The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - January 15, 2024


Women strongly dislike Justin Trudeau

Hosted by
Wyatt Claypool
Mentioned
Justin Trudeau Jennifer Ellie Erin O'Toole Pierre Poilievre
Canada's next election will be about Liberal mass immigration Liberals LIE about the purpose of the carbon tax

Episode Stats


Length

9 minutes

Words per minute

183.54

Word count

1,823

Sentence count

108

Harmful content

Misogyny

11

sentences flagged

Hate speech

7

sentences flagged


Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

The biggest polling indicator that Justin Trudeau and the Liberal Party are not going to be able to mount a big political comeback for the 2025 federal election is the fact that they are now decisively losing women to the Conservative Party. Justin Trudeau only ever did well with three demographic groups: Quebecers, women, and voters who were 60 years old and older. And now he s arguably winning none of them.

Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Misogyny classifications generated with MilaNLProc/bert-base-uncased-ear-misogyny .
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
Hosts, guests, and mentioned names generated with spaCy (en_core_web_sm), reconciled against Wikidata.
00:00:00.000 The biggest polling indicator that Justin Trudeau and the Liberal Party are not going to be able to mount a big political comeback for the 2025 federal election is the fact that they are now decisively losing women to the Conservative Party.
00:00:12.600 Justin Trudeau only ever really did well with about three demographic groups. That was Quebecers, women, and voters who were 60 years old and older.
00:00:20.320 And now he's arguably winning none of them, depending on the day, maybe he's doing a little bit better than the Bloc, but women is the biggest loss for the Liberal Party. 0.53
00:00:28.720 But before I get into some more of the polling details, I just want to quickly mention that I, Wyatt Claypool, am running for the Calgary Signal Hill Conservative Party nomination.
00:00:37.960 It's this riding on the west side of Calgary right here. If you live in that riding, buy a Conservative Party membership and hopefully vote for me number one on your ballot when the nomination date is set.
00:00:47.700 We have a big problem, I find, with a lot of these strong Conservative ridings having a lot of red Tories running for them. 0.52
00:00:53.980 People who were big fans of Aaron O'Toole five seconds ago and now they're pretending to like Pierre Polyev's agenda, despite the fact they would have called these sorts of things radical not that long ago.
00:01:05.440 I think we need people who are real Conservatives representing Conservative ridings.
00:01:09.060 So hopefully if you live in that area, buy a membership, vote for me, or even if you don't, you can go check out my website, linked in the description below, and donate by e-transfer if you want.
00:01:17.580 It all really helps me out. But getting back to the polling, it cannot be overstated how bad this is for the Liberal Party.
00:01:24.340 The Liberals are trailing the Conservatives on women by 12 points, and make no mistake, it's not that the Liberals have been maybe digging out some male voters and then it's making up for the gap.
00:01:34.660 The Conservatives have been winning men even harder than they used to be.
00:01:38.740 But for some context, the Liberals used to lead the Conservatives significantly, although the lead was always kind of going down over time.
00:01:47.760 Justin Trudeau has been more heavily having to rely on regional differences that he knows he's going to get no votes in Saskatchewan, no votes in Alberta, very few votes in Manitoba and other parts of the country.
00:01:58.860 His votes are very concentrated.
00:02:00.480 It's what a lot of people who follow the polls say is that the Liberals have a very efficient voting base.
00:02:06.320 Their voters in the Toronto area are winning them ridings with like 32% of the vote, where Conservatives in Alberta win ridings by 75%.
00:02:15.720 So obviously a bunch of votes are technically wasted out West for the Conservatives, where the Liberals tend to have all the votes where they need them.
00:02:23.240 But women were a big part of this for the Liberal Party. 1.00
00:02:27.240 GTA women in Easter Canada, pensioners, were the ones who were lifting up the Liberals. 1.00
00:02:33.820 But now after living with the consequences of Liberal policy for eight years, the happy talking his way through a crisis bit is not working for Justin Trudeau anymore.
00:02:43.020 This was the polls from back in early 2023.
00:02:47.780 I think it was about January as well.
00:02:49.580 The Liberals were only down two points on the Conservatives when it came to women. 0.95
00:02:53.740 And this was after another year of disastrous policy since the 21 election.
00:02:58.080 But back in 2022, early 2022, the Liberals were actually still leaving the Conservatives with women. 0.59
00:03:06.080 They were at 31% in the polls and the Conservatives were at 26%.
00:03:10.140 So I want to go back to the other one.
00:03:12.200 So a year later, then the Liberals are at 30% with women and the Conservatives are at 32%.
00:03:17.740 And now the Conservatives are at 37% and the Liberals are at 25%.
00:03:22.900 The most embarrassing part of this result is the fact that the Liberals are now only one point up from the NDP.
00:03:29.840 The NDP, who shouldn't even be in the conversation of coming second when it comes to men or women.
00:03:37.020 The NDP is obviously a distant third party.
00:03:40.240 And yet somehow they're actually competitive with one of the two genders. 0.85
00:03:43.740 It's absolutely insane that this is something that the Liberals are now having to struggle with.
00:03:48.980 I just want to quickly now bring up some of the more recent polling when it comes to demographics, too.
00:03:53.940 I won't show it on screen.
00:03:55.060 But again, like I said before, the Liberals usually do better with older voters.
00:04:00.300 The NDP is the left-wing party that does better with younger voters.
00:04:03.460 The Liberals used to always win 60-plus voters with like 42% of the vote or 38% with maybe the Conservatives coming up the rear with 32% or 31%.
00:04:14.460 But right now, the Liberals are only at 30% with voters 60% and over.
00:04:20.480 The Conservatives are at 42%.
00:04:23.460 That's horrifying.
00:04:25.200 With young voters, and like make no mistake, it wasn't that the Liberals would always lose the sort of 18 to 29 demographic to the NDP.
00:04:32.980 It was just that the NDP did disproportionately better with younger voters.
00:04:37.500 Usually, they would be kind of tied with younger voters.
00:04:40.420 Now, with younger voters, the Liberals only poll 18%.
00:04:43.540 18.
00:04:44.880 The NDP is getting 28 and the Conservatives are getting 32.
00:04:48.460 A demographic that the Conservatives usually just said, yeah, we'll figure it out later.
00:04:53.500 When people turn 30, that's when we'll take it seriously.
00:04:56.260 The Conservatives are basically winning young people by default because young people don't know what party to go to on the left.
00:05:04.900 So the left is now splitting up their vote while the Conservatives are just winning every single one of these demographics, whether they're targeting them with specific policies or not.
00:05:12.900 That is an overall fundamental structural collapse happening for the Liberals.
00:05:18.720 It's not that maybe they've done a little bit too much pro-union stuff, or maybe they've done too many policies that benefit X group of people.
00:05:27.200 They just don't offer anything that appeals to any demographic, even though they keep throwing policies, benefits out the window.
00:05:34.000 The thing is that voters aren't actually coming and are attracted to that anymore.
00:05:37.740 They know that basically inflation is being driven by government spending.
00:05:42.800 This is why whenever you see the post by the Liberals that the Conservatives, all they offer Canadians are cuts and be terrified of Conservative cuts.
00:05:50.620 Nobody is terrified of Conservative cuts anymore.
00:05:53.240 Do you know why?
00:05:54.080 It's because everyone knows the government spends too much money.
00:05:56.940 While people are having to buy cheaper products to make up for the fact that they don't have as much money or they're just having to buy less,
00:06:02.920 they're seeing the government constantly buying and spending more and taxing people more for the pleasure of seeing the government burn money in barrels.
00:06:12.560 That's why the sort of happy talk type politics that used to be able to get a lot of people in the GTA who tend to benefit a lot from Western equalization money,
00:06:22.180 those people, even the equalization money, is no longer padding their public finances in their provinces enough for them to not notice the rot that the Liberals have sort of put into the Canadian economy.
00:06:33.780 It's just so decisive that the Conservatives have a better plan.
00:06:37.620 And remember, the Liberals constantly have been fear-mongering over the past six months that the Conservative Party is a pro-life party.
00:06:44.620 Women can't vote for that. 1.00
00:06:45.980 We're standing with women. 0.99
00:06:47.180 Women don't care. 1.00
00:06:48.280 Actually, if you look at the polling, women are more pro-life than men are. 0.97
00:06:51.220 And most Canadians are actually more pro-life than they let on.
00:06:55.280 There's no such thing, or at the very least, it's a unicorn voter who is pro-abortion in all instances.
00:07:01.700 So when they fear-monger because the Conservatives might want to ban sex-selective abortion or some MPs want to have some limit on abortion,
00:07:10.480 that doesn't scare women. 1.00
00:07:13.400 That doesn't scare men either.
00:07:14.500 That doesn't scare any Canadian.
00:07:15.700 Because every Canadian actually usually assumes that we have some reasonable limit until they're informed we don't.
00:07:21.820 In which case, it totally takes the baton away from the Liberals when people realize that they've kind of been lied to when it comes to the abortion issue their entire lives.
00:07:31.500 That it's not that the Conservatives want to restrict it to like six weeks or something like that, like Texas.
00:07:36.780 We have no limit.
00:07:37.680 And most Canadians do not buy into the fear-mongering once they know that fact.
00:07:43.200 Anyways, that's pretty much it for me today.
00:07:45.720 I was hoping to be able to maybe do a follow-up podcast with a female Conservative influencer to talk about this issue. 1.00
00:07:52.460 Because I want to see what their insight is into what they hear from women on why maybe people are shifting Liberal to Conservative or NDP to Conservative.
00:08:00.980 When it comes to just what the priorities of a lot of Canadian women are, I think it would be an interesting podcast.
00:08:07.160 I reached out to Kat Canada.
00:08:08.960 Maybe we can do a live stream with her or someone else, maybe Jennifer Ellie. 0.88
00:08:13.380 But until I've nailed something down on that, you probably won't hear about it until I've scheduled something.
00:08:18.780 But other than that, I usually have my usual fundraiser in the description below.
00:08:23.280 It's a Give, Send, Go link.
00:08:24.540 I have a legal fundraiser going because a billionaire is suing myself and the National Telegraph.
00:08:29.160 We are winning that lawsuit.
00:08:30.300 It was based on a complete nonsense defamation accusation against us.
00:08:35.400 The only thing that we said about the guy was something that we based on a Globe and Mail article that came out about him two years ago that said way more about him than we ever said.
00:08:44.900 But he thought we couldn't pay for the lawsuit and that he could extract a fake apology out of us to make himself look good.
00:08:50.980 And it's not gone that way for him because we were willing to fight it out with him in court.
00:08:54.900 And other than that, again, I'm running for the Calgary Signal Hill Conservative Party nomination.
00:08:59.000 My name is Wyatt Claypool.
00:09:00.620 So go look up my website that I've put in the description of this video.
00:09:04.520 Check out my priorities, my platform.
00:09:06.420 If you live in that routing, buy a membership.
00:09:08.140 If you don't, try and reach out to people you know live in that area and get them to vote for me if you can.
00:09:12.880 So, yeah, I guess other than that, everyone can expect that I'll have another video out probably within the next day or two.
00:09:20.560 If not, get on my case because I was lazy yesterday and didn't put anything out.
00:09:25.040 Have a good one, everyone.
00:09:25.980 Have a good one.