The Peter Attia Drive - January 09, 2023


#237 ‒ Optimizing life for maximum fulfillment | Bill Perkins


Episode Stats

Length

1 hour and 44 minutes

Words per Minute

210.59644

Word Count

21,920

Sentence Count

1,566

Misogynist Sentences

6

Hate Speech Sentences

9


Summary

Bill Perkins is a hedge fund manager, a very successful natural gas trader, an entrepreneur, and author of the book, "Die With Zero: Getting All You Can From Your Money and Your Life." In this episode, we talk about Bill's background, his upbringing, and the genesis of the philosophies in his book.


Transcript

00:00:00.000 Hey, everyone. Welcome to the drive podcast. I'm your host, Peter Atiyah. This podcast,
00:00:15.500 my website, and my weekly newsletter all focus on the goal of translating the science of longevity
00:00:19.820 into something accessible for everyone. Our goal is to provide the best content in health and
00:00:24.780 wellness, full stop. And we've assembled a great team of analysts to make this happen.
00:00:28.900 If you enjoy this podcast, we've created a membership program that brings you far more
00:00:33.320 in-depth content. If you want to take your knowledge of the space to the next level at
00:00:37.340 the end of this episode, I'll explain what those benefits are. Or if you want to learn more now,
00:00:41.740 head over to peteratiyahmd.com forward slash subscribe. Now, without further delay,
00:00:47.780 here's today's episode. My guest this week is Bill Perkins. Bill is a hedge fund manager,
00:00:53.900 a very successful natural gas trader, an entrepreneur, and author of the book Die
00:00:58.880 With Zero, Getting All You Can From Your Money and Your Life. You may have heard me mention on
00:01:04.320 previous podcasts or on social media that over the past year, I've read three books that seemed
00:01:09.840 in some way connected to different sides of a similar theme, but they all had to do with something
00:01:16.800 about quality of life. These three books are From Strength to Strength by Arthur Brooks,
00:01:21.200 4,000 Weeks by Oliver Berkman, and of course, Die With Zero by Bill. After reading the book,
00:01:26.840 I realized we had about four friends in common, at least two or three of whom were mentioned in the
00:01:31.740 book, and it made it easy to reach out to him and say, hey, Bill, let's sit down and have a podcast,
00:01:35.560 which we do. So in this episode, we talk about Bill's background, his upbringing,
00:01:39.660 and the genesis of the philosophies in his book. These seeds were sown kind of early on. From there,
00:01:45.440 we then really talk about the overarching philosophy of this book, which is that we have these three
00:01:50.020 important resources, time, health, and experiences, and we use money as a conduit or a tool
00:01:58.100 to trade between those. If that doesn't make a lot of sense now, I think it will when we talk
00:02:03.560 through it. Throughout this interview, Bill makes the argument that no matter at what level of wealth
00:02:07.600 you are, most people are not focusing correctly on the most important asset that we have, which is
00:02:13.360 time, and that we need to optimize our life to have experiences throughout our life instead of waiting
00:02:18.280 until the end of life to do everything, which is really what most of us do. Throughout this,
00:02:22.420 we talk about the importance of understanding risk, including the opportunity cost of making
00:02:26.360 or not making decisions. We talk about the risk-reward matrix and thinking about regret and regret
00:02:31.020 minimization, and we talk about the dangers of living life on autopilot when it comes to work
00:02:34.940 and fulfillment. For as much as this podcast dives into the science of longevity, any long-time
00:02:41.520 listener knows that I am equally interested in the manners of emotional health and quality of life,
00:02:46.620 and to live a long life without appropriate happiness or quality of life or shared experiences
00:02:53.140 is not really to live at all. That's why a book like this is just as important to me as books about
00:02:59.460 the hardcore science of longevity. I think the insights that Bill shares in this interview will
00:03:04.040 help anyone think through how they're spending and allocating their time, no matter what level of
00:03:08.340 wealth they have. Without further delay, please enjoy my conversation with Bill Perkins.
00:03:16.620 Bill, thanks so much for coming by. I've been looking forward to this for a long time.
00:03:22.060 I have too. I'm really honored to be on your podcast.
00:03:24.940 I don't know. A little while ago, I made a video on Instagram where I talked about
00:03:28.220 three books I've read in the last 12 months that I didn't expect to A, have such an impact on how I
00:03:35.500 thought about things, but also B, even though they're completely different books, they strike me as
00:03:41.060 having kind of a unifying theme in this sort of thing about quality of life. The three books are,
00:03:46.780 one of them was From Strength to Strength, one of them is 4,000 Weeks, and the other one is Die
00:03:51.480 with Zero. Now, what's interesting is I know exactly who suggested I read 4,000 Weeks, and I'm really good
00:03:58.020 friends with the author of From Strength to Strength, so that's why I just read that knowing it was coming
00:04:02.360 out. I still don't remember who recommended Die with Zero to me, but I remember just thinking,
00:04:08.140 okay, well, cool. Sounds interesting. Ordered it, and then just couldn't put it down. As I think I
00:04:14.080 mentioned in the video, immediately made my wife read it, and then immediately just went out and
00:04:18.400 bought many copies of it, along with many copies of the other two books. So I basically started handing
00:04:24.220 them out as like a triplet copy. If someone was over and they hadn't read them, boom, they were leaving
00:04:29.220 with all three copies of the book. So that speaks to why I wanted to sit down with you, and let's give
00:04:35.560 people a sense of who you are. So you grew up in Jersey, right? Yeah, I grew up in Jersey City,
00:04:38.760 New Jersey. You're an engineer. We have that in common, right? Yeah, except I don't want people
00:04:42.880 to be impressive as an engineer. We had a saying on the football team, Ds get degrees, until later I
00:04:47.340 found out, wait, you can't graduate with a D in engineering. You have to at least get a C.
00:04:51.380 So I barely graduated. I was a super slacker, so I don't want to be like, I'm an engineer.
00:04:56.760 What position did you play? The bench. I played the bench, but I was a defensive back,
00:05:00.660 cornerback at the University of Iowa. But did it pay for school?
00:05:03.320 No, I was actually a walk-on. I was trying to get a scholarship. I had a partial scholarship,
00:05:07.560 which means they just give you some food. I basically broke my leg at the growth plate.
00:05:13.200 It was pretty much a has-been before I ever was. But when you love football, you love the sport,
00:05:19.620 you never want to let go, right? You're not like, oh, I'll just dive into my studies and
00:05:23.140 pick up this hobby. You're kind of like, football is life at that age.
00:05:27.420 You graduate college with a degree in engineering. Maybe you're not first in your class.
00:05:30.800 You decide, though, you're going to go and instead of going to grad school or something like that,
00:05:34.500 you're like, I'm going to go to New York. Is that your first job?
00:05:36.520 I love that. Not first in my class, the understatement of the year. I was kind of like
00:05:40.460 lost. Didn't know what I was going to do. Really was pretty much a slacker, underachiever at the
00:05:45.180 time. And my godfather calls me with one of those, like, what are you going to do with your life
00:05:49.660 at the point? And I knew I didn't want to go into engineering. It was kind of this cookie cutter life.
00:05:54.260 You don't really have any kind of entrepreneurial spirit in it. You work on like a
00:05:57.780 subsection of a chip. Here's your career path, et cetera. It was all kind of laid out for you.
00:06:02.640 And that was unattractive to me. It kind of seemed like death to me. And at the time,
00:06:08.080 I saw this movie Wall Street. And I was like, oh, that's what I want. I want to be rich.
00:06:13.100 I want to go work in stocks. So when my godfather called me, I go, I want to be a stock broker
00:06:19.460 or a stock trader. And he goes, I don't know anything about equities, but there's this firm
00:06:23.760 and commodities. Mind you, I didn't know what a commodity was. That's looking for screen clerks.
00:06:29.720 Go check it out. And so I got an introduction, came up with my resume.
00:06:34.720 This is what you're like, late 80s, early 90s?
00:06:36.800 Like 91. And takes my resume, tears it up, walks me around the floor. People are yelling and screaming.
00:06:43.060 And they're kind of casual wear. And it's like trading places. And I was like, all this energy.
00:06:48.680 And I'm like, wow, if that guy can be rich, so can I. And so they didn't want to hire me,
00:06:54.140 actually. They were looking to give the job to someone else, another friend of the firm.
00:06:57.420 So I kind of hung out downstairs, waiting every day, calling. Can I come up? Can I become a peon
00:07:02.340 here? Can I become a peon? And finally, after three days, they let me become a peon.
00:07:07.300 So what did that job entail?
00:07:08.740 It's checking trades and sneaking sandwiches on the floor for traders. It's like literally
00:07:12.760 the worst version of the mailroom. But the system in the old days where guys would yell
00:07:17.680 and scream across the pit and write their trades on a pit card and also in their trade book.
00:07:22.840 They'd throw the pit cards into the center. There's a guy with glasses and a giant net.
00:07:28.540 And all these cards would go to him. They would catch them, put them down the chute,
00:07:32.220 and they would be entered into a computer system. My job was to check the trader's log versus the
00:07:38.240 computer's log. Your name becomes your trader. So if your trader was why not or S&M, that was your
00:07:44.340 name. So clerks are running around the floor going, why not? S&M, why not? And then if you're why not,
00:07:50.320 you're like, why not here? Ever here? I know selling five lots of 5480, not three lots of 5480. What do
00:07:56.760 you know? And if you know the same trade, then it's a simple process to correct it in the system.
00:08:03.000 And if you don't, you're like, no, no, I definitely know only three lots. Then you go to the traders
00:08:07.180 immediately and they kind of reconcile it. And that was a system like running around all day,
00:08:12.620 checking trades. This job is down on Wall Street. This firm's on Wall Street.
00:08:15.540 Yeah. So back when the World Trade Center was there, this was in for World Trade Center.
00:08:19.960 How much were you learning the business? Because I imagine one could take a job like that
00:08:24.380 and not actually learn what's happening, like what the machine is doing.
00:08:28.360 Yeah. That's when I decided to turn it on. I always tell people like, hey,
00:08:32.920 I was pretty much a, can I say fuck up? I was pretty much the fuck up of fuck ups for giving
00:08:39.780 what I had before college. But then I decided to turn it on. That poverty, that being a peon and
00:08:46.940 that desire to make it forced me to be like, I'm going to learn every single thing there is about
00:08:51.400 this business. I was reading books at night about trading, about the oil business, about options,
00:08:57.740 about whatever. I was a sponge and I really turned it on and said, I'm going to be diligent. I'm not
00:09:02.820 going to mess around. And as much as I possibly can as a 20 year old, right. And really, really
00:09:08.920 trying to make myself invaluable no matter where I was.
00:09:12.880 So where were you living at the time? What part of the city? Did you actually live in Manhattan?
00:09:15.940 When I first got there, I had to live at home with my mom, which was completely cramping my style.
00:09:19.720 And so I started driving a limo at night, the company limo at night to make ends meet.
00:09:24.580 What were you getting paid in that first job?
00:09:26.440 Oh, geez. I think it was sub $16,000 a year. I have to go look.
00:09:30.800 Sub 16.
00:09:31.860 Yeah. I think it was like 16, 16,000, but I was getting raises very quickly because I made
00:09:36.860 myself valuable and I would work at night and I would make more money driving the limo
00:09:42.100 on a daily basis because traders would like take me here and they'd be drunk and they'd tip you and
00:09:47.940 you weren't there necessarily for your current income. You were there for your future income.
00:09:52.040 And so I had another clerk named Jason Rufo who had a studio in the Upper West Side. And what he did
00:09:58.780 was he put up a wall by the kitchen and kind of made this small room in the studio. And I eventually
00:10:06.760 got an apartment with him on the Upper West Side living in like a pizza oven type space.
00:10:12.380 You know, but it was great because I was in New York City out of my mom's house.
00:10:16.320 I could have girls over and that pride that goes, well, I live on the Upper West Side. You know,
00:10:21.680 everybody wants to say they live in New York City. And so as I was getting raises and kind of moving
00:10:28.140 up, I gradually got into that life of, you know, what I call a buppy, black urban professional,
00:10:33.140 you know, buppies and yuppies. And that was the beginning of my journey.
00:10:37.140 Tell me, was your dad in the picture at this time?
00:10:39.040 So my dad is now older in poor health in Jersey City. So during this time, he'd had multiple
00:10:46.580 strokes. And my dad is kind of like me. He's fairly stubborn, but he was stubborn to the extreme.
00:10:52.300 Doctor says, don't do this. All the things you would tell him not to do and you need to be doing,
00:10:56.500 he's like, ah, to hell with that. You know what I mean? I guess. And so he's in the picture. My
00:11:01.360 parents are divorced. He's in Jersey City.
00:11:03.420 Had your parents gone to college?
00:11:04.720 My dad did. So my dad got a scholarship to the University of Iowa. He was a real badass. He
00:11:08.900 had no intentions of going to school. He walked by a football field when he was a kid in high
00:11:13.980 school. And he's like, I want to do that. And coach is like, you don't know anything about
00:11:16.780 football. And he says, it seems like it's about hitting people. I know how to hit people. So
00:11:20.300 they give him some raggedy uniforms. He comes out for a practice. And then the next practice,
00:11:24.140 he has a brand new uniform. He's all everything, gets recruited to go to the University of Iowa to
00:11:29.880 go to college. And so there he is in college in 1959 at the University of Iowa, all badass from
00:11:36.000 Jersey City. So he had gone to college. And then my mom went to college, finished college
00:11:41.560 while I think it was like preteen or late teens. But I had the benefit of two college educated
00:11:48.080 parents.
00:11:49.160 And how much were they understanding your hunger, your drive, your aspirations in this new role?
00:11:56.520 I mean, because presumably they had seen you in high school and college, not achieving at
00:12:00.520 your potential. And now all of a sudden you're hustling, you're working two jobs, you're reading,
00:12:05.280 you're learning, you're doing everything. Were they purview to that sort of metamorphosis in you?
00:12:10.020 They saw it later. I'm the kid that didn't take out the garbage. I always say, don't tell your
00:12:13.720 parents your dreams because they'll just piss on them because they've seen you at your worst,
00:12:17.480 at your failures, as you're growing. They have this kind of image of you when you were the
00:12:22.480 caterpillar, not the butterfly.
00:12:24.660 So you weren't necessarily like advertising to them, this is what I want to do.
00:12:27.580 No. They started seeing it. I remember the time when I finally made, I got a raise and I was
00:12:32.860 like, I did the calculation. I'm just like, holy shit, I make more money than my mom. Like I've
00:12:37.100 made it. It was one of the happiest days of my life. I'm like, I'm real. I'm legit. I'm a puppy.
00:12:42.720 Me with my badge, you know, used to wear around as a badge of honor. Like I get onto the New York
00:12:47.460 Mercantile Exchange, et cetera. But they'd see I'm going out or I'm flying here or I'm doing
00:12:52.900 whatever. And it's like, oh, the kid must be doing okay.
00:12:55.860 It wasn't until I got recruited to go to Houston, started buying the assets that adults start
00:13:03.120 buying. And I paid my mom back for something that I did when I was a teenager that she didn't
00:13:09.700 know that they're like, okay.
00:13:11.480 What was that?
00:13:12.340 When I was younger, I had a stick Toyota that my mom had. It was her car. I was driving it.
00:13:18.280 And my friend, Pete Theibel, it's like, I want to drive the car. I want to teach me how to drive
00:13:23.160 the car. I want to drive the car. I'm not supposed to drive the car. So anyway,
00:13:26.180 long story short, he hits the gas instead of the clutch, spins the car out. The back of it
00:13:31.000 spins around, hits a telephone pole. Trunk pops up. It has this big giant dent. I'm like, holy shit,
00:13:35.920 what am I going to do? You know? So I tell my mom the story that we went to go get pizza and parked
00:13:42.580 it and a truck must've hit it on the side or bumped it and went on. And that was my lie to my mom about
00:13:47.920 this car that I felt guilty about. I said, one day I'm going to pay for this car in spades. That
00:13:54.980 happened to my mom. And so one day I gave my mom $40,000 and I was like, mom, remember that time
00:14:00.100 the car had that brown mark on it. We told you it was a truck. Well, this is what really happened.
00:14:04.900 How did she react to that?
00:14:06.540 She started laughing. She goes, I knew something was strange about that. The story fit, but there
00:14:12.060 was something strange about that. She just kind of laughed and was thankful that one, it was a great
00:14:17.660 investment having that car beat up, but she just kind of laughed and we just reminisced about it.
00:14:23.040 So let's go back to when you're on the Upper West Side. You write about this in the book.
00:14:25.900 You and your roommate kind of had a slightly different, I don't know, call it a point of
00:14:30.900 view on future earnings and what that allowed you to do with your time. You told a story about
00:14:36.660 something you did that seemed kind of bold. That he did that was kind of bold. You're
00:14:41.360 talking about when Jason took the trip. Yeah. So Jason, I don't know if our views were very
00:14:46.620 thought out or just wired in, but I was head down like, I got to make it. I got to become a trader.
00:14:51.840 I got to have my head down. I'm saving money. I'm really at this point in my life,
00:14:56.640 super diligent, trying to convince my boss to get on the bus program to save money,
00:15:01.300 writing down every single nickel that I bought, et cetera. I'm really focused on my career
00:15:06.020 trajectory. And Jason is like... Does Jason work in the same firm?
00:15:09.800 He works at another firm. If you look at the old pictures, all the phone booths are right next to
00:15:13.580 each other. He's like right next to me, even though he's not at the same firm. We're all crowded into
00:15:17.160 one area. And Jason's like, I'm going to go backpacking for Europe for a couple of months.
00:15:22.280 I'm like, what? How are you going to do that? Well, I'm going to borrow money from this guy who
00:15:26.840 was a loan shark. And I'm like, wait, what? You're going to borrow money from this guy and you're going
00:15:34.560 to go backpacking in Europe. I'm like, this is insane. This is insanity. My head is about to explode.
00:15:41.120 I'm like, you're going to miss out. And what if they hire another screen clerk and your job's not
00:15:46.020 there when you come back? And how are you going to pay this guy back if you don't pay him back?
00:15:49.100 This is not like, oh, penalties and interest. This is like knees and ankles. And so I just didn't get
00:15:54.420 it. That experience, I wasn't thinking about like die with zero and certain experiences belong in a
00:16:00.920 certain period of your life, et cetera. I was just ultimately on this autopilot of trying to be
00:16:06.280 successful and make money at that time of my life. And Jason was like, I'm going backpacking.
00:16:12.120 So he went, I stayed, he came back, had a screen clerking job.
00:16:17.060 Different firm or same firm?
00:16:18.060 Same firm. Wasn't that much noticeable different. I moved up a little bit,
00:16:21.340 but it wasn't that noticeable different. But he came back richer. He came back with
00:16:25.800 stories and experiences and romance and lifelong friends. In the beginning, it was kind of, oh,
00:16:33.240 wow, maybe I missed out. Maybe I could have jumped in for a week, that type of thing. And as time went on,
00:16:38.400 I really, really regretted not joining him on that trip. When it finally came time where like,
00:16:43.340 I'm going to go Europe, I'm going to have this backpacking experience. I was too bougie. I had
00:16:48.100 money. I wasn't going to go stay at youth hostels. I wasn't going to capture these trains. I was going
00:16:52.200 to have an experience, but a different experience. The type of experience he had was for that time in
00:16:58.360 your life. And the type of experience, even though it was wonderful, it was not as rich as his
00:17:03.840 experience because the time had passed me by. It's one of my big, big, big regrets in life.
00:17:10.880 So how did you start to formulate this understanding about these different types of resources, be it
00:17:16.780 time, be it money, which is the resource I think a lot of people think about experiences themselves
00:17:22.540 as, for lack of a better word, an asset or a thing, the actual experience, the people you're
00:17:27.580 meeting, all of these different things. When did you start to coalesce around some of the ideas
00:17:32.000 that ultimately, of course, would go on to become the thesis of this book?
00:17:35.540 It was slowly over time. Even when I got to the exchange, I was like in this hurry to get rich.
00:17:40.980 And the reason why I was in a hurry, because I had this bias, I had this belief. I was like,
00:17:44.760 yeah, there's rich guys here, but they're old. What can they possibly do with the money? I'm young.
00:17:48.400 I'm 21. I'm ageist. I can't imagine the use of a million dollars when you're 40. What are you
00:17:55.040 going to do? Buy a nicer car to drive your kids around? It just seems like loss on them. They don't get to
00:17:59.380 do fun things. Now, I was wrong about that, but I was right about the utility of money over time.
00:18:06.080 And I also read this book at this time called Your Money or Your Life that kind of transformed
00:18:10.680 my understanding of what money is. It's a very detailed book that has these exercises that has
00:18:18.800 you look at how you spend your hours from going to work, getting ready for work, the things you spend
00:18:24.320 on work, and really figuring out what your true hourly wage is. After tax, this is what an hour
00:18:29.960 of your time of your life is worth. And then it has you not think of everything in money, but in time.
00:18:37.580 So instead of going to the movies and say it cost me $10, it's like that cost me one hour and 15
00:18:44.320 minutes of my time to go to this movie. To buy this shirt, it cost me three hours of my time.
00:18:49.240 And so you get this idea that I'm exchanging my life for certain things. The experience of buying
00:18:55.920 a shirt, going to the movie, going on a trip. And that hit me hard.
00:18:59.720 And where were you at this point? This is before you went to Houston?
00:19:01.820 Before I went to Houston. That hit me hard. And that's what really turned me into like,
00:19:05.500 I'm going to save. The two things I got out of it is I want a lot of money and I'm going to become
00:19:09.280 this very frugal person. There's this movement called FIRE, which that book is kind of like the Bible,
00:19:15.100 the precursor to the FIRE movement, which is financial independence, retire early.
00:19:19.580 And I was kind of like an early FIRE guy. I'm going to save my way to riches, right? I'm going
00:19:24.380 to save and then retire early. And sorry, did you know what you wanted to do when you retired?
00:19:30.820 I went on to another autopilot. I went on another version of autopilot. I read a book,
00:19:34.600 I got these concepts out of it. And I was like, this is what I'm going to do. I didn't think about
00:19:38.980 the big picture of everything, but certain concepts were coming to me. I exchanged hours in my life for
00:19:44.020 money. And then that money is used for the things I want. Let's take the abstract of money out of it
00:19:49.200 and look at what hours of my life are being exchanged for. That was a great concept to sink
00:19:54.400 in very viscerally. The idea that- It's also just to double click on that, Bill, it's also visceral
00:19:59.840 when you start to think of the difference between using money for activities or trips versus things.
00:20:08.120 So I buy a shirt and this shirt basically works out to three hours of what I make per hour. So this
00:20:15.300 is a $3 shirt. I mean a three hour shirt. Conversely, I take my daughter out overnight. We do like a daddy
00:20:23.720 daughter date night, go out to dinner, stay at a nice hotel, have a fancy breakfast the next day.
00:20:28.780 That's five hours of my time in terms of work. But do you see those sort of differently at the time
00:20:34.500 that one of those is like an experience and one of them is a thing?
00:20:38.100 Not in the way that you're properly analyzing it, but in more of an intuitive way.
00:20:42.880 Because when you start to think about things in time, it's like, wait a minute, three hours for
00:20:46.100 a shirt versus going here, having a sandwich and hanging out with my friends or whatever it is,
00:20:51.220 your values start to, you really get in touch with your values because it's not an abstract land.
00:20:55.420 It's like when you're in a casino and they give you chips, it's one of the greatest things to do
00:20:58.180 is give you chips. It's not money. You're tipping $25. You're throwing, let it all ride
00:21:01.980 because it's so abstracted from money. So it's an abstraction on an abstraction.
00:21:06.720 By removing that abstraction, you get closer to your values.
00:21:10.860 Right. Imagine that you have $25 chips. You figure out your hourly after tax,
00:21:15.420 all in wage is $25 an hour. Every time you flick a chip, it's like I gave an hour of my life.
00:21:20.700 Right. Boom, boom, boom.
00:21:22.100 So when you start thinking about things in terms of hours of your life and you have finite hours,
00:21:25.500 you start to really get closer to your values. You can still be on autopilot, but you're closer.
00:21:29.840 And so things like this were happening. And at that time at the exchange, like most people,
00:21:37.080 I had like, what is it all for? Like, what do I want? I'm here to get rich, but why?
00:21:42.540 Are you having that discussion with either people who are your peers who are presumably
00:21:47.120 on the same treadmill or the people who are already rich, but still presumably killing themselves,
00:21:53.820 trading their health for wealth?
00:21:54.960 No, I'm generally having it with myself and reading books, but I'm still asking myself,
00:21:58.540 but why? Like, what do I want? You know, and I'm remembering conversations that
00:22:02.480 maybe I've had throughout my life. There was a college football player named Dwight Sistrunk and
00:22:06.860 I was like trying to do engineering and we were debating something. It's like, listen,
00:22:10.380 you might want to pick a fence and a wife and something like that and that life. I don't want
00:22:13.940 that life. I don't want that cookie cutter life. That's fine for you, but that's not my path.
00:22:17.880 I thought about it and I was like, do I really want that? You know, certain things that he said
00:22:22.240 that he didn't want that I was actually working for, you know, thinking that this was my path.
00:22:27.720 I actually realized, no, I don't want that. You know, I'm pretty hard headed. It takes a while
00:22:31.620 for these things to seep in.
00:22:33.360 I would argue a little different, Bill. I would argue that at this point, you're 22, 23, 24.
00:22:37.840 I think that's remarkably early to be having that thought, don't you?
00:22:41.860 Yeah, I guess it took a while for it to finally percolate into some sort of action plan.
00:22:47.460 I'm thinking about these things, but they're not resulting in the proper behavior changes yet.
00:22:53.900 I'm still formulating it. You know, everyone says, I want to be rich before I'm 30 or I'm rich
00:22:58.580 before 40. No one's out there saying, I want to be rich before I'm 86. So intuitively in there,
00:23:04.380 there's something about the utility of money that it's not as valuable to you later on in life.
00:23:10.340 Yeah. It's one of the games I often play with my patients. It's anybody. I could play this game
00:23:14.360 with anybody, which is, listen, if right now, you always do this with someone who's younger,
00:23:18.720 obviously. I say like, right now, would you trade places with Warren Buffett or Charlie Munger?
00:23:24.380 And they're like, everybody says, of course not. And I was like, what do you mean? Of course not.
00:23:27.600 Like Warren Buffett's worth a hundred billion dollars. How would you not trade places with
00:23:32.340 him? And they're like, I mean, he's 90 years old or whatever. And I say, okay, so would you rather
00:23:37.460 have not a penny to your name and be 20 or have a hundred billion dollars and be 90? No other
00:23:43.100 difference, right? Like I'm not going to stipulate anything else. I've never met a person who
00:23:46.940 wouldn't take being a completely broke 20 year old. And that I think speaks less to health because
00:23:54.200 look, ostensibly Warren still appears somewhat healthy, right? He's cognitively intact. It's not
00:23:58.220 like he's like a frail 90 year old or whatever he is, but it's about runway. It's about, yeah, but maybe
00:24:04.600 Warren might have 10 years of life left. That 20 year old could have 80 years of life left.
00:24:08.940 And so when you face it in such stark terms, only then I think does the average person start to
00:24:14.960 realize how precious time is. I think they also see that Warren can't sprint, dunk a basketball,
00:24:22.020 go wakeboarding. There's a lot of other things too in there that enjoy me. And that's what I
00:24:25.800 thought about. And I thought to myself, if for reading this book, like I'm spending hours of my
00:24:32.360 life to acquire these experiences. I mean, experiences in the broadest sense, whether it's like going on a
00:24:38.380 walk or being able to choose to go on a walk or go get a sandwich or buy a shirt or whatever.
00:24:42.960 If I'm exchanging hours in my life and I don't go acquire these experiences, I pretty much wasted
00:24:47.920 hours of my life. So that thought hits and it's like, okay, you don't want to leave anything on
00:24:53.360 the table. In the game of life, when I die, you don't want to leave chips on the table, right? Like
00:24:57.600 you want to use all your resources before you die. Inherent in that is that your choices,
00:25:03.120 your experiences, those experiences are what make you, you. Those are the things that fulfill you.
00:25:08.380 And everybody's going to be different. And so consequently, having more of it and enjoying
00:25:14.360 more of it will lead to a more fulfilling life. So that if I'm solving for fulfillment, I don't care
00:25:20.220 about the money. I care about the things I want, the experiences I want to have. If I'm trying to
00:25:25.500 solve for that, one of the things you come quickly to is that you need to use all your resources up
00:25:30.620 before you die. The second thing you come to with the fact that your resources, particularly money,
00:25:36.780 are less valuable to you when you're older, then you start to think, well, there must be a curve.
00:25:42.640 Because if you're going to end at zero, is it this kind of rectangle shape that just goes down?
00:25:47.300 Is it a 45 degree angle sleep? Or is there some sort of curve? And so what I like to do to understand
00:25:53.160 certain things that doesn't always work is think of zero and think of infinity. All right, let's run
00:25:58.140 it all the way back to one, 20 years old. How useful is money? Not that useful to you.
00:26:02.560 Let's run it all the way forward to 96 on your deathbed. How useful is money to you? Not that
00:26:07.660 useful. So clearly there's like some sort of ramp up of utility and then a decline of utility.
00:26:12.900 And I became obsessed with finding what that curve was. Because I was like, this is it. If you're
00:26:20.160 making more money for delayed gratification later in life, you approach infinity, you're actually
00:26:25.560 wasting your time. You should be spending down your assets at a certain point. There's an inflection
00:26:29.860 point where not a number, but a date where your wealth should be going down in order to get the
00:26:35.960 most fulfillment. Now let's pause for a second, Bill. Is that standard thinking slash teaching
00:26:42.780 within the wealth management community? No, but it is a standard problem. If you look at
00:26:47.520 JP Morgan or other wealth managers, one of the biggest problems they have is the accumulation,
00:26:52.800 getting people to spend down their assets. They've been saving, they got their money,
00:26:57.180 they hit retirement, and it's like their net worth is going up into their 70s. When's the party?
00:27:03.180 That's why I always ask them, like, you just tell me when the party is. I have conversations
00:27:06.340 with older people or other people. I'm like, listen, it's okay that you're saving. What are
00:27:10.940 you saving for? And when's the party? I just want to know when you're going to use up all your
00:27:14.940 resources. Let's also pivot and talk about, I remember one of the stats that always stuck with me
00:27:21.280 was during 2008. So a really good friend of mine named Jim Lambright, who was at the time the
00:27:25.660 president of the Ex-Im Bank. When the TARP program kicked on, because he was close with Hank Paulson
00:27:32.000 and had already spent so much time in China and had government clearance, basically Hank brought
00:27:35.900 Jim Lambright and Neil Kashkari, who was with him already at the treasury, I believe, to run TARP.
00:27:41.300 So basically, Jim and Neil are doing all the deals for TARP. And Jim is getting steeped in how bad is
00:27:49.680 this going to be? Like, what is this going to mean for the average person? And I remember one day he
00:27:56.020 called me with a stat that I couldn't believe, and I forget the stat, so this is only directionally it,
00:28:01.320 but it was what fraction of people in the United States could not produce $1,000 with three days
00:28:09.020 notice, meaning they didn't have that excess liquidity of $1,000. Again, I don't remember the
00:28:14.320 number, but it was in the ballpark of like 30%. It was a high number. I don't know what those stats
00:28:20.320 are today. I've tried to look some of them up, and they're not maybe quite as dire as that, but
00:28:25.940 they're not that much better. No, they're not great. It's not great.
00:28:28.600 So what's the natural history of that person who's 40 years old, whose total net worth is $50,000,
00:28:36.900 and their available liquidity is $1,000, you know, they're thinking I'm going to work till I'm 65 or
00:28:45.120 70 or whatever, and then I'm going to collect my social security. Does this thinking still apply
00:28:50.320 there? It applies in different ways. So what I've come up with this book is there's three variables,
00:28:56.360 your wealth, your health, and your time. And we're taking those three variables and we're solving
00:29:01.060 for net fulfillment. So we're not solving for maximum wealth. We're not solving even for maximum
00:29:07.660 health. There's maximum time. We're solving for net fulfillment. I'm saying that's your purpose.
00:29:12.080 If you're with me, we're solving for net fulfillment. And so one of the things we look at is that the total
00:29:18.440 arc of your life, given the resources you have, how do we allocate them? We definitely want to focus
00:29:23.980 on the money. Everybody wants to talk about the money and the resources, but there's decisions that you
00:29:28.220 make even without money. Whether you go on a walk with your daughters, you play cards with your
00:29:34.860 friends late at night. Do you tuck them in at night or you go hang out with the boys? And so in the book,
00:29:40.180 we talk about the seasons of your life. Certain activities transfer nicely to the next season in
00:29:45.820 your life from 20 to 30 to 30 to 40. And some of them don't transfer well. They're less enjoyable.
00:29:51.400 And some of them don't transfer at all. It's impossible. One of the things when the 40-year-old who has
00:29:57.380 $50,000, one of the things I would say is, what's your survival number? Have you calculated that at
00:30:03.020 retirement? Are you surviving retirement or are you in serious negative dire straits? And once we've
00:30:09.560 calculated that, okay, I need to work and save this much and plus social security, I've had my survival
00:30:15.280 number. Now the rest is for experiences, things I want to do and allocation of my time. How do I
00:30:22.740 allocate it? Is it the cruise at 70 or is it the ski trip right now? And that's going to be different
00:30:29.860 for every single person. Or is it a shirt or whatever fulfills them? Or to go play in this
00:30:34.000 chess tournament, pay the entry fee. And for people with zero money, you still have an allocation game
00:30:40.620 to play. You still have your health and your time. You can still decide, hey, I'm going to sit down
00:30:48.000 and watch friends. Or I'm going to go hang out at my mom's house and make a meal and spend time with
00:30:53.240 them because I'm only going to see them 20 times before they're gone. So this type of thinking about
00:30:57.700 allocating your resources at the proper place, getting off autopilot, holds at all wealth levels.
00:31:04.960 It doesn't hold at all health levels because if you have zero health, you have zero. You're done.
00:31:08.120 It's over. But it holds at all wealth levels. So that type of thinking to maximize fulfillment
00:31:13.420 and knowing that you have seasons of your life, that your body decays, your attitudes change,
00:31:21.340 and they pass. That type of thinking in that I need to get things in the right order and use my
00:31:26.980 resources properly, that's going to help you have a more fulfilling life whether you have zero money
00:31:31.740 or $100 million. There are many people with zero who are having a way more fulfilling life than
00:31:37.400 Warren Buffett, I would say.
00:31:38.640 One of the things about the way you framed it, Bill, that I really like, it's a very nonlinear
00:31:44.260 problem. So let's look at those three variables. At the surface, one might suggest, well, wait a
00:31:49.640 minute. It is a min-max game with one of them. You always want max health. But technically, even that's
00:31:55.220 not true because if I told you, Bill, I have the secret for you to have max health. I can preserve
00:32:02.620 your health span and lifespan indefinitely, but here's what it's going to cost you. Every minute of the
00:32:07.280 day, you have to be working on your health. So from the moment you wake up from sleep,
00:32:12.560 you have to do a two-hour meditation. We then have to go and do this yoga. We then have to go and do
00:32:17.520 this workout. When you're done that workout, you have to go and do this, and then you have to go to
00:32:21.900 bed. You'd be like, well, Peter, that sucks because, yeah, I'm going to live for 100 more years and I
00:32:28.040 don't get to spend any of that time doing anything other than improving my health. It's a glib example,
00:32:33.700 but it factors, I think. It illustrates the point.
00:32:36.980 I usually say, there's no amount of money you can pay me to do 10 years in Sing Sing.
00:32:43.120 Not at this age. There's no amount of money. I say that to certain people who are just always
00:32:47.200 delaying gratification. I'm like, you're kind of in a jail. You're basically doing a version of,
00:32:52.120 I'm doing time. Maybe you shouldn't be doing time at this point in your life.
00:32:57.260 And so these are kind of just ways. People absorb information in different ways. You can say it in
00:33:01.860 all kinds of different ways. And then they finally go, aha, I got it. That really spoke to me the way
00:33:05.820 you said it. I try and hit people with different versions of this. One of the things I like to say
00:33:11.040 to people is, life is like Tetris. You got to get the order right in order to get the high score
00:33:16.180 of net fulfillment. Let's say you're in heaven.
00:33:18.680 By the way, Tetris is the only video game I enjoy. I go through periods where I won't play it for a year.
00:33:25.140 And then I go through periods where I'll waste 30 minutes a day, which is a lot of time for me.
00:33:29.680 For me, 30 minutes in a day is an inordinate amount of time. And when I'm sometimes in those
00:33:34.180 phases of playing it a lot, I dream in Tetris. I literally dream that everything I'm seeing
00:33:41.880 in the world, I'm trying to optimize the shape and interaction of.
00:33:46.020 In the book, I talk about this thing about time buckets, basically that
00:33:48.960 you take your life in segments, any kind of segment you want, 20 to 25, 35 to 40, 50 to 60.
00:33:55.460 You think about leisure, job, career, what experience you want to have in each of those periods.
00:33:59.680 And as you're doing that, you realize that, wait a minute, the going to the clubs and strip clubs
00:34:04.380 and hanging out probably should be before I get married, not after. The reading books to my kids
00:34:09.460 when they're children, this must be in this bucket.
00:34:11.780 Right. Because they're not going to want me reading to them in college.
00:34:13.880 Exactly. Or even when they're 13, 14, they don't even want to know you. That's one of the errors
00:34:17.540 I made. You always do it wrong as a parent. You don't want to spend too much time with them,
00:34:21.360 et cetera. It's like, wait a minute, maybe I should have been doing this activity instead of that
00:34:25.580 activity. Kind of the die with zero thinking, right? Optimize your life.
00:34:29.680 The thought experiment, I says, listen, you're up in heaven. You have the bucket of experiences.
00:34:34.580 These are all the choices you can have. And God says, take as much as you want. You're throwing
00:34:39.180 it in. You're like, I want to have sex 30,000 times. And I want to climb Kilimanjaro. And I want
00:34:43.000 to play hockey. I want to be in a high school team. And I want to do, you know, and you're just
00:34:46.320 throwing them in everything. I want to meditate and yoga, right? And then God goes, great. I'm going to let
00:34:52.260 you have all those experiences. But there's one trick. You got to get the order right.
00:34:55.900 And what's it saying is, is if you don't get the order right, like if you save certain experiences
00:35:00.640 to the 80 to 86 bucket, you don't get it.
00:35:04.000 Yeah. You're not climbing Kilimanjaro.
00:35:05.140 Yeah. If you're like nightclub and road trips with your buddies before you're married and you
00:35:09.460 have two kids or whatever, you don't get that. If you don't go backpacking with your friend and
00:35:13.920 youth hostels, et cetera, when you're 21, when you get the shot, you don't get that experience.
00:35:19.160 Or it's a bastardized, not as fulfilling experience. So you don't get the net fulfillment
00:35:23.900 points. And so it's kind of tied with zero. What do you want out of your life? Get off autopilot.
00:35:29.280 What do you want on a life? What resources do you have? And how do we optimize? How do we get the
00:35:33.880 most out of it? So how do you think about your own risk tolerance? Now, I guess there's maybe a caveat
00:35:41.820 the listener needs to understand at this point, which is what you do for a living today. So you are an
00:35:47.940 energy trader, among other things, do many things. But is it safe to say that the majority of the
00:35:52.520 wealth you've created came through your ability to understand how natural gas moves and trade on
00:35:58.900 that? Yeah. The majority of my wealth came from predicting the future. And that's generally the
00:36:02.740 future of natural gas prices. John Arnold, who is one of your closest colleagues, someone who I've
00:36:08.080 had on the podcast, nicknamed the king of gas, the greatest gas trader of all time. Do you look at a
00:36:13.500 guy like John and say he has a high risk tolerance? Do you look at someone like yourself and say,
00:36:17.700 you have a high risk tolerance? Or do you not feel that way at all and feel like, nope,
00:36:21.960 I'm completely in control of calculated risks. And that's why they net out to be positive. In other
00:36:28.220 words, I'm less swayed by short-term volatility because my methodology doesn't feel like I'm
00:36:33.740 gambling. The best traders I've seen have been pretty stoic about things. They think about very
00:36:38.720 robotically about expected outcome. And they don't seem to be disturbed about negative outcomes as much
00:36:45.760 as the average person. Tell folks what expected outcomes mean because they want to understand
00:36:49.360 the probabilities and how these work. If you place a bet and the payout is one in four,
00:36:54.960 but the odds are 50-50, half the time you're going to get four times your money and half the time
00:37:00.420 you're just going to lose one times your money. So that's positive expected outcome, right? You're
00:37:03.920 going to make money. This is a great trade. But remember, 75% of the time you're going to lose
00:37:09.160 in this scenario. No, the payout, half the time you're going to lose. Half the time you're going
00:37:12.460 to lose, the payout's one in four. So half the time you're pissed. You're upset. And a lot of people
00:37:18.180 can't deal with that. They need four or five or seven positive events emotionally, psychologically,
00:37:27.780 forever, every negative event. In trading, that just doesn't exist.
00:37:32.360 Yeah. In trading, if someone is right half the time-
00:37:35.680 They're pretty good. If they're right, 55%, 60% of the time, they're right. Think about the
00:37:40.280 casino's edge in blackjack. It could be 51-
00:37:43.000 Yeah, 0.07 or 0.09 in blackjack. In craps, it's like 0.03. They're wrong a lot of the time.
00:37:49.880 But ultimately, the law of large numbers, they make a bunch of money. But if your emotional
00:37:53.540 calculus is different, where such that you need a greater being right ratio, then you're not going
00:37:59.840 to make it because stress clouds your thinking and your judgment.
00:38:03.700 So with that said, if someone says to you, you just have a really high tolerance for risk,
00:38:08.960 I don't. I'm very risk-averse. I don't like to take big risk. I never want to have the chance
00:38:14.820 of losing something. Loss aversion is a greater motivator for me than gain. How do you talk to
00:38:21.100 that person and how do you help them think through the difference between fear and risk tolerance?
00:38:26.000 Well, the first thing I do is just try and break down what are they actually afraid of. A lot of times
00:38:30.140 when people say the bad thing is not as bad as they imagine it in their head. And a lot of times,
00:38:36.680 quite frankly, it's really the fear of judgment more than the actual thing. They find out that
00:38:41.840 they can survive the potential negative financial hit. What they can't survive is, oh, my friends,
00:38:48.220 my colleagues, my spouse, my mom, my dad, the shame, I got it wrong, the I told you so's, etc.
00:38:54.980 There's a lot of that fear baked into, disguised as, I can't risk these dollars. I'm like, yeah,
00:39:00.980 you can. That type of thing. Then the other thing is I'm trying to think is, get them to focus. They
00:39:06.080 always focus on the monetary cost of losing. But what about the cost of inaction and the opportunity
00:39:12.120 costs? And by talking about the opportunity costs, I get them to see the asymmetry of the risk.
00:39:17.480 Maybe I have a greater tolerance for risk. But what I do is that I fear, my fear is reversed. I fear
00:39:23.960 missing out on the opportunity costs. I fear not getting the max. A lot of people fear running out
00:39:29.200 of money. I fear wasting my life. I am more worried about looking back and being like, shit,
00:39:36.480 I wasted my only ride that I had than running out of money. One of my patients said something to me
00:39:42.980 once. He was about to do something that I just thought was really risky. Now it was a very unique
00:39:49.220 opportunity. And he said, Peter, I'm going to go and do this thing. And I said, I think there's a
00:39:53.540 significant risk to you in doing that. It wasn't a financial risk. It would have been a health risk,
00:39:57.480 a physical risk. And he said, you're right, Peter. I acknowledge that risk. That is the risk.
00:40:03.500 But I'm optimizing in a risk, pardon me, a regret minimizing framework, not a risk minimizing
00:40:11.580 framework. For me, it's risk reward. If I really love cigarettes, like love them, I'd smoke cigarettes.
00:40:18.440 You know what I mean? If I really love skydiving all the time, I went twice, but it was diminishing
00:40:23.240 returns. I go skydiving. It's what fulfills you. And so I'm a risk reward guy. Is the reward
00:40:30.800 commensurate with the risk? Some people like to ride motorcycles. For me, it's not worth the risk.
00:40:35.060 Like I have a physical risk tolerance around one in 10,000. If it's more dangerous than one in 10,000,
00:40:40.580 the reward really has to be worth it for me to do it. And so that's the way I think. That helps me
00:40:46.720 in this kind of like counterfactual regret minimization algorithm. So the algorithm of the
00:40:51.560 book, the mental models in the book are right. You know, when a chess computer plays you, it has a
00:40:56.000 regret minimization algorithm. And what it wants to do is a solving to win. AlphaGo is solving
00:41:00.680 to win the game. In the game of life, what I'm solving for, the regret minimization I'm solving
00:41:05.800 for is net fulfillment. I want the highest score in net fulfillment. I don't want the highest money.
00:41:11.480 I don't even want the highest health. I'm like, I don't want to run three hours a day to be in the
00:41:16.600 top 0.5%. Top 3% is great enough. I'll give up the tail end of my life. You know what I mean?
00:41:22.460 And time, like how to optimize my time. Everything for me is like what I'm solving for in life,
00:41:28.160 what this book is solving for, for you is net fulfillment. It is relentless about net
00:41:33.620 fulfillment. If that entails for you, your makeup, like taking nervous risk, going hella skiing,
00:41:39.880 skydiving, riding motorcycles, then so be it. If long as you're off autopilot and you've thought
00:41:44.340 it through, then that's fine. How variable do you think people are in their kind of stratification
00:41:52.500 of what encompasses net fulfillment? Maybe a better question is, do you think people are even
00:41:58.020 understanding about and deliberate about what that means? That doesn't strike me as something
00:42:03.720 that the average person could articulate very clearly what it is that will be their fulfillment
00:42:09.920 maximizing function in terms of experiences. And I want to reiterate a point you made, which is it's
00:42:15.520 not just the experience, it's when they occur. The combination of which experiences and when they
00:42:20.320 occur and who they occur with, do you get the sense that the average person can actually articulate
00:42:25.580 that? I think they had the ability earlier in life and then they get habituated out of it.
00:42:31.140 So we all go into autopilot. We have this default mode network. It helps us survive. It helps us drive
00:42:35.600 without thinking, oh, I got to turn. When you first line our drive, everything's happening fast. You
00:42:40.300 have to deliberately think about everything you're doing. And then all of a sudden it goes into default
00:42:43.640 mode network and it's easy. It happens with work. And you're like, I need to work to survive and I
00:42:48.420 need to do this and you're panicking, whatever. And the next thing you're in the groove and you're
00:42:50.860 just constantly working. Somewhere along the way with the abstraction of going to work to make money
00:42:56.280 to survive and get the things we want, we forget about the things we want. We just go to work to
00:43:01.280 work, to just make more money, to go to work, to make more money. And the things we want either
00:43:06.860 get pushed for our head or forgotten about because we're on autopilot. It was a good thing because it
00:43:12.340 makes us good at our jobs. It's like, I can do this job with my eyes closed. I could do this and I'm
00:43:15.800 getting promoted and getting rewarded. And there's certain things about the jobs that
00:43:19.080 you like, but you're forgetting why you did this thing in the first place. People aren't
00:43:23.900 like, I really wanted to be a plastic salesperson. I really love selling plastics, more and more
00:43:28.080 plastics and piling up numbers in a bank account. Those numbers in a bank account were really
00:43:33.220 meant for, I want to hang out with my buddies and I want to go skiing and I want to get married
00:43:37.200 and I want to donate to this charity and I want to do X, Y, and Z, right? But we kind of
00:43:40.740 forget that. And since we forgot about it, we're not even thinking about when the best
00:43:44.720 time it is to happen. It's just completely like, oh, I'll eventually do it or when I
00:43:48.500 get more. So we're completely out of touch of what we want, what's enough, the concept
00:43:53.880 of enough, what that means for us, and the concept of when.
00:43:58.020 Now, I had a discussion with a patient just yesterday. So runs a hedge fund and not surprisingly,
00:44:03.900 given the economic climate we're in, hedge funds aren't doing particularly well, especially
00:44:07.640 long hedge funds. And this guy doesn't need to be working. Even though he's now having
00:44:12.580 a down year, I mean, he could certainly return all the capital to his investors and manage
00:44:16.720 his own capital indefinitely or do nothing, literally do nothing. But he said, what would
00:44:20.980 I do? Yeah.
00:44:22.020 What would I do? I'd sit around for three months and it would feel really nice to have no stress
00:44:26.500 for three months and then I'd be bored out of my mind. So he's like, no, I got to keep
00:44:31.280 going.
00:44:32.020 I've had this, you know, amongst my friends, you know, it's one of the things like people
00:44:35.480 ask the question, why do people do this? And I've had direct conversations with my friends
00:44:39.420 and with a friend and I'm very aggressive with them, attacking their walls they put
00:44:43.300 up. And what I tell them is, is that you have made your work, your God. It's who you
00:44:49.620 meet people. You eat around where work is. You've given up learning how to socialize and
00:44:55.520 meet your neighbors, all the people you know, or sometimes work or work related. You haven't
00:44:59.720 exercised those muscles for years, 10, 20, 30 years. Sometimes that people have their whole
00:45:07.560 life revolves around work and all the other muscles, I'm using muscles as an example, have
00:45:13.100 atrophied. How do you socialize without a job? How do you meet people without a job?
00:45:17.940 Where do I go eat without my job? Like I eat obviously somewhere within five miles of this
00:45:22.660 place and people recommend all the things that get recommended, the camaraderie, everything
00:45:27.000 that when people list what they like about work, that used to happen without work and they've
00:45:32.260 atrophied those muscles. So when you take that away, they're like, they don't know what
00:45:36.820 to do. They don't know what they want and their dreams have left them. The ski trip, they haven't
00:45:41.180 thought about that or hang out with their buddies or whatever. All that stuff has left them and
00:45:45.020 they haven't worked those muscles out. And I say, listen, just let's start working on those muscles
00:45:50.320 and building them up and you'll have plenty to do. You have plenty to do. You've let autopilot and
00:45:55.600 habit put you in poor health in these other activities. You're in poor health on how to meet
00:46:03.680 people and socialize outside of work. You're in poor health on where to go eat lunch,
00:46:08.460 except for the places near work or wherever you go. You're in poor health on trips that are not
00:46:13.960 business trips. You're in poor health about thinking about what fulfill you and discovery,
00:46:19.540 just plain old discovery because you don't know what you want. You discover what you want.
00:46:23.720 Nobody comes out of the womb like, I don't like onions and I love chocolate and I want to go to
00:46:28.040 Japan and I love F1. You get exposed to it and you discover what you want. So a lot of life is
00:46:33.940 discovery, but these people are out of discovery. They're in the familiar habituated routine. They
00:46:40.500 are a rat in a wheel that doesn't even need cheese anymore. It just runs in the wheel.
00:46:46.680 Now, how do we differentiate that from people who, and I would put myself in this category truthfully,
00:46:51.320 where a big part of their work is their fulfillment and they do feel a sense of purpose in what they
00:46:59.480 do beyond just the making money part of it. And I suspect that, like, again, just to make
00:47:05.940 caricatures of things, right? So maybe the person who works in the widget factory that makes the
00:47:11.180 widget that they don't even know what the widget plugs into, but they need a job. If they inherited a
00:47:16.200 big lump sum of money tomorrow, they would happily quit the widget job, but maybe they'd get
00:47:21.200 bored and they'd want to go back and start volunteering and doing something where they
00:47:24.880 don't actually get paid, but they're really enjoying what they're doing. And then, of course,
00:47:27.980 you have the group of people whose job is doing two things. It's providing money for all the things
00:47:35.540 that you need, both in an approximate sense and distally, but also it is a sense of purpose and
00:47:41.280 therefore it fits into their fulfillment. But these things can be very slippery. And I would certainly
00:47:45.380 put myself squarely in that category, right? Which is, I still work harder than I should. And I
00:47:50.340 absolutely know that I'm failing in the equation, even though I'm fulfilled by this and I wouldn't
00:47:57.660 want to not do this, but I'm doing too much of it as an example. I really push back hard on my
00:48:03.500 friends on this. And it's like, I can't know, only they can know. The heroin addict is happy.
00:48:08.280 I'm happy on heroin. You have a problem with my heroin. I don't have a problem, right? And that's
00:48:12.340 kind of the argument I push towards them. And I say, listen, really think about what in your job
00:48:18.520 fulfills you. And is that outside in the world and the purpose in that? And do you have balance?
00:48:25.580 Are you balanced according to what you want in life in this time period in your life and the
00:48:30.080 future time period in your life? Now, I can't tell somebody what their balance is, right? That's a very
00:48:34.800 personal thing. But what I really want them to do is be honest, off autopilot, really unplug for a
00:48:41.560 moment and think about it. Okay, I got one life and I have only this period once, right? I only get
00:48:47.480 between 50 and 55. I only get this level of health at this time. Are these the experiences? Is this
00:48:53.960 really how I want to allocate my time at this period? Is this really the maximum? Is this the
00:48:58.080 optimal thing for me to do? And if they do that and they come up with the same answer, like, hey,
00:49:01.820 no, I want to work at the widget factory or I want to work at this fulfilling, I can't argue that.
00:49:06.060 How am I to tell you how to live your life? What I'm here to tell you is how to optimize your life,
00:49:11.380 what thought process and what steps you should go through, things you should be considering in order to get
00:49:16.420 the most fulfillment of your life. And then if you come to the conclusion that, hey, I'm at the
00:49:20.020 perfect balance of work, right? And the money's piling up, but I'm going to use it later and I'm
00:49:25.620 going to go on a senior's cruise and that's what it's for, then that's your life. But maybe you might
00:49:30.980 go, you know what, I can dial it back and my daughters are only going to be or my kids are
00:49:34.460 only going to be this age at this time. Maybe I should take a family trip and unplug and go on
00:49:38.380 safari with them and enjoy my success because that's going to give me a lifetime of memory
00:49:43.560 dividends and discussion points and connections, et cetera. Maybe, you know, I'd rather have that
00:49:48.700 time with them now and not have them in a hospital with me when I'm old and stinky and barely, you
00:49:54.320 know, and seeing me this way. I want the memories and the time they spend with me doing this and not
00:49:58.820 at the tail end of life. Who knows? I just want people thinking about it. And if you just get off
00:50:04.400 autopilot just a bit and you start thinking about it, you're already optimizing your life. You're already
00:50:09.540 going to have a more fulfilling life. I think that that's probably the part of the book that most
00:50:16.480 kind of resonates with someone like me, which is, especially when it comes to kids. And I have,
00:50:23.320 I guess the, maybe it's an advantage, maybe it's a disadvantage, but my kids are sort of separated
00:50:28.020 in age by a bit of a gap, right? So my daughter's 14 and then the boys are five and eight. In other
00:50:33.380 words, I now know what it's like to have a teenager. I now understand all the things that you kind of
00:50:39.120 give up when your kid's a teenager. Our daughter's an amazing kid, but the reality of it is like,
00:50:44.080 she doesn't really want to be around me. No, they don't want to know you when they become
00:50:48.000 teenagers. I didn't want to know my parents when I was a teenager, right? Yeah, yeah. Whereas
00:50:51.060 conversely, the boys can't leave us alone. And it's tempting to sort of say, I wish they would just
00:50:57.780 leave us alone. But now knowing that, oh, actually in six years, you'll kill to be back in this
00:51:04.880 situation, makes it infinitely more easy to appreciate. That's kind of one thing that I
00:51:10.080 think is helpful for people to understand the seasons, this idea of seasonality. Like you,
00:51:15.780 I probably think back to things I didn't do for different reasons, right? So when I was in college,
00:51:21.760 I mean, I couldn't have worked harder. I mean, I was out of my mind how hard I worked. My night off,
00:51:29.040 there was one night, which was Friday when I only worked till 9 p.m. It was my break. And from 9 p.m.
00:51:37.000 till 11, I would- See, I needed a little bit of you and you needed a little bit of me.
00:51:40.060 I would go and do laundry after 9 p.m. on a Friday. That was my way to just take a little
00:51:44.580 time off. But other than that, it was six hours a day of work outside of class. And I think of all
00:51:51.960 the things I didn't do in college. So first of all, my only memories of college are pure misery. I
00:51:55.740 hated every minute of college. I didn't have- You didn't have the college experience.
00:52:01.260 Yeah. Now, I could say, well, a lot of good came out of that because I did really well and
00:52:04.880 did well. That set me up for the next thing and the next thing and the next thing.
00:52:08.020 But I could have traveled. Having a college experience didn't mean I had to get drunk every
00:52:11.940 night. It meant that I could have saved all that money I was making by tutoring and done something
00:52:17.740 different. This reminds me of the college paper had this. My senior year, I opened it up and it had
00:52:22.000 the 50 things you need to do before you graduate. And I just had the biggest regret when I read that
00:52:27.520 list. And you read it at what age? I was just about on my way out. I was like, never going to be able
00:52:32.260 to do this. I'm not going to do this. And some of them were simple, like write an angry letter to
00:52:35.460 newspaper, go skinny dipping at Lake whatever. I actually did that after I read that. There were
00:52:40.340 a lot of things, do this college prank, do whatever, things that would be fun, didn't necessarily cost you
00:52:44.360 money or whatever, but things to do to have a college experience and not necessarily do them all.
00:52:48.160 And I was like, maybe I did three or four. And I was like, why was I so on autopilot in my way?
00:52:54.460 And think about, okay, you got four years here. Good, good grades, good study. But like,
00:52:59.200 you want to get this out of it. You want to do this out of it. You want to have this college
00:53:02.160 experience, et cetera. We just kind of like, don't really think about things going autopilot
00:53:06.800 so much that we don't think about periods in our life. Even this year, what experiences do I want to
00:53:12.480 have this year with this person, with myself, with my spirituality, with my health, with my travel,
00:53:19.160 my leisure, my job? How am I going to optimize? And how does that fit into the Jigsport, the Tetris
00:53:23.800 game of my entire life? Am I doing it right? Maybe this experience that I'm saying goes here,
00:53:27.680 actually goes further out in my life. When I was trying to get the book published,
00:53:32.300 one of the publishers said, I do exactly what you're talking about in the book. I really like hiking.
00:53:37.100 She explained she had an injury and she likes running, but now she does like hiking and she
00:53:42.920 really likes concert and music. And she goes on a vacation with a friend every year. They pick what
00:53:47.660 they're going to go do. And there's this very expensive opera that she wants to go see and
00:53:51.280 et cetera. And she said, what I and our friend decided is that the hiking trips and this mountain,
00:53:57.880 et cetera, we're going to pull these forward. And the sitting in operas and these type of trips,
00:54:02.040 the set in a Jigsport, we're going to push forward.
00:54:04.040 Push into the future.
00:54:04.900 Push into the future. So, you know, Max and I. So, it was like, if they get that order wrong,
00:54:09.320 they go all the opera and then they turn around like, holy shit, I can't hike this mountain.
00:54:12.800 And so, this fits in every aspect of your life. College, first job, pre-married, married, before
00:54:20.940 kids, kids that are toddlers, not toddlers, that type of thinking is really helpful. And you've been
00:54:26.740 lucky. Experience has taught you about the seasons with your kids. And I learned the hard way too. I was
00:54:32.320 like, you know, people tell you like, oh, your kids don't want to be when you're 13. And you're
00:54:35.340 like, you kind of forget when you were 13. You forget like, oh yeah, I didn't want to be around
00:54:38.640 my parents. And then it really hits you when they're just like, dad, nobody hangs out with
00:54:44.900 their dad that much. Come on.
00:54:46.040 One of the other things that you talk about, and you've mentioned it already today a couple
00:54:49.780 of times, is philanthropy. So, there's a story in the book about a woman who dies and leaves a large
00:54:56.080 gift. Tell that story again.
00:54:57.200 It's one of those secret millionaire stories. They're all out there. Like, there's a secretary
00:55:02.180 and then when she died, she had $10 million of Tootsie Roll stock or whatever. And so,
00:55:07.240 this woman worked at a law firm, saved her money, lived a, by all accounts, a very frugal life.
00:55:12.940 And then when she died, she gave a multi-million dollar gift to education, charitable education.
00:55:20.300 Everybody was like, you know, that's so charitable and that's such a great thing. And I had a different
00:55:24.820 perspective. My perspective was, when you're dead, the money isn't yours. And also that the target
00:55:31.340 for her bequeath after her death would have been much better off receiving the money much earlier,
00:55:37.400 a lower sum much earlier, and that the return on her charitable investment will be greater than any
00:55:42.820 of her investment returns. And so, I can't really get into her head to determine if it's charitable.
00:55:50.120 I am knowingly thinking I'm doing the right thing. I'm going to save all this money and it's going to
00:55:55.880 grow to a bigger pile and I'm going to give to a charity. But to me, it appears to be a tip on the
00:56:01.340 way out. The money's got to go somewhere. It was going to go either to the IRS who redistribute the
00:56:07.320 money the way they see fit, usually into wars and stuff, but I won't go into that subject or hairs
00:56:12.420 or et cetera. But it's going somewhere. It's not yours. It's gone. So, the fact that it just wound
00:56:18.540 up into this educational charity, I didn't see it as charitable as much and as impactful as just
00:56:25.220 giving the money earlier. Life is urgent. Life is now. And I argue that the return on investment in
00:56:30.660 your charitable endeavors is greater than any return in the market you can get.
00:56:34.540 Well, and this is sort of interesting because think about what our mutual friend,
00:56:37.660 John Arnold did 10 years ago, which was before he even hits the age of 40, he decides,
00:56:44.500 I'm no longer going to do this full-time. My full-time job is now giving this money away.
00:56:50.020 Right. It's great. John's great. And we've had a lot of conversations about this, about making sure
00:56:54.860 the money actually gets distributed, gets into the purpose, helping causes. But John decided that
00:57:00.200 I've been solving the problem of natural gas long enough.
00:57:03.380 I have more money than I'll ever spend or need. And I really want to dedicate my neurons
00:57:11.800 to solving other problems. So, he takes an analytical approach, a database-driven approach
00:57:17.600 to solving some of society's ills and solving some problems and trying to get ahead of some
00:57:21.860 of these intractable problems, which is awesome. And the fact that he's doing so young, I even argue
00:57:27.300 with John like he did it too late. He's still late, you know what I mean? Because he was on autopilot
00:57:31.620 too, in my opinion, trading. What are you working for? I have this conversation with John. He's like,
00:57:36.620 what's the money for? What can't you buy? And to a certain extent, the money became a detriment
00:57:41.200 based on your value system, right? If you're like, hey, and I mentioned this book, yeah,
00:57:46.480 I can have Maroon 5 play in my backyard every day, et cetera, but you don't want to ruin your kids by
00:57:51.380 spending the money and consuming it that way. And I'm using the Maroon 5 as an exaggerated example,
00:57:55.780 but like there's all kinds of consumption that you don't want to have because you don't want
00:58:00.720 your kids to have that. Then the money became a negative. You really work too low for because
00:58:05.240 you're working for money that you cannot spend, you cannot consume. And you could start giving
00:58:09.540 away and having an impact on the other things you want to do now.
00:58:14.320 And I think one of the things that John exemplifies is how to give money away thoughtfully.
00:58:20.540 And what you realize when you spend any length of time within which you've spent more than I have,
00:58:27.100 it is really hard to give money away strategically and thoughtfully, which is why I suspect John and
00:58:33.340 Laura set themselves up with 50 years of a runway to give. And I don't know, there's a pretty good
00:58:39.900 chance they still won't be able to give it all away, right? What they're doing is like effectively
00:58:43.160 giving away. They want to solve problems, database decisions. But it takes time. I mean,
00:58:47.400 that's the other point that you have to invest the time to try something out, see if it works,
00:58:54.560 if it does double down, if it doesn't learn why it doesn't pivot. And you know, you can't do that.
00:59:00.000 If you say, look, at the end of my life, I'm going to give away a billion dollars. Like it won't be
00:59:04.040 effective. There's a double issue here. There's the issue you already said, which is the compounding
00:59:08.720 issue. No, if you give a billion dollars away in 50 years versus giving away half a billion dollars
00:59:15.100 or a hundred million dollars, 30 years sooner, that money will do more good. But there's another
00:59:20.000 layer to that, which is you have a chance to learn from what that money did and make corrections that
00:59:26.600 themselves allow for more thoughtful giving. They're immediately jumping into the problem
00:59:31.160 and let the experiments run the course and they have the time to do it. And they're doing it. I can't
00:59:35.300 say enough about the Laura and John Arnold Foundation about the way they're going in and helping people
00:59:40.620 in solving problems. The other thing that you talked about in the book that really probably,
00:59:47.020 this is probably the reason I had my wife read it right away, was the idea of, you know, we sometimes
00:59:53.400 think that there are people in our lives that we want to give money to at some point. And you sort of
00:59:57.760 think that's a person that was really important in my life or in our lives. And maybe we leave them
01:00:02.960 X amount of dollars at some point. And then you sort of realize, well, why don't you finish why
01:00:07.980 that's maybe not necessarily the right strategy? The same laws of physics that govern my body and
01:00:13.440 the utility of money over time for me applies to my kids. Maybe they have a little bit longer
01:00:19.160 lifespan or healthspan. Or relatives or anybody else. Relatives or anybody, anybody. The utility
01:00:24.480 of money to them follows a curve depending on how healthy they are, et cetera. You can just kind of
01:00:29.980 draw it, right? Like you know better than I. Muscle decay rates for people in shape, not in shape,
01:00:34.240 working out, et cetera. So this curve applies to them. So a lot of people like, oh, when I die,
01:00:41.920 I'm going to give, I used to have people on my will that are like close to my age. Like I'm going to
01:00:46.720 give money to them when I die. And I'm like, wait a minute, let me give my money to a 72 year old.
01:00:52.260 Wouldn't it be better if I gave them less money now? Like let them spend it and apply it because
01:00:57.480 the utility of money for them is drastic. The day before you die, I cannot pay you anything.
01:01:05.380 I cannot get you to delay gratification. That's what savings is, right? You're delaying gratification.
01:01:10.280 And so there is no gratification the next day. If you take it from the day before you die,
01:01:15.000 two days before you die to right now, right? There's this curve, this compensation you need
01:01:19.300 for delayed gratification. And it makes no sense for me to be leaving money to 65 year olds and 62
01:01:27.140 year olds. It's give it to them where the money has the most impact, where they'll have the most
01:01:32.620 utility of that money. And so when you're off autopilot and think, yeah, that's what everybody
01:01:36.540 does. They write down a will and when they die, et cetera. Now the will has a purpose. If you die
01:01:40.480 early, you got to distribute the money. But really before you die, if you'd live a normal life,
01:01:46.600 there should be nothing left to give. You should have already given it away.
01:01:49.900 Again, when I read your book and you articulate it that way, I mean, it's such a gut punch of this
01:01:55.760 realization. And one example is kids. My wife and I have people in our lives that we're not related
01:02:00.440 to that we value so much. And we've always said like, yeah, we want to give them X number of
01:02:07.200 dollars at this point in time. I've had that. I had a good year and there was people that I would
01:02:11.760 give money to if I had a good year or I'm not going to wait until I'm dead. Or there are people
01:02:16.000 in my will and I just went down a list and the maximum tax free gift you can give per year per person
01:02:20.300 is $15,000. And I had, I think a 30 to 50 person list of $15,000 to give to people.
01:02:27.320 And this was me reading my own book. A lot of people are like, why'd you write the book?
01:02:31.060 Well, I wrote it to save my own life. I didn't want one to waste my life. I want to get the most
01:02:34.480 net fulfillment. And after I wrote the book, mainly I talk about children. But then I thought about
01:02:38.860 that applies to everybody. If I'm going to do something nice and give something or leave something to
01:02:43.900 somebody, it's now. It's right now. Well, especially when you think about exactly what
01:02:49.520 you said, which is that person will do much more with that in applying it to their fulfillment curve
01:02:56.520 in real time. When you're really giving somebody money, right? You're giving them life energy.
01:03:01.980 You're giving the ability to make choices. You're giving them fulfillment. So waiting till they're 96
01:03:07.680 on the deathbed, they can't really convert that into fulfillment. You really didn't give them
01:03:12.360 what you wanted to give them. So when you look at their curve of their life, oh, wow,
01:03:16.600 here's the maximum insertion point. And as a matter of fact, wow, $5,000 right now at let's say 33
01:03:23.200 is like 150,086. It's actually more impactful. There's more going in life, more choices, things
01:03:30.580 going on. The cumulative effect, the fact that when they have that experience, not only do they enjoy
01:03:36.460 that experience at that point, whatever that experience is, they get dividends from that experience.
01:03:41.380 They talk about with their friends, they become more interesting. They recall that and they get
01:03:46.700 enjoyment out of it. It's like, oh, remember that ski trip we went on? We had a great time
01:03:49.860 with the kids. Yeah, that was great. They get fulfilled from that. So they get memory dividends
01:03:54.260 associated from that experience. Whereas if you give it to a 96, they do it once, they consume it,
01:03:58.800 if they can even do it, and then they die.
01:04:02.540 How do you help a person do the math? Because we've talked about this quite a bit and you've alluded to it.
01:04:09.420 There is really a curve. This is where both your background primarily as an engineer and a trader
01:04:16.260 come into solving what becomes a mathematical set of equations where you have certain variables you
01:04:23.880 need to understand. So let's say we're solving this for me or for you or an arbitrary person who's
01:04:28.900 sitting here who's 50 years old. Okay. So 50 year old person is listening to this or 30 year old
01:04:34.300 person. I mean, maybe we do a few different scenarios. So let's start with the 50 year old
01:04:38.020 who is firmly planted on the treadmill of autopilot. Okay. Their kids are in middle school and high
01:04:45.200 school. They realize how much money they need for college for their kids. They've got a mortgage
01:04:50.140 payment. They've got a good job and they have a fuzzy notion that they're going to work another 15
01:04:56.740 to 20 years. And they come to you and they say, Bill, I read the book. I buy the thesis. I don't
01:05:04.000 know how to implement it for my numbers and for my fulfillment curve. How do you help them think
01:05:09.340 about it? The main thing is it's very individual. It's like, what do you want? If you're sitting
01:05:13.660 there like, I just like working and going in and that's all I do. Okay. So I'll be the guy. So I'm
01:05:17.860 going to say, so Bill, no, I do have interests, but I got to be honest with you, man, I've backed away
01:05:22.440 from them. You know, I've kind of let them go. I've let myself go a little bit before my wife and
01:05:26.640 I had kids. We loved traveling. And before our kids were born, we hiked the entire rim of the
01:05:31.600 Grand Canyon. We went down to the Colorado river back up, probably the greatest thing we ever did.
01:05:35.700 And then once the kids came, we were kind of head down and work. And I just want to make sure that
01:05:40.020 my kids don't have debt when they go to college. What I do is like, okay, what's reality and what's
01:05:45.880 fear, fear-based thinking. So we try and get on that. And one of the things I'd look for is why don't
01:05:50.720 you go traveling with the kids? Well, it's a pain in the ass, whatever. I was like-
01:05:53.760 It's also so expensive, Bill. I mean, do you understand what it costs now? One of my kids
01:05:58.140 has a friend who did this African safari a year ago. They said it was amazing. You know, to price
01:06:03.040 that trip, Bill, today, $30,000 to go do that African safari now with the airlines, with the
01:06:07.820 safari. That's a lot of money. So what I think is, is when you die, will you have $30,000? Are you
01:06:12.280 on track to die with $30,000, $50,000? I hope so. Okay. So then would you rather consume that $30,000
01:06:19.340 now and have this experience with your kids, et cetera, or would you rather have $30,000
01:06:24.740 left over when you die? I just want to be safe. I mean, how do I know? What if I'm wrong?
01:06:28.760 Then we can sit down and go down the hard numbers. It's like, do you have insurance if you lose
01:06:33.340 your job? What is safe? What do you envision yourself doing in retirement that you can't
01:06:39.920 afford? What bad thing that will happen that we can't buy an insurance policy for? Is it long-term
01:06:46.380 care insurance? If you get that while you're young, it's actually pretty cheap. It's very cheap.
01:06:50.500 I look at what risks they're having and I look at ways to mitigate them. So a lot of people who
01:06:54.720 are conservative, like, oh, I'm worried about something happening. I'm like, what's the something
01:06:58.720 happening that you're worried about? When you do that with people, Bill, how often are they able
01:07:03.960 to articulate clearly what they're afraid of versus it being kind of just a fuzzy notion of-
01:07:10.740 A lot of it's fuzzy notion and we just keep pushing and pulling it out. What if this happened?
01:07:16.140 What if I get sick? What if we're whatever? We go over, like, medical insurance. Basically,
01:07:21.540 what happens is people try to act as their own insurance agent with a client of one.
01:07:27.500 Right. That's very difficult to underwrite.
01:07:28.840 So they have a client of one. They really don't understand the odds of the bad things happening.
01:07:34.400 And so what they tend to do is put it in this big, giant fear bucket of insurance premium,
01:07:39.540 and they just work and save and save and save to think that they have the notional to cover all
01:07:44.600 these bad things happening. And a lot of times I'll point out two things. I go, one,
01:07:48.920 some of these bad things that you're saving for, you'll never get the notional. Maybe you will or
01:07:53.020 whatever, but most of the people I talk to, do you know it was $25,000 a night for my dad in the
01:07:58.140 hospital? Insurance didn't cover that. It's gone though. It doesn't matter. You know what I mean?
01:08:02.120 He's only got X days. You're not saving. Some of these things are like, you shouldn't be the insurer.
01:08:06.740 If you're actually afraid of that and that's important to you, you need to buy the insurance policy
01:08:11.460 where they have the lower large numbers and their edge is 6% or 8%. You are going to be woefully
01:08:17.320 inefficient. And on top of that, you don't even know the odds. Like some of these things with robot
01:08:22.100 alien space insurance, wait, you're worried about this. I also like to do a comparison. Okay. Here's
01:08:28.440 the risk of this scenario happening and this bad thing happening and it's bad. We'll accept it.
01:08:33.540 And here's the risk of you not doing the thing that you want to do now. Here's the risk of you not
01:08:39.600 doing the trip. What does that look like on your deathbed when you know you couldn't have
01:08:44.460 gone on a safari and had this wonderful time with your kids and connected with them and something to
01:08:50.160 talk about forever and expanded your worldview? Was it worth the $30,000? Was it worth the insurance
01:08:56.180 policy that you're trying to, was it worth you trying to play insurance agent? And so a lot of
01:09:00.540 these are thematic conversations. They're not like hard number conversations. But you have a model.
01:09:05.180 Yeah, we have a model. But the problem with the model is it's an abstraction. The variables we're
01:09:09.000 talking about are infinite. Yep. And we have to abstract and abstract and abstract. So what the
01:09:15.440 model does, it really tells you the direction and it's very good on the direction, but the magnitude
01:09:20.580 it may be off. And so for you as a person, it's like, what's your survival number? We have that model.
01:09:25.780 Really think about, okay, just survival. Not, I'm hanging out. Yeah, not thriving, but surviving.
01:09:31.140 What do you need? Then after that, it's all your choices. And depending on who you are,
01:09:37.060 because there's infinite choices and what those choices will cost and the experiences you want to
01:09:41.180 have in your life, plus the discovery, the 20 to 30% discovery, maybe all your experiences go in the
01:09:47.060 50 bucket. You didn't realize it. And you're actually inadvertently pushing them in the 70
01:09:51.560 bucket and you're not going to have them. And so that's kind of what I try and get people
01:09:55.200 to do is like, are you going to have $30,000 trips in your lifetime? And they'll go, yes.
01:10:00.700 When is the optimal time for you to have $30,000 trips and with whom? If you're never going to have
01:10:06.520 a $30,000 trip, I'm like, okay, let's think of a different type of activity that will get you the
01:10:10.440 same fulfillment or close to it. That's not a $30,000 trip. To me, that's the interesting
01:10:15.040 distinction. Maybe somebody listening to this says, are you freaking crazy? Like I'll never take a
01:10:19.120 $30,000 trip ever, ever, ever in my life. Even if it's a $5,000 trip.
01:10:21.000 Yeah. The bigger point is, is there a trip that you think you will take near the end of your life
01:10:26.800 and you're holding back on taking it now? I mean, to me, that is one of the big aha insights from
01:10:34.180 this philosophy.
01:10:35.720 You're in that thing. Well, I'm saving because of just in case. It should be like, guy,
01:10:38.860 you're not the best insurance agent. You're actually the worst insurance agent. You don't
01:10:42.360 know the odds. You can never have the notional and the edge, the premium that you're extracting
01:10:47.460 from yourself. And that edges your own life. You have to give up hours of your life to have
01:10:51.360 this insurance premium is way, way more than just paying the insurance company. People worry about
01:10:56.500 running out of money. I'm like, get an annuity. You're worried about long-term health. And what
01:11:00.040 if I'm sick and I can't move and I need nurses? Get long-term care insurance. It's really cheap
01:11:03.620 when you start early. It's surprisingly cheap. What about this? There's an insurance product for a
01:11:08.040 lot of things people are like, quote unquote, saving or worried for, et cetera. Let's mitigate
01:11:12.980 the risk with the professionals. Let's get you living your life.
01:11:17.460 So how do you get through to somebody when you confront perhaps an even more illogical
01:11:22.560 problem? Because the problem that we just discussed is actually quite logical. It's easy
01:11:27.560 to understand why a person would think, I have to save for a rainy day. That's been pretty ingrained
01:11:33.360 into a responsible person. To me, there's a far less logical reason that people forego doing things
01:11:41.020 when they're young. And by young, I mean kind of like middle-aged, like in their working-
01:11:44.740 Right now. Young is right now.
01:11:46.260 Yeah. And it's because they're so busy making money. So this is probably the one-
01:11:52.060 That's the rat in the wheel with no cheese. They got to habituate. Like you take a rat,
01:11:56.480 you get them to run the wheel, you give them the cheese, you give them the run wheel to do the
01:11:59.720 cheese. And pretty soon you don't even have to give them the cheese. They sit the wheel,
01:12:02.340 they just start running. The reward is no longer the goal. It's just to do the thing.
01:12:07.440 How do you help somebody break that?
01:12:09.260 That is the hardest one to break because they've been brainwashed into thinking that this is what
01:12:15.520 I want to do. And it's one of the hardest things to extract somebody from. And so I have to explain
01:12:20.880 to them, where do you socialize? We just go through it. Where do you eat? Where do you eat
01:12:24.880 lunch? Well, I like the people at work. I like hanging out. I don't want to quit work. I like
01:12:28.540 hanging out with the people. I'm like, you can quit work and take the people on a trip with you.
01:12:31.900 You can vacation with them. You can still visit them at night and play bingo games. The people
01:12:36.660 don't go away just because you don't show up at work. You can still spend time and you can actually
01:12:40.740 spend more quality time with the people at work if you exercise that muscle. But they don't know
01:12:46.640 how to invite people over their house or, hey, we're going to go see the Chris Rock show tonight,
01:12:50.940 which I'm going to go do. Is Chris Rock in town tonight or is it in Houston?
01:12:54.380 No, here in Austin tonight. I don't even know.
01:12:57.000 See, there you go. A new experience you might have. But anyway, they don't know how to do that.
01:13:01.460 It's a very long conversation. You can do this. You can do that. Everything that you're getting
01:13:06.500 out of work, that social benefit, all these little excuses, the mental stimulation. I'm like,
01:13:11.420 John was like, these real life problems are more mentally stimulating than the natural gas puzzle.
01:13:17.000 I still like the natural gas puzzle, but these are more mentally stimulating, more purposeful,
01:13:21.400 more fulfilling to me. And so I have to break down brick by brick and show them how they got
01:13:27.740 habituated and how they haven't exercised these other muscles and how they can replace it and
01:13:32.520 realize work is not the unique thing to get the things you're getting out of work. It's actually a
01:13:39.360 bastardization of it. It's minimizing those experience. You're not actually getting the most
01:13:43.600 quality time with your coworkers in the working environment. You're actually not getting the most
01:13:49.120 mental exercise. That's not necessarily the best mental exercise for you in the work environment.
01:13:54.800 It's just, you know, nothing else because you've been stuck in this lab running on this type of
01:14:01.100 wheel. It's really hard because people will be extremely, extremely resistant. Change is painful.
01:14:09.200 You get somebody who hasn't worked out forever and you're like, Hey, let's go into the gym. We're
01:14:12.380 going to work out. It's like, Oh God, why am I here? I don't like this. You know what I mean?
01:14:16.840 Like just to develop the muscle to do the thing, to play the tennis, the fulfilling thing. It's a
01:14:20.820 process. You have to show them the reward that life is rich. It's fat. It's wonderful.
01:14:26.740 It is one of the biggest cliches ever, which is the person on their deathbed who says,
01:14:30.040 I wish I didn't work so hard. And yet we all know this cliche and yet many of us still work
01:14:34.920 too hard.
01:14:35.800 Habits are powerful. One of the things I took away from the habit books, like Tiny Habits by B.J.
01:14:39.980 Fogg is a great book, is that they're powerful. They're extremely powerful. And so we get habituated
01:14:47.420 in many different ways for good or bad. If you have the snacks in your house and you eat 200
01:14:51.600 calories a day, you know, in two years, you're like 40 pounds heavier, right? 200 extra calories.
01:14:56.320 How did that happen? How did I forget? You know, how did my life pass me by? How did I not go on
01:15:01.020 these trips? How did I not have these experiences? How did I not call my mother? How did I not say I
01:15:04.820 love you to these people? Even pick up the phone because my habits took over. They took over towards
01:15:09.920 this purpose and it just absorbed my life. And so outside the book with my friends, you know, I really
01:15:15.900 talk about the good of habits. You can form good habits that keep you healthy, but some of the
01:15:21.020 habits, you know, the consequences of some of our habits to be successful and how it takes away from
01:15:26.100 other things. Has that been a struggle for you? Oh, yes. I wrote that book for me. You know, the first
01:15:32.580 life I wanted to save was my own. Put your life mask on first. I am just as guilty as the next person is
01:15:39.600 being on autopilot. I constantly have to remind myself that I'm going to die, that life isn't
01:15:45.700 forever. This period ends. These seasons, what my daughters end. These seasons, what my startups
01:15:50.760 end. All these things. And I have to think about like, what do I want? How do I balance them? What's
01:15:54.900 optimized? And I don't get it exactly right, but I do it better than if I was just completely on
01:15:59.860 autopilot. And then sometimes I kept, I was like, oh shit, I was on autopilot. Why didn't I think about
01:16:03.820 this? You know? And what do you use to help jar you out of autopilot on these things? The first macro
01:16:09.380 thing is the death clock. Right now I have this calendar up and it's 4,000 weeks and you mark off
01:16:16.820 each week. And it's a very visceral representation about life is finite. Not only will you die somewhere
01:16:25.540 around here, but this period is going to end. A lot of times when people go on vacation, knowing that
01:16:31.940 the vacation ends on Friday snaps you up. You're like, oh shit, I'm going to go here and do this and I'm
01:16:36.260 going to stay out. And, you know, we only have a couple of days, so let's do the cafe and let's,
01:16:40.400 you know, do X, Y, and Z. And you actually get more out of the trip knowing it's going to end as
01:16:44.580 opposed to living obliviously. And all of a sudden time to go, wait, it's time to go. I forgot to do
01:16:50.520 this or go see the Eiffel Tower or go whatever it is on your trip. And so same that way with life,
01:16:55.060 when you know life is going to end, it becomes more urgent. Even the segment in your life, when you know,
01:17:00.940 you know, your early fifties are going to end, you're like, it becomes more urgent. You become more
01:17:04.480 deliberate. You get off autopilot. So that's the first layer.
01:17:07.980 So each week you do check off a box on the calendar.
01:17:10.280 Each week I check off. Now I've been in Austin and traveling, but when I come back,
01:17:12.600 I see it. It's in my closet. So I walk by it every day. It's a constant reminder.
01:17:17.060 Where'd you get this calendar, by the way?
01:17:18.680 Online. There was like some sort of stoic reflections out there, a memento mori,
01:17:22.760 remember death. I used to have it on my phone and you used to count down backwards to my estimated
01:17:27.520 death date. That app no longer works, but seeing it every time is great. If I get another widget
01:17:33.780 that counts down, I'll have both of them. Right. And I used to do it for other things like till
01:17:37.540 Christmas to your daughter's 14 till the job, the 15 year anniversary. Well, my daughter's going to
01:17:42.820 be 16. She's going to be driving. How am I going to pry experiences out of my daughter? Cause your
01:17:48.140 daughters don't want to know you before she's really gone. She gets a car and she's see ya deuces,
01:17:53.060 you know, that type of thing. So that really helps me. It gives me kind of an alarm that wakes me up
01:18:00.060 out of autopilot. And that's the thing I personally use. How do you help somebody think
01:18:04.900 about when their net worth should peak? Because a clear implication of everything we're talking about
01:18:11.580 is net worth probably needs to peak a lot sooner than it currently does. As you said, I think the
01:18:17.520 default for most working people is that net worth peaks sometime after retirement or certainly around
01:18:24.740 the time of retirement, even if they're thinking about drawing down. But again, for most people,
01:18:29.080 given the age of retirement, there's a mismatch between when they're hitting peak net worth
01:18:35.640 and when they're hitting peak capacity to utilize net worth.
01:18:39.520 That's a massive mismatch. You know, one of the things I wanted to do, and I wish I knew you back
01:18:43.700 then because you could have helped me as I was like, I want to know about all these frailty curves,
01:18:47.760 like bone density, lung capacity, what activities become less enjoyable first, and then unable to do,
01:18:54.840 because that determines a lot when your net worth should peak. I estimated it somewhere in your 50s.
01:19:01.040 Wow. And the data kind of shows that when I went to St. Petersburg and climbed the 200 and
01:19:07.560 I think it was 11 steps to walk around the Bannister, all these tour buses coming to St.
01:19:12.820 Petersburg, Asian, whatever. Not one person over those tour buses that was elderly climbed the 211
01:19:18.840 steps. So St. Petersburg was a different St. Petersburg for them. They didn't have the same
01:19:23.940 experience. I got more out of St. Petersburg for them. Now, I'm not saying it wasn't a wonderful trip
01:19:27.840 on a nice trip for them, but they probably pushed St. Petersburg too late in life. And so there's so
01:19:34.820 much hidden data and data out there in reports if you read it. We talked about it earlier, like trying
01:19:40.420 to get people to spend their money down. And one of the things, answers I give, you know, they say,
01:19:45.240 well, why do you think people are still, their net worth is still going up into 72? And, you know,
01:19:50.680 part of it is asset appreciation and going faster than they can spend it. But the real answer is they
01:19:56.300 can't. They cannot spend it down. Life has passed them by. They no longer have the attitude or
01:20:04.020 aptitude to do this. They can't do it. You'd be surprised how many people die on those cruise
01:20:08.580 ships trying to swim when they get to St. Thomas. They think their life's going to be like a carnival
01:20:12.260 commercial. And I'm like, that carnival commercial will kill most Americans. They're having heart
01:20:16.200 attacks going down those slides. And that, of course, just speaks to the imbalance between the
01:20:22.040 three variables. It's like if you spent a little bit more of your time on your health,
01:20:26.300 you would buy yourself a bigger runway to utilize your wealth on the experiences.
01:20:31.020 Right. So particularly for Americans, my book is most successful in Japan, which is strange.
01:20:36.320 Yeah. Say why.
01:20:37.160 I think one, I believe you'll get value out of this book and the way of thinking,
01:20:41.660 even if you have zero wealth. But Japan has a savings problem. Japan saves, save, saves,
01:20:47.220 then they die and they give the money to the next generation and they save, save, save. And I'm just
01:20:50.440 like, well, what generation actually has fun? So I'm really counter to the culture there.
01:20:55.120 Here, one of the criticisms of the book will be like, well, there's so many people that have zero
01:20:58.580 and trying to make ends meet. I'm like, I get it. They can still get value out of this about
01:21:02.680 getting the Tetris of their life, but maybe a wealth building book or how to make dollars book
01:21:07.440 might be more useful to them at this time in their life. In Japan, it's the opposite.
01:21:12.260 And also Japanese, they're healthier.
01:21:14.500 And they're healthier longer.
01:21:15.420 Yes. If you walk around Japan, old people, it's an older country, but they're around,
01:21:18.940 they're moving, they're doing things or having activities, et cetera. They're enjoying the life.
01:21:22.760 For Americans, looking at the obesity epidemic and the lifestyle of Americans, their ability to
01:21:29.300 consume experiences deteriorates way, way faster and way earlier than say the Japanese.
01:21:36.260 Let's go back to risk again. What's the mantra of the energy trader or the gas trader?
01:21:40.900 Yeah. The name of the game is the stay in the game.
01:21:43.480 Sort of like Simon Sinek's book, The Infinite Game. It's not about winning. It's about
01:21:47.040 being able to keep playing over and over and over again. So inherent in that is never making
01:21:51.440 a bet or a trade that can completely wipe you out and take you out of the game.
01:21:56.500 By nature of the business, even the smallest position can take you out of the game. It's
01:22:00.960 really about taking prudent risk reward and then stopping out when you can. Life is risk. You can
01:22:06.560 get hit by a bus. A meteor can hit you. You can get some sort of crazy infectious disease. You can get
01:22:11.000 a bum deal just going out, but you're not going to live in a bubble. You're going to take calculated
01:22:14.820 risks. So in trading, we're optimizing for profits. You're going to take risks that in a
01:22:20.860 tail scenario can blow you out. The key is taking prudent risk reward decisions. I don't smoke. The
01:22:27.500 reward's not great enough. I did go skydiving the first time the reward was great. The second time
01:22:32.880 it was half as great. I didn't do it the third time because the risk was the same and the reward
01:22:37.460 wasn't. The reward was going down and the risk was still the same. And so this is the same thing in
01:22:41.760 trading. We look at everything on a risk reward basis, the likelihood of dying. If things go awry,
01:22:47.220 can we get out? Have I sized my position? Can I get out? Is the liquidity there? And all these
01:22:51.680 things are going on all the time. And how do you think about that in a person's life? I mean,
01:22:56.200 I like the example of skydiving. How do you think about this now in terms of the seasons of the person's
01:23:01.820 life? Are there certain seasons where certain risks make sense, be it financial risks or-
01:23:07.760 I'll give you a great example of physical risk. Okay. So I have a cartilage disappearing in L3,
01:23:14.000 L4. Bones are hitting each other. So I'm advised against doing impact things. And I was 50 years
01:23:20.920 old in the islands and guys were going to go wakeboarding. And I was like, I don't want to
01:23:25.440 go. I don't want to go. I'm going to hang out on the beach. I'm going to loaf. And I thought about
01:23:29.240 it for a second. I said, I don't have many wakeboarding times left. Like I'm not going
01:23:35.840 wakeboarding at 60. I have this degenerative back thing. It's going to be more dangerous for me,
01:23:40.880 et cetera. If I am to wakeboard- It has to be now.
01:23:43.880 It is now. It is in this time period. And then I thought, okay, it's in this time period. I'm like,
01:23:48.180 okay, how many times am I going to be in warm water with my buddies where there's a wakeboarding
01:23:55.020 boat ready to go in the next two years? I don't know. This is it. I don't foresee it happening.
01:24:02.020 I could make a special effort for it, but like, it's just there in my lap and I don't have something
01:24:06.240 else to do, et cetera. And I was like, I'm going to go wakeboarding. This is probably the last time
01:24:10.440 I'm going to go wakeboarding. That was the last time I went wakeboarding.
01:24:13.420 How much did it hurt?
01:24:14.300 It didn't hurt. I actually jumped the wake too. I made a nice jump at a wake. I said,
01:24:17.540 I'm going to send it. I sent it. It didn't hurt that much. It wasn't like that. But afterwards,
01:24:21.040 there was a little tension in my back, et cetera. And stretching.
01:24:25.020 And trying to, I was very conscious, like, okay, I got to be careful coming across it.
01:24:30.380 And now I wake surf. I do the low impact version of the sport, which I absolutely love. Until,
01:24:35.440 you know, there's some technique to like put cartilage in my back and restrengthen my back.
01:24:39.760 I'm waiting for the technology to catch up. So maybe I'll get my back back. But right now,
01:24:43.580 it's the last time I went wakeboarding. That was the risk was worth the reward. There was no other time.
01:24:49.480 Now, as I get older, wakeboarding is much more dangerous. And so I've gone to a sport where
01:24:54.780 the speed of the sport, a lot of people think if you're going 10 miles per hour versus 12 miles
01:25:00.180 per hour, it's only two miles per hour difference, but it's a 44% difference in force because force
01:25:05.140 equals MV squared. And so I'm acutely aware of it. And I'm like, okay, I want to be in something I can
01:25:10.420 get fulfilled where the risk is not as great. I have a 44% reduction in force, which is great.
01:25:17.880 Great for me when I fall.
01:25:19.620 So what year was it that you had that incredible birthday?
01:25:23.300 Gosh, I'm pretty sure it's 45. But I've had an incredible birthday since then. But the one in
01:25:29.180 the book is 45.
01:25:30.640 At the time you spend a lot of money, was it for you enough money that you were like,
01:25:36.820 am I crazy doing this? Did you have second thoughts about it?
01:25:39.420 I had second thoughts. Like the events and the things I was planning.
01:25:42.320 Remind me, it was down in the-
01:25:43.880 I went to St. Bart's. I love St. Bart's. It's where I had my honeymoon. It's a great
01:25:48.080 island. I think it's one of the best islands in the Caribbean. Obviously, not everybody can go to
01:25:52.380 St. Bart's. And I tell people that become successful, you either get new friends or you
01:25:58.120 scholarship your friends because you want to do experiences. A lot of times, a lot of people want
01:26:03.440 to do shared experiences, right? They want their friends to come. They can't afford to just pop up
01:26:07.920 and spend thousands of dollars to go to St. Bart's or do X, Y, and Z. And it happens in various levels
01:26:13.460 of success, right? Whether it's on a trip to Chicago, you know, like I can't do that. Some
01:26:18.520 people can and can't. And so as you become successful, one of the experiences you want
01:26:23.240 to have is to be around your friends and have shared experience with your friends. And so I
01:26:27.020 coach people. I say, you have to lose this attachment that they have to pay or they need
01:26:32.620 to pay or whatever. You have to think what's most important to you. Get off autopilot. It's to have
01:26:37.660 shared experiences. And is it worth it for you to have them around? For me, I've had good
01:26:42.680 friends throughout the years. It's unequivocal. Yes. Friends and family. So, but it gets expensive.
01:26:47.520 You know, you got to rent out the hotel rooms, et cetera, and entertainment and plan this thing.
01:26:51.280 But I was like, some of these people, they have their own lives and own complications and conflicts.
01:26:56.700 You won't get the time to do with it. Some of these people won't be alive. May or may not be alive.
01:27:02.220 You may drift apart. This is the time I want to do this. And so as I was adding these people in and
01:27:09.420 having my mother down and all this stuff, I had just like a heavenly experience. Walking on the
01:27:15.480 beach. My mom's coming out of her beach house. My friends are hanging on the balcony looking down.
01:27:20.100 It's beautiful. The birds are out, et cetera. And hi, all the people I love. And we're going to do
01:27:24.700 this fun activity. We're going to listen to music, et cetera. You know, I imagine that that's what
01:27:28.880 heavens is like. You're just having this experience. And what I did was I realized that that's what I was
01:27:34.360 working for. I was working to create these experiences. These are the things that fulfill
01:27:39.700 me. When I was planning it, oh shit, there's a lot of goddamn money. You know what I mean? Like,
01:27:45.340 what am I going to do? Is am I doing the right allocation, right? Like you never know if you get
01:27:48.760 it exactly right, right? Nobody gets it perfectly balanced, but this was the right direction.
01:27:53.460 You know, it reminds me of something when my wife and I got married in 2004, you know, we got married at
01:27:59.340 a golf club. We didn't have two nickels to rub together. So it was like, I think the wedding,
01:28:03.100 the ceremony, the reception, we're all at the same place. The whole thing cost less than $20,000.
01:28:08.120 Obscene amount of money for us at the time. And it was amazing because everybody we actually cared
01:28:12.760 about in our lives was there. We were really fortunate that, hey, almost everybody could
01:28:16.680 make it who we invited. You know, there were almost 200 people there. So at one point I grabbed my wife,
01:28:23.240 we kind of walked out onto a balcony and could see everybody. And I said, do you realize that this is
01:28:29.060 one of only two times in our life that we will be surrounded by everyone who's meaningful to us,
01:28:35.680 who's alive. And the only other time it's going to occur, we're going to be dead. We'll be in the
01:28:40.000 casket. We'll be at our funeral. So we got to really take this in. And I realize now there was a huge error
01:28:46.280 in my logic, which was, that was totally untrue. That didn't have to be true at all. You can create
01:28:51.740 that any time you want. You can decide for no reason, I want to bring everybody in my life who
01:28:59.600 matters. Throw a birthday party. It could be a birthday party. It could be just a party.
01:29:03.260 Most of my life is finding excuses to throw parties. You know, we get autopilot waiting for
01:29:08.540 certain events like weddings or funerals or- Or special anniversaries.
01:29:12.180 Special anniversaries or things like that. We autopilot like, oh, that's when we get together.
01:29:16.660 We allow autopilot to dictate when we do these things. Instead of thinking, hey,
01:29:19.780 I really want to hang out with so-and-so, so-and-so, and so-and-so. Let me design a trip
01:29:24.040 or let me have a bowling alley or something. It could be low cost. It'd be like, let me have a
01:29:28.620 picnic with a ball game, talking shit. One of the things I want to do, which I guess the startup
01:29:34.140 costs will be something expensive. I'm getting some laser tag guns and I put it in my group. I have
01:29:39.460 this group called Cool Awesome People. I'll put you in it if you want to be in it. And I'm like,
01:29:43.840 it's on. I'm going to get laser tag, best ass laser tag things. There's going to be some
01:29:48.060 serious war and everybody's like, yes. You know what I mean? I'm creating this experience. Yeah,
01:29:52.500 I'm going to kick some ass on laser tag and shit talk, but I'm also going to connect and have a
01:29:56.700 good time with people. And I can do that. Once I put the initial cost, we could do that all the time.
01:30:01.580 We can have a league. We can do all kinds of things. It doesn't have to be laser tag. It could
01:30:05.600 be wiffle ball at the park. You can have a wiffle ball league, low cost. Dollar store,
01:30:10.000 pick up a wiffle ball bat. You're creating memories and somebody brings sandwiches and
01:30:13.980 you can do that. And that's getting off autopilot. So I'm sorry to interrupt you about,
01:30:18.500 but you really hit the nail on the head about that. It's like design your life. Think about
01:30:23.820 what you want out of it and make it happen. Now, let me ask you a question. At that
01:30:27.880 birthday party when you're 45, how many people were there?
01:30:30.480 We took out the Taiwan hotel and some of the other one, 80, 100, 80, 100 or something.
01:30:38.040 And how much time did you get to spend with each person?
01:30:40.960 We were there for a week. So I got to spend time. Whoever wanted to spend time with me,
01:30:45.100 they got to spend time with me. Some people have this thing. This is just me. I don't know. This
01:30:50.420 isn't like coaching. Some people, I want their presence, but not saying anything. I know you're
01:30:55.300 okay. I get to see you being happy. Maybe I don't talk to you as much, but I get to enjoy you enjoying
01:31:01.660 yourself. That's one of my favorite things at a party. When I throw a party, they're like,
01:31:04.880 are you having a good time? It's crazy, whatever. I'm like, I'm having the best. I'm watching the best
01:31:08.700 fucking movie of my life right now. I am in an immersive theater of people I love doing the
01:31:15.880 thing they want to do. Now I'm kind of antisocial. I don't like to talk that much to people. I get
01:31:19.960 awkward sometimes. You know what I mean? Sometimes I grab my wife and I'm like, talk for me, talk for
01:31:23.800 me. We'll go to a party and I'll be like, you got to talk for me, babe. I can't take it.
01:31:27.180 I can talk to a million people, no problems, the stadium or whatever. And sometimes I get awkward.
01:31:32.380 But what I really, really do enjoy and what really fulfills me is watching people I love have a good time.
01:31:37.180 And I think after my wife read the book, that was one of her first thoughts, which is I've never had
01:31:43.160 a birthday party. So the last birthday party I had was, I was seven years old. After that,
01:31:47.320 I just decided I never wanted to have a party and I never have. And she's like, look, I really want,
01:31:54.020 I know how much you are obsessed with your friends and how much you share with them individually,
01:31:59.240 but wouldn't it be great for everybody to be under one roof for your birthday? And I'm resisting it
01:32:06.440 to know. And she's, she'd never throw a surprise party for me. She knows that would just kill me.
01:32:10.460 So she won't do that, but she's really negotiating with me to sort of have a party. And my view is
01:32:14.840 it won't be enjoyable for me because I'll be the center of attention and I'll feel an obligation
01:32:21.040 to give everybody the same amount of attention. Whereas having dinner with five friends is
01:32:28.980 infinitely more enjoyable. So I'm trying to balance her very well.
01:32:34.740 It's just a different experience.
01:32:36.060 I guess what bums me out is like, I feel like I wouldn't even know how to appreciate a party.
01:32:40.060 I get that. Like I walk around and I just really enjoy people meeting and socializing and connecting.
01:32:45.200 Like at my wedding, there were friends that didn't know each other and they're like,
01:32:48.320 they're great. Like, you know, great people. I'm like, of course I do. You find somebody who's
01:32:51.700 great love, you keep them close by. I don't care if you dated them or whatever. Like
01:32:55.280 you keep them close, man. Like people that vibe with you is very important to me. And
01:32:59.920 me seeing them succeed, I'm a person that roots for people to hit the long ball.
01:33:04.080 I'm not a hater. I'm a natural, like, I hope you crush it. I hope you become a trillionaire.
01:33:09.260 I hope you, whatever it is. And so seeing people at a party, I like that there were parties and make
01:33:15.080 people have fun and create environments for them, loosen up, enjoy each other, have a good time.
01:33:19.720 And then watching that success and watching them interact is enjoyable for me. Even though I might be
01:33:24.720 just sitting there smiling, right? Like not really talking.
01:33:27.840 You can enjoy a party as much if you're the host or it's your birthday as if you're at somebody's
01:33:33.360 party?
01:33:34.100 It depends. It's not always the same because you got to solve problems. Someone can get in,
01:33:37.840 the ice maker is broken, whatever. Like there's that type of things. But yeah,
01:33:41.320 I'd rather watch that movie than go to the movies. I'd rather be in that immersive theater than
01:33:45.540 McKittrick Hotel and Sleep No More in New York, which is an immersive theater. That's the best theater.
01:33:50.560 And even so what? I only got to have a small conversation, whatever. Like the feedback
01:33:55.060 there was like, I met this person. We had a great time. It was awesome. Very fulfilling to me.
01:33:59.800 Very fulfilling to me.
01:34:00.940 What year did you finish writing Die With Zero?
01:34:04.520 Let's see. It's supposed to come out in 2020. So it's probably 2019.
01:34:09.360 2019.
01:34:10.560 In the three years-ish since you've written the book, has your thinking changed in anything?
01:34:16.400 Have you evolved? Are you more nuanced in anything that you wrote about?
01:34:19.840 You know, it's kind of like when you write a formula and it's not like I came up with this
01:34:24.520 formula, this life cycle hypothesis thing, which is basically the book, this counterfactual regret
01:34:29.320 minimization algorithm, and I'm solving for net fulfillment. It's not as if these ideas weren't
01:34:34.900 out there. Like I always say, like anybody could have just thought about it and wrote this book.
01:34:39.040 It's how I present it so that it hits the widest audience and so that it hits them viscerally
01:34:43.860 so they actually apply it. And so I think about it deeper and deeper, layers of it. And sometimes
01:34:50.380 I go deep into the subcategory because I use these variables, wealth, health, and time.
01:34:54.860 What's the maximum level of health I should be? There's tons of health books out there. I'm not
01:34:59.060 writing a health book, but I'm like, how can I optimize this? How are these two interplay?
01:35:03.380 The time and health. How much time do I really want to spend on the Peloton? How much time do I
01:35:07.640 really want to like regimented eating all the time and being a pain in the ass? How many chocolate
01:35:13.280 chip cookies do I want to eat before I die and just suffer? I have to think about that. If dying
01:35:17.940 one year early means living one more year, but I don't get any chocolate chip cookies,
01:35:22.340 I'll taste the chocolate chip cookies. I want a fulfilling life. Thinking deeply about these
01:35:25.280 things. That's kind of a cartoon version of it, but I hear other people think about it. I wrote the
01:35:30.760 basic macro formula, but it's very fulfilling to see other people. They've set up spreadsheets.
01:35:35.340 This is the optimal way you would die with zero. They've done it better than me.
01:35:38.480 These financial planners built these spreadsheets and your returns, and these are the things you
01:35:42.940 like to do, et cetera. This is great. They've taken the ball and run with it. And I've taken
01:35:47.420 the ball a little bit and run with it a little bit myself. And the way I'm applying it mainly
01:35:51.660 is more socially, more of these things like at my wedding, I said to somebody, I said, probably no one
01:35:59.260 in this room will see each other more than 50 times. And most of us will probably only see us 20 times
01:36:04.740 in the times of our lives.
01:36:05.680 How many people were... This is the recent wedding.
01:36:07.720 Yeah, 117.
01:36:08.920 117.
01:36:09.900 117. And so that's kind of hit people. They're like, yeah, you're kind of right. I put the over
01:36:15.160 under at the max at like 50 for any pair that's not married, obviously. And probably 20. That made
01:36:21.160 me think, I don't want 20. I'm going to throw parties. I've taken throwing parties and social
01:36:25.220 things very seriously because I thought about what fulfills me. So the last party I had, which you
01:36:31.920 were invited, but you didn't come.
01:36:32.860 I was throwing a party that night.
01:36:33.980 You were throwing a party that night at F1. I went all out. This is what I'm going to work
01:36:37.820 for, to have these types of experience. There's other things, right? But this is in the category,
01:36:43.040 in the top of the category. Socializing, seeing my friends happy, having a good time, et cetera.
01:36:48.440 Travel is a big one. Charity is another big one. My kid's money is their money. It's not my money.
01:36:53.160 It's in a trust that's already taken care of. They'll get their money turned over when
01:36:56.300 somewhere between 25, 26, and 33 because that's the optimal time for them when they're mentally
01:37:03.760 mature and at physical maturity, not in decline.
01:37:07.640 And how much will you talk with them about what you think or don't think they should do with that
01:37:14.500 money? Is that one of those things where you feel it is your responsibility to say absolutely
01:37:17.820 nothing and let them figure it out on their own?
01:37:20.320 No, no. I want to give them a roadmap. I want to teach them that it's a tool. A lot of people,
01:37:24.320 one of the biggest mistakes they make is assigning some sort of good or bad to money
01:37:27.940 or what it is, et cetera. It's not money that's good or bad in the Bible. It's the love of money
01:37:32.380 that is good or bad. I use this analogy. I usually say like money is a tool much like a hammer and saw
01:37:37.900 and nails and rail guns. Do hammers and saws build houses? No. You need to know how to use those tools.
01:37:44.420 People build those houses. So you do, does money make you happy? No. But if you know how to use
01:37:49.560 the tool of money, it can make you happy or it can make you miserable. So some people who give
01:37:55.280 hammers and saws, they build a house, they build canoes. This is wonderful things. You're like,
01:37:58.300 how the hell did you build this? Some people give hammers and saws and they're just sitting there
01:38:01.120 to cut their arm off. And so what I'm trying to do is not tell my kids what they should do,
01:38:07.520 but teach them how to use the tools. Once they know how to use the tools, if they decide to build
01:38:11.780 houses or canoes or cut their arms off, that's up to them. But I want to make sure that I gave
01:38:16.000 them the instruction manual and got them a little bit proficient on how to use the tools and that's
01:38:20.720 it. Then my job is done, right? I have so many friends that try and control people from the
01:38:25.800 grave, that use the money as a control mechanism. I'm very big on like, that's my dream. My dreams
01:38:31.840 are my dreams. My dad always tried to get me to be an attorney. Get the hell out of here. I'm never
01:38:35.840 doing that. But you try and push your dreams onto your kids. I want you to be a doctor. I want you to
01:38:41.500 be this. I want you to be that, whatever. And that's not necessarily what they want to do.
01:38:45.060 They have their own life and it's their adventure. And what I want to do is set them up with the tools
01:38:49.620 to choose their own adventure. Now, I might not agree with that adventure. I probably won't because
01:38:54.940 I come from a different era and a different culture and all kinds of things. But I will be
01:39:00.040 rest assured and happy that if they're fulfilled, great. Well, Bill, I want to thank you very much for
01:39:06.660 writing this book because as I said at the outset, it really is one of a handful of books that has
01:39:13.440 caused me to rethink a lot of what I've been doing, how I've been thinking about the problem
01:39:20.080 of optimizing these variables. I'm really confident that people are going to pick this book up and find
01:39:24.900 similar value, at least in magnitude. They might find different things that speak to them more
01:39:29.540 or less than me. But I believe that from a valence and magnitude perspective, people will
01:39:34.100 across the board find this valuable. So thanks so much for writing it and also for coming today.
01:39:37.880 Thanks. That's great feedback. I mean, you don't write books to get rich. You write books to get
01:39:41.400 your point across. And for me, I see it as saving lives. And a lot of people have said this before.
01:39:46.420 What do you mean saving lives, Perkins? You're fucking crazy. What do you mean saving lives?
01:39:50.020 You're not saving lives. And I'm like, well, listen, when somebody's drowning in the river or
01:39:53.700 lake, Lake Austin, you pull them out and you mouth to mouth and you save their lives. Guess what?
01:39:58.460 They're still going to fucking die. Just not that day, right? So what did you do when you saved their
01:40:03.540 life by pulling them out of the river? You've given them more choices, more experience,
01:40:08.060 more life. So when you read my book and you get off autopilot and you get more choices,
01:40:14.020 more experience, more life, isn't it the same? At least in my mind it is. And that's what motivates
01:40:18.960 me. And so when you say it had an impact in you and you're going to have a more fulfilling life,
01:40:24.200 it's like, I fucking did it. You know what I mean? I feel very happy. So I appreciate it.
01:40:28.500 I think the example you gave there is a great one. And I would agree with you completely
01:40:32.300 because I too fall in the camp, despite my profession of believing we are all absolutely
01:40:38.100 going to die and in relatively short order. And therefore anything that changes our experiential
01:40:44.940 existence for the better is part of living. Yeah. So thank you. Thanks for having me. It's
01:40:50.100 been great. All right, man. That was awesome. Thank you for listening to this week's episode
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