The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - Trudeau starts bribing Canadians after Liberals FALL hard in polls!

00:00:00.000 Hello everyone, Wyatt Claypool here. A big tell that Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and the Federal Liberals are starting to realize just how much Canadians dislike them is they've started making some minorly okay decisions on public policy recently.

00:00:16.460 The Liberals never make good decisions. The only times they ever do is when their backs are up against the wall and their polling has hit the floor. And it has truly hit the floor today. Later on in this video, I'm going to go over some of the abacus data numbers. The Liberals are literally tied with the NDP right now, which would mean that not only would they score fewer seats than the Bloc Québécois, they'd also be scoring fewer seats than the NDP.

00:00:42.560 The Liberals would be the fourth place party in Parliament if the election was held today based on abacus's data numbers. And abacus tends to be pretty good when it comes to national polling.

00:00:54.660 But recently, the Liberals, three weeks ago, they cut the amount of new permanent residencies per year by 101,000. Still nearly not a big enough cut. We still have 395,000 people who can enter the country and become permanent residents per year.

00:01:10.560 The Liberals also slashed new temporary foreign worker visas and student visas. Still not enough. I think in terms of immigration and all these different visas we're handing out, we should be reducing it by 75%, 80%.

00:01:23.820 We should be bringing less than 100,000 new people per year. And they better have skills we need. They can't be bringing many dependents with them. And they actually have to go through values testing. So we know that they're not going to protest in favor of Hamas on our streets. 0.57

00:01:37.580 But recently, the Liberals just made another sort of okay decision. Like, again, it's not everything I want. It's not even a fifth of what I want. But they realize that Canadians think that they are absolute zealots on tax and spending, that they tax people way too much and spend on frivolous nonsense.

00:01:56.980 Although they haven't cut spending at all here. If anything, this is actually going to add to our debt and deficit. Because Jagmeet Singh and Justin Trudeau, make no mistake, Jagmeet Singh is still a partner in this government.

00:02:07.500 Those two are allergic to cutting spending. But at least this is something. I am giving him a tiny, a tiny little like finger clap on, look, good, this will help people.

00:02:18.580 Again, it's cynical. Justin Trudeau is basically trying to bribe Canadians for votes with these temporary measures. But at least people are going to get some money not taken from them by the government for a bit.

00:02:30.860 And you'll notice here that he's not doing this for the carbon tax. But the recent thing that Justin Trudeau announced today was Canadians are getting a tax break starting December 14.

00:02:39.100 We're pausing GST and HST for two months to make groceries, kids clothes and other essentials tax free. And while you're here, you should know this too.

00:02:47.120 If you're working, if you worked last year and made up to $150,000, you'll get a $250 check in your mailbox in April, the working Canadian, Canadians rebate.

00:03:00.540 Again, this is cynical, especially that second part, we're just going to mail you a check for $250. I guess he's trying to one up Doug Ford, who was going to send everyone in Ontario $200.

00:03:10.620 Doug Ford and Justin Trudeau are almost the exact same politician. I know people hate Justin Trudeau in a very unique way that they don't hate a politician like Doug Ford.

00:03:21.400 But as Daniel Boardman, my sometimes co-host says, Doug Ford is basically fat Trudeau. And now Justin Trudeau is copying Doug Ford and it's mailing people checks.

00:03:31.420 That's the element of this plan I think is annoying. It's stupid. The amount of money you actually have to spend to administer that program to send people $250 is probably going to cost each taxpayer more than $50 to do because it takes quite a bit of time and resources and staff members to put something together like this. 1.00

00:03:49.780 The part I like is at least the GST and HST pause for two months. I don't know why we wouldn't just cut the federal side of HST or the GST by 1% or 2% permanently. That'd be a smart idea.

00:04:03.720 Or, here's the thought, get rid of the carbon tax. He's doing this because he realizes how unpopular carbon tax is, but he thinks it hurts him if he gets rid of the carbon tax or says,

00:04:13.500 I'm putting a pause on the carbon tax for two years or whatever, that it makes it look like he's surrendering.

00:04:18.980 Trudeau, even when he's trying to do something somewhat correct to try and win back some support, he's not willing to go far enough that I think this is going to help him in the polling at all.

00:04:30.940 It's smart politics. I don't like Trudeau. Again, I'd never vote for the Liberals. I'd never vote for the NDP, the Greens. Definitely not voting for the Blocs since I live in Alberta.

00:04:39.600 But it's smart politics what he's doing, but it's not smart enough to dig him out of the hole he's in.

00:04:44.960 This is something that Trudeau should have done before the 2019 election, if he was trying to raise his support and win a second majority.

00:04:52.180 It should have been something he was doing in 2021.

00:04:55.160 2024, going into 2025, this is like a too little too late. You already burnt Canadians' house down. 0.97

00:05:03.760 You can't show up with like a coupon book to give them. This is kind of not much of anything.

00:05:09.400 It still saves people money, so I'll always cheer for people being able to save money who are struggling.

00:05:15.720 But it's almost insulting at the same time knowing just how little they're really giving you based on how much they've taken over time.

00:05:22.840 Anyways, but now I just quickly want to move over to this Abacus data poll because this is what's motivating the Liberals.

00:05:30.700 Not that the Liberals are specifically following Abacus as the main pollster they look at, but they're one of the more accurate pollsters.

00:05:37.780 Right now, the Conservatives have a 22% lead over the Liberals.

00:05:43.360 The Liberals fell from their last poll on November 5th, 1%.

00:05:46.860 Obviously, polls can kind of, you know, gurgle back and forth a little bit over time.

00:05:52.600 So, I just advise never take the numbers from a single poll as gospel truth.

00:06:00.520 If they did a poll every single day, the poll numbers would be a little bit different, but they would generally sit within a certain band of reasonable results.

00:06:10.400 But the Liberals being tied with the NDP is a death knell for the NDP.

00:06:15.220 The bloc's doing okay.

00:06:17.080 With their 8% in Quebec, they should be cleaning up a lot of seats, and they might even still dig into the island of Montreal further.

00:06:24.680 But, again, the main thing here, and even check out this.

00:06:27.880 So, the Conservatives are at 43% in this poll.

00:06:30.620 The PPC's at 3%.

00:06:32.020 That is not that bad for the PPC.

00:06:35.180 I think the party should just pack it in.

00:06:36.780 The PPC doesn't really have much of a reason to exist.

00:06:39.120 But the fact that the Conservatives are punching a few points over 40%, and the PPC's still on the table, is quite good for the Conservatives.

00:06:48.940 I don't think anyone can catch them at this point.

00:06:51.200 It has nothing to do with Justin Trudeau's reputation.

00:06:53.940 Even if Justin Trudeau just started acting like Polyev, scrapping the carbon tax, cutting income taxes, cutting wasteful spending.

00:07:01.120 If he started doing everything right suddenly, I think the Canadian people at this point just say, okay, but, you know, in a certain sense, you've committed too many political crimes in a metaphorical sense for us to give you back the keys to the castle.

00:07:16.220 In a certain sense, Justin Trudeau's probably committed a lot of real crimes, and that's also why he shouldn't be let back in.

00:07:21.620 But I think people genuinely want to see what the Conservatives will do more if they're put into office.

00:07:27.520 That's actually why what the Liberals are currently doing is actually very good for the Conservatives.

00:07:33.020 Cutting immigration by $100,000, you know, getting rid of this or pausing the HST, GST for two months and stuff like that.

00:07:40.360 It's priming the pump for the Conservatives where the Conservatives can then say they want to do something further.

00:07:45.860 So we're going to, obviously, they're going to scrap the carbon tax, but they can say also a 2% income tax reduction across the board, which they absolutely should do.

00:07:53.600 Our top-level income tax bracket is 33%.

00:07:57.800 That's insane.

00:07:59.020 And when you combine it with the top effective tax rates in other provinces, in places like Ontario, you pay 53% taxes if you're in the upper income bracket.

00:08:09.280 If you make more than $300,000, you're making 53%.

00:08:11.840 And people will be like, well, I don't make 53% or I don't make over $300,000.

00:08:16.960 Sure.

00:08:17.300 But a lot of business owners who employ people do.

00:08:19.840 And that's a great way of chasing people into the United States, especially when Donald Trump is going to be the next president.

00:08:25.540 We're going to have a hard time keeping jobs here if he starts slashing taxes and making it so much easier to operate there.

00:08:32.460 But I want to move on to some of the other results.

00:08:34.500 But the 21%, too, I'm just going to say as I'm scrolling here, that's not good for the NDP.

00:08:40.040 Because look at the NDP.

00:08:41.640 March of 2023, I think the NDP got 17%, 18% in the last election.

00:08:47.560 The NDP has been on a trajectory to nowhere.

00:08:51.740 They aren't going up.

00:08:52.720 They're not going down.

00:08:53.980 They are flatlining under the pure lack of leadership of Jagmeet Singh. 0.94

00:08:58.480 He is only holding on to any of the support he has because Justin Trudeau sucks that bad that he's basically gifting Jagmeet Singh support.

00:09:08.660 Jagmeet Singh hasn't earned a single vote he's ever gotten in the sense that he's really just the third party left of center or more left party than the liberals.

00:09:19.020 So they end up eating up a lot of support from the liberals who, you know, they're people who they don't like Justin Trudeau.

00:09:25.820 But they don't want to admit that lefty policies are bad.

00:09:28.780 So they'll vote NDP even if the only difference between Trudeau and Singh is how many dollar signs they put after their piece of policy, the spending commitments they make.

00:09:39.180 But this, that is insane.

00:09:41.120 And actually, in fact, I believe the 21% for the NDP, that they're actually a little bit higher if you go into the decimal point range.

00:09:48.360 But maybe that's a little bit hairy to sort of see who's ahead by single decimal points on a national level.

00:09:54.500 But yeah, Jagmeet Singh doesn't deserve this.

00:09:56.500 It's just demonstrating how much people don't like Trudeau.

00:10:00.380 And I want to go into, so here's the regionals too.

00:10:03.640 This is what also proves that Frank Graves at ECOS is a terrible pollster.

00:10:08.560 I'm not sure if you saw that poll recently.

00:10:10.340 Maybe I still have the graphic here to show you guys.

00:10:12.320 His poll at ECOS was absolutely terrible, where he was showing that, like, the liberals were – I don't think I have it here.

00:10:21.040 He was showing that the liberals were ahead in British Columbia, or at least they were close in British Columbia, and that the NDP was only 11%.

00:10:29.960 You'd be a buffoon to think that the liberals – the NDP was only at 11% in British Columbia.

00:10:36.920 There was currently a BC provincial NDP government. 0.96

00:10:40.940 You know, sucks, but that's the reality, and that tends to help with the federals.

00:10:45.120 He had the liberals ahead in Saskatchewan, Manitoba. 1.00

00:10:48.380 That's insane.

00:10:49.480 So this abacus data poll is actually realistic in what's going on right now.

00:10:54.420 The liberals are even in third place in Quebec.

00:10:57.260 That's where the only seats they're going to win in the entire province are in Montreal.

00:11:03.000 Go on to the next step.

00:11:05.820 We have Quebec versus the rest of Canada.

00:11:08.360 Not as interesting, but this is another thing that needs to be seen.

00:11:11.920 The conservatives are dominating, 18 to 29-year-olds.

00:11:15.480 Yes, it's only 10% ahead of the NDP, but it's also 10% ahead of the NDP.

00:11:21.700 This is the demographic that the NDP are supposed to be winning the plurality of.

00:11:25.780 60 and over?

00:11:27.020 This is the demographic the liberals are supposed to be winning the plurality of.

00:11:31.340 The liberals, and I've said this in videos like months ago, the liberals are actually

00:11:36.060 the older party.

00:11:37.280 A lot of pensioners vote for them.

00:11:38.940 They make them comfortable.

00:11:40.280 They don't rock the boat, at least on the surface level.

00:11:43.140 They are perceived to being very stable, in part because a lot of people above the age

00:11:47.960 of 60 will watch the CBC and global and CTV news.

00:11:51.940 And so they hear a lot of experts get on the TV and say, Justin Trudeau, or sorry,

00:11:55.720 Pierre Polyev is going to cut all your services.

00:11:58.140 He's going to hand your money to billionaires, and people who watch news all day long might

00:12:02.520 take that to heart.

00:12:03.800 This poll shows, no, they're not taking it to heart anymore. 1.00

00:12:06.960 You guys suck at your job so bad. 0.99

00:12:08.580 We don't even trust you. 1.00

00:12:09.480 We trust you only barely as much as we trust the NDP, and they are not scared anymore of

00:12:15.440 Pierre Polyev.

00:12:16.860 Here, this actually shows the decent gender gap that's showing up in Canada, but the conservatives

00:12:23.240 are closing the gap.

00:12:24.400 That's a very good number for women. 1.00

00:12:26.520 I've seen the conservatives sometimes only at like 35% with women, and that's the thing 1.00

00:12:32.080 that you want to avoid in the future, is having the conservatives become the male party and

00:12:36.840 the NDP and the liberals become the female party, because I don't think I have to tell

00:12:40.500 you that's bad for societal cohesion in the long run.

00:12:43.680 So now I just want to quickly check the approval numbers for Justin Trudeau.

00:12:50.220 This is why the liberals are doing so bad right now.

00:12:55.700 Justin Trudeau, as I've said in many videos, his party only ever pulls within a couple of

00:13:01.540 points of his approval rating.

00:13:03.980 Because unlike Pierre Polyev and the conservatives, I'll go to Pierre Polyev's numbers.

00:13:08.000 So the liberals were at 21% in this poll, and he's at 23% for approval.

00:13:13.800 Oftentimes, it's actually right on the money, the exact same.

00:13:16.800 There's Jagmeet Singh slowly rising back up after he started taking those stances against

00:13:21.680 the consumer carbon tax.

00:13:23.900 But Pierre Polyev, he is a little bit above water, 40% to 37%.

00:13:28.940 But the thing that you'll notice over time with Pierre Polyev is at times when he's polling

00:13:33.560 at only 35%, or he's polling at 38%, or 37%, he oftentimes, the party, the conservative

00:13:41.080 party, will be at like 45% in the polls, or 42%.

00:13:45.100 You don't have to like Polyev to think voting conservative is a good idea.

00:13:50.120 That's what's so bad for Justin Trudeau.

00:13:52.220 If you don't like Justin Trudeau, there's not a chance that you'll consider voting for

00:13:57.820 the liberals, because he's the liberal party.

00:14:01.220 He has dictatorial powers over their party.

00:14:03.880 They have not signed the reform acts that the conservative party has.

00:14:07.760 Their caucus can't even vote to remove Justin Trudeau as the leader the way the conservatives

00:14:12.900 were able to when it came to Aaron O'Toole's leadership.

00:14:17.140 This is the big problem in the liberal party, is that they make changes like a giant freighter

00:14:24.440 slowly turning in the Suez Canal.

00:14:26.960 They have a very difficult time actually making policy or governance changes, because everything

00:14:34.380 goes through Justin Trudeau. 0.98

00:14:36.040 And I don't probably have to tell you that Justin Trudeau is a complete policy dullard. 0.94

00:14:39.860 He doesn't know what he's doing.

00:14:41.300 He probably got finally scared of how bad his polling numbers were, and finally basically

00:14:48.200 said, okay, cut the HST.

00:14:49.720 Cut the GST for two months.

00:14:51.160 We'll see where that puts us.

00:14:52.180 And I think they're actually experimenting when it comes to policy, seeing what happens

00:14:56.700 when they make some of these minor changes on affordability measures.

00:15:01.860 I want to see if I can find, just before I end this, I do want to see if I can quickly

00:15:09.860 find the polling when it came to seat projections in the latest poll, because that's what's been

00:15:15.060 like the really scary thing for the liberals today.

00:15:18.240 Oh yeah, here we go.

00:15:20.000 I always use Sheree Attiste.

00:15:21.400 You guys should give him a follow if you're on X.

00:15:23.680 I think he does a really good job modeling the seat counts and projections, and he's

00:15:28.480 honestly been pretty on on most of his predictions, even in by-elections.

00:15:33.520 He tends to predict them within a few points just based on his own instinct.

00:15:39.300 And on this poll, he's showing the conservatives at 226 seats, the NDP at 47, the block at 43,

00:15:47.500 and the liberals in fourth place with only 26 seats.

00:15:53.200 Amazing.

00:15:55.500 And this is what the country would end up looking like with this polling.

00:16:00.220 Just blue everywhere.

00:16:03.000 The entire country is blue except for some of the territories, the block areas, and then

00:16:06.820 it's just the cities like the greater Toronto area where the liberals are holding on to a

00:16:11.060 handful of seats.

00:16:12.440 Montreal where they're holding on to the tip of the island and some of those.

00:16:15.420 But the block and even the conservatives will be grabbing Mount Royal and the NDP start

00:16:20.680 grabbing up seats around there.

00:16:22.540 It's not good.

00:16:24.500 It's not good.

00:16:25.920 I don't think I even have to tell you that.

00:16:28.100 Anyways, so I'll actually link Sheree Attiste's post down in the description below.

00:16:33.120 You guys should go follow him.

00:16:34.600 But if you're currently not a subscriber of my channel, make sure you hit the subscribe

00:16:37.980 button, like this video, leave a comment.

00:16:40.240 And if you want to support my work, you can always donate to the legal fund in the description

00:16:44.380 of the video below, as well as pinned to the top of the comments.

00:16:47.420 It's the Give, Send, Go link.

00:16:48.920 We're being sued by a Chinese billionaire for defamation that he still hasn't provided

00:16:52.980 any evidence for.

00:16:54.220 And I believe it's now been officially three years.

00:16:57.280 It's one of the most long and grinding cases I've ever experienced or followed.

00:17:02.160 And it happens to be my own.

00:17:03.380 Um, and yeah, it's cost me over $33,000 fighting this thing.

00:17:07.420 And the reason it's gone on so long is Alberta doesn't have anti-slap laws, which allow you 1.00

00:17:11.640 to basically appeal to a judge, say, isn't this case kind of ridiculous?

00:17:14.920 And they can throw it out.

00:17:16.300 This way it can go on for years without the judge being able to make any judgment on it, 1.00

00:17:21.140 saying that this is obviously stupid. 0.98

00:17:22.520 So they can grind away and cost you a lot of money. 0.98

00:17:25.780 But also, if you want to go down in the comments, I have pinned alongside the Give, Send, Go link

00:17:32.160 in the comments, my website, wyattclaypool.com.

00:17:35.560 Go and sign up there on the list if you guys want leadership or nomination recommendations

00:17:41.040 for both federal and provincial ridings.

00:17:43.560 I'm trying to make a big enough list so that once I start recommending people, so I think

00:17:48.720 a good one, if you live in Manitoba or New Brunswick, there's going to be leadership

00:17:51.740 races there.

00:17:52.460 Those might be the first I end up trying to step into and trying to point out good candidates

00:17:57.220 and find ways for you guys to get involved.

00:17:59.880 But this will allow us as kind of, I guess, a channel community that we can go into races

00:18:05.380 and actually vote downline altogether from the most conservative and competent and professional

00:18:11.180 candidate to the least, the most liberal, the most, you know, not, you know, the one we

00:18:17.420 wouldn't have a lot of confidence in.

00:18:18.820 Because that's what I think we need to do is more people need to get involved in nomination

00:18:22.320 races.

00:18:22.960 Of course, I ran in a nomination in Calgary, Signal Hill.

00:18:26.920 I was kicked out of the nomination because certain people up at the top of the conservative

00:18:30.480 party were just trying to jam in somebody that they were an ally of.

00:18:34.840 Jokes on them.

00:18:35.820 I still made sure that the guy they wanted still lost despite the engineering of the vote.

00:18:41.300 So, you know, I got kicked out because they didn't want me to win.

00:18:45.020 And then their guy still lost, which is hilarious.

00:18:47.260 But in general, you don't see you don't experience something like that and then say, well, I'm

00:18:50.920 going to take my ball and go home.

00:18:52.420 You just keep running in more nominations.

00:18:54.400 You keep helping other people in nominations.

00:18:56.440 You just keep jamming away, trying to get the best possible looking conservative party

00:19:01.300 caucus.

00:19:02.060 Yeah, you can get.

00:19:03.420 And this doesn't mean like, oh, my goodness, they messed with that nomination.

00:19:06.240 Are all the conservatives party MPs fake?

00:19:08.740 No, the vast majority of them are good.

00:19:10.900 They won their nominations flat out.

00:19:13.080 But what the problem is, when the party gets 20 points ahead in the polls, you get some

00:19:17.480 people who start picking and choosing who's going to win because they're like, well, if

00:19:20.380 there's any blowback, we won't lose anything.

00:19:22.320 This has nothing to do with pure poly.

00:19:23.720 It has to do with like specific advisors, individuals.

00:19:27.560 Ninety nine percent of the people I've met in the party are perfectly fine.

00:19:30.600 It's the few weirdos on top who start to say this person wins, that person doesn't.

00:19:35.780 And it's like, well, then the nomination is not real anymore.

00:19:37.920 Anyways, so that's it for me today, guys.

00:19:40.740 Remember, like, share, subscribe, comment, donate.

00:19:43.680 Have a good one.

The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - November 21, 2024

Trudeau starts bribing Canadians after Liberals FALL hard in polls!

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