The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - Watching Canada's chaotic election live!

00:00:00.000 Hey guys, Wyatt Claypool here with the official TNT election stream.

00:00:06.820 My goodness, I am anxious, and I get anxious around literally every election.

00:00:11.420 I actually do feel sick like Jerry here.

00:00:14.580 I'm just not the type of person who likes election results like this

00:00:18.160 in the sense that the slow rollout always screws with my stomach a little bit

00:00:22.540 and probably a lot of you guys too.

00:00:30.000 I'm trying to pull up an election map here just so we can follow along.

00:00:33.820 Obviously, we're currently in the Maritime,

00:00:38.020 so you're going to see a lot of not fantastic looking stuff right away

00:00:41.440 simply because it's the Maritimes and that's just how the Maritimes are.

00:00:45.400 It's going to generally lean pretty default liberal.

00:00:48.120 So right now the seat count sits at 6 to 3,

00:00:52.100 although currently the Conservatives actually have 51% of the popular vote.

00:00:55.960 It's just the cork of how the vote counting is going right now.

00:01:00.000 So I'm going to bring up stuff on screen and then we can talk about it as we go along.

00:01:05.440 Hope for Bluefinland, guys,

00:01:08.240 because it actually currently is sitting pretty blue at the moment.

00:01:11.320 So guys, cheer on old Bluefinland.

00:01:15.160 Okay, I'm bringing this up here.

00:01:16.920 I'm using Global News, so, you know,

00:01:19.240 I don't like them, but I'll use their map because I'm broke.

00:01:24.320 But yeah, so this is pretty good.

00:01:26.440 Not too shabby so far.

00:01:29.040 Obviously, Malpique is going to go probably liberal.

00:01:33.680 A lot of these places, like, I'm not sure about Sydney, actually,

00:01:37.980 but Terranova, I believe, was supposed to go liberal.

00:01:42.160 Long Range Mountain, I always heard.

00:01:44.100 Long Range Mountain and Central Newfoundland were like big bellwether places

00:01:47.820 that if the Conservatives hold on to these, they're doing pretty well.

00:01:51.580 But other than that, how's everyone currently doing when it comes to the election?

00:01:56.640 I'm going to be joined here in a little bit by Mr. Daniel Boardman.

00:02:01.760 He's actually just going out and getting himself sustenance

00:02:04.620 before he ends up jumping on stream.

00:02:06.820 But I noticed that Canada, or they started counting votes early.

00:02:10.740 And in previous elections, they usually waited until things were done in BC.

00:02:13.840 And honestly, I think that's kind of wrong.

00:02:16.780 You should be probably waiting to count ballots when Canada has crazy time zones.

00:02:22.660 Like, imagine living in BC and seeing Atlantic results coming out

00:02:27.240 that might even be really good for the Conservatives.

00:02:29.520 But you're like, oh my goodness, the Liberals are leading.

00:02:31.980 And you don't understand.

00:02:33.120 Like, yeah, it's because it's the Maritimes.

00:02:34.780 If the Conservatives grab up, like, nine, ten seats,

00:02:37.220 they're actually doing fantastic.

00:02:38.220 Um, Polly Ginger once says, 1.00

00:02:42.160 why, if it's not a sweeping majority,

00:02:43.820 is our next best case scenario Liberal minority government?

00:02:47.560 No, I think the best case scenario is a big Conservative minority.

00:02:52.760 I don't think it's very likely a Conservatives win a majority.

00:02:55.600 You never know.

00:02:56.280 Again, it depends on how wrong the polls are.

00:02:58.500 Because the polls are obviously never 100% correct.

00:03:02.820 One poll has to be more accurate than the others.

00:03:05.980 And most of them are even indicating that there might be a shy Tory effect.

00:03:09.100 Yeah.

00:03:09.480 Magic Mike says, Bluefinland.

00:03:11.900 So, guys, we need Bluefinland to come through for us

00:03:15.280 if we want to be able to win the whole thing.

00:03:16.660 Yeah.

00:03:17.120 Ryan Schibler says, I'm stressed.

00:03:19.520 Why?

00:03:19.720 I'm stressed, too.

00:03:21.560 Magic Mike says he's stressed but hopeful.

00:03:23.880 And I, yeah, I'm just somebody who, when I watch elections,

00:03:27.900 I'm usually pretty, like, shaky.

00:03:31.880 Literally, I could be watching the most obvious one ever.

00:03:34.160 And I would still be sitting there nervous.

00:03:37.040 I just hate the number counting.

00:03:39.820 I hate the slow trickle.

00:03:41.460 I love politics, and I hate politics at the same time.

00:03:44.180 It's just one of those kind of strange things.

00:03:46.640 What do we have as the top line numbers at the moment?

00:03:49.380 So, we got 9-3 for the Liberals at the moment, obviously.

00:03:52.580 Still extremely early counting.

00:03:54.700 Look, we don't even have a riding's worth of votes that are in quite yet.

00:03:59.400 Honestly, I kind of find it, it's kind of a joke

00:04:01.400 if they even have the green leader up here is, like,

00:04:04.260 is that the party is really seriously, like,

00:04:06.480 a big contender for the election.

00:04:08.180 It's like, they can win seats, but, you know, not really.

00:04:13.940 Edgemont, we have Acadia Bathurst.

00:04:16.240 That's going to go Liberal.

00:04:17.480 All this north part of New Brunswick tends to go pretty Liberal.

00:04:23.400 Actually, until you jump over to the Quebec side of things

00:04:27.220 where it actually gets a little bit more conservative along the border.

00:04:29.900 It's very strange.

00:04:33.860 Braden says, subscribing.

00:04:35.360 Your line yesterday stating you will engage with opposing views

00:04:39.560 to challenge your own soul.

00:04:41.340 The channel to me, this is what political discourse should look like.

00:04:44.400 And obviously, someone could say,

00:04:46.420 I'm picking easy targets in a certain sense

00:04:48.860 when I'm making fun of, like, the points that Frank Dominic is making.

00:04:53.660 But the thing is that that's a leftist people will listen to.

00:04:56.440 And that's the slightly scary thing is people listen to these people

00:04:59.420 and people buy into their arguments.

00:05:02.120 Hey, it's Arctic Ian from Nunavut as big as it is as one seat.

00:05:06.700 Yeah, we need to give Nunavut, like, 10 seats.

00:05:09.600 And Arctic Ian should be able to choose who gets all of them.

00:05:16.420 Kyle says Newfoundland was polling red

00:05:19.020 and the popular vote right now is Newfoundland is the opposite of the polls.

00:05:22.600 Yeah, but it's super early going

00:05:24.180 and you never know if it's smaller polls being counted first

00:05:27.260 in fishing villages where you're going to get tons of conservative votes.

00:05:30.900 Here's a thing that Polioff did that was really smart during the election.

00:05:34.640 He promised to bring back the seal hunt

00:05:36.800 and he promised to get rid of stupid fishing quotas.

00:05:40.120 Because right now, there's a reason why we had fishermen protesting,

00:05:44.620 not Justin Trudeau, blah.

00:05:46.420 Mark Carney's event in Newfoundland at the start of the election in St. John's.

00:05:50.140 Because he's been destroying, decimating fishermen's abilities to make any money.

00:05:55.680 There's quotas on how much you can fish.

00:05:58.660 And because there is no seal hunt or it's extremely limited,

00:06:02.100 you are actually trying to, you're fishing for the scraps that the seals leave for you

00:06:06.000 or you have to go even farther and you're wasting a lot of time.

00:06:08.500 So, yeah.

00:06:13.820 Yeah, people are saying, come on, blue wave, blue tsunami all the way.

00:06:17.860 Someone said, grr, Atlantic Canada.

00:06:20.240 You never know.

00:06:21.460 Again, Newfoundland actually might go mostly conservative here

00:06:24.620 just based on how things, you know, tend to go.

00:06:27.420 Obviously, there's St. John's within here

00:06:30.220 and I think one of the St. John's ridings is super safe liberal.

00:06:33.460 You're going to get a lot of retirees in the area.

00:06:35.740 But again, when you have fishermen coming out to protest the liberals,

00:06:38.920 that's where I think that they might have a chance,

00:06:41.460 regardless of how the rest of the country goes,

00:06:43.280 they may actually lose an extra Newfoundland seat

00:06:45.600 from just taking off the wrong people.

00:06:48.260 And we have Central Nova here.

00:06:50.140 There's only one poll and there's only like 20 votes counted.

00:06:52.560 Yeah, like things like this, I'm probably not going to read too much into

00:06:55.680 because what's the point?

00:06:59.040 Isn't Central Nova where Mr. Sean Frazier is?

00:07:03.480 Yeah.

00:07:04.160 So, there you guys go.

00:07:05.840 First poll out of Central Nova.

00:07:09.460 We have Sean Frazier winning 27 votes to 7 votes.

00:07:12.560 An absolute stomping victory for him.

00:07:15.740 And a lot of this stuff is probably going to go this way.

00:07:18.080 So, like two polls out here, you know,

00:07:21.200 59 for the conservative or for the liberal,

00:07:23.760 31 for the conservative.

00:07:26.640 It's going to be a lot like this for much of the election.

00:07:29.180 Just kind of not many votes for a while until they finally come out.

00:07:33.820 Then it's going to, you know, be a big flood.

00:07:38.340 Well, that's good.

00:07:39.280 Central Nova Scotia.

00:07:40.600 I think a lot of people thought Central Nova Scotia

00:07:42.900 might actually go towards the liberals.

00:07:45.740 This is, I believe, a riding the conservatives currently hold.

00:07:49.640 Yes, Clifford Small.

00:07:50.520 But that's a good vote share.

00:07:52.700 64.4%.

00:07:54.080 If that can hold up, that is very, very good.

00:07:57.480 They have the 49 polls out of 233 counting.

00:08:01.640 Let's click up Central Nova Scotia on Wiki.

00:08:05.900 No, so it's Central Newfoundland.

00:08:07.240 What am I saying?

00:08:08.400 Central Newfoundland.

00:08:10.680 I just want to see what the, what that place usually votes as.

00:08:14.680 So in 2021, Clifford Small won with 46.89% of the vote to the liberals, 46.

00:08:21.540 So if this starts coming down a little bit,

00:08:24.340 maybe they start counting more granola liberal municipalities.

00:08:27.640 But if he can stay above 50% or even like in the mid-50s,

00:08:31.880 that's like really good for the conservatives out there,

00:08:34.540 considering that they usually don't win it.

00:08:37.000 Yeah.

00:08:37.440 So, so far, this is not that.

00:08:41.160 It's pretty predictable.

00:08:42.180 Labrador is usually liberal, of course.

00:08:45.300 I'll come back to chat here.

00:08:47.640 Yeah.

00:08:49.040 Eye on Sask and Alberta if Libs win.

00:08:52.400 Absolutely.

00:08:53.320 I don't think anything's going to be that,

00:08:55.460 I don't think anything's going to be that crazy that's going to happen in the aftermath

00:09:01.380 in Saskatchewan, Alberta, but on a provincial level.

00:09:03.820 I think you might see a rise in popularity of separatist type parties.

00:09:07.600 Just how it goes on.

00:09:08.780 Oh my goodness, guys.

00:09:09.480 We have 3,500 people watching this stream already.

00:09:13.880 I should really start putting invites to people that I want to visit later on in the show.

00:09:18.840 Obviously, I'm going to be putting out an invite to Mr. Daniel Boardman

00:09:23.000 because he usually does a lot of these things with me.

00:09:25.580 And I like Daniel a lot.

00:09:27.080 So, of course, I'm going to have him on.

00:09:28.500 Uh, Daniel's the rabble rouser from TNT who's usually doing, like, real-life rabble rousing

00:09:34.440 where I do a lot of online rabble rousing.

00:09:37.300 So, I just sent him the StreamYard's link so he can jump in here a little bit later.

00:09:43.860 Ah, Neil, thank you for saying I am informative.

00:09:48.360 What else do we got here?

00:09:50.040 Yeah, if you guys see the camera shaking, I might have to readjust how my camera is sitting on this thing.

00:09:54.300 My camera on this laptop, it's not like a camera on a camera stand.

00:09:58.660 It's like a clip-on camera onto the top of my laptop.

00:10:01.680 So, if it's a little shaky, I can try and rectify that and just not touch the computer too much.

00:10:07.640 I'll be a little bit, I'll be careful.

00:10:10.040 Especially when I'm in full screen mode, you probably won't be, um, you won't be that bothered.

00:10:15.060 Uh, yeah, Tatiana says, subscribe to this channel.

00:10:18.280 Yeah, guys, come on, subscribe to the channel.

00:10:19.840 Let's get to, I don't know, some amount of subscribers by the end of the night.

00:10:23.140 We actually crossed, um, the amount of subscribers my mom thought I was going to.

00:10:28.440 I thought she was insane. 0.98

00:10:29.380 She says, you're going to get 65,000 subscribers by election day.

00:10:32.540 And at the time, we just crossed 60,000.

00:10:34.500 I'm like, that's kind of delusional.

00:10:37.100 Like, you know, you can sometimes have a really good day where you get 1,100 subscribers.

00:10:40.820 But usually it's like, you know, 300, 400 when it's actually going quite well.

00:10:45.620 But you don't get those crazy days.

00:10:47.000 And then the last four days were like 1,700, 1,200, 1,100, 1,600.

00:10:52.440 And then we made it very quickly.

00:10:54.000 It was, it was nuts.

00:10:56.000 Um, Hamilton from, for Pierre from APM.

00:11:01.540 Yeah, I think Hamilton actually does have the capacity in this election to surprise and maybe give a couple of seats to, to the conservatives.

00:11:10.820 Jake says, do you think PPC can get a seat?

00:11:13.080 No, I actually think that they are going to lose seats.

00:11:16.760 Well, not lose seats.

00:11:17.560 They're not going to even come close to a seat.

00:11:18.880 They're going to lose ground for what they were at last time.

00:11:27.400 Oh, sorry, someone was trying to call me.

00:11:29.520 And, oh, hey, cool.

00:11:32.480 Oh, wait, we got two I had to go through.

00:11:34.120 Maxime Prezalt says, this Frenchman just voted blue.

00:11:37.280 It's time to end the fascist liberal reign.

00:11:39.680 Let's bring it home.

00:11:40.580 I want my country back.

00:11:42.120 And hopefully there's enough people out there who aren't just going to vote because maybe it will make Donald Trump upset if I vote liberal.

00:11:48.300 The good thing is on Google Trends this morning, I saw that there's tons of people searching the conservative party.

00:11:53.340 So hopefully late-breaking voters on election day are heavily leaning towards the conservatives in case things were leaning the other way.

00:12:00.700 Sorry, just a second here.

00:12:04.500 I will be back after just putting this up on screen just a second.

00:12:09.060 Sorry, that was funny.

00:12:33.280 Someone actually called me.

00:12:33.980 They're like, what's going on?

00:12:34.880 What's with the polling?

00:12:35.800 It's like, I'm streaming right now.

00:12:37.700 It's going.

00:12:38.420 I just don't know how, like, where the election is going to shake out at the moment.

00:12:41.800 But, yeah, I think that if enough people actually vote for policy issues, we will win.

00:12:47.180 If they vote because of Trump or for some abstract notion that we're stopping fascism, then the liberals are going to win.

00:12:54.860 It's a 50-50 election.

00:12:56.920 Brian Jaeger-Liner says, make Canada great again.

00:13:01.620 Good luck from America.

00:13:03.080 As a Trump supporter here, I wish Peter Polly of luck.

00:13:05.240 Go conservatives.

00:13:06.420 Well, thank you for the $5 super chat, Brian.

00:13:08.580 And thank you for the $5 super chat, Maxime.

00:13:10.260 Yeah, if only Trump didn't say something today, honestly, he didn't have to talk about the 51st state this morning.

00:13:17.960 But, yeah.

00:13:20.080 Kathy Vargas says, I'm moving to Alberta if conservatives lose.

00:13:24.520 Might not be a bad idea if you're trying to find an affordable house.

00:13:28.880 The Harsh Truth says, conservatives won the Nova Scotia provincial election in a landslide back in November 2024.

00:13:35.000 What happened?

00:13:35.560 Well, I would just say provincial elections and federal elections are always going to have varying results.

00:13:42.620 I don't think you're going to always – it's not going to be consistent is, I guess, how I would say it.

00:13:47.220 It's always going to be kind of all over the place, how people vote provincially as well as federally.

00:13:53.080 Because, obviously, provincially in Alberta, the Alberta NDP do very well.

00:13:57.240 Federally, they have, like, a seat or two, and that's it.

00:13:59.460 It's just people have different priorities on different levels of government.

00:14:02.160 G.I. Joe Dave C. straight from the pit for five.

00:14:06.640 The Buck says, Wyatt, the Super Contra tonight for good luck.

00:14:10.020 We got this.

00:14:10.560 Yeah, so the NES game in the background of the video today is Super C, which he actually did point out.

00:14:17.120 Great game.

00:14:17.740 Better than normal Contra.

00:14:19.540 I actually do – you know, despite popular belief, although no one's actually ever said this,

00:14:26.780 I actually do play these games.

00:14:28.040 I don't just have them to be a poser and keep them here for show.

00:14:34.460 Patch Duress, 2799 Super Chat.

00:14:37.020 Wow, thank you.

00:14:38.180 If carny liberals win tonight, getting the First and Second Amendments doesn't sound too bad. 0.51

00:14:42.320 There's a reason why America is still the envy of the world, despite Obama, Biden, and Canada's laughing stock.

00:14:47.660 Not giving up on Canada, though.

00:14:49.440 Thank you for the 2799 Super Chat.

00:14:51.440 And I agree in the sense that, like, I don't want the 51st state.

00:14:55.820 But the thing is, it's so funny how, like, all these people are going to be proud if the liberals win.

00:14:59.780 It's like, but what did you win?

00:15:01.760 But what is going to get better that wasn't already going to –

00:15:06.780 what did you not get in the first three terms that you are going to get in this fourth?

00:15:11.120 Matt Gabriel for $20 says, keep up the good work, sir.

00:15:13.840 Well, thank you for just sending in $20 for that.

00:15:15.900 I didn't say much, but I'm going to show off proudly my great Barbara Ball piece of lid I got when I was in the PN.

00:15:22.080 There is actually some good bright spots in the PN.

00:15:24.420 Do I think Barbara Ball is going to beat Mark Carney tonight?

00:15:27.520 I don't know.

00:15:29.320 I'm probably not.

00:15:30.800 At the same time, I think she gave him a good run for the money.

00:15:33.620 I'm going to get back to regular chat, guys, so don't feel like you actually have to Super Chat if you want something answered.

00:15:38.840 But obviously, I have to prioritize a little bit.

00:15:40.800 But Kaleidoscope for $27.99, thank you for that.

00:15:46.160 Very helpful.

00:15:47.060 You guys have been actually extremely supportive of the channel.

00:15:49.320 Go Blue Tsunami.

00:15:50.240 Great work, Wyatt.

00:15:51.120 Well, thank you.

00:15:52.900 Hopefully, I've been entertaining at the very least.

00:15:54.960 Obviously, if the liberals win – this happened in the BC election.

00:15:58.020 I was like, 75% chance the conservatives are going to win.

00:16:00.500 They lost by literally like 150 votes in a couple of ridings.

00:16:03.400 Then someone came back to me like, Wyatt, you were wrong.

00:16:05.620 I'm like, what?

00:16:06.840 Okay, I said 25% shot that the NDP is going to win, and it was like that.

00:16:11.940 In this race, I've been saying basically 50-50 with a slight gut feeling towards the conservatives that their polls are wrong.

00:16:19.360 PashTrest279 says, also, Super Chat for the Progressive Algorithm.

00:16:23.040 Well, thank you for that.

00:16:24.600 And just in time, we actually got Mr. Daniel Boardman at his laptop, ready to talk about the election.

00:16:33.100 What are you thinking, Daniel?

00:16:34.220 Oh, I am nervous.

00:16:39.220 I am – you have kept me – you're my copium.

00:16:44.880 You're – I'll go in that.

00:16:46.780 But I do not think the conservatives ran a great campaign.

00:16:50.900 I think the NDP nuked itself, which is our big problem.

00:16:56.120 And, you know, the liberals just have that perfect two-month Mark Carney facade that will crumble very soon, but I'm not sure if it's crumbled yet.

00:17:05.240 And there's a lot of – you know, I just watch CBC, CTV people, and they might just go red.

00:17:13.900 I wouldn't be shocked if the conservatives win.

00:17:18.140 Like, I wouldn't – I wouldn't, you know, it wouldn't flabbergast me.

00:17:22.700 But I'm not heavily optimistic.

00:17:27.100 I don't think – like, listen, I think the polls – I mean, like, ECOS was fake.

00:17:33.040 ECOS was fake news and an absolutely, you know, PSYOP from the whatever.

00:17:40.640 But, you know, there was some –

00:17:43.420 ECOS has a weird thing.

00:17:44.740 Whenever the liberals need the polling to look a certain way, suddenly it jumps up.

00:17:48.700 When they need Justin Trudeau, suddenly ECOS gives the biggest lead ever to the conservatives, even though he's usually the one who only has them at, like, plus 12 when everyone had plus 20.

00:17:57.060 Yeah, and like Frank Graves openly said, he was here to tank the conservatives, shot the election, and he did pull a PSYOP.

00:18:03.260 And then, like, this is what I was trying to tell the conservatives is people vote a lot on image.

00:18:09.580 And one of the biggest mistakes the liberals made is they were talking about Pierre Polyev being prime minister in the Trudeau times.

00:18:15.360 And when you incept the idea of prime minister Polyev or prime minister anyone, it makes them more palatable.

00:18:21.240 The biggest mistake the conservatives then did is when they switched to Carney.

00:18:25.100 They started talking about, oh, what a future Carney government would look like and all that stuff.

00:18:31.380 And it's like, don't incept the idea of prime minister Carney.

00:18:34.400 Like, I was telling them, the only question you should ask of Mark Carney in this election campaign is,

00:18:39.260 Mr. Carney, when you lose the election, will you move to Canada?

00:18:43.760 That's the only thing they should have said to him.

00:18:45.500 And then he would have got destroyed.

00:18:48.220 I want to go back to the map here.

00:18:49.740 The one thing I'm at least liking so far, because obviously people want to get to the analysis.

00:18:54.040 By the way, guys, obviously the liberals are going to start running up the score in Atlanta, Canada.

00:18:58.380 It depends on where the conservatives are able to hold on to some stuff or even make some pickups.

00:19:03.700 By the way, in 2021, the riding that the conservatives won on Newfoundland was central Newfoundland.

00:19:10.300 And currently, not only is their lead holding up, it's actually expanding.

00:19:14.060 And they're winning long-range mountains at the moment, as well as Terra Nova, the peninsulas.

00:19:19.140 I'm not sure if that holds up overnight, obviously, but that's actually really good.

00:19:23.560 So we do have Bluefinland on our side right now.

00:19:27.340 Because if we actually hold on to some of those, we could actually have a good night here.

00:19:32.040 You know, I'm going to be optimistic and pessimistic going back and forth.

00:19:35.400 I think they always said Miramachi Grand Lake is going to be a big bellwether for the entire province.

00:19:44.100 But a lot of these poles in places like Acadia and Annapolis, this is not going to hold up for the liberals. 0.85

00:19:49.440 I've heard how conservative this area is.

00:19:51.380 It's all like small conservative fishing villages.

00:19:54.120 And when you see the poles coming in, there's like two poles. 0.99

00:19:56.780 It doesn't mean much.

00:19:58.160 Once you're in the 80 pole range, 50 pole range, now we're probably getting a good sampling of what people think around the provinces.

00:20:08.040 But the formula I've heard is that conservatives got eight seats in Atlantic Canada in 2021.

00:20:14.880 I don't think they've gained any new seats because obviously there's guaranteed a certain amount of seats, but their populations have pretty much stayed the same.

00:20:22.040 If the conservatives can hold eight or actually gain one or two, conservatives are in business to win a minority.

00:20:27.700 If they lose one, it gets a little bit more narrow and it might tell us that in other areas, it's a bit like, it's a bit, it's going to be tight.

00:20:36.120 But I think in this election, it's going to be super, super all over the place.

00:20:41.240 Because I think it's just that the conservative base is just different now.

00:20:45.960 It's minorities. 0.96

00:20:47.140 It's Chinese voters.

00:20:47.960 It's obviously rural people still, but it's working class union guys who usually stayed home or voted NDP.

00:20:54.260 Yeah.

00:20:55.340 So I'm just posting about this on Twitter.

00:20:57.140 You keep up.

00:20:57.720 I'm trying to.

00:20:58.700 No worries.

00:20:59.180 I'll go to the next super chat we had.

00:21:01.420 Mr. Artie Monkis.

00:21:04.140 Mr. Artie Monkis.

00:21:05.860 You're going to be my assistant to make sure that I'm not reading these wrong.

00:21:09.020 Is this 11 to 3 liberals lead what you expect?

00:21:11.760 Can you analyze where we are at so far?

00:21:13.580 Um, so yeah, basically I don't really know where we're at right now because obviously a lot of the ridings in the Maritimes automatically go liberal.

00:21:21.800 Some of the ones that are currently going liberal are into one or two polls and those ones usually go very conservative.

00:21:28.960 I know someone on the ground in Nova Scotia, Chris from the Great Canadian Bagel Polling Channel.

00:21:33.580 And he says, whenever people fear monger that the conservatives are going to lose Rick Perkins riding, it's like he knows that Rick Perkins has literally thousands and thousands of signs on people's lawns and out there.

00:21:44.520 It's a very strong campaign.

00:21:46.120 I really don't see those people losing.

00:21:47.600 Maybe they do.

00:21:48.320 And I got to keep saying that.

00:21:49.380 Maybe they do.

00:21:50.460 But we just don't know that yet.

00:21:52.560 Brian Suddy for $5.

00:21:54.080 Thank you for that.

00:21:54.720 I'm from New Brunswick.

00:21:55.880 And the trouble with the Maritimes is our age demographics is the issue.

00:21:59.400 Too many CBC watchers go blue wave.

00:22:01.560 Love your channel.

00:22:02.180 And I think that that's why if we actually do a little bit better in Nova Scotia, or not Nova Scotia, but in general, New Brunswick, Nova Scotia, the Maritimes, that probably shows you that we're not actually doing as bad with older voters as people think.

00:22:17.180 Nendra 42, 699, super chat.

00:22:19.840 Thank you for that.

00:22:20.720 Should we stay with Pierre if he doesn't work out?

00:22:22.780 Some people want Jean Charest.

00:22:24.920 Hope for Pierre wins since he rallied against a failing NDP.

00:22:29.420 What do you think?

00:22:29.960 What do you think is going to happen if they don't win?

00:22:32.400 So it's like if we lose bad, like I hear the Nives are out for Pierre.

00:22:38.260 And listen, I don't hate Pierre.

00:22:41.960 I don't think Pierre is a bad candidate.

00:22:43.180 I think he's a good candidate.

00:22:45.060 I think Pierre's mistake, like every conservative leader, well, like Andrew Shearer, Aaron O'Toole was like born to be the leader of the conservative party in a bad way.

00:22:53.760 But he let the conservative party throw him off what he was good at.

00:23:00.280 Pierre Polyev is not like Trump at all.

00:23:03.820 Trump is very good at slogans.

00:23:06.020 Trump is very good in very short snippets and having bites.

00:23:10.260 That's not Pierre.

00:23:11.200 I haven't covered Pierre's rallies.

00:23:12.820 Pierre is excellent at in the 10 minute range.

00:23:16.500 He is excellent at explaining an issue, explaining why it's a problem for Canadians, how we got there, and a coherent solution to get us out of that.

00:23:26.280 That is his bread and butter.

00:23:28.160 But what kind of happened is we all loved Pierre and Pierre won the base over and had this hugely like destroy Jean Shray.

00:23:35.900 Jean Shray is not going to become the leader of the conservative party.

00:23:37.780 If Pierre Polyev goes down, there's a bunch of other people who will come in.

00:23:41.400 From Houston, like Caroline Mulroney types. 0.79

00:23:43.560 Caroline Mulroney, Leo Hustakis, I hear, is going to do it.

00:23:47.420 Then you might have, like, no rumors on this, but you might have a Melissa Lansman.

00:23:52.680 One of the Kalistanis will probably run. 0.72

00:23:55.900 It will be a whole thing of that.

00:23:58.100 But what Pierre did is he, I think he let the Jenny Burns of the world say, like, okay, go into slogan mode. 0.60

00:24:04.460 Like, just, it's 2006.

00:24:05.900 We have a huge read.

00:24:07.720 Yeah.

00:24:08.280 And to be clear, because someone said, this dude is gloomy.

00:24:11.680 Daniel's not gloomy.

00:24:12.780 Daniel just, like, he just talks this way.

00:24:14.720 There's actually absolutely a lot of, like, room for winning here.

00:24:19.940 We're just talking about, hey, if it doesn't go well to respond to this comment, what would have been the problems?

00:24:24.880 Because everyone already kind of knows the problems before the election goes down.

00:24:29.020 It's not like you have to poke through the ashes and figure out, oh, did we do that?

00:24:32.100 Usually you knew things that you should have been doing better at the time.

00:24:35.900 Yeah.

00:24:36.220 And my thing is, like, if you're wondering, like, will Pierre survive this?

00:24:39.560 It depends really on the results.

00:24:41.680 If, like, Pierre will survive or not.

00:24:44.540 If he gets obliterated in this election, right, like, and, like, the seat count is terrible and he can barely grow the seat count, I don't think he will survive.

00:24:53.160 And it also depends, like, will we have, will it need to be a four-year in opposition or is it a minority, right?

00:25:01.160 All these different things matter.

00:25:02.160 Like, I think you keep Pierre and the base and everyone will keep Pierre if the Liberals win a minority.

00:25:07.420 Right off the bat here, I'd rather keep Pierre because I don't want somebody who is propped up by the Doug Ford team coming in.

00:25:13.700 Because that's what people can say.

00:25:15.160 You can say what you want about Jenny Byrne.

00:25:17.700 And anyone could say what they want.

00:25:19.300 But do I agree with Corey Tanike?

00:25:22.460 Because I found that the most obnoxious thing throughout the entire election.

00:25:25.920 It was like, oh, do you agree with her or Corey?

00:25:27.380 I don't care.

00:25:28.500 It's like, what are we?

00:25:29.740 They made it, like, this stupid personality battle between two people that nobody, not, like, nobody cares about them.

00:25:34.900 Screw you.

00:25:35.500 It's like, no, it doesn't matter.

00:25:37.760 Like, what, like, oh, if Jenny's wrong, then Corey Tanike's right.

00:25:41.400 Like, you could actually both be wrong or both be right.

00:25:44.440 It depends on how you play things.

00:25:46.620 Yeah, exactly.

00:25:47.240 Like, Corey Tanike, it wasn't the voice of the criticism of the Conservative Party.

00:25:50.760 Like, listen, there are people who are criticizing, you know, the way Pierre was running, especially in the last couple months.

00:25:58.200 And it wasn't from the Tanike side. 0.96

00:26:00.000 Tanike wanted to double down on all the things that the base thinks was failing.

00:26:05.600 And this is sort of the problem with the Conservative Party is they have a fear of their base.

00:26:09.840 They have a fear that if they lean too much into their base, the media will criticize them, which I say the media will criticize you, what you do anyway.

00:26:18.380 You've got to, like, energize your base and grow it.

00:26:21.280 Like, that's how you win in politics.

00:26:22.560 You have to grow your base.

00:26:25.140 Yeah.

00:26:25.340 Right?

00:26:25.520 If I'm going to finish our podcast, yeah.

00:26:29.140 Because we're going to fall behind.

00:26:30.740 But, yeah, no, I think you are right.

00:26:32.420 Politics, and I think I've said this in a few videos, it's a game of bases.

00:26:35.840 Can you get your base out?

00:26:37.240 Stop chasing the people in the middle.

00:26:38.440 They don't care.

00:26:40.600 And, yeah, so I'm saying I don't think that Polyev actually will step down.

00:26:44.800 Because I think a lot of people actually genuinely like him, obviously.

00:26:48.320 And I think also people don't really – if Skarni and the Liberals win tonight, which, again, we don't know at all.

00:26:55.120 It's a giant question mark.

00:26:56.160 In fact, I have some really good data on screen right now where we're doing very well in central Newfoundland, which was apparently potentially going to lose.

00:27:02.540 And now we're winning it by, like, over 60% of the moment.

00:27:04.920 And everything else is tight.

00:27:06.360 I think people wouldn't blame Polyev for, frankly, just world politics going insane.

00:27:12.680 Yeah, I mean, listen, I have my criticism of Polyev, but Polyev is so much better than the potential that could come out of an ex-conservative leader.

00:27:20.520 Like, you could get Aaron O'Toole again.

00:27:21.740 So be careful what you wish for if you just want, like, the perfect guy you're chasing.

00:27:27.460 Like, Polyev is good.

00:27:29.380 And I think if Polyev leaned more into his actual strengths, I think they would have done better.

00:27:37.720 And I think they let the Liberals gain narrative dominance by – they stopped their campaign for a few months around the liberal leadership race.

00:27:44.820 And I thought that was a problem.

00:27:46.040 And also, like, the Trump thing was just crazy.

00:27:47.700 Like, listen, you can blame Polyev and you can say all this all you want.

00:27:52.960 And, you know, listen, I'm going to have some problems here.

00:27:57.260 But, like, at some point, Donald Trump coming in and threatening to annex the country threw an entire wrench into the –

00:28:03.760 By the way, people are saying – some people are saying it doesn't look like it's going.

00:28:07.920 Well, to go back to campaign – like, election analysis, people are saying, oh, it does not look good.

00:28:12.460 Guys, we literally already have eight seats we're leading in.

00:28:15.660 And we had eight seats in 29.

00:28:17.180 Now we're leading in nine.

00:28:18.580 If we can hold up on somebody, some of them will flip back both ways.

00:28:21.500 If we can get nine or ten seats, dude, we are flipping in business.

00:28:24.580 We actually just got a call, guys.

00:28:25.840 We won Central Newfoundland.

00:28:27.020 That was supposed to be a liberal pickup.

00:28:29.080 Look at this.

00:28:30.240 We just – a potential liberal pickup. 0.88

00:28:31.880 Like, oh, if it's a bad night for the conservatives, it's going to be tight here.

00:28:35.000 We are currently here.

00:28:36.620 Where are we?

00:28:37.100 Can I get this up?

00:28:37.960 Come on.

00:28:39.080 Yeah.

00:28:39.740 Do I have to reload the page?

00:28:40.940 I hate this.

00:28:41.760 And so, yeah, like people are talking about the scores that the liberals are winning.

00:28:45.000 But the liberals are supposed to win Newfoundland, right?

00:28:47.500 If we started counting Alberta first, we'd be up 20-0, right?

00:28:51.080 Yeah.

00:28:51.220 It's like how it works in the United States.

00:28:53.340 The Democrats get up first because it's New England that counts.

00:28:58.100 Then it's Midwest, and it goes super Republican.

00:29:00.500 Then the Democrats come back in the East again.

00:29:02.700 But going to another one, Michael N says, still believe no matter who wins this election, Canada needs some much-needed reform.

00:29:09.040 EDA reform party, reform and MSM reform, hope for change.

00:29:13.560 Absolutely.

00:29:14.000 When you say EDA reform, do you mean like Electoral District Association reform or foreign party reform?

00:29:22.200 I agree.

00:29:22.760 Like the thing is that there's not going to be the conservatives get in and they slightly change policy and everything's okay.

00:29:28.060 There is things like defunding the CBC or at least slowly reducing their money and saying,

00:29:33.820 you guys got to find private investors every year because you're going to lose another $200 million a year.

00:29:38.040 That is what we need because if you don't, it's just going to become the 90s debt crisis again.

00:29:43.200 And we don't know that if we have another 90s debt crisis, if we're just going to plow into it even harder the next time.

00:29:48.900 But thank you for the $5 super chat, Michael N.

00:29:51.720 Damage 142 for $10 says, voted blue early and my family voted blue today.

00:29:56.040 Very happy to see a lot of blue in Newfoundland early.

00:29:59.320 Yes, it is in fact, as we see, Bluefinland.

00:30:03.260 I love to see it and I love to say it.

00:30:05.900 But thank you for that.

00:30:06.860 And I saw some young people at the polls.

00:30:08.880 When did you vote?

00:30:10.640 I voted today.

00:30:11.580 I voted like I was getting to work on my top secret project that you know of and then went in to vote.

00:30:19.860 So I actually had a quiet time in the middle of the day.

00:30:22.940 You know, it's a mixed thing.

00:30:24.480 Like I saw one person in a mask.

00:30:26.380 So I'm like, that's probably not voting for the home team.

00:30:29.100 But other than that, you know, you couldn't really tell.

00:30:31.420 I had a guy call me who was in one of the poll stations earlier today.

00:30:36.700 And he said a woman walked in, you know, some piercings, tattoos, like kind of blue colorful hair, walks in, votes, you know, kind of moving or whatever.

00:30:46.260 Like you think stereotype, liberal.

00:30:49.120 She put her ballot in and she's like, yeah, no, I hope I can actually, you know, I'm voting so I can own a house one day.

00:30:53.640 I'm like, damn it.

00:30:54.980 Yes, we got it.

00:30:55.900 That's a conservative.

00:30:56.600 And I actually saw tons of young couples, and when I say young couples, I mean probably 28, 29 couples walking in and out of the polling station today.

00:31:05.180 And it's super sleepy in the middle of the day.

00:31:06.960 It always is.

00:31:07.680 Polls don't actually count many votes past a couple, you know, thousand, couple thousand people in the general area.

00:31:13.460 So, you know, tons of people show up in the day, in the morning.

00:31:16.440 Tons of people show up at night.

00:31:17.460 People voted early.

00:31:18.240 And it was a good younger turnout because usually in every other election, it's only older people.

00:31:22.820 So that was nice.

00:31:23.640 And guys, look at this.

00:31:25.180 Maybe it flips back.

00:31:27.100 But we currently have 12 seats.

00:31:28.860 Guys, follow me into my delusion.

00:31:33.100 Whatever happens, remember we had this moment where everything was going very well.

00:31:38.520 Okay, but yeah.

00:31:39.860 We're off to a good start.

00:31:41.500 We're off to a good start.

00:31:44.780 699 from Awesome Man F.

00:31:47.400 Thank you for that.

00:31:49.540 F Indy from Ontario voted conservative.

00:31:53.600 Finity?

00:31:54.120 What does that mean?

00:31:56.180 I don't know, but I assume it means something good happened.

00:32:00.360 I assume maybe you're calling out a certain person.

00:32:02.640 I don't know.

00:32:03.920 Logan Leroy for $5 says, as it stands right now, what is the most likely result, majority or minority government?

00:32:10.200 I still think it's minority either way.

00:32:12.860 It's just a tight election.

00:32:14.140 And again, when you go to things like Chinese-Canadian polling in British Columbia, it's very difficult to get East Asian people to take a poll, South Asian even more so, because it's just not part of the culture.

00:32:23.580 Even though actually South Asian people and Persians and Arabs, they're actually more likely, those Canadians are more likely to put a sign on their lawn.

00:32:30.620 If they're voting, they're putting down a sign.

00:32:32.560 Chinese voters will usually not put down a sign, and they don't really want to take phone calls.

00:32:36.520 But Indo-Canadians also don't take phone calls about polling.

00:32:40.460 And they, though, when you actually take the effort to get a big Chinese sample, it's literally reversed.

00:32:49.420 The Liberals won Chinese-Canadians by like 13 points in 2021.

00:32:52.760 Conservatives currently winning them by about 9 to 11 points.

00:32:56.700 It's going great, actually.

00:32:58.060 Asian-Canadians don't like drug addicts in their neighborhoods.

00:33:01.940 They do not like federal zombies.

00:33:04.200 And in B.C.

00:33:05.300 So I was just in Vancouver.

00:33:06.920 Barbara Ball, in the southwest of her riding, is a very heavy Chinese area that went very red last election in the Pian.

00:33:13.460 They told me, because I can reveal this now because it doesn't matter, they said it's blue because she's a 20-year veteran of the police force.

00:33:21.320 Someone in the Chinese community would see her come into the neighborhood, and on WhatsApp or WeChat, they would mention it,

00:33:26.980 and people would flood out of their houses to ask her crime and criminal justice questions.

00:33:31.540 Oh, yeah.

00:33:32.080 Like, Asian-Canadians, like, listen, they don't like, they like Canada. 1.00

00:33:37.940 They don't like the CCP, and they hate fentanyl.

00:33:40.720 Like, you can win them by, like, no more.

00:33:44.060 It's like, can we, putting criminals in jail is totally okay with the, the Asian community loves when, like, violent criminals don't kill them.

00:33:52.500 They love not getting beaten up by fentanyl lunatics.

00:33:56.040 And I was just in B.C. where, like, it's tragic because, like, B.C. has a historic Chinatown, but Chinatown is right near fentanyl zombie town. 0.97

00:34:03.720 So Chinatown's been destroyed.

00:34:05.460 I have seen it.

00:34:06.200 I drove past it.

00:34:07.020 It's actually, like, legitimately sad.

00:34:09.500 Like, I am a robot, and that breaks my robotic heart to actually see.

00:34:13.160 Yeah, if all these Chinese people. 1.00

00:34:13.960 I had feelings.

00:34:15.060 Yeah, yeah.

00:34:15.540 All these Chinese people, like Filipinos, East Asians, Southeast Asians, who are some of the most conscientious people you will ever meet in your life, and they have to live around this crap. 1.00

00:34:24.500 Like, oh my goodness, put these people, put all the, as Frank Vaughn says, the fent zombies in a van, and drop them off in the rich white neighborhoods who keep voting NDP.

00:34:35.660 Yeah.

00:34:36.620 That's the thing.

00:34:37.400 And Patch Duress, our favorite, because we both happen to know them.

00:34:42.540 Of course, Northern and Eastern New Brunswick would vote liberal.

00:34:46.780 Francophones hate conservatives in general because they view them as anti-French.

00:34:50.100 Blaine Higgs' political history didn't help either.

00:34:52.740 Yeah, and that's the thing, too.

00:34:54.880 New Brunswick politics is weird.

00:34:56.220 It's kind of like Saskatchewan, where there are writings that the other party can never win, and then there is a limited amount of writings that decides who's going to be in government.

00:35:04.260 But thank you for that $13.99 super chat.

00:35:09.700 I mean, we could be in for a great night.

00:35:12.860 Yeah, 100%.

00:35:13.960 If there's a minority government.

00:35:16.740 Sean Frazier's losing.

00:35:18.060 Yeah, that would be amazing.

00:35:19.580 We could lose some crazies. 0.91

00:35:21.660 Like, Sean Frazier could go down.

00:35:23.380 Some big-time liberals could go down.

00:35:24.860 Like, we could be laughing at Mark Gerritsen or some other people.

00:35:28.700 Jagmeet could be gone.

00:35:29.820 And there's a lot that can happen that would make me very happy.

00:35:36.180 And, like, again, the other thing I'll say is, like, a minority government either way I think is a really good result for the conservative party.

00:35:42.560 Right?

00:35:42.760 Yeah, it might suck, but I see any minority government only getting one budget passed and then triggering a next election. 0.65

00:35:49.880 And that would be conservative because the liberals are held up by the Carney banker, oh, he's so smart facade.

00:36:00.060 But the more people, like, again, Carney has a very, you know, his radioactive half-life is going to kick in.

00:36:09.040 So, eventually, that facade of Carney, like, this, oh, he's really smart, he's new, he understands the economy.

00:36:17.500 Like, no, he doesn't.

00:36:19.500 He has been wrong about literally everything he has ever said about the economy over the last 20 years.

00:36:26.860 And it's—

00:36:27.140 I want to bring up another piece of good information just for people to digest while we're talking.

00:36:31.400 So, guys, currently in Terranova with 100 polls counting out of 270, obviously you could go back liberal.

00:36:37.560 But conservative Jonathan Rau is leading with 50.3% of the vote compared to the liberal 45.5.

00:36:45.140 This is a riding that in last election went liberal 46 to 40.

00:36:50.420 So that is good if that can hold up.

00:36:52.560 That means what we are into for a very good night if we end up seeing the conservatives make gains in the Maritimes.

00:37:01.400 I think—who are you talking about, Jagmeet Singh, when I last cut you off?

00:37:07.220 No, I mean—oh, yeah, I was talking about, yeah, we could—like, we could—my thing is, if there's a minority government, I actually think that's going to be fine.

00:37:14.480 Even if it's a liberal minority, it's one budget, and then we'll go to an election where the Carney facade will wear off.

00:37:21.560 And as I said, Carney only really had a shot if he called a snap election.

00:37:25.020 If Carney actually sits down for a couple weeks and people hear what he starts to say and see what Carney's views are in reality, I think the conservatives will destroy them.

00:37:38.940 I mean, there's—

00:37:39.360 Holly Market's taking a hard turn as they're seeing the maritime results coming in.

00:37:43.200 Yeah.

00:37:43.360 So congratulations to anyone who maybe bet a bunch of money on the conservatives, although I won't endorse gambling, of course.

00:37:50.900 Yeah.

00:37:53.040 Venom just asked if there's a global news map.

00:37:55.680 Yes, it is.

00:37:56.540 They just—honestly, global news tends to do the map for free.

00:37:59.660 Other services, they'll be—you have to pay $10 a month for that map.

00:38:03.040 I'm like, I'm going to go find the free one then.

00:38:06.240 Stephanie Cormier says, thank you for the amazing insights.

00:38:08.780 Always, Wyatt.

00:38:09.360 Much appreciated.

00:38:10.000 From New Brunswick, Joe Pierre Polyev.

00:38:12.060 Thank you for that.

00:38:13.360 And $5 from Haldaway says, trustworthy consent.

00:38:18.580 Appreciate it.

00:38:19.820 Thank you for that.

00:38:21.740 Monster 000 for $5 says, as a Westerner sitting here watching results rolling while our polls are still open.

00:38:27.960 Honestly, I wish they wouldn't do it.

00:38:29.560 They should really keep it all closed until the last person is voted or you have that 2021 Arizona effect where Fox News calls Arizona for Joe Biden while there's literally a people in the other time zone of the state still voting.

00:38:43.060 For an hour.

00:38:44.520 Yeah.

00:38:45.060 I mean, that's—I thought, like, that was not what we do in Canada.

00:38:48.200 Like, we would—I thought we have to wait for the polls to close in B.C. before we start getting results in.

00:38:53.340 That's what someone told me.

00:38:54.480 And then I saw, oh, did they call something?

00:38:56.220 Is there some, like, quirk where this one poll always counts early?

00:38:59.120 Like, I really like that one place in, you know, New Hampshire in the U.S.

00:39:04.200 And it's like, no, they're discounting, which is, you know, with as many times as Canada.

00:39:10.380 I'm putting on a serious—I'm putting on a blazer.

00:39:12.600 And I'll take off the blazer when I want to be not serious.

00:39:14.640 But now we're getting real?

00:39:16.900 Now I'm on my serious thing.

00:39:18.100 That reminds—you look like you're, like, in Night of the Rocks, Barry, just because of the color of it.

00:39:23.900 I know.

00:39:24.260 And I knew that a flamboyant blazer would not be to Wyatt's liking, which is another reason why—

00:39:31.700 I got the multicolored shirt under my liberal gray sweater.

00:39:37.060 Yeah.

00:39:37.520 And then, yeah, I'm going on Indian TV periodically, so they'll like that. 1.00

00:39:42.420 That is the most Indian jacket, actually, honestly.

00:39:45.040 It's from India.

00:39:46.060 It's like, however, you notice how Chinese people really like certain colors.

00:39:49.620 And, honestly, white people also like certain colors.

00:39:51.840 But Chinese people really like mint green, I find.

00:39:55.120 That is an Indian color right there.

00:39:57.000 What do, like, white middle-class people like?

00:40:00.060 They like pastels in general.

00:40:01.400 They like pastels.

00:40:02.440 Yeah.

00:40:02.820 Yeah.

00:40:03.480 It's, you know.

00:40:07.080 Yeah, like—

00:40:07.880 I'll just jump over to you.

00:40:10.640 420 hitter for $2 says, first seat just called for the cons.

00:40:13.340 And, yes, that was central Newfoundland.

00:40:15.200 Very good news that the Conservatives win that seat early in the night.

00:40:18.620 $6.99 from the Diverge.

00:40:21.560 Duryavage, $6.99.

00:40:23.300 Thank you for that.

00:40:24.020 Shere is controlled opposition. 0.97

00:40:25.520 He was bad as Quebec Premier.

00:40:27.340 Lots of corruption.

00:40:28.220 Very anti-gun.

00:40:29.200 And it was never that shocking when Polyev cleaned his clock.

00:40:32.420 I always loved when people kept saying, Patrick Brown might be Polyev. 0.87

00:40:35.540 Shere may be Polyev. 0.99

00:40:36.520 It's like, go out into the street and ask people who they recognize out of those three names.

00:40:41.460 Everyone will say Polyev, even though he's never been Premier or anything like that or Mayor.

00:40:45.100 Yeah, I mean, Polyev is by far the best leader the Conservatives have had since Stephen Harper.

00:40:53.120 And, you know.

00:40:56.220 So I hope he does well.

00:40:58.040 And I hope he does well enough to—

00:41:00.320 that we don't have to talk about a leadership race.

00:41:03.760 Because, listen, I want to tell, like, Jean Charest is like Andrew—it's only for Andrew Coyne, right?

00:41:10.300 Andrew Coyne—

00:41:11.080 Yeah.

00:41:11.480 If you get Jean Charest, Andrew Coyne won't vote Conservative, but he won't call you fascist.

00:41:16.660 He'll call you right-wing hate mongers.

00:41:18.840 So you'll be downgraded from fascist to, like, just lunatic or something.

00:41:23.480 And if that's what we're doing, like, we need a leader to have Andrew Coyne stop bullying us so hard,

00:41:30.120 then that's the thing.

00:41:32.740 Mm-hmm.

00:41:33.400 All right.

00:41:33.720 So we're at 21 to 10.

00:41:35.180 Yeah.

00:41:35.660 And again, remember, guys, the magic number in Atlanta, Canada,

00:41:38.940 for the Conservatives to have at least a pretty good night is eight.

00:41:42.560 There are currently two above that.

00:41:44.360 And I think there are some seats that are probably going to flip back Liberal

00:41:47.140 in some of these more French parts of New Brunswick.

00:41:49.540 But there are also places in Nova Scotia I've been told there's probably not a good chance

00:41:54.300 of the Conservative losing, so those will flip Liberal back to Conservative.

00:41:57.320 But again, nine, ten seats, that's when the Conservatives, you know,

00:42:01.120 that the effect that the media and the pollsters have played up about how much

00:42:05.040 boomers are going to be voting Liberal is overstated.

00:42:09.060 Hunter for 699 says,

00:42:10.640 Pierre is a Greek candidate.

00:42:12.000 If the knives are out for him, Alberta's are out for the Conservative Party.

00:42:16.400 Even discussing is just doom, boys stop.

00:42:19.800 Yeah, don't worry.

00:42:21.160 We don't, I only actually seriously think that Polyev would go down in a leadership

00:42:24.460 review because again, who is the, who is the inspiring opponent of him who is going

00:42:30.700 to push a leadership review against him?

00:42:32.840 I just don't think it would happen if he loses.

00:42:34.940 Right now, things are actually looking really good on the map.

00:42:38.100 Yeah.

00:42:38.560 I mean, with, with the map, I mean, if this is the way of the night is, I don't think

00:42:41.840 we're talking about getting rid of Polyev at all.

00:42:43.760 So, and listen, we're just talking about, I guess we'll stop talking about it, but we're

00:42:47.480 just telling you from being in this, we do know that, listen, there are snakes in politics.

00:42:52.820 And another thing about politics is a lot of like the people on Pierre's campaign and the

00:42:59.360 other campaigns too.

00:43:00.740 Remember, these people make their money off of political races.

00:43:03.860 So if there's a leadership race in the conservative party, all the conservative staffers and

00:43:08.080 political talking heads and organizers get contracts to run parties.

00:43:12.580 So, you know, it's not, and you know, we're just saying there, there are people with incentives

00:43:18.940 even on Polyev's team and not to sort of either take him down or force a leadership race because

00:43:23.860 then they make money off of political races.

00:43:26.700 So that's kind of the economics of politics and what to keep an eye out for.

00:43:32.280 Yeah.

00:43:32.420 AZ says, is Pierre Polyev going to lose?

00:43:34.960 If you're asking about his own seat, no, no.

00:43:37.340 I even had someone ask me and they were being very, they were being very honest, like very

00:43:42.120 genuine about it.

00:43:42.900 They were like, I was door knocking in his area because I think they traveled out there

00:43:45.480 for fun.

00:43:46.500 But they're from Calgary and they're like, it was, it was very 50, 50 in some of the suburbs.

00:43:49.980 I'm like, go to the, if you go out though to the acreages, it's going to be like

00:43:53.720 dictatorship numbers for Polyev.

00:43:55.200 But that's the thing.

00:43:56.280 It's like in Alberta, this is the example I always use.

00:43:58.420 My friend Chantel DeYoung is the candidate or the MLA for the riding of Chestermere Strathmore.

00:44:03.700 It's like going to her riding and concluding that she might lose because you door knocked

00:44:07.060 some of the Calgary bedroom communities in her riding or Chestermere.

00:44:10.240 If you go to Strathmore or you go to Wheatland County or Rocky Mountain County or Rocky View County,

00:44:17.940 she's winning by EDM mean numbers.

00:44:20.340 It's nuts.

00:44:22.020 Poly have 45% on Polymarket.

00:44:24.160 Wow.

00:44:24.360 That is an improvement since I last saw it at 22% this morning.

00:44:28.260 Yeah.

00:44:29.160 I always, I always thought the Polymarket number was insane at 20%. 0.89

00:44:33.040 Yeah.

00:44:34.120 You know, I know people took a good bet on that.

00:44:36.180 Like, I mean, Polymarket could just be, I mean, I don't know exactly how Polymarket works,

00:44:41.520 but like you could just, if you dump money into it, right?

00:44:44.540 And how many people are betting in the Canadian election?

00:44:46.200 Like, could foreign actors, like, you know, the Chinese just dump money into Polymarket and 0.73

00:44:51.100 then as a demoralization op?

00:44:53.680 That's actually an angle I hadn't heard of and that would actually be smart because what

00:44:57.160 you do, spend $100,000 with some potentially ineffective front groups or do you throw $100,000

00:45:03.180 onto Polymarket and look like Carney's super popular and make people financially invested in him winning?

00:45:07.900 Yeah.

00:45:09.340 I mean, that's, that's, that's a good, like, I mean, there are definitely problems with

00:45:14.700 gambling on politics and gambling on everything.

00:45:18.340 Um, you know, is that, I mean, I got a text from my dad saying he turned on, I think, CTV

00:45:25.020 for a bit and they were saying like the best result for Polyev was that he loses his own

00:45:29.720 seat so it ends quickly for him.

00:45:31.440 And like, that's just the level of insanity that we're dealing with the mainstream media.

00:45:35.060 Like, was that David Cochran saying that?

00:45:37.400 No, it's David Cochran, CBC.

00:45:39.900 Was he?

00:45:40.380 Oh, you said CTV.

00:45:41.540 CTV, I think.

00:45:42.360 Yeah.

00:45:42.520 So it's just like, you don't really know because the mainstream media in Canada is a totally,

00:45:47.620 it's a different dimension of reality.

00:45:50.060 Um, so it's, and it's really hard to sort of gauge where these people are and how many

00:45:54.580 of them exist in real life.

00:45:57.720 Um, okay.

00:45:58.740 I'm getting called into India.

00:46:00.060 I thought we were starting at nine.

00:46:01.180 So I said, I do a, a media.

00:46:02.920 No, you're perfectly fine.

00:46:03.980 I want to start early because I saw they're counting up the votes.

00:46:06.460 If you want to even just stop your mic and mute, I can take you off screen.

00:46:10.560 Yeah.

00:46:10.900 I mean, I'll just leave and then come back in.

00:46:12.700 Right.

00:46:13.420 Perfect.

00:46:13.740 Yeah.

00:46:13.840 Just mute and stop your, uh, stop your camera on the bottom.

00:46:16.680 And then I'll just remove you from the stream. 0.95

00:46:18.040 But yeah, uh, Daniel will be back later after he's, uh, done with his thing.

00:46:23.040 So, uh, now I'm just flying solo again, but right now it's legitimately looking quite good

00:46:28.660 guys.

00:46:29.500 Um, I, I think I agree with someone right here.

00:46:32.000 Uh, Shanky, uh, 76 pure needs 157 to go blue.

00:46:36.400 I got this.

00:46:37.240 And I, yeah, I don't think again with a minority government, I think the path is actually quite

00:46:41.380 clear with this.

00:46:42.140 You might not think it, but if the conservatives can get eight, nine, or 10 seats in the Maritimes,

00:46:47.440 it's going quite well.

00:46:48.780 And again, there's a lot of seats that could flip back liberal.

00:46:51.300 There's seats that could flip back conservative.

00:46:53.140 Maybe as the night goes on, it's just going to go all red in the Maritimes.

00:46:56.820 This is an absolute nail biter of an election and it is stressful.

00:47:01.800 Uh, absolutely.

00:47:03.600 So yeah, I will be showing the map in just a second here for people asking about that.

00:47:09.000 So obviously we have had central Newfoundland called for the conservatives and they are winning

00:47:13.520 this seat by far bigger margins than they did in the previous election.

00:47:17.840 Right now, Clifford Small is winning with 59.7% of the vote.

00:47:23.640 If you saw this riding in the last election, I will be bringing it up the result to remind

00:47:28.660 myself.

00:47:29.640 Clifford Small won in 2021 with 46% of the vote.

00:47:34.140 Previously in 2019, the liberal actually won it with a margin of 13%.

00:47:39.280 So this has been actually getting more conservative over time.

00:47:43.640 This is extremely good news.

00:47:45.560 That means probably even the red areas of the riding are turning blue.

00:47:50.620 Maybe this doesn't hold up.

00:47:51.740 Maybe as they keep counting votes, it's going to get tight, but at the moment it's looking

00:47:54.800 pretty decent.

00:47:57.320 Um, so yeah, I think this is all decent at the moment.

00:47:59.900 Again, Maritimes are always going to stress you out because it's like if in the U.S.

00:48:04.880 presidential election, you counted California first and Washington and Oregon, you'd think,

00:48:09.300 oh my, like, you know, it's all over.

00:48:11.420 How, how can we come back?

00:48:12.840 It's like, it's cool.

00:48:13.420 We already knew this was baked in.

00:48:15.560 Um, but thank you, Clark Petrick for the, uh, for the map link.

00:48:21.040 I'll actually check that one out maybe a bit later.

00:48:23.300 Frank for $5 says, would Bill C69 and the others get through with a minority liberal?

00:48:28.460 Um, I don't know.

00:48:30.980 I think that you could get the bloc to support it.

00:48:33.320 The bloc's very weird, but I actually don't see the bloc Quebecois wanting to support the

00:48:38.140 liberals after this election.

00:48:39.140 So let's say the conservatives and liberals tie 150 seats to 150 seats.

00:48:44.060 There is a chance in my opinion that if the bloc has the balance of power, like 25 seats,

00:48:49.340 I think they would actually support the conservatives over the liberals because if they support the

00:48:53.560 liberals again, why even bother voting bloc?

00:48:55.880 Because you've got the same thing that a lot of Canadians didn't want anymore.

00:48:59.400 David Edwards for $2 says, hello, Wyatt and Dan Deep.

00:49:04.680 Yes, Wyatt Daniel does a lot of Indian media.

00:49:06.740 So some people call him Dan Deep.

00:49:09.500 Uh, glazing over Uncle Gary for $2 says, all media outlets are predicting liberal easily win.

00:49:14.520 Well, it's because they're basing it off of like, they can still win and maybe they can still

00:49:18.320 easily win, but they're basing it off of polling that frankly is probably not capturing all

00:49:23.480 the conservatives.

00:49:24.720 Again, we have the conservatives winning one riding here with 59% of the vote.

00:49:29.360 We have Terranova.

00:49:31.060 That margin is falling a bit, but the conservatives are still ahead.

00:49:34.860 And even if the liberals win, this is a liberal riding that they assumed that they were going

00:49:38.420 to win.

00:49:39.320 Long Range Mountain went liberal in the last election.

00:49:41.760 We are currently leading with 130 polls, more than half the results in with 54% of the vote.

00:49:49.280 That is fantastic.

00:49:51.180 Maybe it helped the conservatives here.

00:49:52.560 There was no liberal incumbent, but that's quite good.

00:49:55.960 Um, what else do we got here?

00:49:58.600 We have the, some of these sport ridings are going to go back and forth a little bit more.

00:50:02.500 Yeah.

00:50:02.680 See, as I mentioned at the start, Acadia Annapolis is a conservative riding.

00:50:06.740 So when the first poll showed it going liberal, that was just because it's preemptive.

00:50:09.920 Central Nova Scotia, leaning conservative.

00:50:12.520 Uh, King's Haunts I've heard could go conservative.

00:50:15.300 I'm not sure if we actually have, uh, it's, it's a current liberal hold, but it's way too,

00:50:20.380 uh, early.

00:50:21.280 Alexander Cargill, Transplender on XRAN for the PPC here.

00:50:26.000 That's funny.

00:50:28.880 Uh, do we have any other ones?

00:50:30.440 Yeah.

00:50:30.680 So, South Shore St. Margaret's I think is also going to stick, uh, conservative, but, uh,

00:50:35.340 Miramachi Grand Lake is currently going liberal by a few hundred votes, but we're still early

00:50:39.560 on into that and the conservatives are currently picking up ridings that they did not have in

00:50:43.940 the previous election.

00:50:44.940 Uh, Stu Olmson for $20 says, I don't know what's worse seeing a liberal lead.

00:50:50.480 I know it's early or listening to the total dumb MSM commentary.

00:50:53.680 I'd have to say the latter because, you know, the results are just the results, but no one

00:50:59.920 should have to listen to MSM analysis.

00:51:01.840 And I actually do, again, I'm going to keep stating this at the moment, the results are

00:51:08.060 actually quite good for the conservatives.

00:51:09.520 In fact, they are currently leading in 11 seats, not too shabby at all for the Maritimes

00:51:14.500 where I have heard if the conservatives could hold eight seats, it was going to go great.

00:51:18.540 Um, and in fact, I actually want to show this on screen now, but thank you for the $20 super

00:51:22.840 chat, Stu, um, take that off screen.

00:51:26.560 I want to bring up this chart.

00:51:28.960 I took a screenshot of earlier.

00:51:32.940 This is the Google trends.

00:51:34.600 And obviously this isn't scientific.

00:51:36.640 This is of the entire country throughout the day, uh, up to about an hour ago.

00:51:42.400 This is what the current Google searching was looking like today.

00:51:47.080 It started shooting off for the conservatives early and has only increased.

00:51:51.160 And I think we're going to get a lot of people that Ipsos has been pointing out who only make

00:51:55.120 up their minds in the last few days, the election or the day of the election.

00:51:59.200 They're not TDS voters.

00:52:00.800 They're not voting because they think it's going to make Trump mad.

00:52:03.140 They're voting because, you know, they're voting because it's policy.

00:52:06.880 Because if you were mad about Trump and you were trying to show him by voting Mark

00:52:09.640 Carney and the liberals, you would have made your mind up about that a month ago.

00:52:12.600 You weren't going to suddenly turn TDS today.

00:52:14.840 You were going to just vote.

00:52:16.500 You're going to vote on policy if you're only deciding today.

00:52:19.020 And the good thing is we have it leaning conservative on that front.

00:52:22.680 If the Google trends are indicating people looking at the platforms and people wondering

00:52:26.860 what the latest news about the conservatives is, it tends to be if someone's looking you

00:52:30.740 up, it's not for negative reasons, unless the biggest scandal on the planet just dropped

00:52:34.460 on you.

00:52:34.860 And so we got Hunter 279.

00:52:38.640 Here is the only reason I'm voting.

00:52:40.360 So, and I think that you are representative of a lot of people.

00:52:43.780 Thank you for the super chat.

00:52:44.980 And Polyev is going to be bringing voters out in numbers.

00:52:48.800 I think a lot of people aren't going to be expecting.

00:52:51.580 Silent voters, not because they're shy, but maybe because they're younger voters who don't

00:52:55.600 really, they don't answer polls.

00:52:57.060 They don't go to many events, but you know, they watch conservative TikTokers or YouTubers 0.98

00:53:02.560 or Instagram people, and they decide I'm actually going to turn out this time.

00:53:06.400 And so young turnout goes from only 43%, like it's been in previous elections, but maybe

00:53:11.620 to 55%.

00:53:12.560 If young turnout jumps up that much, it's going very well for the conservatives, especially

00:53:17.020 if older voter margins that we've seen in the polls for the liberals don't actually

00:53:21.600 match up with reality and is closer than they're saying.

00:53:24.060 My mouth is going to get very dry throughout the course of this stream.

00:53:30.600 So thank you for being all patient with me.

00:53:34.800 Yes, someone said, why not pull up Polymarket?

00:53:39.100 Yeah, I'll try and bring up Polymarket.

00:53:40.580 You maybe are reacting to the thing we already talked about.

00:53:46.760 But yeah, things went from 22% for the conservatives this morning up to like 44%.

00:53:52.660 So currently, the overall, if I can bring this up very briefly,

00:54:07.080 is 33% conservative to 67% Carney.

00:54:11.280 So these are the current betting odds that you can take.

00:54:15.160 And so Carney's falling down and the conservatives are going up as we are seeing more results

00:54:20.640 rolling in here.

00:54:21.520 So that is good to see.

00:54:25.660 I'm going to take that down.

00:54:27.080 I'm going to bring back up the global news map.

00:54:29.640 Thank you, global news, for actually putting out this nice map.

00:54:33.920 We are still at 21 and 11 between the parties.

00:54:37.400 And again, this is only the Maritimes.

00:54:39.980 And this is a great result for the conservatives if this ends up holding up, or even if it falls

00:54:44.600 down to 10 or 9 or even 8.

00:54:46.560 All of those are fine numbers for the conservatives to get.

00:54:50.320 An 8 would be the hold on to everything.

00:54:53.420 If it's less, it's a little bit more than 8, that means they're actually gaining in a part

00:54:57.200 of the country where some people and some pollsters were expecting a wipeout to the point where

00:55:02.240 the conservatives may only hold on to three seats.

00:55:04.040 So, so far, so good.

00:55:10.300 Trying to get to new comments.

00:55:11.300 Obviously, it's going to be hard to get to comments because there's so many people here.

00:55:15.040 Just Me says, I hope so, Wyatt.

00:55:22.240 If Carney wins, the country will be destroyed.

00:55:24.460 It won't be destroyed, but the whole point is that it's going to get worse.

00:55:28.820 And that means then the next conservative government that gets in might have to do an

00:55:33.280 extra year or two of cleanup before they can even get to actually making the country prosperous

00:55:37.620 again, because it would suck if the conservatives get in and they're immediately dealing with

00:55:41.100 the debt crisis and they can even do the things they wanted to do because they're too

00:55:44.140 busy cleaning up messes.

00:55:45.580 Here's a great, here's a great stat from JW 1818.

00:55:50.820 Harper won majority with 12 seats in Atlantic Canada.

00:55:54.820 And so, and that it was a very different conservative coalition back then, I would say, though.

00:55:59.580 And so we don't exactly need that many seats.

00:56:03.520 Epic Encore for $5 says, I came from Brazil and lived through these failed liberal policies.

00:56:07.920 It's like a horror movie play, a replay.

00:56:10.500 Vote for the change before decline worsens.

00:56:12.800 Absolutely.

00:56:13.240 That's where I don't understand PPC guys, where they're like, they're all part of the

00:56:17.020 uniparty.

00:56:18.020 If you think the two parties are a uniparty between the liberals and conservatives, get

00:56:22.780 your eyes checked.

00:56:24.100 They are not.

00:56:25.120 You're just signaling that you're too good to vote for a party that can win.

00:56:28.340 I'm too good at politics to vote for a party that can win.

00:56:31.040 OK, I broke that down this morning that I think a Patricia, Patricia Collin video from the PPC

00:56:38.800 that Greg Wycliffe was filming, where she's like, oh, I can't trust Pierre Polyev.

00:56:42.800 And then she proceeded to like list a bunch of things he supposedly failed on that he actually

00:56:46.840 is totally addressed.

00:56:47.660 But she's just in a bubble. 0.95

00:56:49.300 She just doesn't know.

00:56:51.740 Mike Mitchell says electoral district reform.

00:56:54.780 OK, fair enough.

00:56:55.620 Yeah, I get your point then with counting a better way of recruiting and electing local

00:57:01.780 candidates.

00:57:03.280 Rosie Bree for $5.

00:57:05.400 Thank you for that.

00:57:06.000 Don't they first count the ballots they got today and then the early ballots are counted

00:57:09.540 last?

00:57:09.980 I heard that from somewhere.

00:57:11.060 I think they have me.

00:57:12.280 I think that may have been Northern Perspectives.

00:57:14.920 Maybe I heard they might have counted the early ones first, especially in the areas that

00:57:18.720 had high turnout so they could get the votes counted faster.

00:57:22.900 Rinder Sidhu for $2.

00:57:24.780 Karen Malroney for CPC leader.

00:57:27.380 I see it already.

00:57:28.780 I just I just don't see it with her.

00:57:30.560 I think also conservatives would reject her as being like an Ontario PC and a lot of conservatives

00:57:35.700 nationally don't really like Doug Ford.

00:57:39.200 Joe Rojogan for $5 says, I hope they keep Pierre Polyev unless the Libs get a majority.

00:57:45.460 I don't think switching leaders over a minority government is a good call.

00:57:49.160 People know Pierre Polyev, build him up.

00:57:51.160 And again, it wouldn't be a big failure like Aaron O'Toole where he had made all the wrong

00:57:55.940 calls and never saw it.

00:57:57.580 I don't think Polyev has been making all the wrong calls at all.

00:58:00.060 I think he's been mostly making good calls.

00:58:03.100 Yeah, someone says go Bryce Jenkins.

00:58:05.700 Do we still have Bryce Jenkins up?

00:58:08.280 Oh, hey, we're starting to count in Quebec there.

00:58:12.960 Wow.

00:58:13.540 Hey, actually, no, Jonathan Lowe's margin actually just went up again.

00:58:16.900 So that's good.

00:58:17.980 He is padding his lead now with a less than half of the seats left to count.

00:58:23.880 Long range mountain looks like it's going to stay conservative.

00:58:26.640 And then we get to the real slug match.

00:58:29.120 And Miramachi Grand Lake flipped back from liberal to conservative.

00:58:33.000 Conservatives are still leading in central Nova Scotia over Housing Minister Sean Frazier.

00:58:38.420 Actually, it's currently Nate Berksine-Smith.

00:58:41.920 Whoever the conservative candidate is, is currently leading over failed immigration and failed

00:58:46.160 Housing Minister Sean Frazier.

00:58:48.300 And look, South Shore St. Margaret's just went back conservative.

00:58:50.660 This is going to be very back and forth, but a 21 to 11 in the Maritimes is a perfectly fine margin in my opinion.

00:58:58.240 So, yeah, I know someone out there is correcting me.

00:59:03.540 Sorry.

00:59:03.900 Okay.

00:59:04.660 Malcolm Ferguson.

00:59:06.360 Miramichi.

00:59:07.300 Miramichi.

00:59:08.400 Miramichi Grand Lakes.

00:59:09.760 We are all going to say that together.

00:59:12.060 Miramichi Grand Lakes, so I don't forget it.

00:59:14.520 Dabby Ddub says, go, Bloc, go. 0.98

00:59:19.820 Absolutely.

00:59:20.640 We want to see the Bloc Québécois above 25 seats in Quebec, if not above 30, because the Bloc don't really compete for seats with the conservatives outside of a few ridings.

00:59:31.920 And I honestly don't care.

00:59:33.420 If the conservatives gain, lose some seats to the Bloc, it means that they're not going to the liberals, at least in my opinion.

00:59:39.820 And I think that most of the conservative ridings in Canada actually tend to be pretty stable.

00:59:45.740 The Fixer says, Wyatt, are you going to jump into someone else's stream?

00:59:48.720 Clydes, I may jump onto the Juno news stream at some point, in which case I'm going to have probably Daniel take over for me for like 15 minutes,

00:59:59.300 and then I will come back when all that is over.

01:00:02.540 So if you see me go, it's not because Daniel has murdered me and usurped me on the channel.

01:00:08.360 But yeah.

01:00:09.760 Miramichi.

01:00:10.500 Miramichi.

01:00:10.980 Yes, everyone is saying Miramichi now in chat.

01:00:14.400 Miramichi.

01:00:15.200 There we go.

01:00:16.760 Okay.

01:00:19.400 Start.

01:00:19.980 Okay, let's go back to Jesse Thomas.

01:00:22.060 $5.

01:00:22.720 Older voters rally to libs.

01:00:24.760 If we are annexable by U.S., it's because we have strong fundamentals, but weak leadership.

01:00:31.000 Conservative missed on this.

01:00:32.540 I don't know what you mean by strong fundamentals.

01:00:41.760 I don't think.

01:00:45.700 I'm going to answer your question in a way I think that you may be answering it, even if not, at least it's interesting.

01:00:50.260 I think if the Conservatives missed on older voters at all, it's because they should have, while Carney was running for the leadership, and even when Justin Trudeau was still around.

01:01:01.180 The Liberals should have said, these guys, Trudeau, Carney, Freeland, Gould, all of them have made Canada so weak, Donald Trump thinks he can say this stuff.

01:01:12.840 The Liberals can posture all they want now, but they're the people who let Donald Trump do this, and we're going to take it back from them and make sure that we actually strengthen our country so that we're respected.

01:01:23.140 That's how I think they should have played it, and I think they waited a bit long.

01:01:27.080 Sometimes parties focus group things too long, and it annoys me.

01:01:30.440 JQK for $13.99, thank you.

01:01:34.720 Get the sky off your channel.

01:01:35.840 Whatever, I like Daniel.

01:01:36.720 Daniel's a friend, and he's a co-founder of the channel.

01:01:39.700 And also, I need someone to bounce off of, or I'm going to go insane on this chat alone.

01:01:45.620 MotoGearSolid for $5.00 says,

01:01:47.240 Corey on CTV admits cons are outperforming the polls so far.

01:01:50.880 He was surprised.

01:01:52.080 Well, he better dang well be surprised.

01:01:54.720 ChandlerD for $279.00.

01:01:56.700 No finger guns, Daniel.

01:01:57.840 Those have been banned.

01:01:58.780 Yeah, we're bringing back the finger guns, boy.

01:02:02.020 We're going to, you know, what was that thing?

01:02:04.360 Yeah, that's where you're wrong, kiddo.

01:02:05.840 We're bringing back finger guns.

01:02:08.360 But yeah, so $6.99 from MMA.

01:02:12.500 Thank you for that.

01:02:13.780 Thank you for all your electoral coverage.

01:02:15.300 I look forward to watching your videos every day.

01:02:17.000 Well, thank you.

01:02:17.620 A lot of nice people came up and said hi to me at the Calgary rally with Polyev.

01:02:22.760 But let's get back to the map before I keep going through all of that stuff.

01:02:27.100 So we still have out here conservatives leading in Terranova after 10 more polls have been counted.

01:02:34.860 In fact, the lead, I believe, has gone up a little bit.

01:02:37.920 It's going to be a slugging match there, no doubt.

01:02:41.480 Naturally, the liberals have taken back these border ridings in Nova Scotia.

01:02:45.640 Obviously, there's no Bloc Quebecois to compete with the liberals around here.

01:02:49.100 So with liberals versus conservatives in a more French riding, conservatives tend to lose.

01:02:54.540 But a lot of this stuff is looking good.

01:02:56.500 And Acadia and Annapolis is a riding we already controlled.

01:03:00.260 South Shore St. Margaret's is pretty close.

01:03:02.920 But I think we're going to be able to pull this one out.

01:03:04.840 Central Nova still leading for conservatives.

01:03:07.440 The lead has shrunk a little bit.

01:03:08.620 It could always come back the other way.

01:03:10.760 But at the moment, with Miramichi Grand Lake, I'm saying it correctly this time, currently up for the conservatives.

01:03:18.620 Oh, no, it's up for the liberals now.

01:03:20.540 It's basically a slugging match.

01:03:22.220 I actually want to go quickly check what the map looked like overall in this area.

01:03:26.180 But it's currently 22, 10, and 1.

01:03:28.940 That is a perfectly fine result for the conservatives.

01:03:31.860 Let's look at what the 2021 results looks like overall, because I think this is going to be very instructive for how we digest this information coming in.

01:03:46.280 So in 2021, obviously, the conservatives did pretty well in New Brunswick.

01:03:51.200 But it looks like, from what I'm seeing, conservatives, by winning Bluefinland, by winning those three Newfoundland seats, they can afford to lose a seat in New Brunswick or Nova Scotia.

01:04:03.780 But it even looks like they may be able to pick one up in Nova Scotia.

01:04:08.800 So overall, things look like we are going to be able to offset any losses in the Maritimes, if not pickup seats.

01:04:16.360 And right now, even the popular vote margin is currently quite favorable towards the conservatives, because look at this.

01:04:23.880 50% for the liberals, 43.1 for the conservatives.

01:04:28.460 We had seen polls up to this point, I am not kidding, where narrative research or other different polling firms had said, oh, liberals are leading by 20 points.

01:04:41.620 No, they ain't.

01:04:42.900 And if the liberals aren't leading by 20 in the Maritimes, they're only leading by 7, and there's still a lot of votes to count, they ain't leading by 10 in Ontario, unless we are just in the wacko election where nothing makes sense.

01:04:57.000 So, yeah, I think this is all quite decent so far.

01:05:01.080 So, Hama Ishvak says, why are polls down?

01:05:06.760 I'm wondering, talking about, like, for the conservatives, if the conservatives are down, it's just because we're counting the Maritimes.

01:05:13.980 Conservatives are never really going to be leading in the Maritimes.

01:05:19.340 Blue Ottawa.

01:05:20.280 Someone asked me, Blue Ottawa.

01:05:21.200 So, I hung out in Ottawa, and I helped Barbara Ball a bit.

01:05:25.140 Brian Telford.

01:05:26.520 And do I have it?

01:05:27.760 Oh, and Mr. Greg Kung.

01:05:30.340 If you see Ottawa start going blue, let's get that one.

01:05:35.640 By the way, guys, if you live in Ontario, please sign up and vote for the new blue party provincially.

01:05:40.700 Doug Ford sucks, and he was backing the liberals basically this entire election.

01:05:44.780 So, go and vote for the new blue party in the next provincial election because, man, the PCs are terrible.

01:05:49.760 But to go back to a Stakona question, if you see the ridings in Ottawa, which are usually safe red ridings, if they start going blue, you will see it go in the exact order of first Greg Kung.

01:06:06.540 Greg Kung has 2,900 signed requests in that riding.

01:06:10.320 He was smashing it.

01:06:11.400 Jenna Suds is a, frankly, Turkey liberal candidate. 0.94

01:06:14.180 She is like Kamala Harris for the liberals.

01:06:16.480 She talks down to people.

01:06:17.960 It's crazy.

01:06:18.560 And, yes, Swedish Baker, 7,000 people watching right now is absolutely insane.

01:06:23.360 And, yes, definitely new blue.

01:06:24.780 New blue is fantastic.

01:06:27.100 I vote new blue.

01:06:27.800 They only got 1.6% of the vote this last election, but it was a snap election where it was hard for them to get candidates.

01:06:33.200 And they even tried to get as many as they could.

01:06:34.860 A lot of their own people didn't believe them that there was going to be a snap election because who's going to call a snap election in the middle of a polar vortex?

01:06:42.120 But they did.

01:06:42.600 But they managed to maintain most of their vote in the previous election, and I even flew out there on my own expense to help them.

01:06:48.560 So, in Ottawa, first riding, if it's going to flip blue, it's going to go Greg Kuhn first.

01:06:53.620 Then it's going to go Ryan Telford and Ottawa West Nepean.

01:06:56.920 In theory, this is a more red riding than Nepean where Barbara Ball is facing off against Mark Carney. 0.99

01:07:03.140 But the thing with Ryan Telford's riding is there is a higher Jewish population who absolutely rightfully hates the liberals right now. 1.00

01:07:12.600 Obviously, some Jewish people are still voting liberal, but Orthodox and conservative Jewish people are doing that.

01:07:18.380 Oh, by the way, everyone say hi to Miss Brittany who is driving, hopefully driving people to the polls because whoever she's driving is going to get the win. 0.93

01:07:29.040 But, yeah, Brittany has been doing a fantastic job going absolutely everywhere. 1.00

01:07:33.700 Brittany's asking, what's happening?

01:07:35.200 Well, what's happening, Brittany, is Bluefinland is happening.

01:07:39.340 We are currently winning three seats in Newfoundland when many people were saying the conservatives were going to be lucky if they just held on to central Newfoundland.

01:07:47.760 We are winning that one by a large margin.

01:07:49.580 And we are actually extending the lead right now in Terranova and Long Range Mountain.

01:07:54.840 It's actually going sparklingly well.

01:07:57.640 So, yes, everything's great.

01:08:01.580 So, yeah.

01:08:02.580 And then the last one after Ryan Telford, if he wins, so first one to go is going to be Greg Kung.

01:08:09.120 If we get a blue riding in the Ottawa area, it's going to be Kanata first.

01:08:12.520 And that's going to be Ottawa West Nepean, especially because guess what?

01:08:15.560 But Carney running in Nepean has been, like, stealing people from his fellow liberal candidates.

01:08:23.020 And Nita Vandenbelt in Ottawa West Nepean, I've heard, is hemorrhaging her volunteers to Carney in Nepean. 0.97

01:08:30.060 And then the last one to fall would be Barbara Ball. 1.00

01:08:33.060 She would maybe flip Nepean blue.

01:08:35.300 It's a tough task because she is currently up against the boss out there.

01:08:40.320 And so, yeah, it's all going quite well in that regard.

01:08:43.440 So, I do like the whole bluefin land thing.

01:08:47.420 I hope that becomes a thing.

01:08:49.760 Yeah, so, everyone, pray for the victory.

01:08:52.500 We're doing well.

01:08:55.720 William Mucklock says, shut up about Ottawa right now.

01:08:58.220 I'm sorry if Ottawa is a sore topic for you.

01:09:02.120 But right now it's 22 liberal, 10 conservative, 1 bloc Quebecois.

01:09:06.240 Remember, in the Maritimes, which is basically the only thing that's being counted right now,

01:09:10.480 if the conservatives can get 10, that's great.

01:09:12.540 If they can get 9, that's great.

01:09:14.040 If they can get 8, that's acceptable.

01:09:16.300 If we can get 10 or 11, we're in business.

01:09:20.000 We are, you know, we're in the money.

01:09:22.400 So, that's all great.

01:09:24.800 Going to new comments.

01:09:27.860 $5 from Sophia6547.

01:09:31.440 $5 says, your coverage of the campaign has kept me sane throughout the whole election.

01:09:35.120 Thank you.

01:09:35.580 Well, thank you for watching, Sophie.

01:09:36.940 Will T for $2 says, Carney is dropping on Polymarket.

01:09:41.780 I'm going to give a check another.

01:09:43.120 I'm going to take another look at that.

01:09:44.500 Thank you for sending $2.

01:09:47.000 I'm going to just reload this and see what's going on on Polymarket.

01:09:49.900 It's kind of a little bit back and forth I'm seeing.

01:09:55.420 I think actually it's hard to really see where different people are at right now on Polymarket

01:10:01.300 because I think it kind of wades back and forth.

01:10:03.100 Polymarket is still rated at a liberal majority, but that's just based on bets previously.

01:10:17.840 And obviously, it's going to bake in all the bets when people were very down on the conservatives.

01:10:22.140 Chris C for $6.99.

01:10:24.360 Can you comment on the Rebel News CBC situation at the debate?

01:10:27.400 It sounds like Ezra just tried to ask them a question and CBC called him a terrorist.

01:10:31.440 Well, they didn't call him a terrorist, but CBC was just being really petty.

01:10:37.060 They were attacking him during their coverage of the debates.

01:10:40.880 He walked over to them, asked them,

01:10:42.420 Hey, can I sit on your panel and respond to some of the things you're saying?

01:10:46.040 And they're like, No, we're currently on air, and they obviously weren't.

01:10:50.360 And they've been attacking him since then and blaming him for the question,

01:10:55.220 the Q&A being canceled for the English debate.

01:10:57.820 You can think what you want about Ezra Levant in Rebel News.

01:11:00.680 I tend to like them.

01:11:01.980 They were not the reason the Q&A was canceled.

01:11:04.120 If anything, I think the main reason was because Carney had a bad night.

01:11:08.220 Nancy for $13.99 says, and thank you for that. 0.95

01:11:11.760 Love your poll.

01:11:12.560 Education from you, Wyatt.

01:11:13.680 Come on, blue baby all the way. 1.00

01:11:16.400 Well, thank you.

01:11:17.000 And I hope I am there hoping with you.

01:11:19.000 Nozica for $2.00 says, me, my parents, and even my grandfather voted blue.

01:11:26.420 Fantastic.

01:11:28.580 $5.00 from super duper popular YouTuber.

01:11:31.920 Says, if CBC wins the majority, I'll tattoo, hey guys, why Claypool here?

01:11:36.120 Why Claypool on my leg?

01:11:37.960 Don't do that.

01:11:39.200 Please don't do that.

01:11:40.300 Please don't put my name on your leg.

01:11:43.120 I don't want you to be embarrassed.

01:11:47.260 JQK for $27.99 says, get him off. 0.97

01:11:49.860 Well, there's nothing wrong with Daniel, guys.

01:11:52.420 I also, I like to bounce off of someone on my show.

01:11:57.180 Cooper2012 says, nothing for $6.99.

01:11:59.420 Well, thank you for contributing to the campaign or to the, you know, to the show.

01:12:07.000 I'm wondering if I ever, is there anything I can even show here from the thing?

01:12:10.520 Well, I put up the change things on my set.

01:12:12.380 Usually I try and show things from my set, but I don't really have anything around today.

01:12:19.340 MIH3504 for $10.00 says, thanks, Wyatt.

01:12:21.220 Well, thank you for watching.

01:12:23.260 Yoams for $10.00 says, Terra Nova is my riding.

01:12:26.000 It's all been an uphill battle, convincing people not to trust CBC.

01:12:29.740 We will stay blue.

01:12:30.820 Thanks, Wyatt.

01:12:31.460 Well, actually, Terra Nova.

01:12:33.660 Oh, okay, Terra Nova.

01:12:34.500 I was thinking of, oh, no, no, wait, wait.

01:12:36.260 Isn't Terra Nova the one in Newfoundland?

01:12:40.780 Because if you're winning Terra Nova, no, yeah, you're in Newfoundland.

01:12:44.300 It wasn't an uphill battle to hold the riding.

01:12:46.540 We actually always, the liberals had the riding and now we're taking it back.

01:12:51.380 So if you are going around hitting doors and this is the result of it,

01:12:54.660 you've been doing very good work.

01:12:57.440 Ian Bruce for $13.99 says, current Fork McMurray, Alberta resident, formerly from Miramichi.

01:13:04.800 I think I'm saying that right.

01:13:06.180 I might keep devolving into what I said before.

01:13:08.540 I can say that the conservative support from Miramichi, Granite Lake on social media

01:13:14.420 and on the ground is massive, very confident.

01:13:16.220 Go pure poly.

01:13:16.880 I was always a little bit skeptical because of what happened provincially there,

01:13:21.460 that the PCs lost both Blaine Higgs as well as Fetine Garicetti.

01:13:28.660 Doodlebug for $2 says, I am not optimistic about the current results.

01:13:32.120 Again, remember that we are currently looking at what is not a very good area for the conservatives

01:13:36.900 and they're doing absolutely fine.

01:13:39.080 They're, in fact, doing way better in the popular vote than people expected.

01:13:42.520 The results are still 22 liberal, 10 conservative, one bloc Québécois because only one bloc riding

01:13:48.100 has started counting.

01:13:49.520 And again, this is all perfectly fine.

01:13:52.400 Miramichi, Granite Lake is actually now up for the conservatives quite a bit.

01:13:58.800 And we have South Shore St. Margaret's currently leading liberal, which would be a pickup for

01:14:04.820 the liberals, which sucks for us.

01:14:06.460 But we are actually ahead in two other ridings that we didn't win last time.

01:14:09.660 So everything is just completely up in the air.

01:14:12.400 And of course, we have a blue Finland to lean on over here.

01:14:19.920 Ooh, this is actually not too, this is actually a decently close riding.

01:14:24.260 Look at that.

01:14:25.100 So we have the liberal incumbent only at 52.7% in this riding to 35.4% for the conservative.

01:14:31.120 I expect they're going to hold this one.

01:14:33.340 But I actually would like to see how they usually do in this riding.

01:14:37.200 St. John's East.

01:14:38.120 Let's go check out what St. John's East is usually like.

01:14:45.440 And sorry if my computer shakes when I type.

01:14:47.580 It's just bad, very, very bad stabilization on this laptop stand.

01:14:52.780 I have been through three laptop stands up to this point.

01:14:55.440 It's pathetic.

01:14:56.420 I cannot find one that isn't too narrow, that doesn't bounce a lot, or it's too low and doesn't

01:15:01.220 actually help me in any way.

01:15:03.500 Oh my goodness, everyone's texting me.

01:15:05.060 And by the way, everyone, since there are 7,200 of you watching, if you are not yet

01:15:10.560 currently a subscriber, please go hit the subscribe button, hit the like button on the video,

01:15:14.900 do all that fantastic stuff.

01:15:16.680 We're trying to reach 100,000 subscribers by the end of the year.

01:15:21.040 And if I don't, I owe all my friends dinner.

01:15:23.520 And if I win, they just owe me dinner, which means they give me 50 bucks.

01:15:26.580 I deliberately made a stupid bet to motivate myself.

01:15:30.580 But we got St. John's East.

01:15:32.220 Last election, it went 45 Liberal, 34 NDP, 18 Conservatives.

01:15:37.800 So the Conservatives are way up in St. John's East comparatively.

01:15:41.140 And the collapse of the NDP has benefited the Liberals, but only by a few points.

01:15:46.200 It's actually mostly been benefiting the Conservatives, it seems.

01:15:50.580 Because look at this.

01:15:51.760 We'll just go back to the results here.

01:15:52.960 52 Liberal, 35 Conservative, 11 NDP.

01:15:58.960 But last time, it was 45 Liberal, 34 NDP, 18 Conservative.

01:16:03.560 So you can kind of see how things have shifted around.

01:16:07.820 Okay, I'm going to keep going around.

01:16:09.900 So it's still 22, 10, 1.

01:16:12.000 Not much to report there at the moment.

01:16:15.340 But yeah, I think this is all going pretty well for the Conservatives so far.

01:16:19.420 Thanks for everyone watching along.

01:16:21.340 One dollar from Ghost Plays.

01:16:24.320 Thank you for the one dollar.

01:16:27.340 420 Hitter for $5 says second seat called for Conservatives.

01:16:31.100 Yes, I think that was...

01:16:33.800 Which one has been called for the Conservatives now?

01:16:36.820 I only know of Central Nova at the moment, and maybe it's a little bit different elsewhere.

01:16:40.620 Oh, no, you're right.

01:16:41.580 Long Range Mountain is now called for the Conservatives, as well as Tobiak, Mack and Mack, I don't even know that riding name.

01:16:49.120 I can't say it at all.

01:16:50.760 But that's going well.

01:16:53.240 Central Nova is still up for the Conservatives, but the Liberals are up in South Shore St. Margaret's.

01:16:57.460 That would kind of be funny if it's a bit of a flip-flop.

01:16:59.740 The safe Conservative riding goes red, and the safe Liberal riding goes blue.

01:17:04.920 So who knows how that's going to shake out as time goes on.

01:17:08.740 Dash1-2 for $5 says we're going to be stuck looking at Jenny Petipas, Taylor's stupid bull cut for another four years. 1.00

01:17:19.400 Jeanette.

01:17:19.740 Okay, I don't know who that is.

01:17:21.940 I assume that's the Liberal candidate in your riding, or somewhere like that.

01:17:27.620 Ben Zubin for $5 says, any possible chance to have vote counter up?

01:17:32.760 I can probably, maybe you can do that a little bit here as I'm talking, and then just have it sat here like this.

01:17:47.400 Okay, I'm just going to do this.

01:17:49.740 This is easier, and then I can shove it over in the corner there.

01:17:54.880 So hopefully you guys don't mind that, but this is the current results, and then I can look at detailed stuff as we go.

01:18:00.400 Ghost plays for $2 says it ain't a gamble if you're 100% sure.

01:18:05.200 Well, fair enough.

01:18:05.960 If you want to bet on Polymarket, you can.

01:18:07.780 If you feel like it's a 100% certainty, the Conservatives are winning.

01:18:11.580 I like Daniel Boardman's theory that actually maybe the Chinese government or someone like that is going to put money onto Kearney on Polymarket

01:18:18.460 just for the propaganda value.

01:18:19.980 $6.99 from Desperation05.

01:18:26.340 Don't forget, folks, Stephen Harper's first term as a PM was served as a minority government.

01:18:30.720 In fact, it was two terms.

01:18:32.580 He had 2006 and 2008 and only won the majority in 2011.

01:18:39.120 Mr. Donkey for $2.

01:18:40.440 Does Polyef state leader if the Liberals win a majority?

01:18:42.620 I don't know then.

01:18:44.500 I think then I would just say that what you would say in that situation is he has to prove himself probably.

01:18:51.740 Critical and Joyer says whoever wins, Jesus is still king, and I can absolutely agree with that. 1.00

01:18:57.880 Everything is providence, and we don't have to worry if we know that we are not in control.

01:19:02.300 So, JQK for $6.99 says, five minutes ago, the guy was bashing Pierre.

01:19:09.300 Get him off. 0.98

01:19:10.160 Wyatt, your solo analysis is 100 times better.

01:19:12.180 I think Daniel's fine.

01:19:13.540 I find the analysis from the more negative perspective totally okay.

01:19:20.260 I'd go into more negative analysis, too, depending on what comments are made.

01:19:24.480 Because, again, we always want to be able to criticize our own side, or we quickly kind of turn into hacks.

01:19:30.460 If we only ever say good stuff, and whenever bad stuff happens, we explain it away.

01:19:35.020 It's like every once in a while, I would have people saying, Wyatt, don't bring up your nomination in Calgary, Signal Hill, and being unfairly disqualified.

01:19:42.260 It's bad for the party.

01:19:43.540 It's like, I'm not going to go on and on about it, but mentioning it's not wrong. 1.00

01:19:48.180 And by the way, I did run for the conservative, the Signal Hill nomination.

01:19:52.080 Again, I had like 1,000 supporters, but apparently certain people didn't want me to run.

01:19:57.260 Annoying.

01:19:58.360 But I agree with people from before saying that we do need EDA reform and let EDAs pick their candidates more transparently.

01:20:08.560 My current guy, who's running in my riding, I voted for him.

01:20:11.480 David McKenzie's a good guy.

01:20:15.420 But for any of you filtering in, because it's a couple hundred new people every few minutes,

01:20:19.360 by the way, this is currently a very, very, very good result for the Liberals.

01:20:24.080 The Liberals at one point thought that they were going to be able to extract 27 seats out of the Maritimes.

01:20:28.720 They're currently getting 22, and the conservatives are overperforming by a couple seats.

01:20:33.260 Obviously, it could fall back a bit, but even if it falls back a bit, it's tight.

01:20:37.680 And the popular vote being tight in the Maritimes means it might not go very well for the Liberals elsewhere.

01:20:43.200 Doodlebug for $5 says, I have to be honest, I am not optimistic about the current results.

01:20:49.080 Rebel News has already called it for the Liberals.

01:20:51.180 Did they?

01:20:52.180 That's, okay, did they actually call it for the Liberals?

01:20:55.100 Because if they did, I think they're just not, you know, I just don't think they know what they're talking about.

01:21:00.900 Yeah, so I don't even know what to say to that.

01:21:04.160 Yeah, like it's super, super early.

01:21:06.920 Obviously, anyone could win, but I don't think that we're at the point where you could call it for anyone.

01:21:11.080 My goodness.

01:21:12.580 $6.99 from John Cooper.

01:21:14.200 Missed you in Kanata.

01:21:15.160 My 14-year-old son put in over 100 Kung signs.

01:21:18.360 Fantastic.

01:21:19.060 And that is 100 out of 2,900 because that's how many requests I heard that they had gotten.

01:21:24.660 That is not something that happens in a riding where the Liberals are going to win it by 10 points.

01:21:29.520 That's what happens in a riding where it's going to be tight.

01:21:33.400 Or I could actually see Greg Kung absolutely demolish Jenna Suds.

01:21:37.620 She's just a textbook bad candidate. 1.00

01:21:39.540 She has the tendency, like Kamala Harris, not that I want to make it about American politics, to talk down to people.

01:21:46.000 Like, I remember this video she had made about a school lunch program.

01:21:49.280 And she's talking like this about how, have you ever been to school and you didn't have enough food?

01:21:55.580 And it makes it harder to learn.

01:21:57.360 And it's like that for like minutes at a time.

01:21:59.600 It's like everyone, Jenna, just treat us like we're humans.

01:22:02.540 But yeah, good job for you guys putting in signs.

01:22:08.000 That is very good.

01:22:09.180 It helps loosen people up signs.

01:22:11.640 Nobody votes for a party just because something was stuck in their door.

01:22:15.140 Not many people are like that.

01:22:16.680 But putting something in people's doors do and what putting up a sign does is to quote the show Mad Men.

01:22:22.780 It's like advertising.

01:22:24.680 What you're saying with your election advertisements is, guess what?

01:22:28.660 Some of it's persuasive, but most of it's saying, guess what?

01:22:31.540 You're okay.

01:22:32.640 No matter what you do, you're okay.

01:22:35.940 I mean, if you vote conservative, that's fine.

01:22:37.880 Look at all the other people who are voting conservative.

01:22:39.840 That's what all this promotional stuff does, is it makes people more likely to follow through on something that they were already leaning towards.

01:22:46.640 Epic Encore for $10 says, I came from Brazil and lived through these failed liberal policies.

01:22:53.020 It's like a horror movie replay.

01:22:54.660 Vote for change before a decline.

01:22:56.520 Seen it before, there, and now.

01:22:58.400 Here, bad policies destroy nations fast.

01:23:00.980 Absolutely, I agree with that.

01:23:02.740 And I get annoyed because I have a master's degree in policy.

01:23:06.500 And the main thing that thing taught me was I don't like policy people.

01:23:10.500 Policy people think you can achieve utopia through the right regulations and legislation.

01:23:15.020 You cannot.

01:23:15.720 In fact, the more regulation and legislation you have, the worse things are going to be.

01:23:20.860 You might have noticed that Carney and the liberals picked up one seat on the counter.

01:23:24.620 It's just because they've counted very few votes along that New Brunswick border, where I believe the Bloc Quebecois historically usually win that area.

01:23:33.080 $10 from Peeper Jean.

01:23:35.820 For Polly from Wyoming, I'm so thankful for your channel.

01:23:38.400 It's my go-to for info on neighbors up north.

01:23:41.080 Oh, so you're an actual American who's just frankly interested in Canadian politics.

01:23:45.840 I guess that's kind of like me watching not just American politics, because I think everyone's interested in American politics no matter where you're from.

01:23:53.040 But I kind of like to follow UK politics a little bit.

01:23:56.480 I find it sort of neat.

01:23:58.020 I like to see the, you know, I find that there's a lot of similarities between parties there.

01:24:03.640 But look, speak of the devil.

01:24:05.880 I actually didn't bring him up that recently.

01:24:07.440 But speak of the devil anyways.

01:24:08.900 Daniel Boardman is back.

01:24:10.220 Why is this so small?

01:24:12.000 There we go.

01:24:12.320 Yeah, things are going really well so far.

01:24:16.900 Dash1-2 says Long Range Mountain, Newfoundland riding is at 54% CPC.

01:24:22.020 338 Canada has it at 47%.

01:24:24.600 So we're seeing over-performances all over the place at the moment.

01:24:28.020 Obviously, it could switch out.

01:24:30.080 But 23 to 10, that one extra seat for the Liberals coming from the Bloc in Quebec, where they really haven't counted any votes at all yet.

01:24:38.860 Bibliotheque.

01:24:40.040 It's been holding up.

01:24:40.900 This is a happy drink, then.

01:24:43.840 Yeah, fair enough.

01:24:45.640 You're having one for me, Daniel.

01:24:48.240 I need as much coffee as I can get.

01:24:51.560 Yeah.

01:24:52.120 Like, what I'm actually kind of impressed by is, like, you look at some of these ridings that we're supposed to close.

01:24:56.740 These aren't, like, nail biters in some of them.

01:24:59.300 Like, there's some real, like, you know, push.

01:25:05.380 But, again, I was stuck in India and not able to look at the data for the last half an hour.

01:25:09.480 Yeah, what were they asking you about over there?

01:25:13.420 General election questions.

01:25:15.000 What's the frame of this and that?

01:25:16.740 How's it going on?

01:25:17.580 How's Mark Carney trying to sell it?

01:25:19.800 You know, I told them my theory on, you know, this election is basically a question of who do you hate more?

01:25:25.160 Donald Trump or Justin Trudeau?

01:25:27.300 And neither is on the ballot.

01:25:28.860 And that's kind of what the question is about.

01:25:35.860 You weren't here for this, but I was looking at St. John's East when you were off.

01:25:39.540 Right now it's 54 to 33 for the Liberals.

01:25:42.700 This was a predictable one to go for the Liberals.

01:25:45.340 But right now what's so impressive about it is the Conservatives only got 18% of the vote in that riding last time.

01:25:50.740 And the NDP was at 34, which demonstrates NDP collapse does not necessarily benefit the Liberals.

01:25:56.700 In working class parts of the country, you're going to see NDP splitting Conservative.

01:26:02.580 Downtown Toronto, Parkdale High Park, University Rosedale.

01:26:06.960 Yeah, NDP is probably going to just be going progressive and going liberal.

01:26:10.340 But in Hamilton, in southwestern Ontario, you're going to see a lot of NDP actually splitting towards Conservatives.

01:26:16.280 But what else do we got going on here?

01:26:20.740 But I'll get to the next question we had.

01:26:22.840 Patty C, Everston, new change now lumped in the northeast still CPC.

01:26:29.460 Northwest changed.

01:26:31.160 Is this another riding in the Maritimes?

01:26:35.180 If it is, if you're talking about a riding in the Maritimes, if you were blue before, you're probably still blue now.

01:26:42.400 So, Sally Paranjab, 999, says, what's happening with Abbotsford?

01:26:49.760 Well, Abbotsford is a very interesting riding in this election, and we will be getting to that one later as the counting starts.

01:26:56.680 And we will be following those results very closely, specifically the riding of Abbotsford-South Langley,

01:27:03.360 where Mike Deong, the former BC Liberal and United MLA, remember the BC Liberals used to be the kind of big tent party.

01:27:10.860 He ran for the Conservative nomination and was kicked out.

01:27:15.260 And then this guy, Sukhman Gill, who is a 24-year-old basically co-blueberry farmer with his dad, became the candidate in a circumstance, I would say, is less than up and up.

01:27:26.280 And Mike Deong decided, with all of his clout and his name recognition, to run as an independent.

01:27:30.920 And based off of the internal polls he's been releasing, maybe it's all made up and it's all vaporware, but I don't think he would really do that and embarrass herself if he knew you were down.

01:27:39.200 It's actually showing that Mike Deong, as the independent in that riding, might beat Sukhman Gill,

01:27:44.040 which is kind of a repudiation of the party for choosing candidates in the way they have in certain ridings.

01:27:53.540 I'll text you how much it's alleged within the inner circles that his dad has spent on the surrounding ridings to buy his seat.

01:28:01.780 Well, I am not expecting, I'm not expecting less than $100,000.

01:28:08.480 Yeah, it's not less than that, but this is how much apparently was spent to get him into the party in total.

01:28:13.500 Okay.

01:28:14.180 Well, that was a number I just saw.

01:28:17.020 Miguel Jackson says, for $2, Carney went from 80% to 53% on Pauly Market in one hour.

01:28:22.440 Is it still like that?

01:28:24.520 I think it's, I think you have to like look at the up-to-date stuff, not just the overall, but right now it says 26 to 74 for me, but I think I need to look at the instant one.

01:28:36.400 I'm not sure if I can actually do that, but I'll just leave that for now.

01:28:39.560 I don't care too much about the Pauly Market, but OldManFor$50 says, thank you very much for that.

01:28:45.300 I appreciate, appreciate your coverage, why it's my turn to show the better YouTubers some support, go blue.

01:28:50.900 Well, thank you for that and thank you for all the support.

01:28:53.440 By the way, for anyone supporting the channel right now, we actually just got into a really good place in the lawsuit that I haven't mentioned in a while.

01:29:00.500 The guy who was suing me, and I'm free and safe to mention this in the middle of the video, his entire legal team quit on him.

01:29:07.440 Oh, nice.

01:29:08.220 And so we're, you know, we're filing whatever, we're just going to keep proceeding like, yeah, we're just going to keep proceeding because I don't care about that.

01:29:15.160 I don't care that you potentially ticked off all your lawyers and they don't want to work for you anymore.

01:29:20.560 There you go.

01:29:23.900 JQK, some people don't like you, $13.99.

01:29:25.960 Thanks for getting Dan off.

01:29:27.340 Well, Dan's back, so you have to deal with it.

01:29:29.940 I need someone to bounce off of or I'm going to go insane here.

01:29:33.560 But I will be bringing the map back up.

01:29:38.160 Hey, wow.

01:29:39.040 Okay, are things actually tight on, oh, whoa, Edgemont's actually kind of tight.

01:29:44.280 489 votes.

01:29:44.880 I don't suspect the Conservatives are going to win this one, but I'd almost like to see how the Conservatives did in Edgemont in 2021.

01:29:57.480 Because this is kind of like what you do when you're watching an American election.

01:30:03.280 And you're seeing, like, oh, Coffee County.

01:30:07.280 How is Coffee County doing in Georgia?

01:30:09.220 How is Fulton County doing?

01:30:12.220 And it kind of gives you a taste for, really, where is the national mood at?

01:30:19.140 If this rioting or this county went from plus 7 Liberal and it's now plus 7 Conservative, you're probably not going to have that be a fairly localized thing.

01:30:29.440 It's probably going to be more broad.

01:30:32.340 But I have right here, we have Edgemont.

01:30:36.140 I'm not going to bring you on screen, but I'm just going to tell you what it was in 21.

01:30:38.480 So the redistributed results based on the new area says that rioting in 2021 was 45 Liberal, 31 Conservative.

01:30:47.340 That is crazy that it's that tight.

01:30:50.280 Absolutely nuts that we have an election that's that tight in the rioting like Edgemont.

01:30:54.240 Omar for 279 says, let's go.

01:30:58.500 Let's go.

01:31:00.000 Frankie Burnell just says nothing for 279 because he just wants to help out the show.

01:31:06.140 Good man.

01:31:06.640 I'm going to try to get back to some live chat because, my goodness, we have 7,100 people watching.

01:31:14.520 People are saying they're still a little pessimistic.

01:31:17.600 I am so much more optimistic than I was coming into this.

01:31:21.760 Like, if Liberals win, it's going to be the weirdest election ever.

01:31:26.520 It's going to be the weirdest election ever.

01:31:27.640 But, like, because, I mean, I was, I mean, I'm in Toronto.

01:31:31.560 So, like, what worried me is, like, I didn't see a lot of signs here.

01:31:36.480 Listen, I know Toronto's red.

01:31:37.900 But, I mean, I've lived here all my life.

01:31:40.140 I've seen there were less blue signs in, like, the, you know, African-American-class neighborhoods and places we expect to see a bit more.

01:31:49.940 So, I was kind of using that as sort of a real-life indicator of where things are going.

01:31:55.940 But the early results I'm seeing are much, much better than I thought it would be.

01:32:02.220 And also, like, the Conservative Party didn't even predict this.

01:32:07.520 The Conservative Party itself, if you talk to some of their insiders, they were doom and gloom the last few days.

01:32:14.300 I heard that, too.

01:32:16.220 At the same time, it's not because they have, oftentimes people in side parties do not have a better inside track on what's going on than anyone else.

01:32:24.180 Oftentimes, they are also freaking out about polls that, if they just visited some of their ridings, they're like, this is actually going great.

01:32:30.140 And what I've heard throughout the campaign that's going very well, outside of maybe some messaging failures I would have mentioned, or I think missed opportunities here and there.

01:32:38.020 The thing that's been good is ground game.

01:32:40.540 In most of the ridings, I've heard the ground game is fantastic.

01:32:43.220 I was saying this, I'm going to run through it very quickly here.

01:32:45.880 I was in Ottawa not long ago, and, like, legitimately, if it goes blue, we're going to see probably Panada go blue first with Greg,

01:32:53.480 and then we're going to see Ottawa-West Nepean go blue with Ryan Telford, and then Nepean.

01:32:58.320 Because Kari has been poaching volunteers from those two ridings, and many people are sick of the incumbents.

01:33:03.700 Yeah, that's, I mean, this might be the story of that, and I thought that would be the kind of story that hurt the conservatives,

01:33:10.900 sort of the dropping people into rioting and the poaching and all that.

01:33:14.800 But if it comes back to hurt the liberals, hey, I'd rather have the cautionary tale about respecting grassroots politics

01:33:25.780 be at the expense of the Liberal Party and Mark Carney than at the conservatives.

01:33:29.060 So, looks like I can still have that rant tomorrow, but if I get to rant and yell at Mark Carney tomorrow for being an idiot, I'll take it.

01:33:38.280 Fair enough.

01:33:38.940 Red Wine here says, downtown Toronto last week I saw more lineups for the food bank than signs.

01:33:43.980 And that, your point, he's pointing to something I think is actually really important here.

01:33:48.820 And that's where I think that people, if they're not just, and the thing is, it looks like actually older voters are actually more conservative than the polls are showing.

01:33:57.420 But unless you're sat at home just watching legacy media all day, you don't need to really leave the house unless you're, you know, just getting groceries.

01:34:04.660 You can live in a world where nothing's wrong.

01:34:06.780 But most people, especially middle-aged people and younger people going to work every day, you eventually see how bad things are.

01:34:14.300 Like, and I'm not trying to, I don't want to bring this up rudely, but with that attack or ramming that happened at the Lapu Festival in Vancouver, it wasn't a terrorist.

01:34:24.860 It seems like it was like a guy who's extremely mentally unwell.

01:34:28.140 Just someone who should have been in jail or an asylum, like very clearly, like. 0.99

01:34:32.160 Someone who probably should have had their driver's license taken away, if it's somebody who's seeing aliens, not to be too, you know, rude about it, but like, in terms of like, people died, but not to be rude about it.

01:34:42.460 But like, if someone's insane, you should probably be taking away the driver's license if you don't trust them with a motor vehicle.

01:34:47.680 But I'm not, again, I'm not trying to exploit this, but a lot of people probably saw that and thought, my goodness, everything sucks.

01:34:54.320 I mean, really, this is just becoming a city of chaos, and the government's letting it happen.

01:34:59.280 And even though there's the municipal government and the provincial government who have probably even more say over this stuff happening, the federal government isn't stepping in and saying, hey, no, you guys can't have safe supply drugs everywhere.

01:35:10.540 You can't have decriminalization.

01:35:12.260 That's insane.

01:35:12.880 And I think everyone just sees this as a metastasization of stupid liberal policy on three levels of government.

01:35:20.480 Yeah, that's good.

01:35:22.600 And I like how the people in the chat think I'm drunk already, which is a good sign for the conservative party, because I literally just opened my first beer to celebrate.

01:35:30.060 And you can tell it's, I guess I'm looking happy.

01:35:32.220 It's happy, Daniel, because I thought this would be a disaster of a night.

01:35:35.340 So just naturally exuding so much joy.

01:35:39.000 Don't worry, guys.

01:35:39.580 I'll get hammered.

01:35:40.880 But by the end of this, we'll have tipsy Daniel.

01:35:43.200 And when you get tipsy Daniel, then we'll get some good analysis.

01:35:45.500 But right now, we're in pleasantly surprise Daniel mode.

01:35:49.660 Yeah, we're going to put a – Daniel's going to put a lampshade on his head to show that things are good later on.

01:35:57.900 Gary Attrick says, is it a good night?

01:36:01.740 How so?

01:36:02.400 It's a good night because currently, guys, if you haven't noticed, Bluefinland showed up to play.

01:36:08.560 And currently, we're leading in two ridings that the polls showed that there was no chance of the conservatives winning,

01:36:14.120 because the liberals won them last time, but the fishermen showed up.

01:36:18.520 If you saw – it was a bigger indicator than any poll.

01:36:22.380 In fact, all the polling in the Maritimes looked like complete garbage now.

01:36:26.840 That when you see fishermen – and this is why I basically ignored most of the Atlantic numbers every time I did polling,

01:36:32.960 because I just didn't trust it.

01:36:34.420 If fishermen are leaving work at night and deciding instead of going out with some friends,

01:36:40.100 instead of going home to see the wife and kids, I'm going to go and show up and protest a Mark Carney campaign launch event in St. John's,

01:36:47.800 that means something.

01:36:49.220 That's not just people – they usually do that.

01:36:51.800 No, they do not.

01:36:52.440 These are guys in their 20s, 30s, and 40s deciding to do this.

01:36:55.660 Yeah, I mean, yeah, when it's like a professional protester at 20 years old with the purple – you go to that.

01:37:03.180 But, yeah, when it's working – when working-class employed people come out and coordinate it, yeah, that's a completely different game then.

01:37:11.560 I know they don't want the comparison, but – because there's still polls open, and maybe the media's going to clip this.

01:37:16.560 But, dear Polly, if you were to compare him to Donald Trump in any way, he has a unique way of getting working-class men out to vote.

01:37:22.740 And that's probably just saying anyone who has a little bit more of a populist style tends to get working-class men out, and that is the formula for winning.

01:37:30.860 I think it was always overstated how much older voters didn't like pure Pollyov and how much women didn't like Pollyov, 0.86

01:37:37.180 because there's always been the shy conservative – there's always been a shy conservative effect in the polls where it's always considered the American choice.

01:37:45.780 So are you really going to tell a pollster you're voting for the conservative party?

01:37:49.240 Even though pollsters have privacy regulations they follow, they cannot leak who you told them that you're voting for, whether it's online or on the phone.

01:37:56.360 A lot of people don't know that, and they don't want to say anything.

01:37:59.720 Yeah, it's a scary thing.

01:38:00.860 This is why we always talk about, like, be proud conservatives if you want to drive up the poll numbers.

01:38:05.480 Like, if you're trying to play defense on the conservative policy, it will sort of bring out this.

01:38:12.120 But if you're a strong leader and, like, just put forward – and that was, like, pure strength, right?

01:38:16.340 Those rallies where you – again, like, I remember writing the article to defend Pierre Pollyov when they were calling him a populist.

01:38:23.240 And I said, he's not a populist.

01:38:24.840 He's popular.

01:38:26.500 I was actually thinking of that as soon as I called him a populist was that article.

01:38:29.900 Yeah.

01:38:30.300 Like, you know, he's popular.

01:38:31.820 And the reasons why he's popular is because if you listen to Pierre break down an issue – like, those videos he would do on, like, you know, this is why Canada loves Wilfrid Laurier.

01:38:41.000 Here's how you build a house.

01:38:42.240 And here's why lumber is important.

01:38:44.240 And just talking about things like that, that was his real strength.

01:38:47.480 And I think he kind of went away from that for a little bit and started with, like, you know, just Axe Tax and Carbon Tax Carney and Carbon Tax Christia.

01:38:55.500 And then Mark Carney pulled the whole Carbon Tax thing, and that caused a bit of a problem with Conservative HQ.

01:39:02.380 But, you know, Aliyev is really good in that medium 5-10 minute range where he can really reach people and explain on issues.

01:39:11.360 And, you know, I just hope that's enough to carry him here tonight.

01:39:15.320 But, like, I – it's – listen, I do believe a lot of people can be fooled by the,

01:39:22.140 Trudeau, now it's Carney.

01:39:23.280 Ah, Trump.

01:39:23.900 Yeah, that can work.

01:39:26.240 But at the end of the day, like, it is really hard to get people to ignore the last 10 years of liberal failures.

01:39:33.760 And at some point that's got to play because not everyone is watching online media and is hating on the –

01:39:40.480 like, not everyone's, like, a political nerd watching, you know, True North, watching National Telegraph,

01:39:46.260 watching Rebel News, watching all these things on Twitter, whatever.

01:39:49.300 And not everyone is on the – or just watching CBC and CTV all day.

01:39:52.680 But there's a lot of people who just barely engage with any of it.

01:39:56.660 Yeah.

01:39:57.540 Here's proof of it.

01:39:58.740 This is Google Trends today.

01:40:00.120 All the colors match the parties.

01:40:01.960 The Conservatives had a lot of people who were searching them up, probably because, as Ipsos points out,

01:40:06.220 even though I think they're off on the national numbers, they've showed for decades that there's a large portion,

01:40:11.720 half of voters don't even make up their minds until the last three days.

01:40:14.300 And if you're only making up your minds in the last three days, I don't think you're a TDS voter.

01:40:19.980 Yeah.

01:40:20.660 That's – that's –

01:40:22.740 You're not like, now I'm going to engage in the election, grr, Trump.

01:40:26.880 You were grr, Trump two months ago.

01:40:29.620 Yeah, exactly.

01:40:30.300 A lot of people – yeah, the undecided.

01:40:32.740 Like, Canada's undecideds are a very funny bit.

01:40:36.260 But, like, you know, I kind of like – you know, these are the people who go, oh, we don't actually vote for the prime minister.

01:40:41.440 We vote for a local representative.

01:40:44.840 Fair enough.

01:40:45.740 But also – no, but, like, these people – like, there's a lot of people who take the time, like, to, like, I'll read their platforms,

01:40:52.860 I'll listen to the debate, and then I'll make up my mind.

01:40:55.160 You kind of have – you kind of have those people.

01:40:59.820 And I think – you know, I thought Paulie had a good debate.

01:41:04.180 I think he got stronger as the night went on.

01:41:07.600 And my thing on the debate is –

01:41:09.880 I think the good thing about how to – equally good debate, if not a better debate, overall,

01:41:14.960 when you average the performances between French and English.

01:41:17.540 I think that's actually – it was, like, the ideal outcome.

01:41:19.820 Both of them got the shots they needed in, and I think that Carney looked befuddled a little bit.

01:41:26.260 Yeah.

01:41:28.340 At the end, at the beginning in the English debate, I think Carney actually looked kind of good.

01:41:31.860 He wasn't winning, but I think Carney did a good job of not losing, which kind of concerned me.

01:41:36.680 But you're right.

01:41:37.300 The real –

01:41:38.080 You were in the polling because if people only watched a little bit of the debate, it was a little more 50-50 between who was winning.

01:41:43.620 It might have been – his opening statement was okay, and then people log off.

01:41:47.640 Yeah, and that's it.

01:41:48.800 But you're right.

01:41:49.600 Like, the real interesting thing – like, the next interesting thing is, like, okay, Atlantic Canada goes liberal.

01:41:54.400 How does the bloc do?

01:41:56.040 That's the interesting question.

01:41:57.000 It's, like, what the – what the hell is happening in Quebec?

01:41:59.400 Like, that no one can ever predict.

01:42:02.580 Will Quebec be bloc?

01:42:04.600 Will it be liberal?

01:42:08.060 Here is the secret of Quebec, is that Quebec is kind of actually a little bit like, you know, Saskatchewan or something like that.

01:42:17.860 In order for the liberals to jump from the island of Montreal to winning seats out there – I've been comparing this election in a few videos to, if you like World War II analogies, Operation Market Garden.

01:42:28.840 The conservatives need to go and take a bunch of bridges, and they need to get to Arnhem in, like, five days or whatever.

01:42:34.440 And the thing is, the liberals also need to break out of Montreal if they want to raise up the – they want to – you know, they've got to break out of the Coraline pocket, I guess.

01:42:43.320 We're comparing liberals to Nazis here unintentionally.

01:42:46.280 I'm just using World War II analogies.

01:42:47.860 They had to break out of this pocket, or they're not going to be able to run up the score.

01:42:51.000 And right now, the bloc at 30%, 29%, probably holding that donut around Montreal where the liberals can't do well.

01:42:57.900 Because the liberal gains in Quebec, much like liberal gains elsewhere, are in the metropolitan areas they were already popular or places they were never going to win.

01:43:07.880 Yeah, because it's interesting with Quebec because does, like, the threat of annexation, like, make them more Canadian nationalists or French nationalists to protect the French or the Canada?

01:43:20.020 Like, we've never seen anything like this, this type of election, so.

01:43:25.460 Someone says, is that dark-haired stud Italian? 0.61

01:43:30.720 What are you talking about?

01:43:31.580 This is the most Jewish man who's ever existed.

01:43:34.320 Hey, mozzarella, pizza, pizza, Mario, hey.

01:43:39.300 Matzo ball soup.

01:43:40.600 Matzo ball – hey, spicy matzo ball.

01:43:43.800 But someone asked about South Shore St. Margaret's, which is currently being led by the liberals with 354 votes.

01:43:53.320 I have heard at the moment that that one is actually pretty likely to come back conservative.

01:43:58.300 Who knows?

01:43:59.140 Because there's a lot of very remote parts of the riding where counting is going to be a bit slower.

01:44:04.140 What I've heard is that Rick Perkins, the current incumbent there, because suburbs around his area have been moving a little more liberal, he was actually going into what somebody told me is, like, a third-tier rural area in terms of you're on the main drag, then you go dirt road, then you go dirt road again, you go to a small town, and then you take another dirt road even further outside of that small town.

01:44:25.620 And they've been going to those places where usually turnout's like 10% because nobody cares, and that they've been getting really good support out there from people shocked that they even came up to try and encourage people to get out there.

01:44:36.580 But the good thing, though, on this map, guys, is currently Central Nova Scotia, held by the worst immigration minister we've ever had in Canada, Mr. Sean Frazier, and housing minister, is currently being led by Bryce Jenkins by 104 votes, which is higher than the South Shore Liberal lead, so that's great.

01:44:56.600 And Miramichi Grand Lake is currently still with a 493 vote lead for the Liberals, or the Conservatives, with less than half the polls left to count, all going quite well.

01:45:10.480 Yeah, Matthew Kula says, PPC splitting South Shore St. Margaret's?

01:45:14.900 Yeah, kind of. At the end of the day, I think the sort of people voting PPC still, not to be rude, it's people who think they're too good to vote for a mainstream party.

01:45:23.580 If there wasn't a PPC candidate, many of those people probably would not be voting.

01:45:28.440 But that is the thing that drives me up a lot.

01:45:30.720 When I see people, oh, sorry, someone, Mr. Malcolm is correcting me a bit, Miramichi, emphasize the last syllable, say it with me, Daniel, Miramichi.

01:45:40.800 Miramichi.

01:45:41.560 Miramichi.

01:45:42.120 It's me, Miramichi.

01:45:44.360 I'm going to get that right one.

01:45:45.440 Why do you know the pronouns Miramichi?

01:45:48.360 Come on.

01:45:48.860 We're just going to keep comparing very Jewish and very waspy things to Italians for no reason. 1.00

01:45:57.560 But yeah, so right now, that's looking good.

01:46:00.660 That was considered a bellwether.

01:46:01.960 If that went liberal, it's going to be a bad night.

01:46:04.040 But the Conservatives keep it.

01:46:05.140 It's going to be a good night.

01:46:06.340 And right now, it is going well.

01:46:08.260 Thank you for everyone trying to correct my Miramichi still.

01:46:12.900 Now, Daniel, actually, Daniel's probably solved my problem by associating it with Mario.

01:46:17.940 B. Dyke says, thank you for your coverage of this election.

01:46:20.580 Thank you for the $10 super chat supporting the show.

01:46:24.180 420 hitter for $2 says, the star now showing six called for liberals to Conservative.

01:46:28.560 I know I'm a little bit behind.

01:46:29.780 But yeah, they're going to come in a little slower for the Conservatives because these are considered unpredicted wins for the Conservatives.

01:46:36.300 So they're probably going to, their decision desks are probably going to hold up on it a bit more.

01:46:41.980 Reinhardt for $13.99 said, listening while running polls with my wife in Langley, she got a call and illegally hung from a worker that she said was have to win.

01:46:52.660 Thank you.

01:46:55.520 What?

01:46:56.600 Am I reading this wrong?

01:46:58.140 Listening while running polls with my wife in Langley.

01:47:00.520 She just got an illegal hug from a worker that said we have to win.

01:47:04.200 Thank you.

01:47:04.600 Oh, like, I guess one of the poll workers, like, gave her a hug because he's a Conservative.

01:47:11.660 Don't note the poll worker.

01:47:12.580 And so they're running polls by going, getting people out to vote.

01:47:15.960 Very good work, guys.

01:47:17.100 That is absolutely what we need to do to win.

01:47:19.280 Because if you have five teams of people doing that in the areas, you're probably going to be encouraging another per vehicle of people.

01:47:26.900 You're probably encouraging another 25 people each to get out there.

01:47:30.580 And that can absolutely make up the difference.

01:47:33.180 Miguel Jackson for $2 says, last time CPC hit 11 in Atlantic and for the Harper majority.

01:47:42.880 Yes, I think someone's also said 12.

01:47:44.560 It may have been 11.

01:47:45.480 Who knows?

01:47:46.400 But things have shifted.

01:47:48.060 We don't need 10 or 11 or 12.

01:47:51.040 We needed eight to keep it at even.

01:47:53.660 And right now, if I can check in on things, we are currently 22 to 10 still, which means the Conservatives are overperforming their last election by two in a region where even when people were talking about a Conservative minority, it was basically, can you make up for the losses you're going to suffer in the Maritimes?

01:48:11.360 So, yeah, it's all been very good.

01:48:14.120 Boris Sobolev for $27.99.

01:48:17.780 Thank you.

01:48:18.480 Just to support this channel.

01:48:19.820 Well, you're amazing and fantastic.

01:48:24.260 And I want to get back to live chat.

01:48:25.760 I want to kind of jump back and forth.

01:48:30.800 Shimu, is Brookfield losing?

01:48:34.200 Well, I hope they're losing tonight.

01:48:36.240 Someone just said chicken jockey.

01:48:37.360 Oh, we're not going to throw around popcorn.

01:48:49.940 Cynthia Cools Lartegui.

01:48:53.560 I'm so bad with names, guys.

01:48:55.200 I'm deeply sorry.

01:48:56.600 We are currently on our way to Croatia on a river cruise.

01:48:59.220 It's 3.30 a.m.

01:49:00.080 And I just want it to be over.

01:49:01.820 And I just want it over.

01:49:02.960 Well, you're luckier than all of us getting to go on vacation early.

01:49:07.360 Mendel Lovner says Thornhill for Polyev.

01:49:09.960 Absolutely.

01:49:10.720 That is a safe conservative seat out there.

01:49:12.800 Yeah.

01:49:13.040 Thornhill is going to go blue.

01:49:14.220 Yeah.

01:49:16.260 Yeah.

01:49:16.820 Thornhill is not voting liberal, especially not after the last 18 months.

01:49:21.800 Based on what has happened over the last 18 months, I think one of the big pickup areas

01:49:26.080 for the conservatives is going to be York, Vaughn, and Richmond Hill.

01:49:29.280 Richmond Hill especially, because you have the perfect blend of people who hate the liberals.

01:49:33.660 Jewish voters, you have Persian voters, and you have Asian voters.

01:49:39.440 Yep.

01:49:40.580 And King Vaughn, actually.

01:49:41.780 Vaughn is another good pickup area for the conservatives.

01:49:44.640 The problem for the liberals in the York area, Markham, as well as Vaughn and Richmond Hill,

01:49:52.160 is these are areas where there was actually never a lot of NDP vote.

01:49:55.960 So if the conservatives steal votes from the liberals, and let's just assume the liberals

01:50:01.920 grab up two-thirds of the NDP losses, it might not matter because there might be only

01:50:05.740 7% NDP to even steal from in that area, and some of them are still going to stick with

01:50:10.380 NDP.

01:50:11.220 Well, the conservatives are grabbing up like a fifth of the liberal vote.

01:50:15.800 Yeah.

01:50:16.020 Sell-up thing will be gone.

01:50:17.100 Fantastic.

01:50:18.280 Yo, Wyatt, great job.

01:50:19.160 66,000.

01:50:20.000 You're actually close to 100,000.

01:50:21.940 I'll be damned.

01:50:22.620 Yeah, guys, like and subscribe, like and subscribe, or else Wyatt will be sent to the gulags.

01:50:29.240 You know what?

01:50:29.600 If I win, because Daniel did that shout-out, he can come and I'll buy him dinner if I win.

01:50:35.000 There you go.

01:50:35.820 You have to meet my other friends.

01:50:38.480 Very nice.

01:50:40.280 We'll be in Calgary probably this summer.

01:50:42.380 Yeah, fair enough.

01:50:43.500 Well, maybe we'll, obviously, hit it early.

01:50:46.020 Neil Mack.

01:50:46.540 We're talking about doing a combined thing in BC.

01:50:48.600 Well, we'll talk about it later.

01:50:49.420 Neil Mack says, Christians are starting to wake up to the fact our religion is under attack

01:50:54.100 and as well due to the liberals.

01:50:56.360 And there was this crazy policy that was kind of hinted at in the budget where they were going

01:51:01.620 to start taking away charitable tax status from churches who do evangelizing, which is

01:51:06.420 basically saying, let's go after, like, Christians. 0.97

01:51:09.060 Because that doesn't tend to be synagogues. 0.99

01:51:11.640 It doesn't tend to be, like, other sorts of, like, Sikhs don't really do evangelizing. 1.00

01:51:16.580 Well, like, listen, you have the right to recruit, like, evangelizing.

01:51:19.800 If we're going to go after religious institutions who proselytize or evangelize lose their taxes,

01:51:25.940 you have to take away funding from every mosque in the country.

01:51:29.000 Yeah.

01:51:29.420 Right?

01:51:30.040 And there's a 0% chance that's going to happen.

01:51:33.060 Yeah, and I think that's always one of those things where it's going to get destroyed in

01:51:36.060 the courts unless you would have other religious institutions just re-roll themselves as community

01:51:40.780 centers.

01:51:41.500 You know, we're, like, community non-profits or whatever, and we're not churches.

01:51:44.860 We're not actually religious.

01:51:46.020 We're all about culture.

01:51:48.220 And I actually think the real, like, Christianity actually is under attack.

01:51:52.620 Like, the churches are being vandalized and burned.

01:51:54.960 Like, that's...

01:51:55.120 Oh, hey, things are being counted elsewhere.

01:51:56.600 We will get to the map in just a second.

01:51:58.560 I just want to actually talk about this thing that Doot Doot said.

01:52:01.880 YouTuber business low-key cheering for Carney so their business model continues.

01:52:06.080 And, yeah, I actually kind of agree with that.

01:52:08.560 I think there are probably some YouTubers out there who want the liberals to win so

01:52:11.480 then they can keep being like, I'm fighting the good fight against the liberal government.

01:52:15.560 I think people need a break, and I don't think our channel is going to become any more boring

01:52:19.200 if the conservatives win.

01:52:20.320 If anything, it's actually going to be very exciting if a minority government happens 0.99

01:52:23.540 because it's going to be constant fighting all the time with liberals whining at everything

01:52:27.780 that the conservatives are doing.

01:52:30.080 Guys, this is Canada.

01:52:30.920 We're always going to be doing something crazy that we can criticize.

01:52:36.160 So let's jump over to some other numbers.

01:52:38.340 We are starting to get into Les Québécois and also this area.

01:52:44.640 Halder, Menorfolk, obviously.

01:52:45.920 We're going to have Leslie and Lewis probably win this riding. 0.99

01:52:49.460 That's an easy pickup.

01:52:50.880 Oh, we have Ottawa South with one poll.

01:52:53.340 Wow, that's a lot of votes in one poll.

01:52:55.560 That must be early votes if it's just one poll.

01:52:58.340 And right now it's going very liberal in Quebec, but we are literally within a few votes at the moment.

01:53:05.040 And I actually am not that as well versed with where the liberal ridings are in Quebec.

01:53:09.380 I actually want to pull up my map again and just see where we're going.

01:53:13.160 But at the moment, everything's still pretty good for the conservatives.

01:53:15.620 I don't see the liberals doing badly or the block have acquired doing badly when all is said and done.

01:53:21.680 But we will keep monitoring that.

01:53:23.580 Maybe that would be the funniest thing of the night.

01:53:26.080 The conservatives do well everywhere that they're not supposed to do well.

01:53:28.980 But then the block let us down and they fall apart.

01:53:30.860 But the block have seemed very confident overall.

01:53:35.620 Sorry, I want to go back to the Canada 2021 election.

01:53:39.100 Yeah, some of the ones that are actually being called right now or being counted right now, those were actually liberal in 21.

01:53:44.380 So none of this is that shocking.

01:53:46.240 There are some of these slightly rural ridings that go liberal.

01:53:50.400 Okay, we're getting big results now.

01:53:52.080 We are up to actually 17 to 26.

01:53:55.960 I'm going to bring this up.

01:53:56.760 Yeah, bring it up on people like seeing the map and the numbers.

01:54:01.720 So 26, 17, 5.

01:54:04.420 But we have not started counting in the GTA really outside of Halderman Norfolk.

01:54:09.140 And Essex, I think Essex, where did Essex go last time?

01:54:14.180 Essex, if I can see it.

01:54:16.520 Essex went conservative last time.

01:54:18.180 Okay, that would just be a hold.

01:54:19.680 But it would be if they can actually expand their lead in Essex, I believe that's a good thing.

01:54:23.740 Since they did not actually have that great of a showing last time.

01:54:31.680 I always hate when the writing is named something like Essex and you look it up and it's like telling you somewhere in England.

01:54:36.600 And yeah, in 2021, conservatives won at 41% of the vote to 31% for the new Democrats.

01:54:44.780 And the liberals only got 13% of the vote.

01:54:47.320 I wonder if that's going to advantage them heavily there with a lot of people not used to voting liberal at all.

01:54:54.540 So, yeah, right now I'm looking at this map.

01:55:01.580 And other than this one up north, which is only one poll, this is like pretty typical looking for what Quebec's going to start looking like for probably the rest of the night.

01:55:09.520 Oh, that went dark.

01:55:13.220 I'm going to have to reload the map.

01:55:14.560 But yeah, so far nothing too exciting, guys.

01:55:16.780 So that's good.

01:55:17.360 I'm going to go check in with the popular vote.

01:55:21.520 Maybe I'll just display that at the top here for a second.

01:55:29.420 I mean, the other thing to go with, it's a very interesting election because any other election where the conservatives get around 40% of the vote, that's a super majority.

01:55:38.960 You're dealing with very strange times where only Jagmeet could be so...

01:55:45.680 Those are...

01:55:47.360 Those are fine.

01:55:49.340 Again, we're counting...

01:55:50.960 And the block numbers, the block is looking good.

01:55:56.360 So far, so good for the block.

01:55:59.240 And the conservatives holding out east.

01:56:03.840 We have not counted good areas for the conservatives on a regional sort of level.

01:56:08.440 And again, some of the polls were predicting that liberals were going to get 65% of the vote in the Maritimes.

01:56:13.420 Yeah, I mean, so it's such a strange thing with the polling, right?

01:56:21.020 Like, this is good news because a lot of the doomsday was based off of, like, the doomsday polling, which hasn't manifested.

01:56:28.160 And you're right.

01:56:28.500 Like, we're doing, like, I don't know, 10, 15, maybe 20% better than some people thought in Atlantic.

01:56:37.040 So extrapolate that out.

01:56:38.980 I mean, it's going to come down.

01:56:40.340 We'll have to see the GTA.

01:56:41.300 Like, this is kind of where it is.

01:56:43.820 Ontario just closed.

01:56:45.720 So what does it look like in the GTA?

01:56:48.540 Like, our...

01:56:49.160 32, by the way.

01:56:50.540 So that's not too bad.

01:56:51.780 Although these are going to be the, you know, the first couple polls where, you know, because this is the one thing about the early results that people sometimes don't get.

01:57:00.740 But I can find you in the safest of safe seats for one of the parties, a poll that goes the other way.

01:57:06.320 Every street has its own culture.

01:57:09.160 Yeah.

01:57:09.860 And, again, you don't know, like, what's with the polls.

01:57:13.740 And, like, I think there's some definite fingers on the scale.

01:57:17.840 Like, again, when it just, like, you're right.

01:57:20.720 Maybe the conservatives were never up 25 points, but the 20-point swing in a week didn't make any sense.

01:57:29.060 Yeah, I thought the liberals actually were...

01:57:31.040 That's where when the liberals fell behind the conservatives, like, last year by 20 points, I never thought that that was actually going to hold.

01:57:38.780 It was indicative of the fact that everyone liked the who was voting conservative liked them, and a lot of people did not want to vote liberal.

01:57:45.200 So they artificially inflated the conservative vote.

01:57:47.680 But the other thing we had going on was just the Trudeau effect.

01:57:54.420 And so once we started swinging back the other way, I was saying that I didn't believe Angus Reid when they said it was only 17% for the liberals, and I didn't believe them when they said it was 45%.

01:58:03.520 That's just not how public opinion works.

01:58:06.020 And I'm not sure if you know that.

01:58:07.380 Do you know how Angus Reid gets its information, its data?

01:58:11.580 No.

01:58:12.520 Air miles.

01:58:13.060 And you can immediately tell why that's not good for accurate polling.

01:58:18.120 There is a very particular person, on average, who has an air miles card who uses a lot, compared to somebody who uses other sorts of credit cards.

01:58:27.380 It's going to be white-collar, jet-set people.

01:58:29.920 It's upper middle class.

01:58:30.720 It's upper middle class polling, yeah.

01:58:32.220 Yeah, and even if you get people in different income ranges, I don't know if the lower income range is just retirees who only make $40,000 a year now that they're on their retirement and are on CPP.

01:58:43.860 But they used to be high-income earners, and it's a very upper middle class, very graduate-degree demographic of people.

01:58:50.900 And even then, it's their kids, because a lot of kids, like myself, get an air miles card because one of your parents wants you to help them collect stuff if you're already going around paying for things anyways.

01:59:02.360 You know, just scan it when you go to the grocery store kind of stuff.

01:59:05.460 But let's bring this back up on screen.

01:59:08.120 Guys, it's going well.

01:59:09.200 37 liberal, 26 conservative, 9 block, 1 new Democrat.

01:59:14.220 And again, we are currently in the bad place in Canada for the conservatives.

01:59:18.920 This is currently the bad numbers that we're in.

01:59:22.680 This is actually going quite well.

01:59:24.180 Yeah, so just if this is your first Canadian election, you're getting really into it.

01:59:28.700 East Coast goes liberal.

01:59:30.980 Like, that's the Maritimes of the liberal stronghold.

01:59:33.900 When Trudeau came in in 2015, they swept the Maritimes.

01:59:37.960 Swept.

01:59:38.540 It was clean red in 2015.

01:59:41.020 So this is actually a good start.

01:59:43.760 Never, like, maybe if Justin Trudeau was still prime minister, we'd be winning right now.

01:59:48.920 Um, because it'd be so bad.

01:59:50.800 But no one expects the conservatives to be, uh, win the vote count coming out because the East Coast is the liberal stronghold.

02:00:00.160 Um, it will get, uh, Quebec, we'll see how the bloc does.

02:00:06.040 Um, and then when we get into central Canada, then there'll be a huge push to the conservatives.

02:00:11.720 Uh, and then we'll see in British Columbia, uh, what happens, uh, in, in these different swing ridings in the lower mainland might decide it.

02:00:20.320 So G-Dog here points out, and this is a very good note, that conservatives got 10 seats in Quebec back in 2021.

02:00:26.940 I, I actually genuinely all I think the conservatives need to do in Quebec is win the 10 seats.

02:00:31.720 There is one in Trois-Rivières that they can win, where a conservative candidate who's run there a couple times before and is running there again, who used to be the mayor, has a good chance of taking a seat from the block.

02:00:43.260 But that's a block conservative swing area where it almost doesn't matter who wins.

02:00:47.540 It's nice if the conservatives win, but it almost doesn't really matter.

02:00:51.000 We just need, uh, to make sure that we, you know, uh, run up the score in some of these good places for us.

02:00:56.380 Um, yeah, if I see people spamming, I definitely will, will, like, put people in timeout.

02:01:01.800 Sorry if there's no moderator.

02:01:02.800 I actually don't know how to make moderators.

02:01:04.580 I'm going to have to go into the background of the YouTube chat and start, like, mod, I'm giving people moderation hammers who I trust.

02:01:10.620 But I honestly stream so little, I never think of that.

02:01:13.040 But I'll do a couple super chats here before we get to some more detailed results.

02:01:17.360 Melanie Bualeo for $6.99 says, 0.93

02:01:20.320 I want to thank you, Wyatt.

02:01:22.380 You've been my rock through this.

02:01:24.480 Jesus, Wyatt, and wine.

02:01:25.600 Well, don't drink too much.

02:01:27.080 But thank you for saying that.

02:01:29.060 We need to all be ready to go tomorrow.

02:01:32.620 Selena Titus for $10 says, 1.00

02:01:34.180 Thank you for the reporting, Wyatt.

02:01:35.400 Well, thank you for watching.

02:01:38.440 The, uh, uh, Fiffy for $5 says,

02:01:41.180 I'm just amazed that Jagmeet was willing to cut the throat of his own party despite the CPC.

02:01:45.740 Support peer poly of no matter the results.

02:01:47.940 We need him to lead.

02:01:49.640 Uh, like, again, a majority, I think he has to prove himself.

02:01:52.980 I said this when you were gone.

02:01:54.160 If it's a really bad loss and it doesn't look like it's going to be at all.

02:01:57.980 In fact, it looks like it could go conservative minority, uh, easily right now.

02:02:02.060 That if it was a liberal majority, for argument's sake, I'm not trying to doom and gloom here.

02:02:08.180 He would just have to really prove himself in the next six months that he deserves to still be there.

02:02:11.980 And the other thing, like, listen, let's not give Jagmeet too much credit.

02:02:18.880 I think Jagmeet is, and it's going to work with the liberal crowd.

02:02:22.200 I think Jagmeet sucks so badly that he's realized how badly he sucked.

02:02:27.060 And now he's, uh, you know, post-humanously saying, well, I sucked for the, for the country.

02:02:32.920 I did it for the liberals to stop here.

02:02:35.320 Um, when in actual fact, it's like, no, you just, you're on TikTok, you know, combing your beard, talking about, I don't know, whatever the hell it is, why we need communism to make a callous stand.

02:02:46.040 Who, who knows?

02:02:46.900 Who even cares?

02:02:47.780 But, um, no, I-

02:02:49.640 He became the party for people who are 20 years old taking anthropology.

02:02:54.560 Yes.

02:02:55.240 Which should be a liberal.

02:02:56.240 Uh, Leighton Tomlinson for 279 says, how many seats do conservatives need in Quebec?

02:03:02.260 Uh, 10, 11 would be nice.

02:03:04.660 Even if they drop to nine, if they drop it to the block, it almost doesn't matter.

02:03:07.680 You want enough that they still win the plurality because Canadian elections are the way parliament works with the governor general is there is a bias towards whoever has the plurality of seats.

02:03:17.580 Where in like the UK and other parliaments, you have to form a coalition.

02:03:21.700 Whereas in, uh, Canada, they say, okay, whoever won the most gets to try and govern for as long as possible.

02:03:27.660 Yeah.

02:03:28.300 Let's pull up some numbers.

02:03:29.400 People want numbers.

02:03:30.260 Things are changing.

02:03:30.880 Let's have the number count so people can look at it right here.

02:03:34.460 Oh, gag meat, two gag meats. 0.99

02:03:37.180 Oh, we got two gag meats.

02:03:39.660 Let's go down and see what's going on.

02:03:41.520 Okay.

02:03:41.680 So lots being counted now around the country, but let's focus in on frankly, what matters.

02:03:46.780 And that is the GTA area here, here is a very, Ooh, that's Wellington, Halton Hills.

02:03:52.580 I think that went conservative last time.

02:03:54.720 If I'm looking at it.

02:03:55.660 Yeah, that was conservative last time.

02:03:56.980 I'm wondering what Kitchener, Conestoga, uh, over here is going to be like, uh, but York center with one poll in, we have Mr. Roman Baber leading Yahara Sachs.

02:04:08.540 So that is a vacation in itself to think about Yahara Sachs, who actually assaulted Daniel here, uh, is potentially going to lose her riding. 1.00

02:04:17.880 That would be so nice.

02:04:19.280 Oh, Yara, Yara.

02:04:22.040 You should go to visit her before she has to pack up her office.

02:04:24.620 If she loses.

02:04:26.760 Oh, I think she'd appreciate that.

02:04:31.100 Oh, if you are.

02:04:31.460 Markham Stilville is currently leading a little bit conservative, but super early polls.

02:04:36.480 Let's not read into the stuff too much.

02:04:38.920 Um, all of this is going to be pretty predictable at the moment.

02:04:42.220 Uh, or not unpredictable.

02:04:43.880 We're going to get a conservative majority and Mike DeJong is going to defeat Suquam Gill.

02:04:47.840 You're, you're heard of your first.

02:04:49.320 Everyone's going to be happy.

02:04:50.640 Mike DeJong is going to win.

02:04:52.180 Suquam Gill is going to lose.

02:04:54.020 Conservatives are going to have majority.

02:04:55.420 And then, uh, we're going to stop selling ridings to Calistanis and then the world will be a better place. 1.00

02:05:01.060 Wow, these two, these two ridings and South Shore St. Margaret's might end up going completely opposite ways.

02:05:07.080 So South Shore St. Margaret's might go from, uh, Rick Perkins to Jessica, uh, Fancy Laundrie. 0.91

02:05:13.780 And then we have Central Nova, which may go from, uh, uh, what is his name?

02:05:18.980 Sean Frazier to Bryce Jenkins here.

02:05:21.380 That'd be very funny.

02:05:22.160 That, that's kind of funny too, that he comes out of, he, he retires Mr. Frazier and then comes out of retirement to run for the liberals again and then might just get stomped out and then loses his ability to ever run for like Nova Scotia provincial, uh, liberal leader or something like that.

02:05:39.160 Cause he's a loser.

02:05:43.080 Uh, Leighton Tomlinson says, how many seats do conservatives need in Ontario?

02:05:47.240 That's getting into the numbers where I actually don't know how well the conservatives did last time.

02:05:51.140 I will bring up the 2021 results and forgive me because the numbers are going to be a bit off since we have added some more seats since last time.

02:05:59.900 I want to see if I can get some regional results here.

02:06:04.820 Um, can I get some?

02:06:07.900 Okay.

02:06:08.360 In Ontario, in the last election, liberals won 78 seats.

02:06:14.060 Conservatives won 37 seats.

02:06:16.540 NDP five.

02:06:17.800 And then the greens have one.

02:06:21.140 And so, and that's Kitchener center, which I don't believe is going to be moving away from the greens.

02:06:25.800 That's the thing with the green party and with like Elizabeth May and actually a lot of NDP is that they have like, I said this when I was on a Sean Newman stream today.

02:06:34.880 They actually are parties that tend to be made up of characters in terms of people who have big personalities and either you like them or you hate them.

02:06:41.820 But the people who like them locally really like them and they'll always show up to vote for them.

02:06:45.360 And so, yeah, but overall, guys, we owe a debt of gratitude no matter what this election turns out to be to those who are living in Bluefin land because they got the ball rolling by making sure that it was going to be tight in the city region.

02:07:01.400 We could actually even lose Terra Nova, it's not going to matter, but we're still up 306 votes with not many polls left to count.

02:07:08.400 Now, let's just go to the island of Montreal where it's not too exciting because obviously we're going to see the liberals sweep basically the entire thing.

02:07:18.280 The one we want to hone in on here, which one is it?

02:07:22.480 I actually don't know where things are.

02:07:24.160 Mount Royal.

02:07:25.360 Mount Royal is actually going to be a battleground and I want you, Danny Boy, to explain it.

02:07:31.120 Mount Royal.

02:07:31.560 Okay, so that's Anthony Housefather.

02:07:36.600 This is a, let's be honest, it's a Jewish majority riding.

02:07:40.400 And the liberal candidate there is Anthony Housefather.

02:07:43.780 And Anthony Housefather is not as hated in the Jewish community as Yara Sachs.

02:07:49.000 So the Jews hate Yara Sachs.

02:07:50.800 They're both Jewish.

02:07:51.680 Yara is a classic far left anti-Semitic Jew. 0.73

02:07:55.920 She'll support terrorism. 0.92

02:07:57.560 She's the type of Jewish person we all hate because she goes, oh, as, as, as a Jew, I think I, I can negotiate with the terrorists at the expense of everyone else. 0.98

02:08:07.420 Whereas Anthony Housefather is much more that's the sort of slightly delusional liberal Jew. 1.00

02:08:12.660 But the liberal party in the Jewish community now is synonymous with terrorism and violence and chaos. 1.00

02:08:21.620 Most of the Jewish community has seen that the liberals have pretty much given a tacit endorsement to the jihadists roaming around the street.

02:08:31.580 You know, most Jewish small businesses in Toronto have been vandalized at least once over the last 18 months.

02:08:39.960 And I'm not sure what the numbers are in Montreal.

02:08:41.680 But, you know, when, when a coffee shop is named like Goldman's Coffee Shop in Toronto, someone's going to throw a brick from it and with a Nazi paraphernalia on it.

02:08:49.940 And they're most likely voting liberal or NDP.

02:08:52.360 They're not voting conservative.

02:08:54.080 Conservatives are not vandalizing and harassing Jews right now.

02:08:57.380 It is the liberals and the NDP fighting over the current modern Nazi vote.

02:09:02.420 So, uh, prior to, you know, Justin Turner's retirement might have helped, uh, Housefather here.

02:09:09.640 But if Anthony Housefather loses, um, this would be a clear indication that the Jewish community is done with the liberal party, um, and sees the liberal party as a nest of anti-Semites and radicals.

02:09:22.560 So if they can't hold Mount Royal and listen, um, for Quebec, Anglophone Jews, they're different than, uh, those in the GTA here, but voting liberal is sort of a culture for them. 0.89

02:09:36.160 Okay.

02:09:37.100 They see themselves as part of the liberal party.

02:09:39.940 Um, again, it is part of their identity.

02:09:42.320 They don't think too much about this.

02:09:44.040 They just vote liberal.

02:09:45.160 They don't vote bloc because they're very, they're like 99% of Jews in Quebec are Canadian nationalists.

02:09:52.560 Not Quebec nationalists.

02:09:53.760 So they have the, the, the liberal vote sort of in them and the conservative party, they said, they like to think of themselves as sort of progressive and open-minded and modern.

02:10:01.620 So it's why they've always gone liberal.

02:10:03.660 But if that riding flips conservative, it would be sort of the death knell of, uh, the Jewish support in any meaningful way for the liberal party going forward.

02:10:14.000 So that, that's not Royal would tell us if, uh, if Housefather loses it.

02:10:17.600 Um, to give people an example here, in case people are ever nervous about early results, when there's only a couple of polls out guys, um, the NDP are not going to win Leduc, uh, with Sasko in, with Sasko in.

02:10:30.460 Yeah.

02:10:30.600 Uh, this is a very easy conservative spriding, but when you only count one poll, obviously it could have just been in a particular place that is going to be tough to win.

02:10:39.960 Um, or like it's going to be in particular poll that goes NDP, uh, up in, yeah.

02:10:45.460 So all this right now is not being, there's not much counting going on at the moment around here.

02:10:49.840 So we'll have to check in a little bit later, but at the moment things look pretty good.

02:10:54.060 I don't suspect it would be weird that the Maritimes actually does not go nearly as liberal as we thought.

02:10:59.700 And then it's like a wipeout in Ontario and a wipeout in Quebec.

02:11:03.720 And as we said just a second ago, the liberals in 21 had gotten 78 seats in Ontario.

02:11:11.780 Ontario is even a place where the conservatives can still win fewer seats than the liberals.

02:11:17.080 But that's when Saskatchewan and Alberta, rural Manitoba, British Columbia come into play.

02:11:23.140 And even the Yukon in order to push the conservatives over the top.

02:11:27.620 Yeah.

02:11:28.240 So the conservatives get, we'll get a late push.

02:11:30.280 And then, I mean, BC is interesting because there's some BC, like that's when the NDP will also pick up, um, in BC.

02:11:37.640 Like Don Davies will probably win.

02:11:39.400 We'll see about Jagmeet.

02:11:40.820 Like, oh my God.

02:11:41.300 Like, unless Jagmeet is like the line between liberal or conservative governance, uh, and I have to cheer for Jagmeet in some weird way.

02:11:50.540 Um, you know, uh, the, the, the conservatives stand to, to, I mean, BC is going to be very interesting because how do the conservatives play the vote in BC?

02:12:01.400 Uh, because, listen, I had a lot of criticisms of their BC strategy.

02:12:06.320 Quickly, before you get to that, I'm just going to acknowledge from the Jack, Jack on the track.

02:12:10.700 When people are mentioning that we're not showing the numbers right now, it's because the numbers in all the new areas are so preliminary.

02:12:17.260 We're counting like a poll where like 50 votes have been counted and it's going to have wacky results if we show it at the moment.

02:12:24.180 I will be showing it as time goes on.

02:12:26.300 Maybe I'll keep it on the popular vote up top so you guys can digest that.

02:12:30.080 I mean, it could show where it is now.

02:12:32.880 I mean, but again, we're, yeah, we're going to, we're in very, when, when a poll's just closing a province, we're in a very, so right now we're in very chaotic, uh, shifting, uh, time.

02:12:44.000 This is not an election that's going to end with 50% of the vote for the liberals.

02:12:47.260 We've just been counting the very liberal areas.

02:12:49.760 We're down at Jagmeet.

02:12:51.060 We're down at Jagmeet.

02:12:51.620 We only have one Jagmeet left.

02:12:53.080 One Jagmeet.

02:12:53.760 No.

02:12:55.380 Who will trans the kids? 1.00

02:12:57.360 I know.

02:12:57.680 Who will trans the kids from Palestine? 1.00

02:12:59.740 No.

02:13:00.720 No.

02:13:02.380 Uh, sorry.

02:13:03.420 Yeah.

02:13:03.520 You were saying about BC and the strategy.

02:13:05.700 Yeah.

02:13:06.240 I mean, uh, I thought they were playing too much to the Calistanis in BC.

02:13:10.960 And it was interesting if you like followed the Calistanis and Boz news, uh, once the poll started to shift liberal, they actually started attacking a lot of their own candidates, um, in BC and calling them like drug dealers and whatever.

02:13:22.740 They were the conservative ones because the Calistanis obviously value the liberals and the NDP more because they give them everything they want.

02:13:29.820 Um, so I was worried with this strategy and trying to explain like the vast majority of Indian Canadians are not Calistani.

02:13:38.160 And are scared of these people.

02:13:39.280 Um, so it's not like it's Sikhs versus Hindus.

02:13:42.020 The majority of Sikhs are not Calistani.

02:13:44.660 I mean, they vandalized a Godwara in Vancouver when I was out there.

02:13:48.320 Um, and you know, if they, I thought if the conservatives had taken a stronger stance against the extremism, um, they would have played a lot more to, uh, it would have done really well for BC.

02:14:01.360 Because as we talked about Asian Canadians are so tired of this nonsense. 1.00

02:14:07.380 And that's, that's also why we're, we, we are going to see probably pickups in Markham.

02:14:11.640 We're going to see the, not only with Jewish vote moving conservative, but Asian vote moving conservative and Persians are probably going to be what's going to win things in York, Richmond Hill, Markham, and all these places.

02:14:21.460 Vaughn and the Richmond ridings of British Columbia.

02:14:25.500 Yeah.

02:14:25.980 But it's interesting, like, um, you know, I was talking to my friend Salman, who's door knocking in Donovelly North for Jotay.

02:14:34.100 And he's basically saying like anyone with the skin shade darker than him or whatever, all of them vote conservative.

02:14:41.760 And the problems he's having is with like, uh, white people.

02:14:45.500 They're the, because they're watching CBC and like kind of brainwashed.

02:14:49.520 And he's, I mean, he's doing good because he's like Iranian with an accent so he can get through to them. 1.00

02:14:53.600 Like, no, it's not racism there, but he's basically saying if, if there's any Brown or black guys, they're just, yeah, pure poly of all the way.

02:15:01.860 Uh, they don't, they don't vote for social signaling.

02:15:06.040 They're just voting for the policy and they like poly of like I was door knocking in my writing, which is safe conservative, but usually, uh, Asian voters are less likely to turn out.

02:15:15.240 I was door knocking an area where even people who had supported me in my nomination or were interested.

02:15:19.380 And I remember that they were kind of a little more conservative, they're voting liberal, but every single Chinese family on the street, except for maybe one or two out of like 16, we're all voting conservative. 0.88

02:15:29.000 It was crazy.

02:15:29.600 But we have a code, a coder, Corey says, for $5, I was fear, I was fear mongered into voting liberal last time I want, I won't be fear mongered this time go Pierre.

02:15:40.260 And I think that is going to represent a lot of the liberals, because this is why I also doubted the polls.

02:15:45.160 The same polls showing the conservatives down by five points would show that 2021 liberals were far more likely to be voting conservative than conservatives voting liberals.

02:15:53.420 But then you would see, oh, the liberals are grabbing up a good portion of the NDP, but the NDP aren't that many people.

02:15:59.620 And I think a lot of NDP are just going to sit home because if you weren't willing to vote for the more mainstream party before, you're probably not going to then suddenly switch over now because of winning was your concern.

02:16:09.360 Why wasn't winning your concern in the other elections?

02:16:11.880 Yeah, like, yeah, people really underestimate what drives people out.

02:16:17.780 Like, yeah, when the NDP collapses, there's a lot of people who vote NDP because they're like very woke anti-establishment.

02:16:23.840 Like the NDP, I mean, you talked to, what's his face?

02:16:27.700 Was it Peter Julian?

02:16:29.160 Yeah, Julian Newman.

02:16:32.240 Julian Newman.

02:16:33.260 Right.

02:16:33.800 You talked to Julian Newman.

02:16:34.520 And I thought it was a good conversation.

02:16:36.880 Like, people vote NDP to be like purist leftists.

02:16:42.000 And they see Carney as, like, guys, I don't know how the NDP fumbled this.

02:16:48.140 I mean, I do.

02:16:48.760 Jagmeet Singh.

02:16:50.300 Mark Carney is a global banker who moved this, like, global hedge fund super company headquarters to America.

02:16:59.800 There is no better villain for the NDP to say, you're going to vote.

02:17:05.180 You call yourself a real lefty and you're voting for the banker.

02:17:08.160 The fact that they couldn't do that.

02:17:13.640 I, oddly enough, don't think the NDP is going to do nearly as bad in terms of the popular vote than people think.

02:17:20.700 We're starting to get into Ontario ridings where they're going to get better polling.

02:17:24.260 But I don't think we're going to see the NDP bottom out at 6% like Main Street polling was showing.

02:17:28.420 I thought that was always ridiculous because people tend to be stuck in their ways.

02:17:31.920 And if you voted NDP last time, you're more likely to be wanting to vote NDP this time.

02:17:35.980 Like, it's really difficult to lose more than half of your supporters from the last election.

02:17:41.020 But we have Maritime Morris saying, you know, a good name for what he's about to tell us for 279.

02:17:47.440 Thank you.

02:17:47.820 Says, my riding of Acadianapolis was called for the cons.

02:17:51.920 Fantastic.

02:17:52.360 That was a hold riding, not too surprising, but definitely we need to hold as much as we can in the Maritimes.

02:17:58.760 And we are still currently gaining seats as well.

02:18:01.940 Justin S. for 1399.

02:18:03.500 Love the show.

02:18:04.100 The authenticity is what we all crave.

02:18:06.500 Who would like to see the CPC?

02:18:08.480 Who would you like to see in the CPC cabinet?

02:18:12.260 Anyone but Jasper Talon.

02:18:14.540 I'd like to see Michael Cooper in it.

02:18:16.740 Oh, I'd like to see Michael Cooper, too.

02:18:20.400 Yeah, I think Jasper Talon, I've seen him.

02:18:22.560 He's an absolute ding-dong. 1.00

02:18:25.820 Yeah, Cooper, a good cabinet member.

02:18:29.520 There's always, like, you know, I want to see James Bazin in something in cabinet.

02:18:34.720 I think he'd be an excellent foreign affairs minister.

02:18:37.620 The guy I was helping in Ottawa, West Nepean, I would like to see Ryan Telford in some sort of national security role.

02:18:46.200 Based on his background, he's been, like, in national security for, like, 20 years.

02:18:50.780 And he's probably, like, the one person who understands everything you're saying about foreign interference.

02:18:56.020 Yeah, like, yeah, I think we need a lot of, like, you know, Canadian patriots in the cabinet.

02:19:05.480 Minimal Kalistanis is all I'm open for. 1.00

02:19:08.260 It's just, I have a list of people I don't want to see in cabinet.

02:19:11.000 I don't want to see Tim Apple.

02:19:12.000 Tim Apple's going to be there a decade later.

02:19:13.680 I want Josh Roch-Hallin kicked out.

02:19:15.980 I think he's an idiot.

02:19:17.760 And whatever.

02:19:20.620 Parm Gill.

02:19:23.260 Yeah, all the jackmeets.

02:19:25.140 I don't want to see any jackmeets in the conservative cabinet.

02:19:27.480 That's my only wish.

02:19:28.480 Anyone but the jackmeets.

02:19:29.980 And for context, for people who are then going to call them racist after this,

02:19:33.160 he's talking about people who are sympathetic to Sikh separatism.

02:19:36.480 Yeah, the Kalistanis. 0.91

02:19:37.960 All the Kalistanis. 1.00

02:19:38.940 Yeah, all the Kalistanis who pushed their way into the party, I don't want to see any of them in cabinet. 1.00

02:19:43.880 That's my thing.

02:19:45.580 So we have Rick Palfey for $27.99.

02:19:48.640 Says, I'm a 50-year-old.

02:19:49.820 I have never been so anxious, but I'm also optimistic.

02:19:52.700 I've been watching you for a while, Wyatt, and you are a beauty.

02:19:55.600 My 8-year-old daughter is cheering and screaming at the TV as the colors change.

02:19:59.340 Well, hopefully it's going to end as a good night.

02:20:01.760 So far, it's a good night.

02:20:02.900 Again, if it goes the other way, it's going to be the most topsy-turvy election ever where the conservatives overperform in Maritimes and they underperform in Ontario, but then they overperform in BC.

02:20:13.820 It's going to be weird.

02:20:16.120 Mike Stewart for $13.99 says, thank you for that first.

02:20:19.640 I assume you're talking about CCP influence over media and whatnot when you're talking about your children will thank you with things like TikTok and trying to undermine the West.

02:20:48.600 But yeah, I think that whoever, if the conservatives get into government, if they want to stay in government, they have to crack down hard on CCP police stations in the country and whatnot.

02:20:57.680 Because if you want people to keep winning elections, you have to keep the people from interfering them out.

02:21:04.100 Yeah, and it's a great sort of, like, it's a good thing for the country.

02:21:10.000 Like, the conservatives need to position themselves as anti-extremists to sort of be the party of normal.

02:21:16.680 Because I think everyone wants that.

02:21:18.700 There's, everyone knows the, there's a general feel that we're losing Canada to hostile foreign powers.

02:21:26.660 And there's influence, and if the conservatives can just show that they can take some action on this, because all you need is just a little bit of action to push the momentum out the other way.

02:21:36.920 And that's all I want to see from the conservatives.

02:21:38.260 It's just, you know, everyone feels like we're going further and further this way off the cliff of losing the country to hostile foreign powers. 0.87

02:21:46.000 I just want to see the car going the other direction.

02:21:48.240 Yeah.

02:21:48.520 At any speed.

02:21:49.520 And by the way, everyone, this currently, based on what's going on right now, is actually a pretty good result for the conservatives.

02:21:55.200 Remember, the liberals in 2021 in Ontario alone got 78 seats.

02:22:01.500 And right now they are, they're going to start running up the numbers once we start counting Toronto.

02:22:05.420 But at the moment, they are being kept away from these big numbers that they need in order to offset the conservatives in the West.

02:22:13.020 And whenever people say that, I always, honestly, I kind of get annoyed by that truism that, oh, the election's already over after it's let past the East.

02:22:20.360 I'm like, well, the conservatives are only in the game because they have the West.

02:22:23.740 I mean, if you just inverted the country, people would just say it backwards whenever the conservatives would win.

02:22:29.760 Oh, once you get past the West, it's all, you know, it's all over once we get to the East, if somehow time went the opposite direction.

02:22:37.700 But Byron here says for $6.99, Miramichi is pronounced Miramichi.

02:22:43.280 Stress on the last syllable, great coverage of campaign.

02:22:46.920 Miramichi, Wyatt.

02:22:48.400 You must say I'm Miramichi.

02:22:50.220 Miramichi.

02:22:51.320 There we go.

02:22:52.780 Scotian for $25.

02:22:54.180 Thank you for that.

02:22:55.260 Do you know where South Shore Shaped Margaret's is in Nova Scotia is at?

02:22:58.600 My internet is being horrible.

02:22:59.820 We had a PPC candidate in my riding.

02:23:01.480 My husband said the poles were packed all day with mostly under 40.

02:23:05.460 Right now, it's actually not going so well for the conservatives.

02:23:08.380 We don't need the riding because of Bluffinland going so blue.

02:23:13.580 But yeah, right now, I think the conservatives down $1,100 or $1,200.

02:23:17.860 Maybe it's going to reverse, although the conservatives are also leading by smaller margins.

02:23:21.540 So I just hope that they are able to keep up at least eight or nine seats in the Maritimes.

02:23:26.220 Because so far, the popular vote has demonstrated good conservative turnout.

02:23:32.260 Adrian Schaefer for $20 says, just wanted to say your videos are excellent.

02:23:36.100 Would love to see you run for conservative seat here in Calgary.

02:23:38.640 You've got a great energy and drive.

02:23:40.260 We need more people like you out there representing us.

02:23:42.840 You're a beauty.

02:23:43.340 Well, thank you, Adrian.

02:23:44.880 And I, in fact, did run for conservative nomination in Calgary's Signal Hill.

02:23:49.000 I'm fine with the guy who's currently the candidate, but certain people in the background are trying to shove someone else through.

02:23:54.200 And I was apparently like the top competition.

02:23:56.460 So they kicked me out.

02:23:57.420 But, you know, maybe it's a conservative minority government and there's another election in a year and a half.

02:24:03.160 Maybe I'll take a swing at something.

02:24:06.000 Hertz Donuts for $13.99.

02:24:08.280 In the unfortunate event of a liberal win, what are your thoughts on a possible separation of Western Canada from the East?

02:24:13.760 I just don't think it's going to happen.

02:24:15.180 As much as people think here, it's going to fuel separatist parties in the West that might actually start to be able to win seats.

02:24:22.580 At the same time, I don't think you're going to get people off the ground for that because you're going to have to win suburbs in order to get that to happen in Calgary, Edmonton, Saskatoon, Regina, the Battlefords.

02:24:35.660 And I don't think those voters want to do that, especially retired voters probably don't want to change up the way that their entire, you know, jurisdiction operates in a big referendum.

02:24:46.780 Still could happen.

02:24:47.660 I just am less hawkish on that being a thing.

02:24:51.360 Yeah.

02:24:51.600 So, I mean, the path the way I always see it, the path to Alberta leaving is with a lot of crazy stuff happening.

02:25:01.560 Right.

02:25:02.040 It has to be the liberals coming in.

02:25:03.840 They have to be very snooty and sneery and antagonistic towards Alberta, which is something they're very prone to do.

02:25:12.660 But then it's all on Trump.

02:25:15.060 Can Trump, like, I don't think, I mean, I don't think Trump has been a genius with the way he's gone about the Canada negotiations so far.

02:25:24.160 It's pretty clear he doesn't really understand Canadian politics.

02:25:26.640 But if someone in the White House really explains Alberta psychology to him and then a couple of things happen here or there and he actually makes a push for it, offering them, like, dollar for dollar statehood.

02:25:40.540 And there's some sort of offer to Alberta.

02:25:43.140 You never know.

02:25:45.200 You just never know.

02:25:47.540 Like, again, last time when Trudeau won, there was a big push and talk about separation.

02:25:54.400 You know, I did some videos on it.

02:25:55.700 But if I had to bet, I was not expecting the Conservatives to really pull out, sorry, the Albertans to drop out at any real time.

02:26:05.660 It was less than 1% chance.

02:26:07.440 You know, the exit party was fun while it lasted.

02:26:09.340 But now, if the Liberals win, it's not a 1% chance.

02:26:17.980 I think the percentage points is double digits on will Alberta remain in the union for the next four years.

02:26:26.880 And then I think that has everything to do with what do the Liberals do?

02:26:29.580 What does Trump say?

02:26:30.600 Is there any – does central Canada, do the Laurentian elites try and make amends with Alberta?

02:26:37.660 Do they try and finally, you know, humanize them and listen to their concerns?

02:26:43.560 If they do, I don't think there's any separation.

02:26:45.440 But I've never seen them do that.

02:26:47.340 So.

02:26:48.900 Duplex Fulton says, what's the number of seats do you like in Toronto?

02:26:53.480 How many seats for the Conservatives would I like to see in Toronto?

02:26:56.340 Really, Toronto proper is probably going to be 100% Liberal or a couple NDP seats here and there.

02:27:01.900 It's just not the type of city that ever goes Conservative.

02:27:04.540 It's really what you're looking for in the GTA area is are the Conservatives picking up votes in York?

02:27:10.280 Are they picking up votes in Markham?

02:27:12.100 What not?

02:27:12.760 Again, I've been checking around.

02:27:14.400 Right now, when you see these results, it's a lot of ridings where there is like five votes counted and it is indicative of literally nothing at the moment.

02:27:22.320 But we have three Jagmeet NDPers on the board.

02:27:25.960 So I assume that Daniel's very excited about that happening.

02:27:29.960 Jagmeet NDP.

02:27:31.700 You're on mediocrity on this channel.

02:27:34.280 How are the NDP doing in the riding of Gaza?

02:27:37.880 Can you pull up the Gaza map?

02:27:38.940 How are they doing?

02:27:39.760 Where's Gaza?

02:27:40.800 Yeah.

02:27:41.340 How's Khan Yunus voting?

02:27:43.820 Does Khan Yunus get a vote?

02:27:45.520 Where is that?

02:27:46.700 What's the Rafa vote looking like?

02:27:49.740 Where is that at?

02:27:51.400 It's in Gaza.

02:27:51.940 Oh, I always thought I always thought you were going to I thought you were naming a riding that you're referring to as Gaza.

02:27:58.620 Turns out turns out Palestinians don't vote in our elections.

02:28:01.660 Well, they don't even vote in their own elections.

02:28:03.320 I don't even have any elections anymore.

02:28:04.820 So I don't know if Jagmeet was trying to win the vote in Qatar or Gaza.

02:28:09.980 But Nikki Ashton is currently holding on to her riding of Churchill.

02:28:17.280 I'm not going to pronounce the rest.

02:28:19.280 Oh, no.

02:28:19.660 We're in fact liberal.

02:28:20.380 No, no.

02:28:21.140 Oh, Nikki Ashton.

02:28:22.640 No.

02:28:23.520 All right.

02:28:23.720 You take over for a bit.

02:28:24.620 I'm just going to go off camera while I keep getting India calling me. 1.00

02:28:27.500 Give me a second.

02:28:28.360 No worries.

02:28:31.080 But, yeah, everything's not going too bad so far, guys.

02:28:34.800 I know a lot of people are going to, like, be nervously watching.

02:28:37.620 Like, oh, my goodness, the liberals are up a little bit.

02:28:39.280 Like, yeah, of course, they're going to be up a little bit in a lot of these places.

02:28:42.340 We can go to Carol Mitchell for $5 saying, thanks, Wyatt Blue will get this.

02:28:50.120 Thank you.

02:28:50.600 And I hope they absolutely do.

02:28:52.600 Super duper popular YouTuber says for $10, what are the odds of Bill C-21 being repealed

02:28:57.800 if CPC gets a majority or minority?

02:29:01.360 Bill.

02:29:11.000 Oh, yeah.

02:29:11.780 No, the handgun freeze and whatnot, that's going to probably go out the window in seconds.

02:29:15.580 I think that that is definitely going to be something that the conservatives will tackle hard.

02:29:19.500 I even think they could get block buy-in on it because think about how many rural Quebec farmers

02:29:23.720 the Bloc Québécois rely on for votes.

02:29:28.080 George Passoffmis for $10 says, if Doug Ford has anything to do with the CPC going forward,

02:29:33.800 I'm going to be voting Libertarian.

02:29:35.860 Yeah, I do not like Doug Ford.

02:29:37.440 He is barely conservative in any way.

02:29:40.000 Colin Vandelden for $5 says, the seats in and around Brampton and south of the GTA are so tight

02:29:45.880 and should be exciting to watch.

02:29:47.020 Should be huge if the conservatives win lots of those.

02:29:49.500 And that's the thing.

02:29:50.340 Ontario is mostly candy land for the conservatives because I don't think there's going to be

02:29:54.700 a lot of seats the conservatives once held in Ontario that are going to be won by the

02:29:57.700 liberals.

02:29:58.220 We're mostly just seeing, do conservatives pick up liberal seats?

02:30:01.740 And I can't even say so far so good.

02:30:03.740 We literally have just so little data to go off of.

02:30:06.960 Josh Crowe for $5 says, I'm predicting a conservative minority in the high 150s.

02:30:11.840 Thanks for the great coverage of the whole election.

02:30:14.060 Well, thank you, Josh, for watching along.

02:30:15.940 And I think that is a reasonable estimate.

02:30:18.040 But it might end up even being tighter than that.

02:30:20.800 We really don't know at this point.

02:30:22.100 I'm going to see if I can.

02:30:23.480 Has there been any major update?

02:30:26.160 No, not really.

02:30:27.260 OK, well, let's go and see what's going on in some of these ridings in the GTA, if we've

02:30:35.040 actually started counting any of them seriously.

02:30:37.940 No, everything is still pretty boring at the moment.

02:30:42.220 And yes, and Daniel is back from his call with India.

02:30:50.360 Adam Murray for $50.

02:30:51.880 Well, thank you for that, Adam.

02:30:53.360 Let's go.

02:30:53.940 What are your thoughts on claims of polymarket foreign interference?

02:30:56.880 Well, that was a theory that Daniel floated that was interesting.

02:31:01.000 I think someone else in the comments that polymarket might just have a bunch of foreign people just

02:31:05.600 dumping money into it just to make the liberals look good for propaganda purposes.

02:31:09.100 And if they win, you make money.

02:31:12.560 Yeah, it's not the worst foreign interference op I've heard of.

02:31:16.320 But like, yeah, I have no evidence of this.

02:31:20.000 It's just the polymarket numbers were always a bit ridiculous.

02:31:25.340 Like Mark Carney at 80%, I always thought was a bit rich for betting odds.

02:31:32.440 But, oh, I hear the pleb is melting down. 0.99

02:31:38.080 Yeah, but the pleb is not. 0.98

02:31:40.920 This is his first election.

02:31:41.840 I did see global news setting.

02:31:43.300 It's going to be more likely to be a liberal government now.

02:31:45.680 So that would suck if that's true.

02:31:46.760 My goodness.

02:31:47.560 And I'm wondering if it's just based on the bloc maybe not doing well enough in Quebec here.

02:31:53.780 Hmm.

02:31:54.140 I'd like to see what happens from now on.

02:31:59.720 Okay, well, I'll just keep tracking this because I don't really know what's happening at the moment.

02:32:04.580 Yeah, I mean.

02:32:05.520 1399 from Alex Pittman.

02:32:06.980 If we don't win tonight, we all have to band together to figure out how to fix the mainstream media problem

02:32:11.240 until it's dealt with conservatives may never win.

02:32:14.040 It's the number one issue.

02:32:15.340 I would agree that there is a lot of the propaganda from the mainstream media is a big problem

02:32:21.220 because although not many people watch them, those who do show up and vote liberal

02:32:25.100 and then it ends up creating what I would consider inaccessible voters

02:32:28.920 because if you think what you're being told is true and if you change the channel,

02:32:32.920 it's another mainstream media outlet,

02:32:34.940 obviously you're never really going to hear the other side of the story

02:32:37.760 unless someone comes in like, you know, intervention to come and say,

02:32:42.780 hey, did you see this YouTube channel?

02:32:44.200 Have you seen this article in the National Post that you probably haven't read?

02:32:47.220 You should check it out.

02:32:50.620 Soxie says, Hope Levis, Luttenberg keeps CPC, vote for them.

02:32:55.420 I don't know what that writing is.

02:32:57.020 Levis Luttenbiner.

02:32:59.280 Probably a Quebec writing that I'm butchering the name of.

02:33:01.740 I'm very sorry.

02:33:04.100 Kelly Harris, $5.

02:33:05.500 Hey, Wyatt, can you turn off the watch live bar on the map?

02:33:08.320 Appreciate what you do.

02:33:10.160 I actually don't think you can turn off the watch live thing.

02:33:14.200 Let's jump back over to the map.

02:33:16.340 I do want to, I'm just curious where we're at right now

02:33:18.600 because they do say liberal government here.

02:33:21.160 At the same time, it's not been going too bad in the maritime.

02:33:23.960 So maybe we are in the weirdo election time.

02:33:26.620 Central Nova flip back liberal.

02:33:28.120 But again, this is still the conservatives,

02:33:30.180 I think even gaining a seat or at least holding what they had back in 2021.

02:33:34.840 So if so, well, that's weird.

02:33:45.220 Okay, no real results in the GTA at the moment again.

02:33:49.100 Going back to just going through comments,

02:33:51.040 I'm going to go back to the live stream, the live comments.

02:33:53.720 Hotshot 2890 says one hour and already calling it lol.

02:34:00.600 What the hell?

02:34:01.520 I wonder if they're just using this based off their own like exit polling

02:34:04.660 and they're just calling it early.

02:34:09.660 Because isn't BC still voting right now?

02:34:12.180 Don't they vote until 730?

02:34:13.580 Yeah, okay, everyone's calling it.

02:34:17.020 You know, yeah, no, yeah, BC hasn't even closed yet.

02:34:20.660 Yeah, BC hasn't closed.

02:34:22.360 I am literally seeing ridings all over the place

02:34:24.760 that are not even counting more than five votes.

02:34:28.760 And why would you call anything?

02:34:31.480 Like maybe they win, but I'm still like,

02:34:33.820 I'm just completely baffled that you would do that

02:34:36.540 when they literally have not even closed

02:34:38.660 one of the biggest provinces in the country.

02:34:41.440 Like the third biggest province is not closed.

02:34:43.920 And they want to call the election,

02:34:45.560 even though Eastern Canada has barely counted anything overall.

02:34:49.660 Like maybe it's because of the Quebec numbers.

02:34:53.600 Yeah, I mean, we have to dig this in.

02:34:55.080 I mean, it must be Quebec went liberal

02:34:56.960 and the bloc didn't underperform the, in Quebec.

02:34:59.180 So let's.

02:35:05.880 Because right now I'm not seeing anything

02:35:07.500 that even indicates around here that the bloc are collapsing

02:35:10.160 because a lot of these ridings where the bloc might win,

02:35:12.380 it's like one poll, one poll, two polls.

02:35:15.060 And it's like the liberals might be up by a few

02:35:16.980 and then they'll block our way up in the ones that they do have.

02:35:19.820 See one even just flipped over again.

02:35:21.880 Unless they're just, unless it's just like an automatic call,

02:35:24.720 but that's weird.

02:35:25.200 Everyone calls it at the, basically the same time

02:35:27.260 when we still haven't even seen anything yet.

02:35:30.700 Okay.

02:35:31.020 I mean, yeah, this is, and like, listen, I, I'd still cheer for a minority.

02:35:39.620 If the liberals were in a minority, we're still in good position

02:35:41.880 because I don't think a liberal minority will last.

02:35:44.260 A majority liberal would be, you know,

02:35:47.600 let's all drink our sorrows.

02:35:49.560 And, uh, you know, I, you know, yeah.

02:35:54.580 Just how, let's, why not be addicted to fentanyl?

02:35:56.640 Let's go.

02:35:57.560 Yeah.

02:35:58.820 Uh, okay.

02:35:59.460 What, how's everything looking like around Miramichi or a Miramichi?

02:36:02.960 Miramichi, we are still leading in Cumberland, uh, other place,

02:36:07.120 Cumberland, Polchester.

02:36:09.500 I believe that was a conservative riding last time.

02:36:11.700 Central Nova is still tight, but Sean Frazier is leading by a bit

02:36:14.260 and Terra Nova conservatives are still leading with less than 20 poles to go.

02:36:19.260 I want to see Alberta numbers now,

02:36:20.660 just to see if there's anything interesting out here.

02:36:22.440 Make sure I want to have this up on screen so you guys can see it.

02:36:29.140 Because right, they haven't, are they still, are they counting?

02:36:31.680 Maybe it ended at seven.

02:36:32.960 Maybe their voting count ended at seven,

02:36:36.760 but still that's weird that you just call it a liberal

02:36:39.020 when we haven't even counted anything.

02:36:40.540 Maybe it does, but that just seems odd.

02:36:43.580 Um, yeah, because everything's just one poll at the moment.

02:36:46.400 Okay.

02:36:47.260 Well, I'll check in on that later and hopefully that's wrong, but whatever.

02:36:52.040 Um,

02:36:53.780 and wait.

02:36:59.460 CA $10 says I'm watching your live stream,

02:37:01.660 but I have CBC on in the background only because I want to see Rosemary

02:37:04.720 Barton and David Cochran's faces when conservatives win.

02:37:07.160 Well, hopefully that's not.

02:37:08.920 Inshallah.

02:37:10.340 We are actually very behind.

02:37:11.820 So this is a,

02:37:12.620 this is kind of crappy because I'm doing like 6 PM stuff from Quebec.

02:37:16.480 My friends voted BQ to block LPC for C79.

02:37:20.860 50 from Marina for Karma.

02:37:23.040 $50 says thanks, Wyatt.

02:37:24.240 Love your honest insights.

02:37:25.400 Well, thank you, Marina, for watching.

02:37:27.780 Centrite for $6.99.

02:37:29.200 If we pull 12 out of the Maritimes, we're in business.

02:37:31.560 And that's where I'm confused because Maritimes went pretty fine.

02:37:35.240 And the popular vote margin in the Maritimes is again,

02:37:38.120 way tighter than most people showed for the conservatives to win a minority.

02:37:41.740 So we may actually be going, if the calls are right,

02:37:45.520 into the topsy-turvy election where Maritimes actually are more conservative

02:37:50.060 than even last time.

02:37:51.920 But maybe Ontario goes more liberal.

02:37:54.540 But at the same time,

02:37:55.280 I don't even know that from looking at the map because they haven't counted

02:37:57.860 anything.

02:37:59.140 Maybe people have counted ahead of time.

02:38:00.760 I really don't know.

02:38:03.280 Plausibly based for $2.

02:38:07.240 Love from Kingston and the Islands.

02:38:08.640 Let's go Polyev. 0.97

02:38:10.060 John Roberts, $279.

02:38:11.380 Which writing indicates a win for conservatives?

02:38:13.760 Well, at this point, I don't even know because apparently it doesn't even matter.

02:38:17.900 Super duper popular YouTuber.

02:38:19.700 If the CPC wins the majority,

02:38:21.000 I'll get, hey guys, why Claypool here?

02:38:23.260 Why Claypool tattooed on my leg?

02:38:24.660 Do you think the CPC will appeal?

02:38:25.980 C-21 if it wins majority or minority.

02:38:28.800 And yeah, they would have,

02:38:29.760 they would repeal C-21 if they win a government.

02:38:33.300 But don't, don't tattoo my name onto your body.

02:38:35.860 That, that would be bad.

02:38:37.780 Jason Wiley just sends $10.

02:38:39.580 Thank you.

02:38:41.060 Camaro Car for $100.

02:38:42.900 C-21 says, excellent, so Shofar from Campbell River.

02:38:45.460 What are your thoughts on the voter suppression with us remote workers, with U.S. remote workers?

02:38:50.120 Were you not allowed us remote workers?

02:38:52.520 I saw that, where they were making it like artificially difficult to work if you're like on an LNG site,

02:38:57.760 which is obviously stupid because it's not like they all live in that very conservative area probably where the oil and gas site is.

02:39:04.640 They're in an area where they may come from Toronto, but they work in oil and gas,

02:39:09.260 or they may come from, you know, the Maritimes.

02:39:11.640 Tons of people who work in oil and gas actually come from Nova Scotia.

02:39:17.220 Gangdeep Raj for $279.

02:39:18.640 What's your thoughts on the castle law and Bill C-21?

02:39:21.520 They should get rid of C-21, and I generally support the idea of a castle law or castle doctrine. 1.00

02:39:27.280 Bitmouse just sends in $20.

02:39:28.540 Thank you.

02:39:31.760 Christian Fidaza for $6.99 says, I wore the conservative shirts to the polls today.

02:39:36.880 One of the poll workers stopped me and said I couldn't vote.

02:39:39.140 Another poll worker said I could.

02:39:41.020 I don't think you can stop someone who's voting from wearing what they want.

02:39:44.020 You just can't have like a...

02:39:44.820 You can't wear a conservative shirt if you're a poll monitor.

02:39:48.040 You can't wear a...

02:39:51.620 Matt.

02:39:54.060 How many seats do the conservatives have last election?

02:39:56.900 Sorry, I'm just trying to find this.

02:40:01.780 So in 2021, obviously there's more seats.

02:40:04.180 There's 338 seats last time.

02:40:06.300 And the conservatives with Aaron O'Toole won 119 seats.

02:40:10.700 So right now, they're already on track to win more seats.

02:40:13.660 So even if the liberals win, we might be in a scenario...

02:40:17.820 And again, I don't know why they call it so early,

02:40:19.400 because I legitimately can't see anything on the map that would indicate to me that you would call it that way right now.

02:40:23.720 Even if it becomes a liberal minority, it might be so tight, we might be back at the polls within a year.

02:40:28.880 Because the liberals are like a majority of 150 or something like that.

02:40:33.000 That doesn't feel very sustainable.

02:40:37.260 I'll just quickly show what the popular vote margin up here looks like.

02:40:40.640 We have liberals at 49, conservatives 38.8, but obviously we have just left the maritimes where the liberals are always slated to do well.

02:40:47.980 Block at 5.6, going to 5.8, and NDP at 4.4.

02:40:52.160 But again, we have not actually counted any of the big NDP strongholds yet.

02:40:57.180 Yeah.

02:40:57.780 And I mean, the NDP at 4.4 might not be the indicator.

02:41:00.900 I mean, in order for the conservatives to win, I think the NDP needs to be around closer to 10%, to be honest.

02:41:08.180 Maybe they're calling it because they think the NDP in some of the areas has underperformed enough

02:41:13.520 that they're just automatically assuming a bunch of these ridings.

02:41:16.540 Maybe that's a fine assumption, but still.

02:41:19.320 Ron W. for $5 says, thanks to you for all your work, Wyatt.

02:41:22.240 Well, thank you for watching.

02:41:23.300 Miratol Turtle says, for $13.99, Bill and I say, thank you for all your great work.

02:41:31.860 Well, thank you again for watching and subscribing.

02:41:35.000 Jim L. for $25 says, the polls were fake.

02:41:37.600 Again, I've been watching your channel and others for the last year.

02:41:40.260 You can't get accurate info from most MSM, blue wave incoming.

02:41:44.200 Well, I don't know now.

02:41:45.620 But at the same time, I think that polls can be instructive.

02:41:48.480 I would say polls are often not accurate, which is what we're seeing maritimes,

02:41:52.620 is that maritimes, when pollsters showed the liberals at 65%,

02:41:55.580 that obviously wasn't true.

02:41:57.720 That was not even close to being accurate.

02:42:00.120 But then in other areas, it might be accurate.

02:42:02.220 In other areas, that it might be close.

02:42:04.980 It just depends.

02:42:05.960 It's just, I would always say, be skeptical of top line numbers

02:42:08.260 that don't feel like what the election is at.

02:42:11.060 And don't tell yourself, I'm voting conservative,

02:42:13.820 so other people are probably voting conservative.

02:42:15.560 You never know how irrational other people are.

02:42:18.580 Heidi Martin for $39.99 says, thank you for your hard work, Wyatt.

02:42:21.620 And thank you for that, Heidi.

02:42:24.180 And thank you for your super chat.

02:42:26.680 Chad Martin Harris says, for $5, good to see you at the rally.

02:42:29.440 Wyatt, fingers crossed for Polyev.

02:42:31.360 Up here, the Conservatives in Canada, praying for change.

02:42:34.260 Thank you for that.

02:42:35.220 And Jesse Thomas, I'm trying to burn through some of these guys

02:42:37.360 because I'm a bit behind.

02:42:39.460 Jesse Thomas says, you're awesome.

02:42:41.000 On boomer lib problem, rallying to government in times of crisis may be natural,

02:42:45.040 but irrational when they are to blame for the weakness.

02:42:47.300 And that is why it would be maddening if the Liberals end up pulling it out

02:42:51.600 without really having done anything to say, okay, we're going to change on this or that.

02:42:57.020 There's literally been nothing that the Liberals have changed on under Carney.

02:43:02.920 Again, they're saying, how many actual seats have they called it for?

02:43:09.280 So they've only even called 21 seats for the Liberals and six for the Conservatives,

02:43:14.540 but apparently because they're leading, they're saying government.

02:43:17.200 Again, is it because Montreal's going a certain way?

02:43:25.380 Yeah.

02:43:26.220 I was looking at this.

02:43:26.980 Okay, I just checked.

02:43:27.700 Roman Babber's leading Yara Sachs by one and a half percent.

02:43:31.260 That's good.

02:43:31.820 Neil Obermann's leading Anthony Housefire, a father, by 167 in Mount Royal,

02:43:37.420 but that's extremely early going.

02:43:39.480 Yeah.

02:43:40.320 Those would be nice.

02:43:42.520 I'd be happy with those two going.

02:43:44.020 Okay, well, do we have anything new?

02:43:50.300 Kitchener-Conestoga, very recent.

02:43:52.540 They haven't counted basically anything.

02:43:55.600 Richmond Hill South.

02:43:58.720 Yeah, and it's still early in a lot of these other ones.

02:44:02.560 Don't know what to think.

02:44:04.120 Yeah, I mean, let's hold on to the options here.

02:44:07.380 I'm not going to be delusional, but it's – from the numbers I see, it's not –

02:44:13.560 again, I don't know how you call it this early.

02:44:17.160 Even if they're right, I just still find that odd.

02:44:19.680 You think you'd give it a little bit of time?

02:44:20.420 I mean, I see it as – yeah, it's an odd early call.

02:44:23.280 Then, listen, when one person does it, it starts to cavalcade of the rest, but we will see.

02:44:33.340 I mean, listen, I still think a minority is going to be like – I actually think a minority would be fine because, listen, 0.99

02:44:42.400 the liberals get one budget.

02:44:43.720 You might have another year of liberals, which you're going to have kind of until October anyway.

02:44:47.560 But if the liberals get a minority, I think the odds of a conservative supermajority coming in after them –

02:44:53.220 I think if we get a liberal minority, Mark Carney will eventually become Justin Trudeau in everyone's minds,

02:44:59.320 doing the same Trudeau thing, that you could then flip it.

02:45:02.420 But a strong liberal majority would be a disaster.

02:45:07.840 So we'll have to wait and see.

02:45:10.300 And because the thing is, at least in minority government, especially if the NDP are wiped out

02:45:14.700 and they must rely on the Bloc Québécois for everything because the NDP only have like 10 seats or 12,

02:45:20.660 you're in a situation where now – that's actually an unfunctional minority government.

02:45:26.700 If they end up – maybe they end up with everything they want.

02:45:29.360 I actually don't know.

02:45:30.420 At this point, it's just weird.

02:45:31.360 If they end up needing to rely on the Bloc and the NDP for every single vote,

02:45:37.740 that's when it ends up being really bad in terms of the government's not going to last more than a year and a half

02:45:42.360 because now you have three parties that have to agree on stuff to get it passed.

02:45:48.020 Okay.

02:45:48.740 I do want to get back to Super Chat just because a lot of people are here.

02:45:53.360 Lori Borley says for $27.99, keep up the great coverage.

02:45:57.200 Well, we absolutely will.

02:45:59.260 And we're not going to like go the entire night.

02:46:01.000 I know I was never planning on it.

02:46:02.720 But we have Pandemonia for $6.99.

02:46:05.620 Sends in nothing.

02:46:06.380 But I still thank you all of the same for helping support the channel.

02:46:10.000 David Edwards, $50, says Juno has just called two more seats in Atlantic for the CPC

02:46:16.440 and are on track to keep all their seats.

02:46:18.920 Except for that one in Perrystown, Muskoka.

02:46:21.160 But again, it looks like they might have picked up a different seat or two other seats in Bluefinland.

02:46:25.860 Again, we still have Bluefinland, so there we go.

02:46:28.840 Kitty Chan, you too.

02:46:31.060 For $100, thank you for that.

02:46:33.760 Thank you so much for all your hard work.

02:46:35.800 Absolutely.

02:46:36.500 And I thank you for watching and helping support the show.

02:46:40.560 Kdog for $13.99, says keep up the great work, Wyatt.

02:46:43.280 But don't discount Rick Arish, anyone who proposes to tattoo your name.

02:46:51.200 Don't discount.

02:46:52.300 I'm not discounting him.

02:46:53.580 I'm warning him not to put my name on him because, you know, I don't want to embarrass him or anything.

02:47:00.900 Catan, a Blue Jay for $5, says even here the old adage, Ontario picks the Prime Minister.

02:47:07.180 Quebec decides if it's a majority or minority.

02:47:09.480 Do you believe that if that's true?

02:47:11.340 I guess partially that's technically true, but that's just saying the two biggest provinces are naturally going to have a say over it.

02:47:18.840 Yeah, I mean, it's over 50%.

02:47:20.640 I mean, Ontario is a third of the population.

02:47:22.740 What's Quebec?

02:47:24.400 Does that make it around?

02:47:25.500 I think around it's around 50% when you combine the two.

02:47:29.280 So it kind of makes sense.

02:47:32.500 There was like, listen, I have my theories on Senate reform and electoral distribution, how we can fix this thing.

02:47:40.180 But, c'est la vie.

02:47:45.000 Okay, still everything in the GTA is extremely, extremely low vote counts.

02:47:52.300 Okay.

02:47:54.860 Nothing going on.

02:47:56.800 Looking at Montreal.

02:47:57.840 So sorry if people are staring at my face while I do this, but checking stuff out.

02:48:02.460 Yeah, show them the map you're taking around.

02:48:04.200 People want to see maps.

02:48:05.100 People want to see numbers.

02:48:05.640 That's what they came for.

02:48:06.800 Yeah.

02:48:07.100 Show them the map.

02:48:07.980 Thanks for the reminder.

02:48:09.380 But, like, again, around here, a lot of these ridings around the area, and this is why I'm skeptical, why they're calling it super early.

02:48:16.040 Again, maybe they're right on the money with it.

02:48:18.080 But, like, a lot of these ridings only have, like, one poll counting, and these are generally the ridings I assume that the BQ have a good chance at tonight.

02:48:24.560 And the BQ are actually at 23 seats already, with some of these not even counting yet, and some areas that they could easily flip back.

02:48:32.900 So the BQ might even have a good night.

02:48:35.000 So I guess the liberals are leading.

02:48:39.000 But, again, they've only said 21 of them are elected.

02:48:41.680 But I guess what do I know?

02:48:43.100 Okay.

02:48:43.260 Okay, we'll leave that there, and then I'll just go back to Super Chats, because, again, guys, we're so far behind.

02:48:51.300 I'm not doing this for narcissism reasons.

02:48:54.960 Davey Jones says, thank you for your base coverage.

02:48:57.000 God bless you.

02:48:57.840 Thank you for that, Davey Jones.

02:49:00.740 Rob Haig for $27.99 says, thank you for all your hard work, your voice of calm, and a time of great uncertainty.

02:49:06.420 We watch you every day.

02:49:07.340 Bring it home.

02:49:07.940 And definitely right now it is very uncertain.

02:49:09.960 So hopefully I'm calming, because I don't even know what's happening.

02:49:13.540 Couch Operator 1, $6.99.

02:49:17.360 Coder Corey for $2 says, GTA parents want me to vote carny.

02:49:21.060 Voting blue.

02:49:22.340 Good.

02:49:22.920 Defy them.

02:49:25.980 Miramichi.

02:49:27.060 Kelly Baudreau.

02:49:29.120 Helping me pronounce that still better.

02:49:31.420 Miramichi.

02:49:33.240 And Jimmy for $6.99.

02:49:35.140 Hello, my fellow Fort McMurray person.

02:49:37.660 Our time has come.

02:49:38.680 Pierre will be PM.

02:49:39.960 If we've got 12 seats, majority is a good chance.

02:49:43.580 And then, so yeah, we're talking about the Maritimes if we ended up doing well there.

02:49:47.220 And again, we did well in the Maritimes.

02:49:48.680 So apparently Maritimes didn't actually matter as a bellwether if what the media is saying holds up.

02:49:55.260 CD for $10 says, I've been watching you since the election was called.

02:49:58.280 I love how you break down the polls.

02:49:59.880 Thanks.

02:50:02.120 Ro Renaud Zorro for $2 says, I think GTA will be a big surprise.

02:50:06.480 Well, hopefully it still is because, again, we've counted nothing there.

02:50:10.000 Calera, $22 for $13.99.

02:50:12.540 Doesn't send in anything, but we appreciate it all the same.

02:50:16.860 Caleb McKenzie for $3 says, former NDP turned con here.

02:50:20.240 I voted early.

02:50:21.520 Fantastic.

02:50:21.960 And Laura Christie just sends in $27.99. 0.94

02:50:25.020 Thank you for that, Laura Christie.

02:50:27.400 Paul, for $6.99.

02:50:28.620 We are having our own We Are the Media Now moment in Canada.

02:50:32.600 Thanks for all you do, Wyatt.

02:50:33.780 Bring it home.

02:50:34.360 And if you actually do gather up, I would suspect all of the YouTubers who do election commentary,

02:50:40.620 as well as the places that do actual media coverage, like the Western Standard and, you

02:50:46.040 know, True North, Juno, True North technically still exists as a wired service, and Rubble

02:50:51.060 News.

02:50:51.820 I guarantee most of those places have more viewers in a day than the mainstream media does

02:50:57.380 on certain channels.

02:50:58.740 Obviously, the nationals, where you're going to get like 200,000 people watching all at

02:51:02.620 once, but throughout the day, in terms of articles being consumed, I think the media

02:51:06.820 is very much sliding these days.

02:51:09.400 And their, yeah, and their financial and business method is dumb.

02:51:15.240 Like, you know, paywalling, like you can't say, like paywalling, no one's going to pay for

02:51:20.740 like a global news online subscription.

02:51:22.760 Like, that's not the way things are going.

02:51:24.720 Like, you got to learn to monetize online, but they're subsidized.

02:51:28.440 So they never really leave their, their way of doing things.

02:51:32.860 So we will see.

02:51:34.560 I'm always surprised with the way that they'll like CBC and whatnot, they just kind of fart

02:51:40.140 content onto YouTube, like with no regard to whether or not people want to see it.

02:51:44.000 They'll just like put up like literally five videos in an hour.

02:51:46.580 And I understand it's like a big organization, but you think you'd start more like regional

02:51:50.080 variants so that you're not just like dumping stories out there into the public.

02:51:54.040 But honestly, that's also one of those things that's kind of wrong with the mainstream media

02:51:59.960 in suppressing independent media is even if their coverage is bad quality, if they simply

02:52:04.900 dump out news articles all the time, then they kind of end up, you know, they end up kind

02:52:11.840 of like, like, like boxing everyone else out.

02:52:14.800 But because by the time you do reasonable, good faith coverage of an issue that's more

02:52:20.300 political, and you're still like usually a few hours behind them because they have an

02:52:24.660 entire team to get some garbage out.

02:52:26.280 David Ford says, I can see why the West feels like it's pointless, like, well, hopefully

02:52:35.320 I, hopefully the number, the call is wrong.

02:52:38.040 I don't know.

02:52:38.780 But at the same time, I don't know, liberal minority, if it's small enough, is fine, I

02:52:44.200 suppose it's basically just going to mean another election in a year and a half.

02:52:47.660 But the conservatives don't get the ability to control who's going to win that.

02:52:52.540 Who's going to, like, it doesn't, they're not going to benefit as much from it.

02:52:57.720 Oh, the Windsor area is actually going well for the conservatives, but it's still early.

02:53:01.700 All right.

02:53:02.500 Is, can we, can we start Jagmeet watching now?

02:53:06.060 Um, I'm going to check.

02:53:07.060 Okay, guys, we're going to go to Burnaby Center to see how Jagmeet Singh is doing.

02:53:13.280 Do you think if he wins the seat, there's going to be enough people masochistic enough inside

02:53:18.140 the NDP to keep him on?

02:53:19.760 No, I think he's done.

02:53:22.820 Uh, I think he's done the NDP.

02:53:24.040 No, no numbers for the Jagmeet so far.

02:53:26.140 Like, I think Jagmeet's done.

02:53:27.360 We got a little bit.

02:53:27.920 We got a little bit.

02:53:28.740 Oh, no, no, that's, uh, that's the wrong one.

02:53:30.180 That's, uh, Surrey Center.

02:53:31.560 Yeah, Surrey Center.

02:53:32.680 Well, is that, uh, who's winning that?

02:53:35.120 Red Calistan, blue Calistan, orange Calistan?

02:53:37.420 That's red.

02:53:38.660 Red Calistan? 0.95

02:53:39.840 Good.

02:53:40.480 A lot of the stuff is very, very early.

02:53:42.680 Yeah.

02:53:44.660 I mean, yeah, there's, uh, I think the Jagmeet will be an interesting one. 0.79

02:53:48.440 Mike DeJong will be an interesting one.

02:53:50.700 Uh, if the liberals get a minor, again, if the liberals get a minority, I'm, again, I'm

02:53:56.940 not happy compared to where, where we were talking six months ago.

02:54:00.640 Um, but if the liberals get a minority here, it's not going to last.

02:54:05.240 Um, so there's your copium.

02:54:07.020 We're going to be dishing out tons of copium tonight, um, going for a liberal minority.

02:54:13.140 Well, yeah.

02:54:13.760 And if it, if it ends up being a liberal minority or whatever, obviously you want to look at

02:54:17.760 the bright side and see, okay, well, what then can we do from here?

02:54:20.600 Because if any YouTubers or any people covering this start just doing like, well, now we're

02:54:24.920 all screwed.

02:54:25.340 It's like, okay, well, that's not actually, that's not actually the position that we're

02:54:29.540 in right now.

02:54:30.140 Um, sorry, I have to go back to this.

02:54:32.460 Uh, Christina Molle says for $10, I was born in Newfoundland and sister and I in Ontario.

02:54:37.860 My father is in Newfoundland and brother in Alberta.

02:54:40.160 Go Bluefoundland, rocking Gen X. 1.00

02:54:42.380 And absolutely, Bluefoundland, if there is silver lining, it is Bluefoundland.

02:54:47.360 VSK for 279.

02:54:48.660 Any hope for cons yet?

02:54:50.340 I don't even know still.

02:54:52.080 I guess, I guess the media called it.

02:54:54.420 But again, I'm still looking at a chart where they haven't basically called more than 30

02:54:58.460 ridings between all the parties.

02:55:01.260 Drett for $20 says, I love you, Wyatt.

02:55:03.220 I love you too.

02:55:05.480 Harley Hosenberg is just sends in a dollar.

02:55:08.100 Thank you for that.

02:55:08.760 Michael Stevenson sends in $6.99.

02:55:11.200 Thank you, Michael.

02:55:13.060 And Freezerman71 for $10 says, Wyatt, thank you for standing up for Trevor Toome.

02:55:17.800 He does my family proud.

02:55:19.220 I vote for conservative Zach Siegel and my riding of Stevenson Richmond East, but I am not

02:55:24.000 hopeful for BC.

02:55:25.320 Keep up the great work.

02:55:26.240 Yeah, I would kind of stood up for Trevor Toome in the sense that Mark Carney was like

02:55:31.220 running down him for not having as much experience as he does in terms of public finance when

02:55:36.060 all of his experience has been in monetary policy and private sector in finance.

02:55:41.700 Whereas Mr.

02:55:43.440 What's his name?

02:55:44.160 Like Trevor Toome is all public finance.

02:55:46.040 He, in fact, was one of my professors when I was taking my master's.

02:55:50.720 $5 from Michael Kovacs says, thanks for the keep up the great work, Wyatt.

02:55:55.320 David Edwards for $2 says, Wyatt Jr. has its $21.11.

02:56:03.760 That was, I think, the previous numbers we had before we ended up moving into the other

02:56:07.040 provinces.

02:56:08.140 Hey Dog just sends in $13.99.

02:56:10.360 Thank you for that.

02:56:11.700 John Roberts sends in $2.79 and says, which areas are the most important for cons?

02:56:16.140 Teach me.

02:56:16.600 Obviously, GTA, Southwest, really, I would say the conservative path to victory, regardless

02:56:24.140 of the election, is always kind of, obviously, you do well in the West, and then you just

02:56:28.360 need a smattering of everything.

02:56:30.000 You don't need to outright win the GTA.

02:56:32.140 You don't need to outright win many areas.

02:56:34.380 But if you do well in the Maritimes, if you keep Ontario at 50-50, and you keep, and the

02:56:41.980 NDP or the Bloc keeps the Liberals hemmed in in Quebec, then if the conservatives do well

02:56:47.720 in Manitoba, Saskatchewan, and Alberta, and BC, that's usually the path to victory for

02:56:52.180 conservative government.

02:56:53.040 Um, I'm just looking at the scores now, again.

02:56:58.140 Like, the popular vote's starting to come back down to where we were expecting it, so

02:57:02.960 again, that's where I'm still just waiting for anything actually major to happen to see

02:57:06.720 where, if we lose, where was the screw-up, because I don't even know right now.

02:57:11.460 That's what we're seeing, 46 Liberal, 39 Conservative, 7 Bloc, 4.7 NDP, and 0.2 or 0.9 Green.

02:57:20.720 But again, a lot of West hasn't been counted, and basically still nothing in the GTA.

02:57:26.940 Yeah, um, yeah, conservatives, uh, elected, leading 130, okay, Bloc, that's 7%.

02:57:38.260 That's not bad numbers from the Bloc. 0.85

02:57:40.120 I mean, the, the, the, the story, the story here on the numbers is the collapse of the NDP.

02:57:44.720 Yeah, 4.7%.

02:57:45.820 It's the collapse of the NDP.

02:57:46.980 Obviously, the Bloc's vote will go down as they, uh, count more of the rest of Canada,

02:57:52.420 but again, we haven't even counted that much of Quebec yet, either.

02:57:57.940 Uh, CG for 699 says, do you think that early vote is stronger for Liberals in general,

02:58:03.240 Conservatives voting less early?

02:58:04.640 In this election, I would say that early vote was probably more Liberal, and I would have

02:58:09.860 said that, uh, regardless of what's happening right now.

02:58:12.400 Just because I think that if you are a Trump derangement syndrome Liberal voter, you are

02:58:17.480 there on day one to vote, whereas Conservative voters were voting, at least in their minds

02:58:22.700 in a more normal election, they're voting for policy reasons they want change, and it's

02:58:27.080 younger, middle-aged voters who don't have as much time on their hands to go out and vote

02:58:30.860 right away.

02:58:36.960 And, Claudia, $10 says, love your channel.

02:58:41.620 I feel like it was a miss that Polyev didn't go on any mainstream media.

02:58:44.880 What do you think?

02:58:46.100 He didn't do some.

02:58:47.420 I would say that probably most of the leaders didn't do much mainstream media outside of just

02:58:51.880 a few interviews.

02:58:52.800 And it was mostly, like, if one leader did the show, then the other would do it.

02:58:58.380 It's like, what was that Le Tout-à-Mont Quebec show, or whatever?

02:59:02.700 Like, the really aggressive interview show?

02:59:05.160 I think Polyev did that because Mark Carney was probably going to do it, and I think Blanchet

02:59:09.920 obviously did it as well.

02:59:11.300 David Vlader, for $2, says, from Saanich Gulf Islands, May needs to go blue.

02:59:21.500 Yeah, I would love to see Elizabeth May finally exit politics. 1.00

02:59:24.660 She's just been a toxic force. 0.99

02:59:27.000 And Callie Hongsberg says, can I get a U-Ha?

02:59:32.480 U-Ha?

02:59:33.000 Oh, yeah.

02:59:33.740 Oh, yeah.

02:59:34.380 Oh, yeah.

02:59:34.740 I don't know.

02:59:35.120 I messed that up somehow.

02:59:38.840 Leslie Paradis, for $100.

02:59:40.500 Thank you for that, Leslie.

02:59:42.620 Wyatt just wanted to support you.

02:59:44.100 I'm going back and forth from different commentators, and you are the best.

02:59:47.680 Well, thank you.

02:59:48.340 And Daniel's second best for being here with me.

02:59:51.840 Silver medal.

02:59:53.180 Yeah.

02:59:54.440 Still counts.

02:59:55.620 Piston broke $17.76.

02:59:57.380 Hey, Wyatt, I started my conservative TikTok October 3rd, 2024, and I have not 1.2 million

03:00:03.040 total views.

03:00:03.620 Some viral that hit 50,000 to 60,000 views in 24 hours.

03:00:08.880 Go CPC, Blue, Wave, Hit, TikTok.

03:00:12.000 Yeah, guys, go look them up.

03:00:13.020 That piston broke $17.76 if you happen to use TikTok.

03:00:15.640 I actually don't use TikTok, but for winning youth voters, it is important.

03:00:20.820 I just don't want the CCP malware on my...

03:00:23.640 Yeah, on principle, I don't TikTok.

03:00:26.620 It's a CCP cyber weapon.

03:00:29.040 Listen, if I was Prime Minister, I just...

03:00:30.460 No one would have TikTok.

03:00:31.520 I'd just delete it.

03:00:32.360 I'd be like...

03:00:32.760 Yeah, we have currently right now on screen, and this is interesting, conservatives are

03:00:36.700 now above 40% of the vote, which is good if that holds up or even goes higher, because

03:00:41.900 a lot of pollsters were showing the liberals or the conservatives not even getting like

03:00:46.400 40.

03:00:46.980 There would be like 37 or 38 or something like that, and I always thought that that was

03:00:50.680 like way too low for the conservatives.

03:00:52.160 But again, the Block have a car doing pretty well.

03:00:54.420 They won 30 seats last time.

03:00:55.880 They're currently at 23, and then some flips can still happen.

03:00:58.700 I'm looking for any interesting ones we can check back in on.

03:01:08.140 Oh, Mount Royal's still going conservative a bit, but it's pretty close.

03:01:12.400 Neil Olbermann and Anthony Housefather.

03:01:14.660 That's a micro race where that race only has to do with things going on locally, and that's

03:01:19.900 it.

03:01:21.180 Yeah.

03:01:21.620 Kanata is within 9-10, but we still have a lot of vote to count.

03:01:24.700 And Carlton is actually leaning a liberal, but that is with a single poll.

03:01:32.960 And what else do we have here?

03:01:34.340 Oh, goodness.

03:01:34.820 Come on.

03:01:35.560 Okay.

03:01:35.720 I'm going to have to resort out the map here.

03:01:37.820 Yeah.

03:01:38.440 I'm looking for any interesting ridings in BC.

03:01:41.700 None of the ones that I care about right now.

03:01:47.720 Let's check in on York Sacks.

03:01:49.640 How's she doing?

03:01:50.660 Go to York Center.

03:01:51.380 York Center actually is doing better now.

03:01:55.460 So 39 polls counted of 172, and Roman Baber is currently leading with 853 votes.

03:02:02.060 Oh, okay.

03:02:02.680 Roman Baber is pulling away from Yara Sacks.

03:02:04.640 Okay.

03:02:04.840 This is a micro victory for me.

03:02:09.860 Yes.

03:02:10.220 And we have some Milton and Brampton ridings currently going conservative with some decent

03:02:16.420 amount of polls being counted.

03:02:18.700 So that's good.

03:02:19.180 Um, do we have anything else that's interesting?

03:02:21.960 Vaughn's going conservative.

03:02:24.300 Thornhill obviously is conservative.

03:02:26.020 Melissa Lansman up.

03:02:27.360 Vaughn Woodbridge is currently conservative.

03:02:29.300 I'm going to put this back on screen because it's decently interesting.

03:02:32.100 So this is the area a lot of people are saying where there's going to be a lot of pickups.

03:02:35.420 So York Center currently leading Roman Baber with a lot of vote.

03:02:39.200 Obviously, Melissa Lansman's going to keep her seat. 1.00

03:02:41.980 Richmond Hill South with Vincent Ho as a 515 lead.

03:02:46.260 That is a pickup from, um, I believe, isn't that, isn't that?

03:02:50.520 No, that might be good because that's a Majid Johari's right.

03:02:53.280 Sorry.

03:02:53.440 What do you say?

03:02:53.820 Richmond Hill?

03:02:54.640 Yeah.

03:02:54.880 Majid Johari.

03:02:55.580 I was wondering if Kostas Minagakis was running against him again.

03:02:58.340 This is a great pickup if we win it because Majid Johari is a flat out Iranian government 1.00

03:03:04.580 asset, Iranian regime asset.

03:03:06.300 Okay, Vincent Ho winning.

03:03:07.620 Okay, that's good.

03:03:08.460 If Majid Johari loses his seat, that's very good for Canada.

03:03:11.140 Um, listen, in the 11 MPs named an OSOT report, I am 95% confident that Majid Johari is one

03:03:18.780 of the ones connected to China.

03:03:20.420 And I know we just called him an Iranian asset, but, um, generally how it works is anyone who's

03:03:25.700 in bed with Iran or China or, um, Calistan or the Muslim or any of these things, it's 0.86

03:03:31.760 all the same networks.

03:03:32.720 And a lot of the, um, Iranian foreign influence is laundered through China, which is their ally.

03:03:39.020 So like Russia, Russia, China, Iran sort of has an access and a lot of it in Canada is

03:03:44.440 funneled through, uh, the Chinese cause they kind of have the freest reign in Canada. 1.00

03:03:49.260 So, uh, a lot of MPs will go to China and then come back with a bit of a bag.

03:03:54.180 Yeah.

03:03:56.460 And, um, sorry, I'm just gonna, sorry, I just put, every time people are spamming, I just

03:04:01.800 have to put someone in timeout.

03:04:02.980 You got to throw down the band hammer, put, make them sit in the corner with the hat of

03:04:05.860 shame, uh, start.

03:04:08.460 I'm going to go back to some of this stuff.

03:04:09.760 Cause again, you guys are extremely hyper generous.

03:04:12.720 Thank you for actually making this one of the most watched election live streams currently

03:04:17.300 on YouTube after rebel news and Juno news.

03:04:20.400 Anita Davis says, I've been enjoying your daily videos all campaign wide.

03:04:24.180 Your breakdown of the numbers and humor puts a smile on my face.

03:04:27.020 Pure poly for PM.

03:04:28.700 Yes.

03:04:29.120 And I think my, here's the thing I've been predicting.

03:04:31.880 It's like a 50, 50 coin toss between the conservatives and the liberals.

03:04:35.640 And I think that with a slight ledge towards the conservatives, I think that this is effectively

03:04:41.300 vindicating that the polls were wrong, but the liberals still might win, but they're going

03:04:47.020 to win in a way that the polls didn't actually predict at all.

03:04:49.960 David Shearer just sends in 99 cents.

03:04:53.440 Thank you for that.

03:04:54.920 Mark sends in $2.

03:04:56.100 We've enjoyed your polling analysis so far.

03:04:57.840 Well, thank you.

03:04:58.340 I am definitely going to be keeping it up because again, I think the polling analysis has been

03:05:02.100 generally pretty accurate about the mood.

03:05:05.000 Polling can only tell you possibilities.

03:05:07.360 It's never going to be able to tell you who is actually going to be able to win.

03:05:11.780 We just, it's basically like we are reading, um, tea leaves a little bit, but it can be indicative

03:05:17.480 because sometimes when people say, well, I know a bunch of people in this writing and

03:05:20.700 it's going, and I think it's like, it's going to go liberal because I know a lot of liberal

03:05:24.860 people, or it's going to go conservative because I know a lot of conservative people.

03:05:28.340 Sometimes the regional polling, if it's done well, will tell you, you might just be in

03:05:31.280 a conservative poll.

03:05:32.300 That writing is probably going to stay conservative.

03:05:36.220 Carly Hansberg says, my grandma died.

03:05:38.240 Can I get a hoo-yah?

03:05:40.420 Well, that's, that's really tragic.

03:05:44.440 Hoo-yah?

03:05:44.820 Sorry for your loss.

03:05:45.680 Yeah, like, sorry for your loss.

03:05:47.180 That's really, that's terrible.

03:05:49.740 Um, yeah, so, you know, prayers for your family.

03:05:54.880 Um, EnglandDDG for $5 says, I'm an undocumented Canadian.

03:06:00.500 I'm going to vote for whomever offers me free Tim Hortons and poutine.

03:06:03.540 That's what a world, world-class economy requires. 0.96

03:06:07.100 Well, absolutely.

03:06:07.940 You're right.

03:06:08.620 Isn't that what Canada needs?

03:06:09.940 Just more warm bodies in the country.

03:06:11.860 We just need more immigration and somehow we're going to fix our, our economic problems. 1.00

03:06:17.140 Yeah.

03:06:17.260 We'll immigrate our way through it and then send direct flights to Emirates are.

03:06:20.120 So.

03:06:20.920 Yeah.

03:06:21.500 That's what's going to fix things.

03:06:23.220 Yep.

03:06:24.200 Um, Young Guns Canada says, I volunteered with the CBC candidate doing data entry.

03:06:28.660 Can you explain the benefit of the benefit to the campaign?

03:06:32.040 I'm from Calgary and would love to meet up sometime.

03:06:34.220 Love your commentary.

03:06:35.120 Well, the data entry and are you talking about, um, and thank you for the $20, Young Gun.

03:06:43.980 The benefit to the campaign for data entry is simply the campaign needs a coherent view

03:06:50.040 of the riding.

03:06:50.940 If you don't have a coherent view and it's getting tight, you might be door knocking and

03:06:55.480 lit dropping and doing stuff in all the wrong parts of the riding where people are decidedly

03:06:59.860 liberal in that area.

03:07:00.780 So why even bother showing up and reminding them in elections going on?

03:07:05.060 So campaigns with bad data often are doing many other wrong things because they don't

03:07:10.900 know.

03:07:11.620 They're kind of flying blind, obviously it's bad to fly blind and your data is your, is

03:07:16.280 your kind of, you know, eye in the sky of where are our votes?

03:07:19.860 Where do we need to work on?

03:07:21.520 Where are the areas where we haven't door knocked that in maybe five years that I've seen that

03:07:26.020 around the country where you're on their C2G app and they haven't door knocked a certain

03:07:29.900 poll in literally five years.

03:07:32.180 And so like, that's what data entry helps with.

03:07:34.220 It reminds people of where we need to be trying to strengthen ourselves.

03:07:38.140 Yeah.

03:07:38.300 And like another important thing is like with a lot of the snap election and a big problem

03:07:44.700 the conservative party had is they didn't have all their seats filled when the election

03:07:47.580 was called.

03:07:48.080 And a lot of people are just kind of thrown in last minute or maybe parachuted.

03:07:52.120 You're going to see it like there are certain writings that I know of where the conservative

03:07:56.040 candidate there this last week, their door knocking was going to the people they knew

03:08:01.480 were their support because they door knocked the whole area.

03:08:03.400 So the last week was focused on going to conservative leaning people and reminding them to get out

03:08:10.160 to vote, right?

03:08:11.440 And mobilizing the base.

03:08:13.060 Whereas a lot of the writings that had put people in like last minute and it just been

03:08:17.760 kind of blitzing these last 30 days, they were still knocking new doors to try and win

03:08:22.300 people and undecided.

03:08:24.160 And that's the, yeah.

03:08:25.260 And that's definitely one of those problems.

03:08:27.100 And this is why when people are saying I'm like Daniel's negative early on, it's like some

03:08:31.180 of the stuff just needs to be said, regardless of it was a win, loss or draw, having nominations

03:08:36.680 early allows that person to get out in the community and make their case.

03:08:40.420 When you don't do that, you're running into problems.

03:08:43.800 You're like when you don't.

03:08:45.340 Yeah.

03:08:46.160 And like, listen, I want it.

03:08:47.280 I want to consider this when I voted, but, you know, as a conservative supporter, as a

03:08:51.140 conservative Canadian, like I don't think treating them with kid gloves, like when they 0.98

03:08:54.740 made mistakes and the mistakes they're making, I feel it's important to call them out on

03:08:58.120 because if we don't course correct and, and, and treat this more seriously, like it's

03:09:03.440 going to like, we're the underdogs in every election.

03:09:05.160 Okay.

03:09:06.000 The, the country naturally will default to liberal leadership, even when Stephen Harper

03:09:10.980 did amazing things for the country and had the strongest middle class in the world.

03:09:15.500 Just even after 10 years, people just want to shake it off and go red because that's their 0.92

03:09:20.100 natural inkling.

03:09:20.820 Like we have to be elite in the way conservatives go about elections.

03:09:28.180 They have to be elite and efficient.

03:09:29.920 So when they do things like parachute and candidates or sell ridings to crazy people, you know, it's

03:09:38.840 going to, it's going to hurt them.

03:09:40.160 So I, you know, and again, like we have the right to say what we want as Canadians for

03:09:46.840 now.

03:09:47.620 By the way, someone asked me what map we're using.

03:09:49.420 I'm using currently the global news live results map, which I think is pretty good.

03:09:53.780 I like the way it's looking.

03:09:55.380 So York center looks good.

03:09:57.480 Roman Babber's up by over 10% now.

03:10:00.320 Oh, wow.

03:10:00.860 Okay.

03:10:00.980 I want to go check that out.

03:10:02.860 That's looking good.

03:10:04.240 We just got some, uh, we just got results in from Abbotsford, South Langley, but we have

03:10:13.520 barely any vote.

03:10:15.320 469 votes reported.

03:10:16.680 Sukman Gill is leading by just a few votes over the liberal.

03:10:19.940 And so it's 157 Sukman liberal has 140 and Mike Deong has 123.

03:10:25.480 Okay.

03:10:28.540 But of course that is still super, super early going.

03:10:32.640 Let's go.

03:10:33.340 Mike Deong.

03:10:34.240 The only conservative in that race.

03:10:37.080 Uh, we have results a little bit leaking out from, uh, Nanaimo Ladysmiths and we're

03:10:43.260 leading by 21 votes, but that is literally just a singular poll out.

03:10:48.100 Uh, what else do we got here?

03:10:52.500 And again, they've only called 24 ridings in favor of the liberals, 17 for the conservatives

03:10:57.460 and three for the block.

03:10:58.740 So again, regardless of what happens, I'm just still kind of amazed that they even bothered

03:11:04.180 calling stuff this fast.

03:11:06.140 Um, yeah, I don't know.

03:11:07.560 I'm just annoyed.

03:11:08.140 I don't like what I hate.

03:11:09.300 I hate when people do that.

03:11:11.840 Maybe they win, but like, oh my goodness, let me have some flipping suspense for a bit

03:11:15.140 rather than calling it.

03:11:16.120 And then if they're wrong, then they look really stupid.

03:11:17.740 David Shearer, your coverage makes the way, uh, this way less successful, this way less

03:11:24.660 successful.

03:11:25.120 I don't know what that means.

03:11:25.960 Stressful.

03:11:26.920 Stressful.

03:11:27.320 Making it less stressful.

03:11:28.460 Yes.

03:11:28.760 And again, even if it's a loss, I can make that less stressful because my goodness, if

03:11:33.140 it's really tight, the government's not going to hold very long because like Carney needs

03:11:38.440 to get within like a few seats of winning a majority to have a functional minority government

03:11:44.040 because of the Bloc Quebecois and the NDP are required to hold up the government.

03:11:49.280 That's really bad for them.

03:11:50.320 But thank you for the $27.99 from Gutierre Kruger.

03:11:56.620 Gunter Kruger.

03:11:57.640 There you go.

03:11:59.740 Broken country for $20 as Wyatt Claypool is here.

03:12:02.320 Oh, oh, oh, Burnaby Central.

03:12:04.680 One poll reported.

03:12:06.360 Kagme Singh down nine votes.

03:12:08.060 Kagme Singh is losing.

03:12:09.780 It's the end of Kagme.

03:12:12.100 Who's he losing to?

03:12:14.920 Too bad he's losing to the conservative, to the liberal, but that's only in our first poll.

03:12:20.320 But yeah, that's going to be silver lining if we see Mr. Singh losing that seat.

03:12:26.940 Oh, someone just said CTV projects a minority.

03:12:29.760 If this is a minority government, I'm going to bed fine.

03:12:32.820 I'm going to bed fine in a minority.

03:12:34.860 And listen, again, am I afraid for the country?

03:12:38.360 Yes.

03:12:38.700 Will there be more fine than all?

03:12:39.660 Yes.

03:12:40.080 Will Mark Carney print a bajillion dollars and then give it to Brookfield?

03:12:43.120 Yes.

03:12:43.460 But at least a – I know Mark Carney's veneer is going to wear off soon.

03:12:52.660 And then when it does, we can properly eviscerate the liberals.

03:12:56.640 And hopefully, if – I just want the conservatives – please, stop pandering to the people who hate you.

03:13:04.760 We don't need radical leftists.

03:13:06.700 We need to grow the conservative base.

03:13:08.620 And you cannot do that with a bunch of Kalistanis. 1.00

03:13:12.160 Okay?

03:13:12.380 They're not – they're backing the liberals right now.

03:13:15.020 If we could just ditch our crazies.

03:13:16.760 I'm telling you, conservatives.

03:13:18.840 You don't need to pander to minorities.

03:13:20.980 You don't.

03:13:21.980 Do you want to get minorities to vote for you?

03:13:23.860 Just look them in the eye, speak English, and treat them like everyone else.

03:13:28.480 Just pretend everyone's a bunch of white dudes.

03:13:30.680 If you treat Asians and Indians like they're just Canadians and no pandering, you don't need to bibbidi-bobbidi-bibbidi-boo, just say everyone's Canada.

03:13:42.160 You came to Canada to be Canadian, you'll win them, right? 1.00

03:13:45.360 But the problem with the conservative – like the problem with the pandering approach is I get it when minority communities get into two modes where it's like either there's racism and like, oh, I hate brown people and the minorities are in the country, white power, right? 0.55

03:14:00.520 That's scary.

03:14:01.320 And if the other option is we love all minorities, DEI, ethnic diversity, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah.

03:14:06.300 Yeah, okay.

03:14:06.800 Of course, they're going to go that way.

03:14:08.280 But the real pathway for Canadian conservatives to win is you don't need to pander.

03:14:15.040 Just treat – look everyone in the eyes and treat them like a normal person and you'll kill it with the Asians and the Indians. 1.00

03:14:23.420 Yeah.

03:14:24.140 I want to quickly just bring it back to the macro results because, again, a lot of these areas I'm looking at, it's just not much to tell people.

03:14:31.140 So what we see right here, bringing it back up on screen, is currently 160 for the liberals, 139 for the conservatives, which is actually gains for them, 25 for the block, 10 for the NDP, and zero for the greens.

03:14:44.340 But, again, we've only called 28 for the liberals and 18 for the conservatives, and there's mostly just counting leading ridings.

03:14:50.860 So I don't actually know.

03:14:52.400 And, again, the liberal vote margin keeps decreasing as time goes on here.

03:14:57.160 This actually is hilarious.

03:14:58.160 It would actually be hilarious if the NDP comes in with, like, 6% of the vote, but then they actually hold on to an official party status.

03:15:05.480 That would actually be hilarious.

03:15:06.300 I know people are saying minority called.

03:15:11.540 I'm more so seeing, okay, if that's true, I want to see what kind of minority it is, and that's what we're going to stick around and keep digesting here. 0.86

03:15:19.720 Again, the size of the minority is really going to matter.

03:15:23.020 However, if it's big enough that they can keep sloughing along with Jagmeet Singh and the NDP, although I think Jagmeet would then step down as leader, because I think he has to at this point, if he wins his riding, which actually doesn't look likely, things could end up not going so hot for the government.

03:15:39.980 There's no way Jagmeet Singh can remain leader of the NDP after committing public sepoku.

03:15:44.080 Like, saying that, oh, I killed the party to help the Liberals.

03:15:50.800 You can't be the NDP leader.

03:15:52.860 And I already know there are people, I've heard rumors of people inside the NDP mobilizing to try and take the leadership.

03:15:58.880 Like, I know.

03:16:01.760 Oh, looks like I'm going to bring this.

03:16:06.860 This is good news.

03:16:07.680 Neil Oberman, Mount Royal, increasing his lead.

03:16:09.280 Montreal getting a CPC seat.

03:16:10.760 Yes.

03:16:11.820 You know.

03:16:12.080 I think that's a newer one.

03:16:13.400 I have to go to the old comments here.

03:16:16.420 Wyatt Claypool here.

03:16:17.320 I like the intro, too.

03:16:18.560 I hope Pierre wins.

03:16:19.720 And by the way, thank you, Broken Country, the 20 bucks.

03:16:22.140 I hope Pierre wins this.

03:16:23.020 We need to see improvements in Canada.

03:16:24.500 We cannot stand and watch Canada get taxed into oblivion.

03:16:26.880 Let's get her done. 1.00

03:16:28.780 RN for $5 says, if Carney wins tonight, should Canadians who value their freedom and basic dignity start preparing their exit plan?

03:16:36.520 I don't think so.

03:16:37.460 I just don't.

03:16:38.020 I don't think the Liberal government will last very long.

03:16:40.680 And it's really, it's unfortunate if the Conservatives don't win.

03:16:45.180 But if the Liberals just get a small minority, it's basically they get to limp along for one more year.

03:16:51.340 And the next election, my goodness, is probably not going to have to do with Donald Trump.

03:16:57.340 Yeah.

03:16:57.600 That trick only works for about a few months.

03:16:59.600 And here's the thing.

03:17:00.940 Here's a law I would love to pass.

03:17:02.900 Make the elections 45 days at least.

03:17:06.460 50 days.

03:17:07.740 37 days is a complete joke.

03:17:10.140 Who can actually even digest?

03:17:12.500 A normal person who's not a political junkie, who can digest the issues of an election in 37 days when most of the parties are still trying to get the signatures for their candidates?

03:17:22.500 Yeah.

03:17:23.420 And I would say, yeah, a lot of people are saying, like, don't lose hope.

03:17:25.740 Definitely don't lose hope.

03:17:27.340 The thing is that, again, this is going to be a gain election for the Conservatives.

03:17:30.980 This isn't like the Liberals gained a bunch of new seats.

03:17:35.640 So Sandy Demand says, for $2, so what will you cover after the election, Wyatt?

03:17:41.340 Everything.

03:17:41.840 Because it's going to stay chaotic.

03:17:43.120 I'm going to try and do longer form edited content.

03:17:48.460 I'll still make daily videos, but I want to do longer form edited content projects.

03:17:53.120 Hertz Donuts for $13.99 says, even in event of Liberal win, your thoughts about possibilities of Western separating from the East?

03:17:59.240 I don't think it's actually that likely.

03:18:01.080 I think it's going to get bad, but I don't think it's going to separate.

03:18:04.780 Although I think separatist parties, but maybe in provincial by-elections or general elections, actually start winning seats.

03:18:11.320 But I actually think a new federal election is going to come before an even Alberta provincial election.

03:18:18.300 $10 from Green Cat Kid says, appreciate your content and coverage.

03:18:22.140 Well, thank you for watching.

03:18:24.700 JQ K says, I live in Halto, and it's about 20 to 1 Conservative to Liberal signs.

03:18:30.320 I live in Holton, and it's about 20 to 1 Conservatives to Liberal signs.

03:18:34.000 Somehow the Liberals are supposed to win my riding.

03:18:36.760 Well, yeah, and maybe it's one of those things where a bunch of people put up signs, but it's just there's like this kind of slow trudge to go vote Liberal, even when they didn't have much investment.

03:18:48.500 I mean, there are certain areas where there's like concentrations of like apartment buildings here and there that you might not see, like that have higher density, that might vote Liberal.

03:18:57.040 So, okay, sorry, some people are texting me.

03:19:04.260 Yeah, let me, let's look into Brampton.

03:19:08.760 I think Brampton is going to be an interesting indicator of a few things.

03:19:15.240 Yeah, I can bring up Brampton right here.

03:19:18.100 I'm not sure if it's too early, but there are at least some conservative gains in this area.

03:19:23.340 Yeah, Mildon East Halton Hills, we have Mississauga Streetsville, but it's very tight.

03:19:29.700 Brampton South, which is actually a pretty decent lead for the Conservatives, Sukhdeep Khan, 40 under nine votes, and then Brampton West.

03:19:39.780 The interesting thing is...

03:19:41.500 The winner is actually expanding more for Roman Baber, so it's going to be amazing to see Yahara Sachs go.

03:19:46.480 Yeah, the second, the biggest vote for, like, on the Kalistan issue is, of course, Abbotsford, so far, anyway.

03:19:58.440 But Brampton East will have also a very interesting indicator.

03:20:02.100 Jeff Lawl is, was disqualified by the Conservative Party.

03:20:07.560 Just another, you know, in their sort of Hindu purge. 0.99

03:20:10.300 But Jeff Lawl is actually, like, a good community organizer and, like, well-respecting the community.

03:20:15.780 He defected to the PPC after all this.

03:20:18.200 So it will be interesting to see if the purge of Hindu Canadians from the Conservatives comes back to bite them in Brampton East.

03:20:31.400 I just wanted to notice that Markham Unionville is currently, has Michael Ma for the Conservatives leading over the replacement,

03:20:38.660 who's also connected with the CCP for the Liberals.

03:20:41.820 I forget who, what his name is, but the guy who replaced Paul Chang, who is also in bed with the CCP, it looks like, is, that guy's losing, so that's good.

03:20:50.680 Hello, Akbar.

03:20:56.240 Right now, they still have basically counted nothing in Carleton.

03:21:01.900 And Mount Royal.

03:21:04.720 Neil Oberman is still leading, and they've only counted a few more pulls.

03:21:08.380 But again, we'll come back to all that later.

03:21:11.500 Is there anything else interesting going on?

03:21:16.260 Grant Kuhl is currently winning in Sanneksuk.

03:21:19.620 But again, all these areas, there's, like, nothing being counted.

03:21:22.580 And I really don't see a lot of this going in DP if it goes anywhere.

03:21:25.780 Oh, hey, Richmond Center Mariupol is currently going conservative, but it's super early on.

03:21:33.320 But I would really like to see if we can grab up both East Stevenson and Richmond.

03:21:39.340 I heard from people that they were confident today based on their numbers.

03:21:42.220 But I'll go back to Super Chats. 0.96

03:21:47.500 Roy Byer for $10.

03:21:49.300 Hey, Roy.

03:21:50.020 I know Roy.

03:21:50.600 He's great.

03:21:51.880 Really excellent coverage.

03:21:53.320 Very informative.

03:21:54.160 And you are staying to the facts, not throwing in towel like on Rebel.

03:21:58.680 Give up the good work.

03:21:59.440 Maybe we find out that Ezra Levant was a seer before the votes were even counted.

03:22:06.120 He knew it was a loss.

03:22:08.360 Patch to rest for $13.99.

03:22:10.060 Two questions.

03:22:11.200 One, will Jews perceive Canada as considerably more dangerous for them if Kearney liberals win? 0.86

03:22:16.480 Two, would it help TNT and the progressive algorithm if I let the live play without watching?

03:22:21.500 I suppose it technically does.

03:22:23.440 But that first question seems like it's a Daniel question.

03:22:25.960 Yeah, and I just checked the numbers here.

03:22:27.680 So the numbers absolutely bear this out.

03:22:31.960 Mount Royal is a big one.

03:22:33.780 Mount Royal, 10% for the Conservatives.

03:22:35.820 That is a dyed-in-the-wool liberal riding.

03:22:40.680 And I guess I said, Anglophone Jews in Quebec, especially Montreal, see the Liberal Party as an extension of their being generally.

03:22:52.020 That is no longer the case.

03:22:53.940 The Jewish vote has fully flipped Conservative.

03:22:56.500 That's kind of what we've seen here.

03:22:59.560 York Centre went to Roman Babber and Mount Royal.

03:23:04.760 York Centre is like Ontario, Toronto Jews. 1.00

03:23:08.100 York Centre is a toss-up riding.

03:23:09.780 York Centre has been Conservative.

03:23:11.220 It's been Liberal.

03:23:12.000 It can go Conservative.

03:23:12.820 It can go Liberal.

03:23:14.680 York Centre generally has...

03:23:16.500 It's one of those swing ridings.

03:23:19.400 It's now pretty clear in where the Jewish vote plays in Canada.

03:23:27.600 It goes Conservative now.

03:23:29.520 But again, Jews are just like 350,000 Canadians.

03:23:33.220 It's not a huge electoral push, but just the...

03:23:39.280 It's always the concentrations.

03:23:40.940 It's like Chinese Canadians. 1.00

03:23:42.480 Often times, it's not a big block vote unless you're in Richmond and BC, in Markham, in Richmond Hill.

03:23:49.180 And even then, you're talking more about there's 10 or 12%, so it can make up the difference.

03:23:53.840 But it's not like...

03:23:55.200 It's like Sikh voters, too.

03:23:56.580 A lot of Sikh voters in Canada.

03:23:57.700 And what makes them an important voter bloc is the fact that they live in very concentrated areas.

03:24:05.400 And that's where I find that oftentimes the Hindu community can get some disrespect, because they tend to be more dispersed where they live.

03:24:11.560 So it's not considered very important, even though there are still a lot of voters.

03:24:15.560 That's not a Sikh versus Hindu thing, by the way, because obviously those two communities don't dislike each other.

03:24:21.780 Although some Indians will pretend they do. 1.00

03:24:23.680 So...

03:24:24.160 Pierre Paulyev is actually...

03:24:25.520 I mean, four out of four polls reporting, but Pierre Paulyev...

03:24:28.000 Yeah, I already saw that.

03:24:29.200 It was like he's only trailing by 150, 200, or something like that.

03:24:32.640 But we're like four polls out of 200.

03:24:35.120 Yeah, he's down 300.

03:24:38.580 Spencer Coe, 279.

03:24:40.620 Thank you for that.

03:24:42.020 Caleb McKenzie, $5.

03:24:43.580 Young couple friends of mine switched from NDP to conservative as well.

03:24:46.840 Lots of my friends are young couples and have switched up.

03:24:49.860 Yeah, that's good to see.

03:24:50.780 And that might be the reorientation.

03:24:53.680 Of the entire electorate after this election, conservatives became younger, more minority-based, and more working class in the ridings that were winning.

03:25:01.620 That's why bluefin land happened.

03:25:04.240 It's working class fishermen who opposed the fishing quotas, as well as the liberals banning of the seal hunt that is destroying their actual fishing stock.

03:25:15.760 So it's destroying the economy.

03:25:17.420 And there's just so many people who don't seem to care.

03:25:21.820 Cats Meow 48, $2.79.

03:25:24.060 Thank you for that.

03:25:24.580 My husband and I love your channel.

03:25:26.740 Well, I like that you guys watch my channel.

03:25:29.060 Carly Hongsberg gives just a dollar. 0.87

03:25:31.360 Thank you for that.

03:25:32.020 And Dash 1-2, French CBC analyst says, just said, I don't think liberals will have the easy night they were expecting with these results in Atlantic provinces.

03:25:40.920 Well, potentially they may still, I don't know.

03:25:44.900 And when I say I don't know, I know they've called it, but I'm still just in a haze of confusion that we call stuff when we haven't counted anything.

03:25:51.920 Maybe they had crazy exit polling, but I find that odd when every single legacy media place covers it like you're supposed to.

03:25:59.140 Bob Carl for $5 says, you're the only one who's giving me some hope.

03:26:02.380 Keep up the good work.

03:26:03.380 Thank you for that.

03:26:05.000 And Lampshade says, for $5, keep up the good work.

03:26:08.060 We need to quash the gun buyback and scrap liberal gun laws.

03:26:11.500 Red Wine just sends in $10.

03:26:12.980 Thank you.

03:26:14.260 And Stephen Hamada sends $50 and says, why, thank you for the great content.

03:26:18.660 Well done.

03:26:19.660 Absolutely.

03:26:20.020 And yeah, if I'm blazing through these guys, I'm not trying to be disrespectful.

03:26:25.100 You guys.

03:26:25.880 I see there's over 200 super chats.

03:26:28.320 Thank you, everyone.

03:26:28.840 You guys have sent in 284 super chats because you're all amazing.

03:26:33.220 And I'm still answering super chats from 7 p.m., 7.21 p.m.

03:26:38.680 Dash 1-2 says another analyst on French just said some of the seats in Montreal were won by slim margins by liberals, MPs that quit the party since the last election.

03:26:47.540 I'd be worried for these.

03:26:48.580 And then Andrew 1154 for $10 says, new blue supporter here in Ontario feeling good.

03:26:55.280 Go blue.

03:26:55.760 Yeah, so new blue is the provincial conservative party in Ontario that I like because Doug Ford's conservative party is awful.

03:27:03.860 Also, by the way, if the conservatives not underperform, but if they fail to win some of these tight ridings in Ontario, by the way, it is not 100%, but that is heavily Doug Ford's fault.

03:27:16.100 Because he got into stupid fights with the conservatives to help out Mark Carney.

03:27:21.360 That's what him and Corey Tanike were doing.

03:27:23.720 Getting into dumb fights in order to benefit the liberals.

03:27:26.360 Yeah, and people are even seeing, like, it's really tight, 156 to 147.

03:27:35.840 The idea that you would call it when it's literally within 10 is nuts to me.

03:27:41.200 Yeah, I mean, yeah, like, yeah, especially because, yeah, this is a close call.

03:27:48.040 And, like, yeah, I get friends message me saying the polls were right.

03:27:52.040 And I go, like, I don't actually think so.

03:27:54.380 Like, the polls, you said.

03:27:55.640 The polls were showing, like, a majority for liberals of sometimes 200 seats.

03:27:59.700 What are you talking about, people?

03:28:01.300 Yeah, the polls were heavily inflated on the liberals.

03:28:03.340 So there was some sampling bias.

03:28:05.920 We are getting much more close.

03:28:08.780 Okay, and the conservatives is 41.2% of the vote.

03:28:13.000 I mean, liberals are 43.5%, yes.

03:28:16.900 So, yes, they're winning the popular vote.

03:28:20.320 But, like, if this is, again, if this ends up being a liberal minority, I'm not going to freak out.

03:28:29.800 I'm not planning an exit plan.

03:28:31.600 I'm not looking for – I'm not trying to book a flight or declare refugee status at the White House or wherever else it is.

03:28:39.640 Like, let's sniff some copium, guys.

03:28:44.280 Okay, liberals got a minority.

03:28:46.100 Jagmeet's gone.

03:28:47.060 Okay, Jagmeet's gone, which means the NDP will go back up.

03:28:52.300 And then, like, I mean, this is the story.

03:28:55.680 I mean, look at the numbers.

03:28:56.540 The story is the NDP collapse here.

03:28:58.520 Like, the NDP collapse was real.

03:28:59.860 So, that's what – the only thing I think the polls were right about is the NDP collapse.

03:29:06.500 Everything else was sort of overinflated.

03:29:09.960 But I think the NDP collapse is enough to push them over.

03:29:13.420 And the fascinating thing is I think the country hates Justin Trudeau.

03:29:16.560 We saw there's a very much of an anti-Trudeau thing.

03:29:20.000 And it's fascinating that I think Jagmeet Singh took more of the anti-Trudeau hate than Mark Carney did.

03:29:25.640 Because Jagmeet was more closely tied with Justin Trudeau because of their coalition they formed together.

03:29:31.680 Yeah, hey, thanks for saving me there.

03:29:34.500 I think for some reason my chat, like, died.

03:29:37.760 Okay.

03:29:38.760 Everything's back?

03:29:40.300 Okay.

03:29:40.980 You can hear me, right?

03:29:42.320 Yeah, I can hear you.

03:29:43.540 Am I on the right microphone?

03:29:45.020 Sorry, this was – that was weird.

03:29:46.280 Everything started slowing down.

03:29:47.320 I honestly think it's because so many people are watching that did that.

03:29:51.160 Yeah.

03:29:51.420 Yeah, and people are saying, like, we're literally within six seats by some of the candidates.

03:29:57.760 Yeah, it's a six seat.

03:29:59.260 Yeah, I don't know how they called this so early.

03:30:01.780 Like, even from, like, a viewer – guys, don't you want to keep people glued to the TV?

03:30:05.220 Like, think of the ratings.

03:30:06.960 Like –

03:30:07.080 Like, guys, show your bias that you wanted the Liberals to win.

03:30:10.780 Because unless you have the secret – super-duper secret exit polling, no.

03:30:16.040 Like, settle down.

03:30:17.620 Like, call it later, my goodness.

03:30:19.400 Because now –

03:30:20.280 Like, if it was within six seats when they did it, I think we'd all call them idiots for calling it this early.

03:30:24.660 Because we actually, like, legitimately, in many of the GTA ridings up for grabs,

03:30:29.980 that's where the ones that they haven't really counted anything.

03:30:33.480 Yeah.

03:30:33.880 Well, I mean, Mike DeJong's doing okay, but he's –

03:30:38.480 it looks like Sukhman Gill's pulling away in Abbotsford.

03:30:41.720 That's too bad.

03:30:43.280 The other thing, I think that if Sukhman Gill wins that one,

03:30:45.920 it's going to be things like young voters who probably aren't connected to the sort of nomination politics

03:30:52.180 end up just showing up and voting conservative, which I understand.

03:30:55.420 Oh, Jagmeet Singh is losing his riding,

03:30:58.800 and he's only – he's one vote up on the conservative for second place.

03:31:02.720 So, so he –

03:31:05.540 And by the way, Mount Royal is still going conservative.

03:31:08.600 Yeah.

03:31:09.120 No, Mount Royal is going to go conservative, which is –

03:31:12.500 NDP is holding its one seat in Montreal.

03:31:16.160 And where is – I want to see the seats that the block won on the island of Montreal

03:31:23.840 at the height of Trudeau's unpopularity.

03:31:29.800 No, La Salamard Verdun swung back.

03:31:32.560 That really demonstrates how unpopular the Liberals were for a while,

03:31:35.680 that La Salamard Verdun immediately got called Liberal very quickly,

03:31:39.740 but at the bottom of his popularity, Trudeau's,

03:31:43.120 that one went block Quebecois by a thin margin.

03:31:45.260 Yeah, it's like 157, 148.

03:31:51.300 So conservatives down nine in the ones that are leading.

03:31:54.660 In terms of the elected seats, they're only down by a little bit.

03:31:58.020 So, okay, we'll keep watching because, again,

03:32:00.900 we don't even know what this government's going to look like.

03:32:03.240 Yeah, I mean, listen, even, like, in a minority –

03:32:06.420 like, it looks – again, I think, guys, subscribe because Wyatt got this one right.

03:32:11.480 Wyatt is calling close minority, nail-biter, like, Wyatt was right about this. 1.00

03:32:16.760 It's just delusional compared to other people.

03:32:18.220 Like, oh, you think it's not going to be a conservative, a liberal majority?

03:32:21.340 I – dude, I will hate all the people saying, see, I was right.

03:32:24.900 I said the Liberals were going to win.

03:32:26.460 You said they were going to win by 210.

03:32:28.200 Not you, but I'm talking about the general you out there,

03:32:31.040 like the Miles Loons of the world on X.

03:32:35.580 We're like, oh, it's going liberal 210.

03:32:37.200 I'm like, you don't – this is not a plus 12 election like people think.

03:32:41.700 No.

03:32:44.820 Yes, I will show a map in a second here, guys.

03:32:46.720 Sorry if I don't show the map sometimes.

03:32:48.140 It's because I'm just aware that not much has really changed.

03:32:53.560 So that's what the current results look like.

03:32:55.620 And, again, it keeps tightening.

03:32:57.220 When we started – when I started really tracking this,

03:32:59.480 it was like 50% liberal, and now it's down to 43% liberal to 41% conservative.

03:33:04.160 And we still, again, have not counted a lot in Western Canada,

03:33:07.360 so that can keep going down.

03:33:10.720 Let's check in with Elizabeth May. 0.99

03:33:12.540 Is she going anywhere soon?

03:33:14.460 Oh, by the way, Neil Oberman is not only still ahead in Mount Royal,

03:33:17.700 but he's actually increasing his lead against Anthony Howe's father there.

03:33:20.820 Oh, he was up 10 points last time I checked.

03:33:22.920 Yeah.

03:33:23.120 Yeah, Carlton tightened up again, 215 lead for Bruce Fanjoy.

03:33:29.700 Again, they're probably counting the more Ottawa suburb parts right now

03:33:33.020 because once they get into the acreages of Carlton,

03:33:35.900 I really couldn't see him losing.

03:33:38.800 He could even lose the suburbs,

03:33:40.440 but the acreages are going to be like 80% conservative.

03:33:43.460 That's just how a riding like that works.

03:33:45.940 Yeah, I don't see Pierre losing Carlton.

03:33:49.100 So that one will flip.

03:33:52.120 Colonna going liberal, that would be unfortunate.

03:33:56.160 But here we go with Elizabeth May currently leading in her riding 0.99

03:34:00.440 by just a few hundred votes.

03:34:03.900 Oh, my goodness.

03:34:04.940 Please, can NyQuil Lady not win? 0.99

03:34:10.940 And Grant Cool is still up, but they have not counted much.

03:34:14.520 Tamara Cronus is doing really well,

03:34:16.660 and Nanaimo Ladysmith.

03:34:18.900 And I'm actually not surprised that she's doing well there

03:34:21.420 because I door knocked that area after the conservative BC AGM.

03:34:26.580 And it was like pretty solid, I found.

03:34:28.820 Like there was a lot of people who like,

03:34:31.360 no matter what demographic they'd open the door,

03:34:33.520 like, oh, 100% I'm voting conservative.

03:34:35.400 Like some people didn't like the conservatives

03:34:37.240 and some people were on the fence.

03:34:38.480 But considering it's Nanaimo Ladysmith,

03:34:40.660 and it's usually, I think, default liberal or NDP,

03:34:44.400 either way, it was pretty good.

03:34:50.460 Hey, Andrew Lawton won.

03:34:52.140 Shout out to our boy, Andrew Lawton,

03:34:54.500 former radio host and host of a show on True North.

03:34:58.520 I never actually went on his show ever,

03:35:00.560 which sucks because I think I got invited on one time

03:35:02.680 and I was like jet-lagged that day.

03:35:05.340 Yeah, okay.

03:35:06.200 So good, good.

03:35:07.300 More good news.

03:35:07.980 So I'm going to, Vincent Ho is at 53.2%.

03:35:13.040 Majid Johari at 42.9%.

03:35:16.440 So it looks like we will be down one foreign agent in parliament.

03:35:21.800 So that's good.

03:35:22.720 That's good.

03:35:24.720 Pour one out for Majid Johari.

03:35:27.060 The big loss for the Iranian regime today.

03:35:30.640 Yeah.

03:35:30.780 And again, it's still going back and forth.

03:35:32.440 The liberals are at 156 now, conservatives 149, block 25.

03:35:37.980 I have to go back.

03:35:40.900 I'm sorry, guys.

03:35:41.760 I do have to go back to some old super chats.

03:35:45.060 Shumju here says,

03:35:46.260 Wyatt, you've kept me sane through all this.

03:35:47.940 Thank you.

03:35:48.400 Thank you for watching.

03:35:49.320 Thank you for the 279.

03:35:50.940 Nigel Far5 Buck says,

03:35:52.520 man in the debate, Jag was insufferable.

03:35:54.560 Pierre Polyev talking about crime was really good.

03:35:56.700 Haven't heard anything about crime from the liberals.

03:35:58.640 They've only criticized Polyev for wanting to actually lock up criminals.

03:36:02.620 Oh, he's going to use the notwithstanding laws.

03:36:04.800 It's like, yeah.

03:36:05.760 Yeah, multiple murderers should not be able to serve all of his sentences concurrently.

03:36:10.320 That's insane.

03:36:12.720 Carly Hongsberg for $2 says,

03:36:14.820 y'all owe me at least $5 if I don't get a hoo-yah.

03:36:19.180 Hoo-yah.

03:36:20.700 There you go.

03:36:22.380 Oh, yeah.

03:36:24.060 Got to do a really good one.

03:36:25.680 Or I owe her.

03:36:28.340 Thunder Duck says,

03:36:29.660 Don't ask a biblioteca carny during the French debate.

03:36:33.620 And swanky pants for $10 just sends nothing, but he sends his regards regardless.

03:36:41.380 That was the funny thing.

03:36:42.580 It's funny that the Quebecers were, 1.00

03:36:45.900 the province most concerned about its own sovereignty,

03:36:49.940 were willing to vote for the guy with very rusty French.

03:36:52.740 Because he's going to stand,

03:36:55.700 like, don't you,

03:36:56.280 doesn't Quebec usually not care about who stands up to Canada?

03:37:02.300 Forzy Woodcraft and Speaker,

03:37:04.200 Speakeasy says,

03:37:05.260 For $5, I'm happy Sean Frazier's on track,

03:37:07.060 Oz on track to lose a seat in the Central Nova.

03:37:09.000 I do believe that actually has flip-backed since then.

03:37:13.440 Frank Rue says,

03:37:14.620 Situation in Calgary confederation is dire,

03:37:17.240 calling it for liberals.

03:37:18.560 Well,

03:37:20.400 maybe the conservative candidate in that riding shouldn't have screwed me over.

03:37:25.880 I didn't do anything to make this happen.

03:37:27.740 I'm just, you know,

03:37:28.880 pointing out facts that that person was the one who got me bounced out of Calgary Signal Hill.

03:37:33.900 Melanie Abelio says,

03:37:36.780 For $279,

03:37:37.720 Too much emphasis on second me,

03:37:40.300 Miramichi.

03:37:41.440 We're still at this.

03:37:42.840 I'm...

03:37:43.600 Miramichi! 0.83

03:37:45.480 Miramichi! 0.83

03:37:45.920 Why you mispronounce Miramichi!

03:37:49.960 You don't care Miramichi!

03:37:50.580 Why you make your mother stand up? 0.98

03:37:52.640 You're normal!

03:37:53.420 You're normal to be ashamed of you!

03:37:54.740 You make a pasta sauce from a...

03:37:56.580 You have it from a can and you say Miramichi!

03:37:59.820 Why?

03:38:00.240 Justice sucks as considered a supermajority.

03:38:02.920 Ben Zubin says,

03:38:04.260 Settling this now,

03:38:06.180 it's Miramichi!

03:38:07.520 See, everyone's obsessed with this.

03:38:10.840 Miramichi! 0.83

03:38:11.200 Maybe I should sell t-shirts with my face just looking confused with Miramichi underneath it.

03:38:18.460 Darcy Holt says, 0.92

03:38:20.480 What's the deal with counting the early vote?

03:38:22.440 Are they counted first, last?

03:38:23.860 Neither early votes might be strong for CPC.

03:38:26.640 I'm not sure if they were actually going to be strong for the CPC.

03:38:29.040 Honestly, I think they'd vote...

03:38:30.420 They'd be more liberal.

03:38:33.560 At the same time,

03:38:34.480 I actually don't know that either.

03:38:36.040 Because I had even heard that you're not even supposed to start counting votes in any part of the country

03:38:39.960 until every single poll has closed.

03:38:42.780 But Atlantic Canada started counting like way before B.C. had even stopped.

03:38:47.220 Yeah, I remember that.

03:38:48.320 Like, it's a big deal B.C. made because there were some elections that were called before B.C. finished voting

03:38:52.800 and then they made it a thing.

03:38:54.400 By the way, do you know how close it is right now?

03:38:56.600 It's 154 to 151.

03:38:58.040 151.

03:38:59.460 Okay, let's say the Liberals win.

03:39:02.820 Let's just say...

03:39:03.880 Like, let's assume 99% chance the Liberals win.

03:39:07.080 Who is the decision desk people who are like,

03:39:09.500 Oh, five-seat lead for the Liberals.

03:39:12.020 Just call it for them.

03:39:13.320 Just call it.

03:39:16.140 This is a complete clown show that you would do that.

03:39:20.200 Broken Piston 1776.

03:39:21.960 Daniel, I love your Bronx tale, bro.

03:39:24.480 Lol.

03:39:24.680 You make a pun of my accent, eh?

03:39:30.240 You make a pun of me?

03:39:31.800 You make a pun of the family?

03:39:32.640 You need a switchblade with a coma.

03:39:33.760 You make a pun of a National Telegraph?

03:39:36.640 I come and break your knees. 0.98

03:39:38.780 I don't even know what accent that was.

03:39:40.340 ThePolyPam for $20 says,

03:39:44.340 Wyatt, I've been watching your videos religiously over the past month or so.

03:39:46.900 You're a highlight of the campaign,

03:39:48.640 and I have a bright future ahead of you.

03:39:49.960 Thank you for your reporting.

03:39:51.400 Well, thank you for watching and following along.

03:39:54.440 Melissa Naria for $699 says, 0.99

03:39:56.860 Will Mark Carney stay on as Liberal leader if he loses?

03:40:01.120 Apparently, he's technically still ahead,

03:40:02.900 but he wouldn't stay on.

03:40:04.000 Um, yeah, it's $155 to $150 now.

03:40:11.020 Ash K. Sharma for $1399 says,

03:40:13.220 First time voter, immigrated from India in 2018 because became citizen in 2022.

03:40:18.320 I love your analysis.

03:40:19.300 In Brampton, South, looks like a blue wave.

03:40:21.860 I was one of the first to put up a conservative sign.

03:40:24.580 I saw others.

03:40:25.560 And this is something that people should realize.

03:40:28.180 This is the funny thing about immigration. 0.98

03:40:31.020 So, I really shook the camera there.

03:40:32.760 So many new immigrants are super conservative people.

03:40:36.660 Obviously, too much immigration is not great for the country. 1.00

03:40:41.300 A guy who's watching political analysis and following along Canadian elections is the ideal immigrant 1.00

03:40:47.320 because you're someone who cares about the country, who's engaging in the issues.

03:40:50.320 But just dumping people into the country is not good for the GDP.

03:40:53.820 And I'm not arguing that, obviously.

03:40:55.540 But that's the funny thing about it.

03:40:57.240 The Liberals may have had this backfire on themselves in the long run

03:41:01.220 where many of these new immigrants from different countries in Southeast Asia,

03:41:06.180 from China, from India, are actually all going to be future conservative voters instead of liberal.

03:41:13.220 Just because someone brought you into the country doesn't mean that you're going to like them once you see their policies.

03:41:17.720 It's 156 to 149 right now for who's leading.

03:41:23.480 Although, again, they still haven't called many of the seats.

03:41:25.820 So, we don't know what the government's going to look like.

03:41:29.520 JQK.

03:41:30.120 Hey, Daniel.

03:41:31.360 You out of a job now.

03:41:32.740 You're an antagonist for no reason.

03:41:34.700 He's not an antagonist.

03:41:35.780 He's a realist.

03:41:37.880 No, I'm the villain.

03:41:38.400 That would actually be funny if people start, like, blaming you for being negative at the start of a stream

03:41:44.580 for why we start dropping seats.

03:41:47.440 If I'm not being blamed for something, then I'm not doing it right.

03:41:51.300 Yeah.

03:41:52.200 CG for 1399 says,

03:41:54.100 I'm a French-Quebecer, first-time CPC voter.

03:41:56.680 I know a lot of Quebec like me.

03:41:58.400 In Quebec, fear made people vote liberal, wokeness, NDP, and hope for CPC.

03:42:04.040 Bring it home here, Polly.

03:42:04.860 I appreciate your channel.

03:42:06.420 Good job.

03:42:07.300 Well, thank you for watching.

03:42:09.660 Christine Hazel for 69.99. 0.85

03:42:12.720 Thank you for that.

03:42:13.640 Very generous of you.

03:42:15.100 Great coverage, White and Daniel.

03:42:16.740 Go blue.

03:42:19.120 And JB101 Inc. for 69.99 says,

03:42:22.380 I'm active in Sudbury and Nickelbelt, and I think there's a real chance both go blue, especially Sudbury. 0.89

03:42:28.600 Ian Simington is awesome.

03:42:30.480 Thoughts?

03:42:31.400 Let's go check out Sudbury.

03:42:32.860 I actually haven't been checking in on it.

03:42:34.220 Maybe it's one of those places that's lost, and it's just an old comment, but let's hope that that's actually true.

03:42:39.620 I assume that you're talking about Sudbury proper here.

03:42:49.660 Come on.

03:42:50.780 Fighting with the map.

03:42:51.600 Yeah, it looks like the Liberals are going to be winning that one, but it is much closer than you would have probably expected based on previous election results, and there are still more polls to call, so it could end up tightening up more.

03:43:07.200 Holy shit.

03:43:09.640 What?

03:43:10.600 Look at the Carlton numbers.

03:43:14.140 Ah, okay.

03:43:16.300 I know it's 10 of 266, but...

03:43:20.620 Listen, unless it's...

03:43:22.200 Again, you know the makeup of that riding, but...

03:43:25.580 Yeah.

03:43:26.660 If that is how it's going to go down, that's insane, and that's going to be not a very good night,

03:43:31.040 and maybe I'm going to have to eat my hat over Pauly of not winning his riding.

03:43:36.100 But I'd heard the same things about Nepean, where Mr. Carney had been poaching people from other ridings around him to try and help himself out.

03:43:45.060 Unfortunately, it looks like Kanad has gone Liberal, and Ottawa South, and Nepean, and Ottawa West Nepean.

03:43:52.180 Whoever was out there still put in a good effort, so thanks, guys.

03:43:55.120 Oh, we'll definitely check back in Carlton in a bit.

03:44:00.420 And if that swings, that's a really weird swing, since other things have swung blue that we did not expect.

03:44:05.720 Yeah, it'll be...

03:44:06.340 Once we saw those...

03:44:08.100 I mean, I didn't think for a second that there'd be any story in Carlton tonight after seeing those Atlantic Cannon results,

03:44:14.480 because...

03:44:15.960 Yeah.

03:44:16.820 People are asking how Pierre's doing.

03:44:18.460 Pierre's not doing good in his riding.

03:44:19.720 He is doing very badly to start.

03:44:21.320 Yeah.

03:44:21.620 That's early in Carlton.

03:44:22.120 You're still with Arley in the first 10 polls, so who knows.

03:44:24.400 Yeah.

03:44:25.120 And, like, I...

03:44:26.640 Again, I expect Pierre to still win this, but...

03:44:30.960 And then...

03:44:34.480 Well, here...

03:44:34.960 I have to do a different media hit.

03:44:38.060 I'll be back in 15.

03:44:40.160 Okay.

03:44:41.120 See you around.

03:44:43.620 I'm...

03:44:44.060 This is a bit of a weird riding right here.

03:44:46.940 Kitchener...

03:44:47.540 I think it's just Kitchener.

03:44:49.100 Kitchener Center is actually going conservative by 425 votes at the moment.

03:44:53.740 It could always change.

03:44:55.260 But that's pretty good, considering that it was Green incumbent Mike Morris who held this riding.

03:45:00.100 And I had seen that if it was going to go to another candidate, or if it was going to go to another party, they thought it was going to be more likely to switch Liberal.

03:45:07.380 But it looks like the conservative might pull it out in this area.

03:45:11.160 So that's a good gain right there.

03:45:13.740 Kitchener-Conestoga is still pretty tight with 316.

03:45:17.300 And Kitchener-South Hesper, Matt Strauss, is doing very well.

03:45:20.760 He was a doctor that during COVID had opposed lockdowns and mandates, so that's great to see.

03:45:25.560 I think that Matt Strauss is a fantastic candidate.

03:45:30.160 And, you know, friend of the show.

03:45:32.480 I think he watches the show.

03:45:33.580 I actually don't know.

03:45:34.220 Halder Moore-Norfolk, obviously.

03:45:38.420 Leslie Lewis got re-elected.

03:45:40.160 Chadden Kent-Lemington, obviously.

03:45:41.940 We have David Eve getting re-elected.

03:45:43.360 And we actually look like we're going to win Windsor West.

03:45:47.260 And I don't believe we had that one last time.

03:45:49.740 I'm trying to look at the map from last time.

03:45:52.880 Yeah, we didn't.

03:45:53.800 In Windsor, it actually went Liberal in Windsor West last time.

03:45:57.800 But now it looks like we have a very solid lead of 1,617 votes.

03:46:03.800 St. Catharines is probably going to stay Liberal based on that margin right there.

03:46:07.880 But we are picking up a Hamilton riding on Hamilton East Stoney Creek that, based on the 338 numbers, actually said that that was going to be a safe, I think, Liberal or NDP riding.

03:46:20.700 But it looks like the Conservative is going to be actually taking that by a pretty good margin unless something big changes quickly.

03:46:30.300 Is there anything else interesting going on?

03:46:32.600 Bay of Quinty is kind of in the margin where I could see it going the other way.

03:46:35.580 York Center is expanding its lead for Roman Baber still.

03:46:40.600 So that is very good to see.

03:46:42.400 And we are expanding leads in Brampton West.

03:46:44.640 Brampton South is tight.

03:46:46.680 And Milton East Halton Hills South is also very conservative at the moment how it's leaning.

03:46:54.880 And then Mount Royal.

03:46:56.920 With 50 poles, we still have Neil Obermann winning that riding.

03:47:00.920 And that would be great to see.

03:47:02.720 So that's the weird thing about this entire race.

03:47:04.860 We could see a lot of pretty notoriously bad Liberal MPs lose their seats.

03:47:11.200 The Conservatives gain a lot.

03:47:12.900 But then we end up losing really odd ridings.

03:47:15.440 At the same time, we did well in the Maritimes.

03:47:18.020 And especially, as I keep calling it, Bluefinland.

03:47:20.880 Because we ended up actually taking half the Newfoundland seats in areas where they assumed that it's just a holdout operation for the Conservatives.

03:47:28.240 Can the Conservatives hold on to central Newfoundland?

03:47:30.780 And they held on to it by, I believe, more than 55% of the vote.

03:47:34.740 And now they're grabbing up Little Mountain as well as central Terranova, I still believe.

03:47:39.340 Yeah, people are saying that currently Polyev is behind.

03:47:44.120 Although, again, I need to see a little bit more of the polls in that riding because we've counted 10 polls.

03:47:49.220 And if they're the polls around the Ottawa area, like the Ottawa metro area, I think those ones always naturally lean Liberal.

03:47:55.260 Because you have to realize about Polyev's riding, Polyev, since 2004, has always won that riding, like 50 to 40.

03:48:03.040 50%, 40% for the Liberals and Greens, NDP, PPC are all in the middle there.

03:48:09.200 And so, right now, if it's tight and the Liberals are leading, it could just be that we haven't counted all the acreages.

03:48:16.300 Maybe we have.

03:48:17.200 And if we have, then he's screwed.

03:48:18.720 But, you know, you never know.

03:48:19.860 Oh, hey, Elgin Lawrence flipped.

03:48:23.740 Who did it flip for?

03:48:24.960 I'll check in that in a second.

03:48:27.580 But right now, I just want to look at the general numbers on top.

03:48:42.260 Yes, current seat counts, 157 Liberal, 148 Conservative.

03:48:46.000 Blocks still at 25.

03:48:47.000 They've called 56 seats for the Liberals, 58 for the Conservatives, and 8 for the Bloc Québécois.

03:48:57.080 And, okay, I'm going to go to Menacing Muskrat 2 for $7.

03:49:01.540 Remember Albert Pike's letter?

03:49:04.180 He stated it will be between two...

03:49:08.000 Remember Albert Pike's letter?

03:49:10.340 He stated it in will between two religions.

03:49:13.800 Anything to cause division, unite Canadians, divided, we fall.

03:49:16.560 And I would agree.

03:49:17.680 In the aftermath of this election, if anyone starts being like, we didn't win, see democracy doesn't work, it's literally a super tight election.

03:49:25.440 That's all I can say.

03:49:26.440 I've been predicting it was going to be a knife fight of an election even before this.

03:49:30.340 Young Gun Canadian for $10 says,

03:49:32.140 My 21-year-old cat is dying in the next week.

03:49:35.900 Please, God, let her outlive the Liberal government, or give me the strength to endure another one. 0.92

03:49:41.320 I assume that's some Latin there, but I'm sorry for your cat.

03:49:48.260 That's an old cat.

03:49:50.080 That cat is held on through...

03:49:52.720 That cat's almost older than I am.

03:49:55.560 I'm 25, so I guess I'm four years older.

03:49:57.420 Goodness, that is older than many people who are voting.

03:50:02.540 Ellen Kiernan for $5 says, 0.72

03:50:05.180 Love you, Wyatt.

03:50:05.880 Well, love that you're watching it, Ellen.

03:50:07.920 Thank you for subscribing and doing all that great stuff.

03:50:10.040 And if you guys are watching right now, and if you're not yet a subscriber,

03:50:13.340 make sure to hit the subscribe button.

03:50:14.800 We are currently trying to get to 100,000 subscribers by mid-December of this year,

03:50:19.980 or else I owe all my friends dinner.

03:50:22.980 I did that as a joke thing to kind of motivate myself,

03:50:25.700 because if I win, I just get, like, my dinner paid for,

03:50:28.240 and to be fair, we're not particularly expensive diners.

03:50:33.920 Gazalarian says,

03:50:34.780 I don't know why the NDP is around.

03:50:36.900 Under Jagmeet, I don't know why they're around.

03:50:38.860 I actually had an interesting conversation with someone from the NDP,

03:50:42.760 where I was suggesting if you guys want to survive,

03:50:45.660 if they want to survive,

03:50:46.780 they should almost become the infrastructure party.

03:50:48.760 Stop being the woke party who constantly talks about how Canada is corrupted

03:50:54.560 with colonialism and whatnot,

03:50:56.740 and we need to do things,

03:50:58.100 we need to promote equity and DEI and whatnot.

03:51:01.000 How would just become the party that's like,

03:51:03.820 what is his name?

03:51:05.820 W.A.C. Bennett.

03:51:07.040 That's a good one.

03:51:07.740 If you guys know who W.A.C. Bennett is,

03:51:09.880 one of the former premiers of British Columbia

03:51:12.560 during, I believe, the 40s and 50s,

03:51:14.800 become the party who just wants to build stuff.

03:51:17.060 That would actually be smarter than the NDP. 0.67

03:51:18.960 Be like the working man's party who wants to put up new Wi-Fi towers, 0.98

03:51:22.680 who wants to build bridges,

03:51:23.780 who wants to repair the roads,

03:51:25.500 who wants to increase the amount of ferries between Vancouver and Victoria.

03:51:29.900 Be that party.

03:51:30.940 But for some reason,

03:51:31.680 they're the party of,

03:51:33.760 effectively,

03:51:34.940 what do you say?

03:51:35.660 Like, I guess,

03:51:36.060 university towns.

03:51:37.440 Just university town party.

03:51:38.700 Michael says,

03:51:41.340 what's the path for the CPC win?

03:51:43.040 I don't know.

03:51:43.940 It's just tight.

03:51:45.140 Maybe the liberals are going to start pulling it out further. 0.53

03:51:48.180 It's still within 10 seats right now.

03:51:50.000 But again,

03:51:50.520 if you actually look at the conservative and liberal elected members,

03:51:55.000 conservatives have more seats called for them than the liberals.

03:51:57.280 That doesn't mean that they're ahead.

03:51:59.540 It just means that there's probably a lot of rural ridings

03:52:01.900 that are obviously going to go conservative,

03:52:03.400 so they've called them early.

03:52:04.980 But the popular vote margin keeps getting thinner and thinner.

03:52:09.020 42.7% of the vote for the liberals,

03:52:12.040 41.7% for the conservatives.

03:52:14.660 And everything is just tight.

03:52:16.840 That's all you can really say.

03:52:18.460 See,

03:52:19.040 even it just jumped up again.

03:52:20.920 Conservatives actually just stole one from the bloc.

03:52:22.500 So it's 157 to 148.

03:52:26.100 So I can't really say much about other than it's just really,

03:52:28.920 really tight.

03:52:38.380 Ibroke says,

03:52:39.060 Maritimes should know better. 0.98

03:52:40.380 The one thing is the Maritimes were the part of Canada you could say

03:52:43.100 learned the most because they actually kept it way tighter than all the

03:52:46.960 polling had predicted.

03:52:48.420 Again,

03:52:49.000 narrative research put out a poll,

03:52:50.580 which at some point you can almost say it's voter suppression to put out

03:52:53.500 polls this crappy.

03:52:55.180 You put out a poll that says the liberals have 65% of the vote in the

03:52:59.260 Maritimes.

03:53:00.220 And then it ends up being more like 55 to 45 or like 53 to 47,

03:53:05.320 which is not a great lead for the liberals in somewhere like the Maritimes

03:53:08.600 when,

03:53:09.220 remember in 2015,

03:53:10.280 they swept the entire region.

03:53:11.960 And since then,

03:53:12.660 the conservatives have been like been clawing back seat after seat to the

03:53:16.400 point where now most of Newfoundland is in fact conservative.

03:53:20.580 $5 from red coat says,

03:53:25.220 hi from your Yank cousins being a fan for months.

03:53:28.360 Keep up the good work.

03:53:29.140 Why?

03:53:29.320 I found you after Chris from the great Canadian bagel shouted you out.

03:53:32.320 Well,

03:53:32.680 fantastic.

03:53:33.240 I shout out Chris from the great Canadian bagel podcast as well.

03:53:36.980 He's fantastic.

03:53:37.740 I actually should link him right now.

03:53:40.100 I think he's just a really good YouTuber when it comes to polling.

03:53:43.180 I'm just going to go grab the link to his channel so I can drop it in chat for you guys.

03:53:50.920 If you want to go check him out.

03:53:54.360 And there you go.

03:53:57.740 It's in the chat.

03:53:58.740 So if you guys want to go,

03:53:59.940 I'll just drop it a couple of times.

03:54:01.020 If you want to go subscribe to him,

03:54:02.160 he's really good.

03:54:02.720 He needs the subscribers only got about 5,000.

03:54:06.180 Kdog for $27.99 says,

03:54:08.120 will Carney quit if CBC gets minority or majority?

03:54:10.940 If that happens,

03:54:11.800 which seems unlikely at this point,

03:54:13.600 although still could happen,

03:54:15.200 I think he would have stepped down.

03:54:17.720 Bryce $5 says,

03:54:18.860 I think that they won't be wrecked forever.

03:54:31.820 I think the NDP are actually probably going to make somewhat of a comeback

03:54:36.120 under whoever the next leader is,

03:54:38.280 even if they're terrible.

03:54:39.680 Having just somebody new is going to help out the NDP a lot.

03:54:43.500 And as if the Mark Carney liberals hold on for another year and a half

03:54:47.900 with a very small minority government,

03:54:50.160 I don't see them making a lot of improvements.

03:54:52.440 And because of that,

03:54:53.380 you're going to get a lot of people who don't want to admit the

03:54:55.420 conservatives were right,

03:54:57.060 moving their votes from the liberals to the NDP,

03:55:01.340 not wanting to go conservative.

03:55:04.900 Jeff Good for $6.99 says,

03:55:06.800 can CBC win with so many seats in Vancouver,

03:55:09.140 Toronto,

03:55:09.820 and Montreal?

03:55:10.420 Love your analysis here for 100K,

03:55:12.200 Wyatt.

03:55:13.140 Well,

03:55:13.640 thank you for helping support me to 100K.

03:55:15.240 The conservatives can win even with those factors going against them,

03:55:19.360 just as the liberals can win,

03:55:20.740 even though rural tends to lean extremely conservative overall.

03:55:25.400 Every party has its strong points.

03:55:28.800 Cheyenne Torres says,

03:55:30.380 Iranian-Canadian from Aurora Oak Ridge,

03:55:32.760 Richmond Hill here.

03:55:37.240 This time,

03:55:38.100 we are having a ton of private lawn signs for the cons.

03:55:41.840 Fingers crossed for the win.

03:55:43.940 $5.00 from Thunderbird says,

03:55:46.080 rural Ontario turn out as key.

03:55:47.760 Mennonites and Amish could help flip urban-rural overlap.

03:55:50.800 We're pissed off about lockdowns and wind turbines.

03:55:53.940 Yeah,

03:55:54.160 that's the funny thing about Kitchener-Conestoga.

03:55:55.840 It's a riding that actually has a significant portion of people

03:55:58.580 who legitimately go around with horses and buggies.

03:56:02.180 It's just kind of one of those strange places.

03:56:03.980 What else do we have going on here?

03:56:09.760 Yeah,

03:56:10.280 I just checked back in with Carlton,

03:56:11.860 and the Bruce Fanjoy margin over Polyev

03:56:14.320 is starting to shrink now,

03:56:16.100 as they probably end up counting many of these sprawling

03:56:18.700 rural ridings.

03:56:22.780 Yeah,

03:56:23.300 Andrew Lawton's still up.

03:56:24.540 Again,

03:56:25.000 we're doing really well in Windsor West,

03:56:26.640 and that was the riding that the liberals had last time.

03:56:29.420 What else do we have going on?

03:56:33.520 Is there anything interesting?

03:56:35.420 Roman Baber's still up.

03:56:36.620 I know I'm not showing this on screen.

03:56:37.920 It's just I don't want to show it up on screen

03:56:39.120 just to show you what it is,

03:56:40.420 but Roman's still up by like 2,500 votes over Yarra Sachs.

03:56:44.900 Megan Weasley says,

03:56:47.500 $5.00 to buy Daniel Better Beer.

03:56:50.140 Great work for both of you from Edmonton Center.

03:56:52.260 Tons of blue signs out here.

03:56:53.980 I should check in on Edmonton in a little bit.

03:56:56.540 Quinton Green says for $2.79,

03:56:58.300 will Pierre form a coalition with the Bloc if Libs win?

03:57:03.420 I don't think so.

03:57:04.600 The problem is in Canada is the bias is towards

03:57:07.460 whoever wins the most seats.

03:57:09.720 That's whoever gets to basically form the government automatically.

03:57:12.940 I think the Bloc will give the liberals trouble 1.00

03:57:14.920 because I don't think they particularly like them.

03:57:18.740 KYCP for $2.00 says,

03:57:20.180 do you think Avi Nayar has a chance?

03:57:23.380 Which riding is Avi Nayar in?

03:57:25.560 I will look that up.

03:57:28.300 Vancouver Frazier, South Burnaby.

03:57:33.820 Let's check that one out.

03:57:36.000 And I will also check Edmonton South

03:57:37.700 as the other person wanted.

03:57:39.760 I'm trying to find this.

03:57:56.600 Frazier, Frazier, Frazier.

03:57:59.340 Liberals are only leading by 456 votes in Vancouver,

03:58:02.960 Frazier v. South Burnaby,

03:58:04.040 which is not too bad for the conservatives.

03:58:05.620 And obviously it's the conservative

03:58:07.900 that is the next closest behind in that riding.

03:58:10.580 It looks like a lot of the conservatives

03:58:13.700 or the liberals are actually,

03:58:15.460 no, not them.

03:58:16.640 The NDP are actually far more formidable

03:58:18.440 in some of the ridings that they were incumbents in

03:58:20.920 than most people think.

03:58:22.180 I actually wasn't showing that on screen there.

03:58:24.280 But yeah, this is what Vancouver,

03:58:27.020 Frazier v. South Burnaby is currently at.

03:58:28.620 60 polls out of 220 and Liberal leads by 456.

03:58:34.940 And Kelowna is actually not looking fantastic,

03:58:37.840 but we'll check back in on that one later.

03:58:40.480 Hey, look, it flipped back conservative

03:58:43.360 in Calgary Center for Greg McLean.

03:58:45.340 I hope that happens.

03:58:46.220 Greg McLean's a good guy

03:58:47.160 and Calgary Confederation is also very, very tight.

03:58:50.100 This shows you how conservative certain places are.

03:58:56.300 In somewhere like Pinocchio-Didsbury,

03:58:58.480 Blaine Calkins is winning by 30,000 votes.

03:59:03.880 What do we got here?

03:59:09.640 Edmonton Southeast.

03:59:10.680 Ah, the conservative is actually kicking the crap

03:59:15.080 out of Amarjeet Sohi.

03:59:16.960 So hopefully that spells disaster for Amarjeet

03:59:19.880 for his popularity in Edmonton

03:59:21.480 when it comes to running for mayor again.

03:59:23.520 I don't want that guy to be mayor.

03:59:25.780 Edmonton Strathcona is actually pretty tight

03:59:27.680 considering this is what is considered

03:59:29.240 a pretty strong NDP riding.

03:59:35.980 Edmonton Center is going conservative.

03:59:38.240 Old Balney leads by two votes.

03:59:39.720 That's very, very tight.

03:59:44.840 And yes, so that's the update there.

03:59:49.220 I'm just going to put that down.

03:59:52.500 And Gazalarian says,

03:59:56.160 remember that electing a government

03:59:58.560 is only the start.

03:59:59.520 We need to keep them to account

04:00:01.000 and make sure they keep to their promises.

04:00:02.780 And that even counts if it's a liberal government

04:00:04.800 is putting pressure on them.

04:00:07.100 Kyle Stevenson for $13.99 says,

04:00:09.140 BC is the path to a CPC victory.

04:00:11.360 For the first time in Canadian history,

04:00:12.700 BC will determine the outcome of a federal election.

04:00:15.440 The blue wave from the provincial election will continue.

04:00:19.660 And they are going to be picking up seats tonight.

04:00:21.560 It just depends on how many.

04:00:23.540 Did Dan play Dougie's friend,

04:00:26.440 Vinny and Doogie Howser?

04:00:27.980 No, he did not.

04:00:31.520 All for $2.79 just sends a nap.

04:00:34.360 Thank you.

04:00:35.440 Jimmy for $6.99 says,

04:00:36.720 how are we feeling?

04:00:37.400 I like what we see,

04:00:38.540 but no idea how to feel.

04:00:40.500 And I know this was a back while

04:00:42.140 we didn't know what was happening.

04:00:43.440 But yeah,

04:00:44.240 I don't know even how to feel.

04:00:45.740 I just feel confused.

04:00:46.720 But now we have Daniel back.

04:00:48.640 And Daniel,

04:00:49.200 maybe you can answer just because

04:00:50.460 I don't have exactly the full,

04:00:53.780 I don't know.

04:00:54.160 I don't have the full information.

04:00:56.020 Did Dan play Doogie's friend,

04:00:57.740 Vinny and Doogie Howser?

04:00:59.320 Yes.

04:01:00.620 Oh, nevermind.

04:01:01.060 I said I was wrong.

04:01:01.540 I said no.

04:01:03.640 Yeah, that was me.

04:01:05.760 Listen,

04:01:06.220 how are we supposed to feel?

04:01:08.360 I think chaos.

04:01:09.780 I think we're in maximum chaos.

04:01:11.140 I think we're in a chaos result

04:01:12.420 of a minority chaos thing.

04:01:16.020 So, you know,

04:01:17.840 ride the wave, guys.

04:01:19.280 Just chaos.

04:01:20.060 Oh, no.

04:01:20.680 Oh, no.

04:01:21.000 The liberals are going up to 164.

04:01:22.520 Oh, is...

04:01:23.440 Okay.

04:01:23.840 Now, now, now,

04:01:25.440 okay.

04:01:27.080 Liberals at 164 with the NDPM.

04:01:29.120 Yeah, we're kind of back to square one, guys.

04:01:31.640 Don't feel good.

04:01:32.200 I don't feel good.

04:01:33.220 All right, drink.

04:01:37.500 Daniel just shows up

04:01:38.600 and throws a bucket of cold water on me,

04:01:40.560 my goodness.

04:01:42.340 Well, we have to...

04:01:43.900 I mean, let's see where things go.

04:01:48.100 Polyev is still...

04:01:49.740 Polyev's down 14 points in his riding.

04:01:52.040 Holy balls. 0.99

04:01:53.840 Wow.

04:01:54.780 Wow.

04:01:56.560 No, it's actually tightened up, though,

04:01:57.920 if you've looked at it.

04:01:59.600 Okay, let me...

04:02:00.440 In terms of actual vote count,

04:02:01.640 it's been getting tighter,

04:02:02.520 and it's actually dropped his...

04:02:03.720 His trails dropped by, like, 600 votes.

04:02:06.600 Okay, let's...

04:02:07.260 And they're still only within, like,

04:02:08.620 30 polls of, like, the 250 that are in it.

04:02:12.020 Ah, Sukhman Gill's holding firm.

04:02:13.800 Mike DeJong underperformed his polling results.

04:02:16.720 It looks like that's not going to be a thing.

04:02:18.080 Oh, well.

04:02:18.820 That would have been nice.

04:02:20.020 Burnaby Central.

04:02:20.500 What are we doing, Jagmeet?

04:02:22.280 I haven't checked in on Burnaby Central.

04:02:23.540 Jagmeet did third place.

04:02:24.620 Oh, Jagmeet is getting slaughtered.

04:02:26.500 Okay, guys, you want to...

04:02:27.540 Okay.

04:02:28.100 Bring up Burnaby Central

04:02:29.460 and get the crowd fired up.

04:02:33.440 Let's check this one out.

04:02:34.920 And where is it?

04:02:36.820 That's Surrey Central.

04:02:38.380 We want Burnaby...

04:02:39.200 Burnaby Central.

04:02:39.760 We want Burnaby Central in this household.

04:02:43.240 I go...

04:02:43.680 I just go...

04:02:44.200 I search...

04:02:44.880 There you go.

04:02:46.540 Jagmeet Singh has 22.2% of the vote

04:02:49.980 in his own riding.

04:02:52.480 I'd say...

04:02:53.020 Are you not entertained?

04:02:53.760 I don't know.

04:02:54.620 Yeah.

04:02:55.680 So, a lot of silver lining in this election

04:02:58.600 despite the overall macro results

04:03:01.140 with having Jagmeet Singh out of office.

04:03:03.500 He doesn't even get to step down and say,

04:03:05.820 Oh, well, we had a good run, guys.

04:03:07.180 He doesn't...

04:03:07.620 Yeah, he's just going to go.

04:03:11.440 Oh.

04:03:13.020 Oh, also, you weren't here when I noticed

04:03:15.120 that Amarjeet Sohi is getting absolutely clobbered.

04:03:18.160 Oh, good.

04:03:19.840 Oh, Calistan, more to that.

04:03:21.700 Oh, hey.

04:03:22.060 Paul Lambert's leading in Coquitlam,

04:03:24.540 Port Moody, Coquitlam.

04:03:26.080 That's a good one.

04:03:27.500 That's nice.

04:03:28.380 Oh, Bonita Zarlo, the NDP incumbent there, 0.72

04:03:31.420 is only getting 13.1% of the vote.

04:03:33.420 You wonder what makes, then, the Vancouver East

04:03:38.100 and the Vancouver Kingsway candidate hold on so well.

04:03:41.360 It must be something to do with the idea that,

04:03:44.300 well, you know, it's a liberal versus NDP riding,

04:03:48.440 so you really can't make the...

04:03:50.140 you can't make the argument that people better vote liberal

04:03:54.760 to stop the Conservatives,

04:03:55.840 because that's not what's going on in that riding.

04:03:58.180 No, that's what is going on in BC.

04:04:00.180 I saw signs people are putting up, like,

04:04:02.400 here in BC, we vote NDP to stop the Conservatives.

04:04:06.280 Like, no principles.

04:04:07.820 Like, I...

04:04:09.140 God, this...

04:04:10.140 Like, the Canadian left has not made a friend of me

04:04:14.920 in this election cycle.

04:04:16.580 Like, I get it and all this,

04:04:17.940 but so much Pakistani, okay?

04:04:21.700 So much...

04:04:22.960 The liberals are running on the hatred of America,

04:04:25.480 and the NDP are running on the hatred of the Conservatives.

04:04:28.080 They don't have anything for themselves.

04:04:29.280 Like, I hate when you have no principles to stand on,

04:04:32.200 but how this works...

04:04:34.040 Makes me angry.

04:04:37.440 And that's the funny...

04:04:38.480 That's the thing about this election

04:04:39.780 that I'm looking at right now.

04:04:41.020 It's that it has nothing to do with the Conservatives

04:04:43.760 other than the liberals just...

04:04:45.440 Or the NDP just collapsing.

04:04:47.220 It's just the stupid...

04:04:48.360 This entire election can literally be summed up as

04:04:50.360 Jagmeet Singh's stupid.

04:04:52.080 And that's kind of it.

04:04:54.140 Yeah.

04:04:56.180 Okay, and then he was...

04:04:57.120 I want to jump over to more comments.

04:05:00.640 Can you explain...

04:05:02.060 Patch Duress says 699.

04:05:03.160 Can you explain what the polls means?

04:05:06.240 Why are they calling writings double digits

04:05:07.960 out of hundreds of polls reporting?

04:05:09.780 I literally don't know.

04:05:14.000 More Brock says...

04:05:16.760 No, Piston Broke 1776 says

04:05:19.460 More Brock for 279.

04:05:22.780 And this is...

04:05:23.620 Oh, speak of the devil,

04:05:24.900 because we were just talking about Bonita Zerillo.

04:05:27.320 Bonita...

04:05:27.840 Jen Ambe says for 729,

04:05:31.320 Bonita Zerillo incels. 0.99

04:05:34.100 Was she the one going around calling people incels?

04:05:36.560 I assume that that's what that meant.

04:05:37.760 Yeah.

04:05:39.780 Super duper popular YouTuber says for 5 bucks,

04:05:43.900 please explain what that social smile postcard

04:05:46.340 on the wall is behind you.

04:05:48.400 This social smile thing is a Georgian cartoon book

04:05:52.220 compiled of old Georgian cartoons,

04:05:55.420 like the country and the Caucasus,

04:05:56.820 from like the Tsarist regime 0.89

04:05:58.940 until Georgia fell to the Soviets in like 1921.

04:06:05.880 Very tragic.

04:06:09.240 We have Patrick Grogewegan.

04:06:12.920 Groenwegan.

04:06:13.980 Is that how you spell that?

04:06:15.040 Or say that?

04:06:17.880 Watch Kingston and the Islands.

04:06:19.100 If it goes blue,

04:06:19.740 the Conservatives are going to win.

04:06:20.840 Hasn't happened since Flora McDonald.

04:06:23.400 I want to go check in

04:06:24.540 on how Mark Gerritsen's doing out there.

04:06:27.760 Yeah, that'd be nice.

04:06:28.500 Actually, Kingston and the Islands

04:06:29.560 got called for him.

04:06:30.320 He actually won by 14,000 votes there.

04:06:32.620 Maybe he just has a real hold on people

04:06:35.240 that we just can't detect.

04:06:37.320 Yeah, I just checked back in on Carlton.

04:06:38.920 It's a generally safe liberal seat.

04:06:41.420 Yeah.

04:06:41.720 I just checked back in on Carlton.

04:06:43.340 Another couple of polls have been counted

04:06:44.820 and Polyev's trail has fallen

04:06:47.560 to another couple hundred votes.

04:06:49.340 So I think that will just keep happening

04:06:50.620 until they've counted it all.

04:06:54.260 And what else do we got going on here?

04:06:57.280 Oh, by the way,

04:06:58.000 I don't think you were here.

04:06:58.980 You just left after I said this.

04:07:00.520 So Kitchener Center

04:07:01.420 is actually going conservative right now,

04:07:03.920 even though it was held by the Greens

04:07:06.140 and they assumed that the Liberal

04:07:07.260 had the better chance

04:07:08.080 of unseating the Green.

04:07:11.820 The Liberal is, in fact,

04:07:12.820 actually very, very far away.

04:07:14.820 And what's our overall results looking like?

04:07:17.040 162 to 149 with 23 for the Bloc,

04:07:19.440 8 for the New Democrats,

04:07:20.440 and 1 for the Greens.

04:07:21.580 But again, we have this

04:07:23.000 continuing to tighten up.

04:07:24.700 The Liberals are literally only leading by,

04:07:27.320 what is that?

04:07:29.020 Actually not even a whole point.

04:07:30.620 They're leading by 0.7%

04:07:32.780 in terms of the popular vote.

04:07:36.000 I mean, if a few more seats

04:07:37.280 are taken from the Liberals

04:07:38.280 or the NDP,

04:07:40.280 as long as the Bloc 0.93

04:07:41.880 holds the balance of power,

04:07:43.520 I think it's going to be fine

04:07:46.400 because the Bloc 0.90

04:07:47.400 won't hold this government together

04:07:50.920 for four years

04:07:51.620 like the potential

04:07:53.220 NDP-Green coalition will.

04:07:55.040 Oh, hey, Kitchener,

04:07:55.800 Conestoga,

04:07:56.400 flipped Liberal

04:07:57.000 to Conservative now.

04:07:59.580 York Center,

04:08:00.400 Baber's going to win that one.

04:08:02.040 Yeah, it's fine.

04:08:02.880 So guys,

04:08:03.940 hats off to Roman Baber.

04:08:06.700 Mount Royal

04:08:07.360 has flipped back Housefather,

04:08:09.140 but it's within 56 votes now.

04:08:10.680 Oh, no.

04:08:12.240 And they haven't counted much, though.

04:08:15.640 Like, they're like

04:08:16.540 at poll number 70

04:08:18.980 out of,

04:08:19.800 or like 50 out of 100,

04:08:21.560 like 200

04:08:22.040 or something like that.

04:08:23.560 Okay.

04:08:24.400 So there's a lot more riding to count.

04:08:27.100 Yeah, but I mean,

04:08:28.200 it was a 10-point lead for Obermann.

04:08:29.780 I got a bit excited.

04:08:30.620 I thought that would,

04:08:31.240 that would kind of hold.

04:08:32.680 Yeah, well, early on,

04:08:33.960 obviously,

04:08:34.840 small poll,

04:08:36.060 small vote leads

04:08:36.900 early on in the race

04:08:37.780 means big percentage leads,

04:08:40.080 so we don't really know

04:08:40.800 what's going on there yet.

04:08:41.760 Yeah, 75 out of 200 polls reporting.

04:08:44.400 $10 from Swanky Pants.

04:08:46.040 I attended the Whistle Stop

04:08:47.180 in Keene,

04:08:47.860 Peterborough region, Ontario.

04:08:49.260 It was solid

04:08:50.320 and respectable turnout.

04:08:53.060 Yeah,

04:08:53.500 the Whistle Stop tours

04:08:54.500 that Polly was doing. 0.59

04:08:56.500 PTBO is considered

04:08:57.740 a bellwether region.

04:08:58.900 Any others

04:08:59.380 we can look forward to?

04:09:01.820 Peterborough region.

04:09:02.860 Let's go check out Peterborough.

04:09:04.280 How is Peterborough doing?

04:09:06.500 Peterborough is to the east

04:09:07.620 of Toronto,

04:09:08.620 right,

04:09:09.060 my Toronto friend?

04:09:10.100 Yes.

04:09:14.420 Where is this?

04:09:20.040 Come on.

04:09:22.680 I'm incompetent

04:09:23.880 when it comes to finding things.

04:09:25.780 Actually,

04:09:26.300 it looks like

04:09:27.100 in Peterborough,

04:09:28.400 the Liberals actually

04:09:29.260 leading right now

04:09:30.140 and beating

04:09:30.780 conservative incumbent

04:09:32.200 Michelle Ferreri.

04:09:33.960 So that's unfortunate.

04:09:35.080 I really like

04:09:35.940 Michelle Ferreri

04:09:36.800 and I don't think

04:09:38.540 that that's recoverable

04:09:39.540 at the moment,

04:09:40.160 although I could be wrong

04:09:41.200 considering that,

04:09:42.640 oh no,

04:09:42.860 there's like only a few

04:09:43.560 more polls to count.

04:09:44.420 Yeah,

04:09:44.620 that's the problem.

04:09:46.620 Again,

04:09:47.040 that's a weird one.

04:09:48.080 She seems like somebody

04:09:49.060 who was in the polling

04:09:49.940 looked like she was

04:09:50.620 going to be very,

04:09:51.660 it was going to be

04:09:52.120 an easy thing

04:09:53.320 to hold on to.

04:09:54.100 But then we go over

04:09:55.120 to here

04:09:56.520 with Essex.

04:09:58.740 The Conservatives

04:09:59.220 barely won that

04:10:00.080 in the last election.

04:10:01.040 Now they're winning it

04:10:01.560 by a large margin.

04:10:02.980 They're winning

04:10:03.440 Windsor West

04:10:04.060 by 3,000 votes,

04:10:05.420 a riding that went

04:10:05.980 liberal last time,

04:10:06.980 and Windsor-Tecumseh

04:10:08.080 Lakeshore

04:10:08.580 is also going

04:10:09.280 conservative.

04:10:10.600 I guarantee you

04:10:12.000 if you actually

04:10:12.920 did a demographic

04:10:13.720 poll on these places,

04:10:15.460 these are the

04:10:16.160 working class ridings 0.99

04:10:17.040 that are going

04:10:17.440 conservative right now.

04:10:18.340 I don't want to

04:10:21.000 stereotype it,

04:10:21.740 but is Peterborough

04:10:22.560 more suburban?

04:10:31.760 Daniel?

04:10:33.160 Peterborough?

04:10:35.080 No,

04:10:35.600 like,

04:10:35.780 Peterborough should,

04:10:37.840 like,

04:10:39.680 it's,

04:10:40.280 you're quintessential,

04:10:41.660 you know.

04:10:42.180 Is that a very

04:10:42.540 white riding,

04:10:43.300 I guess I'm asking.

04:10:44.220 Yes.

04:10:45.220 Okay,

04:10:45.560 so maybe that's

04:10:46.200 like a super white,

04:10:47.700 maybe there's too

04:10:48.260 many picket fences

04:10:49.040 in that riding

04:10:49.580 for the Conservatives

04:10:50.260 to win it.

04:10:53.540 To put it in a

04:10:54.440 weird way like that.

04:10:56.480 But the demographics

04:10:57.060 are,

04:10:58.260 Peterborough,

04:10:58.880 Peterborough is

04:10:59.420 very winnable,

04:11:00.120 like,

04:11:01.620 so,

04:11:02.040 yeah,

04:11:02.240 that's a,

04:11:02.980 that's a bad

04:11:03.920 loss for the

04:11:04.440 Conservatives.

04:11:05.460 Kostas Minigakis

04:11:06.360 is going to be

04:11:06.960 getting back

04:11:07.540 into Parliament

04:11:08.340 in that riding.

04:11:09.800 For him?

04:11:10.540 Kostas is good.

04:11:12.120 Markham Unionville

04:11:13.080 where Paul Chang

04:11:14.020 was originally

04:11:14.580 the candidate

04:11:15.100 and now there

04:11:15.780 is that other

04:11:16.320 guy with ties

04:11:16.980 to the CCP,

04:11:18.040 Mr. Peter Yuen.

04:11:19.700 The Conservative

04:11:20.560 is beating him

04:11:21.420 by quite a bit

04:11:22.680 right now,

04:11:23.440 well over

04:11:24.380 1,500 votes

04:11:25.980 with not that

04:11:28.340 much to count,

04:11:28.920 so I assume

04:11:29.280 that's going to

04:11:29.620 be able to hold.

04:11:34.540 And I've checked

04:11:35.360 back into Carlton

04:11:36.220 and again,

04:11:36.820 the lead

04:11:37.500 for Bruce Fanjoy

04:11:38.640 is slowly being

04:11:39.560 chipped away at.

04:11:41.240 Okay.

04:11:45.980 Now we can

04:11:46.700 jump on

04:11:47.260 to somebody else.

04:11:48.340 JQK

04:11:48.780 just sends

04:11:49.180 in $27.99.

04:11:50.240 Thank you,

04:11:50.660 JQK.

04:11:51.560 Hopefully Daniel

04:11:52.260 has grown on JQK.

04:11:55.200 He's an acquired

04:11:55.980 taste,

04:11:56.380 but I think

04:11:56.620 people like him.

04:11:58.320 I'm okay.

04:11:59.420 Yeah.

04:12:00.960 Shanstee71

04:12:01.360 for $6.99

04:12:02.100 says,

04:12:02.560 thank you

04:12:02.860 for your coverage

04:12:03.580 of the election,

04:12:04.340 Wyatt.

04:12:04.720 Absolutely.

04:12:05.360 Thank you

04:12:05.620 for tuning in.

04:12:07.260 Lankybot

04:12:07.620 says,

04:12:07.940 for $5,

04:12:08.520 PEI Conservative

04:12:09.340 Voter,

04:12:10.000 unfortunately,

04:12:10.460 we're looking

04:12:10.980 pretty red

04:12:11.720 but staying

04:12:12.920 optimistic.

04:12:13.940 Well,

04:12:14.120 obviously,

04:12:14.500 PEI is always

04:12:15.400 red,

04:12:15.820 but I think

04:12:16.300 the Conservatives

04:12:16.960 actually made

04:12:17.640 popular vote

04:12:18.460 gains over there.

04:12:22.260 And

04:12:22.620 Yegandeep Raj

04:12:24.220 for $279

04:12:25.140 says,

04:12:25.420 what's your take

04:12:25.900 on castle law

04:12:26.700 in Canada

04:12:27.620 and Bill 21?

04:12:28.260 Are you

04:12:29.720 supportive?

04:12:30.200 I'm generally

04:12:31.580 supportive.

04:12:32.100 Get rid

04:12:32.340 of Bill 21

04:12:32.980 and I like

04:12:34.400 the idea

04:12:34.740 of a castle

04:12:35.220 doctrine

04:12:35.600 because that's

04:12:36.000 what's so

04:12:36.640 messed up

04:12:36.960 in Toronto

04:12:37.380 right now.

04:12:38.000 They'll just

04:12:38.340 tell you,

04:12:38.740 oh yeah,

04:12:38.920 just leave

04:12:39.220 your keys

04:12:39.540 outside,

04:12:40.000 let someone

04:12:40.260 rob you.

04:12:41.420 Yeah,

04:12:41.720 it's...

04:12:43.260 Let someone

04:12:44.280 take your car.

04:12:45.620 Yeah,

04:12:46.180 leave your car

04:12:46.840 keys outside

04:12:47.320 so they don't

04:12:47.700 break into

04:12:48.180 your house.

04:12:50.140 Toronto police.

04:12:51.240 Yeah.

04:12:52.180 Richmond

04:12:52.620 Centre

04:12:53.100 Mariupole

04:12:53.720 is staying

04:12:54.560 conservative

04:12:55.020 with Chaka

04:12:55.600 as the

04:12:56.320 candidate

04:12:56.620 there,

04:12:57.080 511 vote

04:12:57.980 lead.

04:12:58.780 And in

04:12:59.280 Richmond

04:12:59.520 Stevenson,

04:13:00.260 the Liberals

04:13:00.800 are leading

04:13:01.280 by 416.

04:13:03.220 But I

04:13:03.740 believe,

04:13:04.260 yeah,

04:13:04.540 there is 80

04:13:05.300 polls out of

04:13:05.900 216 so

04:13:06.800 far there.

04:13:10.520 All right,

04:13:11.040 how's father

04:13:11.400 starting to open

04:13:11.960 up a bit of

04:13:12.440 a lead?

04:13:12.900 That's too

04:13:13.240 bad.

04:13:14.460 I was

04:13:14.660 looking forward

04:13:15.160 to that.

04:13:16.500 There's always

04:13:17.020 a tragedy

04:13:17.660 where the way

04:13:18.220 that it seems

04:13:18.720 like the way

04:13:19.060 that they

04:13:19.320 count votes

04:13:19.800 always ends

04:13:20.240 up baiting

04:13:20.720 and switching

04:13:21.120 you a little

04:13:21.580 bit.

04:13:21.860 Like,

04:13:22.040 let's start

04:13:22.380 with all the

04:13:22.780 conservative

04:13:23.220 polls.

04:13:23.720 And then

04:13:23.900 mess with

04:13:24.320 Wyatt and

04:13:24.960 Daniel.

04:13:26.560 Yeah.

04:13:27.260 It would

04:13:27.660 have been

04:13:27.820 nice if

04:13:28.180 the Liberals

04:13:28.580 had lost

04:13:30.000 one of

04:13:30.320 their

04:13:30.440 strongholds

04:13:31.360 and there

04:13:31.680 could have

04:13:31.880 been a

04:13:32.100 message sent

04:13:32.640 to the

04:13:32.840 party.

04:13:33.100 That would

04:13:33.260 have been

04:13:33.460 nice,

04:13:34.180 but

04:13:34.380 I mean,

04:13:38.140 people are

04:13:38.600 talking about

04:13:38.900 Quebec and

04:13:39.320 Quebec's 0.75

04:13:39.620 going Canada

04:13:40.100 and I see

04:13:40.440 a lot of

04:13:40.720 that.

04:13:41.880 Here's what

04:13:42.300 I'll say.

04:13:43.480 Quebec,

04:13:44.260 after this

04:13:45.000 election,

04:13:45.460 I don't want

04:13:45.780 to hear another

04:13:46.200 word about

04:13:46.660 the importance

04:13:47.080 of French

04:13:47.500 or anything

04:13:48.280 and how

04:13:48.900 French,

04:13:49.400 but,

04:13:49.560 but,

04:13:49.980 and French

04:13:50.340 is so

04:13:50.620 important to

04:13:51.020 us.

04:13:52.180 Shove it.

04:13:52.580 Shove it

04:13:53.640 with the

04:13:53.940 need to

04:13:54.240 everyone

04:13:54.500 speak French

04:13:55.000 all the

04:13:55.200 time.

04:13:55.480 I don't

04:13:55.680 believe that

04:13:56.060 French is

04:13:56.420 that important.

04:13:57.560 Stop

04:13:57.980 pandering to

04:13:58.520 Quebec should

04:13:59.800 be the

04:14:00.440 lesson learned

04:14:02.160 here.

04:14:02.960 Well,

04:14:03.440 the conservative

04:14:03.960 ridings in

04:14:04.560 Quebec tend 0.99

04:14:05.240 to be,

04:14:06.080 they don't

04:14:06.540 care about

04:14:06.960 those same

04:14:07.400 issues,

04:14:07.680 so you can

04:14:08.220 still hold

04:14:08.700 on to all

04:14:09.220 those seats

04:14:09.740 while actually

04:14:10.720 doing things

04:14:11.300 to actually

04:14:11.660 drum up more

04:14:12.260 supports in

04:14:13.560 Anglo-Canada

04:14:14.740 by just saying,

04:14:15.500 hey,

04:14:16.080 if Quebec

04:14:16.540 wants to come

04:14:17.100 along with the

04:14:17.600 rest of the

04:14:17.920 country,

04:14:18.260 they can do

04:14:18.720 that,

04:14:19.180 but we're

04:14:19.620 going to do

04:14:19.980 our own

04:14:20.320 thing.

04:14:20.600 If they

04:14:21.240 don't want

04:14:21.580 to come

04:14:21.820 along with

04:14:22.280 that,

04:14:22.460 that's kind

04:14:22.860 of their

04:14:23.120 choice,

04:14:23.580 and I

04:14:23.760 think you

04:14:24.520 would still

04:14:24.820 keep all

04:14:25.160 your seats,

04:14:25.600 but you

04:14:26.080 get a lot

04:14:26.540 more people

04:14:27.020 in Ontario

04:14:27.820 saying,

04:14:31.040 that sounds

04:14:32.920 about right

04:14:33.320 to me,

04:14:33.660 maybe we

04:14:34.000 should

04:14:34.200 vote along

04:14:36.240 the lines

04:14:36.720 of what

04:14:37.880 the rest

04:14:38.200 of Canada

04:14:38.600 is interested

04:14:39.080 in and

04:14:39.420 stop letting

04:14:40.520 whether or

04:14:41.280 not our

04:14:41.540 parties doing

04:14:42.460 well in

04:14:42.840 Quebec dictate 1.00

04:14:43.620 to us on

04:14:44.220 our opinions.

04:14:44.820 Piston

04:14:48.980 Broken

04:14:49.340 says,

04:14:50.200 1776,

04:14:51.300 699,

04:14:52.240 the path

04:14:52.600 to Alberta

04:14:53.020 separation

04:14:53.500 isn't with

04:14:54.080 a separatist

04:14:54.640 party,

04:14:55.140 the path

04:14:55.620 is with

04:14:55.940 a referendum.

04:14:57.240 Yeah,

04:14:57.520 you'd have

04:14:57.920 to get

04:14:58.780 a referendum

04:14:59.180 on the

04:14:59.520 ballot,

04:14:59.880 though,

04:15:00.000 and you'd

04:15:00.240 have to

04:15:00.400 do a

04:15:00.640 big

04:15:01.060 petition

04:15:02.100 signing

04:15:02.660 thing in

04:15:03.280 order to

04:15:03.520 get that

04:15:03.800 done.

04:15:04.040 I know

04:15:04.220 Daniel

04:15:04.620 Smith has

04:15:05.140 said some

04:15:05.520 stuff about

04:15:06.040 being in

04:15:06.820 favor of

04:15:07.220 potentially

04:15:07.740 having some

04:15:08.400 sort of a

04:15:08.920 feeler out

04:15:09.440 there for

04:15:09.740 people.

04:15:10.720 I'm just

04:15:11.240 not sure if

04:15:11.700 that actually

04:15:12.120 is going to

04:15:12.420 go through,

04:15:12.860 especially if

04:15:13.280 there's a

04:15:13.580 risk that it

04:15:14.080 could hurt her 0.76

04:15:14.820 Jeffy

04:15:16.640 Maximo

04:15:17.200 for $10

04:15:17.700 says,

04:15:18.220 in your

04:15:18.380 opinion,

04:15:19.140 is it

04:15:19.480 over for

04:15:19.980 the

04:15:20.100 Conservatives?

04:15:21.640 I don't

04:15:22.280 know.

04:15:22.660 I guess the

04:15:23.360 Liberals are

04:15:23.820 probably going

04:15:24.380 to win the

04:15:24.900 election,

04:15:26.020 but it's

04:15:26.720 still tight.

04:15:27.240 It's currently

04:15:27.720 161 to

04:15:28.660 150 for

04:15:29.360 the Conservatives.

04:15:31.200 23

04:15:31.720 Bloc 0.99

04:15:32.140 Quebecois,

04:15:32.680 8 New

04:15:33.160 Democrat,

04:15:33.700 1 Green.

04:15:34.160 So even

04:15:34.520 the NDP

04:15:35.120 and the

04:15:35.860 Green

04:15:36.100 together

04:15:36.500 doesn't

04:15:37.180 even get

04:15:37.480 them to

04:15:37.700 a majority.

04:15:38.160 If this

04:15:39.540 number

04:15:39.880 holds,

04:15:40.840 161 to

04:15:41.780 150 to

04:15:42.720 123,

04:15:43.380 I'm still

04:15:44.560 optimistic.

04:15:45.340 The disaster

04:15:46.480 result is if

04:15:47.440 the NDP holds

04:15:48.300 a balance of

04:15:49.160 power.

04:15:50.120 But if

04:15:50.820 Gagmich Singh

04:15:51.340 loses his

04:15:51.920 riding,

04:15:53.100 the NDP

04:15:53.640 becomes less

04:15:55.880 viable.

04:15:57.380 So we're

04:16:01.160 in decent

04:16:02.900 terms.

04:16:03.300 even some

04:16:06.940 of these

04:16:07.140 ridings

04:16:07.480 where the

04:16:07.800 Liberals

04:16:08.140 are leading

04:16:08.540 in Brampton

04:16:09.140 in places

04:16:09.580 like Brampton

04:16:10.120 North

04:16:10.460 Calden,

04:16:11.200 which I'll

04:16:11.680 bring up

04:16:11.960 on screen

04:16:12.340 here,

04:16:12.940 it's like

04:16:13.360 a really

04:16:13.940 tight

04:16:14.520 lead.

04:16:15.600 48.6

04:16:16.500 to 47.6

04:16:17.800 and there

04:16:18.220 is a lot

04:16:19.020 more vote

04:16:19.600 to count.

04:16:20.660 Almost

04:16:21.080 over,

04:16:21.500 almost half

04:16:22.120 of the vote

04:16:22.520 is left to

04:16:22.920 count in a

04:16:23.360 riding where

04:16:23.740 the Liberal

04:16:24.220 incumbent is

04:16:25.180 only leading

04:16:25.780 by a couple

04:16:26.440 hundred votes.

04:16:27.620 Actually,

04:16:27.940 not even a

04:16:28.300 couple hundred.

04:16:28.740 Same thing

04:16:29.540 in Brampton

04:16:30.120 Chickagosi 0.97

04:16:31.560 Park.

04:16:32.900 Brampton

04:16:33.280 East is a 0.95

04:16:34.180 little bit

04:16:34.560 further away.

04:16:35.120 I don't think

04:16:35.340 that one will

04:16:35.780 tighten.

04:16:37.080 But ridings

04:16:37.720 like Elegant

04:16:38.420 Lawrence

04:16:39.380 is within

04:16:39.900 55.

04:16:43.160 So yeah,

04:16:44.000 that one

04:16:44.300 could always

04:16:44.640 flip.

04:16:44.920 It's 47.9

04:16:45.960 to 47.6

04:16:47.180 with Karina

04:16:48.180 sits there.

04:16:51.020 And what

04:16:51.700 else do we

04:16:52.060 got?

04:16:54.340 Dawn Valley

04:16:55.080 North,

04:16:55.500 unfortunately

04:16:56.020 probably

04:16:57.020 Jote

04:16:58.060 there isn't

04:16:58.680 going to

04:16:58.960 be winning

04:16:59.240 that riding.

04:17:00.000 Honestly,

04:17:00.380 I don't

04:17:00.740 even know

04:17:01.260 who is

04:17:02.160 watching

04:17:02.720 that riding

04:17:03.320 and not

04:17:05.000 thinking that

04:17:05.560 after everything

04:17:06.180 done to

04:17:06.800 Jote,

04:17:07.540 you're not

04:17:08.240 going to

04:17:08.880 vote for

04:17:09.260 him.

04:17:09.420 Just vote

04:17:09.720 for the

04:17:09.980 generic

04:17:10.300 liberal

04:17:10.760 who never

04:17:11.460 called out

04:17:11.900 Paul Chang

04:17:12.440 for the

04:17:12.860 fact that

04:17:13.180 he wanted

04:17:13.540 to kidnap

04:17:14.560 your opponent.

04:17:16.240 Yeah,

04:17:16.380 this is

04:17:16.680 where I had

04:17:18.320 some problems

04:17:18.800 with Paul

04:17:19.560 down the

04:17:20.360 stretch.

04:17:21.480 Is when

04:17:22.160 Jote

04:17:22.700 was,

04:17:24.780 you know,

04:17:26.540 there was a

04:17:27.340 bounty on his

04:17:27.760 head and Paul

04:17:28.080 Chang made

04:17:28.440 a thing.

04:17:29.400 Yeah,

04:17:29.580 the Conservatives

04:17:29.980 brought it

04:17:30.380 up.

04:17:30.940 But this

04:17:31.260 is where

04:17:31.540 you've got

04:17:33.380 to be more

04:17:34.160 understanding of

04:17:34.620 the fact that

04:17:34.940 you have to

04:17:35.360 control the

04:17:35.720 narrative.

04:17:37.400 Aliev should 0.99

04:17:38.400 have gone to

04:17:38.880 Dawn Valley

04:17:39.180 North.

04:17:39.420 I know

04:17:39.700 Dawn Valley

04:17:40.220 North is a

04:17:41.040 pretty safe

04:17:42.060 liberal riding.

04:17:42.800 I know that.

04:17:43.540 Kathleen Wynn,

04:17:44.220 former Premier

04:17:44.640 of Ontario,

04:17:45.020 used to run

04:17:45.420 there.

04:17:46.780 I get it.

04:17:47.960 Okay?

04:17:48.600 But optically,

04:17:50.280 you should have

04:17:51.400 been supporting

04:17:52.200 Jote because

04:17:53.040 you should

04:17:54.560 have gone

04:17:54.820 and been

04:17:55.080 like,

04:17:55.660 hey,

04:17:55.920 we're not

04:17:56.180 backing.

04:17:56.520 It would

04:17:56.720 have been

04:17:56.860 a good

04:17:57.300 cross-Canada

04:17:58.720 message to

04:17:59.240 sort of,

04:17:59.800 hey,

04:18:00.580 I have your

04:18:01.020 back,

04:18:01.340 Jote.

04:18:01.780 The CCP

04:18:02.220 won't get

04:18:02.760 you.

04:18:03.420 Set yourself

04:18:03.960 as the

04:18:04.380 Canadians

04:18:04.820 fighting foreign 1.00

04:18:05.440 interference

04:18:05.900 and bring

04:18:07.180 back up the

04:18:07.700 Liberals'

04:18:07.940 worst scandal,

04:18:08.920 which is that.

04:18:09.620 And like,

04:18:10.260 instead,

04:18:10.740 he was trying

04:18:11.360 to save

04:18:11.700 Sukman Gill's

04:18:12.980 seat and

04:18:13.760 looks like he

04:18:14.360 succeeded in

04:18:15.140 saving Sukman

04:18:15.760 Gill's

04:18:16.500 Abbotsford

04:18:16.980 seat.

04:18:17.260 So fine,

04:18:18.100 like you

04:18:18.480 got your

04:18:19.140 blueberry

04:18:19.460 farmer.

04:18:20.280 What an

04:18:20.720 ass. 0.70

04:18:21.340 But I'm,

04:18:25.360 you know,

04:18:26.400 like that's

04:18:27.660 kind of where

04:18:28.180 this is where

04:18:29.760 like I think

04:18:30.220 people want

04:18:30.860 the conservative

04:18:31.380 party to just

04:18:31.860 be a bit more

04:18:32.380 dynamic and

04:18:33.220 creative and

04:18:34.660 sort of take

04:18:35.720 control of the

04:18:36.180 narrative.

04:18:36.500 Like again,

04:18:36.880 you have this

04:18:37.620 thing where

04:18:37.980 like,

04:18:38.520 yeah,

04:18:38.660 the Liberals

04:18:39.120 are threatening

04:18:39.780 to send one

04:18:40.940 of your

04:18:41.120 candidates to

04:18:41.860 the Chinese

04:18:42.360 embassy for a

04:18:43.120 bounty on their

04:18:43.760 head.

04:18:44.180 That's crazy.

04:18:46.340 Should the

04:18:46.940 media cover

04:18:47.380 this?

04:18:47.660 Yes.

04:18:47.920 In a

04:18:48.220 functioning

04:18:48.720 society,

04:18:49.820 the media

04:18:50.220 would cover

04:18:50.760 this and

04:18:51.280 I get it

04:18:52.060 and they

04:18:52.640 should,

04:18:53.340 but it's

04:18:54.740 kind of your

04:18:55.100 job to force

04:18:55.920 them to cover

04:18:56.440 it.

04:18:56.640 Like that's

04:18:56.960 got to be

04:18:57.280 the way it

04:18:57.640 is.

04:18:58.440 Yeah,

04:18:58.700 no,

04:18:58.820 I agree.

04:19:01.520 What else

04:19:02.120 do we got

04:19:02.420 going on?

04:19:03.520 Are things

04:19:03.920 getting any

04:19:04.380 more interesting

04:19:04.840 in the

04:19:05.100 Richmans

04:19:05.520 and BC

04:19:05.960 now?

04:19:06.300 They've

04:19:06.440 basically

04:19:06.720 held the

04:19:07.120 exact same.

04:19:09.060 Clark

04:19:09.500 Petrick,

04:19:10.180 so we're

04:19:10.560 actually catching

04:19:11.500 up with the

04:19:12.060 new reality,

04:19:13.200 says for $2

04:19:13.740 CCB just

04:19:14.700 declared for

04:19:15.220 Liberals,

04:19:16.300 Brett from

04:19:16.700 Delta says

04:19:17.200 check out

04:19:17.560 Polymarket

04:19:18.020 Pier now

04:19:18.580 $0.03.

04:19:20.360 And Team

04:19:21.060 Bronx for 0.99

04:19:21.460 $6.99 says

04:19:22.220 what Nintendo

04:19:23.020 game is behind

04:19:23.760 you?

04:19:24.020 Favorite one,

04:19:24.840 great work,

04:19:25.340 objective.

04:19:25.860 Not my

04:19:26.220 favorite one,

04:19:26.860 but it's a

04:19:27.440 good one.

04:19:27.900 It's a

04:19:28.300 Super C here

04:19:29.420 for NES.

04:19:31.260 That's a good

04:19:31.660 one.

04:19:32.260 It's actually

04:19:32.700 also extremely

04:19:33.380 hard.

04:19:33.740 anyway,

04:19:37.360 so let's

04:19:39.180 see Brampton

04:19:39.720 East.

04:19:40.060 Let's see

04:19:40.400 if Kefl 0.97

04:19:40.920 is holding

04:19:41.540 the balance

04:19:41.940 of power.

04:19:42.680 Yeah.

04:19:44.720 Kefl 0.78

04:19:45.000 is the

04:19:47.160 difference

04:19:47.460 between a

04:19:48.300 conservative

04:19:48.740 win and

04:19:49.420 a liberal

04:19:50.600 win.

04:19:54.000 What do

04:19:54.580 you mean?

04:19:56.240 Yeah.

04:19:56.720 that's

04:20:03.960 nephew to

04:20:04.380 the

04:20:04.500 party.

04:20:13.600 Who's

04:20:14.100 Jeff

04:20:14.320 Law?

04:20:14.660 I actually

04:20:14.920 don't know

04:20:15.200 that.

04:20:15.420 So Jeff

04:20:16.340 Law is

04:20:16.900 one of

04:20:17.120 the Hindus

04:20:17.520 that was

04:20:18.100 disqualified

04:20:18.700 for no

04:20:19.180 reason.

04:20:20.000 But Jeff

04:20:20.440 Law is

04:20:20.680 like actually

04:20:21.260 like a good

04:20:22.400 organization.

04:20:22.880 He signed

04:20:23.080 up thousands

04:20:23.540 of people

04:20:24.020 and got

04:20:24.280 thousands

04:20:24.580 of signatures

04:20:25.060 and then

04:20:28.160 he flipped

04:20:28.500 the PPC.

04:20:29.360 So he's

04:20:29.600 sort of the

04:20:30.080 Hindu protest

04:20:30.840 vote against

04:20:31.380 the CPC.

04:20:32.520 It's like a

04:20:33.180 quasi-anti-Kalistan

04:20:34.420 vote.

04:20:35.440 Yeah.

04:20:36.340 Okay.

04:20:38.140 Okay,

04:20:38.360 Mark,

04:20:38.600 obviously I

04:20:39.860 think at this

04:20:40.360 point I can

04:20:40.680 just call it

04:20:41.240 Brampton.

04:20:41.620 Yeah.

04:20:42.740 Mr.

04:20:43.340 Baber is

04:20:43.780 going to win

04:20:44.080 that one.

04:20:45.240 Yeah.

04:20:45.420 And in

04:20:50.040 Mount Royal

04:20:50.620 it's within

04:20:51.180 57 votes.

04:20:54.380 Okay,

04:20:54.920 so Mount Royal

04:20:55.380 can flip.

04:20:55.820 That would

04:20:56.020 be good.

04:20:58.100 Yeah,

04:20:58.400 Mount Royal

04:20:58.900 flips.

04:20:59.720 That's good.

04:21:03.320 Is there

04:21:03.860 anything else

04:21:04.400 tight around

04:21:05.080 on Quebec

04:21:05.820 right now

04:21:06.260 I'm looking

04:21:06.600 for?

04:21:09.560 Let's go

04:21:10.120 back to

04:21:10.480 Carleton.

04:21:12.120 Yeah,

04:21:12.440 and just one

04:21:13.120 more poll

04:21:13.480 has been

04:21:13.700 counting.

04:21:14.060 It got a

04:21:14.280 little tighter

04:21:14.640 still.

04:21:14.940 Okay,

04:21:17.780 Carleton's

04:21:18.220 going to

04:21:18.460 be a

04:21:18.640 knife fight

04:21:19.000 for

04:21:19.200 Sault

04:21:19.420 St.

04:21:19.560 Marie

04:21:19.800 here.

04:21:22.000 And

04:21:22.400 not

04:21:23.360 Thunder

04:21:23.680 Bay.

04:21:24.460 How do you

04:21:24.780 see you?

04:21:25.100 Okay,

04:21:25.900 Carney at

04:21:26.520 162.

04:21:28.040 Yeah,

04:21:28.700 I mean,

04:21:29.160 this

04:21:29.540 Carlton

04:21:30.480 riding

04:21:30.740 actually

04:21:31.140 needs,

04:21:31.560 like the

04:21:31.760 Conservatives

04:21:32.040 actually need

04:21:32.660 to win

04:21:32.960 this because

04:21:34.400 every seat

04:21:34.940 matters in

04:21:35.520 the makeup

04:21:36.480 of this

04:21:36.780 minority.

04:21:37.140 like we're

04:21:37.480 getting

04:21:37.880 down to

04:21:38.160 the

04:21:38.260 wire where

04:21:39.340 will it

04:21:40.940 be the

04:21:42.660 NDP that

04:21:43.180 holds the

04:21:43.460 balance of

04:21:43.800 power in

04:21:44.080 a liberal

04:21:44.280 minority,

04:21:44.680 the

04:21:44.780 Bloc? 0.95

04:21:45.880 Because

04:21:46.080 if the

04:21:47.260 liberal

04:21:47.500 green

04:21:47.820 NDP,

04:21:48.800 like Canada

04:21:49.120 is very

04:21:49.400 different,

04:21:50.160 right?

04:21:50.760 A

04:21:50.960 liberal

04:21:51.220 held up

04:21:51.820 by the

04:21:52.160 NDP

04:21:52.520 and the

04:21:52.900 Greens

04:21:53.260 is very

04:21:54.380 different than

04:21:54.780 the liberals

04:21:55.120 held up

04:21:55.440 by the

04:21:55.660 Bloc. 0.94

04:21:55.920 South Surrey

04:22:17.680 White Rock

04:22:18.200 between

04:22:18.500 Ernie

04:22:18.840 Klass 0.85

04:22:19.240 and

04:22:19.360 Carrie

04:22:19.620 Lynn

04:22:19.820 Finley

04:22:20.240 is

04:22:20.460 literally

04:22:20.740 within

04:22:21.000 82

04:22:21.380 votes.

04:22:22.860 But

04:22:23.380 that's

04:22:23.720 still

04:22:23.880 actually

04:22:24.200 less

04:22:24.460 than

04:22:24.660 half

04:22:24.940 the

04:22:25.100 polls

04:22:25.320 counting.

04:22:25.920 If that

04:22:27.740 one flips

04:22:28.120 back,

04:22:28.460 that one's

04:22:28.800 important.

04:22:30.300 We have

04:22:30.660 Fleetwood

04:22:31.060 Port

04:22:31.360 Kells,

04:22:32.060 if we

04:22:32.340 can

04:22:32.480 grab,

04:22:32.860 that one's

04:22:33.100 within 68

04:22:33.820 votes,

04:22:34.760 half

04:22:35.020 counted.

04:22:38.500 Surrey

04:22:39.060 Newton

04:22:39.340 with

04:22:41.100 the

04:22:41.800 Sook

04:22:42.180 Dolly

04:22:43.540 Wall

04:22:43.760 leading

04:22:44.020 with

04:22:44.220 505

04:22:44.900 votes

04:22:45.140 with

04:22:45.260 about

04:22:45.440 half

04:22:45.700 of it

04:22:45.920 counted,

04:22:47.020 which is

04:22:47.560 actually

04:22:47.760 tighter

04:22:48.040 than I

04:22:48.280 thought.

04:22:48.600 Delta

04:22:48.840 is

04:22:49.000 with

04:22:49.120 183.

04:22:53.320 So

04:22:53.840 Jesse

04:22:54.360 Zahoda 0.88

04:22:54.740 is down

04:22:55.220 just

04:22:55.540 by

04:22:55.900 literally

04:22:56.480 1%

04:22:57.460 with

04:22:58.300 a little

04:22:58.760 more

04:22:58.980 than

04:22:59.140 half

04:22:59.340 counted.

04:23:00.760 Pure

04:23:01.000 star

04:23:01.260 candidate.

04:23:03.580 Oh,

04:23:06.480 hey,

04:23:06.660 New West

04:23:06.920 Minister

04:23:07.260 Burnaby

04:23:07.660 Mallardville

04:23:08.240 actually is

04:23:08.640 going

04:23:08.780 conservative

04:23:09.220 even though

04:23:09.640 they were

04:23:09.880 like a

04:23:10.200 distant

04:23:10.460 third

04:23:10.760 technically.

04:23:11.700 Peter

04:23:11.920 Julian

04:23:12.600 might have

04:23:13.100 actually

04:23:13.440 hurt the

04:23:14.180 Liberals

04:23:14.500 and himself.

04:23:16.180 That's a

04:23:16.880 funny one.

04:23:19.360 That's with

04:23:20.100 Indy Panchy 0.96

04:23:20.800 actually.

04:23:25.180 Let's

04:23:25.540 show some

04:23:25.840 numbers so

04:23:26.340 people want

04:23:26.900 to be able

04:23:28.240 to follow

04:23:28.520 along.

04:23:28.640 Yeah,

04:23:28.760 I'll show

04:23:29.020 you guys

04:23:29.260 the macro

04:23:29.700 numbers.

04:23:31.360 So right

04:23:31.580 now we

04:23:31.840 have 162

04:23:32.720 to 149.

04:23:34.400 But again,

04:23:34.840 you always

04:23:35.040 have to

04:23:35.200 remember these

04:23:35.520 are counting

04:23:35.940 leads and I

04:23:36.760 just went

04:23:37.040 over some

04:23:37.420 of those

04:23:37.640 leads are

04:23:38.060 literally less

04:23:38.960 than 100

04:23:39.300 votes right

04:23:39.820 now.

04:23:40.740 And it's

04:23:41.400 42.6

04:23:42.400 Liberal and

04:23:42.960 it's 41.9

04:23:44.060 percent for

04:23:44.560 the

04:23:44.700 conservative,

04:23:45.320 so we

04:23:45.580 are only

04:23:46.060 trailing by

04:23:46.840 0.7

04:23:47.660 percent of

04:23:48.120 the vote.

04:23:48.440 BQ is

04:23:50.120 at 7.5

04:23:51.160 percent,

04:23:51.600 which will

04:23:51.880 probably fall

04:23:52.580 a little bit

04:23:53.040 as more

04:23:53.540 eastern can

04:23:54.280 or western

04:23:54.800 can is

04:23:55.180 counted.

04:23:56.500 And greens

04:23:56.880 came in

04:23:57.180 with 1.1.

04:23:58.180 By the

04:23:58.640 way,

04:23:58.800 what's the

04:23:59.100 PPC at?

04:24:01.760 Are they

04:24:02.320 even showing?

04:24:03.620 Yeah,

04:24:03.860 can you go

04:24:04.160 check that

04:24:04.520 out somewhere?

04:24:06.740 Yeah,

04:24:07.320 I don't

04:24:07.880 see.

04:24:08.160 I've gots

04:24:08.540 to know.

04:24:15.800 Let's

04:24:16.280 see if

04:24:17.480 the CBC

04:24:18.260 has the

04:24:19.500 PPC

04:24:20.060 let us

04:24:22.560 know

04:24:22.920 for you

04:24:23.640 and me.

04:24:24.280 And the

04:24:24.420 other thing

04:24:24.700 I'm going

04:24:25.000 to be like

04:24:25.420 I'm look

04:24:26.360 at you're

04:24:26.880 going to

04:24:27.020 want to

04:24:27.260 check

04:24:27.460 brand new

04:24:27.780 Jeff

04:24:28.060 lol.

04:24:28.640 It's

04:24:28.820 going to

04:24:28.920 be

04:24:29.020 funny.

04:24:29.540 I

04:24:29.660 pursue

04:24:29.960 like I'm

04:24:30.360 predicting

04:24:30.600 the best

04:24:31.340 performing

04:24:31.840 PPC

04:24:32.280 member will

04:24:32.920 be the

04:24:33.240 Indian

04:24:33.520 guy.

04:24:34.300 And it's

04:24:34.780 going to

04:24:34.920 drive the

04:24:35.200 PPC

04:24:35.520 insane.

04:24:35.920 I'm

04:24:36.020 going to

04:24:36.120 love

04:24:36.300 it.

04:24:37.440 The

04:24:37.560 CBC

04:24:38.200 is not

04:24:38.740 loading.

04:24:39.460 Oh,

04:24:39.600 I was

04:24:39.780 looking for

04:24:40.120 him as

04:24:40.300 an

04:24:40.420 independent.

04:24:41.080 I

04:24:41.100 didn't

04:24:41.200 realize

04:24:41.480 he was

04:24:41.680 PPC.

04:24:48.260 we have

04:24:58.080 some

04:24:58.220 that are

04:24:59.240 very

04:24:59.480 tight.

04:25:00.440 So

04:25:00.640 percent of

04:25:01.480 vote

04:25:01.680 that's

04:25:02.360 other.

04:25:03.000 So not

04:25:03.420 green,

04:25:03.900 not NDP,

04:25:04.620 not block,

04:25:05.180 not conservative,

04:25:05.760 not liberals.

04:25:06.220 So all the

04:25:07.200 independents and

04:25:08.140 the PPC

04:25:08.580 together is

04:25:09.300 at 1.2%.

04:25:10.520 Yeah.

04:25:13.280 Right.

04:25:13.900 So the

04:25:14.120 PPC is

04:25:14.600 around 1%

04:25:15.360 here.

04:25:16.280 So the

04:25:16.500 people have

04:25:17.820 at 0.8%.

04:25:18.760 So the

04:25:19.160 PPC is

04:25:19.540 at 0.8%.

04:25:20.560 Okay.

04:25:21.540 But as I

04:25:22.200 said,

04:25:22.420 like go to

04:25:22.980 election,

04:25:23.520 go to

04:25:23.740 Brampton.

04:25:24.160 Oh,

04:25:24.440 we're at

04:25:24.720 150.

04:25:25.300 The

04:25:25.400 conservatives.

04:25:26.760 Hello,

04:25:27.000 Akbar.

04:25:29.000 Go to,

04:25:29.880 so the

04:25:30.240 PPC is

04:25:30.740 under

04:25:31.100 1%,

04:25:31.840 but go

04:25:33.020 to

04:25:33.200 Brampton,

04:25:33.640 like the

04:25:34.080 PPC is

04:25:34.640 dying,

04:25:35.180 getting

04:25:35.300 obliterated,

04:25:36.180 but go

04:25:36.400 to Brampton

04:25:36.820 East.

04:25:38.900 And that's

04:25:39.880 where you

04:25:40.020 actually see

04:25:40.560 a PPC

04:25:41.380 candidate

04:25:41.780 affecting

04:25:42.160 the race.

04:25:43.580 So Jeff

04:25:43.920 Law is

04:25:44.160 around

04:25:44.360 4%.

04:25:45.160 So

04:25:47.080 outperforming

04:25:48.200 any other

04:25:48.560 PPC member.

04:25:50.260 Oh,

04:25:50.660 wait,

04:25:50.820 can we

04:25:51.020 check out

04:25:51.400 both?

04:25:51.820 I want to

04:25:52.000 see what

04:25:52.220 is Maxine

04:25:54.180 Bernier doing?

04:25:56.060 Oh,

04:25:56.560 let's see if

04:25:56.900 Jeff Law can

04:25:57.380 beat Maxine

04:25:57.920 Bernier.

04:25:58.240 That'd be

04:25:58.420 hilarious.

04:26:00.360 Come on,

04:26:00.960 Jeff.

04:26:01.500 Do it.

04:26:01.940 Do it for

04:26:02.380 the memes.

04:26:05.340 There's

04:26:05.720 Maxine

04:26:06.340 Bernier I'm

04:26:06.860 going to

04:26:06.960 bring up

04:26:07.240 on screen

04:26:07.960 with his

04:26:08.960 cool 5.8%.

04:26:10.440 Okay,

04:26:10.740 Maxine

04:26:11.540 Bernier.

04:26:11.880 Okay,

04:26:12.040 good for

04:26:12.320 Maxine

04:26:12.620 Bernier.

04:26:12.900 He's

04:26:13.040 actually,

04:26:13.420 he's doing

04:26:13.780 better than

04:26:14.360 Jeff Law.

04:26:15.900 But still,

04:26:16.860 my goodness,

04:26:17.700 he went

04:26:17.960 from,

04:26:18.340 what was it,

04:26:19.180 like,

04:26:19.540 within 10

04:26:20.760 points of

04:26:21.200 winning in

04:26:21.580 2019,

04:26:23.240 came down

04:26:23.760 to only

04:26:24.020 getting 18%

04:26:24.800 of the

04:26:25.080 vote,

04:26:25.300 or like

04:26:25.540 15%

04:26:26.440 in 2021,

04:26:27.920 and he's

04:26:28.460 running to

04:26:28.940 get his

04:26:29.220 5.1%

04:26:30.560 of the

04:26:30.880 vote.

04:26:31.920 Someone's

04:26:32.180 asking about

04:26:32.560 Barbara Wall.

04:26:33.140 She lost

04:26:33.780 to Carney.

04:26:34.460 Carney

04:26:34.680 ended up

04:26:35.020 winning

04:26:35.200 that one.

04:26:36.280 I saw

04:26:36.740 that all

04:26:37.400 the Ottawa

04:26:38.280 was going

04:26:38.720 pretty

04:26:39.060 liberal.

04:26:39.840 The thing

04:26:42.480 is people

04:26:42.740 are saying

04:26:43.000 160 to

04:26:43.740 151.

04:26:44.660 The funny

04:26:45.220 thing is

04:26:45.600 that the

04:26:45.940 Liberals,

04:26:46.360 because they're

04:26:46.740 grabbing up

04:26:47.500 NDP seats,

04:26:48.520 they're not

04:26:48.820 actually getting

04:26:49.340 a better

04:26:49.880 minority

04:26:50.400 government.

04:26:50.980 They just

04:26:51.280 control more

04:26:52.080 of it.

04:26:54.120 Yeah.

04:26:55.680 And again,

04:26:56.420 this is all,

04:26:56.940 the current

04:26:57.520 lead that they

04:26:58.080 have is based

04:26:58.720 on a lot

04:26:59.240 of extremely

04:26:59.740 tight ridings

04:27:00.580 where I

04:27:00.980 actually

04:27:01.240 suspect

04:27:01.960 that a

04:27:02.980 conservative

04:27:03.520 incumbent is

04:27:04.160 going to be

04:27:04.380 able to

04:27:04.540 hold on

04:27:04.840 to it.

04:27:05.860 Yeah.

04:27:06.520 Horse places,

04:27:07.280 go Newfoundland.

04:27:08.060 Heck yeah,

04:27:08.460 go Newfoundland, 0.62

04:27:09.220 as we refer

04:27:09.800 to it now,

04:27:10.380 Bluefoundland.

04:27:12.260 I mean,

04:27:15.440 I get the

04:27:17.620 peer defense

04:27:18.180 here,

04:27:18.460 like,

04:27:19.440 if you

04:27:20.020 had said

04:27:21.200 in any

04:27:22.860 other time,

04:27:23.380 all things

04:27:23.760 are considered,

04:27:25.340 the conservative

04:27:26.380 party would

04:27:26.800 get 41.9%

04:27:28.560 of the popular

04:27:29.140 vote in

04:27:30.660 an election,

04:27:31.180 you'd call

04:27:31.520 supermajority.

04:27:33.660 But the

04:27:34.460 collapse of

04:27:34.940 the NDP

04:27:35.320 and

04:27:36.060 the

04:27:39.800 very,

04:27:40.300 very,

04:27:40.340 very,

04:27:40.800 very,

04:27:43.040 uh,

04:27:43.520 Oh,

04:27:44.120 wait,

04:27:44.260 wait,

04:27:44.420 come back.

04:27:44.860 Wait,

04:27:44.980 wait,

04:27:45.060 wait,

04:27:45.120 wait,

04:27:45.320 Liam,

04:27:45.660 uh,

04:27:46.080 Daniel,

04:27:47.380 we have to

04:27:48.260 check on

04:27:48.540 on this one

04:27:48.880 because they

04:27:49.080 haven't called

04:27:49.480 it yet,

04:27:49.860 but we

04:27:50.160 have some

04:27:50.420 time to

04:27:50.800 practice.

04:27:53.260 Miramichi

04:27:53.540 Grand

04:27:53.980 Lake looks

04:27:54.620 like it's

04:27:54.920 going to

04:27:55.100 stay

04:27:55.260 conservative.

04:27:56.260 Ah,

04:27:56.580 Miramichi.

04:27:57.860 Miramichi.

04:27:58.180 Wait,

04:28:01.680 so it

04:28:02.000 looks like

04:28:02.400 they actually

04:28:02.900 ended up

04:28:03.220 grabbing up

04:28:03.700 Colchester,

04:28:04.920 Central

04:28:05.220 Nova,

04:28:06.120 and

04:28:06.480 Acadia

04:28:07.000 Annapolis

04:28:07.460 is staying

04:28:07.960 conservative,

04:28:08.460 but it

04:28:08.660 looks like

04:28:09.000 that's the

04:28:09.620 big

04:28:09.840 disappointment

04:28:10.460 in

04:28:10.920 Maritimes

04:28:11.440 right now

04:28:11.780 is Nova

04:28:12.140 Scotia.

04:28:13.920 Nova

04:28:14.420 Scotia.

04:28:16.340 And then

04:28:17.020 Terra Nova

04:28:17.520 just flipped

04:28:18.160 Liberal with

04:28:19.160 one more

04:28:19.620 poll left

04:28:20.060 to go,

04:28:20.480 and it's

04:28:20.700 only within

04:28:21.120 49 votes.

04:28:22.900 That sucks

04:28:23.800 if they

04:28:24.080 can't pull

04:28:24.500 it out.

04:28:26.760 Yeah.

04:28:28.180 That one

04:28:29.020 probably goes

04:28:29.500 to a

04:28:29.760 recount,

04:28:30.200 obviously.

04:28:31.440 Yes.

04:28:33.160 Obviously,

04:28:33.640 recounts

04:28:33.980 don't usually

04:28:34.280 change much,

04:28:34.980 but...

04:28:38.980 Okay.

04:28:49.180 I'm up

04:28:49.880 Royal.

04:28:51.080 No,

04:28:51.660 House

04:28:52.100 Father's

04:28:52.460 opening up

04:28:52.860 a lead.

04:28:53.180 He's now

04:28:53.440 up four

04:28:53.880 points.

04:28:54.960 Four

04:28:55.200 points?

04:28:55.580 Okay.

04:28:56.720 Yeah,

04:28:56.940 he's up

04:28:57.320 three.

04:28:58.180 Three-and-a-half

04:28:58.580 points,

04:28:58.960 actually.

04:28:59.380 How many

04:28:59.640 votes is

04:29:00.060 that?

04:29:04.660 About

04:29:05.060 $699.

04:29:05.940 Okay.

04:29:07.360 Yeah.

04:29:12.740 Okay.

04:29:14.820 Nothing

04:29:15.220 else I think

04:29:15.680 too interesting

04:29:16.200 at the

04:29:16.460 moment for

04:29:16.800 us to

04:29:17.060 look at,

04:29:17.520 but we

04:29:18.220 will get

04:29:18.540 back to

04:29:18.900 it a

04:29:19.080 bit later.

04:29:21.020 CG

04:29:21.340 says here

04:29:22.160 for $279,

04:29:23.400 French CBC

04:29:23.960 just called

04:29:24.460 a win

04:29:24.700 for the

04:29:25.000 Liberals.

04:29:25.740 So that's

04:29:26.060 how far

04:29:26.940 behind you

04:29:27.440 people.

04:29:28.300 $10 CG

04:29:29.000 called it

04:29:29.560 for the

04:29:29.840 Liberals

04:29:30.180 from

04:29:30.380 Caspian.

04:29:30.900 How

04:29:31.020 come?

04:29:31.920 And it's

04:29:32.320 still extremely

04:29:32.880 tight,

04:29:33.260 and I

04:29:33.440 100%

04:29:34.220 disagree with

04:29:34.800 them doing

04:29:35.140 that,

04:29:35.420 because when

04:29:35.760 they did

04:29:36.080 that,

04:29:36.860 BC would 1.00

04:29:37.380 have still

04:29:37.680 been open

04:29:38.120 a little

04:29:38.380 bit,

04:29:39.120 or they

04:29:39.960 might have

04:29:40.280 just closed,

04:29:40.940 which is

04:29:41.240 still not

04:29:41.600 great,

04:29:41.920 because there's

04:29:42.200 people standing

04:29:42.780 in line.

04:29:43.280 KYCP for

04:29:46.680 $10.

04:29:47.260 What are

04:29:47.700 the odds

04:29:48.120 that

04:29:48.300 Abby

04:29:48.640 Nayar

04:29:50.200 can beat

04:29:50.880 Gregor

04:29:51.320 Robinson?

04:29:51.880 I don't

04:29:52.220 think he

04:29:52.600 can.

04:29:52.900 I think

04:29:53.100 I saw

04:29:53.420 he was

04:29:53.640 a couple

04:29:53.880 thousand

04:29:54.220 behind.

04:29:55.360 Colleen

04:29:55.780 Brigley

04:29:56.220 for

04:29:56.400 $2799

04:29:57.160 sends

04:29:57.560 in nothing,

04:29:58.180 but she

04:29:58.500 sends

04:29:58.840 in her

04:29:59.680 regard,

04:30:00.180 so thank

04:30:00.540 you,

04:30:00.740 Colleen.

04:30:02.340 Jeff

04:30:02.780 Ellenberger

04:30:03.480 says,

04:30:03.920 Wyatt,

04:30:04.160 I'm ashamed

04:30:04.540 to say

04:30:04.820 my hometown

04:30:05.320 Kingston

04:30:05.760 Thousand

04:30:06.340 Islands

04:30:06.700 always goes

04:30:07.580 liberal.

04:30:08.040 What's

04:30:08.220 your opinion

04:30:08.580 on opportunity

04:30:09.200 to change

04:30:09.660 that,

04:30:09.980 and above

04:30:10.260 all,

04:30:10.540 else God

04:30:11.320 is sovereign.

04:30:12.320 I agree

04:30:12.760 with that

04:30:13.100 last part,

04:30:13.620 definitely.

04:30:15.240 In

04:30:15.680 Kingston

04:30:16.120 and the

04:30:16.460 Islands,

04:30:17.460 I think

04:30:17.880 what has

04:30:18.480 to happen

04:30:19.020 is I

04:30:22.280 would want

04:30:22.840 to know

04:30:23.120 when the

04:30:23.440 Conservative

04:30:23.820 candidate

04:30:24.160 was picked,

04:30:24.720 because I

04:30:25.000 think with

04:30:25.340 an area

04:30:25.840 like that,

04:30:26.980 I think

04:30:27.320 you just

04:30:27.600 need to

04:30:28.080 build up,

04:30:30.120 and it

04:30:30.640 might just

04:30:30.960 be also

04:30:31.380 that because

04:30:31.960 the Conservatives

04:30:32.440 didn't expect

04:30:33.020 that one to

04:30:33.320 be in play,

04:30:33.940 they didn't

04:30:34.180 have much

04:30:34.540 infrastructure

04:30:35.080 there,

04:30:35.620 I would

04:30:36.020 say that

04:30:36.440 there should

04:30:37.400 be a

04:30:37.700 campaign

04:30:38.040 that goes

04:30:38.540 on kind

04:30:39.020 of all

04:30:39.360 year,

04:30:39.740 especially

04:30:40.000 if it

04:30:40.300 stays a

04:30:40.820 weak

04:30:41.100 Liberal

04:30:41.380 Minority 0.93

04:30:41.920 Government,

04:30:42.400 and it's

04:30:42.620 not going

04:30:42.920 to hold

04:30:43.640 up for

04:30:44.020 probably

04:30:44.460 four years,

04:30:45.600 maybe it

04:30:45.920 holds up

04:30:46.220 for two,

04:30:47.120 that you

04:30:47.520 want to

04:30:47.860 start hitting

04:30:48.360 the campaign

04:30:48.980 trail early

04:30:49.800 so that you

04:30:50.880 can make

04:30:51.260 your case,

04:30:51.780 because I

04:30:52.160 think the

04:30:52.480 Liberals with

04:30:53.000 this short

04:30:53.460 election and

04:30:54.380 with the

04:30:54.640 quick swap

04:30:55.220 out between

04:30:55.800 Trudeau and

04:30:56.780 Carney were

04:30:57.560 able to

04:30:58.160 define

04:30:58.640 themselves and

04:30:59.460 not have

04:30:59.900 enough time

04:31:00.380 to battle

04:31:00.900 them back,

04:31:01.420 so we

04:31:01.620 almost need

04:31:02.000 to be

04:31:02.660 battling

04:31:02.940 them back

04:31:03.460 earlier.

04:31:04.880 By the way,

04:31:05.400 Aaron Gunn is

04:31:06.220 leading in,

04:31:07.640 what is that?

04:31:08.720 North Island

04:31:09.220 Powell River

04:31:09.960 probably will

04:31:10.560 hold. 0.96

04:31:15.000 And Tamera

04:31:16.480 Cronus is

04:31:17.140 going to be

04:31:17.680 winning in

04:31:18.660 Nanaimo

04:31:20.620 Ladysmith,

04:31:21.180 so that's

04:31:21.500 good.

04:31:23.380 All right.

04:31:24.800 Good years.

04:31:25.140 Lambert is

04:31:25.540 still leading

04:31:26.000 in Port

04:31:26.320 Moody

04:31:26.500 Coquitlam,

04:31:27.400 with less

04:31:29.920 than half

04:31:30.300 the polls

04:31:30.600 reporting is

04:31:31.360 only 493

04:31:32.460 lead for the

04:31:32.980 Liberals,

04:31:33.360 which is

04:31:33.600 not fantastic

04:31:34.380 considering some

04:31:35.480 of those older

04:31:35.900 ones might be

04:31:36.580 now getting

04:31:37.940 into rural

04:31:38.420 areas.

04:31:40.200 Yeah,

04:31:40.360 like,

04:31:40.560 listen,

04:31:41.080 if the

04:31:42.740 Liberals get

04:31:43.460 a minority

04:31:44.040 where the

04:31:44.600 NDP don't

04:31:45.600 have a balance

04:31:46.240 of power,

04:31:47.080 they get rid

04:31:47.660 of gag meat,

04:31:48.600 and then

04:31:49.460 they'll become

04:31:50.800 more popular,

04:31:51.880 and then that

04:31:52.980 will suck into 0.98

04:31:53.500 the Liberal vote.

04:31:54.220 I know we're

04:31:56.640 dealing with

04:31:57.080 Heavy Copium

04:31:57.700 right now,

04:31:58.300 but you gotta

04:32:00.660 do what you

04:32:00.940 gotta do.

04:32:01.220 It's just the

04:32:02.060 new battle map

04:32:02.920 that you always,

04:32:03.920 whenever you get

04:32:04.340 a new battle map,

04:32:05.160 you gotta decide

04:32:05.760 what you're gonna

04:32:06.180 be doing with it,

04:32:07.100 and I disagree

04:32:08.060 with anyone who

04:32:09.300 starts to do the,

04:32:10.360 oh my goodness,

04:32:11.480 now who cares?

04:32:12.680 Who cares?

04:32:13.100 Well, we lost.

04:32:14.020 It's literally

04:32:14.480 tighter than last

04:32:15.240 time, so,

04:32:16.540 you know,

04:32:16.820 you have to kind

04:32:17.840 of go with it.

04:32:19.940 You know,

04:32:20.260 now we know

04:32:20.900 where we need

04:32:21.480 to win,

04:32:21.940 we know where

04:32:22.300 we have to dig in.

04:32:23.240 I would just say

04:32:23.840 it's a weird map.

04:32:25.020 The Liberals

04:32:25.460 are picking up

04:32:26.020 rural seats

04:32:26.700 that the NDP

04:32:27.380 used to hold,

04:32:28.120 they're even

04:32:28.420 picking up some

04:32:29.160 former Conservative

04:32:30.220 rural seats,

04:32:31.220 Conservatives are

04:32:31.860 grabbing Brampton

04:32:33.720 ridings,

04:32:34.400 they're grabbing

04:32:34.920 York,

04:32:35.620 they're grabbing

04:32:36.200 GTA area,

04:32:38.200 they're grabbing

04:32:38.780 Windsor,

04:32:39.700 but at the same

04:32:40.260 time the Liberals

04:32:41.100 are grabbing

04:32:41.560 other ridings

04:32:42.300 that are usually

04:32:42.980 normal default

04:32:44.300 Liberal ridings,

04:32:45.220 or default

04:32:45.760 Conservative ridings.

04:32:46.580 That's the crazy

04:32:47.400 thing about the

04:32:47.920 entire election.

04:32:48.640 Yeah,

04:32:50.180 and like,

04:32:51.120 this is kind

04:32:51.680 of serves the

04:32:52.260 block in the

04:32:52.780 NDP right 0.81

04:32:53.500 for propping

04:32:56.120 up Trudeau,

04:32:56.660 they ended up

04:32:57.000 getting hammered

04:32:57.560 because of it,

04:32:58.200 like,

04:32:59.420 yeah,

04:33:00.740 this is,

04:33:01.400 I mean,

04:33:01.760 this is,

04:33:02.320 they,

04:33:03.440 they propped

04:33:05.020 up Trudeau,

04:33:05.580 and this is what

04:33:05.900 they get.

04:33:06.560 People are saying

04:33:07.160 Pierre Paulyet for

04:33:08.300 2029,

04:33:09.120 guys,

04:33:09.320 the way it's

04:33:09.560 going,

04:33:09.800 I think it'll

04:33:10.100 be,

04:33:10.440 we're looking at

04:33:11.060 maybe Pierre

04:33:11.580 2026,

04:33:12.880 so,

04:33:14.020 don't sleep

04:33:14.540 on Pierre 2026.

04:33:16.120 Because the

04:33:16.580 Bloc Quebecois,

04:33:17.680 the thing is that

04:33:18.400 the Bloc Quebecois

04:33:19.280 motivation is not,

04:33:20.420 and especially

04:33:20.840 with Blanchet,

04:33:21.900 they don't run

04:33:22.980 elections the same,

04:33:24.020 or they don't do

04:33:24.900 the calculus the

04:33:25.720 same way as the

04:33:26.200 NDP do.

04:33:27.120 Whenever the NDP

04:33:27.900 gets into government

04:33:28.940 with the Liberals,

04:33:30.300 it's the best thing

04:33:31.100 that's ever happened

04:33:31.720 to them because they

04:33:32.320 can't form government,

04:33:33.740 but they really want

04:33:34.580 to be in government

04:33:35.100 where the Bloc Quebecois

04:33:36.120 kind of only half cares

04:33:37.860 because their main job

04:33:39.860 in Quebec is to

04:33:40.960 support the PQ

04:33:42.100 provincially,

04:33:43.240 to basically be

04:33:43.980 the federal arm

04:33:44.860 of the PQ

04:33:45.620 that stands up

04:33:46.700 to all of the

04:33:48.100 national Anglo parties

04:33:50.120 and tells them

04:33:50.920 what for to support

04:33:52.000 the separatist movement.

04:33:52.900 Because even Blanchet

04:33:53.780 in the debate

04:33:54.400 talks about separatism

04:33:56.000 actually quite a bit.

04:33:57.400 Talks about how,

04:33:58.440 well,

04:33:58.660 if we decide tomorrow

04:33:59.620 we want to leave,

04:34:00.400 that's our prerogative

04:34:01.220 and we will do that.

04:34:02.520 You would never say

04:34:03.260 that as another leader

04:34:04.200 even if you were

04:34:04.880 running some sort of like,

04:34:06.320 you'd be like a

04:34:07.360 Wexit leader

04:34:08.040 out west to say

04:34:09.480 something like that.

04:34:10.560 And so,

04:34:10.940 if the liberals

04:34:12.320 start ramping up

04:34:13.500 immigration,

04:34:14.540 if they start doing

04:34:15.200 things that tick off

04:34:15.900 the BQ,

04:34:16.520 the BQ,

04:34:17.220 because of their main

04:34:17.920 roles to support

04:34:18.580 the PQ,

04:34:19.580 might end up

04:34:20.020 sinking that government

04:34:20.980 in order to help

04:34:22.180 the, you know,

04:34:23.040 in order to help

04:34:23.600 the Quebec government.

04:34:25.220 Because they're also

04:34:25.900 kind of allies

04:34:26.760 of the CAC as well.

04:34:28.420 The CAQ.

04:34:29.760 With, uh,

04:34:30.680 whatever,

04:34:31.180 what's his face?

04:34:32.080 You know his face.

04:34:34.140 Legault.

04:34:35.300 Legault.

04:34:36.260 Francois Legault.

04:34:37.380 Uh,

04:34:37.600 we have Zane Van Eden

04:34:39.120 here saying,

04:34:40.340 is our electoral system

04:34:41.420 whoever is the first

04:34:42.520 to win 170 seat majority

04:34:44.120 is the government party

04:34:45.400 or is the final number

04:34:46.540 the terminer?

04:34:47.660 Uh,

04:34:48.020 it's whoever ends up

04:34:49.120 getting like the most seats.

04:34:50.860 Yeah.

04:34:51.480 Whoever gets the most seats

04:34:52.460 end up being prime minister.

04:34:53.700 It's not like Europeans 1.00

04:34:54.460 were like,

04:34:55.680 you know,

04:34:56.020 like 172 seats

04:34:57.620 to get the majority.

04:34:58.700 Yeah.

04:34:59.700 And that doesn't look

04:35:00.640 like that's possible

04:35:01.380 for the liberals

04:35:01.920 right now at all.

04:35:03.020 Obviously.

04:35:03.960 Uh,

04:35:04.160 Jack Meow Meow Meow

04:35:05.220 says 100%

04:35:06.280 they are bashing

04:35:07.460 this call of

04:35:08.420 the small numbers

04:35:09.320 that have come in

04:35:10.380 100 votes

04:35:11.040 out of 20,000.

04:35:12.200 And again,

04:35:12.500 it doesn't even matter

04:35:13.200 how it ends up.

04:35:14.560 You're supposed to call it

04:35:15.660 when there's something

04:35:16.260 to call.

04:35:16.900 And that still ticks me off.

04:35:18.400 Thank you for the five bucks.

04:35:20.520 Leon,

04:35:20.940 Leonod King says

04:35:22.120 the election is fraud.

04:35:23.160 My father came to vote,

04:35:24.540 uh,

04:35:25.020 to voting station at 650

04:35:26.240 and was told

04:35:27.360 he had already voted.

04:35:28.160 Please share that information.

04:35:29.580 I have heard Frank Vaughn

04:35:31.000 ask people about this

04:35:31.940 and frankly,

04:35:32.500 people have to be careful

04:35:33.520 saying that.

04:35:34.580 Frank Vaughn

04:35:35.500 had heard that

04:35:36.000 from multiple people.

04:35:36.800 Very good YouTuber.

04:35:38.240 And whenever he asked the person,

04:35:39.500 can you give me anything

04:35:40.560 to prove that that happened

04:35:41.640 or anything to substantiate it?

04:35:43.560 It was just,

04:35:44.180 no,

04:35:44.640 I can't.

04:35:45.320 It's like,

04:35:45.780 I don't like when people

04:35:47.280 start sharing stuff

04:35:47.920 about their moving ballot boxes.

04:35:49.660 Do we know if something's

04:35:50.660 actually going wrong or not?

04:35:51.800 Because what you don't want to do

04:35:52.980 is tick people off

04:35:54.060 and say,

04:35:54.320 don't even bother

04:35:54.880 showing up to vote

04:35:55.620 because maybe they're going to say

04:35:57.060 you've already voted.

04:35:58.160 And Jimmy for $6.99

04:36:01.100 says,

04:36:02.100 what's going on?

04:36:03.280 Crazy stuff is going on.

04:36:05.120 Mark Boll says,

04:36:06.240 for $279,

04:36:06.980 CTV declaring a liberal win.

04:36:10.300 Sandy Denman for $10

04:36:11.920 says,

04:36:12.320 why is MSN calling it already?

04:36:14.080 Because they're dollars.

04:36:15.260 They really shouldn't have called it.

04:36:16.240 It doesn't matter

04:36:16.840 what the final outcome is.

04:36:18.520 Goodness, guys.

04:36:19.640 Wait a bit.

04:36:20.380 Cowboys,

04:36:24.180 Canadian dystopia in action.

04:36:25.960 Strap in everyone.

04:36:27.900 And remember,

04:36:28.840 strap in,

04:36:29.320 but also join your local EDA

04:36:31.560 and make sure that you can

04:36:32.880 actually start moving things.

04:36:37.800 Help move things

04:36:38.820 in the liberal areas

04:36:40.280 to the conservatives

04:36:41.160 because it's a map

04:36:42.760 where if you're in

04:36:43.660 the East,

04:36:45.660 if you're in the GTA,

04:36:47.140 there's a lot of

04:36:48.000 winnable ridings

04:36:48.700 on the table right now.

04:36:51.240 Rowan Mayer

04:36:51.980 says for $2,

04:36:52.720 when does early vote drop?

04:36:53.860 I actually genuinely

04:36:54.620 don't know

04:36:55.260 if that's what they count

04:36:56.200 as the first polls

04:36:57.020 or they do it later.

04:36:58.520 I think they do it

04:36:59.480 right away.

04:37:01.420 Damage,

04:37:01.820 1-4-2 for $2.

04:37:03.080 Terranova

04:37:03.560 is only leading

04:37:04.240 by 28 votes.

04:37:05.200 I want to see

04:37:06.520 where Terranova

04:37:07.040 is at right now.

04:37:10.060 Hopefully that one

04:37:10.800 didn't leave us

04:37:12.580 because then it doesn't

04:37:13.500 feel like

04:37:14.120 Bluefin land.

04:37:15.900 Liberals are leading

04:37:16.640 with 46 votes still

04:37:17.760 with only one poll

04:37:18.740 left to count.

04:37:24.940 Things aren't getting

04:37:25.960 better in Carlton

04:37:27.100 for Pierre.

04:37:28.560 Yeah,

04:37:28.980 it's slowly digging

04:37:30.020 and he's slowly

04:37:30.700 digging out

04:37:31.360 the victory again

04:37:32.420 because I think

04:37:33.080 the one

04:37:33.440 most recent poll

04:37:36.880 the lead is

04:37:38.320 widening for Fanjoy.

04:37:40.240 Oh,

04:37:40.520 what?

04:37:40.980 He was down

04:37:41.680 six and a half points

04:37:42.660 last time I checked.

04:37:43.400 Now it's

04:37:43.840 almost eight.

04:37:46.340 Is that true?

04:37:47.760 Oh yeah,

04:37:48.080 1,700.

04:37:49.760 He's down eight points.

04:37:52.120 We're still only

04:37:52.860 70 polls out of 266

04:37:54.740 so I never know

04:37:55.440 if at the end of the night

04:37:56.180 we're being punked

04:37:56.960 and it's going to be

04:37:57.540 like all the rural

04:37:58.460 stuff starts coming in.

04:38:00.360 But who knows?

04:38:00.600 Yeah,

04:38:00.760 that could be it.

04:38:01.340 Listen,

04:38:01.780 I wouldn't put it

04:38:02.560 past them

04:38:03.340 to say

04:38:03.920 like,

04:38:04.140 okay,

04:38:04.320 we know

04:38:04.740 like if the pollsters

04:38:06.160 aren't rigging it

04:38:07.580 but they know

04:38:08.300 that this is

04:38:09.620 the liberal riding

04:38:10.300 and they push

04:38:11.280 the liberal first

04:38:12.100 to demoralize

04:38:14.120 and then pull it out

04:38:16.420 later,

04:38:16.940 you know,

04:38:18.400 it wouldn't shock me

04:38:19.160 but

04:38:19.440 Roy Beyer says

04:38:23.500 for $10,

04:38:24.120 a great job guys.

04:38:25.320 Mainstream media

04:38:25.820 called it because

04:38:26.440 the block and the interview

04:38:27.280 are so badly

04:38:27.940 underperforming.

04:38:28.720 I suppose so

04:38:29.780 but even when they did

04:38:30.580 that there wasn't

04:38:31.200 really enough

04:38:31.800 stuff going on

04:38:33.300 to say if they

04:38:33.820 were going to

04:38:34.140 really underperform

04:38:34.780 and they

04:38:35.180 I don't think

04:38:36.420 the block's

04:38:36.800 exactly underperforming.

04:38:37.880 I think they're

04:38:38.120 just performing.

04:38:40.220 SS for Five Ducks

04:38:41.380 says block is up

04:38:42.160 to 6.2%

04:38:43.120 and leading in 23

04:38:44.040 per mature call.

04:38:47.180 And again,

04:38:47.800 it doesn't matter

04:38:48.200 who wins

04:38:48.540 because obviously

04:38:49.400 someone is going

04:38:50.600 to win every election

04:38:51.720 so you could

04:38:52.240 technically call it

04:38:53.200 before anything happens

04:38:55.120 if you technically

04:38:55.840 somehow knew

04:38:56.660 but it still

04:38:57.360 seems silly.

04:38:59.920 Unicorn Eye Lasers

04:39:01.380 for Five Bucks

04:39:02.220 says is there

04:39:02.740 still a path

04:39:03.340 to victory

04:39:03.680 for the conservatives

04:39:04.240 or are we

04:39:04.760 cooked as a country?

04:39:06.060 I don't think

04:39:06.340 we're cooked

04:39:06.680 as a country.

04:39:07.320 I just don't see

04:39:07.780 a path to victory

04:39:08.540 for a conservative

04:39:09.560 government.

04:39:10.340 They're only

04:39:10.820 nine seats behind

04:39:11.720 though so this

04:39:12.260 is going to be

04:39:12.760 an incredibly

04:39:13.440 tight liberal

04:39:14.720 minority government.

04:39:16.060 What was

04:39:16.400 I want to go

04:39:16.840 back to

04:39:17.340 I want to look

04:39:28.240 up what Joe

04:39:28.900 Clark's

04:39:29.420 minority government

04:39:30.160 looked like

04:39:30.700 in 1979.

04:39:33.220 Yeah,

04:39:33.700 like out of

04:39:34.300 142 seats

04:39:37.580 where he needed

04:39:38.020 142,

04:39:39.700 Joe Clark

04:39:40.380 won 136 seats,

04:39:43.200 the liberals

04:39:43.540 won 114

04:39:44.440 and then the NDP

04:39:45.700 had 26

04:39:47.200 and the social

04:39:48.840 credit had 6.

04:39:53.260 So yeah,

04:39:54.920 this is going

04:39:56.020 to be potentially

04:39:56.640 tighter than

04:39:57.480 1979 was.

04:40:02.000 Okay.

04:40:06.740 Shivam Gupta

04:40:07.980 for $10

04:40:08.560 says this is

04:40:09.380 what happens

04:40:09.900 when the conservatives

04:40:10.440 begin shoving 0.98

04:40:11.020 Calistanis down 0.98

04:40:11.720 our throats

04:40:12.180 in Abbotsford.

04:40:13.880 Yeah,

04:40:14.100 like Sukman's 0.99

04:40:14.800 still going to

04:40:15.220 win Abbotsford

04:40:15.920 and Sukman's

04:40:16.720 down to

04:40:16.980 Calistani 0.88

04:40:17.400 specifically

04:40:18.020 to be fair.

04:40:18.720 It's more so

04:40:19.100 that that's

04:40:19.520 kind of like

04:40:19.980 the avatar

04:40:20.480 for many

04:40:21.000 people in

04:40:21.540 the community

04:40:22.000 who want

04:40:22.900 to control

04:40:23.320 nominations

04:40:23.880 not through

04:40:24.700 normal

04:40:25.080 grassroots

04:40:25.740 voting.

04:40:30.500 SukyeSnow7

04:40:31.160 says,

04:40:31.560 why are you

04:40:32.060 we are so

04:40:33.000 done to

04:40:33.400 rip CPC?

04:40:34.400 No,

04:40:34.660 it's like

04:40:35.000 again,

04:40:35.360 remember the

04:40:36.000 CPC is in

04:40:36.620 fact gaining

04:40:37.240 seats right

04:40:37.840 now.

04:40:38.140 GJL

04:40:40.980 Rocco97

04:40:42.060 for $2

04:40:43.260 says,

04:40:43.680 did this

04:40:43.940 election

04:40:44.240 was stolen

04:40:44.660 by the

04:40:45.040 pencils?

04:40:45.560 No,

04:40:45.740 it was not.

04:40:46.280 I can tell

04:40:46.800 you that

04:40:47.020 that's not

04:40:47.360 how that

04:40:47.640 was happening.

04:40:48.840 If you're

04:40:49.400 the liberals

04:40:49.900 and you

04:40:50.220 could cheat

04:40:50.640 in the

04:40:50.860 election,

04:40:51.320 do you

04:40:51.540 give yourself

04:40:52.040 the tightest

04:40:52.660 minority

04:40:53.220 that's

04:40:54.280 happened

04:40:54.660 ever?

04:40:55.560 You

04:40:55.720 probably

04:40:56.120 don't.

04:40:59.220 Beeper

04:40:59.520 Gene

04:40:59.700 for $5

04:41:00.220 says,

04:41:01.080 who was

04:41:01.560 already

04:41:01.880 calling this

04:41:02.440 I'm seeing

04:41:02.960 projected to win

04:41:03.900 forgive my

04:41:04.440 ignorance?

04:41:04.840 Yeah,

04:41:05.240 so we're

04:41:05.480 catching up

04:41:05.900 on some

04:41:06.200 of these.

04:41:07.880 $2

04:41:08.480 from

04:41:09.100 I see

04:41:10.820 yeah.

04:41:12.040 $5

04:41:15.860 from

04:41:16.340 Shivram

04:41:16.800 Mishra

04:41:17.320 says,

04:41:18.540 the conservatives

04:41:19.160 ignored the

04:41:19.760 903 area

04:41:20.560 GTA,

04:41:21.200 which primarily

04:41:21.640 the PM

04:41:22.420 905.

04:41:23.700 The leaders

04:41:24.340 should have

04:41:25.300 integrated more

04:41:26.620 with the

04:41:27.180 constituents.

04:41:28.820 In some of

04:41:29.480 the writings,

04:41:29.980 it's probably

04:41:30.660 that when you

04:41:31.280 hold your

04:41:31.620 nomination late

04:41:32.400 or you

04:41:32.680 appoint somebody,

04:41:33.420 they don't

04:41:33.840 have any

04:41:34.280 time.

04:41:34.840 To become

04:41:35.420 a community

04:41:36.060 figure.

04:41:36.980 This is kind

04:41:37.500 of my theory

04:41:38.040 about city

04:41:38.640 politics in

04:41:39.280 general,

04:41:39.700 like big

04:41:40.080 suburban

04:41:40.420 areas.

04:41:41.340 Run a

04:41:41.760 character.

04:41:42.700 Run somebody

04:41:43.300 and obviously

04:41:44.120 have a

04:41:44.520 nomination and

04:41:45.340 let whoever

04:41:45.760 wins it

04:41:46.180 win.

04:41:46.800 But it's

04:41:47.440 actually good

04:41:48.040 in some

04:41:48.280 of these

04:41:48.440 urban

04:41:48.940 writings.

04:41:49.720 Run

04:41:49.880 somebody

04:41:50.260 who's

04:41:50.520 kind of

04:41:50.980 a character

04:41:51.520 who can

04:41:52.160 get a lot

04:41:52.640 of attention.

04:41:53.800 Because I

04:41:54.200 think a lot

04:41:54.700 of these

04:41:54.960 guys would

04:41:55.740 do better

04:41:56.240 if they

04:41:56.760 can really

04:41:57.240 get out

04:41:57.560 there and

04:41:57.780 do whatever

04:41:58.200 they want.

04:41:58.760 Because if

04:41:59.080 a party

04:41:59.560 lets its

04:42:00.080 candidates

04:42:00.480 do whatever

04:42:00.960 they want,

04:42:01.980 obviously unless

04:42:02.680 they do

04:42:02.940 something extremely

04:42:03.660 stupid, if 0.55

04:42:04.460 they say

04:42:04.920 something that's

04:42:05.800 a little

04:42:06.020 controversial,

04:42:06.960 the party

04:42:07.400 doesn't have

04:42:07.720 to take

04:42:08.000 blame because

04:42:08.420 they kind

04:42:08.840 of let

04:42:09.020 their people

04:42:09.360 talk.

04:42:11.280 And you

04:42:11.560 can even

04:42:11.800 just say

04:42:12.040 we don't

04:42:12.300 hide anything.

04:42:14.500 Our people

04:42:14.860 just say

04:42:15.300 what they're

04:42:15.520 going to say.

04:42:16.000 Because obviously

04:42:16.760 liberals say

04:42:17.400 crazy stuff

04:42:18.260 too.

04:42:19.000 They just

04:42:19.320 stay very

04:42:19.800 quiet during

04:42:20.320 the election.

04:42:20.860 And not

04:42:21.080 crazy stuff,

04:42:21.800 but you get

04:42:22.020 my point.

04:42:22.760 Eccentric

04:42:23.160 things.

04:42:24.220 Yeah, I

04:42:24.560 mean, we

04:42:25.400 might need a

04:42:26.060 soul-searching

04:42:26.860 on a better

04:42:27.320 905 strategy

04:42:28.300 going forward.

04:42:29.220 We still

04:42:30.380 won some

04:42:30.860 ridings, but

04:42:31.360 it might have

04:42:31.820 been more

04:42:32.220 so the

04:42:32.600 liberals gave

04:42:33.300 up certain

04:42:33.900 voters that

04:42:34.380 they've been

04:42:34.680 abandoning.

04:42:36.280 Shivram Mishra

04:42:37.200 for $5.

04:42:38.300 Oh, that's

04:42:38.980 the same one.

04:42:40.060 Plinko with

04:42:40.720 cookies for $10.

04:42:41.840 Thank you for

04:42:42.220 that.

04:42:42.500 You're right.

04:42:42.980 MSM and

04:42:43.500 Facebook are

04:42:44.320 huge problems.

04:42:45.060 My parents,

04:42:46.100 Polioff was

04:42:46.560 going to ban

04:42:47.180 gay marriage,

04:42:47.960 ban abortion, 0.51

04:42:48.820 and he wants

04:42:50.200 women back 1.00

04:42:50.740 in the kitchen.

04:42:51.780 Where does

04:42:52.120 this come

04:42:52.460 from?

04:42:53.540 CBC.

04:42:54.580 CBC.

04:42:56.420 Ignorance.

04:42:56.940 Reading press

04:42:58.280 progress articles

04:42:59.260 where they

04:42:59.820 mention somebody

04:43:00.880 saying something

04:43:01.540 35 years ago

04:43:02.900 and that defines

04:43:03.940 them today or

04:43:04.560 something.

04:43:06.180 PPP for $2

04:43:08.220 says, bring it

04:43:08.920 home, Mark Carney,

04:43:09.720 bring it home, Mark.

04:43:10.960 So some liberal

04:43:11.700 is giving me two

04:43:12.360 bucks to say that

04:43:13.160 and whatever.

04:43:16.340 1399 from

04:43:17.220 Wasnick Music

04:43:18.420 says, hi, Wyatt,

04:43:19.540 long-time listener,

04:43:20.220 appreciate your

04:43:20.760 takes and info.

04:43:21.640 Any thoughts on

04:43:22.800 Northman Capilano

04:43:24.120 riding?

04:43:25.320 I think that was

04:43:26.000 Mauro Francis.

04:43:27.080 I want to see

04:43:27.440 how he's doing.

04:43:28.100 And right now

04:43:28.540 it's still just

04:43:29.340 160 liberal,

04:43:30.760 151 conservative.

04:43:34.820 Yeah.

04:43:35.780 I'm going to

04:43:36.020 check out this

04:43:36.420 riding.

04:43:38.400 It's going

04:43:39.020 liberal, this

04:43:39.720 riding.

04:43:40.540 It's actually

04:43:41.180 pretty tight

04:43:41.860 considering it's

04:43:44.200 still only like

04:43:44.940 one-third

04:43:45.640 counted.

04:43:49.000 Oh, this is

04:43:49.760 not, that's not

04:43:50.380 Mauro Francis.

04:43:51.160 Stephen Curran is

04:43:52.560 the conservative

04:43:53.020 candidate out there.

04:43:54.680 Burnaby North

04:43:55.440 Seymour was

04:43:56.800 Mauro Francis.

04:43:58.900 And that's

04:43:59.500 already been

04:43:59.840 called for the

04:44:00.400 liberals,

04:44:00.840 unfortunately.

04:44:01.920 Oh, Jagmeet's

04:44:02.480 getting destroyed.

04:44:03.260 He's at 19%.

04:44:04.400 Conservatives are

04:44:05.460 at 38.

04:44:07.140 Liberals are

04:44:07.640 at 42.

04:44:08.560 Yeah, let's

04:44:09.020 bring this up.

04:44:10.720 So, yeah,

04:44:12.340 that's actually

04:44:12.760 the funny thing

04:44:13.300 is that actually

04:44:13.660 might be

04:44:14.240 technically a

04:44:15.340 riding.

04:44:15.600 The conservatives

04:44:16.460 can still win it

04:44:17.240 because there's

04:44:17.580 less than half

04:44:19.220 the riding

04:44:19.520 counted.

04:44:19.960 conservators are

04:44:34.380 actually leading

04:44:34.920 in Richmond

04:44:35.500 Center-Mariapol

04:44:36.320 by more than

04:44:36.960 they were before

04:44:37.440 but looks like

04:44:38.140 East Stevenson

04:44:40.120 is going to

04:44:40.440 go liberal.

04:44:42.920 Cloverdale-Langley

04:44:43.840 City is leading

04:44:44.900 with Tamara

04:44:45.340 Jensen.

04:44:45.960 That's very good.

04:44:46.640 I like Tamara

04:44:47.140 Jensen.

04:44:47.680 Hopefully she

04:44:48.120 holds on.

04:44:51.180 And she won

04:44:51.960 that massive

04:44:52.620 by-election

04:44:53.120 victory which

04:44:53.660 should tell you

04:44:54.140 that by-elections

04:44:54.860 are not

04:44:55.180 representative of

04:44:56.640 other general

04:44:59.080 election.

04:45:00.120 And so we

04:45:00.540 have this...

04:45:01.640 Oh, okay.

04:45:02.340 So apparently

04:45:02.800 the advanced

04:45:03.480 polls are going

04:45:03.960 to be counted

04:45:04.340 now.

04:45:04.980 Now they're

04:45:05.340 starting counting

04:45:06.040 advanced polls.

04:45:07.360 Okay, well

04:45:07.840 hopefully that

04:45:08.220 doesn't hurt us.

04:45:11.740 Okay.

04:45:14.820 I guess it

04:45:15.500 depends on the

04:45:16.020 riding.

04:45:16.660 Who is it

04:45:17.060 going to lean

04:45:17.440 towards?

04:45:22.300 I actually

04:45:22.940 assume

04:45:23.360 advanced polls

04:45:24.500 might lean

04:45:25.240 depending on

04:45:25.840 the riding

04:45:26.200 to whoever

04:45:26.720 the incumbent

04:45:27.340 was more

04:45:28.060 so.

04:45:32.640 Rook for

04:45:33.180 two dollars.

04:45:33.660 What can we

04:45:34.020 say about

04:45:34.380 Doug?

04:45:34.720 He has us

04:45:35.340 by the

04:45:36.120 balls.

04:45:38.460 Well, he

04:45:38.720 just has the

04:45:39.120 worst opponents

04:45:39.760 ever.

04:45:40.880 Shivram Gupta

04:45:41.580 for five bucks

04:45:42.220 says this is all

04:45:42.940 Trump's fault.

04:45:43.580 Why should we

04:45:43.960 start threatening

04:45:44.480 tariffs after

04:45:45.080 this?

04:45:45.300 Why could we

04:45:46.280 start threatening

04:45:48.140 tariffs after

04:45:48.600 this election?

04:45:49.260 And that was

04:45:49.620 another thing

04:45:50.060 that went for

04:45:50.440 the liberals.

04:45:52.960 Dash one dash

04:45:53.760 two for five

04:45:54.320 bucks.

04:45:54.580 Seven million

04:45:55.060 people voted

04:45:55.600 early at

04:45:56.320 1040 p.m.

04:45:57.340 EDT.

04:45:57.840 We're not

04:45:58.060 even at

04:45:58.920 three million

04:45:59.360 votes counted

04:45:59.940 yet.

04:46:02.760 Why are they

04:46:03.340 saying liberals

04:46:03.780 won?

04:46:04.220 Like, apparently

04:46:05.000 they may have

04:46:05.500 won, but I

04:46:05.960 thought it was

04:46:06.280 weird that they

04:46:06.920 still called it

04:46:07.440 so early because

04:46:08.160 I didn't have

04:46:09.240 any data on me

04:46:10.160 to say that they

04:46:10.820 would have.

04:46:12.520 The Lumberjack

04:46:13.400 says, please

04:46:14.020 show the

04:46:14.380 numbers, please.

04:46:15.160 Sorry if we

04:46:15.620 don't do it all

04:46:16.380 the time, but

04:46:17.040 often when we

04:46:18.000 weren't showing

04:46:18.460 it because there

04:46:18.980 wasn't that much

04:46:19.640 going on.

04:46:21.760 Lewis Hamilton

04:46:22.420 for $10 says,

04:46:23.300 hi from

04:46:23.640 Toronto in

04:46:24.480 Ellington,

04:46:25.800 Lawrence,

04:46:26.160 writing.

04:46:26.500 My dad and

04:46:26.980 I have been

04:46:27.400 enjoying your

04:46:27.820 channel for

04:46:28.180 the last few

04:46:28.640 months.

04:46:28.980 Keep up the

04:46:29.300 great work.

04:46:29.840 Thank you.

04:46:31.000 VSK for

04:46:31.540 279 says,

04:46:32.460 is there still

04:46:32.840 a chance for

04:46:33.240 a conservative

04:46:33.640 win?

04:46:33.940 At this point

04:46:34.600 later on in

04:46:36.100 the night, no,

04:46:36.760 there is not,

04:46:37.440 but the liberals

04:46:38.500 again are in a

04:46:39.240 very tight

04:46:40.240 position.

04:46:40.820 They're currently

04:46:41.180 at 162

04:46:42.100 liberals or

04:46:42.980 conservatives

04:46:43.460 149.

04:46:48.320 And the

04:46:48.940 popular vote is

04:46:49.640 leaning liberal

04:46:50.220 by 1.1%

04:46:51.480 only.

04:46:53.860 Paul Proud

04:46:54.620 Canadian says

04:46:55.240 for $50.

04:46:56.000 And here,

04:46:56.380 actually, this

04:46:57.120 does prove my

04:46:57.620 point, though.

04:46:58.740 The liberals

04:46:59.780 are leading,

04:47:00.980 but the

04:47:02.400 conservatives are

04:47:03.160 only behind by

04:47:04.040 a little bit,

04:47:04.980 despite falling

04:47:05.760 behind in the

04:47:06.300 popular vote.

04:47:06.940 I think the

04:47:07.380 conservative vote

04:47:07.960 has, in fact,

04:47:08.780 become more

04:47:09.280 efficient.

04:47:10.820 Paul Proud

04:47:13.000 Canadian,

04:47:13.460 where it's

04:47:13.660 almost at

04:47:14.040 parity now.

04:47:14.960 Paul Proud

04:47:15.360 Canadian for

04:47:15.840 $50 says,

04:47:16.600 hi, Wyatt,

04:47:17.000 do you think

04:47:17.320 we still have

04:47:17.640 a chance for

04:47:18.040 the least

04:47:18.520 conservative

04:47:18.980 minority?

04:47:19.600 Thank you for

04:47:19.940 your ongoing

04:47:20.280 excellent political

04:47:21.160 analysis.

04:47:21.660 Keep up the

04:47:21.980 good work.

04:47:22.960 No, at this

04:47:23.660 point, obviously

04:47:24.240 these are older.

04:47:25.660 Not at this

04:47:26.220 point, but again,

04:47:26.940 if it's a very

04:47:27.600 tight minority 0.81

04:47:28.220 government, we're

04:47:28.880 just going to be

04:47:29.300 in chaos for

04:47:30.160 months.

04:47:30.420 I wonder if

04:47:32.620 Mark Carney is

04:47:33.440 going to

04:47:33.640 suspend

04:47:33.940 parliament for

04:47:34.520 another few

04:47:34.920 months and

04:47:35.220 not go back

04:47:35.820 for a while.

04:47:37.900 That's probably

04:47:38.480 the best thing.

04:47:40.020 If he wants

04:47:40.900 to win a

04:47:42.380 majority, you

04:47:42.980 should just

04:47:43.340 never do

04:47:43.760 anything and

04:47:44.300 suspend

04:47:44.560 parliament and

04:47:45.200 then pretend

04:47:46.380 to cut taxes

04:47:47.120 again and then

04:47:47.800 run on that.

04:47:50.640 We'll see.

04:47:51.280 I think it

04:47:54.120 also depends on

04:47:54.700 how much people

04:47:55.240 see that as a

04:47:56.120 big, I don't

04:47:58.660 know, as

04:47:59.080 something that's

04:47:59.520 kind of like

04:48:00.140 untoward if

04:48:02.120 you just cut

04:48:02.980 tax and then

04:48:03.540 run for another

04:48:04.040 election.

04:48:06.020 Logan Smart

04:48:06.720 just gives 20

04:48:07.640 bucks.

04:48:07.940 Thank you.

04:48:09.580 Vitamin D

04:48:10.300 says for $10.

04:48:12.280 Thank you for

04:48:12.620 that.

04:48:12.820 From Los

04:48:13.160 Angeles, now

04:48:13.720 living in

04:48:14.160 Calgary, I

04:48:14.700 hope enough

04:48:15.080 Canadians have

04:48:15.620 the sense to

04:48:16.000 vote conservative

04:48:16.520 before Canada

04:48:17.220 becomes the

04:48:18.140 woke policy

04:48:18.640 nightmare that

04:48:19.220 is California.

04:48:21.280 And Jason

04:48:21.820 Daniel says

04:48:22.360 for $50.

04:48:23.160 Thank you for

04:48:23.520 analysis, Wyatt.

04:48:24.260 I think that

04:48:24.700 after Canadians 0.98

04:48:25.720 get a taste of

04:48:26.680 Uber, Trudeau,

04:48:27.820 Carney, Canadians

04:48:29.040 won't have a

04:48:29.600 choice but to

04:48:30.180 elect conservatives.

04:48:32.500 I'd agree with

04:48:33.240 that.

04:48:33.440 I think there's

04:48:33.880 going to be a

04:48:34.360 lot of buyer's

04:48:35.900 remorse in a

04:48:37.320 short period of

04:48:37.880 time here unless

04:48:38.520 people are going

04:48:39.080 to be so

04:48:39.580 delusional.

04:48:40.680 They're then

04:48:41.160 going to say,

04:48:41.860 well, things are

04:48:42.480 just not working

04:48:43.080 out because they

04:48:43.500 didn't get the

04:48:43.900 majority.

04:48:48.940 It looks like

04:48:49.740 conservatives are

04:48:50.300 holding on to

04:48:50.780 Kitchener

04:48:51.060 Center.

04:48:51.500 That's nice.

04:48:53.120 I mean, the

04:48:53.700 NDP being below

04:48:54.540 6% in the

04:48:55.500 vote is

04:48:56.880 something.

04:48:59.200 The wild

04:48:59.880 thing is that,

04:49:00.620 yeah, Main

04:49:01.440 Street may have

04:49:02.120 been over

04:49:02.840 polling them and

04:49:03.620 I was thinking

04:49:04.180 it's going to

04:49:04.580 go 10.

04:49:05.080 So that's a

04:49:05.520 big miss on

04:49:06.100 my part.

04:49:06.680 I assumed

04:49:07.020 that they were

04:49:07.440 actually going

04:49:07.900 to be able to

04:49:08.360 hold on to

04:49:09.480 like 10% of

04:49:10.500 the vote.

04:49:11.240 At the same

04:49:11.900 time, they're

04:49:12.520 actually holding

04:49:12.940 on to far

04:49:13.380 more seats than

04:49:14.240 most predicted.

04:49:15.520 So they still

04:49:15.860 have eight.

04:49:16.880 Yeah.

04:49:17.740 And like,

04:49:18.160 where we are

04:49:19.100 right now with

04:49:19.680 62, 49,

04:49:20.500 23, 8,

04:49:21.520 1.

04:49:21.880 We're right

04:49:22.420 on the

04:49:22.660 precipice of,

04:49:23.980 okay, this

04:49:24.460 is actually

04:49:24.880 not bad

04:49:25.560 because it's

04:49:26.700 the bloc

04:49:28.860 and the

04:49:29.080 conservative

04:49:29.580 vote.

04:49:31.180 If the

04:49:32.180 conservatives

04:49:32.560 and the

04:49:32.820 bloc

04:49:33.120 work together,

04:49:33.740 they can

04:49:34.000 oust the 0.88

04:49:34.740 government.

04:49:36.460 We're kind

04:49:37.280 of in that

04:49:38.020 center, so

04:49:39.940 that's not

04:49:41.320 terrible.

04:49:42.540 Calgary

04:49:42.880 Confederation is

04:49:43.820 extremely close.

04:49:44.900 Corey Hogan

04:49:45.380 leading Jeremy

04:49:46.200 Nixon by just

04:49:47.000 26 votes

04:49:47.820 with 33

04:49:48.860 polls left

04:49:49.460 to count.

04:49:50.780 You're

04:49:50.920 nemesis.

04:49:52.120 Yeah.

04:49:55.180 Anyways, so

04:49:55.940 we can, ooh,

04:49:56.740 I took Daniel 0.84

04:49:57.500 off screen.

04:49:58.820 What else do

04:49:59.500 we got going

04:49:59.940 on?

04:50:00.360 Thank you for

04:50:00.900 everyone also

04:50:01.380 sticking by us

04:50:02.380 here.

04:50:03.420 You know,

04:50:03.680 great to see

04:50:04.240 people still

04:50:04.700 watching this

04:50:05.280 late into it.

04:50:06.240 I know it's

04:50:06.600 not the result

04:50:07.100 we want, but

04:50:07.680 again, I think

04:50:08.180 that it's one

04:50:09.160 of those things

04:50:09.640 where, you

04:50:11.300 know, you

04:50:11.780 charge the

04:50:12.240 front line,

04:50:13.040 you soften

04:50:13.480 them up,

04:50:13.980 you took one

04:50:14.580 of the

04:50:14.800 trenches, but

04:50:15.340 you didn't

04:50:15.580 take both

04:50:16.000 trenches to

04:50:16.500 be able to

04:50:16.780 then get

04:50:17.100 into the

04:50:17.380 government.

04:50:17.860 So from

04:50:18.520 the point

04:50:18.880 we're on

04:50:19.280 now, now

04:50:19.840 we want to

04:50:20.380 build up all

04:50:21.060 the new

04:50:21.500 ridings that

04:50:22.080 we've won

04:50:22.560 and then find

04:50:23.500 out how to

04:50:24.040 win back the

04:50:24.880 ones we've

04:50:25.380 lost.

04:50:25.920 I hope this

04:50:26.400 doesn't solidify

04:50:27.100 where it's

04:50:27.460 now become,

04:50:28.380 you know,

04:50:28.640 I'm always

04:50:29.320 voting liberal

04:50:29.900 to show it

04:50:31.020 to those

04:50:31.460 conservative

04:50:32.220 Trump-like

04:50:33.080 Republicans.

04:50:34.380 I hope that's

04:50:35.240 not how that

04:50:35.640 works because

04:50:36.000 that's kind of

04:50:36.500 sad if that's

04:50:37.540 honestly people's

04:50:38.260 attitudes now.

04:50:40.460 But 420

04:50:41.000 hitter says

04:50:41.540 Brampton is

04:50:42.480 flipping blue and

04:50:44.020 absolutely

04:50:44.580 there's actually

04:50:45.120 quite a few

04:50:45.720 blue ridings in

04:50:46.720 Brampton in

04:50:47.180 this election.

04:50:48.940 GJL Rocco

04:50:49.740 97 for 5

04:50:50.760 bucks says

04:50:51.140 if the CPCs

04:50:52.060 with the

04:50:52.680 bloc still they 1.00

04:50:53.420 can get more

04:50:53.920 seats than the

04:50:54.540 Liberals and

04:50:55.000 the NDP to

04:50:55.660 give pure

04:50:56.080 poly a PM.

04:50:57.060 Again, the

04:50:57.600 thing with the

04:50:57.960 governor general

04:50:58.520 is they tend

04:50:58.980 to lean towards

04:51:00.060 the party that

04:51:00.780 has the most

04:51:02.840 seats.

04:51:06.120 Yanpro just 0.97

04:51:06.760 gives us a

04:51:07.080 dollar.

04:51:07.500 Thank you,

04:51:07.840 Yanpro.

04:51:09.840 B Boyle for

04:51:10.460 5 bucks says

04:51:11.100 London,

04:51:11.640 Fanshawn,

04:51:12.160 West,

04:51:12.500 pretty tight,

04:51:13.080 not over yet.

04:51:13.860 I want to go

04:51:14.860 check London

04:51:15.460 Fanshawn now

04:51:16.140 then.

04:51:16.600 It might have

04:51:17.280 solidified behind

04:51:18.460 one or the

04:51:19.000 other since

04:51:19.520 then, but I

04:51:19.980 want to go

04:51:20.280 check it out

04:51:20.660 myself.

04:51:25.920 Oh, and

04:51:26.160 Conestoga,

04:51:27.160 Kitchener-Conestoga

04:51:27.900 is going

04:51:28.220 conservative by a

04:51:29.000 good margin,

04:51:29.560 so that's

04:51:29.820 nice.

04:51:30.140 and Fanshawn

04:51:34.300 actually is

04:51:34.980 one called

04:51:36.200 officially for

04:51:36.920 the Conservatives

04:51:37.480 with a 5,000

04:51:38.280 vote margin.

04:51:38.940 That's good.

04:51:40.160 Because I had

04:51:40.640 heard that there

04:51:41.100 is no, this

04:51:41.900 is, again, the

04:51:42.560 thing I kept

04:51:43.080 hearing from

04:51:43.460 people behind

04:51:44.780 the scenes.

04:51:45.600 The London

04:51:46.080 ridings outside

04:51:46.960 of the one

04:51:47.340 that Andrew

04:51:47.800 Lawton is

04:51:48.180 running for

04:51:48.600 are all gone,

04:51:50.540 even though we

04:51:51.040 just won

04:51:51.460 London Fanshawn

04:51:53.120 by what is

04:51:53.860 actually a

04:51:54.260 fairly good

04:51:55.160 margin,

04:51:55.660 5,000

04:51:56.200 votes.

04:51:56.580 Yeah, actually

04:52:06.280 someone just

04:52:06.680 sent me this

04:52:07.160 just for

04:52:07.580 context right

04:52:08.440 now.

04:52:09.260 With the

04:52:09.680 new ridings

04:52:10.380 in, the

04:52:11.460 Conservatives

04:52:11.960 have gained

04:52:12.480 10 seats

04:52:13.140 and the

04:52:13.400 Liberals

04:52:13.680 have lost

04:52:14.280 9 seats.

04:52:20.780 But yeah,

04:52:21.640 Jacob Fraps

04:52:22.180 is revolution

04:52:22.720 now.

04:52:24.660 The revolution

04:52:25.680 should be

04:52:26.180 people in

04:52:26.560 getting out

04:52:27.040 and helping

04:52:27.660 on the

04:52:27.940 ground

04:52:28.200 more.

04:52:29.600 Or get

04:52:30.160 involved in

04:52:30.680 politics.

04:52:31.080 Not that

04:52:31.340 this person

04:52:31.820 specifically

04:52:32.340 didn't.

04:52:34.060 Mr.

04:52:35.480 Eco Tape

04:52:35.900 123 says

04:52:37.460 for 20

04:52:37.800 bucks,

04:52:38.140 I'm still

04:52:38.420 laughing from

04:52:38.960 months ago

04:52:39.400 when you

04:52:39.680 stated that

04:52:40.020 Trudeau

04:52:40.300 wasn't

04:52:40.560 qualified to

04:52:41.120 lick stamps

04:52:41.580 at campaign

04:52:42.080 office.

04:52:42.880 Keep up

04:52:43.180 the great

04:52:43.500 work.

04:52:43.980 Well, it's

04:52:44.760 true, so

04:52:45.220 you have to

04:52:45.580 say it

04:52:45.840 sometimes.

04:52:48.100 Matthew

04:52:48.460 for 279

04:52:49.260 says,

04:52:49.580 Wyatt, how

04:52:49.880 did Pierre

04:52:50.380 lose seat?

04:52:51.360 Make it

04:52:51.660 make sense?

04:52:52.820 Are you

04:52:53.000 talking about

04:52:53.280 his seat?

04:52:53.820 I don't

04:52:54.000 think that's

04:52:54.980 a little

04:52:55.580 bit far

04:52:55.960 away for

04:52:56.340 now.

04:52:56.640 I don't

04:52:56.840 know if

04:52:57.220 he's

04:52:57.380 actually

04:52:57.640 losing.

04:52:59.120 Maybe in

04:52:59.520 the current

04:52:59.840 count, but

04:53:00.280 it's pretty

04:53:00.700 early.

04:53:04.320 Yeah, 105

04:53:05.200 things.

04:53:06.120 Bruce Fanjoy

04:53:07.040 is still

04:53:07.320 leading, so

04:53:07.840 hopefully that

04:53:08.440 doesn't end up

04:53:09.420 happening.

04:53:09.760 he's back

04:53:11.480 within six, so

04:53:13.260 it's tightening

04:53:13.880 a bit, but

04:53:14.740 he's still

04:53:16.860 down by over

04:53:17.340 1,000 with

04:53:19.840 almost half

04:53:20.380 the polls

04:53:20.940 counted.

04:53:23.400 Yeah.

04:53:24.400 And this is

04:53:24.840 an important

04:53:25.240 one.

04:53:25.660 Pierre needs

04:53:26.460 to win a

04:53:27.760 seat.

04:53:28.220 It's 161,

04:53:29.340 150,

04:53:30.120 23,

04:53:30.640 8.

04:53:31.420 This seat's

04:53:32.200 going to be

04:53:32.500 important.

04:53:33.920 Carlton's

04:53:34.460 going to be

04:53:34.720 important.

04:53:34.960 He needs to

04:53:36.200 win his own

04:53:36.700 seat.

04:53:37.300 And so

04:53:38.300 one, so we

04:53:38.940 can't, I

04:53:39.980 mean, the

04:53:40.900 media's going

04:53:41.220 to have a

04:53:41.400 field day with

04:53:41.920 this, which

04:53:42.340 is annoying.

04:53:44.060 I mean, I

04:53:44.740 wish he had

04:53:45.260 won by 10

04:53:45.760 points just

04:53:46.440 so we

04:53:46.860 could show

04:53:47.540 how stupid

04:53:48.160 the media

04:53:48.580 was.

04:53:51.820 But hey.

04:53:52.480 But we

04:53:53.360 did the

04:53:53.680 southwestern

04:53:54.400 sweep of

04:53:54.920 Ontario

04:53:55.360 pretty much.

04:53:55.980 Again, Windsor

04:53:56.560 all went.

04:53:57.480 We won

04:53:57.860 Niagara.

04:53:58.580 They held

04:53:58.940 on to

04:53:59.240 St.

04:53:59.760 Catharines,

04:54:00.640 some of

04:54:01.080 the London

04:54:01.480 ridings.

04:54:03.180 Waterloo,

04:54:03.700 they held

04:54:03.960 on to city

04:54:04.420 centres, but

04:54:05.040 pretty much

04:54:05.480 everything else

04:54:06.080 is going

04:54:06.420 conservative

04:54:06.820 out there.

04:54:07.300 So that's

04:54:07.580 not bad.

04:54:08.440 And the

04:54:08.780 Conservatives

04:54:09.100 grabbed up

04:54:09.560 a Hamilton

04:54:10.000 riding.

04:54:14.980 And so

04:54:15.640 Heather says 0.97

04:54:16.340 for 25,

04:54:17.280 thank you for

04:54:17.880 your honest

04:54:18.200 reporting through

04:54:18.840 this election.

04:54:19.760 Absolutely.

04:54:20.260 Well, thank

04:54:20.700 you for

04:54:21.080 sticking

04:54:22.120 around and

04:54:23.180 watching.

04:54:25.060 Freebird says

04:54:25.780 for 25

04:54:26.500 dollars, what

04:54:27.500 are the

04:54:27.720 chances of

04:54:28.200 left-wing

04:54:28.800 coalition

04:54:29.220 government in

04:54:29.800 the event of

04:54:30.240 a conservative

04:54:30.660 minority?

04:54:31.620 If the

04:54:32.040 Conservatives

04:54:32.380 won a

04:54:32.660 minority, you

04:54:33.700 would have

04:54:33.980 not had any

04:54:34.600 chance.

04:54:35.000 It's the

04:54:35.420 same thing

04:54:35.920 right now.

04:54:36.940 With the

04:54:37.320 Liberals

04:54:37.580 winning a

04:54:37.920 minority

04:54:38.280 government,

04:54:38.720 there's no

04:54:39.060 chance that

04:54:39.620 the Bloc 0.80

04:54:40.120 and the

04:54:40.460 NDP and

04:54:40.980 the Greens

04:54:41.260 are going

04:54:41.480 to get

04:54:41.660 together to

04:54:42.100 put the

04:54:42.380 Conservatives

04:54:42.860 over the

04:54:43.260 top.

04:54:43.780 It's just

04:54:44.180 not generally

04:54:44.980 how they

04:54:45.460 do that.

04:54:46.860 Dash1-2

04:54:47.600 says

04:54:47.780 Neil

04:54:47.980 over him

04:54:48.360 in

04:54:48.460 Mount

04:54:48.740 Royal

04:54:48.920 is increasing

04:54:49.420 his lead.

04:54:49.880 Montreal

04:54:50.200 is getting

04:54:50.620 CPC seat.

04:54:51.660 Yes.

04:54:52.400 Let's check

04:54:52.800 if that's

04:54:53.220 still true

04:54:54.020 at this

04:54:54.440 point.

04:54:54.780 I wonder

04:54:55.260 if House

04:54:55.860 Fathers

04:54:56.160 now secured

04:54:56.800 it.

04:54:58.460 He's leading

04:54:59.060 by 1,700

04:54:59.840 votes now,

04:55:00.700 House

04:55:00.860 Fathers,

04:55:01.860 but there

04:55:02.580 is another

04:55:03.540 700 or

04:55:04.900 70

04:55:05.260 polls left

04:55:06.620 to count.

04:55:07.440 I still

04:55:07.780 think House

04:55:08.220 Fathers

04:55:08.400 is going to

04:55:08.680 pull that

04:55:09.000 out, but

04:55:09.280 that's still

04:55:09.600 a good

04:55:09.780 result for

04:55:10.320 the Conservatives

04:55:10.800 in a

04:55:11.040 riding like

04:55:11.420 that.

04:55:14.420 MeDansow

04:55:14.980 for $15

04:55:16.020 says,

04:55:16.500 CTV wants

04:55:17.280 it to send

04:55:17.740 its audience

04:55:18.260 to bed,

04:55:18.680 so they

04:55:19.060 announced

04:55:19.440 a victory.

04:55:19.900 I'm watching

04:55:20.280 Hamilton Center.

04:55:21.140 Great show.

04:55:21.660 Thank you.

04:55:23.220 And Paul

04:55:24.020 Poco says

04:55:24.680 for $2,

04:55:25.240 Coquitlam,

04:55:25.740 Port Coquitlam,

04:55:26.480 cons lead

04:55:26.920 by 8,

04:55:28.080 leads 8.52.6.

04:55:30.260 I think

04:55:30.500 you're counting

04:55:31.100 polls.

04:55:31.980 So they

04:55:32.780 were leading

04:55:33.240 earlier and

04:55:33.960 it's still

04:55:34.300 tight out

04:55:34.780 there with

04:55:35.480 more of it

04:55:35.880 counted,

04:55:36.360 but it's

04:55:37.100 leaning liberal

04:55:37.620 at the

04:55:37.960 moment.

04:55:40.100 Jacques

04:55:40.340 is,

04:55:42.140 how do

04:55:42.720 you say

04:55:42.920 that?

04:55:45.200 Jacques

04:55:45.640 Jacques

04:55:46.120 for $20

04:55:48.660 says,

04:55:49.120 Peer

04:55:49.280 Pogba is

04:55:49.660 doing not

04:55:50.060 bad this

04:55:50.460 time given

04:55:51.020 the fact

04:55:51.400 the NDP

04:55:51.800 collapsed and

04:55:52.940 they are

04:55:53.220 voting liberal

04:55:53.880 can come

04:55:55.160 next time.

04:55:58.320 And I think

04:55:58.840 that's the

04:55:59.140 right attitude

04:55:59.700 is that we've

04:56:00.420 increased the

04:56:01.120 overall seat

04:56:02.780 share.

04:56:03.560 The vote has

04:56:04.260 become more

04:56:04.720 efficient for

04:56:05.240 the Conservatives.

04:56:06.860 They're actually

04:56:08.360 falling behind by

04:56:09.220 1.1%, but

04:56:10.280 they're winning

04:56:10.700 more seats than

04:56:11.420 they did last

04:56:11.980 time.

04:56:13.360 Yeah,

04:56:13.560 listen,

04:56:13.920 if the Conservatives

04:56:14.540 can fix their

04:56:15.220 problems in the

04:56:16.300 GTA and lower

04:56:17.540 mainland,

04:56:18.000 like not to

04:56:19.780 harp on the

04:56:20.120 thing, but

04:56:20.340 like too

04:56:21.920 much Calistan

04:56:22.540 guys, and

04:56:23.800 they're driving

04:56:24.980 people away.

04:56:25.880 Like we

04:56:26.520 did not, we

04:56:27.060 underperformed the

04:56:27.820 GTA.

04:56:28.240 The vote

04:56:28.780 efficient was

04:56:29.420 good, but if

04:56:31.200 we literally

04:56:32.280 stop bringing

04:56:34.280 in candidates

04:56:35.260 who can barely

04:56:35.980 speak English,

04:56:36.720 but are funded

04:56:37.780 by some shady

04:56:38.620 money, we

04:56:40.000 will boom.

04:56:41.220 so again, let's

04:56:45.920 stop with the

04:56:47.720 crazies.

04:56:49.000 Let's have

04:56:49.360 real nominations

04:56:50.220 and like,

04:56:51.860 sorry, but

04:56:53.460 this is close.

04:56:54.120 Like the

04:56:54.780 Conservatives

04:56:55.420 stopped moving

04:56:57.060 their feet.

04:56:57.560 They stopped

04:56:57.920 campaigning when

04:56:58.500 they were up

04:56:58.820 23 points.

04:56:59.700 They kind of

04:57:00.760 just took their

04:57:01.160 foot off the

04:57:01.500 gas.

04:57:02.220 And then I

04:57:02.460 think HQ and

04:57:04.680 Jenny Byrne

04:57:05.160 thought they

04:57:05.520 could just sell

04:57:06.000 off ridings

04:57:06.720 for the highest

04:57:07.840 bidder.

04:57:08.060 And I

04:57:08.720 would say

04:57:09.120 that, well,

04:57:09.700 and the thing

04:57:10.020 is that I

04:57:10.420 think a lot

04:57:10.840 of this comes

04:57:11.160 down to HQ

04:57:11.960 less the

04:57:12.820 leader, although

04:57:13.580 you could always

04:57:14.020 say the leader

04:57:14.460 needs to have

04:57:14.980 a tighter

04:57:15.700 control over

04:57:16.540 it.

04:57:20.660 Can I say

04:57:21.380 I'm totally

04:57:21.860 controversial here?

04:57:22.920 That's going to

04:57:23.660 get on press

04:57:24.100 progress, right?

04:57:25.740 No.

04:57:27.180 Press progress,

04:57:27.980 get ready to

04:57:28.500 clip me.

04:57:29.000 I am so

04:57:29.600 excited for this

04:57:30.280 to come back

04:57:30.680 and bite me 0.81

04:57:31.020 in the ass. 0.97

04:57:31.780 Well, it's

04:57:32.060 going to bite me

04:57:32.500 too.

04:57:32.780 Wait, wait, wait,

04:57:33.240 where do you

04:57:33.640 actually, you

04:57:33.940 have to like text

04:57:34.600 me first.

04:57:36.100 I am blaming

04:57:36.740 Pierre Polyev's

04:57:37.560 wife.

04:57:38.060 For this

04:57:38.880 loss, because

04:57:39.740 she is the

04:57:40.520 least crazy

04:57:41.360 woman I've

04:57:42.000 ever met.

04:57:42.780 No self-respecting

04:57:44.260 Latina woman 0.99

04:57:45.000 should allow

04:57:45.900 their husband's

04:57:46.880 ex-girlfriend to

04:57:47.740 run their

04:57:48.100 campaign.

04:57:48.800 How did this

04:57:49.300 happen?

04:57:49.980 How did

04:57:50.460 Pierre's wife

04:57:51.140 let Jenny 0.95

04:57:51.920 Byrne run

04:57:52.660 this campaign?

04:57:53.720 Like, she

04:57:54.120 must be the

04:57:54.500 most well-adjusted

04:57:55.320 woman on the

04:57:56.140 planet for this

04:57:57.360 to happen.

04:57:57.860 Like, I'm sure

04:57:58.200 she's going to

04:57:58.520 raise great kids

04:57:59.600 and all this

04:58:00.200 different stuff,

04:58:00.880 but seriously,

04:58:01.780 idiot, get 0.99

04:58:02.780 crazier next time.

04:58:03.920 Stop letting

04:58:04.560 your husband's

04:58:05.140 ex-girlfriend

04:58:05.720 into your life.

04:58:06.320 I want none

04:58:06.920 of your husband's

04:58:07.560 ex-girlfriend

04:58:08.720 should be around

04:58:09.220 the house.

04:58:09.780 Go full

04:58:10.200 crazy Latina 1.00

04:58:10.820 next time.

04:58:11.620 Anyways, okay,

04:58:12.560 so a comment

04:58:13.640 here from

04:58:14.140 Green Cat

04:58:14.700 Kid from

04:58:15.120 20 Bucks

04:58:15.600 says,

04:58:15.840 regardless of

04:58:16.300 who wins,

04:58:16.680 I think

04:58:16.880 Polyev's has

04:58:17.440 shown that

04:58:17.800 there's hope

04:58:18.360 for the

04:58:18.600 Conservative

04:58:18.920 Party moving

04:58:19.480 forward,

04:58:19.920 as they've

04:58:20.260 already done

04:58:20.720 better than

04:58:21.580 last election.

04:58:22.340 I hope we

04:58:22.720 see more

04:58:23.160 candidates like

04:58:23.700 him with

04:58:24.060 actual strategy.

04:58:25.640 And yeah,

04:58:26.080 I think that

04:58:26.420 it's just a

04:58:26.920 strategy that

04:58:27.440 needs to be

04:58:27.820 worked out,

04:58:28.180 because I

04:58:28.520 heard Ground

04:58:29.080 Game was

04:58:29.460 great all

04:58:30.140 around the

04:58:30.580 country.

04:58:30.960 Ground

04:58:31.180 Game was

04:58:31.500 doing really

04:58:31.880 well.

04:58:32.180 Midnight

04:58:33.360 Visions for

04:58:33.860 10 Bucks

04:58:34.220 says,

04:58:34.780 how is the

04:58:35.200 media getting

04:58:35.660 its numbers

04:58:36.120 when the

04:58:36.420 Election Canada

04:58:36.920 website has

04:58:37.420 frozen for

04:58:38.060 the last 30

04:58:38.540 minutes?

04:58:39.080 Again, I think

04:58:39.700 they were just

04:58:40.100 assuming NDP

04:58:41.140 block underperforming

04:58:42.280 enough that it's

04:58:42.860 going to be a

04:58:43.280 liberal government,

04:58:44.280 and they're right

04:58:45.420 at the same

04:58:46.120 time.

04:58:46.540 I just, you

04:58:47.120 know, I don't

04:58:47.580 appreciate them

04:58:49.300 calling it that

04:58:49.920 fast.

04:58:50.280 And Ethan

04:58:57.120 Donker says,

04:58:57.960 I can't

04:58:58.240 believe Hamilton

04:58:58.780 Center is

04:58:59.240 going

04:58:59.420 conservative.

04:59:00.120 Go Hayden.

04:59:03.420 Siavash 0.93

04:59:03.980 Siavayev,

04:59:05.160 Siavayev,

04:59:06.660 how are the

04:59:07.020 polls in

04:59:08.220 Bakalaka

04:59:09.080 Daka

04:59:09.840 Street?

04:59:11.140 Rampton.

04:59:12.740 Yeah.

04:59:15.320 Me

04:59:15.840 Danso for

04:59:16.580 $20 says,

04:59:17.400 hey,

04:59:17.540 why in

04:59:17.840 Hamilton

04:59:18.100 Center,

04:59:18.600 previous NDB

04:59:19.140 stronghold,

04:59:19.800 Hayden

04:59:20.020 Lawrence is

04:59:20.540 leading,

04:59:20.980 go Hayden.

04:59:21.400 I think

04:59:21.660 that's actually

04:59:23.180 held up since

04:59:23.900 then.

04:59:24.680 By the way,

04:59:25.180 another

04:59:25.400 riding, I

04:59:25.840 think that's

04:59:26.160 actually going

04:59:26.560 to flip

04:59:27.000 NDP to

04:59:28.080 conservative

04:59:28.520 Skeena 0.80

04:59:28.980 bulky

04:59:29.380 valley.

04:59:30.340 That's where

04:59:30.540 Ellis Ross

04:59:31.180 is running

04:59:31.600 against the

04:59:32.220 NDP

04:59:32.540 incumbent.

04:59:34.080 And the

04:59:34.580 gap between

04:59:35.860 them is only

04:59:36.180 like 500

04:59:36.620 votes, and

04:59:37.120 they haven't

04:59:37.520 actually counted

04:59:38.020 much of

04:59:38.380 anything.

04:59:40.480 Oh, it

04:59:43.560 doesn't look

04:59:43.920 like Center

04:59:44.440 is still

04:59:44.880 holding anymore.

04:59:47.020 Although, I

04:59:47.840 don't know, I

04:59:48.280 don't think they

04:59:48.640 can catch them

04:59:49.200 at that point.

04:59:49.680 That sucks.

04:59:54.200 ICAM for

04:59:54.820 $27.99 just

04:59:56.140 says nothing, but

04:59:56.900 thank you for

04:59:57.400 sending that in.

04:59:58.400 Linda Kilmer for

04:59:59.360 $6.99 just

05:00:00.220 sends in stuff to

05:00:01.340 support the show,

05:00:01.980 so thank you for

05:00:02.540 that.

05:00:02.860 blocking C for

05:00:04.780 $5.00 says, as a

05:00:06.040 24-year-old trades

05:00:06.880 worker, I'm very

05:00:07.580 disappointed in the

05:00:08.320 results, but

05:00:08.780 hopefully we can

05:00:09.480 keep the libs as

05:00:10.520 the minority and

05:00:11.240 keep up the good

05:00:11.820 work.

05:00:12.420 Absolutely.

05:00:13.500 And

05:00:13.780 Beholder

05:00:14.560 777 says for

05:00:15.840 $69.99,

05:00:17.120 God keep our

05:00:17.720 land glorious and

05:00:18.580 free, and

05:00:19.600 hopefully, because

05:00:20.500 we, you know, you

05:00:21.160 get to have a lot

05:00:21.740 of, you know, it's

05:00:23.380 one of those things

05:00:24.000 where if we keep

05:00:26.040 up what we're

05:00:26.580 doing and you keep

05:00:27.840 chipping away at the

05:00:28.760 liberals, you will

05:00:30.000 eventually pull

05:00:30.680 ahead.

05:00:32.320 Don Juan for $10

05:00:33.580 says, I live in

05:00:34.360 Calgary Center.

05:00:35.440 Cans need to run

05:00:36.240 better Kansas next

05:00:37.060 time around.

05:00:43.820 And we have Bob

05:00:44.980 Wright for $20

05:00:45.500 says, thanks for

05:00:46.300 doing such a great

05:00:47.000 job with your

05:00:47.500 election coverage.

05:00:48.300 Hope my bank

05:00:48.940 account doesn't get

05:00:49.640 frozen for supporting

05:00:50.560 you.

05:00:51.420 Yes, let's hope for

05:00:52.480 that.

05:00:52.720 I think you're going

05:00:53.380 to be safe, though.

05:00:54.840 I'm not too

05:00:56.120 controversial.

05:01:00.000 What's the vote

05:01:03.080 looking like right

05:01:03.820 now?

05:01:07.660 Liberals is in

05:01:08.320 $163 and

05:01:09.320 conservatives are

05:01:10.000 ahead in $149.

05:01:14.360 Let me show

05:01:14.840 that on screen.

05:01:22.460 But I'm not

05:01:23.060 actually sure if

05:01:23.580 there's, even if a

05:01:24.420 lot of these

05:01:24.900 close-trotings go

05:01:25.680 liberal, I don't

05:01:26.300 think they can

05:01:26.700 actually win.

05:01:27.320 Hopefully, because

05:01:30.160 that would be good

05:01:30.580 for us.

05:01:36.000 And

05:01:36.400 looks like we're

05:01:47.120 going to grab

05:01:47.460 a Calachan

05:01:48.520 Malahat

05:01:48.920 Langford from the

05:01:49.620 NDP.

05:01:50.500 I'll try to not

05:01:51.200 keep this too slow

05:01:52.240 and sluggish

05:01:52.760 towards the end

05:01:53.320 here, guys.

05:01:54.380 The Polypam

05:01:55.280 says, check if it's

05:01:56.280 the names above

05:01:56.880 the blow on

05:01:57.480 the ballot, it's

05:01:58.460 entirely likely

05:01:59.140 that people with

05:02:00.020 poor eyesight or

05:02:00.880 reading check the

05:02:01.600 wrong circle.

05:02:02.740 Interference strategy

05:02:03.660 worked.

05:02:04.720 I think they're

05:02:05.100 talking about

05:02:05.800 Polyev's writing

05:02:07.200 because they had

05:02:08.060 that longest ballot

05:02:09.040 committee put in

05:02:09.760 like over 100

05:02:10.520 candidates in the

05:02:11.400 writing, which

05:02:12.120 could easily be

05:02:13.040 solved by just

05:02:14.080 saying you can't

05:02:14.880 be the agent for

05:02:16.220 multiple candidates.

05:02:17.240 Mr. Mostly

05:02:20.980 Harmless says, for

05:02:21.740 $6.99, downtown

05:02:22.680 Vancouver, former

05:02:23.560 liberal here, I

05:02:24.620 converted to

05:02:25.380 supporting peer

05:02:28.220 due to being pro

05:02:29.660 Bitcoin, pro

05:02:30.300 crypto, pro

05:02:31.600 freedom.

05:02:32.180 Love your channel.

05:02:32.880 Thanks.

05:02:33.160 Well, thank you

05:02:33.540 for watching.

05:02:37.420 Bling bling for 0.62

05:02:38.200 $100 just says, I

05:02:39.120 hate baby monkeys.

05:02:41.280 I don't even know

05:02:41.880 what that means.

05:02:42.340 Anyway, so

05:02:45.340 is there anything

05:02:46.780 that's actually

05:02:47.200 changed?

05:02:47.600 I'm trying to

05:02:47.920 find interesting

05:02:48.700 results.

05:02:55.960 Just to think, if

05:02:56.820 Chrystia Freeland

05:02:57.440 had taken her

05:02:58.200 to motion like

05:02:59.180 he was supposed

05:02:59.800 to, not

05:03:00.760 thrown Trudeau

05:03:01.920 under the bus.

05:03:04.280 Yeah, what if

05:03:05.300 she just said

05:03:07.060 nothing and let

05:03:07.620 herself get thrown 0.97

05:03:08.220 under the bus and

05:03:08.900 Trudeau ends up

05:03:09.480 surviving?

05:03:10.760 Yeah, so people

05:03:11.720 are talking about

05:03:12.200 it in the chat

05:03:12.540 now.

05:03:12.780 Jagmeet officially

05:03:13.440 stepped down.

05:03:14.720 So he lost his

05:03:15.420 seat and he

05:03:15.720 stepped down.

05:03:16.580 Now it's like

05:03:17.340 will Peter keep

05:03:18.040 his seat?

05:03:18.620 And I'm...

05:03:20.340 Well, I wonder

05:03:21.540 what the new

05:03:22.120 NDP leader is

05:03:23.020 going to do.

05:03:24.000 Are they going...

05:03:24.540 Because they can't

05:03:25.100 act like Jagmeet

05:03:25.980 Singer.

05:03:26.300 You're just going

05:03:26.740 to see the

05:03:27.180 further sliding

05:03:27.860 of the party.

05:03:28.520 If anything,

05:03:29.280 they need to get

05:03:29.900 like really

05:03:30.500 aggressive on the

05:03:31.280 liberals and if

05:03:31.900 they don't do

05:03:32.300 exactly what they

05:03:33.040 want, then they

05:03:34.020 are going to

05:03:34.320 pull their

05:03:34.660 confidence.

05:03:35.260 At the same

05:03:35.660 time, that

05:03:36.160 could put

05:03:36.500 Canada in a

05:03:37.000 bad position

05:03:37.560 because the NDP

05:03:38.160 are going to

05:03:38.560 only ask for

05:03:39.200 crazy garbage.

05:03:42.200 They need to

05:03:42.820 have a...

05:03:43.460 That's good.

05:03:45.680 Tracy Gray

05:03:46.280 out there.

05:03:47.160 I can see the

05:03:47.680 NDP becoming

05:03:48.520 like a full

05:03:49.100 Hamas party

05:03:49.820 if they have a

05:03:50.980 leadership thing

05:03:51.700 now.

05:03:52.500 Oh, with

05:03:52.760 Heather McPherson,

05:03:56.400 absolutely.

05:03:57.540 Yeah.

05:03:58.060 So it might be

05:03:58.940 interesting though

05:03:59.400 because if they

05:04:03.160 become a full

05:04:03.780 Hamas party,

05:04:04.400 that actually

05:04:04.660 might cut into

05:04:05.220 liberal votes

05:04:05.860 because a lot

05:04:06.780 of the Hamas

05:04:07.760 supporters would

05:04:09.000 be voting

05:04:09.360 liberal right

05:04:09.960 now, even

05:04:10.780 the NDP is

05:04:11.340 stronger, more

05:04:12.120 pro-Hamas.

05:04:13.240 But if you

05:04:13.500 had a...

05:04:13.960 Like right

05:04:14.720 now, the NDP

05:04:15.800 is a full-on

05:04:16.300 Kalistan party

05:04:17.220 because the

05:04:17.660 leaders of

05:04:18.020 Kalistani, and

05:04:18.660 that's why he

05:04:19.600 supports Hamas.

05:04:20.860 But if you

05:04:21.120 had a full-on

05:04:21.780 Hamas party,

05:04:23.580 you could

05:04:24.720 drive a lot

05:04:25.260 of crazies

05:04:25.760 into it,

05:04:26.500 repel a lot

05:04:27.060 of normies,

05:04:27.720 and suck off 0.99

05:04:28.300 a lot of

05:04:28.780 the liberal

05:04:29.680 base with

05:04:31.700 the Hamas

05:04:32.260 vote.

05:04:32.660 So we'll

05:04:34.160 see.

05:04:36.880 Oh,

05:04:37.560 yeah.

05:04:39.000 things in

05:04:42.660 Brampton

05:04:42.980 are super,

05:04:43.680 super tight

05:04:44.100 as we've

05:04:44.780 been talking

05:04:45.200 about.

05:04:49.860 I mean,

05:04:51.560 I'm not...

05:04:52.300 Like,

05:04:52.620 Pierre's down

05:04:53.120 over 2,000

05:04:53.880 votes in his

05:04:54.920 riding.

05:04:55.640 Like, this

05:04:56.320 is getting...

05:04:57.360 Bruce Fangioi's

05:04:58.020 lead is opening

05:04:58.640 up.

05:04:59.760 Yeah, that's

05:05:00.180 scary.

05:05:00.560 I have to

05:05:00.800 give...

05:05:01.360 If Bruce

05:05:02.380 Fangioi wins,

05:05:03.220 like, my

05:05:03.600 goodness.

05:05:04.480 Like, guys...

05:05:05.240 I don't even

05:05:05.540 know what you

05:05:05.860 say at that

05:05:06.300 point.

05:05:06.480 Like, I

05:05:07.520 guess,

05:05:07.840 congratulations.

05:05:08.760 That's crazy

05:05:09.540 that he would

05:05:10.020 win that

05:05:10.420 one.

05:05:11.260 Half the

05:05:11.620 polls have

05:05:12.020 been counted.

05:05:12.500 So you

05:05:12.660 can't just

05:05:13.000 tell me it's

05:05:13.540 this, like,

05:05:14.000 small minority

05:05:14.820 of urban

05:05:15.980 places, and

05:05:16.580 then soon the

05:05:17.480 poly will kick

05:05:18.500 in.

05:05:18.700 Like, we're

05:05:18.940 at half...

05:05:19.480 We're half the

05:05:20.760 votes in, and

05:05:21.240 he's down

05:05:21.980 over 2,000

05:05:22.660 votes.

05:05:24.740 So, I

05:05:25.960 mean, listen,

05:05:27.940 Pierre's not

05:05:28.540 going to be the

05:05:28.920 leader if he

05:05:29.300 doesn't win

05:05:29.620 his seat.

05:05:30.220 So all this,

05:05:31.640 should we keep

05:05:32.100 Pierre, should

05:05:32.560 we not keep

05:05:33.140 Pierre?

05:05:34.200 It's all

05:05:34.460 contingent on

05:05:34.940 him winning

05:05:35.220 the seat, and

05:05:35.800 I'm pulling

05:05:36.420 for him.

05:05:37.120 Like, I

05:05:37.420 have my

05:05:37.640 criticism.

05:05:38.300 I think he's

05:05:38.980 been, like,

05:05:39.600 especially over

05:05:40.340 the last few

05:05:40.920 leaders of the

05:05:41.400 Conservative Party,

05:05:42.340 like, I don't

05:05:42.800 dislike Andrew

05:05:44.060 Shearer's person

05:05:44.660 in any way.

05:05:45.560 I actually think

05:05:46.040 he could have

05:05:46.300 been a better

05:05:46.660 leader if he

05:05:47.420 was kind of

05:05:47.820 let to do

05:05:48.460 what he wants.

05:05:49.780 Aaron O'Toole,

05:05:50.320 obviously, I

05:05:50.760 don't like him,

05:05:51.620 but I thought

05:05:52.100 Polyev, like,

05:05:52.960 if you're looking

05:05:53.680 for shopping for

05:05:54.520 a leader,

05:05:55.300 generally pretty

05:05:56.500 overall ideal

05:05:58.860 in a lot of

05:05:59.660 ways.

05:05:59.940 things keep

05:06:04.380 tightening up in

05:06:04.940 Kelowna, that

05:06:05.660 might flip back

05:06:06.280 to Conservatives,

05:06:06.920 so that's

05:06:07.240 good.

05:06:10.020 And

05:06:10.300 Coquitlam, Port

05:06:11.400 Coquitlam has

05:06:12.280 tightened up as

05:06:13.040 well.

05:06:13.580 It's only within

05:06:14.200 416 votes with

05:06:15.660 another, I

05:06:16.760 think, like,

05:06:17.160 70 polls to

05:06:18.560 count.

05:06:21.480 Remember that

05:06:22.140 that is a

05:06:22.760 liberal incumbent.

05:06:23.540 So, again, like

05:06:24.200 in Port Moody

05:06:24.760 Coquitlam, you

05:06:27.880 might have a lot

05:06:28.820 of liberals

05:06:29.360 incumbents losing

05:06:30.840 seats, but then

05:06:31.660 you have a few

05:06:32.280 conservative

05:06:32.820 incumbents losing

05:06:33.560 seats.

05:06:33.980 It's such just an

05:06:35.100 oddball election.

05:06:36.220 And someone asked

05:06:36.700 about Calgary

05:06:37.640 Confederation, and

05:06:38.600 I'm going to bring

05:06:38.960 that up on screen

05:06:39.580 in a second here.

05:06:40.660 But Calgary

05:06:41.260 Confederation is

05:06:42.140 actually moving

05:06:42.720 more liberal as

05:06:43.720 time goes on

05:06:44.320 here.

05:06:45.540 So it was 726

05:06:46.980 votes separating

05:06:47.900 the liberal

05:06:49.200 Corey Hogan

05:06:50.040 from Jeremy

05:06:51.300 Nixon, but we'll

05:06:52.140 move on to

05:06:52.720 some other

05:06:53.220 areas.

05:06:53.720 Is there

05:07:02.020 anything else

05:07:02.460 interesting going

05:07:03.060 on?

05:07:15.120 Kiwiboo says,

05:07:15.920 does Block

05:07:16.420 support pure

05:07:17.300 poly over

05:07:17.700 libs?

05:07:18.020 I think they

05:07:18.400 basically are

05:07:19.160 going to

05:07:19.500 generally support

05:07:20.260 whoever is in

05:07:21.420 first.

05:07:21.800 Here's the thing,

05:07:22.420 in government,

05:07:23.520 whatever the

05:07:24.260 first, like the

05:07:27.000 budget's going to

05:07:27.580 pass.

05:07:28.100 The budget's just

05:07:28.760 going to pass

05:07:29.280 because I think

05:07:30.200 you almost have

05:07:30.720 to pass it if

05:07:31.340 you're the

05:07:31.560 Bloc Quebecois,

05:07:32.500 or else you

05:07:33.220 just don't have

05:07:33.660 the money to

05:07:34.080 fight a new

05:07:34.460 election.

05:07:34.860 That's what

05:07:35.220 actually is going

05:07:35.880 to prevent a

05:07:36.580 new election

05:07:36.980 from happening

05:07:37.560 too soon.

05:07:38.900 The liberals

05:07:39.440 in their minds

05:07:40.040 would probably

05:07:40.400 love to try and

05:07:41.040 re-roll the dice

05:07:41.820 because they

05:07:42.280 might think it's

05:07:43.000 the best that

05:07:43.840 it's ever going

05:07:44.420 to get right

05:07:44.860 now, but they're

05:07:45.740 going to be

05:07:46.020 exhausted.

05:07:47.000 Canadians are

05:07:47.460 going to be

05:07:47.740 exhausted, and

05:07:48.220 usually the

05:07:48.680 governor-general,

05:07:49.800 based on the

05:07:50.360 Joe Clark rule

05:07:52.420 80, they

05:07:53.160 don't let you

05:07:53.640 call a new

05:07:54.080 election for

05:07:54.860 nine months.

05:07:56.340 Yeah.

05:07:57.680 I want to

05:07:58.300 point out,

05:07:58.580 there's a lot

05:07:58.840 of people in

05:07:59.220 the chat who

05:07:59.580 are saying

05:07:59.940 they're very

05:08:01.340 supportive.

05:08:02.260 I hear people

05:08:02.760 saying,

05:08:03.200 Pierre Pauly

05:08:04.400 have a bus,

05:08:04.960 like Pierre

05:08:05.180 Pauly have

05:08:05.540 got me in

05:08:05.860 the party,

05:08:06.320 I'm here for

05:08:06.780 Pierre.

05:08:07.540 I think Pierre

05:08:09.640 is the best

05:08:10.060 leader the

05:08:10.580 conservative

05:08:11.020 had since

05:08:11.760 Stephen Harper.

05:08:14.460 And he's

05:08:15.120 great in those

05:08:15.920 five to ten

05:08:16.540 minutes where

05:08:16.940 he can really

05:08:17.320 explain a

05:08:17.800 problem.

05:08:21.200 Here's what

05:08:21.780 the housing

05:08:22.180 market is,

05:08:22.940 here's why

05:08:23.580 it's broken,

05:08:24.460 here's what

05:08:24.760 I'm going to

05:08:24.980 do about

05:08:25.380 it.

05:08:26.480 And I

05:08:27.020 think that's

05:08:27.400 really drawn

05:08:27.880 a lot of

05:08:28.200 people in.

05:08:28.960 So I

05:08:30.460 don't think

05:08:30.860 the conservative

05:08:31.820 party gets

05:08:32.260 better without

05:08:33.560 Pierre.

05:08:35.360 And it's

05:08:36.840 going to be

05:08:37.100 very interesting

05:08:37.820 to see what

05:08:38.560 happens in the

05:08:39.060 conservative

05:08:39.320 party if

05:08:39.700 Pierre doesn't

05:08:40.060 keep his

05:08:40.480 seat.

05:08:42.780 We'll see

05:08:43.420 who comes

05:08:44.360 in.

05:08:45.620 Again,

05:08:46.280 there's the

05:08:46.880 Doug Ford,

05:08:48.180 does he

05:08:48.480 attempt to

05:08:48.800 take over,

05:08:49.200 but he has

05:08:49.680 four years.

05:08:51.780 He has

05:08:52.240 his term

05:08:52.580 there.

05:08:55.000 Going there

05:08:55.580 and all

05:08:56.000 that.

05:08:57.820 But that's

05:08:58.960 where we

05:08:59.160 are.

05:08:59.880 Let me

05:09:00.140 just take

05:09:00.600 this.

05:09:01.120 Colonna has

05:09:01.560 tightened up

05:09:01.940 even more.

05:09:02.520 Last time I

05:09:02.960 checked it

05:09:03.260 was 250

05:09:03.920 vote lead

05:09:04.920 for the

05:09:05.180 Liberals,

05:09:05.600 and it's

05:09:05.800 now down

05:09:06.220 to 197.

05:09:13.000 Okay.

05:09:16.100 And Corey

05:09:17.420 Ashtey for

05:09:18.100 $5 says,

05:09:18.680 thank you

05:09:18.940 guys,

05:09:19.260 great reporting.

05:09:19.940 Well,

05:09:20.060 thank you for

05:09:20.440 watching along,

05:09:21.120 Corey.

05:09:22.260 Frank Rue

05:09:22.740 for $5.

05:09:23.360 Buck says,

05:09:23.920 gutted to

05:09:24.300 see the

05:09:24.640 two ridings

05:09:25.320 I volunteered

05:09:25.900 for in

05:09:26.460 Calgary,

05:09:27.400 Central Calgary

05:09:27.960 Federation

05:09:28.620 go red.

05:09:29.080 Well,

05:09:29.260 Calgary

05:09:29.540 Center is

05:09:29.960 actually

05:09:30.240 polling more

05:09:30.980 conservative,

05:09:31.520 which is

05:09:31.720 great.

05:09:32.400 Greg

05:09:32.640 McLean is

05:09:33.280 a great

05:09:33.680 guy.

05:09:34.120 I

05:09:34.240 legitimately,

05:09:35.580 out of

05:09:35.880 all the

05:09:36.220 MPs in

05:09:36.820 Canada,

05:09:37.340 obviously I

05:09:37.860 know more

05:09:38.240 of the

05:09:38.400 guys in

05:09:38.740 Alberta,

05:09:39.640 but that

05:09:39.940 guy's

05:09:40.180 legitimately

05:09:40.700 I would

05:09:41.020 just consider

05:09:41.420 somebody who's

05:09:42.080 a good

05:09:42.600 guy.

05:09:45.180 Kevin

05:09:45.620 O'Mahoney

05:09:46.140 for $10

05:09:46.660 says,

05:09:47.120 love your

05:09:47.420 coverage,

05:09:47.860 guys.

05:09:48.600 Keep up the

05:09:49.200 great work,

05:09:49.620 Wyatt.

05:09:50.440 Thank you.

05:09:52.200 Thunderbird

05:09:52.680 for $5

05:09:53.040 says,

05:09:53.760 let's hope

05:09:54.200 with a

05:09:54.440 minority that

05:09:55.020 the conservatives

05:09:55.520 opposition can

05:09:56.400 help block

05:09:56.960 net zero BS

05:09:57.980 and stop

05:09:58.400 funding UNRWA

05:09:59.220 with ultimately

05:09:59.920 funds Hamas.

05:10:01.260 Yeah,

05:10:01.460 yeah,

05:10:01.620 no,

05:10:01.740 I think there

05:10:02.680 might be some

05:10:03.160 priorities the

05:10:03.720 conservatives can

05:10:04.280 still technically

05:10:05.220 get done from

05:10:06.020 opposition through

05:10:07.140 peer pressure.

05:10:09.560 Travi

05:10:10.080 10-4

05:10:10.920 gives $2

05:10:11.900 and says,

05:10:12.560 Blanchette

05:10:13.020 lol,

05:10:13.380 25 seats to

05:10:14.220 rule them

05:10:14.540 all.

05:10:16.100 And Savage

05:10:17.220 Panda for $2

05:10:17.980 says,

05:10:18.300 conservatives and

05:10:18.820 block

05:10:19.040 coalition.

05:10:19.620 And I've

05:10:20.540 said this as

05:10:20.980 I've gone

05:10:21.300 on,

05:10:21.620 they're not

05:10:21.960 going to,

05:10:22.460 that's just

05:10:22.840 not going

05:10:23.180 to happen.

05:10:24.600 Generally

05:10:25.080 speaking,

05:10:25.820 the governor

05:10:26.220 general grants

05:10:27.160 the government

05:10:27.660 to whoever

05:10:28.180 wins the

05:10:28.620 most seats.

05:10:29.520 Coalitions are

05:10:30.060 pretty rare and

05:10:30.980 they tend to

05:10:31.820 be unpopular.

05:10:32.720 Remember,

05:10:34.120 in a lot of

05:10:34.680 ways,

05:10:35.000 Harper won

05:10:35.620 the 2011

05:10:36.080 election in

05:10:37.920 a rebuke of

05:10:39.380 the block

05:10:40.000 NDP and

05:10:40.720 liberals trying

05:10:41.260 to create a

05:10:41.740 coalition

05:10:42.040 government

05:10:42.500 after 2008.

05:10:44.240 people are

05:10:47.720 saying,

05:10:47.960 this sucks

05:10:48.420 dude and

05:10:48.800 whatnot.

05:10:49.160 And no

05:10:49.420 doubt it

05:10:49.780 sucks that

05:10:50.160 we came

05:10:50.500 short.

05:10:50.920 But the

05:10:51.460 good thing

05:10:51.760 is that it

05:10:52.540 looks like

05:10:53.040 we came

05:10:53.520 short.

05:10:54.100 We didn't

05:10:54.500 lose ground.

05:10:55.880 Losing

05:10:56.140 ground would

05:10:56.600 be sad

05:10:57.160 because you

05:10:57.800 don't even

05:10:58.320 know what

05:10:58.660 you did

05:10:58.960 wrong.

05:10:59.800 Whereas with

05:11:00.460 coming short,

05:11:01.580 you did a

05:11:02.100 bunch of

05:11:02.420 things right.

05:11:03.440 And if you

05:11:03.760 just do,

05:11:05.040 if you just,

05:11:05.720 you know,

05:11:06.360 change it up a

05:11:07.360 little bit,

05:11:07.760 you can easily

05:11:08.320 win in time.

05:11:10.660 Josiah for

05:11:14.000 $2 says

05:11:14.520 Hamilton Center

05:11:15.120 of all places

05:11:15.740 is leaning

05:11:16.140 blue.

05:11:16.600 It's currently

05:11:17.340 leaning red,

05:11:17.960 maybe it could

05:11:18.360 go back,

05:11:18.960 but it's

05:11:20.020 still a lot

05:11:20.580 of progress

05:11:21.040 in Hamilton

05:11:21.540 where oftentimes

05:11:22.600 the Concert

05:11:23.060 is used to

05:11:23.440 come third

05:11:23.800 place.

05:11:25.800 D for

05:11:27.000 $10 says

05:11:27.680 Pierre for

05:11:28.300 Michael

05:11:28.760 Gorbachev

05:11:29.700 2.0,

05:11:30.340 enough of

05:11:30.700 this federal

05:11:31.220 circus.

05:11:35.020 Robomega

05:11:35.460 for $5 says

05:11:36.220 CPC

05:11:36.620 block

05:11:37.000 coalition is

05:11:37.500 possible.

05:11:38.400 Even if

05:11:38.800 the Libs

05:11:39.140 have most

05:11:39.480 seats,

05:11:39.740 they would

05:11:40.000 have more

05:11:40.400 seats.

05:11:40.660 Libs,

05:11:41.280 NDP,

05:11:41.680 and Greens.

05:11:42.640 Yeah,

05:11:43.400 that's always

05:11:44.120 a threat

05:11:44.680 I would say

05:11:45.420 that they

05:11:45.840 can wield

05:11:46.400 is that

05:11:47.160 if the

05:11:47.700 Liberals

05:11:48.020 aren't doing

05:11:48.380 enough,

05:11:48.700 maybe I'll

05:11:49.160 form a

05:11:49.500 coalition

05:11:49.820 with the

05:11:50.080 Conservatives.

05:11:50.760 I just

05:11:51.220 don't think

05:11:51.600 you're going

05:11:51.840 to see that

05:11:52.160 right away.

05:11:52.820 Usually the

05:11:53.420 respect thing

05:11:54.100 is you're

05:11:54.380 going to let

05:11:54.860 the Liberals

05:11:55.420 table their

05:11:56.020 first budget

05:11:56.640 and let it

05:11:57.040 pass.

05:11:59.060 Noah

05:11:59.240 Cormier

05:11:59.700 says for

05:12:00.400 $2,

05:12:01.140 chance of

05:12:01.540 unofficial

05:12:01.900 block

05:12:02.420 Conservative

05:12:02.920 Alliance,

05:12:03.460 I don't

05:12:03.740 think so,

05:12:04.320 but as I

05:12:05.120 just said

05:12:05.420 there,

05:12:05.700 it could

05:12:05.960 always be

05:12:06.280 that threat.

05:12:07.580 Yeah,

05:12:10.660 checking back

05:12:11.960 in on

05:12:12.200 Kelowna,

05:12:12.740 no update.

05:12:15.040 David

05:12:15.440 Oberle,

05:12:16.980 for $200,

05:12:18.640 the hero

05:12:19.300 of the chat

05:12:19.880 tonight,

05:12:20.300 yeah,

05:12:21.080 Daniel's

05:12:21.460 going to

05:12:21.660 drink to

05:12:21.980 that.

05:12:23.500 Buy your

05:12:24.880 co-host

05:12:25.360 dinner on

05:12:25.940 us,

05:12:26.240 that's a

05:12:26.600 must.

05:12:27.040 Okay,

05:12:27.240 I'll

05:12:27.580 definitely

05:12:27.940 buy Daniel

05:12:29.020 dinner the

05:12:29.460 next time

05:12:29.820 I see him

05:12:30.260 then.

05:12:32.280 Max

05:12:32.800 Marichaldron

05:12:34.760 says for

05:12:36.200 $20,

05:12:37.280 Miramichi,

05:12:38.720 so it's

05:12:39.160 coming back.

05:12:39.740 The meme

05:12:40.860 of the

05:12:41.140 night is

05:12:41.500 Miramichi.

05:12:43.480 Marichald.

05:12:44.620 Marichald.

05:12:45.800 I actually

05:12:46.360 have some

05:12:46.580 coffee here,

05:12:47.120 my goodness,

05:12:47.640 I need some

05:12:48.240 caffeine in

05:12:48.780 my life.

05:12:51.040 Maybe you

05:12:51.660 read this

05:12:52.020 one out

05:12:52.280 while I'm

05:12:52.600 pouring coffee.

05:12:53.400 Is there

05:12:53.700 any chance

05:12:54.260 that the

05:12:54.460 Conservatives

05:12:54.860 can still

05:12:55.220 win,

05:12:55.500 or do

05:12:55.720 the Liberals

05:12:56.120 win 100%

05:12:56.980 and we're

05:12:57.220 just speculating

05:12:57.860 by how

05:12:58.180 much?

05:12:59.160 No chance

05:13:00.000 the Conservatives

05:13:00.620 really win

05:13:01.520 right now,

05:13:02.620 but we're

05:13:03.160 looking at

05:13:03.660 what type of

05:13:05.340 minority the

05:13:05.960 Liberal will

05:13:07.340 get.

05:13:07.960 So I'm

05:13:08.480 cheering for

05:13:08.940 a minority

05:13:09.420 where the

05:13:09.880 Liberals,

05:13:10.460 the NDP,

05:13:10.940 and the

05:13:11.140 Green don't 1.00

05:13:12.780 have the

05:13:12.960 balance of

05:13:13.220 power.

05:13:13.900 I think it's

05:13:14.620 better if the

05:13:15.060 Bloc has a 1.00

05:13:15.600 balance of

05:13:15.900 power because

05:13:16.580 they're more

05:13:18.060 likely to

05:13:18.460 nuke it.

05:13:19.220 The NDP

05:13:19.880 and the

05:13:20.200 Greens could

05:13:20.940 hold the

05:13:21.320 Liberals in

05:13:21.720 for four

05:13:22.140 years.

05:13:22.920 Just on

05:13:23.520 like if they

05:13:24.620 just get

05:13:25.040 radical stuff

05:13:25.620 if it's like

05:13:25.960 okay if we're

05:13:26.360 going to

05:13:26.800 print a billion

05:13:28.560 dollars on

05:13:29.660 climate change

05:13:30.320 projects and

05:13:30.940 then give it

05:13:31.300 to Gaza,

05:13:32.360 then I think

05:13:33.000 the NDP and

05:13:33.580 the Green will

05:13:33.960 let them do 0.90

05:13:34.300 whatever they

05:13:34.580 want.

05:13:35.800 Yeah,

05:13:36.220 no,

05:13:36.400 fair enough.

05:13:36.760 I agree

05:13:37.100 with that.

05:13:42.180 699 from

05:13:42.940 Randy

05:13:43.300 Feindrich.

05:13:44.960 Thank you

05:13:45.380 for that.

05:13:47.340 And Pat

05:13:47.740 Patricia for

05:13:49.040 729 says

05:13:49.920 great work.

05:13:51.040 Was Carlton

05:13:52.640 swarmed by

05:13:53.200 Independence?

05:13:53.900 That is true.

05:13:54.840 Carlton was

05:13:55.400 swarmed by

05:13:55.800 Independence.

05:13:56.140 I really

05:13:56.640 don't think

05:13:57.080 that's going

05:13:57.660 to make

05:13:57.940 up the

05:13:58.200 difference in

05:13:58.640 the riding

05:13:59.020 unless you

05:14:00.400 get a bunch

05:14:01.940 of reports

05:14:02.360 that people

05:14:02.840 were going

05:14:03.440 there and

05:14:03.760 they were

05:14:03.920 getting frustrated

05:14:04.580 finding

05:14:05.000 Polyev's name

05:14:06.240 and it was

05:14:06.520 easier to

05:14:06.980 find fan

05:14:07.520 joy, but

05:14:08.060 I almost

05:14:08.540 kind of

05:14:08.840 doubt it.

05:14:10.720 Harry

05:14:11.080 Wilson says

05:14:11.580 for five

05:14:11.940 bucks,

05:14:12.200 what happens

05:14:12.480 if Polyev

05:14:12.860 loses his

05:14:13.400 riding?

05:14:14.380 I've been

05:14:14.780 watching you

05:14:15.160 a couple

05:14:15.420 months as

05:14:15.840 I finally

05:14:16.240 learn about

05:14:16.720 politics.

05:14:17.200 Thank you

05:14:17.440 for your

05:14:17.720 content.

05:14:18.520 Well,

05:14:18.660 if he

05:14:18.840 loses,

05:14:19.320 obviously,

05:14:19.780 I think

05:14:20.000 that at

05:14:20.840 that point,

05:14:22.080 he can't

05:14:22.360 be the

05:14:22.600 leader of

05:14:22.840 my home

05:14:31.060 of Calgary

05:14:31.700 or something

05:14:32.160 like that

05:14:32.720 if somebody

05:14:33.380 would actually

05:14:34.040 let him

05:14:34.520 have their

05:14:34.880 seat.

05:14:35.160 But at

05:14:35.340 that point,

05:14:35.860 you wonder

05:14:36.500 if there'd

05:14:36.840 be enough

05:14:37.100 self-interest

05:14:37.720 in CPC

05:14:38.380 caucus that

05:14:39.160 they would

05:14:39.380 be like,

05:14:39.780 yeah,

05:14:39.980 well,

05:14:40.240 we want

05:14:40.520 our own

05:14:40.840 guy now.

05:14:43.660 Breaking

05:14:44.060 Ice

05:14:44.280 Productions

05:14:44.780 says for

05:14:45.440 279,

05:14:46.220 Wyatt,

05:14:46.480 love your

05:14:46.700 channel,

05:14:47.080 please show

05:14:47.540 Matt

05:14:47.820 more.

05:14:48.620 I will

05:14:49.000 try and

05:14:49.360 show Matt

05:14:49.780 more as

05:14:50.320 this thing

05:14:50.940 goes on.

05:14:51.360 We've

05:14:51.520 actually been

05:14:51.860 live for

05:14:52.220 over five

05:14:52.740 hours now.

05:14:55.140 Is there

05:14:55.740 anything

05:14:55.940 interesting

05:14:56.340 we can

05:14:56.620 talk about?

05:14:57.640 What's

05:14:57.880 going on

05:14:58.160 in Brampton?

05:15:01.680 Brampton

05:15:02.160 South is

05:15:02.800 leaning

05:15:03.560 liberal with

05:15:04.120 only 104

05:15:04.720 votes.

05:15:05.980 Brampton

05:15:06.300 Center,

05:15:06.660 105

05:15:07.100 votes.

05:15:08.540 Brampton

05:15:09.020 North

05:15:09.340 Calden,

05:15:09.980 159.

05:15:11.800 So,

05:15:12.200 yeah,

05:15:12.400 everything's

05:15:12.740 kind of

05:15:13.200 just up

05:15:13.660 in the

05:15:13.880 air around

05:15:14.240 the Brampton

05:15:14.680 area still.

05:15:16.100 And where's

05:15:17.000 the really

05:15:17.440 close one?

05:15:17.940 Elkinton

05:15:18.340 Lawrence is

05:15:19.080 still within

05:15:19.720 203.

05:15:20.660 And now

05:15:22.520 let's go

05:15:22.780 check on

05:15:23.140 some other

05:15:23.460 stuff.

05:15:24.060 So,

05:15:24.140 Sault Ste.

05:15:24.620 Marie was

05:15:25.100 kind of

05:15:25.500 close,

05:15:25.920 but now

05:15:26.200 it doesn't

05:15:26.560 look like

05:15:26.900 that gap

05:15:27.300 can be

05:15:27.600 made up,

05:15:28.600 unfortunately.

05:15:31.440 And in

05:15:32.020 Kelowna,

05:15:32.660 the liberal

05:15:33.040 has gone

05:15:33.580 back to

05:15:34.060 being 254

05:15:35.100 head,

05:15:35.380 but I'm

05:15:35.580 not sure

05:15:35.980 how much

05:15:36.780 of that's

05:15:37.100 going to

05:15:37.280 hold up.

05:15:38.880 They did

05:15:39.500 just call

05:15:40.060 Calgary

05:15:40.600 Center for

05:15:41.500 Greg

05:15:41.860 McLean,

05:15:42.400 the conservative

05:15:42.840 incumbent,

05:15:43.360 so that's

05:15:43.680 good.

05:15:43.960 That one's

05:15:44.300 out of the

05:15:44.580 woods now.

05:15:45.880 And one

05:15:46.280 I want to

05:15:46.700 check up

05:15:47.100 on is

05:15:47.900 this one,

05:15:48.400 Skinny

05:15:48.720 Bulky

05:15:49.080 Valley,

05:15:49.540 which looks

05:15:49.920 like it's

05:15:50.260 going to

05:15:50.600 be a

05:15:51.120 hiccup for

05:15:52.160 the conservatives

05:15:52.760 potentially from

05:15:53.640 the NDP,

05:15:54.520 whose margin

05:15:55.440 has been

05:15:55.820 falling quite

05:15:56.400 quickly as

05:15:57.120 they've been

05:15:57.400 counting more

05:15:57.900 votes.

05:15:58.700 So Ellis Ross

05:15:59.340 might be able

05:15:59.700 to pull that

05:16:00.120 one out and

05:16:00.600 pull another

05:16:01.360 seat away from

05:16:03.040 a liberal

05:16:03.540 coalition.

05:16:04.040 So let's

05:16:04.500 let's

05:16:04.860 apparently

05:16:05.600 Pierre is

05:16:06.160 live in

05:16:07.040 his speech

05:16:07.640 and he

05:16:08.020 says he

05:16:08.600 is not

05:16:09.140 stepping

05:16:09.440 down.

05:16:10.540 Okay.

05:16:11.400 But again,

05:16:12.080 this is all

05:16:12.920 contingent on

05:16:13.420 him winning

05:16:13.720 his seat.

05:16:14.120 So he's

05:16:15.540 saying that I

05:16:16.280 would say

05:16:16.600 that he

05:16:17.020 hopefully he's

05:16:18.440 saying that

05:16:18.820 because they

05:16:19.240 know the

05:16:19.800 polls that

05:16:20.280 haven't reported

05:16:20.980 yet are the

05:16:21.580 good ones for

05:16:22.260 them and he

05:16:22.760 does and he's

05:16:23.520 not going to

05:16:23.860 get embarrassed

05:16:24.440 because that

05:16:24.840 would be

05:16:25.220 actually massive

05:16:26.280 a massive

05:16:26.860 blow.

05:16:27.800 I mean,

05:16:27.980 bring up the

05:16:28.340 thing like I'm

05:16:28.760 looking at Bruce

05:16:29.340 Banjoy 19,212

05:16:31.640 51.5%

05:16:33.400 Pierre Poly

05:16:34.100 up 16,780

05:16:36.020 45%.

05:16:36.820 He's down

05:16:37.640 six and a

05:16:38.140 half points

05:16:38.600 right now.

05:16:39.520 And he's

05:16:39.820 been around

05:16:40.260 six.

05:16:40.920 He was

05:16:41.340 around six

05:16:42.120 and then

05:16:42.480 eight and

05:16:42.940 then six

05:16:43.320 and a half

05:16:43.580 like six

05:16:45.100 has opened

05:16:45.460 up to

05:16:45.740 six and

05:16:46.060 a half.

05:16:47.600 I like I

05:16:50.320 don't I

05:16:50.600 don't I

05:16:51.300 don't I

05:16:51.600 don't know

05:16:51.840 what the I

05:16:52.580 don't know

05:16:52.760 what to say

05:16:53.120 here.

05:16:53.440 Like if it

05:16:54.360 was going

05:16:54.800 six,

05:16:55.520 five,

05:16:56.140 four,

05:16:56.740 three and

05:16:57.020 a half,

05:16:57.460 two and

05:16:57.680 a half.

05:16:58.120 If you're

05:16:58.500 trending that

05:16:59.020 way,

05:16:59.300 it's a yeah,

05:16:59.680 it looks

05:16:59.840 like he's

05:17:00.040 gonna pull it

05:17:00.340 out.

05:17:00.460 But like

05:17:00.860 pulling out

05:17:02.200 of his

05:17:02.400 ass here 0.99

05:17:02.820 like this

05:17:04.060 isn't like

05:17:04.540 we're over

05:17:05.100 you know

05:17:07.820 we're we're

05:17:11.020 we're over

05:17:11.460 half in

05:17:11.920 like yeah

05:17:12.760 he might not

05:17:13.600 want to see

05:17:13.940 hopefully it's

05:17:15.200 a bunch of

05:17:15.540 rural areas

05:17:16.160 but I

05:17:16.720 almost want

05:17:17.060 to see if I

05:17:17.440 can pull up

05:17:17.900 that clip on

05:17:18.480 social media

05:17:19.140 if he was

05:17:19.520 saying that

05:17:19.800 he's sticking

05:17:20.160 around.

05:17:22.440 I'd like to

05:17:23.060 just see that

05:17:23.480 comment.

05:17:30.460 I mean

05:17:42.720 he was

05:17:42.900 saying there's

05:17:43.140 still a hundred

05:17:43.540 polls to go

05:17:44.120 but there's

05:17:44.440 150 in

05:17:45.420 like he's

05:17:47.780 still speaking

05:17:48.340 so maybe I'll

05:17:48.880 bring that up

05:17:49.440 quickly and

05:17:49.820 stop streaming

05:17:50.380 the map for

05:17:51.000 a second.

05:17:54.120 I'm just

05:17:54.700 curious.

05:17:56.580 Like listen

05:17:57.320 in a

05:17:59.480 conservative

05:18:00.020 minority

05:18:00.780 and Peter

05:18:01.720 has a seat

05:18:02.300 I don't

05:18:03.160 think he

05:18:03.400 should go.

05:18:04.080 I would I

05:18:04.540 think he

05:18:04.820 should stay

05:18:05.220 but if he

05:18:05.540 doesn't have

05:18:05.860 a seat

05:18:06.240 government

05:18:11.740 no he's

05:18:12.460 already

05:18:12.660 conceding

05:18:13.400 to

05:18:13.760 we'll

05:18:14.640 have

05:18:14.920 plenty of

05:18:15.360 opportunity

05:18:15.820 to debate

05:18:16.860 and disagree

05:18:17.720 but tonight

05:18:18.800 we come

05:18:19.300 together as

05:18:20.120 Canadians

05:18:20.600 we will do

05:18:21.560 our job

05:18:22.160 yes we

05:18:22.640 will do

05:18:22.900 our job

05:18:23.320 to hold

05:18:23.720 the government

05:18:24.140 to account

05:18:24.720 but first

05:18:25.920 we congratulate

05:18:30.320 people from

05:18:31.900 all political

05:18:32.740 backgrounds on

05:18:33.620 participating in

05:18:34.540 the democratic

05:18:35.120 process and as

05:18:36.560 I said while we

05:18:37.560 will do our

05:18:38.400 constitutional duty

05:18:39.740 of holding

05:18:40.220 government to

05:18:40.860 account and

05:18:41.700 proposing better

05:18:42.680 alternatives we

05:18:43.860 will always put

05:18:44.760 Canada first as

05:18:45.920 we stare down

05:18:46.760 tariffs and

05:18:47.460 other irresponsible

05:18:48.980 threats from

05:18:49.680 President Trump

05:18:50.440 conservatives will

05:18:51.720 work with the

05:18:52.420 Prime Minister and

05:18:53.240 all parties with

05:18:54.420 the common goal of

05:18:55.560 defending Canada's

05:18:56.660 interests and

05:18:57.480 getting a new

05:18:58.160 trade deal that

05:18:58.900 puts these

05:18:59.880 tariffs behind

05:19:00.860 us while

05:19:01.540 protecting our

05:19:02.500 sovereignty and

05:19:03.660 the Canadian

05:19:04.140 people

05:19:04.620 I want to

05:19:11.200 thank my

05:19:12.660 conservative team

05:19:13.520 my caucus my

05:19:14.420 members of the

05:19:16.080 conservative staff

05:19:17.540 and others who

05:19:18.840 have helped

05:19:19.280 reshape the

05:19:20.260 entire political

05:19:21.260 landscape in

05:19:22.420 this country

05:19:22.920 conservatives have

05:19:24.100 achieved major

05:19:25.080 breakthroughs tonight

05:19:26.120 we brought in

05:19:27.320 record support from

05:19:28.800 blue-collar and

05:19:29.720 unionized workers

05:19:30.760 youth new Canadians

05:19:32.620 we gave voices to

05:19:34.760 countless people

05:19:35.760 across this country

05:19:36.860 who've been left

05:19:38.140 out and left

05:19:39.100 behind for far too

05:19:40.620 long we won the

05:19:41.840 big debates of our

05:19:42.920 time on the carbon

05:19:44.220 tax on inflation on

05:19:45.680 housing on the drug

05:19:46.780 crisis on crime

05:19:48.220 conservatives have

05:19:49.480 been leading the

05:19:50.140 debate and we will

05:19:51.340 continue to put

05:19:52.480 forward the best

05:19:53.300 arguments to improve

05:19:54.620 the lives of our

05:19:55.540 people right across

05:19:56.680 this country but we

05:19:57.560 will not stop there

05:19:58.500 every single day our

05:20:00.520 conservative caucus

05:20:01.540 and I will be holding

05:20:02.940 the government to

05:20:03.640 account on behalf of

05:20:04.760 the millions of

05:20:05.540 Canadians who

05:20:06.440 believed in the

05:20:07.500 message of change

05:20:08.780 I can shut that down

05:20:16.280 once it starts going

05:20:16.940 back to the

05:20:17.560 translating between

05:20:18.540 French and English

05:20:19.840 I don't hate the

05:20:20.360 French I just don't 1.00

05:20:21.480 you know I don't

05:20:22.040 think you guys want to

05:20:22.780 sit through everything

05:20:23.400 being re-translated

05:20:24.360 through French

05:20:26.840 French yeah I mean I

05:20:29.580 was looking at the

05:20:30.000 number now now we're

05:20:31.560 in now we're in the

05:20:33.960 danger zone if you

05:20:34.780 pull up the numbers

05:20:35.400 like now we're at

05:20:38.260 what is it 164 for the

05:20:41.540 liberals so now the

05:20:45.060 liberals and the NDP

05:20:46.040 hold the balance of

05:20:46.960 power yeah yeah that's

05:20:50.080 bad that's bad

05:20:51.380 but like skinny bulky

05:20:59.200 valley looks like it's

05:21:00.100 going Ellis Ross it's

05:21:01.700 within 34 votes now he

05:21:03.460 was considered a really

05:21:04.240 good get for that

05:21:05.000 writing since that is

05:21:05.880 his former writing as a

05:21:07.200 liberal MLA so that

05:21:09.400 could be good all right

05:21:11.260 let's let's go maximum

05:21:12.400 hope like our hope is

05:21:13.520 the NDP is a leadership

05:21:14.740 race the leader gets in

05:21:16.980 is like they elect like

05:21:18.740 Yaya Sinwar like they 0.98

05:21:20.140 like full-on

05:21:21.040 is just someone

05:21:22.520 straight out from Gaza 0.85

05:21:23.700 like with a suicide

05:21:25.780 vest on and it's just

05:21:27.600 full-on like we're

05:21:28.820 Hamas is the only 1.00

05:21:29.920 issue then they get in

05:21:31.920 and because the liberals

05:21:32.800 can't go full Hamas 0.97

05:21:34.060 just like 80% Hamas 0.93

05:21:35.640 they then break the

05:21:37.580 government because

05:21:39.360 they're not morally pure

05:21:41.080 enough and then we get

05:21:42.440 an election that's so

05:21:44.640 come on Hamas yeah 0.99

05:21:46.520 and Carlton's looking

05:21:51.160 pretty not fantastic

05:21:53.760 set 170 ridings

05:21:55.580 counted 266 for polls

05:21:57.440 and the fan joy margin

05:21:59.540 is 2522

05:22:00.960 yeah it's it's it's

05:22:04.000 opening like

05:22:04.780 what do we got around

05:22:14.660 here look at it's

05:22:15.800 getting yeah it's getting

05:22:16.520 worse for Pierre and his

05:22:17.240 writing not better it's

05:22:18.360 getting worse

05:22:18.760 yeah I wonder what

05:22:20.900 happens after that that

05:22:22.000 would be weird hopefully

05:22:22.840 it doesn't happen but my

05:22:23.880 goodness

05:22:24.220 and so Ryan G just gets

05:22:29.520 five bucks thank you for

05:22:30.520 that Kevin five dollars

05:22:32.300 I've watched a lot of

05:22:33.200 Oilers games in my years

05:22:34.400 comebacks are possible

05:22:35.400 stay alive or stay

05:22:36.720 positive not at this

05:22:38.040 point obviously but I

05:22:39.020 take your point when you

05:22:40.280 had sent that in

05:22:41.200 420 hitter says Pierre

05:22:43.260 Poly is writing had the

05:22:44.060 longest ballot BS will

05:22:45.200 probably be the last one

05:22:46.160 counted and that

05:22:48.700 actually is right it's

05:22:49.600 going to take forever to

05:22:50.700 count many of these

05:22:51.460 ballots

05:22:51.840 and it's not even just

05:22:56.340 the counting because

05:22:56.980 obviously they probably

05:22:57.900 know the people on the

05:22:59.080 ballot to go look at the

05:23:00.620 name of right away because

05:23:01.880 they know where the main

05:23:02.940 candidates are but at the

05:23:04.680 same time the can't the

05:23:06.040 ballots are like massive

05:23:07.420 sheets of paper

05:23:08.540 and rock for five bucks

05:23:13.180 says if the liberals win it

05:23:14.140 may be the large lead of in

05:23:16.380 large part due to them

05:23:17.520 discovering the NDP

05:23:18.940 or devouring the NDP

05:23:20.180 yeah I'd agree with

05:23:21.980 that

05:23:22.240 yeah

05:23:22.760 the top NDP is the

05:23:24.000 story I agree

05:23:24.640 yeah

05:23:24.960 for 2799 says the fact

05:23:27.560 that Pierre is going to

05:23:28.380 lose the seat is a WF

05:23:29.700 op when he had 93%

05:23:31.140 percent chance in 2021

05:23:32.840 well I wouldn't say that

05:23:34.520 you never know what

05:23:35.620 happened on a local

05:23:36.480 level

05:23:36.900 if he does lose I'm

05:23:38.920 either like that's you

05:23:39.880 know that sucks and I

05:23:40.980 would make an entire

05:23:42.040 video basically like wow

05:23:43.440 so that report from

05:23:45.340 people was right at the

05:23:46.340 same time I didn't see

05:23:47.480 anything to really

05:23:48.180 indicate

05:23:48.780 that it was really

05:23:50.780 in risk because

05:23:51.960 obviously there was

05:23:53.760 more volunteers sent to

05:23:54.900 his area but even

05:23:55.900 in the PN there was

05:23:57.080 tons of people for the 0.57

05:23:58.080 liberals and for

05:23:58.880 Carney out there and

05:24:00.240 usually you just

05:24:00.920 conclude that the

05:24:01.640 person's just trying to

05:24:02.400 keep their margin up

05:24:03.360 Matt Vertoli just

05:24:06.440 sends in 25 bucks

05:24:07.340 thank you for that

05:24:08.000 and

05:24:08.980 the

05:24:10.260 Chumlee Canadian 0.99

05:24:11.700 says for five bucks

05:24:12.600 what about Winnipeg

05:24:13.600 area

05:24:13.960 Winnipeg area I would

05:24:15.940 just say is mostly

05:24:17.180 kind of going the way

05:24:18.120 you would think

05:24:18.580 any of the leads

05:24:20.040 right now are pretty

05:24:20.960 much going to hold

05:24:21.620 conservatives won the

05:24:22.800 outer suburbs and the

05:24:24.480 more rural suburban

05:24:25.420 ridings and then the

05:24:27.040 liberals won the rest

05:24:29.280 of it except for

05:24:30.140 center where Leah

05:24:30.940 Gazin is going to

05:24:31.780 stay on although they

05:24:32.840 haven't even started

05:24:33.740 counting what is here

05:24:36.520 they haven't even

05:24:37.820 started counting

05:24:38.460 somehow Saint Bonifest

05:24:40.660 Saint Vital which I

05:24:41.760 assume is probably a

05:24:42.520 liberal area

05:24:43.240 and Nikki Ashton

05:24:49.860 actually ended up

05:24:50.600 losing

05:24:50.940 Barack Allah 0.96

05:24:53.400 and in

05:24:56.200 Kelowna

05:24:57.220 it's still tight

05:24:58.020 and

05:24:59.540 has

05:25:00.120 skinny bulky

05:25:00.800 valley flipped

05:25:01.520 yes it has

05:25:02.320 skinny bulky

05:25:03.220 valley has flipped

05:25:03.940 conservative

05:25:04.480 there we go

05:25:06.820 so now

05:25:08.420 they are out of

05:25:09.300 now they are out

05:25:11.000 of government

05:25:12.180 with just the NDP

05:25:14.160 although they could

05:25:14.860 get in with the

05:25:15.400 greens now with

05:25:16.020 Elizabeth May

05:25:16.600 oh my goodness we

05:25:18.160 are going to live in

05:25:18.720 a world potentially

05:25:19.420 where Elizabeth May

05:25:20.160 gets decision making

05:25:20.960 power

05:25:21.340 oh good lord

05:25:22.480 I mean that's

05:25:24.640 basically Hamas

05:25:25.320 yeah

05:25:26.080 anything else

05:25:37.840 interesting going on

05:25:38.820 around the Quebec

05:25:39.960 area I don't think so

05:25:41.080 how many seats did

05:25:41.980 they get again

05:25:42.420 23

05:25:42.880 I assume that's

05:25:44.320 probably just going

05:25:44.880 to hold now

05:25:45.560 where it is at

05:25:46.740 and everything is

05:25:52.800 extremely tight

05:25:53.780 around Brampton

05:25:54.340 Center and Brampton

05:25:55.140 South still

05:25:56.060 so I'm just moving

05:26:07.940 around on the map

05:26:08.580 hopefully people

05:26:09.180 don't mind

05:26:09.600 and Coquitlam

05:26:28.120 Port Coquitlam

05:26:30.080 has been tightening

05:26:30.880 up with the

05:26:31.880 liberal incumbent

05:26:32.760 Port Moody

05:26:34.860 Coquitlam

05:26:35.340 actually flipped

05:26:36.080 that sucks

05:26:38.280 I was hoping for

05:26:39.000 Paul Lambert there

05:26:39.780 but maybe they're

05:26:40.380 still

05:26:40.640 I don't think

05:26:41.580 there's enough

05:26:41.900 margin left

05:26:42.580 unfortunately

05:26:43.320 and Fleetwood

05:26:58.920 Port Coquitlam

05:26:59.520 is still

05:27:00.680 very tight

05:27:01.860 the Chumley

05:27:04.340 Canadian

05:27:04.900 oh yeah

05:27:05.380 I already did

05:27:06.040 that one

05:27:06.340 Ethan Thede

05:27:07.500 said for five bucks

05:27:08.380 happy to see

05:27:08.820 Elmwood Transcona

05:27:09.620 flip from orange

05:27:10.300 to blue

05:27:10.680 NDP was heavily

05:27:11.560 favored in the past

05:27:12.400 thanks to the

05:27:12.880 great and realistic

05:27:13.540 coverage

05:27:14.020 absolutely

05:27:14.700 and Michelle McConnell

05:27:17.640 said for 279

05:27:19.020 what happens if

05:27:19.580 NDP can't form

05:27:20.580 party status

05:27:21.240 it just means

05:27:21.980 that you end up

05:27:22.500 losing a lot of

05:27:23.380 money that you

05:27:24.000 usually get in

05:27:24.720 the legislature

05:27:25.400 lawn girl for

05:27:27.180 1399 says

05:27:27.940 there is less than

05:27:28.580 9 million votes

05:27:29.160 counted but

05:27:29.660 7.3% million

05:27:30.920 advanced

05:27:31.360 votes were cast

05:27:32.340 when will those

05:27:33.540 be counted

05:27:34.020 and I think

05:27:34.780 we are seeing

05:27:35.340 at the end

05:27:35.920 here

05:27:36.100 maybe there

05:27:36.600 although it

05:27:37.780 might be

05:27:38.060 different

05:27:38.280 per riding

05:27:38.820 12J8

05:27:42.240 says for 279

05:27:43.300 well I guess

05:27:43.740 it's another

05:27:44.080 four years

05:27:44.580 of this crap

05:27:45.160 although I

05:27:45.800 would disagree

05:27:46.220 it could be

05:27:46.780 it looks like

05:27:47.460 another year

05:27:48.000 another year

05:27:48.700 of this crap

05:27:49.260 CMZ

05:27:50.700 says for 279

05:27:52.320 what's going

05:27:52.780 on in

05:27:53.180 Carleton

05:27:53.580 nothing great

05:27:55.800 at the moment

05:27:56.320 you know

05:27:57.400 still down

05:27:58.700 six

05:27:59.360 peers down

05:28:01.360 two and a

05:28:02.180 half thousand

05:28:02.520 votes

05:28:02.840 yeah

05:28:04.960 I think that

05:28:05.760 actually slightly

05:28:06.380 it's not close

05:28:07.280 guys

05:28:07.620 it's not close

05:28:08.300 like if

05:28:08.720 if this was

05:28:09.340 if this was

05:28:09.940 another riding

05:28:10.580 and not

05:28:11.000 Pierre's

05:28:11.500 we would have

05:28:12.080 just said

05:28:12.420 oh they

05:28:12.820 lost

05:28:13.220 yeah

05:28:13.900 we're not

05:28:14.800 calling it

05:28:15.300 yet

05:28:15.520 because

05:28:16.100 it's still

05:28:17.740 like 80s

05:28:18.980 polls to count

05:28:19.860 maybe

05:28:20.240 they come

05:28:20.780 back

05:28:21.000 but man

05:28:21.480 if that

05:28:21.860 he loses

05:28:22.280 that

05:28:22.560 goodness

05:28:22.880 I'd love

05:28:23.380 I'd want

05:28:23.900 to hear

05:28:24.160 the story

05:28:24.560 of what

05:28:24.780 happened

05:28:25.040 there

05:28:25.240 on the

05:28:25.460 ground

05:28:25.760 jay

05:28:27.020 girlish

05:28:27.840 says

05:28:28.220 279

05:28:29.520 just

05:28:30.020 nothing

05:28:30.540 but

05:28:30.920 thank you

05:28:31.320 for the

05:28:31.640 donation

05:28:32.060 dash

05:28:32.460 one

05:28:32.640 dash

05:28:32.880 two

05:28:33.100 for

05:28:33.240 two

05:28:33.420 dollars

05:28:33.660 says

05:28:33.820 omg

05:28:34.680 look at

05:28:35.060 terra nova

05:28:35.540 0.1%

05:28:36.440 difference

05:28:36.920 269 out

05:28:38.080 of 270

05:28:38.600 yeah

05:28:39.020 that one's

05:28:39.400 going to

05:28:39.580 probably

05:28:40.220 stay like

05:28:40.720 that

05:28:40.880 and they're

05:28:41.060 going to

05:28:41.220 do a

05:28:41.440 recount

05:28:41.780 jb

05:28:42.880 says

05:28:43.100 for two

05:28:43.380 bucks

05:28:43.620 kitchener

05:28:44.020 waterloo

05:28:44.420 area is

05:28:44.760 doing

05:28:44.900 pretty

05:28:45.120 good

05:28:45.340 and

05:28:45.500 yeah

05:28:45.700 we

05:28:45.940 they

05:28:46.200 picked

05:28:46.440 up

05:28:46.560 a lot

05:28:46.860 around

05:28:47.080 there

05:28:47.360 smart

05:28:48.560 tm

05:28:49.120 just

05:28:49.540 sent

05:28:49.740 in

05:28:49.860 10

05:28:50.040 bucks

05:28:50.380 and

05:28:51.380 as

05:28:51.620 20

05:28:52.000 for

05:28:52.420 20

05:28:52.660 bucks

05:28:52.940 or

05:28:53.400 as

05:28:53.800 said

05:28:54.360 for

05:28:54.500 20

05:28:54.720 bucks

05:28:55.020 hey

05:28:55.520 why

05:28:55.720 do you

05:28:56.020 think

05:28:56.180 that

05:28:56.420 the

05:28:56.620 counting

05:28:56.920 of the

05:28:57.180 advanced

05:28:57.480 votes

05:28:57.700 would

05:28:57.860 change

05:28:58.100 anything

05:28:58.360 specifically

05:28:58.940 also

05:28:59.340 what's

05:28:59.620 with

05:28:59.760 canada

05:29:00.180 carlton

05:29:00.860 yeah

05:29:01.740 nothing

05:29:02.120 good

05:29:02.380 and

05:29:02.680 i'm

05:29:02.860 not

05:29:03.020 sure

05:29:03.160 again

05:29:03.440 if

05:29:03.880 the

05:29:04.180 i think

05:29:05.240 daniel

05:29:06.240 said

05:29:06.480 they

05:29:06.620 count

05:29:06.920 early

05:29:07.620 votes

05:29:07.960 later

05:29:08.420 yeah

05:29:09.520 i think

05:29:09.820 i just

05:29:10.140 saw

05:29:10.300 something

05:29:10.480 like

05:29:10.640 they're

05:29:10.760 just

05:29:10.920 going

05:29:11.140 into

05:29:11.280 early

05:29:11.520 votes

05:29:11.820 now

05:29:12.180 like

05:29:12.620 listen

05:29:14.660 i

05:29:14.940 i

05:29:16.200 i

05:29:18.880 i didn't

05:29:19.160 see

05:29:19.320 paulioff

05:29:19.720 losing

05:29:19.980 his seat

05:29:20.340 by six

05:29:20.760 points

05:29:21.080 like

05:29:21.280 if it

05:29:21.460 was a

05:29:21.800 nail 0.92

05:29:22.040 biter

05:29:22.400 sure

05:29:22.740 but

05:29:22.980 like

05:29:23.300 he's

05:29:24.220 held

05:29:24.360 his seat

05:29:24.700 for a

05:29:24.960 long

05:29:25.100 time

05:29:25.340 like

05:29:25.560 again

05:29:26.880 i don't

05:29:27.280 know

05:29:27.380 the

05:29:27.520 demographics

05:29:28.040 i don't

05:29:28.320 know

05:29:28.440 if

05:29:28.560 they

05:29:28.680 changed

05:29:29.240 and

05:29:29.520 redistrict

05:29:30.280 and

05:29:30.640 and

05:29:30.960 something

05:29:31.280 but

05:29:31.680 yeah

05:29:33.860 hey

05:29:35.180 uh

05:29:35.440 we got

05:29:35.860 in

05:29:36.420 kitchener

05:29:37.480 south

05:29:37.680 hesper 0.98

05:29:38.060 matt

05:29:38.340 strauss

05:29:38.780 isn't

05:29:39.000 leading

05:29:39.220 by a

05:29:39.540 thousand

05:29:39.780 that's

05:29:40.080 good

05:29:40.180 to

05:29:40.320 see

05:29:40.440 in

05:29:40.560 not

05:29:40.680 many

05:29:40.880 polls

05:29:41.100 left

05:29:41.300 to

05:29:41.420 count

05:29:41.640 and

05:29:46.040 anyways

05:29:48.300 so

05:29:48.860 uh

05:29:49.180 doug

05:29:49.980 tarbet

05:29:50.440 says

05:29:50.820 t

05:29:51.220 road

05:29:52.380 hi

05:29:52.720 hi

05:29:52.960 wyatt

05:29:53.360 well

05:29:53.580 thank

05:29:53.800 you

05:29:53.900 for

05:29:54.020 that

05:29:54.280 thanks

05:29:56.100 for

05:29:56.300 donating

05:29:56.920 to

05:29:57.080 the

05:29:57.200 channel

05:29:57.460 doug

05:29:57.780 and

05:29:59.020 shanks 0.65

05:29:59.540 muldoon

05:30:00.460 says

05:30:00.780 for

05:30:00.940 279

05:30:01.660 peterboro

05:30:02.120 25%

05:30:02.920 universities

05:30:03.460 too

05:30:03.720 and

05:30:03.840 75%

05:30:04.760 boomers

05:30:05.260 so i guess

05:30:06.340 that answers

05:30:06.720 my questions

05:30:07.280 of why

05:30:07.780 michelle

05:30:08.120 ferrari

05:30:08.480 would

05:30:08.740 lose

05:30:09.000 that

05:30:09.160 riding

05:30:09.480 and

05:30:10.600 spencer

05:30:11.160 payson

05:30:11.580 says

05:30:11.820 for

05:30:11.980 27.99

05:30:12.900 i've been

05:30:13.360 watching your

05:30:13.740 content since

05:30:14.440 you ran for

05:30:15.000 calgary signal

05:30:15.640 hill

05:30:15.880 you're my only

05:30:17.260 source live

05:30:17.920 federal election

05:30:18.640 commentary

05:30:19.140 appreciate all

05:30:19.740 your work

05:30:20.080 love you man

05:30:20.740 well thank you

05:30:21.580 for doing that

05:30:22.300 and sending in

05:30:22.920 that super

05:30:24.020 chat

05:30:24.300 spencer

05:30:24.700 and kv

05:30:26.760 and kv for

05:30:26.960 6.99

05:30:27.440 says

05:30:27.720 i live

05:30:28.140 in van

05:30:28.600 east

05:30:28.980 and upset

05:30:29.500 seeing

05:30:29.860 ndp

05:30:30.300 especially

05:30:30.740 with homelessness

05:30:31.380 and people

05:30:31.980 with homelessness

05:30:33.320 and people

05:30:33.920 are so blind

05:30:34.580 i am a new

05:30:35.800 immigrant from

05:30:36.360 india and

05:30:36.980 first time

05:30:37.820 voter

05:30:38.180 conservative

05:30:39.480 voter

05:30:39.800 specifically

05:30:40.380 it's nuts

05:30:41.680 when you go

05:30:42.120 out to

05:30:42.400 east

05:30:42.600 vancouver

05:30:43.080 like especially

05:30:43.760 east hastings

05:30:44.580 and knowing

05:30:45.000 that those

05:30:45.460 ridings

05:30:45.920 still go

05:30:47.120 bc ndp

05:30:48.040 despite what

05:30:48.820 it looks

05:30:49.120 like

05:30:49.480 big

05:30:50.280 no

05:30:50.540 it's

05:30:51.260 that's why

05:30:51.840 it looks

05:30:52.120 like that

05:30:52.500 yeah

05:30:53.120 and that

05:30:53.920 yeah

05:30:54.240 uh

05:30:55.000 ralph lemon

05:30:55.760 for 10 bucks

05:30:56.460 says are the 0.99

05:30:56.800 advanced poll

05:30:57.380 ballots being

05:30:58.100 included in the

05:30:58.780 current counter

05:30:59.360 are they being

05:30:59.800 tabulated

05:31:00.400 so i think

05:31:00.920 that might be

05:31:01.460 later but again

05:31:02.260 i'm not sure

05:31:03.140 phil s says

05:31:05.680 five bucks

05:31:06.220 good work guys

05:31:07.020 and jeremy frank

05:31:08.360 says why

05:31:08.920 this is jeremy

05:31:09.640 psychologist and

05:31:10.760 vaughn thanks for

05:31:11.520 all you do

05:31:11.980 what happens

05:31:12.620 if the bloc

05:31:13.260 refuses to support

05:31:14.040 the liberals

05:31:14.480 could uh

05:31:15.640 could that

05:31:16.300 happen

05:31:16.660 they may

05:31:17.720 i think here's

05:31:18.640 something more

05:31:19.080 realistic the bloc

05:31:19.940 might do

05:31:20.420 i don't think

05:31:21.480 that the bloc

05:31:23.120 is going to

05:31:23.640 just outright

05:31:24.240 support the

05:31:25.880 liberals i think

05:31:26.560 they'll be like

05:31:27.180 they'll like

05:31:27.640 daniel was

05:31:28.200 saying case

05:31:28.620 by case

05:31:29.040 basis and

05:31:30.300 they'll kind

05:31:30.740 of hold

05:31:31.000 them up

05:31:31.280 that way

05:31:31.740 but thank

05:31:33.800 you for the

05:31:34.100 50 donation

05:31:35.280 jeremy

05:31:35.640 very nice

05:31:36.760 and cj oakley

05:31:38.580 author says

05:31:39.600 for 20 bucks

05:31:40.260 how is

05:31:40.620 nepean doing

05:31:41.300 pretty good

05:31:42.020 for the

05:31:43.300 mr carney

05:31:44.060 bit of a

05:31:46.280 bait and switch

05:31:46.720 there but

05:31:47.060 we're getting

05:31:47.420 silly towards

05:31:48.680 the end

05:31:49.080 yeah

05:31:52.940 nepean went

05:31:56.120 very carny

05:31:56.780 like 20

05:31:57.260 by 20

05:31:57.780 thousand votes

05:31:58.440 which is crazy

05:31:59.080 because i

05:31:59.380 door knocked

05:31:59.780 some very

05:32:00.280 liberal areas

05:32:00.860 and it didn't

05:32:01.240 feel like that

05:32:01.900 unless a bunch

05:32:02.480 of people

05:32:02.880 just decide

05:32:03.880 oh let's

05:32:04.420 go support

05:32:05.020 the prime

05:32:05.360 minister

05:32:05.660 which sometimes

05:32:11.280 happens with

05:32:11.780 people

05:32:12.060 and

05:32:15.380 skinny bulky

05:32:16.820 valley is

05:32:17.260 definitely still

05:32:17.760 increasing

05:32:18.280 colonna is

05:32:19.980 tightening up

05:32:20.460 again

05:32:20.760 colonna is

05:32:21.560 pulling on

05:32:21.920 my heart

05:32:22.220 strings

05:32:22.540 it's gone

05:32:26.320 like 250

05:32:27.740 down to

05:32:28.740 150

05:32:29.300 down to

05:32:29.780 one up

05:32:30.160 to 191

05:32:30.860 up to

05:32:31.200 250

05:32:31.600 back down

05:32:32.100 to 191

05:32:32.960 coquitlam

05:32:40.480 port

05:32:40.740 coquitlam

05:32:41.260 further

05:32:41.860 reduces the

05:32:42.720 liberal lead

05:32:43.280 it used to

05:32:44.100 be up around

05:32:44.500 450 now

05:32:45.180 it's 347

05:32:46.020 oh but

05:32:51.280 again we're

05:32:52.140 actually holding

05:32:52.700 on to

05:32:53.040 mallardville

05:32:53.680 at the

05:32:53.980 moment with

05:32:54.480 indy panchie

05:32:55.220 in that

05:32:55.540 riding

05:32:55.860 and chalk

05:32:58.320 all looks

05:32:58.780 like he's

05:32:59.080 going to be

05:32:59.320 able to win

05:32:59.880 that one

05:33:00.340 in richmond

05:33:01.980 center

05:33:02.280 marriott

05:33:02.640 lowverdale

05:33:04.440 langley

05:33:04.700 city

05:33:04.960 tamara

05:33:05.260 jensen

05:33:05.600 looks like

05:33:06.220 she can 0.59

05:33:06.460 hold on

05:33:06.740 to that

05:33:06.960 because she

05:33:07.160 has a

05:33:07.380 thousand

05:33:07.740 vote lead

05:33:08.320 but still

05:33:08.880 there's a

05:33:09.340 lot to

05:33:09.640 count

05:33:09.840 there

05:33:10.080 okay

05:33:19.300 what else

05:33:20.340 do we

05:33:20.520 have to

05:33:20.740 count

05:33:20.920 not much

05:33:21.520 i don't

05:33:21.880 think

05:33:22.220 and then

05:33:25.580 i will

05:33:25.940 start

05:33:26.820 answering

05:33:27.240 some more

05:33:27.580 of these

05:33:27.780 nanahan

05:33:28.440 says my

05:33:28.940 smug

05:33:29.340 highbrow

05:33:29.820 liberal

05:33:30.140 friends

05:33:30.460 looked down

05:33:30.960 their noses

05:33:31.520 for the

05:33:31.740 next eight

05:33:32.220 years

05:33:32.640 ugh

05:33:33.460 and moneyball

05:33:37.620 says for

05:33:37.960 ten bucks

05:33:38.320 forty percent

05:33:38.900 of us

05:33:39.260 voted in

05:33:39.680 advanced

05:33:40.000 vote

05:33:40.300 they have

05:33:40.980 not been

05:33:41.380 counted

05:33:41.700 yet

05:33:41.980 and i

05:33:43.160 think it's

05:33:43.440 going to

05:33:43.620 depend on

05:33:44.020 the riding

05:33:44.400 if that's

05:33:44.820 going to

05:33:45.020 lean more

05:33:45.380 conservative

05:33:45.800 or liberal

05:33:46.360 i think

05:33:46.900 it's incumbents

05:33:47.540 that's going

05:33:47.780 to help

05:33:48.020 them

05:33:48.220 potentially

05:33:49.660 actually i

05:33:50.300 really don't

05:33:50.860 know

05:33:51.140 uh travi

05:33:52.460 ten four

05:33:53.240 for five bucks

05:33:53.840 says do you

05:33:54.260 guys think

05:33:54.640 the way that

05:33:55.080 jagmeet ran

05:33:55.640 was intentional

05:33:56.280 ndp votes

05:33:57.040 tend to go

05:33:57.500 red when the

05:33:58.020 ndp is off

05:33:58.760 the rails

05:33:59.220 what do you

05:34:00.760 think

05:34:01.000 like

05:34:02.280 in a way

05:34:04.660 you could say

05:34:05.100 that's what

05:34:05.400 jagmeet's

05:34:05.720 claiming but

05:34:06.160 i i actually

05:34:06.960 do think

05:34:07.320 jagmeet's

05:34:07.940 generally

05:34:08.500 naturally

05:34:08.880 terrible

05:34:09.240 i i did

05:34:10.260 speak to

05:34:11.100 a couple

05:34:12.300 weeks ago

05:34:12.620 i spoke to

05:34:13.000 someone who

05:34:13.260 ended up

05:34:13.480 being a

05:34:14.140 former

05:34:14.340 associate

05:34:14.660 of jagmeet

05:34:15.060 who was

05:34:15.280 a lawyer

05:34:15.600 and he

05:34:16.760 told me

05:34:17.280 that um

05:34:18.200 jagmeet

05:34:20.060 singh was

05:34:20.680 uh

05:34:21.420 the dumbest

05:34:22.920 lawyer he's

05:34:23.520 ever met

05:34:24.040 but really

05:34:24.940 good with

05:34:25.360 people so

05:34:25.920 they were

05:34:26.120 all really

05:34:26.400 happy when

05:34:26.860 he went

05:34:27.060 into politics

05:34:27.600 because then

05:34:27.980 he left

05:34:28.260 their law

05:34:28.680 firm uh

05:34:29.560 and was

05:34:30.060 a politician

05:34:30.580 and and

05:34:31.660 that made

05:34:32.000 a lot of

05:34:32.460 sense to

05:34:32.860 me um

05:34:33.880 so it

05:34:35.040 made sense

05:34:35.620 and i

05:34:35.840 think you

05:34:37.380 know then

05:34:39.260 it's uh it

05:34:40.200 makes sense

05:34:40.540 there

05:34:40.800 and okay

05:34:44.120 let's go back

05:34:45.140 to some of

05:34:45.500 the stuff

05:34:45.740 um i think

05:34:47.740 i think the

05:34:48.180 ndp it's

05:34:48.800 more so

05:34:49.280 just jagmeet

05:34:50.640 is tactically

05:34:51.340 stupid he 0.99

05:34:52.320 thought that he

05:34:53.080 was going to

05:34:53.740 be safer by

05:34:54.720 hugging the

05:34:55.400 liberals when

05:34:56.000 he really

05:34:56.480 should have

05:34:56.880 been doing

05:34:57.680 a sort of

05:34:58.240 frenemies

05:34:58.760 thing where

05:34:59.100 he's constantly

05:34:59.980 about to

05:35:01.200 pull support

05:35:01.720 and then

05:35:02.040 they give

05:35:02.320 him something

05:35:02.720 but he

05:35:03.120 he would

05:35:03.660 like pretend

05:35:04.700 he's going to

05:35:05.060 pull support

05:35:05.500 they would

05:35:05.840 call his bluff

05:35:06.340 and then he'd

05:35:06.700 come running

05:35:07.040 home which

05:35:07.400 means that

05:35:07.740 you end up

05:35:08.160 gaining nothing

05:35:08.760 from it

05:35:09.220 that's where

05:35:10.340 he was

05:35:10.560 completely

05:35:10.920 ridiculous

05:35:11.540 alexander

05:35:13.040 kim says

05:35:13.460 for five

05:35:13.820 bucks i think

05:35:14.280 vancouver

05:35:14.720 east side

05:35:15.340 region with

05:35:15.800 the ndp

05:35:16.240 is holding

05:35:16.600 well because

05:35:17.400 one has

05:35:18.700 deep homelessness

05:35:19.320 issues and

05:35:19.920 the other is

05:35:20.380 a hipster

05:35:20.780 neighborhood

05:35:21.140 near emily

05:35:22.200 carr

05:35:22.560 that's probably

05:35:24.700 a good theory

05:35:25.280 iron 519

05:35:26.880 says for

05:35:27.300 two dollars

05:35:27.680 liberal minority

05:35:28.680 is second

05:35:29.140 best year

05:35:29.840 year of

05:35:31.240 harney will

05:35:32.260 wake people

05:35:32.840 up i i

05:35:33.820 think that again

05:35:34.460 you're going

05:35:34.900 to get a lot

05:35:35.240 of people

05:35:35.660 once the trump

05:35:36.820 issue is gone

05:35:37.560 because that's

05:35:38.200 not going to

05:35:38.520 last forever

05:35:39.040 in terms of

05:35:39.560 the tariffs

05:35:40.080 and the

05:35:41.480 liberal government

05:35:42.040 just keeps being

05:35:42.660 as bad as it

05:35:43.260 was before

05:35:43.760 with many of

05:35:44.300 the same

05:35:44.600 people like

05:35:45.920 are people

05:35:48.000 then just going

05:35:48.480 to be like

05:35:48.820 oh no no

05:35:49.240 this is fine

05:35:49.880 i i think

05:35:51.340 eventually people

05:35:52.100 will be like

05:35:52.560 oh wait

05:35:53.280 no that's not

05:35:54.720 how like this

05:35:55.500 is not great

05:35:56.240 uh jay gurish

05:35:57.740 says for 279

05:35:58.860 i'm sure cpc

05:35:59.740 plus block

05:36:00.260 government but

05:36:01.000 yeah i again

05:36:02.140 i just don't

05:36:02.520 think that's the

05:36:02.960 precedent in

05:36:03.600 canada

05:36:04.080 the mall says

05:36:06.320 for two dollars

05:36:06.860 if pier loses

05:36:07.480 then can it

05:36:08.380 be sheer uh

05:36:09.300 can be sheer

05:36:10.000 plus block

05:36:10.720 i eat glue

05:36:13.660 for two dollars

05:36:14.220 says cpc

05:36:14.880 will flip five

05:36:15.580 from lpc

05:36:17.120 and van

05:36:17.500 and ontario

05:36:18.140 plus two

05:36:18.700 ndp bc

05:36:19.600 uh there's

05:36:20.780 some that

05:36:21.300 could still

05:36:21.620 flip back

05:36:22.160 but again

05:36:22.520 it's just

05:36:22.940 it's a tight

05:36:23.560 knees riding

05:36:24.000 so it's hard

05:36:24.460 to place a

05:36:25.460 bet on it

05:36:26.060 um

05:36:27.700 colonna is

05:36:30.480 again one of

05:36:31.000 those right

05:36:31.320 it's just it's

05:36:31.820 gone back from

05:36:32.320 191 leading

05:36:33.320 liberal to

05:36:33.800 200

05:36:34.240 and dash

05:36:48.800 one dash

05:36:49.260 two for

05:36:49.620 ten dollars

05:36:50.060 says sure

05:36:50.580 the liberals

05:36:51.080 can have a

05:36:51.740 minority win

05:36:52.520 but they will

05:36:53.220 not last more

05:36:53.820 than a year

05:36:54.220 block have a

05:36:54.760 call now has

05:36:55.340 the balance of

05:36:55.800 power and they

05:36:56.400 will work with

05:36:56.880 the cpc to

05:36:57.500 decentralize the

05:36:58.160 government

05:36:58.420 um

05:36:59.340 i'm not sure

05:37:01.300 if they'd work

05:37:01.740 with the cpc

05:37:02.460 at least they'd

05:37:03.060 try and drag

05:37:04.120 out concessions

05:37:04.860 from the liberals

05:37:05.500 that maybe the

05:37:06.080 liberals can't

05:37:06.680 give

05:37:07.000 vegan eat says

05:37:08.680 hey your

05:37:09.320 coverage in

05:37:09.740 polls are

05:37:10.040 being great

05:37:10.480 is there any

05:37:11.020 chance an

05:37:11.520 electoral tie

05:37:12.280 leaving result

05:37:13.040 in limbo

05:37:13.620 at this point

05:37:14.620 probably not

05:37:15.600 sj apia

05:37:17.220 says for

05:37:18.000 699 no

05:37:18.820 message to

05:37:19.420 depress but

05:37:19.980 thank you

05:37:20.400 well thank

05:37:20.840 you for

05:37:21.080 still supporting

05:37:21.620 the show

05:37:21.960 man

05:37:22.200 and roy

05:37:23.640 buyer says

05:37:24.220 for ten

05:37:24.580 dollars to

05:37:25.040 be interested

05:37:25.540 to be it

05:37:27.480 be interesting

05:37:28.220 to check

05:37:29.420 given how

05:37:29.900 close the

05:37:30.320 vote between

05:37:30.740 liberals and

05:37:31.200 conservatives

05:37:31.680 as how many

05:37:32.680 more seats the

05:37:33.300 conservative would

05:37:33.900 have won if

05:37:35.400 ppc had not

05:37:36.120 split the vote

05:37:36.700 i'm guessing

05:37:37.500 ten plus

05:37:38.040 seats

05:37:38.380 my thing with

05:37:39.620 the ppc is

05:37:40.180 i'm not sure

05:37:40.680 if many of

05:37:41.240 the people

05:37:41.540 running for

05:37:42.020 them even

05:37:42.560 would care to

05:37:43.560 vote conservative

05:37:44.300 and it's not

05:37:45.120 because they're

05:37:45.500 so principled

05:37:46.140 i think it's

05:37:46.620 because they're

05:37:47.160 frankly at the

05:37:48.600 point where they

05:37:49.020 don't engage in

05:37:50.880 serious politics

05:37:51.740 um

05:37:54.120 165 liberal

05:37:56.140 right now to

05:37:56.640 147 conservative

05:37:57.860 43 percent of

05:38:01.040 vote for the

05:38:01.360 liberals 41.7

05:38:02.680 for the

05:38:03.060 conservatives

05:38:03.620 all right i'll

05:38:06.220 ask you a

05:38:06.560 question here

05:38:07.080 um i'm super

05:38:08.580 chatting one for

05:38:09.420 the both of us

05:38:09.980 let's say pierre

05:38:11.900 loses his seat

05:38:12.800 hypothetically and

05:38:14.540 uh he's gone

05:38:15.740 there's a new

05:38:17.120 conservative leader

05:38:17.940 runs uh you

05:38:20.400 know 14 months

05:38:21.280 from now there's a

05:38:21.840 new election

05:38:22.340 who's the

05:38:24.120 conservative leader

05:38:24.880 you want to

05:38:26.340 run the party

05:38:27.120 right and

05:38:29.060 second one who

05:38:29.940 do you think is

05:38:30.440 the most

05:38:30.820 electable so

05:38:32.160 who do you

05:38:32.460 want and who

05:38:32.880 do you think

05:38:33.080 has the best

05:38:33.400 chance of

05:38:33.780 winning i don't

05:38:36.020 even know how

05:38:36.440 to answer that

05:38:36.960 i honestly i

05:38:37.640 would just say

05:38:38.060 at this point

05:38:38.580 to be vague

05:38:39.260 not to not

05:38:40.300 to like answer

05:38:41.740 your question

05:38:42.220 with a vague

05:38:42.660 statement i

05:38:43.300 would say that

05:38:43.780 just has to

05:38:44.220 be someone who

05:38:44.640 proves themselves

05:38:45.500 if polyev ends

05:38:46.700 up losing and

05:38:47.360 ends up bowing

05:38:48.320 out okay yeah

05:38:52.040 fair enough

05:38:52.540 what do you

05:38:53.240 think i mean

05:38:54.680 i'm i'm right

05:38:55.900 now my instincts

05:38:57.400 say melissa

05:38:58.180 lansman's probably

05:38:59.080 the most electable

05:39:00.140 conservative in

05:39:01.400 this climate

05:39:01.940 right woman

05:39:03.140 lesbian the the

05:39:04.840 cbc can't really

05:39:05.760 fear monger off

05:39:06.720 of um you

05:39:08.320 know oh she's 0.96

05:39:09.060 gonna take away

05:39:09.580 your abortions 0.98

05:39:10.500 this and that

05:39:11.320 um but you

05:39:13.500 know if i had

05:39:14.360 to pick i'd

05:39:15.220 rather someone

05:39:15.620 more like leah

05:39:17.080 hastaukas who's

05:39:17.820 a good conservative

05:39:18.500 people are pointing

05:39:19.300 out like michael

05:39:20.060 cooper michael

05:39:20.560 barrett i like

05:39:21.160 those two like 0.86

05:39:21.900 those those

05:39:22.360 would be my

05:39:23.080 picks um uh

05:39:25.920 yeah that's just

05:39:26.600 what i'm that's

05:39:27.540 kind of what i'm

05:39:28.320 thinking there i

05:39:29.020 mean i also like

05:39:29.620 james bezin um

05:39:31.020 you know a bit of

05:39:32.200 old school um but

05:39:33.560 i right now i

05:39:34.960 think i look at it

05:39:35.840 and i think melissa

05:39:36.580 is probably the

05:39:37.040 most electable they

05:39:38.020 have right now

05:39:38.640 probably is the the

05:39:39.580 best chance uh to

05:39:41.380 win in a general

05:39:42.120 election but um

05:39:43.580 it's still a lot

05:39:45.580 can happen

05:39:45.960 fair enough i i

05:39:47.820 think it i i think

05:39:49.360 it depends and

05:39:49.980 again i when i say

05:39:50.900 when i'm going back

05:39:51.660 to saying you

05:39:52.040 have to prove

05:39:52.520 yourself i think

05:39:53.540 that's the whole

05:39:54.100 thing is it doesn't

05:39:54.740 even matter who

05:39:55.320 you pick it's who

05:39:56.040 can who is going

05:39:57.540 to find the unique

05:39:58.380 message in the next

05:39:59.580 few months that's

05:40:01.140 going to capture a

05:40:02.260 lot of people's

05:40:03.240 support back again

05:40:04.820 because you're going

05:40:05.220 to get a lot of

05:40:05.780 obviously turned off

05:40:07.260 people who are like

05:40:08.000 oh my goodness

05:40:08.640 votes don't matter 0.98

05:40:09.340 even though this

05:40:10.000 election is tighter

05:40:10.740 than the last one

05:40:11.580 election and who

05:40:12.520 can then rally

05:40:13.220 support to turn it

05:40:14.160 into something

05:40:14.600 useful yeah

05:40:16.640 some people said

05:40:17.540 larry brock too

05:40:18.220 i think larry

05:40:18.700 brock's a good

05:40:19.180 guy michelle

05:40:21.660 piece this question

05:40:22.480 as of the current

05:40:23.240 results if it's a

05:40:24.000 liberal minority are

05:40:25.220 the bloc and cons

05:40:25.940 allowed to go around

05:40:26.800 them or is that a

05:40:27.620 faux pas it is a

05:40:28.740 faux pas and that's

05:40:29.640 kind of problem is

05:40:30.440 that usually especially

05:40:32.000 now the conservative

05:40:33.660 government wouldn't

05:40:34.540 last as long as the

05:40:35.400 liberals so basically

05:40:36.320 the governor general

05:40:37.180 always sides with who

05:40:38.040 can last longer

05:40:38.980 sometimes in

05:40:40.640 provincial politics

05:40:41.780 the lieutenant

05:40:42.360 governor will like

05:40:43.480 give it although

05:40:44.620 the lieutenant

05:40:45.120 governor doesn't

05:40:45.900 really choose it's

05:40:47.620 more so they just

05:40:48.360 allow stuff to

05:40:49.520 happen and they'll

05:40:50.360 pretty much rubber

05:40:51.020 stamp anything that

05:40:51.700 seems reasonable

05:40:52.300 like in bc christy

05:40:54.680 clark ended up losing

05:40:55.700 the government to

05:40:56.260 uh to um john

05:40:57.720 horgan and the

05:40:58.520 greens because it

05:40:59.280 was like literally

05:41:00.040 neck and neck the

05:41:00.860 the block the

05:41:01.780 the liberals had one

05:41:02.660 more seat than the

05:41:03.820 uh than the ndp but

05:41:04.980 then the greens had

05:41:05.880 a few seats so

05:41:06.920 obviously it was

05:41:07.820 going to be that

05:41:08.980 we know how this

05:41:10.260 is going give it

05:41:10.980 to john horgan

05:41:11.940 claudia for five 0.87

05:41:14.200 bucks says hi

05:41:14.800 white i'm

05:41:15.300 devastated what

05:41:16.020 stops the ndp from

05:41:17.020 propping up a

05:41:17.620 minority liberal

05:41:18.240 government again

05:41:18.860 well the fact they

05:41:20.520 might not even have

05:41:21.080 enough seats to do

05:41:21.740 it

05:41:22.420 all right people

05:41:23.700 ask for poly

05:41:24.820 i'm making a bit

05:41:25.520 of a run in uh

05:41:27.060 it's now uh 4.3

05:41:29.420 points um in

05:41:31.720 carlton uh but

05:41:33.420 there's just uh

05:41:34.660 there's only 52

05:41:35.500 polls remaining

05:41:36.580 uh so

05:41:38.080 not sure how

05:41:39.740 that's going to

05:41:40.100 work out but

05:41:40.740 that's terrifying

05:41:41.740 yeah need a

05:41:42.800 miracle need to 1.00

05:41:43.720 get 2,000

05:41:45.680 uh

05:41:46.800 that was way

05:41:51.480 earlier

05:41:51.900 2,300

05:41:53.900 one two three

05:41:55.080 four abbey road

05:41:56.140 says thoughts on

05:41:56.900 the ndp losing

05:41:57.760 hamilton center

05:41:58.480 also give you up

05:41:59.400 uh given up on

05:42:00.440 buying a house it's

05:42:01.260 too much to ask to

05:42:02.540 be able to afford a

05:42:03.080 house and raise a

05:42:03.640 family uh yeah they

05:42:04.980 lost it but they

05:42:05.600 lost it to the

05:42:06.140 liberals at the

05:42:06.820 same time the

05:42:07.900 conservatives picked

05:42:08.680 up a hamilton

05:42:10.180 seat which is a

05:42:11.120 which is a good

05:42:11.760 sign in general for

05:42:12.860 their future

05:42:13.740 prospects

05:42:14.400 do you know

05:42:15.840 marrow says for

05:42:16.720 five bucks why

05:42:17.560 would a b and

05:42:18.460 uh alberta and

05:42:19.800 saskatchewan remain

05:42:20.940 in canada being

05:42:21.600 pushed around by the

05:42:22.420 libs in the block

05:42:23.200 uh i don't know i

05:42:25.240 think it's more so i

05:42:26.200 i always think it

05:42:26.860 from the perspective

05:42:27.880 of if you go off on

05:42:29.480 your own you become a

05:42:31.020 small country let's

05:42:32.560 assume if alberta

05:42:33.280 became its own

05:42:33.680 country a small

05:42:34.520 country where

05:42:35.020 everything's generally

05:42:35.640 pretty good or

05:42:37.120 you can sacrifice a

05:42:39.120 little bit by being

05:42:40.120 part of canada and

05:42:41.720 you can try and make

05:42:42.540 through your own

05:42:43.400 advocacy and your

05:42:44.340 own uh input into

05:42:46.420 the country make an

05:42:47.280 entire large country

05:42:48.760 a better place and

05:42:50.040 that's where i always

05:42:50.780 see alberta is

05:42:51.960 alberta can lead the

05:42:53.620 way in some ways

05:42:55.280 uh apps 101 for

05:42:58.600 699 says watching

05:42:59.680 from um manitoulin

05:43:03.040 islands great listening

05:43:04.180 tonight glad we went

05:43:05.640 blue so yeah i guess

05:43:07.960 your area went blue

05:43:08.900 arjot singh gives

05:43:10.760 99 cents thank you

05:43:11.740 for that maple leaf

05:43:13.000 forever watching from

05:43:13.940 york or durham

05:43:14.640 conservative hq is

05:43:17.740 that where they're

05:43:18.080 actually at oh fair

05:43:18.780 enough mario perusa

05:43:20.500 says for five bucks

05:43:21.480 tim houston as next

05:43:22.780 pcp leader um i don't

05:43:25.300 think so i'm not sure

05:43:26.560 if people really care

05:43:27.620 about tim houston

05:43:28.480 like the only claim to

05:43:29.820 fame is that he's like

05:43:30.600 a popular premier but

05:43:31.840 he's like nova scotia

05:43:33.240 popular you know i

05:43:34.260 mean yeah slow

05:43:37.900 chemical says for

05:43:38.780 five bucks i can't get

05:43:39.760 in line for an alberta

05:43:40.720 separation vote quick

05:43:41.820 enough and sad ran

05:43:44.680 said ryan says for

05:43:47.960 five bucks uh what's

05:43:49.620 up with 90 cans on the

05:43:50.600 belt in carlton and

05:43:51.380 how's pure doing well

05:43:52.220 that's because of the

05:43:53.340 longest ballot committee

05:43:54.340 who's this confusing

05:43:56.180 organization where

05:43:57.260 they're advocating

05:43:58.240 supposedly for

05:43:59.120 proportional representation

05:44:00.600 but by putting as

05:44:03.480 many people on

05:44:04.040 balance as possible it

05:44:04.760 doesn't make any sense

05:44:06.220 whatsoever they're in

05:44:07.860 fact like undermining

05:44:09.280 themselves because

05:44:09.760 everyone's annoyed with

05:44:10.600 them and their tactic

05:44:12.460 has nothing to do with

05:44:13.400 proportional representation

05:44:14.360 and you could easily

05:44:15.860 block them by just saying

05:44:17.140 the same guy cannot be the

05:44:19.180 agent for literally a

05:44:20.860 hundred candidates

05:44:21.880 brendan studenter said

05:44:24.720 but if the conservatives

05:44:25.680 in the bloc get a

05:44:27.160 coalition and thank you

05:44:28.280 for the twenty dollars

05:44:28.920 uh brendan but if the

05:44:30.720 conservatives in the

05:44:31.360 bloc get a coalition

05:44:32.260 then the liberals throne

05:44:33.260 speech would fall on its

05:44:34.300 face and we'd either get

05:44:35.860 another election or the

05:44:36.840 conservatives get to form

05:44:37.780 a government right in

05:44:39.460 theory but i don't think

05:44:40.500 anyone's going to push

05:44:41.240 their luck on that one

05:44:42.340 because that's like a big

05:44:43.160 area of risk for

05:44:43.920 something that could end

05:44:44.640 up blowing up in your 0.66

05:44:45.400 face brenda sudu said

05:44:47.360 we got front row seats to

05:44:49.020 a national mistake yes

05:44:52.060 vitality mirth uh says

05:44:55.560 for 699 1985 ontario pc

05:44:58.020 52 libs 48 but libs form

05:45:00.420 government with backing

05:45:01.360 of ndp and that's one of

05:45:02.980 those special circumstances

05:45:04.080 where it's so close and

05:45:05.480 the coalition is so obvious

05:45:06.660 that i think that it would

05:45:08.440 just be allowed to happen

05:45:09.540 abhinav sharma says for

05:45:13.600 50 bucks wyatt daniel

05:45:14.740 carney says he'll reset

05:45:16.300 relations with india how can

05:45:18.480 we give this cold response

05:45:19.920 to cashmere tax yes i don't

05:45:22.020 i didn't vote i'm in

05:45:23.420 surrey central i can't

05:45:24.360 vote for calistani candidate

05:45:25.580 agree with dan cons need

05:45:27.400 to stop pandering uh yeah

05:45:30.480 i mean this is the

05:45:31.940 interesting this is how

05:45:32.840 like the liberals did it

05:45:34.080 this is the conservative

05:45:35.580 mistake and like listen

05:45:36.580 i'm all against pandering

05:45:38.180 and this that but the

05:45:39.040 liberals at least stood

05:45:39.740 right if they're going to

05:45:40.520 pander the liberals pander

05:45:41.640 to every single side so

05:45:43.260 they pander to the

05:45:43.860 calisthenics being like

05:45:44.620 listen we're going to

05:45:45.540 kill all the hindus right 1.00

05:45:47.700 kill kill kill we love

05:45:49.160 it then they'll go to the

05:45:50.540 hindus and be like 1.00

05:45:52.020 no one should ever kill

05:45:53.080 any hindus killing hindus 0.65

05:45:54.360 is bad whereas the

05:45:56.420 conservatives kind of

05:45:57.280 picked the crazies here 1.00

05:45:58.440 and then didn't do the

05:45:59.860 outside pandering so

05:46:00.760 um carney like listen

05:46:03.000 we need if we're gonna if

05:46:04.920 we're gonna be in a fight

05:46:05.540 with america we're gonna

05:46:06.740 need india america and

05:46:08.180 india are the two largest

05:46:08.960 democracies in the world

05:46:09.940 we can't be in a trade war

05:46:11.600 with both of them

05:46:12.380 um so uh will carney be able

05:46:16.300 to reset relations with

05:46:17.380 india it's gonna be hard

05:46:20.860 because um india's really

05:46:24.880 really mad at us and uh

05:46:27.720 you know and you can say oh

05:46:30.520 we hate india it's like 0.93

05:46:32.320 sorry they have over a

05:46:33.540 billion people and we have

05:46:34.500 resources do you not like

05:46:35.620 money do you not want to

05:46:36.880 sell them things do you not

05:46:38.020 want our oil going do you

05:46:39.340 not want to give them the

05:46:40.320 things you make and they

05:46:41.180 give you money for it i

05:46:42.340 mean fine if you just

05:46:44.060 want to be spiteful and

05:46:44.800 racist great have fun with

05:46:46.240 that like you can you can

05:46:48.120 do that but we're gonna

05:46:49.800 need that that economy as a

05:46:51.360 as a big buyer's market in

05:46:52.640 order to get that back um

05:46:54.600 we're gonna have to be

05:46:55.520 less like we're gonna have

05:46:56.780 to sort of cut out our own

05:46:57.640 shenanigans it's kind of

05:46:58.280 funny like if we want to

05:46:59.080 trade with india we're

05:47:00.420 gonna need to be more

05:47:01.220 canada first like we're

05:47:02.280 gonna have to have less

05:47:03.160 like crazy people in our

05:47:04.880 parliament um because

05:47:06.560 india's problem with us is 1.00

05:47:07.700 that we have too many

05:47:08.360 crazies in our parliament

05:47:10.060 like i've talked to

05:47:11.060 indians um and that

05:47:12.900 like they're fine with

05:47:14.540 the canada like they

05:47:15.080 want us to be more

05:47:15.720 canada first and more

05:47:16.700 canada uh dependent

05:47:18.360 they're just really

05:47:19.240 confused as to why we've

05:47:20.420 sold our country to some

05:47:21.400 lunatics yeah uh someone

05:47:23.700 brought it up and uh

05:47:24.980 that's colonna is now

05:47:26.100 within 66 votes so the

05:47:27.780 liberal lead has come

05:47:28.720 down quite a bit there

05:47:29.720 okay that's good to see

05:47:31.320 and what else do we got

05:47:37.580 going on i guess i guess

05:47:40.500 i'd go back to super

05:47:42.020 chats just get through

05:47:42.780 this you guys are crazy 0.73

05:47:43.720 generous and we are

05:47:44.520 taking forever to get

05:47:46.040 through these uh daniel

05:47:47.640 guverich says for 279

05:47:49.500 eyes on l eglinton

05:47:51.500 lawrence and you

05:47:52.300 actually are right that's

05:47:53.120 still a very tight riding

05:47:54.200 even at the moment now

05:47:55.500 much later on in the

05:47:56.820 night what are we at

05:47:58.200 now in eglinton lawrence

05:47:59.540 that one oh actually i

05:48:03.040 think the liberal lead

05:48:04.580 has moved to the point

05:48:05.480 where i don't think that

05:48:06.040 one's in play unfortunately

05:48:07.320 yeah conservatives need

05:48:10.580 to show out in the north

05:48:11.780 and i think that's a thing

05:48:13.660 yeah i think we lost some

05:48:14.600 north northern rural

05:48:15.820 ridings that ended up

05:48:17.600 having the ndp collapse

05:48:18.720 and go liberal sparsh

05:48:20.600 ratoji uh rastogi says

05:48:23.300 so is this done here has

05:48:25.340 no chance of winning is

05:48:26.300 this a key takeaway is

05:48:27.700 that the key takeaway

05:48:28.600 here yeah i don't think

05:48:29.860 polyev can win the

05:48:31.640 election and i'm looking

05:48:33.300 at his riding and

05:48:34.100 frankly it looks like

05:48:34.860 it's narrowing his

05:48:35.580 chance of being able to

05:48:36.320 even win the riding

05:48:37.080 yeah i mean we're uh

05:48:40.980 and the concept boy says

05:48:42.880 how poor do canadians

05:48:44.180 have to get before they

05:48:45.140 realize liberals can't

05:48:46.100 run a country either way

05:48:47.520 i'm out paying these

05:48:48.460 prices moving out of

05:48:49.440 canada yeah and uh

05:48:52.800 star set seven says

05:48:54.160 699 is it possible for

05:48:55.440 the bq to join the

05:48:56.260 conservatives and

05:48:56.720 coalition as i've been

05:48:57.940 saying probably not

05:48:59.440 because that's generally

05:49:00.660 not the as someone said

05:49:02.040 it's kind of a faux pas

05:49:03.000 to bow to back an even

05:49:05.320 smaller party for an even

05:49:06.820 shakier coalition government

05:49:08.700 and and and as it stands

05:49:10.420 right now the block and

05:49:11.680 the conservatives don't get

05:49:12.540 over the threshold

05:49:13.300 uh combined so it's a bit

05:49:15.780 of a moot point right now

05:49:16.760 spencer co says for 699

05:49:18.540 pier should have taken the 0.96

05:49:19.860 briefing last week that just

05:49:21.620 yolo and publishes

05:49:22.640 everything oh on the

05:49:26.660 chinese interference does 0.66

05:49:27.560 yolo it yeah they'd

05:49:28.660 probably throw him in

05:49:29.300 jail for that i'd love it

05:49:30.760 but the they'd be like oh

05:49:32.560 my god you cannot expose

05:49:33.840 chinese foreign

05:49:34.440 interference that i hate

05:49:36.920 that issue that's a such

05:49:37.980 stupid election issue that

05:49:39.340 became a thing yeah oh

05:49:40.920 oh my goodness he's not

05:49:41.800 taking the foreign 0.98

05:49:42.260 interference like you're

05:49:43.580 not taking the security

05:49:44.240 clearance i'm like yeah

05:49:45.080 because then he can't

05:49:46.040 talk about it idiot thomas

05:49:47.740 small care the former

05:49:48.820 ndp leader backs him on

05:49:50.180 this being stupid yes and 0.85

05:49:52.640 uh simon jay says for

05:49:53.820 twenty dollars can the

05:49:54.900 cbc block force the

05:49:56.460 liberals to release

05:49:57.340 nissacop and green slush

05:49:59.060 actually kind of kind of

05:50:03.200 but if the greens and

05:50:04.660 ndp don't have enough to

05:50:05.800 keep them in and they

05:50:06.840 can't block it or maybe the

05:50:08.120 greens are even in or

05:50:09.320 maybe the greens and the 0.97

05:50:10.240 ndp are even in uh

05:50:11.440 potentially in favor of

05:50:12.760 that uh yeah i guess they

05:50:14.100 could technically force

05:50:14.960 them to do it i mean right

05:50:16.620 now the liberals just need

05:50:17.820 the liberals uh can run

05:50:19.320 with the ndp and get it

05:50:20.280 over but again with the

05:50:21.520 ndp have no leader so it

05:50:22.960 all depends who leads the

05:50:23.900 ndp and if if you're like

05:50:27.100 listen if the ndp just got

05:50:28.020 disseminated and you're

05:50:29.540 going to be the liberals

05:50:30.300 bitch again you're going to 1.00

05:50:32.200 destroy the party um the

05:50:33.920 ndp might want to like the

05:50:36.800 ndp in order to survive

05:50:37.660 needs to differentiate itself

05:50:39.340 from the liberals so we're

05:50:41.380 still in the we're still in

05:50:42.580 a bit of a chaos zone here

05:50:46.620 uh yeah and the carlton

05:50:49.660 update let's scroll down to

05:50:51.360 carlton um two three six

05:50:53.640 uh lead for uh frant fan joy

05:50:55.740 still yeah with about 50

05:50:58.960 writings to go 50 polls yeah

05:51:01.100 50 polls remaining 50 polls

05:51:03.880 remaining and there's a uh

05:51:05.760 2200 votes to make up

05:51:07.380 mm-hmm in 50 polls yeah

05:51:12.180 it's over for pierre

05:51:18.120 jagmeet stepping down

05:51:19.800 absolutely i think i actually

05:51:20.900 read that one again dash one

05:51:22.400 dash two put the current

05:51:23.320 popular vote numbers in 338

05:51:24.880 simulator lol i know what he's

05:51:27.420 doing yeah

05:51:27.880 uh chilvy rises do you think if

05:51:34.580 if we change the flag from

05:51:36.200 having a red leaf to a bar of

05:51:38.140 soap it'd be discourage

05:51:39.320 immigrants from certain lands

05:51:40.700 wasenberg for two dollars

05:51:48.180 says how skinny bulky it was

05:51:49.740 close with 50 reports yes and

05:51:51.400 now the conservatives uh

05:51:52.660 ellis ross is leading that one

05:51:54.180 okay i will support polyev cd

05:51:57.160 says for 10 bucks who else could

05:51:58.680 lead the conservatives

05:51:59.480 western idiot says if the cons and

05:52:03.280 the block combined have 172 seats

05:52:06.020 can they call a non-confidence

05:52:08.140 vote and without having to wait

05:52:09.320 for jagmeet to get his pension

05:52:10.580 this time

05:52:11.020 yes that's yeah they could

05:52:13.140 technically do that but i think

05:52:14.400 that's kind of what i'm saying

05:52:15.140 they don't even reach that at the

05:52:17.080 moment they'd be at a little

05:52:18.160 they'd be under that

05:52:19.080 i mean i'm hearing for the

05:52:20.540 maybe like 170

05:52:21.760 yeah 170 the problem is liberals

05:52:25.040 and ndp currently have it as it

05:52:27.880 stands now

05:52:28.400 yeah unless one more flips around

05:52:33.520 here like colonna and then it's one

05:52:35.500 of those things where you need the

05:52:36.320 greens then

05:52:36.980 yeah

05:52:38.100 and

05:52:40.600 motorgear solid says for five bucks

05:52:46.160 would they dare reroll safe cpcc to

05:52:49.120 get pier back in or just look bad at

05:52:50.900 this point i'm not even sure about

05:52:52.360 that it depends

05:52:53.220 if there's some guy retiring in like

05:52:55.500 calgary like i'm not i'm not i'm

05:52:57.380 not speaking for him i actually have

05:52:58.560 no clue

05:52:58.980 like a pat kelly wants to step down

05:53:00.960 i guess pat kelly and calgary would

05:53:02.640 then uh

05:53:03.440 get uh would replace him or he get

05:53:05.580 replaced

05:53:06.020 if he did that

05:53:07.200 uh shan saduki

05:53:10.920 sadikuik

05:53:12.520 for 699 says it is possible

05:53:14.940 anything substantial changes when

05:53:16.460 the count

05:53:16.880 when they count the advance polls

05:53:18.320 uh it's happening now and i think

05:53:20.260 it's really dependent on the

05:53:21.860 riding because

05:53:22.480 certain ridings for the liberals

05:53:23.760 are getting more safe certain

05:53:24.800 ones for the conservatives have

05:53:25.900 been getting

05:53:26.440 uh better or liberal leads have

05:53:29.080 been falling it really depends on

05:53:30.520 the area

05:53:30.980 like coquitlam port coquitlam

05:53:35.060 still has

05:53:36.260 like

05:53:37.260 46 or 48

05:53:40.080 polls left to count

05:53:41.100 and the liberals only leading by

05:53:42.460 325

05:53:43.240 yeah

05:53:44.800 i mean

05:53:46.700 pauliev's closing the gap a little

05:53:48.940 bit on the

05:53:49.540 the couple polls came in and

05:53:50.880 pauliev did well on them

05:53:52.100 but again we're still

05:53:53.760 we're still over 2000 behind

05:53:56.060 you actually are

05:53:57.400 to be fair though only about

05:53:59.020 like

05:53:59.480 five polls came in and he

05:54:01.260 reduced the lead of the liberal by

05:54:02.660 like 700

05:54:03.320 so hopefully some big ones

05:54:07.100 oh my goodness

05:54:08.620 nissaping uh oh here's an

05:54:10.580 actual interesting one to follow

05:54:11.840 guys i'm gonna put this on

05:54:12.680 screen

05:54:13.000 oh hey i don't want to cancel

05:54:15.940 we have

05:54:18.940 this one

05:54:20.000 25

05:54:20.860 vote lead

05:54:22.680 for the liberal

05:54:23.900 pauline rochford over

05:54:25.360 gary kelly

05:54:26.440 so that one's interesting and

05:54:28.320 there's two more polls to count

05:54:29.520 with a 25 vote lead for the

05:54:31.200 liberal

05:54:31.480 okay

05:54:33.400 that'd be pretty big

05:54:35.060 guys we got options on the

05:54:36.180 table

05:54:36.600 that needs to go blue i mean

05:54:38.600 every seat every seat matters

05:54:40.060 in this coalition here

05:54:41.540 terra nova even could go the 0.96

05:54:43.120 other way 46 votes if the

05:54:44.760 conservatives have a good

05:54:45.660 poll maybe they just win it

05:54:46.980 or maybe it's close enough it

05:54:48.460 needs a uh it would need a

05:54:49.820 recount either way unless it

05:54:51.060 just like somehow it's a 200

05:54:52.620 vote dump for the liberal

05:54:53.700 um

05:54:55.580 and yeah and then brampton is

05:54:58.700 still crazy tight vote on both

05:55:00.580 sides for the liberals and the

05:55:01.840 conservatives it's like the

05:55:03.000 conservatives have areas where

05:55:04.140 they're leading by 184 and

05:55:05.660 then literally right next door

05:55:06.940 the

05:55:07.700 liberal

05:55:09.080 is only leading by 180 in

05:55:11.240 some of those

05:55:11.820 and

05:55:17.320 bm for two dollars says does

05:55:21.500 carney bring in central bank

05:55:22.720 digital currency

05:55:23.620 he'll try i think he'll try

05:55:25.500 that is actually one of the

05:55:26.820 most dangerous thing about

05:55:27.680 mark carney that i was

05:55:28.700 bringing up more at the start of

05:55:30.140 the campaign but i just didn't

05:55:31.080 think a lot of people picked up

05:55:32.220 on it

05:55:32.500 no matter how much i mentioned

05:55:33.740 it's not because oh my

05:55:34.780 goodness people are silly i

05:55:36.100 just don't think people know

05:55:37.740 what cpc's are and it would

05:55:39.060 mean an entire explanation the

05:55:40.620 people who do know know that's

05:55:42.220 insane

05:55:42.680 uh jason curling oh wait no

05:55:50.060 paul o'keefe says the orange

05:55:51.980 orangutan to the

05:55:52.900 your south coast canadian

05:55:54.240 conservatives the election

05:55:55.700 wait

05:55:56.280 cost you're saying trump

05:55:58.260 cost us the election yeah

05:55:59.360 oh yeah yeah i was it's so late

05:56:02.240 i'm like not even reading

05:56:03.180 things right we're almost on

05:56:03.980 the six hour mark so thank you

05:56:05.640 for being here so long daniel

05:56:07.060 it is a marathon

05:56:08.060 this is why i need daniel or

05:56:09.280 i'd have gone insane

05:56:10.040 i know i'm sorry he says uh the

05:56:13.380 orange orangutan to your south

05:56:14.700 uh cost canadian conservatives

05:56:16.120 the election i know this will be

05:56:17.420 an unpopular view but it's true 0.76

05:56:19.640 what's his game promoting

05:56:20.980 alberta separation

05:56:21.900 well i think in the fact that he

05:56:23.700 wants to negotiate against

05:56:25.120 liberals

05:56:25.660 and the fact that carney said oh

05:56:28.400 he was super nice on the phone

05:56:29.520 and then flopped and then got

05:56:31.320 caught in the live saying oh

05:56:32.340 actually he was talking about

05:56:32.940 the 51st state on the phone

05:56:34.140 even though he said the other

05:56:35.260 thing the opposite a month ago

05:56:37.040 i think carney's somebody who's

05:56:39.920 an easy mark and he very much

05:56:42.100 wears his interests on his

05:56:43.580 sleeve when he needs votes he

05:56:45.480 will say one thing and then he

05:56:46.660 will say the other or he'll say

05:56:48.520 maybe the truth back when he

05:56:49.920 thinks he's fine um somebody who

05:56:52.640 can probably be manipulated pretty

05:56:54.420 easily

05:56:54.780 yeah and like i think he he

05:56:57.400 knows that like you could just

05:56:59.000 funny funnel money to brookfield

05:57:00.520 and then buy off mark carney

05:57:02.240 personally with his whatever stuff

05:57:04.540 like moose on a loose released

05:57:06.400 that and that was crazy all the

05:57:08.100 random uh the various um business

05:57:11.800 interests that brookfield has in

05:57:13.780 canadian stuff that the government's

05:57:15.440 doing

05:57:15.680 yeah

05:57:16.580 like when i hear like yeah we're

05:57:19.480 gonna have tiny prefabricated

05:57:20.840 homes i'm like what what i didn't

05:57:22.220 even need to know that brookfield

05:57:23.240 that didn't ask at holdings and

05:57:25.220 it's another brookfield and

05:57:26.060 holdings in it but

05:57:26.800 yeah

05:57:28.340 anyway so

05:57:31.740 jason kerling do you follow

05:57:34.200 australian politics uh there are

05:57:35.740 elections next no i do not or do

05:57:37.660 follow australia politics i won't

05:57:39.760 be covering anything from other

05:57:40.820 countries

05:57:41.360 nison skyfire says if the greens of

05:57:44.580 the block let the liberals get in

05:57:46.040 for four years would it be a good

05:57:47.380 idea for

05:57:47.920 an exit strat carney government will

05:57:50.580 be disastrous 10 years has been

05:57:52.360 too much as it is

05:57:54.040 um i don't think they let them have

05:57:58.400 four years again because again i

05:57:59.660 think it's in their best interest

05:58:00.620 not to let this government just

05:58:02.120 ride for that long

05:58:03.340 they're going to want to call an

05:58:04.740 election when it's convenient for

05:58:06.020 them

05:58:06.340 because they've seen what happens

05:58:08.220 when you basically let the

05:58:09.340 liberals call the shots you

05:58:10.700 support them to the end and then

05:58:12.160 they call it when it's convenient

05:58:13.280 to them

05:58:13.740 the new mdp leader is going to

05:58:15.800 have to actually oppose a lot of

05:58:17.160 these stuff the liberals do

05:58:18.600 uh same with the block because

05:58:20.840 they need to prove that they

05:58:22.180 actually have a purpose to

05:58:23.620 existing

05:58:24.080 yeah exactly or else the party

05:58:26.040 will fold

05:58:26.420 yeah

05:58:27.900 and

05:58:29.560 we've just been having crazy tight

05:58:35.180 elections all over canada for

05:58:36.640 the past while except for like

05:58:37.920 obvious incumbents like for for

05:58:39.500 and tim houston getting in

05:58:41.180 everything's been just so tight

05:58:42.840 saskatchewan new brunswick british

05:58:45.540 columbia alberta it's all been

05:58:48.120 like oh it's all within a

05:58:49.500 couple hundred votes of this

05:58:50.840 writing or that writing

05:58:51.840 jack meow meow meow meow says rip

05:58:55.660 canada conservatives never showed

05:58:57.020 up for the

05:58:57.520 north i'm wondering if you're

05:58:59.980 talking about northern ontario

05:59:01.220 maybe maybe they didn't do enough

05:59:04.560 in the northern ontario bk for

05:59:06.400 five bucks says what is the

05:59:07.480 likelihood of pure poly of winning

05:59:08.760 the popular vote i don't know

05:59:10.420 one percent at this point

05:59:12.480 um yes still with the six votes

05:59:18.180 in colonna

05:59:18.740 bryce wade ten dollars says why do

05:59:28.360 you know

05:59:28.700 when and how the advanced votes are

05:59:30.680 going to be counted and added it's

05:59:32.200 weird that they've been

05:59:33.020 they've had pierre losing a seat the

05:59:34.900 entire night

05:59:35.560 and yeah i guess uh maybe they're

05:59:37.460 coming late

05:59:38.040 and maybe he actually will lose a

05:59:39.840 seat i i don't know i can only

05:59:41.200 report on what i'm seeing here and

05:59:42.560 it's not great

05:59:43.280 yeah jb says 279 what do you mean

05:59:47.300 only a year and not four years it's

05:59:48.960 because again like we're saying

05:59:50.120 the parties like the ndp and the

05:59:52.960 bloc really everyone's 0.99

05:59:54.280 incentivized to have an earlier

05:59:55.520 election

05:59:56.000 because carney's probably not going

05:59:58.180 to want to have to negotiate over

05:59:59.600 everything

06:00:00.000 so he'll try and call an election

06:00:01.780 when it's convenient for him at the

06:00:03.680 same time the ndp also might want 0.81

06:00:05.200 an early election because they

06:00:06.360 currently are

06:00:07.060 going to not even be an official

06:00:08.760 party

06:00:09.200 and they're going to lose a lot of

06:00:10.560 money in terms of their

06:00:11.880 legislative budgets and so they're

06:00:14.360 incentivized to get a new

06:00:15.420 election just to punch above 12

06:00:16.960 seats again

06:00:17.580 regardless of who gets into power

06:00:20.280 because at some point the party

06:00:21.820 needs to do something to keep

06:00:23.020 itself financially stable

06:00:24.380 jbabs says

06:00:26.800 oh that's what i just did

06:00:28.460 bk says for five hey what do you

06:00:30.380 think is the chance of peer

06:00:31.340 poly winning the popular vote

06:00:32.680 or i think i already did that one

06:00:33.880 um

06:00:34.240 i don't think the concern is going to

06:00:35.840 popular vote

06:00:36.560 ctr lee says for five bucks do you

06:00:41.120 think that pierre is going to lose

06:00:42.480 if so what's the future for the

06:00:43.880 conservative party

06:00:44.520 i don't even know honestly it seems

06:00:46.740 like it's more likely that he loses

06:00:48.140 than not at this point

06:00:49.160 yeah i think he loses in the future

06:00:51.620 the conservative party is a

06:00:52.660 leadership race

06:00:53.440 um and that will be interesting uh

06:00:55.780 the dub ford's factions clearly

06:00:57.880 making play for it

06:00:58.920 uh yeah uh it's gonna be

06:01:02.640 interesting

06:01:02.960 uh white plays music

06:01:05.140 sends in 99 cents

06:01:06.500 and tasmo town says that five bucks

06:01:08.600 devastated the toronto boomer

06:01:10.180 liberals decided the entire country

06:01:11.880 although again the gta actually

06:01:13.920 went more blue this time than last

06:01:15.540 time

06:01:15.800 it's weird ridings that just swung

06:01:18.140 the wrong way and i'm not even

06:01:19.340 sure if that's a local effects or

06:01:20.700 or what it's going to be we're

06:01:21.800 going to need a

06:01:22.360 and kind of a post-mortem

06:01:24.040 after all this

06:01:24.900 yeah uh why it plays music for 279

06:01:27.620 says can pierre stay on his leader

06:01:29.020 if he loses

06:01:29.640 i'm not sure if he does stay on

06:01:32.500 it's that he probably needs to run

06:01:34.560 in the leadership election again

06:01:36.020 to kind of prove he can still do it

06:01:37.940 and roe claren says for 10 bucks

06:01:43.660 sorry for the dumb question but can

06:01:45.160 you explain

06:01:45.720 what you mean by more uh one more

06:01:48.300 year of this crap

06:01:49.120 could there be another election next

06:01:50.880 year

06:01:51.120 um yes yeah

06:01:52.740 yeah we i think that that came up

06:01:55.360 in the times the context where we

06:01:56.440 we're talking about four people

06:01:57.460 are saying four more years of this

06:01:58.520 crap because the liberals won and

06:02:00.080 why they're saying like a year

06:02:01.500 we think an election we think this

06:02:03.940 government will last four years is

06:02:05.200 what we're saying

06:02:05.640 yeah because it everyone's

06:02:07.480 incentivized to want a new election

06:02:09.380 yeah human 1010 says for 10 bucks

06:02:12.500 conservatives need to do better

06:02:13.600 with women since uh somehow so much

06:02:16.220 last minute poster style

06:02:18.000 misinformation being shared by

06:02:19.380 women on my social media today and

06:02:21.460 you actually are right there's so

06:02:22.680 much stuff about no the

06:02:23.620 conservatives hate women 0.94

06:02:24.520 conservatives are going to ban

06:02:25.580 abortion and i'm pro-life but it's 1.00

06:02:27.140 like no they're not that's just

06:02:28.600 obviously even pro-life conservatives

06:02:30.240 are not going to

06:02:31.240 like do a texas

06:02:33.280 ban of like nothing if that ever

06:02:36.180 happens that's going to happen like

06:02:37.480 a hundred years and it's only going

06:02:38.920 to happen because canadians want

06:02:40.260 that

06:02:40.600 that's the thing with every issue

06:02:42.540 the party tends to only do unless

06:02:44.660 it's something like really abstract

06:02:46.040 financial thing the government's

06:02:47.280 doing that most people don't have an

06:02:48.380 opinion on even if they hate the

06:02:49.980 results of it most things like guns

06:02:53.000 and like social issues tend to be

06:02:57.060 voted on by the public in the sense

06:02:59.840 that even if there's no referendum

06:03:01.100 if the public wants it they tend to

06:03:03.160 get it and with people fear-mongering

06:03:04.820 and like someone said before their

06:03:06.240 their parents legitimately think

06:03:08.180 poly is going to ban gay marriage 0.91

06:03:09.460 it's like do you actually think that's

06:03:12.100 going to happen or is it morally

06:03:13.500 satisfying to think oh he supports

06:03:15.940 bad things and i support good things

06:03:18.300 um so smac says here living in

06:03:22.440 drugged out guelph i grew up in

06:03:24.780 union ccpville uh 6.9 uh miles

06:03:28.500 or 6.9 million early votes no change

06:03:31.600 carnage shouldn't have won this

06:03:33.460 bankers oriva or voa for pm riva

06:03:37.480 oh bankers orivia he said ben bankers

06:03:41.420 and orivia chap

06:03:42.480 uh i said i'm a rivia chap and i want

06:03:46.100 to be a prime minister of a

06:03:48.140 carnage and with the well we don't

06:03:50.880 want uh any more business in the

06:03:54.360 carnage we're gonna pay a tax

06:03:56.260 everyone gonna pay a tax every money

06:03:59.240 gonna be a tax

06:04:00.980 anyways i gotta go jt for 279 what

06:04:04.820 happened if pure poly loses a seat and

06:04:06.760 i think that that's been answered by

06:04:08.420 leadership race

06:04:09.560 j babbs for 6.99 says what are the

06:04:11.920 chances of no confidence vote how

06:04:13.560 would it happen in how much time so a

06:04:15.960 year and a half to two years maybe

06:04:17.220 two and a half years i think you're

06:04:18.840 going to see one party when they've

06:04:20.520 pushed themselves up in the polls are

06:04:22.320 going to push for an early election

06:04:23.920 although the funny thing is whenever

06:04:25.640 that happens whenever party thinks it

06:04:27.080 has an advantage and calls the early

06:04:28.420 election usually they take a minor hit

06:04:30.820 so everything usually gets very

06:04:32.220 competitive after an election gets

06:04:33.880 called

06:04:34.260 chris pyle says for 69.99 i just

06:04:38.460 wanted to thank you for making this

06:04:39.840 election process so much more

06:04:41.040 bearable i truly look forward to

06:04:42.500 seeing you

06:04:42.900 get your own riding someday nice job

06:04:44.880 white

06:04:45.160 at all well thank you for that and i

06:04:47.780 definitely will try

06:04:48.760 someday for something

06:04:50.020 all poco says for two bucks jagmeet has

06:04:54.400 to wait 19 years to collect pension at

06:04:56.360 65

06:04:56.720 yes that's why i was always skeptical if

06:04:59.400 he was actually motivated by the

06:05:00.560 pension i think jagmeet was

06:05:02.120 motivated by being the leader i think

06:05:04.880 he liked being the leader and he

06:05:06.380 kept holding on because he knew as

06:05:08.080 soon as the election was going to

06:05:09.060 happen he was going to lose

06:05:09.980 nor chamber says five bucks do you

06:05:13.860 think the ndp will learn

06:05:15.020 its lesson in over supporting the

06:05:17.100 liberals

06:05:17.440 um yes and i think that's why we

06:05:21.860 suspect the government in a coalition

06:05:23.500 wouldn't last very long because the

06:05:25.440 ndp knows if they support them too

06:05:27.200 much you end up

06:05:28.120 why do you exist is the reaction from

06:05:30.520 many of their supporters john robert

06:05:32.880 says who will coalition with carny

06:05:34.480 ndp probably and then maybe the

06:05:36.740 greens

06:05:37.080 if they need them

06:05:38.860 um okay and the funny thing is

06:05:43.040 again in this election the liberals

06:05:44.540 legitimate or the conservatives

06:05:45.700 literally did better

06:05:46.700 and it still feels just kind of

06:05:49.160 crappy of course because losing

06:05:50.660 always sucks

06:05:51.220 yeah basically scorsese says for five

06:05:54.860 bucks i have

06:05:55.580 ten thousand mail-in votes where i can

06:05:57.260 deliver them

06:05:57.900 i don't really think it's a mail-in

06:06:00.640 ballot thing dude

06:06:01.460 uh cool man a bud for five bucks

06:06:04.220 says could you see someone in the

06:06:06.000 calgary riding give up their seat

06:06:07.420 for pierre

06:06:08.120 um it'd only be like an older

06:06:10.080 candidate like pat kelly if he

06:06:11.880 didn't want to be

06:06:12.580 the guy still and i think even then

06:06:14.820 what they'd probably do is say run

06:06:16.400 in another leadership if he loses

06:06:17.900 his riding run in another

06:06:19.100 leadership and if you win again

06:06:20.460 maybe someone will agree to step

06:06:22.300 down who already wants to retire

06:06:23.820 smac for five bucks says can't

06:06:27.000 bother tipping donating

06:06:28.380 volunteering out of compassion

06:06:29.640 anymore

06:06:30.100 vote uh bankus next

06:06:31.860 spencer co for 279 says the

06:06:35.340 results say trump is the real

06:06:36.780 winner tonight

06:06:37.460 and you might be right by that in

06:06:39.500 the sense that trump kind of got

06:06:40.680 the government he wanted which was

06:06:41.900 the liberals which

06:06:42.600 makes everyone resent him a little

06:06:44.740 bit more than they used to

06:06:45.820 used to

06:06:46.300 and brendan studer says what's up

06:06:48.860 with saint boniface

06:06:49.680 saint vidal riding in winnipeg and

06:06:51.740 not having counted any results i think

06:06:53.220 that's why the liberals are now at

06:06:54.320 166 i think they

06:06:55.540 eventually finally counted that

06:06:57.300 one

06:06:57.560 again colonna still super tight

06:07:00.960 uh what else do we got going on

06:07:06.940 here

06:07:07.220 fleetwood port kells is still close

06:07:14.660 coquitland port coquitland they

06:07:16.100 still haven't counted anything new

06:07:17.160 in

06:07:17.340 and

06:07:19.120 it doesn't look like there's

06:07:23.220 anything too much more

06:07:24.260 interesting to look at other than

06:07:25.860 uh skinny bulky valley is going

06:07:27.480 conservative more and more as time

06:07:28.860 goes on which is good

06:07:29.720 brendan studer says oh yeah here he

06:07:33.980 did that one 0.89

06:07:34.440 okay says for 6.99 what's what what

06:07:37.400 was peer polly's biggest mistake

06:07:38.700 this campaign

06:07:39.320 i don't think it was even his mistake

06:07:41.640 i think it was a lot of hq stuff

06:07:43.020 behind the scenes

06:07:43.720 in a lot of ways it was just

06:07:46.100 i think the wrong issues

06:07:47.960 i think they didn't they shouldn't

06:07:50.020 have let the liberals have that

06:07:51.220 quiet leadership race if anything

06:07:52.680 they should have kept banging the 0.98

06:07:53.840 drum during the leadership

06:07:54.800 that this is a completely

06:07:56.140 illegitimate process meant to

06:07:57.960 try and paper over all their

06:07:59.440 mistakes

06:07:59.900 and i think it was more so

06:08:02.100 the timeline the time you know the

06:08:04.300 clock

06:08:04.720 beat the conservatives because

06:08:06.480 this election goes on for another

06:08:08.180 seven days in my opinion i think

06:08:09.860 people

06:08:10.260 move back conservative more

06:08:12.240 yeah

06:08:13.520 i agree

06:08:15.100 murder turtle says for 279

06:08:17.120 conservatives called by election

06:08:18.320 it is for pierre

06:08:19.380 again i think that would have to do

06:08:21.180 with

06:08:21.440 what happens in the aftermath if he

06:08:23.200 doesn't win

06:08:23.700 uh they'll have to decide if someone

06:08:26.140 wants to step down

06:08:27.200 and for you know what reason and

06:08:29.020 whatnot

06:08:29.380 and also like

06:08:30.960 selling it like on just a pure

06:08:34.500 politics point like

06:08:35.740 once he lost his own riding

06:08:37.860 he's kind of like the media is

06:08:40.140 going to dunk on him the media is

06:08:41.300 going to dunk hard on him

06:08:42.640 uh tomorrow that it might not it's

06:08:45.480 going to be hard for him to become

06:08:46.560 prime minister of the of the

06:08:47.960 country after losing your own seat

06:08:49.100 it's one of those things like

06:08:51.040 what's her name um in arizona she 0.88

06:08:53.120 kept running for senate or

06:08:54.080 governor

06:08:54.440 carrie lake

06:08:55.940 carrie lake once you lose once it

06:08:58.660 becomes that you lose is kind of

06:09:00.940 the brand a little bit even though

06:09:02.340 he's won since 2004 and that used to

06:09:04.040 be a tight riding that the

06:09:05.220 conservatives could lose often

06:09:06.440 carlton that he ended up winning

06:09:08.580 it uh and that's the that's the

06:09:10.540 that's the thing that sucks is

06:09:12.060 that when you lose

06:09:12.760 people just remember the loss

06:09:14.340 chaos for you says we care about

06:09:20.140 nolan but pierre for 279

06:09:21.860 paul pucco says daniel smith for

06:09:24.840 leader of the cpc i just don't think

06:09:26.520 that that's really daniel's

06:09:27.940 style

06:09:28.760 she very much likes to go hard in a 1.00

06:09:31.420 way where she knows she can be the

06:09:32.920 premier of alberta i don't think

06:09:34.160 she's trying to position herself to

06:09:35.420 be the uh prime minister of canada

06:09:37.680 robert rebecca rebecca says for

06:09:41.340 two dollars what's the odds carnie

06:09:42.700 brings it back trudeau i don't think

06:09:44.940 so i think that he is a box ballot

06:09:47.240 box poison for them these days

06:09:48.880 bk for two dollars says what's the

06:09:51.160 chance of pure poly of winning the

06:09:52.440 popular vote i think nothing in this

06:09:54.640 uh for the national election

06:09:56.520 ony336 says for 699 do you think

06:10:00.280 pure runs in a by-election stays as

06:10:01.860 leaders opposition and runs again

06:10:03.160 he was great with young voters and

06:10:05.220 i would say that um what you would

06:10:08.320 probably say there is that again if

06:10:10.160 he can if there's a new a leadership

06:10:11.840 election called he says you know

06:10:13.560 what i'm going to step down as leader

06:10:14.880 we'll have an interim and i will run

06:10:16.240 as leader from outside of the caucus

06:10:17.880 and prove that people still want me

06:10:19.700 and i just had an inideal area to run

06:10:21.760 in

06:10:21.940 maybe he could make the point but i

06:10:24.160 think it's almost like it's almost

06:10:25.580 like trump running again in 2024 you

06:10:28.720 kind of have to reintroduce yourself

06:10:30.440 again

06:10:31.440 anita d says for 699 what are pierre's

06:10:36.220 options if he loses his seat

06:10:37.460 either we've been discussing that a

06:10:39.080 bit it's almost i would say the thing

06:10:41.460 you do is step down let someone else

06:10:42.800 be interim leader and then prove i can

06:10:44.640 still lead this party it has to be a

06:10:46.800 bit of a power move a little bit

06:10:48.840 here's the mistakes that were made

06:10:50.740 here's how i'm going to improve it and

06:10:52.420 you know here's why having a safer

06:10:54.440 seat will actually allow me to do more

06:10:56.120 as leader or something like that

06:10:57.440 kyle robinson just sends in two bucks

06:10:59.540 thank you for that

06:11:00.300 420 hitter for two dollars the msn

06:11:02.760 propaganda is the real

06:11:03.880 is real in canada

06:11:05.740 and it's a lot of voters who i'd say

06:11:09.740 can sit home

06:11:10.920 watch legacy media all the time

06:11:13.100 or all day long and in fact don't

06:11:15.840 really have to live in the real canada

06:11:18.220 you know what i mean

06:11:18.780 you don't have to live in the real canada

06:11:19.440 if you're retired and you have a lot of

06:11:22.660 money to retire on

06:11:24.020 you can just watch cbc all day and you

06:11:26.160 can live in the world with the cbc yeah

06:11:27.900 yeah yeah yeah why why your audio is

06:11:30.320 is messed up

06:11:31.040 do i sound okay

06:11:32.440 yeah you do oh yeah you your your audio

06:11:35.360 is a bit warpy you might want to like

06:11:36.980 unplug and replug your mic you just kind

06:11:38.440 of started messing up there

06:11:39.600 um yeah

06:11:42.080 that's gonna drive people crazy

06:11:44.280 don't worry we got you we got your team

06:11:47.840 we're we're on it

06:11:49.520 okay is that better

06:11:53.980 uh yeah that's better

06:11:55.760 okay perfect i think i was having a

06:11:57.820 slight internet hiccup here

06:11:58.960 but yeah i think there's a sort of

06:12:01.420 person who uh if this got cut off

06:12:03.600 that when you can kind of people there

06:12:06.400 are luxury voters i think is the big

06:12:08.240 problem in canada luxury voters who

06:12:10.020 have an extremely expensive house they

06:12:12.040 live in with a lot of equity in it

06:12:13.700 you know they're retired and again

06:12:15.600 that's not all voters anyone who's

06:12:16.800 watching our stream is not like a

06:12:17.940 liberal who thinks like this but there

06:12:19.740 are a lot of people who have the

06:12:21.360 ability to be luxury voters just as

06:12:23.240 young people in 2015 were the luxury

06:12:25.240 voters

06:12:25.660 where everything's pretty good in the

06:12:27.480 country we don't have to take things

06:12:28.860 seriously we can vote for pot

06:12:30.160 and then that didn't end up working

06:12:32.260 out very well and it's funny how as

06:12:34.640 after 10 years now younger voters and

06:12:37.340 older voters have swapped positions

06:12:38.820 where older voters are the ones we can 0.90

06:12:40.720 vote to tell trump to go you know

06:12:43.080 screw himself even though that is the

06:12:45.360 party that trump endorsed

06:12:46.420 jennifer j what is the likelihood that

06:12:50.640 trump can make all of canada the 51st

06:12:52.440 state

06:12:52.740 zero percent chance i don't think he

06:12:54.940 even actually cares about it

06:12:56.220 steven huber for 69 99 thank you

06:13:00.660 steven that's very generous

06:13:01.840 daniel smith would be the next leader

06:13:03.940 of the cpc and um i'm not sure if

06:13:07.120 you're trying to include something else

06:13:08.120 there but like i could i like to go off

06:13:10.680 on this a little bit more especially

06:13:11.820 things like thanks for donating that

06:13:13.260 much i i think that daniel is already

06:13:16.020 not in a bad not like a bad way but

06:13:18.400 she's already controversial and very 1.00

06:13:19.980 outspoken enough in a way that works

06:13:22.020 in alberta i'm not somebody who like

06:13:24.540 shies away from controversial figures

06:13:26.620 but i think that her reputation is so

06:13:28.960 alberta her running federally would

06:13:31.220 feel like the provinces are gonna have

06:13:33.280 alberta as their prime minister you know

06:13:35.160 what i mean just as that's why i don't

06:13:38.640 think tim houston would do well it feels

06:13:40.400 like middle of the road milk toast pc

06:13:43.760 politician from nova scotia is going to

06:13:45.540 be your prime minister not someone who's

06:13:48.120 their own own guy or gal

06:13:49.900 uh dash muk here says for five bucks i'm not

06:13:56.640 sure many indo-canadians did not vote for

06:13:58.600 the conservatives because the individuals

06:14:00.020 like tim upel i am not going to dispute

06:14:03.720 that at all

06:14:04.280 daniel fung for five bucks richmond e

06:14:08.280 stevenson i feel like it's too close to

06:14:09.800 call at

06:14:10.360 at zach siegel's election party if there's

06:14:13.860 more polls to count and i've missed them

06:14:15.500 maybe um hopefully i'd like that if that

06:14:20.360 happened poly have now down to just being

06:14:22.440 at a margin of 1800 with about 40

06:14:24.620 polls more to count so hopefully he pulls

06:14:27.180 it out of a hat here yeah there's actually

06:14:29.660 positive movement for pier at the end

06:14:31.440 here but yeah monster zero zero zero for

06:14:33.940 five bucks says it's so disappointing like

06:14:36.140 one is enough enough there's mass drugs

06:14:38.280 homelessness overdoses mass murder events

06:14:40.340 black light and chinese interference i would 0.97

06:14:43.180 almost say to point you to the book that

06:14:44.900 that tristan hoper read wrote about um don't

06:14:49.560 be like canada and how in the book he

06:14:52.680 mentions not only is canada gone so crazy

06:14:55.440 on all these issues that are only that we

06:14:57.920 when canadians look at it in other

06:14:59.360 countries we're like that's crazy not

06:15:01.580 realizing that oftentimes that exact same

06:15:03.520 problem is even worse in canada like

06:15:05.260 tristan hoper broke that down in that

06:15:06.780 book i still haven't read it i've just

06:15:08.400 heard him talk about the book a lot

06:15:09.720 where it's crazy where you'll have

06:15:12.060 canadians in like disbelief that

06:15:14.180 something like made is being done in the

06:15:16.260 uk not realizing that there are far

06:15:18.900 more or even the netherlands there are

06:15:20.940 far more safeguards in the netherlands

06:15:22.860 for around made than there are in canada

06:15:24.980 yet people react to it as if it's normal in

06:15:27.380 canada but if it's foreign now they take 0.99

06:15:30.260 the blinders off and they're like that's

06:15:32.160 messed up how could that ever happen

06:15:33.720 yeah and it cat uh sasha rubike how do i

06:15:40.480 say am i doing that right uh anique say i

06:15:44.360 don't i can't do the last i'm sorry

06:15:45.700 you you are it's 2 a.m here where we we're

06:15:49.800 not pronouncing anyone's name right anymore

06:15:51.660 sorry about that man but thanks for the

06:15:53.660 five bucks since ndp are below 12 means

06:15:56.100 they're out of the house of commons and

06:15:57.400 no longer an official party right no

06:15:58.900 they're not over the house of commons they

06:16:00.200 just don't get treated as an official

06:16:02.180 party which means you don't get extra

06:16:04.020 uh parliamentary budget for your party

06:16:06.680 which again is reason why they may be

06:16:08.920 motivated if they start rising in the

06:16:10.760 polls to 20 percent that they might want

06:16:12.800 to call an election just because if the

06:16:14.360 leader is someone like heather mcpherson

06:16:16.060 she's probably thinking i want to get to

06:16:18.100 the polls right now so we can get the

06:16:19.740 official party stats back she probably 1.00

06:16:21.360 wouldn't even care who wins at that

06:16:22.680 point she just doesn't want the ndp to be 0.98

06:16:24.720 the broke man's party anymore

06:16:26.240 yeah read m two dollars if you want to

06:16:29.740 bpm stop reading super chats i'm sorry

06:16:32.320 i know what you mean i think some people

06:16:35.080 sending crazy stuff

06:16:36.100 as a little burden i'm disappointed in

06:16:38.160 this country uh it says morgan mundy for

06:16:40.640 729

06:16:41.180 and dub canuck one says for 10 ducks so

06:16:44.660 three seats determined why

06:16:45.940 determined why it's in sandy canadians get

06:16:48.260 suffer under liberal new uh ndp green

06:16:51.920 or liberal ndp yeah

06:16:55.240 there's a few seats around that are

06:16:57.320 super tight that will probably take

06:16:59.420 another week to determine

06:17:00.520 armin singh says for two bucks ball

06:17:03.240 carny any day canada not a serious

06:17:05.560 country and south pod for five bucks

06:17:07.360 says i voted for pierre but i told all

06:17:09.660 of that he it was a i voted for pierre

06:17:12.140 but i told all of that it was a cope

06:17:14.020 nobody listened

06:17:15.000 cheyenne torres for 13.99 says liberal

06:17:19.460 voters are are uh liberal voters are

06:17:22.260 either the supporters whose money

06:17:23.800 depends on the liberal grift complex or

06:17:25.560 the ndp's banding behind liberals to

06:17:27.820 feel heroic so that they stood up to

06:17:30.420 an imaginary bigot taking away rights

06:17:32.740 yeah in a certain sense i think that is

06:17:34.680 true and

06:17:35.140 yeah i think what the liberals have done

06:17:36.860 well it's people always think oh there's

06:17:39.360 a lot of immigration that's what's going

06:17:40.660 to help out the liberals in fact the

06:17:42.200 immigration hurts the liberals because 1.00

06:17:43.660 immigrants do not like the progressivism 1.00

06:17:47.540 the wokeism of the liberal party but what

06:17:50.760 happens is the liberals have hired so many

06:17:52.960 federal employees those people i i would

06:17:55.100 say are or people who are in subsidized

06:17:57.520 industries i think those people are

06:17:59.060 actually a bigger voting block they've

06:18:01.160 created over the past 10 years more than

06:18:02.980 anything they like there's like another

06:18:04.220 four hundred thousand federal employees

06:18:06.520 since they took office cd just sends in

06:18:11.000 20 bucks thank you for that yellow stoic

06:18:13.280 says pierre gives me cure starmer vibes

06:18:15.900 fake conservative and panders danielle smith would 1.00

06:18:18.360 be a better leader because she actually

06:18:19.720 gives me javier trump vibes when they can

06:18:23.060 be be in charge probably overall honestly

06:18:25.480 doesn't give me cure starmer cure starmer

06:18:28.220 is a labor cure starmer is a career

06:18:30.080 communist he was never a conservative

06:18:31.500 yeah i and like and yeah and like yeah

06:18:34.440 like unless he's saying he acts like

06:18:35.920 cure starmer in which like no that's a far

06:18:38.180 call uh thank you for the two bucks

06:18:40.520 nate morgan monday says for 6.99 repair

06:18:43.980 for liberals making on a for make all of

06:18:46.700 four liberals make unaffordable one

06:18:48.620 affordability be an even bigger issue

06:18:50.580 absolutely unless they just start stealing

06:18:53.440 the liberal the conservative platform and

06:18:55.140 implementing that that would be kind of

06:18:56.400 funny but i doubt it gray fox just gives

06:18:59.060 in two bucks eric l arb gives two dollars

06:19:01.900 says does peer polyfo to wait for the for

06:19:04.360 by-election if he loses if someone wants

06:19:06.780 to step down for him and he could

06:19:10.300 technically still pull it out since it

06:19:11.680 keeps falling more and more it's now

06:19:13.840 only 1600 point gap boomers fell for trump

06:19:18.120 fear-mongering and with birth rates down

06:19:19.860 it means for each one young voter

06:19:21.600 falling for poly of its two boomers voting

06:19:23.380 liberal not quite but i think that also

06:19:26.340 the unfurability is really going to

06:19:27.860 destroy the birth rate in this country

06:19:29.280 john walker says for 1399 election day

06:19:35.180 should be a federal holiday no one no more

06:19:37.680 voting early or mail-in ballots all ballots

06:19:40.720 should be passed and counted on election

06:19:42.600 day make a video about this we need a fair

06:19:44.520 election i'd argue that i i'm not i'm

06:19:47.040 fine with early voting but i think it

06:19:48.400 should just be three days of voting or two

06:19:50.900 days of voting and that's it at the end i

06:19:53.980 don't like that people vote right after

06:19:55.740 the debate without even digesting it like

06:19:58.100 the next day i think that you should

06:20:00.140 almost have to wait until you've seen

06:20:01.600 everything

06:20:02.060 obviously some people are always going to

06:20:04.560 have their minds made up but you know

06:20:05.780 that more power to them then

06:20:07.100 do you think peer slogan sloganeering was

06:20:09.800 a bad idea yes i was quite vocal about

06:20:12.080 that i didn't think it was exactly a bad

06:20:14.120 idea i think it was just more so they

06:20:15.660 should have done

06:20:16.180 other things too and that's where i think

06:20:18.880 i think i think it undermines his

06:20:20.500 strength he's not a sloganeer he's an

06:20:21.920 explainer uh he he's not good

06:20:23.780 he you undermine what he's best at by

06:20:26.900 doing that i thought i thought it played

06:20:28.340 to his

06:20:28.760 it to his weaknesses not to his strengths

06:20:30.500 but yeah with a minority government is

06:20:32.680 it possible for the liberals to make it a

06:20:34.300 law to find to fund cbc every year as

06:20:37.400 they were planning before what's your

06:20:38.720 take on this

06:20:39.420 yeah they could technically try and lock

06:20:43.500 in the government to being funding the

06:20:45.400 cbc but it's one of those things where i

06:20:47.300 believe a government could axe that

06:20:49.520 maybe they'd have to pay some cancellation

06:20:51.400 fee but you know

06:20:52.640 well the cbc is going to get 150 million

06:20:55.740 extra dollars

06:20:56.780 western idiot says for 10 bucks great job

06:21:00.920 covering this election why what advice

06:21:02.500 would you give for getting a start in

06:21:03.920 politics i can't right now but i would

06:21:05.320 like to do my part in the future

06:21:06.440 join local boards edas help out on

06:21:10.060 campaigns

06:21:10.600 uh you know frankly make yourself

06:21:13.160 figure out what you think in paul in

06:21:16.040 terms of policy

06:21:16.840 i would just say start by talking to

06:21:19.240 people and seeing if can you actually

06:21:21.040 convince somebody are you the type of

06:21:23.140 person who actually can lead on issues

06:21:25.040 you know get involved in different social

06:21:26.880 groups whatnot

06:21:27.580 mucrosis for five bucks what does the

06:21:30.040 election result mean for western

06:21:31.120 separatism i think it's going to go up

06:21:32.900 i'm not sure if it's going to be

06:21:33.920 successful

06:21:34.400 uh gray fox for two dollars says

06:21:37.460 election canada must be audited for

06:21:38.880 corruption i honestly don't think so

06:21:40.760 antonio brown says for five bucks who

06:21:44.260 swung the election for the libs the

06:21:45.500 boomers and

06:21:46.100 is that a 2016 trump hillary upset

06:21:49.040 um i don't think it's that because i

06:21:51.160 think people were if anything remember

06:21:53.580 people were thinking that this could be a

06:21:55.460 liberal majority of like 207 210 seats

06:21:58.600 and that didn't happen if it was just

06:22:01.280 close that's all we can really say

06:22:02.820 leaf busby says for two bucks can we

06:22:05.740 have steven harper back

06:22:07.060 i'm not sure if he wants to come back

06:22:09.560 but yeah

06:22:10.040 every day i like steven harper more even

06:22:12.840 though i can always criticize certain

06:22:14.380 things about him

06:22:14.940 you know all that stuff doesn't even

06:22:17.480 matter anymore

06:22:18.260 yamato edge says do you think canada

06:22:20.920 will be divided

06:22:21.660 the funny thing is they're not going to

06:22:23.740 be divided by east west it's going to be

06:22:25.160 divided by not even class but just social

06:22:28.280 priorities because it's so clear that

06:22:30.740 literally you can go from one riding to

06:22:32.420 the next and they can have completely

06:22:33.940 different priorities despite the fact

06:22:35.840 they used to vote together it's like

06:22:37.380 the working class ridings versus not 0.99

06:22:39.960 even like the rich it's like the

06:22:42.160 metropolitan ridings the luxury voters

06:22:44.540 ronnie bby says for five bucks was part

06:22:49.760 of nam door knocking bank for ravi

06:22:51.980 uh batani van kingsway our efforts got

06:22:55.160 more votes chair i guess i'll take don's

06:22:56.880 win over amy 0.99

06:22:57.540 thank you wyatt and i think that know

06:22:59.680 what you did really good work if the

06:23:02.000 conservatives gained votes there you're

06:23:04.020 starting off at a higher plateau than

06:23:06.240 you than you previously started this

06:23:08.420 election next election rather than

06:23:09.920 having maybe

06:23:10.540 five thousand id votes you start off with

06:23:14.180 eight thousand id votes or households

06:23:16.440 so that's very good work ronnie

06:23:20.300 liam rc engineering says will there be

06:23:22.660 any judicial recounts in some of these

06:23:24.560 writings where it's like 50 votes yes

06:23:25.960 absolutely

06:23:26.480 yeah

06:23:27.080 or 20 hitter says for five bucks do you

06:23:30.400 think more campaigning will be enough

06:23:31.660 to beat the propaganda our tax pay for

06:23:34.000 next time with the cbc getting even

06:23:35.460 more funds i don't think the cbc is

06:23:36.860 actually all that

06:23:37.800 effective for the money so 150 million

06:23:41.720 extra dollars i don't think it's going

06:23:42.920 to matter that much

06:23:43.480 i think once the tensions with the u.s

06:23:46.400 die down

06:23:47.040 it's hard for the liberals to pull the

06:23:48.860 same trick twice and their trick was

06:23:51.000 making the election about standing up

06:23:52.860 to fascism in the americans

06:23:54.400 and people are saying check up carlton

06:23:56.880 carlton is getting closer it's still

06:23:58.280 not

06:23:58.560 great but it's under three points now

06:24:00.900 yeah

06:24:01.640 it's 2.7

06:24:02.600 so linda kilmer descends in 6.99

06:24:04.560 surkrat agarwal

06:24:06.740 sends in two bucks for do advanced polls

06:24:08.900 hold no significance

06:24:09.860 they do they're just being counts

06:24:11.260 accounted now and i don't really

06:24:12.900 if he's meaning like does it mean one

06:24:15.220 is it good for one party or the other

06:24:16.980 i think it just depends on the riding

06:24:18.540 depends on the ground the ground game

06:24:21.180 how much they push people out

06:24:22.340 la uh ralph leman says for 10 bucks

06:24:25.900 can the conservatives and block stop

06:24:27.240 the liberals ndp greens from post uh

06:24:29.100 from passing anything

06:24:29.880 depends they might be able to

06:24:31.740 depends on the seat count but it's not

06:24:33.740 looking like it right now

06:24:35.600 liberals at 167

06:24:37.720 i wonder if elizabeth may

06:24:39.360 i wonder if elizabeth may if she ends 1.00

06:24:41.080 up holding the tie-breaking vote

06:24:42.520 uh because remember someone has to be

06:24:44.720 the speaker

06:24:45.260 um i wonder if she ends up being

06:24:48.060 intolerable for the party

06:24:49.440 because she's in her last hurrah days

06:24:51.160 she can do whatever she wants

06:24:52.340 do you think trump will squeeze

06:24:55.580 brookfield am to manipulate carney

06:24:57.720 is this a vulnerability for canada

06:24:59.540 or not an issue

06:25:00.580 it's definitely a vulnerability

06:25:02.080 which is why people wanted him to

06:25:03.800 disclose conflicts of interest

06:25:05.160 we have this one s johnson for 6.99

06:25:09.220 says sheer no tool did not perform

06:25:10.820 nearly as well

06:25:11.520 people believe in pierre

06:25:13.080 if he says he's an attack dog

06:25:14.900 then let him maul carney in 0.92

06:25:16.240 parliament

06:25:16.600 i honestly i kind of like

06:25:18.460 to do that a little bit

06:25:19.300 but he has to be

06:25:19.940 he needs to have a seat in

06:25:21.000 parliament to do it

06:25:21.700 listen i'm all on pierre staying

06:25:23.360 with this in a minority

06:25:24.780 i think pierre should stay on

06:25:25.980 but he needs his seat in carleton

06:25:27.360 yeah

06:25:27.760 cons and pierre poly did their best

06:25:29.980 it's just that the delusional

06:25:31.660 ndp supporters freaked out over

06:25:33.080 imaginary threats and bonded

06:25:34.640 banded behind the liberals to

06:25:36.560 prevent pierre poly from winning

06:25:38.060 including his own riding

06:25:39.520 there's not actually that many

06:25:41.460 ndp votes

06:25:42.280 i'm wondering if it's just

06:25:43.360 women 1.00

06:25:43.960 who end up siding against

06:25:45.460 uh polyev in that

06:25:47.160 when you got a lot of split

06:25:48.080 households where women vote 0.99

06:25:49.200 against

06:25:49.660 polyev because of really

06:25:51.200 overplayed comments where he

06:25:52.900 made the biological clock

06:25:54.080 comment which

06:25:54.600 is true 0.89

06:25:55.500 it's just true

06:25:56.820 but the media plays up things

06:25:58.380 like

06:25:58.560 that's nasty

06:25:59.700 it's like

06:26:00.320 is it true though

06:26:01.640 i think the truth is more of

06:26:03.060 the nasty part that the liberals

06:26:04.440 have made things that

06:26:05.060 unaffordable that people don't

06:26:06.120 have families

06:26:06.680 and darkseed duflo says

06:26:09.940 liberals moved in thousands

06:26:11.820 of government workers and

06:26:12.760 immigrants in his carleton 0.99

06:26:13.880 riding over the past few years

06:26:15.040 in order to steal from pierre

06:26:16.800 well it's not rigged

06:26:18.000 i think it's more so that

06:26:19.000 there's probably just more

06:26:20.120 government employees as well

06:26:21.520 in his riding

06:26:22.100 and again immigrants are voting

06:26:23.620 conservative

06:26:24.120 liam rc engineering says

06:26:27.280 judicial recounts

06:26:28.180 some of the writings are within

06:26:29.000 one percent

06:26:29.520 absolutely usually within one

06:26:30.760 percent or half a percent is

06:26:32.120 what you recount for

06:26:33.640 linda kilmer says

06:26:35.980 kim campbell's non-confidence

06:26:37.160 vote came in three months

06:26:38.240 not in one to one and a half

06:26:40.060 years

06:26:40.480 yeah

06:26:41.600 yeah

06:26:42.600 government

06:26:43.480 government could break

06:26:44.640 i mean

06:26:45.380 yeah

06:26:45.800 mr morehouse

06:26:47.440 there's a lot of things

06:26:49.980 mr morehouse says for five bucks

06:26:52.140 it's going to take

06:26:52.960 a bit to wake up a majority of

06:26:54.600 canadians

06:26:55.000 tds

06:26:55.520 msm and carney shilling from the

06:26:57.160 cbc was wild

06:26:58.160 but they're under the microscope

06:26:59.600 now

06:27:00.040 and again

06:27:00.800 i think the problem is that

06:27:01.960 you can't pull the same trick

06:27:02.940 twice for them

06:27:03.660 and i don't think the next

06:27:05.040 election is going to be the

06:27:05.940 same

06:27:06.160 and robert mitchell says

06:27:08.740 maybe we still have an

06:27:09.620 election in october when the

06:27:10.860 libs really

06:27:11.400 crap the bed

06:27:12.440 i just don't think it's

06:27:13.540 gonna be that fast

06:27:14.360 the parties will want to

06:27:16.200 all lick their wounds

06:27:17.480 because every party's not

06:27:18.580 doing great

06:27:19.300 like the liberals are going

06:27:20.200 to feel good because they

06:27:21.200 should have lost this

06:27:22.160 in terms of what it was

06:27:24.000 looking like four months ago

06:27:25.180 but yeah

06:27:25.580 and mr

06:27:28.880 jason from canada

06:27:31.100 says for 6.99

06:27:32.260 i think cbc's decisions

06:27:33.460 to keep the msm media

06:27:34.720 at the distance during the

06:27:35.620 campaign

06:27:35.960 probably push some voters

06:27:37.340 away

06:27:37.680 potentially

06:27:38.500 you might be right about

06:27:39.620 that

06:27:40.060 gray foxer five

06:27:41.680 it's true that carney

06:27:42.460 wants to give citizenship

06:27:43.340 to family members of

06:27:44.360 immigrants

06:27:44.760 does that mean

06:27:45.740 people who've never been

06:27:47.200 into canada

06:27:48.220 can vote in elections

06:27:49.720 um

06:27:53.200 he

06:27:53.680 well i think that's always

06:27:54.780 been true

06:27:55.180 you can do the kind of

06:27:55.960 chain migration

06:27:56.720 and make it easier for

06:27:57.600 family members to move in

06:27:58.640 but that's been a big

06:27:59.420 problem in canada is

06:28:00.460 people bringing in uncles

06:28:02.640 and aunts and grandfathers

06:28:03.980 and whatnot

06:28:04.400 and one person

06:28:05.720 is bringing in like

06:28:06.820 seven dependents

06:28:07.640 that's where my

06:28:08.320 policy on immigration

06:28:09.600 has always been a hundred

06:28:10.480 thousand pr cap a year

06:28:11.780 and you can only bring in

06:28:12.720 like a

06:28:13.300 your immediate family

06:28:14.620 not

06:28:15.040 every

06:28:15.900 single

06:28:16.680 uncle and aunt

06:28:17.540 and cousin

06:28:17.980 um

06:28:21.300 yamato edge

06:28:22.260 what will happen

06:28:23.300 to all the homeless

06:28:24.260 tents

06:28:24.620 drug overdose

06:28:25.400 and crime rates

06:28:25.980 since liberals

06:28:26.380 are still in power

06:28:27.240 well unless they start

06:28:28.420 stealing conservative

06:28:29.360 policies and cracking

06:28:30.300 down on it

06:28:30.900 it's going to get worse

06:28:31.780 canadian guy

06:28:33.760 for five bucks

06:28:34.420 says if pierre

06:28:34.960 can't even win

06:28:35.460 his own seat

06:28:35.920 then he's just as much

06:28:36.620 of a joke as

06:28:37.160 bonnie crombie

06:28:37.900 well he's won that

06:28:39.600 seat multiple times

06:28:40.660 and i think they just

06:28:41.880 need a good post-mortem

06:28:42.860 to explain what

06:28:43.560 happened there

06:28:44.240 cheyenne torres

06:28:47.100 says and let's not 0.85

06:28:48.020 forget about the

06:28:48.620 liberal lawyers

06:28:49.300 uh

06:28:49.840 grift too

06:28:50.540 the mass immigration

06:28:51.860 gives those

06:28:52.500 immigration lawyers

06:28:53.300 more money

06:28:53.840 and crime policies

06:28:55.160 cause more disputes

06:28:56.000 to resolve

06:28:56.900 meaning more

06:28:57.540 dollars for

06:28:58.180 criminal

06:28:58.780 and other

06:28:59.280 type of

06:28:59.640 lawyers

06:28:59.940 i don't think

06:29:00.600 that second

06:29:01.040 part's right

06:29:01.540 but i do

06:29:02.380 believe that

06:29:02.860 there's probably

06:29:03.620 some form

06:29:04.560 of a lobby

06:29:05.100 of people

06:29:05.520 who like

06:29:06.260 immigration

06:29:06.740 because it

06:29:07.240 does give

06:29:07.780 a lot of

06:29:08.260 law firms

06:29:09.020 who do

06:29:09.320 a lot of

06:29:09.540 immigration

06:29:10.000 law

06:29:10.940 a lot

06:29:11.360 of money

06:29:12.300 dub

06:29:14.420 canuck

06:29:14.840 for five

06:29:15.260 says i feel

06:29:15.780 like this

06:29:16.240 is star wars

06:29:16.980 is how

06:29:17.320 democracy

06:29:17.820 dies

06:29:18.220 the sound

06:29:18.660 of thunderous

06:29:19.200 applause

06:29:19.660 although again

06:29:20.620 remember it's

06:29:21.080 closer than

06:29:21.700 the last

06:29:22.200 one

06:29:22.760 who's behind

06:29:25.100 you

06:29:25.420 visitor

06:29:26.580 oh it's

06:29:28.420 one of the

06:29:28.840 people sending

06:29:29.380 in super

06:29:29.780 chats

06:29:30.080 who's now

06:29:30.460 visiting

06:29:30.820 daniel

06:29:31.340 yeah

06:29:31.960 i got it

06:29:33.240 and i got

06:29:33.640 a refugee

06:29:34.360 here as

06:29:34.840 well

06:29:35.060 how's it

06:29:36.200 going

06:29:36.360 hi guys

06:29:37.600 congratulations

06:29:39.080 we defeated

06:29:39.840 magic

06:29:40.220 i don't know

06:29:41.080 if you guys

06:29:41.540 i haven't been

06:29:42.120 watching because

06:29:42.780 we've been

06:29:43.100 riding hopping

06:29:43.680 so i don't

06:29:44.100 know if

06:29:44.380 we did

06:29:44.660 this

06:29:44.920 it's

06:29:46.760 mcginty

06:29:47.180 win

06:29:47.400 it's

06:29:48.500 mcginty

06:29:48.940 win

06:29:49.160 it's

06:29:49.640 mcginty

06:29:50.100 win

06:29:50.340 you know

06:29:51.000 oh

06:29:51.480 oh

06:29:51.800 yeah

06:29:52.040 oh

06:29:53.100 yeah

06:29:53.260 and then

06:29:54.000 it doesn't

06:29:54.660 take long

06:29:55.180 right

06:29:55.660 and this

06:29:56.600 time

06:29:56.940 you know

06:29:57.620 it

06:29:57.880 what are

06:29:58.900 the numbers

06:29:59.300 right now

06:29:59.640 it's going

06:30:00.060 back and

06:30:00.540 forth

06:30:00.800 right

06:30:01.160 like the

06:30:03.500 bloc

06:30:03.740 quebec 0.58

06:30:04.000 they also

06:30:04.560 want

06:30:04.820 decentralization

06:30:05.800 right

06:30:06.460 less

06:30:06.960 you can

06:30:07.460 be

06:30:07.640 communist

06:30:08.060 quebec 0.58

06:30:08.500 but less

06:30:09.260 federal

06:30:09.600 government

06:30:09.980 let's

06:30:10.520 go

06:30:10.800 right

06:30:11.300 you don't

06:30:12.300 know what's

06:30:12.580 going to

06:30:12.780 happen

06:30:13.040 um

06:30:14.100 you know

06:30:14.740 you

06:30:15.220 win

06:30:15.800 you know

06:30:16.560 yeah

06:30:17.380 god's got

06:30:18.520 a plan

06:30:18.920 god's got

06:30:19.720 a plan

06:30:20.060 for all

06:30:20.460 magic

06:30:21.360 joe harry

06:30:22.080 is out

06:30:22.640 yeah

06:30:22.940 good news

06:30:24.280 yeah honestly

06:30:24.940 we've gotten

06:30:25.280 some good

06:30:25.640 flips on

06:30:26.220 on seats

06:30:26.700 and salman

06:30:27.360 and uh

06:30:28.000 salman's

06:30:28.360 doing crazy

06:30:29.100 hard work

06:30:29.760 and down

06:30:30.180 uh

06:30:30.660 dawn valley

06:30:31.320 north

06:30:31.680 which again

06:30:32.140 it went

06:30:32.500 liberal

06:30:32.840 but the

06:30:33.300 margin

06:30:33.760 very much

06:30:34.240 tightened

06:30:34.540 up in

06:30:34.860 that riding

06:30:35.300 for uh

06:30:35.740 joe tay

06:30:36.220 yeah

06:30:37.100 and york

06:30:37.720 region we

06:30:38.300 overperformed

06:30:39.000 i haven't

06:30:39.720 looked at

06:30:40.000 the numbers

06:30:40.340 yet i don't

06:30:40.980 where did

06:30:41.400 we underperform

06:30:42.080 but i know

06:30:42.700 your creature

06:30:43.240 carlton

06:30:43.620 i i said

06:30:47.560 in joe tay

06:30:48.300 campaign uh

06:30:49.440 if every

06:30:50.600 riding

06:30:51.260 they lose

06:30:53.180 to mark

06:30:54.300 carney

06:30:54.800 we lost

06:30:56.000 to ggping 0.89

06:30:57.040 we lost

06:30:57.700 to ccp 1.00

06:30:58.500 at least i am

06:30:59.380 proud to

06:30:59.880 stand against

06:31:00.500 ccp

06:31:01.060 yeah

06:31:02.020 yeah

06:31:02.280 okay

06:31:02.660 anyway so

06:31:03.840 uh

06:31:04.320 now i'm gonna

06:31:05.520 try and wrap

06:31:06.000 up some

06:31:06.320 of these

06:31:06.500 super

06:31:06.860 let's wrap

06:31:07.440 it up

06:31:07.640 and so

06:31:10.220 deborah b

06:31:10.800 says and

06:31:11.320 the prize

06:31:11.660 goes to

06:31:12.060 you two

06:31:12.500 for sticking

06:31:12.980 out for

06:31:13.300 the long

06:31:13.660 haul

06:31:13.880 yes and

06:31:14.280 i have not

06:31:14.560 even gone

06:31:14.820 to the

06:31:15.060 bathroom

06:31:15.420 yet it's

06:31:15.820 been six

06:31:16.220 and a half

06:31:16.560 hours uh

06:31:17.940 so thank

06:31:18.380 you for the

06:31:18.640 20 bucks uh

06:31:19.580 nerf nerd 18

06:31:20.280 says what would

06:31:21.240 you let carny or

06:31:22.200 pure poly swim

06:31:23.020 in the clay pool

06:31:24.520 no yes

06:31:26.220 nerd 18 is also

06:31:27.440 one of these guys

06:31:27.920 who follows me who

06:31:28.560 actually has like a

06:31:29.280 massive youtube

06:31:30.280 following from like

06:31:31.640 the early 2000s he

06:31:32.900 has like a video that

06:31:33.480 has like 18 million

06:31:34.240 views oddly enough

06:31:35.240 i think that's

06:31:37.380 him i i looked at

06:31:38.660 it because i i can

06:31:39.660 see people who have

06:31:40.360 high subscriber counts

06:31:41.200 he's subscribing it's

06:31:41.900 crazy gray fox says

06:31:44.040 what about elections

06:31:44.660 canada workers taking

06:31:45.500 ballot boxes home

06:31:46.280 shouldn't they be

06:31:47.120 locked up in high

06:31:47.980 security warehouses and

06:31:48.960 transported among

06:31:49.540 armored trucks i'd

06:31:50.760 agree but that's

06:31:52.040 something that the

06:31:52.600 ndp and the

06:31:53.460 conservatives and the

06:31:54.140 bloc need to dispute 1.00

06:31:55.200 or the liberals too

06:31:57.140 that that's improper

06:31:58.760 i just don't want to

06:32:00.080 sound off on something

06:32:00.880 where i don't know

06:32:01.500 what the actual

06:32:02.000 procedure is

06:32:02.880 hmw sentence in

06:32:04.820 699 thank you for

06:32:06.400 that s jones 1399

06:32:08.080 peer poly of needs

06:32:09.000 to stay as a leader

06:32:09.560 i am emailed the

06:32:10.360 ontario conservative

06:32:11.120 senate with uh and

06:32:12.860 said uh with how

06:32:13.860 doug ford behaved

06:32:14.620 during the election i

06:32:15.380 will never vote for

06:32:15.980 the ontario pcs again

06:32:16.960 until they have a new

06:32:17.840 leader jacob frapp says

06:32:20.460 for two bucks might as

06:32:21.320 well uh might as well

06:32:22.860 with uh this the wyatt

06:32:24.780 network look it's it's

06:32:27.200 it's the it's the

06:32:28.100 garfield and friends

06:32:29.020 show i it's garfield

06:32:30.380 and there's a bunch of

06:32:31.160 friends that show up like

06:32:32.080 we just saw

06:32:32.660 hmw 699

06:32:35.500 and joe k your

06:32:38.140 canadian political

06:32:38.920 politicians are too

06:32:40.020 boring the

06:32:40.520 conservatives ever

06:32:41.220 want to win they're

06:32:41.880 going to need a

06:32:42.420 firebrand populist

06:32:43.460 like nele well

06:32:45.220 oh kitchener

06:32:47.960 conestoga within 20

06:32:48.980 votes right now oh

06:32:49.900 my goodness well

06:32:50.620 hopefully the

06:32:51.180 conservatives pulled

06:32:51.720 that one out

06:32:52.300 i don't even want to

06:32:54.460 look at them anymore

06:32:55.300 that's me conceding

06:32:57.560 that oh my goodness

06:32:58.280 i'm tired of this

06:32:58.900 election

06:32:59.300 moonglow says trump

06:33:00.720 and carney go way

06:33:01.380 back i feel like so

06:33:02.280 sad about paulia up

06:33:03.440 here he's done a

06:33:04.380 great job thank you

06:33:05.300 looks like the bc

06:33:06.300 election and again all

06:33:07.940 the elections in the

06:33:08.700 past outside of super

06:33:10.500 safe incumbents have

06:33:11.380 been tight

06:33:11.840 jacobus uh yeah jacobus

06:33:14.940 says for five bucks the

06:33:15.800 boomers fear-mongering but

06:33:16.780 trump are a huge part of

06:33:17.680 this the biggest loss is

06:33:18.940 more cbc funding good

06:33:20.300 god help us damage 142 for

06:33:23.920 two bucks says isn't it

06:33:24.940 just near did lover half

06:33:27.200 the country not vote or

06:33:28.780 did over half the country

06:33:29.600 not vote no i think that

06:33:31.100 we might have actually been

06:33:31.860 above 70 percent or maybe

06:33:33.560 like 68 69 hmw says for

06:33:37.180 699 carney won't mistake

06:33:38.880 it through for won't make

06:33:40.160 it through four years

06:33:40.780 possibly another election

06:33:41.660 a year and you're in your

06:33:42.780 guest thoughts and i'd say

06:33:44.120 that's about right not maybe

06:33:45.520 a year but like within two

06:33:47.300 years

06:33:47.680 charger the comics number

06:33:51.720 two five seats away from

06:33:52.960 majority is not close the

06:33:55.260 one we lost badly it is

06:33:57.180 over and with pure losing

06:33:58.360 a seat abandoned all hope

06:33:59.460 ye who enter canada i don't

06:34:01.420 think it's good to actually

06:34:02.180 be that doom or ish i don't

06:34:03.260 think that's quite it canada

06:34:04.960 guys five bucks i think

06:34:06.300 while carney is in power i

06:34:07.760 won't celebrate remembrance

06:34:08.700 day anymore since the

06:34:09.560 liberals took away everything

06:34:10.680 our veterans fought for

06:34:11.740 well i would still support

06:34:13.100 veteran uh remembrance day

06:34:14.740 because you know the

06:34:15.840 liberals aren't going to 0.60

06:34:16.580 celebrate the veterans so

06:34:17.620 at least we should yeah

06:34:19.680 shane torres says for

06:34:21.780 1399 trump seems to have

06:34:23.100 lost his mind post code if

06:34:24.900 he goes down the path he's

06:34:26.080 claiming he will take us

06:34:27.380 down with america especially

06:34:28.680 with carney and sell it

06:34:30.260 libs in charge of our great

06:34:31.360 country i just don't think

06:34:32.300 trump understands canada and

06:34:34.320 that what you say in canada

06:34:35.400 actually is like it's way

06:34:37.440 worse than even getting in

06:34:38.460 on involved in european

06:34:39.920 politics they honestly don't

06:34:40.880 care what he says either way

06:34:42.020 but in canada it's like can

06:34:44.560 indian liberals default

06:34:45.760 liberals care so much about

06:34:47.040 what america says even more

06:34:48.340 than what happens in canada

06:34:49.520 liam rc engineering for five

06:34:52.240 says doug ford has four years

06:34:53.760 left before he goes to run for

06:34:56.140 the cpc leader why kneecap

06:34:57.960 pierre who is in p who in

06:35:00.240 ontario pc could run now i don't

06:35:03.040 know i would say vote for the

06:35:04.740 new blue party if you're in

06:35:05.780 ontario because my goodness i

06:35:07.380 cannot stand doug ford yeah

06:35:09.760 that's a bit of a and we got one

06:35:11.500 more and i'm gonna end it

06:35:12.780 pretty fast guys because i got

06:35:13.900 to go to the bathroom but

06:35:14.900 thank you for hanging in here

06:35:16.020 with us s jones for 13.99 dude

06:35:18.020 what i paid 13.99 for you not

06:35:20.140 to even comment on what i said

06:35:21.500 about doug ford what did you say

06:35:23.300 about doug ford i'm not trying to

06:35:24.840 miss you at all here dude here it

06:35:27.660 is sorry here it needs to stay as

06:35:29.180 leader i emailed the ontario

06:35:30.520 conservatives and said with how

06:35:32.220 doug ford behaved during the

06:35:33.960 election and that's that's what i

06:35:35.320 would say new blue is where i'd be

06:35:37.080 going on ontario i've been

06:35:38.320 supporting them flying in doug

06:35:40.580 ford hasn't done anything

06:35:42.120 conservative in ontario his

06:35:43.920 spending is as bad as kathleen

06:35:45.520 winn the curriculum was as bad

06:35:48.360 it's worse everything's gotten

06:35:50.200 worse except for like certain

06:35:52.160 limited things like he's good at

06:35:53.600 building infrastructure i suppose

06:35:55.000 but that's something that the

06:35:56.580 premier probably would have been

06:35:57.620 good at doing no matter what

06:35:58.680 party because it was like the top

06:36:00.240 thing that they needed to invest

06:36:01.680 more in infrastructure but yeah

06:36:03.820 damage 142 says uh for two bucks

06:36:08.960 242 out of 266 pulls 17 down sad

06:36:12.700 yeah it's sad but sorry s jones if

06:36:15.360 i didn't comment on that before i am

06:36:16.900 in panic mode having to go to the

06:36:18.380 bathroom now but thank you all for

06:36:20.220 watching this has been our canadian

06:36:22.220 election stream going on over six and

06:36:23.960 a half hours see you all later

06:36:27.140 okay

The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - April 29, 2025

Watching Canada's chaotic election live!

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