#54 – Kevin Sayer, CEO of Dexcom: Continuous glucose monitors – impact of food, sleep, and stress on glucose, the unmatched power of CGM to drive behavioral change, and the exciting future of CGM
Episode Stats
Length
1 hour and 45 minutes
Words per Minute
196.0398
Summary
Kevin Sayre is the Executive Chairman of the Board of Directors at Dexcom and CEO of the G5, G4, and G6. During his tenure with Dexcom, Kevin was instrumental in leading the development of the company's new technology, including the G4 and G5. In this episode, Kevin talks about why we don't run ads on this podcast, and why we rely entirely on listener support.
Transcript
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Hey everyone, welcome to the Peter Atiyah drive. I'm your host, Peter Atiyah. The drive
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is a result of my hunger for optimizing performance, health, longevity, critical thinking, along
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with a few other obsessions along the way. I've spent the last several years working
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with some of the most successful top performing individuals in the world. And this podcast
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is my attempt to synthesize what I've learned along the way to help you live a higher quality,
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more fulfilling life. If you enjoy this podcast, you can find more information on today's episode
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and other topics at peteratiyahmd.com. Hey everybody, welcome to this week's episode
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of the drive. I'd like to take a couple of minutes to talk about why we don't run ads on this podcast
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and why instead we've chosen to rely entirely on listener support. If you're listening to this,
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you probably already know, but the two things I care most about professionally are how to live
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longer and how to live better. I have a complete fascination and obsession with this topic. I
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practice it professionally and I've seen firsthand how access to information is basically all people
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need to make better decisions and improve the quality of their lives. Curating and sharing this
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knowledge is not easy. And even before starting the podcast, that became clear to me. The sheer volume
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of material published in this space is overwhelming. I'm fortunate to have a great team that helps me
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continue learning and sharing this information with you. To take one example, our show notes are in a
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league of their own. In fact, we now have a full-time person that is dedicated to producing those
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and the feedback has mirrored this. So all of this raises a natural question. How will we continue
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to fund the work necessary to support this? As you probably know, the tried and true way to do this
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is to sell ads. But after a lot of contemplation, that model just doesn't feel right to me for a few
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reasons. Now, the first and most important of these is trust. I'm not sure how you could trust me if I'm
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telling you about something when you know I'm being paid by the company that makes it to tell you about
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it. Another reason selling ads doesn't feel right to me is because I just know myself. I have a really
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hard time advocating for something that I'm not absolutely nuts for. So if I don't feel that way
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about something, I don't know how I can talk about it enthusiastically. So instead of selling ads,
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I've chosen to do what a handful of others have proved can work over time. And that is to create
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a subscriber support model for my audience. This keeps my relationship with you both simple and
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honest. If you value what I'm doing, you can become a member and support us at whatever level
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works for you. In exchange, you'll get the benefits above and beyond what's available for free.
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It's that simple. It's my goal to ensure that no matter what level you choose to support us at,
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you will get back more than you give. So for example, members will receive full access to the
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exclusive show notes, including other things that we plan to build upon, such as the downloadable
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transcripts for each episode. These are useful beyond just the podcast, especially given the technical
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nature of many of our shows. Members also get exclusive access to listen to and participate
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in the regular ask me anything episodes. That means asking questions directly into the AMA portal
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and also getting to hear these podcasts when they come out. Lastly, and this is something I'm really
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excited about. I want my supporters to get the best deals possible on the products that I love.
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And as I said, we're not taking ad dollars from anyone, but instead, what I'd like to do is work
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with companies who make the products that I already love and would already talk about for free and have
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them pass savings on to you. Again, the podcast will remain free to all, but my hope is that many of
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you will find enough value in one, the podcast itself, and two, the additional content exclusive
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for members to support us at a level that makes sense for you. I want to thank you for taking a moment
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to listen to this. If you learn from and find value in the content I produce, please consider
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supporting us directly by signing up for a monthly subscription. My guest this week is Kevin Sayre.
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Kevin is the executive chairman of the board of directors and the president and CEO of Dexcom.
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During his tenure with Dexcom, he's been instrumental in leading the development of new technology,
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including the G5, G4, and of course now the G6. If you've followed me for some time,
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you probably know how much I love my Dexcom glucose monitor. I consider it to be one of the
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two most important devices that I wear, and I wear it pretty much all the time. I would say
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300 to 330 days a year I am wearing my CGM. It's offered me great insight, not just into the obvious
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things like how does eating food X impact my glucose, although I still continue to learn a lot
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through that lens, but also the impact of exercise, sleep, and stress on mitigating those things or
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amplifying those things. For example, one of the things I've noticed much more recently is the role
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that cortisol in the evening plays on my glucose. In this interview with Kevin, we talk about a bunch
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of things. We talk about how we met and his path to becoming the CEO of Dexcom. We talk about how the
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CGM technology works and what makes the G6 what I conceive to be is the best model yet. We talk about
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the challenges of working in the US healthcare system after getting CGM insured. We talk about
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developing an even smaller, more user-friendly, less costly product while maintaining performance
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and accuracy. Kevin does a really good job of explaining his framework on what are the
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constitutive elements that would drive a CGM device. You'll see where this performance and
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accuracy become important. We talk about what's the next thing on horizon for patients with type 1
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diabetes, the accuracy of the G6, software improvements for people with type 2 diabetes,
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and the remarkable benefits of real-time feedback that drive behavioral change for anybody using this.
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Talk a little bit about Dexcom versus the competitors. There's basically three large companies
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that do this, Dexcom being one, Abbott being the other through the acquisition of Libre, and Medtronic.
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And we talk about less invasive options that people have asked about a lot. Talk about the cost,
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why you need a prescription, when there might be an OTC, that's over-the-counter option.
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We talk about smartwatch integration, Bluetooth, exciting collaborations and partnerships,
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and future places for CGM, such as in the hospital. We talk about lessons learned through failures
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and successes. Before we get to this, I want to read a disclaimer that Kevin's team has asked me to
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read, and that's of course because he's the CEO of a publicly traded company. This presentation
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includes forward-looking statements. All forward-looking statements included in this presentation
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are made as of September 21st, 2018, that was the date of the interview, based on information
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currently available to Dexcom and are subject to various risks and uncertainties, and the actual
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results could differ. Dexcom undertakes no obligation to update such statements. With that said,
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and without further delay, please enjoy my conversation with Kevin Sayre.
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Kevin, how are you? I'm great. Thanks so much for making time. I don't often come into somebody's
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office, take them away from their work, and ask them to sit down and talk. You know, our discussions
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have been so interesting over time. I was thrilled when you asked me to do this. I can't imagine what
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journey will go on as we talk for the next while, but I'm really looking forward to it. So speaking of
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which, I think I've told the story a couple of times to some friends, how we met, but it's sort of
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funny to me because anyone who knows me knows I'm, when I'm on an airplane, I'm there to mostly just
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work, and I don't really talk to people. Occasionally, if somebody talks to me, I'll
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certainly be polite, but I'm really focused. And so, of course, it was about three years ago,
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you and I met on an airplane. The funny part to me is how it happened, which is I'm taking a little
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break from work to look at one of my 12 favorite watch sites, and you look over. Do you remember what
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you said? Oh, I do. I took my headphones off. I said, are you sure you want one of those?
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You know, and I'm the same as you, Peter. I get on a plane, and my wife claims I am the most
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unfriendly individual in the world because I sit down, I wait for that moment when I can open up
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my computer, I'm hooked to Wi-Fi, I start working, and I'm thrilled. Or I just take a break from life
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and watch something on the screen. So we hadn't said a word, and all of a sudden, you open up to watches,
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and I go, I've got to talk with this guy. We've got to look at these things and make sure he picks
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the right one. It was a very fun meeting, and then neither of us worked the rest of the flight.
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Yeah, but the best part is we talked about watches for an hour, and then we're about an hour outside
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of New York. And at some point, we literally hadn't talked about anything but watches, but I just sort
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of said, oh, are you heading home or heading to work? And you said, oh, you're going to work. And then
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it was like, what do you do? And then this is the part I don't think I told you. I had only heard
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about Dexcom two months earlier from a guy named Jake Kushner. I don't know if you know Jake, but
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Jake is a pediatric endocrinologist. Yeah. And so I was having dinner in Houston with Jake a couple
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months earlier, and he was showing me his data on his kids with type 1 diabetes that are walking
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around with hemoglobin A1Cs of 5.6. And he's saying to me, it's a game changer. We're done with
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telling kids with T1D that 7.5 is normal. The new normal is 5.6, and we're having no hypo
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events. And he goes, but we can't do it without this thing called CGM. And I was like, tell me
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more. And he said, so we use this thing. I think it was the G5 that they were using at the time. And
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I remember sort of thinking about it and going, God, that sounds so interesting. That's on my list
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of things I need to learn more about. And then I ask you what you do, and this is what you – they
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couldn't have made it up. No. And this is all we do here at Dexcom. And we do see remarkable
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results in type 1 diabetes with these kids and with everybody who uses the technology.
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Well, I've been wearing one now for almost three years. I think after that flight, you said, well,
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you got to come in one day and we'll shoot the breeze. And within like a week, I was wearing one,
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and I've never stopped. Well, and I also use you as a critique because if we give Peter technology,
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you're a very, very good critic and very objective versus our diabetes patients who,
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while they love the technology, it's life-saving for them. For you, you kind of look at it from
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a different perspective. And I use observations like that all the time when I talk to engineers.
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And as we design future products, I love different perspectives on things. And
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one of the things in our culture that is very unique, we are very curious as an executive team
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by nature. And curious is the word that I would use. We love to learn, explore. We all wear these
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things. We all wear the new ones. In fact, I'm supposed to get a prototype of a new one next week
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that's going to communicate with some other devices. It's really fun. And it does allow for
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learning. It keeps your mind going very quickly. We put Peter on our G6 technology right as it was
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approved. Yeah. Well, actually, I mean, I was on that G5X about a year ago, which was almost a G6 minus
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the calibration issue. That's right. So now let's go back a little bit. What were you doing
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before Dexcom? So if you go back in the history of my career, I started in diabetes in 1994. I met
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an individual named Al Mann, who's one of the most remarkable entrepreneurs ever. And he had designed
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the insulin pump that is now Medtronic Diabetes. And we had a glucose sensor there. That's where I saw
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the first one. And I worked in diabetes there as the finance person and very much a business person
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till we sold the company to Medtronic. I stayed on with Medtronic for a while. And we launched the
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first continuous glucose monitor at MiniMed and Medtronic back in those days. And then I decided
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I didn't love big company. So I left and I found a couple of other jobs that were interesting, but I
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didn't love them. My job right before this company was culturally fascinating. It was a Singapore
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headquartered Singapore public company, and I was head of the U.S. operation and the chief financial
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officer of the entire company. But we had operations in China, Japan, and all over Europe. At the same
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time, I joined the Dexcom board. My dear friend and associate from MiniMed, Terry Gregg, was the CEO
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here. And as we wrapped our other company down, as it became obvious we weren't going to be a U.S.
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presence, the opportunity came to move to San Diego and go to work at Dexcom. So I went home after our
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board meeting in December of 2010 and told my wife, I think we're leaving our dream house here in North
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L.A. We're going to go have another adventure. And we moved down here in June of 2011, and it's been
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just a tremendous ride ever since. Now, between the time you spent at Medtronic, where you were a
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finance guy, but obviously, as the listener is going to learn soon, you have pretty good technical chops
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on this stuff. But you were working on CGM then, and you probably just by osmosis absorbed a lot of
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it. But between what sounds like the mid to late 90s, and then your return here via Dexcom, were you
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still in a CGM space? Nope. My position right after Medtronic was with a specialty laboratory
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that ran esoteric lab tests and did that for a little while. And my company right before here,
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the Singapore-based company, was a drug-eluting stent business. And we had a proprietary drug
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formulation and a proprietary polymer that was bioabsorbable. So when the drug-eluting stent
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was expanded into the vessel, both the drug and the polymer would absorb for better safety rates.
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But getting a stent approved in the United States was too big of a deal for a company as small as
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ours. Well, especially when Abbott, Medtronic, J&J, and Boston Scientific, the four of them own the
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entire market. The law of four. Medical device companies, you see technologies, you start with
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a couple, they swell up to 10 or 11, and then you go back down to three or four.
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So this is amazing. I didn't even know this about you. So once we're done with this podcast,
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when we go grab coffee, we'll talk about my previous life where I had to know everything
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about drug-eluting stents. I spent two months interviewing 150 interventional cardiologists
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around the country when I was at McKinsey, trying to learn everything about this for our client,
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which was obviously, I can't say who, but it was one of those four. And it was at the reintroduction
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because remember there was a period of time when they had to go back to bare metal and then they
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had to reintroduce. So fascinating topic. So basically you came back to this company and
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what I assume you were bringing that was of most value was you understood medical devices,
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you understand durable medical goods, you understood the law of healthcare. It wasn't that
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No, I'd been on the board and I really will never be the world's CGM technical expert. These guys here
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are spectacular, but what I did bring, or at least I believe is very much that curious factor I talked
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about and a very open and aggressive mind to grow our business. This company has gone through tremendous
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change. I came in for a couple of reasons. A, Terry is exactly 10 years older than me and I was supposed
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to succeed him at Medtronic and that one didn't work out the way we wanted to. And when I joined the
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board, that was something we'd talked about early on. And I know, knew all these guys, I knew the
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technology very well. I knew how bright they were. And I just thought it would be a tremendous
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opportunity. Let's take another step back just for folks to give them a basic, because there's so many
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questions I get asked about this. In fact, I, I went out to Twitter a week ago and said, you know,
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I was going to be sitting down with you and hey folks, if you have questions, shoot them over. And I was
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really amazed at how many people ask questions. And there are a lot of questions that I could answer
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truthfully, but there are some that I can't. So I'm going to try to assimilate the question.
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So I think the first question that I get asked a lot is, how does this actually work? In other
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words, why is it that even if you don't look at CGM, if you just talk about point of care glucose,
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why is it that with one prick of blood, you can measure something like glucose, but you can't
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measure a number of other things? What is it about measuring glucose that enables that?
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Well, our technology is designed to measure glucose only. And the way our sensor works
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is there is a small wire that's thinner literally than a human hair or as thin as a human hair
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that's inserted subcutaneously into your tissue. That wire is, is very special metal alloys and it's
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coated with a number of membranes. That wire and those membranes then generate an electrochemical
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signal that goes up into a transmitter that sits on top of the sensor. You, you, you've worn it,
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you know what it looks like. And inside that transmitter is an algorithm that converts that
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electrochemical signal to a glucose value. So that is the only thing that we have done with
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this technology. There probably are other analytes we could take and develop enzymatic layers that
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would sense that type of chemistry. In fact, you and I have talked about some of the things that
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might be meaningful and useful over time, but we've grown so quickly. We just, we haven't addressed
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those. But I think the key is it's, it's an enzymatic reaction. And I think that's the point
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I try to make to folks is if there's an antibody that can be linked to it, if there's an enzymatic
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reaction that can be done without multiple washes, that's the kind of stuff you can measure in point
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of care. Whereas many things that are complex, you can't, you know, you can't measure, you know,
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the number of lipoproteins or something like that because that requires NMR. It's a very separate
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test. You can't even measure insulin. You're either going to do it through a radioimmune assay or
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you're going to do it through multiple washes, something called an ELISA-based assay where you
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have to rinse and repeat and stuff like that. So out of the gate, there are some things that can
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be measured in a drop of blood, which again is different from what you guys are doing. And,
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you know, glucose is one of them, electrolytes, lactate, beta-hydroxybutyrate, which you and I
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have talked about a lot. So, I mean, I guess let's go back and so how deep is that, that little
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filament that sits inside the patient? It goes in at a, at an angle. Now it sits in probably a half
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inch under the skin. The insertion technology of the sensor, it goes in with a needle and the needle
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comes out. There is so many engineering hours into the insertion of that sensor. And one of
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the first things you notice about the Gen 6 product, it's an automated insertion. The needle is in your
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skin, as the engineers tell me, less time than it takes a hummingbird to flap its wings a couple of
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times. So it's in and out very quickly. So a patient doesn't feel it. And then the sensor rests in
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the subcutaneous tissue. And you really don't feel that sensor at all.
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I think I've commented to you probably the very first time I tried this, which was on the prototype
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that with the G5, of course, you are the one as the patient who is responsible for the velocity
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with which that needle goes in. And if you're a human being, which we all are, I think we're just
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hardwired to do it a little slower than we'd like because it's so, you know, it's a little
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uncomfortable. Look, it wasn't the most uncomfortable thing in the world, but it's...
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It is not an appealing thing. You look at that, our old device, which was very functional,
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but you look at it and it truly looks like, I don't know if I want it. And we've had patients
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send emails saying, I've stared at this thing for six weeks and I don't dare put it in my body.
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We're not having that reaction with the new one.
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Yeah. And I had that reaction with a number of my patients because as you know, a lot of the
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patients in my practice, though they don't have type one or type two diabetes, like me,
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they understand the value of even people with, you know, quote unquote, normal glucose levels
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being able to track this. But occasionally folks would freak out and they'd say, you know,
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we'd go through the, all the process of getting them a three month supply and they, you know,
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they've already paid for it because of course their insurance isn't going to cover it. They don't
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have diabetes, but then that needle just sort of scares them away. Of course, the other thing that
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we speculate, or maybe it's not a speculation, maybe it's just a given is the lack of trauma
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that's involved with the G6 insertion seems to make for a much more accurate device, which the G5
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itself was remarkably accurate, but I don't know if it's anecdotal, but in my hands, at least the way
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I track it, the G6 seems to be so accurate. It's almost hard to believe. There's so many elements
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that go into the performance of a sensor. I believe the insertion process does make it more accurate,
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but that G6 sensor has new membrane technology versus the old one. There's also a new algorithm.
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In fact, one of the things that has made our company successful during this G6 project in
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the middle of it, our algorithm engineers came and they said, we have a better way to do this,
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but it's going to delay the project if we do it. We looked around the room and said,
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but if it's going to be that much better, let's delay it and put it in. And so we did. And we made
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that decision. That algorithm has helped tremendously with the accuracy. So all those
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things together, the easier insertion, the new membrane technology, the new algorithm. I think
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even the fact that it's flatter on the body and doesn't pull as much as is helpful as well.
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I think on three occasions over two plus years, my kids kicked out my G5, you know, just, and
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including once on the very first day I put it in, which really bummed me out when I picked up my son
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and he obviously just not playing around. He horsing and he kicked me and the thing came out.
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Whereas the G6, yeah, it's a lower form factor. And obviously this is only going to continue as the
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evolution of these things goes. So you talked about a couple of other things that could be measured
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besides glucose. Are there any that you think are commercially viable? There's lots that could be
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interesting, but do you think there's anything else that's commercially viable?
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We don't know yet, but we have so many markets to take our technology to now that we need to
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capitalize on this opportunity and take care of the people that we serve and open the other markets
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where glucose can just be a wonderful tool that we really haven't done that much of yet.
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So approximately how many patients in the United States have type one diabetes or what
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percentage of the population? How do you think about it?
00:21:59.540
About a million. Anything you read in the literature says anywhere from 1.3 to 2 million
00:22:05.760
in the United States. A common number is 1.5. And there are another 1.5 million people
00:22:12.000
with type 2 diabetes who intensively use insulin. So they are really in need of a continuous glucose
00:22:20.680
Now going back to those folks with type 1 diabetes, what percentage of them use one of the commercially
00:22:30.000
Most would estimate somewhere between 20% and 30% right now. And again, these percentages have
00:22:35.200
grown rapidly over the past couple of years as we've gotten better and as other products have
00:22:40.580
So you and your competitors, and I guess your main competitor is Abbott?
00:22:46.060
The three of you collectively aren't even remotely close to saturating the most obvious market
00:22:54.520
Again, hard to speak speculatively about what others think, but I assume everybody's also
00:22:59.280
looking at that second group you just mentioned, which is another market, which is the insulin
00:23:05.720
Yeah, in fact, when Medicare and CMS gave us approval in January of 2017, they approved
00:23:12.840
the use of CGM for intensive insulin using type 2 patients. And that was a step that we
00:23:18.560
really needed. One of the barriers, and it's not really a barrier, but it's very interesting
00:23:24.540
as you grow a business. And one of the fascinating things about our journey here, it makes such
00:23:30.300
common sense. Everybody thinks, well, everybody should just have this. And the insurance companies
00:23:35.660
were very well insured and very well covered, but it's not always easy to get. I was in
00:23:41.320
a state not too long ago, for example, where a patient had to document a certain number of
00:23:48.000
events where their blood sugars went below 50 before they can get a Dexcom, even if they
00:23:57.340
Very dangerous for anybody. Yes. And yet, because of fear for spending money on devices and
00:24:04.580
treatments that aren't useful, payers are hesitant sometimes. Not all of them. We get
00:24:10.300
very, very good coverage, but it is cyclical. You know, a payer will cover us very well for
00:24:16.240
a two-year period and they'll look and, man, we've added so many people to this technology.
00:24:20.180
What are we doing? Let's slow it down. So they'll slow it down through criteria.
00:24:24.240
We have a full-on sales team that does nothing but call on those who reimburse for the product and
00:24:31.920
we try and make it as easy as we can. There are trade-offs for price and access and we try and
00:24:38.200
negotiate those things on a regular basis. I believe over time, at least 80% of the people
00:24:44.120
with type 1, and I've said this in public forums, 80% of the type 1 intensive population should be
00:24:49.660
using continuous glucose monitoring. Has there been an economic analysis done
00:24:54.580
ideally independently, but it might be done obviously by one of the companies or more,
00:24:59.880
that does the equivalent of what we would think of as an NNT for a drug trial? So for the listener,
00:25:04.720
an NNT is a number needed to treat. This is an analysis that's not done economically. This is
00:25:10.060
more of a life-saving. So how many patients do you need to treat with a certain drug to save a life?
00:25:14.300
But you can also start to do these things economically. And is there a question of how
00:25:19.240
many patients need to be on a CGM before you either save a life through a hypoglycemic event
00:25:24.740
or maybe a different analysis would be the cost of the CGM versus the cost of the complications
00:25:31.500
from mismanagement? So has any of that been done? We have done some economic models and studies in
00:25:37.380
that area. What we find is the major cost that CGM prevents is exactly what you talked about in the
00:25:43.280
acute setting. They prevent hospitalizations. So you end up with a specific set of patients who are
00:25:49.740
what are often called hypoglycemia unaware, who aren't aware when their blood sugars go low. The
00:25:54.940
CGM gives them alerts and alarms. And our system also alerts and alarms others who give care to those
00:26:01.000
patients to whereby they can be taken care of. That share feature is really one of the most
00:26:06.960
remarkable things we've done here. You could be in Singapore and your wife could be here if
00:26:13.160
you had type 1 diabetes and your blood sugars went low. Your wife would know. And she could call the
00:26:18.080
hotel and wake you up. And we hear stories like that all the time. Does Medtronic's product or does
00:26:22.820
Abbott's product do that? I believe Medtronic's new product does. I believe they do have some sharing
00:26:27.820
capabilities. But I know we pioneered it. We're the ones who got it through the FDA. And it took a lot
00:26:33.880
of effort. So that sharing capability is really good for hypoglycemia unaware. That category, one
00:26:40.820
hospitalization, I've seen numbers ranging from $10,000 to $30,000 for that one hospitalization. But
00:26:47.540
not everybody's hospitalized. We certainly save on the long-term complications of diabetes. And that has
00:26:53.220
been measured historically. And you and I have talked about this with A1C, which neither of us believe is
00:26:58.960
the perfect measure. But in our studies, we see at least a half a point drop over the course of a 12-month
00:27:05.780
period compared to multiple finger sticks. A full point drop for the patients, if you just look at
00:27:10.800
them independently, on continuous glucose monitoring use for a six-month period that is sustained. That
00:27:16.980
drop in A1C leads to reduced costs in the healthcare system. And there are very, you know, well-known
00:27:23.320
economic models to build that out. But here's where the rubber meets the road. A 25-year-old
00:27:28.800
probably isn't generating all those complications yet. And a 25-year-old is with an insurance plan for
00:27:33.920
two years before they move to their next job. And they're on another insurance plan for two years.
00:27:39.940
So we have to do a better job as a company documenting these economic benefits. We run more studies
00:27:45.420
to see how, you know, how much quality of lives improve, to see what we can prevent. We are currently
00:27:53.220
building outcome-type based models to whereby we can, look, we can go into an insurance company or a
00:27:59.820
payer and say, look, here's what we think we can save you if we can put everybody on CGM. But we're
00:28:05.340
creating a new industry here. It's a completely new business. So every day is a challenge like that.
00:28:11.940
And every day there's more thoughts and more things to address along those lines. The Medicare one is the
00:28:18.140
most interesting. I spoke at a conference on a January Wednesday where I told a group of our
00:28:24.760
investors we would not have Medicare approval for 18 months. And we got it Thursday.
00:28:31.280
That makes you look not terribly well informed.
00:28:34.260
That is correct. And the way it was approved, our device talks to a phone or a dedicated Dexcom
00:28:40.620
receiver. The way it was approved for the Medicare patients is they couldn't use the phone app.
00:28:45.620
Yet our Medicare patients are the ones most likely, other than children, to need to share the data with
00:28:54.300
somebody else. It took us, I want to say, 18 months. We finally got the phone use approved for
00:29:01.220
the Medicare patients. When you're creating an industry like that, there are all sorts of hurdles
00:29:06.160
that you run into that you don't contemplate. You just kind of have to react.
00:29:11.340
I mean, I think that's one of the challenges that folks face in this industry in general,
00:29:15.060
which is the policy piece of it is hard because you don't exactly know from a long-term planning
00:29:21.580
standpoint exactly what changes are going to come about. The challenge that you raised,
00:29:25.980
I think is, I'm glad you brought it up because I think it's one of the most misunderstood issues
00:29:31.820
in the US healthcare system. I grew up in Canada and I'm actually not incredibly that impressed with
00:29:37.120
the Canadian healthcare system. I know that's going to make me a lot of enemies out there,
00:29:40.000
but I don't think it's like a panacea. I don't think necessarily Canada is doing it right either.
00:29:43.400
But there's one thing that I think a single-payer system, at least one thing a single-payer system
00:29:48.560
brings over a system that we have in the United States, which is the incentive is aligned between
00:29:54.580
the payer, the patient, the provider over a long-term. It's easier to align incentives because
00:30:01.600
one way or the other, that payer is going to pay. It's pay now or pay later.
00:30:07.620
Which by the way, we were talking about children before we went on the mic and you had great piece
00:30:13.080
of advice, which I'm going to ask of you to share with others. But my brother's advice, which is,
00:30:17.460
my brother has five kids. His piece of advice is pay now or pay later. Pay now or pay later.
00:30:23.080
You can either discipline your kid when they're five or you're going to discipline them when they're
00:30:26.240
older. But this thing with healthcare is if you have that 25-year-old and the difference between
00:30:32.820
them having a hemoglobin A1C of 8% versus 6%, in the next year, it's nothing. It doesn't matter.
00:30:42.400
And if you as the payer are on the hook for that one way or the other,
00:30:45.780
the economic model becomes so much more straightforward because you don't have the
00:30:52.780
Again, I'm not close enough to this to know if a single-payer system is even something that's
00:30:56.780
viable in the US. It strikes me as politically very unviable, but who knows? That said,
00:31:01.900
it's not what you're dealing with now. So you have a harder challenge to make the case
00:31:07.240
No, we do. But again, we're covered by 99, literally 99% of all reimbursement authorities
00:31:13.960
where our coverage is a little spotty still is in the Medicaid programs. We've got several states,
00:31:19.040
but it's still, there's a lot of documentation required. We're covered where it gets difficult
00:31:24.840
is the documentation the patients have to provide or the physicians have to provide
00:31:28.760
and consistency of co-pays and things of that nature. We're also classified as durable medical
00:31:33.840
equipment. So our patients have a co-pay and a deductible, which leads to a very seasonal
00:31:38.920
business for us because in the fourth quarter, most of our patients are maxed out on their
00:31:44.360
deductible and co-pays and they want to buy everything they possibly can.
00:31:48.460
It's like Christmas. So from October to the end of December here, it is all hands on deck.
00:31:52.980
That's interesting. What percentage of your patients, I'm guessing it's very small,
00:31:57.840
but do what me and my patients do, which is it's a cash pay business. There's no dealing
00:32:02.520
with insurance. It's directly from, you know, physician writes the prescription and the patient
00:32:07.620
Not very many. Again, like you do, we have cash pay patients and everybody in your system uses
00:32:13.100
prescription. It is important for the regulatory folks that I point that out. Not as many as we used
00:32:17.640
to. We used to have a lot of Medicare patients who paid cash.
00:32:20.840
But once Medicare covered, we actually had to refuse the Medicare cash patients
00:32:25.080
because if we took cash Medicare while Medicare covered a device, we were in trouble. And it took
00:32:30.700
them seven or eight months to figure out how we could ship and process this new product code. So we
00:32:37.060
had upset patients for, I don't know, somewhere between six and eight months before we could start
00:32:44.840
The people who don't live in the United States that are listening to this are scratching their heads
00:32:48.600
thinking, what is going on over there? It is a, we have a really complicated healthcare system.
00:32:55.420
But look, there are some things that I think it does well. And I think, you know, one of the things
00:32:58.520
it does well is it seems to set up an economic engine that allows for an innovation that I think
00:33:06.360
And I don't think it's a small accident that the disproportionate share of the innovations come
00:33:11.600
out of the U.S. So, you know, kind of going back to some of the technical stuff, you have a
00:33:17.620
partnership, you have a collaboration with Verily.
00:33:20.060
So tell people what is Verily, how does it have, what does that have to do with Google
00:33:22.940
and how did that collaboration come about and how does it work?
00:33:26.120
Well, the way it came about was interesting. Back in 2015, there was a healthcare group within
00:33:32.480
the walls of Google before Alphabet came around and they analyzed technologies where they felt
00:33:38.460
they could develop technology that would make an impact on future products. And they also analyzed
00:33:43.940
disease states where they felt they could use Google's or Google Healthcare's analytic
00:33:49.300
capabilities to develop better care models. Google has made a couple of attempts at healthcare and
00:33:55.620
they came down and met with us and said, look, we've looked at your product. We've looked at what
00:34:01.080
you do. We have a lot of electronics expertise. We have expertise in data analytics and a bunch of
00:34:06.260
other areas. We would like to partner with you. They also told us they were going to talk to other
00:34:10.460
glucose sensor companies as well. We looked at that and said, you know what, this Google is a big
00:34:17.500
company and they do a lot of things. And we looked at their concepts and their thoughts and they looked
00:34:25.300
at the problems different than we do. They look more at miniaturization and size and convenience
00:34:30.580
and the things that consumers look at. Because we as a company, again, serving our population of
00:34:36.920
people with type 1 diabetes, and anybody would tell you this, our core principle has been performance
00:34:42.200
and accuracy. Performance and accuracy, we always want to build the best. We were the first to be
00:34:47.420
connected. But as far as really getting the thing tiny or something that somebody without diabetes could
00:34:53.600
wear, that had not been a focus here that they could wear for fitness. So when they came down and
00:34:58.960
presented this to us, we decided that as an electronics and design partner that we would
00:35:04.780
like to work with them. So after several months of negotiations, we, not several months, a couple
00:35:10.460
of months, we signed up a deal and we're co-developing future products for Dexcom. Those products will be
00:35:16.140
Dexcom sensors. Those membranes and those algorithms that we've developed to make our sensor accurate
00:35:21.220
and perform very well will come from our core technology that we've always developed.
00:35:25.980
The electronic side and some of the communication and the Bluetooth and those other things have been
00:35:31.840
driven by the Verily engineers. That's where they have great areas of expertise. The overall package
00:35:37.700
and mechanical part of the system, we've done together. We've talked about this, Peter. We focus
00:35:42.740
on performance, patient convenience and usability, and then taking cost out of it. We kept all three of
00:35:50.760
Yeah, it seems to me, and I like your framework, right? So let me see if I remember what you said. It's
00:35:54.260
going to be performance, which is how accurate is this thing? End of the day, that's the single
00:35:58.480
most important thing. If it doesn't perform, who cares what else it does? Then the patient
00:36:02.680
experience. How big is it? How easy is it to use? How often do you have to change it? Do you have
00:36:06.580
to separate the sensor from the transmitter? You know, all those things.
00:36:12.720
It seems to me, having been fiddling around with this thing for a while, that the step between G5 and G6,
00:36:20.240
you're now on the asymptotic part of the performance curve. There's not a lot of performance
00:36:26.500
There is some performance to gain. Boy, we spend a lot of time studying this and talking about this.
00:36:32.620
As far as just bringing the overall accuracy percentage down, there's not a whole lot to gain.
00:36:37.580
Where there is to gain on the performance side is bringing that curve of performance. You have a
00:36:44.440
bell curve of performance for every sensor, pushing that bell curve in to whereby every experience is the
00:36:49.720
same. Most of them are the same now, and we believe it's very consistent. But that consistency and
00:36:55.160
reliability enables us to do two things. Number one, it enables us to do very sophisticated things
00:37:00.860
with people who want to control their insulin dosage with our sensor, whether through an
00:37:05.900
artificial pancreas system or on their own using our data. But the other thing it enables us to do,
00:37:11.220
if that performs the same all the time, it will enable us to go out to broader markets.
00:37:14.740
Because people won't question or challenge the data. They will see it and go, okay, this is right.
00:37:20.400
This one works. We call it internally eliminating the outliers. And I know every company does this
00:37:26.340
with what they build. And so performance-wise, that's where we're headed there. And those are
00:37:31.540
the things that we look at in our meetings all the time.
00:37:34.180
You know, I don't even know if I told you the story. It's kind of funny. About a year and a half
00:37:37.900
ago, a mutual friend. So it's a friend that I introduced to you, but I won't call him out.
00:37:41.540
I'll keep his identity private. He introduced me to Andy Conrad at Verily. But it was through
00:37:46.440
some completely unrelated, there was a different reason for us to meet. So I'm up there. And I didn't,
00:37:50.840
I, at the time, I just, I either didn't know that you guys had worked with Verily or I just
00:37:54.560
hadn't put two and two together. So I'm sitting in his office and I see these mock-ups of things
00:37:59.380
that look like next-gen CGMs. And I said, Andy, what are those? And he goes, oh yeah,
00:38:04.640
we work with this company called Dexcom. And of course I lifted up my shirt and showed him my,
00:38:08.700
it was at the time it was a G5. And oh my God. I mean, it was, I felt like Dorothy. This was like
00:38:14.500
Oz. I couldn't believe what the future could hold. So going back then from a technical standpoint,
00:38:21.060
because you alluded to what the future could hold, right now you are measuring glucose in
00:38:26.900
subcutaneous fluid. Correct? Yes, that's correct. Not in blood.
00:38:30.220
Not in blood. People need to understand that. So even a relatively lean individual has enough
00:38:34.480
subcutaneous tissue that the risk of using this thing, it's like, is it an issue in kids? Because
00:38:39.840
I've seen some really tiny little kids with type one diabetes. Sometimes it is. And parents learn how
00:38:44.920
to make sure they insert it and that the needle doesn't go into the muscle tissue. There will be an
00:38:50.820
occasional instance where a sensor may go too far in the tissue. And, uh, but by and large,
00:38:56.620
no, it's very successful. There's a meeting in Florida every year, a group called children with
00:39:01.560
diabetes. And look at all the kids who wear this. It's not an issue for children. They do extremely
00:39:07.320
well with it. You know, and I think I'm, I don't know if I ever told you the story, but I was at a
00:39:10.820
swim meet. It was my daughter's swim meet. I had just finished my swim workout at the same pool. So I'm in
00:39:15.360
my bathing suit, finishing my workout as the kids are about to start the meet. And this kid comes
00:39:21.480
over to me and his eyes light up like saucers. Cause he's, he sees that I have a sensor on and
00:39:26.100
he's got a sensor on and he is tiny. He is the littlest kid I've ever seen. And he was like,
00:39:32.400
do you have type one diabetes? And I said, no, why? And he, and he looked, I didn't even realize
00:39:37.840
that what he was looking at. And I said, uh, he said, cause you're wearing the same thing I'm
00:39:40.800
wearing. And I said, Oh, Hey little buddy, let me tell you, I volunteer to wear this thing.
00:39:44.900
That's how cool it is to wear. Oh, that's great. Yeah. He loved it. He loved that there was some
00:39:49.000
adult who was wearing this, who didn't quote unquote have to wear it. But I was like, yeah,
00:39:52.580
we're the coolest guys here. I assure you. One of the most humbling things about this job
00:39:57.860
is when I go out to a diabetes function and meet the children or the adult patients, whoever, who
00:40:05.740
has had this device save their life or change their life the way that it has. They want their
00:40:11.760
picture taken with me. I said, how about we just take care? No, we want you. Nobody wants,
00:40:16.840
needs their picture with me. No, they want to take a picture. They are so gracious. They are so,
00:40:24.240
I know that they're so indebted to our company and it's really why we come to work every day.
00:40:28.380
What keeps us going? We had my favorite meeting ever. An 11 year old young man comes in,
00:40:34.200
we sit down and people come to San Diego on vacation and they come to Dexcom.
00:40:40.440
So we got Legoland, SeaWorld, Dexcom. And parents will bring their kids in and if
00:40:46.380
whichever the executive team is here, we'll take them on a tour of the factory and then we'll sit
00:40:49.960
in a conference room with them because that is the best market research in the world to sit and
00:40:54.160
talk to somebody who uses this each and every day. This 11 year old young man said, I have some
00:40:59.520
questions. And I said, okay. Tougher than any analyst. He pulls like a legal pad out of his
00:41:05.280
notebook, out of his backpack and he has 40 questions. He wanted to know the chemical composition
00:41:11.160
of the membrane 11. And we just looked at him and go, no, we're not going to tell you all those
00:41:17.640
things. But he had thoughtfully written out all these questions and then had several suggestions for
00:41:23.980
us. It's just amazing. And your story, it happens all the time. Yeah. It's, it's really special. And
00:41:30.340
I, you know, I do have a friend with type one diabetes and she did say something to me that I've
00:41:34.520
thought a lot about since she said, you know, Peter, you have the luxury of, if you don't want
00:41:39.880
to wear that sensor for a couple of weeks, you don't have to wear that sensor. She goes, I don't
00:41:43.320
have that luxury. Like, and again, she wasn't saying that to be critical of how much I loved using it.
00:41:47.980
She was just saying like, understand that my relationship with this CGM is different from yours. This is my
00:41:53.740
lifeline. For you, this is just a gain in your health, but it's not necessary for you to,
00:41:59.800
for you to function. And I, I was sort of humbled by that a little bit. And I realized, you know,
00:42:03.980
I can understand why someone who's got type one diabetes has sort of a, a different relationship
00:42:09.300
with this on both extremes. On both extremes. It, it is love a lot of time. It's sometimes hate.
00:42:14.780
And the hate I think is the, I have to do this. I have, I have to have this thing on me.
00:42:19.040
I had two close friends in residency who had type one diabetes and this was back in the wild west. I
00:42:25.360
mean, it was, I couldn't believe how archaic it was and how hard it was for them to manage
00:42:30.200
their diabetes. Cause you know, in a surgical residency, it's very difficult to predict when
00:42:36.940
you're going to eat. Oh yeah. And therefore it's very difficult to predict when you're going to use
00:42:41.680
insulin and which insulin you're going to use. And I remember one of my friends who's now a cardiac
00:42:46.040
surgeon in Minnesota, there would be times when he always had to have a thing of orange juice
00:42:51.460
and candies in the OR next to his pager. And you know, he would hopefully get to the point where,
00:42:57.740
you know, he could say to a nurse while he's operating, Hey, I need some orange juice quickly.
00:43:02.040
And she would bring over the orange juice and tuck the straw behind the mask and let him
00:43:05.980
sip some orange juice or stick a candy in his mouth or something like that. If he was, you know,
00:43:10.280
this was an operation that was supposed to be done in three hours and now it's five hours,
00:43:13.260
that kind of thing. We take for granted in many ways, like what this disease meant before banting.
00:43:18.380
Oh, I don't know how people did it. Well, they did it. They managed and people have lived long,
00:43:25.300
healthy lives, but this tool is so much better than what we had before. And the things that can
00:43:31.140
come in the future, we made an acquisition a couple of weeks ago. The next thing on the horizon for type
00:43:37.120
one diabetes, let me take a step back is to develop algorithms to go with the sensor. Because right now
00:43:42.340
we tell you your glucose value, we tell you your trend, we tell you how fast you're going up or
00:43:46.900
going down. We will give you alerts and alarms based on what's going on, but we don't tell you
00:43:52.780
what to do. And algorithms have been developed for automated insulin delivery that will automatically
00:44:00.660
do things for you. One product that we're partnered with is Tandem's new insulin pump and
00:44:05.780
it shuts off when your glucose goes too low and then turns back on based on sensor signals.
00:44:11.180
And the early read on that product from consumers has been wonderful from patients. But these
00:44:16.500
algorithms are getting more and more sophisticated.
00:44:18.740
Explain for the listener where that product sits. How does it actually work?
00:44:22.540
So there's an insulin pump that is on your body. It's about the size of a good old fashioned
00:44:28.120
pager that you used to carry around in your hand. And there's an insulin cartridge inside.
00:44:32.900
That pump contains software that regulates the delivery of insulin through that insulin cartridge
00:44:39.620
to a small infusion set that is usually placed on your abdomen, a little Teflon cannula that goes
00:44:45.600
under your skin. And the sensor resides another place on your body. And the sensor signal is read by that
00:44:51.740
pump, which then takes all the information about insulin that it knows how much has been delivered,
00:44:58.260
your glucose value, and will determine, at least for this system, if your blood sugars go too low,
00:45:04.860
it turns off insulin delivery for some period of time and then turns it back on when it sees the
00:45:10.680
trend that you're coming back up. Algorithms over time will do more than that. They can regulate your
00:45:16.760
insulin delivery all throughout the day, whether you're high or you're low, and detect things like
00:45:22.620
meals. I mean, this is very futuristic, but there are algorithms that will detect, okay, it's very apparent
00:45:28.580
that Kevin just ate. Let's put some insulin in here and see how it goes. There are algorithms, again, to
00:45:34.440
take care of you more during the nighttime. Because during the nighttime while you sleep, you're not
00:45:39.920
eating and you're not exercising. So there's not as many variables involved. So we acquired one of these
00:45:45.980
algorithms two or three weeks ago just because it's an asset we felt we needed to have and develop.
00:45:52.800
Not everybody uses an insulin pump. Not everyone will have access to that technology. It's not
00:45:57.640
inexpensive either. We think a lot of people will, but we also think we can take these algorithms and
00:46:03.220
apply them to people who use multiple daily injections as well to develop decision support.
00:46:08.600
You know, I always tell the engineers, I want the Staples button. I want the easy button. I want to
00:46:14.740
take a shot and I want to hit something and say, how much insulin do I take? Or I want at 10 o'clock,
00:46:19.640
I want to hit a button that says I'm about to go to bed. What do you predict is going to happen?
00:46:23.960
Those types of things are an engineer's dream, which is, again, why it's so fun to work here.
00:46:30.240
We have chemical engineers, software engineers, electrical engineers, mechanical engineers,
00:46:34.360
packaging, any engineer you could think of. Well, the algorithm guys, and along with the wonderful
00:46:40.400
asset we acquired, are going to look at developing those type of decision support tools to help make
00:46:45.340
this easier for patients to make good decisions. Now, the question becomes, how much benefit does that
00:46:50.640
add to their care? If they only go from 8A1c to 7.8, it's probably not worth it and nobody's going
00:46:57.400
to pay for that. But we think we can build a very strong outcome case over time.
00:47:02.180
But even if you went from 8 to 8, but reduced bad outcomes, like hypos.
00:47:07.420
Yeah, and reduced hypos. Yeah. That oftentimes happens. Your A1c may stay the same, but your time
00:47:15.800
That's the thing I was impressed with Jake's data way back, even before you and I met, which was
00:47:20.680
they dropped hemoglobin A1c, I want to say like 2% on average, but they reduced the hypos too.
00:47:27.840
And that's the part that, like I remember in medical school, the standard teaching was,
00:47:32.080
you don't care about, the hypers are fine. Yes, you can go to hyper, but the thing that you have
00:47:36.640
to ward against is the hypo and you'll accept a higher A1c to do it. And I think the tide is changing.
00:47:41.620
I think people are understanding that because of how long a person is going to live with type
00:47:46.260
1 diabetes, the microvascular complications are real. And as you probably know, there are data
00:47:51.720
that actually suggest, and I saw this through Jake's work, that better glycemic control in kids
00:47:58.540
when they're young, these are not randomized. So there's an obvious confounder here, but it can
00:48:03.460
predict better intellectual performance in school and stuff like that. Now, again, the obvious
00:48:08.300
confounder there is maybe the kids that have better glycemic control have better glycemic control
00:48:12.980
because of some other variable that's impacting their performance later on, socioeconomic status
00:48:18.860
or the education of parents or the attention of parents. So there's lots of other things there.
00:48:23.020
I don't follow this literature closely, so it's possible that there's actually been a randomization
00:48:26.460
that would allow for determining that. But the other thing, we talk a lot about average blood glucose
00:48:31.960
and instantaneous blood glucose, but another variable that I find very informative is the
00:48:36.580
standard deviation. So every day, I look at my report. I always do the seven-day report. I want
00:48:42.300
to see the seven-day report every day, and that's showing me my average blood glucose for the last
00:48:46.340
seven days and my standard deviation. And then every month or so, I want to see my 90-day trailing report.
00:48:52.400
And you brought up hemoglobin A1c earlier. I'm one of those people for whom hemoglobin A1c is
00:48:57.640
categorically useless because I have beta thalassemia minor. So my red blood cells are very small. They stick
00:49:03.340
around for very long periods of time. My hemoglobin A1c on a blood test generally varies
00:49:07.980
between 5.6 and 6.0. Basically, I'm pre-diabetic on that test. But using CGM for the last few years
00:49:18.420
and calibrating it, because even the G6, I still calibrate every day just to-
00:49:24.220
By the way, that is a very elegant option. That's basically when I took my Libre and threw it out
00:49:28.880
the door. Because I used to use the two in parallel, and I just gave up on the Libre because
00:49:33.860
you couldn't force the calibration. And it was so inaccurate. And you couldn't get real time. I mean,
00:49:38.540
there was just too many problems with it to even discuss here. But using these forced calibrations,
00:49:44.700
I realized this thing's plus or minus 3%. There are many days, Kevin, when it is the exact same number.
00:49:53.100
And I think to myself, this can't be happening. The meter says I'm 88, and I poke my finger,
00:49:58.460
and it says I'm 88. And I'm like, how is that even possible?
00:50:02.680
Yeah. But I get a lot of unicorns. Today, before I came here, I did a calibration. And
00:50:08.280
I don't know, the device said 89, and I was 88 or something. I mean, it was staggering.
00:50:12.620
It's an interesting dynamic because you are very focused on accuracy. I would say the biggest
00:50:17.580
benefit of G6 to our users has been the accuracy without the calibrations. We had somebody in
00:50:23.580
yesterday who's been on our product for a very long time, one of our Dexcom warriors.
00:50:28.460
And I asked him how it was going, and he held his hands out to me, and he goes,
00:50:32.280
my fingers have not felt like this for 15 years. And that's how long I've had diabetes.
00:50:37.640
Well, that's another interesting point you bring up, which is when I do my fasts,
00:50:41.960
I'm calibrating twice a day. I'm checking ketones two or three times a day. Just 14 days of that kind
00:50:52.720
And they hurt like crazy. And that's another realization for me, which is think of all those
00:51:01.560
It sounds like, how big a deal is that? It's really painful. In fact, you start to lose sensation.
00:51:08.040
One day, I was upset about some clinical results I saw, because we were calibrating the sensor
00:51:16.140
with a meter, and it became apparent that the meter was off. So I got my car, I drove to the
00:51:21.920
drugstore, I bought three meters. And I stuck my finger 60 times in a day, 20 times with each of
00:51:28.400
the three meters. And I made my own little spreadsheet, recorded all the meters, recorded the CGM reading to
00:51:33.620
see what had happened. Because in the old days, when you had to calibrate this device twice a day,
00:51:39.500
a bad finger stick would set it off for a while. Now, we have since revised the algorithm to identify
00:51:45.480
a finger stick that we just think is inaccurate, and we'll wait a while and ask for another one if
00:51:50.460
somebody enters them. But it was very discouraging, because we'd submitted a clinical trial to the FDA
00:51:55.260
based on a meter from a large company that we were told was fabulous, and it turned out to be
00:51:59.260
high all the time. And that drives our accuracy level off.
00:52:04.620
Do you have a point of view about which of the commercially available drugstore meters do you
00:52:11.200
I wouldn't offer that. I have ideas. I think most of them are okay. I would tell you my experience
00:52:16.880
with meters is also about the consistency. So oftentimes, when I'm wearing our sensor and go
00:52:23.740
to check the accuracy, now, I don't enter the calibrations like you. I like to see what the
00:52:27.820
patient is experiencing. But I'll stick my finger twice in a row and get like, some meters, I'll get
00:52:32.820
a big difference. Others, I don't get very much.
00:52:39.180
Okay. So here's a little tip that I've learned, and maybe you've already heard this from patients,
00:52:42.760
but by washing your hands before you do it, then using the alcohol, you can get some false
00:52:49.300
elevations if you have any food on your hands. So if you have just a little, you know, again,
00:52:53.240
like a crumb on your hand can actually raise the glucose. So, and I remember my friend in
00:52:59.540
residency, I don't, again, I'm glad I'm not identifying because I don't want to call him
00:53:02.800
out. I mean, he wouldn't even wash his hands before he'd be poking his finger because he
00:53:08.460
Yeah, on the go. It's like, I don't have alcohol pads. I'm just going to poke my finger
00:53:11.540
and, you know, but you know, those little things do, I think, add up to a little bit of benefit.
00:53:15.440
For what it's worth, I guess I can say what I like the most. For glucose, I like the
00:53:18.840
One Touch Ultra. I've switched to that. I used to use an Abbott meter or a different meter by,
00:53:25.440
I think it was by Abbott. And I don't know, I found the One Touch Ultra to be pretty darn good.
00:53:29.460
And I've done the same sort of experience, the thing you've done where I've gone multiple sticks,
00:53:33.160
multiple fingers, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah. Going back to finish the A1C thing,
00:53:37.480
my 90-day trailing average glucose under these very tight conditions shows an imputed A1C of 4.5 to 5.1,
00:53:47.620
depending on how tight my nutrition is. So in other words, my hemoglobin A1C is a full percent
00:53:55.260
higher. And that's actually posed real difficulties for me when applying for life insurance because
00:54:00.240
they say, you're a pre-diabetic. And I say, I'm not a pre-diabetic. And they say, yeah,
00:54:05.180
but your hemoglobin A1C is 5.8 or whatever it is. And I've had many interesting discussions with
00:54:11.320
the actuaries as I explain the limitations of hemoglobin A1C. But if I could be health czar for
00:54:18.820
a day and wave a magic wand, I would love to have something that meets all of your criteria,
00:54:25.040
right? So it does the performance, it's got the patient, it costs very little. But I really think
00:54:29.460
that if everybody had a CGM on every minute of every day in some completely fantasy-based way where
00:54:35.220
it doesn't hurt, it doesn't cost anything, but they had that data. It just drives such a behavioral
00:54:41.000
change. And I think that that's why the use of CGM, even without a deliberate intervention,
00:54:47.820
superimposed, improves outcomes. Because it is really hard to not pay attention to how activities
00:54:56.800
in your life, mostly food, but not just food, stress. It's amazing what stress can do to your
00:55:01.920
glucose level. I think one of the first insights I remember coming and talking to your team about
00:55:06.020
a couple of years ago was how high nighttime cortisol levels were raising my glucose levels
00:55:12.300
at night. I'd go to bed with a glucose of 90 three hours after eating dinner, and I'd wake up with a
00:55:20.080
glucose of 105. And once I started measuring nighttime cortisol levels by collecting urine overnight,
00:55:27.840
I could sort of correlate this amount of cortisol produced at night to how much that glucose level
00:55:33.660
would rise in the morning. And today I'll tell patients that fasting glucose is not nearly as
00:55:40.240
helpful as people think it is inside of a reasonably physiologic range. So someone who has a fasting
00:55:44.320
glucose of 130, that's a different situation. There's something going on there. But I have patients
00:55:49.320
that get very upset if their fasting glucose is 100 instead of being 90. And I say, it's very difficult
00:55:55.500
to understand what's going on there. That can very easily be explained by cortisol or hepatic
00:56:00.700
glucose output for some other reason that's not a function of insulin resistance. So that's why I
00:56:06.100
just think that these tools are so valuable. And like even yesterday, I was on a late flight coming
00:56:10.260
back from, I was in Chicago, and I just hadn't eaten much. And my flight was delayed. That's the other
00:56:15.880
thing. So I went into like the little store near the gate, and they don't sell anything but crap.
00:56:20.180
I mean, that's basically. Absolutely. Yeah, yeah. And I've already, like there are certain
00:56:25.480
snacks that I love, and they're kind of my comfort food when my flights are delayed. Like I feel like
00:56:30.040
I deserve a treat because I'm stuck in the airport. And I bought one. I bought my treat. My treat is
00:56:39.020
Oh, trail mix. Trail mix will spike you as fast as anything you can eat.
00:56:42.120
Yep. So I get on the plane, and I buy the big trail mix because I don't do anything in moderation.
00:56:46.320
So it's got, you know, it's full of M&Ms and raisins and peanuts and little whatever.
00:56:51.680
And I get on the plane, and I'm looking at the bag, and I'm looking at my glucose,
00:56:57.120
and my glucose level's great. And I just decide I'm not eating it. So I didn't eat it.
00:57:03.280
But I promise you, if I didn't have that CGM, I would have eaten it. But I just didn't feel like
00:57:07.980
looking at that glucose of, because I know I've done it in the past. I eat that whole bag of trail mix,
00:57:14.840
Oh, then that shows what good shape you're in, because that'll get me up to 150 or 160.
00:57:20.000
It'll get me higher. The worst glucose experience I've ever had was in an airport.
00:57:26.720
And I had been with investors all day long, and I had not, my glucose hadn't spiked at all,
00:57:32.980
because when I sit in those meetings all day, I don't eat very much. And I'm in the airport,
00:57:36.940
and I'm in Boston. I say, you know what? I'm going to try something here. The yogurt covered
00:57:43.660
raisins in the little thing where you turn the wheel like the bubble gum machine, got myself a
00:57:50.200
cup of yogurt covered raisins. I think there's some chocolate raisins in it too, and ate the whole
00:57:55.660
little cup of them. And I'm telling you, that was my only ever above 200 glucose spike in my life,
00:58:02.600
and it only took 30 minutes. It just, right up as fast as possible. And it came down very quickly
00:58:10.180
Yeah, and then it overshoots. It probably came down to 60.
00:58:12.320
And then it overshot, and I was, yeah, overshot down in the low 70s, because I'd put so much
00:58:17.900
glucose into my body, that's how my pancreas reacted. But all of our bodies behave differently.
00:58:23.800
We've talked a lot about type 1 diabetes today, and one of our visions going forward is to get into
00:58:29.280
other conditions. And you're certainly a pioneer in this, and really one of our first. We've started
00:58:35.960
doing work in type 2 diabetes. So again, let's paint a picture. We've talked about kids with type 1,
00:58:41.860
adults with type 1 who have to deal with insulin their entire lives or they die.
00:58:45.960
And the device is a love-hate relationship because it always reminds them.
00:58:50.580
Now let's look at somebody with type 2 diabetes. They're my age, 60 years old, may have had type 2
00:58:56.740
diabetes for 5 years. All they do is they go to the doctor, they get some pills, they get a meter,
00:59:01.280
they go home, and nobody tells them what's going on. And they say, you need to eat less and exercise
00:59:05.120
more and take your pills. And after 5, 10 years of this, all of a sudden your A1C's at 11, and what do
00:59:13.200
you do? So we start adding more drugs. And you can turn on the television anytime you want to.
00:59:20.800
And you can see more type 2 diabetes drug advertisements probably than any other
00:59:24.540
pharmaceutical product. Because these drugs are expensive and there is a big population here to
00:59:30.560
be addressed. So we start prescribing other compounds, hoping the A1C will come down. And it might come
00:59:36.340
down a little bit. It might not. And if it doesn't come down enough, we prescribe another compound
00:59:41.680
and another compound and another compound. And some point in time, that patient gets the dreaded
00:59:47.520
information they've got to go on insulin. But type 2 diabetes, I'm not as near as scientific as you,
00:59:53.300
but it's almost not diabetes. It's almost a completely different disorder with all the
00:59:58.120
insulin resistance and all the other things that go on in your body.
01:00:02.240
Yeah. The biggest disservice that I think has been done to this field, this is hyperbolic. I mean,
01:00:06.940
there have been many disservices. It's the fact that we refer to them both as diabetes. Now,
01:00:11.500
I understand why historically that's the case, but you're absolutely right. Type 1 diabetes and type 2
01:00:15.680
diabetes are so different. And I try to be disciplined about always referring to them that way and not just
01:00:21.440
saying diabetes because it really does a disservice to them. What you point out is very important,
01:00:27.400
Kevin, which is that the real problem in type 2 diabetes is that we have fixated so much on
01:00:34.140
just the glucose and not worrying about how we get there. So when you use a class of drugs that
01:00:40.320
increases endogenous insulin production and or when you use more insulin, what you reduce is the
01:00:46.480
glucose and what you reduce are the microvascular complications. You do not save lives. They're
01:00:51.400
still getting cancer. They're still getting heart disease. They're still getting Alzheimer's disease
01:00:54.960
at a much higher rate. The challenge in type 2 diabetes is the combination of the hyperglycemia
01:01:01.740
with the hyperinsulinemia. So the therapies that save lives in type 2 diabetes would be things like
01:01:08.080
metformin, where you're actually fixing the glucose side of the equation and not just adding more
01:01:13.300
insulin to the system. The SGLT2 inhibitors, these are the things that are getting the glucose out of
01:01:18.040
the system, which actually brings me to a question based on something you said earlier.
01:01:23.000
Is there any way it is algorithmically possible to estimate, let's say, the average insulin that a
01:01:32.120
non-diabetic would make over the course of the day based on glucose if you had some data points? So if I
01:01:37.100
came to Kevin and said, look, let me go and get under test conditions, certain levels of glucose and
01:01:43.580
insulin that are associated, we develop a, you know, a kinetics model for it. And then by tracking my
01:01:51.080
continuous glucose data over time, could we ever try to estimate what my insulin levels are in between?
01:01:56.540
We have some studies that are very preliminary and I really can't talk too much about it, but we do
01:02:02.620
believe that it's possible to measure how quickly insulin reacts and how much by the slope of the
01:02:10.200
glucose curves, but not at our five-minute measurement intervals. So we're looking at other ways to record
01:02:16.420
data, to develop algorithms to do that, but it's very preliminary right now. I think over time, and
01:02:24.400
this gets back into another thing that Dexcom will do over time, we have an open architecture platform as
01:02:29.860
well. So we've developed APIs to whereby we will provide data to other software platforms if they
01:02:36.640
can analyze glucose values better than we can. One drop, there are a number of them. They haven't
01:02:42.540
produced a lot for us commercially, but we've made the decision that this is the type of company we
01:02:47.300
want to be because we just can't do everything. I think over time, that might be something that
01:02:53.480
we'll look at, but it also might be something somebody might be able to look at better than us.
01:02:57.660
Your raisins one, by the way, is so funny because I've had a number of those experiences. My similar
01:03:09.440
No, I had not eaten anything in about 18 hours.
01:03:14.780
I had grapes, and I was so pissed off. I was like, I thought the thing was broken. I was like ready to
01:03:20.800
rip it off my body. I was like, there is no way my glucose is this high after a... I haven't had a grape
01:03:25.760
since. That was about six months ago. And I was on an airplane about a month ago, and they had like
01:03:32.520
a snack tray, and it was like some cheese, a strawberry, and some grapes. And it had like
01:03:37.740
five grapes. And I was actually really hungry. I ate everything, but I didn't eat the five grapes.
01:03:42.160
Now, I'm sure the five grapes wouldn't have done anything, but I'm boycotting grapes. I am done
01:03:49.180
Well, I have not eaten many yogurt-covered rice since that episode in Boston either. So there you go.
01:03:56.860
CGM has the potential to change the way people eat more than any other technology I have
01:04:02.460
ever laid eyes on. I'm heavily biased. I mean, I've stated my bias many times.
01:04:12.220
I think it's very difficult to curb a person's behavior
01:04:15.180
when the feedback loop is so long. And the weight on the scale,
01:04:19.240
the blood test that you get at your doctor every six months, those things are valuable.
01:04:24.820
They help. But nothing trumps the 30 minutes after I eat the chocolate-covered raisins.
01:04:30.880
A, I see what it looks like. And now I can correlate that feeling of,
01:04:34.960
I feel like crap an hour later because my glucose has gone from 200 to 60.
01:04:40.520
That's a crappy feeling. That's not physiologically reasonable. And now people see why.
01:04:47.320
So over time, where this gets very interesting is that core technology platform I talked about
01:04:52.720
where we make products that perform well, that patients will use, and that cost less,
01:04:59.080
never goes away. But there's a software element to what we do that we can change dramatically
01:05:04.520
given the experience we want a patient to have or that a patient needs.
01:05:08.480
And again, I'll give you the perfect example. Our type 1 patients, the alerts and the alarms
01:05:13.500
at nighttime while they sleep are absolutely critical. But somebody with type 2 diabetes
01:05:19.200
who's taking these compounds, that may not be as critical for them. But what would be critical
01:05:25.300
is an analysis at the end of the day where we compliment somebody on,
01:05:30.720
gee, you kept your glucose within range extremely well. Our insights, as we look back,
01:05:36.100
what did you eat for dinner today? Or integrating the CGM data into a food database to whereby
01:05:42.340
you take pictures of what you eat over time. And when you go back, you look at that food and say,
01:05:47.920
wow, I ate those scrambled eggs this morning and my glucose values didn't go up. Maybe scrambled
01:05:53.160
eggs for breakfast is a good thing for me. And then you take a picture of pancakes.
01:05:56.380
And the next time you sit down to eat, if you take a picture of those pancakes, you get reminded,
01:06:00.900
you know, you had pancakes a month ago. And that may not have been the outcome that you're looking
01:06:06.100
for. And I think this is the kind of stuff Neutrino is working on. And I agree that that stuff is so
01:06:10.800
powerful. I feel like, you know, people assume I know a lot about food because of, you know,
01:06:15.320
sort of the work I've done and the things I've talked about and written about. And, but the reality of
01:06:19.100
it is, I'm still humbled by how much I don't know, because it's not just what you eat, but it's the
01:06:24.800
physiologic state you are in when you eat it. It's very different what happens if you eat a bowl of
01:06:29.800
pasta after you've exercised, you know, 30 minutes after a hard workout versus, you know, eating it
01:06:36.280
after having not exercised. It's a very different glycemic response. Stress, we've talked about this
01:06:41.340
and it can't be understated. How much higher my glucose levels are when my sleep is crappy.
01:06:45.900
Oh, or the correlation between high glucose levels and crappy sleep. Because if you go to
01:06:53.060
bed with very high glucose levels after eating a very high carb dinner, I've seen a direct
01:06:58.340
correlation between my sleep and my glucose values. Yeah. Personally. Anyway, I can't make this case
01:07:02.980
enough. Now we talked about, there are a couple other companies out there that are doing this. Is
01:07:06.380
there any publicly available information that compares the performance and fidelity of the Abbott
01:07:11.780
product or the Medtronic product to your current product? We all have accuracy tables in our user
01:07:17.840
guides, but they're biased towards the way that companies want to project themselves. We have
01:07:23.600
studies that we've published comparing ours to the other products. We maintain our performance all the
01:07:28.860
time. Yeah. It's not subtle in my hands. I mean, I've been pretty vocal about it. It's not a subtle
01:07:33.260
difference. And it isn't. We perform extremely well across all the range of glucose in the low and in
01:07:37.920
the high range. I won't speak as much to the other guys. Our patients know. Our patients know what a
01:07:43.900
Dexcom is versus the others. And we can live with that one. Do you think that you will be able to
01:07:49.000
maintain performance as the sensor gets smaller and smaller? So in other words, is there a day when
01:07:54.080
there's going to be a one millimeter sensor? So something that really doesn't even get into the
01:07:57.860
interstitium, but is still sort of in the dermis itself that can perform this well? Or is there
01:08:03.640
just a technical limit to being able to do this without accessing interstitial fluid?
01:08:08.200
For us today, we've only gone down to the interstitial fluid. We have looked at technologies
01:08:12.120
that would go down more shallow. We have within our R&D group, an advanced technology group who
01:08:18.140
looks at nothing but things like that. Our second Verily product, one of our goals is to have a
01:08:23.260
shorter sensor and to make it smaller. But there are complications of a shorter sensor.
01:08:28.440
What do the membrane layers look like? So you can get an extended wear on a 14-day sensor.
01:08:32.540
How's the electrochemical reaction on a longer life sensor if it's shorter versus the one that
01:08:39.260
we have now? So we go through a lot of trial and error as we look at these things to determine what
01:08:44.580
is the best combination of all of these features. I think we'll have a shorter one. Right now,
01:08:50.860
we're very comfortable with the interstitial fluid.
01:08:52.980
If the pain of insertion is effectively eliminated, which it is, once it's in there, I don't actually
01:08:58.820
know the difference between it being in me versus on the skin. And I've played with other sensors out
01:09:04.440
there that there are some that are as short as 400 microns.
01:09:07.460
There's some very short ones. And we evaluate those technologies. We look at them.
01:09:12.020
One of the beautiful things of being a public company and having resources is if we saw one
01:09:15.940
that we thought was remarkable, we'd talk to them and see if there's something we can do to further it
01:09:20.520
along. But right now, we're comfortable with what we're doing and what we have.
01:09:23.940
Now, another question I get asked a lot is why can't this be done optically? Why can't this be
01:09:29.700
done the way a pulse oximeter where you put it on your finger? So for someone listening to this who
01:09:34.860
doesn't know what that is, but if you've ever had surgery or anything like that, when you're
01:09:37.740
under anesthesia, there's a little device they usually put on your finger or on your earlobe
01:09:41.380
and using light, it's actually measuring or estimating the saturation of oxygen. And can't we
01:09:48.380
just do that to measure glucose? Are there limitations to this that are just too great?
01:09:52.680
It has been tried on numerous occasions to do that. Several technologies have tried non-invasive
01:09:58.840
sensors. In fact, the first glucose sensor that I saw somebody wear, other than one we developed at
01:10:04.620
MiniMed and Medtronic, was one called the GlucoWatch, which actually was a watch that sat on your wrist
01:10:10.020
and would take fluid out of your skin through reverse anephoresis and measure it that way.
01:10:17.640
It would leave a red mark on the outside of your arm and it was hard. We've seen a lot of
01:10:23.240
non-invasive glucose sensors and people call our sensor invasive because there's a needle and a
01:10:28.940
needle that goes in your body and comes out and a sensor that remains. So oftentimes people say,
01:10:33.880
we're going to develop something that is non-invasive. If it's two inches by three inches and sits on
01:10:39.540
the outside of your body and you can say, yeah, it was non-invasive. Well, how do you find invasive?
01:10:44.740
To me, invasive is does it invade your lifestyle and does it produce the result that you're looking
01:10:50.680
for? A lot of people have worked on that type of thing. They've worked on just measuring on the skin.
01:10:57.420
There's one company that has one that measures in your tears that you put inside your eye that I've
01:11:04.520
Not accurate enough and none of them have been to market yet, but only time will tell. People will
01:11:09.780
continue to look, but they're not solving the fundamental problem. I'll go back to those three
01:11:14.940
things we build our product around and I'll add a fourth. If it's accurate, if you solve the accuracy
01:11:20.600
problem, if you make it more convenient and solve the convenient problem, if you lower the cost,
01:11:26.500
and finally, if you can produce a healthcare outcome, you have something that's meaningful.
01:11:30.940
Well, not having the little wire in your skin while one can try and paint a horror story around that,
01:11:37.740
it's not really that invasive to your body. So anything that comes has to solve one of those
01:11:44.420
problems better than the technologies that are on the market. And if somebody can do that with an
01:11:50.680
infrared sensor, optical sensor, then we've had a wonderful technological step and we'll all figure
01:11:58.460
out where we move from there. We just haven't seen anything yet that's accurate enough, performs well
01:12:03.520
enough. Yeah. I suspect it's going to depend heavily on how much this stuff matters and meaning how much
01:12:10.000
accuracy matters. Obviously for me and for my patients, that's the highest priority. And what
01:12:15.460
you give up right now is cost. I think of the four metrics you just identified, the place where this is
01:12:21.180
by far the biggest barrier is the economic barrier. Is the economics. I would agree. So on that thread,
01:12:27.860
anyone listening to this who says, gosh, I got to have a CGM, they have to go get a prescription
01:12:31.100
from their doctor and very likely they're going to pay out of pocket for it. Unless they have
01:12:35.780
diabetes. If they have diabetes, they... Including type 2? Depends. A few payers cover type 2,
01:12:41.740
not many, but a few. Do you have the liberty of saying which payers? Do you know which payers cover
01:12:45.460
type 2? Not off the top of my head. Because it's going to depend by region as well. It's very regional.
01:12:50.720
And most of the type 2 patients are patients who use intensive insulin, such as the CMS Medicare
01:12:55.480
patients. And this gets into our payer negotiations. Sometimes we sit and we discuss,
01:13:02.240
we want to make this easier for everyone to get. We want to cover type 2s. We want to cover type 1s.
01:13:07.060
We want all these things. And they go back to their economic models and say, well, we can't do all
01:13:12.040
those things, but we can give you this and we can give you this for the type 1s. And it is very much
01:13:17.360
a business negotiation. And then based on your insurance plan, typically our patients pay 20% of the
01:13:23.360
cost. Standard copay for durable medical equipment. And depending upon the timing of the year, if you
01:13:29.040
buy it the first of the year and their copayments and their deductibles have not been met, it's more
01:13:33.200
expensive for them. And is the cash cost fixed across the country or is that regional?
01:13:37.080
We have cash prices here that are pretty much national.
01:13:41.280
I don't even... I'll be honest with you. I don't even know what they are.
01:13:43.500
I should know this. My office does all the buying. The sensors come in boxes of threes, right?
01:13:49.040
And we typically buy them nine at a time. So that's about a three-month supply because it's 10 days per
01:13:53.720
sensor. That's 90 days. You know what? I used to do the math on what are you paying per day. I'd
01:13:58.400
amortize the whole thing over a per-day cost. Does nine bucks a day sound about right?
01:14:04.280
That's about right as to what somebody pays on the outside.
01:14:06.820
Yeah. I think that's what we pay. Nine or 10 bucks a day.
01:14:09.940
Between nine and $11 a day. We say on our earnings calls, for example, our average price per sensor is X.
01:14:15.880
We used to be only seven-day sensors. So our average price is always between $70 and $75
01:14:20.980
that we have recognized in our revenue. Our 10-day sensor, we have different models as we've gotten
01:14:27.040
that reimbursed. That cost per day has to come down.
01:14:30.900
What do you think, or have you guys done an internal analysis that says, look, at this point,
01:14:36.600
this is a product where if we have 1% of the population has type 2 diabetes, you've obviously
01:14:42.140
built a very successful company where your customer base is 1% of the US population or
01:14:46.380
less. You've got a type 2 diabetes population that I think would benefit from this as much
01:14:51.040
as the type 1 population would, even though, as you've pointed out eloquently, different
01:14:55.380
diseases basically. So that takes you to 10% of the population. Then you've got the pre-diabetic
01:15:02.660
Exactly. But then you've got like sort of half the people are kind of, I hate the term wellness,
01:15:07.760
but these are people that we're trying to optimize health for and they don't have a disease,
01:15:12.000
but it's not just that we're trying to prevent them from getting diabetes, but we're trying
01:15:15.360
to figure out if you can actually, you know, make them live longer through better glycemic
01:15:19.380
control. What do you think, or what's your intuition about what does that need to cost
01:15:23.640
per day to make that group say, look, out of pocket, I'm going to pay for this. Because
01:15:27.620
there's no way an insurance company is going to pay for, you know, healthy people wearing
01:15:32.180
We drive those discussions all the time. It's interesting. I had a discussion with a payer once
01:15:37.560
and I said, look, we want this to go to everybody that uses insulin intensively. Tell me what
01:15:44.340
the price is. Just tell me what to make it. Give me a number. And the response I got was
01:15:51.360
how low would you go? So I don't know what a person would pay out of pocket because all
01:15:56.620
we do is speculate on these kinds of things. Is it $25 for a two-week sensor? Is it $50 for
01:16:01.540
a two-week sensor? A lot would depend upon the information and the things that you learn
01:16:06.000
from it. There's a whole regulatory process we'll have to go through to get a health and
01:16:10.700
wellness product. For example, our device is a prescription device now. We've been very
01:16:15.140
clear in our discussions. Your patients who use this in its non-diabetic state, they have
01:16:20.580
a prescription from you and you pay cash for that.
01:16:22.600
And we write them a new prescription every three months.
01:16:24.380
And they get it. To make this a non-prescription product, there's a lot of steps we'd have to
01:16:29.780
go through at the FDA. And one of the things that we look at with respect to our human factors
01:16:36.440
and our software design, if it weren't on prescription, what would that software experience
01:16:42.440
So let's explain for the listener why that's the case. So right now, everything we've talked
01:16:50.780
A physician writes a prescription. And I'm only just talking about the cash patient. So this
01:16:54.480
is not about insurance anymore. Physician writes prescription, patient gets it filled,
01:16:58.180
and their all-in cost is about nine bucks a day to wear this thing. And they are seeing
01:17:03.200
the exact same data using the exact same device with the exact same algorithms that a patient
01:17:10.920
Everything is the same. I am using everything that someone with type 1 diabetes is using.
01:17:15.220
So explain, Kevin, why if tomorrow a little elf jumped out of your desk and said, voila, we
01:17:22.260
can make this thing for a dollar and just say that the dollar was the price where like at a
01:17:27.640
dollar a day, you could penetrate this new market, that the FDA doesn't say, great, go ahead,
01:17:33.520
go start selling it. Like there's a fundamental issue. What is that issue?
01:17:36.640
We have to go through clinical trials, particularly if we're labeled for use for people with diabetes,
01:17:41.460
to demonstrate the accuracy and consistency of the product across all glucose ranges.
01:17:46.500
The FDA, in all candor, has been very progressive with Dexcom. I mean, we're the first company ever to
01:17:51.460
go directly to the phone. We're the first company to share data. We're the first company ever to have a
01:17:56.700
sensor perform at the accuracy levels that we have. Most every first with the FDA in our industry
01:18:02.200
has come through us partnering with them. Most recently, they created a new category for continuous
01:18:08.800
glucose monitoring, and this is in the intensive diabetes world, called ICGM versus CGM, where they set
01:18:14.520
accuracy standards, where their products have to demonstrate on a statistical basis they perform.
01:18:20.800
And you have to have a certain number of values in a study in the low range, in the high range,
01:18:26.360
in a certain number of points to statistically prove that that product is capable of doing the
01:18:31.520
things that we want it to do. In our intensive world, that's dosing insulin, either through a manual
01:18:37.400
calculation or thinking by a patient. But also with this ICGM category, which stands for interconnected,
01:18:44.140
we can connect to other devices. And they've made an easier path for other devices to connect to our
01:18:50.020
product. So for example, if you have an insulin pump and an algorithm, and would like to run that
01:18:55.520
algorithm of glucose sensor, your regulatory path with Dexcom is just to show you get the signal.
01:19:01.040
You don't have to do a study to show that Dexcom's accurate. We're done. It's interconnected.
01:19:06.480
And Tandem's recent approval is along those lines. But if you're displaying a glucose value,
01:19:11.720
and that is a real-time glucose value, and that is where we've been in our discussions with the FDA,
01:19:16.300
hey, that's a class two medical device. And as of today, that requires a prescription.
01:19:22.560
At some point in time, again, as we look to the future, and as you and I have talked,
01:19:27.460
I'd like a device we could sell over the counter, or we could sell through nutrition programs
01:19:31.900
that a patient couldn't use to dose insulin. But what would be the real-time feedback you'd give
01:19:37.580
So explain why that's necessary. That's what you just said is the important point,
01:19:42.060
which is if you want to sell this over the counter, the FDA is going to say it cannot be
01:19:50.680
For today. For today. And maybe that will change over time. But for now, those are the rules. And
01:19:57.720
And that's very important for, I think, people to understand, because that's one of the questions
01:20:00.800
I get asked the most, which is, why can't this thing just be over the counter now? I'm willing to
01:20:06.640
pay the full price. Why do I have to? Because not every patient has a physician who understands
01:20:11.920
the benefit of this. And I know, just from what I see on social media, a lot of people
01:20:15.800
go to their doctor and say, hey, you know, Dr. So-and-so, please write me the prescription.
01:20:20.680
And he or she says, what the hell for? Get out of here.
01:20:25.440
Yeah. And so now that patient who's actually says, look, I'm willing to make an enormous
01:20:29.280
investment in this because it's my health and I believe that this is going to matter.
01:20:32.540
Well, they can't do it. So what I'm hearing you say is, there's one regulatory path that
01:20:39.940
says, maybe down the road, the FDA says, you know what? This will no longer be something
01:20:44.960
that requires a prescription. If the patient's willing to pay for it, the patient can have
01:20:49.560
I can't speak for them, but they have been so progressive with us so far. What we would
01:20:54.940
literally have to present, again, is a case as to how somebody would never harm themselves.
01:20:59.180
And remember, there's a needle involved in inserting our product as well. There may be
01:21:03.540
standards and rules around needles, things like that. So I can't speculate how we get
01:21:08.420
there, but I think over time, that's something we would like to take on. But again, it would
01:21:14.040
not be a device used for diabetes treatment. It'd be a device used for other things. We'll
01:21:18.780
have to figure out what that looks like. We don't know yet.
01:21:21.340
And what you were alluding to a moment ago was the other option for making this OTC is not to
01:21:28.880
take the same device and just deal with the FDA changing a rule, but it's to create a device that
01:21:33.940
would fit into the current sort of regulatory environment, which says the device would basically
01:21:39.820
have to be dumbed down. You'd basically have to strip functionality out of the device, right?
01:21:44.460
Strip functionality and the user experience. Yeah. Not necessarily accuracy, not performance,
01:21:51.160
but strip down the information that's presented to the individual.
01:21:54.220
So the ways that that can be done is one, you could make it such that they don't get real-time
01:21:58.840
information. Because if you don't have real-time information, if you see the perfectly accurate
01:22:02.480
identical data a day later, it doesn't help you dose insulin. Another way is, as you said,
01:22:13.540
I know you don't. You and I both like to wear our regular watches. I do wear the Apple Watch
01:22:18.940
frequently just to see what the user experience is.
01:22:23.760
It's for training. You track how many times you stand up, how many steps you take a day.
01:22:28.740
They have some very simple measures. It's right there. It's pretty easy to see and very easy
01:22:34.140
This is a totally unrelated question. Does the Apple Watch have a little app or plugin that allows
01:22:38.580
you to put the face of really cool watches on it so that you... Like if you really want
01:22:42.980
to have a paddock, you could have like a little paddock Apple Watch. Because I mean, that would
01:22:47.300
be easy to do. You just need a picture of the paddock and you could have it like looking like
01:22:54.400
See, Peter, we start talking and it gets back to watches and other businesses we'd like to
01:22:58.260
go start and do. I don't know that that exists, but that would be fun.
01:23:01.680
Who... Why haven't... Apple, if you're listening to this...
01:23:04.600
Yeah, yeah. Someone's got to have developed a plugin that allows you to have any watch
01:23:11.700
But you could put the face of a million dollar watch on it if you want.
01:23:14.720
Well, and what we have found within our company and with our patient base, there's a very high
01:23:19.380
number of Apple Watch users because our device goes from the phone and then the phone,
01:23:25.220
Oh, so I didn't even... Because I don't use the thing, I've never noticed that.
01:23:27.440
Yeah, there is a watch app and then we are developing a direct-to-watch transmitter communication
01:23:32.580
protocol. What that would do for a patient, again, the new Apple Watches have cellular
01:23:37.300
capability as well, as will some of the Android Watches and some of the new Fitbit products.
01:23:42.800
But with that direct cell capability, that watch then can become a patient's receiver and the
01:23:48.740
data could still be shared. You wouldn't have to have it go to your phone. And again, we're
01:23:53.840
thinking about those criteria I talked to you about earlier. As far as convenience, it's a lot
01:23:58.420
easier for some of our people to pull their sleeve up and look at their glucose than to get their
01:24:03.240
phone out during an important meeting or to even take their phone to bed. They could wear their watch
01:24:09.680
Well, that's another new thing I like about the G6 a lot. We didn't talk about this. With the G5,
01:24:14.920
I had to keep my phone in my room to see all my nighttime data. The G6 seems to store the data
01:24:22.200
so that if I keep my phone in the office, it backloads my file.
01:24:26.880
There is some backloading if you do lose connectivity. The transmission range of our product,
01:24:33.720
I believe it's labeled for 20 feet. And if we've learned one thing about going to the phone,
01:24:39.040
Bluetooth is not an exact science. And I think we've all experienced that where some headphones
01:24:44.100
connect really well. Other headphones do not. Sometimes you get your car, it works.
01:24:49.060
Sometimes it doesn't. It is very hard to explain.
01:24:51.740
But is that why you went with Bluetooth as opposed to near-field communication?
01:24:55.020
We went with Bluetooth because we didn't want our patients to have to put the phone close to the
01:24:58.620
device. We wanted the continuous feed. I think there is a place for near-field. And it's quite
01:25:04.000
possible we'd have both chips in a future one. But for now, we're very BLE oriented. And it works
01:25:10.860
pretty well. Are there any, and again, I want to be sensitive to what you can and can't talk about
01:25:14.860
publicly. Are there any other partnerships or collaborations that you're able to speak about
01:25:18.680
that are maybe interesting to consumers, especially in this sort of non-diabetes, non-type 1, non-type
01:25:25.080
2 market for the people like me who are thinking about this for quote-unquote wellness?
01:25:30.500
Well, nothing real concrete. I will tell you that Apple has been a wonderful partner for us in
01:25:35.580
getting the device to the iPhone and getting our apps working on Apple Watch. In fact, at the
01:25:41.000
developer conference one year, we got a VIP invitation. Our head of R&D couldn't go, so I
01:25:46.260
went. And Peter and I are dressed differently. I'm a total business person, and Peter's Peter. And so I
01:25:52.580
show up at the Apple developer conference in my sport coat, in my shoes. And of course, the guys next
01:25:57.560
to me are in shorts, and they're way younger than me. And they're looking at me like, who's this?
01:26:02.100
Who's this? Nobody dresses like this here. And I'm sitting there feeling pretty uncomfortable. And
01:26:07.960
they came out and talked about Apple Watch. And lo and behold, Apple's got Dexcom Watch on the screen
01:26:13.720
up there. And I elbowed the kid next to me. I said, do you see that? He said, yeah. I said,
01:26:20.260
I run that company. I thought I was pretty special for the day. Our partnership with Verily includes
01:26:28.520
work with a company that they have called OnDuo that is developing treatment for type 2 diabetes
01:26:34.200
and developing apps that combine everything they've learned about diabetes with a lot of
01:26:39.720
Google technology. And they're in pilot phases with various payers on the type 2 side. We're
01:26:45.440
also doing a lot of work with UnitedHealthcare on type 2 diabetes. And I think in the future
01:26:51.320
with them, we're also going to develop some pre-diabetes models as we take this Gen 6 technology
01:26:56.880
out. You know, we've talked about going to the consumer. Peter, you wouldn't have taken
01:27:05.300
Yeah, I had a hard time getting patients to do the G5.
01:27:09.600
G6 is, it's not all the way there, but it's close. There are things we can do to make it
01:27:15.580
a little bit easier, like pairing the device with the transmitter and some of the other things
01:27:19.820
that have been inherent within our system. But it's close. As we get this thing closer to
01:27:26.160
consumers, I think you'll see us try more things, more and different things. A couple
01:27:31.360
of other applications where we'd love to take our continuous glucose monitoring technology
01:27:36.160
where it's not. I've had numerous physicians ping me on LinkedIn saying, why aren't you in
01:27:45.700
That's a good question. Why aren't you in the ICU of all places, right?
01:27:48.640
We tried many years ago. We had a joint venture with Edwards Life Sciences. And then the FDA was
01:27:54.300
extremely strict on accuracy and performance. And by the time we built what we built, it just,
01:28:00.860
it didn't work out. Our technology has come so far and we've learned so much through projects like
01:28:06.460
that in the past that we will make a run with G6 in that type of market to help patients. I mean,
01:28:13.080
think about it. You connect the Bluetooth to the nurse's station. I was in one medical center where
01:28:17.640
patients in the ICU are tested every 30 minutes. 48 finger sticks in a 24-hour period.
01:28:23.380
Not uncommon. Intensive insulin therapy, of course, has had its ups and downs resurgence in the
01:28:28.860
literature, in the critical care literature. But basically, there was a paper that came out in 2001
01:28:33.580
or 2002 in the New England Journal of Medicine that really changed the face of how glucose and insulin
01:28:39.760
levels were managed, or glucose levels were managed using intensive insulin therapy in the ICU.
01:28:43.540
That has been questioned. Obviously, there have been subsequent trials that have suggested that
01:28:47.640
maybe the benefits on the glucose side come at the cost with an insulin side, et cetera. But
01:28:52.340
you're absolutely right. Now, that reminds me of something, though, which is
01:28:56.160
acetaminophen, Tylenol, has an effect on the performance, at least of the G5.
01:29:04.000
It does not affect G6. We ran a very, very, very large study and put a lot of acetaminophen
01:29:11.320
into patients to whereby we have no contraindication for acetaminophen anymore.
01:29:15.200
So that's interesting. But the G5 would over or underestimate?
01:29:21.100
Yeah. So one of the challenges, I suspect, in the ICU patient is all of the drugs that
01:29:26.080
they're on, also they third space like crazy. So their interstitium looks totally different
01:29:31.440
from a normal person's interstitium. It's almost like there's a whole new calibration, right?
01:29:35.620
We're going to have to go run some studies. But that being said, I'll go back to what
01:29:41.600
you said your friend told you, you can pay me now or pay me later. If we can get this
01:29:46.180
in the right configuration in the hospital on most every patient, at least every patient
01:29:51.020
over 50 that comes in, forget whether they don't have diabetes. That hyperglycemia effect
01:29:57.360
on healing, we know, is a very difficult thing. If we can get it on everybody and make this
01:30:02.580
affordable and fit within the normal workflow of the hospital, that's a tremendous market
01:30:08.520
for us. Another place we haven't been or been labeled, and you're going to be a little
01:30:12.340
bit, probably chastise me after this. We've never been labeled for gestational diabetes.
01:30:18.040
We had this discussion once. I didn't realize you weren't actually labeled, but I have a patient
01:30:22.500
whose fiance is pregnant and she had a device in and it turned out she had an old device.
01:30:29.460
So she had the device and then never used it for, with one pregnancy, then used it with another
01:30:34.440
and it wasn't working. And we did some troubleshooting and to make a long story short,
01:30:38.420
she said, well, I called Dexcomer, but they said it's not approved for gestational use.
01:30:43.200
And I remember saying, what would be the difference?
01:30:46.820
And I'm very proud of my people for saying the right thing. It's just, we haven't run a study in
01:30:52.120
gestational diabetes. We'll have to run a study there to get that label. One of my daughters-in-law
01:30:57.020
contracted gestational diabetes while pregnant with twins. So her OBGYN wrote a script and we
01:31:03.800
procured a Dexcom for her. And he just looked at it and said, this is remarkable. We should all be on
01:31:10.480
this. And this gets back to A1C and other measures. As we look at evolving this Gen 6 technology,
01:31:16.940
one of the things that we look at as this product is a diagnostic as well. Right now you drink that
01:31:22.740
real sugary drink, go way high, you go way low. It's kind of awful. What about a blinded sensor
01:31:28.780
on somebody for a week? Yeah. Infinitely better. And then develop the algorithms to see what we can
01:31:34.700
predict with respect to gestational diabetes. Those are the type of studies that we want to run in the
01:31:40.420
future and the way we'd like to go about that market. And there's others as well. Again, I'll go
01:31:45.660
back to your health and wellness one. Combining this with some of the nutrition apps out there,
01:31:51.280
the Weight Watchers app, combining if that had glucose data and you ate your points per day and
01:31:57.720
you ate your 32 points today, but your glucose values were still high, maybe we take you down to 26
01:32:02.700
and vice versa. You can see how that can integrate with it wonderfully and integrate without showing
01:32:10.880
a glucose value that you can dose insulin off of. I just think in the end, it's a much better metric
01:32:16.040
for health. And I think health matters more than weight. Weight is correlated with health,
01:32:23.900
but the correlation is not exceptional. It's reasonable, but it's so far from great. And
01:32:33.020
my prediction would be when those trials are done, your standard deviation of blood glucose over a three
01:32:40.440
month period is going to tell you infinitely more than whatever the fluctuations were in your weight.
01:32:46.960
And it's frankly going to help you identify probably the type of weight that matters more.
01:32:51.900
Obviously there's been a big discussion about the difference between subcutaneous fat and visceral
01:32:55.620
fat. You could have two people that weigh exactly the same and you could even have two people that have
01:32:59.980
a similar mass of fat, but where that fat resides probably tells us much more about their metabolic
01:33:04.740
health. So I don't know. Like I said, if I could be czar of whatever for a day, I just don't see why I
01:33:11.480
wouldn't want someone to have this information continuously in real time, every minute of every
01:33:16.180
day under any physiologic circumstance, because what you learn and not just someone who's got type
01:33:22.940
two diabetes or type one diabetes or gestational diabetes, it's going to alter your baby. It comes
01:33:27.100
back to the airport stories, you know, when we're in these environments that are at our worst. And you learn
01:33:33.080
other really interesting things. I mean, these things, you know, you get a sense of how much even exercise
01:33:38.420
can transiently raise your blood glucose, but what the benefits are after the fact, which is your ability
01:33:46.840
Yeah. I get about a 30 point spike in a workout, but for the rest of the day, my average glucose is about 10
01:33:52.880
points lower. Yeah. It's so amazing to think that such a simple biomarker is glucose, something we
01:33:59.660
take for granted on every chemistry test we do on patients. You know, no one goes to their doctor and
01:34:05.640
doesn't get their glucose measured, but what the utility of that is when you can measure it every
01:34:10.440
five minutes. Kevin, this has been super interesting. I want to be respectful of your time. I know we don't
01:34:16.120
have all day here and you have to get back to work. One of the stories you just told that I love so much
01:34:20.980
that I didn't know was the going to the pharmacy, getting three of these things and poking yourself
01:34:25.540
60 times. To me, that's like, you know, Dexcom is a pretty big public company. Your market cap's
01:34:30.740
like what? $12 billion? $12 billion. Yeah. And, but yet you're still kind of a startup company
01:34:35.520
because that's a startup CEO move. It really is. And I've had to learn to be less startup
01:34:41.940
as we've grown. We've all grown with the company, but that culture. And again, one of the things that I
01:34:47.440
manage as CEO here is we've had to bring in skills and supplement our management team
01:34:53.080
from that startup mentality to the midsize company mentality to whereby we have more structure and
01:34:59.500
systems of a large company. So we're trying to mix all of those things together. We just had our
01:35:05.260
employee survey and it's interesting. I read every comment. It's almost 200 pages of comments. I read
01:35:11.720
everything all the employees write, the good ones, the bad ones, and the funny ones. I will not quote
01:35:16.900
the funny ones, but there, there, there's some pretty hilarious things people say. The most
01:35:22.620
contradicting comments are, we all need to go back to being a startup versus we need more structure to
01:35:30.120
be bigger. And both are true. Both are true. The, the nimbleness of a startup in an industry where
01:35:37.060
you're creating everything is absolutely essential. You've got to remain nimble. You've got to be willing
01:35:42.840
to fail. You've got to be willing to start over. You've got to be willing to do what's right.
01:35:48.320
Conversely, that big company structure where you have systems and, and balances and checks to make
01:35:54.820
sure you're doing the right thing. And you start watching dollars more is a different culture. So
01:36:00.480
we're mixing those two together. We're kind of like a mixed family here. We will have added more
01:36:05.300
than 1500 employees in the last two years. Wow. I didn't realize you were that big.
01:36:10.020
I was employee three, about 300 in 2011. I think we have 2,500 full-time employees and several hundred
01:36:18.180
temps. We do a lot of our manufacturing work temp to hire and bring them in and grow and shrink with
01:36:24.980
volume. There was a temporary workforce, but no, we have that many people. Can I add one more question
01:36:29.140
for your internal survey that I think will produce awesome, interesting results? Every month have a,
01:36:35.280
or every quarter or whatever frequency makes sense, have a tell us your best surprise glucose spike
01:36:40.780
story. Because I mean, honestly, this, the grapes, the stupid chocolate covered M&Ms, whatever. I mean,
01:36:47.580
I think, I mean, there's going to be the obvious ones. Like I ate a bag of Swedish fish. Look what
01:36:51.860
happened to my blood sugar. But there's these surprise ones either in the velocity of glucose escape
01:36:56.980
or the peak. Because I'm guessing most of your employees are wearing these things, right?
01:37:00.800
No, no, no, no, no. There's too many of us. There's too many of us now. But you know,
01:37:08.340
if we run an internal study under IRB protocol and everything, we will recruit volunteers within
01:37:14.000
the company. We have several people with type 1 diabetes that work here because they can lend us
01:37:19.060
perspective for our patients that we don't have on our own. So that's important to us as well.
01:37:24.440
A lot of it wear them. And a lot of the things that we learn are through those in-house studies
01:37:29.400
and through that in-house wear process. You said something a second ago about
01:37:33.420
failing quickly. You have five kids, right? I have five sons.
01:37:37.740
And just before we were getting ready to start, we were talking about our kids. And you asked me if
01:37:42.240
I wanted some advice on being a parent, to which I couldn't say no. Of course I did. Do you remember
01:37:46.840
the advice you gave me? I do. And I was recounting a story of how things have changed. There's a big gap.
01:37:53.260
My oldest is 15 years older than my youngest. And there's an eight-year gap between number four
01:37:58.140
and number five. But what I told you is we can't be afraid to let our kids fail.
01:38:05.120
I know I'm going to sound horribly mean, but everybody getting a ribbon and everybody getting
01:38:09.240
a trophy. I once told a coach to cut my son so he would learn something. If he wasn't going to play
01:38:16.300
him, go ahead and do that. We learn in life as much from our failures as we do our successes.
01:38:21.720
Sometimes we learn more. And sometimes they motivate us to be great and motivate us to do
01:38:28.020
great things. But we oftentimes as parents shelter our kids so much from that, what appears to be
01:38:34.540
traumatic. And I'd given that advice to somebody who didn't have any children. He came in my office.
01:38:39.500
He goes, give me one bit of advice. And I said, all right, I'll give it to you. Because we just try and
01:38:44.720
manage and regulate everything so much all the time. And look, I will tell you with number five,
01:38:50.020
I did a lot more of that than I did with number one. Number one would tell you that I was very
01:38:55.160
tough on him, but I let him carve his own way. And it's a good thing to let him learn.
01:38:59.460
Last question, Kevin. Is there a failure that you point to in your professional life leading up to
01:39:05.280
where you are today that has taught you more than the others about what you're doing now?
01:39:10.820
Boy, that is a great question. I would tell you one in particular at a corporate level. I'm going
01:39:19.860
to go big picture. I was at one company where I knew exactly what to do. And it was really the
01:39:30.200
only course of action that would have made that company successful. And I presented to my board and
01:39:34.460
they said no. And I then rolled up my sleeves and worked hard for several months and several months
01:39:41.940
and several months. And I still got the answer, no. And I finally left after beating my head up
01:39:49.120
against the wall. And that taught me a lot of lessons. Number one, to be better prepared in how
01:39:55.040
I give my message. And I attribute prayers like that to me. I don't blame the others. To be better
01:40:00.980
prepared on how I deliver my message to be more thoughtful. But if the situation isn't going to
01:40:06.320
work out, and what I ended up doing, and my wife would tell you this, my commute was five miles at
01:40:11.240
the time. It's the most miserable I've ever been in my entire life. She would look at me and say,
01:40:16.660
what on earth are you doing? I'm going to fix this. And we're going to get this. And I couldn't win.
01:40:22.780
So I left. And that was the one time where it felt like I didn't get done what we could have got
01:40:28.340
completed. But I didn't see all the signs on the wall. So I've looked at ways I can be better from
01:40:34.900
that. When I see something strategic like that, I do more homework. We have the people around us do
01:40:40.900
more homework. We're more thoughtful. So that's one of them. We've all had numerous little failures.
01:40:46.900
Sometimes, again, our failures are our biggest blessings. I would say the failure that's been my
01:40:51.820
biggest blessing are all the jobs I didn't take. Because you get opportunities and you get mesmerized
01:40:56.940
with an opportunity. I'm going to go do this. And countless times in my life, those didn't work
01:41:01.640
out. And then lo and behold, an opportunity comes along and it's, wow, I'm so glad that didn't work
01:41:07.800
out. And then you learn so much from that. Now, and I would say the other thing that's important as
01:41:13.700
far as success, you're only as good as those people that are around you. And it becomes clearer and
01:41:19.780
clearer to me the longer I work. This team we have here at Dexcom, they are committed. They work hard.
01:41:25.300
We are all engaged in our business each and every day. I never go to a meeting with another company
01:41:31.460
where their people are as engaged in what they do as ours.
01:41:36.160
Well, that's an interesting point to end on because I do think that Dexcom, obviously I'm
01:41:39.780
very biased. I've been very, very vocal about my bias to Dexcom over the other two, Abbott and
01:41:45.200
Medtronic. But I think you guys have an advantage that on the one hand is a disadvantage. Let's be
01:41:51.880
Those companies have a million products to fall back on. CGM is but one of a hundred things they
01:41:57.280
do. But that disadvantage is actually your biggest advantage, which is everybody shows up to, and I
01:42:03.260
feel like I know half the staff here. I'm here so often shooting the breeze with you. There's
01:42:07.840
something to be said for, what's the expression? You burn your ships, right?
01:42:11.280
Yeah, yeah, yeah. You guys have burned your ships. You're all in on CGM.
01:42:15.180
Well, Kevin, I want to thank you very much for your time, for your insights, and for your
01:42:18.760
friendship. It's been amazing to think that we met on that airplane almost three, four years ago.
01:42:24.800
And to this day, we manage to do a good job of not talking watches, this whole thing. Once we turn
01:42:29.240
the recording off, I want to talk to you about the one I'm wearing right now, which I think you're
01:42:33.860
Yeah, thank you. I wore it today because I knew I was going to see you.
01:42:37.280
This is what watch idiots do. We do show and tell.
01:42:42.480
Oh, that's ridiculous. Now, I've learned a good trick, which is you start giving your
01:42:47.460
wife nice watches, and she now understands and appreciates why a Daytona is a nice watch
01:42:53.460
and what Paul Newman meant and blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, and all those other things.
01:42:57.560
So now she's a little bit more tolerant of my nonsense.
01:43:08.180
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