The Peter Attia Drive - November 14, 2022


#231 - AMA #41: Medicine 3.0, developments in the field of aging, healthy habits in times of stress, and more


Episode Stats

Length

16 minutes

Words per Minute

173.8283

Word Count

2,794

Sentence Count

186

Hate Speech Sentences

1


Summary

In this episode of Ask Me Anything, Dr. Nick Stenson joins Dr. Peter Atiyah to answer some of the most popular questions submitted over the past year. They cover a variety of topics from medicine, aging, longevity, questions about your background, where it led you to where you are today, and more.


Transcript

00:00:00.000 Hey everyone, welcome to a sneak peek, ask me anything or AMA episode of the drive podcast.
00:00:16.500 I'm your host, Peter Atiyah. At the end of this short episode, I'll explain how you can
00:00:20.460 access the AMA episodes in full, along with a ton of other membership benefits we've created,
00:00:25.440 or you can learn more now by going to peteratiyahmd.com forward slash subscribe.
00:00:31.140 So without further delay, here's today's sneak peek of the ask me anything episode.
00:00:39.280 Welcome to ask me anything episode 41. I'm once again joined by Nick Stenson. Today's episode is
00:00:45.860 a little different than the episodes of the past year. You've probably noticed over the past year,
00:00:51.120 we've been doing AMAs around a lot of questions that have come in around the same topics. And then
00:00:58.140 we go super deep dive on one topic, for example. Today, we do more of what we used to do traditionally
00:01:05.620 with an AMA. We just noticed we had so many questions that we hadn't been addressing.
00:01:09.740 And so we really batched them. And at the beginning of the episode, Nick is going to kind of walk you
00:01:14.280 through what the questions are. So I'm not even going to really try to repeat that here. So if
00:01:18.180 you're a subscriber and you want to watch the full video of this podcast, you can find it on the show
00:01:22.680 notes page, which are of course, where we keep all the notes for this podcast. If you're not a
00:01:26.860 subscriber, you can watch a sneak peek of the video on our YouTube page. So without further delay, I hope
00:01:31.880 you enjoy AMA number 41. Peter, welcome to another AMA. How are you doing? I'm doing well. That's good.
00:01:43.220 We got a little bit of a different vibe for this AMA. In the past handful that we've done,
00:01:48.340 we've kind of focused on a few big topics or a collection of topics under one larger topics.
00:01:54.860 And so what we've been doing in that time is just collecting a lot of questions that we think are
00:01:59.860 really good, really interesting, that maybe haven't fit in one of the past AMA topics. Also,
00:02:06.160 maybe that are as a result of one of the past AMA topics. And so what we did is we kind of flagged
00:02:11.840 them all and we're going to try and get through as many as we can get through here. So it's kind
00:02:15.940 of going to be a little more of an old school AMA on a variety of topics. And when we look at what
00:02:21.760 we're hoping to cover, it's everything from medicine, aging, longevity, questions about your
00:02:28.520 background, where it led you to where you are today. Also questions around how people should think
00:02:34.560 about prioritizing all the various things in their life. We get a lot of questions where it's,
00:02:39.320 you guys talk about ApoB, you talk about labs, you talk about screenings, you talk about sleep,
00:02:45.320 exercise, nutrition, like all these tactics, and it can get overwhelming for people.
00:02:49.520 And so we'll hopefully have a good conversation on how you think about that in your life and also
00:02:54.040 with patients as people just try and sort through everything. And then if we have time, we're going
00:02:58.420 to do an old school two minute drill, which is have a variety of questions, put two minutes on the
00:03:03.500 clock and see if you can answer it in two minutes. The last time we did this was long ago with
00:03:09.240 you and Bob, and I don't know if we answered any question in under two minutes. So we'll see if
00:03:13.460 it's any different here today. But with all that said, anything you want to add before we just get
00:03:18.880 into it? No, not at all. Let's just do it. But we're not on a two minute clock until you tell me,
00:03:23.880 right? Yeah. These first questions aren't two minute clock. That's much like football,
00:03:27.740 end of the game, two minute drill. So we have some time to ease into it. So the first question we got
00:03:33.180 is one of the phrases that people have often heard you reference throughout the podcast
00:03:37.100 in interviews with other people is this idea of medicine one to 3.0. I also know this is part of
00:03:44.040 the book you're writing. And so it's a topic and a thought experiment that you think about a lot.
00:03:49.100 And we received a lot of questions about people just saying, Hey, can you dive into that a little
00:03:52.820 more, explain more about what you mean and why it's important for people to think about as it relates
00:03:58.220 to their own medical journey. I think this would be a really good foundation for our conversation
00:04:02.840 today. So maybe you can just walk people through what is that and how you think about it.
00:04:08.860 I don't know where the idea really came from or when it came to me, but it was sometime writing the
00:04:13.680 book, which started in 2016, but I don't think it was in the first version of the book. So there's,
00:04:18.620 the book has really three versions. So I kind of wrote, there's a 2016, 2017 version that of which I
00:04:24.220 don't think anything is preserved. And then there's a second version, which is sort of 2017 to 2020 of
00:04:30.060 which some is preserved. And then there's the version of the book that ultimately will become
00:04:34.040 the book is kind of the 2020 to 2022 writing. So I'm positive or nearly positive that the medicine
00:04:40.220 1.0, 2.0, 3.0 thing came from the second version of that book. And it was, and remains this idea that
00:04:47.140 says, look, we basically exist in three different phases of medicine. One of which we're, I think not
00:04:53.840 quite into yet, but we're in the transition. So these transitions are far from discreet and they
00:04:59.820 take, in some cases, I think the transition from medicine 1.0 to 2.0 took, I don't know, I would
00:05:05.260 argue from the beginning to the end, 300 years. Okay. So what are they? So medicine 1.0 is when we
00:05:12.520 had no idea of science. Kind of keep in mind, science is what? It's such a political term at the
00:05:19.280 moment that that's really unfortunate, but science is a way of thinking. Science is not a person.
00:05:24.920 Science is not an answer. Science is a process. It's a way that we look at the natural world around
00:05:32.820 us. We formulate hypotheses about what explains them based on the physical principles of the
00:05:40.020 universe. We design experiments to test those hypotheses and we measure the results of those
00:05:47.200 experiments against the predictions of the hypotheses. And then we iterate and correct.
00:05:53.640 It's important to understand that we're not naturally wired to do that, one. So evolution
00:05:59.400 didn't prepare us to do that. It had no interest in us doing that. I've written at length about this.
00:06:05.180 I think I wrote a blog post on this seven or eight years ago called Why We're Not Wired to Think
00:06:11.040 Scientifically. I think we should link to that because I go into much more detail about the
00:06:15.640 timescale of evolution and the process of our thinking. So prior to the invention of this idea,
00:06:24.280 nothing that existed in medicine could be tethered to science. So anytime something happened,
00:06:32.520 you had to come up with an explanation. That's why we have these wonderful brains that we do. We use them
00:06:37.820 to come up with explanations for things that we see happening, but none of it could be linked
00:06:41.540 to scientific fact or verifiable or testable hypotheses. So this is where you had sort of
00:06:49.020 all sorts of crazy ideas. If you were sick, it was due to bad humors and was bad spirits and bad luck
00:06:55.440 and all these sorts of things. But there was no sort of scientific basis for that. That kind of started
00:06:59.320 to change in the late 17th century with Francis Bacon. But I would argue that the full transition to
00:07:05.120 medicine 2.0 didn't actually take place until the advent of germ theory in the late 19th century.
00:07:12.600 So that's about 300 years, if I'm doing the math right. No, no, no. I'm sorry. It was about 200 years.
00:07:18.200 So we've got about this 200-year period where Joseph Lister, all the way up to Fleming and the
00:07:24.040 discovery of penicillin and antibiotics, that to me is the breakthrough of medicine 2.0. So medicine 2.0
00:07:30.700 comes from basically three things. One is the advent and acceptance of germ theory,
00:07:37.500 the process of scientific thinking, and then really the crown jewel of medicine 2.0, which
00:07:43.560 doesn't come along until much later, is the statistical machinery to enable randomized control
00:07:49.960 trials. So again, because we're trying to be a little bit quick, I won't go into all the details
00:07:54.500 and Bernard Fisher and all of these people who played such an important role in this, but that's
00:07:59.060 basically the trifecta of medicine 2.0. And to be clear, medicine 2.0 has been an amazing
00:08:04.240 development. I don't think any of us would be sitting here today without medicine 2.0. So
00:08:09.280 I don't want to minimize it, but I want to acknowledge and just pass on, and the book
00:08:14.840 talks more about this so we don't have to get into the great detail. Medicine 2.0 has really peaked.
00:08:20.260 It's been very good at dealing with acute conditions. You get hit by a car,
00:08:25.440 you have a life-threatening infection, you suffer an MI, a cardiocardial infarction, and you want to
00:08:33.180 make sure someone doesn't die, and you want to keep somebody alive as long as possible. In that acute
00:08:38.300 phase, medicine 2.0 is amazing for those things. What I argue is that we have reached the limits of
00:08:43.600 medicine 2.0's capacity, and if longevity is something we are aspiring for, we need a new
00:08:49.940 strategy. We need a fundamentalist shift as 2.0 was from 1.0, and that is to 3.0. And 3.0 is basically
00:08:58.340 predicated on evidence-informed as opposed to evidence-based guidelines. It is predicated on
00:09:05.900 absurdly early preventative measures for chronic conditions, which are now the dominant source of
00:09:12.480 morbidity and mortality. It's no longer acute conditions, and it has to be highly personalized.
00:09:17.500 So I'll stop there because, again, I could probably spend the hour now talking about that, but I think
00:09:23.920 people now get the sense of what this is. And I'm arguing that we're not, of course, yet in medicine
00:09:28.200 3.0, but we're now in that transition. And what I'm arguing is we should be accelerating that.
00:09:33.740 And so it's interesting, right, because your medicine 3.0 isn't necessarily people are going to
00:09:38.920 live forever. It's more so just a shift to the three things, like you said, which is personalized
00:09:44.660 medicine, early prevention, and evidence-informed. Have you ever thought about what medicine 4.0 looks
00:09:53.160 like? Is that even on your radar? Or is more of the focus is how do we make this huge shift to 3.0,
00:09:58.660 which is going to create so much benefit for people? I don't think I have enough clarity as
00:10:03.800 to what medicine 4.0 would look like yet versus things that I don't think I will experience in my
00:10:09.660 lifetime that will just be a part of medicine 3.0, if that makes sense. And when you think about
00:10:14.520 that transition, which you mentioned more slowly and now, do you have an idea of how far out you
00:10:21.300 think medicine 3.0 is? Not necessarily at the individual level. So there's always a difference
00:10:27.500 when people could access it versus the standard of care. Do you have an idea or any rough idea on when
00:10:33.860 that turn to the standard of care becomes? No, I think it's too soon to say. It's really
00:10:39.020 going to depend on how quickly people adopt and sort of basically demand change. And I don't think
00:10:46.340 that's possible to predict. Let's use an example that's completely different, but I think if you
00:10:51.560 could go back in a time machine, you wouldn't know, right? So if you went back in a time machine to
00:10:56.180 1850, slavery is the law of the land. The country is completely segregated. I don't think anybody could
00:11:05.240 have reasonably predicted the events of the 1860s and the events of the 1960s, which were two very
00:11:13.720 important pillars in time as it pertained to slavery and ultimately segregation. You just couldn't have
00:11:21.540 predicted that even though those are both very social changes. Now, maybe there's a historian
00:11:26.300 that will argue, no, it was crystal clear in 1850 that we were 15 years away from a civil war and 100
00:11:31.720 years away from a civil revolution. But I don't believe that. And I certainly don't think we can
00:11:37.040 do the same here. On the book piece, I know you've been working on the book for a long time because
00:11:42.300 I've known you during that stretch, but I wasn't necessarily aware of the 2016 to 2017 initial book that
00:11:50.540 nothing made it really into the final copy. Not nothing. All of it went straight into the
00:11:56.020 wastebasket. So for everyone who's been anxious, kind of banging at the door, good thing we waited
00:12:01.160 a little bit to get that out, huh? Yeah. Love it. So the next set of questions we receive in one form
00:12:09.840 or another almost weekly, which is even people who followed you for a while and people who are kind of
00:12:15.640 newer to following you, they often will ask a variety of questions. They either might be in
00:12:21.740 school, med school, really interested in longevity, might be doctors. And they're really trying to
00:12:27.980 understand where your knowledge on this came from and how you've put into practice what you're trying
00:12:35.260 to do with your patients in medicine 3.0. Because it seems like from knowing you, a lot of what you do
00:12:42.320 with your patients didn't necessarily come from what you learned in med school and or what you did
00:12:48.860 in residency. And so I think what might be helpful to people is just if you want to give people a
00:12:54.020 walkthrough of your background and how it's led to where you are today, which is ultimately
00:12:59.020 practicing medicine 3.0 with your patients. Thank you for listening to today's sneak peek AMA episode of
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