The Podcast of the Lotus Eaters #1308
Episode Stats
Length
1 hour and 36 minutes
Words per Minute
165.73872
Summary
In this episode, we discuss the rise of the far-right Alternative for Germany (AFD) party, and what it means for the future of Western politics in general. We also discuss how to deal with the growing threat posed by the AFD.
Transcript
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Hello everyone, welcome to the podcast of the Lotus Seaters.
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I'm your host Stelios and I'm joined today by Josh and Dan.
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And we're going to discuss the European establishment's panic about the rise of the AFD, what this shows
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about Western politics and how to fix Germany and Europe and the West.
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I'm going to give you some suggestions because I don't like always whining all the time without
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No, it's a bit more complicated than that, but not very complicated.
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We are going to talk about the AFD and what is happening with it.
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Then use this as a springboard for discussion about European politics and Western politics
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and discuss about some very worrying trends displayed in Western politics and especially
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how the establishment is trying to guide the narrative and guide people's attention towards
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these particular matters and try to obfuscate the actual issues.
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So I'm going to start talking about the AFD and everyone is panicking about it, about its rise.
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And let me show you in the federal elections of 2021, they scored 10.2 percent.
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It's not bad, but it's still not enough necessarily to be the dominant force in politics, certainly
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And of course, it's worth mentioning if you're from outside of Europe, lots of continental
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European countries have more representative systems.
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And so there are lots of multiple parties in which they have to go into coalition with
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It's basically impossible in the German system to have a majority government.
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I think their sort of federal chambers operate on a system where half of it is elected by
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the region as a first part of the post, but the other half is a party list.
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So you're guaranteed to have a coalition of some sort.
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But I mean, that stat that you just showed us with the 10 percent, I mean, back when that
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happened, all the other parties basically went out and said, OK, well, we're going to never
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work with the AFD, we're going to give a commitment that we will never form a coalition with them.
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Now, you can get away with that when they're scoring 10 percent.
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So hopefully for their benefit, it hasn't gone up since then.
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No, it has gone up because I showed you the 2021 federal elections.
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In the 2025 federal elections, they scored 20.1.
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And right now they are scoring really well on the polls.
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Well, the Germans used to be quite good at making things.
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So right now we have 26 percent, the AFD, according to some polls, ahead of the coalition
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CDU, CSU, which is supposed to be the sort of center-right coalition, something like the
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But the thing is, one of the important things is a lot of these continental parties, obviously,
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they need to go into coalition with their more center-right sort of, I want to say comrades,
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But the problem is that, as we've seen as a sort of demonstrable trend, particularly in
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France, is that all parties will try and gatekeep out the most right-wing party, and they'll
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go into coalition with people who would normally be their political enemies, but it's sort of
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like a no enemies to my left scenario, whereby as long as the nasty right-wing party's not getting
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You can see this with the deal Macron did with some very left-wing...
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Well, in the case of Germany, this is leading these nonsense situations where you've got
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the CDU, which, like you say, is some version of the Tories.
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I mean, it's really the Church of Merkel, is what it is.
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They started off as a sort of Christian-Conservative party, but they sort of abandoned basically
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They're going into alliance with the SDP, the sort of German Labour, but also the FDP
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go in there, who are supposed to be sort of, you know, free marketeers, and the bloody
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Green Party, they're all about de-industrialisation in the industrial heartland of Europe.
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So you get these nonsensical coalitions being formed just to try and keep the AFDO.
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And I mean, I know you're talking about the federal elections here, but I mean, it's even
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And in the case of the eastern part of Germany, the former eastern states, you know, AFD is
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now regularly getting, you know, well above 30 percent.
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Yeah, it has won in several regional elections.
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Not quite the same as winning, because they get blocked out, so they don't actually form
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So what both of you are talking about is the coalition.
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And this is one of the major issues in German politics, and this is one of the reasons why
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the AFD is rising all the time, because these coalitions form together and everyone sees
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And it is usually an issue of who just leads the coalition, because before we had the SPD
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Now they lost, and we have the CDU leading the coalition, but they are governing with the
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So it looks like they are just in it together, and they form the establishment, what in some
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circles some people discuss as the uniparty, and all that actually changes is who leads
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it, whether it's going to be the leader of the more centre-right or the leader of the
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And the absurd thing here is as well that it's basically a coalition of neoliberals, and
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they're gatekeeping out the AFD, trying to make out that they're the scary far-right
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They're basically the National Socialists all over again, when actually you read their
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They're still within the liberal framework of Germany, which its constitution enforces.
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I mean, I'm not going to use the term neoliberal to discuss them, because I think that's a BS term
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that the left is using all the time to discuss, to describe everything they dislike, just
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like some right-wingers use liberalism to describe anything they dislike.
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But yeah, we do have, let's say, social democrats and centre-right people, and the centre-right
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in Europe seems to be ideologically tied in a sort of, not ideologically, but habitually
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tied in a long process of trying to signal virtue to the centre-left.
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So we have, just like the Tories right now, they try to out-left Labour.
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Lots of centre-right conservatives, within quotation marks, in Europe are trying to show that they
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But they're only centre-right, really, in the existing paradigm of politics.
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They're not necessarily, if you look at the vast sum of all that is possible in the world
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of politics, they wouldn't necessarily be classified as centre-right.
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Even if you look, I don't know, 70 years ago, they'd be seen as radically left-wing, wouldn't
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Are you hinting that no extant German political party has what it takes to save Germany at
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Well, I think their best chance is potentially the AFD, but I understand that their hands
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are somewhat tied, given the way in which Germany is structured post-war.
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Right, so here we have another poll that says that the AFD scores 27%.
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There are several polls that say that it's, right now, the number one party in Germany.
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In the federal elections I showed before of 2021, they were at 10.2%.
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No, actually, they more than doubled their percentage.
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Which means that unless the CDU change course, yeah, the rise of the AFD will keep happening.
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And people like Robin Brooks are asking themselves,
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What policies will stop the inexorable rise of the AFD, which is heading for 30% in the
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This will literally tip Europe if it continues.
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Germany, with AFD in government, won't stand up to Russia.
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I mean, that would be some major geological change if that were to happen.
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But the point he's making isn't necessarily untrue.
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That with the AFD leading in Germany, Germany tended to be the sort of, it tends to be the
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center of Europe, both geographically and politically a lot of the time.
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And I think that that's why it has that power in the first place, is that it has the economic
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Of course, this is also waning, but still the rest of Europe isn't exactly doing too well
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So there are two border countries with Germany that seem to be doing okay.
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Although, of course, there are questions about the migration to both of those still.
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Yeah, I think that this rises in some respects really close to the rise of reform in the UK.
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And if we are to make this, let's say, analogy, we have to ask, you know, what sort of people
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vote for reform or who wants to go and vote for reform?
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And I think that something very similar happens in Germany.
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Well, I mean, the polling in both cases is led by young men.
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But also, I think you mentioned in a previous conversation we had with Carl, either you
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or Carl, said that Lib Dems are British people with gardens.
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And when it comes to reform, it's British people without gardens.
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Because when we're talking about people with gardens and people without gardens, it's
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It's an issue of whether some people want to be shielded from the decline that rampant
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If you haven't personally felt it yet, you can afford to have some daft political notions.
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Well, yeah, because whenever you see the more centrist in our political paradigm Lib Dems,
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and I imagine it's going to be similar in Germany, it's usually in small villages where
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But as we're seeing across all of Europe, these sorts of things are permeating everywhere.
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There was a case of that 16-year-old lad in France that was living in a village of no
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more than 160 people. And a bunch of Muslims turned up to their festivities. I don't know
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what the occasion was necessarily. And just started stabbing people. And if it can reach
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people that are in about as remote town as you possibly could, because that's very small
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in this day and age, isn't it? Then, not to sound too hyperbolic, but this is how people
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The wealthy areas are starting to tip. I mean, the rough map of Germany, if you look
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at the states, is the east. They're polling at around 30% in the state elections. In the
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industrial heartland, which is mostly West Germany, that is still sort of 20% they're
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polling. But then in the rich bits of Germany, the sort of north bits and the south bits,
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the sort of shipping lanes, the export areas, the place where the finances occurs, they're
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closer to sort of 10%, 12%. So again, it's just working on the economics. The more desperate
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your situation, the more likely you are to go for AFD. And the significance being in terms
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of sort of actual governance is in these state parliaments, if you could form the coalition,
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be the head of the coalition, you get the control of the executive apparatus. And actually,
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it's quite a lot in Germany. It's police and lots of state broadcasting, education. There's
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a lot that goes with the power. They're actually quite powerful, these state units.
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But if you're going to try and block it, which is what the other political parties have been
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doing, I mean, that just starts to become completely unviable when they're getting about
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a third of the vote. And the reason being is that the absolute minimum you need to form
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a coalition is you need to be to pass a budget. And that can be as simple as, you know, you
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do a coalition deal where they just abstain from voting on the budget. So they don't necessarily
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work with you, but they abstain from voting on the budget. And then because you're the largest
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party, you can get your budget through and then you get the controls of the apparitions of state.
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But when AFD are polling up around sort of 30%, you've got these increasingly tenuous
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coalitions. And, you know, something like the, you know, FDP and, well, I mean, any of them,
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SDP or even de Linca, I mean, they just can't function together.
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Yeah, they seem to strike a chord with the Zoomers and the German working class. And they seem
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to be doing it really well. I don't think that it's an issue of any kind of civic humanist
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desire for civic participation or something. It's an issue of solving some very few problems.
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I think that's how they view things. I think a lot of them would just go out of politics
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if they thought that the more establishmentarian parties would adopt some of their policies.
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That's my hunch. Maybe some wouldn't, but I think that this is, generally speaking,
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Well, the problem is they kind of poisoned the well on this stuff. Because they've been
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building these coalitions, what they've done is they've cemented in especially young men's
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mind that all of these parties are the same, that they're the uniparty.
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And then you combine that with the talk, and I'm sure you're going to come on to the efforts
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to try and ban the AFD. And again, that is just cementing everybody's view that the only
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alternative to basically all of them is going to be the AFD. And so it's pushing people.
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Plus, and they have tried the thing that you sort of suggested there, which is taking
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their policies, but they do it as talking points only, and they don't govern that way.
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So again, everything is reinforcing that you have to go AFD.
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And there's also the aspect of the sort of thing that attacking Donald Trump constantly
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or calling Nigel Farage racist in Britain does, where not only does it get their name
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out there and give them the name recognition to the point where Nigel Farage is now the most
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recognised politician in Britain, obviously Donald Trump the same in America.
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That doesn't really work when your country doesn't work either, right?
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So you've got to really be living it up large to be able to say, listen, these people are
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going to upset the good thing you've got going on. But when you've got decline, an obvious
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decline and rapid decline, as you've got in Germany and many other European countries,
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then saying this person is dangerous, they stand against what we stand for.
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Well, people associate the union party with managed decline, basically.
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Well, to be fair with Germany, it's more like managed demolition at this point.
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I want to go back to something you said before, because I think that this is ultimately what
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what the issue is, is that there is a very large number of people in Germany who like
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the AFD rhetoric. And instead of trying to listen to it, the other parties have said,
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no, we're going to marginalise you and we're going to call you Nazi, irrespective of whether
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So I think a beginning of an answer to this question is that the German government must
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stop acting as if opposition to rampant multiculturalism makes one a Nazi, because that's what's happening.
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And we see this across the entire West. There are people who are saying we don't think that
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ideological multiculturalism is working. It has so many problems. It brings so many problems
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and destruction. And all the state does in response to them is just manage decline,
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the micromanagement of things getting worse. And the more the more people see this, they
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cannot unsee this. And the response of the establishment where they are trying to hide
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this is we're going to call you a Nazi. We're going to call you a racist. We're going to call
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you an extreme right winger. So this doesn't work.
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It's also a tough sell because I'm obviously no historian, right?
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But when I think of the National Socialists and their leader, I don't think of a lesbian
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whose partner is Sri Lankan. You know, I could be wrong. Maybe I've just read the wrong books,
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but that's not the impression I got learning about the mid-century.
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Why do so many right wingers, by the way, have foreign spouses? You must have noticed that
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so many right wingers do. If you go to like, I remember back in the day going to some UKIP
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things and everybody there's got like an Indonesian wife or something. It's like,
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we're sure there must be a reason for it. I'm just not sure what it is.
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But also, I know, I know some reactionary spaces that have a lot of trans people and
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Yeah. And, you know, they pose as reactionary vanguards.
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Right. So we're going here to a political article talking about the attempt by German lawmakers
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to ban the AFD. So if you're discussing for years to ban a party on the grounds that it's
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extremist, well, the question is, is it actually extremist? If you cannot convince people that
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it is actually extremist, because you are the boy who cried wolf, because you see everything as
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Nazi, yeah, it's going to backfire. And even most of them understand this. That's why they didn't
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move forward with it, because they want a super majority, I think around two-thirds, to ban the
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AFD as extremist, and they just didn't have it. And they thought that banning it before that would
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boost its appeal. And it would absolutely do this. And also, there's the other bit, which is the
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more pragmatic bit, is that if you want to do something unpopular, you don't just let
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it hang in the air and hover for years. You just do it, and people have the opportunity
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to change the page. They are not doing that, even that. So they are, even in terms of bad
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Yeah, because, you know, if I were thinking like an evil uniparty blob leader, I would want
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to just get it out of the way, ban them, and then just say, okay, we've done that, moving
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on, now we're going to talk about how to fix, I don't know, our energy sector, which is what
00:20:01.900
Yeah. And we have here the AFD firewall, which is also another instance, which confirms what
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Josh was saying before, that the center right of, within quotation marks, of Germany is very
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happy to make a sort of alliance with the left and other leftist party against the AFD.
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So here we have Germany's conservatives, they passed a strict migration motion with votes
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by the far-right party, and they say here that they breached the historic firewall on not working
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So what is the German firewall I'm not familiar with?
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It's the sort of custom according to which all the parties are going to form a coalition
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against the far-right and they're not going to work with the so-called far-right.
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But what happened was that because they made a fuss, they said that, no, we're not going
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to go forward with the support of the AFD, so we're not going to pass the motion.
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So virtue signaling to the left was more important to them than policy.
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Because they seem to be basing their whole legitimacy upon the idea that the AFD is a Nazi
00:21:17.560
And right now I will say this, there are negative effects of contaminating public discourse.
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When everything you disagree with is Nazi, people stop understanding what the term means.
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And if you have a hundred Nazis in a place with ten thousand Nazis, you don't have ten thousand
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But this is not something that the German establishment and the left wing want to do.
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I mean, it might actually result in quite a lot of Nazis because if you spend decades telling
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everybody that everything they want is Nazi, then sooner or later people will decide that
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And that's why terminology is important in the debates.
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If someone is giving you a sort of terminology and you accept it without questioning, you start
00:22:15.160
defining your position in the terms that the opposition wants you to define.
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And this, in some circles, some people want to say, right, I want to show that I'm based.
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I want to, you know, show that I don't care about the left.
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But when we're talking about elections, there's the general public.
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And if lots of people start doing this, the general public will vote against them.
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But this, I see it as a sort of last ditch attempt to prevent an inevitable trend, because
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as far as I see it, the growth of the AFD is proportional to the decline of Germany in
00:22:50.480
the sense of the more the uniparty mismanages the country, the more popular they become.
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And that's not going to change because their approach isn't changing.
00:23:02.460
And therefore, this is a last ditch attempt to try and make them sound unappealing.
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Like, look, we're going to lose another war if you vote for the AFD.
00:23:10.840
You know, they've never heard of Third Times the Charm.
00:23:13.780
But the point being here that it's out of weakness that they're doing this sort of name calling,
00:23:20.080
really, as it is with many individuals, you know, when they don't actually have a good
00:23:25.220
counterargument and a good track record themselves, they resort to name calling in the hope that
00:23:31.360
Because, of course, to the supposed centre-right party, the AFD is the major electoral threat.
00:23:39.300
And by siding with the left, it's a short-term solution to have coalition partners, perhaps,
00:23:50.640
However, all it's going to do is further cement the idea that the AFD are the only party that
00:23:57.100
So it's a very short-term approach to get some, you know, maybe the next cycle, but
00:24:02.940
it will backfire in a longer-term approach, assuming that things continue as they are,
00:24:10.640
If I was the AFD, I'd be delighted, but that's their strategy, because it's basically
00:24:14.260
saying, okay, well, you know, I'm the only alternative, and it's just going to push votes
00:24:18.820
Because it's very, very short-sighted, if not incredibly stupid.
00:24:23.480
But also, this emboldens leftists, and especially far-leftists, because if you say that the sole
00:24:32.880
goal of politics is to not appease the so-called far-right, you may end up appeasing the far-left.
00:24:44.140
And because they are appeased, because they appease the far-left, the far-left becomes
00:24:49.500
emboldened, because it's like Millet says, give them an inch, they'll take a mile.
00:24:53.980
They are taking a mile, and they go out, and they are attacking AFD people.
00:25:00.240
Now, I'm not going to play it, because maybe YouTube has issues with it.
00:25:16.180
We do have, you know, that's something that presumably they want to not happen.
00:25:23.460
I think it's also worth mentioning, often a big deal is made of left-wing street violence,
00:25:29.780
and obviously it's undesirable, but these are thoroughly unexceptional people.
00:25:35.560
You shouldn't be put off by them, especially when it's the fate of your country.
00:25:38.500
You know, someone who's lived on a diet of vegan and soy isn't going to punch you very
00:25:43.740
hard, and you shouldn't be so weak of mind that the threat of, you know, a small group
00:25:51.840
of strange people attacking you should put you off.
00:25:56.220
And I think that what has happened here a little bit, particularly in Europe, is there's been
00:26:01.720
a bleed over from the United States, where there is a legitimate, you know, threat, obviously,
00:26:07.620
with lots of incidents of fatal shootings and the like, of right-wingers from the left.
00:26:13.340
And people see that lethality and they think, okay, it's only a matter of time.
00:26:17.540
But although there are attacks, it's not on the same level of lethality in Europe as
00:26:24.300
And obviously it's still unpleasant, but it shouldn't be enough to put people off following
00:26:32.020
I mean, if you go back 150 years and look up anarchists, they just called them anarchists
00:26:38.700
They can't get what they want through persuasion, so they just attack people quite ineffectively.
00:26:44.200
But every so often they get a Franz Ferdinand or something and it all goes a bit crazy.
00:26:48.820
I mean, they are extremists in the temperament is unless you give me everything, you have
00:26:53.080
given me nothing, and you're an existential threat to my existence.
00:27:02.380
The establishment seems to be working for the AFD inadvertently, but it seems to be working
00:27:08.220
because the way they operate sends votes the AFD way and deprives votes from themselves.
00:27:15.320
That's why occasionally both the SPD before when it led the governing coalition and the
00:27:22.900
CDU now that it governs the coalition have occasionally made statements that indicate a tough stance
00:27:30.600
on migration, but there's a very, there's a question that, how sensible are they and how convincing are they?
00:27:41.160
Last time when it came to Schultz, he made some, some statements about it.
00:27:48.140
Some right wingers would say that, well, listen, Schultz is more right wing than, than the CDE.
00:27:57.000
He signed a deal and he said, well, let us increase migration flows to Germany from Central
00:28:03.720
Now, Friedrich Mertz is saying that Syrians no longer have reason for asylum in Germany.
00:28:08.760
And he says that the Syrian civil war has ended and they have no reason to be given asylum
00:28:17.820
But the question is, what is he going to do about it?
00:28:20.020
If his governing partner is pro-migration, which is the SPD, is he going to be, is he
00:28:27.420
going to break the firewall and pass this with the AFD and then be seen as the person who
00:28:36.000
Or is he going to just do nothing, wait for a few weeks for the polls to somehow turn more
00:28:44.140
his favour or to micromanage the decline of votes in this case and just do nothing?
00:28:54.520
Most likely, I think it's going to be the same.
00:28:59.660
One of the features of modern politics across both sides of the Atlantic is that lots of
00:29:04.940
political leaders basically do headline fishing, where they say things that sound great, attract
00:29:17.660
When you actually look at the practical things he's done, it's like, oh, OK, actually, you've
00:29:21.300
done a lot less than you've claimed you were going to do.
00:29:27.040
However, it's still an important point that you can sound good.
00:29:32.100
And if you only go by headlines, which many people do, then it can help people in terms
00:29:38.260
of their public image. And it's just a cheap tactic, in my opinion.
00:29:42.060
I think it's far better to say, here's how I'm going to do this thing, rather than saying
00:29:49.200
Show your workings, not just I'm going to get to this end result and that's it.
00:29:53.660
Because, I mean, all that happened with this, people just turn up and say, and they say,
00:29:58.020
And they'd be like, oh, we're not Syria, somewhere else.
00:30:03.280
Now, as we said, there are very adverse effects with rampant multiculturalism and an ideological
00:30:09.760
stance towards it makes one unable to see them or makes one unwilling to see them.
00:30:16.960
And especially those who live in a particularly secluded environment, they don't come into
00:30:24.880
contact with these problems as other people do.
00:30:28.220
And they have the privilege to create a delusion around themselves and accuse as extremists
00:30:33.740
everyone who is pointing their attention towards these problems.
00:30:37.700
Now, if you believe Die Welt, you will see here that they say that immigration has not
00:30:45.960
A new study by a top German economic policy institute has confirmed the academic consensus.
00:30:51.820
There is no correlation between increased migration and a rise in crime, despite the political
00:30:57.800
Yes, but even if they've approached this as honestly as possible, there are multiple ways
00:31:05.120
So say there have been changes in police practicing, maybe increases in technology and surveillance has
00:31:11.980
meant that crime has been naturally falling anyway, and it's been able to mitigate crime.
00:31:16.600
So the crime by the native Germans has actually gone down massively, but then the decline has been reduced
00:31:23.720
by the foreign population basically propping it up.
00:31:27.060
Because I don't remember, before the age of mass migration, any instances of Germans mass slaughtering
00:31:33.760
each other at Christmas markets and things like that.
00:31:36.900
And what it also fails to acknowledge is the nature of crimes.
00:31:40.640
If you lump all crimes together, you know, and say crime is just an abstract concept, you know, maybe
00:31:48.580
petty thefts have gone down, maybe people are more wary in major cities, and it's not even anything
00:31:54.460
policing related, and this is affecting the numbers.
00:31:58.420
Like, these sorts of headlines, they may sound very positive, but there's so much devil in the details here
00:32:04.880
One detail I'd like to know, for example, is, is stealing a Mars bar counted as one crime,
00:32:09.020
and is driving a BMW into a Christmas market counted as one crime?
00:32:12.500
Because, you know, I can tolerate some crimes more than others.
00:32:16.420
If you look at this report, it cites the latest national crime stats from 2018 to 2023 with location-specific data,
00:32:26.240
and they say migrants tend to settle in urban areas where there is more population density,
00:32:31.180
nightlife, and more people in public spaces at all hours of the day.
00:32:35.180
That means that the general crime rate is higher, and crime suspects are just as likely to be German
00:32:44.680
But let me just show you what it says for about 2023 and 2025.
00:32:51.300
So there are data ever since, from 2023 onwards, that suggest the exact opposite.
00:32:59.660
So they say, here we have this article by the European Conservative.
00:33:03.360
Foreigners behind 40% of violent crime in Germany, according to a report,
00:33:08.160
a sharp rise in rape and sexual assault cases have sparked alarm among official and the public alike.
00:33:14.680
And that's one of those crimes that if you were to pick crimes going on in your country,
00:33:19.140
that would be one of the ones you really wouldn't want going on.
00:33:21.300
Yes, and it's what you said, Josh, before, it's people who are saying that in some respects,
00:33:28.520
crime goes down, but when it comes to violent crime, it goes up.
00:33:38.660
Well, we can look at the Danish data, of course, just north of the border with Germany.
00:33:50.480
And we see that people from specific parts of the world are far more likely to commit violent crimes or sex crimes.
00:33:57.220
And we've got the same data in Britain that shows the same trend.
00:34:01.700
It's the same in lots of other countries that actually collect this data.
00:34:05.080
And I don't know how publicly available it is in Germany.
00:34:09.080
You very rarely see it, I would imagine, that of the mindset of we're not going to publish a breakdown by nationality or ethnicity.
00:34:17.360
But of the countries that do, all of the trends seem to complement one another,
00:34:21.420
which seems to suggest that it's probably going to be the same in Germany
00:34:24.580
and that many people from areas like sub-Saharan Africa or the Middle East or some parts of Asia
00:34:32.100
are far more likely to commit crimes in Germany than your average German citizen.
00:34:37.500
And also a more fundamental point, who gives a toss about their numbers?
00:34:40.460
I mean, you get these academic institutions who put together these studies that say that, you know,
00:34:45.420
the crime numbers are whatever the hell they say they are, which we don't believe.
00:34:49.440
But I remember back to about 11 months ago, being kept up till about 4 o'clock in the morning
00:34:55.980
because I'd seen some footage on X of the last Christmas market attacks last Christmas.
00:35:03.560
And seeing an image of a mother sobbing over half of her child because of the attack there.
00:35:13.240
You can come out of all the sodding numbers you want.
00:35:15.940
After you see something like that, you are not going to be persuaded that a bunch of academics have done some figures.
00:35:25.440
You can translate it from German to English and it cites reports of the federal police,
00:35:31.060
not something that some academics somewhere conjured.
00:35:36.240
It talks about the federal police report and it says how in cases of violent crime,
00:35:42.600
it goes up and some groups are overrepresented in it.
00:35:46.300
And of course, there's the very obvious point that it's different if a native German commits the crime
00:35:53.180
than someone who has been allowed into the country because the native German, you know, they've always been there.
00:35:59.820
Whereas the person allowed into the country, that is a policy decision.
00:36:03.640
That is the responsibility of the government fundamentally and their criteria for allowing people into the country.
00:36:09.940
And therefore, it is fair to put more scrutiny on the foreigner doing the crime because they had less right to be there
00:36:19.200
I mean, if you travel to any Southeast and Asian countries, it's very unwise to drive there
00:36:25.960
Whereas if there's a traffic accident, for example, even if it was clearly the fault of somebody else,
00:36:31.260
you know, you were stopped and they ran into the back of you, you'll get the blame.
00:36:35.060
And the reason is, is if you had not been in the country, it would have been impossible for that to have happened.
00:36:40.700
And therefore, you were automatically at blame.
00:36:43.720
Same logic here, except they flip it around the other way.
00:36:47.040
They try and pretend that the government's decision to let somebody in
00:36:50.260
and then they hack people apart or stab them or drive into a Christmas market
00:36:53.540
had nothing to do with the fact that the government let them in in the first place.
00:36:56.640
Someone spoke about the statistics and these are statistics of a federal police report
00:37:15.120
Upheld an appeal after using official statistics to warn that Afghan migrants
00:37:19.420
are disproportionately liable to commit sexual violence against women.
00:37:23.760
Hearing about this, what actually happened to her?
00:37:25.220
Did she get jailed or something or what happened to her?
00:37:28.080
I think she got fined around 5,000, 6,000 euros.
00:37:38.180
So again, we have another article here from the European Conservative
00:37:46.920
It cites more data that suggests that, again, some groups are overrepresented in violent crimes.
00:37:54.700
And what is interesting is that there's a question.
00:37:58.480
Why is someone persecuted for citing the evidence that federal sources give?
00:38:08.200
She spoke about them with an angle that is not the angle that the establishment wants people to view things.
00:38:18.400
And when it comes to crime, there is a sort of dual conflicting nature or a conflicting approach towards reporting it.
00:38:30.940
Because on the one hand, half the establishment will say it doesn't happen.
00:38:36.340
And those who will say it does happen will have to give a narratival twist.
00:38:46.780
And when it's economic, they're saying if some groups are overrepresented in crime, just as the evidence suggests,
00:38:55.620
the only proper remedy is not being tougher when it comes to policing or something.
00:39:02.420
The only proper remedy is to tax more the natives and give more money to these groups.
00:39:10.420
Because if they're going to get more money, according to the leftist logic,
00:39:16.780
They're going to feel that they have more of a stake.
00:39:20.120
But in the meanwhile, multiculturalism says do not integrate.
00:39:25.620
First of all, that crime and poverty association is one of the most ridiculous things I've ever heard
00:39:30.660
because there are plenty of instances of poor white people not committing crimes.
00:39:35.480
It's a cultural thing, I think, or you could even argue there's a genetic element to it as well.
00:39:41.900
But you can look at things like London and the London crime rates.
00:39:45.500
The black minority in London, which is 13% of the population in London, I believe it is 61% of knife murders and 63% of gun crime.
00:39:59.260
So there are a majority of those crimes despite being 13% of the population.
00:40:03.380
However, they're not the most impoverished group.
00:40:06.720
The most impoverished group are Bangladeshis and Pakistanis.
00:40:10.360
And so if they're committing over, you know, 50% of these crimes and they're also not the most impoverished group,
00:40:21.360
And also, if they're committing over 50% of the crimes,
00:40:23.960
even the leftists who can't get their head around per capita can still understand it.
00:40:27.600
Exactly. It's so overwhelming that it's indisputable, really.
00:40:32.860
Unless, you know, whenever I've pointed out, people don't argue the stats.
00:40:36.060
They just say I'm racist for pointing it out, which, you know, is no argument at all, really.
00:40:43.860
This is the attack that Dan mentioned before, last December.
00:40:50.540
I could barely sleep that night when I saw this.
00:40:53.280
And if you remember, the Guardian and several establishmentarian voices were saying that this is basically someone who is an AFD supporter and is anti-Islamist.
00:41:10.480
And they were saying that this driver voice support on the social media for the AFD and for Elon Musk,
00:41:17.340
who publicly backed the AFD, saying that it's the only anti-migration party can save Germany.
00:41:31.080
And, I mean, I'd be particularly interested on the Maidenberg thing to hear in the comments from any Germans,
00:41:35.860
because, you know, German Christmas markets are absolutely fantastic.
00:41:39.020
I mean, we have them here, but nothing like the extent the Germans do.
00:41:44.060
I went to a Christmas market in Bath over the weekend with my girlfriend, and it was very different than I remembered it.
00:41:53.140
As I used to live in Bath for a while, about six years ago now, and back then, it was a lot quieter.
00:42:02.520
There weren't those big metal things that stopped you driving a car.
00:42:06.240
So there's very noticeable barriers all the way around it, was there?
00:42:11.740
It actually felt a little bit scary, to be honest.
00:42:18.760
But I was able to sort of figure out, okay, well, the police have deemed this a high-target area.
00:42:24.820
There were, you know, more police around that market than I'd seen in all my time.
00:42:33.760
I'd also love to hear from sort of any Germans who's started going to Christmas markets already.
00:42:38.660
Because, I mean, I'd imagine if I had a young family in Germany, would I take them to a Christmas market?
00:42:43.040
I mean, you'd want to, because it's a great experience.
00:42:45.900
But, I mean, presumably these things must be, just must be surrounded by basically a fortress at this point.
00:42:51.920
I mean, it happens every year, every year, sometimes several years.
00:42:56.860
So presumably you just simply cannot have any Christmas market anywhere in Germany at this point without a sort of row of concrete ground.
00:43:04.560
There was, at some point, a rumor that German markets, Christmas markets were canceled.
00:43:12.920
But whether, to whatever degree they have been canceled or kept, there is always this fear looming over people's mind.
00:43:25.360
Now, one thing to say here is that when it comes to crime and when it comes to people talking about the dangers of multiculturalism, we encounter yet another pattern.
00:43:42.060
Number one, a crime is committed by members of groups the left considers oppressed.
00:43:47.380
Number two, the MSM, mainstream media casts aspersion about oppressor groups that imply that the far right is to blame.
00:43:54.480
Number three, when the identity of the perpetrator cannot be denied, mainstream media treats it as an isolated incident that was caused by mental illness and which does not suggest any deeper pattern.
00:44:05.560
Number one, parenthesis here, every time someone criticizes their agenda, they're not saying this is an isolated incident of someone who is a right winger who criticizes us.
00:44:15.440
They're talking about a great pattern of far right epidemic.
00:44:20.400
Stage number four, politicians and establishmentarian voices make performative expressions of sympathy to the victims and the families.
00:44:29.000
Stage number five, after the empty virtue signaling session, they will scare monger about the far right
00:44:35.120
and make irrelevant remarks about fascism and Nazism, whose purpose is to frame every person who doesn't buy into the progressive narrative as an enemy of society in progress.
00:44:44.600
Stage number six, those who challenge the dominant narrative are met with content wise, irrelevant screeching about racism and extremism, whose only person is to divert purposes to divert attention away from the dead ends of the progressive paradigm.
00:44:58.400
Stage number seven, and number seven, business as usual, and business as usual involves the proposal of half measures.
00:45:07.120
When there was the Salinger knife attack, they said, let's ban knives.
00:45:10.660
This is the previous interior minister, Nancy Fazer.
00:45:14.540
They say ban knives, and because right now crime in trains and train station is going up, especially violent crime against women, also of a sexual nature, they're contemplating women-only carriages.
00:45:34.760
So they're saying to rapists, by the way, that carriage over there, it's full of young women and no men to stop you.
00:45:42.260
And by the way, somebody in the comments answered my questions about the Christmas market.
00:45:46.060
So apparently, even though the state brings in all these immigrants, the cost of securing a Christmas market falls on the Christmas market.
00:45:55.320
So meaning that lots of the Christmas markets have had to be cancelled because they can't afford the security measures.
00:46:01.100
So the costs of the security is placed on the Christmas market, but the immigrant, I mean, that is something that the state does.
00:46:08.360
We've also got to address the sort of elephant in the room with these Christmas markets is that they're attended by basically people who have grown up Christian.
00:46:23.500
And so it's normally going to be native Germans and they're not going to be any, you know, collateral for groups that the attacker would not want to attack, for example, fellow Muslims.
00:46:42.000
But again, it was disrupted by pro-Palestine protesters.
00:46:49.380
And I want to say that, you know, if the establishment says that it wants multiculturalism and it wants to respect different religions, then you can't have the religious festivals of one group undisrupted and saying that every sort of disruption or protest is evil far-right extremism on the one hand.
00:47:14.360
And then when you have something like this, it's business as usual.
00:47:27.600
And it seems like the German establishment for a long time now has suffered from the green craze.
00:47:36.300
And not just the green craze, but also more socialist and central planning kind of madness that is attached to EU policies.
00:47:51.140
This is just like this is saying we are not going to embark upon the modern, the journey that all modern countries must walk into.
00:48:03.180
It's like we are going to turn our back to technology.
00:48:08.000
It's like trying to drive to work but insisting that you are not going to put any petrol in your car.
00:48:12.600
It's like the head of policy was Ted Kaczynski.
00:48:15.340
Like they are trying to sabotage all innovation in Germany.
00:48:19.720
And of course the foundation of which, the foundation of all German industry is cheap energy.
00:48:23.860
So by making energy more expensive or just non-existent in shutting down power plants, all they're doing is devastating all of their industry that remains.
00:48:34.680
Because of course a lot of it has been outsourced to places like China.
00:48:42.920
And if you are to be a modern industrial country, particularly a developed one, you need to have that cheap energy nailed down.
00:48:52.740
It's not in a position where it can't have cheap energy because of any circumstantial thing.
00:48:59.580
And it is an act of self-sabotage because, you know, to thrive economically, as Farras often says, you need two things, which is cheap food and cheap energy.
00:49:11.560
And that is very, very true, that you need those two things.
00:49:17.100
But those are the two building blocks to which all of the others emerge.
00:49:21.480
And neither of those things are being done because things like net zero are antithetical towards making things affordable.
00:49:28.720
And now I want to give a few practical tips for the EU establishment.
00:49:35.820
Number one, you need to understand where we are.
00:49:38.840
We're at the stage where those who can't shut up about Weimar and the dangers of appeasement are doing all they can to appease those who are explicit about hating Western civilization.
00:49:49.240
And I want to say that what they should do is basically do what they are doing in a very small scale.
00:49:58.860
If you look at the Belarus and Poland border, the Polish-Belarusian border, you will see lots of members of the EU, like Donald Tusk.
00:50:18.820
He was also one of the top officials of the EU.
00:50:23.240
If you look at what they're saying and the rhetoric they're using about the border between Poland and Belarus, you will say that this is the exact rhetoric of the so-called far-right with migration.
00:50:37.360
So here we have Donald Tusk saying, hybrid warfare as a tool of destabilization.
00:50:43.500
Lukashenko and Putin are mobilizing thousands of illegal migrants with the help of smugglers amassing them at the borders of Poland, as well as Finland, Lithuania and Latvia.
00:50:53.240
This is both a lucrative business for them and a serious form of hybrid warfare.
00:50:56.900
They're using, if you read this, they're using the same rhetoric that the people they're demonizing are using with all the other borders of the EU.
00:51:11.900
Apply what you're applying in these borders to all the borders of the EU.
00:51:23.500
And it's interesting as well because I think it was Libya reached out to the UK government recently saying, listen, we want to work with you.
00:51:32.920
We will help you restrict migration for free if you just train us to do it better because we're being inundated by sub-Saharan Africans.
00:51:45.460
That was like a free way of solving a problem there.
00:51:49.940
Just like we can stop illegal migration from sub-Saharan Africa with Libyan help because it's one of the main ports of entry and they'll do it for free.
00:52:01.220
And final point is that Putin's Russia does pose threats to the EU and to Europe, but it's not the only threat.
00:52:10.380
So the EU establishment should stop acting as if this is the only threat to Europe.
00:52:16.900
I mean, one of the things I wanted to do is just quickly point out the scale of the industrial decline that's been happening in Germany.
00:52:23.480
So, I mean, this is a chart that sort of shows it all.
00:52:26.460
This is German industrial production going back to 1991, you know, to present time.
00:52:32.540
And you can see the German industrial production sort of heading up and you get that 2008 dip there.
00:52:37.860
But there was a V-shaped recovery from there and it came back quickly.
00:52:41.580
Then you get that sort of sharp downward spike with the beginning of the Ukraine war.
00:52:46.960
But, I mean, it's already in massive decline there because, I mean, the greens are coming back here.
00:52:51.620
And, I mean, this is an absolutely terminal decline.
00:52:54.000
You're looking at industrial output that was last seen back in 2005.
00:52:58.520
I mean, these people have effectively lost 20 years worth of progress.
00:53:05.680
Yeah, through their series of insane economic policies.
00:53:09.960
And, you know, I just want to sort of take you back to the 90s and the sort of general view that we had on the Germans.
00:53:19.740
You know, if you wanted to buy a quality car, you bought an Audi or BMW or, you know, a Mercedes, something like that.
00:53:28.520
If you wanted quality consumer goods, you wouldn't have bought a Siemens or a Bosch or I always bought the Millie ones.
00:53:35.320
It's still the case in many headphone manufacturers like Sennheiser.
00:53:51.600
And the German industrial model was kind of basically three legs to a stall.
00:53:55.820
I mean, one was cheap energy, which they're getting from Russia.
00:54:00.400
I mean, the early part of this when it's all going straight up, they're bringing online nuclear.
00:54:03.400
And then it's a highly skilled industrial workforce.
00:54:14.740
They've already broken one of those legs of the stall.
00:54:20.220
I mean, that was coming under pressure because of aging demographics.
00:54:26.880
But Germany had the solution to that is why you have your cheap energy and why you've got your high skilled workforce.
00:54:32.200
What you do is as your population ages is you simply transition to more and more automation.
00:54:38.160
And as long as the whole model works, you're getting your cheap energy and you've got your existing high skill base and you've got the margins to do so.
00:54:45.320
You can actually just make the transition to automation.
00:54:49.480
But because they kicked out energy and they couldn't stop themselves with over-regulating the workforce, they've made it completely unviable.
00:54:58.720
So margins have been destroyed before the automation took place.
00:55:02.400
I mean, to give you an example of how bad it is, German industrial output fell by 4.3% in August.
00:55:09.900
Now, if it had fallen 4.3% in a decade, that would be a crisis.
00:55:15.860
If it happened in a year, that would be a catastrophe.
00:55:18.540
But 4.3% in a month, I mean, that is managed demolition at this point.
00:55:29.800
And again, what was happening at the beginning part of this where the line is just sort of sloping straight up is they were selling into, well, everyone really,
00:55:44.520
Well, the problem is with these sorts of industries, right, you need to have the competitive edge at all times.
00:55:51.480
If there's a little gap, it allows domestic industry to the countries who export spring up.
00:55:57.140
It's the same as having sort of protectionist tariffs, only they don't need the legislation to put them in.
00:56:01.920
Because then these industries don't have as much competition in the domestic country.
00:56:06.440
And so they can, you know, occupy that niche that the quality German car could once occupy.
00:56:13.020
Well, I don't think you can stop foreign markets from having their own sort of domestic supply, of course.
00:56:17.980
But it gives them opportunity to out-compete you.
00:56:20.400
But the key thing you want to maintain is you want to maintain the brand image.
00:56:23.860
If you're, you know, if China was producing its own cheaper cars, but the premier option is still a BMW or Audi or Mercedes or whatever it is,
00:56:32.540
then you still maintain the higher end of that market.
00:56:34.740
And actually, that kind of suits you if you're being pushed into a contraction anyway due to workforce.
00:56:39.240
You probably want to focus on the higher value goods.
00:56:41.940
But I mean, what's happened to the German economy is starting from the energy level up, the whole industrial base has been knocked out.
00:56:54.140
And chemicals are kind of the star of the industrial chain because they feed into everything.
00:57:02.020
And they're also one of the industries most sensitive to changes in energy costs because they need a tremendous amount of energy to produce them, right?
00:57:11.740
You put stuff in the vat and then you blast an enormous amount of energy into it.
00:57:15.540
And something happens and you get something else out the other side.
00:57:17.980
So I mean, it all hinges on cheap energy, which then feeds into everything else.
00:57:22.260
Again, big pot, loads of energy goes in, steel comes out the other side.
00:57:26.220
And then you're supplying all the other industries that are built on top of it.
00:57:29.060
Now, once those things have gone out, which they have done, so all of this is being relocated, I mean, one of the huge, I forget the name, but one of the huge chemical firms has just relocated to India.
00:57:42.640
The rest of the chain collapses as well because we might as well do everything else overseas.
00:57:46.260
I mean, if you're going to be doing the chemicals and the steel elsewhere, you might as well then do the, you know, the consumer goods and the cars there as well.
00:57:54.940
I mean, this is so you can see what's happening to the German workforce.
00:57:59.800
No, so September 2025, change over the last year.
00:58:04.400
And as you can see, you know, where are the jobs going?
00:58:07.720
Well, 75,000 jobs created in care and social care.
00:58:16.840
As if Germany needs more public administration going on.
00:58:20.980
And then you look down the bottom and see all the industrial parts of it.
00:58:24.080
And, you know, manufacturing sector in total has lost 165,000 jobs.
00:58:31.260
And, of course, they're also very productive and beneficial jobs for the economy, right?
00:58:37.680
Of course, you know, care workers and everything are important, but they don't really have economic output in the same way that industry does.
00:58:45.400
It doesn't necessarily move your economy forward in quite the same way, does it?
00:58:51.320
So, and I mean, this for me highlights the other issue, which is the, I mean, it's the ageing workforce, but also it's the over-regulation of trying to get anything done in Germany.
00:59:01.360
Because if you're going to, I mean, put it this way.
00:59:05.220
Employment rights and all the extra regulation are an expensive luxury.
00:59:10.020
But if you've got a homogeneous workforce, you can kind of afford it if everybody's pulling in the same direction.
00:59:17.560
And let's say you're an industrialist and you're looking to hire a couple of lads, but their dad already works at your factory.
00:59:24.780
I mean, you don't know what you're getting with them, but you've got a pretty good idea.
00:59:28.020
I mean, the apple doesn't fall that far from the tree.
00:59:30.300
And so, you know, maybe you don't mind taking these young lads on and giving them all the employment rights because, you know, their father's worked at your firm for 35 years.
00:59:38.400
You can kind of, you can kind of see where you're going with that.
00:59:41.620
It's a very different situation where you've got a Syrian just off the boat and you're like, OK, do I want to lock this guy in?
00:59:47.040
And make it almost impossible for me to fire him and give him all these workers' rights and just hope he doesn't abuse it.
00:59:55.780
And they've been trying to get around their problem by just importing people, but with massive employment rights.
01:00:01.920
And, I mean, just to cap this off, I'll just give you a couple of quotes from German industry.
01:00:08.420
Because German industry has historically been extremely reserved.
01:00:14.380
They don't make a lot of public comments, but they're absolutely screaming about it now.
01:00:17.880
So the president of the BDI, the industrial locations find itself in a historical crisis, the biggest since the founding of the republic.
01:00:26.920
This is not a cyclical dip, but a structural decline.
01:00:43.940
Germany is going to become an industrial museum.
01:00:48.120
Wacker Chemiki, something German chemicals, excessively high energy prices and bureaucratic obstacles have stopped the development of the German chemical industry.
01:01:02.280
The steel industry is saying that it's no longer economically viable.
01:01:05.620
The chemical association is saying capacity utilisation in basis chemicals is lowest at 30 point.
01:01:13.740
I mean, to give you an idea of that, 60% of Germany's aluminium production capacity is not being used.
01:01:21.260
It's just sitting idle or has already been sent overseas.
01:01:25.420
IG Metals, whole regions face industrial collapse.
01:01:32.140
The chairman of Bosch, Germany is massively over-regulated and is losing the ability to compete internationally.
01:01:38.060
You know, I could give you dozens of these quotes.
01:01:59.340
And they've built their whole model of, you know, it's not so much as a country, but a guilt project.
01:02:05.240
And, you know, the Germans need to do something about, I mean, it's probably, I mean, it is too late to take it back to, because the margins have been lost and the opportunity to automate has already been lost.
01:02:20.720
But if they run this much further, the only thing I can see for Germany is being a location for wealthy Asian sex tourists.
01:02:33.320
I mean, I guess what I'm saying is, if you don't take the sensible option of the AFD right now, you're going to be forced to have a far, far more radical option.
01:02:45.040
And it's not going to be as milquetoast as the AFD.
01:02:51.480
I think that this is a similar situation to a lot of Europe, really, because these problems that are sort of prevalent in Germany are very similar to those across the entire continent.
01:03:03.300
Because Europe operates as a sort of policy bloc, doesn't it?
01:03:08.380
Particularly with the EU, everything is sort of uniform to some degree to, presumably to encourage trading.
01:03:17.800
But really, it's just a sort of socialist experiment.
01:03:30.220
He talks about Wilders leaving in the polls in the Netherlands.
01:03:37.520
They lost a third of their seats at the last election.
01:03:42.240
But they're suffering from a similar problem to the AFD in that it's difficult to find coalition partners.
01:03:53.420
But at the same time, part of the reason that they called an earlier election was because of the difficulties of their coalition partners.
01:04:00.580
And, of course, one of their criteria was that they couldn't have Wilders being the leader.
01:04:09.480
But, yes, you've got the right winning in the Czech Republic.
01:04:19.020
Le Pen's national rally were the number one party in France.
01:04:22.020
But they were gatekept out by a coalition of Macron-centrists and the left.
01:04:31.780
And the Swedish Democrats are increasing in the polls as the second largest party.
01:04:36.420
And so there does seem to be a rightward shift in response to a lot of these problems.
01:04:41.040
And that is reassuring because people have correctly identified that it's not right-wing policies
01:04:46.660
that have basically destroyed the economic base of Europe and made it more dangerous.
01:04:52.880
It is mass migration and de-industrialization that has done this.
01:04:59.620
Because frequently you hear the argument that it's the right-wingers more than the left-wingers
01:05:10.380
But it's also the extreme welfarism in combination with mass migration.
01:05:16.660
There's no denying that there is a sort of capitalistic element to mass migration
01:05:23.060
In fact, it makes them suffer an incredible amount.
01:05:24.820
But it does benefit elites and multinational corporations
01:05:31.240
that aren't necessarily married to the fate of the country that they operate in.
01:05:34.860
They can base themselves there for a certain number of years
01:05:38.300
and then move on to somewhere else when the going is good.
01:05:40.840
And so they should always be treated as fair-weather friends and not be listened to
01:05:44.040
because they don't have the interests of the country at heart.
01:05:46.660
But it is reassuring that people in multiple different European countries
01:05:52.660
are identifying the problem here of welfare, of over-regulation,
01:05:59.760
of net zero sabotaging cheap energy and cheap food and immigration.
01:06:06.000
These are all things that are problems across the board
01:06:08.580
and people are actually pushing back against it, it seems.
01:06:11.660
And I think that one thing that does concern me is the fate of a country
01:06:21.500
And I know Ukraine is its sort of own unique case,
01:06:24.920
but obviously it's been used as a proxy to fight the Russians
01:06:28.480
with lots of European money being pulled into it.
01:06:31.300
And this is sort of your fate of if you lose or if you become part of the hegemon
01:06:36.760
and you have no sovereignty, what will happen is you'll get 10 million Labour migrants.
01:06:43.880
This is what's going to happen to Ukraine once the war is over.
01:06:47.600
They're going to bring in 8 million or 10 million to stay afloat.
01:06:53.940
Well, the thing is, I've been thinking about this,
01:06:57.080
if you're a European, are you really going to move to Ukraine?
01:07:03.660
One, it didn't have the strongest economy before the war,
01:07:07.560
so it would be a dip in quality of life for, say, a Western European.
01:07:11.400
It would probably be quite easy to find a wife there, though.
01:07:17.000
Yeah, that's a dark way of looking at it, but you are right,
01:07:21.460
However, Europeans are probably not likely to go there,
01:07:26.440
because the economy doesn't offer them anything to migrate.
01:07:31.800
Who's actually going to capitalise on the ability to move to a European country as a step up?
01:07:36.520
As if Ukraine hasn't suffered enough, that's what's going to be inflicted upon them.
01:07:40.420
It's going to be Indians, it's going to be sub-Saharan Africans,
01:07:42.900
people who don't mind living amongst the rubble of a destroyed civilisation,
01:07:46.640
and in fact, for some of them, it's going to be an aesthetic improvement.
01:07:49.900
And by the way, I see the Ukraine war as one of the principal achievements of it,
01:07:55.580
from a dark point of view, is keeping Germany and Russia apart.
01:08:00.920
Because, I mean, the great game of European politics for the last 200 years
01:08:07.020
And I just see the Ukraine war as an extension of that.
01:08:13.280
and I do know that many of the Eastern European countries are taking it a lot more seriously
01:08:23.520
You know, we're far enough away from it that we don't really feel that much pressure.
01:08:31.960
You see all the time them talking about Russia.
01:08:34.860
And although we use it as a sort of scare tactic,
01:08:38.160
obviously these countries have a memory of being under Russian control
01:08:41.340
and are genuinely fearful of it because they did suffer under the Soviet Union, obviously.
01:08:48.440
And also, in the case of Poland, they were sandwiched.
01:08:52.440
And it was a rough time for them, so I understand that.
01:08:57.600
they are on the borders of a country that could be hostile to them
01:09:05.780
But Western Europe, we're far enough removed that we don't need to worry.
01:09:09.200
And so our attitudes are very different towards it,
01:09:16.360
we'll throw in weapons and sort of see what happens.
01:09:18.700
You know, we'll pour some of our money in there.
01:09:27.340
And it's sort of sickening because what's actually happening is
01:09:30.680
a generation of young men have been sent to their death in Ukraine and Russia.
01:09:35.000
Yeah, and you get idiots over here sticking Ukraine flags up in their garden,
01:09:43.380
Yeah, it's one of the most gross things that's going on in Europe at the minute.
01:09:53.680
And destroying our own economies in the process.
01:09:58.520
But it's not all just Ukraine that needs to be worried.
01:10:09.280
All Palestinians living in the Gaza Strip will be eligible for the first time
01:10:14.320
Of course, Europe has become the refugee centre of the world, apparently.
01:10:21.620
all of a sudden you can live in a much richer country,
01:10:24.000
which definitely is not a bad incentive for our people.
01:10:30.120
what you're selecting for is cowards, basically.
01:10:34.560
One thing I want to say here is that it does look as if we are governed,
01:10:43.400
in Europe in general, both the UK and continental Europe,
01:10:47.580
we are governed by people who hate European civilization actively
01:10:56.080
Because it looks like all these political parties are trying to show the left
01:11:03.480
how great they are and how progressive they are
01:11:09.880
Well, I think it's because all of Europe lives in the shadow of World War II
01:11:12.980
because it was such a destructive thing that they process it by saying,
01:11:20.100
therefore there will be camps and people will be killed en masse.
01:11:24.080
And that there's this sort of leap in logic of if, you know,
01:11:27.920
if we deport immigrants, it will be just like mid-century Germany.
01:11:33.800
And the Cold War was between the West and communism.
01:11:40.140
That, you know, both of them were threats to the rest of Europe.
01:11:44.740
Both of them wanted to conquer a large portion of Europe.
01:11:50.360
I mean, we did come close to camps and it was over COVID
01:11:53.240
because several European countries instituted laws against not being vaccinated
01:12:00.720
And Austria, for example, was at the point of having to put 7 million people in camps.
01:12:04.180
So we came close to it, but it wasn't because of, you know, mid-century German politics.
01:12:14.480
You're going to let the Gaza Strip into France?
01:12:20.360
They think it's a virtue to hate your civilization.
01:12:27.880
And there's an excellent book by Benedict Beckle about it.
01:12:34.480
And he says it's the exact opposite of xenophobia.
01:12:37.780
They want to say that, well, we're not xenophobic.
01:12:47.180
And the people who do say this are usually people who live luxury lives.
01:12:58.580
they're very much in favor of the idea of patriotism and self-government for people in Gaza.
01:13:05.880
But they say that the same rhetoric is Nazi-ish in Europe.
01:13:14.760
They equate oppression with being good, don't they?
01:13:18.180
If you're an oppressed person, you're somehow more virtuous than the oppressor.
01:13:22.960
And the Palestinians in the Gaza Strip are oppressed by the Israelis.
01:13:29.880
And therefore, even to question their character and suggest that maybe they cause significant problems in neighboring Lebanon,
01:13:36.300
and that's why Lebanon's not taking any of them,
01:13:38.720
would be a controversial statement or even a xenophobic statement,
01:13:43.060
rather than it just being an observation of reality.
01:13:46.140
It's basically living in the world of abstractions.
01:13:48.920
Rather than looking at, here's how the Palestinians behave,
01:13:52.220
maybe it's a good idea not to have them in your country.
01:13:55.460
And because it's abstract, their model for understanding things
01:14:02.680
cannot account for massive discontinuities between cultures.
01:14:07.800
Some cultures have such a vast difference in how they value things
01:14:13.180
that they can't have rules for conflict resolution and coexistence.
01:14:23.640
Everyone knows that you can't coexist, for instance, with cannibals.
01:14:28.400
I'm not saying that people in Gaza are cannibals.
01:14:33.500
Yeah, but no, everyone knows it, that you can't coexist with a cannibal.
01:14:37.980
So everyone understands this at a very general level.
01:14:43.060
The point is, start asking yourself, why can't you coexist with a cannibal?
01:14:47.580
And what are you doing when you understand that someone else is a cannibal?
01:14:52.280
And why do you want the population of cannibals to rise?
01:15:01.820
And I think also, the correct response to these sorts of things is, I wouldn't even grant
01:15:07.200
a tourist visa to a significant portion of the world, let alone allow them settle in my
01:15:13.680
It's got to be a very selective group of people with a large degree of cultural overlap that
01:15:18.900
should even be eligible to enter your country full stop, you know, for any reason.
01:15:23.460
Because, of course, if, for example, we took Papua New Guinea and cannibal and dropped him
01:15:29.200
in London, not only would he blend in very well, but also, he'd probably cause a large
01:15:33.500
number of problems because he's from such an alien society that he would not be able
01:15:40.080
to integrate under any circumstances, and even future generations would not be able to
01:15:44.500
integrate because they've adapted to a way of life that is antithetical to ours.
01:15:49.780
I've been thinking about this, because I heard the other day that we can't do a study on
01:15:54.200
microplastics, because you can't find a control group who don't have microplastics in them.
01:16:00.160
So that's why I've decided I really like North Sentinel Islands, because even though they're
01:16:05.020
probably cannibals and they kill you on sight, they don't have any microplastics, and one day
01:16:09.080
we might really need them for a scientific study.
01:16:12.520
I'd imagine they probably would have microplastics, though.
01:16:14.980
They just, just everywhere is infected with them now, the whole planet.
01:16:24.520
But even if you do address these sorts of problems, and recognise that migration and all
01:16:30.420
of the policy things we've talked about are problems that need to be reversed, well, unfortunately,
01:16:36.780
you won't be able to do anything about it, because the EU will prevent you from doing anything
01:16:41.800
And here we've got the Lord of Slop here, Inevitable West, all the way back in January
01:16:46.760
of this year, talking about the Romanian right protesting the fact that the EU basically cancelled
01:16:56.740
So if you do actually have someone who's going to put your country first, and, you know, obviously
01:17:03.600
Romania doesn't necessarily suffer from the same extent of mass migration as, say, France,
01:17:09.340
Germany, Britain, Sweden, and some of those other countries, and even so, they can't be
01:17:17.680
Because if you have a country that is doing particularly well compared to some of the
01:17:24.740
others, then it undermines the whole experiment, doesn't it?
01:17:27.980
Well, it shows why democracy is a scam, because it's a rule book written by your enemies and
01:17:39.160
Most probably people, I've been told by some people from Romania that most probably, if
01:17:44.900
it went to the second round, he'd lose, because others would ban together.
01:17:49.720
But yeah, I do remember, who was this guy behind the DSA, who was always angry at Elon, who
01:17:58.440
was saying, yeah, we cancelled the elections in Romania, we're going to cancel them everywhere?
01:18:10.060
You remember this kind of, you know, he was so, on the one hand, he says, let's protect
01:18:14.740
our democracy, and then we're going to cancel all your elections.
01:18:20.000
It was just a mask off moment, really, because they don't actually care about democracy.
01:18:28.160
Like, the sort of view of democracy now as this sacred thing that everyone follows the
01:18:35.300
Well, that's out the window in a lot of countries.
01:18:39.900
And I think, actually, in countries like Asia, you know, obviously that's not a country, countries
01:18:46.900
in Asia, or sub-Saharan Africa, they're at least a bit more honest about it, just like,
01:18:53.980
You know, I got 98%, you know, don't look at the ballots.
01:18:59.000
Whereas we live under this illusion that things are fair, but of course, it's just more obscure
01:19:07.200
And so, even if there is a popular movement that gets electoral successes, it's going to
01:19:13.040
face unprecedented resistance from organisations like the EU, even organisations within the
01:19:23.880
It's going to have the most difficult rise to power humanly possible.
01:19:28.900
And I think that this all basically boils down to the fact that they know that they're
01:19:34.160
And it will make their opposition look like, well, we're the ones that caused all of them.
01:19:42.480
They might even have, you know, repercussions against them.
01:19:45.980
I think there is a limit to how sort of corrosive they can get for each member state.
01:19:53.880
So maybe, you know, if they have any sense of self-preservation, they should take these issues
01:20:05.920
So this is another thing from May of this year.
01:20:08.580
Telegram CEO Pavel Durov announced they received a request from the French government to silence
01:20:16.620
I don't know quite what to think of this because I don't know this Telegram CEO.
01:20:22.440
I don't know whether he's cooperated with people or what the story is.
01:20:25.860
But I've heard rumblings of, you know, things of maybe he's got his own agenda.
01:20:32.360
I haven't looked into it, but just, you know, to make you aware.
01:20:37.680
I could certainly see the French government doing this sort of thing because, of course,
01:20:43.000
And France and Germany are now the two most senior voices.
01:20:47.520
It seems like Germany is sort of holding the purse strings and the French are holding the
01:20:55.500
That seems to be this sort of dual role they're occupying within Europe at the minute.
01:20:59.340
And it wouldn't surprise me if the EU intervened with this election, albeit the first round,
01:21:07.460
that they would also be trying to use other underhanded tactics to silence them.
01:21:12.340
But the problem is, of course, for them, that as things get worse, people are going to become
01:21:17.720
less and less concerned by these sorts of methods and say, well, OK, you're trying to persecute
01:21:24.020
And it's going to make people more extreme, whichever way you look at it.
01:21:28.200
Although I don't necessarily think that they're going to allow there to be an easy democratic
01:21:34.860
solution to these sorts of things, it's going to go more and more in an extreme, maybe even
01:21:42.680
militant direction in many cases if people don't believe that you can rely on democracy.
01:21:48.140
So what they're doing is creating the monster they fear the most by doing these sorts of things.
01:21:54.460
And I wanted to just end on a bit more of a positive note, I suppose, which is the Danes
01:22:07.360
And it's a story from Visigrad saying a Danish sperm bank has decided to start IQ tests of
01:22:21.360
And Gunny Drukpa here points out correctly that by having this social democratic veneer,
01:22:34.440
I mean, what woman goes to a sperm bank and says, I'd like an 87 IQ, please?
01:22:39.500
I know, at least cap it at like 100 average at best.
01:22:44.920
You should have 145 IQ minimum men and just milk them.
01:22:52.620
Is there a little bit of an incentive here, Dan?
01:22:59.700
If you're going to select for a boundary, make it higher, in my opinion.
01:23:02.700
But I find it interesting that no one's saying, you know, the Danes, they're being eugenicists,
01:23:09.360
Because they have this veneer, it's all acceptable politics and therefore they can get away with
01:23:15.020
And quietly in the background, they've been doing lots of interesting things.
01:23:19.440
And Drukpa, again, has been pointing out some other things of, in response to Denmark
01:23:26.780
He's basically saying that you can sort of get away with the social democracy sorts of
01:23:33.180
things if you just pay attention to what the data is telling you and quietly do it in the
01:23:38.940
There was a hilarious incident with a BBC reporter who went to a social democrat in Denmark trying
01:23:45.800
to talk about multiculturalism and the social democrat destroyed him.
01:23:51.340
Well, it's not surprising, really, because they've been collecting some of the best data
01:23:55.540
in Europe about migration, and it's been incredibly useful.
01:24:00.740
They've limited migration a significant amount, and lo and behold, they're mysteriously doing
01:24:08.700
I've talked about Poland doing well as well, but of course they're being flooded by migration
01:24:14.600
But there's a sort of way out here that if you just pay attention to what the numbers
01:24:20.660
are telling you and make pragmatic choices, you can fix things.
01:24:25.860
You know, just quietly do away with the migration.
01:24:33.240
Dear realist, just look at the world around you.
01:24:41.260
Krish 2A1 for 10 euros says, have you considered it's all worth it because no matter where Piers
01:24:50.140
Morgan goes in Europe, he can have a nice curry.
01:24:54.460
Yeah, that was, this interview was two of the people I consider the least credible talking
01:25:01.560
The funny thing is as well that on the continent, they don't really have that much Indian food.
01:25:06.560
Like Indian food is more of a phenomenon in Britain and particularly the tikka masala,
01:25:11.700
which of course has its origins in Scotland, albeit dubiously.
01:25:16.680
So Piers isn't actually going to be able to get his tikka masala.
01:25:25.140
For £5 says it's more likely that Putin is positioning Russia for the fall of Western
01:25:31.200
I mean, I don't know, I think he did invade Ukraine, but also I don't think that Russia
01:25:39.920
Principled uncertainty for £10 says the West realized that they could no longer be at the
01:25:47.100
They hijacked environmentalism to make energy austerity a choice, not an imposition.
01:25:53.640
Well, there is something to say about this in that both Norway and Great Britain have
01:26:11.640
Also, France has all of its nuclear power stations.
01:26:20.900
You don't have to be so cynical about our future there.
01:26:29.900
Bismarck is spinning in his grave along with Kaiser Wilhelm II in Norway, I think.
01:26:35.540
Suck duck for $5 as you're forgetting the official operation of NATO is to keep Germany down
01:26:44.680
and Russia out so they can't have cheap energy.
01:26:58.180
Hey, Dan, could you explore critiquing the free market from a right-wing perspective?
01:27:02.280
I'm not a socialist, but I feel the capitalist class is heavily invested and ruining civilization.
01:27:09.060
Yeah, I mean, that's the sort of themes I touch on in Brokonomics, but I'll maybe include a bit more of that.
01:27:19.380
The engaged few, that's just what Germany needs.
01:27:21.940
Another clutch of economists assuming a can opener.
01:27:25.380
Plasma Stream says, I wonder what the patent is.
01:27:30.720
No man has ever needed to drop an E more than Stelios.
01:27:34.600
I will go Eskimo hunting with you, Stelios, if you want to.
01:27:41.220
The industry in Germany is starting to side with AFD, though, so politics has to follow at some point.
01:27:46.780
As if the industry can survive until that point, right?
01:27:54.480
The reason why a lot of people have foreign wives is that the ones here are mental,
01:27:59.600
and so men have to, what Jesus said in Luke 13, 6, 12.
01:28:08.280
Again, by principal uncertainty for £10, thank you very much.
01:28:11.600
It will never just be the native population versus the foreigners, as most modes predict.
01:28:16.960
It will be the visitors and their indigenous supporters.
01:28:24.220
Apparently, Jesus said, woman, thou art loose from thine infirmity.
01:28:37.840
Still in Carlisle, and currently I'm at the cathedral.
01:28:57.280
Also, some beautiful medieval wall art right here.
01:29:10.520
The spirit of the postmodern leftist xenophilia seems to...
01:29:19.980
It is amusing how the physiognomy of the Your Party Conference checks out.
01:29:24.920
Communism has proven time and again that it is the ideology of spiteful mutants.
01:29:29.640
Many of the old traditions we spurned because of their antiquity and lack of tact are turning out to be true,
01:29:35.060
as they were the solution to questions we had yet to formulate but instinctually knew we needed solutions.
01:29:41.020
Maybe we'll see come to pass one of the most notable solutions.
01:29:53.740
I haven't posted in a long while, primarily because I've been busy, but also I just got back from a trip to Vietnam.
01:30:01.140
Yeah, if anybody out there watching has any books that they want to publish but they don't know how, please reach out to my website and I can help you get it done.
01:30:09.960
I've got a very good hourly rate that's very negotiable.
01:30:13.080
Yeah, send me a message on my website or you can buy my books, cscooper.com.au.
01:30:30.220
Sophie Liv, I'll be extra careful reading your comments, Sophie.
01:30:35.160
Denmark is only doing well in comparison to the countries around us.
01:30:43.080
Being three steps behind Sweden but going in the same direction isn't exactly great, guys.
01:30:48.420
We also have constant increases in Muslim migration and 20% of the population being either foreigners or children of foreigners.
01:30:56.040
Sophie's always, every time we say something good about Denmark, Sophie is going to come back and say something bad about Denmark.
01:31:07.460
Well, Denmark has a Sophie, so it's got that in its favour.
01:31:14.560
Omar Awad, it's politically suicidal to ride this tiger to the end.
01:31:18.460
If they form a coalition with the AFD, there would be negotiation and compromise and continue to suppress a large block of political will.
01:31:27.100
They're ensuring that there will never be a level of contribution, of retribution.
01:31:33.780
I mean, what you kind of want is for the AFD to become so dominant in the end that they don't have to compromise.
01:31:39.700
But they don't have to form a coalition with the SDP or something, you know, maybe the Libertarian Party or they really, really have to do the CDU.
01:31:49.140
Or you have a massive, something that could happen, you have a massive sort of, you know, civil strife within the CDU and half or more goes and forms a coalition with the AFD.
01:32:02.520
I mean, it's also worth mentioning that many people on this podcast are to the right of the AFD anyway.
01:32:13.380
And it might take a lot more than even what the AFD is proposing to help save Germany.
01:32:18.960
I really liked this discussion because it seems to me that there are two fundamentally different ways of carving the political spectrum that people are using.
01:32:48.240
So one is the economic, where it says if you don't have a, you know, it's command economy versus free market.
01:32:56.680
And they say the Nazis weren't free market, so they're closer to the other bit.
01:33:01.060
But the other is the more French Revolution style, where, you know, towards the right and further right, you had people who were basically against the revolution.
01:33:10.100
And they wanted to go back to absolute monarchy, although not with populist characteristics.
01:33:15.100
I think the Nazis had populist rhetoric in their ideology.
01:33:21.300
Michael Brooks says, right-wingers like myself have foreign wives because there are more morality similar to us than the weirdo feminist produced by our system.
01:33:29.440
Also, having a foreign influence in the House helps you to recognize the great things in your culture that make it unique and thus wants to protect them without the need to hate others.
01:33:42.540
Brian Tomlinson, when I read of right-wing politicians being locked up for wrong thing, I always wonder whether when the ECHR are going to turn up to protect their right to free political expression.
01:33:57.200
The ECHR has a Article 8 that heavily suggests that there is no such thing as a categorical opposition to deportations from the ECHR.
01:34:07.980
So it's much more the people who are behind it.
01:34:12.360
The whole concept of human rights is basically just made up, isn't it?
01:34:24.300
I'm a very specific kind in that, you know, I don't think, I think these rights are basically just like a shopping list of things people want and they don't really have any basis in reality.
01:34:38.580
They're just, you know, it's like I could say I have a right to a Porsche, doesn't mean the government should give you one.
01:34:44.300
I mean, I do have a right to a Porsche, by the way.
01:34:46.920
Henry Ashman says Germany went mental over nuclear energy and it feels like everything else in the industrial collapse springs from that.
01:34:55.920
Going green was worse overall than going nuclear.
01:34:58.680
Then that led to a reliance on coal and Russian gas to top up.
01:35:02.880
Then Russia definitely blew up, within quotation marks, definitely the pipeline that was their biggest source of leverage, driving Germany back to coal.
01:35:12.040
Time Steeler, why do so many right wing, ah, yeah, we had this, Anonymy, I went to a German Christmas market in Japan, no barriers, safe and extremely clean, especially at night with people drinking.
01:35:24.100
Dudley Douchebag says what is the current opinion of the new Republican movement video that is now circulating?
01:35:32.040
Tempest in a teapot to entrap the angry Irish or a movement that intends to be radical, trying to not FedPost on this new bit of news.
01:35:41.420
It's three Irish boomers in a living room somewhere wearing balaclavas and putting bedsheets up.
01:35:49.360
And it shouldn't be read into any more than that because it's just three blokes looking like the IRA.
01:35:57.600
Then, last comment, Cambrian Kulak says, Dan, would you do an episode on the Morgenthau plan?
01:36:02.860
Financial sovereignty was attempted and that was the punishment, leaving a legacy to this day.