The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - July 27, 2023


Trudeau Rearranging The Cabinet Chairs In His Sinking Government Won't Save Him In 2025

Hosted by
Wyatt Claypool
Mentioned
Justin Trudeau Stephen Harper Pierre Poilievre Bill Morneau Marco Mendicino Pablo Rodriguez David Lamedi Pierre Pauly
Trudeau's Attack on Parental Rights is an Attack on All Rights Wokeism in Government is a Long-Term Threat to Canada

Episode Stats


Length

9 minutes

Words per minute

202.36

Word count

1,929

Sentence count

86

Harmful content

Misogyny

1

sentences flagged

Hate speech

1

sentences flagged


Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

Justin Trudeau's government is in a tailspin, and there's no good reason why it should not be. But it's hard to see how he can pull himself out of it, especially given how unpopular he is with the Canadian public.

Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Misogyny classifications generated with MilaNLProc/bert-base-uncased-ear-misogyny .
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
Hosts, guests, and mentioned names generated with spaCy (en_core_web_sm), reconciled against Wikidata.
00:00:00.520 I think at this point, Justin Trudeau is pretty well done as the prime minister of Canada.
00:00:05.260 Yes, he's going to be the prime minister until 2025, which, you know, is a plague on us all.
00:00:11.040 At the same time, I don't really see him sort of pulling out of this tailspin that he's in in terms of the popularity of his government.
00:00:17.360 This big cabinet shuffle he's done where like he swapped out or 20 percent of the positions have now been changed.
00:00:23.960 This is not going to help him in the eyes of the Canadian public.
00:00:27.360 Most people know that it didn't matter that Marco Mendocino is the public safety minister, that David Lamedi was the attorney general or that, you know, Pablo Rodriguez was the heritage minister.
00:00:40.120 Everyone understands that at the end of the day, Justin Trudeau as the prime minister is the person overseeing every single one of these roles.
00:00:47.760 These people are carrying out the wishes of Justin Trudeau.
00:00:50.720 In the past, in other governments or even in Justin Trudeau's government, there's been the occasional person who was legitimately just incompetent at their job who gets swapped out.
00:00:59.600 And when there is a new minister that comes in, the role actually does transform quite a bit because of the person's new insights and competence in that position.
00:01:07.760 Justin Trudeau, it doesn't matter who he puts in any position there.
00:01:11.220 The incompetence stems from him.
00:01:13.500 That's where Bill Morneau is actually a pretty decent mind when it comes to public finance.
00:01:18.560 I might disagree with him because he has a more higher spending kind of mentality than I would have.
00:01:23.720 At the same time, Bill Morneau is the public, the finance minister back in the day was also incompetent because he had Justin Trudeau looking over his shoulder and controlling what he did.
00:01:33.280 And this is where all the corruption comes through, is that the funny thing is no matter who's kicked out of the government, no matter which advisors are fired or ministers you've gotten rid of, somehow there's always a deep inset level of corruption in the liberal government.
00:01:47.620 And also why I don't think that Justin Trudeau is going to be able to get out of this is, I guess, twofold.
00:01:52.580 One, the conservatives are absolutely surging in the polls.
00:01:56.280 And I think it's partially to do with the people just disliking Justin Trudeau.
00:02:00.180 And I think it's also to do with conservative leader Pierre Polyev starting to become fairly well known to the public.
00:02:05.740 And I think he's building up people's confidence in him by really just sticking to sort of meat and potato kind of economic issues and calling out the radicalism of the liberals.
00:02:14.280 And not doing this red Tory thing of sort of moderating yourself into a gray sludge where nobody can really say anything particularly strong about you.
00:02:23.540 And so no one shows up for you.
00:02:24.860 So, you know, Pierre Polyev is doing a fantastic job there.
00:02:27.420 And Justin Trudeau is not only hated, but he has zero ability to actually admit to making mistakes.
00:02:34.980 Justin Trudeau has never admitted to a mistake in his life.
00:02:37.640 And he's always able to point the finger at someone else.
00:02:39.900 That's where, when we see stuff like SNC-Lavalin or the Wee scandal or any of his other scandals, he always ends up pointing the finger at another minister or somehow some conservative's fault or somehow someone else out there failed him or people just didn't understand his intentions like the SNC-Lavalin affair.
00:02:58.140 And in this case is no different whatsoever, even though it's very straightforward that people just don't like the results of his economic agenda.
00:03:04.540 People don't like his preaching on moral issues and people just are kind of tired of his pushing the sort of green agenda that's hurting the oil and gas industry in Canada.
00:03:14.420 That he'll never admit that maybe he just needs to sort of, you know, shift his priorities and go into a more managerial direction, like for the Canadian people, a lot less government, just making sure whatever the government does is efficient and the government just can try no breach.
00:03:28.080 No, no, no.
00:03:28.700 Justin Trudeau knows that his agenda is failing because you don't believe in them enough.
00:03:32.040 Like literally in summer for Newfoundland at a press conference, Justin Trudeau basically said, well, my government's unpopular and my personal approval rating is down because Canadians don't believe in me enough because they're being lied to by the conservatives.
00:03:46.180 They don't believe in change.
00:03:49.060 People think that they can just sit at home and sit on their butts and that the world's not going to change around.
00:03:53.920 Like this is the literal stuff Justin Trudeau is saying, as if everyone's just a Luddite except him because they're not hyper-progressives.
00:04:00.620 And the idea that somehow like, like it care bears, we all have to just cheer on Justin Trudeau enough and believe in his agenda and it will somehow work.
00:04:09.600 And because we don't have the true faith like he does, that his green agenda, his radical social agenda, and all of his other sort of economic gunk is not working out.
00:04:18.140 But obviously it's all to do with him, but he doesn't have the maturity or his ego is too big to ever say anything slightly negative about his own performance.
00:04:28.620 So I think that peer poly is absolutely going to eat his lunch in 2025 because no way Justin Trudeau calls a fall election.
00:04:35.140 He knows that at best case scenario is he gets another minority government and it's probably a much reduced minority.
00:04:41.860 So he's just going to wait out until 2025 and I think his ego will not even let him pull out and let someone else become the leader of the Liberal Party before them.
00:04:52.080 He's going to, in a nice way, I guess for all of us, he's going to give us the gift of letting him see, of letting us see him get trashed on a debate stage by Pierre Polyev and having to give a concession speech on election night.
00:05:04.640 Because Justin Trudeau believes that he's the only man who can lead the Liberal Party and that none of the mistakes of his government are truly his fault.
00:05:13.860 So as long as he gets rid of enough cabinet ministers and changes the names and individuals surrounding him, somehow Canadians are going to see him as sort of like a new political figure suddenly.
00:05:24.920 And to a certain extent, you can't blame him because that worked in the past because the media was able to prop him up by being able to build up his kind of confident, positive image.
00:05:34.720 And that confident, positive image worked on a lot of people, especially like usually female voters tend to be more susceptible to like liking the guy who's going to be positive because, you know, men are more contentious and we're all more negative.
00:05:47.720 But the problem is, is that as his policies have been negatively impacting people, the positive messaging does not work anymore, which is why the Conservatives are now winning women by 4%.
00:05:58.240 There's literally only two provinces in the entire country that the Liberals have an edge over the Conservatives.
00:06:04.100 And that's Atlantic Canada, where their edge is only 1%.
00:06:07.540 And they're in Quebec, where they have like, I think they actually have like a 10% lead over the Conservatives, but that's Quebec.
00:06:14.160 So I don't think anyone's too concerned about that in the Conservative Party.
00:06:16.800 But even in Quebec, the Liberals are still being beaten by the Bloc Québécois by like, like three or four points.
00:06:22.800 So like, this is just a complete route for the Liberals.
00:06:25.920 And I think that right now, even their polling numbers are a little bit overstated, because as Canadians feel that momentum shift in favor of the Conservatives, you're going to have a lot of these soft Liberal voters, either staying home or transitioning to the Conservatives, as they sort of see where the wind's blowing.
00:06:41.860 Like, look at these last three polling, these last three polls taken by three different companies, Nanos, we have this one by Ledger, and we have this one by Abacus.
00:06:52.180 Abacus has the Conservatives up 10 points.
00:06:54.460 Even Ledger has the Conservatives up nine points.
00:06:56.960 Ledger sometimes has the Liberals up by one or two points just a couple months ago.
00:07:01.640 So now they can't now, like the Conservatives are actually smashing the Liberals and are in a majority territory.
00:07:07.800 And I don't see there going to be any sort of narrative like that Justin Trudeau is going to be able to spin in a 2025 election.
00:07:14.580 At the end of the day, elections are all about narratives.
00:07:17.200 Justin Trudeau won in 2015 because Harper, I would say that Stephen Harper really didn't have a like have a narrative to run on.
00:07:24.480 It was really just about the fact that we're managing the economy well, don't let the Liberals and NDP take over because they're going to increase taxes.
00:07:31.300 While that's true, it's not really a strong narrative to get voters out to the polls, where Justin Trudeau ran on sunny waves.
00:07:37.840 And it's as silly as that slogan was, and as much as Conservatives mock it, it's actually ingenious in the sense it implies that not only is he this positive and hopeful figure, but it implies that Stephen Harper's government is dark and shadowy and insular.
00:07:51.400 But fast forward to 2025, what's Justin Trudeau's narrative?
00:07:56.380 Well, don't let Peter Polly have take over. 1.00
00:07:58.460 He's a radical.
00:07:59.560 It's like, if you're wondering about radicalism, it's not going to work when people are experiencing the pain of inflation and they see the sort of results of Justin Trudeau's positive progressivism in terms of the social impact it's had on Canada.
00:08:12.380 Everyone's kind of tired of all the damage and they're looking for someone who's going to, like, basically restore the country, sort of bring us back to that sort of 2015 era of Canada where, you know, you might not like everything the government's doing.
00:08:26.040 At the same time, it's not the government's not exactly trying to pry into your life and it's mostly leaving you alone.
00:08:32.120 Anyways, I just want to also mention before I close out this video that I'm going to put a link to my Give, Send, Go fundraiser for my legal fund because I'm in this ridiculous, crazy lawsuit with this Chinese billionaire. 0.95
00:08:46.020 I'm actually winning it at the same time, although I'm not going to lose if you don't give me five bucks or something.
00:08:51.480 It does help sort of, like, reduce the pain for me on paying for this lawsuit.
00:08:55.360 I've literally paid more than $15,000 defending myself.
00:08:58.700 It's an absolute nutty lawsuit where they didn't even barely file any defense against the National Telegraph and myself.
00:09:04.660 They had nothing.
00:09:05.900 I filed a bunch of evidence in response proving that what we had said was completely legitimate.
00:09:12.280 But, you know, whatever.
00:09:13.380 People can drag things up in court and increase costs on you.
00:09:15.940 I'm not particularly a rich person, so if you can even throw five dollars my way, it's not going to, you know, it's not going to save the case.
00:09:22.260 I'm still going to be pursuing the case regardless of people donated or not.
00:09:25.700 But it does help the sort of financial pain that I've been in for the last couple of years.
00:09:29.580 So I guess have a great day.