Trudeau's polling numbers have somehow gotten way worse!
Episode Stats
Words per minute
187.11626
Harmful content
Misogyny
3
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Hate speech
4
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Summary
Justin Trudeau's unpopularity is at an all-time low, and it's only getting worse. In this episode, I discuss why, and why not only is Justin Trudeau not popular, but so are the Freedom Convoy and COVID protesters.
Transcript
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Prime Minister Justin Trudeau is definitely not good at following the law, but even he must follow the laws of the universe.
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And one that he never violates is the idea that no matter what happens, it can always get worse.
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Because despite Justin Trudeau's massive unpopularity and the very low polling for the Liberal Party nationally,
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they somehow keep sinking further and further into unpopularity.
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So this is the stats from an abacus data poll that just came out, showing that the Conservatives are still nursing a healthy 20-point lead over the Liberals,
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43-23, with the NDP only at 18 and the Block at 7.
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This is pretty much what many of the more accurate pollsters have been saying over the past four or five months.
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It's not a trend that's just here for a little bit, but not for a very long time.
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This is what Canadians actually think. And you can tell because it's not like the polls have been jumping up for the Conservatives,
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then coming back down and jumping back up. It's been, like, consistent.
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It's been pretty flat with abacus data showing an anywhere from 16- to 22-point lead for the Conservatives.
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And yes, they did at one point have a 22% lead. That's how bad the Liberals are doing.
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And the Liberals, with Justin Trudeau, let's just highlight the regionals, because they are definitely scary for the Liberals.
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The Liberals just don't have a base of support. I've said this before, I'll say it again.
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If you're the Liberal Party, you're playing on easy mode in Canada.
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You can pretty easily mop up a lot of seats in Toronto, Montreal, and Vancouver.
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But the Liberals have gotten so used to the idea that it's easy to win as a Liberal,
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they've just decided we can govern however we want.
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And while that's kind of true if you're a Liberal, when you start hurting the country as much as they have,
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even Toronto voters start to get a little bit shaky.
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So yes, they'll still win the majority of seats in Montreal, Toronto, and not quite downtown Vancouver anymore.
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They still need another third of their votes to be coming from non-urban GTA areas.
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They are losing Atlantic Canada famously right now.
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The Conservatives are at 48% in Atlantic Canada, with the Liberals trailing by 29.
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That's insane, considering Atlantic Canada went 100% for the Liberals back in 2015.
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And it's even worse when it comes to age demographics.
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This is, the Liberals used to be a party for older pensioners.
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And while they still disproportionately do better with older voters,
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they are not anywhere close to leading the Conservatives.
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And it's because when they kept spending massive amounts of money every single year, including this new budget,
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which is increasing inflation and it's putting people's benefits at risk, those voters flee from you hard.
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And that's also why the Conservatives are winning women now,
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when that used to be a historic demographic that the Liberals could rely on.
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Because women tend to like a sort of a policy that's very safe and consistent.
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And because the Liberals are typically in office way more than the Conservatives,
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But Justin Trudeau is actually a very NDP-ish, orange Liberal Party leader.
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And so his constant new benefit programs that fall on their face, increase inflation,
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his bad policy when it comes to criminal justice, all this stuff has completely alienated women.
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And like I always say, right now the Liberals are at 23% nationally.
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And when you look at Justin Trudeau's approval rating, he's only at a 25% approval rating.
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I have never seen the Liberal Party outpace Justin Trudeau's approval rating.
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His approval rating and their national vote are always within 1% or 2%.
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Because if you don't like Justin Trudeau, you're not voting Liberal.
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But I want to highlight something here that's kind of funny,
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is that not only does Justin Trudeau only have a 25% approval rating according to this Abacus data poll,
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but he's literally less popular than the Freedom Convoy and COVID protesters,
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who were like the absolute most demonized group of people over the past three years by the media.
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So even though these people have been basically hammered at by the media year after year,
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every single hour of the day, especially when COVID was really big,
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these people are way more popular than Justin Trudeau is.
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Because as time has gone on, even though people had a very negative impression of anyone who stood up to lockdowns and mandates,
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over time, people, as they get out of that COVID era emergency mindset,
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Maybe it was kind of bad to lock people up at home,
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force them to get vaccinated when they didn't want to and all that and whatnot.
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So now COVID protesters have a 42% approval rating in terms of people agreeing with their actions,
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And yes, it's still a majority who didn't like them.
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But Canada is very much what I call a middle class cultured country.
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Middle class people, and we're all middle class people watching this video,
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most likely unless you're super rich or in like a rare person who's in the very low kind of income demographic in Canada.
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Most of us tend to not like to be super loud about politics.
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So anyone protesting anything tends to get a lot of disapproval by the Canadian public
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because it's very emotional and Canadians don't like emotional politics very much.
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It's like if you see someone crying in front of you, you kind of look away instinctually.
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It's uncomfortable because you can't match their sort of energy.
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So a lot of Canadians, because they don't get very hot blood about politics,
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when they see people protesting, there's an inherent automatic dislike.
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And the fact that now 42% of people actually agree with what the COVID protesters were doing is really good progress.
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But here is another funny thing I want to talk about.
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And it's the general Canadian public and then Gen X and Z voters' impression of Justin Trudeau
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compared to Pure Polyev when a bunch of different scenarios are pitched at them.
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So this is Justin Trudeau versus Pure Polyev with Gen Z and millennial voters.
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So the only category in which Justin Trudeau leads Pure Polyev is if you were to pick someone to host a party,
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Justin Trudeau seems like he would maybe be a more fun guy compared to Pure Polyev.
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I'd probably go to a party Pure Polyev hosted because I don't like parties.
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And Pure Polyev doesn't exactly seem like the party animal type that Justin Trudeau is.
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And when you go down through these categories, as much as this is just kind of fun,
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as you go down to more serious sort of life decisions and events,
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when it says putting up a shelf, Pure Polyev has a 20-point lead with younger voters over Justin Trudeau.
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Being in charge of the map for a road trip, Pure Polyev gets a 24% lead.
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Putting out a kitchen counter fire, plus 19 Pure Polyev.
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It's because nobody trusts Justin Trudeau to do anything past tying his own shoes.
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And even then, you don't really trust him that much, but it's his own shoes.
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But Justin Trudeau is just not trusted with anything actually serious.
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And here's another one, I think this is just the public in general, not just Gen Z and millennials.
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Again, Justin Trudeau leads with hosting a house party, but on pretty much everything else,
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it's Pure Polyev leading by 20 points, and there's some where he only leads by one,
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but it's stuff like hosting and having an event at a bar or whatever.
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People just think of Justin Trudeau as someone you'd maybe be a friend of,
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but you don't put that idiot in charge of anything that actually matters.
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And that's a really bad impression of a leader if you're actually trying to run for public office.
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Justin Trudeau appears to be someone who's not very serious as a politician
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The fact that after nine years, people don't see you as somebody who can balance a checkbook,
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people don't see you as somebody who can negotiate a discount or put out a kitchen fire,
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because truly the Liberal Party's governance of this country has been a nine-year house fire.
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That's telling that voters don't really associate you with being an analytical person.
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And that's really what shows why Justin Trudeau has such a hyper-progressive base.
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It's a group of people who don't actually care about political issues in terms of your effectiveness
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and carrying out your duty as prime minister, balancing the budget, keeping taxes low,
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They care about the right values in government, and they don't care if it messes up the country.
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These are the people who go around protesting, screaming down with Canada, land back.
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These are the kind of voters who are sticking with Justin Trudeau.
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And in time, because he's been getting very, very unpopular,
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the funny thing is that Justin Trudeau is making the same mistake that Joe Biden is in the U.S.,
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that he's losing voters on his left flank, so he has to become even more left-wing
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and compete with Jagmeet Singh more for voters.
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He's losing all the voters in the middle who are going to go and vote conservative
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because they were only going to be around the Liberals as far as they didn't completely screw up the country.
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And now that all of the economic data is coming back
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and people are being smacked in the face with it every single day, they are not happy.
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Anyways, I just want to quickly look again at the regionals,
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but it's remarkable that in British Columbia, the Conservatives are only at almost 49% of the vote.
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And I got to urge you guys, if you live in B.C., you got to vote for the B.C. Conservatives provincially.
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That is another domino that needs to fall for pure polyepathy.
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If he does become prime minister to be able to govern effectively,
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he needs a radical premier like David Eby out of his way.
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And the fact that 49% of people are voting federal conservative,
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I'm voting federal conservative, but they're still voting provincial NDP at the moment,
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and they need to be told that the B.C. provincial conservatives can actually win.
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So don't vote for a guy who's going to stymie everything
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that Pierre Polyev wants to do on a national level.
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And then in Ontario, Conservatives 43, Liberals 28.
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There's a reason that when you see some of these electoral projections on the map,
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you're actually starting to see downtown Montreal and downtown Toronto ridings flipping blue.
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Because these ridings are actually very divided between the Liberals NDP,
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and usually even the Greens can score 8 to 10 points in these ridings.
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The Conservatives don't actually need that many gains in Toronto in order to be very competitive.
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It's just been that the Conservatives sit around the low 20s,
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and then the Liberals and the NDP are sitting around the higher 30s fighting with each other.
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So in a lot of these ridings, if the Conservatives can gain 10%,
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they're in the game, and they actually have a solid shot of flipping these areas.
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his riding on 338 actually shows that he has like a 5% chance of winning that riding right now,
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or the Conservatives would if he was the candidate.
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That's really good, considering Spadina-Fort York is a deeply, deeply red-orange riding.
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For some reason, I keep clicking on Spadina-Fort York here.
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But anyways, I think it holds true that right now,
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even these downtown ridings, like right in the city center core,
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Christia Freeland's riding could be lost to the Conservatives.
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it's not even that we're flipping them Conservative.
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A lot of them are also just going to stay home,
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because it's hard to keep showing up and voting for the party that's barely hanging on.
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Eventually, you're going to let them just fall off the cliff
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Anyways, that should be it for me, guys, today.
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I just quickly want to do my normal plug that I, Wyatt Claypool,
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am running for the Calgary-Signal Hill Conservative Party nomination.
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In a couple days, the riding boundaries are changing,
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So if you live on the west side of Calgary in this federal riding,
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buy a Conservative Party membership, vote for me in the nomination,
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And also, if you want to donate to the TNT Legal Fund,
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it would really help reduce the burden of cost on us for our legal matter
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that we're fighting with this Chinese billionaire developer.
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He's suing us for defamation and still hasn't submitted any evidence,
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I've just gotten another bill for like $2,000 of legal fees.
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So being able to donate anything to help me out with that
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rather than figuring out ways of paying for these ridiculously high legal costs.
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Because this one case alone in less than two years
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But anyways, I'll see you guys next time with another video
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likely talking about Justin Trudeau messing up something else
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because it's just become a pattern since the budget dropped.