00:04:41.120I'm going to give it a cuddle after this podcast is done.
00:04:44.380And you can buy them on the website for $14.99.
00:04:47.800Anyway, on to the news that I was talking about.
00:04:50.520So let's just go through some of the updates that have been going on with Ukraine, Russia at the moment.
00:04:55.800And there is a lot of negotiations going on.
00:04:59.880I believe that Keir Starmer, if he hasn't already, will be meeting up with Trump today.
00:05:05.440And that is what some of the negotiations are going to be based around.
00:05:08.800And where one of the main articles that I'm going to be looking at is focused on as well.
00:05:12.880Because our old pal William Hague, everybody's favorite Tory, has some encouraging words of advice for Keir Starmer on how he's going to pull Trump away from the brink of peace and get him back onto the war path.
00:05:57.740So obviously when they meet up today, it's going to be the number one item is Ukraine.
00:06:03.280And there's been some statements made about it, which is that the annexed Ukrainian territory, which I believe is about 15% of Ukraine's total landmass, which has been annexed by Russia, is completely non-negotiable.
00:06:15.820They've taken about five Ukrainian regions and they're saying, well, we're not giving them back.
00:06:27.360And when eventually Ukraine inevitably surrenders some territory to Russia, they're going to be like, well, I said that they shouldn't surrender anything.
00:06:36.600I think that that's part of it because realistically, they're not actually thinking that that's a feasible outcome for Russia, are they?
00:06:45.740Potentially, but still, at the same time, yeah, Russia is one.
00:06:51.500I don't know if you could make any kind of argument to Ukraine being able to make any kind of credible comeback in the conflict at the moment without actively involving other European nations on the ground.
00:07:05.260I mean, Ukraine has not been fully invaded.
00:07:12.260I don't know if you could make any kind of thing.
00:07:13.260I think politically is a bit difficult because I've heard Zelensky say, and I don't think he's lying, that he's not allowed.
00:07:22.540Like, he's constitutionally not allowed to accept that loss of land.
00:07:27.360So whether Ukraine will have to change government or they'll have to change something in the letter of the law of their constitution or something,
00:07:35.700because if the Kremlin just simply won't budge, which they won't, right, they just simply won't.
00:07:41.620So that's their sort of immovable object.
00:07:46.140Then, and Ukraine's got something similar, politically speaking, then someone somewhere along the line has got to give,
00:07:53.340and it will almost certainly have to be the Ukrainian side of the ledger.
00:07:57.240But if by law, the Ukrainian president, whoever that might be, or their government is not allowed to do it,
00:08:03.540then there'll have to be some sort of workaround.
00:08:06.700I mean, I'm kind of stating the obvious there, but how it will actually play out, how they'll do it, I don't really know.
00:08:13.760I think what's going to happen is Zelensky's going to step down, and there's going to be some sort of election about them.
00:09:18.160Boris Johnson, you know, one of the men who was one of the architects of keeping the conflict going to the point where it's got right now.
00:09:23.540Now that Ukraine is going to have to potentially, as well as giving up a load of its own territory, going to have to give up the rights to the minerals that are on its land.
00:09:33.160Boris Johnson's like, two thumbs up, asset strip that place for all it's worth.
00:09:45.140And the rest of the European establishment don't like to be kept out of this.
00:09:51.260They don't like that they are not getting much of a place on the table.
00:09:54.600That's why Keir Starmer's going to meet with Trump today.
00:09:56.920And that's why a lot of the EU Council, the President Antonio Costa, said on Thursday that he'd invited Zelensky to a special summit of EU leaders on March the 6th to discuss future support to Ukraine.
00:10:09.720The EU and its member states are ready to take more responsibility for Europe's security.
00:10:14.440We should therefore be prepared for a possible European contribution to the security guarantees that will be necessary to ensure a lasting peace in Ukraine.
00:10:21.820At the same time, Finland has agreed that they are going to pledge 660 million euros in military equipment to Ukraine.
00:10:30.780And, of course, as well, Starmer is going to host Zelensky and the other European leaders at a London summit because Zelensky is going to meet with Keir Starmer on Sunday.
00:10:42.440So, within Europe, there's a lot of planning going around because I've mentioned it many times before on this.
00:10:47.500It seems that the US is less interested in keeping this conflict going on now.
00:10:53.040They've had the regime change into Donald Trump.
00:10:55.660He didn't want this sort of conflict going on in the first place.
00:10:58.240Very famously, he was saying that if he'd been president back in 2022 when this conflict started, it never would have begun in the first place.
00:11:04.580So, he's not interested in continuing to sink resources into it.
00:11:08.080And, in fact, he seems to be very interested in getting as many resources out of it as possible.
00:11:13.840Now, the Ukraine-US minerals deal is being brokered at the moment.
00:11:19.220I don't know if it's exactly been signed yet, but there is some information that we know that is available to us.
00:11:25.400So, he's going to meet with Trump on Friday, Zelensky is, to sign an agreement that will give the US access to its deposits of rare-earth minerals.
00:11:34.480Zelensky said that he hoped the preliminary agreement with the US will lead to further deals, but has confirmed no American security guarantees that have been agreed to yet.
00:11:42.700So, if there are security guarantees, it does look like they might have to come from Europe itself in a peace transition period.
00:11:50.420Trump said that a deal would help American taxpayers get their money back for aid sent to Ukraine throughout the war, but said the responsibility of Kiev security should fall on Europe.
00:11:59.360Because Donald Trump has said, what, that they sent off $500 billion worth of aid to Ukraine, which I don't know how accurate that is.
00:12:07.180It's a very, very contested number, but he's trying to get everything that he can.
00:12:10.920Yeah, I think he's got his businessman's cap on, hasn't he?
00:12:14.000He's thinking about value for money for a business deal.
00:12:16.960That seems to be the terms in which he's sort of framing it in.
00:12:19.800Like, we've given you some money, we want something in return.
00:12:22.660And, I mean, it sounds like they're probably going to get a pretty good deal out of it,
00:12:27.040that they get minerals that they don't have to pay to defend,
00:12:30.100because it's going to be European militaries that are protecting Ukraine once there is peace brokered.
00:18:18.040Churchill, as long as you are in favour of a war somewhere, anywhere, that makes you a freedom fighter, that makes you Winston Churchill, greatest Britain to ever live.
00:18:28.840If you say, maybe this war is lost and we need to wind this up, then you're a Neville Chamberlain, which is just a cynic.
00:18:48.620It is pathetic and sad and annoying, the endless parallels with Hitler, Chamberlain and Churchill.
00:18:55.460You remember when Zelensky went over to Congress, like, what, a couple of years ago now?
00:18:59.600And Nancy Pelosi and Chuck Schumer and a number of others, literally and explicitly a number of times said, he is the Churchill of our age.
00:19:09.920There have been wars since then that we don't evoke.
00:19:14.400I mean, I don't know why you'd want to evoke the Vietnam War in such a way, for instance.
00:19:19.240But I think it's the fact that it's been presented as the good war means that it can always be used as, like, basically a mind virus to get people to think, well, this will be my good war.
00:19:36.340Because they are all examples of war being bloody and hopeless and, in many cases, ultimately pointless, especially when America is the one getting involved in these foreign conflicts.
00:19:48.600But they can always just point to World War II and see, that was the good one.
00:19:54.000We did the good things in that one, so we'll do the good things this time and it won't end up like all the other disasters.
00:19:59.900We definitely haven't pushed Ukraine into escalating and continuing a war that could have wound up a few months into the initial conflict, losing them thousands and thousands of men, making the women flee as refugees to foreign countries across Europe, and now are asset-stripping the place.
00:20:25.500And if they're drawing parallels to World War II, well, hasn't all of Europe lost here as well?
00:20:32.280Because we've pumped lots of resources into a country.
00:20:35.240I understand that there's talk of it potentially coming back to us eventually, in that they were saying that there were loans.
00:20:41.740I think there's some discussion whether the money that was given by the US and Europe counted as a grant or a loan.
00:20:49.320So there's some haggling being done over how much actually needs to be paid back in many cases.
00:20:54.780But at the minute, it seems like all of Europe is out of pocket and the US is getting something in return, whereas we're, again, on the hook for all of this stuff, it seems like.
00:35:48.820We actually talked about cargo cults, didn't we?
00:35:52.440In the Andaman Islands, in one of my contemplation series on the website.
00:35:57.840And they believed that all of the goods that the Americans had in World War II, they were on the island, and they saw all of this advanced technology.
00:36:50.260A government that's trying to steal their stuff?
00:36:52.020So, it was South Africa's ex-president, Jacob Zuma, who's got the backing of the Zulus, filed a treason complaint against AfriForum, which is an Afrikaans group.
00:37:37.840It's just black people want to take stuff from white people.
00:37:40.700And they feel like they deserve it because they don't understand the work that went into creating the civilization that they can neither understand nor recreate themselves.
00:38:20.060But, I mean, surely, like, if they want to make that argument, it's the Coy and people like that who should have a say.
00:38:26.000Not that I think they should steal it.
00:38:27.980We're seeing things like this, where they're reporting on the majority of farm ownership here, 72% white, which is why the farms grow food.
00:38:51.900I saw this about a while ago now, maybe three or four years ago, something in that ballpark, it was that the farm murders were getting a bit of traction in some of the mainstream media.
00:39:00.500So the BBC put out a big piece about how, actually, if there's any large-scale murdering, organised murders going on, it's against black people in South Africa.
00:39:11.780Well, we'll soon see from a black man in South Africa that that's not true.
00:39:16.120But I'm not going to get onto that quite yet, because it seems like they're trying to respond and sort of fob off Trump, which is not going to be a smart move, by deliberately going to get nuclear deals with Iran and Russia.
00:39:30.220It's like a thumbing their nose at this, because this was only a few days after Trump said what he did.
00:39:36.840And it's very obvious to me that they're going to turn to them and rub the US's nose in it.
00:39:43.560But it's a very flawed strategy, really.
00:39:47.880They're just going to alienate themselves from a lot of the world that they rely on.
00:39:51.700Back in the 90s, in the Blair era, they did, Britain and the United States as some sort of bloc, did deals with both South Africa, the Nelson Mandela South Africa, and Libya, when they still had Gaddafi.
00:40:07.300They did deals of, we'll give you all sorts of stuff, but just don't start a nuclear, like a uranium or plutonium enrichment program.
00:40:59.460So this guy, he's, I think he's the top guy in the police in KwaZulu-Natal,
00:41:06.880which is where all of the Zulus are, in the east of the country.
00:41:09.760And I'm going to play a short bit of this, just to hear what he's saying, because in the current political climate in South Africa, this was quite impressive.
00:41:19.820I said, oh, I'm going to skip it ahead a little bit.
00:46:17.120We've talked about this before, haven't we?
00:46:18.780When we talked about the evolution of humanity.
00:46:22.060That there's this ghost species that exists in Africa.
00:46:25.860And also there was some interbreeding between modern homo sapiens in Africa and also homo erectus that preceded them as well.
00:46:36.420There's an overlapping period and that could be traced.
00:46:39.000Well, it's just really, really complicated, isn't it?
00:46:40.960There's the old, now really out of date, out of Africa hypothesis where there's Australopithecus and there's like a single African mother from which everyone is descended.
00:47:14.740This is a gate between, I think, their bedrooms from the rest of the house.
00:47:21.040So they had to turn their own home into a prison because of this sort of thing.
00:47:26.480And then, of course, if you point this out, the ADL will call you racist and obsessed with the white genocide that they put in quotation marks.
00:47:36.160But it's undeniably happening, let's be honest.
00:47:38.600And there are possible issues for the government in South Africa, thankfully.
00:47:46.880They've postponed their budget for the first time because they're in a coalition government for the first time since the end of apartheid.
00:47:54.860And basically the pro-business DA, Democratic Alliance, and also some of the ANC itself have objected to a proposal to increase VAT by 2% to 17%.
00:48:05.660And this has basically scuppered their entire budget.
00:48:09.020And Ramaphosa here explicitly said about this crisis that budget fallouts are how governments collapse and brought up Germany.
00:48:19.580There are other examples as well, some in Africa.
00:48:22.400I think it was, where was it, Kenya, I think?
00:48:28.500But even he's acknowledged, listen, this is an existential threat to our government here.
00:48:33.160So it is entirely possible that if they don't come to terms on this budget, then the ANC could be out of power for the first time since 1994, which would be massive.
00:48:43.920Whether a worse party takes their place is, you know, difficult to say.
00:49:09.180There are some parties there that aren't as bad.
00:49:11.880But there's no clear frontrunner to my mind that would be a party where if they enacted their policies in Britain, we'd be like, yeah, they're great.
00:49:20.320We haven't got one of those here, have we?
00:50:56.200But it's got to the point where even hospitals in Johannesburg, in the city of Johannesburg, are not able to maintain their electricity because before they were trying to insulate, this was from 2023, that they were trying to insulate lots of hospitals from all of the power outages and making them exempt.
00:51:17.500But it's to the point now where lots of hospitals are not exempt from load shedding, as they call it, but actually it's just they don't have enough power to power the entire country because it's approaching being a complete failed state.
00:51:33.000And you can even see it in their education.
00:51:36.720So apparently 80% of grade 3 pupils still cannot read for meaning, as in they can't read and understand the meaning behind it.
00:51:45.800And I think it was only 17% possess the expected foundational knowledge and skills, and only 3% demonstrate advanced reading comprehension, which, if you want a functioning country, is not a good thing.
00:52:36.880Uranium ore and a pickaxe is all you need to start to make a nuclear explosion.
00:52:38.940That's what they were trying to do, they weren't trying to dig up the roads, they'd put some uranium down and they were trying to set it off.
01:09:00.720Well, the unfortunate thing is that you don't even have to have done anything wrong.
01:09:05.880Not that I think, you know, criticising Islam is doing anything wrong in the first place.
01:09:09.400But you can just be walking down the street in Germany.
01:09:13.620You could be, you know, in Belgium or France or England.
01:09:17.940You could be in any one of these places and have done nothing to a Muslim, and they will kill you just for the crime of not being one of them.
01:09:26.760You don't have to have done anything anymore.
01:10:07.680He said that the literal mind, i.e. someone like the Salman Rushdie attacker, the literal mind does not understand the ironic mind, and in fact always sees it as a source of danger.
01:10:18.560You're not allowed to write a novel that someone like the Ayatollah considers to be blasphemous.
01:10:30.400It's just barbaric, isn't it, that people allow this to happen as well and try and bend over backwards to justify it because of their own moral failings.
01:10:39.820And these people are still allowed to have a position in civil society and aren't laughed out of the room for being a pathetic coward.