is money. Uh, are
00:27:35.020you saying that you can't offer like a 20% tax cut or something like that? In a lot of ways,
00:27:39.920I think that that's like that. The thing, the reason I always bring that up is I think it's
00:27:43.320like one of the safest, really big, bold policies you can run on in the sense that your opponents
00:27:48.900are never going to do it. It's pretty audacious to cut taxes that much. And anyone who would
00:27:54.200attack the plan and they're like, well, you're going to run a deficit for a year or two. It's
00:27:57.620like, well, of course I am. I was left with a deficit and first I'm going to fix the economy.
00:28:05.020uh brent uh brent howard says 12 flat tax no tax on on on ot or tips and i don't think you
00:28:16.040could probably run on a flat tax right now in alberta you could run on a flat tax i think the
00:28:20.520danielle smith ucb should absolutely be trying to run on a 10 flat tax tax bring us back to that
00:28:27.240although i do believe the first um i do believe the first bracket in alberta for income taxes is
00:28:35.140eight percent so i would say okay that one can remain eight all the other ones will then flatten
00:28:40.180out back to 10 so we'll bring our highest one from like 15 to 10 and some of the other ones
00:28:45.160will go from like 12 to 10 or 13 to 10 and people are oh that's giving a lot of money back to rich
00:28:49.740people it's like okay well rich people pay all the taxes so get over it um
00:28:57.240Alex Morales here says, Nick Nanos has to do what the Liberals say.
00:29:04.220If Nick talked about the Conservative Party,
00:29:06.760Liberals would do everything they could to destroy him.
00:29:09.540I assume that you're talking about in terms of a lot of the guys in the media
00:29:12.680who end up kind of being shills for the Liberals.
00:29:21.160Kebab says, I saw something on X that said Carney cut healthcare by 15%.
00:29:26.180how would anyone not be talking about that? I don't think that's true. He's been cutting some
00:29:31.960public servants, but even then, he's not even really being that conservative about it.
00:29:38.820They're basically just offering mostly early retirement to people to try and cut down on
00:29:44.400payroll costs, but they're not really dealing with the really big wastes of money, which
00:29:50.480is frankly in welfare and social spending the great hey guys by the way great reason to massively
00:29:57.020cut taxes is that if you cut taxes down massively there's going to be less people on welfare because
00:30:04.180businesses can expand and hire more people people actually work more and also people are motivated
00:30:10.580to get a job because well it doesn't feel like if you do get a job you're immediately paying
00:30:15.300through your nose to the government again. So why not just sit on social security and EI?
00:30:20.880You will be able to cut down massively on welfare spending if it pays more to work than be on
00:30:26.640welfare in many people's minds. Obviously, welfare doesn't pay as well as a really good office job.
00:30:33.060But I'm saying in the psychology of some people, how many people stay on EI longer? Because
00:30:37.940it's just kind of thankless working in Canada. So I'm going to sit on for the full six months
00:30:43.480that I'm allowed to. And then I'll go find a job. If the jobs were plentiful, and the taxes were
00:30:49.920much lower, I don't think there would even be a beat skipped between someone losing one job and
00:30:54.420going to get another one. And by the way, probably nobody would be getting not very many people would
00:30:58.820be laying being getting laid off outside of for incompetence. If companies were able to save a lot
00:31:03.460of money, 20% corporate tax cut and a 1% GST cut would automatically bring down grocery costs.
00:31:09.960And I would even, I would even, if I was like prime minister or even premier and I was cutting corporate taxes. Now in Alberta, it's not, there's no PST, but if I cut down corporate taxes in Alberta as the premier, I'd want all the major grocery store chains to send a representative so I could tell them you're going to lower prices tomorrow because I don't want this whole media thing going on where I cut taxes and you guys take three or four months to evaluate your new price points.
00:31:38.360do it right away because the media is going to pretend like, oh my goodness, look, you guys are
00:31:42.360being greedy by not lowering your prices, even though taxes were lowered. You have to do it ASAP
00:31:47.440because that is how you win public approval. You do something and people immediately see a change
00:31:53.480because sometimes when the change comes in too slowly, people just don't notice. They just think
00:31:58.000that this is some general trend that's going on. They don't notice the price fell very much over
00:32:03.600the next year or whatever. You want the price drop on eggs to be immediate. You want it to be like
00:32:09.70010% less the next day. That's what I think that people like Premier Smith should frankly be doing
00:32:15.720for re-election. Cut down taxes quite a bit preemptively and get the companies to immediately
00:32:22.920bake that lower tax point into their prices. It will make everyone like you way more. Although
00:32:28.380I think that Danielle Smith's going to cruise pretty easily to re-election. The amount of seats1.00
00:32:32.540she has is mostly just up for grabs at this point. Cam TJR says, do you find it annoying
00:32:39.640too when the liberals think the 18,000 jobs in June is a win? Oh my goodness, yes. No,
00:32:46.400the 18,000 jobs is pathetic. We got 18,000 jobs and they're mostly part-time. And by the way,0.93
00:32:52.820they're mostly seasonal. People keep saying, but Wyatt, they're seasonally adjusted jobs.
00:32:57.500They're seasonally adjusted, Wyatt. Well, the May job numbers were seasonally adjusted, and yet the vast majority of areas where jobs were created was food, hospitality, and construction. That sounds like summer construction, summer restaurant jobs, and summer hotel jobs. I don't know what to tell you, guys. It's a seasonal job.
00:33:20.240They seasonally adjust out the jobs that reoccur every single year in the exact same place.
00:33:26.240They can't really, the government doesn't have the time of day to really seasonally adjust the job numbers out because it's too difficult to figure out if a new job is going to be permanent or not.
00:33:36.800And yet, so basically, unless a dairy queen has been rehiring the same person every summer, they don't seasonally adjust that individual out.
00:33:45.360but yeah so we have an economy where we're only adding 18 000 jobs in june at the same time we
00:33:53.220lost a bunch of manufacturing jobs and we just created a bunch of hospitality jobs and apparently
00:33:58.200we're supposed to give mark carney a big victory back massage over the whole thing he he invented
00:34:03.620stampede guys he effectively invented the stampede he invented summer music festivals that's where a
00:34:10.300lot of jobs are being created. And that's why these are not seasonal jobs is because these festivals,
00:34:15.840stampede jobs, some of those might be seasonal, but a lot of stuff is not reoccurring. It's a
00:34:21.020festival that might happen again every year. But the thing is that the people who are being hired
00:34:26.340and the roles that they need are not always the exact same. So they just get included as if they
00:34:31.160might be permanent in the future. The liberals and the media are never going to circle back to when
00:34:36.160the job numbers start falling off a cliff in September and October and say, oh, well, too bad.
00:34:42.180I guess those jobs weren't real. No, no, no. They will promote the good news and they will
00:34:46.540just silence the bad news. And then they'll blame it on Trump's or Peer Polly of somehow.
00:34:54.160Mickey says nothing stresses Wyatt out except having to seek the approval of his subordinates.
00:34:58.980I don't know. I don't have subordinates. I don't know people who are subordinate to me.
00:35:02.960uh yeah should i get into something here i'll do i'll do it maybe later in the video or whatever
00:35:09.400stuff i'm i'm thinking about doing so karen law 43 for 1399 thank you karen for that why do you
00:35:18.040think that carney actually has the support that is reported or is it all lies i was 10 minutes
00:35:23.580late did you talk about the fact that carney's capitulated on the gordy howe bridge i haven't
00:35:28.340talked about the gordy howe bridge thing yet but maybe this is a good intro into it
00:35:32.280Um, do I think that Carney's approval ratings are generally accurate? I actually do think they're
00:35:39.880generally accurate, maybe a little bit juiced up because some of these pollsters tend to have a
00:35:44.960little bit more of a left leaning sample. The reason that Carney has a high approval rating
00:35:49.640is because I think it's his personality. It's not that people love him. I don't think that
00:35:54.280if you look at sometimes the underlying numbers on his approval, people will be like, yes, 55%
00:35:59.860approval or whatever. But then you look under the hood and there's 20% of people who strongly
00:36:04.580approve of him. And there's a lot of people who somewhat approve of him. I think that Carney is
00:36:09.360the type of guy who is always going to have a lot of somewhat approval. And if he ever gets
00:36:13.780unpopular, it's never going to be strong disapproval. It's going to be somewhat disapproval.
00:36:19.360He's kind of a boring personality who's hard to dislike. Now, when I say hard to dislike,
00:36:23.640I mean, like, I don't like the guy. I cover politics all day. So I kind of know what the
00:36:28.080guys like. When you walk around watching hockey or the World Cup and you kind of pay attention
00:36:34.200to politics a little bit in the background, watching the evening news or seeing some headlines
00:36:38.640on Google, you don't really ever get the impression that this is like a monster or anything
00:36:44.160like that. Or he's not enough of a clown like Justin Trudeau, where the average person who's0.96
00:36:49.200even trying to avoid the news is rolling their eyes every time they see him. Carney is just0.98
00:36:53.480not that kind of a person. Now, again, whenever you see approval ratings of Pierre Polyev,
00:36:59.360and he's at like 35% or whatever, in terms of his approval rating, it looks very low.
00:37:04.640That's the approval rating every conservative from the start of time has had. Every conservative
00:37:09.840is always between mid 30s and the low 40s. They have never moved past that. If you actually watch
00:37:17.340the polling, even when back in late fall and winter of 2024, when the Polyev Conservatives
00:37:27.740were averaging a lead on the Liberals of like 17%, Polyev had a 40%, 42% approval rating.
00:37:36.640After that happened and we were going into the federal election, Polyev had around a 39%
00:37:42.460approval rating. It hasn't budged an inch. Liberal Canadians are encouraged to think that
00:37:48.120Conservatives are mean and terrible, and so they always say they disapprove of them in some way in
00:37:52.980the polls, whereas Conservatives are just encouraged by their own party to think that0.99
00:37:57.280Carney and his people are kind of incompetent. They don't know what they're doing. Now, I think
00:38:02.160they're fairly contemptible individuals, but the average Conservative person just thinks that,
00:38:07.940you know, Carney's not, you know, Carney's overselling a lot of things. You get some things
00:38:12.360done well and other things are not done well. Or, you know, even if they think he's not doing a lot
00:38:18.120well, he's not a bad guy. And so they'll say disapprove, somewhat disapprove at most. And
00:38:23.460sometimes they'll even say, well, I somewhat approve of him because he seems well-meaning.
00:38:27.500That is what kind of ends up happening. Although I actually think this Gordie Halbridge thing
00:38:32.600could hurt him fairly badly now i've only i've kind of been stymied a little bit whenever i
00:38:38.260predict that a certain thing might hurt uh mark carney's approval rating something else happens
00:38:43.700that's completely disconnected so i don't we don't really get like a clear week week or two
00:38:48.160of that being the big issue and seeing how it affects carney so i think there was something
00:38:52.360else i was tracking before that i was assuming was going to start hurting carney and then the
00:38:57.420pipeline announcement happened i'm like okay it's going to be like a week or two or a couple months
00:39:01.660of people thinking like, oh, wow, he's Mr. Pipeline. Oh, wow, he must really like pipelines.
00:39:06.020He just announced a pipeline that has no feasible way of actually happening. That's fantastic.
00:39:12.440Now, is the pipeline going to happen? It could happen in like 15 years, at which point whoever's
00:39:18.540finishing the pipeline has nothing to do with Mark Carney. It's like, okay, well, we have this
00:39:24.120postcard from 15 years ago of Mark Carney saying we should maybe build a pipeline. And people are
00:39:28.860going to credit it to him and be like, oh, wow, look at Mark Carney getting a pipeline built.
00:39:32.300And he'll be at the ribbon cutting or whatever. And they'll be like, you know, this all really
00:39:35.680happened because you very limply told Daniel Smith, maybe we can have one. And apparently
00:39:42.220that is enough to get credit in Canadian politics. But with the current situation we're in, if
00:39:47.740nothing big happens to make Mark Carney look good in the next couple of weeks, whether it's real or
00:39:53.760fake. I do think the Gordie Howe bridge thing will affect him. It is just such an obvious loss.
00:40:00.620It is just so obviously a bad look for the liberals that they just gave over 50-50 revenues on a
00:40:06.700bridge that, one, Carney was not involved in building. You know, thanks Carney, you showed up
00:40:12.080at the last second to immediately give away our revenues. And Canada did, in fact, pay for the
00:40:16.700entire bridge. Now, I actually kind of like Donald Trump in a lot of ways. I like his policies. I
00:40:21.200don't like his tariffs. I don't like certain other things he does. But overall, I can understand his
00:40:25.780attitude on politics and whatnot. I can like him at certain stages, dislike him at certain stages.
00:40:31.180I call balls and strikes on him. He is absolutely wrong on the Gordie Howe Bridge. Now, maybe there's
00:40:36.180an argument that the Americans are making that we pay for all your protection and whatnot. So we
00:40:41.180should have the revenues of the bridge. And we're maybe going to have a disproportionate duty to
00:40:46.700provide security and anti-terrorism stuff for the bridge? Maybe. They never vocalized that,
00:40:52.400so I have no clue what their argument is. Really, I think it's just because Trump wanted to dunk on
00:40:56.960Mark Carney, and he did, and Mark Carney gave him everything he wanted pretty much in exchange for
00:41:03.120absolutely nothing. Why not, if you're Mark Carney, fly down to Washington and then use,
00:41:09.580if you're going to concede on the Gordie Howe Bridge, at least use it as a bargaining chip to
00:41:14.300get a trade deal. I've heard actually that apparently they're slightly softening some
00:41:19.640supply management rules in Canada right now, where they're giving a little bit more of the
00:41:23.980dairy quota over to Alberta, or they're just giving those current dairy farmers a little bit
00:41:29.420more. Although you're, you're still kind of cut out of the system if you're not already a dairy
00:41:32.980farmer. But if we're already somewhat softening the system a little bit, why don't we just use
00:41:40.520that as a bargaining chip to get a trade deal. I have no clue. But anyways, sorry, I had to catch
00:41:46.900up on all this stuff, people. Mickey says, what kind of bear is best? I hear that there are two
00:42:03.500schools of thought. I reject both schools of thought. I like the sun bear. I think the sun
00:42:08.500Bear was very cool. Hello from Sudbury. Well, thank you for checking in from Sudbury. Yes,
00:42:17.380Nelson Cade, absolutely right. This is my big complaint about Blaine Higgs, despite the fact
00:42:21.960I would have called him at the time still the best premier in the country. Blaine Higgs,
00:42:26.460the former PC premier of New Brunswick, he ran three surpluses in New Brunswick,
00:42:32.540which sounds impossible. You somehow got Maritimers to balance a budget. That is some
00:42:37.420sort of magic I do not have access to. At the same time, you don't run on cutting PST by two
00:42:44.220points. You cut the PST by two points like a year and a half before, and then you let people live
00:42:50.480with that change, and you run on the fact that you cut PST by two points, and maybe say, I'm going to
00:42:55.460do a third, and you just, you keep pushing. But I don't like when politicians get comfortable day
00:43:01.080to day. Things are going pretty well, and we kind of turtle up. Harper was doing a pretty good job
00:43:07.000in his majority term. But in 2015, he kind of just ran on the fact that, well, I've done a pretty
00:43:12.420good job. The problem is he never did anything so spectacular. People really want to see what
00:43:17.280he's going to do next. That's the problem is I think that they kind of let the liberals and
00:43:22.000Justin Trudeau have the momentum. Even frankly, Tom Smallcare almost had more momentum than
00:43:27.300Stephen Harper in 2015. He had the incumbent advantage. But why are you going to vote for
00:43:32.060Stephen Harper his entire campaign was about well these other guys aren't ready they're going to do
00:43:37.720all these big things and it's like you know in certain sense you're not scaring people sometimes
00:43:41.880people get restless and they want a government who does big things so just because you're a
00:43:45.220conservative doesn't mean that you sit there and you don't do stuff you can do big things in a small
00:43:50.620government way that doesn't involve giving anyone money that involves massive deregulation or
00:43:55.820involves taking a point off the GST and involves you know some sort of new oil pipeline plan that
00:44:01.620you launched right before the campaign that I want to build three pipelines by the year 2030
00:44:06.240or something like that. That's what you do. You don't just sort of sit there and hope that your
00:44:11.400opponents are viewed as too radical to replace you. You got to make sure that you're so good
00:44:16.220that nobody would want to change teams. Yes. So as Alan Gratton here says, from what I was saying
00:44:25.500earlier, and getting people off social assistance and back to work actually increases tax revenues.
00:44:29.960Absolutely. It's not even that we cut down on our welfare spending. It's that we literally
00:44:35.720increase the revenues. Not only do we have revenues back because we're not having to spend on those
00:44:40.120people, but those people are then becoming contributors. Maybe I'd even like a big tax
00:44:45.540exempt zone of the poly of running on the first $25,000 on your income not being taxed, and then
00:44:53.740also running on a big tax cut. Because frankly, people making less than $50,000 a year are not
00:44:59.500paying a lot of taxes. We all pay taxes in that range. That's not where the bulk of taxes are
00:45:04.600coming from. It's a very small portion. And maybe let's not lower the GST, but let people keep their
00:45:10.660own money and they'll spend more money and the government will get it back in some way or another
00:45:14.180anyways. But at least the person was able to benefit a little bit by being able to spend it
00:45:18.780on something rather than it just being cut right out of their paycheck at the end of the day.
00:45:23.840uh distrooid distroid i i see him on on x a lot too but i can but again i don't like the way that
00:45:33.240youtube is displaying people's names as their at symbol because a lot of people just have
00:45:36.920garbled up stuff as their at uh he says and thank you for the 1399 super chat hey wyatt do uh do i
00:45:44.420think pierre is not fighting hey wyatt why do i think pierre is not fighting to win he's just
00:45:49.580waiting for Carney to lose. Pierre is like everything is going to be the same, but with
00:45:54.560one minor pipeline and 1% less tax, no ICT. Now, I'd agree with that. And that's my thing.
00:46:01.140Sometimes the criticisms of the Conservative Party feeling a little out of ideas is not even
00:46:06.840exactly wrong. It's that I disagree with people like Corey Tanik and these guys, because frankly,
00:46:12.740they're not conservatives. They're not going to push bold conservative policies. My thing is we
00:46:16.300just shouldn't be swapping out the leader because it's not a leadership problem. It's more of a
00:46:21.100culture problem inside the Conservative Party that they're basically sitting there as the government
00:46:26.340in waiting, hoping that Carney just like falls on his face, you know, slips on a banana peel and
00:46:32.000just gives the Conservative Party the government. As I was saying before, Mark Carney is a boring
00:46:39.280person. He is not spectacular anything. So if he screws up, it's not going to be a big looking
00:46:45.540screw up. Even if it's a really bad thing, it'll take like an hour to explain to people why it's
00:46:50.020so bad. He's also not so fantastical that whenever he does something, it seems amazing. He's just
00:46:55.660boring. And so the conservatives, if they want to win, they're really going to have to grab for that
00:46:59.920brass ring and run on a big, bold policy plan on social issues, criminal justice, taxes, foreign
00:47:09.740policy, I would run the next campaign on massively cutting taxes, some pro-life reforms and cutting
00:47:15.980China out of Canada. Great, great, easy things for people to remember. And in fact, you'll win1.00
00:47:21.980a lot of Chinese voters because they hate the CCP like rats hate rat poison. But anyway, so I think0.99
00:47:30.180that the I have had some positive conversations in the background with people involved in policy
00:47:35.960in the Conservative Party, and they are looking for more of that kind of big turn, rather than
00:47:41.660these kind of little, hey, can you take the tax off this? Or hey, can we get rid of the industrial
00:47:46.680carbon tax? Because I also dislike the industrial carbon tax. The thing is that, one, it's not,
00:47:53.520let's put it this way, it's not very sexy to get rid of the industrial carbon tax.
00:47:57.580What does that mean to the average person? You talk to somebody in their 20s, and you say,
00:48:01.780we're going to get rid of the industrial carbon tax. What's that person thinking?
00:48:05.660What's that worth? $5? $10,000? What is that actually worth to me? Now, I think the conservatives
00:48:12.200have said it's somewhere in the ballpark of it's going to save you $1,200 a year. Maybe that's
00:48:18.620right. Although parties sometimes overestimate a little bit when it comes to how regulatory taxes
00:48:23.940end up affecting you personally. It does affect you. It's just how much of a benefit is really
00:48:29.040going to end up coming to you if we get rid of the industrial carbon tax. It's debatable. I would
00:48:33.740still get rid of it. But this is why you run on a straight income tax, a big straight income tax,
00:48:39.660because everyone can think about how much money they make. And they can think, huh, if we across
00:48:44.540all brackets reduce taxes 20%, I don't even need to go to a calculator and figure out how much less
00:48:49.600I'm paying in each bracket. I just know that all the brackets are going to be 20% lower. That
00:48:53.840person can, right then, they know I make around, let's just say, and this is not how much I make
00:48:59.140people, I'm just using numbers. I make $95,000 a year. And so I used to pay $17,000 or $23,000
00:49:07.440in taxes, whatever it is. And if I was paying 20% less, oh, wow, I would be paying like $18,000,
00:49:13.980not $22,000. Easy stuff, people. That's what you want people to think. You want them to be like,
00:49:19.260oh my goodness, we can go on that family vacation we've been skipping. If there's not an aha moment
00:49:24.240based on a thing you're running on, do not run on it because it doesn't matter to people.
00:49:29.340Run on a big pro-life reform that will make pro-lifers go, oh my goodness, suddenly the
00:49:33.320conservatives are running on even restricting abortion in the most minor ways. Perfect. I'll
00:49:38.060actually show up for those issues because, guys, lots of maritime voters are socially conservative,
00:49:43.940of fiscally liberal. But if the Conservative Party of Canada is not running a socially
00:49:49.080conservative platform in any way, they will drop down to their other issues, which may just be
00:49:54.360their pension. It may just be that they want more economic investment from the government
00:49:58.680in the Maritimes, and they'll vote liberal. And you could say, well, the liberals are even worse
00:50:02.860on life issues. It's like, well, but the conservatives aren't doing anything with them.
00:50:06.780You can't blame them for just saying, well, I guess I don't vote for social reasons. I'm going
00:50:11.160to vote for fiscal reasons. And they're in an economically depressed area of the country that
00:50:15.460is used to thinking that the government needs to drive growth and they just vote for the liberals
00:50:20.120instead. That's what the conservatives need. You want massive bail reform and like way higher
00:50:28.060minimum sentences. Fentanyl should be like a 10 year, an eight year sentence for your first
00:50:34.740fentanyl dealing offense. Just crazy stuff like that, like really big stuff, because that is how
00:50:40.120you win Chinese Canadians and Korean Canadians who live in places like Richmond. They are the1.00
00:50:45.380most hawkish voters when it comes to criminal justice. Mickey says, why can I be your assistant
00:50:53.140to the manager? No, I am already the assistant to the regional manager. Get out of here, Mickey.
00:50:58.880You're trying to double play me or whatever. James says, ahoy. Marlene says, I can't picture
00:51:06.180Carney door knocking. I can't really imagine him door knocking either. Oh, someone said there's
00:51:13.060ads during this live stream. I'll actually go fix that right now because I don't think
00:51:16.860I can change that. I didn't actually want to do that. Okay.
00:51:25.800Jay Davis has saved us all from the ads by pointing that out to me. Okay, so there's no
00:51:29.840more ads. That was just something that YouTube did. JimDR63 says, anyone think we get tossed
00:51:40.440out of the five I's for signing an agreement with the CCP secret police? I actually don't think
00:51:48.100that would happen because frankly, a lot of the other five I countries are really incompetent
00:51:52.020when it comes to China. The only country that's very hawkish against China is America at the
00:51:57.140moment and you know other countries that are not part of the five eyes uh you know obviously you
00:52:01.840know the republic of china taiwan is very anti-china but a lot of the world is just very
00:52:06.420naive when it comes to the chinese especially because the most most problems that are like
00:52:12.140really active and visual at the moment are coming from russia iran and then you know just general
00:52:20.000terrorist groups around the world. Vince of New Scotland for $10, thank you Vince, says I'd like
00:52:30.220to see some more contrast with peers policies ideas compared to Mark Carney. Here's ideas are
00:52:35.360just better like the critical mineral reserve access for leverage on tariffs and I'd agree
00:52:40.900and I think that that's on trade that is one area where poly have started improving earlier this
00:52:46.720year. And I think they should keep extending that improvement that they've made. Because
00:52:51.960start running on the fact that the Carney liberals are terrified of Trump. That is what
00:52:57.200the conservatives should run on. Mark Carney is scared of Trump. He is scared of him. That is why
00:53:02.960he refuses to step into a room and negotiate on trade with him. Even though he realizes that this
00:53:08.600is a negotiation that's going to require him and Donald Trump to literally meet, he refuses to do
00:53:14.560it. He's scared of losing and no negotiation, so he thinks the only winning move is not to play,
00:53:19.300but that has resulted in things like the Gorey Howe bridge situation, because as Trump keeps
00:53:24.160pushing on him, Carney doesn't want to deal with it, so he just lets him have it. I thought he was
00:53:28.340the guy who knew how to deal with Donald Trump. It's absolutely infuriating what's going on.
00:53:34.480Another rumor in the world of leadership rumors, but like Polioff's not stepping down, I've heard
00:54:39.400Oh, someone is, Karen here is responding to Tyson saying, did anyone see Moose showing Trudeau in Katy Perry's music video? He looks like a dweeb.
00:54:52.520I try to ignore the fact that Justin Trudeau still exists.
00:54:56.500In my headcanon of Canadian politics, Justin Trudeau just walked off into the void after he stopped being prime minister.
00:55:05.840This is a different Justin Trudeau walking around.
00:55:10.960Just like how there's that guy who calls himself Palm Beach Pete who looks stunningly similar to Jeffrey Epstein.
00:55:17.600Let's just say that's what happened to Justin Trudeau.
00:55:19.620this is like moose jaw trudeau this is moose jaw justin walking around no relation with the real
00:55:27.380justin trudeau uh cool t says it's white claypool here and bracket says i love it me and my wife
00:55:39.300always say it before you say it it's a thing and hopefully i don't disappoint people because
00:55:43.580sometimes i don't say it in the video because i think it's just because i don't drink enough water
00:55:47.800and when you're kind of vocal cords and whatnot are a bit dry it's hard to say words so when i'm
00:55:52.740saying my intro i sometimes screw it up or it's just like the psychology of it you're trying to
00:55:56.920say all the words like in order and you're like hey guys why it click cool here and you're like
00:56:01.420literal voice starts like locking up and saying it wrong from like badly learned muscle memory
00:56:06.360um yeah nelson cade points out the owner of the ambassador bridge donated one million dollars
00:57:03.680I was originally going to wear the weird, like, creamsicle-looking orange sweater I have, but I decided against it while I was walking downstairs, and I was making my tea.
00:57:30.100I'm a bit focused on the GST and tax issue.
00:57:32.600Not that I was forgetting he did that.
00:57:34.660It's more so still towards the last few years of Harper being prime minister.
00:57:38.680It did feel like he did a good management job, but it wasn't like any big things were
00:57:43.060happening for it to keep people excited.
00:57:45.340Vince of New Scotland says Pierre is running on a 15 percent income tax cut and that's the
00:57:59.180problem. No he's not. He ran on a 15 percent income tax cut on the first fifty thousand dollars that
00:58:05.920you make which is not that great because you don't even pay any income taxes on the first
00:58:10.340$18,000, and that is like a 2.25% reduction in the amount, the tax rate for that bracket.
00:58:18.840The problem is, is that most people make way more than $50,000, and they're still struggling.
00:58:24.820They're struggling to pay for their kids to go to school, to pay for their mortgage,
00:58:28.960all this stuff. Groceries are expensive. And so when you push out a tax cut like that,
00:58:34.460even the poly of conservatives, we're up front with saying that this is going to save you like
00:58:37.580$800 a year. The liberal tax cut's only going to save you like $350 a year. And so my problem with
00:58:44.640it is it's so price is right, the liberals say, we'll give you one. And then the conservatives
00:58:49.700are like, how about two? And it's like, how about name a number way bigger than that and apply it to
00:58:56.340all of the tax brackets? That's what I'd like to see.
00:59:00.360mickey says why my boss michael has an opening uh opening for assistant to the manager but that's
00:59:11.220weak how best can i show him that he's my subordinate and take his job instead you got
00:59:16.240to go into his office during the interview and you got to take his desk from him proving that
00:59:20.920you're the bigger man that's how you got to do it mickey and don't blame me if you get arrested
00:59:25.500uh ronald dow says i guess four election losses in a row is okay with some people
00:59:33.980to be fair i like i'm not sure who you're directing that at but the conservative party
00:59:40.780it really has lost the last four elections in a row for the same reason each time just
00:59:46.020nothing too inspiring they just try and run against the liberals but not run in favor of
00:59:51.220anything themselves. And that's my point. Replacing Polyev doesn't change that that's
00:59:56.940going to stay the conservative culture. If anything, it's easier to change the conservative
01:00:01.080culture with a leader who knows that they have to start doing bigger things if they want to stick
01:00:06.160around. If anything, a little pressure on Polyev isn't a bad thing. If it then results in them
01:00:12.020starting to just throw haymaker policies out, that's what they really need to start doing here.
01:00:21.220uh candabud 23 says it's unfortunate that the liberals can just lay back and get the vote
01:00:29.940but conservatives have to work extremely hard to get the same benefit now i would say that's
01:00:34.980actually kind of untrue people forget what happened in 2015 justin trudeau actually did0.99
01:00:41.700run on some bold ideas stupid ideas yes bold ideas yes they were stupidly bold ideas he ran on0.97
01:00:49.940big deficits to invest in the economy and do stuff like that he ran on very progressive woke1.00
01:00:55.900social reform in 2015 and although that's stupid it seemed kind of spicy to a certain type of voter0.84
01:01:01.700he won a lot of young women with those social policies and with a lot of his spending with a0.76
01:01:07.140lot of seniors ended up being willing to vote for them you want a lot of millennial types basically
01:01:12.140saying well you're not even paying high taxes anyways how about we need to kick start this
01:01:16.340economy and invest in it. And it all sounded quite good. If you don't really know a lot about
01:01:21.860economics or, you know, how to keep a society together. But a lot of people voted on it because
01:01:28.020it was bold. And that's why Harper lost. Harper was not going to beat him by just showing how much
01:01:33.920all the spending that Justin Trudeau is going to add onto the debt and whatnot. It was kind of a
01:01:38.540weak response. And once you're in government, you're not as required to do big things all the
01:01:44.780time. But Trudeau did do big things. The carbon tax was a really big thing. Stupid thing, yes,
01:01:50.620it was a big thing, though. A lot of the green investment was really, really big. Now, we don't1.00
01:01:56.420think of it as big. We just think of it as stupid. But if you're a left-wing voter, you might think1.00
01:02:01.420of these things as really bold ideas. Now, the liberals were doing that at the same time the
01:02:05.820conservatives were basically just sitting back and saying, that's not going to work. That's bad.
01:02:10.400And by the way, they're right. But people don't like to vote for the guy who's just sitting there
01:02:14.060saying, that's bad, that's not going to work. You have to follow up and say, and that's why I'm
01:02:18.000going to do X, Y, and Z that the other guy's not doing. Vince of New Scotland says, well,
01:02:23.860Carney failed to negotiate tariffs, and he certainly failed at housing and the economy.
01:02:29.240And then he says, so where is the win? I'm waiting for the media to tell me where the win is. I like
01:02:34.640when they had a CPAC, you know, the public parliamentary broadcaster. CPAC had a panel
01:02:41.760on where a liberal strategist was sitting on the panel and they asked her what the big wins were.
01:02:46.480And this was only a few months ago. And she just admitted that they're going to have to start
01:02:49.620getting some wins on the board for reelection. Now they'll say that the pipeline is a win.
01:02:54.600I don't know how it's a win because I can announce a bunch of projects. Guys, I'm going to build a
01:02:59.020pipeline up to Caluate. I don't know why I'm just going to do it. And it's going to be done in 20
01:03:04.640years. Apparently that you can just do that because that's what the Carney liberals have done.
01:03:09.540They're announcing projects with these crazy big timelines that would never exist in any other country.
01:03:16.280That just allows them to announce something and they don't even have to start working on it for four years.
01:03:20.420Because building the actual pipeline should only take like, you know, maybe two or three years if they just got to work right away.0.84
01:03:27.380We're waiting a long time for stupid consultations that could absolutely result in a massive failure of the project.0.53
01:03:33.840Like with the Musqueam, who Carney gave the land title of the entire Lower Mainland, where the pipeline's going to have to go through, and they are anti-oil and gas.0.97
01:03:42.380And they have to negotiate with 107 other First Nation bans as well.
01:16:36.280So the other day, as in yesterday, I sent an email in to somebody, and I'm being very vague here and mysterious, but we're going to go on to 338.com and check out some projections for an election.
01:16:52.860Now, this is the current electoral projections for different ridings in Calgary for the Alberta provincial election.
01:17:08.380Now, if you see this riding right here, Calgary-Curry, it is currently leaning NDP for the incumbent who is Janet Aramanko.
01:17:17.880So I have sent in a request as of yesterday saying that I would like to get the nomination package for this riding because I may try and run for Calgary Curry for the United Conservative Party.
01:17:31.120And so I'm not sure how interested you guys are in what's going on, but it didn't actually pop up on screen.
01:17:41.880So I might actually run for a nomination for the UCP. And absolutely, people like Dallas Brody and 1BC's team know I might do this. And I keep working for Dallas the entire time because goodness, I love Dallas. I'd work for her for free. I pretty much do work for her for free.
01:17:58.260And so what I'm going to do is run for this riding that's literally right next to where I live.
01:18:03.560And I've heard the rumor is when the boundaries get changed,
01:18:07.880it's going to actually include where my house is, which is nice.
01:18:11.700And I'm specifically running for a riding that is still in the NDP category
01:18:16.600because I have heard there are so many nominations around the city
01:18:19.840where people are running for Calgary Acadia or Calgary Klein,
01:18:23.900and like seven people have applied to run.
01:18:27.660But this is what the current projections are.
01:18:29.640They give it an 11% chance for the UCP to win the riding.
01:18:34.260I think after boundary changes, it's going to be a little bit better.
01:18:39.140This is kind of like that Killarney-Glen Morgan kind of area right next to the Westbrook Mall and train station.
01:18:47.880If you live in the area, you would know it.
01:18:50.260You know, a part of Curry Barracks would be in it.
01:18:52.400So that's what I'm going to try and do in the next little bit here.0.94
01:18:56.300Because if I run for a riding, I don't want it to be like an easy one, because that's kind of pathetic. And by the way, if I ever ran for something and actually won the riding, I would just keep doing the show every single day, because you should do your show every day. I don't really, I do not get it whenever people in politics are known for being doing media before. And after they become an MP or an MLA, they just stopped doing videos. And it's like, that was the only reason people knew who you were. So why are you not doing that?
01:19:25.340so the nominations are coming up in the next couple of months here i haven't actually announced
01:19:30.740anything officially other than to you people on this live stream but i think it's probably good
01:19:36.160for me to announce that i i'm interested in it so that whoever i sent the email to in the
01:19:40.340nominations department of the ucp knows that this is serious uh the the ucp right now this is the
01:19:46.940inside baseball at the moment they have a lot of people who are pro-independence who are occupying
01:19:54.160certain ridings in the province. I've heard the Calgary-Curry EDA is even mostly people
01:20:01.620who are pro-independence. Now, here's the problem. Independence doesn't poll very well,
01:20:07.940and it is the only way you're going to get people to vote for the NDP. The only way,
01:20:12.500though, that you can marry the people who are independence-curious with the kind of more
01:20:17.720old-school stalwart UCP, Wilderose PC guys, is by running more right-wing candidates.
01:20:23.640the UCP needs more right-wing candidates that are not pro-separatist but at least they're
01:20:29.700interesting enough that the separatist people will be okay to vote for them there's probably
01:20:34.280people here right now from Alberta who are separatists who maybe this doesn't make any
01:20:38.260sense to but the problem in a lot of ways is I think a lot of people end up supporting independence
01:20:42.360or separatism when the UCP doesn't have anything interesting going on enough to really occupy their
01:20:47.900time everything kind of feels a little stagnant sluggish I'm going to go do something interesting
01:20:51.740and go campaign for independence or whatever.
01:20:54.380And I think the way that you bring more people
01:20:56.280back into the UCP and make sure that they don't split
01:21:57.480because then I can look up postal codes
01:21:59.280if people are in the area and then I can call them
01:22:01.300and make sure that they've gotten a membership to vote.
01:22:06.640But I'll look up where Calgary Curry is
01:22:08.900for all your benefits of actually being able to see it.
01:22:13.200But yeah, I'll be launching this somewhat soon-ish.
01:22:17.180and there we go. Okay. I had to look up the Wikipedia page, just get a general view of it
01:22:24.780in the city. So it's right here, right next to Calgary West. It borders on Calgary, Bow,
01:22:30.640Buffalo, Elbow, and Glenmore. It's kind of in the heart of a lot of stuff. And if it moves,
01:22:37.180I've heard the boundaries might move a little bit west. That will benefit the UCP quite a bit.
01:22:43.820You know, the NDP is trying to accuse the UCP of, oh my goodness, you're trying to, you're rigging the election by changing the boundaries. It's like, no, the UCP won the last election with like 10% lead on the popular vote. But it was close because of Calgary seats having a lot of these ridings that have like a lot of urban tails around them, where they tail significantly into an urban area.
01:23:07.540And so the NDP almost won the election by like coming within like 100 votes or less of dozens of ridings. And so a couple of ridings are being added, and all of the ridings are becoming a little bit more suburban, which is actually more representative of the entire province, rather than having this mishmash of seats that all have these little kind of feet into the downtown to capture all the very left wing voters out in the downtown area.
01:23:32.100so if this area kind of like ends up becoming more suburban and less urban towards kind of
01:23:39.080Killarney and and the downtown Calgary area will be much easier to win so again if you guys live
01:23:46.420especially in this Curry area I would sign up on my website and I'll make sure to give you a call
01:23:50.320and make sure you have a membership and all that stuff but I will be launching that somewhat soon
01:23:55.800maybe in the next month or so I'll hope that I'll hear back from the UCP hopefully I'm not a pariah