Breakfast With Beau ｜ Wednesday 4th March 2026
Episode Stats
Length
1 hour and 9 minutes
Words per Minute
147.99374
Summary
As always i am joined by my producer Little Harry this morning to discuss the latest in the world of news and current affairs including the latest on the Middle East energy shock for markets, the oil price crash and more!
Transcript
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morning you all right i hope you are another day another dollar okay it has just ticked past eight
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in the a.m greenwich meantime on wednesday the fourth of march in the year of our lord
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2026 as always i am joined by my producer little harry how are you this morning good sir
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morning great and you are the glorious band the chosen few my band of brothers and sisters thank
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you for joining me without you it really isn't a thing uh just let you know a couple of technical
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hitches this morning it's possible the bow show wouldn't even happen this morning there's problems
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with the pc yesterday one of the big main producer pcs out there i don't know anything about technical
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things i'm quite a boomer when it comes to technical stuff but we've got it sorted but i haven't got
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all my screens like normal i'm relying on my actual mobile phone for the time and things so i'll be
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reading the super chats off of these big screens not not my little screen here stuff so a bit
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different today okay that little bit of housekeeping side let's just jump straight into it what's going
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on this morning works multiple iran as you can imagine i'll try and talk about a few other
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stories that aren't iran where they crop crop up i'll tell you who wins most out of all this
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andrew and mandy andy and mandy can you imagine in the andy and mandy camp they're like thanks mr
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trump thanks bibby i owe you one got me off the hook i wouldn't shut up about it and now now no one
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cares apparently well if you believe fleet street all right what is fleet street the front papers the
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front pages of the papers what are they talking about right trump mocked starmer
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trump talked in the oval yesterday the german chancellor was there and obviously no one really
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cares and particularly american reporters don't really care what mertz has got to say about anything
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really today so it's just a trump uh uh a chance to grill trump a bit and uh yeah he threw shade at
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starmer it's quite funny said you cut off all trade with spain because spade uh spain on on board
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i don't do that i wonder if he'll actually do that i doubt it he said he would
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okay trump mocked starmer and middle east energy shock for markets again not really well we'll get
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into actually i mean it's in asia some of the asian markets equity markets in asia some of them have
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been quite hard hit now uh but as for the actual price of crude uh we'll talk about it more but
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yeah not not so much they're exaggerating basically although you may find even quite quickly that it
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actually does cost more to buy some petrol at the petrol station even though in britain i mean and even
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though in britain we never really got hardly any crude certainly not refined petrol or anything from
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iran not much anyway well global markets are all interlinked it is a complicated thing all right
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let's have a look then the telegraph the daily telegraph starmer is no churchill all right let's
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just jump straight into this so there's there's chancellor mertz they're the leader of germany
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and trump and they had a little meeting there it's funny actually because uh the things that
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trump was complaining about keir starmer for and spain just let you know spain are completely not
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on board most countries one way or another are either entirely on board countries like new zealand
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and australia are like completely on board loads of countries are on board like cheering israel and the
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us on a lot of countries are sort of me a bit like britain and a few very few are just like no
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i don't want anything to do that completely disagree with it well spain is one of those
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of all places spain's the current government of spain anyway is um pacifist isn't the word but
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they're just not they were one of the countries when trump was trying to get european countries to
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increase their nato spending from two or three percent up to five percent spain was the one main
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country really that just refused just said no you can put all the pressure on us you want mr trump
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we're not spending any more money on nato how do you like us now and in this iran thing they're like
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no you can't use our bases america doesn't need spanish air bases does it to fight a war in the
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gulf region it doesn't need them at all nonetheless it annoyed the donald
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anyway the point is is that all the things trump was moaning about for places like spain and great
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britain mertz has actually got very very similar position and he just had to sort of sit there
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quietly and trump every now and again turning to him saying oh but but germany's cool germany's great
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this guy next to me is like way better than angela merkel used to be but the reality is his position is
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quite similar or very similar in fact it was in the russian news let's just quickly have a look at the
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russian news uh where is it uh one second here okay there in the russian news if i scroll down a bit
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yeah look mertz doubts strikes on iran may bring about political change in tehran that's the same
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position as as starma right but yet to just sort of sit there quietly while trump as a pop at starma when
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he actually thinks the same thing apparently directly after that meter after the cameras off
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in that meeting in the oval office apparently according to insider reports mertz said to trump
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something along the lines of i'm paraphrasing of course but he's like chill out on starma like
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he's not that bad it wasn't that bad like i'm sure mertz didn't say it in that tone and intonation
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and with that that word choice but okay all right so u.s president attacked prime minister over
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lack of support for iran war saying he ruins relationships yeah it wasn't like a full-blown
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angry angry rant from trump but it was reasonably strong words considering we're supposed to be
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the united states closest ally obviously we're not obviously that's israel isn't it
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but you know historically the special relationship and all that sort of thing
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what we did during the wars all right so trump said stuff like
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what did he say he said this guy starma he's no churchill well yeah tell me about it
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later even said this isn't the age of churchill yeah he said he he ruins relationships
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he said he just said he's very disappointed you know i'm not happy with the uk um yeah those other
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things again it's one of the main stories in the british print media but once again in the scheme of
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global global politics the grand strategy of this war in the in the middle east doesn't really matter
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does it especially seeing as trump has ultimately got his way but we are now letting them use chagos
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and the base in cyprus which they don't need but he has got that out of us anyway as you see uk fast
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jets are doing stuff we shot on uh the raf shot a iranian drone out of the sky in over in jordan
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we'll probably see a clip of that later so trump got what he wanted ultimately that we are doing
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the mainstream media suddenly seems to be really hawkish it's funny over the weekend and even on
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monday they were like flapping around like a wild geese oh no oh no mr trump's doing something
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net is doing stuff oh no oh no when is when's it gonna end now a couple days later it's like
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starmer isn't going hard enough and strong enough on all of this make up your mind god
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okay all right britain has been attacked and our aircraft carrier is stuck at home
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okay so that's another thing that's in the british media at the moment
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big story all day yesterday and this morning is the readiness of our navy the royal navy the once
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global spanning master of the seas yeah that's that's a while ago that was that was a while ago
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i think it's funny when some foreign people often americans we're always americans it could come from
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anywhere they say oh brits need to come to terms with the fact that they're not like
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hegemons of the world anymore they're not a great power anymore it's like yeah we know
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yeah we know that's been the case since like 1948 or something yeah we're perfectly aware
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don't worry about it we've got no delusions of grandeur
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but okay still in the scheme of things the the royal navy is what is probably in the top 10 most
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powerful navies in the world something like that because most countries haven't got anything to speak
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of right most countries even quite big rich countries relatively big and rich countries have got hardly any
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navy navy mostly but anyway we've got two aircraft carriers the prince of wales is sort of the main one
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i think that's a picture of the prince of wales there we've got two aircraft carriers and the point
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of having two aircraft carriers why do you need two why do you it's to do with contingency so that if one
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is ever sunk heaven for fend if one is ever sunk or just damaged or it's just refitting because these
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sorts of ships you need to refit them all the time clean them of barnacles and all sorts of stuff
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that you have another one as a contingency so that any given time you've got an aircraft carrier ready
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to rock and roll at any given moment that's the point of having two nuclear nuclear submarines which
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you've also got so that at any given moment we've got one out there that's ready to fire trident missiles
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and rain nukes on someone all right well both our aircraft carriers are in portsmouth
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or is it plymouth anyway both of them are in um are in port being sort of refitted
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well that's the whole point of having two air uh that's the whole point of having two is that that
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isn't that that doesn't happen that that isn't the case it's cloud show isn't it really cloud show all
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right um and a few people are saying well lots of people are saying defense analyst type people
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are saying it's like we you sort of knew this was coming probably i mean even a normal person like
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me was saying for weeks right it's in the mail america's moving aircraft carriers around they're
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moving mid-air refueling aircraft around it's something's almost certainly going to happen and
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you would hope that number 10 or the foreign office would actually have some inside information
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if they weren't actually invited to the planning stage exactly they'd still have some sort of
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inside skinny on what was going to go down and so maybe not have both the aircraft carriers just sitting
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there or speed up the refitting of one of them as quickly as possible or something or at least move
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some of the other royal navy ships we've got loads of other quite a few other ships at least move some
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to the the region at least some to defend cyprus so there's sort of nothing there the last sort of
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warship we had in the waters around cyprus was around christmas time or new year time new year's time
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so now they've decided we'll see it in a bit they've decided they're going to move one destroyer
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was it missile destroyer well the hms dragon it's called
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it is like an anti-aircraft type ship but just one and it's not going to get there for like day a week or more
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it's just a bit of a to be honest it's just a bit of a lame weak wristed response
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from from the mod the british ministry of defense the equivalent of you know okay all right
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uh was there any other smaller stories there um
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um yeah students from four countries barred we'll talk about that in a moment that's one of the
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non-iran stories that will come up okay the times the venerable times there's a picture of
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tehran with explosions going off all over the shop yeah apparently the biggest waves of attacks from
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suppose it makes a bit of sense yesterday i said as a strategy that didn't make sense what they're
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waiting for reading a bit more and thinking about it a bit more i guess maybe what it is i think maybe
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the only now of they basically taking out most of iran's air defenses you know like sam's surface
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to air missiles so before now they couldn't fly loads and loads and loads of fast jets deep into
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iranian airspace because the fear of them being taken out by missiles so you take out their their
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missile capability they surface to air missile capability you take that with your missiles first
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and some like stealth fast jets right but then once that's achieved and you've got complete air
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superiority in the in the skies above persia then you can fly crazy amounts of fast jet sorties
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and i suppose at that point the bombing will increase like the precision bombing on individual
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buildings individual things will increase even more i guess that's why i guess that's what it is
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or america might not and israel might not want to send fantastic amount of their most expensive missiles
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that might get shot out of the sky by iranian anti-missile missiles they don't want to do that yet until
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all the iranian anti-missile missiles are taken out and then so i guess it so i guess that's what it is
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yeah expect expect uh even more heavy bombing in iran that's what they're saying you've got to take
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them at their word i don't think i don't think they're bluffing are they
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right hegseth doesn't really bluff doesn't need to does he all right pm is no churchill says trump as
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tensions rise yeah significant fallout from the economy that's another thing to mention then this
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morning that um yesterday was the the spring statement rachel reeves rachel thieves rachel from
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accounts the silly woman that is somehow the chancellor of the exchequer made a a statement
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about the economy the uk economy yesterday in parliament no one cares okay she's a joke
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and her statement's like immediately out of date right anyone that really knows they're talking about
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an economist or a trader a commodity trader or equities trader a bond trader anywhere in the world
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you're not listening to what rachel reeves has got to say make sure you're saying oh in the future
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next later this year or in two years time then inflation will be like this and gdp growth will
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be like this everyone's like you don't know you we don't have any faith you know what you're talking
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about and why are you saying this in the middle of a war where all the chips are in the air
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like what you're talking about rachel is immediately out of date
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real economists and traders we're not sitting there on tenterhooks waiting for what what rachel
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reeves is going to say and then start making trades and working out analysis off the back of what she says
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uk to hit historic uh high tax burden well yeah i mean that's real that's true
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well that's socialism for you that's leftist economic theory just tax them
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centralize the economy as much as humanly possible and tax the kulaks until the pips go squeak
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okay war spreads across the middle east as trump rages at stormy us president personal dislike of pm grows
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this is not winston churchill quote this is not winston churchill we're dealing with
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again yeah tell me about it he's super weak he's so weak
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okay i'll just read the blurb a bit because it sort of says it all
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uk scrambles warship to cyprus i don't know if it's about scramble they're taking their time don't they
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anyway uk scrambles warship to cyprus four days after conflict begins
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it's sort of an afterthought isn't it it's sort of a a token afterthought
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following iran attack on raf base and political outcry
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pm under pressure from white house and gulf states over his response so far
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again if i was kirsten i just wouldn't bow to any of that pressure
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you know like dubai is annoyed we didn't move a ship quick enough to cyprus it's like
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go away shut up don't worry about it you worry about you
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okay petrol prices petrol prices set to climb within weeks and uk energy bills may jump by 800 pounds a
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and we don't get our energy from there largely almost entirely we buy most of that sort of thing
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from the united states or from places in north africa and we got a bit of north sea oil and stuff don't
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we and if britain doesn't buy natural gas or crude much from iran iraq kuwait qatar not really
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shouldn't really affect us too much but there you go still
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as i said earlier there are global markets so it does still affect
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it is still affect but now energy bills go up even more they're supposed to be going down well they
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will be going down in the next couple of months because the government put in some
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some sort of hard stops on it so if you're a brit watching this hopefully your energy bill will go down
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to the tune of 100 pounds maybe a bit more over the next couple of months but then over the midterm
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over the next six months or one year it may go way up beyond where it was where it is now so all right
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airstrike on building being used by top clerics to choose next supreme leader yeah that was
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interesting where obviously the ayatollah is dead he was martyred
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um they had to pick a new one they put together a little committee
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a little sort of working group whatever you'd call it to pick the new one and then it'll go to
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sort of a larger body a sort of a larger it's nothing like a parliament or congress or anything but
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just a larger body of the mullahs religious leaders clerics i don't particularly like that
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word cleric but all right whatever larger body to sort of formally stamp it and pick the next ayatollah
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well uh the building that was being held in they knew that was being held in that got smashed
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by the israelis or the us one or the other yeah it does seem like the united states and the israelis
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are not mucking about it's not like a half measure is it it's like they're going all out to they're going
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all out all right like like you like the iranian regime think it can still sort of carry on much as
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before no you have to go underground you have to do all this stuff in underground bunkers and things
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like you're in the blitz if they can get you they'll get you it seems like doesn't it
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all right uh lebanon dragged into war with israel that's the other big thing so israel is invading
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lebanon right now southern lebanon some reports i saw yesterday saying that um the israeli army wants
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to go downtown anyone who doesn't know that means going all the way to beirut sending their army all
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the way to beirut israel have quote unquote invaded lebanon at least southern lebanon loads of times
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loads and loads of times well quite a few times anyway it's not that new even in the last couple
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of years they'll do incursions into lebanese territory it's not unheard of not even close to
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being unheard of before now in the past in the last few decades they've gone all the idf divisions have
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gone all the way to beirut more than once i think so the idea that in the middle of all of this
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bibi's gonna send his army all the way to beirut yeah looks like he's gonna do that yeah just one
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more front in this now quite big war probably the white in fact it's the widest biggest war in the
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middle east in my lifetime easily now because even the second gulf war in 2003 it was confined largely
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to the deserts of mesopotamia iraq it didn't turn into a whole region wide war did it so this is probably
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the biggest conflagration in the middle east in modern times basically i would have thought
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well i mean in the in the 21st century at least let's say that not in modern times because that
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would include like world or one world or two i don't mean that obviously okay all right yeah
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israel going into lebanon i think they want to take out i think neti wants to annihilate hezbollah once and
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for all i mean can't really blame him from his point of view from his point of view
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they try and kill israeli people all the time so i mean just imagine an equivalent in your country
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you would want to try and wipe them out if you could right to end them i suppose all right so
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france sends major naval deployment to eastern med including aircraft carrier yeah the french have
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got an aircraft carrier and they're sending it to the eastern mediterranean right off just off the
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coast of israel and lebanon there near cyprus in a way and the idea that they're getting there before we
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are tiny bit embarrassing okay israel launches new attacks on tehran and hezbollah as u.s tells americans
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to leave middle east and closes embassies it's not going to be over anytime soon do not be surprised
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if it's still going on beyond five weeks from now okay the daily mail pure slop trying to pretend it's
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not pure slop but you scratch the surface and it is pure slop all right there's the there's our aircraft
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carrier or one of them the prince of wales completely not ready it's been stripped down
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completely stripped down that would take weeks months before that's ready
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a prime minister who trump mocks as no churchill and a navy fleet stranded in port it's not exactly
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stranded it was scheduled work but nonetheless nonetheless take the point starmer takes the great
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out of britain yeah again tell me about it nearly everything he does makes us less great makes us
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weaker undermines us pretty much everything he does really not even including any of this i mean
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right okay all the papers are suddenly hawkish about it suddenly he hasn't done enough quick enough
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on monday it was like not not this at all particularly on sunday and monday
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i mean don't look at who owns these papers and who they are and where their ultimate loyalties might lie
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they got the call from the nathaniel rothschild everyone be hawkish now
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all right the mirror uk warship to middle east enter the dragon
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classic bruce lee film enter the dragon if anyone doesn't know you've seen enter the dragon harry
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oh i haven't no okay don't worry about it i just feel like there's a lot of things references in um
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cultural references in the world if you're very young like harry harry's only 20 years old
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you just wouldn't get i mean enter the dragon it's like from the 70s it's like 50 years old film
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nearly 40 50 years old okay but enter the dragon okay there is hms dragon look he's got a dragon painted
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on it that looks a bit like the welsh dragon doesn't it maybe it is it must be it is okay this one warship
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not even that big of a one not that powerful it is for like taking out um missiles and drones though
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that is what it is uh we're sending that one ship to defend all of cyprus or help defend it
00:27:47.200
the airbase should be able to defend itself but there you go that's being done it's a complete token
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gesture isn't it government says deployment is defensive but fears grow over terror attack at home
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pm stands up to trump abuse as scramble on to evacuate uh stranded britons yeah so there's still
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loads of people quite quite stranded in like dubai mainly but a few other places right there'll be
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some in qatar and bahrain or kuwait or whatever right the sun wants to tell you something about
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jordan about katie don't care pure slop ship happens i said ship ship happens that's actually mildly funny
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to me i always take the mickey don't i i always take the always cast shade at the sun's puns that's not
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a bad one it's pretty simplistic but ship happens okay that's all right i'll give you that one that
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made me smile when i first saw that one this morning as trump blasts keir as no churchill pm sends one
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destroyer to defend raf base yeah enter the dragon ship happens
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all right the financial times mid-east energy energy shock batters markets again not really
00:29:06.240
well okay in the in the far east places like south korea
00:29:12.720
like for example the thailand stock exchange had to close early because it was getting so battered
00:29:22.480
but again does the thire stock exchange really matter all that much if you're not tired
00:29:33.280
do you care about that does it matter ultimately
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like if you if you don't hold shares in south korean energy companies that have done really badly
00:29:52.240
what's it matter all right all right the point is is that a lot of asian markets equities even bonds
00:29:58.960
have tumbled quite a lot you know like the south korean stock exchange like lost i can't remember the
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exact numbers but it's something in the ballpark of lost four or five or six percent in one day
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yesterday and since this started has lost something like 12 so pretty disastrous i suppose reasonably
00:30:18.880
disastrous but not again not sort of end of times disastrous not sort of oh oh and the other thing
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to say is that all these markets were all-time highs they were overvalued anyway japan south korea
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places like that their stock markets were sort of almost if not all-time highs so inflated overvalued
00:30:37.840
as it was so some sort of market correction was going to be in the mail anyway
00:30:44.560
and as for as for oil again don't buy the hype that it's been spying it hasn't like yesterday
00:30:53.520
on average because all sorts of crude from all different places in the world are priced differently
00:30:58.080
but on average the price of a barrel of crude at some point nearly touched 85 a barrel and then came
00:31:05.120
down a bit again no biggie no massive biggie before this thing started the price of a barrel was just shy
00:31:13.120
of 80 dollars so it hasn't it's been a bit volatile a bit up and down within that within that window
00:31:20.480
but it hasn't just spiked to like 100 120 suddenly or anything like that no lng as well or natural gas
00:31:29.280
again same sort of thing uh well worse but not as bad so before this thing started again i can't
00:31:38.240
remember the exact numbers but it will be in this ballpark it was like um i think something like
00:31:44.000
a spike 60 or 70 cents and it's gone up to now something in the ballpark of a dollar 40 or a buck
00:31:52.640
50. right so you could call that a spike and it did that very quickly okay we can call that spike
00:31:59.600
is it disastrous or anything no if you go back to only just 2022 or something it was at like seven or
00:32:12.080
so you can talk to me all about the terrible spike in numbers and energy's gone through the roof it
00:32:25.120
just put it in perspective but the financial time says
00:32:30.560
war-fueled equities route spreads to sovereign bonds yeah a little bit in some places in asia
00:32:42.080
well see oh by the way i'm saying all this it's not to say that there won't it might not cause
00:32:47.440
ultimately some sort of giant market crash or something if i'm just saying right now it isn't
00:32:55.680
okay iraq to halt oil production as iran threatens key route
00:33:03.840
yeah it looks like iran's strategy is isn't it to
00:33:07.440
screw with the energy production infrastructure of all the countries it can that are in range of its missiles
00:33:19.600
it's a bit of an all on that well they are under threat of being completely annihilated
00:33:23.600
the regime so i guess it's like the last flailing last ditch attempt it seems really to me it seems
00:33:40.080
i was talking to faraz about the other day and i said it feels i said how does this make sense how is
00:33:44.000
any of this in iran's ultimate interest it doesn't make sense and he just said it makes sense to them
00:33:51.360
right it's matt looking in on it from the outside it looks mad iran's strategy of doing that
00:33:58.000
it looks like surely counterproductive so you're making bitter enemies of everyone around you now
00:34:04.560
and they will just side with israel and iran now how does that make sense and he just says it makes
00:34:15.200
i said it feels like someone has been jilted by a beautiful woman so they throw acid in her face
00:34:21.920
like you rejected me so i'll make sure everyone rejects you forever just pure vindictive bitterness
00:34:36.080
nothing more than that it seems to me i mean maybe it will work for them maybe iran's strategy of trying
00:34:43.280
to destroy all their neighbors energy infrastructure will work for them ultimately i don't think it will
00:34:49.120
especially if the united states and israel have got the political will to see it through to the end
00:34:57.360
whatever that means which it seems like they have it seems like the donald and netty are prepared to
00:35:06.320
see it through come what may doesn't it it feels like that it seems like that okay because that's the
00:35:12.640
thing when anyone fights the united states anyone they're like we just need to hold out long enough
00:35:16.720
until there's enough us casualties and uh in america the the sentiment at home will be such that the
00:35:23.120
the president or the congress or whoever will be forced to stop it's like yeah that doesn't that's
00:35:27.680
hardly ever worked like in vietnam 10 years of vietnam eventually
00:35:34.880
50 000 combat deaths 60 000 combat deaths and then presidents start getting cold feet and like the
00:35:42.880
general population of the general population of the united states start constantly rallying against the
00:35:46.720
war but it will take something like that like five or six deaths nothing a few hundred even a few thousand
00:35:55.040
deaths for us service people that doesn't make the united states get cold feet and just stop usually does it
00:36:10.720
so if iran's strategy is hopefully we'll take out a few us service people and then trump will bottle it
00:36:19.840
and stop and stop i don't think so i don't see that okay in fact trump the other day trump was asked about
00:36:28.320
that i said some reporter said um some people are worried even really really anti-regime people in iran
00:36:37.360
saying they're worried that you'll just get bored or something you'll get bored of it and and you just
00:36:44.720
you'll just stop and leave it you won't have the the longevity you won't have the will to keep going
00:36:50.880
and he just he just completely brushed that aside he said i don't get bored i won't get bored don't worry about it
00:36:58.640
all right u.s closes embassies after strikes escalate across the region
00:37:04.320
israel launches new wave of attacks on tehran assets right okay okay
00:37:12.560
the guardian us and israel intensify iran attacks as conflict widens there we go
00:37:22.000
too late for talks says trump has reports as reports claim death toll close to 800 in iran
00:37:30.560
um yeah people asked about the talks remember remember kushner and whitkoff talking with the iranians in
00:37:39.520
geneva with the omanis supposed to be overseeing that uh what trump just said was said before
00:37:47.840
already but he reiterated that those talks were nonsense iran never as far as trump was concerned
00:37:54.640
trump's calculation was iran were never serious in those talks i'm never serious about it it was
00:38:00.480
going to go nowhere that's all iran has done for decades is say they're going to talk just keep
00:38:06.880
talking agree to things and then not even do the things you know like that deal obama did
00:38:12.880
we'll spend years coming to an agreement finally make an agreement and then not actually do the
00:38:17.040
thing anyway just keep talking and talking and talking and they just trump had had enough obviously
00:38:26.560
had decided they were just the whole thing was a sham which is interesting because the iranians
00:38:31.280
accused the americans of doing that oh you attacked us in the middle of of peace talks
00:38:37.600
it was all the sham you only put both sides say that the other side use peace talks as uh as a sham
00:38:46.000
and aren't serious about peace talks both sides accuse the other of that well
00:38:54.400
well okay here's what it is trump says starman no churchill all right yeah uh limetra oh my god
00:39:06.880
okay the metro grows school tragedy fear as conflict grows trump too late to talk
00:39:20.160
because other people said oh trump might sit down and and do peace with the iranians and that will
00:39:26.160
scupper everything and and he just said no it came out the other day yesterday saying no no no there's no
00:39:31.600
no no there's no more time for talks that ship has sailed we've done that we've tried that no we're
00:39:37.840
going full bore okay this is a story of anyone that watches the news will know i haven't really
00:39:42.400
talked about it on the bow show yet have i that right at the very beginning on saturday morning in
00:39:47.760
fact there was reports that some sort of missile or some sort of strike hit a school a girl's school
00:39:56.320
apparently kids go to school on saturdays in iran who knew but okay apparently there was this school
00:40:03.920
little girl's school and it got hit and loads of loads of the kids and teachers were killed
00:40:09.120
apparently like 150 160 odd mostly kids were killed in that apparently
00:40:18.000
and um right in the south of iran apparently right near or right next to some sort of naval base but
00:40:25.680
whatever um okay now iran and this is their mass funeral now there's like a massive there's
00:40:34.160
loads and loads of coffins on that lorry for little kids apparently the thing is about this
00:40:41.440
of course the iranians accused israel of doing that and israel said we weren't we weren't firing
00:40:49.440
anything near there maybe it was the americans and americans like no we weren't firing anything near
00:40:55.360
there either and as if we at least the americans would do that we would like rubio said we wouldn't
00:41:01.120
dream of deliberately targeting a girl little girl's school why would we i mean it's always
00:41:07.680
possible that something goes wrong something goes awry or they just did do it and they're lying about
00:41:12.480
it anyway as it stands both israel and the united states are both saying look we just simply didn't
00:41:18.400
do it whatever happened there it wasn't us that's what they're saying whether you can believe it or not
00:41:24.080
one or two reports i've seen saying that it was an iranian thing that went wrong somehow
00:41:34.560
and and but now they're using it as a political tool to say look how evil israel and the united states
00:41:41.600
are i mean whatever it is whatever happened there i don't know it's not clear both sides are claiming
00:41:47.680
the other one did it and i don't know if we'll ever know if we'll find out exactly i hope we do one
00:41:54.800
way or another what happened there um but okay that's a big thing relatively big thing right it's
00:42:03.600
the single biggest mass casualty event of the war so far that's a bit odd to me it happened
00:42:10.560
right at the beginning on saturday morning you know if it were to be uh
00:42:19.760
an iranian false flag type thing they did it sort of immediately the timing of it is a
00:42:24.720
little bit suspicious but i don't know i i don't i wouldn't take israel or the pentagon at their word
00:42:32.080
on anything i'm not you know that why would you they're capable of lying about almost anything
00:42:41.440
but but though having said that it it doesn't seem likely that i don't know it's an odd it's an odd
00:42:50.160
thing this girl's school that was hit the arguments that israel and the united states are using to say
00:42:58.320
it wasn't us are plausible i guess that's what i'm trying to say i wouldn't take them at their
00:43:03.120
word but their argument is plausible at least all right okay trump says everything is knocked out
00:43:14.080
in iran everything's knocked out and like their air defenses something and he boasts that the war on
00:43:19.840
iran sparks a bitter new rift with britain okay okay the star panic at the pumps i mean not really but
00:43:31.680
maybe middle east crisis panic at the pumps four courts chaos as war sees fuel prices surge they
00:43:38.800
haven't really surged exactly i think they have gone up at the at the pump but not massively i always
00:43:44.320
find it really disappointing in the human character when there's a tiniest little panic about something
00:43:50.640
and really really selfish people just either go to uh petrol garages and fill up take loads of jerry
00:43:59.440
cans and fill them up or do you remember in the covid thing some people would go to um
00:44:08.240
go to grocery stores go to like tesco's or sainsbury's and buy all the toilet paper
00:44:13.520
so there's a tiny fear the tiniest of fears that there might be a shortage of toilet paper or there'll
00:44:21.440
be a break in the uh chain of of um getting more in so they just buy it all how selfish could you get
00:44:30.160
it's so selfish isn't it i remember it in 2003 was it 2003 or was it even after 9 11 similar things
00:44:38.960
happen i remember that quite clearly people queuing the roads leading to petrol stations just completely
00:44:46.480
blocked with cars queuing to go into a petrol station to fill up and fill up their little jerry cans
00:44:52.080
because like something like the sun or the star will say oh there's panic people are panic buying
00:45:01.600
and so that becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy people that read that idiots
00:45:05.680
selfish idiots that see that and read that like oh well i don't want to run out of petrol
00:45:16.080
panic at the pumps all right if you say so the star if you say so sure all right the express the
00:45:22.240
daily express oh it's a good paper one million more will pay tax on state pensions
00:45:29.760
and running our economy into the ground running our economy integrate all right those are the papers
00:45:35.360
uh did oh did we harry did we have a uh a poll this morning i'm not we didn't we failed to have a poll
00:45:44.160
sorry sorry about that people waiting for a poll um yeah it was a bit there's some technical issues
00:45:52.560
this morning all sorts of technical issues two or three different ones basically so me and harry didn't
00:45:56.880
have time to just sort of set up a poll apologies try and do it most days but today we've failed
00:46:04.000
all right all right let's have a look at the newspapers then oh it's already nearly caught
00:46:08.800
two okay what have we got strikes across middle east continues you take as uk charters evacuation
00:46:17.040
flights for british nationals in oman if you can get down to the to oman you might be able to get a
00:46:23.840
flight out um all right so here's the thing here's a story that's not about iran mahmoud
00:46:32.240
the home secretary to stop study visas from four countries due to abuse it's a bit late isn't it we've
00:46:41.840
already been invaded by hundreds of thousands of foreign barbarians but okay i mean i'll take it
00:46:49.520
but it's a bit late isn't it it's like closing the gate half a foot more but still leaving it open
00:46:56.480
after the horses have bolted thanks the story is from um afghanistan cameroon mayanmar burma and the
00:47:08.320
sudan if you came over on a student visa apparently loads of people from that particularly those four
00:47:16.000
countries they come over on a student visa and then when they're here say actually i'm not just a
00:47:22.720
student i'm a refugee and i need to claim permanent residence here i need i'm actually claiming asylum
00:47:36.560
from burma but now from the sudan but now i'm a refugee and i've got to be able to stay and even
00:47:45.520
the labour home secretary is like that's it's being abused the system is being heavily abused
00:47:51.520
the government is clamping down on visa abuse so the uk can maintain its ability
00:47:55.760
and proud tradition of helping those genuinely in need
00:48:02.240
more more safe and legal routes right yeah so just loads and loads of people
00:48:08.720
from that particularly those countries absolutely take the mickey out of our student visa scheme
00:48:15.440
student visa scheme that olukemi and badenoch gloated about widening a few years ago
00:48:30.480
all right there was a thing there was something on the mail i thought was interesting
00:48:36.720
marked for death israel vows to assassinate iran's new leader yeah
00:48:40.160
yeah yeah dubai under assault again here's a picture of dubai andrew tate says nothing's going on
00:48:47.920
there you don't understand reality properly if you think there is call him in two days time
00:48:54.000
it's been two days all right uh cia station hit by tehran's new leader
00:48:59.520
komeini's son reigns wait a minute cia station hit as tehran's new leader komeini's son
00:49:09.920
oh it's his son okay reigns missiles and drones on middle east it's actually
00:49:15.840
ali komeini's son i did hear tell immediately on saturday immediately after the assassination that
00:49:24.240
people started banding names around right away who might be the next one i did hear that his name i did
00:49:29.120
hear his name come up but most people analysts at the weekend anyway said yeah he's in the running
00:49:34.960
he could well be in the running but probably won't be him well it is then okay but he's already marked
00:49:46.720
yeah this i thought was mildly interesting who hates who in the middle east as a former british
00:49:51.920
nato commander warns we are on the brink of world war three not really world war three
00:49:56.080
i feel like unless nuclear powers go at each other and there's an exchange of
00:50:08.720
okay the definitive guide to who is backing trump and who is on the side of the mullahs
00:50:14.720
this was just quite interesting i didn't even agree with a lot of the things like saying
00:50:19.040
turkey and in iraq are on some way pro-iran um and there might be more pro-iran than saudi arabia
00:50:30.240
but i wouldn't call them exactly pro-iran i mean iraq by dint of being infiltrated and subverted by iran
00:50:39.200
over the last 20 years 15 years okay but anyway anyway it's interesting nonetheless if you don't know much
00:50:46.240
about the region that was mildly interesting thing okay um yeah world war three russia have said a
00:50:53.360
number of times they're not going to get involved they're not going to get involved they're not going
00:50:57.440
to try and stop israel and iran and and the united states from doing what they're going to do china
00:51:04.000
even less so i mean let's have a quick look just jump ahead quickly to the chinese news agency nothing
00:51:09.440
nothing nothing it's wednesday i've looked on the last couple on tuesday and monday as well
00:51:16.080
nothing they're not talking about it at all eventually if you scroll down
00:51:23.600
eventually a sweet little chinese kid everything's brilliant in china we're the best and everything's
00:51:28.560
brilliant eventually there's something about iran what you need to know about the repercussions
00:51:34.800
but the main the main news in china and and yesterday and monday just nothing just still
00:51:40.960
talking about how brilliant zhi is it's zhi time zhi economics we're brilliant everything's going on
00:51:48.320
is brilliant all out everything we do and touch is gold the chinese nothing about iran they won't they
00:51:58.160
won't help iran you won't see chinese fast jets in dog fights with f-35s above the skies of persia
00:52:10.880
they're on their own iran are on their own they've isolated themselves massively over the since 1979
00:52:17.120
basically all right andrew finally a little bit of andrew creeping back into the news
00:52:23.040
finally okay where was it where we saw the bits of footage of uh there's one bit of footage where it
00:52:33.920
shows the uh raf shooting a drone out of the sky i think it might be on the mail it was the mail or
00:52:43.840
the express i thought i saw it oh there it is look watch that that's an iranian drone bang
00:52:50.080
the drone's going like 120 150 mile an hour and we shoot a supersonic missile at it i mean the missile
00:52:59.920
we fired at it this is above the skies of jordan boom um the missile we shot it cost like 10 times the
00:53:08.560
amount that thing cost there you go the fear that iran it might still happen but the fear that iran has
00:53:19.680
got like could send thousands of drones at a time in weight mass waves that will get through any air
00:53:29.200
defense it just hasn't materialized yet has it could still happen like the uss abraham lincoln that's
00:53:37.360
sitting somewhere in the gulf of oman well it hasn't been hit by a hypersonic mac5 medium-range
00:53:46.320
ballistic missile it hasn't happened yet has it or that they would send hundreds or they'd send
00:53:52.560
2 000 of those drones the ones we just saw the ones that go 150 mile an hour and an aircraft carrier has
00:54:00.480
got loads and loads of defenses against that loads and loads of different things
00:54:07.120
all sorts of different measures to prevent something like that getting through but if you
00:54:11.920
sent a thousand at a time or two thousand of them some would get through despite the closing weapon
00:54:18.000
systems despite those giant phalanx guns despite all the anti-missile missiles despite the re the
00:54:23.760
various rings of defense around an aircraft carrier if you send enough of those drones even the slow ones
00:54:29.760
some would get through well it hasn't happened yet has it all right iran just wait biding their time
00:54:35.360
waiting for that to happen or was it always a bit of a fiction iran just lying about their capabilities
00:54:43.040
i thought they were going to unleash hell on the uss abraham lincoln
00:54:56.000
most people on twitter over the previous months when occasionally i'll talk about these sorts of
00:54:59.280
things like how powerful an aircraft carrier group is they'll say things like yeah yeah right they're a
00:55:04.160
thing of the past they're so um they're so fragile and so uh open to attack iran will be able to sink
00:55:11.600
it easily or something it's like yeah no i don't don't think so i mean i might be proven wrong well
00:55:17.680
everything i've just said there that take in a day or two or in a week or two might prove to be terribly
00:55:23.040
misguided the abraham lincoln is now at the bottom of the gulf of oman i doubt it i doubt it
00:55:29.040
maybe that if iran are going to do something like that and mass waves of drones or multiple hypersonic
00:55:42.560
precision guided missiles i'm not seeing it yet all right all right well we're nearly top of the hour
00:55:53.040
already all right shall we have a look on this day in history just a quick five minutes quick five
00:55:58.720
minutes of that what have we got okay on this day the fourth of march throughout the centuries what
00:56:03.920
went down okay on this day in 1238 the battle of the sit river mongol forces not mogul mongol forces
00:56:13.280
of batu khan overcome russians under yuri the second ending russian resistance so batu khan one of my
00:56:20.800
favorites one of my absolute favorites one of my absolute favorites he was the son of jochi the house
00:56:26.240
of jochi he was one of genghis khan's sons so batu khan is one of genghis's genghis khan's grandsons
00:56:36.800
and he was just a total total badass invades russia successfully from the east very very few people have
00:56:46.160
sort of invaded russia and won it's one of the classic blunders isn't it starting a land war in asia
00:57:04.480
the history of the mongols is absolutely incredible the generation of three
00:57:09.680
started with genghis khan and ending with his grandchildren basically or kubali khan and stuff
00:57:14.320
absolutely fascinating look into it i've learned to do all sorts of long-form content about it
00:57:18.640
in the past over the last five years i haven't yet but i will do i will do incredible story bet
00:57:24.160
batu khan is one of the all-time greats all right on this day it's often been an inauguration day
00:57:30.000
throughout history the fourth so on this day in 1801 thomas jefferson is the first u.s president to be
00:57:37.120
inaugurated in washington dc because washington dc was built out of nothing built out of swamps
00:57:44.000
there was no city there at all the united states decided they were going to build a new city from
00:57:48.640
scratch really john adams was the first president to even move into the white house when it wasn't
00:57:55.040
even quite finished thomas jefferson was the first one to actually be inaugurated in dc all right on
00:58:01.520
this day in 1861 abraham lincoln is inaugurated as for the first time you know um as the 16th president
00:58:08.480
um in 1902 american automobile association is founded in chicago not as interesting on this day
00:58:15.520
1933 franklin d roosevelt is inaugurated again for the first time as the 32nd president pledges to pull
00:58:23.760
the us out of the depression stating in his inaugural address that the only thing we have to fear is
00:58:30.560
fear itself yeah classic classic line isn't it famous famous words
00:58:41.760
yeah there's no need to be worried too much it's a classic thing isn't it of um confidence
00:58:48.880
not just an individual level but on a national level
00:58:54.000
okay on this day in 2009 international criminal court issues an arrest warrant for sudanese president
00:59:00.000
omar al bashir for war crimes and crimes against humanity in darfur becoming the first city sitting
00:59:06.400
head of state to be indicted yeah if you believe those indictments he's a psycho all right should
00:59:14.480
we have a look at the oh we weren't even okay there's no rumble rents because we weren't even on
00:59:20.080
rumble today we had some technical issues as i keep saying so there's no rumble rents now and we've got
00:59:25.280
um oh is that today's poll yeah okay okay so my screen down here isn't working so i have to read it
00:59:35.840
off the big screens and we did do a poll only nine minutes ago but harry put will there be world war
00:59:43.680
three and your options was yes bring on the nukes or no nothing ever happens and no nothing ever happens
00:59:52.000
is winning by 81 and 19 with just over 500 votes oh sorry the question was will this be world war
01:00:02.160
three and i i said no it's not world war three is it i mean i think that nothing ever happens
01:00:08.320
paradigm is nonsense but this isn't world war three can can we have something between
01:00:14.800
it's world war three and nothing ever happens anyway if your options were simply yes or no i'd
01:00:21.920
say no and as the votes are ticking in 81 of you agree with that so cool all right all right so we
01:00:29.440
weren't even on rumble today unfortunately we will be going forward again but today we weren't so it's
01:00:34.560
only youtube so it's only the youtube super chats today so i'll quickly read through these what have we
01:00:41.280
got global church history says today in 1665 charles ii declares second anglo-dutch war all right
01:00:51.760
interesting on epochs i've got long form content all about the three anglo-dutch wars or is it four
01:01:03.360
god it's been two or three years since i did that bit of content it is in good detail there's at least
01:01:08.320
three at least three the first ones were under oliver cromwell weren't they there's a real ding-dong
01:01:16.240
back and forth sometimes we'd beat them sometimes they'd beat us one time the dutch navy sailed up the
01:01:21.360
thames and destroyed dettford was it catford or dettford there was a big our main ship building yard
01:01:30.000
they sailed up the thames and destroyed it cheeky that's well cheeky we do that to you you don't do
01:01:39.600
that to us sometimes we'd win sometimes they'd win it was it's an interesting cool war okay set of wars
01:01:46.800
wars okay dem tatis says hiabo what do you think about the advance uk found joining restore what do you
01:02:01.360
think about the advance uk found joining restore do you think that the king should just dissolve parliament
01:02:08.400
to do it himself our king charles the third has not got any hasn't got the backbone to do anything like
01:02:20.560
he's a silly old sausage fingered nothing of a man king charles
01:02:29.040
friends with jimmy savile type person he's not going to dissolve anything
01:02:34.240
okay and what do i think of uh advanced uk found joining restore i just think advanced uk should
01:02:42.800
is is a failed project it's worth about 150 votes
01:02:48.000
so it's failed it's it's effectively dead or was stillborn really
01:02:58.960
and habib is not the guy so i think it should just if that's what you're saying
01:03:02.320
that should about it joining restore it should just join restore
01:03:12.480
that result and i like nick buckley the advanced uk candidate in gorgton dental i like the guy
01:03:19.200
i think he's a good bloke i feel sorry for him but that result was a brutal defeat brutal they got
01:03:28.480
less votes than the raving monster loony party brutal brutal pure liquid fail for advance
01:03:40.240
they're not then they're not they're not really anything are they so they should join restore
01:03:46.960
stop talking about sieven that colorblind nonsense
01:03:54.080
okay reverend north says this date in 1917 was the first debate in the swedish parliament was held
01:04:04.000
starting the process that would lead to us adopting universal suffrage years later
01:04:08.160
oh i guess i'll take it you're calling for typing from sweden okay that's interesting that's
01:04:15.760
interesting yeah universal suffrage in the early 20th century across like most of europe opening doors
01:04:23.840
one says could starma be related to wurzel gummage again another reference you i'm sure you wouldn't
01:04:30.720
get harry a lot of people that aren't british and old enough just wouldn't who's wurzel gummage
01:04:34.560
it was it was a tv character that was like a scarecrow it was like this battered old haggard
01:04:42.160
scarecrow that came to life this might be like insane but i actually have seen wurzel gummage
01:04:52.080
oh have you yeah but of all things wurzel gummage i mean it's very nearly before my time wurzel gummage was
01:05:00.320
on tv when i was a little kid really little kid i remember it a few times when i was small really
01:05:05.600
small watching wurzel gummage but okay could starma be related to him funny all right uh luke stewart
01:05:14.640
says good day maybe the media just found out how horrible the ir is ir oh islamic republic is it
01:05:23.040
how horrible iran is to its women especially with the the grape girls so they don't go to heaven on
01:05:32.400
death row okay i think i get what you're saying and yeah yeah the media oh just suddenly oh oh actually
01:05:40.160
yeah no iran was a crazy is was is a crazy society horrible horrible society okay max robe says and it
01:05:51.680
looks put it in quotes what about that quote you attributed to him i don't i don't like it but i'll
01:05:58.800
have to go along with it in german how did he say it it can it can lichen i'm sorry max i don't quite
01:06:09.440
get that's a bit garbled to me what about that quote you attributed to him i don't like it but i'll have
01:06:16.400
to go along with it in german how did they say it i mean what you said so be a bit more clear sorry i
01:06:22.800
think i get what you're saying i don't know how did they say it i don't like it but i have to go along
01:06:31.120
with it i guess that's the that's the key point you're saying isn't it yeah okay i mean that's how i
01:06:40.720
feel about this entire war with persia i don't like it it could well quite possibly end in a
01:06:49.040
generation of sectarian bloodbaths just like iraq i guess i'll go along with it because hope just you
01:06:57.440
know fingers crossed it won't and leaving that insane regime in place isn't a good idea either
01:07:03.120
so i don't like it but i'll go along with it it's a horrible situation to be in isn't it it's horrible
01:07:09.280
situation to be in okay luke stewart says bo about the school scene photos hopefully real it looks
01:07:20.480
like the missile had flipped had flipped over and crashed this whole thing seems like a cluster yeah
01:07:26.880
i guess you're talking about that school in southern iran where 150 160 school girls are dead apparently
01:07:34.080
it says a missile had flipped over and crashed yeah i mean whose missile yeah it seems like a mistake
01:07:44.080
either way doesn't it unless it's extremely cynical from the iranians to do it to themselves
01:07:52.080
but that doesn't seem all that likely either does it just in the scheme not knowing one way or another
01:07:58.000
you only have to go with what seems more likely more or less likely but okay if it was a missile that
01:08:04.160
flipped over and crashed i don't know all right and the last one for today principled uncertain
01:08:12.720
uh get harry a cornetto on me for the late poll okay thank you harry says thank you no thank you for that
01:08:23.360
cornetto do you want anything from the shop cornetto
01:08:29.440
anyone who doesn't know this might be foreign it's an ice cream
01:08:32.880
all right um all right well uh we did do a poll better late than never slightly i suppose
01:08:38.560
um going forward tomorrow hopefully we'll have all the technical issues sorted out
01:08:41.760
i have my screen back and everything we'll be on rumble again and
01:08:45.280
and we'll have a poll in time and everything else so all right it has just ticked past eight minutes
01:08:51.840
past nine in the am greenwich meantime on wednesday the 4th of march in the year of our lord 2026
01:08:57.600
you have been the glorious band the chosen few thank you for watching try and make the best of
01:09:03.040
the day ahead if you can carpe diem seize the day if you can i know it's not always possible but
01:09:08.800
try and do something that matters try and do something of value
01:09:11.040
try and do something that matters try and do something that matters if possible all right then
01:09:15.120
try and do something that matters if possible all right then until tomorrow morning take care