The Peter Attia Drive - April 28, 2025


#346 - Scaling biotech and improving global health: lessons from an extraordinary career in medicine | Susan Desmond-Hellmann, M.D., M.P.H.


Episode Stats

Length

2 hours and 5 minutes

Words per Minute

180.67996

Word Count

22,719

Sentence Count

1,752

Misogynist Sentences

13

Hate Speech Sentences

16


Summary

Dr. Sue Desmond-Hellman is a physician who is board certified in internal medicine and medical oncology. She has been a leader in the pharmaceutical industry where she helped develop several groundbreaking drugs, worked as the Chancellor of the Health Science Campus of a major university system, UCSF, and served as the CEO of the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation. She also served on the National Academy of Science committee that pioneered precision medicine, and currently sits on the Board of OpenAI. In this episode, we discuss her early days in medicine training at UCSF during the start of the AIDS crisis, and the lessons that she learned on handling uncertainty, balancing public health messaging, and accelerating breakthroughs.


Transcript

00:00:00.000 Hey, everyone. Welcome to the Drive podcast. I'm your host, Peter Atiyah. This podcast,
00:00:16.540 my website, and my weekly newsletter all focus on the goal of translating the science of longevity
00:00:21.520 into something accessible for everyone. Our goal is to provide the best content in health and
00:00:26.720 wellness, and we've established a great team of analysts to make this happen. It is extremely
00:00:31.660 important to me to provide all of this content without relying on paid ads. To do this, our work
00:00:36.960 is made entirely possible by our members, and in return, we offer exclusive member-only content
00:00:42.700 and benefits above and beyond what is available for free. If you want to take your knowledge of
00:00:47.940 this space to the next level, it's our goal to ensure members get back much more than the price
00:00:53.200 of the subscription. If you want to learn more about the benefits of our premium membership,
00:00:58.020 head over to peteratiyahmd.com forward slash subscribe. My guest this week is Dr. Susan
00:01:06.580 Desmond Hellman. Sue is a physician who is board certified in internal medicine and medical oncology.
00:01:12.780 Her impressive career has spanned multiple fields. She has been a leader in the pharmaceutical industry
00:01:17.640 where she helped develop several groundbreaking drugs, worked as the chancellor of the health
00:01:22.200 science campus of a major university system, UCSF, and served as the CEO of the Bill and Melinda
00:01:28.240 Gates Foundation. She also served on numerous boards of both corporations and non-profit organizations.
00:01:33.960 She co-chaired the National Academy of Science Committee that pioneered precision medicine and
00:01:38.500 currently sits on the board of OpenAI. I wanted to have Sue on this podcast to speak about her
00:01:43.500 extraordinary career spanning medicine, oncology, biotech, and global health leadership, and to really
00:01:49.240 explore her knowledge on how scientific innovation and leadership can drive better healthcare outcomes.
00:01:54.840 In this episode, we discuss her early days in medicine training at UCSF during the start of the
00:02:00.000 AIDS crisis before people even knew what it was and the lessons that she learned on handling uncertainty,
00:02:05.860 balancing public health messaging, and accelerating treatment breakthroughs.
00:02:08.980 The decision that she made to specialize in oncology and how her time treating HIV-related
00:02:13.580 cancers in Uganda reinforced the need for integrating epidemiology patient care and policy to combat
00:02:19.740 global health crises. We spoke about her transition into biotech, helping develop breakthrough cancer
00:02:25.300 drugs like Taxol, Herceptin, and Avastin, and the role of precision medicine in improving outcomes.
00:02:31.360 Sue talks about her leadership roles at UCSF and at the Gates Foundation, driving innovation in healthcare
00:02:35.940 and global health, and the lessons learned from leading health research institutions and global health
00:02:41.740 initiatives, balancing financial constraints with scientific progress, and building culture.
00:02:47.100 We end this discussion with a perspective on the future of medicine, including AI's role in healthcare,
00:02:51.900 such as the opportunities and challenges in leveraging AI for drug development, diagnostics,
00:02:58.000 and expanding access to high-quality care. So without further delay,
00:03:01.440 please enjoy my conversation with Dr. Sue Desmond-Hellman.
00:03:04.820 Sue, thank you so much for making the trip out to Austin. Really, really was excited to meet you
00:03:16.000 last year. Just an honor to spend part of a day with you and then realize that I could somehow twist
00:03:21.120 your arm into coming on the podcast. I'm happy to be here. I look forward to it.
00:03:24.560 You've had just an unbelievable career. You are an absolute giant in many ways. I love to always give
00:03:30.480 people a sense of how someone got to where they got. So if I recall, you grew up in Reno. Is that
00:03:35.580 right? I did. Yes.
00:03:36.720 And you went to high school and college and even medical school all the way through, right?
00:03:40.860 I went to Catholic school for 12 years in Reno. I explain that when people wonder if I was at a
00:03:45.760 casino for my childhood. And then I went to University of Nevada, both undergrad and to medical school.
00:03:52.120 Then that you ended up at UCSF for your residency?
00:03:54.960 You know this with residencies. My dream residency was internal medicine at UCSF,
00:04:00.480 my first pick. And I got my first pick and went to UCSF as an internal medicine resident.
00:04:06.820 And that would have been what year that you landed there?
00:04:09.760 1982.
00:04:11.020 Okay. So remind me where we were in the AIDS epidemic in San Francisco in 82. What was known?
00:04:17.440 If you read MMWR, that's 1981, was the first indication. In 1982, we knew that there was
00:04:26.980 something happening, especially to gay men, but there was a sense it was homosexuals,
00:04:33.260 hemophiliacs, and Haitians. Remember that?
00:04:36.000 Yeah.
00:04:36.260 Three H's. There was so much mystery still involved that I was and my colleagues were in a study to
00:04:43.960 look at drying our blood to see if we had been infected as a result of treating patients.
00:04:49.320 And what were they presenting with at the time? It's hard for anyone of even my generation. You've
00:04:55.700 never seen a drug-naive patient. All of my experience with HIV, which was a lot in Baltimore
00:05:00.240 many years later, but everyone was on something. So how would these men present to you as a medicine
00:05:07.020 resident?
00:05:08.300 Pneumocystis. Pneumocystis, coronia, pneumonia was the number one diagnosis. So that's what you saw
00:05:14.140 in the hospital that brought patients to attention. Tell folks why that's so unusual.
00:05:19.880 Oh, it was a disease that immunosuppressed patients could get very rarely. Most clinicians
00:05:25.920 had never seen it before. What was also clear is that there were many other infections that were not
00:05:32.620 as obvious or life-threatening as pneumocystis was when we saw it right away. What was interesting
00:05:39.320 from an outpatient perspective was capsic sarcoma. Tell folks what that is.
00:05:43.980 Capsic sarcoma is a really unusual purple-colored tumor, very visible externally. It caused nodules.
00:05:53.120 In patients with HIV infection, it also caused internal organ involvement. And patients would
00:05:59.700 cough up blood or they would vomit blood. But what was really sad and difficult is the combination
00:06:06.060 of cachexia and capsic sarcoma meant that everybody knew you had AIDS. They sort of wore it. And what
00:06:12.380 was interesting for me was that this old-fashioned capsic sarcoma was fundamentally different than what
00:06:19.520 we were seeing. We also saw non-Hodgkin's lymphoma in numbers much smaller than capsic sarcoma. But
00:06:26.540 capsic sarcoma was a very big problem in San Francisco. It was very common in gay men and it was common
00:06:33.540 in the population we saw. And was there ever a sense of fear among the medical staff that we
00:06:39.360 don't know what this is, we don't know how it's transmitted, and therefore we don't know how to
00:06:43.340 protect each other or ourselves or other patients for that matter? Like, it's hard for me to imagine
00:06:48.080 that given how much we take for granted today. I think it's probably a reflection of my own
00:06:54.320 personality and my own wish to be a physician that my memories of those days are much more about sadness,
00:07:02.720 about my patients, and about people my age dying or being pretty clear they were going to die. I mean,
00:07:09.740 a story that brings it to life is many patients started selling their life insurance because they were
00:07:15.180 sure they wouldn't live long enough and they wanted the money now. And then when the antiretroviral
00:07:20.120 therapy came along, they wished they hadn't, which is a good thing to have. But I was just really sad.
00:07:26.120 There were fears about the residents and about contagion. But in San Francisco, there was such a
00:07:32.780 wish to help the patients and such a good spirit about playing a role in helping that we all persevered.
00:07:41.940 But the first patients I took care of in the hospital, I remember very well in 1982,
00:07:46.260 we were a gown, gloved, masked, had a cap on. It was like we were going into an operating room.
00:07:51.860 Got it. For all intents and purposes, you were acting like this was Ebola without knowing.
00:07:55.480 Absolutely. Absolutely.
00:07:56.660 And so you finished your residency in internal medicine. Did you go directly into your fellowship?
00:08:02.660 I did a chief residency at the university hospital. And I think that was the first that I knew I really
00:08:08.580 liked managing. I really liked interacting with people and helping people succeed.
00:08:12.780 So I did that for a year and then went into my oncology fellowship after that year.
00:08:18.740 And why did you pick oncology?
00:08:20.400 Oh, to this day, I love oncology. If you love medicine, and I do, and you love patients, and I do,
00:08:27.860 it's the combination of you get to call on your compassion gene and your nerdy science gene.
00:08:33.920 And when I was in Reno, at the Reno VA, I had an attending, Stephen Hall. And he was the oncologist
00:08:43.300 who was teaching me about medicine, third-year medical student. And I loved everything about how
00:08:49.600 he showed up. I loved his compassion. I loved his intellect. And after that, I had in my mind this bug
00:08:58.140 about, I wanted to be like him. I can really relate to that. When I was in my third year of
00:09:03.440 medical school, I went to the NCI for three months with Steve Rosenberg. And it was the exact same
00:09:09.480 experience. And I remember learning many lessons from Steve. One of them was that cancer diagnosis,
00:09:15.740 and of course, at the NCI, as you know, nobody's showing up with stage one, two, or three cancer.
00:09:20.260 By definition, every patient there is showing up with metastatic cancer. And they've progressed
00:09:24.340 through all standard treatments. So these are people that have six months to live. And maybe
00:09:28.040 10% of them, you actually come up with a durable remission for. But he said, look, cancer will do
00:09:33.340 one of two things to a family. It will take a strong family and bring them much closer together.
00:09:38.360 It will take a fractured family and blow them wide apart. As a doctor, as a nurse, as an anybody
00:09:44.440 in the field of oncology, your ability to kind of be there for that family is as important,
00:09:50.520 potentially more important than it is in any other specialty of medicine.
00:09:53.580 That's really well said. I love that.
00:09:56.280 So tell me a little bit about the state of oncology in the mid-80s when you're embarking
00:10:01.720 on your medical oncology fellowship. Help people understand what the world of cancer looked like
00:10:06.760 roughly 40 years ago.
00:10:08.240 Let me talk about breast cancer. That's a cancer that is such a good example. The common therapy that
00:10:15.440 was used, cytoxan, methotrexate, 5-FU, were very old, decades old. There were no new chemotherapy
00:10:22.480 drugs. It hadn't been in a while. The field was stifled, I would say, in terms of medical
00:10:28.440 oncology. There wasn't a lot going on. I was really interested in cancer epidemiology. That
00:10:35.060 was something to me that asking the question, why did people get cancer and couldn't we do
00:10:39.600 something about it, seemed really important to me. I wanted in the second year of my fellowship
00:10:45.260 to study the relationship between hepatitis B and hepatocellular carcinoma and to understand
00:10:50.960 that better and to think about the viral link with cancer. The mentor I was supposed to work
00:10:57.240 with ended up not coming to San Francisco. So I decided to go to Berkeley and get a master's in
00:11:03.000 public health as a backup strategy. I really scrambled because I didn't want to waste a year.
00:11:08.040 What was the nature of the program? It was a three-year fellowship with a research track on
00:11:12.760 the side because obviously UCSF is such an academic place. It's a very academic place,
00:11:16.780 but you could do two or three years and many people went into the lab. I didn't want to go into the lab.
00:11:23.520 I wanted to do epidemiology. I wanted to learn more about statistics and epidemiology. I thought I
00:11:30.780 wanted to do it because I wanted to be a cancer epidemiologist. And to this day, I still think that
00:11:37.120 is one of the great opportunities to make a big impact, but you have to be funded. So I'm a
00:11:44.280 pragmatist. The good news was that all that learning at Berkeley and at UCSF in epi and biostat,
00:11:52.780 I brought to drug development. Clinical trials have a lot in common with doing epidemiology.
00:11:59.560 You brought up the example of hep B and hepatocellular carcinoma. Was it understood at the time what we
00:12:04.120 now know? It was, yeah. Palmer Beasley, one of the fathers of that relationship, was the guy who
00:12:10.520 was supposed to come. There were preliminary papers and something relatively early, but it was emerging
00:12:16.420 science. Do you recall what the incidence of hep B was and hep C back then? You know, I don't.
00:12:23.880 If you weren't in Asia, it was actually, I think, relatively low, but I believe increasing,
00:12:28.840 which is partly why the vaccines are so important. Tell me about how you wound up in Uganda.
00:12:35.360 After I got my master's in public health, I became the oncologist at UCSF in the university hospital
00:12:43.560 for the AIDS clinic. This is Moffitt?
00:12:46.180 This is Moffitt. So San Francisco General had a very well-known program run by oncologists for AIDS
00:12:52.820 patients who were in the safety net hospital. But in the university hospital, if you were very sick
00:12:59.400 and you had capsid sarcoma, you saw me. And my husband, because we had just gotten married,
00:13:04.340 we were interns together, he was in the lab in ID doing immunology work. So two of the chiefs of
00:13:12.100 medicine at UCSF were approached by the Rockefeller Foundation, who had started to become worried about
00:13:18.760 heterosexual transmission of HIV. Remember I talked about the Haitians and the hemophiliacs and
00:13:24.420 homosexuals? 1H wasn't heterosexual. And so there was a lot of disbelief about African HIV. And in fact,
00:13:32.840 some people thought it must be gay sex, but people are too embarrassed to admit it. There were other
00:13:38.340 theories, but people just did not understand what was going on in Africa. So the Rockefeller said,
00:13:44.180 we'll give you a grant at UCSF. We'll grant you money to study heterosexual transmission of HIV.
00:13:50.680 And this was through an epidemiologic contact tracing lens, not necessarily going into the lab
00:13:55.640 and trying to figure this out. Not going to the lab, but really looking at epi. And particularly,
00:14:00.520 there was a hypothesis that if it was heterosexually transmitted, there was something to do with
00:14:05.380 sexually transmitted diseases. And that there was something about increasing your risk if you had
00:14:10.660 untreated STDs, sexually transmitted diseases. So we were asked to go. UCSF had no global health.
00:14:18.160 To put this into context, we had a flat and two Honda Civics. I still remember this. We gave my dad
00:14:24.640 power of attorney. We sublet our flat and we sold our Hondas and moved to Uganda. I'm laughing in part
00:14:31.320 because I had never been east of Chicago. I mean, this was a pretty dramatic thing to do. And it was
00:14:39.360 only... And I'm sorry, you, your husband, and who else? The two of us. That's the team. That's the
00:14:44.000 dream team. That's the team. That's the team. And Uganda was a place where on the positive side of
00:14:50.080 things, the NCI had set up a collaboration with Uganda Cancer Institute, where they did some really
00:14:55.960 great things in lymphoma and Burkitt's lymphoma, if you remember those stories. And one of the
00:15:02.060 physicians at UCSF had been associated with that, John Ziegler. So there was a connection to the Uganda
00:15:07.380 Cancer Institute. So on the good side of things, there was that. And there also was and is the
00:15:13.260 Entebbe Viral Institute. So there was some infrastructure there. Unfortunately, most of that
00:15:18.540 infrastructure had been ruined by the idiomine regime not long before we went to Uganda. So when we
00:15:25.920 went there, it was pretty lawless. There were roadblocks you had to stop at. It was difficult
00:15:31.680 to live there. It was really difficult. And what about safety? I would say now that I'm used to being
00:15:37.860 in more safe situations and older and wiser, it was probably not that smart the way we lived there,
00:15:44.360 but we weren't reckless. It seemed dangerous when you were in the car to have carjacking or your money
00:15:52.160 go missing or things like that.
00:15:54.000 Was Idi Amin still ruler?
00:15:56.160 Idi Amin was gone, but when we were there, he made that attempt to come back from Saudi Arabia and go
00:16:01.700 back to Uganda, but it was thwarted. So that was good news. So Nick, my husband, reestablished the
00:16:08.280 Sexually Transmitted Disease Clinic and attended in the internal medicine ward. And I like to say I
00:16:14.520 doubled the population of oncologists in Uganda when I was there. So my colleague, Edward M. Biddy,
00:16:21.640 who's Ugandan, put all his focus on the pediatric unit and I put all my focus on the adult unit,
00:16:28.420 which was so many cases of capsic sarcoma.
00:16:32.160 Give me a sense of what this meant. So we're talking late 80s now.
00:16:35.340 This is 89, 90, and 91.
00:16:37.560 Is AZT out yet?
00:16:38.820 Not yet.
00:16:39.400 Okay.
00:16:39.600 Just on the brink.
00:16:40.620 Okay. So we have nothing. And what is the approximate conversion? So for a patient who
00:16:47.560 develops AIDS, what fraction of those will go on to develop KS?
00:16:52.440 If you were in Uganda at the time, gosh, especially amongst males, but also males and females,
00:17:00.300 it's so hard to give those numbers. But I would say about a third of patients who
00:17:04.780 sought medical attention probably had KS, some KS.
00:17:08.340 What was the prevalence of HIV AIDS in the population in Uganda?
00:17:13.440 Depend on the population you treated. It was double digits in the country as a whole.
00:17:18.780 If you were 16 years old, if you were a 16-year-old girl and you went to the STD clinic,
00:17:24.740 you had a 50% chance of being HIV positive. 16. And most of those girls was their first
00:17:31.100 and only sexual partner. It was Russian roulette to have sex in Uganda then.
00:17:36.380 I mean, worst Russian roulette's one in six if you've only got one bullet in the chamber.
00:17:40.400 You got the bullet in one of the two chambers. Yeah. Yeah. And the best business in town,
00:17:47.080 coffin maker. We would go, we would drive back to where we stayed and you would see if you've
00:17:52.680 ever been in an African village, like they'll prop up the coffins made of wood and you just
00:17:57.480 see them because that was so astounding. The feeling of being scared and sad in San Francisco
00:18:03.620 in 1982, multiply that by a thousand in 1989. It was terrifying. If we hadn't gotten ARVs,
00:18:13.820 this was killing people. But you know, the same time, the first time we went back to San Francisco
00:18:20.480 from Uganda was six months after we had left. I went back to the capacity sarcoma clinic that I
00:18:27.140 had led and said to the nurse, oh, yeah, ask about your patients. I had so many great guys who I cared
00:18:33.900 for. All my patients were dead. All of them. Six months. The sense of how bad HIV was before
00:18:42.320 antiretrovirals. It's impossible to overstate it. Just impossible. And when we were in Uganda,
00:18:49.840 it was really clear that you could see someone's immune status with a good physical exam if they
00:18:57.100 had capacity sarcoma. I wrote a paper that I think is a good paper if you do global health and you have
00:19:02.820 limited resources. It was a paper that had one observation. If you had capacity sarcoma on your
00:19:09.160 soft palate, on the roof of your mouth, you had HIV. 100% predictive. Capsisarcoma,
00:19:16.280 there's a Mediterranean form and an African form. It happens on your skin. It can cause elephantiasis,
00:19:21.960 but it doesn't go in. The mouth is just a surrogate for your GI tract. Doesn't happen unless
00:19:27.800 you're immunosuppressed with HIV. These patients weren't necessarily dying from the KS directly.
00:19:35.380 That's a proxy for how weak their immune system was. I assume they were ultimately dying from a
00:19:40.000 pneumonia? Many would die from pneumonia. There was severe cachexia, and then they were prone to
00:19:45.700 pneumonia and other problems. But Kaposi sarcoma in the lungs or the stomach can also cause bleeding,
00:19:54.360 and you can die from that. What did you know at this point in time about HIV? Because the virus had
00:20:00.020 been identified by this point. What was known and what was unknown? We knew most of the clinical
00:20:05.240 syndromes associated with HIV. This was Gallo? Was it Gallo? Yeah, Bob Gallo was one of the...
00:20:11.000 Luke Monnier was... Yep, yep. Okay. You know, they had a fight over who...
00:20:14.360 Who deserved the credit for that. Who deserved the credit. Yep.
00:20:16.240 But yeah, we knew about HIV then, and we knew the biology, and we knew as soon as we got to Uganda
00:20:22.380 and examined patients, that this was heterosexual transmission of HIV. And we knew that untreated
00:20:28.620 STDs were a big reason, and that was a very important thing.
00:20:33.600 Going back to these 16-year-old girls, is the reason that the sexual... heterosexual transmission
00:20:39.340 was so high because the viral loads were through the roof? Because today, if a male with HIV had
00:20:45.540 unprotected sex with a female, it would not be that high, would it?
00:20:48.460 No, it wouldn't be that high. No. So one of the really important aspects of STDs is high frequency
00:20:56.440 of herpes and chancroid, really open lesions that are very, very, if not treated...
00:21:03.900 So it's the one-two punch. Yeah.
00:21:04.920 Super high viral load.
00:21:06.360 High viral load and transmissible.
00:21:07.960 And opening. Yes, yes. So we knew all of that. Now, we also knew that some of these were treatable,
00:21:16.060 that both medication, also Museveni, the still leader of Uganda, had this very funny campaign
00:21:24.760 called Zero Grazing. So they raised a lot of cows, and this is very important in Uganda,
00:21:30.980 is having a herd of cows. It means you're an important man, you know. Museveni always wears
00:21:35.640 this hat like he's raising cows. So Zero Grazing, the farmers and many people knew what that meant.
00:21:40.820 One wife, one partner, no grazing. And so there was a pretty good public campaign. We did a lot
00:21:47.840 of condom distribution.
00:21:49.860 And so the government was receptive to this.
00:21:52.000 Yeah.
00:21:52.220 They understood the science.
00:21:54.540 They understood the epidemiology. And they were completely on board with the campaign.
00:21:58.680 They were very on board. They also knew that this was going to be a geopolitical problem for them
00:22:04.440 if people were dying in the prime of their lives at the rates they were. They got that. This was
00:22:09.940 really clear to them.
00:22:11.620 What other countries in Africa were afflicted to this extent?
00:22:14.380 In East Africa, there was quite a bit. There was a lot of HIV in Kenya, and there were programs
00:22:19.420 like the one that we had in Kenya, Tanzania. There were others where it was more unknown,
00:22:24.640 I think not talked about. I mean, the program I know about most today is the program my husband's
00:22:32.540 been working with for 15 years, which is Elizabeth Glaser Pediatric AIDS Foundation. They work now,
00:22:38.740 I think, in 12 countries in sub-Saharan Africa. And many of the southernmost countries are heavily
00:22:45.040 affected by HIV still.
00:22:46.940 Can you estimate in a year how many people died from AIDS in Uganda when you were there?
00:22:51.340 Oh, no, I can't estimate it.
00:22:53.180 I guess the point is it's a staggering number, and yet there were so few of you that were on
00:22:58.160 the front lines.
00:22:59.720 If there's 16 million people, it wouldn't have surprised me if there were a million people
00:23:03.300 who died. I mean, it's that kind of numbers. I'm probably exaggerating, but not by much.
00:23:08.940 And I think the sense of feeling overwhelmed is just really important. What I realized I was doing,
00:23:16.220 I don't know if you've interacted with people in the military much, but if they were on the
00:23:20.620 battlefield, they triage. I triaged. I triaged in San Francisco. If you didn't need chemotherapy,
00:23:26.560 but you had capsic sarcoma, I didn't see you.
00:23:28.940 What was the chemo?
00:23:30.060 The simple one was vincristine. Vincristine is actually reasonably good against KS. I used it
00:23:36.820 in Uganda a lot. It does cause some neuropathy, but if you're careful about how much. And then
00:23:41.900 gliomycin. Again, you have to be careful because of the pulmonary toxicity. Good old-fashioned
00:23:46.280 vincristine and gliomycin. And then Texel. Texel was approved for capsic sarcoma after I left
00:23:52.580 Uganda. It wasn't a drug before then. I would see the patient, and I would literally ask them and
00:23:58.160 their family, can you walk? If you can walk-
00:24:00.560 If yes, you're too healthy for me.
00:24:01.980 You're too healthy. It will delay. There was triage because I only had on the shelf
00:24:05.500 a certain amount of chemotherapy.
00:24:08.380 How did you manage the personal toll of the grief and the death of seeing this? I mean,
00:24:13.780 look, I think every doctor to some extent goes through this, where you try to sort of compartmentalize
00:24:18.760 what you're seeing. But the truth of the matter is virtually no doctor can really comprehend what
00:24:24.060 you're describing there. How did you process that?
00:24:27.560 I have this philosophy, which I don't recommend it for others. It's just my philosophy. I love people.
00:24:34.260 I love interacting with people. I love getting to know the patients who I care for. And it makes
00:24:41.740 me happy to think I'm helping. Helping might be helping them get better. Helping might be helping
00:24:47.660 with their pain. Or they can talk about dying with me because it doesn't make me scared. So I get a lot
00:24:54.260 of joy in trying to contribute, even if I feel overwhelmed and if I step back and think, how can we cope
00:25:00.660 with this? My coping is... Is leaning in.
00:25:03.600 Yeah.
00:25:04.380 Does your husband share that? Was there a yin and a yang to the relationship where you supported each
00:25:09.400 other in a way that was helpful in that? I do understand what you're saying, and I appreciate
00:25:13.640 that there is a joy that comes from helping people. But I can also at least personally say that
00:25:18.380 there are moments when it breaks down and you feel so overwhelmed by sadness.
00:25:22.560 Well, first of all, my husband is more introverted and probably gets more sad. But we are also
00:25:29.540 a good team because we're there for each other. And I think it's a special thing done in small
00:25:36.480 amounts, not too much to be able to come home and say, boy, that was tough. Here's what I
00:25:41.260 dealt with today. Or I need to tell this story. Or I want to talk about this. The other thing
00:25:46.440 we did, which is I think so important, is I do drive a lot of joy in trying to help
00:25:52.560 but I'm not a martyr. I don't believe in it. Okay, you worked hard, I worked harder. You
00:25:56.780 suffered, I suffered more. I hate that. So we went to Greece. We still laugh about going
00:26:03.380 to Greece and eating our way through Greece for a week. When we were in Uganda, we had
00:26:08.880 a couple of other good trips. We went on a hilarious safari to a place that was Moya Lodge that had
00:26:15.800 been closed to all tourists, had just reopened. And it was so great. We saw hippos and elephants
00:26:21.920 and we realized we were the only, what you call in Uganda, Amazungu, which is a white person
00:26:27.420 there. So it was a grand adventure. So we had some grand adventures and played tennis, enjoyed
00:26:33.320 friends. We did as much to keep our spirits up as one can.
00:26:39.960 And so you came back to the U.S. after about three years. And did you go back to UCSF?
00:26:44.500 Well, we wanted to go back to UCSF, but we had not kept our academic careers going as much as we
00:26:51.720 should have. We didn't publish enough and they didn't have a global health program or money for
00:26:56.960 us. Taking care of a million people with HIV wasn't enough to justify coming back to UCSF.
00:27:02.100 It actually wasn't. So we said, well, gee, when the chief of medicine outlined for us the plan for
00:27:08.080 us to stay, a large part of it was taking care of patients to pay our way. So we said, boy,
00:27:13.480 taking care of patients, we know what that looks like. So we went into private practice.
00:27:17.220 In San Francisco?
00:27:18.000 No, we moved back to Kentucky where Nick is from.
00:27:20.600 Okay.
00:27:21.080 So we moved back to Kentucky and I was in a two-person oncology practice
00:27:25.300 with a former classmate of Nick's in Lexington.
00:27:28.680 And you were doing at this point oncology unrelated to, not necessarily focusing on HIV and AIDS
00:27:35.780 related cancer, breast cancer.
00:27:37.640 I was doing good old-fashioned American oncology. I didn't take my oncology boards when we went to
00:27:46.160 Uganda because I was in Uganda. So I still sort of laugh about taking the DeVita oncology book
00:27:53.480 with a yellow Sharpie. I reread the big oncology book twice.
00:27:59.160 Is this the DeVita Hellman Rosenberg book?
00:28:01.320 Yes.
00:28:01.560 Yeah, yeah, yeah.
00:28:02.080 Of course.
00:28:02.400 Yeah. It's brown these days, I think. I reread it twice, took my boards and did fine. So I was
00:28:07.720 ready.
00:28:09.240 This is unbelievable. So you're sitting in Kentucky practicing garden variety oncology.
00:28:14.660 Talk to me about what that's like. I mean, that's completely orthogonal to what you've
00:28:18.640 been doing for the past couple of years.
00:28:20.240 It was so, so, so, so different. And Nick was in a practice where he was more like a hospitalist.
00:28:25.420 Somebody would get a fever in the ICU and they'd call that ID group. And my practice was a
00:28:29.380 two-person practice. It was very classy. I saw a lot of lung cancer. It was Kentucky.
00:28:33.620 So there's a lot of smoking, a lot of people from Appalachian. I actually like taking care
00:28:39.320 of patients. So that part I liked, but I really missed intellectual research, collegial stuff
00:28:45.960 that I was used to at UCSF because we had been there nine years by that time because we
00:28:50.640 were still UCSF faculty when we were in Uganda. Nick was called about Bristol-Myers Squibb search
00:28:58.060 for an expert on HIV because they were trying to follow AZT with the next antiretroviral.
00:29:06.440 I think it was DDI and D4T were both in development then. And so they recruited Nick to come and work
00:29:13.280 at Bristol-Myers Squibb out of private practice. And Nick said, I won't come unless you have a job
00:29:19.500 for my wife. And they said, no, we have a nepotism clause. We don't allow couples to work at Bristol-Myers
00:29:25.280 Squibb. So he said, fine, I won't come. He's a good husband. This is one of our favorite stories
00:29:30.660 because it's a true story. So they called him back and they said, we really, really want you to come
00:29:35.120 because we want this program to do well. And could your wife be a consultant? Would she agree to be a
00:29:40.660 consultant and not a full-time employee? And he said, yeah, that'll work. So we moved to Connecticut.
00:29:46.220 He had a job and I was the trailing spouse. And I can just see what this looked like. I'm making
00:29:52.460 this up now. Oh God, we've got an LMD. You know what an LMD is. We got this lady from Lexington,
00:30:00.240 Kentucky. She's in private practice, oncology, and we're stuck with her. Let's have her do drug
00:30:06.440 safety on Taxol. We have this new drug and it's really busy. It looks like it might work. And so
00:30:11.500 we'll put her on drug safety. She can't hurt anything doing that. But did they not understand
00:30:17.280 what you had spent the last couple of years doing prior to being in Kentucky? Did they not know what
00:30:22.980 you had done in Uganda? I don't think that registered because there were so many people there
00:30:29.340 who were very traditionally trained at NCI or at Yale or wherever they were. And they were
00:30:36.760 traditionally trained in oncology. My experience in Kampala in Uganda didn't make an impact. But
00:30:43.580 here's what was funny. Nick and I didn't have a statistician. As I told you, we just, the two of
00:30:48.560 us went. So we brought this little compact computer and all the SAS manuals. We didn't have a TV. We
00:30:56.980 didn't have newspapers. We didn't have anything. So we taught ourselves how to do SAS programming.
00:31:01.700 When I got to Bristol-Myers Squibb, one of the really interesting things about Taxol is it causes
00:31:07.220 severe neutropenia, but it's short. It's like this short, severe neutropenia. And so I wanted to study
00:31:14.720 that because I thought it was really important in why people weren't really getting infections.
00:31:18.840 I always have to remind myself, tell people what Taxol is, how it works. Just give them a quick,
00:31:23.040 what is neutropenia? Why would we care?
00:31:24.400 When I talked before about how few new chemo drugs there were, Taxol was one of the first
00:31:30.640 new chemotherapy drugs. So Taxol is a product of the yew tree and it's a microtubule poison. It is,
00:31:39.000 if you think about it coming from the yew tree and you think about sap, think about trying to
00:31:43.300 dissolve sap in water and give that to a patient. That's plenty hard. The dissolving fluid that's
00:31:51.300 given with Taxol. And the reason we would give somebody with cancer a microtubule inhibitor
00:31:56.520 is because that prevents cells that are dividing.
00:31:59.880 You can't divide.
00:32:00.760 They can't, they need these microtubules when they create new cells and we want to block that.
00:32:04.500 And we want to block that. So this was not just a good way to block cellular division,
00:32:09.360 which is so important in cancer therapy. It's really important because it's very different
00:32:13.320 than some of the old chemotherapy drugs. And if you're resistant to those old drugs,
00:32:17.720 here you have a brand new mechanism of action. So that's a terrific thing, but it's not easy to
00:32:23.680 dissolve it. So the dissolving agents are like soap. They dissolve the Taxol. And when the National
00:32:31.520 Cancer Institute tried to use it, some patients got severe allergic reactions from that and they got
00:32:37.660 scared and put it on the shelf. So Bristol-Myers Squibb went to the National Cancer Institute and said,
00:32:42.240 you know, that drug might really be active. We're willing to carefully go back in the clinic
00:32:47.300 and test it and give people agents to counterbalance the allergic reactions and see if we can get
00:32:54.520 away with it. So they did that and they got an approval in ovarian cancer, a brand new agent.
00:33:01.300 Now, Taxol was really exciting because first ovarian and then breast cancer were these indications
00:33:08.020 where we had not had new drugs or really any drugs that were active in the case of ovarian for a long
00:33:13.080 time. And because I was a safety person, I was really trying to understand and put into context
00:33:18.800 all these safety issues so it was possible to safely treat patients with these drugs.
00:33:24.380 It had already been approved.
00:33:25.460 It had been approved for ovarian cancer when I showed up.
00:33:27.980 So now you're doing post-marketing surveillance on safety.
00:33:30.300 We're doing post-marketing surveillance on ovarian and putting together a U.S. submission
00:33:34.920 and a European submission for breast cancer. So I started talking to the statisticians there
00:33:39.740 about how I wanted them to program to get the data we needed for the safety label. And I'll never
00:33:45.140 forget the guy looking at me and saying, do you know how to do this? I said, well, I had to learn
00:33:51.440 in Uganda because I didn't have somebody like you, you know? So it was sort of funny that I was very happy
00:33:58.520 to prove myself. It didn't bug me. It made me more feisty. Like, I'll show you, I'm not underdosed
00:34:05.140 in the kinds of things you need to do in this place. And by the way, I loved every minute of
00:34:10.800 being at Bristol-Myers Squibb. They were pros at cancer drug development. They were pros at monitoring
00:34:17.260 safety. And I thought it was so much fun because you got to make drugs.
00:34:24.100 What was the pharma landscape like in the early 90s? So you had Bristol-Myers, you had Pfizer,
00:34:28.080 you had Merck. You had Merck, you had Novartis. I think Novartis was a combo of a couple.
00:34:33.980 It was smaller, much smaller. And cancer was Bristol-Myers Squibb. I mean, they had made
00:34:39.600 cisplatinum, carboplatinum. They had a lot of those drugs. And people who had made those drugs were
00:34:44.960 still there. And I was really happy to learn from them. I felt very lucky to get to be around these
00:34:51.600 folks who knew about Taxol. So we got Taxol approved in the U.S. and in Europe for breast
00:34:57.960 cancer. It became Bristol-Myers Squibb's number one drug. And I became the project team leader for
00:35:03.540 Taxol.
00:35:04.380 How long did it take them to thank your husband for forcing them to bring you along?
00:35:10.220 Too long. He really enjoys that story because he, like all good family stories,
00:35:17.060 it gets embellished over the years. And he tells this story like, you should actually want her.
00:35:21.760 You don't know this, but he's a good husband.
00:35:25.240 When you pause at where we are in this story, to think of everything that would come from this
00:35:29.600 moment forward, and to realize there's a scenario under which nobody knows everything that's about
00:35:35.140 to happen. And you're an oncologist in Kentucky right now.
00:35:37.640 That's right. That's right. I'd be better at tennis.
00:35:40.600 Yeah.
00:35:41.040 I had more free time. But yeah, no, I think that's the thing that I love to mentor. I think
00:35:48.560 it's really underrated to listen to students and hear what's on their minds. And I remind students
00:35:54.960 about the role of serendipity. And I think I'm a poster child for the role of serendipity.
00:36:00.880 So you left Bristol-Myers Squibb in 95?
00:36:04.940 95.
00:36:05.540 And you went to Genentech. Tell me where Genentech was in its life cycle then. So Genentech
00:36:10.940 had been around for a while. I mean, when did Genentech get founded? In the mid-70s?
00:36:15.140 1976.
00:36:16.040 Okay. Give folks a little bit of a history of Genentech. Genentech's a storied company,
00:36:20.600 but also a different company in that it was founded on a new technology.
00:36:24.780 Genentech's a really interesting company because it claims to be the first biotech company. There's
00:36:29.900 some Cetus back and forth about that, but it was based on genetic technology. That's where the
00:36:36.740 Genentech name came from. And what Herb and Bob, the co-founders of Genentech, wanted to do is kind
00:36:44.080 of do a proof of concept that you could use genetic technology and make medicines, make big medicines,
00:36:50.460 proteins, antibodies, medicines that would almost certainly have to be injected rather than
00:36:55.200 swallowed because they're large and they're proteins. So you break them down if you swallow
00:37:00.240 them. But their initial goals were focused on insulin, which they out-licensed to Lilly and
00:37:07.640 Pfizer, and growth hormone, human growth hormone. So before Genentech, when you were a parent and
00:37:14.940 your child was short, you needed to give that child growth hormone that came from cadavers. And that
00:37:21.540 had a risk of this slow virus disease, and that was not a good trade-off for parents. So the concept
00:37:29.620 of having recombinant, of having human-like growth hormone was a really wonderful thing.
00:37:35.020 So Genentech's first drug was human growth hormone, and it was a tour de force. It was really amazing
00:37:42.700 that in the late 70s, they were able to do this fermentation and purification because they had
00:37:49.420 to prove to FDA it was pure human growth hormone with no contaminants. And it became famous for that,
00:37:56.240 and people were excited and thought this was cool.
00:37:59.240 Tell people briefly how this worked. What was recombinant DNA technology? What were they putting
00:38:04.100 the gene into? How did they get the gene to make the protein? We take this all for granted today
00:38:10.340 because we have- It's tricky, yeah.
00:38:11.920 Yeah, but it's so incredible.
00:38:14.540 So what you see if you go to Genentech or a company like Genentech is you see these tanks,
00:38:19.700 and the tanks are like a cell ICU, like an ICU for a cell. So the cell, what you're doing is you're
00:38:28.400 teaching the cell to make at very high amounts growth hormone, way higher than your cells or
00:38:35.280 my cells would. And then you're teaching the cell through this genetic engineering to secrete it
00:38:40.780 into a medium, into this soup that is really a lot of growth hormone. And then you're taking away
00:38:47.900 the cells after they secrete it, you're purifying that growth hormone, and you put it in little
00:38:53.520 vials. And that's the process of biotechnology. And you can trick a cell into making almost anything
00:39:00.460 you want, not completely, but almost anything you want, and make it very much like human,
00:39:06.020 which is neat. So you don't have to go to a human to donate you growth hormone because it would be
00:39:11.320 too small.
00:39:11.920 Or in the case of insulin, I mean, they were using insulin from pigs and-
00:39:14.900 porcine insulin that made allergies and expensive. So human insulin really changed how you thought
00:39:21.280 about treating people who have diabetes. So Genentech made growth hormone and Genentech
00:39:27.960 sold growth hormone and set up something I actually think is a really neat thing that Genentech did,
00:39:33.480 which people said, how do you know that by giving kids extra growth hormone, it won't cause leukemia
00:39:38.980 or a fourth arm to sprout out or something, you know, weird things to happen. And Genentech said,
00:39:44.160 well, we'll follow every child. So they set up a patient registry, one of the first patient
00:39:48.980 registries ever, and followed every child until they reached their final adult height. And the
00:39:55.300 physicians and their staff entered this into a computer. And so this is an amazing amount of
00:40:02.020 information. So if the FDA ever asked us, do you have this with growth hormone? Did you have that
00:40:06.820 with growth hormone? We had not an example, not, you wouldn't even do statistics on it. Every child
00:40:12.600 ever treated with Genentech's growth hormone. Do you have a sense of how many kids that was?
00:40:16.740 Oh, hundreds of kids, thousands of kids by now. Yeah. Yeah. So Genentech got really good at that.
00:40:22.640 And in fact, when I went to Genentech in 1995, the chief medical officer of Genentech was a
00:40:27.800 pediatric endocrinologist, an expert on short stature and growth hormone. But it's a pretty small
00:40:33.240 market. This is uncommon. By this point, it was being used rampantly in sports.
00:40:38.420 Yeah. And the FDA was not happy about that and pushed really hard on Genentech to control that
00:40:44.820 use. Was it being used by this point also pretty heavily in HIV, right?
00:40:48.480 People were using it in HIV. They were using it in sports. Anything where you wanted to
00:40:52.100 have more muscle mass. That's exactly right. Genentech had done some studies to look at whether
00:40:57.940 that was a good idea. And none of the studies came out successful.
00:41:02.020 Meaning there was no benefit to an HIV patient being on growth hormone?
00:41:06.620 The benefits did not outweigh risks of having increased blood sugar and some other things
00:41:12.680 that would happen. So one of the aspects of Genentech that happened in the early years before
00:41:17.260 I was there is they learned how to make enzymes. Same genetic technology, telling the cell, make
00:41:22.940 these enzymes. And some of the enzymes actually got out-licensed to make commercial enzymes like
00:41:29.500 that you use when you wash clothes and things like that. So that wasn't core to Genentech.
00:41:34.940 But they had an enzyme activase, a TPA, tissue plasminogen activator, that could break down blood
00:41:41.820 clots.
00:41:42.660 Did they go after that knowing what they were doing? Or was this a bit of a fishing expedition
00:41:46.680 where they realized in the process of trying to do many things that, oh my God, we can actually
00:41:52.680 make TPA, which you're going to explain in a minute why that changed the game of cardiovascular
00:41:56.560 medicine?
00:41:57.780 It was intentional. They had a really great, there's a clinician researcher, Dave Stump,
00:42:03.680 who is a clotting expert. He's hemonc on the heme side. He was there and really pushed them to do this.
00:42:10.720 And the concept was that if you could break down the blood clot, you could cure the heart attack.
00:42:16.820 You could save lives. And the interesting thing, if you are interested in doing trials, is they
00:42:22.820 started the concept of a large, simple trial. This was early on and people in cardiovascular,
00:42:28.640 Gene Brunwald and his followers had started these large, simple trials. So Genentech kind of bet the
00:42:34.980 farm on this TPA. And the farm was that they could change the outcomes in 30 days. There'd be more
00:42:42.240 people alive than dead if they were treated with Activase. And two of the people involved in the
00:42:47.540 studies, you probably know their names, were Rob Califf and Eric Topol.
00:42:52.700 Was Eric at Scripps at that time or where was he?
00:42:54.720 I think he was at the Cleveland Clinic.
00:42:56.240 Cleveland Clinic, yeah.
00:42:56.720 And they ran a group called the Timmy Group and they did all these studies named Timmy.
00:43:01.120 And so they did this big trial and it worked. If you treated with Activase, you could break down
00:43:07.000 the blood clots. So Genentech started this franchise in cardiovascular and again, did this
00:43:12.660 really interesting patient registry to look at 30-day outcomes for post-marketing, but stints came
00:43:18.600 along. And so the franchise of Genentech and people who were treated with TPA really went down.
00:43:25.540 And the stroke indication was tricky.
00:43:27.600 You had to ensure it wasn't hemorrhagic or you could make things so much worse.
00:43:32.020 And so the stroke indication on paper was really cool, but pragmatically was really tough for
00:43:37.700 hospitals to execute. Genentech also made another enzyme-like molecule, DNAs,
00:43:44.980 Pulmozyme for cystic fibrosis. And that was approved very tiny. It decreases how thick your
00:43:51.720 secretions are. But with Vertex's CF drugs, it's also been scooped. So when I came in 95,
00:43:59.500 Genentech was really struggling. They had those three drugs. They had growth hormone, TPA, and
00:44:05.440 Pulmozyme.
00:44:06.460 Why did they out-license insulin?
00:44:08.360 I think they needed the money.
00:44:09.620 Got it.
00:44:09.960 I don't think they have the scope to even make it.
00:44:11.700 And why did you decide to leave? Bristol-Myers Squibb is just crushing it. You finally earned the
00:44:17.160 respect you deserve. You've got this struggling company, Genentech. Was it the opportunity?
00:44:24.120 Oh, yeah. Yeah, for sure it was the opportunity. I will tell you, if you were me in 1995,
00:44:30.240 sitting down with Art Levinson, and he was the head of research then, and he was talking about
00:44:35.180 the future and oncology, what the plans were, you'd have gone too. You'd got too. For sure it was
00:44:41.300 an opportunity. We were doing well. I will say that further down on the list of pros and
00:44:47.100 cons was West Coast's home. I mean, Connecticut was snowy and cold. I didn't come over on the
00:44:53.180 Mayflower, it turns out. I mean, I loved people at Bristol-Myers Squibb. I loved the job.
00:44:58.260 But heading back to San Francisco.
00:44:59.440 In San Francisco. Yeah. That was a big deal. But I believed Art when he said,
00:45:04.000 we're going to be a cancer company.
00:45:05.440 So what was the first thing you worked on?
00:45:09.960 Thrombopoetin. They hired me to work on thrombopoetin. It was going to be the third leg of
00:45:14.940 the stool. EPO, so make your red cells go up. Neupogen for your white cells, and TPO for your
00:45:22.360 platelets. And it was a big race. Amgen was in the race.
00:45:26.260 Who developed EPO?
00:45:27.400 Amgen.
00:45:28.020 Amgen. Okay.
00:45:29.060 Yeah. EPO and Neupogen.
00:45:30.240 Got it.
00:45:30.840 Amgen and Genentech had always been kind of rivals. And when they cloned thrombopoetin at Genentech,
00:45:38.280 I read the paper. And then they called me, did I want to come work on it? It was that kind of thing.
00:45:42.440 When you clone it, if you publish it, that doesn't give you the right, it's a race for
00:45:46.920 everybody. It's a race.
00:45:48.340 So let me ask a silly question. Why do you publish the results of the cloning before you've gone and
00:45:54.580 made the recombinant protein yourself? So you patent it, then you publish,
00:45:59.180 then you make the recombinant. Okay. So once it's published after the patent,
00:46:03.260 you get to make it. Mm-hmm. Genentech, one of their great assets started by her boyer is
00:46:09.160 they publish. They don't stop the scientists from publishing. They get the lawyers and they're
00:46:13.420 quick and they make sure that they protect the IP of the company, but they want people to publish.
00:46:17.720 Very academic. So thrombopoetins, EPO and Neupogen are as if you design them to make recombinant
00:46:25.600 forms and give them for cancer patients or other patients who need them. Thrombopoetin, not so much.
00:46:30.800 To make it simple, if you said, okay, your platelets are going way down from your chemotherapy
00:46:37.740 and I'm going to give you thrombopoetin to make them go up, they come back up really late
00:46:44.600 and they go too high. So I'm making you at risk for a blood clot by giving you a million platelets,
00:46:50.980 but later than you need to and you're recovering on your own already.
00:46:54.640 Was that known only once you started developing and you understood the kinetics of it?
00:46:58.840 Once we looked at how it worked in patients, we knew better than we had before. The kinetics
00:47:05.360 of really recovering from not all chemotherapy, as you know, causes your platelets to go low.
00:47:10.420 Yeah. So you can't give it prophylactically because you don't know who's going to get
00:47:13.300 thrombocytopenia.
00:47:14.200 Right. Right. And this tricky thing about going too high, if you're wrong, it's a problem.
00:47:19.280 What do you do? You plasmapherese the patients if you've overshot or not plasmapherese,
00:47:23.140 platelet pharese?
00:47:23.640 You could platelet pharese them. I mean, there are remedies, but you don't want to do that.
00:47:27.320 Anyway, so thrombopoietin proved to be very, very difficult drug. And I learned a lot about
00:47:34.680 the cancer equivalent or the product development equivalent of tulip mania.
00:47:40.720 When everybody's so excited, you get excited too. And it's like, oh, I did learn a lot. I've often
00:47:46.920 reflected on what might happen that I'm not thinking about now. But what also happened is
00:47:52.280 the labs at Genentech had been working on Herceptin, on trastuzumab, for a while. Art became the CEO.
00:48:02.840 Art Levinson became the CEO in 95. And he wanted to push on having trastuzumab, Herceptin,
00:48:09.960 get into the clinic.
00:48:11.520 Tell folks how that drug worked, what it was for.
00:48:13.560 Trastuzumab, or I'll call it Herceptin because it's less of a mouthful, is a antibody. Like you
00:48:19.860 and I have antibodies that fight disease in our bodies. And it's an antibody that targets this
00:48:27.020 protein called HER2. And HER2 matters because about one in four women with breast cancer have too much
00:48:35.000 of it. And when you have too much of it, if you've got too much HER2 from the time you're diagnosed,
00:48:41.780 your median average survival is three years. If you don't have too much of it, it's seven years.
00:48:48.320 So you know what matters. So the concept with this antibody is turn that off. Whatever bad thing that
00:48:54.300 drives it down to three years, turn that off and go back to seven years. Pretty simple concept.
00:48:58.780 Why do you mechanistically, do you think that the overexpression of HER2 was impeding immune
00:49:04.000 clearance? What was the thesis at the time for why overexpression of HER2 was cutting life expectancy
00:49:10.040 down?
00:49:10.460 The thesis was that it was telling the cell to grow, that it was giving a growth signal to the
00:49:17.300 nucleus to say, grow more. And if you could shut that off, you'd grow less. Now, later we armed
00:49:24.780 HER2 and we put a payload on it. So then you could say, both change the grow more signal and you've
00:49:31.620 got a little bomb on there and you kill the cell. So you'd get a twofer. In fact, another company has
00:49:37.480 one, AstraZeneca, that's so powerful with a bystander effect, you don't even have to have
00:49:42.800 overexpression. So that antibody, I'm talking about it now because anybody in breast cancer knows about
00:49:48.920 her too.
00:49:49.280 Of course, yeah.
00:49:49.860 You see it on TV and direct-to-consumer ads.
00:49:52.400 Yeah, but I think what I really enjoy about this type of discussion though, Sue, is one,
00:49:56.840 it's the story of your career, but it's also the story of oncology.
00:49:59.600 It is, yeah.
00:50:00.060 It's the story of modern oncology. So you're one of the few people whose careers
00:50:03.800 takes us through the walk of modern oncology.
00:50:07.800 I mention that because it seems impossible. There was a lot of people at Genentech who were
00:50:14.820 negative about Herceptin.
00:50:16.540 Tell me why.
00:50:16.680 I do not think we should invest. The dogma was that antibodies were all hype. They'd been
00:50:23.680 over-promised as smart bombs, smart missiles, Time magazine, all of this, but that they had
00:50:31.180 flopped.
00:50:32.080 What was the biggest failure at that point commercially?
00:50:34.680 I don't think the things had even been commercialized. I don't think they had gotten out of the clinic,
00:50:38.560 that people just weren't seeing benefit. I have a very good friend who's an oncologist and
00:50:45.400 he said, you just can't treat a solid tumor, a solid tumor versus leukemia or lymphoma with an
00:50:51.900 antibody. You need something more powerful. And remember what was happening at the same time is,
00:50:56.960 if you want to talk about the history of oncology, the amazing thing is being at ASCO,
00:51:03.900 the American Society of Clinical Oncology, and two different rooms. One room, we hear that Herceptin
00:51:10.720 is going to change forever how we think about antibodies in breast cancer. Way better than
00:51:15.700 we thought. Improved survival. The other room, doing bone marrow transplant for breast cancer
00:51:22.400 and having the South African group who published a paper saying it worked, retract the paper and go
00:51:28.440 through and talk about how much of it was fraudulent. Fraud, fraud, fraud. So at the same time,
00:51:35.040 this nearly toxic, nearly lethal bone marrow transplant for breast cancer was debunked at the
00:51:42.840 same time as we said, what we call now a naked antibody. No payload, no chemo. You give Herceptin,
00:51:49.920 you're going to help that patient with breast cancer. Just an antibody. Welcome to modern oncology.
00:51:54.880 It could not have been more clear. I almost forgot the BMT stuff. It's so archaic.
00:52:01.580 And it was a distraction because people felt like you just needed to hit the cancer hard.
00:52:09.940 You just needed to hit the cancer smart. Hard wasn't the point.
00:52:14.540 Yeah. I mean, we've got to be getting close to Avastin now too, right?
00:52:17.600 Yes. But don't forget Rituxan. So when I said people didn't believe in you could treat a solid
00:52:25.340 tumor, they thought you could treat lymphoma because we did. Antibodies were so disliked.
00:52:32.640 People did not believe in antibodies that in 95, 96, IDEC was going to run out of money. So IDEC had
00:52:41.140 made an antibody to CD20, a very important marker on all lymphomas. And they were going to run out of
00:52:49.420 money. So some of our business development folks talked to them about Genentech doing a deal with
00:52:56.380 them on Rituxan. It is impossible to overstate how important Rituxan is in lymphoma. I often think
00:53:04.880 when I'm in product development of patients I've cared for, I had this great 83-year-old pharmacist
00:53:10.740 when I was in practice. And he had a lymphoma that was low grade, a little tired. He was fine.
00:53:18.980 And so we did watch and wait, my not favorite strategy of oncology. Let's watch and wait as
00:53:25.440 you dwindle. He'd be a perfect candidate for Rituxan. Four doses. You can repeat it. In fact,
00:53:32.720 it works so well. Here's when I changed my mind on antibodies. Somebody runs in my office and said,
00:53:39.820 oh, we have a case of tumor lysis syndrome. So tumor lysis syndrome being somebody got Rituxan,
00:53:46.040 they had a lot of lymphoma, and the cells are breaking down so fast their kidneys can't keep
00:53:50.920 up and they have to be dialyzed. Oh, that's only an antibody. No chemo, no payload, nothing. That's
00:53:58.260 when you know you've got a good drug. How many cells in the body, how many types of cells in the
00:54:02.160 body express CD20? It's mainly a B cell. But it's not as specific as CD19, is it?
00:54:08.260 I think 19 and 20 are both B cells. I'd have to look at it to see. Yeah, I know CD19 is on the
00:54:13.520 B cell, but I didn't know the, okay. Yeah. We were talking about this earlier. This is chimeric.
00:54:17.540 It's chimeric, yeah. Yeah. So tell folks what that implies,
00:54:19.940 because that's another wrinkle in the story. Well, that's the other thing that I think is,
00:54:23.600 there's so many dogmas that we believe until data proves otherwise. So one of the warts of
00:54:29.480 rituxan was thought that it was a chimera. It had too many mouse parts to human parts and that we
00:54:34.700 would cause human antichimeric antibody HACA. And FDA was very concerned about this. So we measured
00:54:41.220 and measured and measured. And it turned out probably because the patients had lymphoma that
00:54:46.780 they didn't get HACA. Very tiny numbers and they not clinically relevant. And you can treat them a lot.
00:54:52.200 You can treat patients over and over again. Herceptin is 93% human. So not a chimera,
00:54:58.820 but not fully humanized. And none of the patients treated with antibodies that I've seen,
00:55:04.040 not with Genentech or IDEC antibodies have really had problems. They've had other problems based on
00:55:09.100 target related problems, not based on the antibody.
00:55:12.160 And the CD20 antibody was just also a straight naked antibody?
00:55:15.600 Straight naked antibody.
00:55:16.780 And targeted for an immune destruction?
00:55:18.860 It's targeted to destroy the CD20 positive cells. But it turns out that if you have lymphoma,
00:55:24.820 you've got a reserve in your marrow of other CD20 cells of more immature that grow up and replace.
00:55:31.400 So it's not like you're really at a huge risk for untoward reactions from your CD20.
00:55:37.740 And why do those patients with marrow that's still producing CD20 positive cells not go on in a
00:55:43.520 constant state of lymphoma requiring? In other words, why is it that you can treat this and
00:55:48.760 create a durable remission?
00:55:50.420 I can guess. I don't know if anyone's done a formal study. I do think at some point in
00:55:56.180 oncology treatment, if you have a tiny amount of disease left, especially something like
00:56:01.020 lymphoma, you may take care of it yourself.
00:56:02.980 So it's just getting rid of enough of the diseased B cells until you get the load down,
00:56:08.720 the tumor load low enough that the immune system can wipe out the clone.
00:56:12.380 And honestly, if it comes back, that's the other thing that I find really interesting about antibodies.
00:56:16.760 The dogma with chemotherapy, if you are on Taxol and your tumor comes back,
00:56:22.440 I wouldn't give you Taxol again. If you're on Herceptin or Rituxan and your tumor comes back,
00:56:26.860 in a heartbeat, I'd give it to you again. Yeah. It's a very different thing than chemotherapy.
00:56:31.680 What was the price of these drugs at the time they came out? Were these the first
00:56:35.840 chemotherapeutic agents, or you kind of want to distinguish them from traditional chemo,
00:56:39.960 but were these the first oncology drugs that came with big price tags?
00:56:43.460 Probably they were. I think Taxol kind of went to that next level and then they went
00:56:48.900 to the further level compared to today's prices low. But Rituxan, I think more than Herceptin,
00:56:56.980 because people started using it more, like you'd use four times or eight times and recurring,
00:57:02.280 Rituxan sales went very high, very fast.
00:57:04.900 And about this time, we get the whole anti-VEGF story, right?
00:57:09.760 Yeah. Yeah. That was...
00:57:11.800 So Judah Folkman over at Boston Children's.
00:57:13.940 At Boston Children's. Yeah.
00:57:15.300 Yeah. I never had the chance to meet him.
00:57:16.820 Oh, you didn't meet him?
00:57:17.560 I've never met Judah. He wrote a fantastic book that I read in medical school,
00:57:22.100 poured over the book. I'm blanking on the name of it. Do you remember the book? It was his story.
00:57:25.620 Yeah. Yeah. I don't remember.
00:57:26.940 Again, a beautiful story.
00:57:28.180 I'm smiling because I had a word for Judah Folkman talks, which I heard many of. He was
00:57:33.560 a phenomenologist. He would say, this patient had this, so it must mean that. He just connected dots
00:57:40.480 all the time. I mean, some of it made no sense to me, but some of it was like, wow,
00:57:44.700 I wish I thought of that. He was just a really fun person to listen to. I used to tell this story
00:57:50.520 so many times. His thing was, the cancer can't grow larger than a BB if it doesn't have new blood
00:57:56.900 vessels. That was his thing. It stuck at a certain size. And so VEGF is the primary way,
00:58:04.500 vascular endothelial growth factor is the primary way that you grow new blood vessels if you're a
00:58:10.200 tumor cell. People went crazy about this hypothesis. It was more than the TPO that I was describing
00:58:17.540 because it was Judah Folkman and he's very compelling and very charismatic. And just because
00:58:23.220 the hypothesis really. It's logical. It's logical. It resonates. It sounds like a good thing.
00:58:28.560 You know, the saying that I love is it's the description of science as a beautiful,
00:58:33.320 compelling hypothesis slayed by an ugly fact.
00:58:39.080 That's perfect. Yeah.
00:58:41.880 Napo Ferrara, also a great character, Italian OBGYN who came to Genentech and worked in one of the labs,
00:58:49.760 made an antibody, actually same backbone as Herceptin to VEGF.
00:58:55.100 Mostly human.
00:58:56.100 Mostly human. Again, I think about 93, 94% human. And so we decided we should go after
00:59:02.820 an antibody for VEGF as our next big oncology program. I still remember, by the way,
00:59:09.660 one of the things that Gwen Fyfe, who's a great clinical oncology trials expert,
00:59:15.060 was in charge of the program. And Gwen and I talked the day before the first patient was going
00:59:19.960 to get treated with anti-VEGF. And Gwen said, my nightmare is that all the blood vessels fall
00:59:25.520 apart. We've just put that into someone's body. And I said, well, you know, we did all the talk
00:59:30.460 studies. We're like, I don't think it's going to be that bad, but we have no idea what, I mean,
00:59:34.480 it just felt... And I'm sorry, this was before the first phase one patient?
00:59:37.460 This was the first phase one patient.
00:59:38.460 This was the first phase one. So you're going very low dose. We're going to dose...
00:59:41.060 It's very low.
00:59:41.560 This is the first time it's going into a human.
00:59:43.060 It's the first human dosing of anti-VEGF. And we knew how important VEGF was.
00:59:47.800 So we were scared.
00:59:48.880 And this is also mid-90s.
00:59:50.880 Yeah. Yeah.
00:59:51.640 This is all happening when you arrive.
00:59:54.160 Yeah. It just gotten there.
00:59:55.600 I mean, what a time to be at Genentech.
00:59:57.400 Yeah. It was wild. It was wild.
00:59:59.280 Wow.
01:00:00.000 So we're into the clinic and we make progress and it's really good news and lots of studies.
01:00:06.300 And we're ambitious. We want to do a lot of different... We wanted to do lung cancer and we
01:00:10.660 want to do breast cancer and...
01:00:12.440 How are you picking the cancer to study something like this? Herceptin's obvious because you're
01:00:16.260 targeting a receptor.
01:00:17.300 Herceptin and Rituxin were easy.
01:00:18.380 Yeah. They're easy. You know what you're doing. But here, you could be targeting anything.
01:00:21.920 There is one tumor where VEGF plays a seminal role and that is renal cell carcinoma.
01:00:28.280 And yet, renal cells are really tough to study. It's just... It's not set up clinical trials-wise.
01:00:35.100 Why is that? You've got the IL-2 stuff going on where you've got 10% of people will respond
01:00:40.900 to it, but 90% won't.
01:00:42.140 No, it should be easier. It may be the sites and where the clinicians are who care for it.
01:00:47.960 It may just be that pragmatic. We kept struggling to figure out how to do a good renal cell study.
01:00:54.200 But we thought we could do a breast cancer study because we had a lot of networks of breast
01:00:58.360 cancer patients and particularly patients who weren't eligible for Herceptin because many
01:01:03.060 of them weren't. So, we wanted to do a late-stage breast cancer study because if we could help
01:01:10.380 these patients, we would find out right away. These were patients with metastatic breast cancer?
01:01:14.980 Metastatic breast cancer who had already tried...
01:01:16.780 Progressed through everything.
01:01:17.980 Everything. So, really tough high bar. So...
01:01:20.920 And the standard you're going to hold yourself to in the phase two is 50% shrinkage?
01:01:27.780 We wanted to have at least 50% shrinkage. We wanted to change time progression.
01:01:33.600 This is a great time to actually hit pause. I wanted to do this later, but I think this is
01:01:38.120 the right drug to go through two things. One, even though I've done this probably half a dozen times
01:01:43.600 on the podcast, you should never assume somebody remembers it. I want people to understand what
01:01:48.320 the difference is between a phase one, a phase two, a phase three study. Also understand what's
01:01:52.560 preclinical. It's not intuitive to people why it costs a billion dollars to get a drug to market
01:01:57.780 and why it can take a decade. And then, within that, if you could just embed enough of the details
01:02:03.040 about decisions that you can make that will make or break you. How many times has a drug failed
01:02:10.100 because the experimental design, the wrong patient selection, the wrong disease selection?
01:02:16.480 You have got to line up four pieces of Swiss cheese just right to get the pen through to hit
01:02:23.440 it. Sorry to interrupt, but let's go back to, you got Judah Folkman talking about VEGF, VEGF,
01:02:29.880 VEGF, that then turns into, well, if we made an antibody to VEGF, okay, so there's your idea.
01:02:35.840 Now, start the clock and start the dollars.
01:02:38.840 So if you start with a target, often in oncology today, we'll start with a target.
01:02:44.400 There's two things you have to start with. One is, what's the best way to turn down or turn
01:02:52.500 off that target? Is it a small molecule? Is it an antibody?
01:02:57.260 Tell folks the difference. How do you think of small molecule versus antibody? Where do we draw
01:03:00.020 the line?
01:03:00.600 So here's a really simple way I think of it helps me. Small molecules chemistry. Small molecule,
01:03:06.520 it can be, not always, a pill. A small molecule you're impacting on often pathways or enzymes or
01:03:15.920 things that happen in the cell. A large molecule, whether it's a protein or especially an antibody,
01:03:22.600 an antibody is biology. An antibody, you're trying to do something that may be immune in nature,
01:03:29.220 or you use the antibody as a delivery device. You're getting something to the cell. A company
01:03:35.340 like Genentech and many modern companies really like antibodies. I like antibodies because when
01:03:42.860 something happens, it's on target. It doesn't tend to be off target. Small molecules at chemistry
01:03:48.680 tends to have surprises in negative ways off target, like liver toxicity or kidney toxicity.
01:03:55.300 I do this through cardiovascular medicine to explain to people the difference between
01:03:58.920 a statin and a PCSK9 inhibitor. You have these two very common drugs that are used to lower
01:04:05.500 cholesterol, but a statin is a small molecule. I don't say this in an insulting way, but we use
01:04:10.880 the terminology it's dirty. It does block an enzyme, but it's got all these off target things and
01:04:16.500 your liver function gets whacked. You get insulin resistance. Some people get horrible muscle
01:04:21.400 soreness. So five to 10% of people taking this drug are going to have a side effect that prevents
01:04:26.060 them from taking the drug. I've never seen a person yet who couldn't tolerate a PCSK9 inhibitor
01:04:31.120 where you inject an antibody into them that binds to a protein and shuts it off.
01:04:38.960 That's really a good example. And the choice of molecule is driven by that. When I was first in
01:04:45.120 product development, there was this thing of, oh, you need a pill, especially for chronic
01:04:48.640 indications. You need a pill for compliance.
01:04:51.180 Right. Who would take an injection for cholesterol?
01:04:53.360 Look at obesity drugs. Turns out a lot of people would take an injection if they want to.
01:04:57.560 But once you have your selection, you need to make sure you can make it. And one of the critical
01:05:04.880 things for a biotech company, if it's a protein or an antibody is the small scale production of it
01:05:12.060 in small, they call it a mini firm. The mini firm has to resemble what is actually going to be used
01:05:18.100 because the next thing you start doing is a bunch of models. Judah Folkman giving a great talk doesn't
01:05:23.800 mean you believe that blocking VEGF will help cancer. So we do models in mice. We may do larger
01:05:31.740 animals. We do fewer animal models than we used to because they're really limited. I would rather
01:05:37.840 have a great target with good biology than an animal model, but it's still helpful. It's still helpful.
01:05:42.700 And then the critical thing is the preclinical work that you do, what FDA is going to want to
01:05:49.160 ask you, and they should, this is not them being bad. This is them being good. They're going to
01:05:53.520 want to ask you about toxicology. What's your safety plan? Based on biology of VEGF, what are
01:05:58.540 you most worried about? I'm most worried about bleeding. It's an antibody. I'm most worried about
01:06:02.260 an allergy to the antibody. Did any of the tox studies show allergy to the antibody? What are you
01:06:08.500 going to look for and how are you going to look? How often are you going to measure the patient? So
01:06:12.360 the preclinical safety plan is really important and based on what you find in toxicology.
01:06:18.060 The other thing that's essential is, and especially modern oncology, if you have a targeted therapy,
01:06:24.840 you must have a diagnostic. And that is wicked hard because you've got the therapeutic and the
01:06:31.460 diagnostic at the same time. Now, things like CD20, things like VEGF are very ubiquitous, so it's not
01:06:38.280 really targeted in the sense of HER2, where we needed a diagnostic. But if you need to have that,
01:06:45.180 we had what we called a clinical trials assay for Herceptin that wasn't to be marketed.
01:06:50.800 Did you guys have to have somebody in parallel developing a CLIA-certified assay that a pathologist
01:06:56.800 was going to use, or did you do that in-house? So we had an in-house clinical trials assay
01:07:02.800 that we used all the way through phase three. And you could quality control the hell out of it?
01:07:07.480 It was fine. It was nothing wrong with it, except it wasn't approved. So not fine. So when we went
01:07:14.120 to FDA, they said, we're not approving Herceptin until you have an approved diagnostic.
01:07:18.360 So whose responsibility is, like, how do you encourage the world to make that happen?
01:07:21.420 So we went to DACO. We went to several diagnostic companies and DACO said, we'll make you a
01:07:26.940 immunohistochemistry test for her too. And Herceptin test is made by DACO. But we had to go back
01:07:32.360 and correlate that with the clinical trials to make sure that it was the same as the clinical
01:07:37.580 trials assay. Now, why didn't you guys do that in parallel? Was the cost too great? And did you
01:07:41.320 want to de-risk the drug before you sunk the cost into that? We were too inexperienced to realize we
01:07:47.160 should have. I see. Okay. So nowadays, we're doing that in parallel. Oh, for sure, on parallel. Yeah,
01:07:51.220 for sure. It was a mistake. So how long, just to, again, go back to helping people think through
01:07:55.560 the arc of time. From the moment you guys hit a go decision on, we want to do this,
01:08:00.380 we want to pursue this path. How long until you file the IND? Oh, gosh, it could be years. It could
01:08:06.560 be two, three years because you're doing animal models. Maybe tell folks what the IND is so they
01:08:11.020 understand why that's an important milestone. So the investigational new drug is asking the Food
01:08:16.180 and Drug Administration permission to ship an unapproved drug across state lines. If you and I wanted to do
01:08:23.460 something in Austin, we could actually do it, which is sort of weird when you think about it.
01:08:27.760 But most people don't really want to do that. So we're going to do the Peter Sue drug. It's going
01:08:31.540 to be amazing. We're going to set the lab up right over there. But the moment we want to run a clinical
01:08:36.000 trial and ship it and get it out of the state, you got to have the IND. So the investigational new drug
01:08:41.520 is the request. And what happens is that you take all this information I've been talking about,
01:08:47.020 that you know you have a molecule, you trust the way you're producing the molecule,
01:08:52.480 you understand the biology enough, you have a safety plan, and you have a phase one protocol.
01:08:58.160 So phase one has one purpose. We're all greedy. I've been there. It is only for safety. Phase one
01:09:07.220 is, is it safe to give humans this molecule? Is it safe to give it once? Is it safe to give it
01:09:12.440 multiple times? And there's an art to knowing where to start the dose because it's an escalating
01:09:17.360 dose trial. That's right. But you're extrapolating from what you learned about toxicity in a totally
01:09:23.020 different organism that never translates one-to-one to the organism of choice.
01:09:27.520 It's absolutely true. And it's not uncommon. And you see people all the time backing up on the dose
01:09:31.960 thinking, oh, that was more than we needed or more than we wanted. But phase one with a good
01:09:37.920 preclinical package, a good IND, phase one should be uneventful. And because we are greedy in oncology,
01:09:44.660 we always look to see if anybody responds just because that's what we do. But phase one often,
01:09:50.320 to be fair, has some really tough patients who are trying something and have tried a lot of other
01:09:55.760 things. So the patient population can be tough to find any efficacy in. So phase one, I always think
01:10:01.320 of phase one as it might be a year that you're in phase one if you're doing a really good job.
01:10:06.200 And typical cost given the relatively low numbers of patients?
01:10:09.400 Oh, gosh. In the tens of millions?
01:10:12.440 Tens of millions. Yeah.
01:10:13.520 Yeah. Tens of millions. And then you get into the 20s and 30s and 40s of millions with the phase two,
01:10:19.320 depending on how big your phase two is. And phase two, I think that's where people can
01:10:24.160 use their intellect, I think, in many ways. Phase two, you start to look at what's the right
01:10:30.500 dose and schedule. Very, very important to get the right dose and schedule.
01:10:35.240 And what's the right outcome? What's the right patient?
01:10:37.140 Who do you want to treat? And really what phase two is supposed to do, with one exception,
01:10:43.720 phase two is supposed to get you ready for phase three. You've got a dose, you've got a schedule,
01:10:48.080 you've got a patient selection criteria, and you've got a hypothesis of where this is going
01:10:52.600 to be a drug. The exception in oncology is sometimes you want to get an approval off phase two.
01:10:57.980 When we tested anti-VEGF in breast cancer in phase two, we wanted to use that as an approvable
01:11:04.420 study. Because we would go in and say, look, it can be a contingent approval, but these patients
01:11:08.720 have nothing else to do. And so I think that can happen, especially targeted therapy, where you've
01:11:14.420 got the perfect target and FDA is feeling good about it too. That can be a phase two study. But
01:11:20.020 most of the time you're getting ready for phase three.
01:11:22.300 So where were you guys with anti-VEGF in phase two? You're at breast cancer. And did you do colon?
01:11:28.120 We did colon, but not the kind of study that I just mentioned for approval. We did a traditional
01:11:33.680 phase two in colon. So what happened is the breast cancer study failed. And I was so disappointed.
01:11:39.520 I was so hoping that that would work. I still remember that day. For me, it was like, oh,
01:11:45.140 we need more better drugs for breast cancer. Because I often heard from people when they're the three
01:11:50.420 out of four patients, suerceptin wasn't for them. If you looked at your stock that day,
01:11:55.220 it also looked really bad because all the hype about Avastin was there. But in colon cancer,
01:12:02.700 we had a phase two, got ready on the dose and schedule. And then we went to a phase three
01:12:08.580 study in colon cancer, much more traditional, just plus minus Avastin.
01:12:12.560 5FU and the usual suspects.
01:12:14.700 5FU and the usual suspects, plus minus Avastin. And that succeeded.
01:12:18.280 That was a stage four?
01:12:19.280 Only stage four.
01:12:20.300 This is a median survival study. You're not doing overall survival, correct?
01:12:23.180 That was a median survival study. Actually, I don't remember all the details of that one.
01:12:27.580 I feel like it was eight more months of median survival. Does that sound about right?
01:12:30.920 Probably right. It was the first new thing in colon cancer for a while too. So people were
01:12:35.780 pretty excited.
01:12:36.480 Now, at this point, I'm in medical school, just down the street. I'm at Stanford. And I remember we
01:12:42.440 had a big discussion about this. I'm in my first year of medical school. And the discussion we had in
01:12:46.360 class was, I think at the time, Avastin was $100,000 for the treatment. Extends median survival
01:12:52.180 by whatever, but I think it was eight months. The UK said no. The NHS said, we are not paying for this
01:12:58.080 because at the time, the NHS had this $100,000 quality adjusted life year hurdle,
01:13:04.760 which is understandable, right? That's how you throttle supply side economics. They said, look,
01:13:08.900 we can't pay for a drug. We can't pay more than $100,000 for an incremental year of quality
01:13:13.740 adjusted life year. This is only giving you eight months. That's why I know it was less than 12.
01:13:17.800 And so the NHS flatly said, we're not paying for this. And I do believe people in the UK could pay
01:13:22.480 out of pocket for it.
01:13:23.580 You can get it out of pocket, but not through the National Health Service.
01:13:25.720 That's right. People in Canada could not because you couldn't have private insurance in Canada,
01:13:29.820 though you could come to the US for treatment. So of course, this just became a great topic of
01:13:34.120 discussion for med school freshmen. What was your thought at the time of, have we moved the needle
01:13:40.520 enough? How do we think about the economics of this?
01:13:43.080 So I had a lot of different reactions. First of all, with Avastin, it was the first time I remember
01:13:50.040 reading, and I think it was one of those curtain raiser things in the Wall Street Journal for the
01:13:54.980 breast cancer study. The headline was, Avastin might help breast cancer patients, but can they
01:14:00.780 afford to take it? I was shocked that it was the first time I had read, and as long as I had been
01:14:06.620 at Genentech, that somebody couldn't afford one of our drugs. That instead of saying, oh, isn't that cool,
01:14:12.320 Britoxan, Herceptin, Avastin, it was too much money. And that felt really important to me and
01:14:19.460 really not good. We had as a company a philosophy that no patient should go without any of our drugs
01:14:25.800 because of an inability to pay. So we had a bunch of patient, what do you call those, patient support
01:14:30.900 programs or whatever. So we had a bunch of different things in place. So I knew we had those programs,
01:14:35.880 but that doesn't help the patients in the UK, and it doesn't help the overall cost because we're
01:14:40.400 actually supplementing, but the cost is still really high. And we started to have a lot more
01:14:45.560 discussion at the executive committee about the price and how we would think about it and how we
01:14:50.200 would price the drugs because that was, like I say, that was not good.
01:14:54.700 Did you go straight from Genentech to being the chancellor at UCSF?
01:14:57.920 Just because I want to stay with the story, I want to continue the arc of your career.
01:15:02.360 We're at the halfway point, right? We're one third of the way into-
01:15:05.740 Early days.
01:15:06.060 Yeah, yeah, yeah.
01:15:06.660 We're in the 90s.
01:15:07.760 How did you, given you are truly on the cusp of what is happening in oncology and biotechnology,
01:15:15.380 and now the same institution that said, you can't come back here to have a clinical appointment after
01:15:21.780 saving the people of Uganda is now offering you the highest post, essentially, outside of a
01:15:27.880 provost, I'm guessing, right? I don't even know where the chance-
01:15:30.860 It is the highest post.
01:15:31.180 It is the highest post. Okay, so that's kind of remarkable. And does that just speak to
01:15:35.740 what they saw as the vision of that institution, which was few people have learned what Sue has
01:15:41.120 learned in the last 10 years, and we want that type of leadership here?
01:15:45.880 So first of all, on the Genentech side of things, Roche bought us.
01:15:49.540 That's right. That was 99?
01:15:52.020 That was 2009.
01:15:55.000 Oh, 2009. Oh my God. Okay, I'm off by a whole decade. I thought that was sooner.
01:15:59.540 2009, which was not what we wanted. It was a-
01:16:02.620 It's a hostile takeover.
01:16:03.400 A hostile takeover, yeah.
01:16:04.560 They call it in the business world a squeeze out. They squeezed us out. So I knew I was going
01:16:09.280 to leave. I knew I was going to do something different. And UCSF, I had been really close
01:16:15.140 with the chief of medicine, who was my chief of medicine when I was an intern, Holly Smith. Do
01:16:21.520 you know Holly Smith?
01:16:22.180 No, I don't.
01:16:22.880 So Holly Smith was a South Carolinian, Harvard-trained, amazing person. And between him and Bill
01:16:30.860 Rudder, who founded Chiron, who's a biochemist, they decided a long time ago that UCSF should
01:16:38.100 not be a backwater medical school and should be a serious medical school. So Holly on the
01:16:43.580 clinical front and Bill on the scientific front just decided they would start recruiting people
01:16:48.920 to have a great institution, like a pretty amazing thing.
01:16:52.320 And that was starting in the 80s?
01:16:54.020 It was probably 80s, 70s, 80s. I was still friends with Holly. I just think there's so
01:17:01.980 many wonderful things about Holly that I admired that I was still friends with him. So Holly called
01:17:07.400 me and said, Mike Bishop is stepping down. Of Bishop and Varmus, that Mike Bishop, yeah.
01:17:12.840 Of Nobel fame.
01:17:14.600 Yeah. And you should be chancellor. Of course, I said to Holly, I'm not a professor. And I said,
01:17:20.260 well, if they're interested in me, I'd be open to talking to them. They were. And I went through
01:17:25.820 the interview process.
01:17:27.380 I'm sure that when you're going through that, sorry to interrupt, because you're now interviewing
01:17:30.560 with the board of trustees.
01:17:31.800 They have a search committee.
01:17:33.020 Yeah.
01:17:33.300 Yeah.
01:17:33.540 And so they must be asking you to present a vision. They're not interviewing you to make
01:17:37.960 sure you know how to use PowerPoint.
01:17:39.480 Yeah.
01:17:39.980 Do you remember what the vision is that you presented to them?
01:17:44.080 What I do remember, and I remember, if you remember 2009, was just...
01:17:50.020 Post-apocalypse.
01:17:51.360 Horrible recession and California being particularly in a bad place. So I just talked to them about
01:17:58.740 how I think about managing people, how I think about making sure that you use whatever assets
01:18:04.040 you have maximally. I admitted that I had never done fundraising, but I had done a lot of work
01:18:09.440 with Wall Street and I could talk.
01:18:12.060 You were the president. What was your title at Genentech before you left?
01:18:14.860 Yeah.
01:18:14.980 And I did a massive amount of investor relations because Art didn't like traveling or talking.
01:18:22.060 My kind of guy.
01:18:25.080 Mine too. No, we were a good partnership, but I also said, look, if you think about running
01:18:30.860 the faculty meeting, I'm probably not your guy, but that's what the provost does. I think they
01:18:34.980 really thought they wanted somebody who could work on the business aspects of the campus.
01:18:39.560 Because we needed to finish Mission Bay.
01:18:41.420 You're really the CEO of the system.
01:18:43.900 Yeah.
01:18:44.280 Yeah. And you manage the hospital CEO and it's a big hospital system. There's no undergrads at
01:18:49.060 UCSF. So that was what they were looking for. And I thought, well, why not?
01:18:55.300 Were you nervous? I mean, when they called you and said, you've got the job, was there a moment
01:18:59.160 where you thought, have I bit off more than I can chew? This is a huge responsibility.
01:19:03.540 I was really concerned. I was really concerned about it. And I also realized because some of
01:19:10.260 the faculty were pretty negative when I first started.
01:19:13.480 Because you're an outsider, you were an alum, but you weren't coming up through the ranks
01:19:16.880 as the CEO of the hospital or something.
01:19:19.240 I actually think they were just as nervous as I was about money. They weren't convinced that I
01:19:24.220 knew how to get them money. Because, you know, if you're running a program, you need money.
01:19:27.880 It's the mother's milk of doing science.
01:19:29.680 So tell me about the budget of UCSF. Because it's a state school, presumably California provides
01:19:35.460 what fraction of it?
01:19:36.960 Almost nothing.
01:19:38.020 So what's the benefit of being a UC?
01:19:40.240 The brand. There's a curriculum thing. There's some things like that.
01:19:43.400 So in that sense, you and Stanford aren't that far apart.
01:19:45.880 Not that different. I mean, the most important things, you've got clinical income,
01:19:49.680 you've got NIH-driven income, right? You've got other grant income, and you have philanthropy.
01:19:54.860 Show me the P&L on those things there. So NIH is bringing in how much?
01:19:58.660 Oh, gosh.
01:19:59.560 Percentage-wise, roughly.
01:20:01.020 Of the money that you use every day, there's this discussion of overheads now. It probably
01:20:05.580 gets up to a third.
01:20:07.760 A third of the revenue for general operations is coming out of the NIH overhead.
01:20:13.200 Probably, yeah.
01:20:13.900 And then clinical revenue.
01:20:15.560 Clinical is a lot, but a lot of it goes back to the hospital. You know, it's a not-for-profit.
01:20:19.440 They spend it on the hospital.
01:20:20.920 Okay. And then philanthropy is some direct, some into the endowment where you're living off the interest.
01:20:28.120 Yeah.
01:20:28.580 And that's basically what your revenue streams are, those four things.
01:20:31.760 Yeah, that's the revenue stream. And then the tuition is tiny.
01:20:34.200 Well, especially because you don't have undergrads, right?
01:20:35.720 Right, right. Because the number of students is really low. And the really good news at UCSF...
01:20:40.580 I didn't even apply to UCSF, by the way, because, I mean, I was not in California when I was applying
01:20:44.640 to medical school. I was told, well, such a great medical school that I was like,
01:20:48.500 there's no way I'm going to get in as a non-Californian. So I didn't even apply.
01:20:53.180 So the funny thing for me is...
01:20:54.640 But you did, and you got in.
01:20:55.680 I did. Well, there's a story there. We talked about me being at University of Nevada. What
01:21:00.440 we didn't talk about is my first year at University of Nevada, my youngest sister was born.
01:21:06.660 Wow.
01:21:06.900 I lived at home and helped my mom in Reno.
01:21:11.280 Because there's like seven of you, right?
01:21:12.700 There's seven of us.
01:21:13.420 Yeah.
01:21:13.660 Yeah. And number seven was born when I was a freshman. It was kind of crazy. But when I
01:21:19.240 went to medical school, I used to have like this sign on the stairs, be quiet. I'm studying
01:21:24.340 down here. It's like probably a giant pain. But I wanted to go to San Francisco. My dad was
01:21:30.920 born and raised in San Francisco. My grandma lived in San Francisco. So even though I was still
01:21:34.900 pretty young in terms of ever living outside the home, I knew San Francisco. I wanted to
01:21:40.680 go. But UCSF had never taken a University of Nevada student because we were a pretty new
01:21:46.240 medical school. I was only in the second four-year class.
01:21:48.940 Oh, wow.
01:21:49.500 Yeah. And I was excited like my head would blow off. Like I wanted to go to UCSF so big
01:21:57.300 time. So I'm going back to UCSF. And the really good news, what saved me as chancellor is philanthropy.
01:22:06.320 It turns out that we needed people to care about the mission and the projects at UCSF right
01:22:14.100 at the same time as the Mark Zuckerbergs of the world and the venture capitalists of the
01:22:19.600 world. And a lot of people had come into a lot of money. Even though the overall economy
01:22:24.200 was bad, it was coming back. And we had some spectacular successes. And my successor, Sam
01:22:31.420 Hogood, continues to have that kind of success. And people are just really generous.
01:22:35.760 Americans are, hands down, the most generous people in the world. I think that's a demonstrable
01:22:41.480 fact.
01:22:41.960 Yeah. I'm big on New Year's resolutions, among other things. One of my New Year's resolutions,
01:22:47.800 I have a mini list. One thing that's always on the list is be more generous. I'm no Mark
01:22:53.300 Zuckerberg, but I can be generous in other ways.
01:22:55.860 I'm sure that you must deserve some of the credit for that. I don't think it's just that
01:22:59.140 a bunch of people in the Bay Area came into money at that period of time. What was the approach
01:23:04.680 you took towards philanthropy? And how did you reach donors that maybe previously hadn't
01:23:10.120 been involved in UCSF? Because again, one of the things that's working against you is you don't
01:23:14.560 have an undergraduate. So Stanford has a big advantage over you in which you've got a lot of
01:23:20.160 people that are coming through doing engineering degrees, doing CS degrees, who are going on to
01:23:25.180 create enormous enterprises. Anyone who's an alum of UCSF went to graduate school there. There's
01:23:31.760 no business school. There's no law school. So you're missing out on a lot of this.
01:23:36.040 Don't forget the hospital. The most important donor base is grateful patients or people who
01:23:41.120 love science, technology. I hired John Ford, who had retired as the head of Stanford's fundraising,
01:23:49.000 moved up to the Northeast and he was my head of development. And I talked to John and I said,
01:23:54.320 how do you do this? Teach me how to be a good fundraiser. And he talked about, tell people your hopes
01:23:59.860 and dreams. Tell people what you're excited about and ask them what they're excited about and see if
01:24:05.140 there's a match. And I think that was really important. And then I also think that because
01:24:10.400 I had been at Genentech and I was sort of gregarious and knew a lot of people and people knew that I had
01:24:15.600 decent business savvy. I wasn't going to waste their money. We were very committed to use the money
01:24:21.040 wisely, especially in the hard times and do special things at UCSF. So I was surprised. I sort of worried
01:24:29.480 that I would be sad if people said no, that it would be weird, especially if I knew them well.
01:24:35.140 So I would get myself psyched up for the beginning of it. And then by the end, I'd be like, oh, that's
01:24:39.660 fine. Next time if you're in town, let's talk again and maybe it'll change or whatever. But it was
01:24:44.980 actually fun. I got to talk to and meet a lot of great people.
01:24:48.380 What percentage of your time was spent externally versus internally?
01:24:54.200 Probably 40% externally. A lot external.
01:24:57.080 And what was the internal focus then?
01:24:58.860 Working with the team.
01:25:00.160 So who were your direct reports? The provost?
01:25:01.640 Provost, CEO of the hospital, lawyer, all the deans. That was really important. And then part of it was
01:25:10.180 monthly we met with all the chancellors, with the president of the university. It was Mark Udoff at
01:25:14.800 the time and then he stepped down after a while. But the chancellors meetings were funny because
01:25:20.060 they all had undergrads. I always felt like I was squirming, like are we done yet? I thought it was
01:25:26.640 just really important. My favorite thing, every Friday, lunch, Mission Bay, they had a science talk
01:25:33.480 and they'd have some pizza, Chinese food, something. And you'd look around the room and it'd be like
01:25:40.400 Bruce Alberts, Liz Blackburn. There'd be four Nobel Prize winners in this little cramped room
01:25:46.620 listening to science.
01:25:48.780 This would be something you did as a scientist, not necessarily as a chance, like the chancellors
01:25:53.700 weren't doing this all the time.
01:25:54.760 No, I'd just go over on the shuttle bus, eat a slice of pizza and enjoy.
01:25:58.160 Yeah, amazing.
01:25:58.880 It was really good.
01:26:00.200 So then let's get to the next chapter. What all of a sudden in 2013, 2014 leads to the next
01:26:05.640 transition to being the CEO of the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation?
01:26:08.800 Well, to my surprise, I think I got an email or I think it was an email from Melinda.
01:26:15.920 Did I have time to talk? And UCSF throws a big event every year, this kind of friend-making,
01:26:22.780 fundraising, everything, and we give out awards, recognition to people whose work we respect a lot.
01:26:28.800 So I had invited Melinda the year before and thought, she'll never come. You invite people,
01:26:34.600 the throwaway invite. And she accepted and came, actually came with her mom and dad even better.
01:26:40.020 I thought that was nice. So she sent me an email and she said that she and Bill wanted me to look
01:26:48.460 at being the next CEO of the Gates Foundation. And I was surprised. I had not expected that. And
01:26:55.180 I started having discussions with them. It was actually funny. I went up to Seattle and they
01:27:01.960 were having all this hush-hush. You know, this was very cloak and dagger. So I went to their house
01:27:07.500 because I had had a meeting with Melinda and I needed to meet with Bill. And it was Halloween.
01:27:12.200 The kids are coming and going. It was kind of crazy. And so I had talked to him and I talked
01:27:18.700 to my husband. You know, my husband worked at the Gates Foundation. He led the HIV and TB programs
01:27:23.940 about five years before.
01:27:26.060 Was he still there?
01:27:27.060 No, no, you had gone. He was commuting to Seattle, which was dreadful.
01:27:30.560 But he knew the Gates Foundation. So he and I were talking about this and I was like, oh God,
01:27:34.360 you know, I've only been at UCSF five years. I just found where the bathrooms are, you know,
01:27:39.120 that kind of thing. And it was going well. I was happy with that. They asked for a teleconference
01:27:44.260 and they got on the phone and especially Bill made this big pitch that a lot of people could
01:27:52.220 do the UCSF job with all due respect, as Bill would put it. But I was the only person who they
01:27:58.320 both wanted and who could do this job. I was perfect for the job and it's really important
01:28:03.100 for the world and I needed to do it.
01:28:04.620 I assume that the rationale for that was obviously their focus is on global health and you have the
01:28:14.020 background in the clinical side, the research side, the epidemiologic side, the management side.
01:28:20.200 So there's kind of those are four legs of a chair. Were there other things that I'm missing that they
01:28:25.240 felt were kind of essential pillars?
01:28:26.980 I think it was less obvious then, but I think now they had started to kind of have disparate views of
01:28:32.980 how the foundation should operate. Melinda has been really all over women's issues, all over.
01:28:40.440 And Bill would do another run at polio. You know, it's like the goal broadly that all lives have
01:28:47.600 equal value, which by the way, I think is a wonderful thing. They share, but they come at it
01:28:52.440 from different ways. And so I think that the thing that resonated for me is that I could see both
01:28:57.920 those points of view. But those points of view don't strike me as mutually exclusive for an
01:29:02.380 organization with enormous resources.
01:29:04.580 Yes and no. It's one thing to have enormous resources. It's another to know where one of
01:29:10.080 the most important assets they have is the time and energy of Bill and Melinda. They actually show up,
01:29:17.120 things happen.
01:29:18.560 So how did you weigh this decision?
01:29:21.240 I thought that I could add value. I thought I would learn a lot. And I did think that UCSF
01:29:27.160 would be fine without me. I felt like we were back on our feet financially. I thought that Sam
01:29:32.140 Hogood, who was the dean of the School of Medicine, I had a ton of respect for him and thought he was
01:29:38.660 the obvious person to take my place and that it would be okay.
01:29:42.540 Were they surprised? Did they try to talk you out of this?
01:29:45.840 I don't think they did. I actually think they had a lot of respect for the Gates Foundation and
01:29:49.880 thought, oh, well, that's a cool job. At least the way they showed up with me. Maybe when I wasn't
01:29:54.860 there, they did.
01:29:55.980 Okay. So you head up to Seattle now.
01:29:57.440 Yes.
01:29:58.100 When you show up to the foundation, how many employees are there? What does it look like?
01:30:01.580 It's a not-for-profit, but does it run like Microsoft? I mean, how does it operate?
01:30:05.320 It's a couple thousand. It's a big foundation, big building, big foundation with people all over
01:30:10.900 the world now. There was a lot I wasn't surprised by, like the global health stuff. I knew what they
01:30:15.460 were doing and I thought it was interesting and great. And the challenge for me was Bill's
01:30:22.300 endless appetite for things like learning things, driving things, funding things, and me feeling
01:30:31.700 like I could get my hands around a strategic plan. It was a little bit like, okay, this staff would be
01:30:38.040 like, Bill's going to love this. Let's present that. You know, it was that kind of feeling and lots
01:30:41.960 of money. So I kept trying to get my hands around like, okay, what should we do so it's just a little
01:30:48.600 more orderly and we get a great return on our investment. That was the most important focus.
01:30:55.020 I feel good about that. The funny thing was I sent the finance team to Genentech and we had this really
01:31:02.080 great portfolio management process that we put in place when I was there and they still use it
01:31:07.080 apparently. And because I recommended to Bill, we just have a portfolio management process. Pretty
01:31:12.160 simple. Everybody knows how you make decisions, what money's up, what we'll do, and we can use that
01:31:18.120 here. It doesn't need to be bureaucratic. Bill said, we don't need it. It's all in my head.
01:31:23.460 I remember that conversation and I thought, if it wasn't you, I would think that was a smart-ass thing
01:31:28.600 to say, but I actually think you're just being honest. So I encouraged him to understand that just
01:31:34.920 because it was in his head didn't mean that the rest of us were there. We had a little more ability
01:31:40.960 to make things orderly, I'd say. It was a wild ride. It was six years of a wild ride.
01:31:48.080 What was the most difficult thing for you to impact that you wanted to change? Meaning,
01:31:54.500 was there a global initiative that you wanted to get your hands around that you just couldn't do
01:31:58.340 organizationally or technically or what were the challenges?
01:32:01.560 I would say far the opposite. The things that I felt like I knew about, I felt like really good
01:32:07.880 about. The TB stuff, there's a HIV cure program now that I'm really psyched about. Technically,
01:32:14.060 I felt really good. Probably the hardest thing for me was the people side of things. I have a very
01:32:20.540 strong sense of how people should treat each other and the competencies that managers should have.
01:32:28.940 And I'm not willing to move on that because you're a technical expert. And I found that if you do move
01:32:36.940 on that, it just changes the culture. And I struggle with that.
01:32:41.240 Say a little bit more on that. Is that because in the not-for-profit space, you have a different
01:32:46.320 talent pool than you do at Genentech?
01:32:48.660 No, I think it's because Bill really likes technical experts. And if he likes the technical
01:32:54.560 expert, he doesn't want the CEO to come and say anything. But yes, they are very smart.
01:33:00.860 What did the org chart look like? So I assume Bill and Melinda are co-chairs?
01:33:04.500 They were, yeah.
01:33:05.520 And then as the CEO, who are your direct reports? Is it organized by a bunch of GMs in different
01:33:11.400 programs?
01:33:11.960 Yeah.
01:33:12.080 So there's a TB person, an HIV person, a polio person, a malaria person?
01:33:16.720 No, there's a global health person. There's a global development person. There's an ag person.
01:33:21.080 So under global health, you then have sub-
01:33:23.720 Then you have the subs. Yeah.
01:33:25.520 Global health is a big job, obviously.
01:33:27.480 It's a very big job.
01:33:28.260 That's the biggest-
01:33:28.600 Yeah. It's the biggest P&L. And then U.S. education is a pretty big job too.
01:33:33.540 Oh, I don't even realize. I'm not as familiar with the portfolio.
01:33:35.960 Yeah. The one that has been ag is now ag, financial services for the poor. So it's a
01:33:42.620 pretty broad group.
01:33:44.240 What's the annual budget?
01:33:45.380 $8 billion.
01:33:46.520 Wow.
01:33:47.400 So much money. It's amazing.
01:33:49.900 Yeah. So what are things that you could not have done there in that role had you not had
01:33:56.020 the leadership roles at Genentech and UCSF?
01:33:59.460 Oh, gosh. I think more the people side of things. I remember there was an employee who
01:34:06.600 was really struggling at Genentech. And her boss, I was his boss. And he kept talking to
01:34:12.560 me about how she was struggling, how she was struggling. Could we do this? Did we need to
01:34:16.240 give her fewer reports, more reports, make her job harder, make her job? We couldn't figure
01:34:21.140 it out. Couldn't figure it out.
01:34:22.160 Performance was struggling, you mean?
01:34:23.500 Performance was struggling. And just not acting like she had been. We just couldn't figure it
01:34:27.920 out.
01:34:28.780 And finally, one day she said, oh, I'm getting a divorce. And after a little while, things
01:34:34.380 got better. And I thought, you know, not everything's work. Not everything's work. So I think as a
01:34:40.740 manager, I really care about people thriving at work. I really care about it. And when I
01:34:46.440 went to Gates Foundation, I think I understood better, given Genentech and UCSF, that a very
01:34:53.340 important principle, work never fills in for home, ever. It never makes up for a bad
01:34:58.540 home. So if somebody needs a timeout, I always think, how can I improve work? And sometimes
01:35:04.140 it's good to just understand that that's not always the case. Especially if you're working
01:35:09.700 in global health or global development. You might be in South Africa. You might be in China.
01:35:15.520 It's rough. So just thinking a little bit about how people can show up in ways, it's $8 billion.
01:35:22.580 How do they maximize the benefit of that $8 billion? And what can I do to enable that?
01:35:27.800 Are you basically only able to affect that through your interaction with your direct reports and just
01:35:34.360 hope that that's the infusion of culture that then trickles down? Because it's hard to go two
01:35:40.080 levels below your management. And yet the people who probably need this compassion the most are
01:35:46.900 people you're not even going to meet.
01:35:48.840 Yes and no. One thing about traveling a lot, you have big events or things like that, is you meet
01:35:54.480 people on trips? And that's different people throughout the organization. So I think there
01:35:59.060 are opportunities. I also set up meetings when people would have a grant that needed to be signed.
01:36:04.680 The business process was it would show up on my computer. So I changed the business process so I
01:36:09.160 got the group that could fit around the table in my office and we would talk about the grant.
01:36:13.640 So I could interact with more people that weren't my reports, which I really liked.
01:36:18.740 So I do think it is mostly through your reports, but I think there are ways that at a senior level
01:36:26.420 you can interact with people culture-wise.
01:36:29.020 Yeah. The word culture, it's very misunderstood. When you think about the culture that you wanted
01:36:35.060 to bring to the Gates Foundation, I'd like to understand what that was and how successful you
01:36:39.300 think you were able to be. And I say that because you were in an organization where you also had very
01:36:44.280 powerful other present people whose culture was also a part of the organization.
01:36:49.160 So for me, I define culture in a really specific way. That when you come to work,
01:36:56.340 you feel like the atmosphere, the surround sound brings out the best in you. And that you have some
01:37:03.480 ownership of tweaking it if it doesn't. So that's something that you feel like you can control.
01:37:09.120 Because if you're in thousands of people or hundreds, thousands, tens of thousands of people,
01:37:14.700 and you're the CEO, you're not going to do that. But that you set up that culture.
01:37:19.280 One of my favorite stories from Genentech was being at a product development meeting that my
01:37:27.160 successor as medical officer, Hal Barron, was running. And Art and I both attended just because
01:37:33.320 we loved it and we wanted to be there, but we weren't decision makers. We were just attendees.
01:37:37.180 Which is kind of odd. The person who's the decision maker is sitting in the presence
01:37:40.760 of the two most senior people in the company, leaving it to him to make the decision.
01:37:45.340 We're leaving it to him. Yeah. But in this case, there was someone who the discussion was about
01:37:49.900 her septum and how well the test to find who was hurt who positive performed. And if you got more
01:37:55.660 patients, you would get more commercial, but you would have patients who wouldn't benefit. And someone
01:38:00.980 who I won't name said, but if we have a test that does like this, we can get more money.
01:38:05.780 And as if in unison, Art and I both rose up from our chairs and said, we never do that. We don't do
01:38:13.120 that here. Done. Everyone kind of sat down and we weren't the decision makers. But see, that's
01:38:18.660 culture. If you wondered, it's right where the decisions are being made and everything else.
01:38:24.040 That for me is culture. The other one that because I'm in so many meetings and wasn't so many meetings
01:38:29.520 at Gates Foundation, I had a practice. I would sit, Bill would be there or Melinda would be there,
01:38:36.620 but often Bill and me there and you're presenting. And Bill's peppering you with questions, some of
01:38:41.940 them very tough, in a very tough way. I would look at you. You got this. I can't tell you how many
01:38:47.700 people, I actually didn't even know I did it, that I would nod. You were the coach. Smile, coach.
01:38:53.780 I would also stall. Hey, hold on a minute, Bill. I think he's just getting ready to answer that
01:38:58.640 question. You're talking over him right now. In a nice way, not confrontational. That for me is
01:39:04.220 culture. I want you to succeed. I want you to know I want you to succeed. It's the guy who runs the
01:39:10.200 foundation. It's the two people who are the chairs. So it's going to be scary. That's why I think that
01:39:15.840 bringing out the best in people and giving people agency to do that on their own means that if
01:39:22.980 somebody sees Art Levinson say, that's not the way we do it here, they'll go down the hall in a
01:39:28.540 different meeting and say, you know, I heard Art say, I think that's really powerful. That's really
01:39:33.140 powerful. So this brings us up to 2020. And were you at the foundation when COVID hit?
01:39:40.620 I had announced that I was leaving and literally packing the house as COVID hit. Actually a few
01:39:48.180 miles from us, the first case in Washington state nursing home.
01:39:52.240 Yeah. Interesting. Let's talk a little bit about COVID. So I've talked before about this idea of the
01:39:58.120 difference between science and advocacy, and I still haven't really wrapped my mind fully around it
01:40:03.820 other than kind of a sense of lost opportunity with COVID. What do I mean by that? Well, on the one
01:40:10.100 level, there was so many pretty incredible things that happened with respect to the speed with which
01:40:16.060 a vaccine could be developed that really made a difference in terms of mortality for a subset of
01:40:21.180 the population. But a lot of that's overshadowed today by the lingering doubts, the lingering suspicions,
01:40:28.940 the mistakes that were frankly made. And my fear is I'm not convinced we're better off today
01:40:36.220 in terms of preparedness for a pandemic than we were in 2019, which seems like an unimaginable
01:40:43.400 statement given what we've been through. Do you think I'm too pessimistic? How do you feel?
01:40:49.640 I do not think you're too pessimistic. I am absolutely horrified. Horrified. It's shocking to
01:40:56.280 me that the narrative is in the place it is today. And I'm honestly still processing how we got here
01:41:05.380 from there. It is a really bad place. And I think you're right. I think if it happened again today,
01:41:12.120 it would be the way it was with worst of COVID, but even worse. Because trust and the need to have
01:41:21.360 sides and winning and losing, I don't remember health and medicine being winning and losing and
01:41:29.200 sides as I've been in this business for 40 years. It's just weird. I don't get it.
01:41:35.680 Yep. I concur with all of that. And I do wonder what it will take to restore confidence. Look,
01:41:44.240 we could sit here and talk about mistakes. It might be that the medical community and the scientific
01:41:49.340 community need to be more vocal about acknowledging mistakes. And I do think an enormous mistake,
01:41:56.300 though it's understandable to me why it happened because so much was happening so fast. But I
01:42:01.340 believe deep down it was an enormous mistake to be the head of science, to be the head of advocacy.
01:42:06.740 I think having Dr. Fauci as being both of those hats was a cataclysmic error. And it's not about him.
01:42:14.380 No human can do that. A scientist has to be an impartial observer of fact who is happy to change
01:42:24.760 his or her mind in the presence of new information with no attachment to what has been said in the
01:42:30.840 past. An advocate has to be driving policy and action. And sometimes they have to settle for the
01:42:38.580 best you can do any port in a storm. When you put those two hats on the same people,
01:42:44.700 I worry that you lose all trust. I do wish the medical community could have an open and honest
01:42:49.700 discussion about that. I would say that not if, but when we will have another pandemic. There's
01:42:55.660 zero doubt in my mind. Bird flu is working hard on it right now.
01:42:58.720 We will absolutely have another pandemic. I hope it is decades from now, but we will.
01:43:03.120 I hope somebody will remember that lesson and say, we want our chief communicator of the state
01:43:10.220 of the science to be completely uninvolved in telling the public what to do, simply there to
01:43:17.900 report what we know today. Today, we think masks work. You know what? We just did a study and we
01:43:23.160 realize they don't work worth a lick. Today, we believe vaccines prevent transmission. We just did a
01:43:29.620 follow-up survey. They don't prevent transmission. It's okay. It's okay. I think that's a very
01:43:34.640 forgivable position. I think the public would welcome.
01:43:37.980 Look, I just told you about bone marrow transplants for breast cancer. If you tell people, look,
01:43:43.720 here's what we thought. We thought harder treatment was better for people. It's now proven that it's
01:43:48.480 not. Science changes. People know that, but you're right. I think that being honest and open when it
01:43:54.500 changes and how it changes matters a lot, it really does. I also think you didn't say, but I would add
01:44:01.540 to your recommendation, which I think is a really smart one, the pace of communication, the social
01:44:09.100 media and misinformation or just stuff gets out there really fast. And having something slow doesn't
01:44:19.060 keep up. I don't have a solution to that. I mean, the great example, which is a very good example,
01:44:24.540 and I don't know the solution is in May of 2020, if you suggested that this came out of the Wuhan lab,
01:44:34.900 I mean, you were kicked off social media, you were kicked off YouTube, you were in the doghouse.
01:44:40.800 That was misinformation. Well, I think almost any observer today would agree that that was actually
01:44:45.220 information. But where do you draw the line? I don't have an insight. This is so far above my
01:44:50.080 pay grade. Yeah. I don't think it's a matter of kicking people off because actually I think you
01:44:54.300 enhance that and you may be wrong, but being part of the dialogue, I'll give you an example that I've
01:45:00.520 been reading the last couple of weeks. Ivermectin for cancer. Actually, I'm glad you brought that up.
01:45:05.920 I wanted to have a discussion about this. Okay. Finish your point. And then I want to make a
01:45:10.600 broader point about oncology. So my point is a simple one. The nature abhors a vacuum. So if
01:45:16.580 you say I'm not going to kick off people, the lab is a good example, but I'm not going to remain
01:45:21.760 silent. Here's what I know about that thing, about the lab. Here's the facts, here's the publication.
01:45:28.460 You know, I think that the absence seeds that space to people. I feel like the anti-vax,
01:45:35.200 specifically things like autism, many people have seeded that space on social media because you are
01:45:41.760 kicked in the butt if you don't. So I do think you can't leave a vacuum.
01:45:46.360 Yeah. I think that's a great point. I'm glad you brought the ivermectin and cancer thing up.
01:45:50.480 So a couple of my patients, which is a statement, I'm going to acknowledge that my patients are educated
01:45:57.500 and affluent people for the most part. A couple of my patients have sent me clips of various people
01:46:03.580 claiming that ivermectin is curing people with stage four cancer. Now, because they're sending
01:46:09.560 these to me in text and I'm really, really busy, I'm responding in a rather glib way, which is
01:46:16.200 usually using phrases like, this is effing bullshit. But I usually follow it up a few minutes
01:46:22.840 later with a text that says, happy to discuss. And usually they say, no, Peter, I just needed to know
01:46:28.180 that this was nonsense. But I also agree that I don't think people should just be taking thing on
01:46:31.940 faith and I really want to be able to offer. So I think I made a note that actually I wanted to
01:46:35.520 discuss this exact example and hopefully we'll be able to clip this particular segment so people
01:46:39.720 understand why this is such a idiotic statement. To believe that ivermectin cures cancer and to
01:46:46.940 listen to the stories of multiple people with all sorts of different metastatic cancers that are
01:46:52.160 cured, you're almost explaining that cancer is a single disease. So explain why at face value,
01:46:59.880 the idea that anything could cure multiple forms of cancer is an impossibility.
01:47:07.100 It is an impossibility. There's no doubt about it. Every cancer has very specific biologies
01:47:14.640 that allow it to grow and spread and cause humans problems. And that's why you don't go to the cancer
01:47:22.500 doctor. You go for a prostate cancer, you go for a gastric cancer, you go because the biology of each
01:47:29.420 the cancers is different. And when you go even one step further, as you've alluded to, it's not just
01:47:35.540 that colon cancer and breast cancer are as different as kidney disease and heart disease. It's that breast
01:47:42.120 cancer with an estrogen receptor that lights up versus a HER2-neu receptor that lights up versus no
01:47:48.820 receptors that lights up, those pretty much have nothing in common other than the fact that they
01:47:54.640 originated from the mammary cell of a woman's breast.
01:47:57.340 Right. So we use anatomy to describe where the tumors are. But it is not irrational to use different
01:48:05.360 doses of medicines in combination with other doses. The thing that we went over is the preclinical phase
01:48:13.080 one, phase two, phase three is meant to give whatever cancer patient, whether let's in this case,
01:48:19.760 I think prostate cancer has been talked about a lot, all the information they deserve on both safety
01:48:26.120 and efficacy. Does it work? Does it shrink the tumor? Does it help them live longer? I haven't read
01:48:31.560 anything about ivermectin doing that in patients and what the side effects are and how it could harm
01:48:37.780 patients. So I think patients deserve that kind of information.
01:48:41.280 The other issue I have with this type of rhetoric is the next line that follows is,
01:48:47.940 the pharma companies all know this works. And the reason they're keeping it from you is so that
01:48:53.980 they can make more money giving ineffective drugs. Now, again, I'm going to offer my point of view on
01:49:00.680 this, but you being the veteran of some of the biggest pharma companies in the world, feel free
01:49:04.920 to correct me. I think pharma would be happy to have a drug like ivermectin that cured all cancer
01:49:11.180 because the first thing they would do is put a slightly different modification to it to make
01:49:17.860 it more efficacious, basically less side effects. And they would patent it and they would make all
01:49:24.380 the money in the world. They'd be all over this. If they're able to make a hundred thousand dollars
01:49:28.220 on a drug that extends your life by eight months, I promise you they will be making millions per drug
01:49:33.620 if it's curative. So again, such illogical arguments are put forth and it drives me sort of bananas.
01:49:41.180 But if we want to go back and say, how did we get here? I think when my friend Joe Rogan took
01:49:47.580 ivermectin for COVID, which when Joe asked me, what do I think? I said, Joe, I think it's a totally
01:49:52.920 safe drug. I'm pretty sure it has nothing to do with why you're feeling better today. I think you're
01:49:58.080 feeling better today because you have an amazing immune system. You're an insanely healthy human
01:50:02.200 being. You did 10 other things, two of which might've worked. I'm pretty sure the ivermectin
01:50:07.400 had nothing to do with it. That said, the medical community didn't say that to him. What they said
01:50:11.780 is you're taking horse dewormer, you idiot. Well, that was a strategic error. That's an awful way to
01:50:17.160 talk to somebody. And ivermectin might be a horse dewormer. It also happens to be, and I look this up,
01:50:23.700 Sue, there is no drug on planet earth that has been taken by more human beings than ivermectin.
01:50:28.140 And it might have the fewest side effects of any drug out there.
01:50:33.080 And look, there may be human conditions for which ivermectin helps.
01:50:36.700 Works beyond, yeah, exactly.
01:50:38.500 Beyond what we know. And I think that's an opportunity for somebody to study it. Good for
01:50:42.540 them.
01:50:43.100 But again, it's something about the elitist nature in which that was handled that has now created
01:50:50.300 this terminal effect of ivermectin is a cause celeb for, I mean, pretty soon someone's going to
01:50:56.760 say it cures Alzheimer's disease, I'm sure. Well, I think it's a drug that's an anti-smarty
01:51:01.700 pants drug. Yeah, that's a great way to put it. That's what it is. To me, that's heartbreaking
01:51:06.000 because the answer should have been, I talked about this with Joe very openly on his podcast.
01:51:10.160 I said, look, I've looked at all the RCTs of ivermectin and COVID. There's no signal,
01:51:15.940 except my memory could be off on this, but there's a little signal in this Brazilian trial,
01:51:20.140 but the methodology of that trial was horrible. So I have to believe this is not working. It's a
01:51:26.260 good try. All about trying. It was a great idea to take off-the-shelf drugs and see if they worked.
01:51:32.600 Nothing wrong with that. We've done that for other things.
01:51:34.460 When they don't, we have to move on. By demonizing it and by demonizing the people that
01:51:38.900 felt it might work, we find ourselves in a situation right now where it's very irrational.
01:51:44.220 One of the things that I've did over the last four years is participate in the President's
01:51:49.340 Council of Advisors on Science and Technology and co-chaired a report on the future of public
01:51:54.680 health. And we ended up thinking that we're focusing on the workforce. One of the remedies
01:52:01.940 for the issue you and I just talked about is having a broader set of people who we think of as the
01:52:09.140 public health workforce. And I think people who are interested in ivermectin, farmers, people who are
01:52:15.020 up close and personal to some of the things with this bird flu, there are a number of different
01:52:19.900 folks who would be really interesting to involve in public health efforts, and we typically don't.
01:52:26.180 And so I think that's one of the ways that we can go forward in public health is to think about
01:52:31.780 how do we define public health and what does it look like?
01:52:34.720 Yeah, I agree with that. Public health has really struggled in some ways. You've had these incredible
01:52:39.520 success stories and then some awful failures. On the surface, it's such a great thing. I think
01:52:46.000 that's why Make America Healthy Again resonates for people. People universally want to be healthy.
01:52:54.180 They want their families to be healthy. This is a universal thing. And how to capture that and make
01:53:00.860 that real, not ivory tower, but real for people who just want their families to have a chance of
01:53:06.960 being healthy. I think that's a real positive. Yeah. I want to talk a little bit about AI.
01:53:11.400 A lot of people might not realize you're on the board of OpenAI, and you're the only person in
01:53:17.440 medicine on that board. So talk to me a little bit about how that came about. I want to obviously talk
01:53:23.380 about the implications of that, what you're excited about, and what you're afraid of.
01:53:27.400 So I joined the OpenAI board almost a year ago now when they had had in November of 2023 what they
01:53:35.960 call the blip, which is CEO fired, board changed over. And I have been so impressed by the intellect,
01:53:48.400 the commitment, the sense of responsibility of folks at OpenAI. I hope this is maybe a little crazy,
01:53:57.600 but here's what I hope. If I had a top two things for AI, one is in some of the things we've been
01:54:04.140 talking about in product development. I mean, I love product development. I think it is the best
01:54:09.420 job on earth. You get to make new medicines for people who are sick. You go home and tell your mom
01:54:14.120 and dad that they're happy. So what if we could take the tool of AI and make easy the things we can
01:54:22.820 make easy? So you don't use AI to change a clinical trial. I still want to know, does your tumor shrink?
01:54:28.800 Do you feel better? Do you have side effects? But there's a lot of study reports. There's toxicology
01:54:34.700 reports. There are a lot of things that are labor and paperwork that are actually very important to
01:54:41.860 establishing the safety, especially, but also the efficacy of a drug. I think using AI more and more
01:54:48.620 on pieces of the clinical trials process so that if something takes time, it's because it's benefiting
01:54:56.020 a human, not because we just couldn't do it fast enough. So the clinical trials, I think, still has
01:55:01.840 some opportunities for that. Give me a time and money sense in terms of savings. This is a very
01:55:08.240 important question. If you said the entire clinical trials program for a drug is six years, let's just
01:55:14.080 make that up. IND to approval. IND to approval. Okay. I would want to cut it down by two years. And you
01:55:19.940 believe AI can do that right now, or we're on the path to that? I think we could be on a path to that.
01:55:24.140 Now, the challenge of it is going to be, if you say, this example I like to give because it makes
01:55:30.620 sense for people. If I'm changing five-year survival, if this is sort of a mature, established
01:55:36.240 thing, I got to wait five years. I can estimate things and I can work with FDA to make sure if
01:55:42.100 people can benefit. And you could argue with a regulatory change in the FDA, if we said greater
01:55:47.180 emphasis on safety to approval, greater emphasis on post-market surveillance for efficacy, we shift
01:55:54.600 this thing a little bit. Now you could say at three years, we're trending, you get a provisional
01:55:59.240 approval, and now we're going to follow you. There's an example, like Pax Levit, in my mind,
01:56:04.380 you could argue maybe should have been pulled. Maybe it wasn't as effective as it looked in the
01:56:08.360 trials. And that doesn't mean they were wrong to approve it because it was any port in a storm.
01:56:13.100 But after the fact, we could have been, oh, you know what? No harm, no foul. It was safe.
01:56:17.660 You can always do that.
01:56:18.640 And so maybe we do that for oncology.
01:56:20.680 I think that the other thing is, you and I both know, if you have 500 patients in a trial and you
01:56:26.760 look at safety, that's so limited. If you have a much more AI-driven, why don't we follow safety in
01:56:32.660 every patient on the dark?
01:56:33.760 Exactly. Ongoing.
01:56:34.960 Ongoing. So I think the opportunities in clinical trials are massive. The other thing I would love to see
01:56:41.080 is a change in the things that cause burnout of nurses and physicians and others in the hospital.
01:56:47.700 This is across the board, not just in clinical trials.
01:56:49.740 Not in clinical trials. This is healthcare.
01:56:51.620 Yeah.
01:56:52.100 Healthcare should have tools where it's easier to decrease the load, the burden on both caregivers
01:57:01.180 and families. I think that should be doable. It's not that hard.
01:57:05.280 I think that that is absolutely correct. On the nursing front, there's a huge demand, obviously.
01:57:12.520 How much of this do you think of absent robotics? So robots can really change the game. I'm not
01:57:18.260 close enough to that. Are you?
01:57:19.940 I'm not close enough to the robotics piece of it.
01:57:21.980 Yeah. So I don't know how long until a robot is doing what a nurse is doing. But when you think of
01:57:27.940 medical and chart reconciliation and things like that, is that where you think the greatest
01:57:32.860 opportunity is?
01:57:33.840 I think it is when you're trying to connect all the dots. That's the thing. What AI does so
01:57:39.580 brilliantly is it just takes a lot of data and it comes out with observations. And if there are ways
01:57:45.380 that that can assist at the bedside, that's a massive improvement, especially when people are
01:57:51.480 changing, even me, University of Washington to UCSF. It's so hard to change caregivers, to change
01:57:58.300 health systems. Those kinds of things can decrease workloads. But I also think it's the kinds of
01:58:05.000 things where clinical observations could be AI-driven.
01:58:09.860 So the Nobel Prize last year was awarded for protein folding, AI-driven analysis. Explain to people
01:58:16.420 why that is significant. How much do you think that particular achievement is going to advance
01:58:21.980 biotechnology and what remains ahead of it as far as even greater molecule selection?
01:58:27.740 These guys, what they did is they made possible, and we talked about preclinical. This is pre-preclinical.
01:58:35.900 This is how you even-
01:58:36.860 This is figuring out what you're going to do.
01:58:38.100 This is figuring out what you're going to do. If you can make figuring out what you're going to do
01:58:42.540 much, much faster, which they did, you're going to have the opportunity. The way I think of it is
01:58:48.800 you've got like a mountain of opportunity, but it's shown a light on just a limited number of
01:58:55.680 things where you can see the opportunity and take advantage of the opportunity. I think it's a start,
01:59:00.720 but I think it's great that they were recognized.
01:59:03.980 Do you think this is the most important thing from a promise perspective that AI has brought to medicine
01:59:08.600 since-
01:59:09.320 So far. Yeah, I do. So far.
01:59:11.340 And so what do you think would be the next mega unlock? Would it be on the data front?
01:59:16.420 Would it be a predictive model? How could we shorten a clinical trial by 60%?
01:59:23.680 Anything where AI can help us with outcome measures. I told you that my husband's an HIV doc.
01:59:31.340 When we were both at Bristol-Myers Squibb, I was doing two-by-two measurements of tumors on x-rays
01:59:37.180 for Taxol, and he was looking at viral load. Viral load allowed us to have 20 HIV drugs in like five years.
01:59:45.940 It was crazy how good it was. I want a viral load for everything.
01:59:50.900 You need a good biomarker.
01:59:52.520 We need a good biomarker for more things. And you were talking about all the different types of breast cancer.
01:59:59.020 So think about what you just talked about with breast cancer that you have ER positive, ER negative,
02:00:03.900 HER2 positive, triple negative. There's all these. What if actually there's 15?
02:00:08.800 Yeah. There undoubtedly are. We know there are.
02:00:11.800 There probably are. So then you're in 15 trials, but you only need 10 patients in each trial because it's so obvious
02:00:18.040 you have the perfect remedy for each of those patients. I always think of it as switches on, turn it off,
02:00:23.760 and you see clinical benefit. Anything we do that sets up like that, especially if we can not just measure switch on,
02:00:31.400 but switch off. That's why viral load is so powerful.
02:00:34.120 So what's your level of optimism or pessimism around liquid biopsies? And do you think that AI can help us with these?
02:00:43.340 I have been pretty negative based on the data. I just have not seen the data that suggests to me that we're helping.
02:00:51.960 And is this on the sensitivity front?
02:00:53.640 Yeah.
02:00:53.920 Yeah.
02:00:54.260 So can AI help us? Possibly. The problem is just really hard.
02:00:59.020 Yeah. I was about to say, do you think the problem is tumors don't shed enough DNA?
02:01:04.140 I think that appears to be the problem because if they did, I think it would work.
02:01:08.400 So that's the most important problem. The other problem is something that I think we all tend to
02:01:14.080 underestimate because I love the concept of prevention. And I think Make America Healthy Again
02:01:20.400 in part is we'll go to preventive therapy and stop all these. And I understand that in oncology,
02:01:25.640 we've often celebrated tiny successes, but you can't have big successes before you have tiny
02:01:30.420 successes. I don't think it's easy to do early detection. The only two things that are, well,
02:01:38.840 now three, colonoscopy works. For cervical cancer, a pap smear works. Even better, HPV vaccine is my ad.
02:01:47.460 And now you can do a spiral CT for lung cancer. I'm not even using one handful of fingers. And we've
02:01:53.100 been trying to do early detection as long as I've been an oncologist.
02:01:57.760 I agree with you, by the way. I would add to that PSA in the hands of someone who understands what
02:02:02.500 to do with it. So PSA by itself, pretty bad. PSA density, when you know prostate volume and PSA
02:02:08.620 velocity, when you have serial measurements, starts to become very predictive. So you take a man who has
02:02:13.780 not had a prostate biopsy and you stratify his PSA according to PSA density, the ability to predict if
02:02:20.980 he has a Gleason 3 plus 3 or 3 plus 4 or 4 plus 3 is really quite high. And at least you can then
02:02:26.700 stratify those patients more quickly into a PHI or a 4K and ultimately decide, do they need a
02:02:31.980 multi-parametric MRI? And you go down that path. So it's not turnkey. And I completely understand why
02:02:37.340 they've said, we're going to make no recommendation. I do take comfort in knowing. It's sad to me,
02:02:43.140 but I take comfort in knowing too many men are dying of prostate cancer. It should not be the
02:02:48.380 third leading cause of cancer death. And yet I understand that it's a big ask to get every
02:02:54.340 doctor fully up to speed on the algorithm. You know what you just said? That's something that
02:02:59.740 if someone wanted to start a company, they could simplify that and make something more turnkey
02:03:04.560 for patients and physicians. When you go through the four leading causes of cancer death,
02:03:08.600 two of them don't need to be on the list. Colon cancer and prostate cancer don't need to be on
02:03:13.440 the list. They shouldn't be on the list. Now lung, I think we can reduce it a lot,
02:03:16.720 but it's going to be awfully tough. It's tough. And breast is still really tough because it's not
02:03:20.160 Halsteadian. It doesn't have that straightforward progression from polyp to cancer. No, it's true.
02:03:26.420 That's the neat thing is you can just take out the polyp. That's always been the beauty of
02:03:29.860 colonoscopy. What is your level of optimism that we could ever... So instead of just talking about a
02:03:35.560 broad liquid biopsy, let's just talk about breast cancer, what do you think it would take? And do
02:03:40.920 you think it would be a protein? Do you think it would be DNA? Do you think it would be RNA? If you
02:03:44.520 had to guess what would be the earliest signature in the blood of different breast cancers, where
02:03:51.940 would you put your money? I think it'd be interesting to look at protein.
02:03:55.340 Think about how that would change breast cancer treatment. It would. It would be tremendous.
02:03:59.740 It's funny. I say the following deliberately not acknowledging your gender because I'm sure you hear all the
02:04:04.920 time. Sue, you are the most remarkable example of a woman in medicine. Gender aside, you are just a
02:04:10.640 remarkable inspiration, period, as a physician, as a business leader, as a public health official.
02:04:16.320 I have been a fan of yours for so long. When I walked into that room last year and saw you sitting
02:04:22.980 there, I was giddy. So thank you for humoring me and making the trip.
02:04:27.080 It was fun. I'm delighted to talk with you. I really enjoyed it.
02:04:30.680 Thank you for listening to this week's episode of The Drive. Head over to
02:04:35.780 peteratiamd.com forward slash show notes if you want to dig deeper into this episode. You can also
02:04:43.460 find me on YouTube, Instagram, and Twitter, all with the handle peteratiamd. You can also leave us
02:04:49.460 review on Apple Podcasts or whatever podcast player you use. This podcast is for general informational
02:04:56.020 purposes only and does not constitute the practice of medicine, nursing, or other professional
02:05:00.640 healthcare services, including the giving of medical advice. No doctor-patient relationship
02:05:05.540 is formed. The use of this information and the materials linked to this podcast is at the user's
02:05:11.720 own risk. The content on this podcast is not intended to be a substitute for professional medical
02:05:16.600 advice, diagnosis, or treatment. Users should not disregard or delay in obtaining medical advice
02:05:22.320 from any medical condition they have, and they should seek the assistance of their healthcare
02:05:26.840 professionals for any such conditions. Finally, I take all conflicts of interest very seriously.
02:05:32.840 For all of my disclosures and the companies I invest in or advise, please visit peteratiamd.com
02:05:39.300 forward slash about where I keep an up-to-date and active list of all disclosures.