The NXR Podcast - November 11, 2026


THE SPECIAL - Young Women Are The Problem

American Glory - Why Our Immigration is Sinful—And Christians Should Hate it

Episode Stats


Length

1 hour and 7 minutes

Words per minute

183.54

Word count

12,326

Sentence count

548

Harmful content

Misogyny

45

sentences flagged

Toxicity

19

sentences flagged

Hate speech

86

sentences flagged


Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Misogyny classifications generated with MilaNLProc/bert-base-uncased-ear-misogyny .
Toxicity classifications generated with s-nlp/roberta_toxicity_classifier .
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
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00:00:47 radical christian nationalist pastor joel webin joel webin i'm gonna talk about joel webin
00:00:59 joel webin is an accident
00:01:17 All right, we are back. This is our third and final part of a mini three-part series
00:01:26 on really a lot of topics. The first part, we talked about the rise of socialism in America
00:01:33 on really both sides of the political aisle. Only one side admits it, but both sides.
00:01:39 Socialism everywhere.
00:01:40 Right. And then our second part was on kind of the generational divide, old versus young.
00:01:46 And here, we are going to be talking about the age-old battle of the sexes, men versus women, and how, if we were to narrow it down right out of the gate, we could say young women are the problem.
00:02:01 There are very, very troubling signs in the polling, and we can get into them, but it's one of those things that's basically bringing us to societal collapse, and not a lot of people are talking about it. 0.61
00:02:10 Wow. Okay. So if you have not watched part one and part two, again, this is the third part.
00:02:16 This is Mark Mitchell. He is the honest poller or the honest pollster on X, right?
00:02:22 Honest pollster on X on YouTube. It's honest poll and check out my website, the honest poll.com.
00:02:28 Perfect. So this is what you do pretty much all day, every day, right?
00:02:32 I try to understand what people are thinking and I'm doing it from let's represent the voter and
00:02:37 not how can I get my party to win? So there are very few people like me out there.
00:02:41 Yeah. I've learned this the hard way going and, hey, this guy's saying this and this guy's saying
00:02:47 that. And then come to find out, they're all skewed. They're all biased. The polls. Somebody
00:02:54 paid them. And not the people. Yeah. But some political party or particular candidate. But
00:03:01 basically, you're the pollster of the people. Yeah. I would even take it further. I mean,
00:03:06 pollsters do lie and they definitely have given the industry a bad name, but it's almost everybody
00:03:11 in the entire political class. It lies to you for a living because they want their team to win.
00:03:16 And if people just think back to the last week or two of the courageous voices that have come out
00:03:21 and said, no, the reality is different than what you've been told. And then they've been
00:03:25 attacked on the right. You had Mark Halperin come out and say, yeah, actually a bunch of
00:03:29 campaign consultants tell me that Republican candidates are pulling their hair out. And he
00:03:34 got attacked by Chris Lasavita brutally. He had Steve Deese come out and he said, hey, you know,
00:03:39 I heard I went to this party meeting. They said the polling was terrible. And I thought really
00:03:44 hard about whether I should tell you or not. Right. Like these are not good things. I mean,
00:03:49 we have a couple of inside campaign leaks come out and they're all telling us that Republicans
00:03:53 knew the entire time that they would be in this situation, weren't able to say things because of
00:03:59 the friendly fire that they would take from Donald Trump. And they know their messaging is terrible
00:04:03 and they know the polling looks bad and yet they'll all come and attack me for trying to say
00:04:08 like i warned you a year and a half ago you would be here right right yeah that seems to be the
00:04:13 major problem um right now it's like oh well it's you know it's the the far right podcasters it's
00:04:20 their fault you know it's tucker carlson candace owens nick fuentes so on and so forth all the
00:04:25 usual suspects like we're going to get trounced in the midterms and it's their fault for demoralizing
00:04:30 right-wing voters and, you know, and mitigating the voter turnout. And it's terrible because
00:04:36 this, we've never said this before, but we're saying it now for the first time ever. This is
00:04:40 the last election of our lifetime, you know, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah. And it's like, no, like
00:04:45 we're getting, we're getting trounced. Not because of Tucker, not because of Nick, not because of
00:04:52 so on and so forth. We're getting trounced because of Trump. Trump betrayed his promises. He upset
00:04:58 people and there were plenty of warnings you to his face there were plenty of warnings along the
00:05:04 way and trump uh to anyone who warned him he said f you out of my sight sent off uh and then
00:05:12 everybody who told him the things he wanted to hear laura loomer mark levin whoever like all 0.78
00:05:17 of a sudden lindsey grant like what is maggot here's the thing like all these maggot guys are
00:05:21 like um you know i'm true maggots like well really i mean if anyone gets to define maggot it's trump
00:05:28 Right. It's his movement. And Trump has defined MAGA. He told us explicitly, Lindsey Graham is MAGA. And Mark Levin is MAGA. You know, so like, all right. So I'm true MAGA. All right. Great. Andrew Wilson, Andrew Wilson and Lindsey Graham. Right. Perfectly aligned. And I'm just, I'm not on that team. I don't want to be on that team. I don't want to have to sit down to my dad. I'm gay. You know, it'd just be really hard.
00:05:53 So anyways, that's where we are.
00:05:55 You've been saying these things for a while, actually pulling on the ground the people,
00:05:59 what's really going on, sounding the alarm, sounding the warning you were not listened to.
00:06:04 And now there's a bit of hell to pay.
00:06:07 But even the payment that we're experiencing now pales into comparison with how serious
00:06:12 and how fast this could culminate, explode.
00:06:18 Yeah, we are definitely primed for upheaval.
00:06:21 And this environment we're in, especially with the podcasters and the Republican politicians who are trying to wrestle with their impending loss, the energy I'm feeling is that crack addict in your family who's finally faced with that rock bottom like family intervention.
00:06:34 These are the exact kind of lies that they would tell the rest of their family, right?
00:06:39 This is the last election.
00:06:41 But it's like one more hit, please.
00:06:42 I just need one more high, right?
00:06:44 And then at this point, we've come to a place where the Republican Party needs a broad coalition to win the presidency.
00:06:51 They will never win again unless they're able to form that broad coalition.
00:06:55 That involves acknowledging all the political changes that we've been talking about in the last two episodes, which is that you have to have an economic progressive populist platform.
00:07:06 You have to stop with the Washington, D.C. establishment free market capitalism orthodoxy.
00:07:12 you actually have to meet the needs of the younger generation who have been shut out of the entire
00:07:16 economic system like these are pretty obvious like this should not be rocket science like i should
00:07:22 not be one of five or ten people out there saying this and getting attacked about it but by chris 1.00
00:07:26 lasavita's bots right uh and then finally there is like major problems with um the women like that 1.00
00:07:34 is a big problem this is one of the ones and you don't hear that a lot because the republican party 1.00
00:07:38 is the party of boomers and boomers love feminism um but it's it is the core driver of one of the
00:07:46 big issues that we have which is increasing threat of political violence like this is where
00:07:51 a lot of this is coming from the young women so so three episodes part one was basically um episode
00:07:57 on the economic divide second one was generational divide boomers gen z and now we're going to talk
00:08:03 about the battle of the sexes. But say what you just said again, like flesh that out a little bit
00:08:09 that is this all women or is it mostly young women? So like we said before, there's no group
00:08:16 that is completely homogenous. We're talking about signals of maybe 10, 20, 30 points between
00:08:22 different demographics. But when you look at overall women to men, some people will show you
00:08:28 maps and say, well, this is what politics would look like if only men voted. And it's an entirely 0.87
00:08:33 red map. And I think that that's a false dichotomy because quite frankly, first off, you have a lot
00:08:39 of men that act like women. And second off, like the Republican party doesn't know what to do with
00:08:45 the super majority. It would not govern for the American people for sure. And so that's, in my
00:08:49 opinion, a false dichotomy. And I don't want to give overall all women a bad rep. Depending on
00:08:54 the poll, they're only like six to 10 points off from men as far as like political leanings. 1.00
00:08:58 So Kamala Harris wasn't winning by like 30 points with women. 1.00
00:09:03 It was more like 10 points, depending on the poll. 1.00
00:09:05 And obviously, if it was just women, she would have won as well. 1.00
00:09:09 But the political pendulum does its work. 1.00
00:09:12 Like these women can shift back and forth between Republican and Democrat. 1.00
00:09:16 And certainly, certainly you have the crazy old woman who watches MSNBC. 1.00
00:09:20 And we've documented this, who MSNBC watchers, their number one and number two issues in 0.98
00:09:26 the 2024 election were threats to democracy and abortion rights over the border and prices and so
00:09:32 those are that's brainwashing for men uh young men especially it's uh can i afford to have a
00:09:39 family where's my role in society why does everybody hate me the system sucks and nobody
00:09:44 fixes it right and can i get a job though and afford a home and and afford to have a family 0.99
00:09:49 whereas young women it's um will i be allowed to murder my kids they want that 100 they and 0.99
00:09:56 it's always framed my body, my choice. Right. And there is a lot of positive news here that 0.97
00:10:01 people don't talk about. Your body, my choice forever. Yeah. But if you actually poll on
00:10:07 abortion, let's look at the trimesters and just split it up. It's actually very good news for 1.00
00:10:12 Republicans. The problem is Republicans don't understand the Overton window. Only about a
00:10:17 quarter of America wants abortions after three months. That's very good news. And I forget the 1.00
00:10:25 number, I think it's about 60% would be okay if you cut it off a month or younger, right? So it's
00:10:30 like, if you could convince the completely like no abortion people that, all right, we got it,
00:10:36 we got it down to a month. Would you take that deal? You're getting like 60% of the country,
00:10:40 right? So now young women, unfortunately, over index in the amount of people that think it would 1.00
00:10:48 be okay up to nine months. Is it all of them? No, but it's a bigger signal than the other people. 0.99
00:10:53 And we're seeing this repeated in many other questions.
00:10:57 This is so much, though, that I've stopped asking about it recently.
00:11:00 But we asked a question, is the murder of the UnitedHealthcare CEO, Luigi Mangione, murdered this guy, understandable because of the cost of high price of health care?
00:11:12 And I think it was in the 30s overall, but it was closer to 40, 45 percent with the under 40 women. 0.84
00:11:19 So under 40 women are always leading this group of people who think violence is okay, who think words are violence, who want to crack down on the unvaccinated. 0.51
00:11:30 These are like the brown shirts of the left, essentially.
00:11:33 And it's because they're, quite frankly, soft targets.
00:11:36 They're emotional thinkers.
00:11:38 They're consensus-driven.
00:11:39 They're on the internet all day long.
00:11:41 They are seeking validation.
00:11:43 And this has been proven by a lot of really great polling.
00:11:45 And NBC had a poll out that asked under, I think it was under 30, under 30 Trump voters what they wanted out of life and under 30 Harris voters, what they wanted under, women Harris voters, what they wanted out of life.
00:12:00 The under 40 male Trump voter, number one was like kids to get married.
00:12:06 And these were like 40, 35, 40 percent like high numbers. 0.65
00:12:10 the women, it was like a career validation. For them, getting married and having women was like 0.99
00:12:18 6%. Scripture calls Christians to renew our minds, and that includes how we think about money,
00:12:25 work, and stewardship. But most of us were taught to accumulate so that we can consume rather than
00:12:31 build capital so that we can create something that lasts. Reformed finance helps Christians
00:12:37 rethink that approach. Whether you're leading a household, a business, or a church, it's time to
00:12:43 examine what the world has taught you about money and what it means to steward it faithfully. Learn
00:12:50 how to build an approach to financing that gives you more control over your capital, helps you
00:12:56 prepare for emergencies, and positions you to seize opportunities with less dependence on someone
00:13:03 else's approval. The goal is bigger than your next purchase. It's a family economy strong
00:13:09 enough to pass down to the next generation. Visit reformedfinance.net forward slash NXR
00:13:17 to learn more and access free resources. Again, that's reformedfinance.net forward slash NXR.
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00:14:25 20% off. Wow. And so these are the people, like, realistically, who should be pair bonding,
00:14:32 right, and forming families. And this is the ultimate driver of why we have a low birth rate.
00:14:38 Are we below replacement yet? I think we're getting close, right? Yes, we are. For the first
00:14:43 time, white Americans in the last just, I think this just came out like a year ago. But for the 0.97
00:14:50 first time, it's ticked up. Yeah. So white Americans are pretty much the only ones who
00:14:55 have actually ticked up hispanics still going down blacks going down um so there's you know 0.96
00:15:01 some encouraging stuff there but overall even white white americans are absolutely below because 0.73
00:15:07 replacement is 2.1 and i'm pretty sure in the high ones you were in the high ones really like
00:15:11 it so it's ticking back up i think it's like 1.7 maybe 1.8 so so people understand the impact of
00:15:18 what that means is that essentially we have an inflationary system that is built on so much debt
00:15:24 that it constantly needs to keep growing yeah our system is not hardened against any really
00:15:30 meaningful deflation at all that was just inflated away right yeah that's the plan that's the plan
00:15:35 which trust the plan financially repressive to anybody who doesn't have a massive stock portfolio
00:15:39 or own business right so the plan is to make the economy even worse for people especially under 50
00:15:47 young people who are supposed to be funding the boomer social security medicare at least it's a
00:15:51 very perverse system. But specifically, where this is going with us being less than replacement rate
00:15:58 means our population is shrinking. It's hard for the GDP line to continue to go up if our population
00:16:04 is shrinking. It has to be done on productivity then. And I'm pretty sure that we're getting
00:16:08 diminishing returns there. And so what we're going to see eventually is an inability to fight
00:16:14 this deflation and we'll have deflationary stuff happen. Well, I think you're right. But real quick,
00:16:20 with the population going down let me just play the devil's advocate advocate for a moment and
00:16:24 i'm not even saying i like these things i'm genuinely asking for myself and the sake of
00:16:28 the audience uh what about what about robots coming into the mix like so um below the replacement
00:16:36 uh population going down but let's just say hypothetically humanoid robots for means of
00:16:43 production able to do all these things blah blah blah or are we talking more so not not so much
00:16:47 about the ability to produce as a nation and more so about the market of who buys. Less people means
00:16:53 just less consumers. I think it's a mix of both. I mean, less consumers is obviously the problem.
00:16:59 A lot of the CEOs want to see more migration in in order to increase the consumer base and keep
00:17:05 wages repressed, which for them creates higher corporate profits. And obviously, we see countries
00:17:13 all over the place who have declining birth rates opt into mass immigration to the point where it's 0.98
00:17:19 destroying canada they'll probably be a joke of a state in 30 or 40 years so you want to talk about 0.95
00:17:24 colonization we're probably going to have to colonize canada to keep them oh yeah i i think 0.96
00:17:28 about that all the time like um if we if we were serious uh i think we would do that to mexico 0.99
00:17:34 not because it's particularly valuable but because um it's just it's hurt our people our country 0.98
00:17:41 enough fentanyl and all they should be vassal states yeah exactly so like uh the mexican
00:17:46 government has had plenty of time to get their act together and to punish the cartel um and
00:17:51 americans are dying because of the things coming over the things and the people uh coming over our
00:17:57 borders so i think we just say hey look we gave you uh your time we're not trying to be mean but
00:18:01 um you're not in charge anymore we're in charge this is not a 51st state not not even close but 0.51
00:18:06 we're going to conquer you and we're going to declare war on Iran.
00:18:10 Nope.
00:18:10 The cartel right there on our Southern board, 1.00
00:18:13 we're going to kill them all. 1.00
00:18:14 And then I think people would like that. 1.00
00:18:16 I think it'd be great.
00:18:17 And then up above our neighbors to the North,
00:18:20 I think as we,
00:18:22 number one, 1.00
00:18:22 we need to announce a defensive war against India in terms of like, 0.99
00:18:28 we're not going to let you invade us and flood us with H1Bs. 1.00
00:18:32 And then just being consistent with that is India across the pond and India 1.00
00:18:36 to the north in Canada, which is literally, I mean, you look at their government, it's India.
00:18:41 Like you give it just a few more, 20 years. I think they're importing like 3% a year.
00:18:45 Yeah, 20 more years. And there will literally be more Indians in government in Canada than 0.89
00:18:50 Canadians. Yeah. Well, you're going to have basically old white Canadians and Indians
00:18:55 in Toronto and Quebec living off of the resources of Alberta and Saskatchewan, essentially. And so 0.99
00:19:00 they're headed probably towards some kind of disruption as well yeah um so yeah protectorate
00:19:06 where we come in and but we have to be able to clean up our own house first yes we have to
00:19:12 absolutely so like our young people have to be able to afford to live yeah you got to take care
00:19:17 of that first and then whenever we do these things uh you got to stick to our hemisphere
00:19:21 no more of this it's almost like we've been here before exactly that we can do this you know like
00:19:27 it's it's our hemisphere and it's uncontested yeah right your three other superpowers russia
00:19:32 china and here and you know the next few years right governments everywhere they can all fight
00:19:39 together yeah and then we have our half of the world it's perfect yep go ahead sorry no we have
00:19:45 a wave of right-wing south american governments and we can't even get one in america right which
00:19:51 This is crazy.
00:19:53 Okay, so what are some of the biggest things, the divide between young women and young men?
00:20:00 Is it just young women are getting more and more extreme leftist?
00:20:04 Or is there actually like, is it young men are staying flatlined and the young women are going boom, like to the moon, extreme leftist?
00:20:13 Or are right men actually diverging and becoming more right wing?
00:20:17 um i think that there is there is this aspect of feminism and a desire for female leadership
00:20:24 and how female code of the democrat party is and so right it's not i don't think an ideologically
00:20:31 driven dynamic i think it's more like i said cohesion validation uh like group bonding kind 0.98
00:20:39 of thing and interesting thing looking at the under i think it was under 40 women i looked at
00:20:44 um in the summer of 2024 when there was a switcheroo between joe biden and kamala harris
00:20:51 it was really interesting to see because here we're going from a failing male candidate to
00:20:56 a more inspiring female candidate at least more cogent right she's so brad and it didn't really 0.76
00:21:02 it only moved the democrat um like support for their own candidate like a couple of points right 1.00
00:21:08 but what was interesting is that they gained 20 points among women i think kamala was like maybe
00:21:12 plus 35 or plus 40, but they lost it from young men, right? It's pretty funny. So like your under
00:21:20 40 woman is like plus 30, like a Democrat candidate. But it's like these other things where 0.97
00:21:26 because of that and because of what those people ubiquitously think, it's preventing them from
00:21:33 forming families. It is creating those mismatched priorities that we talked about. It's creating
00:21:39 an accelerator of radical beliefs that is causing further problems with the men. Let's just put it
00:21:48 that way, right? So these men are becoming upset with the status quo. They economically are very
00:21:53 unhappy. I think that this is somewhat fueling the desire for accountability that we talked about in
00:21:58 the other episodes. But then you also specifically see them opting out of the dating market in ways
00:22:04 that are not healthy and these are these numbers again are directional but in the under 40 vote we
00:22:10 had like call it 35 percent of the group that said they were single and of that almost half of them
00:22:16 said that they weren't even trying to date anybody and that's unfortunate like that's a big chunk of
00:22:21 people like that is literally right there are failing like demographic wave yeah and so what
00:22:28 are those people doing instead they're probably playing video games right but it's not again that
00:22:33 they don't want it. Remember the polling shows overwhelmingly that men want to be a provider.
00:22:38 They want children. They want a woman. They aren't finding them. And the problem clearly 0.64
00:22:43 is the woman. Now there's a lot of people that have done more work than me into the hypergamy 1.00
00:22:47 and all this other stuff. Right. Right. And I also, we did opinions and I can't quote these
00:22:54 numbers. I don't remember off the top of my head. I just remember that directionally we asked about
00:22:58 premarital sex. And this was fascinating. So overall, how important is it for young people
00:23:06 to refrain from premarital sex? And I want to say it was like 35 or 40% important. But what was 0.92
00:23:12 fascinating is that there was an age signal and there was an age and gender signal. So boomers 0.91
00:23:18 were much less likely to say it was important. It was in the 20s. And it was the younger people
00:23:24 who I think were in the 40s who were like, no, that's probably a bad idea. Well, that's because
00:23:27 these people are dealing with sluts everywhere right so okay hold up oh that's huge uh so yeah 1.00
00:23:32 this is what we were talking about where christianity identification doesn't necessarily 0.92
00:23:36 match worldview exactly yeah so i we had an internal conversation uh me and the nxr studios
00:23:43 team about this and um so you're saying that boomers uh they cared less about promiscuity
00:23:51 fornication yep whereas younger gen z were like no you should probably wait till you're married
00:23:56 Yeah.
00:23:57 They had the more traditional, traditionally moral view. 0.98
00:24:00 Lower Christian ID, more Christian worldview, at least by that measure. 1.00
00:24:04 That's a good way of saying it. 0.96
00:24:06 So less of them identify as, I am a Christian, 0.69
00:24:10 but they ironically have a worldview that lines up more with historic Christianity than the boomers. 0.63
00:24:16 So here's the kicker. 0.63
00:24:17 Under 40 men, it was like 60%.
00:24:19 60% said...
00:24:21 It was like 58 or something.
00:24:22 Okay, 58%.
00:24:24 I got to dig this up for you.
00:24:25 But over half of the under 40-year-old men said, you should wait. 1.00
00:24:30 These women got to stop sleeping around. 1.00
00:24:33 Wow. 1.00
00:24:33 100%. 1.00
00:24:34 These women got to stop sleeping around, or also let wheels stop sleeping around, too. 1.00
00:24:40 Yeah. 1.00
00:24:40 I mean, it was definitely young people should refrain from.
00:24:44 Wow. 0.97
00:24:45 How important.
00:24:46 That's super encouraging.
00:24:47 Yeah. 1.00
00:24:47 The women were, I think, 30 points less. 1.00
00:24:49 This was the dialogue because a lot of these things, people just assume, and I got to be
00:24:54 honest i've assumed this too people just assume because i think i might have been on the losing
00:24:58 side of this internal argument with our nxr team we were debating this literally like just the other
00:25:04 week and i was like there's no way that um like lord knows i'm frustrated with boomers i think
00:25:11 they're one of the most selfish generation of all time like the meme we were talking about it before
00:25:15 we started recording where it's like the boomer when uh when presented with uh a traitor and an 0.99
00:25:20 invader if they had a gun with only two bullets they would turn around and shoot their grandchild
00:25:23 twice boomers um and that's so true like that like the truest statement like christ is lord 0.97
00:25:28 and boomers killing their own grandchildren like those are like almost equally true statements and 0.78
00:25:33 so like i mean they are cronus they really are like just the most selfish uh that the whole 0.89
00:25:39 world has always been then that like from from cradle to grave the whole world has reoriented
00:25:45 to fit them um all all marketing on television all like everything has catered to them and um
00:25:53 and it's just really sad and really disgusting but that's that so so i'm not saying i haven't 0.96
00:25:59 been wise to all the critiques and all you know all the failures of the boomers but i've always 0.89
00:26:04 kind of tipped the hat to the boomers in the sense of yeah but still on the moral issues
00:26:08 they're more conservative and we again we were debating this internally and a couple of the
00:26:13 guys on our team were saying no um you didn't see it in the public so it wasn't necessarily
00:26:19 baked into all the movies yet or the tv shows or there wasn't only fans because it wasn't the 0.60
00:26:25 internet you know but they're like joel remember like the boomers this is the sexual revolution 0.64
00:26:31 generation this is um uh row and and uh woodstock right woodstock is like you look at the boomers
00:26:38 and i look this up just to make sure um it's like the youngest boomers at the time of woodstock were
00:26:43 five right and the oldest boomers were um i believe 23 so like five to 23 years old um but
00:26:50 the majority of those in attendance and it was like thousands and like a couple hundred thousand
00:26:55 people at woodstock um the majority age demographic at woodstock was 15 to 25 and boomers at this time
00:27:02 are ages five to 23 yeah so the majority of people at woodstock were boomers and woodstock
00:27:09 was literally known as like people were walking around naked yeah right so here's the deal like
00:27:14 gen z are they are they saints no not necessarily i'm not making that argument um but but we forget
00:27:22 we so quickly forget or don't forget we just never were informed we never knew um gen z is is as many
00:27:29 morals as they may be missing or not particularly care about um gen z is is not necessarily having
00:27:36 public orgies in the mud outside in front of thousands of people yeah well the rumors did
00:27:43 that yeah that's crazy they understand the societal ramifications of bad behavior in a way
00:27:49 that the boomers do not because the boomers haven't had to wrestle in my opinion with a
00:27:54 failing society and remember they're also the generation that watched walter cronkite on tv
00:27:59 right so they that's the facts their issue isn't that they're more conservative or they're more
00:28:04 religious or whatever it's that they believe what they're told that number one boomer when you argue
00:28:08 with a boomer you're arguing with fox um that's our msnbc yeah argue with the television uh that's
00:28:14 absolutely true uh here's another thing because we again when we debate something internally it
00:28:20 gets fierce uh like we're very competitive and so we're fact checking everything uh one of the
00:28:24 other stats that we pulled up was um i believe right so i'm giving a roundabout here if i'm
00:28:29 off by one or two you know forgive me but uh the lifetime sexual partners of a boomer was i believe
00:28:36 it was like 11 or 12 uh now granted boomers have lived longer okay so take this with a grain of
00:28:41 salt uh but for the boomers like 11 or 12 sexual partners over the course of their lifetime um and
00:28:46 it just got less and less and less um whereas gen z i think was like three or four you know or five
00:28:51 well it's probably the men with one dragging down the women with 50 100 like that 100 but the point
00:28:57 they are the divorce generation as well exactly worse exactly and so my point is that like even
00:29:03 though the boomers it's like well that's not fair joel you know the boomer is 80 years old and gen
00:29:07 z is 20 years old or whatever and i'm aware i'm not stupid um but my point is i feel like i feel
00:29:14 like boomers have tried to give off this air as though like uh we have standards and we have
00:29:20 virtues and we have morals like you would yeah it i i feel like if you did a poll and and just
00:29:25 had people guess without looking at the stats um how many sexual partners do you think the average
00:29:29 i think most people would say oh women's have probably only had maybe you know one or two or
00:29:34 three sexual partners like they've been sexually you know it's sexual fidelity and that's a big 0.68
00:29:38 virtue for them no it's not no no it's not they just didn't here's the difference they just just
00:29:43 didn't talk about it you know what i mean it was it was maybe taboo but they did it well feminism
00:29:50 was part of their mainstream progressive orthodoxy as dictated by the tv that's right 1.00
00:29:56 and all the ramifications of feminism abortion sexual revolution adultery the boomers like
00:30:03 the boomers like almost have a monopoly on adultery i mean that's like that that's 0.78
00:30:09 can't even get married to like yeah they can't even they can't even meet the prerequisite for 0.92
00:30:14 you know fornication maybe but adultery you have to actually get married first and they can't afford 1.00
00:30:17 it. And so we'll find a single, you know, young chick who would be willing to do it. 1.00
00:30:23 So we didn't talk about it, but this is one of the number one drivers. We talked a little
00:30:26 about populistic or populism as an economic measure and what metrics you would use. But
00:30:32 when I talked to Trump, I was trying to represent how mad and upset and disaffected the under 40
00:30:38 voter was after all of his bad messaging. Charlie Kirk had been that voice for him. Charlie Kirk
00:30:44 died i was literally told that one of the reasons they brought me and other people in was to try to
00:30:49 get somebody like charlie kirk to talk to him about these people who he does not think about
00:30:54 real quick for the listener and for me like you you've mentioned that in our other episodes like
00:30:59 when i was having this conversation with trump what was your role what would i'm an independent
00:31:05 pollster i'm not affiliated with either party i'm a conservative i'm a conservative guy on the
00:31:09 internet uh they follow me a lot of people listen to me i am the only one out there representing the
00:31:15 voters and things were bad after charlie kirk was assassinated there we talked about the bubble that
00:31:21 had formed around trump and it was resulting in horrible messaging remember he was fighting laura
00:31:26 ingram over h1bs and the 50-year mortgage and all this other stuff oh i remember and i was getting
00:31:32 dms by people who were burning all their trump hats and 55 gallon drums behind their house and
00:31:36 I was putting them out on the internet. And they said, you know, come in, we're trying to get more
00:31:40 people to talk to him to try and get more information and views in front of him. And I went
00:31:45 in just literally to sit down with Trump 45 minutes. And my feeling was that this was a
00:31:51 White House that was hermetically sealed off from the internet, essentially. And Trump is not on
00:31:56 Twitter. He was the king of Twitter. He understood intellectual feedback loops and how to market to
00:32:00 people. And that is gone. And long and short of my conversation was, you are going to lose in
00:32:08 November, a year in advance. I told him you're going to lose. And it's because you aren't focused
00:32:12 on what you got elected for, which is economic populism, especially focused on the youth
00:32:16 and brutal visible government reform. Nobody believes you drain the swamp. And so he was
00:32:22 warned whether I was the most important voice, like who cares? It's not just that he neglected
00:32:26 those things started neglecting those things um he literally started mocking his his base whenever
00:32:32 they would whenever they would ask him you're still talking about epstein you know like yeah
00:32:37 dows 50 000 yeah exactly good brief like talk about being out of touch so but but back in the
00:32:43 day you're right he was the king of twitter he was he was dialed in he was in touch um but he's
00:32:48 still getting his data his intel so they brought you guys in yeah he's not a dumb guy and i said
00:32:53 the most important stat in my opinion, which is that every year for the last 20 years, the median
00:33:00 home buyer age has increased by one year. Right. So that means the average home buyer now is 59,
00:33:05 20 years ago, it was 39. It's literally just the same people trading houses. It's literally just
00:33:10 boomers. And so you, that is an absolute and utter failure of the housing market. The young people 1.00
00:33:16 are completely shut out. I don't know how anybody could listen to that stat and not make it like
00:33:20 one of the things that their platform i mean it should have been out of day one right and you know
00:33:27 what my the response i got back was well you know a lot of these people have worked hard to get the
00:33:31 value in their homes and we don't want to like jeopardize that and it's like i remember that's
00:33:37 crazy and i remember publicly him coming out and say house uh house price is going down i don't
00:33:41 want him to go down right which is like you just picked the generational side you just picked it
00:33:46 exactly. You picked boomers and you are one, you know, so go figure. Um, but so, so then 0.72
00:33:52 who, if, if Charlie was that voice in his ear and then Charlie's gone and he's not on Twitter
00:33:57 anymore, um, and they brought in guys to kind of replace Charlie and you were one of them when that
00:34:04 voice was gone, but then you guys got kicked out who I was never, I was there for once. I wasn't
00:34:09 sure, but, but they tried something up enough. So, so who is in Trump's ear? Who? Well,
00:34:16 Right now, it would probably be Pete Hegseth because we started a war for Israel, right? 0.75
00:34:21 So it's like they needed to course correct in October of last year, to be honest with you.
00:34:28 And what I said was that if you want to win, you have to make it look like Republicans can govern and stop attacking them and acknowledge the shortcomings you have in the Senate and at least come up with alternative plan.
00:34:39 but you need to show america the path to the golden age lay it out specifically what it is
00:34:45 like the contract for america and say that if you can what it is and who it's for golden age for who
00:34:50 yeah exactly all americans not just boomers right and specific policy points that some of them you
00:34:57 can get and maybe others you can't but this is what republicans stand for long term and it wouldn't be
00:35:03 hard it was basically the kind of stuff that charlie was telling trump like charlie knew this
00:35:07 stuff, essentially, that if you want to mint new conservatives in America, you get them married,
00:35:11 you get them a mortgage, you get them a job, right? And that's great that we're clamping down
00:35:17 on the H-1B program somewhat, but where is the broad-based focus on getting more jobs? Like,
00:35:23 where is this national project to teach American employers that they can't import their workers,
00:35:28 they're expected to train them? Like, this should be us sending a shuttle to the moon,
00:35:32 should be training the zoomers for new careers. And instead they're just completely drifting in 1.00
00:35:40 the wind, like completely, they're not, nobody cares. And maybe it's because they don't turn
00:35:43 out in primaries and they don't turn out. Maybe it's because they aren't giving the Republican
00:35:47 party a significant amount of donor bucks and their interests obviously compete with the donor
00:35:52 interests that fund the Republican party. So again, that's why I wrote that op-ed. Yes,
00:35:57 there could be a dark horse outsider. Yes, we could have a, a economic populist champion.
00:36:02 We are not going to see political change on the right until there is a structure to enforce a very specific set of policy outcomes.
00:36:12 And those would be like brutal reform of the federal government, specifically what that means, purges, like those kind of things, like brutal interior investigations over fraud, firing anybody, misusing their methods that were going to communicate that to people.
00:36:32 like transparency initiatives,
00:36:34 like we should have had like public show trials
00:36:37 of the people that were like spying on mama bears 0.98
00:36:39 and stuff like that.
00:36:41 And so when you don't do that,
00:36:42 and then Cash Patel comes out
00:36:43 and says stuff about the Charlie Kirkassash,
00:36:45 nobody believes him because nobody got fired, right?
00:36:47 So that should be one of them. 0.65
00:36:48 And I think Gen Z and the millennials
00:36:50 would be totally on board for that
00:36:51 because they're very accountability oriented.
00:36:53 They want the Doge audit.
00:36:55 Okay, let's put some, you know,
00:36:56 guide rails around like what that looks like.
00:36:59 And maybe it's a little less chaotic than Elon,
00:37:01 but the chaos is part of what these people want and you know the boomer republicans are just
00:37:07 going to have to get on board with it right and then economic populism what does that mean
00:37:11 pro-worker policies stronger unions in places where they're required like these kind of things
00:37:16 and you leave the other stuff out you know make it very clear what we stand for why the values
00:37:24 underlining them and then get new money fund this infrastructure and starve the consultant class in
00:37:30 republican party that's the only way to get there right and like this is just no more partnership
00:37:34 with israel unless it actually makes sense for america like that would not even part of the
00:37:39 conversation anymore by you see these list of five things this is what we stand for by like and that
00:37:45 you can work with your old traditional republican uh candidates but we're going to come after you
00:37:50 in the primaries and then this needs to be the organization not the republican establishment
00:37:55 this needs to be the organization that's okay with republicans losing because it's the long
00:38:00 game right it's the long game yeah because you can flip a lot more seats when it's a democrat
00:38:05 and you flip it back in a general in a wave election yeah that's what i've been saying this
00:38:10 and i mean the talking points were sent out like it's so clear like just a few weeks ago you know
00:38:17 about six weeks before the midterms it's like a mass email you know signal chats you know boom
00:38:22 they were firing out the talking points and everybody it's like like you know npcs you know
00:38:28 the the new upgrade chip got put in the back of their heads and everybody's saying the same thing
00:38:32 the most patriotic thing you can do is vote r all the way down the ballot you know and like this is
00:38:36 the last election of our lifetime and all those things are being said but when i think of not
00:38:42 just like oh here's my novel strategy of what i think could be no no just without speculation for
00:38:48 the future, just observing the past and what has been definitively. Here's the irony. I said this,
00:38:55 I think it's pretty good. The irony of today's present MAGA is that they are denying the very
00:39:03 strategy that gave them Trump in the first place. The way that we got Trump was in 2012.
00:39:10 There were a million patriots who did not go in and vote R down the ballot. There were a million
00:39:16 patriots who said, I'm sorry, there are not enough clothespins in the world to pinch my nose to vote
00:39:22 for Mitt Romney. And these were not naive people. The same people who would not vote for him because
00:39:27 he simply was not good enough and they were unwilling to compromise. These conservative,
00:39:31 many of them Christian patriots, about a million of them, who refused to vote for Romney in 2012,
00:39:37 they were not naive. These people also would say in the same breath, Barack Obama is the worst
00:39:41 president, arguably in all of American history, and the consequences are absolutely severe if he
00:39:47 gets a second term. And yet still, my conscience will not allow me to vote for Mitt Romney. And so
00:39:53 what happened? We got Barack for not just one, but two terms. Was it detrimental? Absolutely.
00:39:58 Did it clear the slate for the dark horse that gave you Trump in the first place? That's exactly
00:40:03 what happened. And all your Trump lovers, in a bitter sense of irony, and I would argue even
00:40:09 hypocrisy are saying you cannot. I am Trump's top guy, and you are a terrible person if you do the 0.99
00:40:16 very thing that gave us Trump in the first place. Yeah, it's beautiful. Crazy. And what did electing
00:40:21 Barack Obama give us? Did it destroy the country? No, but they'll say, well, it gave us Obamacare.
00:40:26 And to which I would say, we know, and then we gave you the chance to repeal it, and you failed.
00:40:31 So the problem is you guys. And so in my opinion, the way they're behaving even also shows you that
00:40:37 they're not even the constitutional conservatives that they believe they are. Uh, if, if you're
00:40:41 patriotic, I think your number one duty is to exercise your right to vote out of like conscience
00:40:47 and personal agency. And the very idea that you should do it because somebody tells you is an
00:40:52 affront in my opinion, uh, to that sacred duty. And then not only that, and we're not advocating
00:40:57 for having a hissy fit and being, you know, I'm not telling my listeners, Hey, you know what?
00:41:03 throw a fit be be a toddler take your ball go home i'm telling all of them you know what i'm
00:41:08 going to vote i always have i always will i personally as a christian minister as a husband
00:41:16 and a father of six my conscience will not allow me to vote for democrats to own the gop so i'm
00:41:23 not going to vote for a single democrat and i'm also not going to sit out i am going to go and
00:41:27 vote but you know what i i'm also going to do this is the only thing that i'm advocating for
00:41:31 that would be different than all of your MAGA tarts.
00:41:35 I'm simply saying, go and vote, vote Republican,
00:41:39 but there may be a few isolated races
00:41:41 where you not vote for the Dem,
00:41:44 but intentionally, in good conscience,
00:41:46 refuse to render your vote for the R.
00:41:49 Because that particular guy is simply not good enough
00:41:53 and we cannot tell the GOP, message to the GOP,
00:41:56 you know what, you can assume our vote forever.
00:41:58 So betray us as much as you want,
00:42:00 because guess what? We will never have any demands, any expectations. You can take advantage of us
00:42:07 till kingdom come. Stop doing that. So literally, that's my only strategy. I've told people
00:42:11 explicitly, like not just the principle, but the case studies, the example, I will be going into
00:42:16 the voting booth and I will be voting for Ken Paxton because Tallarico is, you know, Tallarico
00:42:23 and the way he twists the word of God while claiming to be a Christian is to an extent that
00:42:28 i i genuinely think that jesus uh in the wilderness being tempted by satan that satan if he heard
00:42:35 talarico would blush oh my goodness that's a little on the nose false teachers that's i think
00:42:40 literally satan the dark lord would be like talarico man maybe maybe be a bit more subtle you
00:42:45 know this is you know what i mean like so so in that case because of the alternative
00:42:50 i'm going to vote for ken paxton even though i'm not the biggest fan um and then i'm going to so
00:42:55 i'm going to vote vote for uh paxton with uh maybe a clothespin and i'm going to vote for both french
00:43:01 with a sense of pride i i like them yeah and there's a couple other ones i might uh go third
00:43:06 party or leave blank but for the most part i will be voting republican as i always have you know
00:43:11 what i'm being told right now and i've been perfectly public about this there are no qualms
00:43:15 about what i'm gonna i'm being i've been forthright and right now i'm being told by 0.82
00:43:20 all your MAGA-tards, you are basically, for all intents and purposes, you're a communist.
00:43:28 That's what I'm being told right now. Yeah. Leftist cancel tactics because these people
00:43:32 are not constitutional conservatives. They are leftist, Trotsky, and neoconservatives.
00:43:37 They believe in silencing people. They certainly don't believe in the First Amendment because the
00:43:40 First Amendment exists so that you can convey your grievances for them to be redressed by
00:43:45 your federal government. That's the entire point. So if you're not using your First Amendment for
00:43:49 that like what like what are you here for you know and that's what they don't want right they
00:43:53 attack and undermine and uh you cancel people and block people and attack it's all and you can see
00:44:00 it all the behaviors are logical fallacies which in my opinion are a front to western logos and
00:44:05 are lies and uh you know that's fine like i'm i don't lie for other people like that's not my job
00:44:11 and that's what they want they want people to lie okay so final question here at the end talking
00:44:16 going back to men and women especially young men young women um do you have any any solutions
00:44:22 because that that's the hardest thing for me is i don't i the problem is so apparent like young
00:44:27 that's kind of like the whole thing the title of this episode is young women are the problem
00:44:32 so the problem is pretty easy to diagnose but in terms of the prescriptions um i'll be honest even
00:44:40 as as a christian minister like i know like i need to preach the gospel i need to pray i need to um
00:44:46 i think you need to do the work of an evangelist with young women all that kind of stuff but
00:44:49 um are there are there any like political or economic or incentive solutions like what do
00:44:55 we do to get because i think in my opinion there's no i've said this i'm not trying to be a shock
00:45:00 jock um but but i do think this is true um i don't believe there's such a thing as a conservative
00:45:06 woman i i believe that um conservative women are not born um they're made and the thing that makes
00:45:12 him is called marriage and motherhood okay that's fair that's a woman becomes conservative when she
00:45:17 says i do on an altar before god and and then gets pregnant and i think in large part part of the
00:45:24 problem so i'm just further diagnosing here i solutions are tough uh but i think one of the
00:45:29 reasons why these young women are trending more and more liberal is because they're not getting 0.95
00:45:33 married they're remaining single so so getting i don't think it's just winning hearts and minds 1.00
00:45:39 in the free market of ideas.
00:45:42 It's like we've got to find a way 1.00
00:45:43 to incentivize women, 1.00
00:45:45 not to vote Republican, 1.00
00:45:47 but that motherhood is awesome
00:45:49 and marriage is awesome.
00:45:51 This is a crisis of leadership, ultimately.
00:45:53 And I know you say that
00:45:54 that's winning hearts and minds,
00:45:55 but there isn't a political solution
00:45:57 to all of this.
00:45:58 You can't run on repealing
00:45:59 the 19th Amendment in the end. 0.53
00:46:00 It's not going to work.
00:46:01 And you know this,
00:46:02 just for the record,
00:46:03 that is my position.
00:46:04 But I recognize there's a difference
00:46:06 in principles and tactics.
00:46:07 Nobody's going to win
00:46:08 on the, on that platform. Yeah. So here's to hoping. Well, so going back to the fourth turning,
00:46:14 what things tell us is that things get so bad that out of pull, um, not push a new group of
00:46:20 leaders, step up reform society. And that there is a rapid change in public opinion. People believe
00:46:27 things new very rapidly. And that's mostly going to be order coded. And you can see in this younger
00:46:33 generation, a desire for order. That's what we've talked about that for three hours now.
00:46:37 And so there are going to be new leaders.
00:46:39 They're going to want to see society reformed.
00:46:42 And we are going to see more leadership.
00:46:44 Now, leadership is, well, you could call it push, right?
00:46:49 This idea that when you get in, you're expected to care for this team of people, of disparate
00:46:56 people, guide them down a path for this one mission, right?
00:47:00 That mission is going to be restoring America.
00:47:03 and you're going to have to inspire people,
00:47:05 which we've been very bad at.
00:47:07 You're going to have to speak to
00:47:08 and engage all of these people
00:47:10 that have been politically isolated
00:47:11 through identity politics.
00:47:13 I actually think that this isn't hard.
00:47:15 We just haven't seen this kind of leadership.
00:47:17 We should have had national projects.
00:47:18 We should have had pride.
00:47:19 We should have not like repainting
00:47:21 the bottom of the reflecting pool, 1.00
00:47:22 like retraining young white men 0.50
00:47:25 and getting them involved in the workforce.
00:47:27 And it's like, okay,
00:47:29 tangentially we're trying to hack away
00:47:30 at the H-1B program,
00:47:31 but it hasn't been a core of what we're trying to do.
00:47:34 Like, we have not focused America on anything in the last two years.
00:47:38 What America needs to be focused on is re-employing, retraining, protectionism,
00:47:43 making America healthy again from an economic and socioeconomic standpoint,
00:47:49 re-engaging people in this experiment, rebuilding the American dream.
00:47:53 Like, we had a president that ran on it.
00:47:54 For Americans.
00:47:55 For Americans, 100%.
00:47:57 Now, in my opinion, that creates a lot of opportunity.
00:48:01 When people will say, well, like, for instance, look at all of our poor uneducated people in the inner city in the ghetto, right?
00:48:08 And I say, well, imagine if there were economic opportunities for them.
00:48:12 Don't you think our educational outcomes would be better?
00:48:15 Do we really have to throw $40,000 a year per student into these black holes of Democrat mismanagement?
00:48:21 Or it's like if that person could have a livable wage when they got out of high school with a decent education, maybe they would come to school, right?
00:48:29 So we've taken that group of people and said, okay, you're not part of this.
00:48:32 So what we're doing is we're cutting off all these limbs and boiling essentially America down to the group of people that run the donor box and get to control the legislation that's written.
00:48:42 We need to re-inspire and re-engage all these people into, and this is, you could call it nationalism, right?
00:48:47 Or whatever.
00:48:48 I don't know what specific definition you want to use. 1.00
00:48:51 I think that would go a long way with women.
00:48:53 I really do.
00:48:54 And then, frankly, we should be okay with shaming certain behaviors.
00:48:58 it exists for a reason right shame is a powerful tool and we're seeing that now with the cornell
00:49:03 seven i mean these things matter the lindsey clancy thing um yep i mean the shame uh yeah
00:49:11 shame is like and this is something christians older christians don't understand younger christians
00:49:16 are starting to get but um people think that you know well christianity the whole point of the
00:49:20 gospel is that Christianity provides a shame-free zone. That's not true. That's not what the Bible
00:49:29 teaches. That's not historic Christianity. The whole point of the gospel is not that it provides 0.98
00:49:34 a shame-free zone. If anything, the Christian gospel, the law of God, and the free gospel of
00:49:40 grace actually intensifies shame, but then provides the one place where you can run to
00:49:48 to cover that shame. So Christianity, the message of Christianity is not that you have nothing to
00:49:53 be ashamed about. No, the message of Christianity is not only did you do something bad, but you did 0.87
00:49:58 something bad against your creator who provided you with breath in your lungs and all these 0.81
00:50:02 resources and even more than that, not just a universal benevolent creator, but a particular
00:50:07 personal savior who gave his life on the cross for you. How in the world could you raise your
00:50:13 fist in defiance against cosmic treason, against the Lord, your Maker, and your personal Savior,
00:50:20 who at the cost of his blood gave his life so that you might have reconciliation with God,
00:50:25 you should be more ashamed of yourself, not less. And then, only after that is first set,
00:50:32 we're skipping that stage, in other words. The first stage is more shame. That's the message
00:50:36 of Christianity, more shame, because now you see that God is holy. And by virtue, by consequence 0.94
00:50:41 of seeing the holiness of God, your perception of your sin becomes even more acute, even more
00:50:48 intensified. And so Christianity actually, I think, heightens. It multiplies shame. But then, 0.95
00:50:56 and only then, does it say, and there is a place to go in which all shame is covered,
00:51:02 and it's the cross of Jesus Christ. So this idea of Christianity being, well, Christianity is
00:51:08 judge not acceptance no shame uh infinite tolerance infinite inclusion like that is not
00:51:15 the christian faith that is liberalism walking out uh walking around in a hollowed out skin suit
00:51:20 that's not historic christianity so as a as a christian pastor um i i want to make shame great
00:51:26 again not just america i want to make shame great again so that people would be ashamed in
00:51:31 perpetuity forever without hope no that's not christian either but so that that shame would
00:51:36 do its job, which is drive people, one, to the cross, salvation in Christ alone. But two,
00:51:43 it's not just to salvation, it's also to sanctification. Shame becomes a powerful
00:51:49 motivator that drives people to salvation, redemption from shame, and to sanctification
00:51:54 to actually change their behaviors. Jesus says to all these adulterous women, 0.99
00:52:00 what does he say? You know what? Adultery is not actually a big deal, and you have nothing to be 1.00
00:52:04 ashamed of. No, says the Bible, never. Says Jesus, never. In fact, he says, no, I'm not going to stone
00:52:10 you, right? We're your condemners. Who is left to condemn you? John chapter 8, no one, Lord. Neither
00:52:16 do I condemn you. But then the final words that he leaves this woman with is, now go and sin no more.
00:52:23 Go and go and slut no more. And to men, go and simp no more. So it's like, yes, you are forgiven. 1.00
00:52:33 him, stop being an idiot. This is, in my opinion, the biggest opportunity area for Christianity is 1.00
00:52:40 to lean into this young man that essentially has no part. And a lot of, like we saw a signal in 0.82
00:52:46 the polling of the people who were coming back to the church, mostly were coming back to for
00:52:51 spiritual connection, but more of the young people than the older people were coming for
00:52:55 social connection. So there is an aspect of people looking for more order in their bonding,
00:53:01 like coming back to church trying to find but the young men the message is not tailored for them
00:53:06 and it's basically in my opinion tailored for the 70 year old cat lady that watches msnbc who writes
00:53:12 a big check and i have polling on this do you want to know what the strongest religion in the
00:53:18 united states is what as measured by worldview strongest religion is measured by worldview
00:53:24 can i hold up like are we talking about individual sects of christianity or just christian it's not
00:53:31 Christianity. Yeah. Okay. Then I would say maybe Islam. Atheism. Atheism. So 8% in the last poll
00:53:39 identified as atheist. But when you ask proxy statements about worldview, like for instance,
00:53:44 do you support Kamala Harris or Donald Trump's position on abortion? Among atheists, it's plus
00:53:50 80 Kamala Harris. So those people know exactly what their world is like, what they believe.
00:53:55 They have no question whatsoever. So whether they go to a church or not, I would argue they do.
00:54:00 They go to TikTok church, but they are, it is a religion.
00:54:04 So you're saying the correlation between ID and worldview.
00:54:11 So those who identify as atheists have a worldview that is consistent with how they identify.
00:54:18 Whereas the people who identify as being Christian don't necessarily have a matching worldview.
00:54:22 Or, on the flip side, people have a fairly Christian worldview but don't even call themselves Christians because the battle for the dictionary, those who have won the battle for who gets to define Christianity, are the people who have a worldview that's not Christian at all.
00:54:38 Is that what you're saying?
00:54:39 So, within self-ID Christians, stripping everybody out, among self-ID evangelicals, they would side with Donald Trump over Kamala Harris on abortion by 30 points.
00:54:48 Okay. 0.71
00:54:49 so that's good but it's nowhere near the atheists not even close uh among the catholics it was 10
00:54:56 points trump and among protestants you might as well not even be a christian it was split
00:55:01 yeah because the mainline protestant you're talking about united methodists you're talking
00:55:05 about pc usa you're talking about episcopalians they're all liberal so they go to this they've
00:55:10 all been hijacked they go the same sunday morning they look at the same bible and yet evangelicals
00:55:17 Protestants are 30 points apart on who they think represents their views on abortion. So
00:55:22 clearly this is a message problem. Clearly it's a message problem. And, you know, I've gone to
00:55:29 these churches, like we know what the problem is. It's acceptance, right? It's the lack of
00:55:33 the shame and the judgmental. And it's like, there's no preaching on sin.
00:55:39 Yeah. And I remember when there was, like I went to Hellfire and Brimstone sermons in the 80s in
00:55:43 my Methodist church, but it's not there anymore. In fact, every, literally every Sunday, it's just
00:55:48 like another iteration of the salvation message. And I talked to Methodist pastors who were like,
00:55:53 well, that is just so important. It is important, but here's the problem. This is what I was trying
00:55:57 to say a moment ago is if you skip shame, then you undercut the entire basis for salvation.
00:56:05 So we're preaching salvation because it's important. Okay, great. Here's my question.
00:56:09 salvation for what yeah salvation from what salvation from who salvation for why like the
00:56:17 whole message of salvation it it pre-assumes it predicates that there's actually um a problem yeah
00:56:25 that we need to be saved from and the problem is not society at large not social structure the
00:56:32 problem is sin. And your ultimate enemy is, it's not the world. There's a sense in which the world
00:56:40 is an enemy. Jesus said, the world hated me. They'll hate you if you follow me. But the ultimate
00:56:46 enemy is, this will get me a little bit in trouble, but the ultimate enemy, the problem is sin. Your
00:56:54 enemy is not the devil. It's not the world. It's not society. It's not systems. Your enemy actually
00:56:59 is God. Because God is thrice holy, and he will not compromise his justice. And therefore, apart
00:57:07 from salvation, forgiveness of sin, my biggest enemy is actually this holy God that I've committed
00:57:13 treason against. That's why I need Jesus. I don't actually need Jesus to save me from the devil.
00:57:18 I need Jesus to save me from the justice of God. My inability to live up to expectations.
00:57:23 Exactly. But that's the beauty of the gospel is that God puts forward his own son to atone for, make payment for our sin, which stands as an affront to his holiness.
00:57:37 But if you take sin out of it and you take God's holiness out of it, then salvation becomes empty.
00:57:45 Yeah. Yeah. And the trend I've seen in most of the sermons is, well, we acknowledge sin, but it's amorphous and everybody's broken and we're all dealing with something.
00:57:55 So that's between you and Jesus. Yeah.
00:57:58 And that, dude, the switch, probably about 20 years ago, and I love that you said it because it's literally, this is the word that is used by all these churches.
00:58:08 It stopped being sin. It started being called brokenness.
00:58:11 but the problem is that like when you really get down to you press the minister on like what is
00:58:15 brokenness and uh brokenness is sin but it's never your sin it's everybody else's sin against you
00:58:20 so when brokenness is actually had a sermon that said well uh a pastor this i asked i'm like well
00:58:26 why aren't we talking about sin on the pulpit he's like well why would i need to name it we all know
00:58:30 what it is it's like yeah he has a kid who's gay yeah well there you go like like clockwork
00:58:37 every single one of these guys uh if they're if they're soft and constantly appeasing women
00:58:43 turns out that their daughter is you know at west point you know or if they're you know they're soft
00:58:49 on traditional marriage turns out their son is gay or if they're soft like it's all um they're 0.61
00:58:56 all compromised there is probably a chemical crisis of testosterone in the country that would 0.89
00:59:02 say i mean we've been poisoned if anything maha had just come in i know and cleaned that up right 0.71
00:59:08 gotten rid of the microplastics or whatever it is that's even that is another point say 0.52
00:59:14 maga failed on everything they couldn't they couldn't even do the maha part like all the 0.78
00:59:19 complete corporate capture yeah every single promise the only one and i praise god for it 0.96
00:59:26 credit where credit is due, like the border is closed, but even that can, none of it is done
00:59:32 in a permanent fashion. The moment that they lose, and right now there's a good chance they lose in
00:59:36 2028, that wall still hasn't been right where it was, you know, a third of it is built, no more of
00:59:44 it is built. And when you wonder, oh, it's the corrupt judges and it's not Trump's, actually,
00:59:48 from what I've read, it's not the corrupt judges when it comes to the wall. It's that Trump just
00:59:53 can't quite figure out which of his billionaire buddies he's going to hire as the contractors to
00:59:58 pay to build it. You know what I mean? It's like, what the heck is going on? Things are going to
01:00:03 change fast. And like, again, I hate this. And personally, listen, as a pollster, I I'm out
01:00:09 there. I'm telling people how I look at my numbers and represent them. I'm making judgment calls.
01:00:15 Totally fine to disagree with me. I would love to hear what you think back, but I'm allowed to
01:00:19 have personal biases. I can separate that from my work. Personally, I was a Trump supporter,
01:00:23 one of the earliest people on the Trump train. I did not want to see him fail. In fact, I tried
01:00:28 everything, I think more than most people, to try and prevent us from being in this situation.
01:00:33 We are not prepared for how quickly I think public opinion is going to turn on Donald Trump.
01:00:36 He is going to be, in my opinion, probably a political pariah.
01:00:40 Worse than he is now?
01:00:41 He's entering, with the RealClearPolitics aggregate at 22, he's entering in midterms.
01:00:46 George W. Bush was negative 15 at this point, and he had an unpopular Middle East war.
01:00:52 George W. Bush left office with a 30 percent approval rating.
01:00:55 Donald Trump could be there in a month or two if this he'll take a hit if the midterms
01:01:01 appear to be the same margin shift that we're all seeing in the polling.
01:01:04 And so all the headlines will be massive repudiation of MAGA.
01:01:08 Like it'll be Trump's the problem.
01:01:10 The Republicans will all throw him under the bus.
01:01:13 You could see some crazy stuff.
01:01:14 you might even see some of these, like for the SAVE Act, my understanding is they only ever had
01:01:19 about 35 votes to nuke the filibuster. If you do the flipperoo, that means there's 65 votes not to
01:01:25 nuke the filibuster, which is pretty close to the 67 you need for Senate conviction during an
01:01:30 impeachment, right? And so I would not put it past a lot of these senators who are probably
01:01:35 AIPAC backed and wanted more action in the Middle East or might support amnesty to either cut some
01:01:41 kind of deal or work with the Democrats to, I'm just saying like, we might see things like this
01:01:46 because these are very unprecedented times. He was an unprecedented person in the presidency,
01:01:50 but somehow this idea that the next two years is going to be anything other than
01:01:55 endless congressional investigations that are going to uncover very real things.
01:02:01 And the Trump administration looks like it's going to be flopping and twitching. Like that's
01:02:05 just what and that's like people i think people are done with it i think there's going to be
01:02:11 a rapid desire to look forward and to put this period uh behind us very fast yeah yeah do you
01:02:19 think we get a dark horse in 2028 or do you think it's just everybody hops on the vance train and
01:02:24 maybe it's 2032 um things we talked about the albatross around vance's neck um i do think he's
01:02:33 the polling front runner. It would be criminal malpractice for anybody other than him to be
01:02:39 endorsed by Trump for a run in the primary. We could totally see somebody run out of the blue
01:02:44 in the primary. I don't think it's going to be Tucker Carlson. It might be somebody out of his
01:02:48 group. I love those people. I don't think any of them have the chops to be the national winner,
01:02:54 dark horse Republican, but I like what they're doing, which is we're going to force the
01:02:59 conversation to be about all these things to try and change the party if they don't win the primary
01:03:04 which seems likely then maybe they run as an independent and they force the republicans to
01:03:10 lose and they could run as an independent just like bobby and then in the bottom of the ninth
01:03:15 throw it behind vance like you know the way i see it is vance cannot um distinguish himself too much 0.51
01:03:22 from trump without all the backlash from trump and his devoted you know maggotard base so vance 0.53
01:03:29 has to have a couple little dog whistles here or there or whatever like i'm you know i'll be 0.54
01:03:34 different yeah but for the most part we love trump i love trump blah blah blah so he just
01:03:40 keeps quoting maga and tucker massey these kinds of guys that that that base uh they get all the
01:03:47 disenchanted disenfranchised you know past trump supporters from 2024 that have been
01:03:54 deracinated and sent out to pasture and they go and collect all of them yeah and you know and and
01:04:00 maybe even run independent or something like that and then towards the end say actually you know
01:04:05 what i've been having conversations with vans he you know wink wink you know he's actually our guy
01:04:09 and then throw that behind vance and uh so advanced sounds like a hail mary advance courts
01:04:16 trump and then um and then tucker courts all the post mega kind of guys and then you put that
01:04:23 together um that that might but even that is a hail mary yeah yeah i don't know how many
01:04:28 percent of those you can hand off so ultimately people were not actually happy with the choice
01:04:35 of biden and trump in 2023 and when rfk announced he got about 15 in our first matchup
01:04:42 every single matchup he got less and less and less and part of that was people congealing
01:04:49 behind trump and biden another part of it was him shooting himself in the foot over and over and
01:04:54 over again like being anti second amendment when you're doing better with republicans than
01:04:59 Democrats, like those kinds of things. But ultimately he got down to only 2%. And at the
01:05:05 end of the day, when you looked at who those voters were, I think Trump only picked up about
01:05:10 one, one and a half percent from him. So at the end of the day, if he had run as independent still,
01:05:15 like Trump probably still wins, but maybe he didn't win the popular vote. Like, I just don't
01:05:20 know how consequential that even really was at the end of the day. And you know, like you got
01:05:26 these groupers that just hate jd vance i don't know if tucker can bring them over and i do think
01:05:32 tucker would support jd vance but under what circumstances i don't know like it like it's
01:05:37 tough i mean i jd's got the hardest job in america right now and probably the best thing for him would
01:05:44 be if trump got down to a 30 approval rating to like just resign go to mar-a-lago and grace and
01:05:51 give jd that would trump ever resign no i don't think so and everybody says no but it would also
01:05:59 be the best chance jd has at winning 2020 yeah pretty much well thanks for coming on the show
01:06:03 really appreciate it yeah great to be here everything we do here at nxr studios is simply
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