The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - December 26, 2024


Trudeau gets absolutely humiliated in new leadership poll!


Episode Stats


Length

13 minutes

Words per minute

185.77795

Word count

2,515

Sentence count

153

Harmful content

Hate speech

3

sentences flagged


Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

Jagmeet Singh is winning the polls, and Justin Trudeau is in third place. What does this mean for Justin Trudeau's chances of becoming Prime Minister in the next election? And why does it matter if you don't like Justin Trudeau?

Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
00:00:00.000 Hey guys, Wyatt Claypool here, coming at you on December 25th, Christmas Day, because of course
00:00:07.580 I'm making a video on Christmas Day. I don't take days off. You better subscribe. Look at all the
00:00:12.780 work I'm putting in for you. Christmas is an oddly good holiday to be talking about Prime
00:00:18.160 Minister Justin Trudeau on, because while Christmas is about the birth of Jesus Christ,
00:00:23.540 Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's birthday is also on December 25th. So in the spirit of the season,
00:00:31.240 let's talk about Justin Trudeau's leadership ratings against the other party leaders,
00:00:36.520 because yesterday some absolutely humiliating numbers came out for Trudeau. Trudeau, despite
00:00:42.940 nobody liking him, if you look at the Abacus data approval numbers, he has like a negative 43%
00:00:49.180 approval rating, and he only has about 20% to 22% of Canadians thinking he's doing a good job.
00:00:55.220 But when you poll him against other leaders, Trudeau usually still comes in second place,
00:01:00.700 even though he's far more unpopular than Polyev or Jagmeet Singh are. And that's just a consequence
00:01:06.220 of if you're saying you're voting Liberal in the poll and you ask who you prefer to be Prime Minister,
00:01:11.560 naturally you're going to say Justin Trudeau, because while you're voting Liberal,
00:01:15.320 even if you don't love the guy, it feels weird to say I don't want Trudeau to be the PM.
00:01:21.080 But now we just had some numbers come out that even in polls where the Liberals are technically
00:01:26.260 beating the NDP still, where the Liberals are at 23% and the NDP is at 19 or 20, Trudeau is now
00:01:33.220 losing in these polls to Jagmeet Singh, and he is in third place. That is something. Nobody takes
00:01:40.460 Jagmeet Singh seriously, and now people take Justin Trudeau less seriously than his executive
00:01:46.760 assistant, because that's what Jagmeet Singh has turned into. He is Justin Trudeau's executive
00:01:51.400 assistant who goes and gets some coffee in the morning and keeps his government afloat.
00:01:56.020 Here's Brian Berguet, and I think he had a great way of putting this. He says,
00:01:59.660 Singh is beating Trudeau in the best PM metric. It's so Trudeauver. And this is a poll from Leger,
00:02:05.940 and it says, in your opinion, which federal party leader would make the best prime minister of
00:02:10.860 Canada? Pierre Polyev clocks in number one, with 31% of people saying that he'd make the best leader.
00:02:17.220 Then Jagmeet Singh way down there at 13%. But even below him, you have Trudeau at 11%,
00:02:23.500 Elizabeth May 4%, Maxime Bernier 3%, another one 5%, and then you get a bunch of don't knows,
00:02:29.600 none of the above. And although it might strike people as odd that Polyev's only at 31%,
00:02:35.080 there is always kind of this poll inside the Conservative Party that more progressive red Tories,
00:02:41.500 although they might vote Conservative, they tend to always be down on the leader. The leader's not
00:02:46.480 doing it right. They should say this. They should say that. I find that Conservative leaders tend to get
00:02:51.620 a lot of criticism, but it doesn't make people not want to vote for the party. There's just more
00:02:56.860 open criticism in Conservative circles than there are in Liberal ones. And again, I've said it so many
00:03:03.180 times. The biggest problem for Justin Trudeau right now is if you do not like Justin Trudeau,
00:03:10.520 which is pretty likely, there is a very slim chance you'll even consider voting for the Liberal Party.
00:03:17.020 The Conservative Party tends to pull quite a bit above where Pierre Polyev is in terms of his approval
00:03:23.280 rating. The Conservative Party could be at 40%, 43% in the national polls, and Pierre Polyev's approval
00:03:30.600 rating might be 34%, 36%, and he's probably only at like a negative of two, or he's a positive of one in
00:03:37.540 terms of his net approval. But the whole point is that you can like Conservative policy, and you can
00:03:42.080 not like the leader. It's like when O'Toole was leader. Nobody liked him because he was a red Tory 0.50
00:03:46.540 hack, but some people would still say they're voting Conservative in the polls because, well, they like
00:03:51.240 their local guy, or they generally like what the Conservative Party stands for, even though O'Toole was
00:03:56.200 turning it into a watered down mess. It's right that Polyev's the leader now. But that's how it works for the
00:04:01.380 Conservatives. Same thing with the NDP. Usually, actually, the NDP leader tends to have very good approval
00:04:06.940 ratings, but then the NDP doesn't pull very well nationally because nobody cares about the NDP. But because the
00:04:12.200 NDP is such a non-threat in terms of forming government, everyone just assumes the NDP leader's a nice guy and
00:04:18.280 says that they like him, even if you're a very Conservative person. But Jagmeet Singh has reversed that in recent
00:04:24.020 years, where because he has been so just subservient to Trudeau, people see them as kind of like the
00:04:31.300 same guy in part. And now Jagmeet Singh actually has a very negative approval rating, even though
00:04:36.740 a couple of years ago, he had like a very big positive approval rating because someone's most
00:04:42.000 people just saw him as a harmless doofus. And I guess that's good enough. We don't have the ratings
00:04:46.640 for Elizabeth May's personal approval or he's Francois Blanchet. But I would see them as being either
00:04:52.960 individuals that people mostly don't have an opinion about or in place in the case of Blanchet,
00:04:58.160 probably a very positive approval rating in somewhere like Quebec. But now let's move on to
00:05:04.180 a hypothetical scenario. What if there was a Liberal leadership election? What would the Liberal Party
00:05:10.280 do? And this is what is leading me to believe, as crazy as it sounds, you're going to think that
00:05:16.060 Wyatt is on something. I think, and I don't want the Liberals, anything good to happen to them in the
00:05:22.040 next year. But it might be worse for the Liberals to actually replace Trudeau than stick with him.
00:05:29.780 They might be in a Kamala Harris situation where to get rid of Justin Trudeau would be to actually
00:05:35.960 lose votes because nobody likes any of the other options. This is the problem of Trudeau is because
00:05:42.280 he demands so much loyalty from the people in his party, his party becomes very shallow intellectually.
00:05:48.320 Anyone with a personality kind of already left, whether they were a terrible option or maybe an
00:05:54.840 okay one. Like if Bill Morneau was the leader, maybe the Liberal Party would be doing better. He seemed like
00:06:00.140 a likable guy, even if I would disagree with him on policy. He seems like a normal guy. But now the
00:06:06.340 bench is full of people like Chrystia Freeland, Arif Farhani. You have like, I guess, Dominic LeBlanc,
00:06:14.080 Champagne, Melanie Jolie. Like these people do not inspire anything, anything in your mind at all.
00:06:22.200 Whenever I think of Chrystia Clark or Chrystia Freeland, I think of the color beige, the color beige
00:06:28.760 with like paint drying in the color beige. They're awful. I feel like I'm being poisoned while I listen
00:06:35.400 to them talk because they are so corporate, wonkish. They are made to appeal to people who think they're
00:06:42.300 smart but don't know anything. But here are the hypothetical polls that lead me to believe that
00:06:47.360 Trudeau still might be a better option for the Liberals to stick with. So in this poll that came
00:06:53.180 out, it says, in your opinion, who should replace Justin Trudeau as leader of the Liberal Party? And
00:06:57.980 this was done recently. This isn't like a year ago. And this is among Liberal Party voters. This isn't
00:07:03.660 like the general public and people are just picking people they recognize the names of. In theory,
00:07:08.140 these people should have a better idea of who the Liberal Party currently has in stock who could run
00:07:13.780 for leader. Chrystia Freeland gets 21%. Dominic LeBlanc, 7%. Carney, 7%. Anita Anand, 5%. Melny Jolie, 4%.
00:07:24.420 Champagne, 2%. Christy Clark, 1%. Somebody else, 7%. I don't know, 46%. That was from Leger on the 22nd.
00:07:33.520 This is embarrassing. Because really, even Freeland, this is basically just acknowledging
00:07:40.940 that people know who Freeland is. People know the name LeBlanc and Carney and they kind of know Anand
00:07:46.180 and Jolie. There is no one on this list right now who I believe anyone actually cares about or likes.
00:07:54.720 This just seems like a bunch of people picking who they recognize the name of. There's no star
00:08:00.560 In the Liberal Party at this point, Justin Trudeau was the only star they had and they decided to bank
00:08:07.060 everything on Trudeau not being terrible at his job. Terrible bet. And now that star of Justin
00:08:13.420 Trudeau is collapsing into a black hole. And like a black hole, it is a sucking void of nothing.
00:08:18.900 And this is inside the sucking void of nothing. It's Chrystia Freeland, Dominic LeBlanc and all these
00:08:24.060 other faceless people. I am serious when I say, run Mark Gerritsen at this point, run Steve McKinnon,
00:08:31.240 run Nate Erickson Smith, run somebody interesting, incompetent, foolish, they might even perform worse
00:08:37.080 than Justin Trudeau. But wouldn't that give a shot of energy into the arm of the Liberal Party,
00:08:41.820 at least if their leader was kind of wild, rather than corporate and stupid? Because that's the thing
00:08:47.840 about Chrystia Freeland and all these other people. They talk like they know what they're doing.
00:08:51.860 They're very corporate, buttoned down. They put PowerPoint presentations for everything.
00:08:57.760 They announce to their families that they're going to go get, like, they're going to go pick up
00:09:02.140 groceries in memo form. But they're dull people intellectually. They just are very regimented
00:09:07.680 in how they do stuff. And that's why I was never convinced that Mark Carney was going to be a threat
00:09:11.520 to pure poly of. I'm a conservative, and I actually want the Liberals to run somebody better in this
00:09:18.000 election. I want them to actually run somebody who would put the fear into the conservatives.
00:09:23.380 Because I don't think it's good for the conservative party to just beat the Liberals because the Liberals
00:09:28.220 happen to lose. I'm writing an article, and I want to release it at some point. And I actually think
00:09:32.640 I have it right here so I can get the title exactly. I said the title of the article I'm running is
00:09:38.340 conservatives don't win elections. They wait for the Liberals to lose them.
00:09:41.880 And I think Polyev could actually beat a competent Liberal leader. But the problem is that now we have
00:09:47.860 no competition. And I don't think it's good for the longtime competitiveness of the conservative
00:09:53.200 party if they don't have a stiff competition to go up to because it allows people in the background
00:09:58.880 of the party to kind of pick people they like to win nominations and stuff like that. They get to kind of
00:10:04.520 go maybe milder, softer on policies because everyone's going to elect them to a second term easily because
00:10:10.300 they hate the Liberals and the NDP are crazy. And so I'd want it that the Liberals are nipping at
00:10:15.700 their heels at least a little bit. So the conservatives know they have to go hardcore on
00:10:19.380 immigration reform, tax reform, spending reform, all these things if they want to keep the middle
00:10:24.560 class or business focus base on their side. We need to be slashing immigration numbers to 100,000 1.00
00:10:30.260 new PRs per year. And that's not like we aim for 100,000. That is the absolute cap. And that was with
00:10:36.640 a skills test, a means test, a limit on dependence and a values test. And if we only can find 20,000
00:10:42.540 people who qualify for some high standards in a given year, that's it. And then we should also
00:10:47.200 be slashing visas by like 80%. I want the conservative party to do that. Tell your
00:10:51.920 conservative MP that is a policy that you are in favor of or at least name something similar because
00:10:57.220 we need them to actually make deep, deep reforms. I don't want the conservatives to just win this next
00:11:02.200 election by birthright basically of being the only non crazy option. And then they don't have to do
00:11:07.360 very much in government to stay decently popular because they're not Trudeau. Anyways, this is
00:11:13.020 turning into a Christmas Day rant. I should stop neglecting my family and get back to them. But if
00:11:17.920 you like this channel, please make sure to subscribe. I have a goal next year in December to have 100,000
00:11:24.420 subscribers. And so if you want to help me with that, recommend the channel to friends really helps
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00:11:38.820 legal fund that is linked in the description below the video below, as well as in the comments. And
00:11:44.060 then you can sign up on my website, why claypool.com if you ever want my local leadership or nomination
00:11:50.400 recommendations. There is one nomination coming up in BC that I have a recommendation for. I'll just say
00:11:57.820 it outright and then I'll see if there's anyone on my list I have to contact directly to let them know
00:12:01.600 to buy memberships. Buy a federal conservative membership if you're in the riding of Abbotsford
00:12:06.600 South Langley. I think that Steve Schaefer is a very good candidate for the nomination. So I'd go
00:12:12.480 vote for him. And then I forget what riding Charles Borg is in. I believe it's Malahat, whatever the 0.98
00:12:18.220 federal Malahat riding is. Charles Borg is a great conservative. I'd buy membership and vote for him.
00:12:24.220 He's a veteran. He is an across-the-board conservative. I really like that guy. And then
00:12:29.020 going into the new year, I'm going to be helping out, not directly, but just I like these people.
00:12:33.560 I really want Wally Daldrich to become the new PC leader in Manitoba. And then I'm encouraging
00:12:39.500 Chris Austin. I don't know the guy. Chris Austin should run to be the new progressive conservative
00:12:44.720 leader in New Brunswick. Great guy, great all-around conservative, social conservative,
00:12:49.680 fiscal conservative, even used to be the leader of the People's Alliance Party. So he has a very,
00:12:55.540 he has a good set of experience in the whole grassroots conservative ecosystem. He actually
00:13:01.040 made a small party, worked elected members under a small party, and then he combined with the PCs
00:13:06.460 later on. Anyways, so that's it for me today, guys. Have a good one. Merry Christmas. I'll link,
00:13:13.540 if you weren't able to go to a, like an, I guess a Christmas Eve church service, I have a
00:13:18.800 link in the description below as well if you want to watch one. I think it's always good for people
00:13:22.980 to have some sort of interaction with an actual, you know, with the actual Christmas story on
00:13:27.160 Christmas rather than just doing, you know, generic secular festive stuff. But have a good one, everyone.