Trudeau still getting smoked in the polls despite fake Liberal comeback narrative
Episode Stats
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Summary
In this episode, I talk about a new Nanos poll and why you probably shouldn't even be taking it at face value. I also talk about why I don't think you should even be looking at this poll at all.
Transcript
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I want to talk about a poll today and even though I'm not in my usual office studio space and I'm
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seemingly out in the middle of the woods I want to break down these nanos numbers that supposedly
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are super great to a bunch of liberals on social media like this is being seen by many leftists
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as like a massive coup that the liberals are wait for it only down 12 points in this poll
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if being down 12 points is considered a massive gain for the liberals you guys got to pack it up
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and just dissolve the party at this point so this new nanos poll shows that the conservatives are
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around like 37.8 37.9 the liberals are around 26 the NDP is at 18 block is at 10 greens are at 5 and
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the PPC is at 2 the PPC should also basically just pack it in I'm sorry guys the party's not coming
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back it is disorganized I know a bunch of PPC people are going to say that I'm like a CPC shill I am
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running for a conservative party nomination in Calgary's Signal Hill but you know don't hold it
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against me me telling you the truth anyways but this is considered a really good poll by a lot of
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basically liberal shills online and with this poll even if we take it at face value and I'll break down
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why you maybe shouldn't take this poll at face value even this poll would give the conservative
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party 200 seats in the next election so they would win a majority by more than like 25 seats or so
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if that's considered a great result for you as the liberals that is just that's horrible that's
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pathetic it really demonstrates that even with all of the media fire training on Pierre Polyev and make
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no mistake the media has been going out of its way to take shots at Pierre Polyev over the last couple
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of months and so after this very very intense spate of propaganda against Pierre the best they can get
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is 12 points below the conservatives this will start receding back towards the conservatives over
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time and I'm just talking about the nanos numbers because I doubt any other polls are going to see
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a significant shift like nanos did but why I also don't think that you should even take this nanos
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poll at face value is simply look at the previous polls nanos did Justin Trudeau is somehow less
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popular in this poll than nanos's previous poll yet the liberals are up by like three or four percent
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and the NDP is down I believe even Jagmeet Singh was more popular in this poll than their last one
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and the NDP popularity is down it's completely backwards and then on the issue polling based like
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asking people what issues are most important to them during an election somehow in this poll like
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environment is up like 3.5 percent so it was like 7.2 before and now it's like 10.6
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and somehow immigration was also down a issue that is by like make no mistake immigration right
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now is red hot when it comes to what is influencing people's votes people think we have way too many
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people coming into this country every year they're right way too many permanent residents way too many
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temporary foreign workers Justin Trudeau just admitted we had way too many temporary foreign workers
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but he's then trying to spin that as a good thing Daniel Boardman just did a video for us at the
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National Telegraph on that issue but somehow immigration went down from like five percent of
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people interested in voting based on the immigration issue down to like three like I don't know I don't
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see this as being very realistic every poll and this is very important whenever you're breaking down
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polls if the polling results don't smell right in terms of the general national feeling it's probably
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has some issues it doesn't mean the entire poll is fake pollsters are actually in the business of
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trying to be as accurate as possible in Canada in the United States where there's so much money in
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politics there's a lot of incentives for pollsters to basically take money to warp a poll a little bit
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to make that party look like it has a realistic chance of winning in an area that it doesn't but in Canada
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because there's not that much money in politics like parties just don't pay pollsters to do like
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propaganda polls and so places like Nanos and Abacus and Main Street they're trying to be as accurate
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as possible to get as much business as possible from private businesses to do market research but with
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this Nanos poll I think they still have a few baked in sort of liberal biases by accident it's the way
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they frame the questions that makes people get into that more lefty mood of asking people do you care
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about climate change and car and like supporting the carbon tax because it's going to stop you know
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the world from burning up if you pitch a question like that you're going to have more people
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answering it in the way you assume that that question should be answered you know the carbon
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tax is awful but if you ask people do you think we need the carbon tax to stop climate change there is
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an implicit kind of assumption in that question that somehow the carbon tax has anything to do with
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stopping climate change but anyways but getting back to the poll even if we are to take this poll at
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face value with the 12 percent uh below the conservative result that the liberals had they really need to
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grapple with the idea that they might need to change leaders before the next election and even
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then I don't really think that they can pull it off even if they swapped Justin Trudeau out with like
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Mark Carney, Christia Freeland, Sean Frazier like they seem to want to the problem was is that they're
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all inheriting the same policy failures that's the thing all these liberals saying look at this poll
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result it shows that Justin Trudeau is going to have a big comeback guys read the room read the
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temperature of the country right now people aren't looking for you know just a small little policy
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pivot and then they'll get back on board with the liberals it's been three elections where the
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liberals have stayed in government after about three elections that's when any populace is going to
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get really tired of the people in power it's just the culture of Canada once a government's been in
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for a few cycles people start to think well you know nothing's really improving around me let's get
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someone else in and you're not going to short circuit that it doesn't matter how many attacks
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they do on pure poly of calling him somehow like racist extremist he's enabling conspiracy theories
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in the party even though the liberals spread far more conspiracy theories than any other party on
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the planet but they're not going to be able to somehow stop pure poly of through just either a
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propaganda smear push against him or pushing for pharma care and dental care that's what a lot of
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liberal influence are saying well this is the result of pharma care everyone's super happy with
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the liberals now because of pharma care no no like unless people's actual wages start to go up unless
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inflation doesn't just start to slow down but we actually have things deflate people are not going
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to people are not going to like just like come back to justin trudeau there needs to be significant
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economic and social reforms made and the idea that you're supposed to think that by simply just
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throwing out some more money people are going to return to you that's just not how politics works
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that's how advisors in governments like to think politics works because that would be easy
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but no once you've lost trust it's really hard to just come back to someone's home and say hey we're
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going to give you maybe 50 bucks and that person's not going to like immediately run out of the house
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and buy a liberal party membership it's not how it has ever worked and it's not how it's going to
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work into the future so anyways that should be it for me today guys you know normal shameless plug
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i am wyatt claypool and i'm running for the calgary signal hill conservative party nomination
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if you live in calgary signal hill on the west side of calgary by membership check out my website
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it's exhausting it's cost me more than 26 000 and i have another three thousand dollar legal bill
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guys later hopefully you didn't hate this format and hopefully the the brook in the background wasn't