Justin Trudeau and the federal Liberals are starting to realize just how unpopular they are with Canadians, and they're starting to make some minor, okay decisions on public policy to try and make up for it. But it won't work.
00:00:00.000Hello everyone, Wyatt Claypool here. A big tell that Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and the Federal Liberals are starting to realize just how much Canadians dislike them is they've started making some minorly okay decisions on public policy recently.
00:00:42.560The Liberals would be the fourth place party in Parliament if the election was held today based on abacus's data numbers. And abacus tends to be pretty good when it comes to national polling.
00:00:54.660But recently, the Liberals, three weeks ago, they cut the amount of new permanent residencies per year by 101,000. Still nearly not a big enough cut. We still have 395,000 people who can enter the country and become permanent residents per year.
00:01:10.560The Liberals also slashed new temporary foreign worker visas and student visas. Still not enough. I think in terms of immigration and all these different visas we're handing out, we should be reducing it by 75%, 80%.
00:01:23.820We should be bringing less than 100,000 new people per year. And they better have skills we need. They can't be bringing many dependents with them. And they actually have to go through values testing. So we know that they're not going to protest in favor of Hamas on our streets.
00:01:37.580But recently, the Liberals just made another sort of okay decision. Like, again, it's not everything I want. It's not even a fifth of what I want. But they realize that Canadians think that they are absolute zealots on tax and spending, that they tax people way too much and spend on frivolous nonsense.
00:01:56.980Although they haven't cut spending at all here. If anything, this is actually going to add to our debt and deficit. Because Jagmeet Singh and Justin Trudeau, make no mistake, Jagmeet Singh is still a partner in this government.
00:02:07.500Those two are allergic to cutting spending. But at least this is something. I am giving him a tiny, a tiny little like finger clap on, look, good, this will help people.
00:02:18.580Again, it's cynical. Justin Trudeau is basically trying to bribe Canadians for votes with these temporary measures. But at least people are going to get some money not taken from them by the government for a bit.
00:02:30.860And you'll notice here that he's not doing this for the carbon tax. But the recent thing that Justin Trudeau announced today was Canadians are getting a tax break starting December 14.
00:02:39.100We're pausing GST and HST for two months to make groceries, kids clothes and other essentials tax free. And while you're here, you should know this too.
00:02:47.120If you're working, if you worked last year and made up to $150,000, you'll get a $250 check in your mailbox in April, the working Canadian, Canadians rebate.
00:03:00.540Again, this is cynical, especially that second part, we're just going to mail you a check for $250. I guess he's trying to one up Doug Ford, who was going to send everyone in Ontario $200.
00:03:10.620Doug Ford and Justin Trudeau are almost the exact same politician. I know people hate Justin Trudeau in a very unique way that they don't hate a politician like Doug Ford.
00:03:21.400But as Daniel Boardman, my sometimes co-host says, Doug Ford is basically fat Trudeau. And now Justin Trudeau is copying Doug Ford and it's mailing people checks.
00:03:31.420That's the element of this plan I think is annoying. It's stupid. The amount of money you actually have to spend to administer that program to send people $250 is probably going to cost each taxpayer more than $50 to do because it takes quite a bit of time and resources and staff members to put something together like this.
00:03:49.780The part I like is at least the GST and HST pause for two months. I don't know why we wouldn't just cut the federal side of HST or the GST by 1% or 2% permanently. That'd be a smart idea.
00:04:03.720Or, here's the thought, get rid of the carbon tax. He's doing this because he realizes how unpopular carbon tax is, but he thinks it hurts him if he gets rid of the carbon tax or says,
00:04:13.500I'm putting a pause on the carbon tax for two years or whatever, that it makes it look like he's surrendering.
00:04:18.980Trudeau, even when he's trying to do something somewhat correct to try and win back some support, he's not willing to go far enough that I think this is going to help him in the polling at all.
00:04:30.940It's smart politics. I don't like Trudeau. Again, I'd never vote for the Liberals. I'd never vote for the NDP, the Greens. Definitely not voting for the Blocs since I live in Alberta.
00:04:39.600But it's smart politics what he's doing, but it's not smart enough to dig him out of the hole he's in.
00:04:44.960This is something that Trudeau should have done before the 2019 election, if he was trying to raise his support and win a second majority.
00:04:52.180It should have been something he was doing in 2021.
00:04:55.1602024, going into 2025, this is like a too little too late. You already burnt Canadians' house down.
00:05:03.760You can't show up with like a coupon book to give them. This is kind of not much of anything.
00:05:09.400It still saves people money, so I'll always cheer for people being able to save money who are struggling.
00:05:15.720But it's almost insulting at the same time knowing just how little they're really giving you based on how much they've taken over time.
00:05:22.840Anyways, but now I just quickly want to move over to this Abacus data poll because this is what's motivating the Liberals.
00:05:30.700Not that the Liberals are specifically following Abacus as the main pollster they look at, but they're one of the more accurate pollsters.
00:05:37.780Right now, the Conservatives have a 22% lead over the Liberals.
00:05:43.360The Liberals fell from their last poll on November 5th, 1%.
00:05:46.860Obviously, polls can kind of, you know, gurgle back and forth a little bit over time.
00:05:52.600So, I just advise never take the numbers from a single poll as gospel truth.
00:06:00.520If they did a poll every single day, the poll numbers would be a little bit different, but they would generally sit within a certain band of reasonable results.
00:06:10.400But the Liberals being tied with the NDP is a death knell for the NDP.
00:06:35.180I think the party should just pack it in.
00:06:36.780The PPC doesn't really have much of a reason to exist.
00:06:39.120But the fact that the Conservatives are punching a few points over 40%, and the PPC's still on the table, is quite good for the Conservatives.
00:06:48.940I don't think anyone can catch them at this point.
00:06:51.200It has nothing to do with Justin Trudeau's reputation.
00:06:53.940Even if Justin Trudeau just started acting like Polyev, scrapping the carbon tax, cutting income taxes, cutting wasteful spending.
00:07:01.120If he started doing everything right suddenly, I think the Canadian people at this point just say, okay, but, you know, in a certain sense, you've committed too many political crimes in a metaphorical sense for us to give you back the keys to the castle.
00:07:16.220In a certain sense, Justin Trudeau's probably committed a lot of real crimes, and that's also why he shouldn't be let back in.
00:07:21.620But I think people genuinely want to see what the Conservatives will do more if they're put into office.
00:07:27.520That's actually why what the Liberals are currently doing is actually very good for the Conservatives.
00:07:33.020Cutting immigration by $100,000, you know, getting rid of this or pausing the HST, GST for two months and stuff like that.
00:07:40.360It's priming the pump for the Conservatives where the Conservatives can then say they want to do something further.
00:07:45.860So we're going to, obviously, they're going to scrap the carbon tax, but they can say also a 2% income tax reduction across the board, which they absolutely should do.
00:07:53.600Our top-level income tax bracket is 33%.
00:07:59.020And when you combine it with the top effective tax rates in other provinces, in places like Ontario, you pay 53% taxes if you're in the upper income bracket.
00:08:09.280If you make more than $300,000, you're making 53%.
00:08:11.840And people will be like, well, I don't make 53% or I don't make over $300,000.
00:08:53.980They are flatlining under the pure lack of leadership of Jagmeet Singh.
00:08:58.480He is only holding on to any of the support he has because Justin Trudeau sucks that bad that he's basically gifting Jagmeet Singh support.
00:09:08.660Jagmeet Singh hasn't earned a single vote he's ever gotten in the sense that he's really just the third party left of center or more left party than the liberals.
00:09:19.020So they end up eating up a lot of support from the liberals who, you know, they're people who they don't like Justin Trudeau.
00:09:25.820But they don't want to admit that lefty policies are bad.
00:09:28.780So they'll vote NDP even if the only difference between Trudeau and Singh is how many dollar signs they put after their piece of policy, the spending commitments they make.
00:09:56.500It's just demonstrating how much people don't like Trudeau.
00:10:00.380And I want to go into, so here's the regionals too.
00:10:03.640This is what also proves that Frank Graves at ECOS is a terrible pollster.
00:10:08.560I'm not sure if you saw that poll recently.
00:10:10.340Maybe I still have the graphic here to show you guys.
00:10:12.320His poll at ECOS was absolutely terrible, where he was showing that, like, the liberals were – I don't think I have it here.
00:10:21.040He was showing that the liberals were ahead in British Columbia, or at least they were close in British Columbia, and that the NDP was only 11%.
00:10:29.960You'd be a buffoon to think that the liberals – the NDP was only at 11% in British Columbia.
00:10:36.920There was currently a BC provincial NDP government.
00:10:40.940You know, sucks, but that's the reality, and that tends to help with the federals.
00:10:45.120He had the liberals ahead in Saskatchewan, Manitoba.