Join me for a very special episode of Epochs, where I am joined by Godfrey Bloom to talk all about money, the history of money and the financial markets, gold and much more. Godfrey is an expert on it all, and has been in the financial services industry for a good 20 years, so I thought it would be fun to have a chat about it.
00:03:41.100Right. So that could be anything, that could be a stick with notches on it, a tally stick, couldn't it?
00:03:46.100It could. And funny as you say that, you might know why you're leading me onto the
00:03:51.340guns here, but the Sumerians used tally sticks for 200 years. So tally sticks were
00:03:58.540actually used. And it's the only thing that I know of historical money, which
00:04:05.340hasn't had an intrinsic value. And that is really weird. So there's no intrinsic
00:04:11.780value. So it was a sort of forerunner, perhaps, of Bitcoin, I don't know. But so
00:04:15.940the tally sticks and the Sumerians, but it's not... I was reading something the other day, they were still using tally sticks in the age of
00:04:20.540Henry the second and King John. Ah, yes, they were. But of course, there was money as well.
00:04:25.540Yes, it was fact that was an accounting system rather than money. It was an accounting system.
00:04:32.540But yeah, these things are all fascinating. But if you've got, if you go back to moving on from the Sumerians, you go on to the Greek drachma, for example, which was real money, silver, and then you go on to the Roman Empire, and you have the denarius and stuff like this is your field, of course.
00:04:53.540I've been doing a thing on Crassus recently, they often talk about talents in that.
00:04:57.540Yes. Talents of silver, talents of gold.
00:04:59.540Yes. And of course, that then brings you, that's hard money, that's real money, silver coin or gold coin, and silver coin is fine too, because it's a precious metal, and that makes it right.
00:05:12.540And then of course, now I'm drifting into your subject again here, what actually brought down the Roman Empire, they did two things, of course, they degraded their currency.
00:05:22.540By putting alloy in it, so the denarius was degraded by alloy, and of course, they couldn't defend their borders.
00:05:28.540Now, here's a wonderful historical feature of this is if you degrade your currency and can't protect your borders, your empire collapses, and we are seeing that now, big style, we're seeing that in America in particular, and we're seeing on a smaller scale in Europe.
00:05:43.540So this is the sort of problem we have. Then if you fast forward your coins to Henry VIII, and Henry VIII clip coins as well, to fight wars, and he clip coins and debased the currency.
00:06:01.540And of course, he was followed by the formation of the Bank under Queen Elizabeth I, Thomas Gresham, on the famous economic thing, good money forces out bad.
00:06:17.540And of course, we've had Gresham actually put that right by making the money right. So we saw the degradation of money, if you counterfeited money in the Middle Ages, the punishment was that you had your hands chopped off.
00:06:34.540They actually chopped off. This is in England, by the way. They chopped off your hands for counterfeiting money.
00:06:39.540And of course, I'll come on to that in a minute.
00:06:41.540There's a story from Edward I or Edward III, I can't quite remember, but they found out that the Royal Mint was sort of debasing the money.
00:06:51.540And yeah, a lot of people lost their hands and or lives.
00:06:54.540Yes. And of course, the first man, the Royal Mint, and it was Isaac Newton that took over the first Royal Mint and started to get, you know, the original
00:07:05.540Can I ask you a quick thing, just before we get to sort of the Bank of England, the Elizabethan age, there was, of course, and that's the Bank of England.
00:07:11.540There was banking, if not central banking for that, for example, the Medici family, and there were banks even before them.
00:07:19.540I mean, banks, not necessarily as we know, not like a high street bank.
00:08:32.540We had the South Sea bubble, which didn't collapse, perhaps the currency, but collapsed, you know, and black tulips and Amsterdam and all these things.
00:10:02.540They can't, they can't degrade it at all.
00:10:05.540So, which is why, and certainly if I'm ever speaking to undergrad, where I'm not, universities where I'm not banned, for intimidating undergraduates by talking about things like Lord Salisbury.
00:10:19.540So, you have these, you have these situations where, you know, your money, what is money, how does it work?
00:10:28.540Now, if, let's say we accept the argument and it's not an unreasonable argument, that gold is a heavy metal and it makes, it doesn't make sense to lug it about too much in the old days when it's dangerous and transport and so much better.
00:10:46.540Much better if you can get a note from, in those days, it was goldsmiths.
00:10:55.540In point of fact, you had a note and then banking sort of morphed into that.
00:10:59.540So you've given it rather than lugging your, your brick of gold around with you, you had a note.
00:11:06.540So you only had a note and you could claim the note, either the gold, the gold bullion dealers or the bank.
00:11:15.540They morphed into banks, they became banks.
00:11:18.540And so they would have the gold in their vault.
00:11:23.540And you would then be able to go and call and get your gold in specie from that bank.
00:12:58.540But it did mean if there was, if people felt that the pound notes or the five pound notes or the promissory notes were dodgy or they didn't like it,
00:13:07.540and they'd come and get their money out, it would very soon, if you had a run on the bank, they'd soon finish with the gold.
00:13:12.540So you had a problem then because it wasn't 100% backed.
00:13:27.540So if, for example, we came off, we went back onto the gold standard in 1819 after the Napoleonic Wars, which we had to come off, because you can't fight wars.
00:13:43.540But if you come off the gold standard, the reasons that you come off the gold standard, any country comes off the gold standard, Britain in particular, is to fight a war.
00:13:50.540And that's the time, you know, that's the same from Henry VIII onwards.
00:15:40.540So when we went on to the sovereign and the sovereign started appearing in 1820 and all the way through to 1914, and that's that was the basic coin of the realm in gold.
00:15:57.540That was that made a loaf of bread in 1820 was the same price as it was in 1914.
00:16:18.540It's physically impossible for you to do that.
00:16:20.540So and if you look, I would argue now, I would argue that perhaps from the 20th century, the staple commodity, the core global commodity would be oil.
00:16:34.540And if you look at a graphics showing you oil per barrel in gold, it's a flat line.
00:17:47.540I mean, of course we can have more, find more gold mines and dig up more gold, but essentially it's finite.
00:17:52.540And that there's, you don't really need to be, you don't really, it's obvious that it's precious.
00:18:01.540And that people in the Dark Ages, the so-called Dark Ages after the collapse of the Roman Empire in the West, it was obvious that the only thing these people wanted, the barbarians of the sixth and seventh and eighth century, all they coveted really was gold.
00:18:16.540They liked things like amber and garnets and things, but it was gold.
00:18:21.540It was gold because it doesn't matter if you're in ancient Sumeria or the 21st century, it's valuable.
00:18:34.540And of course, the Egyptian tombs, it's got, they didn't have gold, to our knowledge, didn't have gold coins, but anything of value, statues and chariots or whatever it happened to be, you know, gold or gold fittings on it.
00:18:46.540It's always considered all those years.
00:18:52.540And so we have this historical dimension that for 5,000 years, it's been a precious metal, only perhaps in coin form for a few thousand years, but that's good enough historically.
00:19:05.540Because when you hold it in your hand, it's so heavy, it feels different to, it's surprisingly heavy, isn't it?
00:19:26.540You know, they feel like a good thing.
00:19:28.540So yeah, gold is a very tactile thing.
00:19:30.540There's one last thing I'd like to ask before we go on with the history of it.
00:19:33.540I've heard it said, and this is one of those facts, quote unquote facts, which I find difficult to believe, although I don't question it, because I'm sure people know better than I do.
00:19:41.540But I've heard that all the gold ever quarried, ever mined in the whole world, if you put it all together in one place, it would fill one Olympic-sized swimming pool.
00:20:00.540There's actually not a huge amount of it.
00:20:03.540Nearly all the gold ever mined is still in existence, for obvious reasons.
00:20:07.540That which didn't go to the bottom of the sea in transit, which hasn't ever been found, but that's not a great deal.
00:20:14.540So you do have this fascinating situation that gold mined a year is about 2% or so of what is the available stock of gold, which means it's varied.
00:20:31.540People say, oh, yes, I know, they mine it, so it should deflate by 2% a year, but it doesn't.
00:20:38.540It's never worked like that because people hold it.
00:20:48.540Well, this is the fascinating part about it, but it is a store of wealth, and that's what we're looking at at money.
00:20:56.540It's a medium of exchange, a store of wealth, and gold does that.
00:21:03.540Silver, of course, we might argue with silver coinage, and that's been very prevalent in European history, the silver coin.
00:21:12.540And that is also, of course, an industrial metal, and it doesn't behave quite in the same way.
00:21:19.540It does. If you go back long enough, you find there's a dynamic between the two, but that hasn't been around for several decades.
00:21:26.540And we're expecting that when I say we, the city and Wall Street, we're expecting that to change because it's grossly silver now is really, really undervalued.
00:21:36.540It's about sort of whatever it's $30 an ounce or something.
00:23:05.540And we were talking about if our society, just before we started recording, if our society did completely collapse and we went back to a barter system,
00:23:12.540you would probably want to physically have gold, silver coins.
00:24:33.540OK, what happens when your your gold bullion dealer or your in those days, you know, your Huguenots, who were your gold people in the main morphing into banks, turning slowly into banks, modern banks as we understand them now.
00:24:54.540So they've got this gold in their vault.
00:24:57.540It's doing nothing until somebody comes along and claims it.
00:25:00.540So the temptation for the bank is to lend it or sell it otherwise, knowing that not everybody's going to turn up on the doorstep wanting it back.
00:25:10.540And this is the first time we see, if you will, the counterfeiting, the counterfeiting of currency.
00:25:20.540And even if it had a 40 percent or 50 percent backing in gold, that's OK, that works.
00:25:28.540And history shows you can pretty well make that work.
00:25:31.540But of course, your problem again is when it comes to warfare, when it's war, you have to go off the gold standard because you have to you have to print money.
00:25:39.540Without paper money, there would be no wars because nobody could afford to fight a war.
00:25:46.540It's only when you counterfeit and fake the currency.
00:25:49.540That's where things start to go wrong.
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