The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - Tight Canadian election! What does a Conservative victory look like？!？

00:00:00.000 Hey guys, Wyatt Claypool here, and today, a week into Canada's federal election, I want to do a polling update, tell you where the different parties are currently positioned, and then also move on to talking about what I think is the Conservative Party's path to victory in this election.

00:00:17.080 Right off the bat, I'm going to say things are going to look very tight, and this is exactly how the 2021 election also started off, where everything swung to the Liberals as soon as the election was called, and then it slowly started coming back towards the Conservatives.

00:00:32.580 Even with a terrible leader like Aaron O'Toole, the Conservative Party still won the popular vote in 2021 by more than a percentage point, which isn't great, but it's much better than what the polls looked like initially at the very start of the election, where, as you can see here in the first week, the Liberals are polling ahead by anywhere from 0.6 all the way up to 12.

00:00:54.780 The only poll that was showing the Conservatives ahead was Forum Research. I don't even think they do polls these days. They had the Conservatives leading by 3 points, but the average showed the Liberals leading by anywhere from 4 to 6 points, which is a massive lead and would have meant a Liberal-majority government.

00:01:12.720 Now, that's basically playing out right now. As soon as the election was called, things started shifting towards the Liberals, but now, only seven days into the election, we're already seeing the shift back towards the Conservatives, the way most elections tend to go.

00:01:29.040 Before I get into more detail, I'm going to go through all the Main Street polling since day one up to day seven, as well as results from other pollsters before we get into the pass to victory.

00:01:38.340 I do just want to remind you guys, if you like my federal election coverage, make sure to like this video, subscribe to the channel if you're not yet a subscriber.

00:01:46.640 I have a goal of getting to 100,000 subscribers by mid-December. Sorry, that L is throwing me off. It's a little out of place. There we go. The world is normal again.

00:01:55.580 I'm trying to get to 100,000 subscribers by mid-December, and if you leave a comment on this video, I always like to scroll through and see what people think, and it always helps the distribution of content from the National Telegraph.

00:02:06.620 But anyways, without further ado, I want to show you what the general Main Street polling has looked like so far, because I think it paints a picture of how Canadians were initially feeling right when the election kicked off, when Donald Trump is the issue and the Liberals are very, you know, high on Mark Carney as the new Prime Minister, because he's brand new and why not think nice things about him?

00:02:28.760 That's something you always have to understand about Canadian politics. We are very nervous suburban people compared to the Americans, more likely to think nice things about whoever's in power.

00:02:40.280 So as soon as Carney got into office, everyone started thinking generally nice things about him, because he's not Trudeau, and he hasn't technically screwed up anything yet,

00:02:48.760 even though he's been the economic advisor for five years, and he truly did screw up the economy in the last half decade, but water under the bridge in most Canadians' minds as soon as he becomes Prime Minister.

00:02:59.980 This literally also happened with Kim Campbell, it happened with John Turner, it's happened with Paul Martin.

00:03:05.620 They start off initially popular, and then they crater pretty fast when people realize, wait, we never voted for this person, why should we re-elect them?

00:03:13.420 So let's start off day one with the Main Street tracking poll. They do a poll every single day of around 1,200 to I think actually like 1,500 people. It's a substantial poll.

00:03:25.200 And day one in Main Street, and I am including the undecideds in these polls because it's way too early to think that the undecideds are not going to be showing up.

00:03:33.380 Day one had the Liberals at 41%, the Conservatives at 36%, NDP at 6%, Block at 6%, PPC at 2%, and Greens at 1% with 6% undecided.

00:03:44.980 Now that's actually pretty shocking, considering that usually this far out from the election, you're going to have 10%, 12% of people who are undecided.

00:03:55.360 But I think this is going to be such an emotionally charged election that people will be jumping around, but they're going to believe they're very definitive about who they want to vote for early on.

00:04:05.420 Because I'm voting Liberal because I hate Donald Trump, or I'm voting Conservative because I hate the Liberals, Trudeau and Mark Carney, and things are going to kind of run back and forth.

00:04:14.520 I in fact don't really believe the NDP is doing as bad as 6% or the Block is down at 6% either.

00:04:20.160 I think that the NDP is doing probably better than this, but in terms of polling, it's going to be harder to get NDP people on the phone, because they don't even like Jagmeet Singh.

00:04:30.940 They're voting NDP, but you know, it's a bit of a depressing election for them, so I think you're naturally going to see their election or poll results a little bit depressed.

00:04:40.280 Just as I think, right now, even despite what the polls are saying, I think that basically whenever you see a Liberal poll, maybe take a couple points off whatever the Liberals had.

00:04:52.000 Maybe two to three points.

00:04:53.680 Because right now, because they have the new Prime Minister, and because everyone's excited about voting Liberal, because it's to stick it to Trump, which makes no sense,

00:05:01.700 I think you're going to see a big oversampling of Liberals in most pollsters.

00:05:05.720 But now let's move on to Day 2.

00:05:07.860 So reminder, Day 1 was 41 Liberal, 36 Conservative.

00:05:11.480 And from here on out, I'm pretty much just going to focus on those two parties.

00:05:15.700 So Day 2, we see 41 Liberal, 37 Conservatives.

00:05:19.460 Day 3, 42 Liberal, 38 Conservative.

00:05:23.600 Day 4, we have 43 Liberal, 39% Conservative.

00:05:27.860 Day 5, we have 41 Liberal, 39% Conservative.

00:05:32.040 Day 6, 41 Liberal, still 39% Conservative.

00:05:37.280 And now on Day 7, we have 40 Liberal, 39% Conservative.

00:05:42.740 This election is going to feel like World War I trench warfare.

00:05:47.500 Every single day, it's going to be one party stealing 0.3% of the other party's support,

00:05:52.780 and then also gaining elsewhere, moving some undecideds over, trying to defend the current parts of their base that are a little bit squishier.

00:06:00.520 And this is also the current problem for the Liberal Party.

00:06:04.240 I've shown you in other polls, from Abacus, from I think even Angus Reid, who are very down on the Conservatives,

00:06:11.380 they do show that the Conservative base is far more definite in their decision to show up and vote Conservative.

00:06:18.160 Like, 72% of people currently voting Conservative are definitely voting Conservative.

00:06:23.540 Whereas with the Liberals, it's like half of them are definitely voting Liberal,

00:06:26.960 and the other half are some form of squishy Liberal,

00:06:30.500 who maybe they're only saying they're voting Liberal to, you know, to put it to those Americans,

00:06:35.360 but they really haven't made a very clear mental decision that this is who I am. 0.98

00:06:40.820 It's more so, you know, ah, screw Trump.

00:06:42.940 I'm going to say I'm voting for the current government. 0.71

00:06:46.160 Eh, as the election goes on and domestic issues start taking the forefront,

00:06:51.080 I think you're going to see that change.

00:06:52.800 In fact, I want to bring up later this poll that shows that Liberals are basically just voting about Trump,

00:06:59.060 whereas Conservatives and even the other parties, NDP, Green, PPC, and Block,

00:07:03.640 they're all voting for domestic reasons.

00:07:05.320 That's why this is so silly, is that, like, the Liberal Party is effectively, it knows,

00:07:11.400 which is why it hasn't released basically any policies.

00:07:13.360 It knows it's basically just running on the idea that I'm voting Liberal because it's red,

00:07:17.700 and, you know, I'm going to fight back against those blue Conservatives down south, 0.98

00:07:22.380 even though the Republican color is also red.

00:07:25.360 It's confusing. It's very silly. 0.96

00:07:27.760 And here's something I want to show you as a fundamental issue of this election. 0.85

00:07:31.740 This is the NANOS research poll.

00:07:34.400 Actually, I'll start off with Abacus Data because I think it's more realistic,

00:07:36.980 and it proves why there are certain pollsters I trust more than others.

00:07:41.020 The current narrative of this election, other than the Trump thing, is the gender divide. 0.92

00:07:47.420 With female voters, it is 41% Liberal in the recent Abacus Data poll, 0.87

00:07:51.760 and this was a tie poll, and it's 33% Conservatives for women. 0.84

00:07:56.580 For men, it's 45% Conservative, 37% Liberal.

00:08:00.100 Now, this was a tie poll, but it was just because a lot more men were sampled. 0.92

00:08:06.080 So, in fact, this poll might actually be leaning towards the Liberals more than it is towards the Conservatives

00:08:11.200 because although more people vote Conservative in the poll,

00:08:14.440 the thing is that usually women show up more than men. 1.00

00:08:17.420 By the way, men, make sure you go and vote.

00:08:19.560 My goodness, I remember door knocking.

00:08:21.500 I had to constantly have men be like, well, what's the point of voting? 0.92

00:08:23.680 I'm like, I'm going to stab you to death if you don't vote, even if you vote green. 0.97

00:08:27.460 I don't care. Just take it seriously and vote. 0.99

00:08:30.600 But this is the real big thing, is that men and women have gone completely separate directions

00:08:36.920 when it comes to voting patterns.

00:08:39.240 Men have gotten super Conservative, especially men who went to trade schools,

00:08:43.980 work as electricians and plumbers.

00:08:45.600 They vote Conservative by dictatorship numbers.

00:08:48.600 Single women, like single younger women or older women who live in urban centers 1.00

00:08:55.360 and think climate change is a super big pressing issue,

00:08:59.460 they vote Liberal by dictatorship numbers.

00:09:02.620 And so that is the big thing that the Conservatives have to overcome.

00:09:06.300 One, they have to drive out a lot of men who are already in favor of them.

00:09:10.020 And then what I think they also have to be doing is pass or basically propose a lot of very pro-family policies

00:09:17.020 to bring married women over to voting Conservative.

00:09:20.360 I think that is a very clear path to victory for the Conservatives.

00:09:24.140 By the way, they should be cutting taxes across every bracket.

00:09:28.140 Right now, Polly have has proposed a bigger tax cut than Mark Carney.

00:09:32.800 Mark Carney was going to cut taxes 1%.

00:09:35.360 Polly have is going to cut taxes 2.25%.

00:09:38.020 The problem in both cases is we're just proposing cutting taxes up to the first $50,000.

00:09:43.980 I think the Conservatives should be bold, say we have a 2.25% tax cut for everything under $50,000,

00:09:51.120 but let's have a 1% cut for every single bracket after that. 0.92

00:09:55.580 You're going to win so many people who usually vote Default Liberal in the GTA area

00:10:00.780 because suddenly they realize, wow, these people actually have a bold economic vision

00:10:04.940 to get the economy restarted.

00:10:06.580 Even cut corporate taxes.

00:10:09.120 The Conservatives are already going to get attacked wrongly as the corporate guys.

00:10:13.500 Cut the taxes because if Carney or Singh or that farmer's market communist Elizabeth May 1.00

00:10:19.240 try and take a swing at you for being corporate, guess what?

00:10:22.700 They are stumping against the Canadian business community at the same time that Donald Trump

00:10:27.580 and the United States is cutting their corporate tax rates.

00:10:30.220 So Carney's basically saying, yeah, I care about Canada up to a point.

00:10:34.580 I don't actually want our business succeeding because I also like class warfare more than I actually like Canada.

00:10:41.020 So if they do that, very smart move.

00:10:43.460 But now I want to jump over to the Nanos poll of men and women. 0.75

00:10:48.480 This is another proof as to why I can be skeptical of other pollsters.

00:10:53.280 They're showing the female vote 48% liberal, 29% conservative, 13% NDP, whereas men are 45% conservative, 35% liberal, and 8% NDP.

00:11:05.360 This is where I find some pollsters are just severely overpolling certain regions.

00:11:12.480 Like this strikes me as you polled downtown Toronto as the vast majority of your Ontario poll

00:11:18.040 and you didn't postal code balance the dang thing.

00:11:22.100 I actually talked to a pollster recently.

00:11:25.300 They reached out and even said, I am right that most pollsters are not properly waiting their polls

00:11:30.300 because this pollster had demonstrated that what you need to do is make sure

00:11:35.780 that what you're doing is not over-weighting samples of specific demographics

00:11:40.840 because so many of these pollsters are getting these very liberal polls

00:11:44.740 because they assume that the turnout is going to be much older and much more college educated.

00:11:52.440 People who are above the age of 60 tend to vote more.

00:11:55.520 And that is good for the liberals because the liberals do have a disproportionately high share

00:12:01.340 of those who are 60 and over.

00:12:03.120 I know anyone watching this show is conservative, so never take that as a slight

00:12:06.820 if I talk about women voting more liberal or people over the age of 60 voting more liberal,

00:12:11.220 just as people in my age bracket are disproportionately likely to vote NDP,

00:12:15.800 although they're still losing deeply in all the demographics.

00:12:18.800 But the thing that all these pollsters are wrongly assuming is it's going to be an older college educated

00:12:26.520 and urban election.

00:12:28.200 I don't think that's the case.

00:12:29.920 In fact, I think that it's going to be a very high turnout election,

00:12:33.300 which is very good for whatever party is trying to make change,

00:12:36.520 especially parties that rely on middle-aged to lower middle-aged voters,

00:12:40.820 which is what the conservative party is.

00:12:43.080 The NDP is the very young party and the liberals have become the older party.

00:12:46.500 The conservatives are that kind of weird middle ground where it's the party for people who are

00:12:51.500 34 years old up to 59 years old.

00:12:54.840 That is the demos that the conservatives win really hard.

00:12:58.020 And if turnout goes from 53 percent like it was in 2021 up to 70 percent,

00:13:03.500 the liberals are going to cap out pretty hard with older voters because older voters already turn out

00:13:07.300 as much as they're ever going to.

00:13:09.320 So if turnout starts jumping, that's probably what you would consider to be the middle-aged

00:13:14.400 men in trade school showing up to vote for the first time.

00:13:18.400 There's a reason why all of the labor unions are currently endorsing the conservatives

00:13:22.800 because they don't have seething contempt for people who work for their hands.

00:13:27.140 And that is a key thing.

00:13:28.580 And men who are in those areas of work,

00:13:31.180 naturally their entire families are probably going to be voting conservative as well.

00:13:35.040 It's very uncommon to actually see split households.

00:13:38.880 Pretty much the household votes liberal.

00:13:40.800 They vote NDP.

00:13:41.500 They vote conservative, mostly whenever like the Greens might be more likely to be in split

00:13:46.520 households because it's a more fringe party.

00:13:48.580 But that's kind of it.

00:13:50.740 Anyways, so I just want to move on now to what the current projections are looking like.

00:13:56.440 I am using the website polywave.ca or polywave.com.

00:14:00.720 I think he does a good job.

00:14:02.100 He's actually a 16-year-old kid who does these projections,

00:14:04.480 but his projections are honestly far more accurate than the 338 numbers.

00:14:09.080 And right now, and take it at a grain of salt level at the moment,

00:14:13.500 because these polls, these projections do include some of the pollsters I really do not like,

00:14:19.460 like ECOS and Angus Reid, who have the liberals like severely over-polled to a point where

00:14:25.700 you look at it and you're like, that does not even look like outside downtown Toronto.

00:14:31.100 Like ECOS's polls look like what downtown Toronto ridings should be.

00:14:35.000 They do not look like you're including rural areas properly.

00:14:39.420 But right now, Sheree Attise, the guy who runs polywave.com,

00:14:43.580 has the projections for seats at 184 liberal, which would be a majority.

00:14:48.200 It has the conservatives at 122, the block at 19, the NDP at 16, greens at 2, and PPC at 0.

00:14:55.200 By the way, PPC people, just think about voting conservative.

00:14:59.160 Your party's not even attempting to win, so what's the point?

00:15:01.480 But I'm just going to take this as the truth.

00:15:06.260 It's 184 liberal right now, 122 conservative.

00:15:09.840 That shouldn't make you depressed, because elections are just math.

00:15:13.880 It has nothing to do with rhetoric or anything.

00:15:16.380 Elections are math.

00:15:17.800 So if you're concerned that your riding could go anything but conservative,

00:15:21.880 make sure you go and volunteer out for at least one day,

00:15:24.500 because if we don't help out, unless obviously you're super busy, I get it.

00:15:27.620 Unless you're super busy, help out at least one day, or you'd lose your license to complain.

00:15:33.720 But right now, let's just assume that those numbers are real,

00:15:36.660 and then I want to look at the map,

00:15:37.980 because I want to show you where the real battleground of this election is taking place.

00:15:42.380 It's not Toronto, but it is the kind of southwestern Ontario area.

00:15:47.460 There's a few different places where the conservatives, if they do well, they will win,

00:15:51.520 and I just want to show you one of them today.

00:15:54.200 Here is the map of the GTA and southwestern Ontario.

00:15:58.840 Now, I'm going to be very honest.

00:16:00.840 I hate conventional wisdom in conservative circles that you've got to win the direct GTA area.

00:16:06.820 You don't.

00:16:07.720 There are a selection of ridings around here that you do need to win

00:16:10.680 that I think that the conservatives can shift over quite easily.

00:16:14.060 I think what they need to be focusing on is holding on to Toronto-St. Paul,

00:16:21.120 which is potentially realistic, even though the projections show it going against the conservatives,

00:16:25.560 but it's currently a conservative incumbent, which helps.

00:16:28.820 They need to be picking up York Centre, which is the fight between Roman Baber,

00:16:32.820 the conservative candidate, and the current crazy incumbent, Yara Sachs.

00:16:36.820 That one is winnable, but this is not the main battlefield.

00:16:40.340 The main battlefield is out here.

00:16:42.700 It's the conservatives picking up ridings like this.

00:16:45.680 Sorry, I'm trying to pull back a little bit here so you can see better.

00:16:49.140 Hopefully, you'll forgive me if this whole video feels like it's a little sluggish from this point on.

00:16:54.400 But we need to be winning the Niagara Fall ridings.

00:16:57.900 This is a pickup that we could easily get.

00:17:00.240 If the polls even shift one or two points in average for the conservatives,

00:17:03.780 these are probably all in the conservative category.

00:17:06.060 So we want Niagara South.

00:17:07.680 We want Niagara Falls, Niagara on the Lake here.

00:17:10.240 We can actually pick up St. Catharines.

00:17:12.660 And then other ones.

00:17:13.740 We want one or two of these Hamilton ridings.

00:17:16.800 We also want Burlington.

00:17:18.280 Guys, if you live around the Burlington area, go help Emily Brown's campaign.

00:17:23.340 She has a very good shot at winning because her campaign is a machine out there. 1.00

00:17:27.400 And then we want Cambridge, Kitchener South Heppner, and we want Kitchener Conestoga.

00:17:32.080 Those are some other pickups, as well as London West.

00:17:36.040 And then I believe there's another one around here that we also can pick up.

00:17:39.800 Andrew Lawton looks pretty secure and elegance, St. Paul.

00:17:42.300 If you guys are in London, London West needs your help.

00:17:45.680 That is another pickup.

00:17:47.560 I'm trying to make this kind of like feel visual because it is important that you know if I'm going to help out,

00:17:53.100 what battlefield am I kind of going into?

00:17:55.260 Because I find it annoying when people are just like, oh, you should just go and help.

00:17:58.240 I'm going to tell you where you can help, though.

00:18:01.820 Windsor, Tecumseh, Lakeshore, another riding you should be helping out in.

00:18:05.640 If you live in Essex, drop everything and just go help in Windsor, Tecumseh, Lakeshore.

00:18:11.240 It's a much better use of your time.

00:18:13.600 And then when we go up north, Peterborough is a pickup the Conservatives need, as well as Bay of Quinty.

00:18:19.860 A lot of these ridings, if they can pick those up,

00:18:22.940 and then the Conservatives can just simply cobble together some more ridings in the Maritimes,

00:18:26.940 if they can just take half the Maritime ridings, they're already winning.

00:18:30.780 So they can do that.

00:18:31.840 They can do a lot more pickups in the Southwest, the Niagara region, as well as along the border.

00:18:37.300 The Conservatives win.

00:18:38.800 Right now, the Conservatives are doing well enough in British Columbia, Alberta, and the Prairies

00:18:43.560 that it's really just cleanup work that needs to be done right now in the Southwest of Ontario,

00:18:49.260 that Niagara region right there.

00:18:51.160 Maritimes, basically outside of the cities in the Maritimes,

00:18:54.240 if the Conservatives can pick up those ridings, then they at least get the minority government.

00:18:59.300 And I think that's good enough.

00:19:00.980 Because minority government or majority government,

00:19:04.020 the Conservatives are going to be winning this next decade of elections.

00:19:08.040 Would a minority government be annoying? 1.00

00:19:10.200 Sure.

00:19:10.800 At the same time, if Polio gets to do anything in government,

00:19:14.360 if he can even just do things from the Prime Minister's office

00:19:17.000 to basically sidestep some of the current taxes,

00:19:20.020 get rid of some of the regulations,

00:19:21.340 force through some economic development around the country,

00:19:24.660 the Conservatives' polling numbers are going to pop up.

00:19:27.440 So the Liberals are in a very tough position,

00:19:29.620 because it doesn't matter if they want to try and form a coalition with the Bloc,

00:19:33.140 the NDP, and the Greens.

00:19:34.560 The Canadian tradition in politics is that you don't get to form a coalition

00:19:39.060 unless the other guy's minority is unfunctional.

00:19:42.360 If the Conservatives can win 155 seats, 160 seats, and that's the most amount of seats,

00:19:48.360 they probably are allowed to govern by the Governor-General for at least a year and a half.

00:19:52.520 And that's all Polio will need to boost his popularity enough to hit the polls again

00:19:56.900 and then secure the majority.

00:19:58.720 So right now, it is deeply, deeply needed to have volunteers hitting key ridings.

00:20:05.240 I'd even suggest go to poliwave.com, poliwave.ca.

00:20:08.800 If your riding is even somewhat realistic, hit some doors, put some flyers in some doors,

00:20:15.220 just do one or two days, and the math for this election changes substantially.

00:20:20.280 That's what I always want to emphasize to people.

00:20:23.240 Elections are just math.

00:20:25.320 It's like Moneyball.

00:20:26.480 If you've ever seen the movie Moneyball or read the book,

00:20:30.940 what do we want to do?

00:20:32.320 We want to get on base.

00:20:33.980 In this election, what do we want to do?

00:20:36.300 I just want to win ridings by one vote.

00:20:38.500 I just need to win a riding by a vote, and it's our riding.

00:20:41.880 We don't need to win Battle River by Saddam Hussein numbers.

00:20:45.420 We're already going to do that.

00:20:46.600 I want to win Calgary McKnight.

00:20:48.640 I want to see George Jehal leave.

00:20:50.480 I want to win some of the ridings on the island, on Vancouver Island.

00:20:54.100 I want to win Yukon.

00:20:55.600 I want to win the Northwest Territories.

00:20:57.180 If I can do that, we are golden,

00:20:59.500 because all we need to do is get this election across the finish line as conservatives.

00:21:04.360 We can just win a minority government.

00:21:06.380 Within a year and a half, we have a majority.

00:21:07.840 And that's fine.

00:21:09.140 It just needs to be one of the two, a conservative majority or a conservative minority.

00:21:14.720 Liberal minority and liberal majority might then make it a liberal decade once again,

00:21:19.400 because Carney can make some of the small changes Polyev was going to make,

00:21:22.800 and then it makes it look like he's some sort of economic savant,

00:21:26.320 when in fact, he's basically just copying what the conservatives were going to do minorly

00:21:30.380 to make it seem like he's responsive to Canadians,

00:21:32.840 even though he was the economic manager of Canada for like the last five years and did none of this stuff.

00:21:37.440 So I think this is a good way of looking at this,

00:21:40.460 that what we need to do is some of these pockets of current red,

00:21:44.320 if we can even just beg half of these ones that are winnable,

00:21:48.240 it is now a conservative government.

00:21:49.700 Around the country, anything that is moderate red to light red,

00:21:54.160 if we can take half of those, we are now in business.

00:21:57.700 The path to victory is very real,

00:21:59.440 and I am even basing this on polls I think aren't even exactly super accurate.

00:22:04.580 A lot of the pollsters I trust actually still have the conservatives either tied or up three or four.

00:22:09.320 And right now, we're already seeing the polls,

00:22:12.120 just like I'm showing with Main Street on day one,

00:22:14.960 went from a 4% or is that no 5% lead for the liberals down to a 1% lead.

00:22:21.980 Things do shift and change over time.

00:22:24.380 So don't get depressed.

00:22:25.700 We are very much doing a good job right now.

00:22:28.700 You just got to actually, you know, help with the math,

00:22:31.340 help with the doors, because if you're just changing five or six votes,

00:22:34.100 that's better than you just showing up and voting alone and having no impact on other people.

00:22:38.120 So, you know, make sure to talk to your friends, family members, all that stuff.

00:22:41.940 This is winnable.

00:22:42.980 I am sort of turning this channel into a bit of a war room here,

00:22:45.920 but I think it's important.

00:22:47.800 At least fall into your one day, even if you're just phone calling,

00:22:51.440 even if you're just putting some literature in a door,

00:22:53.680 because every little touchpoint a voter sees with the conservatives

00:22:56.360 makes it more likely that they're going to warm up to the idea of voting that way

00:22:59.560 if they were planning against it before.

00:23:02.160 So anyways, that's it for me today, guys.

00:23:05.000 Hopefully you liked this video.

00:23:06.060 Remember to like it.

00:23:06.760 Subscribe if you're not a subscriber.

00:23:08.580 Comment.

00:23:10.060 And, you know, I guess that's it for me today.

00:23:12.060 Fittingly enough, I do have the ice hockey game as the NES game in the background of this video.

00:23:19.480 It is the Canadian election.

00:23:20.780 I got a Canadian up this whole thing.

00:23:22.960 But yeah, hopefully these aren't too rambly for you.

00:23:25.340 I know I'm really rambling at the end here,

00:23:27.100 but I'm kind of trying to almost give my thesis on how I want this election to be going,

00:23:31.680 how we fight this election.

00:23:32.740 I will be hitting the field probably within a week here where I might even fly out to Ontario

00:23:37.740 to go to battleground ridings to try and shift ones that aren't going the right direction

00:23:41.920 in the right direction.

00:23:43.500 So that's it for me today, guys.

00:23:45.480 See you later.

00:23:46.040 So let's go ahead and watch and do everything you have here.

00:23:46.560 I'll see you later.

00:23:46.940 Bye.

00:23:47.600 Bye.

00:23:47.700 Bye.

00:23:48.800 Bye.

00:23:49.380 Bye.

00:23:49.840 Bye.

00:23:49.860 Bye.

00:23:50.440 Bye.

00:23:51.360 Cody.

00:23:51.580 Bye.

00:23:52.100 Bye.

00:23:52.860 Bye.

00:23:53.820 Bye.

00:23:55.400 encontrava Merry.

00:23:55.960 Bye.

00:23:58.040 Bye.

00:23:58.380 Bye.

00:24:00.220 Bye.

00:24:00.760 Bye.

00:24:00.880 Bye.

00:24:02.900 Bye.

00:24:02.980 Bye.

00:24:03.900 Bye.

00:24:11.840 Bye.

00:24:11.920 Bye.

00:24:13.900 Bye.

00:24:13.920 Bye.

00:24:14.280 Bye.

00:24:14.800 Bye.

The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - March 30, 2025

Tight Canadian election! What does a Conservative victory look like？!？

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