00:00:00.080Hi there folks, welcome to another political chat. I'm joined by Dan and today we're going to be talking about Andy Burnham, his relationship to the Labour Party and the Labour Party's relationship to the North.
00:00:11.240And why all the pollsters were like, oh yeah, Andy Burnham will win, but he'll win on about 45% and reform will be like on 43%.
00:31:24.420because Eddie's is a great school right that is a the most that's a campaign so right-wing
00:31:30.400so nativist that is just you Keir Starmer could never have anything like this he doesn't hold
00:31:38.600fond memories of anything yes he doesn't dream he doesn't love you know he it's mad and you you
00:31:45.860see this over and over like here's um just his campaign speech we'll just listen to it and listen
00:31:50.380to the way he talks. So what is that change? I did talk about the need to change Labour
00:31:57.220in this campaign and we've got to now take this moment to answer the challenges that have been
00:32:05.660laid down. I did describe it last night as a last chance to change and I think that's how people
00:32:12.820here kind of saw it when I was talking to them on the doorsteps and they said well Andy maybe
00:32:17.760we can give you our support this time but you know it's not a blank check it's not ongoing you
00:32:24.060have to respond to what people here are saying you have to do something to make life more affordable
00:32:31.200to put more money in people's pockets to give people more breathing space again so that they
00:32:37.580can have a better life that's what people were saying and we must respond to that
00:32:44.120yeah i mean it's it's so nakedly nativist this is labor is our party it's not kirstama's party
00:32:54.580see the guy but he's just like yeah no that's so totally and they truly believe and this is
00:32:58.200it's very overtly the case you'd be making which is i've heard the message go and extract resources
00:33:02.580oh very much but that's fine because that's what the north was we we extract material from the
00:33:08.020north and they need money from us that's fine yeah well it used to be that way anyway yeah yeah
00:33:12.500yeah okay but historically traditionally this is what the mindset of the northerners is and that's
00:33:19.500fine like that worked great okay great we've got you know good hard-working population who
00:33:25.120extract high quality resources that we put to great use and that gives us that gives everyone
00:33:30.620what they want this is the traditional settlement of britain through the 20th like 19th and 20th
00:33:35.800centuries it was fantastic worked brilliantly allowed us to create a world spanning empire
00:33:40.840yes you know and it's and and so i'm not surprised they feel okay why aren't we getting money from
00:33:45.500the government now because this is always what we did why isn't that happening why is it why are we
00:33:51.120hearing about bloody human rights lawyers and why are we hearing about all this nonsense this isn't
00:33:54.960helping us and yes well i mean i mean they are still getting all the all the sort of wealth
00:34:02.160transfers that they used to get the problem is is that because the government is overspending so
00:34:05.940much the inflation has reached a point where sure though those those transfers are not enough and
00:34:12.780they need to be up to keep up with inflation sure it will not work right the economy has changed
00:34:18.280the situation has changed but the people in the north haven't right by and large where they've
00:34:23.280been ethnically replaced maybe they have changed but the the white working class in the north
00:34:28.500still remember and so i'm genuinely sympathetic to what they're doing here because for them this
00:34:34.300is sentimental this is emotional this is moral this is a this is a a great calling that andy
00:34:42.720burnham has said look this is the last chance before labor has its ancestral roots as a party
00:34:48.360severed in these communities andy burnham has come in as their white knight the last
00:34:53.620the gandalf of the labor party and he's like right okay i'm going to save this and
00:34:58.580i've never voted for labor and i never would vote for labor i i hate the labor party in
00:35:03.520in every way but i understand why these people don't yeah and for the labor party to become the
00:35:09.740party of minoritarian interests to become the party of abstract lawyers interests i bet that
00:35:16.640feels like a massive betrayal a massive betrayal but andy burnham believes in the old labor he
00:35:24.220believes in the communities that he's born and raised in that he sends his kids to he believes
00:35:28.540it and so i'm not surprised that he got his massive win i'm not surprised they came out at a much
00:35:34.820higher rate than anyone expected and we're like okay no this is our guy it's the same that we're
00:35:40.140doing with rupert lowe yeah and so i'm actually i'm quite sympathetic and you see this in his
00:35:46.840victory speech right again he he hammers this in his victory speech everyone know let me just get
00:35:52.300it to the right point is about 220 we'll start there to answer that but i do say to my own party
00:36:00.580this is a final chance to change this is what people said directly to me on the hundreds of
00:36:10.300doorsteps that i stood on we must hear it we must act upon it and we must get it right there will be
00:36:19.500no second chance but it is a chance now from this result tonight to build a new
00:36:26.460politics based on unity and hope turning away from the path that takes us to a
00:36:33.160divided dark politics of the kind we see in the United States we must now take
00:36:40.080this path and put this country back on the right path and bring people back
00:36:45.660together and get things working properly again now like you've said he's not the guy you're not
00:36:52.980going to fix it but i take your point as soon as you substitute out the word country and nation
00:36:57.940for the labor party it's very internally consistent yes and it's very right wing for them yes right
00:37:05.460wing labor party restoration because you care about you're right wing about the things you care
00:37:08.940exactly it's a deeply sentimental pitch he's making and so i'm not surprised that he did so
00:37:13.800well actually now looking at it in retrospect at the time i was on the same plane as everyone else
00:37:19.200but i've been thinking about it a lot i'm like oh no all of this was actually there to you could
00:37:24.080have predicted but no one did the the overwhelming victory i mean everyone knew he was going to win
00:37:28.380because it was make but like it was there and he's been very like i don't know kindness posting
00:37:35.340you know he's he's showing his people that he really appreciates them and i can see why this
00:37:42.800has an appeal like he's just constantly posting all this like sort of soppy stuff because he's
00:37:49.140leaving his position as a manchester mayor now being a mayor of somewhere is great right it's
00:37:54.480not a partisan position you don't have to play the political game you're not being you're not
00:37:58.440in part pmqs asking divisive questions and getting the back four no no being the mayor is great
00:38:03.760especially if you're in manchester you're like i've got 500 million from the central government
00:38:08.400buses this that the other you get to tell them like yeah i'm opening this i'm doing this isn't
00:38:13.980this wonderful this is great for us here in this place you get to be just a good news person over
00:38:19.520and over if you run and boris had the same effect he was super popular after being the mayor in
00:38:23.820london surprisingly yeah he was incredibly popular so it's just like you know i'm just going to do
00:38:27.960this thing that will help out the city and where's the partisan argument that it's not there it's
00:38:33.200just like do you live in london do you want boris johnson to increase stop and search of course you
00:38:36.960bloody do have knife crimes gone down brilliant excellent but london or manchester do not need
00:38:42.700to be legible to international treaty obligations they don't need to fit into the agenda of davos
00:38:49.400yes you know no no they they are allowed to be particular yes and they are that's the entire job
00:38:57.120and they don't have to be divisive in their own constituency and so they can come out like boris
00:39:02.180or burnham with a wonderful reputation if you do this for like you know 10 years like
00:39:06.580did boris was it 10 years he was the mayor of london i'm sure it was a couple of terms yeah
00:39:10.620i thought it was two terms that he had um but anyway but the point is you can sit in this
00:39:14.980this spot for a while just do a half decent job just do a half decent job and come out with a
00:39:20.720glowing aura unlike in any other party politics right in any other politics in the country really
00:39:25.380where it's partisan uh you've got it made and so he but you can tell he really obviously enjoyed
00:39:32.380his job whether you agree with what he did or not there are a lot of people who appreciated what he
00:39:37.800did there are a lot of people who appreciate him for what he is and he's obviously not an inhuman
00:39:43.520machine man like he shows he is a human being and he likes people and people like him and so this is
00:39:50.540i you know i'm looking at it thinking i wish you well you know i would like you to fix the labor
00:39:56.340party yes because i don't want a demented party of aliens and rules to continue destroying the
00:40:03.260country i mean he has run for the labor leader twice before yeah and got rebuffed i mean there
00:40:07.580was a reason he's in manchester because he failed at london politics sure but that's yes that's
00:40:14.080well go on i can see i can see the journey that he's going on but i mean manchester has a budget
00:40:19.720of two billion versus two trillion for the rest of the country it is it is a substantially harder
00:40:23.860a problem i'm i'm not thinking he's going to fix anything no but i enjoy the narrative that he is
00:40:31.080because it was the strength of the story that you win on right i've come to believe that if you want
00:40:36.080to be a successful politician it is the strength of the story that you're telling the constituents
00:40:40.540and for him he has a very strong story and they rewarded him overwhelmingly again just like rupert
00:40:47.140in great yarmouth very strong story people are yeah no i'm coming out for that you know people
00:40:52.000feel like they're part of a hero's journey um again he can't win i don't think it would i mean
00:40:56.840i i don't even wish him ill i hope he does win i hope he does do you know like anything to break0.88
00:41:02.300the machine even if it's now like okay now we've got like you know quasi-socialist northern retards0.91
00:41:07.920running the government and wasting money and oh god we're going bankrupt okay fine at least that's0.97
00:41:13.020accidental you know like angela rayner like lisa nandy andy burnham they might be retarded but0.62
00:41:20.720they're not evil they don't hate the country they don't hate the people unlike the london
00:41:25.500lawyer set like lord hermer keir starmer yes like you know david lammy they don't hate the country
00:41:31.360they were very quick off the blocks as soon as they got power to start going around arresting
00:41:36.020soldiers who 40 years ago force of the law yeah but they they're arresting british soldiers who
00:41:41.28040 years ago as a 19 year old um on the most dangerous day of their lives you know had had
00:41:47.100had to use lethal force uh because their life was under threat releasing criminals from prison
00:41:52.260yeah ending jury trial you know like you know andy burnham might screw everything up and of
00:41:56.580course he's going to but like at least it won't be because he wanted to you know like so there's
00:42:03.520that right so anyway burnham is currently engaging in his march to the capital yes he's actually
00:42:11.000there at the time of recording but it was it was genuinely fascinating yes this this this this is
00:42:17.460the bbc with a helicopter filming the train he's taking to get to london as yeah it's like lenin
00:42:26.760being sent back to russia who do these people think burham is well actually burham is important
00:42:33.000because what we're looking at are the factions of the labor party in their last gasp right so
00:42:38.780everyone labor at the moment for anyone who's not aware is a is like the third or fourth party in
00:42:44.400the country like is it you know you wouldn't believe they're in government you wouldn't
00:42:49.320believe they're the current ruling government well we've seen polls that put them on four seats
00:42:53.360yeah and they currently have 400 yes and yeah exactly they're 408 uh politicians mps uh they're
00:42:59.940the ruling party with an overwhelming majority and they are the just they're a dead party walking
00:43:06.040And bear in mind, this is the second attempt to do this, because Labour became a party of southern lawyers under Blair, but Jeremy Corbyn was an attempt to undo this, except he was on the hard left.
00:48:09.760Every decision I have taken has been about putting the country I love first.
00:48:15.800That is why I will resign as leader of the Labour Party.
00:48:21.020I have spoken to his majesty, the King, this morning to inform him of my decision.
00:48:26.900I will ask the National Executive Committee of the Labour Party to set out a timetable with nominations opening on the 9th of July and completed by the summer recess.
00:48:38.280It doesn't actually have the blubby bit in this, but it's very Theresa May, you know, the country that I love.
00:48:42.740There was a bit just after where he starts blubbing because he's lost his job.
00:48:46.360and that really made me think because i remember i became emotional when i heard about the massacre
00:48:52.800in southport yeah i blubbed at that myself um and i got emotional at the murders of henry nowak and
00:48:59.580wayne broadhurst and rihanna white um and and all the other murders they all got me emotional and
00:49:05.340and starmer famously is completely unemotional he did not get emotional at any of those well he got
00:49:11.680angry at the white working however he did get emotional when his own ability to jail his
00:49:17.400political enemies came to an end that is true i mean the the for starma the integrity of the
00:49:23.560system the machine is everything he is the man of the system he is here to protect the system
00:49:28.920and annie burnham is here to actually destroy it the only thing i'm worried about is is quite
00:49:33.560famously the first scandal that he was involved in is lord alley has been buying his underpants
00:49:38.260for him so is lord ali going to continue to buy this man's underpants now that he leaves number
00:49:44.18010 do we need to whip up an extra fund so that the ex-prime ministers can have yeah i mean i
00:49:49.920suspect that i mean i suspect that burnham isn't going to have mandelson controlling his labor
00:49:54.520party for him no so you know fewer scandals fewer rent boys i imagine yes like so you know like
00:50:01.560actually weirdly kiss armor surprisingly scandal ridden i mean starmer had so many rent boys that
00:50:07.280associated with his former properties that as long as long as as long as it's less than five
00:50:14.140he'd be all right it will be fewer yeah yeah uh and so just a quick thing is i i think what
00:50:19.560what really is remarkable is andy burnham his morality is his like moral standing is in his
00:50:27.620community is based on the relationships he has with the people around him so he comes across
00:50:31.980is very normal very well adjusted probably isn't a weird degenerate perv right here starmer it's
00:50:38.060rules and procedures it's not about your actual relationships with people so he can be weird and
00:50:43.460degenerate as long as it's not affecting the rules and procedures and so this very very different
00:50:48.040kinds of men who are but anyway the point being andy burnham has won the first battle right he
00:50:56.220has managed to actually oust the southern human rights lawyers from the position of primacy in
00:51:02.440the party you see all the knees bending where street is like oh yeah i fold let let him go even0.95
00:51:07.740lammy oh yeah definitely andy burnham could just be coronated and these are all starmers like you
00:51:13.900know close they're in his government right now so this is the thing that makes me think that a
00:51:18.400because i had previously said that there was no way there's going to be a general election off
00:51:22.300the back of a leadership change i mean maybe and the reason i said that is because nobody would be
00:51:27.260able to win the leadership without saying don't saying to at least 150 labor mps if not 250 labor
00:51:35.300mps if not 397 labor mps um you're going to lose your seat if i do this because the support for him
00:51:43.600is so overwhelming from labor mps he can actually now push for a general election if he wanted to
00:51:49.900on the other side it becomes a possibility i suppose the thing to look for is how does this
00:51:55.020affect labor in the polls does the labor i mean it's bound to get some improvement i've seen
00:51:59.680estimates of like a six percent bump in the polls which would put them on about 24 percent that's
00:52:05.740not great right no like that that no that is that's still bad yeah that's that's that's not
00:52:11.760that's probably not winning and not not unless something weird happens on the right of politics
00:52:17.000yeah um it's like he would have to get a significant but the thing is it's not impossible
00:52:22.440that he gets one no because he is far more likable than kiss and again another couple
00:52:27.620of quick historical analogies there so gordon brown did not take an early election when he
00:52:33.280took over and it really cost him the narrative turned against him he should have taken an early
00:52:38.080election but the counterpoint is uh to mention theresa may again she did have an early election0.58
00:52:43.120when she changed into into the leadership um and she you know pissed away a majority for a
00:52:49.680barely workable majority than it was torturous for ever since after that so
00:52:53.720which way we'll go i don't know i'm just saying that a i i no longer think that a general election
00:53:00.080is off the table yeah i i mean i don't know i mean really up to burnham personally i think
00:53:08.720that the side that the scale of the makefield victory for burnham has made it so now he is the
00:53:16.040driving force of the labor party by far all of his his opponent has conceded um all of his
00:53:23.120opponent's lieutenants are bending the knee and just being like yeah no we're packing in yep it's
00:53:28.020andy burnham you're you're the king of the labor party now it's like okay so that that's great
00:53:32.640if he needed an election to gain control of his party that's a problem that he solved he doesn't
00:53:37.760need to do that i think he's going to be relatively unchallenged because obviously every the reason
00:53:41.720this is necessary is because uh annie burnham was watching the labor party cratering and if the labor
00:53:46.060i mean this was probably going to be the last labor government and if annie burnham doesn't
00:53:50.240pull this across then the labor party itself will just die and that is a part of the tradition of
00:53:57.020the north it's their ancestral party it is their party having these southern lawyers hijack it from
00:54:03.400them and then destroy it so they can never rise again that's a horrible thing again i'm not a
00:54:08.780labor voter because i'm not from the north but like you know i i can see why they'd be bothered
00:54:14.860about this and why they don't want that to happen because whether you like it or not it's theirs
00:54:19.040uh anyway so what what can we expect from andy burnham well um what was this just an empty tweet
00:54:27.200what was that i saw it as he deleted it yeah uh that that was supposed to be andy burnham
00:54:34.520congratulating kirsten oh there we go uh yeah so right yeah there we go so um andy burnham is
00:54:40.960already taking a magnanimous victorious position here right kira has given huge service to our
00:54:46.800country and i want to thank him for his leadership and dedication during such challenging period
00:54:50.180what a generous thing to say because kirsten was why it was such a challenging period
00:54:54.900is why everyone hates the Labour Party is why the Labour Party is about to die right yes so
00:55:01.060anyway the point being he's being magnanimous right Keir Starmer was not magnanimous he kicked
00:55:06.000Jeremy Corbyn out ruthlessly he nearly kicked Diane Abbott out it's amazing John McDonnell still
00:55:11.320in another part of the Starmer speech that wasn't in the clip that you played just a minute ago
00:55:14.780when actually who was he going after in his speech it it was it was actually the Labour left he was
00:55:20.040still going after the labour left anti-semitism you know like yeah yeah absolutely burnham is not
00:55:25.380being like that so burnham has legitimacy right because he's being magnanimous because he feels
00:55:31.360legitimate and this is the right way to approach this no i am the true king of the labour party
00:55:36.400i have arrived i don't even need to put my enemies to death i'm that legitimate well not not when
00:55:42.920they're all bending the knee exactly but i and actually if all of them bend the knee he could
00:55:47.040be prime minister a week tomorrow or a week exactly a week after this comes out yeah in
00:55:52.440was it two weeks something like that they're gonna have a formal leadership election well
00:55:56.960only if people stand in it yeah yeah ninth of july i think so if no one stands in it it could
00:56:00.800be very quick exactly and it honestly could be the well there isn't anyone who wants to challenge
00:56:05.000him actually because west streeting was one of the few other people was like yeah i'll put my
00:56:08.240hat in the ring no no i've conceded being the labor party they do feel slightly embarrassed
00:56:12.900that they haven't had a woman prime minister and they haven't had an ethnic candidate it's always
00:56:17.920a white man so there will but so there will be some pressure to find a either a woman or an
00:56:25.160ethnic minority but labor they always go for a white man so they're probably just have him
00:56:30.660yeah and the thing is what i think there's a sense of urgency in labor at the moment
00:56:34.980yeah they should be yeah exactly they're looking at the polling like god we've got three years and
00:56:39.180them with dead just dead party so i genuinely think it's entirely likely we see that essentially
00:56:45.500this good no no i'm not both of them contesting it you know the people who said they were going
00:56:49.280to contest it have already conceded andy burnham probably is just coronated as people say and he's
00:56:55.000taking the magnanimous um perspective in yeah no i don't need to kick his thumb right even though
00:57:00.300look at what he's done to us look at what he's done to the country look at what you know you
00:57:04.180could easily if you were feeling vengeful just be like no you're out it would be i'll even let
00:57:09.860jeremy corbyn back in yes it would be it would be very funny if starmer got the corbyn treatment
00:57:14.460would be symbolic right yes i suspect that bernard might well let corbyn back in actually well i mean
00:57:19.500that would be a smart move because yeah the the reason why labour is in so much trouble is because
00:57:23.720it's losing i think it's 18 of its vote to the left to the greens and 17 to the right or maybe
00:57:29.920the other way around the point is they're being split off on both sides you you can't do much
00:57:35.560about the right but what you can do is you can shore up the left and you can make the labor the
00:57:41.320big tent of the left again and all you've got to do is let in was it zawa soltano and corbyn and
00:57:46.700whatever else maybe even offer zach bloody polanski a position honestly not the not
00:57:52.680unreasonable or unrealistic to think they will do this but you're absolutely right they need to
00:57:57.040rebuild the coalition and burnham blair had corbyn in absolutely absolutely corbyn won the
00:58:02.380leadership only a few years ago yep only you know less than 10 years ago jeremy corbyn was the leader
00:58:07.040of the party blair made made no effort to get rid of the left of his party he simply simply said no
00:58:12.760to them but starmer took it to its logical conclusion if you're going to say no to these
00:58:16.520people why don't you just kick them out of the party entirely and the reason you don't do that
00:58:20.080is because then you get the green party it breaks your coalition yes your coalition goes and this
00:58:25.320is what Nigel Farage should have learned regarding Rupert Lowe exactly he was the right of your
00:58:30.260party he was part of your coalition you got frightened and instead of just saying no to him
00:58:35.740because he you could have done he couldn't have taken over the party unlike Jeremy Corbyn no you
00:58:40.320kicked him out because you're afraid of him you were like split your coalition you were fragile
00:58:44.440like Keir Starmer look what it's look what it's doing now right Rupert Lowe is on the very same
00:58:49.500journey to become the king of the right after Nigel Farage now obviously we're a few years behind
00:58:54.560because Labour have been in advanced position on this on us but we're in we're in exactly the same
00:58:59.440journey that Andy Burnham's going on right now right uh and so yeah he's he's approached it
00:59:05.220magnanimously and you know you can be like well he's the king of the HR Karens yeah he is he is
00:59:11.480absolutely the king of the HR Karens just before this photo was taken Andy shouted out hands up
00:59:16.160if you've ever run a business yes uh I saw that tweet going around and there's I think it's the
00:59:21.760woman right at the front there with the blonde hair actually retweeted and said i ran a business i
00:59:25.720didn't look like you know good for her the one labor mp who ran a business hats it hats it burn
00:59:31.140burns i'd not tosh is it yeah yeah yeah yeah um but the point is yeah he's king of the hr karens
00:59:37.420but he is the guy who has the legitimacy in the labor party he's won everything they all love him
00:59:43.620they're like thank god andy's gonna pull our skins out of the fire you know um and so yeah
00:59:49.460what can we expect from him well um it's just frankly socialism yeah yeah i mean just
00:59:58.900so as they say in this right uh business friends business friendly socialism it's just an extension
01:00:06.000of keynesianism uh crosslandite middle way socialism and third way before it is is a viable
01:00:12.380political idea we're told by the observer um credit to burnham for advancing it uh rather