The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - Trudeau is projected to lose his own riding! Rumours he will resign

00:00:00.000 Hey guys, Wyatt Claypool here. I think I've discovered the real reason as to why Prime

00:00:06.460 Minister Justin Trudeau is digging in his heels so hard, refusing to step down as the Liberal

00:00:11.900 Party leader. And like him, the reason is very petty and small. Trudeau is not delusional enough

00:00:18.360 to think that if he stays on as the Liberal leader, that the Liberal Party is going to be

00:00:22.600 able to win the next federal election. I really don't think it matters who the Liberal Party

00:00:26.740 leader is. People hate the brand at this point because they first hated Justin Trudeau, and he

00:00:32.720 has become the Liberal Party brand, even if Chrystia Freeland, Chrystia Clark, or anyone else takes over

00:00:38.640 for him. Anyways, but I think it's all because the reason he's not stepping down is he doesn't want

00:00:44.620 to be like Kim Campbell and lose his own riding while being the Prime Minister. If he stops being

00:00:50.400 Prime Minister, there is actually a much better chance he's not able to win re-election, because

00:00:55.600 the leader tends to have a certain aura around them. If you're a supporter of their party living

00:01:00.920 in the riding, or maybe even you're an undecided voter, well, why don't we get out of the house and

00:01:05.880 go vote for the Prime Minister? It feels important to do. And so if Trudeau stops being the Liberal

00:01:11.920 Party leader and Prime Minister, well, what is he at this point to the voters in Papineau, a riding that

00:01:17.820 I believe the provincial ridings within it often do not go liberal. And so Trudeau is sticking on

00:01:24.960 just because he will probably resign after the next election anyways. But he at least doesn't

00:01:29.600 want to be the guy who had to resign from office fearing that he wouldn't be re-elected. He wants

00:01:34.200 to be re-elected and then choose to step down and not become Kim Campbell. Let's go over some of the

00:01:40.420 projections on the projection websites, because these things are pretty nasty for the Prime Minister

00:01:45.800 right now. This is the percent chance that 338 Canada gives to him right now. And even 338 Canada,

00:01:53.020 I believe has been over projecting the Liberals by a bit. So he has a 74% chance of winning re-election

00:02:01.520 in Papineau, a riding in Montreal. That is insane that he could even lose this riding. But Justin

00:02:09.540 Trudeau has made it happen. And if we go to the final vote projections, they show it being a victory

00:02:15.500 for Trudeau, but only of 3% above the NDP at 30. The Bloc coming in with 18% and the Conservatives

00:02:22.840 with 11. That sounds weird to many of you who don't live in Quebec. I don't live in Quebec. But if you

00:02:28.140 follow the election results in Quebec, it makes sense. The Conservatives only got 4% last time in Papineau

00:02:36.220 back in 2021. And it's just because Montreal is just not a Conservative place. There isn't even a Conservative

00:02:42.760 Party with an actual seat in Quebec provincial politics. It's either Quebec nationalists or it's

00:02:48.640 hyper-metropolitan liberals or other sorts of like socialist trade unionists. And Justin Trudeau

00:02:55.240 is very much on that metropolitan bent right now, except Quebec is not having a metropolitan

00:03:01.560 progressive phase. It's having a very nationalistic phase right now. And Justin Trudeau is completely out

00:03:08.020 of step with it. But the thing is that the 11% they're projecting for the Conservatives here

00:03:13.020 is very good. Remember, they got 4% last time. So this would be almost tripling what their vote was.

00:03:20.780 And I think, and Pauly of the Conservatives should do this, I think they should just absolutely slam his

00:03:26.840 riding with door knockers and try and pump up that Conservative vote as much as you can. Go to every

00:03:32.120 Anglo voter in the riding, get them to vote Conservative. Yes, we're not going to win. We're going to come 0.93

00:03:36.360 fourth place. But we can trip up Trudeau enough to make sure that he loses his own riding. Because

00:03:41.900 Trudeau, despite the fact that in Western Canada, he is seen as a big shill for Quebec, in Quebec,

00:03:49.000 he is more pro-Anglo than many of the bloc-type politicians would be or Francois Legault. And so

00:03:55.780 if the Conservatives can rip away Anglo voters, that's actually a big part of Justin Trudeau's winning 1.00

00:04:01.520 coalition in that riding. And notice if you ever look at the electoral history of Papineau,

00:04:07.060 Trudeau's never won that riding by a massive margin. It is a very divided riding. And it's going

00:04:12.660 to be a very divided riding with very unmotivated liberal voters. Justin Trudeau usually wins it

00:04:19.100 with 50% of the vote, which isn't that much considering all the polling growth that all the

00:04:24.480 other parties have had in Montreal since then. Especially if the Conservatives become very competitive

00:04:29.600 in Mount Royal. I guarantee that is going to have a trickling effect into the other ridings and make

00:04:35.320 it a very unlivable place for the Liberals to be. Because it's going to be a referendum in Montreal.

00:04:41.200 Do you like the Liberals or do you not? And over 50% of the population, for the most part,

00:04:46.920 is already against the Liberals. How much more can Trudeau lose without actually getting thrown out of

00:04:52.380 office? Now let's go check out on the website of Polywave, run by Sherey Attiste on Twitter. He does a

00:04:59.300 very good job. He has made the more hawkish predictions that the Liberals were going to lose

00:05:03.740 in Toronto-St. Paul and they were going to lose in LaSalle-Amard-Verdon, also in Montreal riding.

00:05:08.260 Those did happen and he was like one of the only polling projectionists to actually show the Liberals

00:05:13.540 losing. He actually shows Justin Trudeau currently losing right now to the NDP, 31 to 30 with the block

00:05:21.740 grabbing 22% of the vote. Now I would still personally probably advantage Trudeau in this race

00:05:28.820 as it currently stands, but it's because he is the Prime Minister. He can rip more resources into his

00:05:34.460 riding. He can relocate more volunteers into Papineau to make sure that he doesn't go down. But again,

00:05:40.700 if he stops being the Prime Minister, which is not completely unlikely, he will become a who cares kind

00:05:47.160 of a politician. But maybe we all might want Trudeau to stick around and keep being the Prime Minister

00:05:52.500 because wouldn't it be funny that he runs the next election as the Prime Minister and ends up losing

00:05:57.640 his own riding? I think that would be fairly cathartic, even though I'm one of these people

00:06:02.580 who advocates that Trudeau probably should step down because I want to normalize politicians stepping

00:06:07.620 down when they suck at their jobs. Anyways though, now let's move on to talking about Gerald

00:06:14.520 Butts who has wormed his way back into Canadian politics to let us all know that he also thinks

00:06:20.520 that Justin Trudeau is basically dead at this point. So in a Substack article he released, he went over

00:06:28.280 what the current leadership crisis is shaping up to look like. And a lot of people are quoting him like

00:06:33.720 No Cartier here from the Epoch Times. And this is grabbing quotes from the Substack, which is enough for

00:06:40.160 us to read today. Gerald Butts, who used to be the top advisor for Trudeau, actually said,

00:06:47.160 if, as is now widely expected, Mr. Trudeau's resignation is imminent, the only way forward

00:06:53.220 is a real leadership race. So Justin Trudeau's former top advisor and confidant does not think

00:07:00.660 he's actually going to be staying on as Prime Minister, which great news for all of us. But the

00:07:06.080 only thing I have to say right now is, what do you gain by throwing in Christia Freeland, or Mark 0.91

00:07:12.660 Carney, or I don't know who else, like Anita Anand, Christy Clark, my goodness, what do you gain as the

00:07:20.560 Liberal Party by having these people slotted in? Again, Justin Trudeau has become the Liberal Party

00:07:26.880 brand. And putting in a new leader does not make the Liberal Party brand now Dominic LeBlanc,

00:07:32.540 it's not be not like the Dominic LeBlanc party. Have you seen how insane Trudeau-anon type

00:07:39.200 Liberal simps online are? They are not going to stop voting Liberal unless Trudeau goes away,

00:07:45.860 because their entire ego and personalities are currently based on Trudeau being the leader.

00:07:50.520 If he goes away, a similar cult is not going to pop up for Melanie Jolie or Philippe Champagne.

00:07:57.180 It's just not. I'm sorry. Anyways, that's pretty much it for me today. But I do want to cover another

00:08:04.060 tweet from the PPC, because every once in a while, I got to slam the PPC here and there for being

00:08:09.180 absolutely incompetent. But before I get to this last part, guys, if you like the show, make sure to

00:08:14.620 hit that subscribe button, like the video, leave a comment. I'll do all that great stuff. It really

00:08:18.960 helps me out in the algorithm. So this is Patricia Conlon, who's run in the riding of Durham in the

00:08:26.560 past three elections, I believe. She even ran in the by-election against Jamil Giovanni in Durham.

00:08:33.340 And for some reason, she posted this, and I want to talk about why this is why nobody votes for the

00:08:38.260 PPC. I voted for them in 2021. They have just become the childish online party, people who are

00:08:44.540 permanently online and are also smarter than you and know better. She says, does anyone understand

00:08:50.560 why she did this post? Things seem to be falling apart for the Polyev family. Okay, now seriously

00:08:57.860 consider what do you think she is reacting to? It's a tweet from Anita Polyev, Pierre Polyev's wife.

00:09:05.460 And so what was she reacting to? What was the big thing going on here that required her to respond and

00:09:12.940 speculate? Are they going to get divorced? Is some family matter happening right now?

00:09:19.260 It's Anita Polyev responding to Tlaib Nur-Muhammad being a stupid woke scold. Tlaib Nur-Muhammad

00:09:25.640 said, where is the conservative outrage at the lack of Christmas trees, Santa, Jesus, and a nativity or

00:09:31.460 anything remotely related to Christmas? Asking for a friend. And this is the Christmas card that the

00:09:36.740 Polyevs put out, which everyone's like, or at least liberals are like, oh my goodness, why are there 0.92

00:09:41.400 pumpkins in the background? It's like, it's pretty standard that people take their Christmas card

00:09:46.120 photos like months before actual Christmas, because it makes it easier. And Anita Polyev to this said,

00:09:53.700 Merry Christmas from my children and me. Here's to the year ahead where Canadians come together to put

00:09:59.200 Canada first, to be able to afford a roof over their heads, food on the table, and live in safe streets.

00:10:04.560 I don't see how this is a bad post or indicative of literally anything negative. She's just kind of

00:10:11.400 dunking on Tlaib, who is obviously trying to create some row over literally nothing, and she wishes

00:10:17.880 him Merry Christmas and talks about how the conservatives are going to crush people like him in the next

00:10:24.600 election. Patricia Conlin, get a hold of yourself. Again, on top of the fact that the PPC does not 0.62

00:10:32.620 actually try in elections, they don't doorknock, and they are endlessly smug on social media, it's also the fact

00:10:39.400 that they go for a lot of low blows, especially at times when they're completely undeserved.

00:10:45.560 Yeah, okay, maybe conservatives every once in a while can be too soft or something like that, and I

00:10:52.700 could agree on certain policies. I wish the conservatives were more conservative, but the PPC just

00:10:58.200 like being smart mouths online is not doing them absolutely any favors whatsoever. It's wild looking

00:11:06.460 at the sort of people that Maxime Bernier will retweet, like literally just terminally online,

00:11:11.760 perennial posters who just post about everything all the time, Purple Wave, 2025 Bernier. It's like,

00:11:17.680 guys, it's not happening. Go out and try, rather than being smug on Twitter. This is the same lady, 0.91

00:11:23.900 Patricia Conlin, because of the fame of the Polly of Apple video. She shot her own really cringy

00:11:30.520 version of it with the failed comedian Greg Wycliffe. Be something more than just conservative reply guys

00:11:38.020 and gals. Stop making your entire personality based on the fact that, you know, I'm more conservative 0.89

00:11:43.440 than pure Polly. Well, you don't work hard, so I don't know. You don't really exhibit the conservative

00:11:49.300 of working class values that helped build this country. The people who would go out and work

00:11:54.220 when it was negative 20 outside. You seem to be, I don't know, a lazy malcontent on the internet,

00:12:01.200 not a real political option. Be a real political option or please go away. I'm not even saying

00:12:07.040 the PPC should go away because I'm threatened by them. I don't want them beating, like hurting

00:12:11.620 Polly ever, whatever. I want you guys to stick around if you try. If you don't try, it's an insult

00:12:17.740 to democracy. It's just watching people slap their names on ballots like they're a bunch of like

00:12:22.880 perennial, like rhinoceros party candidates. My goodness. Anyways, so that's it for me today,

00:12:29.700 guys. Mini rant there at the end. Again, subscribe to the channel, like this video, and if you want to

00:12:34.880 financially support us, you can always donate to the Give, Send, Go legal fund in the description below,

00:12:40.420 as well as pinned at the top of the comments. Also, if you want my recommendation for nomination races

00:12:46.120 races or any nomination races or leadership races, make sure to sign up on my website,

00:12:52.380 wyattclaypool.com, also linked in those two places. See you guys later.

The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - December 27, 2024

Trudeau is projected to lose his own riding! Rumours he will resign

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