00:05:36.100whenever sort of two people who are relatively close uh fall out uh i think the right attitude
00:05:41.540is we have to look at it as to say okay is there a deal to be done which is the sort of thing i
00:05:46.320wanted to talk about today uh very quickly why is why is it this is something that should happen
00:05:52.220um here's some actual election results i mean this is a this is in a labor heartland this is
00:05:57.600in the north so labor are stronger than the rest of the country here and the conservatives are
00:06:02.940weaker than the rest of the country here but on actual results you know the store they're getting
00:06:08.180nine percent in the manchester mayoral election there another manchester election there a store
00:06:16.400getting seven percent now in both these cases if you added the restore vote to the reform vote i
00:06:24.800mean it still wouldn't have beat labour but this is a labour heartland but but nevertheless when
00:06:29.300you look at it across the country as a whole following the polls a trend is very clear
00:06:35.900restore uh started the year in the 30s and that has a reform reform yes reform started in the
00:06:44.220in the 30s uh it was a bit higher just before this and that has just dwindled throughout the
00:06:50.220year it's just it's just steadily come down i mean it's there's a lot of momentum because
00:06:56.480go from let's say 30 plus to 24 it's it's not strong something going on there has been a bit
00:07:02.920of a burn and bounce um so i mean you know your labor you know under starmer he obviously wasn't
00:07:10.680a particularly popular man uh with anyone including within the labor party uh but there
00:07:15.940has been a burn and bounce and i do expect that to drop off a bit but the point is also the extra
00:07:20.360problem Dan that the Greens are losing momentum and Labour is gaining the momentum lost by the
00:07:26.620Greens yes they become a more formidable opponent yeah I mean you're absolutely right Greens um you
00:07:32.800know had been sort of ticking along in the high teens and now they're in the low teens something
00:07:36.840I've remarked on here as well is there is a slow yet steady ticking up of the Conservatives again
00:07:44.480Yeah, so let's look at that. So 16, 17, around about there. It has come up a bit, yeah, to 20%.
00:07:54.680Isn't it funny that around the time you get the burn and bump and Labour go back, not only in being the driver's seat, but having some actual momentum there,
00:08:02.400historic opposition of the Conservatives are also getting a little bit of a tiny bump as well.
00:08:08.680are you looking forward to your exciting choice of Labour versus Conservatives in 2029 Dan yes
00:08:15.800not 100% ideal um and and and quickly before I open I mean I'll just say that I mean the reason
00:08:21.940why this is a real issue to potentially reunite the right is because if you look at you know
00:08:28.540Labour Greens and Lib Dems I mean I know I know the Conservatives are really a left-wing party
00:08:32.380they're the party of mass immigration they gave us the largest wave of immigration this country
00:08:36.300has ever seen but they're coded as a right-wing party so I suppose there's not going to be any
00:08:41.400tactical voting there but there will be tactical voting on left-leaning people with the Greens the
00:08:48.140Lib Dems and Labour if fully expect to see in the Guardian newspaper in the Mirror newspaper just
00:08:52.880before the next election them to publish a list of seats where if you live in this seat you should
00:08:57.860vote for Lib Dem or Green or Labour or whatever it is the lefties do this very naturally so even
00:09:04.560if we do go into the next election with exactly this, reform on 24, Labour on 23, Labour will
00:09:12.260probably win that because of the tactical voting that comes very, very naturally to the left that
00:09:17.240doesn't come naturally to the right. Now, I've given a couple of real world examples here of
00:09:22.100where a store on, you know, nine to seven percent, this polling's got them at three, which I think is
00:09:28.580understating it because most of these polls still aren't prompting for reform Britain. But even if
00:09:32.460it's three percent it's three percent that will make the difference so i mean that is that is that
00:09:37.720is very true uh and so when you're looking at westminster voting intentions look you can see
00:09:42.060i mean this one is is probably peak burn and bounce at 26 but it is very punishing you know
00:09:48.660you only need to drop three percent from 26 to 23 and it makes an enormous number of difference in
00:09:53.520seats and that only accelerates you need you lose another three percent in the conservatives there's
00:09:58.700a there's a colossal difference between getting 21 and 26 in the number of seats you get
00:10:05.480under this polling if it holds up restore would probably retain the great yarm of seat and so
00:10:12.540it's leads it's led to a lot of people asking well why does you know you know a lot of reformers
00:10:17.520saying well restore needs reform more than the other way around and i i think i just wanted to
00:10:24.480clear up there was a fundamental misconception there the fundamental misconception is it's it
00:10:30.240feels like we're explaining per capita again that whole debate where they're just blindsided by one
00:10:35.260number is bigger than the other the issue is is that it's not just slightly closing the borders
00:10:42.760we are being replaced with the existing stock and that is due to happen in 2063 and if reform come
00:10:51.920in and they do a proper set of border security but not much else it buys us about five years
00:10:59.280so for us the key thing is not i don't want to be replaced in 2020 63 sorry 2063 but i would be
00:11:07.540okay with being replaced in 2068 it's i i actually want to reverse this so that it never happens at
00:11:14.660all and so from our point of view when reform was the really the only viable right-wing party
00:11:23.300it's like okay well we have the extra five years because why not i mean fair enough but now that
00:11:29.540we've got something that is actually advocating our position we don't feel the need to chuck it
00:11:33.260all in just to win the next election because the next election doesn't really buy you anything
00:11:37.380apart from in the best case scenario five years which is simply not enough so you know with that
00:11:43.760um i mean i've got some analysis of the deal itself but i mean what what are we thinking guys
00:46:43.680There had been a study performed by an organisation called the Macdonald Laurier Institute,
00:46:49.02046-page report where researchers tested two explanations for the ongoing, still-happening
00:46:55.860rise in church burnings. Ever since it, one of the explanations was that the burnings reflect
00:47:00.840a larger spike in anti-Christian or anti-religious sentiment. The other links them to the series of
00:47:05.180announcements from 2021 about the unmarked burials at former residential schools,
00:47:10.480a network of boarding institutions, etc. The report stated, statistical analysis indicates
00:47:16.620that the increase in arson is not religiously motivated, concluding that the pattern is likely
00:47:21.720a response to the burial claims because it had gone up to such a high degree. People began looking
00:47:28.600into this. So you go, okay, we've discussed all this so far. These places, the big ones, Kamloops,
00:47:35.200Saskatchewan, etc., have not been investigated. Have any of these places been investigated where
00:47:41.640Supposedly, they found these unmarked graves where children had been murdered purposefully through a program of extermination put forward by the Catholic Church in conjunction with the Canadian government.
00:47:54.460Well, yes, one dig happened. And do you know what it found? Rocks.
00:47:59.760in 2023 september there was a dig uh conducted by an indigenous group known as pine creek first
00:48:08.720nation excavated 14 sites in the basement of a catholic church near the former pine creek
00:48:13.760residential school in manitoba over four weeks in the summer but they are yet to uncover bodies
00:48:20.560at the sites that were suspected of being possible burial locations of indigenous children according
00:48:25.200to reports the work came after the ground penetrating radar uh detected what were described
00:48:30.120as 14 anomalies at the locations in the basement of the church but god they turned those poor kids
00:48:36.520into rocks before burying them it was you know that's that's the real horror of the whole thing
00:48:41.740was just the the like evil scientific genius the catholic church did is alchemical alchemical evil
00:48:47.840being being perpetrated them to golems yes um one such effort to search for evidence was also
00:48:54.960undertaken at the unpronounceable residential school in nova scotia in august 21 researchers
00:49:01.000determined that potential graves found around the school had no connection to the institution
00:49:05.220and predated the school by about 100 years according to other reports so that's the other
00:49:09.640element of this if you dig them up you're probably going to find nothing and you're going to find
00:49:14.020rocks if you do find bodies they might get dated to well before the schools were opened