The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - November 12, 2024


Trudeau is losing but delusional Liberals refuse to see it


Episode Stats


Length

22 minutes

Words per minute

181.67627

Word count

4,112

Sentence count

265

Harmful content

Misogyny

5

sentences flagged

Hate speech

8

sentences flagged


Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

Wyatt Claypool explains why Justin Trudeau will never get re-elected in the next election, and why the liberal cheerleaders are deluding themselves that he's going to win in a re-election in 2025.

Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Misogyny classifications generated with MilaNLProc/bert-base-uncased-ear-misogyny .
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
00:00:00.240 Hey guys, Wyatt Claypool here. I regret to inform you that the online liberal cheerleaders 1.00
00:00:07.700 are never going to figure out that Justin Trudeau is unpopular. I'm just going to be
00:00:12.220 open about it. This video is all about me pointing and laughing at people who refuse
00:00:17.240 to listen to other Canadians' opinions on Trudeau. They assume that because they and
00:00:22.620 their two other friends like Trudeau, well that's 100% support in my own little sample
00:00:27.340 there. Justin Trudeau must be rocketing towards a re-election victory in 2025. Guys, it's not
00:00:34.480 going to happen and I'm going to keep making fun of you until you realize it's not going
00:00:39.340 to happen. The funniest casualty in all this is Frank Graves, the pollster who runs ECOS.
00:00:47.000 ECOS used to be an okay pollster, but that guy has pure poly of derangement syndrome. So
00:00:53.020 I think he has been just cooking his polls recently. Most pollsters are good, but do not
00:00:57.720 trust ECOS because I think he is cooking his samples to come out with more pro-liberal
00:01:03.360 sort of samples. Because as a pollster, you don't just pick up the phone and call a thousand
00:01:07.940 people and see who they're voting for. You have to kind of target specific people based
00:01:12.380 on who you think is going to turn out in the next election. And Frank seems to think that
00:01:16.820 the people who are going to be voting in the next election are exclusively found in urban
00:01:22.320 coffee shops. It is crazy the types of samples he's getting. My friend Chris from the Great
00:01:28.000 Canadian Bagel podcast just showed how ridiculous his most recent poll is. Frank Graves only has
00:01:34.360 the Conservatives leading the Liberals by 9% across Canada, even as other pollsters consistently
00:01:39.920 show that they're anywhere from 16% to 22% above the Liberals. And those 22% aren't rare.
00:01:46.260 You'll have sometimes two different pollsters in the same week, say the Conservatives are leading
00:01:50.000 by 22%. But Frank thinks a plus 9% for the Conservatives, that's realistic. And let me say,
00:01:56.420 just because you don't like a poll result does not mean it's not realistic. I actually still think
00:02:01.400 that Main Street was probably on the money in BC, even though the NDP ended up winning the popular
00:02:06.740 vote by just like a bout of pointers too. But that's only really because the NDP had a much bigger
00:02:14.540 turnout game because they had way more money. I think that if the Conservatives had the budget to
00:02:18.640 turn out all of their supporters, remind people to vote, they probably would have easily won.
00:02:23.280 The NDP in BC were just saved by how much money they had. But Chris from the Great Canadian Bagel
00:02:28.860 podcast points out just how ridiculous this poll is. So it's 28 to 39. I believe it's actually a little
00:02:34.920 bit less than a 9% lead for the Conservatives when you bring in the decimals here. I think they're only
00:02:40.200 at like 38.6 and the Liberals were like 28.3. But these are the regionals. And Chris points out
00:02:47.800 the Conservatives being at plus 6 in Saskatchewan and Manitoba is impossible in terms of the Saskatchewan
00:02:55.180 is one of the most conservative ridings or provinces in the country. And Manitoba has gotten decently
00:03:01.480 conservative since Pierre Polyev became the leader. Do you really think that the Conservatives are only
00:03:06.540 leading by six in Manitoba and the NDP is all the way down at 16? Even though Wab Canoe is the
00:03:12.420 currently the NDP premier of the province and pretty popular, it makes absolutely no sense
00:03:18.260 whatsoever. He then says Ontario is not voting to the left of BC. And yes, that is true. BC always
00:03:25.600 tends to be a little bit more of a mixed bag. The Conservatives are always been in a bit more of a
00:03:30.640 dogfight with the Liberals and the NDP. How are the NDP only at 11% in BC? Frank, if you see that
00:03:37.300 the Liberals, that the NDP are within spitting distance of the Greens and the PPC, go do your
00:03:43.080 poll samples again. This is delusional. Last one, Liberals plus 18 in Atlanta is impossible in
00:03:50.560 Atlantic Canada. Yeah, it's not going to happen. The Conservatives and other people's regionals who do
00:03:56.400 a much better job than Frank Graves are showing the Conservatives sometimes leading by 20 in
00:04:01.100 Atlantic Canada because they are people who don't really like the Liberals' fiscally liberal approach
00:04:06.640 anymore. The Maritimes tend to be more fiscally liberal, but with such bad results over the past
00:04:12.260 nine years, that's not something that's garnering nearly as many votes these days as it used to.
00:04:17.800 And the Maritimes are very socially conservative. Do you think that the socially conservative
00:04:22.400 Maritimers are going to vote for the radically woke Liberal Party these days? They are not. 0.99
00:04:28.220 And definitely, they're not going to be voting for the radically woke Liberals by a margin of 18%
00:04:34.060 over their closest competitor. This is delusional. The Liberals are falling apart right now.
00:04:40.560 But now, let's just go through some posts from some Liberal activists online because this stuff is
00:04:45.900 the funniest. I want to start with this one because you guys probably know Dean Blundell.
00:04:50.360 Just really big lefty hack. But even he is realistic on Justin Trudeau, that Justin Trudeau
00:04:57.120 is not popular and pure Polyev is going to beat him. And this one lady who's like a prolific pro-liberal
00:05:03.440 poster, BK Belton, was not having it at all and I had to censor some of the stuff. So Dean just says,
00:05:09.880 or she's basically responding to something he said in his previous post, and she quotes,
00:05:13.680 impending poly of government, what the actual bleep, Dean, and then Dean says, I think it's an
00:05:19.820 analytical reality. And so Dean's being rational. And then she says, bleep right off, and I think
00:05:27.300 you're in an uninformed bleep. See ya. Just, he, Dean's literally on your side. Miss Belton,
00:05:36.400 just listen to him. He knows a little bit of what he's talking about. Not on many issues,
00:05:42.560 but Dean apparently can read a chart and see that the Liberals are down 20 points, 18 points in many
00:05:48.980 of these polls, and they're losing on all the issues. And Justin Trudeau's approval rating is
00:05:53.700 not going to recover from being as low as 24%. It's just not going to happen. Here's a great one,
00:05:59.820 everyone's favorite liberal on Twitter, if you've gotten to know her, Vicky Campbell, saying,
00:06:06.060 the media wants our prime minister, Justin Trudeau, wants our PM, Justin Trudeau, who has the highest
00:06:12.100 security clearance possible to step down so they can pave the way for Pierre Polyev, a highly
00:06:17.200 compromised Indian Russian asset who can't get his security clearance because he's so shady. No GD way 0.70
00:06:23.880 media flunkies. Polyev doesn't want to get the security clearance because if he gets the security
00:06:29.480 clearance to read the Nisekopp report, guess what? He can't actually talk about it. It's worthless.
00:06:35.280 Plus, the security clearance is not just looking into you. He's had to get personal security
00:06:40.080 clearances before. This is a higher level one that allows them to look into the background of every
00:06:45.220 friend and relative you have. And would you trust the Liberals not to leak something if they find
00:06:50.460 something embarrassing about your second cousin to try and use against you? Anyways, moving on.
00:06:59.480 And by the way, guys, if you ever see a little bit of a hiccup in the video, it's because for some
00:07:05.800 reason I have a great internet down here in Montana. But if it ever has a slight interruption, the video
00:07:10.760 will go fuzzy and it won't recover unless I restart the browser. So that's why I pause and have to
00:07:15.460 restart sometimes. Anyways, on to the next post. This person saying, and again, most of these are
00:07:20.580 liberal leaning individuals who are fighting with these Trudeau cheerleaders. Nota here says,
00:07:26.820 respectfully, Prime Minister Trudeau, I think you need to hear the citizens of Canada for once
00:07:31.140 and do the right thing. It's time for a change. You should call an election. And for the sake of
00:07:35.500 your own party, step down. You'll have plenty of time to cut touch grass after that and enjoy. And
00:07:41.060 it doesn't really matter what the person wanted to say. Vicky Campbell says, ah, Nota is worried.
00:07:45.760 So Trudeau needs to step down because he knows damn well Polyev isn't the guy who can beat him.
00:07:51.060 I like how Nota is probably a woman that sounds more like a woman's profile name,
00:07:55.520 but she still just assumes it's a man because it's like somebody who I guess
00:07:58.760 is not pro-liberal. And but Vicky Campbell goes on to say, every time these clowns ask him to step
00:08:04.660 down, they sound more and more desperate and scared. No one's desperate and scared. Trudeau is
00:08:10.500 it's like, you know, you're just terrified to fight the guy who's wetting his own pants.
00:08:16.360 No, no, I'm not. Here's another one from Vicky Campbell. I've had to censor a bit.
00:08:20.780 Well, a full year of Donald Trump might be exactly what Canada needs to open their eyes to fascism
00:08:26.460 before our election. He's a bleep and he won't disappoint us. I'm sure most of Canada is shaking 1.00
00:08:32.600 their bleeping heads at the results this morning. It could work in our favor. It's not going to work
00:08:38.300 in your favor. Trump being the president of the US is not going to help out Trudeau. I am sorry to
00:08:43.920 inform you. Nobody is under the impression that somehow Trump becoming the next president and
00:08:51.020 probably improving America's economy is going to make Trudeau look good by contrast. It's just not
00:08:56.880 how politics works. It's like whenever you see those polls that show, oh, only 18% of Canadians
00:09:02.520 would have voted for Donald Trump in the US presidential election. I'm like, yeah, because
00:09:06.620 Canadians don't live in the US. And because our media is very biased to the left and does not like 0.71
00:09:12.900 Trump, because Canadians don't have skin in the game on who wins the presidential election,
00:09:17.640 a lot of Canadians will default to whatever the general media opinion of him is. If Alberta or
00:09:22.540 Saskatchewan are part of the US, way more likely they'd go Republican than Democrat, because now
00:09:27.860 they actually have to live with realities of the different parties' policies on different issues.
00:09:32.460 Do you think that Alberta would vote significantly differently from somewhere like Pennsylvania or
00:09:38.140 Ohio when there's a lot of fracking there? Obviously not. Anyways, here is another post.
00:09:46.140 Does anyone, and this is somebody, again, responding to Dean Bloondale, who's saying that
00:09:50.120 we should, you know, round up all these Hamas nuts going around harassing people. And this Eva lady says, 0.99
00:09:55.600 does anyone realize wealthy conservative businessmen fund those jerks to do that? It's a game.
00:10:01.400 They strategize worldwide, hiring tacticians to hire agitators for the purpose of targeting specific
00:10:08.000 segments of voters in order to anger or scare them. Loosen the tinfoil hat lady. Conservatives are 0.88
00:10:16.700 hiring agitators? They realize there are actual left-wing organizations which hire agitators for
00:10:23.320 protests. This is something that George Soros' front groups are very well known for, that he will fund,
00:10:31.240 Antifa groups, and Black Lives Matter groups to protest and riot. This is something that a lot 0.59
00:10:36.000 of his money through several organizations gets funneled down into. He will fund caravans that
00:10:41.720 come from Mexico to the border to be chaotic and disruptive because George Soros is a leftist.
00:10:47.420 Anyways, here's another one. Oh my goodness. This one should have honestly been included in my
00:10:55.800 video on Remembrance Day. This is Nancy Crouse lady says, thank you for standing up to the likes of
00:11:00.720 pure poly of, we owe it to all who fought and died defending democracy in Canada. They made the
00:11:07.080 ultimate sacrifice to cave into these fascists, or they didn't make the ultimate sacrifice to cave
00:11:11.640 into these fascists. Get a clue. Here's our favorite TikToker, or I guess it's a running gun battle
00:11:18.380 between Creek Pete and Steve Boots and Frank Dominic. But here's Creek Pete saying,
00:11:24.240 Pierre is also not connecting, and he's not getting inundated with calls to resign. Trudeau is not
00:11:30.640 connecting for reasons beyond his popularity. Again, progressives are weak and always willing to
00:11:35.300 be rolled over. That's your choice, not mine. Sorry, leftists are always willing to roll over. 0.97
00:11:42.440 Trudeau has been re-elected three times. Sorry, when did they become flaky and weak? If anything,
00:11:47.840 my criticism of progressives would be that they will stick by their party and leader, even as the
00:11:54.060 policies are obviously failing, because they tend to care more about the intention and the good vibes
00:11:59.660 of the policy more than the actual results. Polyev is not connecting. Is that why he's having just
00:12:05.920 absolute massive rallies across Canada, a country when rallies and big political events is kind of a
00:12:12.540 rarity up until recently because of how unpopular Justin Trudeau is? It's delusional to think that
00:12:20.020 the reason why Justin Trudeau is not doing well anymore is the media is now lying to people.
00:12:25.280 The media is still left, guys. You are just reacting to the fact that they used to be 11 out of 10
00:12:30.680 left, and now that Polyev is obviously on the ascent and Justin Trudeau is deeply unpopular,
00:12:36.480 the legacy media have to at least somewhat acknowledge Trudeau is unpopular. So there's more op-eds
00:12:41.220 saying that maybe he should resign and media coverage around his low polling numbers. And
00:12:46.300 Creep-Pete reacts to this by saying, oh my goodness, you guys are traitors to the country.
00:12:50.920 Here's another one from Creep-Pete responding to this lady, Laura Babcock, saying, it's not rhetoric.
00:12:56.380 People I speak to with people I speak with want an alternative to Trudeau after nine years, but
00:13:02.540 not to vote for Polyev. So this lady is not conservative, saying, I don't want to vote for 0.91
00:13:06.880 Polyev. And my friends and I all basically are just looking for somebody that we can
00:13:11.200 vote for because Trudeau has been a disaster. And Creep-Pete says, every person I talk to
00:13:15.780 that doesn't like Trudeau doesn't have a clue what they're talking about and blame him for
00:13:20.440 mostly provincial matters. Some people will sometimes blame like the federal government
00:13:26.060 for provincial stuff, but that's not really the case overall, Trudeau. He goes on to say,
00:13:31.160 others are influenced by social media, perhaps instead of bending over to Putin and Modi,
00:13:35.700 media in this country to do their job.
00:13:38.280 Yeah.
00:13:41.200 What do you mean do their job? I keep hearing do their job, do their job, do their job. Trudeau's
00:13:47.380 unpopular media, do your job. If anything, Creep-Pete's at least honest enough in a subtle
00:13:52.480 way to acknowledge the fact that the media is a propaganda machine for the liberals. And if
00:13:57.380 they're doing their job, that means that Trudeau's polling numbers should increase and that people
00:14:02.160 should stop noticing that prices are going up around them. It's arrogant and delusional. A lot of
00:14:08.340 these people, and you can tell by the house Creep-Pete lives in and shoots his terrible
00:14:12.340 TikTok videos from, he's also the thinnest skinned person on the planet. I made fun of him for going 1.00
00:14:16.860 over. And when I say made fun of him, I mean like subtly. Just saying that I encourage all the lefties
00:14:23.820 on, on the Canadian lefties on Twitter to go migrate over to Blue Sky because they're all going
00:14:28.760 over to this new social media app, Blue Sky, which has like no users. They're celebrating, oh, has 14
00:14:33.900 million users. That's not a lot. Twitter has like 400 million, 500 million right now. Yes, we've gotten
00:14:40.520 a lot of people to join, but those are people who are still going to keep posting on X and they're
00:14:45.120 even opening about the fact they're going to keep posting on X. And he got like wildly mad at me,
00:14:50.340 Creep-Pete, for saying that. Even though every single one of his videos is just wall-to-wall,
00:14:53.880 being snarky, acting like he's going to tell you what's up, extremely condescending. And you like
00:15:00.480 push back on him at all and just explodes in vitriol. And not even like snarky vitriol,
00:15:07.060 just like screaming, mic peeking type of rhetoric. The man is a nutcase. And you can tell in his
00:15:13.600 house, and I'm going to say this to him, you're a deeply privileged loser for Creep-Pete. You live in
00:15:20.920 a nice house. You do not suffer the effects of the bad economy. You probably have a nonsense job.
00:15:27.880 You don't work in oil and gas. You don't work in mining. You don't work in the resource sector or
00:15:31.620 anything useful probably, but you're going to tell other people that actually the economy is quite
00:15:35.980 good. You know, you're just stupid. You don't realize that Justin Trudeau is good. You don't
00:15:40.060 even live in the real world guy. You should go maybe try and touch grass once in a while and figure
00:15:45.380 out that other people actually do care when their grocery prices go up. And it wasn't the grocery store
00:15:49.920 owners who artificially increase the price. Inflation exists. Take an economics 101 class,
00:15:56.240 dude. Anyways, here's another person saying, that wasn't the other one. Again, here's a fun one.
00:16:03.900 This is again, BK Belton here saying, strong and united. I stand with Trudeau. Hashtag,
00:16:09.780 there are millions of us. Approximately maybe two or three million, which is not enough to win an
00:16:16.260 election. But that reminded me of the thing of that thing from the show Arrested Development,
00:16:24.420 where that Funke guy stands up and screams, there are dozens of us. There's no one who's
00:16:31.820 voting liberal anymore. There's just nobody left. There's nobody is charmed by Trudeau. He's charming
00:16:38.600 when the economy is good for some people. And you can kind of live outside of economic realities,
00:16:44.100 because it's going to take a few years for us to realize that just spending wildly is not going to,
00:16:49.260 like, is going to hurt us. Here's even his own, his own former advisor. If these people are going to
00:16:55.880 listen to somebody, listen to. Here's Gerald Botts on power and politics, indicating that Trudeau is
00:17:02.900 unpopular and has a lot to do with inflation. And no, it's not because business owners are artificially
00:17:08.800 price gouging people. Just one last question. I mean, you've worked in politics a long time,
00:17:13.240 obviously, always, obviously for liberal progressive political parties. What lesson,
00:17:18.280 what message do you take from what we saw in the United States with this massive shift to the right
00:17:22.360 across all cohorts, pretty much all moving towards Donald Trump and abandoning a lot of progressive
00:17:26.920 candidates? Yeah, well, when I was in politics, David, I used to say the main thing is to keep the
00:17:30.620 main thing the main thing. And the main thing is to be a party that represents the interests of
00:17:35.260 regular people. And I think that the Democrats are far afield from that right now. And they're
00:17:39.880 kind of paying the price of it. That said, there's a lot of entrails, a lot of time to be spent
00:17:45.760 looking at the entrails of this one. And I should, we should caution drawing too broad a conclusion from
00:17:51.740 one election result. I think it's pretty clear that inflation has been the grim reaper for incumbents
00:17:57.180 all over the world, something we called a couple of years ago at your rich group, by the way, said it would
00:18:00.920 happen. And it didn't matter whether you were a social Democrat in Finland, a Tory in Britain,
00:18:06.720 whatever Bolsonaro was in Brazil, or the Democratic incumbent in the United States,
00:18:12.960 everybody's been mowed down by this economic environment.
00:18:16.320 Jerry Butts, former principal secretary to the...
00:18:18.300 Yeah. Trudeau is going to lose. He cannot run away from inflation. And it's not price gouging.
00:18:24.000 If that was the real thing, Gerald Butts would have said, oh, I think Kamala Harris didn't just 0.92
00:18:29.700 highlight price gouging enough. Nobody actually believes it because somehow they don't price gouge
00:18:34.880 when better people are in office and they actually reduce government spending and taxes and make
00:18:39.420 life more affordable. Somehow business owners all agree to stop price gouging people then and lower
00:18:44.200 prices or maintain them. But as soon as a socialist is in government and they start jacking up spending
00:18:49.760 and taxes, that's when they all start colluding. It's not because they actually jacked up taxes.
00:18:54.620 Again, all this is so disconnected from reality. I love this post and that's why I kept it to show
00:19:03.620 you guys. So Roddy is somebody on Twitter who I disagree with vehemently, but he is one of these
00:19:10.200 liberals like Dean Blundell and like some other people who think that Justin Trudeau should step
00:19:13.980 down. And he's basically going over the current batch of liberal potential contenders for the
00:19:20.900 leadership. I don't agree with him, but here's what we have and here's his diagnosis. I agree with
00:19:27.140 some of his takes, but he says Carney can destroy Polyev economically, but lacks populism. I don't
00:19:32.920 exactly agree with that. I think that Carney, the problem is he's way too like Trudeau on economics,
00:19:37.840 so it doesn't matter. Clark, I mean, Christy Clark, lol. Fraser, a definite up-and-comer. Oh,
00:19:43.940 goodness, he's not. Smith wants to hear more. Freeland, baggage. Joe Lee, unlikely. LeBlanc,
00:19:50.000 nope. And this guy, Stephen Stefano Barbaris says, after Trudeau wins this next election,
00:19:57.240 we will have an embarrassment of riches to choose from for a leader when he decides to step down.
00:20:04.760 He's not winning, guys. He's not going to win. He's not going to win because he's fumbled
00:20:09.740 the leadership of the country. Nobody is going to give people, nobody's going to give this guy a
00:20:17.080 second, like a fourth chance. He's had his chances. And Trudeau has agency. By the way,
00:20:23.180 guys, for all these people who like Trudeau out there, the man has agency. He can choose to do
00:20:28.420 less stupid things, but everyone's like, oh, it's always those provincial premiers doing this,
00:20:33.400 or it's the world markets, or it's whatever. Who's forcing the man to keep the carbon tax? Who's
00:20:38.720 forcing the man to raise taxes? Who's forcing the man to print massive amounts of money and spend on
00:20:43.880 bloated programs? Nobody. Who's forcing him to attack the oil and gas industry? Nobody. It's
00:20:50.840 nuts that these people actually believe he can win. He can't win. And again, all the people who think he
00:20:58.020 can win are still cheerleading him. Let's just say it. They're deeply privileged individuals. They
00:21:03.080 probably earned it. I'm not a leftist who think that you haven't earned the ability to make a lot of
00:21:07.700 money and be able to retain it. But these people, by their own definitions, are deeply out of touch
00:21:12.100 privileged individuals. But then they're going to tell people who used to vote liberal, people who
00:21:16.720 genuinely used to vote liberal, that they're just stupid and wrong and manipulated and tricked by the
00:21:22.140 media. Because I guess the truth, it's not going to work, guys. It's not going to work. And it
00:21:27.860 shouldn't work. And I'm happy it's not going to work. We actually do need a changing government.
00:21:31.900 I'm a conservative, so I want the next conservative government to be as conservative as
00:21:35.500 possible to roll back all the damage Trudeau has done. And yeah, and I'm going to be laughing all
00:21:41.700 the way, like to election day, seeing all these people just not getting it. It's going to be after
00:21:47.960 the election and people are not going to get it. I guarantee you, these people are going to say that
00:21:51.860 Modi stole the election for Polyev this next year. They will try it because they have no other
00:21:57.580 explanation for Trudeau's failure because they're unwilling to say it was Trudeau himself that failed.
00:22:02.860 Anyways, that's it for me today, guys. Make sure to subscribe to the channel if you haven't
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