The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - December 17, 2024


Trudeau Liberals get crushed in by-election amid leadership crisis!


Episode Stats

Length

22 minutes

Words per Minute

174.19948

Word Count

3,984

Sentence Count

262

Hate Speech Sentences

2


Summary

The Tories crushed the Liberals in the by-election in Cloverdale-Langley City by a margin of over 50%. This is the most humiliating loss for any incumbent government in Canadian history. This is bad news for Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and the Liberal Party.


Transcript

00:00:00.000 Hey guys, Wyatt Claypool here. As if things couldn't get any worse for Prime Minister Justin
00:00:06.080 Trudeau and his Liberal government in the midst of this leadership crisis, the Cloverdale-Langley
00:00:11.820 City by-election happened last night, and I would argue it is the most humiliating by-election loss
00:00:18.120 for any incumbent government in Canadian history. The Liberals, in fact, won this riding back in
00:00:24.300 2021. They won it by 3% with John Aldeg. For some reason, John Aldeg decided to resign his seat to
00:00:31.700 then run for the BCNDP. He then lost, and then it had to go to a by-election, which is not great for
00:00:38.900 Justin Trudeau right now because he has enough to cry about at this point. Yesterday, the Conservatives
00:00:45.760 didn't just win this riding. They absolutely crushed it, and when I say crushed it, I don't mean they
00:00:51.360 won with like a margin of 20%. That's a massive margin in Canadian politics. No, they won it by
00:00:57.980 50%. The Conservatives got 66% of the vote. The Liberals got 16. The NDP got 12. The Greens got
00:01:06.240 four, and the PPC got one, and I think that's actually one if they round up. I'm going to get
00:01:11.280 to the PPC later and talk about them. But this is something that you don't come back from as the
00:01:17.380 Liberals because every single election has consequences, and it gives us indicators of
00:01:22.840 what's going on in other parts of the region or the country overall. The 338 Canada, the polling
00:01:30.040 projection website, predicted that the Conservatives were going to win with a margin of 26%. And although
00:01:37.120 by-elections are a little bit harder to predict in terms of turnout and who people are going to be
00:01:42.900 voting for, it's not that people were just off in terms of who they thought was going to win. It's
00:01:49.100 that the polls don't matter anymore because the Liberal government is so poorly run that Liberal
00:01:54.800 voters will not come out anymore. Some people are saying, well, it was only 15% turnout. If the
00:02:00.660 turnout was up, it might have been different. Really? All the Liberal voters just forgot to show up,
00:02:05.440 and if it was 30% turnout, things would have been different. No, they weren't. This is demonstrating
00:02:11.100 who's actually motivated because if turnout went up, Conservative turnout would also go up. The
00:02:16.780 Liberals didn't show up because they don't like their own leadership right now, or they started
00:02:21.700 voting Conservative and they're probably not going to stop voting Conservative. This riding demonstrates
00:02:27.560 that the Conservatives can probably compete for any riding they want in British Columbia at this
00:02:32.380 point. They could probably win back Elizabeth May's riding of Saanich in the Gulf Islands. They can
00:02:37.380 probably win Suk Dhaliwal's riding. They can probably win Harjit Sajjan's riding. They can probably win
00:02:42.540 Jagmeet Singh's riding. A 50-point victory means that people don't like anything that's currently going
00:02:49.820 on. People want a seismic shift from Liberal to Orthodox Conservative. They don't want Aaron O'Toole
00:02:58.260 Red Tory Conservatives. They want a blue Conservative, a dark blue Navy Conservative. This is something that I think
00:03:06.780 is going to cause either Trudeau to have to prorogue Parliament to try and save himself, or he's going to
00:03:12.180 get thrown out of a window by the Liberal Party at this point. Because even if there's no mechanism to
00:03:17.140 get rid of Trudeau within the Liberal Party, insane, I know the Liberal Party literally does not have a
00:03:22.060 mechanism to get rid of Trudeau. They'll at least probably just start leaving en masse to the point
00:03:27.220 where Trudeau is so humiliated he will be forced to go take his walk in the snow. Because this riding is
00:03:32.820 telling every single Liberal in government, even if you are all the way on the other side of the
00:03:36.780 country, you are not safe. Even if you're on the island of Montreal and the Conservatives are not
00:03:41.240 competitive there, you can lose to the Bloc, you can lose to the NDP. It can absolutely happen. Yes,
00:03:48.320 Gloverdale-Langley City was an obvious Conservative pickup, but it was supposed to be a pickup of 20
00:03:53.320 points, not 50. Anyways, let's start talking a little bit more about the Liberal leadership crisis
00:04:00.320 that's currently going on, because some more stuff has happened since I talked about it yesterday, and
00:04:05.840 some of it's impactful, and some of it is the normal waffling of Liberal MPs who know that Trudeau is
00:04:11.900 unpopular, and they're only willing to say the bare minimum, though, about what's currently going on. I'm
00:04:17.820 going to start off with a little bit more of an interesting one, which is Anthony Housefather. One of the
00:04:22.560 people I'd probably classify as one of the most useless MPs in Parliament, because you could say that Trudeau is
00:04:27.920 obviously the worst MP in Parliament because he's causing all the problems, but Anthony Housefather,
00:04:32.500 as a Liberal MP from Mount Royal, has the capacity to maybe do something good, and he sits there and
00:04:38.080 doesn't do it well. Justin Trudeau is like Napalm. His only job is to be destructive. His only function
00:04:45.120 is to be destructive. Anthony Housefather has the capacity to be actually good. He has the capacity to
00:04:52.400 do the right thing, and he constantly chooses to not do it or do it extremely late. So here's an
00:04:57.400 interview with Anthony Housefather on CTV News, where he finally says that Justin Trudeau should
00:05:03.360 resign. But interestingly enough, he admits that he wanted Trudeau to resign two months ago, but never
00:05:08.060 vocalized it publicly. But before I get into this clip, I'm just going to remind you guys, if you like
00:05:12.960 this channel, make sure you're a subscriber. About 70% of people who watch any of my videos are not
00:05:18.020 actually subscribers. So make sure you are a subscriber, and you'll see me pop up in your
00:05:22.000 feed a little bit more often. Do you think the Prime Minister should resign? Yes. Why? There wasn't
00:05:28.240 even a hesitation there. I remember two months ago when there was this mini palace coup against Justin
00:05:34.500 Trudeau, and Anthony Housefather was being interviewed, and he was mealy-mouthed about how I
00:05:40.700 know there are people who are upset, but I'm not saying anything. Do you think Trudeau should go? And he
00:05:44.640 says, well, I think we should have conversations about his leadership. But now he'll just say yes.
00:05:50.440 He's almost cutting off the question just to say yes. Do you think the Prime Minister should resign?
00:05:54.860 Yes. Why? I had asked him to do so a couple of months ago. I had written to him. I'd said it at
00:06:03.620 caucus. I think... Okay, so Justin Trudeau has lost, what is it, David Schwimmer from, David Schwimmer
00:06:12.800 from, like, friends or whatever there? And again, Anthony Housefather has been absolutely pathetic,
00:06:17.620 because he's been carrying Justin Trudeau's water for the longest time, humiliating himself by,
00:06:22.900 you know, ignoring all the rampant anti-Semitism inside the Liberal Party and the support for Hamas.
00:06:28.460 And only now is he finally vocalizing direct opposition to the way Trudeau has been doing things,
00:06:34.020 right when things are all falling apart. Here is Pierre Polyev's response to the ongoing kind of
00:06:41.020 confidence crisis in Canada, talking about how Trudeau has no mettle to stand up to Donald Trump
00:06:46.280 right now at a time when we have threats of tariffs being placed on us.
00:06:50.840 Now the president will see this weak, pathetic leader flailing around in a chaotic clown show.
00:06:59.300 That will only cost Canadians in these negotiations. That is why it is an emergency
00:07:08.000 that we get an axe-the-tax election to elect a common-sense conservative government
00:07:15.980 that will unleash the productive forces of our workers and entrepreneurs to bring home billions
00:07:23.400 of dollars, with a strong, smart leader who has the brains and backbones to face Trump across the
00:07:31.020 negotiating table, with a plan to take back control of our borders, our immigration, our spending,
00:07:39.600 our future. And that's what common-sense conservatives will do when I put Canada.
00:07:44.780 You can see as Pierre Polyev knows that the kind of the end of the Liberals is happening,
00:07:50.620 you can even see him pivoting his style, although he's being very sharp and jabbing at the Liberals
00:07:55.300 hard. He's also pivoting in style towards a more prime ministerial effect because he's kind of in
00:08:02.560 this transition period between being the opposition leader and now being the prime minister and waiting.
00:08:08.020 I don't think he's going to go soft the way like O'Toole did or Scheer did where,
00:08:11.420 oh, act prime ministerial. Just be soft. Make sure people know you're a good prime minister.
00:08:16.580 So what he's really doing is that he's just making sure that he has this tone of being somebody who,
00:08:21.860 you know, can absolutely take over and do a good job. But let's jump over to what Yves-Francois Blanchet
00:08:27.620 is saying about all this because he is somebody that I think has been lost in the shuffle
00:08:31.680 but is a big player still in the House of Commons. And here is Francois Blanchet saying that
00:08:37.120 Justin Trudeau absolutely needs to go.
00:08:39.500 Mr. Speaker?
00:08:41.420 I do congratulate the new minister of finance on his appointment. That said, there have been
00:08:48.200 crises shaking this government for a long time, just crisis after crisis. Now there is a bad
00:08:55.440 economic statement. We have a huge deficit. We also have money that the government should not have
00:09:01.840 given out, that it cannot recoup. Now we need to be strong in negotiating with the United States in the
00:09:09.960 context of a significant political and economic crisis. How can this government still think it has
00:09:16.680 the authority and legitimacy to do so? And so this is going to be the narrative I think for everyone
00:09:22.000 is that Justin Trudeau has absolutely destroyed our ability to work with the U.S. because leadership
00:09:29.200 crises are already bad enough for domestic politics. But when we are at a potential trade impasse with the
00:09:36.380 United States, how are we supposed to have any sort of real confidence that we're going to do a good job,
00:09:42.200 that we're going to come away with a good deal, when the prime minister is not respected at all with
00:09:47.160 Donald Trump? Donald Trump even threw his own two cents into the current leadership crisis by saying that
00:09:52.200 he stands behind the governor of the great state of Canada and that Chrystia Freeland had to go because
00:09:58.160 she was a nasty person and she was a poor negotiator with the United States, which is hilarious. I like
00:10:03.540 that Trump's both trolling Trudeau and in his trolling, he's acting like he has Justin Trudeau's
00:10:08.840 back. It's absolutely brilliant. And I want to go over to what Jagmeet Singh also just said today.
00:10:19.440 It's not shocking Jagmeet Singh has to say all this stuff, but I do find it funny watching Jagmeet Singh flop
00:10:25.420 around pretending like he's being tough, while at the same time, he can't commit to a no confidence
00:10:29.960 vote. People are right to be angry. They've got a prime minister who's more interested in protecting
00:10:35.580 his own job than defending Canadians against Trump. Notice everyone laughing at him because that
00:10:42.540 perfectly describes Jagmeet Singh as a politician as well. We've got a prime minister who has failed
00:10:47.460 to defend workers from rich CEOs that the Conservatives love, who continue to rip off Canadians and drive up
00:10:55.400 the cost of food and homes. The prime minister has failed. For new Democrats, it's always workers
00:11:00.940 first and not CEOs. Unless his brother is a lobbyist for metro grocery stores who has, in fact, the highest
00:11:09.160 profit margin of all the large grocery chains. And guess what? I don't even care. Lobby for whoever
00:11:15.060 you want. Have whatever profit margins you want. But Jagmeet Singh, because he's an illiterate socialist,
00:11:20.100 thinks that somehow profit equals evil, even though he then will go and promote small grocery stores,
00:11:27.560 small local organic grocery stores, which presumably have far higher margins than Safeway and, you know,
00:11:35.220 Sobeys and Metro have. But he's just a, you know, a consummate hypocrite who likes to use,
00:11:41.640 you know, big business and billionaires as a, you know, a platform to stand on.
00:11:46.760 And not the CEOs who the Conservatives want to defend. So will the prime minister acknowledge
00:11:51.320 he has failed? He has to quit.
00:11:56.160 Jagmeet Singh doesn't even know what he wants Trudeau to do. Because he can't, he can't threaten
00:12:00.220 to dissolve the government. He's just like, oh, Trudeau should, you know, go? Question mark?
00:12:05.720 Order, please.
00:12:14.180 The Honorable Member, the Honorable Minister, rather, and leader of the government in the House of Commons.
00:12:19.060 Thank you, Mr. Speaker. Mr. Speaker, this House voted in confidence of this government just last week on multiple occasions.
00:12:28.240 Oh, yeah, everyone has so much confidence in people. I'm, I'm overflowing with confidence right now. I, I took out a, I took out a membership for the Liberal Party,
00:12:37.640 because I'm so full of confidence in everything that they're doing. I hate this stuff. I remember seeing a cult MTL,
00:12:45.700 that stupid magazine from Montreal, saying, ooh, pure poly have lost another no confidence vote against the Liberals.
00:12:52.480 This means the Parliament doesn't have confidence in him. And they released another one of those articles, like, a day before this whole leadership crisis started kicking off.
00:13:01.980 I think I actually have it bookmarked, so I'll show it to you in a second. It's absolutely pathetic.
00:13:06.280 Mr. Speaker, we have important work to do on behalf of Canadians. We have a very important relationship to manage with the United States at a pivotal time, Mr. Speaker,
00:13:19.120 and that is exactly what this government is focused on doing. Thank you, Mr. Speaker.
00:13:25.420 If the Liberals go now, if Justin Trudeau and the Liberals go, who's going to shovel money in the burning barrel?
00:13:32.420 Who's going to do that? It's an institution at this point for us to waste money.
00:13:36.980 It's an achievement. It's a positive achievement that we somehow found a way of blowing past the $40 billion deficit red line and went all the way to $62 billion.
00:13:46.680 And I know there are some people trying to make a big deal about this, and I'm now being serious.
00:13:51.720 I actually don't care that the budget deficit is $62 billion. My problem is that we have a deficit at all.
00:13:57.920 Why do we care if the deficit's $40 billion? Like, oh, that's a good thing. $62 billion, very fiscally irresponsible.
00:14:04.740 It's all fiscally irresponsible. It's just the magnitude of how fiscally irresponsible it was.
00:14:09.560 We should be having surpluses, or if anything, we should be paying off the debt. We should be paying off.
00:14:16.680 All like the future generations debt that they'll have to pay for now by cutting wasteful spending and throwing it all towards debt repayment and giving it back to taxpayers.
00:14:26.540 And not in the way that Trudeau is trying to do it by giving people back $250 checks, which are going to cost like several billion just to deliver.
00:14:34.480 Here was Trudeau last night speaking at an event at the Laurier Center, and he is trying to, I guess, put on a brave face.
00:14:44.960 And all of this is just so performative.
00:14:47.520 I was talking to somebody today, and they're absolutely right, that everything that Justin Trudeau has done in his career feels like a skit.
00:14:54.080 Everything just feels like it's some bit that he's doing.
00:14:56.800 You know, he is a drama teacher, in fact, so I guess everything in his life is kind of an act.
00:15:02.940 There is no place I'd rather be than Canada, and it is the absolute privilege of my life to serve as your prime minister.
00:15:14.220 Privilege is a good word, because the only reason he has this job is because of his father, who, in fact, was not a very good prime minister either.
00:15:21.120 That's why I wake up every single day thinking about how to make this nation worse work better for all Canadians.
00:15:42.820 That mission, to consistently put in the work so that we're living up to our ideals and values, that's at the core of what makes us liberals.
00:15:54.920 And it's why you show up here, even on the toughest days, as a party.
00:16:01.680 No, stop showing up.
00:16:03.420 Actually, stop showing up.
00:16:04.840 Oh, but they're so principled.
00:16:06.500 They're so principled, they keep showing up.
00:16:07.820 Stop showing up.
00:16:08.940 Why are you showing up to help this guy?
00:16:11.000 Like, at this point, it's an IQ test.
00:16:13.140 By the way, going back to the Cloverdale-Langley City by-election result, this is a great map that Sheree Attiste on Twitter made.
00:16:21.280 And obviously, it's a by-election.
00:16:22.920 There is going to be different formulas of turnout that take place in a general election.
00:16:27.520 But if we were to assume that the swing that took place in Cloverdale-Langley City happened across the country, these are the kind of results that would take place.
00:16:37.200 The Conservatives would win 291 seats.
00:16:40.680 The bloc would win 40.
00:16:42.180 The NDP would get two.
00:16:44.260 Wow.
00:16:45.640 The Liberals would get eight seats.
00:16:47.560 And the Greens would get two.
00:16:49.300 In fact, the island of Montreal would become a conservative bloc domain.
00:16:54.060 And that's insane considering that the Conservatives, in a lot of those ridings, only get 4% of the vote.
00:16:59.680 Like in Papineau, the Conservatives only got about 4% or 5%.
00:17:02.820 That's Justin Trudeau's riding.
00:17:04.580 And I guess that's pretty much all we have to talk about there.
00:17:09.660 But I'm going to stick to my promise.
00:17:12.480 We are going to be talking about the PPC.
00:17:14.700 Guys, pack it in at this point.
00:17:17.780 You got less than 1% in the by-election.
00:17:20.880 I want to bring up the actual Elections Canada results here.
00:17:24.600 So here's the PPC.
00:17:27.100 Ian Kennedy, who's run for them three times in the same riding, got 133 votes, 0.9% of the vote.
00:17:34.240 They were barely outpacing the Libertarian Party for most of the night, who got 0.4% of the vote.
00:17:40.780 And they don't have a massive community.
00:17:43.440 And when I say massive, I don't mean popular.
00:17:45.240 I just mean hardcore, dedicated base of people online constantly promoting them.
00:17:50.700 And somehow the PPC only got 133 votes.
00:17:55.560 In fact, it's actually easier to be a small party in a by-election.
00:17:59.440 Because turnout's slow, and if you have very dedicated voters, they will show up.
00:18:04.520 I'm not saying, and some people say, oh, White just wants them out of the way because he wants the Conservatives to win.
00:18:09.600 And so he doesn't want any competition.
00:18:11.500 That's literally not what I'm saying.
00:18:13.340 I am saying the opposite.
00:18:14.300 I'm saying if you're not going to be serious enough to try hard, to doorknock, to spend on advertising, then get out of the game.
00:18:21.900 I will say that to all small parties.
00:18:23.820 If you're not willing to do the work, don't show up.
00:18:26.800 I am encouraging you to do better.
00:18:28.820 But I don't think Bernier and the PPC are motivated to win a single seat.
00:18:33.440 There was like two photos of Bernier and Ian Kennedy kind of out doorknocking.
00:18:38.160 I don't see any evidence that they really did doorknock.
00:18:40.760 Because you would assume that if they even got out another hundred voters, they would have looked somewhat decent.
00:18:47.200 This is the time when you would push hard.
00:18:49.520 And frankly, it's just because Polyev has ended up cutting off a lot of the PPC's appeal because he has some of the same appeal.
00:18:57.240 And then some people will be like, oh, well, he's only Conservative because the PPC is being Conservative and forcing him to the right.
00:19:02.140 Guys, everyone in the Conservative Party didn't like O'Toole.
00:19:05.360 It wasn't like Polyev thought O'Toole was the new hot thing.
00:19:08.780 O'Toole's people literally blackmailed Polyev to not run in the 2020 leadership.
00:19:13.620 He doesn't like O'Toole or O'Toole's politics.
00:19:16.560 Polyev was always the same guy, except he wasn't leader, so he didn't get to call the shots.
00:19:21.380 But now the PPC apparently is still a serious party, yet everything they do online is just smugness.
00:19:30.060 It's just acting like everyone's stupid who doesn't vote for them.
00:19:32.960 Guys, figure out how to win an election.
00:19:36.220 Bernier is basically stealing money from his donors at this point because they're expecting that he's actually going to attempt to win an election, to try harder, to build the base.
00:19:46.220 And the PPC's base has only shrunk more.
00:19:48.660 I'm not saying quit because you're threatening me.
00:19:50.580 I'm saying quit because you're not actually doing anything.
00:19:53.960 I don't know what you guys are trying to do.
00:19:55.440 Stick around if you're willing to try and do something, but do something.
00:19:59.340 I don't like slackers in politics.
00:20:02.100 I see so many people who are legitimate grifters pretending that I'm going to fight to bring Canada back.
00:20:08.600 I'm going to save Canada.
00:20:10.440 It's like, and how are you going to do it?
00:20:12.180 Well, donate money and I'll tell you later.
00:20:14.040 That's basically the PPC.
00:20:15.840 Donate money and I'll tell you the plan later.
00:20:17.780 I do want to bring up this post from Frank Vaughn.
00:20:21.080 He actually helped found the PPC, so he was never like a PPC hater out to try and get them.
00:20:27.800 He was somebody who helped build their original platform back in 2019 and then left shortly after.
00:20:33.020 He figured out, not figured out, but he kind of noticed it wasn't serious at all.
00:20:37.280 He made this great post summing up how the PPC has been operating in the past here.
00:20:42.760 I'm bringing this up on screen in really big font so you can see it.
00:20:47.260 Frank Vaughn says,
00:20:48.380 PPC formula.
00:20:49.640 First, Maxi must be paid.
00:20:51.920 Second, claim to be at the head of an unseen, un-polled populist wave.
00:20:56.620 Third, X polls, all of them.
00:20:58.800 And he means online, like Twitter polls, you know, where people click and you're like,
00:21:02.800 oh, look how popular the PPC is because a PPC person created a poll and a bunch of PPC people voted in the poll.
00:21:08.520 Fourth, lose again.
00:21:11.280 Fifth, call everyone who didn't vote for you retarded.
00:21:14.580 Sixth, Maxime Bernier must be paid.
00:21:17.420 Repeat until majority government.
00:21:19.560 And he's right.
00:21:20.440 Bernier gets a $114,000 salary per year, and he also gets to expense a lot of things through the party.
00:21:27.780 So he has no motive to win.
00:21:29.900 He gets paid whether he wins or whether he doesn't win.
00:21:33.220 And at some point, you've got to think whether or not he's even trying,
00:21:36.320 considering the lack of effort, considering he's busy building a villa,
00:21:40.960 or he was buying a villa in Florida, in South Florida,
00:21:44.260 and he's not going to be in Canada as much as he was before.
00:21:48.080 He's not attempting to win, guys.
00:21:49.880 And that's why it's become useless.
00:21:51.740 I'm not saying now come over and vote for the Conservative Party.
00:21:54.560 Do whatever you want with your vote.
00:21:56.620 Build a new party that's actually going to have EDAs and is actually going to operate properly.
00:22:00.600 Taylor, it was like some guy, Kelly Lawrence, out in Alberta,
00:22:06.360 was like their main organizer for most of the province.
00:22:08.740 And he left because they said that they kept disrespecting all the effort he was putting in
00:22:12.840 by barely helping him at all get results.
00:22:16.800 They just kind of would throw him like five bucks here and there to operate massive campaigns.
00:22:21.900 And even if he fundraised tens of thousands of dollars,
00:22:24.820 they'd give him a fraction of it back to run races in Alberta,
00:22:28.340 to help other candidates in Alberta.
00:22:30.360 It's disrespectful.
00:22:32.440 Anyways, so there's my rants done.
00:22:35.700 I guess that's it for me today, guys.
00:22:37.820 Again, subscribe to the channel if you're not already a subscriber.
00:22:41.420 Like this video, leave a comment, do all that stuff,
00:22:44.560 and I'll see you guys next time when there's probably some new twist
00:22:48.380 in the story of the Trudeau leadership.