The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - January 08, 2025


Trudeau's resignation won't put out the Liberal house fire! - Poilievre Conservative way ahead

Topics
Liberal leadership race Polyev poll results
Hosted by
Wyatt Claypool
Mentioned
Pierre Trudeau Donald Trump Polyev Justin Trudeau Frank Bayless John Chrétien Liberals Brian Mulroney John A. Macdonald Harjit Singh Gill Chrystia Freeland Harrison Faulkner Surrey Guilford Stephen Harper Jass Johal Bill C-63 Randy Boissoneau Daniel Boardman Vashi Capellos Mike Liknative Mark Gerritsen and 21 more
Liberal leadership race to replace Trudeau will be full of foreign voters BC Conservatives call out potential election fraud⧸issues - Riding lost by only 22 votes!

Episode Stats


Length

30 minutes

Words per minute

177.94

Word count

5,341

Sentence count

369

Harmful content

Misogyny

9

sentences flagged

Toxicity

19

sentences flagged

Hate speech

6

sentences flagged


Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

Justin Trudeau announced his intention to step down as Prime Minister of Canada in March, and people are wondering if this will hurt the Liberal Party in the next election. Also, is it illegal for Prime Minister Justin Trudeau to prorogue Parliament?

Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Misogyny classifications generated with MilaNLProc/bert-base-uncased-ear-misogyny .
Toxicity classifications generated with s-nlp/roberta_toxicity_classifier .
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
Topics generated with Qwen2.5-3B-Instruct.
Hosts, guests, and mentioned names generated with spaCy (en_core_web_sm), reconciled against Wikidata.
00:00:00.000 Hello, everyone. Welcome back to the Wyatt Claypool Show.
00:00:04.640 It's been a crazy week in Canadian politics, to put it mildly,
00:00:08.560 and that's why I want to do the more long-form version of the show
00:00:12.080 so I can cover three of the big topics that people are asking a lot of questions about
00:00:16.900 and there's a lot of discussion online regarding.
00:00:19.960 The first of which is the Liberal leadership race.
00:00:23.780 Justin Trudeau declared his intent to step down as Prime Minister in March
00:00:27.680 after the Liberal Party chooses a new leader
00:00:30.020 and people are wondering if this is even going to help the Liberal Party in the next federal election.
00:00:36.160 I'm going to get to that in just a second, but I also just want to mention the two other topics today.
00:00:40.560 We will also be talking about the ongoing controversy over Trump supposedly winding to annex Canada and Greenland
00:00:47.620 and apparently the Panama Canal and probably your grandma's house too.
00:00:51.840 I think it's all overblown. We'll talk about that later.
00:00:54.660 It's silly and I just kind of want to address all the silly takes I keep seeing.
00:00:59.280 And then the last thing is whether or not it is illegal for Justin Trudeau to have prorogued Parliament in the manner he has. 0.75
00:01:07.100 Spoiler alert, it isn't.
00:01:09.040 Justin Trudeau does terrible things every day, most of which are not illegal.
00:01:13.560 This one is not illegal, just as it was not illegal for Stephen Harper to do.
00:01:17.480 So, yeah, John Chrétien, John A. MacDonald, I believe Pierre Elliott Trudeau also did it.
00:01:23.800 A lot of people have done it. Brian Mulroney's done it.
00:01:26.480 Anyways, but let's go back to the first topic.
00:01:29.980 So, the Liberal Party feels like it can gain momentum by replacing Trudeau.
00:01:35.960 Can they? I don't know.
00:01:38.040 So, if they gain any momentum, I'm not sure if it's any more than they had before they started pursuing the process of trying to force Trudeau out of office.
00:01:46.920 But I'm not sure if it's more than that because unless the Liberals are starting to punch into the 30s, even the mid-30s, it's not going to change the outcome of the election.
00:01:57.220 Let's make one thing clear.
00:01:58.860 Europalia, barring something insane happening, is very likely to be the next Prime Minister of Canada.
00:02:04.760 The Liberal Party are fighting to see if they can remain as the second-place party.
00:02:11.080 That is the real goal of swapping Trudeau out with basically anybody else.
00:02:16.360 So far, the only Liberal candidate for the leadership who has at least openly declared that they intend to run is former Liberal MP Frank Bayless.
00:02:26.700 I watched an interview with him on CTV's Power Play.
00:02:30.460 I think it was Vashti Kapelos' show.
00:02:32.780 So, honestly, he sounds like somebody who'd probably be a major improvement over Trudeau.
00:02:37.920 Not good. 0.86
00:02:38.960 The man himself is corrupt and, in fact, was running a fake healthcare company like Randy Boissoneau was because of his connections as a former Liberal MP. 0.95
00:02:49.520 As a businessman, he started a fake firm to basically acquire ventilators. 0.93
00:02:53.920 But it was basically just a middleman organization that didn't need to exist at all, but he got to rake in a bunch of cash for it.
00:03:00.020 But even he sounded more rational than the vast majority of Liberals when it came to the upcoming trade negotiations with Trump.
00:03:07.660 Trump's talk about annex in Canada.
00:03:09.800 He was actually cool-headed about it.
00:03:11.940 Probably a good option.
00:03:13.520 If you're a Liberal, I'm a Conservative.
00:03:15.440 I don't want the Liberals to win. 0.99
00:03:16.740 And because he sounds somewhat rational, even though he's still in favor of the carbon tax and a bunch of other stupid Liberal policies, 0.98
00:03:24.420 because he's not completely insane, the Liberals are probably not going to choose him. 0.86
00:03:28.880 But I want to show you some polling results right here because I think they really flavor what Canadians so far are thinking about this move by the Liberals.
00:03:36.480 And so far, it's looking somewhat positive for them.
00:03:39.700 But again, I think I'm going to recontextualize this information in just a bit to demonstrate that it's probably not exactly the secret sauce that the Liberal Party thinks it is.
00:03:50.040 But before I do that, guys, look at that sign right there.
00:03:53.900 Like this video.
00:03:54.880 Subscribe to the channel if you like it and you haven't subscribed yet.
00:03:58.080 And if you have any thoughts throughout it, leave it in the comments.
00:04:00.940 Even if I don't comment back to you guys or react to your comments, I always try and scroll through multiple times after the video is released just to see what the discourse is like.
00:04:10.600 But here are the results from Polling Canada.
00:04:15.540 Polling Canada is just the aggregator of all the polling results.
00:04:18.240 This result is specifically from Palace Data, and it's asking people their satisfaction with Trudeau's decision to step down.
00:04:25.280 Obviously, he hasn't fully stepped down.
00:04:27.360 He's going to have stepped down in March.
00:04:28.400 And again, with all the people saying, he didn't actually step down.
00:04:32.500 He just said he intends to step down.
00:04:34.380 He's going to step down.
00:04:35.380 Like 98% chance he's going to step down.
00:04:37.520 I'll give you 2% that he doesn't.
00:04:39.440 But what's Trudeau going to do in two months?
00:04:41.620 Suddenly say, actually, I'm not leaving?
00:04:43.540 What, is he going to win the election now?
00:04:45.340 No, he'd just be even more unpopular.
00:04:47.640 But this poll result shows 60% of Canadians are satisfied with this decision.
00:04:53.360 19% are dissatisfied. 0.97
00:04:55.120 I don't doubt that's actually 50-50 Conservatives and Liberals, because there's a lot of Conservative voters who wanted to kick Trudeau's butt in the next election. 0.56
00:05:03.180 And then only 19% are neutral.
00:05:05.720 So you could say that that is a very decisive result, showing that Canadians are generally happy, seeing that somebody who sucked as Prime Minister has finally realized that he should just go take his walk in the snow and not bother us any longer.
00:05:20.480 Although he's going to bother us until the end of March, annoyingly enough.
00:05:24.740 And this may, if you're a Liberal Party, you know, insider, make you think, well, we made the right decision.
00:05:32.120 We put the screws to Trudeau and Canadians liked that.
00:05:36.040 Okay, but are people going to vote for you now?
00:05:38.920 Like, I have seen the Palace poll.
00:05:41.200 Maybe I'll quickly scroll up to that.
00:05:42.760 There is a Palace poll out showing that the day after Trudeau decided to step down, the Liberal Party's polling didn't improve.
00:05:51.360 Like, obviously, they're still way down from 2021, and the Conservatives are way up.
00:05:55.860 But they're at 25%, which is far better than the last Palace poll, which had them at, like, 19% or 20%.
00:06:02.300 So it's a gain.
00:06:03.580 Again, I'm not certain that this is actually demonstrating that Canadians are, like, approving more of the Liberals now that Trudeau's gone.
00:06:12.840 This might just be an outlier.
00:06:14.220 It just might be the natural kind of up and down trends that you usually see in polls.
00:06:18.600 Because the Conservatives are still at 42%.
00:06:20.780 That's more than enough to not just get a majority, but get a majority where you have a padding of 25 to 30 seats at least.
00:06:28.900 And again, that number is completely contingent on who they actually choose.
00:06:32.760 And I don't know how they choose anybody who isn't going to have the stench of Justin Trudeau on them.
00:06:39.440 Other than maybe, like, Frank Bayless, maybe would be the best choice.
00:06:44.920 He's the only guy in the race at the moment.
00:06:46.800 Like, Christy Clark technically doesn't have the stench of Trudeau on her. 1.00
00:06:50.820 I don't think that many people like her.
00:06:53.160 Especially not even in her home province of British Columbia.
00:06:56.220 So I don't know who actually ends up being the better leader than Trudeau. 0.99
00:07:00.940 Again, I think Trudeau sucks.
00:07:03.040 But as a Conservative, I will objectively view that he probably had more name recognition and charisma than any of these people are capable of getting. 0.98
00:07:12.380 But here's another question from Palace.
00:07:14.880 They say,
00:07:15.220 The chances of the Liberals winning the next election are better without Trudeau as a leader.
00:07:19.760 And this is another result that might make you feel a little bit confident if you're a Liberal Party organizer.
00:07:25.560 Agree is 43%.
00:07:27.400 Disagree is 27%.
00:07:29.440 And neutral is 24%.
00:07:31.220 And we talked about it yesterday.
00:07:35.320 Liberal MP from New Brunswick, Wayne Long, said,
00:07:38.900 Well, this has made our chances of winning the next election go up by 1,000%.
00:07:42.940 And, like, maybe that's true.
00:07:45.940 But the only reason it's true is because your guys' chances of winning the next election couldn't even be charted.
00:07:51.940 It was, like, less than 0%.
00:07:54.100 So if you multiply that by 1,000, you're still not going to win.
00:07:59.260 So Canadians might perceive that the Liberals are doing better.
00:08:02.160 But that's just because they perceived the main problem of the Liberals being Trudeau.
00:08:08.060 I don't actually think the main problem for the Liberals was Trudeau.
00:08:12.480 It's the mentality that let a Trudeau-like figure be the Prime Minister for almost 10 years.
00:08:18.320 That's the real problem that the Liberals had, was the fact that they have no standards.
00:08:23.860 The fact that they are metropolitan, progressive, whiny elites.
00:08:28.560 That is the Liberal Party's problem.
00:08:30.800 And so far, who that you know who's running actually counteracts that?
00:08:35.800 Who isn't a hopelessly stuffy metropolitan who's running?
00:08:39.820 They literally all are.
00:08:41.140 Even Frank Bayliss, who I've been saying some sort of minorly nice things about.
00:08:45.440 So here is a poll result.
00:08:48.740 I believe this might be ResearchCo or might be Pallas or Nanos.
00:08:52.500 It doesn't really matter.
00:08:53.960 But here is the preferred Prime Minister result showing that right now they were still polling Trudeau.
00:09:00.300 But Polyev on a preferred Prime Minister poll is at 41%. 0.98
00:09:04.700 And while you could say, well, of course he's going to be kicking Justin Trudeau's butt in one of these polls, 0.97
00:09:09.080 Trudeau just stepped down. 0.98
00:09:10.600 The thing is, Singh hasn't gained anything.
00:09:13.200 May actually has gained a little bit. 1.00
00:09:15.440 But it's Polyev that has actually gained.
00:09:18.220 Technically, Trudeau's 1% up since this polling company did the poll last time.
00:09:23.400 But there's literally no room for any other option right now.
00:09:27.360 Do you think that if the Liberals start running somebody,
00:09:29.940 that the 41% who approve of Polyev are going to split away?
00:09:33.940 Because Singh's base is pretty locked in.
00:09:36.040 The 14% that are preferring Singh are all hardcore NDP.
00:09:39.320 If you run a Freeland, they're not coming over.
00:09:42.640 If you run Francois-Philippe Champagne, a bunch of the NDP people are not going to move over to you,
00:09:48.800 nor are the Greens, nor are the Bloc.
00:09:50.440 So right now, the Liberals are in a position where the amount of marginal gain that they can find here is very little.
00:09:59.220 Maybe they can grab 1% from the NDP, maybe 3% or 4% from the Conservatives if they bring back some very, you know,
00:10:06.460 the blue Liberals who are maybe voting Conservative now.
00:10:09.520 Maybe they take one from the Greens, the NDP, maybe the Bloc.
00:10:13.220 But, like, we're talking about them pushing themselves up to, like, 26% in the preferred Prime Minister polls,
00:10:20.160 and in theory, the Conservatives would fall to, like, 38%.
00:10:23.520 You're not going to win with a 12% deficit on that specific stat.
00:10:31.540 Here is a hypothetical federal vote, and this demonstrates just how bad things are.
00:10:36.040 If you get people to either pick between the Conservatives or Liberals and NDP,
00:10:40.680 the Conservatives actually become more popular.
00:10:43.780 When you posit to people that the Liberals and the NDP are the non-Conservative choice,
00:10:49.440 people actually start voting Conservative harder.
00:10:52.160 Because, in theory, you might be voting NDP because you don't like Liberal,
00:10:56.840 but if you are voting NDP because you don't like Liberal,
00:10:59.560 and then a pollster kind of indicates to you,
00:11:01.700 well, these are the two options that are opposing all the reforms that Polyev wants,
00:11:06.380 even though your general default vote, if you're not voting Liberal, might have been NDP.
00:11:10.700 It kind of snaps you out of it.
00:11:11.680 You're like, oh, my goodness, no, I can't do that.
00:11:13.260 I'm voting Conservative.
00:11:14.420 So this is a crazy poll.
00:11:16.460 48% Conservative, 31% Liberal or NDP, either or,
00:11:21.800 and then Bloc Quebecois, 10%.
00:11:23.620 And even when they polled people on,
00:11:25.740 do you want the NDP and the Liberals to combine,
00:11:27.960 both the Liberals and NDP decisively said,
00:11:30.960 no, we do not want to combine with the other party.
00:11:33.700 Because as Conservatives, we tend to think both of them are obnoxious,
00:11:38.580 progressive left-wing parties, so why don't they just combine?
00:11:42.660 Well, although these days the distinction between the two parties is blurred,
00:11:46.980 remember when Mike Liknative and Jack Layton were the leaders of the Liberals and the NDP?
00:11:52.260 That's when the differences were very stark,
00:11:54.680 and many in the parties would like to go back to that,
00:11:57.380 that the NDP goes back to being the working-class party who isn't absolutely illiterate in economics,
00:12:03.940 and the Liberals go back to being the party for pensioners and people who want,
00:12:08.980 you know, like, growth or something like that.
00:12:11.820 And then the Conservatives can be the party that actually tries to have common-sense balance
00:12:16.220 between, you know, wage growth, economic growth, immigration, and all this other stuff.
00:12:22.460 Anyways, so one more thing I want to highlight here is the Research Co. poll,
00:12:28.540 because this Research Co. poll was conducted the day after Trudeau resigned.
00:12:32.800 This is what makes me skeptical,
00:12:34.940 despite the Powell's poll up here showing the Liberals jumping to 25%,
00:12:38.220 which is pathetic when we consider that a jump.
00:12:41.720 This poll by Research Co. after Trudeau had announced his intention to resign, 0.79
00:12:47.720 they're only at 21%.
00:12:49.120 Conservatives at 47%.
00:12:50.940 And the NDP, in fact, have lost a lot of support since Research Co.
00:12:55.240 or since the last election, according to Research Co.
00:12:57.800 They're only at 15%.
00:12:59.260 The Bloc is at 10%. 0.57
00:13:00.800 That would be a near sweep of Quebec for the Bloc Québécois.
00:13:04.340 And so this is where I, okay, in theory, let's say they run Freeland.
00:13:11.060 Freeland has been shown to have the best hypothetical numbers
00:13:14.720 if the Liberals make her the leader,
00:13:17.340 that they would recover to like 55 seats,
00:13:21.800 which is insane that we're talking about the Liberals sub 100 seats,
00:13:25.600 and that's a good thing for them, that it's better than what Trudeau was at.
00:13:29.880 Even if they put Chrystia Freeland in, 0.59
00:13:31.840 the problem is, is that Chrystia Freeland is probably only going to get the Liberals 1.00
00:13:37.520 back to where they were six months ago.
00:13:39.920 Six months ago was when the initial calls for Justin Trudeau were starting to heat up.
00:13:46.060 So really, this entire Liberal leadership process has been a practice of futility,
00:13:52.440 that they had to basically force their own numbers down even further.
00:13:56.520 So they had to like knife themselves and go from 26% in the polls down to sometimes just 18% or 17%.
00:14:05.380 They're hovering around like 20 right now, 21.
00:14:08.540 So they've had to hurt themselves to get rid of Trudeau,
00:14:10.920 basically damage their own party brand to sort of, you know, unnerve Trudeau,
00:14:15.540 make the ground shift below him and make him freak out and declare that,
00:14:18.720 yes, I will leave, blah, blah, blah.
00:14:21.140 And by appointing even the best possible Liberal option,
00:14:24.980 unless some hero comes over the hills, and it's not happening,
00:14:28.100 there are no Liberal heroes in Canada,
00:14:30.460 that even if they got this heroic figure to become the Liberal leader,
00:14:34.440 are they going to overcome the hero narrative that pure Polyev has?
00:14:38.780 Everyone already likes Polyev.
00:14:40.180 I know not everyone likes Polyev, but in a macro sense in politics,
00:14:44.960 when you're above 40% in preferred prime minister polls
00:14:48.260 and you're competing with six parties for that metric, you're pretty popular.
00:14:53.400 Even if the Liberals run some, you know, dashing hero as the party leader,
00:14:58.920 he's not going to have the name recognition to win,
00:15:00.860 he doesn't have the bandwidth to win before the next election,
00:15:03.740 and at best, you're going to do a little bit better than Trudeau was doing six months ago.
00:15:08.500 So where are they going to be at, 28% on election night?
00:15:11.900 Okay, I guess they still get clocked in the face.
00:15:15.160 And if anything, that actually might be good for the country,
00:15:17.440 just because as much as I like the Conservative Party,
00:15:20.360 you do want a rational opposition to keep them accountable,
00:15:24.820 because you don't want a party that doesn't feel like it can lose.
00:15:27.220 You want a party always knowing that it can lose unless it does the right thing.
00:15:31.720 And also, it would be great, honestly,
00:15:34.400 if all of us who don't already have lit Conservative Party memberships
00:15:37.740 should go and take out a Liberal Party membership
00:15:39.940 and just all vote for the most Conservative options for the Liberal Party.
00:15:44.360 Because although there's always this idea that wouldn't it be great
00:15:47.740 if we got Mark Gerritsen to be the new leader of the Liberal Party,
00:15:51.640 and I find that funny, and I kind of support it,
00:15:54.080 at the same time, I would like that the Liberal Party, the NDP, the Greens,
00:15:58.420 everybody become more rational, more pro-Canada, more Conservative.
00:16:03.420 So I don't have to freak out every time the Liberals
00:16:07.600 are potentially going to win the government back from the Conservatives in the future.
00:16:12.740 I'll be like, don't worry, they're Paul Martin, John Chrétien Liberals.
00:16:16.620 So if they do take over, not ideal, but they understand economics.
00:16:21.900 So yeah, all of this is not going to help the Liberals in my mind.
00:16:26.500 Like, maybe it helps, but what do we mean by it helps?
00:16:29.720 We're talking about gets them back to where they were a year ago or eight months ago,
00:16:34.640 not actual improvement.
00:16:37.500 Anyways.
00:16:38.680 Okay, let's move on to the next topic.
00:16:41.940 But before I do that, I just want to plug my website, actually, wyattclaypool.com.
00:16:46.100 Go check it out.
00:16:47.140 It's linked in the description below, as well as pinned at the top of the comments below the legal fund.
00:16:52.040 If you want to sign up there, I can give you good recommendations on who to vote for
00:16:55.860 in Conservative nominations around the country.
00:16:58.780 One nomination in the Malahat area on Vancouver Island federally.
00:17:03.600 There's a great candidate named Charles Borg running for that riding.
00:17:07.220 He's a veteran, very Orthodox Conservative, across the board Conservative.
00:17:11.800 I'd be supporting him in Abbotsford, South Langley.
00:17:14.720 I really like the candidate, Steve Schaefer, so I'd go check him out.
00:17:18.800 And there are some other ridings that I'm going to be finding candidates I think are good
00:17:23.280 Conservative, you know, standard bearers to be holding down these ridings.
00:17:27.620 Because we don't want NDP, Liberal-ish candidates running in Conservative ridings, or basically
00:17:34.060 Conservative nominations, just because they know they can't win as NDP or Liberal candidates.
00:17:38.900 Here's a thing that's actually concerning me.
00:17:42.640 Jas Johal reported on this, but I do know it's true. 1.00
00:17:46.240 So even though it's Jas Johal, I do want to mention this.
00:17:49.880 Look at this.
00:17:50.900 Richmond City Councillor Chalk Ah is contesting the Federal Conservative nomination in the new riding of Richmond Centre Mariupol.
00:17:58.300 Today, his opponent went out of his way in an email blast to remind members he ran for the BCNDP in 2017.
00:18:05.220 And in my mind, I can't vote for a guy who ran for the BCNDP in 2017.
00:18:12.060 So if you guys live in this riding, Richmond Centre Mariupol, sorry, I keep getting the names wrong.
00:18:20.140 If you live in this riding, don't vote for this guy.
00:18:22.800 There's another guy in the riding of Surrey Guilford, the federal riding, Harjit Singh Gill, who is the Conservative candidate.
00:18:30.880 He is currently the federal Conservative candidate.
00:18:33.240 He ran for the NDP in 2019 in the same riding.
00:18:36.480 Has a photo with Jagmeet Singh.
00:18:38.720 I will show it on screen.
00:18:40.260 This guy, Harjit Singh Gill, is a Conservative candidate in this next election cycle.
00:18:45.700 Why?
00:18:46.620 And guess what?
00:18:47.720 All of his opponents in that nomination in Surrey Guilford were disqualified.
00:18:52.080 Isn't that a little bit not great?
00:18:55.620 I'd get kicked out of a Calgary Signal Hill nomination for no disclosed reason.
00:19:00.020 Maybe I was Conservative and that was a problem.
00:19:03.000 But this guy and the other guy are allowed to run.
00:19:06.320 Weird.
00:19:07.380 Anyways, okay.
00:19:08.860 Now let's move on to the Trump issue.
00:19:12.220 Stop setting your hair on fire, guys.
00:19:14.240 I know you guys aren't.
00:19:15.980 Although there are some people in the comments saying,
00:19:17.940 Wyatt, you're naive.
00:19:19.380 The Americans want to take us over and they've always been attempting to take over Canada. 1.00
00:19:23.460 They haven't, you know, put down the John Turner Kool-Aid.
00:19:27.860 It's not happening.
00:19:28.600 Do you know what Donald Trump is doing with all this talk about taking over Canada?
00:19:32.860 And maybe he should put economic force on us to do so.
00:19:35.820 Maybe we should militarily invade Greenland.
00:19:38.120 Maybe we should use the military to take back the Panama Cal. 0.60
00:19:41.240 It's a negotiating tactic.
00:19:43.160 He's trying to mess with you.
00:19:44.780 So you take your eye off the ball.
00:19:47.580 This sounds weird.
00:19:48.660 I'm going to have to give Elizabeth May partial credit because although she is a crazy lady who is going off about how California, Oregon, and Washington should join Canada, maybe Vermont should join Canada, she at least gets that Trump isn't serious and she's countering him with her own unserious jabs.
00:20:08.560 That's really what she's doing there. 0.94
00:20:10.700 But I have been seeing people left, right, and center on the political spectrum pretending like this is the second coming of the War of 1812.
00:20:19.820 It's not.
00:20:20.660 Trump is messing with our diplomats and our incompetent liberal government by talking about his intention to put economic force on Canada to make us the 51st state.
00:20:32.820 Do you think that Trump is really going to waste the political capital when his own government would probably oppose him to acquire Canada?
00:20:40.260 He already has enough things to achieve domestically in the U.S.
00:20:44.460 Again, what he is doing is making our feckless government forget about what they should be doing with the U.S. in terms of preparing an actual trade and border security position and instead waste all of their time answering questions about random offhand comments Trump made before he's the president.
00:21:02.300 He's not even the president yet.
00:21:04.040 He's not inaugurated. 0.84
00:21:04.920 He's just saying stuff at Mar-a-Lago because we're dumb enough to talk about it all day, and now I have all these people, and again, conservative people. 0.75
00:21:13.220 I'm not just talking about Andrew Coyne. 0.74
00:21:14.840 Like, Harrison Faulkner keeps going on about this as if there is a serious chance that Canada is going to be invaded.
00:21:20.400 We need to boost our military spending up to 5% and put tanks along the border.
00:21:24.880 Guys, stop it.
00:21:27.820 Some people did say that.
00:21:28.940 That wasn't Harrison.
00:21:29.800 But some people have been saying stuff like this.
00:21:31.920 It's not happening, guys.
00:21:33.060 Canada should just be trying to play hardball on trade and finding pressure points on the U.S. that would push them off of trying to gouge us on trade, showing areas where we could basically put tariffs on them that would heavily hurt industries in certain states.
00:21:49.740 That's what we should be doing.
00:21:51.220 It's hardball.
00:21:52.240 It's what Trump is doing.
00:21:53.860 That is what we should be doing.
00:21:55.820 I don't even know how to tell.
00:21:59.000 Like, when people see, oh, but look, Charlie Kirk and Don Jr. are out in Greenland talking about how they want to acquire Greenland.
00:22:05.940 Do you think the U.S. actually wants to militarily acquire Greenland?
00:22:10.100 They don't.
00:22:11.140 They probably just want mineral mining rights. 0.99
00:22:13.760 Greenland is mostly not that useful unless you're mining there, and the U.S. does not need to occupy Greenland in order to get benefit.
00:22:21.560 Trump is probably also just trying to push the Danes to spend more on military, because all these territories like Canada and Denmark and other Scandinavian countries don't do much to protect their Arctic areas where they border Russia effectively along the north.
00:22:36.300 And Trump wants them to start spending their actual NATO commitments so that he doesn't have to protect them as much.
00:22:42.920 That is what he wants Canada to do.
00:22:44.980 Do you think that Polyev was already the prime minister as of, like, a year ago, and he was getting rid of the carbon tax and increasing military spending and cracking down on illegal drugs and criminals, that Trump would be doing this?
00:22:56.820 No, because he doesn't like Trudeau.
00:22:58.860 And once Trudeau's gone, and especially once the liberal government's gone, things are going to go back to normal, and we're going to have the Irish—when Irish eyes are smiling moment with Brian Mulroney and Ronald Reagan, but with Trump and Polyev, because there's really no reason to fight. 0.52
00:23:13.800 Trump doesn't really want to fight.
00:23:15.560 That's really it, guys.
00:23:17.560 Okay.
00:23:18.580 So that's it on that issue.
00:23:21.180 I don't think I need to rant about it anymore.
00:23:23.020 Now there is the issue.
00:23:24.840 Is the prorogation of the government illegal?
00:23:27.860 I'm going to tell you guys, it's not.
00:23:31.480 I know it feels bad because the liberals are sleazy, and it is a sleazy move to try and keep an election from happening right now, but there's no legal requirement for an election to happen, so it's not like the liberals are trying to prevent an election from happening when it must legally happen.
00:23:48.820 This is a tool that, again, Harper, Mulroney, Chrétien, John A. MacDonald have all used.
00:23:55.900 You're allowed to prorogue government.
00:23:58.320 The real consequences for proroguing government, although I believe the governor general will legally force you back into government if you're proroguing for an absurd amount of time,
00:24:08.060 but the real consequence to proroguing government is it makes your party look bad, it makes the person who doesn't look bad, so Trudeau looks really bad right now.
00:24:16.900 He's definitely not going to say, I'm suddenly staying as leader, because he's already shot himself in the foot by saying he's going to resign, and then shot himself in the foot again by proroguing.
00:24:25.060 And guess what the proroguing? And guess what the prorogation did? It killed all of the liberal bills that were not yet passed. 0.90
00:24:31.880 Bill C-63 is dead. There's a lot of other bills that are dead that were coming down the pike and that were absolutely garbage. 0.95
00:24:39.780 A lot of anti-scab laws that the liberals, I believe they might have passed that one, but there are some other crazy labor relations policies that they had going.
00:24:47.040 All of this ends up getting paused. Again, Bill C-63, the hate speech bill, the online hate act or whatever it was, trying to lock up Canadians, put ankle monitors on them because they might say something hateful.
00:25:00.480 That's gone right now, and there's not enough time to table it and pass it before the next election. Good.
00:25:06.920 And so when I see the Justice Center for Constitutional Freedoms, the JCCF, filing a lawsuit in the federal court to bring the government back, do you know what this is, guys?
00:25:20.840 I'm going to be really honest. It's because they want money, and they are going to ask you for donations to push this forward.
00:25:26.820 That is why the JCCF is doing this. Do they have a legal case to base this on? No.
00:25:32.940 People are using examples from the UK. Well, the courts brought back Boris Johnson's government.
00:25:38.280 OK, this is Canada, not the United Kingdom. By the way, in the UK, courts are very corrupt and often overrule the government from doing sensible things.
00:25:47.460 I don't think I want that in Canada, where we make judges legislators who can do whatever they want.
00:25:53.440 We already have half that problem in this country. The UK has even worse.
00:25:57.500 As much as I dislike Justin Trudeau, I don't then want the power of what the government does and when it does it in the hands of random, very liberal, unelected judges.
00:26:08.020 They're all appointed by Trudeau. So let's not give them more power, guys. Just a thought. Just a little bit of a thought.
00:26:14.380 This stuff always annoys me, drives me up the wall whenever we, like, let's not cause seven problems to try and solve one.
00:26:24.820 There's a lot of bad stuff that Trudeau is doing, but let's not, like, you know, set our hair on fire just as we shouldn't be setting our hair on fire over what Trump is doing.
00:26:32.480 Um, yeah. Let's, here's actually one thing I want to cover before I end this.
00:26:38.180 This was brought up by my friend Gunit Singh on social media yesterday.
00:26:42.360 He says, people are bragging about getting Canadian citizenship without stepping foot in Canada.
00:26:47.660 What on earth have we become as a country and our institutions have failed us?
00:26:50.980 So he has this screenshot from a TikTok video of immigrants from India saying,
00:26:56.060 secured my Canadian citizenship without even going to Canada.
00:26:59.360 And, yeah, like my friend Daniel Boardman said, deport.
00:27:04.900 We should not let people get Canadian citizenships without the proper quality checks to know that you're actually wanting to be a citizen because you want to live here and contribute.
00:27:17.580 Not that you want to get your citizenship, but as long as you don't have to do anything, that's insane.
00:27:22.460 Like I've said before, I want to slash immigration and visa rates by 80% and then put in a very strict point system with checks for value, skills, means, and caps on dependence. 0.92
00:27:35.820 You don't get to bring every single uncle, aunt, and grandparent with you because guess what?
00:27:40.700 When you leave your home country, you are coming to a new country to live there and take risks, live there, start a new life, not bring your life with you.
00:27:50.820 That's not how immigration worked back in the 1910s, 1800s, when people would only come with themselves and like usually just themselves, but sometimes like themselves and their spouse.
00:28:02.300 We actually need standards again. Hopefully that's not controversial to say, but standards need to be brought back in and we should not be renewing any work or student visas right now unless somebody is in the middle of a legitimate degree.
00:28:17.980 Pass that? Just because you, oh, well, why aren't you renewing my visa?
00:28:24.740 I had an immigration lawyer tell me who they were.
00:28:27.380 Okay, well, you got lied to, dude. I don't know how to help you. Maybe we'll pay for your plane ticket to go home, but you got to go home because I don't agree with some people saying, well, if they were lied to, we should at least give them something.
00:28:39.200 We should give them some job. No, or guess what's going to happen?
00:28:42.760 There are always just going to be more excuses as to why you should stay.
00:28:47.100 Well, I was lied to by an immigration lawyer. That's going to be the new lie is lying about being lied to in order to justify staying.
00:28:54.520 I don't like that. Let's make sure that we can, like, let's cut that off at the knees. No more. 0.74
00:29:01.940 Anyways, so that's it for me today, guys. Everything's looking really good for the conservatives.
00:29:08.140 Once we actually have liberals starting to declare their candidacy in the liberal parties, leadership race, I am going to be covering the individual candidates running.
00:29:17.620 I'll probably do a very edited video where I go, like, person by person.
00:29:21.980 So, you know, Frank Bayless to Chrystia Freeland to Melanie Jolie, and I kind of give a bit of a bio.
00:29:27.440 Who is this person? What kind of lane are they filling in the liberal leadership?
00:29:31.340 So far, I would say Frank Bayless is very much the more blue liberal businessman.
00:29:36.140 You know, Chrystia Freeland is the metropolitan wonk. 1.00
00:29:41.280 Mark Carney is the kind of technocratic central banker.
00:29:45.320 Really, I think that guy's going to be a complete turkey when he jumps in the race.
00:29:48.580 Who cares about him?
00:29:51.000 But, anyways, that's it for me today, guys.
00:29:54.540 Like the video, subscribe to the channel, sign up on my website, WyattClaypool.com,
00:29:59.360 and I'll see you guys next time.