#409 ‒ Inside modern drug development: the science, economics, and regulatory hurdles behind bringing new medicines to patients | Lloyd Klickstein, M.D., Ph.D.
00:00:00Hey, everyone. Welcome to The Drive Podcast. I'm your host, Peter Atiyah. This podcast,
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00:00:58peteratiamd.com forward slash subscribe. My guest this week is Dr. Lloyd Clickstein, a physician,
00:01:07scientist, rheumatologist, and drug developer who has spent more than two decades helping
00:01:11discover and develop new medicines. After beginning his career as a physician scientist at Harvard
00:01:16Medical School and the Brigham and Women's Hospital, Lloyd joined Novartis, where he helped
00:01:21pioneer translational medicine and led the company's new indication discovery unit,
00:01:26identifying entirely new disease and therapeutic opportunities. He later held leadership roles at
00:01:32several biotechnology companies, including Versantis Bio, where he led the development
00:01:37of BEMA before the company was acquired by Eli Lilly. Today, he serves as the CEO of Coslap
00:01:45Therapeutics. I wanted to have Lloyd on because very few people have had a front row seat to
00:01:50every stage of modern drug development, from identifying the unmet medical need, to the
00:01:55discovery of new therapeutic targets, to navigating clinical trials, regulatory approval, and even
00:02:01commercialization. While we use BEMA as a case study throughout this conversation, the real goal
00:02:07is to pull back the curtain on how new medicines are actually created, why the process takes so
00:02:13long and costs so much, and how scientists decide which areas are worth pursuing in the first place.
00:02:18In the episode, we talk about how new drugs are discovered, developed, and ultimately brought to patients, the science and economics behind choosing which diseases and therapeutic targets to pursue, the differences between small molecules, biologics, gene therapy, and other drug platforms, why drug development takes so long, costs billions of dollars, and so often fails.
00:02:40The story behind this one particular drug from its discovery at Novartis to its development as a therapy for muscle loss and obesity, what clinical trials, FDA approval, and patent protection actually involve, and how the next generation of obesity and muscle-preserving therapies may reshape the treatment of metabolic disease.
00:03:02So without further delay, please enjoy my conversation with Dr. Lloyd Klickstein.
00:03:10Lloyd, thanks so much for coming out to Austin. Great to see you again in person. It's been
00:03:16probably six, seven, maybe eight years since we were last in person.
00:15:26So the way this works is if you think about, at a very high level,
00:15:31Making a new drug that's used by many people takes longer, is more expensive, and takes as many people as building the biggest skyscraper in the world.
00:18:01It was the thyroid hormone for people who needed replacement therapy, and it was before we could make it synthetically.
00:18:08And the process by which that was made was kept secret.
00:18:12Now, it didn't stop other people from trying, but they had to copy exactly the composition of all the peptides as well as the impurities in the final preparation in order to be able to use the clinical and filing package that Armort used at the FDA to get FDA approval.
00:18:32Turned out that was technically really hard.
00:20:48So they would first patent composition of matter, wait 10 years, patent this step-in process, wait five years, and you just keep doing it, doing it,
00:20:57and you sort of effectively extend the patent life of the molecule and process.
00:21:01Exactly. And that can be abused, I think, personally.
00:22:15I think big companies are format agnostic because all the big drug companies are now doing small molecules and biologics and many gene therapies and even some now cell therapies, which are sort of the frontier of complex medical therapeutics.
00:22:33For example, if you're treating a childhood disease, then you need to make something that is oral and tastes good.
00:22:41All the parents out there are going to remember, um, you know, the, the grape and the cherry
00:22:46flavored Tylenol or Advil or grape Sceptra was, was a particular favorite of mine when I was
00:22:52given my kids drugs. Yeah. So that's one example. Uh, others are, there are inhaled drugs for
00:22:59specific lung conditions. And so some formats will, will make sense. And there's a medical
00:23:05rationale for that. So then how do you begin the screening process? How do you begin to identify
00:23:10molecules. And again, I think we should assume that our listeners who are otherwise well-informed
00:23:16won't know the details of what an IND is, what we use phase one, two, three, four, and what has to
00:23:22happen prior to the IND. Like, let's just start from the very beginning. Right. So with the
00:23:27preamble that this would be about a year-long course. Yeah. If we did this as a seminar at
00:23:33Harvard, this would take you a year. Yeah. But to cover it at a high level, starting from the idea
00:23:40and the medical indication. And it might be useful to think about one specific example. And
00:23:46we can, let's think about muscle weakness, which can be described as sarcopenia. And the definition
00:23:53of that is still evolving, frankly. I've gone to some of these specialty meetings, like the
00:23:59Cachexia Consensus Conference, and it's a topic of discussion every year. But I think one, we seem
00:24:06to be converging on the concept of decreased muscle mass with impaired muscle function
00:24:11as a good definition of sarcopenia, and whether the function is grip strength or gait speed
00:24:18or stair climb, or people use different ones.
00:24:22Okay, so we'll talk about that as a specific indication.
00:24:25So impaired muscle function with low muscle volume.
00:24:30Which to your point, by the way, nobody listening to this doesn't care about this.
00:34:40There is a Massachusetts Institute of Technology professor named Dina Khatabi who was using Wi-Fi type devices to measure people's movements in their homes.
00:34:55It could measure wherever you were and whatever you were doing.
00:35:00And so we thought that would be a great way to assess falls.
00:35:03But ultimately there, I don't remember the issue, but we ended up not being able to use it.
00:35:08So we had to stop our whole program from making drugs to prevent falls because we couldn't measure them.
00:35:15Now, let me play devil's advocate for a moment. Couldn't you have just said, we want everyone involved in a study to report if they fell because it's going to help us get better data for the study. And I mean, given that you're, you're going to capture all the reported falls and really all you're trying to do is capture the signal of unreported falls.
00:35:40But if you ask the people, say, look, we're not taking away your driver's license, you know, whatever it is that you're afraid of losing, we are just trying to report this as an AE or as an outcome.
00:35:50I mean, it seems to me you'd have a much higher chance of capturing it than any sort of device at this point.
00:35:57We were just worried about the data quality.0.91
00:36:00Because people, you know, remember, these are older adults who were frail.
00:36:05and we were worried about the, you know, recall bias and we were worried about whether they would
00:36:12have something to write it down with. And people generally weren't device savvy at the time. I
00:36:18think that might be better now. Anyway, we elected not to do it. I have to think there's some AI way
00:36:21to do it. Like there must be, I mean, were these accelerometers using any AI? This was a long time
00:36:27ago. This was 10 years ago or more. So there was no AI in those days. Well, some people would take
00:36:33issue with that. Not the way we see it today. Anyway, it was an interesting example of a lot
00:36:40of ideas are conceptualized and we have to be able to objectively measure things ideally
00:36:46in drug development. And we tried and we couldn't and we moved on. So this kind of brings us to
00:36:52sarcopenia and muscle mass and strength, which was the genesis of Bimagramab and active and
00:36:59receptor antagonists in general. Now, we knew at the time about myostatin. So Seijin Lee is sort of
00:37:08the father of myostatin. He discovered the biology. And in rodents, myostatin is, you know,
00:37:18kind of amazing. You can turn a mouse into an Arnold Schwarzenegger mouse by blocking myostatin.
00:37:25this was in the mid nineties, right? I think so. Yeah. Yeah. I mean, I remember this was when I was
00:37:30in medical school, I remember in 97 seeing the images of the mice, the chickens, the dogs,
00:37:39cows. I mean, we, we couldn't get enough of these myostatin knockout animals. We thought it was the
00:37:45greatest thing we'd ever seen as students. There were no people who had that though. No. So,
00:37:51So at the time, the people who led the discovery project, so this is the laboratory research, were Chris Liu and his team and David Glass and his team.
00:38:04And that's where the original code of Bimagramab was BYM338.
00:38:28So the broader question is what governs the size of your muscles?
00:38:34And we know it's nutrition and we know it's use.
00:38:39And then there are biochemical things that regulate it.
00:38:42And myostatin is an inhibitor of muscle growth.
00:38:46So if you inhibit the inhibitor or block myostatin, muscles get larger up to another point where there's something that regulates them, and we don't know what that is.
00:38:56And that's most of the inhibitory effect biochemically in animal species.
00:39:02In humans, it turns out that it's more complex.
00:39:05It's myostatin plus activins, mostly active in A.
00:39:09And this is the advantage of inhibiting myostatin and activin A together or blocking the receptor, which is what the Magrumab does.
00:39:22What was the evolutionary, I mean, I'm asking you as though you were there during the design phase, but what is your best guess for what the evolutionary reason was to limit muscle growth? Was it simply a nutrient management system, which was like, hey, we grew up in a nutrient sparse environment. We can't just have muscles demanding all of this protein.
00:39:41I would have to guess that based on everything else about people, there were times during our
00:39:47evolution when resources were very scarce and we had to conserve. But I don't know. Your guess is
00:39:53as good as well. But it is interesting because the other way that nature could have solved that
00:39:57problem was just to make it completely supply limited and just say, yeah. But anyway, okay,
00:40:04so we don't really have a great teleologic reason. That's kind of the way it works with
00:40:07adipose tissue. Yeah, yeah, exactly. That's right. So we don't have a great explanation for why,
00:40:14but regardless, in humans, myostatin plays a smaller role than it does in these less,
00:40:22presumably slightly less complex mammals. And what is the actual mechanism by which
00:40:27myostatin is inhibiting? Is it doing something in actin myosin filaments? What is it doing to
00:40:33prevent hypertrophy complicated but to summarize it briefly the receptors are part of this larger
00:40:40tgf beta super family of receptors and there's dozens of them there's type one type two type
00:40:46threes and they all signal via mostly a common pathway of called smads which was named by those
00:40:56whimsical drosophila geneticists it stands for similar to mothers against decapentaplegic
00:41:01which people don't need to know. And those are transcription factors, and they
00:41:08govern a whole lot of gene programs. Some of the more important ones are muscle. So muscle size
00:41:16is regulated by nutritional availability and then muscle protein synthesis versus muscle protein
00:41:25turnover. And the proteins that turn over muscle are MRF1 and MAFBOX or atrogen. And David Glass
00:41:36was one of the discoverers of this pathway, who I mentioned earlier. And myostatin signaling via
00:41:44the active in receptors suppresses the proteins that are involved in targeting muscle proteins
00:41:53for degradation. So before we leave myostatin to talk about BEMA, do you want to say anything
00:42:00about folistatin? And I don't even know if you're aware, but folistatin became a very popular
00:42:05recreational sort of gray market agent that was sold for research purposes only in quotes.
00:42:13And the marketing material suggested, look, if you take folistatin, folistatin inhibits myostatin,
00:42:20you're going to get really big muscles. And so people were pumping themselves full of folistatin.
00:42:25Actually, that's not really true. I think the folistatin was so expensive. They weren't doing
00:42:29that. They were doing some attempt at folistatin gene therapy. So do you want to just explain
00:42:35what folistatin is or why it may not be as holy grail as it was made out to be?
00:42:41So folistatin and then there's folistatin-like proteins are endogenous inhibitors of this
00:42:46pathway we've been talking about. And it does, if you do a gene therapy in rodents, result in larger
00:42:54muscles. But it's a small protein with a relatively short half-life. And I don't think dosing it
00:43:00systemically now and then would be successful. We did the math on this and you would need to
00:43:05give it several times a day. And given the price of folistatin, you'd be spending above, I don't
00:43:14You know, you'd be spending a million dollars a month on folistatin, but also it wasn't clear that
00:43:20it would do anything in an adult. In other words, it seemed that there might've been a critical
00:43:24window during which administration of folistatin or folistatin gene therapy would have an impact,
00:43:30but it had to be pretty young. It'd be during the development of the muscle more so than a mature
00:43:35phase of the muscle. I think it would work in adults if you could solve the half-life. And
00:43:41I know there are companies working on this with FC fusion proteins and other half-life
00:56:00Can you explain to folks the distinction there?
00:56:02Yeah, well, humanized is used to describe taking a mouse or other species antibody and replacing as much of it as you can with human sequences based on what we know about human antibody codon usage and amino acid preference and so forth.
01:03:06So for therapeutic antibodies, often it includes a primate simply because we want to have one of the two toxicology species in whom the antibody has the expected pharmacology.
01:03:22so we can look at sort of on-pathway and off-pathway toxicity of the therapeutic.
01:03:28So we typically use non-human primates for this.
01:03:32When you're at the mouse stage, Lloyd, how are you screening for tox besides the most obvious,
01:03:37right? Obviously, mortality or something catastrophic is obvious. But for non-apparent
01:03:43or non-mortality-based toxicity, what are you looking for? And is any toxicity at the mouse
01:03:48level disqualifying to go forward? Or are you evaluating it case by case and saying, look,
01:03:52okay, this ended up being pretty bad for the mice despite the efficacy. We don't think that's going
01:03:57to be an issue, or we think we got the dose wrong, or do you basically keep going back and perfecting
01:04:02it in the mice until you get the dose response right before you move up? Or do you just sometimes
01:04:08say, no, we're going to go to the primate or whatever other model we're going to look at
01:04:11and reassess tox as we get closer to our species of interest? Yeah. So with the caveat that I'm not
01:04:18a toxicologist, the fundamental principles are you use a weight of evidence approach
01:04:24based on all the data that accumulates. From a clinical perspective, we try to balance risk
01:04:32and benefit with new medicines in general. So if it turned out that bimagrimab had some,
01:04:38and bimagrimab has some tox that we'll get into, but if it were unsuitable for use in a big
01:04:44population that we then think about higher medical need patients.
01:04:49That's when you would go from maybe sarcopenia to Duchenne's, muscular dystrophy.
01:05:02But secondly, we want to know precisely what the toxicology is.
01:05:08And the two big things we look for are whether it's monitorable, whether it's reversible.
01:05:14So if we have irreversible cardiac toxicity with a therapeutic, that's usually the end, for example, or neurologic. If it's serious organ toxicity.
01:05:26But there's enough of a prodrome. So for example, if it's, well, you look at a drug like Lamisil, right? Something as supposedly benign as Lamisil. I mean, that can destroy your liver.
01:05:41but there you can stop the drug. So that's your point. It's moderatable and reversible
01:05:46if you stop it and you get a long enough warning. Because otherwise, if it would just
01:05:51automatically destroy a person's liver at a frequency of one in a hundred people using it,
01:05:57you can never justify it. So you're describing idiosyncratic liver toxicity,
01:06:01which is the most common reason drugs get pulled off the market still. And I personally have killed
01:06:09drug programs for that. And it's hard to, can't predict it preclinically. Yeah. Yeah. So, so let's
01:06:16get back. You get BEMA into the primates. Yes. And how does it, how does it perform?0.99
01:06:22Well, in order to do toxicology studies, you have to know how much to give them and how long it's
01:06:29going to last and what it's doing. So there are, there are preliminary studies in a small number
01:06:35of animals. And so we did those, but we did them long enough so that we could see the muscle
01:06:39hypertrophy of what were going to happen. And it did work, not as well as in the rodents,
01:06:45but it did work. So it gave us confidence that we could move ahead with the rest of the activities.
01:06:51Now, manufacturing enough antibodies for use in larger animals is time and expense. And so
01:06:59all of that was going on in parallel. And each of these decisions, so you're doing this all
01:07:04side of Novartis. Is there an, I see, is there an investment committee that basically revisits
01:07:10every time there is a new, you know, allocation of capital to move from one thing to the other,
01:07:16where everybody presents and how does that typically work in a large company?
01:07:19All big drug companies work kind of the same way in that there are, there are typically two or
01:07:24three or four, depending on the company, major checkpoints where all the data are assembled and,
01:07:30made into slide decks and presented and feedbacks obtained and programs, courses adjusted. And so
01:07:39that happens. And I think it's more frequent, but faster at small companies. But things are
01:07:46constantly being reevaluated and reassessed. Yeah. And what's interesting for folks listening
01:07:51to us is we're talking about this in the context of a large company that doesn't have to go out
01:07:56raise capital every time it does this. But the exact same idea that you just described,
01:08:01everything you just said could have been done by a startup, but now it would have a totally
01:08:05different look and feel in that, Hey, we're going to go raise some seed funding to go test this
01:08:10idea. Okay. Guess what? We were able to find the antibody. We're going to have to go raise another,
01:08:14you know, $20 million and boom, boom. And now they'd be at the stage where they'd be probably
01:08:19raising a series B or no, probably this would be a, still be an A I think as they go into the
01:08:25primate. Whatever you call it. But give folks a sense of how much you'd have to raise for this
01:08:31next stage, which is basically your pre-IND. So you have to manufacture toxicology and clinical
01:08:42material. You have to run the IND enabling studies, which is toxicology and some other things.
01:08:49and frankly, investors want value creation for their money and reasonably so. So I would think
01:09:00for Bimagramab, if this were in a small company, the value creation step would be showing muscle
01:09:07hypertrophy in the very first clinical study. So the funding that I would raise would be IND
01:09:13enabling plus phase one plus phase one plus a runway to raise the next round yeah and you would
01:09:20structure your phase one to demonstrate efficacy even though technically you only need to do talks
01:09:26yes you would have it long enough big enough not not talks but safety that's right intolerability
01:09:31yeah so okay and then just for using bema as an example how many dollars would that be from where
01:09:37we are now to give you that runway into 2a in today's dollars probably 20 million dollars0.99
01:10:09Big companies, though, their resources are stretched, too. It's kind of funny thinking about it, looking from the outside, but having been inside a big company, people are competing for a fixed amount of research dollars, the people within the company, and resources are allocated based on company strategy.
01:10:30and ironically sometimes there's more project capital available in a small company than in a
01:10:37big company because the company the small company's got one or two or three right they're taking fewer
01:10:41shots on gold all the money's going there yeah whereas there are hundreds in the big companies
01:10:46so and i've seen it both ways i've seen some big company projects get high profile high importance
01:10:54well-funded. So yeah, so we'll say $20 to $30 million maybe at this stage. And
01:11:04the Magromab at that point made it through rodent and non-rodent toxicology studies and
01:11:12what we call DMPK, which is distribution metabolism pharmacokinetics. It's
01:11:19knowing that when you give a participant or a patient, a subject, a medicine, does it get into
01:11:26their body? Does it go to where you want it to be? Does it do what you expect it to do?
01:11:32You have to know all that stuff before you go into patients for the first time. And we assess that
01:11:37in animals. You asked earlier, what do you actually do to measure the toxic effects of a medicine?
01:11:44and animals receive courses of therapy and we do blood tests just like we do in people.
01:11:51Sometimes we would do x-rays if it was warranted and then they get autopsied to look at all the
01:11:57organs and look for microscopic changes that you might not perceive clinically. And we know,
01:12:03we have to know all of that before we give people an experimental medicine for the first time.
01:12:08So any red flags whatsoever as you, or anything that is of concern, not necessarily a red flag, but anything that's, that's still an unknown as you're going into the phase one?
01:13:36I would say maybe 30% of them actually could get into humans.
01:13:41Okay. Yeah, more than I would have thought.
01:13:43Yeah. It's simply because there are no off-target adverse effects with antibodies in general.
01:13:50There are some specific counterexamples to that, but in general, an antibody is not like a small molecule that could have liver tox or some other tox that you can't predict for reasons that you don't understand.
01:14:03That's a great point. Yeah. So maybe I'll restate that so folks get it because the antibody is so specific by definition, it can't bind to many other things.
01:14:14And in fact, we screen to make sure it doesn't.
01:14:16Yeah. Yeah. Whereas the chemical can do lots of things off target. You know, I had on recently,
01:14:22we had a podcast talking about a CTEP inhibition and you know, the very first version of that drug
01:14:29lowered LDL cholesterol, but raised blood pressure. And that was a completely off target
01:14:35complication of the drug. Yeah. Exactly. So that doesn't generally happen with biologists.
01:14:40Got it. So that's why you have the higher throughput. Yeah. Okay. Let's skip. So you
01:14:45file the IND and you're now ready to start a phase one. So an IND is requesting regulatory
01:14:51permission to administer the drug to people. And you've already filed your patent at this point?
01:14:58Yes. Yeah. Where in that process did you file it? Patents typically get filed.
01:15:04Again, there's a... You want to do it as late as possible, but while still protecting.
01:15:09Exactly. So typically around the point where you have a group of candidates from which your final drug will be selected, that's typically when we would do it.
01:15:22Because you want the patent to last as long as possible, but once information about what you're doing is getting out, you want to have it protected.
01:15:30Okay. So from the time you file the IND with the FDA until... And you have to show them
01:15:39everything that we've talked about. Do you also have to, at the IND, show them that you can
01:15:44manufacture in GMP? Yes. So the manufacturing is a core element of the OMN application that you do
01:15:51for an IND. And this is US-specific nomenclature. IND stands for Investigational New Drug. In Europe,
01:16:00It's called a clinical trial application, CTA.
01:16:05There are other countries that have different nomenclature, and companies can do the first
01:16:10in human study anywhere in the world that's got a proper regulatory environment and suitable
01:16:16investigators and clinical sites with adequate quality and so forth.
01:16:22But maybe we'll be U.S.-centric for this discussion.
01:16:25Sure. Can you explain to folks what the hurdle is to GMP or good manufacturing processes and why
01:16:33it's so important? And again, I call this out to listeners because we live in an era now where
01:16:39these peptide therapeutics are very prevalent, these sort of gray market peptides. And there
01:16:45are people out there that think, hey, I'm buying retitrutide. Yeah, no, they're not.
01:16:49Yeah, exactly. Maybe use the GMP process as a way to explain why when you think you're buying retitrutide peptide for research purposes only, you are definitely not buying what Eli Lilly is going to eventually sell if they get FDA approval.
01:17:07Right. So GMP stands for Good Manufacturing Process, and it's basically a commitment by the manufacturer to use high-quality standards with extensive documentation to be able to prove what they've made so that everybody can have confidence that this is a good quality material
01:17:35and they know that what's on the label is what's in the bottle, basically.
01:17:38And that there's nothing in the bottle that's not on the label.
01:17:53It's that the material that's being purchased eventually commercially
01:17:58is the same material as what was tested clinically.
01:18:02and we can have confidence in it basically the factories are inspected and the factories that
01:18:08make it have and typically there are many manufacturers involved when you buy a with
01:18:14the exception of saying buying a bottle of terzapatide from eli lily but typically when
01:18:20you buy a drug from somebody the drug's substance the chemical is manufactured by one company
01:18:28And then it is formulated or put into a mixture that makes it predictably absorbed or administered, is done by another company, and then it's put into a package by a third company, and then it's distributed by a fourth company.
01:18:46So there's a lot of people involved. And this whole manufacturing infrastructure and pipeline is well-controlled and well-documented. And you can buy online peptides that may be the same as redditrutide. They might not. You have no way of knowing.
01:19:03Yeah. And in many ways, that's the premium you're paying when you're buying the drug from Novo Nordisk or Eli Lilly or Novartis or whatever. Part of the premium is it's very expensive to manufacture under GMP conditions. So it's a bit of a buyer beware when you decide not to.
01:19:21I think it's a big mistake to buy these peptides from fly-by-night manufacturers.
01:19:28Conceptually, it's no different than going in a drug user, going and buying some opioid from a street corner drug dealer.
01:19:47And plus, even if you were to have confidence that those peptides were what they're saying they were, the data to support what they do are almost non-existent.
01:19:59I've been reading in the popular literature about this one that's, I think it's called BP-197.
01:21:14And this depends on what we need to measure and what the expected safety and tolerability issues are in people.
01:21:23Again, we talk about toxicology in animal species.
01:21:27We talk about safety and tolerability in humans.
01:21:31And again, most antibodies, including Bimagramab, won't have safety and tolerability issues that are off the pathway that it's working on.
01:21:41and didn't really see any safety and any toxicology to speak of in the animals.
01:21:48The only thing that I was a little worried about that we saw was in the rats, they had cardiac hypertrophy.
01:21:58However, remember the animals had enormous change in their body size because of the muscle hypertrophy.
01:22:03And if you normalize the heart size to the body size, it was normal.
01:22:09So does that mean that you didn't know if the cardiac hypertrophy was in response to more resistance that the heart had to work against, or whether the antibody was working directly on the cardiac myocytes and increasing hypertrophy there as it was in the skeletal muscle or both?
01:22:28Exactly. We didn't know. But we could make an argument that rats of the size that they became-
01:22:39And that was the argument we made to regulators, and so we didn't think there was any specific cardiac toxicity.
01:22:45And typically in toxicology studies, you have something we call a recovery period, where the drug is withdrawn and some of the animals are followed to look and see whether any toxic effects that did occur are reversible.
01:22:59And in fact, when you stop giving the animals Vimagramab, the muscles got smaller and the heart got a little smaller.
01:23:07So the way you dose in the toxicology studies is you want the exposure, which means the amount of drug in the blood, to be ideally higher than what we ever expect to get in humans.
01:26:15And so I don't want the risk of something bad happening to one of my volunteers to be greater than that.
01:26:24And that's frankly how I explain it to him.
01:26:27So if I can have some confidence that that's true, we will test drugs in healthy volunteers.
01:26:33If we're worried about a toxicity or a risk, then we will go into people who have a potential benefit from the therapy so you can make a risk-benefit argument.
01:26:44And this is all laid out in plain English in the consent forms.
01:26:48I mean, so first of all, that's a great framework, Lloyd, which is if the risk of adverse event is greater than 1 in 100,000, we must move to a population that is going to potentially get benefits to justify it.
01:37:30I think we did do the first in-human study in the U.S., yeah.
01:37:33Any reason for that? Are European and U.S. regulators so comparable on this point that
01:37:38it's really just a question of where your teams are? So every country is a little different.
01:37:44Europe is somewhat homogeneous, but not completely so. Every country is a little different.
01:37:50And I think it's true both for large companies and small companies that you go wherever makes
01:37:55the most sense. It's where you can, remember the three biggest challenges of any clinical study
01:38:02are recruitment, recruitment, and recruitment. So you have to be able to get the subjects or
01:38:07the patients or the participants. You need qualified, experienced, reliable clinical
01:38:13investigators. You need a regulatory environment that's supportive for what you're trying to do.
01:38:20And then you think about cost of the study. They're different in different countries.
01:38:24And so you integrate all of that stuff. And that chooses where, at least personally,
01:38:29where I would go to do a first in human study. Countries that are often used nowadays are
01:38:36Germany, Australia is pretty popular, New Zealand. Australia, New Zealand's very popular now.
01:38:43Things have really changed, I guess, maybe in the past year or two about China being really popular
01:38:48because China has a regulatory environment that's become more favorable and they can do
01:38:57investigator-initiated studies with less supporting data than we require for a typical
01:39:04IND. So it can often be a faster way to test something. And of course, China has a lot of
01:39:10patients. So that's something that's being done now too. I personally love doing studies in the
01:39:18U.S. and Taiwan. Taiwan has, they have wonderful investigators. They speak English better than we
01:39:25do. They have a very centralized clinical environment, so they have many patients at
01:39:29a limited number of clinical sites. The regulatory environment is very similar to the U.S.
01:39:37Australia and New Zealand is favorable because they have a, especially this is Australia now,
01:39:42they have a different regulatory construct where safety is assessed by the ethics committee and
01:39:49And drug quality is assessed by the regulators.
01:39:53So they have a clinical trial notification process rather than an approval process.
01:39:59And plus the exchange rate's favorable now, so too.
01:40:02So if we get back to what is the trial going to cost, that's useful.
01:40:06And how much reciprocity is there between agencies?
01:40:09So if you, well, I should clarify the question.
01:40:13You can conduct the trial in Australia, but under the auspices of the FDA where they're
01:40:18issuing, or does it have to be in the U.S. if the FDA is overseeing? If the FDA is overseeing,
01:40:23the study's done in the U.S. Okay. So if you do a study in Europe and get European approval,
01:40:28or you do a study in Australia and get Australian approval, how much of an additional hurdle is
01:40:34there for the FDA to typically approve a drug? So let's talk about running a study versus
01:40:41marketing approval. Very different. So for running a study, if you're doing it in, say, Australia,
01:40:46You apply to the Australian regulatory authorities and the ethics committee for the study, and they do the review and request modifications and eventually approve.
01:41:41I would think you could go right to a regulatory study. I mean, to a registration study. And in fact, this kind of thing is often done because typically you do the phase one study somewhere, but rarely in more than one, two, or three countries. And then you can use that data to go to many countries for a phase two and then use that data to go globally.
01:42:04There are a few specific examples where you do have to run a phase one study before you go into that country.
01:42:11Best examples, the best defined examples are Japan.0.95
01:42:16So to run a large study in Japan, you need to have run a phase one study in Japanese people.
01:42:23And there is a formal regulatory definition of who is Japanese from the Japanese regulators.
01:42:29and you have to provide that data before you can do a larger study in Japan.
01:42:35They're called ethnic sensitivity studies.
01:42:38And scientific rationale for this is that the genetic background of Japanese people
01:42:45Average body size is often different from people in the West
01:42:48and you want to make sure that the dosing and exposure will be safe and tolerable.
01:42:53But because the Japanese are so well organized and specific about what a Japanese person is, you can do these ethnic sensitivity studies in Hawaii, for example, or even California, or you can do them in Japan.
01:43:37You go into phase two now. By the way, at some point, doesn't Novartis sell this asset?
01:43:43Yes. So Novartis had strong confidence in Vimagramab. It was first in class, had really obvious biology in humans. And basically, Novartis ran maybe, I think, 16 phase two studies of one sort or another, or phase one, phase two study, different indications. Tried very hard.
01:44:11So the drug reliably and predictably increases muscle size, but not performance assessments in a major way.
01:44:24And I think that's because, remember in the rodents, in whom we saw both, size increase and performance increase, the mass increase was large, 20 to 30 percent or more.
01:46:47I'll tell you a funny story about that in just a minute. But just to finish that study,
01:46:51the other very cool thing we found is that as you would expect, if you have
01:46:54half the recommended daily amount of protein calorie nutrients, you lost muscle mass. But
01:47:01Bimagrimab prevented that. So there was some biology working there for sure. No question.
01:47:07No question. So the really interesting story is that when the Bimagrimab project, when it was
01:47:13still in the research stage, moved from Chris Liu's lab to David Glass's department, which I was part
01:47:21of as the clinical side of that, one of the things we really wanted to do was co-develop a nutritional
01:47:26component to this therapy for the exact reasons that you brought up. And at the time, Novartis
01:47:32had a nutrition arm. And so we were working with them to develop a specific nutritional supplement
01:47:41for what became Vimagramab. At the time, it didn't even have a code yet. But then Novartis
01:47:46sold their nutrition unit, I think to Nestle. And so got the rug pulled out from under us on that
01:47:52side. And we were never able to fully pursue that. But in retrospect, I really wish we had.
01:47:58Do you think this is a blind spot for big pharma? Just the role of nutrition and other behaviors
01:48:05that can potentiate drugs? Big pharma tries to control it, but they don't see that as their
01:48:12core mission. Yeah. But I'm saying a blind spot, I appreciate that they want to control it and that
01:48:17makes sense, but I'm saying it's an opportunity lost. Here's a great example. Bima could have
01:48:26been more of a hit if maybe, and maybe not, but a drug like that could have been a hit0.87
01:48:33had it been appreciated that, oh, by the way, you actually have to do something to reap the
01:48:38benefits of this. We would have figured this out many years sooner if we had kept that nutrition
01:48:43element. But again, one of the challenges of big companies is there's so many people involved. They
01:48:48don't all know what the others are doing despite everyone's best efforts. It was a missed
01:48:54opportunity. And so did Novartis then spin it out after the less than expected findings in humans?
01:49:02Yeah. So what happened was we saw muscle mass get larger, but not stronger. And parenthetically,
01:49:09that's the same as was seen with IGF-1 agonists and with androgen agonists. Remember, the SARMs0.82
01:49:15were extensively studied, is that you can make muscles larger, they don't get stronger in the
01:49:20absence of resistance training. So it's not unique to the active and receptor antagonist pathway.
01:49:26And in a meta-analysis of the Novartis studies, where they looked at muscle hypertrophy and
01:49:34sarcopenia, the meta-analysis showed an increased six-minute walk distance,
01:49:42nine meters, so a small effect. That's my least favorite test in the world.
01:49:49It's surprisingly hard to standardize. Why wouldn't they just do something like,
01:49:54you know, a wall sit or, you know, something that really tests strength?
01:50:00Many other things were done. The timed up and go test, the short physical performance batteries. But six-minute walk was included in multiple studies, so you were able to do a meta-analysis of that.
01:50:12got it so the an academic group did this and they published it and so the the four to i don't know
01:50:20eight percent increase in muscle mass that these older adults got yielded a nine minute in nine
01:50:27meter meter increased in six minute walk distance i'm not convinced that's going to help anybody not
01:50:33fall no i don't think it will either and and and novartis didn't think so either is i guess i don't
01:53:24Did you guys raise money for that acquisition?
01:53:25No, they did and did it all themselves, to their credit.
01:53:31And the plan was we were going to develop it in older adults with low muscle mass and impaired muscle function,
01:53:41because we thought, who were also obese, because we thought this was the patient population most likely to benefit,
01:53:47Losing fat and building muscle and maintaining muscle in the context of weight loss, we thought
01:53:55would be super important for those people. And remember, all of this happened in the context of
01:54:02nobody being interested in obesity. Everybody thought it was a wasteland for drug development.
01:54:07Every drug that had been developed in obesity had failed commercially. I mean, there are some that
01:54:12it had been registered, right? But by 21, you're saying pre-21? This was before NOVA's semaglutide
01:54:20data came out. Yeah. Okay. That's right. Yep. And I'll tell you- Because that was 21, wasn't it?
01:54:26Later in 21. Okay. So it's November of 21. Yeah. I think February 21, we started Versanus Bio,
01:54:32which is the company that licensed Bimagrimab from Novartis. So at that point,
01:54:38So I was the founding CEO. I was working with Elon Zipkin, and we went out to raise money from investors because now, all right, great, we had this asset. We needed to run a big phase two study, and we went out to raise money. I think we talked to 53 investors. Almost none were interested.
01:54:58Because you told them indication, sarcopenia still.
02:04:27I personally wanted waist circumference, and I wrote a long white paper about this because waist circumference is more closely linked to important clinical outcomes than is BMI or body.
02:04:42So body mass index is, if you're following longitudinally, is essentially the same as body weight because height doesn't change over the short term, just for listeners.
02:04:54So we ended up using body weight as the primary endpoint.
02:04:58And it wasn't just regulatory intransigence.
02:05:01It was also what do investors and potential acquirers think.
02:05:06Everybody cares about what the approval endpoint is going to be.
02:05:09We wanted that to be the primary endpoint.
02:05:12but we measured all these other things. And to sort of zip ahead to the end, in the high-dose
02:05:18combination group, the body weight loss at 72 weeks was 22, 23% of starting body weight.
02:09:26Yes. And so the real issue is what's going to happen when you withdraw the drugs?
02:09:31and we know what happens when you withdraw semaglutide. Everything goes back towards
02:09:37where it was. It doesn't quite get there. And we're going to find out with bimagrumab.
02:09:42I expect some things are going to reverse. We know that muscle mass with every muscle anabolic
02:09:49agent reverts towards baseline when you withdraw the therapy. I expect that's going to happen
02:09:53in the humans. It happens in the rodents. In BELIEVE, we deliberately included patients
02:09:59with metabolic syndrome. So these are people who are pre-diabetic. So we can measure diabetic
02:10:06endpoints in these people. And it's going to be super interesting to see what happens there.
02:10:11Personally, if we had kept Vimagrimab in Bersanus and had been a standalone entity,
02:10:17we would be well advanced into phase three by now. And the reason is because I believe,
02:10:23even with those LDL effects, which are not favorable, LDL predicts adverse cardiovascular
02:10:29endpoints. But I believe that- Because you can monitor it and you can treat it.
02:10:33Yes. As an aside, since my personal interest is making drugs to prevent the most common
02:10:43causes of morbidity and mortality in older adults, side effect of that is healthy longevity.
02:10:50That's what I do. I am not making cardiovascular drugs, even though it is the number one cause of
02:10:56morbidity and mortality in adults in the U.S. and in many developed countries around the world.
02:11:01The reason is we've already got a lot of good drugs. We're just not using them for primary
02:11:05prevention, which we need to be doing more of. So with that aside, I would be well advanced in
02:11:12developing Vimagrimab in phase three, but I think the paradigm for managing obesity is going to be
02:11:20induction and maintenance of remission, probably combination and injectable therapies,
02:11:26to get people to move them categorically from obese to non-obese. And then they need something
02:11:34for maintenance, which might be something like Orforglopron or some oral GLP-1 agonist to
02:11:40maintain appetite and satiety. And you don't think just a lower dose of the injectable could do?
02:11:46Absolutely, it could. Yeah. You're just saying economically,
02:11:48it might be easier to make it orally or something. Exactly. Yeah. Exactly.
02:11:51Okay. I want to pivot and talk about one other thing, which is also an area where you know a lot about it, which is selective mTOR inhibition. We're not going to spend as much time on it, of course, but again, talk to me about where your head is at these days on that pathway in general.
02:12:10Do you believe that there are, that this is geoprotective in humans? I mean, it's been well
02:12:18established how geoprotective this is in mice. Almost assuredly, I think it'll end up being
02:12:24geoprotective in dogs. So it might be safe to say that inhibiting mTOR in everything from yeast to
02:12:32dogs and maybe even primates extends life. We don't have a clue if it's going to in humans.
02:12:37we'll never probably get to directly test it. There are really good, compelling arguments on
02:12:43both sides of why it may or may not be the case in humans, including the longevity quotient
02:12:49argument and things like that. What are your thoughts? I think it probably will. It's highly
02:12:55conserved biology across evolution. So I think so. Reductively, if you envision mTORC1 as a master
02:13:05regulator of sensing, sort of integrating nutritional inputs and then deciding to grow
02:13:11or not grow. And not grow means circling the wagon, upregulating autophagy and recycling
02:13:17pathways. I think it probably would. I think the effect size is going to be modest.
02:13:23Is it just as it has been preclinically? And I think it's TORC1. I haven't seen a lot of new data
02:13:30on that. Well, there was that study somewhat recently suggesting that rapamycin impaired,
02:13:38I don't know if it was impairing MPS or some other metric of physical performance or something.
02:13:44Obviously, you're familiar with the agents you've tested. We're still at sort of the infancy of
02:13:52these drugs, right? What do you think is standing in the way of more drug development on more and
02:13:57more selective, potentially higher efficacy, but potentially lower side effect burden versions of
02:14:03drugs that can inhibit mTOR complex 1? The selectivity is the big challenge,
02:14:11because with rapalogs, as you know, their TORC 1 is selective, but there's a downregulation of
02:14:20TORQ2 with sustained exposure. And I don't know that we, you know, so in RestoreBio, we tried to
02:14:28manage that by a combination of a catalytic and an allosteric inhibitor, which seemed to do it.
02:14:34And I know there are other companies that are working on other ways to get TORQ1 selective
02:14:38inhibition. And I think that's what we need is a real TORQ1 selective inhibitor. And then we can
02:14:43test the biology. And do you think that just intermittent dosing of Everolimus or Sirolimus
02:14:49gets that? Maybe. Again, it's hard to tell in healthy people because, you know, in cancer,
02:14:58when you study mTOR inhibitors, the cancers have a highly upregulated pathway and it's easy to see
02:15:04the biology. You can't really see the active biology in humans measuring blood. It is not
02:15:09necessarily the tissue you want anyway. When we do this in rodents, we measure their liver activity.
02:15:14And I think we mentioned, you and I discussed this before, that in young rodents with fasting, they down-regulate mTOR, as you would expect.
02:20:43I guess the next thing that would be an interesting question, Lloyd, would be you take a bunch
02:20:50of patients who have successfully undergone adjuvant therapy for a stage three epithelial
02:20:57cancer. So I would think colon cancer or breast cancer. They're NED, no evidence of disease for
02:21:06the listener, but there's a 50% chance they're going to have a recurrence. You know, you stratify
02:21:13it in a way that you, you basically find people who have a very high risk of a cancer recurrence
02:21:17and then you, you treat them. I think that's one way to do the other study.
02:21:22What I've done in COSLAPE therapeutics is a collaboration with the Broad Institute where we took our tool compound.
02:21:31Now, we don't quite have a development candidate yet, but we took the tool compound, which is good enough, and run it through their panel of a thousand cancer cell lines to see what tumors are sensitive to it.
02:21:44So this would be a treatment mode rather than a prevention mode.
02:21:48And you think it could have efficacy in treatment as well?
02:21:54And melanomas emerged as by far the most sensitive tumor.
02:21:59Now, I'm not sure why, because my hypothesis, the thing about skin cancer is it's got a heavy mutational burden because of all the UV exposure.