The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - May 16, 2024


Trudeau has completely lost his old voter base

Topics
atheistic voters
Hosted by
Wyatt Claypool
Mentioned
Justin Trudeau Sikh Erin O'Toole Jagmeet Singh Calistanis Pierre Poilievre Angus Reid
David Eby losing young BC voters - Conservatives have momentum A Terrible week for Justin Trudeau's Liberals!

Episode Stats


Length

10 minutes

Words per minute

179.55

Word count

1,971

Sentence count

111

Harmful content

Misogyny

1

sentences flagged

Toxicity

10

sentences flagged

Hate speech

9

sentences flagged


Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

Justin Trudeau's Liberal Party base has completely abandoned him, leaving him with only half the support he used to have, which means he can t possibly win re-election in the next election. In this video, I talk about why this is a huge problem for him, and how he's been hoodwinked by his own party's pandering tactics.

Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Misogyny classifications generated with MilaNLProc/bert-base-uncased-ear-misogyny .
Toxicity classifications generated with s-nlp/roberta_toxicity_classifier .
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
Topics generated with Qwen2.5-3B-Instruct.
Hosts, guests, and mentioned names generated with spaCy (en_core_web_sm), reconciled against Wikidata.
00:00:00.140 I'm well aware that every other video on this channel is pretty much just cataloging the ongoing political death of Prime Minister Justin Trudeau,
00:00:08.660 but I have fun with it, you guys have fun with it, so why should we be insecure about it?
00:00:13.740 And today is no exception. We're talking about the implosion of Justin Trudeau's Liberal Party base.
00:00:20.040 He basically only has half the base he used to have to work with, which means that basically he can't win the next federal election,
00:00:26.840 something I've been saying a lot over the past six months, mostly because it's really true.
00:00:32.680 Justin Trudeau has taken for granted that he was just going to hold on to the Eastern Canadian vote,
00:00:38.660 not realizing that Eastern Canadians don't just vote Liberal because they live in the East.
00:00:43.400 A lot of voters have different values, and especially a lot of voters of different religions have different values,
00:00:49.840 and Trudeau has basically given away half the religious groups that used to vote for the Liberal Party.
00:00:55.420 I want to get into that right now. It's absolutely hilarious, but I just want to quickly plug the TNT Legal Fund
00:01:02.700 in the description of this video below. It's the Give, Send, Go link.
00:01:05.900 If you want to donate anything to our legal fund, it really helps us keep us afloat,
00:01:09.840 and we have all these Chinese billionaire developers suing us for no reason.
00:01:14.180 They aren't even presenting any evidence in the defamation case against us.
00:01:17.400 We're fighting it, so if you can contribute anything to that, it really helps us out.
00:01:21.480 Anyways, here is the new Angus Reid poll on different voting religious blocs,
00:01:27.200 and it shows that Trudeau has completely imploded with Hindu, Sikh, and Jewish voters.
00:01:34.020 Obviously, Christian voters used to always have voted very conservative,
00:01:39.000 but Hindu, Sikh, and Jewish voters used to vote a plurality Liberal.
00:01:43.940 Now, they are overwhelmingly voting conservative, except for Jewish voters,
00:01:48.940 but that's more of just a consequence of a lot of Jewish voters living in Montreal,
00:01:53.340 one of the most liberal cities in the entire country.
00:01:56.680 Justin Trudeau, despite the fact that he does what I think wouldn't be wrong to describe as a lot of pandering,
00:02:03.380 has not actually captured the needs of these different groups.
00:02:07.160 You can go out to a lot of rallies and talk about how much you respect the Hindu community,
00:02:12.720 how much you respect the Sikh community, 0.94
00:02:14.660 but if the policy sucks, they're not just going to think, 0.91
00:02:17.620 well, Sikh people or Hindu people or Jewish people usually vote this direction, 0.98
00:02:21.720 so I guess I'm going to continue doing that.
00:02:24.120 And despite the fact that Trudeau effectively got into a fight with India last year
00:02:29.360 just to try and pander to Sikh voters, 0.89
00:02:32.140 he's completely lost them,
00:02:33.580 because it turns out most Sikh people don't hate India.
00:02:37.520 Justin Trudeau has been hoodwinked, the way a lot of politicians have,
00:02:41.800 into believing people like radical Kalistanis represent Sikh voters,
00:02:46.520 which is truly one of the most bigoted things you could possibly believe.
00:02:50.360 It would be like if I was trying to win Catholic voters, 0.92
00:02:53.580 and I went out there and talked about how much I liked the IRA. 0.99
00:02:57.300 It's incredibly foolish, and most Sikhs hate Kalistanis. 1.00
00:03:01.200 I'm a Baptist, and it would be like someone thinking, 0.99
00:03:04.040 I like the Westboro Baptist Church,
00:03:06.140 and I'm totally down with the banners they hold and them protesting veterans' funerals.
00:03:12.100 I'd be a little bit insulted by that.
00:03:14.580 And that's what Justin Trudeau has been doing for the past eight years,
00:03:18.920 pretending like every religious group is defined by the weird fringe,
00:03:23.580 and then pandering to them.
00:03:25.360 Hindu voters have been definitely staying away from the liberals,
00:03:28.700 even in the last election, because of the Kalistani pandering. 0.80
00:03:32.720 Kalistanis tend to make a lot of sport out of harassing and attacking Hindus and their religious temples, 1.00
00:03:38.480 and so those people are definitely not voting for Trudeau.
00:03:42.200 And also, in general with Indian voters,
00:03:44.760 they tend to be very heavily represented in the small business owner community,
00:03:49.000 and because Justin Trudeau hates nothing more than a small business owner,
00:03:53.520 these people, even outside of the religious affiliation,
00:03:56.460 hate the liberals these days because they do not leave them alone,
00:03:59.280 they overtax them,
00:04:00.460 they don't seem to think that small business owners earning a living is somehow legitimate
00:04:04.960 because the Liberal Party has been taken over by, effectively, NDP socialists.
00:04:10.360 Justin Trudeau is a very orange Liberal Party leader,
00:04:12.880 so all these people have completely abandoned them.
00:04:15.840 It's very funny to also see that Sikh voters really don't vote for the NDP,
00:04:21.440 despite the fact that Jagmeet Singh is Sikh.
00:04:24.420 They just don't really see him as a very competent representative of them.
00:04:28.420 I don't know what religion Aaron O'Toole was,
00:04:30.960 but if Aaron O'Toole was a strong Christian man,
00:04:34.040 I wouldn't like him anymore.
00:04:35.800 He's terrible on policy. 0.74
00:04:37.160 He was a fake conservative,
00:04:38.820 and so I don't care if he happened to literally go to my church,
00:04:42.880 he's not a good leader,
00:04:44.400 so I will not vote for him.
00:04:46.100 This is where so many people who are way too into consulting and politics,
00:04:51.960 like, they constantly get this idea wrong
00:04:53.900 that people vote based on very shallow interests of general groups they identify with.
00:05:00.100 If you're Sikh, you vote for Sikh things. 1.00
00:05:02.140 If you're Hindu, you vote for Hindu things. 1.00
00:05:03.720 If you're Christian, you vote for Christian things. 0.99
00:05:05.900 And while that's kind of true,
00:05:07.980 it's more so that you have to understand the underlying values between those voters.
00:05:12.380 Justin Trudeau has even been losing Muslim voters.
00:05:16.040 Yes, they're mostly voting NDP now,
00:05:18.040 but it's just because they don't want to vote for the conservatives who tend to be more pro-Israel,
00:05:23.360 so they're voting for the NDP.
00:05:24.860 So somehow Justin Trudeau is losing Muslim voters to the NDP.
00:05:28.820 At the same time, Jagmeet Singh is losing Sikh voters to the liberals. 0.99
00:05:32.600 It's a complete clown show out there. 0.94
00:05:34.400 And now I just want to dive a little bit more into the deeper statistics behind each group, 0.98
00:05:40.060 starting off with evangelicals.
00:05:41.700 And because I'm an evangelical,
00:05:43.020 I want to brag that we are the most conservative religious group in the country.
00:05:48.020 Big W for the evangelicals, as the young people say.
00:05:52.020 But here, let's get into it.
00:05:53.420 I'll start scrolling upwards through these different statistics.
00:05:58.040 You guys should honestly go and follow Polling Canada.
00:06:00.080 I know it's run by an NDP guy, but he does a good job of showing all these stats online.
00:06:05.980 So our evangelical voters are voting 73% conservative.
00:06:09.860 We have Muslim voters voting 41 NDP, 31 liberal, 15% conservative.
00:06:15.720 We have Jewish voters voting 42% conservative, 33% liberal.
00:06:20.480 We have atheists, 30 NDP, 25 liberal, 25 CPC, and block 12, which really demonstrates in my mind, 0.58
00:06:29.160 not to go after the atheists, is that because atheism isn't exactly a coherent philosophy around one set of ideals,
00:06:35.700 it tends to just relate itself to any political ideology.
00:06:39.480 So you'll probably find atheist voters being the group that will most often be evenly divided between the parties,
00:06:45.540 because in a certain sense, sorry, I keep saying because way too much in this video.
00:06:50.340 I'm sorry, guys.
00:06:51.800 But with atheistic voters, I think that you'd actually find that they're more likely to be ideological voters,
00:06:57.840 because if you're not religious, if you're an NDP voter, you're definitely a lifelong NDP voter.
00:07:03.280 And if you're liberal, you're definitely a lifelong liberal.
00:07:05.460 And if you're conservative, and so on and so on.
00:07:07.860 But getting back to it, that's a bit of, I would like to see almost a little bit of some deeper dives
00:07:13.920 on what atheistic voters tend to do on different issues.
00:07:17.900 Sikh voters, 54% conservative, 21 liberal, 20 NDP.
00:07:22.820 Singh's coming in third with Sikhs.
00:07:25.620 Hindus, 53% conservative, 22% liberal, 18 NDP.
00:07:30.360 And then we have Catholics, 45% conservatives, liberals, 24%, block 16%, NDP 10%.
00:07:36.040 Makes sense there's a few more block voters just because of Catholic representation in Quebec.
00:07:41.000 And then with, among religiously unaffiliated, 38% conservative, 26% NDP, liberal 23%, block 7%.
00:07:49.640 And this is what I really like.
00:07:51.260 And I might have to scroll into these a bit more now.
00:07:53.740 This is where the evangelicals get another W, because we also are the least likely to like Jagmeet
00:08:00.160 saying he has a negative 24 net approval rating with evangelicals.
00:08:04.040 Trudeau has an even worse one with a negative 69% rating with evangelicals.
00:08:09.000 Sorry, I got to cheer for the home team here, so I keep highlighting this.
00:08:12.860 But yeah, all the leaders do, although like the left-wing leaders do pretty badly with most religious voters.
00:08:20.020 And then you see Pierre Polyev, who has the highest net approval rating right now.
00:08:24.080 And he has the lowest approval rating with atheists.
00:08:26.980 I'm not sure what that means.
00:08:28.020 But evangelicals like him at a net rating of plus 46%.
00:08:32.480 But great stuff to see.
00:08:35.220 Justin Trudeau is not, again, it's not that Justin Trudeau is just unpopular.
00:08:40.560 Like, just generally, Canadians in equal proportions among all demographics have just started not liking him as much.
00:08:46.440 It's that specific interest groups he's just lost.
00:08:49.500 And when you've lost a specific interest group, it's not just because of the general malaise around the country.
00:08:55.140 People just don't feel the spark anymore.
00:08:56.980 It's usually that you've done something specific to tick them off.
00:09:00.760 With evangelical voters, we all know why Justin Trudeau, they never liked Justin Trudeau.
00:09:05.080 But with Sikh voters, we can tie it back to certain policies of Justin Trudeau that made them dislike him.
00:09:10.600 His attacks on small business, his conflation with them with Calistanis, and his fighting with India that's causing a lot of tensions in the Indian community.
00:09:20.120 Not that Indian Canadians are going to start fighting each other.
00:09:22.820 Calistanis will fight pretty much anyone.
00:09:24.800 But just the idea that Trudeau is trying to stoke, like, fake hatred in order to try and win votes.
00:09:31.540 Justin Trudeau's divide and conquer strategy for politics kind of works during COVID.
00:09:36.580 But it really only worked because Erwin O'Toole wasn't fighting for those who were sick of the lockdowns and the mandates.
00:09:43.340 So Trudeau was able to divide against a group of people who even Erwin O'Toole was attacking as bad and nasty.
00:09:49.720 But Trudeau got to seem like the big champion of the vaccinated versus the unvaccinated.
00:09:55.240 But now, when you try and pit different religious groups or ethnicities or whoever against each other, that ticks people off.
00:10:01.880 It doesn't tick people off against each other.
00:10:03.700 It ticks them off against the people trying to divide them.
00:10:06.800 And that's Trudeau.
00:10:08.000 It's Singh.
00:10:09.000 It's...
00:10:09.480 I could throw the greens and the block in there, too.
00:10:12.020 But they're utterly irrelevant.
00:10:13.200 So who cares?
00:10:14.180 But yeah, this is great to see.
00:10:16.140 It's really good to see religious voters not accepting the nonsense that Justin Trudeau is serving anymore.
00:10:22.000 But that should be it for me today, guys.
00:10:24.400 Again, I have the Give, Send, Go link in the description below.
00:10:27.120 And if you happen to live in the riding of Calgary-Signal Hill, make sure to vote for me number one on your ballot if you're a Conservative Party member.
00:10:35.220 So since it's a ranked ballot, you can rank me technically one all the way to whatever the bottom number of candidates is.
00:10:41.300 But I would urge you to vote for me number one.
00:10:43.000 It's a super strong Conservative riding, and we need actual strong Conservatives. 0.86
00:10:47.380 A lot of the guys I'm running against are pretty much just running on how long their resumes are without being able to take a coherent stance on actual Conservative policy.
00:10:55.520 But that should be it for me.
00:10:56.880 As I keep saying, have a good one.