Trudeau Liberals support drops below the NDP (Just 19%!!!)
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Summary
Justin Trudeau's Liberals have fallen below the federal NDP in the polling. They are doing worse than Jagmeet Singh's NDP, which I never thought was ever possible. And the terrible thing about this is the Liberals have very diffuse support. The NDP is very concentrated, and the Liberals are only polling at 19%. And you also see the Conservatives way ahead at 44%, absolutely dominating.
Transcript
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Guys, it happened. It did indeed finally happen. The Liberal Party of Canada, Justin Trudeau's
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Liberals, have fallen below the federal NDP in the polling. They are literally doing worse than
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Jagmeet Singh's NDP, which I never thought was ever possible. And the terrible thing about this
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is the Liberals have very diffuse support. The NDP is very concentrated, and the NDP is currently
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polling at 20%, with the Liberals only at 19%. And you also see the Conservatives way ahead at 44%,
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absolutely dominating. So that 19% is going to win the Liberals way less seats than the NDP,
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because the NDP are really big in Winnipeg, college towns, places with a lot of union jobs,
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and the Liberals are just kind of the party for people who vote for the Liberal Party. I've seen
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someone do a study before where different parties have specific demographic groups or people who
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work in specific fields who vote for them, except the Liberal Party. The Liberal Party is like the
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party for downtown Toronto and Montreal metropolitans. And other people will vote for them if it seems
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like maybe the better option in an election compared to the Conservatives or the NDP. Really, it's only
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ever the Conservatives that they're being compared against. And so right now, as they collapse, there's
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no real group for them to kind of lean back on and make that their sort of steady base. Their steady
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base is Montreal. And even that is breaking apart, because they were only ever at around 45% in most
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ridings in Montreal. Like, yes, they were 20 points ahead of the Bloc Québécois or the NDP or the
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Conservatives depending on the riding. But if enough people start walking away from you, you start to
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have, like, ridings where the Liberals are only at 34%, and the next closest party is maybe only 3%
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away. And depending on how voters turn out, things could get real bad real fast. In fact, David Coletto
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from Abacus Data, who I think they do a really good job with the approval ratings especially, he even
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showed that with voters certain to vote, this is another poll. This one I just showed you is from
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Main Street. But this poll from Abacus Data of voters who are certain to vote shows that the
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Conservatives are winning with 46% to 20% for the Liberals and 20% for the NDP. A 26% lead for the
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Conservative Party of Canada. I go follow David Coletto on Twitter if you can. I think he puts out really
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interesting stats from Abacus Data. If you don't want to read their full reports, he tends to put
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out a few interesting little tidbits that you might want to look at. But now I just want to go
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in and sort of dig into some of the Main Street numbers that we just saw. The one that shows that
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the Liberals are polling below the NDP. And although some might say, well, these polls have a margin of
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error of 2% to 4%. Okay, I hear that at the same time, the Liberals have no business even being in
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spitting distance of the NDP. It's supposed to be the default governing party of Canada, the natural
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governing party of Canada. And it's not anymore because they forgot who they were serving. And I
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was having a great conversation with a man today about this very same subject he was talking about
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in private corporations. Eventually, people lose touch with the sales floor. And we're talking about
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retail stores. People lose touch with the sales floor. And they just start trying to monetize
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every little thing in the store. 25 cents for a bag. Oh, you want to be on this rewards program
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that costs this much and they forget about what matters. The Liberal Party have forgotten about the
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middle class voter, the person who actually cares about their how much taxes they're paying,
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and what benefits they're getting from government and how long the lines are for healthcare services.
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Same thing in British Columbia, David Eby has completely forgotten. Do you know who's actually
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doing an amazing job in Canada right now as a premier? It's not the premiers that you are
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thinking of. Premier Blaine Higgs, in my opinion, is one of the best premiers in the country over the
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past few decades, not just in the country right now. In the country, bar none, he's the best premier.
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But in terms of the last two or three decades, you'd rank up there, in my opinion, with Ralph
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Klein. He's running a three-year surplus in the Maritimes, a part of a country that is known for debt
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and deficits and needing to be bailed out by the federal government and by other provinces through
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equalization. He's actually got them spending money correctly. He's in a position where he can
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lower taxes in the Maritimes. He's actually growing a maritime economy. He's doing a great job because
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he focused on the things that matter. And yes, you can look at the approval ratings and say, well,
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Blaine Higgs is like the least popular premier in the country. Yes, because a lot of the things he's
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doing might be temporary painful. But the 32% of people who still like him really like him because
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they know what he's doing. They know the types of things he's doing is going to improve life
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substantially, that his parental rights moves are going to make life way better for New Brunswick
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families. It's going to improve the social stability of the province, not having woke people going around
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basically having witch hunts against parents because they don't believe in gender ideology,
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making sure we have better academic outcomes. He's doing a fantastic job. And right now,
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this is the deeper numbers from the Main Street poll for Justin Trudeau and the Liberals,
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that they're not even actually at 19%. They're actually technically at 17, because 12% of people
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undecided. Technically, the NDP is only at 17 as well, Conservatives at 40. And then you have the
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Bloc Québécois at seven, Greens at three, PPC at two, and then people saying other is two. Undecides are 12.
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Really, I always kind of mash the other and undecides together because a lot of people
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saying other usually just don't forget about the undecided option, just click the button too early
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on the poll, because usually they have undecided always listed as the very last option.
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The Liberals have not actually done anything to win over voters in a very long time in this current
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election cycle that we're in, in terms of between 2021 and going towards 2025. It's only been attacking
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and whining at the Conservatives. You can attack your opponents. Attack ads and negative campaigning
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works, but it only works if people think that you are an incredible person to make that attack.
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Right now, in British Columbia, David Eby and the BC NDP are just swinging wildly at the Conservatives.
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It doesn't matter if they find a bad tweet from a candidate from three years ago that everyone would
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agree. Yeah, I wouldn't have tweeted that. They're not doing the fundamentals right,
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the BC NDP. They do not have the credibility to attack anybody because they are giving crack
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pipes to 13-year-olds. They are giving snorting kits to 13-year-olds. And the same thing with
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Justin Trudeau. The economy is terrible. Mass immigration is awful. His anti-free speech laws
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are not popular with anybody. He is just doing a bad job. Our foreign policy is a complete clown show.
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Basically, our foreign policy is shaking hands with dictators and terrorists and then attacking
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all of our allies or pretending to be too nonchalant and signing stupid UN deals. That's our foreign
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policy right now. Nobody likes Trudeau. That is the bare bones basics of what's going on right now.
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And I just want to bring up this from the Liberal Party that demonstrates my point here. This is a tweet
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from the Liberals just an hour ago. This polling was active while they put out this tweet. So
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they should have known better how pathetic this looks. It says, breaking. For the second time in
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six days, Pure Polly have failed to win a non-confidence vote. He's using his time in
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Parliament to push for deep cuts to the services that families rely on, but we're focused on delivering
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real solutions for Canadians. Now, I love, and also it has this pathetic thing under here about talking
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about how we have a record-breaking September digital fundraising going on right now. No one
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cares. Nobody cares. Wow, guys, we're doing well in the fundraising. Cool. Whatever. Attacking
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Polyev because he's going to cut service spending. One, nobody actually believes Polyev is going to cut
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critical service spending. He's not going to start cutting healthcare. He's not going to start cutting
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certain Social Security benefits that have been around for decades. He's obviously not going to do that.
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But for most Canadians these days, and I've seen the polling on it, and it lines up exactly with
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people I've talked to, and I talked to thousands and thousands of people, the current polling on cuts
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showed people like cuts because they don't believe any of the increase in government spending over the
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past nine years of Justin Trudeau's government has been particularly vital. Yes, every department might
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need a spending increase every year just to deal with inflation and the increase in population. You have
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more people to service. But with a lot of new programs, nobody's life has gotten better with
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any of these new programs. So you're just threatening Canadians with a good time. Every single time you
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say if you vote conservative, they could cut spending. Okay, great. I love to see cut spending go down.
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People act, the government's never going to be able to make the vast majority of its citizens for good
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reason to identify that the government's wallet is the same as their own wallet. No Canadian actually
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thinks that a service spending cut from some bloated bureaucratic department that's not doing anything for
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anybody is an attack on me. Most people like to spend their own money. And if any premier wants to stay in
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office, they need to give people their own money back. There's it's not austerity, like you're going to get some
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lefty saying, it's giving people back their own flipping money. It's just giving people back their
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money. We are at one of the most highest rates, like in Canadian history, we are one of the highest
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rates of government spending. Our GDP is 44, probably more higher than that since they lasted the stat,
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all public spending. It's even higher when you take into account that they count government contracts,
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like the government contracting workout is private spending, even though it's still government spending.
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It's just a country of government spending. If we cut stuff, nobody's life will get worse. In fact,
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it will get marketably better. But now, I just want to look into some of the deeper stats here,
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because this is where this isn't even really a big, it doesn't, this isn't really fundamental to
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why the liberals are doing badly. It's just kind of an interesting thing to look into. And I think it's
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dangerous for the country moving forward, just how bad the gender gap is between the parties right now.
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So right here, we see, these are all the parties, this is with the undecideds included.
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So like, you see the undecided down here. So these numbers up top are not going to add up to 100.
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So Trudeau is that is most of his support right now is 22.7% female conservative, only 28.9% female,
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and SING's NDB 18.7% female. Look at that conservatives are winning 50.8% of men with with undecideds included,
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they're already winning more than half of men. There is a big problem in this country of a big gender gap
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between men and women. And part of it is just a lot of like anti conservative propaganda, making women feel
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terrified that conservatives are coming after them. How? Because certain conservative MPs don't like
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ninth month abortions. Okay, nobody likes that stuff. But that demonstrates media propaganda,
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social media propaganda. So I don't think that conservatives need to budge an inch on their
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platform. If anything, I think they could actually afford to be a bit more socially conservative.
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But the conservatives going forward really need to target more advertising towards specifically
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younger women, because that's who's mostly voting liberal and NDP these days, single women who are
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under the age of 40. It's a demographic group that is targeted relentlessly with propaganda. And so the
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conservatives don't need to spread propaganda themselves, just mindless messaging, but just needs
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to push some ideas that they've been putting forward to men better towards women, same policies,
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but just learn to rephrase it. That's what I'm actually decent at when I do campaigning.
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I can talk to anybody in language they understand, not because I'm a marvel,
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is you just have to take a step back and kind of realize the sorts of words that people use when
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talking about the same subjects, because we can agree on something. But because I use different
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verbiage, you think I'm like proposing something radical when we literally are talking about the
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same thing that we agree on, but you use softer language than I do. So I think that the big battle
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that the conservatives need to wage right now going towards 2025 election is that we should be trying to
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win more women, we should be trying to win more women, so we can fight this gender divide, because
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this is the divide and conquer politics that the liberals have been using for the past nine years,
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it's not going to win the next election. But it can cause a lot of social chaos if they make it
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that the conservatives become the nasty men party. And the liberals are the party and the NDP are the
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parties that stand up for women. It's not true. They actually basically disempower women and pretend that
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women can't do anything without the government, which is a loser, hopeless, disgusting narrative
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that radical feminists have pushed for like the last 10 years, because a lot of radical feminists
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just happen to be socialists. So they tend to push a lot of socialism on younger people, and mostly
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women because, you know, feminists. Regardless, though, that's what I think we need to do moving
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forward. Like, share and subscribe to this channel. If you want to support me, you can always donate to
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00:13:48.960
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