The Shadoe Davis Show - May 06, 2025


May 5th⧸2025- Attorney Keith Wilson joins the show Subject: Alberta Independence


Episode Stats


Length

1 hour and 51 minutes

Words per minute

152.8

Word count

17,082

Sentence count

358

Harmful content

Misogyny

10

sentences flagged

Toxicity

13

sentences flagged

Hate speech

12

sentences flagged


Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Misogyny classifications generated with MilaNLProc/bert-base-uncased-ear-misogyny .
Toxicity classifications generated with s-nlp/roberta_toxicity_classifier .
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
00:00:00.000 We'll be right back.
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00:03:00.000 Thank you.
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00:05:00.000 Greetings, everybody.
00:05:11.400 Welcome to Shadow at Night.
00:05:12.460 This is Monday, May the 5th, 2025.
00:05:16.680 On the show tonight, attorney Keith Wilson, KC.
00:05:21.140 That is, let's see, King's counsel.
00:05:23.800 He is an esteemed attorney within Alberta and across Canada, for that matter.
00:05:28.740 He's going to join us tonight to talk about Alberta independence.
00:05:31.540 A lot of very eventful things have happened in the last couple of days,
00:05:35.300 including a massive rally at the Alberta legislature in Edmonton over the weekend.
00:05:41.740 From the video and from the photos, it looked like thousands of people turned up.
00:05:45.540 But again, I can't tell because of the angles of the photographs and the video,
00:05:50.960 but it looked like so many people.
00:05:54.000 Of course, there was resistance as well.
00:05:55.560 There was an anti-protest put on by First Nations from across the province who were not all against the idea of Alberta independence, but we don't know exactly what happens to the treaties.
00:06:08.200 If and when Alberta separates, although Danielle Smith, the premier of Alberta, addressed that in an address to Albertans earlier this afternoon, which we'll play part of in just a second.
00:06:18.460 And again, our guest tonight is Keith Wilson, attorney Keith Wilson.
00:06:22.680 You probably recognize him from Freedom Convoy 2022.
00:06:26.200 Maybe know that name, Keith Wilson.
00:06:27.860 I know that name from somewhere.
00:06:30.320 Yeah, he's going to be on the show tonight.
00:06:32.240 I'm looking forward.
00:06:32.920 It's been a while since we've had a chance to speak to him.
00:06:35.680 We're going to talk about all the ins and outs and how this could actually go down.
00:06:40.340 if in fact a majority vote in a referendum next year let's say says yes we want to leave then
00:06:48.960 what's next what's after that do you go and have negotiations with the government of canada
00:06:53.820 we'll take this you take that keith is is up to speed on all of that stuff and he will be telling
00:07:01.740 us everything we need to know and it could be an extended show tonight so we're happy to have him
00:07:06.060 keith wilson on the show in just a few minutes hello who is here watching tonight it's sharon
00:07:12.260 in winnipeg sophie is watching bob is watching in sudbury hello bob moonglow is watching on youtube
00:07:18.200 hello calvin and colleen ad marie glorias watching in winnipeg hello david watching tonight val is
00:07:28.000 watching in sherwood park edmonton val were you at the independence rally in edmonton over the
00:07:32.660 weekend don't forget to like and share get this out guys to as many people as you possibly can
00:07:36.860 on rumble bailey 242424 jimmy balls 23 notable lone arnie is watching tonight hello jama grandma
00:07:46.680 lc2 rowing 30 suzy q 57 cosford xc dogs sorry esky dogs patricia 0711 rashden one star liner
00:07:55.900 1961 again like and share guys get this out to as many people as you possibly can the shadow at
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00:09:32.480 g funds let's be honest g funds that's the global net zero alliance mark Carney put together in
00:09:40.420 Glasgow that's why the g yeah Glasgow Scotland just a few years ago even though it seems to
00:09:45.020 be crumbling apart now we don't know what's going to happen to it but that's a whole other topic for
00:09:50.440 a whole other show Keith Wilson joins us in just a second we will be right back
00:09:57.980 We'll be right back.
00:10:27.980 If there is a successful citizen-led referendum petition that is able to gather the requisite number of signatures requesting such a question to be put on a referendum,
00:10:38.680 our government will respect the democratic process and include that question on the 2026 provincial referendum ballot as well.
00:10:52.240 See the little captions underneath the screen there? I'm surprised there was no gluck, gluck, gluck.
00:10:55.720 now let's talk about the elephant in the room that being separation we are well aware that
00:11:01.000 there is a large and growing number of albertans that have lost hope in alberta having a free and
00:11:06.760 prosperous future as a part of canada many of these albertans are organizing petitions to trigger
00:11:13.160 a citizen initiated referendum as i mentioned earlier the vast majority of these individuals
00:11:18.600 are not fringe voices to be marginalized or vilified they are loyal albertans they are quite
00:11:24.680 literally are friends and neighbors who've just had enough of having their livelihoods and prosperity
00:11:31.800 attacked by a hostile federal government. They're frustrated and they have every reason to be.
00:11:37.720 I want to talk directly to those Albertans. I know how frustrated so many of you have become
00:11:42.360 with our country and the feeling of having politicians living thousands of miles away,
00:11:46.920 passing laws and rules that have cost you your loved ones, jobs, careers, dreams and opportunities
00:11:53.160 for a brighter future now none of us knows what the future holds should ottawa for whatever reason 1.00
00:11:58.920 continue to attack our province as they have done over the last decade
00:12:04.040 ultimately that will be for albertans to decide and i will accept their judgment
00:12:11.240 hey keith hi shadow how you doing welcome to the show good to have you back on
00:12:16.760 uh great to be back how's my audio uh your audio is fine everything looks and sounds great so let
00:12:21.960 let me ask you that that was the clip that you sent me from danielle smith's address to albertans
00:12:27.140 this afternoon it was much longer i think it was about 12 or 13 minutes in total but that
00:12:31.980 two minutes was definitely a very large part of it she she brought up the elephant in the room 0.85
00:12:37.200 she brought up alberta independence do you think that she is posturing here is she playing politics 1.00
00:12:45.040 What is she doing with this? 0.68
00:12:47.720 Well, I think she's accurately reading the pulse of Alberta and perhaps appropriately contingency planning for whether once we discover who we elected.
00:13:03.480 You know, we don't know whether we elected the Mark Carney, you know, plagiarizing the conservatives platform, or whether we have elected the Mark Carney from his book Values and all of the many speeches he's given around the world and his obsession with net zero.
00:13:30.320 the conservatives today uh through andrew sheer because pierre polyev is not an mp even though
00:13:36.940 he probably will be soon he's running in the uh the battle creek riding i think i've got that right
00:13:41.900 uh in alberta even though we hear that that multi-candidate organization is trying to get
00:13:47.480 their hands on that riding in the next couple of months but we haven't even got a by-election
00:13:52.180 called at this stage of the game parliament hasn't even sat yet king charles is coming to open it
00:13:56.860 but anyway that's a whole different topic what is the mood of alberta right now are people upset
00:14:02.780 there was a huge rally at the legislature this past weekend looked like hundreds maybe thousands
00:14:07.080 and that was not a that was not a rally that was organized by any of the established
00:14:13.840 groups or new political parties that have formed that are focused on separation that was just a
00:14:20.300 a couple of concerned Albertans that decided, let's put on a rally. And it was very, very
00:14:27.200 limited advertising. So I was quite surprised at the hundreds of people that showed up.
00:14:34.040 Everybody's talking about it, the idea of independence and separation. And they're also
00:14:40.180 talking about the shock of the election and the realization that apparently there's millions of
00:14:50.100 canadians that are content with the disaster of the last 10 years and want four more years of it
00:14:55.580 so that that's a real shocker it's a it's a gut punch to so many who even staunch separatists
00:15:03.640 held out some hope that um to be blunt some sanity would prevail but you know carney announced
00:15:10.500 you know trudeau racked up more debt than every other prime minister stacked on top of
00:15:19.740 one another and carney announced he's going to take us even further in debt that devalues the
00:15:28.280 money in your bank account that devalues that paycheck of the construction worker of the tech
00:15:34.400 worker that makes everything more expensive it contributes to inflation it's remarkable so
00:15:41.480 a lot of what what happened uh a week ago monday with the federal election is so many albertans
00:15:49.620 that were on the fence just said that's it i'm done we need a new path what is the spectrum of
00:15:57.080 feelings across the province right now if you take out the ndp the leftists which in alberta are
00:16:03.180 definitely the minority are we talking disappointment anger rage even like how does
00:16:08.760 it feel there right now bubbling cauldron be all of them but but definitely the talk of the town
00:16:13.700 is this idea of independence and um you know if you go into a restaurant and you can happen to
00:16:21.480 overhear the conversation at the next table you know what they're talking about uh i saw a post
00:16:26.520 today on x from someone who was walking the elevated pathways they call it the upper 15 or
00:16:32.700 something in calgary and um just in the process of walking from you know one office tower through
00:16:39.200 the maze to get to another office tower, they crossed paths with four groups of different
00:16:45.200 individuals, and she overheard what they were talking about, and it was independence.
00:16:49.840 So there's definitely, and you know, there's a, I think there's a combination of fear of
00:16:55.940 the uncertainty of it, but there's also, there's an element of determination that we're just
00:17:03.700 not going to put up with this. 0.96
00:17:04.720 This is absolutely ridiculous.
00:17:06.420 we have a federal government putting its knee on our economic neck and depriving my kids and my 0.84
00:17:15.760 neighbor's kids and grandkids of a prosperous future we're just not putting up with it anymore
00:17:22.200 so there's that but there's also excitement you know it's kind of like when dad talks about hey
00:17:28.300 kids you know when the kids are younger we're going on a summer holiday this summer you know
00:17:33.080 where are we going dad you know so there is a little bit of excitement about the adventure of
00:17:37.120 what lays in front of us too it's interesting how many different groups there are all talking about
00:17:44.700 this same topic and i'm not sure if any of these groups are at war i know that some of them are in
00:17:49.580 disagreement you'd mentioned that the rally at the edmonton legislature this or sorry the alberta
00:17:53.960 legislature this past weekend was just a grassroots movement from some concerned albertans who have
00:17:59.540 had enough we've got uh news from the western standard today that tells us uh the alberta
00:18:05.300 republican party has merged with another one of the parties i think it's the independence party
00:18:10.740 of alberta we still have the alberta prosperity project out there doing their thing chris scott
00:18:16.160 did his uh his gas stunt a couple of weeks ago down in mirror he was selling gas for 80 cents
00:18:21.400 a liter just to show albertans what it might be like in a in a independent alberta is it possible
00:18:28.440 for all of these groups to come together i'm not sure how many others there are well it's interesting
00:18:34.120 you know my background and we all right yes we all got parachuted into in february of 2022
00:18:41.820 you're gonna be the guy that brings it all together aren't you well well no i let me let
00:18:47.060 me share with you my experience of the last week please um and so you know when i arrived in ottawa
00:18:54.820 during the Freedom Convoy, there was all these different groups and some of them were more
00:19:01.420 sophisticated than others. Some were ad hoc, some were longstanding, but they all had the same goal
00:19:06.760 in mind. They all had the same outcome. Some of them had, you know, warts and things that others
00:19:12.720 didn't have and challenges. But I said to my wife last week and others that this past week with all
00:19:21.480 the different phone calls I've had from from leaders of the many groups there's about 13 groups
00:19:26.440 between the political parties and then the ad hoc grassroots groups like Alberta Prosperity Project
00:19:32.180 that I was having flashbacks to being in Ottawa and so I'm not I'm not frightened about that
00:19:40.920 because I saw what happened in Ottawa during the Freedom Convoy which was it was a very flat
00:19:48.200 structure and the reason why i think that protest was successful um was so many of the people like
00:19:57.040 just about every single one of them was there for the same reason they had the same list of
00:20:02.840 concerns they had the same list of objectives for themselves for their most importantly for
00:20:08.720 their families in their community and i'm seeing the exact same thing here i'm seeing albertans
00:20:13.520 on their own articulate what they think's gone wrong in their relationship with ottawa and i'm
00:20:21.120 seeing clarity crystal clarity uh of thought and description as to what they want to see happen for
00:20:28.800 their future so i don't i'm not particularly concerned that we don't have one leader per se
00:20:38.060 um uh there's lots of time uh it'll evolve um and that's the significance of the premier's
00:20:45.620 announcement today is we now one of the uncertainties for me as i've been mapping out
00:20:49.880 the chat the political chess board is the timeline and now we have some certainty around that and i
00:20:55.540 think it's a very smart timeline because it's realistic you know you know part of me would
00:21:01.360 like to see a referendum a provincial referendum where each eligible alberta voter so resident
00:21:07.180 here of six months over 19 years of age that's a voter in alberta um uh so if you want to vote
00:21:15.160 in our referendum and you're in ontario you still have time to move here and buy some property
00:21:20.680 you know jeff wrath uh yes yes i've known jeff for many years and him and i have spoken regularly
00:21:30.200 And I, I am, I am very happy with his determination, you know, his background in fighting for justice and recognition of treaty rights for 34 years and successfully.
00:21:45.320 So it's just, it's kind of funny that the left's tried to make this treaty thing into something.
00:21:51.820 It's just not, I do want to get into that, but in talking to Jeff, he was on with me a couple, three weeks ago.
00:21:59.800 and he was pushing for a referendum he like i mean he's with app obviously one of the founding
00:22:05.820 members of it and he's pushing for a referendum before christmas this year is is that a doable
00:22:11.500 thing or is that just wishful thinking just moving too fast yeah it's not possible when you when you
00:22:17.460 look at the the timelines and and i don't think it's prudent i mean that's what i was going to
00:22:21.640 say is part of me was hoping because we have in alberta we have scheduled municipal elections
00:22:26.880 every four years it's a fixed date okay so and it's for school boards as well so school boards
00:22:32.180 and and and all the local officials get elected on the same day it's in october and it's coming up
00:22:38.140 and in the past it's very easy because you're assembling all the voting stations you're going
00:22:42.840 through all that process it's very easy and some municipalities will have their own plebiscite on
00:22:47.740 whether they're building a new swimming pool or whatever um so it's very be very easy to have a
00:22:53.480 province-wide referendum. So part of me was thinking it might be this October. But the reality
00:22:58.540 is, you know, there's right now, if I were to be cautious and conservative about it, I'd say
00:23:07.520 there's a third of the people in the province who will never, ever vote in favor of independence.
00:23:13.880 And there's a third, at least a third, that will, with 100% certainty, no matter what,
00:23:22.260 vote for independence and then there's that middle third and to me those sounds like it sounds like
00:23:29.380 covid to me it's it's amazing how many people believe the the nonsense didn't believe the
00:23:35.240 nonsense and that soft middle in between would could go either way right they'll go with what
00:23:39.760 they think is cool yeah and i think it's because it's such an economic decision right um and it's
00:23:48.020 an identity decision i really do think albertans will take it seriously um and there's legitimate
00:23:54.080 questions to ask as we're seeing people ask them and helping people understand the details of the
00:24:02.220 option of independence and what it would look like and how it fits in with trump and 51 and i know
00:24:08.340 we'll talk about that yeah um uh are all things that are going to take time to calmly explain
00:24:17.540 Not in the chaos of rhetoric and hyperbole, but calmly lay out, here are the facts, here's the scenarios, so that people can make a truly informed decision on whether they think it's in their interest.
00:24:34.960 And it's one vote. Doesn't matter. First Nations don't get five votes and I get one. I don't get five votes and they get one. Each voter gets one vote.
00:24:47.540 let me ask you if the rhetoric has already started because you just referenced it
00:24:52.880 and it's going to get hot very fast if it hasn't already i mean from my vantage point i've been
00:24:58.880 seeing first nations there was a counter protest in edmonton this past weekend pretty near the
00:25:03.240 legislature uh there was no face to face there was no anger or rancor that i saw in any of the
00:25:10.540 videos or the photos uh but they were there making their case for their own treaty rights and i i'm
00:25:17.460 not quite clear on that yet but what about the left-wing corporate media what about not just
00:25:22.320 alberta left-wing corporate media but i mean from toronto has there been any uh down talk from the
00:25:31.900 globe and mail the star have you noticed any of that stuff starting yet because it will oh yeah
00:25:37.080 so we've got an hour right so i can take my time and break some of this down dude we've got as long
00:25:41.980 as we need go ahead okay okay so can we just park the the media for a second and let's focus on the
00:25:49.900 treaty and the aboriginal issue yeah if you're okay with that shadow absolutely yeah dude you
00:25:55.200 want to talk about you're here for a reason so let's talk about the treaty rights first so
00:26:00.340 first of all, there's an amazing guy on X that I just discovered last night in his
00:26:07.800 Berta dad. So Alberta without the A and the L. And he's First Nations, status Indian. He's got 0.91
00:26:15.680 the card. And he pointed out, it's the most eloquent takedown of this argument that I've
00:26:22.540 seen. He pointed out in mere minute and a half or something of this video, I've been trying to
00:26:28.160 promote it, that the treaties are immutable. They're permanent. It doesn't matter whether
00:26:36.280 the flag over top of the reserve is a Canadian flag, an Alberta flag, some new flag, or an
00:26:46.220 American flag. They continue to have their treaty rights, and whatever government they're dealing
00:26:51.940 with whether it's ottawa the canadian government or whether it's the alberta new alberta government
00:27:00.020 in the country of alberta in edmonton or whether it's it's uh if if you know this trump thing were
00:27:07.220 to happen right so the the treaties no one's talking about changing the treaties no one's
00:27:14.560 talking about not recognizing treaty rights no one who's in support of separation it's who's
00:27:21.480 credible is talking about that and you know who is the most experienced litigator in canada
00:27:29.780 fighting the federal government for 34 years to get them to honor treaty rights the key spokesman
00:27:38.360 for the alberta prosperity project jeff rath it was one of the reasons they created the alberta
00:27:43.380 prosperity project was because they were concerned about the treatment of first nations in alberta by
00:27:48.120 the federal government. So that's point number one. The treaties remain the same. Calm down,
00:27:53.440 everybody. You know, and that's this message from this First Nations guy to his fellow First
00:27:58.860 Nations. It's like, you guys, think about this for a minute. It doesn't matter what flags there. It
00:28:04.200 doesn't change the treaty rights. It just changes who you're dealing with, okay? Well, let's talk
00:28:10.000 about that. Who are they dealing with now? Ottawa. Ottawa. They're all wards of Ottawa.
00:28:18.120 They have others, thousands, tens and tens of thousands of Ottawa bureaucrats whose job it is to to house First Nations.
00:28:29.440 And we know tongue in cheek, what a stellar job they've done at that.
00:28:35.000 Right. Like, give me a break.
00:28:37.380 How does anybody responsible for delivering housing that works in Ottawa still have a job?
00:28:46.040 Like, why are they not all fired?
00:28:47.620 Oh, and then, of course, clean drinking water. Right. So Jeff Rath and others will say and I will say, you know what, guys, maybe those guys in Ottawa actually haven't done such a good job for you.
00:29:02.020 when maybe it might be a good opportunity here
00:29:05.200 to see if Alberta can do a better job. 0.98
00:29:08.600 So, and who decides? 0.94
00:29:13.200 The First Nations decide.
00:29:15.420 I've addressed this for years, actually,
00:29:18.360 but more recently and more repeatedly
00:29:21.320 because it keeps coming up.
00:29:23.060 So if we get to the point
00:29:24.880 where there's a citizen petition sufficient
00:29:28.200 to trigger a referendum,
00:29:29.420 and the referendums held next year in 2026, each First Nation who's a resident of Alberta and
00:29:37.780 older than 19 years of age will have the right for one vote, just like me, just like my wife,
00:29:43.240 just like my neighbor. And if there is a vote in favor of separation, a clear majority of
00:29:50.060 Albertans vote in favor of it, then the negotiations begin. And the Supreme Court of Canada has made
00:29:55.280 clear in the 1998 reference decision regarding Quebec succession, and in the Clarity Act,
00:30:04.280 or the Clarity Act addresses it as well, that negotiations have to begin with all the other
00:30:11.320 provinces, the federal government, and First Nations. And they're all under a positive legal
00:30:17.380 duty to enter into good faith negotiations. So the First Nations may decide, as a group
00:30:23.860 of albertan of the three treaties six seven and eight all of the reserves individually may all
00:30:30.740 decide they don't want to change they want to keep having this incredible housing and crystal
00:30:37.040 clear water delivered by these bureaucrats in ottawa they may just say this is so going so
00:30:42.280 awesome we don't want to risk changing it and you know dripping with sarcasm obviously um
00:30:48.180 Or they may say, you know what? Hey, Alberta, would you be interested in maybe opening up the treaties? They were kind of negotiated a real long time ago. Times have changed. And we might be interested in a different relationship.
00:31:03.060 And one of the things that Jeff Raft talks about is the ability to offer true resource partnership ownership in a way that is just not possible under the current treaties or the control of Ottawa.
00:31:18.160 And then so one option would be for the First Nations to say, no, we're just going to carry on.
00:31:22.600 You guys, Albertans, go do your thing.
00:31:27.200 We're just going to carry on.
00:31:28.660 And remember, there's reserves in Quebec, and I believe Ontario, but for sure Quebec, that straddle, what do they straddle? They straddle Quebec, Canada, and New York State, United States of America, right?
00:31:44.980 So there's a good example of how on one side of the reserve, they're flying a Canadian flag, because that's the country that administers the treaty, and on the other side, they're flying the American flag.
00:31:53.280 so why are we seeing this this first nations rhetoric already so early in the process why
00:31:59.300 are they i don't mean to say this because they blew it what do you mean i i completely completely
00:32:05.880 i anticipated this the smarter move would have been for them to lay back and see the timing of
00:32:12.220 the chessboard and instead they rushed out and i think there have been concerns documented in
00:32:19.220 various investigative reports and royal commissions and so on that have raised concerns about
00:32:25.080 corruption in some of the reserves and how the leadership of some of the reserves seem to be
00:32:32.400 paid a disproportionate amount of money and so little money seems to get to the first nations
00:32:39.200 aboriginal people living on the reserve yeah so if you're some of those people who are getting 0.99
00:32:46.920 rewarded for your perpetuating this dysfunctional failed relationship with ottawa maybe your first 0.95
00:32:55.200 knee-jerk reaction is going to be to come out and defend ottawa and create this narrative
00:33:00.220 to dissuade people in alberta who believe in separation and independence so i think that's
00:33:06.920 what's going on there to some extent some of it could just be a genuine lack of understanding of
00:33:12.120 what's proposed some of them just may not actually understand that their treaties are immutable
00:33:16.740 and it doesn't matter what flag so i think that's it and then and then so so just to recap a really
00:33:23.900 important point here in these negotiations that would come after a successful referendum
00:33:29.340 it is the first nations that will decide their future and one option is as i've said and i know
00:33:36.380 i'm being repetitive on purpose is status quo nothing changes including the bad housing and
00:33:42.160 bad water uh another is a new relationship with alberta or another one is asking alberta to step
00:33:48.840 into the shoes of the existing treaties so the treaties remain the same and instead of having
00:33:54.420 government officials in ottawa look after your housing you would have government officials in
00:34:00.520 edmonton in the new country of alberta looking after your housing and then the third option
00:34:04.760 is to enter into some modified new relationship so but the reality the important point is it will
00:34:12.240 be the first nations deciding that not albertans and not canadians i find that interesting because
00:34:20.040 as you pointed out there is some it's been said there is some corruption out there and many of the
00:34:26.720 the leadership groups in some of the reserves, you know, they have been actively lying publicly
00:34:35.240 since the public became aware of the Kamloops Residential School graves. I don't want to call
00:34:41.920 them graves because apparently it was just some water system that was the septic field that was
00:34:49.080 put in the ground 100 years ago. There were no actual bodies found there, and yet they continue
00:34:53.500 to be satisfied with lying and calling anybody else who, you know, contradicts them a liar 0.96
00:35:02.300 and a bigot and a racist and somebody who should be shut down and censored. 0.68
00:35:08.640 And that, it seems to me that that kind of attitude permeates through some of the First 0.92
00:35:15.780 Nations, I mean, politically speaking anyway.
00:35:18.120 so are they affiliated with any of the and we know that they mostly vote ndp or liberal in
00:35:26.720 depending on what kind of election it is whether it's provincial or federal
00:35:29.800 do we see any alliance between them and the the federal government or the left wing in this
00:35:39.520 country i guess we can only speculate on that yeah i mean i just say this that what's just so
00:35:47.260 important to me is they get to decide. I don't think it's proper for me to decide for them.
00:35:54.600 And I think it's very important that everyone understand that they will have the choice. They
00:35:59.420 will have the choice to keep status quo and keep the treaties administered by the federal government,
00:36:04.160 or they may decide and say, sorry, federal government, we'd like to try it with Alberta,
00:36:08.860 and then federal government says, okay, we'll step out and Alberta will step into our shoes
00:36:13.540 and hopefully do a better job than we have. Sorry, we blew it for so many years.
00:36:17.260 Um, and then the third option would be for some or all, uh, to say, you know what, let's try a
00:36:25.200 new approach. Uh, we've got to try something new because we've got a chronic poverty and we've got
00:36:30.180 a low life expectancy in terms of mortality in our communities and, uh, we've got to do better.
00:36:35.040 So, um, but the most important thing is they're in control of those decisions and that's where I
00:36:39.860 think they should be. So the campaign I would imagine has already begun and I'm understanding
00:36:45.340 that there are many different groups across the province who have already started petitions
00:36:49.600 and this is why i ask about a joining together of all of the different groups i think one petition
00:36:55.140 would probably be the best thing either that or sign them all right okay so let's talk about the
00:37:02.860 details um because it's a great question shadow so it's not any piece of paper so if anybody prints
00:37:10.640 off a thing called a petition and trying to get you to sign it you can sign it but that's not the
00:37:15.580 legal one it's just like if you're going to a voting booth and some johnny standing out there
00:37:21.040 and he's handing out pieces of paper that he made with crayon you wouldn't go great this looks like
00:37:25.100 an official ballot to me i guess i better go use it make sure i get my x right right no you want
00:37:30.360 that very so it's the same thing elections alberta uh goes through a vetting process there's an
00:37:36.860 application process that someone has to an Albertan has to go through when they say I want to start
00:37:42.100 a citizen initiative petition it has to meet certain characteristics it gets reviewed and
00:37:47.640 vetted to ensure it meets all those legal correct uh criteria then the uh chief electoral officer
00:37:54.500 will decide will tell you how many signatures you need to get to meet the threshold what's your
00:37:58.900 number uh and we'll tell you when your 120 days is going to start so bill 54 that was introduced
00:38:07.020 last week by danielle smith are they expecting that to pass quickly are they going to stay in
00:38:11.900 session over the summer to to make that happen or is that something that's down the road a bit
00:38:15.880 i'm pretty sure session closes either this week or next week so it'll be law very soon wow okay um
00:38:22.980 yeah and and that's not this is it's normal for session the spring lesson it's called spring
00:38:28.900 legislative session not summer right so it it it normally wraps around this time or in in mid to
00:38:35.440 third week of may well my question was that like i mean because i i know that it takes time to pass
00:38:40.800 a bill occasionally you could literally pass if a government really really wanted to they could
00:38:47.960 pass a bill for sure in two days because all you got to do is stand up and say bill and i make up
00:38:53.460 a number bill 99 is hereby read a first time motion to dispense with reading the bill all in
00:38:59.220 favor yeah okay sit down back on the order paper okay or i'd like to move that bill 99 be read a
00:39:06.140 second time i'm doing this is how much you'd have to actually do to do it in real time okay like
00:39:11.000 uh and then i dispense with reading of the bill yeah okay and they go okay motion to move into
00:39:15.760 committee the whole any amendments no and then they invoke closure and then they would go to
00:39:21.080 third reading i move that bill the 99b wrote a third time yep all in favor yep passes okay send
00:39:26.720 it over to lieutenant governor royal assent signature boom law it doesn't when you got a
00:39:31.560 majority you could put something through the house if you really wanted to extremely quickly
00:39:37.020 but i don't see any urgency um here and i don't think the government's treating it any different
00:39:44.200 than any other bill they've brought in legislation to amend other aspects of elections like we're
00:39:50.720 not going to be doing electronic tabulator for all of our votes they're going to be counted by
00:39:55.340 humans that can't be recoded and other legislation regarding health care education and so on all
00:40:04.980 those bills policing they'll all pass because they have the majority they have the sufficient
00:40:10.040 they might the opposition might filibuster and send them spend them into some late nights and
00:40:14.960 they'll be bringing in you know skip the dishes at two in the morning as they work the night shift
00:40:20.320 in the legislature but but they'll get her done i'm not anticipating any issue there and so so
00:40:26.260 what what happens though is back to the the petition the citizen petition is it's a legal
00:40:35.160 form of paper specifically designed and approved by elections alberta and then you get volunteers
00:40:43.920 that have these official versions and they can go door to door they can go to their local curling
00:40:49.600 club or their baseball team or set up in a mall parking lot or put on a town hall meeting and
00:40:56.060 have them there and people have to put their name um their address their phone number and
00:41:01.940 maybe something else and sign it um so this is not it can't be done electronically this is no
00:41:08.220 electronic no okay and at least that's my understanding unless they make a further
00:41:12.820 amendment but it stands right now it will be paper ballots with with ink signatures
00:41:17.820 then those go to elections alberta and elections alberta will count them and say you know okay
00:41:26.100 donald day j trump sherwood park alberta and don't think so right that one's not real um
00:41:33.000 santa claus whatever um donald duck is always a big one what's that donald duck is always a big
00:41:40.060 one yeah donald duck yeah all the disney characters show up um so then they will
00:41:45.580 confirm the number and if the number is confirmed so it used to be 600 000 because we had
00:41:52.240 two different standards if albertans wanted legislation or a policy change they had to get
00:41:57.600 10 percent of a 10 threshold and then 30 or 20 if it was constitutional and the premier looked at
00:42:07.640 how it's done in other jurisdictions uh california and other places and they don't have a differential
00:42:13.120 they if there's if it's a citizen initiative it's a citizen initiative so she said it should be the
00:42:17.700 same. We shouldn't be making this into a snakes and ladders board. That's mostly snakes and no
00:42:22.560 ladders. So she's amended and announced that last week, the day after the election, that instead of
00:42:31.320 needing 600,000 signatures on a petition to force the Alberta government to hold an independence
00:42:38.480 referendum, rather than needing 600 signatures to force that, we now need about 177,000.
00:42:45.660 and we're definitely going to get that so um so once we have that 177 000 confirmed by the chief
00:42:54.300 electoral office he then advises the government the government of alberta it then sets the in
00:43:00.240 process the actual referendum and the various camps will engage in their education campaigns
00:43:09.340 as to what they think whether you should be voting yes for independence and separation
00:43:14.660 or whether you should be voting no and that this is where the legacy media is going to show up
00:43:22.260 and because at some you know what's it's sort of been the case to now well not sort of it's
00:43:30.380 absolutely been the case that the arrogance of the laurentian elite and the ottawa crowd
00:43:36.680 that they just and so many of them have frankly and from my experience and some of my interactions
00:43:43.620 There's no idea about how diversified Alberta's economy is.
00:43:47.900 It's not just oil.
00:43:49.480 They have no idea.
00:43:50.860 And I'm not talking about necessarily the technocrats,
00:43:52.940 but so many people, it seems, in central and eastern Canada
00:43:56.480 have no idea that Alberta owns just about the entirety
00:44:01.080 of the land base of the province.
00:44:02.960 They have no idea that the...
00:44:05.100 We have four military bases in Alberta.
00:44:09.280 One of them alone is larger than the cumulative land mass
00:44:13.200 of all the military bases in ontario right um they don't know that you know alberta owns the
00:44:22.560 oil and gas they actually think it's the federal government they think crown land means federal
00:44:26.820 crown i'm just astounded at the lack of basic civics understanding that i'm hearing from people
00:44:33.420 and they don't realize that albertans we net pay at you know on average 30 billion dollars more to
00:44:41.700 ottawa then we get back yearly is that a yearly number yes yes yearly you should compare the gdp
00:44:49.960 of alberta to ontario well and compare our export values you know search up uh what what the the
00:44:57.840 dollar value annual dollar value is for exports from alberta total and then compare ontario
00:45:04.140 Ontario is, sorry, nothing, nothing.
00:45:08.880 Alberta just thumps them.
00:45:10.720 It's a hundred and something billion versus, 1.00
00:45:13.780 it's just, do the comparison.
00:45:15.520 I wish I had them at my fingers and I will next time.
00:45:18.440 So they just don't understand.
00:45:21.020 So some people say, well, good luck paying for your healthcare
00:45:24.480 because they think Ottawa pays for it.
00:45:26.780 Well, Ottawa might pay for it in other provinces,
00:45:28.720 but they don't pay for it here.
00:45:30.880 So of all the money we send to Ottawa each year,
00:45:34.140 um we we don't get 30 billion of it back and that's when the premier was talking about this
00:45:40.780 in her speech today so instantly out of the gate alberta will have 30 billion dollars more
00:45:48.280 and it ranges it can be i think the lowest i saw was 17 billion i've seen 27 billion it depends on
00:45:55.680 how the economy is doing and other factors but we're going to have billions of dollars
00:46:01.620 laying around in our pocket to pay for the things that traditionally have been paid for by the
00:46:08.800 federal government one of which is running passport offices now i don't know if we're
00:46:15.000 going to be able to replicate that five-star concierge service you know that you get at a
00:46:19.940 you get at uh you get at a passport office no go sit and wait in that chair and i'll talk to you
00:46:27.060 sometime this afternoon maybe or you'll probably get in this line to get to talk to someone to
00:46:33.420 get another number to get into that line to wait to talk to someone to get in the other line yeah
00:46:38.080 you get it uh and uh and so on and they're non they're they're they're websites that seem to be
00:46:45.620 designed by a by a committee whose job it is to drive you crazy right because you're like
00:46:52.200 you have to pick a time to book your reservation to go to the passport office and it's like oh no
00:47:00.840 it's not available at that time try it you know try another location oh because of your postal
00:47:06.140 code you can't use the other location it's just like no i went through that today renewing my
00:47:11.380 driver's license i totally understand well you know there's 10 people in front of you you might
00:47:15.320 want to go to a different office yeah but i'm here now right those men over there they're all waiting
00:47:21.540 do you have to get your picture done it was just a whole process and and that's i think it's designed
00:47:25.860 that way just to make people go away you know so i i took us on a digression i apologize but
00:47:32.100 let me say this and i continued on the digression yeah well we're both guilty then um but but it's
00:47:38.720 the point is this is that um up to this time ottawa hasn't taken this seriously hasn't taken
00:47:45.940 Albertans desires for change and our determination to deal with it and resolve it seriously at all
00:47:54.140 and in fact to the extent they've acknowledged it it's been mocking they mocked the premier
00:48:00.100 they mocked premier smith carney did two weeks into the campaign trail right um and it was
00:48:06.380 misogynistic type nonsense he said too but in any event so i think what's going to happen here
00:48:14.340 is they're going to start to do the math
00:48:17.960 and they're going to start to go,
00:48:19.200 oh boy, if Alberta leaves,
00:48:21.140 how are we going to afford all of this stuff? 0.84
00:48:24.200 The Canadian pension plan's in trouble.
00:48:27.680 The only reason it's still in existence
00:48:29.900 is because of Alberta,
00:48:32.020 because we have a younger population
00:48:33.820 and they work more and earn more
00:48:37.920 than people in the other parts of the country.
00:48:41.200 And as a result, they're contributing more
00:48:43.860 and so many of the retirees in central canada are able to be retirees because of the hard work of
00:48:50.460 young albertans and we know that it's interesting isn't it when we when we look at it and go all
00:48:56.220 right so alberta fronts the money essentially for all of these folks out there with their elbows up
00:49:02.740 who were voting for mark carney uh just last week and and you're right i mean they have no idea
00:49:09.000 exactly how much but just imagine how much richer alberta would be keith if you know
00:49:16.140 the federal government wasn't there to have their boot on alberta's economic neck and they didn't
00:49:22.880 have to sell alberta didn't have to sell their oil at a massive discount to the united states
00:49:27.320 they could sell it worldwide what i ask now is uh you know somebody was talking today and i've
00:49:33.920 been talking about this for quite some time and the landlock question has always come up even if
00:49:38.500 saskatchewan goes as well and i'm going to have nadine ness from unified grassroots on the show 0.77
00:49:42.820 on thursday night she's already been attacked for wanting to start an independence uh referendum
00:49:48.480 petition on her own in the legislature of saskatchewan by the ndp today but where are they
00:49:54.600 going to go with the pipelines if if you're dealing with a landlocked province and then
00:49:59.300 maybe another landlocked province joins in a year or two later so let's deal with this
00:50:08.660 first of all let's first of all um the main east west rail line main line in the united states
00:50:22.320 that connects to the ports on the west coast of seattle and portland and san diego or you know
00:50:32.120 san francisco all that stuff and even there's a lot of ports through oregon and and washington
00:50:38.360 state that aren't big city ports that main line that main east west line and as it goes east goes
00:50:46.120 to the lakehead within the united states and then off through the entire rail network and also
00:50:51.560 straight down to houston and galveston and uh and and so on um that main east west rail line
00:51:02.900 is exactly 30 miles south of the alberta border at shelby okay and the railway that merged with
00:51:12.940 KCP, Kansas City, or Kansas Southern, sorry, it's KS, is now a large North American rail company.
00:51:27.180 And guess where their head office is? Calgary, Alberta.
00:51:31.300 Okay. So we have, because we haven't been able to trade with the East, 0.52
00:51:37.080 we've built this trading infrastructure North-South. Our trade's North-South.
00:51:42.940 Our cattle go south.
00:51:44.160 Our oil goes south.
00:51:45.220 Our lumber goes south.
00:51:46.320 Our pulp goes south.
00:51:47.860 South.
00:51:49.320 Not east.
00:51:50.400 Some east, but not much.
00:51:52.160 And the oil and gases, I hope people know now, that goes east actually goes through the United States.
00:51:58.400 Through line five, crosses over by Sarnia, right?
00:52:01.300 So it doesn't even go across Canada.
00:52:04.300 But, all right, Port of Vancouver.
00:52:07.220 Think containers from China and Malaysia and Vietnam and Indonesia and all of these places where we get our clothing and all the stuff we buy at a Walmart and a Canadian tire store and a Home Depot.
00:52:22.720 75 percent of that container traffic that lands in Vancouver goes east of Alberta goes to
00:52:34.180 Manitoba to Ontario to Quebec and points eastward so my question is for Ontario is how are they
00:52:42.720 going to get those goods if they think that we're landlocked are we landlocked are they landlocked
00:52:50.940 I guess you'd both be landlocked if you're looking at it like that.
00:52:54.380 Right.
00:52:54.740 So I think we're going to say to BC, all right, well, you don't want us to have a pipeline.
00:53:00.600 Well, we don't want your goods to come across our country then.
00:53:04.060 And I hope it would never come to that bluntness.
00:53:06.240 But it's just in no one's interest to not facilitate this type of trade.
00:53:12.620 And Alberta has the option of shifting south and then east-west.
00:53:19.340 remember the main line east west rail line is 30 miles from the canadian from the alberta border
00:53:27.740 from the montana alberta border in shelby montana um so we have options bc won't they may be able to
00:53:37.420 ship south and try and get around us but then they're gonna have to be dealing with the americans
00:53:40.460 they can't go north so it's not that simple uh i'm not worried about the landlock argument
00:53:47.300 most of our trade is north south anyway and to the extent that we need increased access to the
00:53:55.580 west coast we'll at least have leverage right now we have a federal government that's made
00:54:01.420 ideologically extremist policies to block us from having that access so you're a constitutional guy
00:54:08.840 let's let's walk through this let's just say let's move ahead in time a year and let's just say that
00:54:16.760 But 55% of Albertans, once the official totals are in, have said, yeah, we want to be an independent nation.
00:54:24.740 What is the next step after that?
00:54:27.120 You've got 55%, you've got the majority.
00:54:29.440 What now?
00:54:30.960 Well, you enter negotiations.
00:54:33.740 And, you know.
00:54:36.140 Now, what does that look like, Keith?
00:54:37.420 I mean, we sit down at a table.
00:54:39.240 So now you've got.
00:54:39.740 I can tell you what it would look like.
00:54:41.080 Because, look, I'm a litigator.
00:54:43.740 You know, I have real litigation files.
00:54:45.740 and very expensive ones, you know, like the highest value file I would do would be a billion
00:54:50.180 dollars. And I'm very commonly dealing with ones in hundreds of millions and, and, and a lot that
00:54:55.520 are, you know, under a hundred million, you know, but, and they're often multi-party and guess what?
00:55:03.520 Everybody hates one another. Nobody wants to do a deal. Everybody's got an agenda. Everybody's
00:55:08.520 got an interest. And what ends up happening is we go into negotiations and usually it's fronted
00:55:15.480 by the lawyers and i know people hate lawyers that's fine uh some days i hate lawyers too
00:55:20.940 especially if i'm having difficult negotiations um and lawyers i know uh but we we work it out
00:55:30.760 we build contingencies in we try to figure out ways to address people's concerns and issues
00:55:35.840 um and say okay how can we get a win-win here um and and if if you're going to have a lose somewhere
00:55:43.740 So if my client's in such a situation where we know we're not going to get the win in a particular area, well, is there somewhere else we can get a win?
00:55:50.860 Because this other side really wants this thing that we're now going to lose, this piece of it, because there's always lots of pieces to it.
00:55:57.880 It's never simple.
00:55:58.860 It's always really complex.
00:56:01.040 I just see this being the exact same thing.
00:56:03.360 But instead of notionally having 10 or 15 clients in the room, there's going to be 40 million.
00:56:13.740 Right. So, so what I'm asking here is what would be on the table?
00:56:19.040 Would there be certain buildings, certain pieces of land?
00:56:25.480 So here's what we know.
00:56:28.060 So mostly most provinces and Alberta,
00:56:34.020 including it's the province. And again,
00:56:37.000 the lack of understanding of average Canadians on this,
00:56:40.200 I just find actually troubling.
00:56:42.400 they just don't seem to know who delivers what you know and they just have this mythology that
00:56:48.160 it's the federal government and it's not the federal government does very very little
00:56:51.620 it cost us a fortune and uh harm us but they don't do a lot so so um all the hospitals are
00:57:00.720 provincial so we don't have to deal with that all the schools are provincial all the universities
00:57:05.280 are provincial all the jails but for a few federal penitentiaries are provincial the roads are
00:57:13.600 provincial even the trans canada highway is provincial right there's a funding arrangement
00:57:19.160 in it because it's trans canada but it's you know when you drive the trans canada uh through
00:57:25.960 manitoba and you get a speeding ticket do you get it under some canada transport act you know or
00:57:32.660 Trans-Canada Speed Limit Act? No, it's the provincial statutes that apply. The right-of-way
00:57:38.900 is owned by the province, where the road is. So, so many things would remain the same,
00:57:45.780 but we would need to deal with things like, first of all, the national parks.
00:57:50.740 So, Alberta has four national parks, Waterton, Banff, Jasper, and Wood Buffalo. Wood Buffalo's
00:57:57.540 huge. It's way at the northern part of the province. There's no roads into almost all of it.
00:58:02.660 um so we would have to either say to the federal government do you want to keep them and we'll draw
00:58:09.760 the boundaries of our new country around you because they're all on borders all of our national
00:58:14.580 parks are on a border um with bc or the northwest territories or possibly yukon i'm not clear on
00:58:21.480 that one in any event um so there would be a negotiation as to if we are to acquire the
00:58:27.920 national parks and the federal government what are we going to pay similarly with the military
00:58:31.480 bases because as i mentioned earlier we have four military bases in alberta um as to what the
00:58:37.440 purchase price would be for that infrastructure and whether we buy it with equipment inside it
00:58:42.840 or not um you know they can have a moving day and take all their stuff out and we would have to so
00:58:49.080 that would be something alberta would have to deal with is is building up its own military but we're
00:58:53.540 going to have significant revenues kept in the province that we're currently not sending to
00:58:58.960 ottawa that we can do that with as well as the ability to increase our production because we're
00:59:03.540 going to get rid of these production caps these no more pipeline laws and all of these economic
00:59:09.040 these these uh legislative steps that the federal government has taken or is about to take
00:59:14.820 that that curtail our economic prosperity other things we would have to negotiate and be determined
00:59:21.660 uh not negotiated but we would have to develop a passport office uh we would have to develop a
00:59:29.080 border system of of having checkpoints at at borders well but only on three sides because
00:59:34.440 we already got them on one side for the americans um so but these are all very practical things to
00:59:40.140 do we all know how to build a building at a border and put up lights and signs as to where you pull
00:59:45.720 up to and have a restroom like it's well the way stations are already there anyway right so just
00:59:50.600 exactly and that's another example so so there would be that there's a banking and monetary
00:59:55.720 policy i think the easiest thing would be to allow you know you know i remember one time i was
01:00:01.680 years ago i was in florida with went to disney world or something with the kids and i saw this
01:00:07.360 rbc bank and i thought oh wow and then i saw scotia bank i thought oh i didn't realize
01:00:12.240 so if rbc can be in florida and scotia bank can be in texas um rbc and scotia bank can be in
01:00:20.100 alberta alberta has its own banks we have alberta treasury banks uh western canadian bank and stuff
01:00:25.220 already um so you know there would be a need to deal with consulars uh setting up uh consuls and
01:00:34.240 embassies in other countries um uh policing whether we're going to adopt the criminal code as is i
01:00:40.980 think the simplest thing and there's going to be work done on all of these issues so i'm just
01:00:44.560 giving you some imagery and ideas as opposed to precision here on these points
01:00:49.420 is you know the easiest thing would be is to adopt the current legal system
01:00:54.400 and then decide what parts of the criminal code the new government of Alberta doesn't like because
01:00:59.680 they will have criminal law power so we don't have to defer to catch and release policies of
01:01:04.620 the federal liberals so but when you look at the few things that the federal government does
01:01:09.920 Alberta can easily take those over
01:01:12.740 and I think we can only potentially do it better
01:01:17.140 because the federal government's been really bad
01:01:20.000 at just about everything that it's tried to do
01:01:22.200 at least for the last 10 years 1.00
01:01:23.920 so would it be Danielle Smith's government 0.98
01:01:27.800 in control of these negotiations 0.98
01:01:29.820 remembering that she's been elected as the premier of Alberta
01:01:33.180 not a national leader
01:01:35.800 it's a different situation
01:01:37.300 would the people from the independence party the alberta republicans would they be invited
01:01:44.560 in to confer i mean how would that work or or would it just be danielle and her government
01:01:49.280 well um danielle's mandate uh the current there's no requirement for an alberta election until
01:01:57.640 i believe it's the fall of 2027 so you know assuming and you can never
01:02:04.300 Albertans will vote out leaders they don't like we've seen that Mr. Kenny experienced that
01:02:10.080 and others before him Mr. Stelmack others assuming that Premier Smith continues to have
01:02:17.520 the sort of Albertans and I'm hopeful she will because I have a great deal of respect for her
01:02:21.660 and I think we're blessed to have her as our premier constitutionally it is the government
01:02:28.380 the representatives of the government of each province so it would be the premier or whoever
01:02:34.400 she sends to the negotiations i'm wondering if she even wants it because she said in her speech
01:02:41.860 today that she is in favor of a sovereign alberta within a united canada whatever that means i want
01:02:48.800 to play a clip here for you because we've been referring and this is like a 14 second clip we've
01:02:54.400 been referring to quebec as an independent quebec inside of a sovereign and you or sovereign quebec
01:03:00.540 inside of a united canada now since the harper days and they do seem to have a great deal of
01:03:06.520 autonomy in the decisions they make as compared to other provinces but they never signed the
01:03:10.860 constitution act of 1982 but watch this is yves francois blanchette the leader of the bloc
01:03:16.840 about two days before the election.
01:03:18.980 We are, either we like it or not,
01:03:22.040 part of an artificial country
01:03:24.440 with very little meaning, called Canada.
01:03:29.040 Many people in Canada write to me and say,
01:03:32.900 we'd like to have the same as Quebec has.
01:03:37.120 What does he mean by that?
01:03:40.480 I don't know.
01:03:41.620 Artificial country with little meaning?
01:03:44.340 i mean does he know something that we don't know an observer might say when they look at the size
01:03:51.960 of the country you know second largest country in the world by landmass and they look at the
01:03:58.680 cultural diversity and the economic diversity is there sufficient uh homogeneity do we have
01:04:08.140 enough in common to really be a viable country i don't know i i'm i i've observed the cultural
01:04:17.660 variation from east to west i've observed the cultural variation from you know the vancouver
01:04:25.020 coastline to alberta and uh maybe he's right on that but what i do know for certain having
01:04:33.500 studied this very carefully uh is that um there's little opportunity for my kids and grandkids
01:04:41.160 in a future canada with the direction that the voters in eastern canada have decide continually
01:04:47.780 decide for the future of this country printing money over restrictions governments supposedly
01:04:54.560 going to keep people safe which just means take away their freedoms um and then i compare it to
01:05:02.060 what opportunities and the prosperity and the potential for achievement that exists if Alberta
01:05:09.220 were to become independent. It's just the conclusion's obvious. But you did see during
01:05:15.600 the Freedom Convoy, the nation come together. You did see Quebec guys shaking hands and playing
01:05:22.360 street hockey with Alberta guys, Saskatchewan guys, people from everywhere, from the Maritimes
01:05:27.820 in newfoundland i mean that was maybe that was the last great canadian gathering well you can
01:05:34.240 certainly say we gave it a good try um for sure but you know what's interesting is um you know
01:05:43.080 that in the the last days of the campaign one of the strategies that the liberals were using was
01:05:48.980 to associate polyev with the convoy yeah like it was a bad thing it was a pock right so um i just
01:05:58.380 think clearly given the election results and not just the the election results i was cautioning
01:06:05.900 people a year ago when they were getting excited about this landside conservative victory that was
01:06:10.740 proposed and you know you'd have polyev or the conservatives at 49 or 47 and then the liberals
01:06:17.920 at 38 percent and then the NDP at 14 percent and I'd say could you add together the red bar and
01:06:25.200 the orange bar for me please and they'd go oh my god yeah and I would say so what you're facing
01:06:31.580 here is a majority of Canadians after what we've been through with COVID and the government's
01:06:37.520 reaction to it and its overreaction the mandates the stripping of fundamental rights the forcing us
01:06:42.480 to taking an experimental drug
01:06:45.240 and all of the things that we know about
01:06:47.680 harming our children by taking them out of school,
01:06:50.080 business closures, and so on.
01:06:52.100 And then all these radical extremist policies,
01:06:55.500 carbon taxes, everything else.
01:06:57.440 And a majority of Canadians are saying,
01:06:59.920 yeah, I like that.
01:07:01.700 I want more of it.
01:07:02.700 Let's keep it.
01:07:04.580 I just, you just, so maybe,
01:07:07.060 you know, maybe the illusion,
01:07:09.360 Maybe what we saw in Ottawa during the Freedom Convoy as a unifying moment, maybe it was a little illusion.
01:07:17.920 Maybe our friend from Quebec is correct.
01:07:19.860 I don't know. 0.89
01:07:21.280 But I can't change that.
01:07:23.880 Not only anybody's asking me to, obviously, but what I do know is that I can potentially change the opportunities for my kids.
01:07:32.580 And I think many Albertans feel that way. And that's why they're now so excited and motivated to support independence.
01:07:41.200 So let's go back to the beginning when we talked about 33% would absolutely support Alberta independence. 33% would definitely stay with the federal government. And that's off the middle 33, 34% of people. You're going to have an onslaught on your hands, Keith.
01:07:59.080 I mean, when you bring, you know, and this is something that I was talking about last week, and I heard you talking with Ezra about, I think, last week as well. You sent me the clip and I watched it again. But I was talking about the people who were behind the independence movement or the independence movements in Alberta. And there's a lot of money there.
01:08:18.120 I know that there's a lot of people who have a lot of individual wealth who are definitely supporting the independence movement.
01:08:26.180 And so from that, you would be able to create a massive marketing campaign, a massive advertising campaign, billboards, social media, TV.
01:08:34.020 Of course, that's if TV allowed you to advertise on their channels, because we know how that's been going lately.
01:08:40.260 but what do you think the i mean every single federal party including the conservatives
01:08:46.080 would probably be speaking out saying no no no no you can't leave you've got to stay so the
01:08:51.780 liberals conservatives the ndp all of the provincial ndp and lefties would be going against
01:08:58.100 you the media would be going against you name calling slander i mean i know that you've been
01:09:02.500 through all of that uh with the freedom convoy and several other people as well some high profile
01:09:08.380 people can you withstand that in order to win that middle 34 and you don't even really need
01:09:17.300 them all you you only need maybe 22 of that 34 to get a yes vote let's get the hell out of here
01:09:24.400 is it doable can you make the cool thing is what i'm asking yeah we could do that but but here's
01:09:32.560 here's what i've said to a number of the key people involved in the other groups as we've
01:09:37.580 had discussions over the last number of weeks i've said and i would hear them some of them say
01:09:43.760 things to me and i'm going oh boy you are not seeing what's coming man because you know i got
01:09:48.540 the scars from ottawa right yeah yeah so i know i know what it's like and this your first guy through
01:09:54.000 the wall always gets bruised right and we're all going through the wall first time here so um what
01:10:00.780 i've cautioned them is right now as i mentioned earlier and we've just talked about shadow is
01:10:07.160 that ottawa really never took this seriously and to the any extent they talked about it was mocking
01:10:11.640 uh now i think they're going to start to take it serious and um because they're going to take it
01:10:18.760 serious we're going to suffer bot attacks we're going to see hyper inflated themes and stories
01:10:26.680 coming from the legacy media because the legacy media and we've you and i've talked about this
01:10:31.620 before because i used to be interviewed a lot on my different high profile cases back in the day
01:10:37.140 when the legacy media got zero percent of its funding from ottawa and now gets hundreds and
01:10:43.460 hundreds of millions of dollars and a good chunk of every paycheck of every reporter
01:10:48.700 um comes from ottawa and they need to pay mortgages too or pay more commonly rent because
01:10:56.620 they can't afford to get a house to have a mortgage but um so they're going to serve the
01:11:02.780 paymaster and there is going to be propaganda coming at us i've said to these guys like you
01:11:07.700 have never experienced before dirty tricks false allegations um everything they they're going to
01:11:16.720 see this if they think that this the closer it becomes real the dirtier they're going to get
01:11:24.220 and we've seen from their history uh the the liberals that they'll play dirty and you know
01:11:31.600 there's another factor that's going to come into this too is the jerry mcguire effect which who's
01:11:38.640 coming with me right but what ends up happening is they start to resent you i had this happen when
01:11:46.220 i left a big firm and went off to set off my own firm and at first it was because they were everybody
01:11:50.500 was mad at the partners they thought the partners weren't treating everybody well and i took a bunch
01:11:53.700 of people with me and they're like yeah you're showing it to the man but then they went through
01:11:57.840 this psychological transition over a couple of weeks where it's like, well, wait a minute. I
01:12:01.620 don't like working here. I'd really like to go, but I've got nowhere to go. Well, maybe this place
01:12:05.600 isn't so bad and that Wilson guy is not a good guy, right? So you went from high fives walking 0.99
01:12:09.800 down the hallway to people not making eye contact or maybe putting their shoulder into you as you
01:12:13.800 walk past the photocopier, right? So we're going to have this tension where, you know, Nova Scotia
01:12:19.960 gets at least a quarter of its budget from transfer payments from Alberta. Where are those
01:12:26.820 billions going to come from they're going to come from the auto workers getting taxed more in
01:12:31.720 ontario um so this we're we're going to be it's going to be a hell of a rough ride
01:12:37.940 what if this referendum does happen in a year's time and for those of you just joining us right
01:12:47.880 now this is keith wilson veteran senior attorney a lot of battle scars a lot of negotiations you
01:12:55.780 may remember keith obviously from the freedom convoy um danielle smith said today that if there
01:13:04.160 is a citizen initiated petition for separation or independence that the government would honor it
01:13:09.680 and so let's just say we do have this this referendum in a year's time but you only get
01:13:15.420 45 does the movement die or does it just keep going i don't know you know and one thing we
01:13:24.780 haven't talked about yet is, and I'm going to bring it up now, you know, I'm a strategist,
01:13:31.440 right? So I game things out. I always try and game things out. I get to fork in the road. Okay.
01:13:35.300 This could have, this happens and let's go down there. Okay. Then this could happen. Let's go
01:13:39.060 down there. Let's go back up to this fork, go down. You just game out, game out, game out. You
01:13:42.620 have to do that in litigation. Nothing can be a surprise. You have to game out all the scenarios
01:13:47.200 and whatever strategy you make has to work for every scenario. So I've done that a number of
01:13:53.340 times and i i don't necessarily do it on paper because if you see my office i got 12 screens so
01:13:59.500 i do everything usually digital but imagine every time i've done it i do the voter overlay of
01:14:04.660 education campaign for albertans and where are they at and then i do the carny analysis which
01:14:10.120 carny do we have you know do we have the conservative platform stealing carny or the net
01:14:16.180 zero gabo on steroids carny that's the guy and then i do then i go to do the third level of the
01:14:23.360 chessboard which is trump and i take everything i've done and i sweep it off the table because
01:14:29.860 he's so as we all know unpredictable now what we do know is that he's a land developer and land
01:14:38.860 developers always like to acquire more land he's talked he brought up the idea of acquiring
01:14:43.980 things in canada before anybody else did and he also knows that alberta has the third largest
01:14:52.040 reserve of oil and gas in the world he knows even though he won't say anything about it that
01:14:57.600 their reservoirs are all going down because they've been drill baby drill doesn't replenish
01:15:04.320 doesn't refill overnight right and he needs to re-establish his strategic reserve our strategic
01:15:11.320 reserve is 30 30 or 18 000 meters underground you can't even bomb it you just got to pull it out
01:15:16.880 with a pump and put it through a pipeline so um and then we have all the other resources that and
01:15:23.580 the trade that we do with the u.s and how we're becoming a dominant place for data centers and
01:15:29.020 ai because one of the biggest problems with data centers is cooling them which is not a problem
01:15:34.300 when it's minus 30 which it is a lot here right and all these other things and we've got the natural
01:15:40.180 gas to take natural gas plants and put data centers on the plant because the fuel supplies
01:15:46.240 right there you make it a cogen and boom you don't even have a transmission line to worry about
01:15:49.420 so there's all kinds of diversification that's been occurring in our economy people think it's
01:15:54.240 monolithic it's not and then we have all our agricultural goods and our food and our beef
01:15:58.760 and all of these other things so trump um is likely going to want alberta and he's going to
01:16:04.740 see a negotiation going on and boy you know that guy loves to show up at a negotiation right
01:16:10.360 so he may make some kind of offer to Canada to Alberta that's that that completely upsets
01:16:16.860 the balance it could potentially even backfire as we've seen trunk derangement syndrome could
01:16:22.520 occur it's interesting of the third of the people and it's probably a higher percentage that I know
01:16:27.200 want to separate there's a group within there and I don't know it's not half but it's it's not
01:16:33.340 insignificant that are absolutely committed to independence but absolutely opposed to becoming
01:16:39.800 the 51st state so it's it's complex you know steve bannon was talking about it steve bannon
01:16:47.340 was talking about it last week uh on on a podcast i'm not sure if it was in his war room podcast or
01:16:52.900 if he was talking with somebody else about it and he mentioned alberta and saskatchewan by name and
01:16:58.200 And that's the first time that I had heard any American media talk about that particular scenario.
01:17:06.920 And think about Saskatchewan, though, because Saskatchewan has and a lot of people don't know this, that Saskatchewan has a reasonable amount of oil and gas down in the southeastern part of their province, but not nothing compared to Alberta.
01:17:21.140 But still, it's it's important.
01:17:23.500 But and they have all the agricultural production, which is amazing.
01:17:26.620 but they have two other things they have the largest reserve of potash and what's potash for
01:17:32.800 people who don't know what potash is it's underground you mine it underground it's almost
01:17:38.100 like a salt mine you know comes out as a granular it's white they put it in rail cars it goes down
01:17:44.400 to the u.s in iowa and so on and the farmers put it into their tractor it's called fertilizer
01:17:49.300 it's natural fertilizer there's no processing involved or next to none and they have the
01:17:57.080 largest reserve of that so now he trump secures the ability to fertilize without having to make
01:18:03.100 chemical fertilizer from natural gas and all the costs associated with that
01:18:07.340 and saskatchewan either has the largest or one of the world's largest reserves of uranium
01:18:14.100 and he's big into nuclear power all of their military or important elements of their military
01:18:21.480 run off of nuclear so for him to get alberta and saskatchewan uh would just the benefits it would
01:18:30.160 provide the prosperity the security the economic uh boost it would give to the united states 0.87
01:18:39.660 the largest economy in the world under threat from china and elsewhere he's he could probably
01:18:47.880 put you know he might even throw in some trump watches for all we know why are people but isn't
01:18:54.120 it just if you pause for a minute yep like think about that like so trump sees that as an opportunity
01:19:00.720 and ottawa says no no no no no no you just work harder with what you have we're not going to let
01:19:09.380 you produce more we're not going to give you a pipeline access we're going to have a tanker band
01:19:14.600 we're going to force you to force out natural gas electricity electricity generation we're going to
01:19:19.980 make you all drive electric vehicles when it's minus 30 you know and all of these other nonsensical
01:19:26.200 ideologically extremist laws with their knee on our economic neck do you believe that it's possible
01:19:34.540 to reverse people's ideas of joining the united states is this trump derangement syndrome a deep
01:19:41.580 thing or is it something that you can snap people out of because that's what i think stopping this
01:19:47.560 i mean it's gonna zing i'm gonna zing and zang on you here okay so one of the things that i picked
01:19:53.520 up on that i did not see coming and would have not have predicted is there's um alberta's had
01:20:00.940 the largest net immigration of all the provinces in canada and some of that's been you know
01:20:07.580 refugees from ontario and stuff conservative refugees from other parts of the country
01:20:12.240 from all over but a lot of it's from economic refugees from other countries and a lot of them
01:20:20.740 didn't pick canada as their first pick they picked the united states and they took alberta or canada
01:20:28.480 as their second pick. So they came here because they wanted the economic opportunity for their
01:20:34.160 children and for themselves and their grandkids. So if they right now are thinking, no, I'd never
01:20:41.120 support separation. Don't really think about it. Still trying to adjust to living in Canada.
01:20:46.160 And then suddenly they hear, wait a minute, I could suddenly have an American citizenship and
01:20:51.260 I don't have to move and wait a minute, I can get all these other things. So I think even though
01:20:56.980 there might be some people who would vote for independence right now who are totally against
01:21:03.580 the 51st state concept. There's others who are on the fence or maybe a no to independence that
01:21:09.560 would become yes once they see that opportunity. So it's very volatile, but I do fundamentally
01:21:14.660 believe that what's happening here with the federal government and its approach is so glaringly wrong
01:21:21.140 and so many people see it as i mentioned earlier the debt the deficit this liberal government has
01:21:28.320 accumulated more debt just themselves than every other government in the history of our country
01:21:35.380 stacked on one another and carney wants to take it further he does venezuela here we come
01:21:42.400 interesting uh somebody was saying on x last week and i thought hmm is this real i'll ask keith next
01:21:49.100 week uh if alberta leaves we're saddled with a certain amount of the national debt or would that
01:21:56.300 be completely and totally exempt or is that a negotiable thing that would be one of the items
01:22:01.160 that you would negotiate for sure is is is what portion of the debt but you'd also negotiate
01:22:08.300 taking out our contribution to the canada pension plan and if you account for that and pull it out
01:22:15.020 the federal government would owe us money right so um uh yeah but those would all be things that
01:22:22.120 would need to be negotiated i don't see you know to people who don't engage and haven't had
01:22:27.740 experience in very complex multi-party negotiations they may think this is impossible and really i
01:22:35.520 just see it as another file i just see it as another complex dispute where sophisticated
01:22:41.140 people need to get in a room and figure out a path to resolution um and also too that um
01:22:49.540 the paragraph 155 of the supreme court of canada decision in the reference case
01:22:58.980 and then do an overlay of of trump on that what what um what i expect the americans will do
01:23:08.380 is that they will indicate at some point here
01:23:12.040 that they will recognize Alberta's right to self-determination,
01:23:16.340 that the Americans, whether it's the State Department
01:23:18.240 or their president or someone,
01:23:20.240 will say, we know there's this situation going on in Canada
01:23:24.000 and we respect the right of Albertans to choose their destiny
01:23:27.820 and have self-determination.
01:23:30.180 The American government's done this in other instances
01:23:32.940 where there's an upheaval in some countries around the world.
01:23:36.020 and then i think the next thing they might do is say well if the referendum is in favor
01:23:41.580 of separation international states can give recognition even even where the home country
01:23:49.700 doesn't agree think taiwan right so a number of countries including canada have recognized taiwan
01:23:55.960 even though according to the chinese constitution taiwan is part of china right so one of the
01:24:03.480 options the americans will have is to give international recognition to alberta and they
01:24:10.600 can do it in a way that ottawa knows that because they'll do it publicly all over the open airways
01:24:16.760 on x or social and alberta will have that advantage going into the negotiation that if 0.69
01:24:26.060 if everybody wants to play silly bugger and not engage in good faith negotiations you've got trump
01:24:32.320 already signaling perhaps that he will give international recognition and section one 0.91
01:24:38.620 paragraph 155 of the supreme court of canada 1998 reference case expressly says that's another way
01:24:45.160 for if there is an impasse in negotiations for a province to succeed and achieve independence
01:24:53.900 what do you see is it going to be a smooth i mean let's again let's say this happens
01:25:00.280 Would it be a smooth road for Alberta or would there be some hard times for a few months, even a few years at the very beginning when all the transitions underway?
01:25:11.380 What kind of government might they form?
01:25:13.840 More of a United States style elected head of state situation, elected Senate, all of that stuff.
01:25:21.920 Completely and totally remove ourselves from the king, the royal family.
01:25:30.280 So, I'm happy about the timeline that the Premier announced today, because those are all proper questions, and I don't know the answers to some of them.
01:25:44.480 And we need to bring the people together to have good discussions about what form of government a new independent Alberta would have, what form of laws we would apply, how we would deal with borders and immigration.
01:25:58.860 all of these seven or eight things that the federal government does because it's only that many
01:26:04.380 and canvas the options and then build a model as to what it would look like
01:26:13.940 so that Albertans can make an informed choice that they know what they're leaving
01:26:21.080 and know what they're going into and that's going to take a year and we have a year now
01:26:28.200 So, um, uh, I think that's, uh, that's good.
01:26:35.440 It's just like what happens to the rest of Canada, because when Alberta goes, we know
01:26:41.320 Saskatchewan is going to follow.
01:26:43.120 I think the sentiment for, uh, sovereignty in Saskatchewan, according to polls anyway,
01:26:48.520 is even higher than it is in Alberta right now.
01:26:51.560 And again, no, nobody has taken a poll since the election last week.
01:26:55.760 I believe they probably should.
01:26:58.640 Quebec is going to be talking about separation again
01:27:01.980 when the Parti Quebecois wins the next Quebec election,
01:27:04.760 which is inevitable.
01:27:05.600 They've been leaving all the polls now
01:27:06.940 for the past year and a half.
01:27:08.580 What does that leave?
01:27:09.560 Manitoba, Ontario, B.C.
01:27:12.440 Separated completely from the rest of the country
01:27:15.620 and the same with Atlantic Canada.
01:27:18.060 Does it just become a disparate group of regions?
01:27:22.120 Maybe.
01:27:23.160 I don't know.
01:27:24.320 I don't care.
01:27:25.760 Yeah. Well, I do care because I'm human and I'm empathetic and I'm, I do, but I am a little tired
01:27:33.160 of the rest of Canada taking Alberta for granted and saying that they don't care. You know, like
01:27:38.960 I saw Anita Nan, she went on, it was a couple of days ago when the GM plant at Oshawa announced
01:27:46.540 the layoffs because of tariff related issues. And we had hundreds of thousands of people lose
01:27:54.480 their job due to these crazy policies eight years ago and they just said suck it up Alberta you know 0.98
01:28:01.080 you rednecks go get a job in IT was basically the answer we got sucks to be you and so you know 0.95
01:28:09.500 there is there is a level of anger out here as to how badly we've been treated and unfortunately 0.98
01:28:15.740 that can cause people not to be as empathetic as otherwise but the rest of Canada is going to have
01:28:20.800 to figure it out one thing's for sure they're going to pay a lot more in taxes and their dollar
01:28:26.580 is not going to be worth as much because sugar daddy's leaving yeah it just seems like a dream
01:28:35.640 here that we're in right now and i imagine that alberta is going to be a pretty raucous place
01:28:40.640 over the next year have you looked at the other side because you're a strategist as you were
01:28:45.000 pointing out if you looked at the other side's tactics and the things that they might do from
01:28:50.240 media or even a political stance to to try and defame you have you looked at the worst of the
01:28:58.620 worst things that they could possibly do yeah i mean but you know been there done that i'm still
01:29:06.640 here right but is there anything even worse that they could do oh potentially of course but i don't
01:29:12.920 i don't worry about that honestly uh but more strategically they're going to be pushing the
01:29:18.880 fear button left right and center they're going to be capitalizing on the lack of knowledge and
01:29:23.400 and uh understanding that most canadians have about what the role the limited role of the
01:29:29.420 federal government they're going to embellish their role and they're going to make people
01:29:32.840 think they're going to lose something um uh what's interesting here the liberals trudeau
01:29:38.980 was master at this is his best tactic was always division right division division division that's
01:29:44.780 why if things were really bad happening he'd suddenly out of the blue announce a 300 million
01:29:51.240 dollar new grant program for lbgtq plus in africa right because he knew it would piss off people in
01:29:59.120 alberta and on the right right just a pure distraction move well um that won't work this
01:30:06.280 time it will not work because um they don't control this albertans do albertans control
01:30:14.800 what their future is going to be now um uh and just to pause for a minute i haven't said this
01:30:22.500 and i should we're our base starting point is highly unusual um i started researching to find
01:30:29.940 another democracy where the courts their highest court and their federal government had put in a
01:30:36.940 process for a region a state or a province to leave to declare independence and there isn't
01:30:43.860 one in the commonwealth right so the fact that alberta or so that canada has had the supreme
01:30:50.260 court of canada rule and lay out a process for a province to separate and declare independence
01:30:57.740 and the federal government has codified that decision and given it additional detail through
01:31:03.940 the federal clarity act is rare it's very very rare well why is it that bc can't do this right
01:31:11.700 now or perhaps manitoba well you don't have the same and i don't know the details of their laws
01:31:17.740 but i know alberta's gone further than any other province is we now have in alberta and have had
01:31:23.840 was initially brought in under kenny and now improved which we've talked about by premier
01:31:28.100 smith she announced it a week ago out the day after the elect federal election which is for
01:31:33.120 citizens to get together in sufficient number to compel the provincial government to actually
01:31:38.880 hold a referendum it almost seemed like she was rooting for that without rooting for it i mean
01:31:44.560 her wording was genius i thought well and just let me finish the the illuminating the picture
01:31:51.540 in the past and so then we have the province and we've had this on the books for a decade or more
01:31:56.880 perhaps longer we've had our referendum legislation that's that said at any time our provincial
01:32:03.680 cabinet can announce it's holding a referendum that's what kenny did with the equalization
01:32:08.680 so we have all of the mechanisms in place now and we have the political will from the grassroots
01:32:16.380 recruits and the resources and the capability, despite the fact there's 13 groups.
01:32:23.600 As I said, back from my experience in Ottawa, they're all going in the same direction because
01:32:27.680 they know deep inside why they're doing it. So this is very, very real. This is very unusual.
01:32:35.480 It's not normal for a nation state, a democracy, particularly Commonwealth country,
01:32:41.580 to have a mechanism for a province or a region or a state to legally leave we have that and we have
01:32:51.020 the political conditions in canada alone i think to make it a real thing i realize it's a difficult
01:32:56.480 challenge and there's a lot of votes that will have to be obtained on referendum day and then
01:33:01.940 we have the wild card of a suitor by the name of donald day trump who really wants us and i think
01:33:10.880 wants Saskatchewan to. So this is going to be a fascinating time in history, in Canadian history
01:33:19.000 for sure, as to what unfolds. When you look at Trump's term, you look at Danielle Smith's term,
01:33:28.240 you know, you pick those as ed dates, 29, 27, and then 2026 for the referendum. It's all a viable
01:33:40.640 timeline my biggest fear was that the referendum would be too soon that we wouldn't have an
01:33:45.020 opportunity to delve into the issues and help people understand how to approach them like this
01:33:49.440 treaty issue um and that that was answered today by the premier speech so what happens if mark
01:33:57.700 carney makes a deal and he capitulates to all of daniel smith's demands and she's got a lot of them
01:34:04.680 she she outlined some of them today in her address to albertans but there was a long list just last
01:34:10.460 week or the week before uh and i have them here can i read i have the bullet short form can i
01:34:15.880 read them off absolutely okay so uh pursuing a new alberta accord within canada demanding
01:34:24.460 guaranteed port access for alberta energy and resources uh so that gets means getting rid of
01:34:31.100 the no more or the tanker ban on the west coast uh a repeal of the harmful federal laws like c69
01:34:38.500 and the admissions cap so there's two things there the emissions cap is under the canadian
01:34:43.600 environmental uh protection act and it's essentially if you read it and i've studied it
01:34:49.500 it's a production cap it's just like they use the word emissions but they also use the word
01:34:54.940 production even more and you game it out you go this is a production cap they want oil stuck in
01:34:59.600 the ground um and then 69 is not just doesn't stop pipelines that's what it's called for ease
01:35:07.120 of reference. It's the Canadian Environmental Impact Assessment Act. And it applies to every
01:35:15.020 major project. It applies to expanding a port facility. It applies to a coal mine. It applies
01:35:21.080 to a forgery project. It's a socialist dream. You can't get through it. One of the things you have
01:35:32.840 to do under this act if you're a proponent if you're a mining company a forestry company
01:35:37.260 a pipeline company whatever you have to demonstrate the impact of your proposed project
01:35:45.420 quote on the intersection of sex gender and other identifiable oppressive characteristics
01:35:51.440 no one can agree on what the word intersection means there we know it's not a thing with traffic
01:35:56.140 lights and so keeps all the opponents have to say is you haven't done it and then so all the
01:36:02.600 companies have said, well, we're either going to build a new mine in northern Manitoba, or we're
01:36:08.960 going to build a new mine in Brazil. It's decision day for this international mining company. And
01:36:14.780 they go, well, sorry, Canada, we're not coming to you with our $3 billion investment. We're going to
01:36:21.520 Brazil because we can't figure out what this means. And that's what we've seen. We've seen
01:36:25.680 capital flight and the loss of projects in you know it's just stunning the number so that's what
01:36:33.560 c69 is about is not just pipelines it's any significant industrial economic activity requires
01:36:41.000 a federal environmental impact assessment and it requires to you to be measured against a standard
01:36:47.580 that no one can define and anybody can say you failed to meet next one she has on the list here
01:36:53.700 Requiring Albertans consent for any export restrictions, Hunter resources. 0.99
01:36:58.640 So if Carney's thinking he's going to retaliate against Trump, because remember, he said in the election campaign, and I was stunned at the stupidity of his words. 0.99
01:37:08.260 And he said it again in his acceptance speech. 0.99
01:37:10.380 And I was double stunned.
01:37:12.540 He said, our relationship with the United States is over.
01:37:18.300 What?
01:37:18.940 our closest neighbor physically in other words low transportation costs and shipping costs 0.87
01:37:24.260 the largest economy and market in the world hello like are you stoned what the heck so
01:37:35.160 uh so one of the tools that he'll want to use the most valuable things the americans need every day
01:37:41.820 is our oil and gas that we ship across the line so carney may be thinking that he's going to
01:37:48.120 impose a tariff on that so the premier's saying uh-uh you got to confirm that before you would
01:37:53.980 do anything like that an export tax you will get our consent the prior informed consent
01:38:00.560 which will never be given never saying i gotta flip screens here here we go here's the next list
01:38:06.400 granting alberta the same federal transfers as bc ontario quebec in other words
01:38:12.540 what she was saying today, what I heard her say, was we have no problem sending $4 billion a year
01:38:20.620 to help out Nova Scotia. But the idea that you're going to exclude all of the revenue
01:38:27.020 that Quebec gets from hydro sales, primarily to the United States, from the calculation of
01:38:35.200 Quebec's revenue, and as a result, we're going to send them $13 billion, ain't happening.
01:38:41.620 Same province that says, we're never going to let you put a pipeline through, and refuses to drill and produce their own natural gas.
01:38:50.820 So what she's saying there is, uh-uh, you got to revisit equalization.
01:38:55.540 This idea of Alberta being sugar daddy for the provinces that can carry their own and don't need our support ain't happening.
01:39:07.820 But we will continue to support and send money to those that truly need it.
01:39:13.360 The next one is launching the Alberta Next Panel to explore long-term options for economic and constitutional protection.
01:39:20.860 So she's going to do some traveling roadshow there.
01:39:24.600 Preparing for a 2026 referendum on key proposals that emerge from the discussions.
01:39:30.320 She talks about defending Indigenous rights and treaties without compromise.
01:39:33.880 We've already discussed that.
01:39:34.960 There's the treaties are not under threat. There's nothing to defend. Everybody who understands what's going on is saying, no, no, we'll honor the treaties. But First Nations should have choices. And so and she's also talked in her speech about the federal government dropping the requirement for net zero electricity production.
01:39:57.980 the transition to do that in alberta will be hundreds of billions of dollars even if we had
01:40:04.680 that laying around that money it doesn't matter because there's not enough transformers and
01:40:11.600 conductors and components for electrical substation that could be produced around the
01:40:17.500 world to meet that target it's an absolutely fantastical fantasy target and what kind of
01:40:24.180 energy would it be would it be solar would it be wind well it'd be solar and wind and they want us
01:40:29.220 to get off our natural gas we phased out our coal really probably too quickly in my view
01:40:33.880 um and we switched our coal plants to natural gas plants um but you know i i have uh i follow
01:40:41.440 this person and it's real real-time energy thing on on twitter so every hour you get this report
01:40:46.440 and it'll say when it's really cold or really hot it'll go like 98 percent or 90 percent of our
01:40:52.300 electricity is being produced by something other than wind or solar because when it's really cold
01:40:58.520 the windmills can't function they'll break the hydraulics are frozen um and the solar panels are
01:41:04.740 covered in snow and usually for that kind of temperature means the sun's not out and besides
01:41:08.980 at that time of the year you know we're dark most of the time we just get sun from 9 30 till three
01:41:14.360 in the afternoon kind of and then in the summer when it's really hot and everybody's air
01:41:18.800 conditionings are going our air conditioning units are on um solar panels their efficiency drops
01:41:25.740 radically as the temperature goes up and the wind when it's really hot it tends not to be windy
01:41:31.640 so i've my slogan is renewables fail when you need them most renewables fail when you need them most
01:41:38.640 and it's not acceptable to say to albertans look we realize that the renewables aren't going to
01:41:44.680 work for the next four days we're going to be in a cold snap it's going to be from minus 38 to minus
01:41:50.100 45 by the end of day four we're all dead or most people are dead and that's not an exaggeration
01:41:56.400 right like what are you going to do if you don't have a wood-burning stove everything's going to
01:42:01.320 freeze so this is just irresponsibility in the extreme so that was the another thing and then
01:42:06.660 get rid of this uh this mandate that they impose that a certain all the vehicles have to be electric
01:42:12.440 vehicles by a certain date 2035 and the final one that i can recall is the the legislation they
01:42:19.660 brought in through the amendments to the competition act that say that if you if you
01:42:25.660 misrepresent your anticipated environmental performance um an environmental group can
01:42:33.840 come after you and the penalty is a percentage of your global profits from the previous year
01:42:41.820 so you're a mining company and you know 20 of your business is in canada you have a decision
01:42:47.400 to expand you've got enough money to build two more mines and you got four countries to build
01:42:52.600 them in and you layer all these things up that's why there's no investment happening in canada and
01:42:57.420 it's going to take a long time to turn it around you know mark carney has lived for these objectives
01:43:03.060 over the course of the last 10 to 15 years he was the un special uh climate change envoy uh his book
01:43:11.260 is values. It's all about net zero. It's all about ESG, forcing people, forcing large companies
01:43:20.360 into situations where if they don't comply with all of these regulations that you've just talked
01:43:25.380 about, they will be climate roadkill, quote unquote. That is what Mark Carney said. So there
01:43:30.660 is absolutely no chance of capitulation. I believe that Danielle Smith knows that. And I truly get
01:43:37.820 the sense that even though she says and i guess she's saying this simply for media purposes and
01:43:43.140 she doesn't want to scare 70 of the province at this stage i believe she is all for independence
01:43:48.600 and would be a great person to lead that charge moving forward but she's setting the stage in
01:43:54.560 such a way that she knows that carney's never going to play ball with what she's with what
01:44:00.520 she's saying she knows that well i i haven't asked her the question personally but i have
01:44:07.640 observed her speak um and i think i think if she could choose an outcome she would choose one where
01:44:18.260 canada remains united alberta remains part of canada but we have fundamental structure reform
01:44:24.660 so that um when the polls close in ontario albertans aren't wasting their time going to
01:44:33.860 the polling station because that's the reality until you know uh you know 416 and 613 or whatever
01:44:40.460 the area codes are decides the election um and um so that would be one thing and that that that
01:44:48.740 would require a renegotiation of confederation in terms of our structures and our institutions
01:44:54.560 and maybe having a real senate as opposed to a patronage pit which that's objectively all it is
01:45:01.300 right uh by any honest assessment you know what i gotta when you go to talk about the senate
01:45:09.060 there's this group called the independent senators group how on earth can you be independent and be
01:45:14.900 in a group it doesn't make any sense to me well just research how many bills the senate has turned
01:45:25.180 down yeah and you'll find that it's like three half bills they didn't really turn them down
01:45:30.280 they just caused a delay in them yeah right uh so it's a minor amendment yeah yeah and it was
01:45:35.620 never intended that way when our country was formed the senate was to be the equalizer
01:45:41.140 recognizing that uh the house of commons would be driven by population and the senate would be
01:45:48.960 represented by region to create a balance right and that balance doesn't exist because our senate's
01:45:55.500 never functioned other than a patronage pit and a rubber stamp. So my assessment of where she's at
01:46:04.080 is she's going to do everything she can to try and keep Canada together, but get a better deal
01:46:11.920 for Alberta, get the economic knee off our neck by these ideological extremists, hopefully get
01:46:20.900 them to stop being reckless with our credit card um and buying things we don't want and making us
01:46:26.900 pay for them and and i but she's also she's also believed fundamentally in democracy and i know
01:46:35.040 that for certain and so if it's the case that the majority of albertans decide that they do want to
01:46:44.180 leave Canada. She's indicated she will respect that. But I don't think this is a gimmick
01:46:53.400 to try to achieve independence. I think her personal view is she'd like to see Canada stay
01:47:01.060 together, but she also doesn't see it as her job to be the person who determines that. It should
01:47:09.400 be the people. Last thing, because I've had you almost two hours here and it was only supposed
01:47:14.760 to be 90 minutes. And I'm thinking that you're going to be the guy who brings all of the,
01:47:22.020 the differing groups together in one room and you're going to work it out and come up with
01:47:28.180 one objective. And, uh, I wish you all the best with that. And you don't have to answer this,
01:47:35.520 but i'm going to ask you anyway where do you come down on all of this what's your position
01:47:41.040 um my position is that when you look at the size of most countries around the world
01:47:47.640 uh when you look at the nature of cultures in countries that are successful i really do believe
01:47:55.940 canada might be too big to be a viable country and that it might make a lot more sense for us
01:48:03.220 to have a number of smaller countries um and i do believe if i only had one choice i would pick
01:48:12.980 alberta independence without a doubt having studied it i've got a political science degree
01:48:18.340 where i studied uh alberta politics in particular canadian history uh in particular as to how our
01:48:24.580 country formed and of course i've been a litigator and i've been on the front end of some historic
01:48:29.160 moments um unfortunately i've come to the conclusion that the uh best thing and i think
01:48:35.460 even it's the best for the other parts of country because they got to clean up their act
01:48:38.420 they got to get off the couch and stop relying on these checks from alberta
01:48:42.140 and they've got to diversify their economies too uh and stop being so reliant on government
01:48:47.940 because that just costs money okay you know what i one more thing i'm sorry but you're
01:48:54.200 constitutional guy and you would probably have the answer to this. Saskatchewan, we've talked
01:48:59.980 about as well. And again, you guys, I'm going to have Nadine Ness from Unified Grassroots on
01:49:03.620 Thursday night. She's going to talk about the petition that she started in Saskatchewan.
01:49:08.500 But there are other regions of the country who think, you know, this is a really good idea. Do
01:49:15.000 I have to move all the way to Alberta or Saskatchewan or can I just stay where I am? For
01:49:18.900 example, border municipalities in British Columbia and Manitoba. I mean, when you look at Manitoba,
01:49:25.300 you see one large city and then the rest. And the population is 1.5 million in Manitoba,
01:49:33.240 1 million of which is in the Winnipeg capital region. The rest of the people, they don't want 1.00
01:49:38.800 to be Manitobans, especially the ones who live along the Saskatchewan border. Is there any way 1.00
01:49:43.980 that a municipality can vote for independence from the province that they're in is have you
01:49:51.460 ever heard of anything like that before not under our current laws and our current constitution the
01:49:57.160 way it's set up is that um uh it's determined by a province the supreme court of canada ruled
01:50:03.340 that a province can hold a province-wide referendum by the voters of the province
01:50:11.140 so no i mean it's anything's possible in terms of what could be in the future but as under our
01:50:16.760 current legal rules it's only a province that could vote to become independent not a municipality
01:50:23.620 thank you keith for spending all of this time with us tonight giving us this valuable insight
01:50:27.900 and uh into the possibilities of what may yet come and let's stay in touch because i want to
01:50:33.900 keep on top of this for the next while i want to see what happens out there and and you know
01:50:37.780 judging from the amount of people at the crowd at the rally and in edmonton this week it looks like
01:50:42.980 a good start agreed thank you very much okay thank you we'll talk to you again keith wilson
01:50:50.460 everybody thank uh thanks keith for coming on tonight we're going to come back with the extension
01:50:55.040 in exactly 30 seconds
01:51:07.780 guitar solo
01:51:37.780 Oh, oh, oh, oh