The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - Trudeau Liberals support drops below the NDP (Just 19%!!!)

00:00:00.000 Guys, it happened. It did indeed finally happen. The Liberal Party of Canada, Justin Trudeau's

00:00:07.900 Liberals, have fallen below the federal NDP in the polling. They are literally doing worse than

00:00:15.300 Jagmeet Singh's NDP, which I never thought was ever possible. And the terrible thing about this

00:00:21.740 is the Liberals have very diffuse support. The NDP is very concentrated, and the NDP is currently

00:00:28.260 polling at 20%, with the Liberals only at 19%. And you also see the Conservatives way ahead at 44%,

00:00:36.720 absolutely dominating. So that 19% is going to win the Liberals way less seats than the NDP,

00:00:44.220 because the NDP are really big in Winnipeg, college towns, places with a lot of union jobs,

00:00:50.460 and the Liberals are just kind of the party for people who vote for the Liberal Party. I've seen

00:00:55.760 someone do a study before where different parties have specific demographic groups or people who

00:01:02.180 work in specific fields who vote for them, except the Liberal Party. The Liberal Party is like the

00:01:07.580 party for downtown Toronto and Montreal metropolitans. And other people will vote for them if it seems

00:01:14.420 like maybe the better option in an election compared to the Conservatives or the NDP. Really, it's only

00:01:20.080 ever the Conservatives that they're being compared against. And so right now, as they collapse, there's

00:01:25.500 no real group for them to kind of lean back on and make that their sort of steady base. Their steady

00:01:32.740 base is Montreal. And even that is breaking apart, because they were only ever at around 45% in most

00:01:39.640 ridings in Montreal. Like, yes, they were 20 points ahead of the Bloc Québécois or the NDP or the

00:01:45.200 Conservatives depending on the riding. But if enough people start walking away from you, you start to

00:01:50.680 have, like, ridings where the Liberals are only at 34%, and the next closest party is maybe only 3%

00:01:57.020 away. And depending on how voters turn out, things could get real bad real fast. In fact, David Coletto

00:02:03.680 from Abacus Data, who I think they do a really good job with the approval ratings especially, he even

00:02:09.960 showed that with voters certain to vote, this is another poll. This one I just showed you is from

00:02:15.140 Main Street. But this poll from Abacus Data of voters who are certain to vote shows that the

00:02:21.100 Conservatives are winning with 46% to 20% for the Liberals and 20% for the NDP. A 26% lead for the

00:02:31.060 Conservative Party of Canada. I go follow David Coletto on Twitter if you can. I think he puts out really

00:02:36.560 interesting stats from Abacus Data. If you don't want to read their full reports, he tends to put

00:02:41.300 out a few interesting little tidbits that you might want to look at. But now I just want to go

00:02:46.020 in and sort of dig into some of the Main Street numbers that we just saw. The one that shows that

00:02:50.560 the Liberals are polling below the NDP. And although some might say, well, these polls have a margin of

00:02:56.000 error of 2% to 4%. Okay, I hear that at the same time, the Liberals have no business even being in

00:03:03.100 spitting distance of the NDP. It's supposed to be the default governing party of Canada, the natural

00:03:09.620 governing party of Canada. And it's not anymore because they forgot who they were serving. And I

00:03:15.480 was having a great conversation with a man today about this very same subject he was talking about

00:03:20.620 in private corporations. Eventually, people lose touch with the sales floor. And we're talking about

00:03:27.580 retail stores. People lose touch with the sales floor. And they just start trying to monetize

00:03:32.560 every little thing in the store. 25 cents for a bag. Oh, you want to be on this rewards program

00:03:36.780 that costs this much and they forget about what matters. The Liberal Party have forgotten about the

00:03:42.020 middle class voter, the person who actually cares about their how much taxes they're paying,

00:03:47.100 and what benefits they're getting from government and how long the lines are for healthcare services.

00:03:51.620 Same thing in British Columbia, David Eby has completely forgotten. Do you know who's actually

00:03:56.440 doing an amazing job in Canada right now as a premier? It's not the premiers that you are

00:04:01.200 thinking of. Premier Blaine Higgs, in my opinion, is one of the best premiers in the country over the

00:04:08.080 past few decades, not just in the country right now. In the country, bar none, he's the best premier.

00:04:12.720 But in terms of the last two or three decades, you'd rank up there, in my opinion, with Ralph

00:04:17.600 Klein. He's running a three-year surplus in the Maritimes, a part of a country that is known for debt

00:04:25.360 and deficits and needing to be bailed out by the federal government and by other provinces through

00:04:30.240 equalization. He's actually got them spending money correctly. He's in a position where he can

00:04:35.560 lower taxes in the Maritimes. He's actually growing a maritime economy. He's doing a great job because

00:04:40.420 he focused on the things that matter. And yes, you can look at the approval ratings and say, well,

00:04:44.720 Blaine Higgs is like the least popular premier in the country. Yes, because a lot of the things he's

00:04:49.640 doing might be temporary painful. But the 32% of people who still like him really like him because

00:04:55.740 they know what he's doing. They know the types of things he's doing is going to improve life

00:05:00.920 substantially, that his parental rights moves are going to make life way better for New Brunswick

00:05:06.620 families. It's going to improve the social stability of the province, not having woke people going around 1.00

00:05:12.660 basically having witch hunts against parents because they don't believe in gender ideology,

00:05:16.860 making sure we have better academic outcomes. He's doing a fantastic job. And right now,

00:05:22.740 this is the deeper numbers from the Main Street poll for Justin Trudeau and the Liberals,

00:05:26.980 that they're not even actually at 19%. They're actually technically at 17, because 12% of people

00:05:32.020 undecided. Technically, the NDP is only at 17 as well, Conservatives at 40. And then you have the

00:05:37.800 Bloc Québécois at seven, Greens at three, PPC at two, and then people saying other is two. Undecides are 12.

00:05:44.560 Really, I always kind of mash the other and undecides together because a lot of people

00:05:48.200 saying other usually just don't forget about the undecided option, just click the button too early

00:05:53.900 on the poll, because usually they have undecided always listed as the very last option.

00:06:00.020 The Liberals have not actually done anything to win over voters in a very long time in this current

00:06:06.800 election cycle that we're in, in terms of between 2021 and going towards 2025. It's only been attacking

00:06:13.040 and whining at the Conservatives. You can attack your opponents. Attack ads and negative campaigning

00:06:18.920 works, but it only works if people think that you are an incredible person to make that attack.

00:06:24.820 Right now, in British Columbia, David Eby and the BC NDP are just swinging wildly at the Conservatives.

00:06:31.640 It doesn't matter if they find a bad tweet from a candidate from three years ago that everyone would

00:06:36.160 agree. Yeah, I wouldn't have tweeted that. They're not doing the fundamentals right,

00:06:39.700 the BC NDP. They do not have the credibility to attack anybody because they are giving crack

00:06:46.320 pipes to 13-year-olds. They are giving snorting kits to 13-year-olds. And the same thing with

00:06:50.820 Justin Trudeau. The economy is terrible. Mass immigration is awful. His anti-free speech laws

00:06:58.120 are not popular with anybody. He is just doing a bad job. Our foreign policy is a complete clown show.

00:07:03.860 Basically, our foreign policy is shaking hands with dictators and terrorists and then attacking 1.00

00:07:09.280 all of our allies or pretending to be too nonchalant and signing stupid UN deals. That's our foreign 1.00

00:07:14.560 policy right now. Nobody likes Trudeau. That is the bare bones basics of what's going on right now.

00:07:20.680 And I just want to bring up this from the Liberal Party that demonstrates my point here. This is a tweet

00:07:26.740 from the Liberals just an hour ago. This polling was active while they put out this tweet. So

00:07:34.520 they should have known better how pathetic this looks. It says, breaking. For the second time in 0.99

00:07:39.220 six days, Pure Polly have failed to win a non-confidence vote. He's using his time in

00:07:44.000 Parliament to push for deep cuts to the services that families rely on, but we're focused on delivering

00:07:49.220 real solutions for Canadians. Now, I love, and also it has this pathetic thing under here about talking 0.71

00:07:54.940 about how we have a record-breaking September digital fundraising going on right now. No one

00:07:59.340 cares. Nobody cares. Wow, guys, we're doing well in the fundraising. Cool. Whatever. Attacking

00:08:08.020 Polyev because he's going to cut service spending. One, nobody actually believes Polyev is going to cut

00:08:13.120 critical service spending. He's not going to start cutting healthcare. He's not going to start cutting

00:08:17.200 certain Social Security benefits that have been around for decades. He's obviously not going to do that.

00:08:22.240 But for most Canadians these days, and I've seen the polling on it, and it lines up exactly with

00:08:27.220 people I've talked to, and I talked to thousands and thousands of people, the current polling on cuts

00:08:32.840 showed people like cuts because they don't believe any of the increase in government spending over the

00:08:39.160 past nine years of Justin Trudeau's government has been particularly vital. Yes, every department might

00:08:45.340 need a spending increase every year just to deal with inflation and the increase in population. You have

00:08:50.400 more people to service. But with a lot of new programs, nobody's life has gotten better with

00:08:55.220 any of these new programs. So you're just threatening Canadians with a good time. Every single time you

00:08:59.980 say if you vote conservative, they could cut spending. Okay, great. I love to see cut spending go down.

00:09:07.280 People act, the government's never going to be able to make the vast majority of its citizens for good

00:09:14.080 reason to identify that the government's wallet is the same as their own wallet. No Canadian actually

00:09:21.440 thinks that a service spending cut from some bloated bureaucratic department that's not doing anything for

00:09:27.800 anybody is an attack on me. Most people like to spend their own money. And if any premier wants to stay in

00:09:34.360 office, they need to give people their own money back. There's it's not austerity, like you're going to get some

00:09:40.380 lefty saying, it's giving people back their own flipping money. It's just giving people back their

00:09:45.960 money. We are at one of the most highest rates, like in Canadian history, we are one of the highest

00:09:51.600 rates of government spending. Our GDP is 44, probably more higher than that since they lasted the stat,

00:09:58.600 all public spending. It's even higher when you take into account that they count government contracts,

00:10:04.840 like the government contracting workout is private spending, even though it's still government spending.

00:10:08.500 It's just a country of government spending. If we cut stuff, nobody's life will get worse. In fact,

00:10:13.640 it will get marketably better. But now, I just want to look into some of the deeper stats here,

00:10:19.020 because this is where this isn't even really a big, it doesn't, this isn't really fundamental to

00:10:25.480 why the liberals are doing badly. It's just kind of an interesting thing to look into. And I think it's

00:10:30.520 dangerous for the country moving forward, just how bad the gender gap is between the parties right now. 0.70

00:10:35.200 So right here, we see, these are all the parties, this is with the undecideds included.

00:10:40.780 So like, you see the undecided down here. So these numbers up top are not going to add up to 100.

00:10:46.300 So Trudeau is that is most of his support right now is 22.7% female conservative, only 28.9% female,

00:10:54.480 and SING's NDB 18.7% female. Look at that conservatives are winning 50.8% of men with with undecideds included,

00:11:04.060 they're already winning more than half of men. There is a big problem in this country of a big gender gap

00:11:11.620 between men and women. And part of it is just a lot of like anti conservative propaganda, making women feel

00:11:19.000 terrified that conservatives are coming after them. How? Because certain conservative MPs don't like

00:11:24.900 ninth month abortions. Okay, nobody likes that stuff. But that demonstrates media propaganda,

00:11:31.400 social media propaganda. So I don't think that conservatives need to budge an inch on their

00:11:36.120 platform. If anything, I think they could actually afford to be a bit more socially conservative.

00:11:40.040 But the conservatives going forward really need to target more advertising towards specifically

00:11:45.260 younger women, because that's who's mostly voting liberal and NDP these days, single women who are

00:11:50.560 under the age of 40. It's a demographic group that is targeted relentlessly with propaganda. And so the

00:11:57.220 conservatives don't need to spread propaganda themselves, just mindless messaging, but just needs

00:12:03.460 to push some ideas that they've been putting forward to men better towards women, same policies,

00:12:09.940 but just learn to rephrase it. That's what I'm actually decent at when I do campaigning.

00:12:14.860 I can talk to anybody in language they understand, not because I'm a marvel,

00:12:19.260 is you just have to take a step back and kind of realize the sorts of words that people use when

00:12:24.160 talking about the same subjects, because we can agree on something. But because I use different

00:12:28.080 verbiage, you think I'm like proposing something radical when we literally are talking about the

00:12:33.040 same thing that we agree on, but you use softer language than I do. So I think that the big battle

00:12:37.820 that the conservatives need to wage right now going towards 2025 election is that we should be trying to

00:12:43.980 win more women, we should be trying to win more women, so we can fight this gender divide, because 1.00

00:12:49.180 this is the divide and conquer politics that the liberals have been using for the past nine years,

00:12:54.640 it's not going to win the next election. But it can cause a lot of social chaos if they make it

00:12:58.960 that the conservatives become the nasty men party. And the liberals are the party and the NDP are the

00:13:04.280 parties that stand up for women. It's not true. They actually basically disempower women and pretend that

00:13:09.260 women can't do anything without the government, which is a loser, hopeless, disgusting narrative 1.00

00:13:15.260 that radical feminists have pushed for like the last 10 years, because a lot of radical feminists 1.00

00:13:20.160 just happen to be socialists. So they tend to push a lot of socialism on younger people, and mostly

00:13:25.360 women because, you know, feminists. Regardless, though, that's what I think we need to do moving 1.00

00:13:29.880 forward. Like, share and subscribe to this channel. If you want to support me, you can always donate to

00:13:35.400 the legal fund I have linked in the description below or pinned at the top of the comments. I

00:13:40.700 think that, you know, recommend the channel, little friend, I usually don't do any of this

00:13:44.720 stuff in videos. I'm trying to do this more. I don't even usually say my name in videos. My name's

00:13:48.960 Wyatt Claypool, by the way. I just do this so quick and dirty that I end up forgetting all these

00:13:53.400 fundamental things I should probably do when producing stuff. But if you have any suggestions for

00:13:58.320 more topics, you can always DM me on X on Facebook, you can just put stuff in the comments below,

00:14:04.080 I always scroll through them. Obviously, I can't reply to everybody, because if it's like 300

00:14:08.100 comments, and a lot of people obviously just end up saying the same thing, because it's the same,

00:14:13.120 like one specific topic, and a lot of people share the same ideas on those things. So I don't always

00:14:17.700 get back to people. But I do scroll through and take and look at suggestions, way to improve the

00:14:22.300 show, what I should do. One improvement I need to do is get a better haircut, because it's turning into

00:14:27.680 like a weird 70s like hair metal type thing going on here. But overall, I'm going to try and get a

00:14:34.920 better set. But since I've been in Abbotsford, I can't have like, you know, the normal set with the

00:14:39.120 nice pictures behind me and white walls that make the lighting look nice. But thanks for watching the

00:14:44.000 show guys. And I'll see you guys next time.

The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - October 01, 2024

Trudeau Liberals support drops below the NDP (Just 19%!!!)

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