Curt Mills: Trump Can Save America or Wage Another War, but He Can’t Do Both. Here’s Why.
Episode Stats
Length
1 hour and 31 minutes
Words per Minute
175.3987
Summary
In this episode of the Tucker Carlson Show, host Tucker Carlson sits down with long-time friend and former colleague Damien Hegseth to discuss the new administration's picks for the Department of Defense. They discuss the differences between permanent Washington's national security establishment, the neocons, and the incoming Trump administration.
Transcript
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So it's amazing to me that over 20 years after the Iraq war, its architects and supporters are still not fully in control of America's foreign policy, but certainly influential in it.
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And it's shocking to me that two months after Trump's landslide victory, a race in which he ran against the neocons, the neocons are still brazen enough to try and influence and sabotage his nominations.
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Check out all of our content at tuckercarlson.com.
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We are days, but less than a week before Tulsi Gabbard's hearings.
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Where are we in the below-the-radar war between permanent Washington's national security establishment, the neocons, and the incoming Trump administration?
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So as of this recording 10 minutes ago, Mr. Hegseth, the defense secretary, was just confirmed on a 50-50 vote.
00:01:47.680
But Hegseth's an interesting character, I believe a former colleague of yours.
00:01:51.320
He appears to have done a bit of a conversion on his foreign policy beliefs.
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And the best evidence of that is the people that he's picked so far.
00:02:05.440
So this is relevant to people who know Pete Hegseth from clips on acts of him from eight years ago saying things that would lead you to believe he's a pretty stout neocon.
00:02:21.180
Yeah, I mean, I think the available evidence is that he is, like, circa 10 years ago was a pretty conventional Republican.
00:02:28.920
And he has changed his life in more ways than one.
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But the early evidence is the people that he has chosen to surround himself are stark departures from the man from 10 years ago.
00:02:48.980
And wants no change under any circumstances except an annually increase in the number of four-star generals.
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It's got a pretty abysmal record of winning wars, a pretty great record of spending money.
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And you're saying that based on the personnel choices you think he's making, he's now the defense secretary, by the way, as we're right now.
00:03:11.240
That he is sincerely on board with Trump's foreign policy.
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I don't think he needed to make these picks to get confirmed.
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I don't think he needed these picks to win any senators.
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He is courting, I think, minor controversy now, which is why we're having this meeting.
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It was a move of conviction and belief and principle in his early days in office.
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Just give us an example of what you're talking about.
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There's going to be this Michael D'Amino figure who will have the Middle East portfolio.
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He has been advised throughout the process by another figure named Daniel Caldwell.
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These are both, you know, people in their 40s or 30s, you know, basically millennials who are veterans of the global war on terror.
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These are the guys that were hunting down IRGC, Iranian Revolutionary Guard core people in the forever wars that Trump and Vance ran on reforming and ending, et cetera, et cetera.
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And so, you know, they're very much in the Vance mold of we went there, not really sure what the point was, and we want to roll back from that somewhat.
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But I think you might have heard this message from Mr. Trump at least once or twice in the last 10 years.
00:04:44.740
So these, I don't know, Damien, I know Caldwell, who I think of as a man of genuine integrity,
00:04:50.840
high intelligence and principle committed to his country, I think he's proven that.
00:05:00.480
But he's being attacked by people who never served with a long, unbroken track record of destroying America as somehow anti-American.
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I mean, I think that the tactics are pretty clear.
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Get a headline out there, call someone a naughty word, say they're anti a country, or they are radical.
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You know, if anyone sues this publication, it will take years and years and years,
00:05:45.180
and hope that some club member at Mar-a-Lago hands this to President Trump.
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And tries to trick him, and thinks that Mr. Trump is a stupid man.
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And this is the approach, and this is what they are trying to do.
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I mean, the word has been abused by the Democrats.
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One of the publications, who are the people involved in this campaign of lies?
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I mean, I'm not familiar, and I don't know any of the people over there personally,
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but the big story that's going around on both Domino and I believe Caldwell is from Jewish Insider.
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And again, no one really wants to be, you know, attacked by something called Jewish Insider.
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And so, they are running headlines against people, and they are attacking them.
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And they, what they do is they don't say anything that is per se inaccurate, but they totally strip the context for everything.
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Is this a radical figure, anti-American figure?
00:07:00.840
No, this is somebody who wants to pull back, I would say, moderately from the Middle East,
00:07:09.060
which I think at this point is basically bipartisan outside of the radicals within Washington, D.C. and the Beltway.
00:07:18.020
So, the people who want to continue what we're doing at unsustainable cost,
00:07:23.080
being a bankrupt country, by the way, sending aid to countries that are not bankrupt.
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Those are the radicals, I think it's fair to say.
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So, what are they saying about Domino in this hit piece?
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They are trying to make the reader jump to the conclusion that he is anti-Israeli, that he is pro-Iranian.
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You know, he's pro all the scary people in the Middle East.
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You know a lot of Shiites called Domino, or is that a common name for Persians?
00:08:01.120
And again, I think it bears repeating that this person, like, was responsible for the tracking of Revolutionary Guard Corps members in Iran,
00:08:12.200
So, the whole thing has an opera buffet flavor to it that he's being attacked as—
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So, what you're saying is these are people who will say anything.
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They're kind of from the Barry White School of Journalism.
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Just like, you have an objective, something you want to achieve, and whatever it takes to get there is fine.
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You'll call anybody anything if it serves your purpose.
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They are very, very willing to destroy this person with absolutely no compunction.
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Is there any evidence that he's, quote, anti-Israel?
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And in fact, there's evidence of the contrary, which he praises the country.
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It's okay to be critical of other people's wars or your own wars.
00:09:02.920
Or to even state that it's not, in fact, our war, as the President of the United States just did on his inauguration day,
00:09:08.140
emphasizing from behind the Resolute Desk that it's their war, not our war.
00:09:12.020
So, I read something from a guy called David Wormser, who was one of the architects of the Iraq.
00:09:18.020
We're not from this country, not really concerned with this country at all.
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And also, I think it's fair to say, you know, someone who should hang his head in shame,
00:09:26.820
given a lifetime of destruction that he's helped bring to our country,
00:09:36.280
So, I have to say, it takes a lot of balls for someone who has no interest in the United States
00:09:41.000
to accuse someone whose whole orientation is helping the United States of being anti-American.
00:09:48.140
If you raise the question, like, what are we getting out of this?
00:09:52.580
You know, the endless war cycle, we're getting bankruptcy, obviously, but, like, is this good for us?
00:09:57.860
They'll accuse you, you know, the Constantine Kizzen, also not an American,
00:10:01.400
will accuse, that wing will accuse you of being somehow woke,
00:10:05.760
and you're, like, left-wing for asking these questions.
00:10:09.660
Yeah, I mean, it's interesting that you raise some of these figures.
00:10:16.100
There's no more repulsive group in American life
00:10:18.200
than the people who continue to push death and bankruptcy on the United States.
00:10:27.480
So, I mean, I think that they're hoping that Americans don't do the reading.
00:10:39.920
They're hoping that Americans watch random cable news hosts,
00:10:44.700
that they're zoned out, and they hear—they have, you know,
00:10:48.320
let's say they have a positive view of, you know,
00:10:51.720
certain aspects of America's role in the Middle East,
00:10:54.320
and they start tar and feathering people on the Internet,
00:11:02.420
But it's just—I guess the only reason I have noticed this
00:11:08.940
Rather than—look, I think a lot of these positions are legitimate.
00:11:13.640
You know, a ton of these people are smart people.
00:11:17.220
And they could make, like, a straightforward case for their position.
00:11:20.580
Like, here's why we should affect regime change in Iran,
00:11:24.400
I mean, maybe there's a case to be made for that.
00:11:33.460
They have no limits at all in their behavior at all.
00:11:36.500
And I just find that repugnant and, like, corrosive.
00:11:39.660
Even if I agreed with them, I'd be against that.
00:11:49.960
I just watch what's happening to a man called Steve Witkoff.
00:12:00.240
You know, just personally, I don't know a ton about his views.
00:12:04.060
I don't sense that—you know, we probably don't agree
00:12:26.560
of the Islamic Republic of Qatar and, like, anti-Israel Steve Witkoff.
00:12:37.600
And he's really tough, and he's just a good guy.
00:12:39.860
If you had dinner with him, you'd like him, trust me.
00:12:44.560
Rather than say, hey, Steve Witkoff, like, I disagree with you or whatever,
00:13:04.880
And, like, if there's one thing the country said too much of,
00:13:12.380
The country's about to collapse because of lies.
00:13:14.740
And the people pushing endless war are one of the main vectors for that lying.
00:13:20.960
Like, because there's just no reference point in reality at all.
00:13:24.760
If Steve Witkoff is an agent of the Islamic Republic, then I just give up.
00:13:34.460
I mean, the Witkoff thing, in some ways, is what set the whole thing up.
00:13:38.880
He's, like, the most reasonable, moderate person in the world.
00:13:46.060
I think the Witkoff thing surprised both sides, though, I would note.
00:13:49.900
So, I think, so, obviously, you knew him before, within recent years.
00:13:54.360
So, I think, in general, the open source intelligence, to use a lame term, but, like,
00:14:00.840
I would say is that the hawks, people who want to, say, go all the way on Iran,
00:14:10.300
And then, additionally, the realist and restraint camp also did not expect it.
00:14:14.520
Did not expect, all the reporting from, say, Israeli media, say, Haaretz or Sides of Israel,
00:14:20.760
that Witkoff went in there and, sort of, with both the incoming Trump administration and,
00:14:26.260
you know, the remnants of the Biden administration, forced Prime Minister Netanyahu into some sort
00:14:32.520
of deal, a deal that he had turned down six months ago in May of 2024, basically identical
00:14:38.240
deal, that threw most everybody in the loop for a loop.
00:14:44.120
And that has set off, as far as I can infer, a climate of hysteria within Israel itself,
00:14:53.260
at least among the—I'm not sure, sir, Netanyahu himself, but at least within the factions
00:15:08.240
I mean, like, this will not stop unless there's pushback.
00:15:11.260
Like, all I'm saying is, when you reach an agreement, everyone gets pinched.
00:15:19.380
And no one likes it, you know, but, like, tough.
00:15:23.560
And my read on Witkoff is that he's just not super ideological.
00:15:33.820
He's a self-made real estate guy who started with, like, a single apartment building in Washington
00:15:42.860
And I think you need someone who's practical and tough to affect a negotiation.
00:15:47.180
You don't want someone who's captived all kinds of theories.
00:15:57.660
And he just shows up and he's like, hey, you, you.
00:16:04.160
I think, I think a lot of Israel is surprised by this.
00:16:08.500
I mean, this was lost in the absolute cacophony of 2024.
00:16:14.600
But yes, like, if you read, I read the Israeli press daily.
00:16:20.220
And, you know, there were members of Netanyahu's coalition.
00:16:25.560
So these are members of the prime minister Netanyahu, people who are not in his party, who are more hardline than him.
00:16:31.840
And they were saying, Trump's really talking about this endless war stuff.
00:16:36.440
And this was back in October and September and August.
00:16:39.200
And no one was paying attention because it was brat summer and, you know, other things were going on.
00:16:46.280
And the fact that they got it done, not even before, not even during the transition itself, also surprised people.
00:16:59.060
This is a foreign country, obviously an ally, a close ally, the closest ally, I think it's fair to say.
00:17:06.300
And so, you know, I think realistic expectations would be we get some of what we want.
00:17:11.120
We don't get everything we want because, you know, we're not in charge of the United States.
00:17:16.780
I mean, so first, the relationship between the president of the United States and the prime minister of Israel is extremely unclear.
00:17:30.360
Well, they have disagreed since at least 2020 over the election, but they probably disagreed beforehand over strikes in Iran.
00:17:42.780
The last time you and I spoke publicly was over the Soleimani strike in January of 2020.
00:17:48.800
And there were since then reporting in the last five years has come out that the two of them disagreed over that.
00:17:54.000
Trump felt that the Israelis didn't do their part, et cetera, et cetera, et cetera.
00:17:59.220
So for years, for at least half a decade, the well has been poisoned between Trump and Netanyahu.
00:18:04.460
It doesn't mean the relationship is done, but there's been an atmosphere of mistrust.
00:18:12.160
You know, I've watched closely and, you know, interviewed him more than once.
00:18:21.440
Because he's been in and out of office and he's had complicated relations with every president.
00:18:24.760
Yeah, I mean, I think the key thing to understand, for your listeners, anyone who's not turning this off because we're getting into the depths of Israeli politics here, but Netanyahu's situation is unstable.
00:18:44.560
He does not want to resign because if he resigns, he may go to prison.
00:18:47.840
And also, he's been a power achiever for 30 years.
00:18:52.600
And I've noticed that people who do that often don't like to quit.
00:18:58.620
So he doesn't want to quit for both reasons of his freedom and, you know, the way of his life.
00:19:15.060
It's pretty clear that spectacular circumstances justify his presence.
00:19:22.760
I mean, there's been comparisons between him and Churchill.
00:19:27.420
Only in wartime can someone like Netanyahu at this point get a position.
00:19:36.900
I think it's not like, I think that is by far the least likely that they're going to go back in there.
00:19:44.100
One, once all the hostages are exchanged, then they go back into Gaza.
00:19:50.540
Or, I guess 1B, is to do the West Bank, which is already going on right now.
00:20:13.020
I mean, this is, this is, I mean, and, you know, the unstated thing is that they'll either export these people or eliminate them.
00:20:26.220
And so, the problem is, the U.S. is the military underwriter of this.
00:20:33.420
The Israelis probably can't do this without us selling them weapons.
00:20:37.040
And so, while Americans are tuned out and not thinking about this kind of thing, our reputation overseas is one of arms dealer.
00:20:45.100
And over time, that affects your children, being able to travel abroad, that affects America's reputation overseas.
00:20:55.500
Well, it caused 9-11, among other things, right?
00:21:02.660
Which is, which is, as I'll just quote them, I'll quote the hardline perspective itself.
00:21:08.000
It's the head of the snake in the conception of the Israeli hardline and also the neoconservative right in the United States.
00:21:16.060
And so, Israel also can't do Iran, in my view, and also in general assessments, without the help of the United States.
00:21:25.720
It's usually joint U.S.-Israeli airstrikes or even a solo invasion of Iran by the United States is the ultimate sort of fantasy.
00:21:37.700
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I think it's really significant that he's not a professional foreign policy figure.
00:25:53.420
He hasn't spent a career at the State Department or, you know, doing bilaterals for his career.
00:26:01.760
You know, he's just a smart, tough, competent person who is charged with a task by the president,
00:26:13.700
I mean, you know, there are certain parts of statecraft that, you know,
00:26:16.220
probably it's helpful to have experience in statecraft, but some of it's just pretty straightforward.
00:26:25.220
Could anyone from the State Department have done what Steve Wyckoff did, do you think?
00:26:28.700
No, especially without the president's informatter.
00:26:33.020
But even if Trump had, like, called someone in and been like,
00:26:35.640
okay, Mr. Career Diplomat, can you affect a ceasefire?
00:26:45.440
I mean, like, the international relations has been made into...
00:26:49.860
They have to make it into, like, a pseudoscience.
00:27:01.100
Like, you can't teach third grade without a master's degree.
00:27:05.600
When the first requirement is, do you like third graders?
00:27:11.320
And then, you know, it's the same thing of all of academia, which is, like, people's
00:27:16.540
And, like, nobody actually knows large things, like the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, or at
00:27:22.040
least know it in a way that is applicable in power in real life.
00:27:31.460
But, like, also a lot of the foreign policy establishment, it's different now in the second
00:27:35.640
term, but wouldn't work with the first Trump term, wouldn't work with their team.
00:27:38.720
And I think that was through discredit of the country.
00:27:46.380
Well, we know the country hasn't been served, because look at the country.
00:27:49.860
And so I think, you know, we can say of all players, they didn't serve the country.
00:27:54.960
And there have been times when I didn't serve the country, like when I advocated for the
00:27:58.140
I mean, we're all culpable to some extent, but it's just remarkable to me that people are
00:28:03.520
So now, instead of telling us that Saddam has weapons of mass destruction, or that
00:28:09.200
Osama bin Laden attacked us for our freedoms, or whatever the lie of the day was, the new
00:28:15.600
idea is that Iran is, quote, the head of the snake.
00:28:18.480
How many Americans have been killed by Iranian proxies in the United States over the last
00:28:24.660
Yeah, have been killed by Iran-sponsored terrorism.
00:28:28.720
How many have died of fentanyl ODs, drugs whose precursors come from China?
00:28:44.200
The Iranians backed proxies that killed U.S. troops in the Iraq War.
00:28:51.600
Well, Iran took over Iraq because we took out Saddam Hussein in a majority Shiite country.
00:29:00.080
And even I, as a 33-year-old moron, was like, wait a second, in just a basic interest in
00:29:05.320
demographics, like, isn't this going to go to Iran now?
00:29:11.740
But I just find it amazing that there's been no public conversation about whether or not
00:29:23.800
At least in 2002, they had the decency to lie to us in a pretty complicated, sophisticated
00:29:35.120
And it feels like we're moving toward a conflict with Iran.
00:29:40.640
And, you know, I think basically the biggest risk of a democratic administration is a war
00:29:49.760
And the biggest risk of a Republican administration is a war with Iran.
00:29:53.260
So, my rule is always, that's why it's more ethical to be a Republican, because at least
00:29:59.360
So, that's actually, like, pretty close to my first principle.
00:30:06.460
But the Iran war would be still, like, the worst and, like, not something that we should
00:30:13.480
So, and look, foreign policy experts at this point will chime in on this conversation being
00:30:22.620
This is actually just a ridiculous externality.
00:30:24.600
But I think it is worth noting that we have done wars toppling governments throughout the
00:30:35.220
Number two, it is kind of the explicit goal of the hardliners.
00:30:39.040
And the hardliners keep moving the overage window in their direction.
00:30:43.060
And so, while this is perhaps not 100% certain, but hardly, there is a hard drive towards doing
00:30:51.680
this, and picking off Pentagon deputies and allowing leaders like Trump and Vance to be surrounded
00:30:59.960
by hawks and no dissenting voices whatsoever is absolutely essential towards any road to war.
00:31:09.440
And I have to say, the amount of calculated deception on the right, so all of a sudden,
00:31:14.960
Barry Weiss, who's a leftist, becomes a conservative because she's against trannyism or something.
00:31:25.260
But it's pretty obvious that the whole purpose of her organization, the Free Press, and her
00:31:31.180
career in journalism is to kind of soften up the right for war with Iran and to attack
00:31:39.340
And she had this whole constellation of people, you know, Neil Ferguson and all these kind
00:31:44.400
of people who had weight to the project, but who really are all kind of paid to flack for
00:31:50.480
war with Iran and attack anyone who's not with the program.
00:31:53.500
I felt the sting of this, so I didn't really understand how this worked.
00:31:55.980
But then, you know, someone with like thoroughly moderate foreign policy views, I don't really
00:32:03.480
And all of a sudden, you're like, wow, you know, people are calling you anti-American.
00:32:09.220
So what you're just, I don't know, I don't know any of the people you described personally.
00:32:12.740
But I'm just saying like, there was, you said the problem with voting Republican is
00:32:16.800
you're more likely to wind up with a war with Iran.
00:32:20.060
I'd much rather have a war with Iran than a war with Russia, but kind of don't want
00:32:24.400
And it's just interesting how the groundwork, I just know because I've been in conservative
00:32:28.920
media my whole life, all of a sudden all these new people and you're like, oh, Barry Weiss,
00:32:36.440
Oh, you're trying to convince me that I'm not allowed to oppose a war with Iran or I'm
00:32:41.000
going to be written out of the conservative movement or something.
00:32:44.420
So if a lot of people are comparing Trump to Reagan these days, and I think it is an inaccurate
00:32:49.320
comparison, but there obviously are comparisons that are very different human beings, is basically
00:32:55.340
So if you accept that Trump is the biggest cheese since Reagan on the Republican side,
00:33:02.300
So the neoconservatives, that is people who came from the left and moved to the right,
00:33:08.960
were very, very savvy, effective, and reasonable at domestic policy.
00:33:15.000
They were very, very good on the crime issues of the day.
00:33:19.380
And their periodicals gained currency because, hey, actually, we should clean up the streets
00:33:26.560
of New York, et cetera, et cetera, et cetera, et cetera, et cetera.
00:33:29.120
And some of them were, I knew a lot of them, and some of them were really smart, decent
00:33:34.380
And by the way, some of their foreign policy viewers were not crazy at all.
00:33:37.420
They were, they recognized the Soviet Union was evil.
00:33:39.620
Like, the first generation of neocons, Midge Dector?
00:33:48.860
But by the 90s and 2000s, you know, if you believed in, you know, some crime enforcement
00:33:56.020
in New York, you also had to believe towards the march towards regime change in Iraq.
00:34:00.760
And so, again, again, don't want to sound like-
00:34:06.520
I will take the safe city and the thriving economy.
00:34:12.800
But I think it is the essential pitch of this new generation of neoconservatism, which, of
00:34:23.360
And at the same time, over here in column space over here, a little news item about what's
00:34:29.760
going on in the Red Sea and why the U.S. needs to care.
00:34:32.960
And it's a drip, drip, drip, drip, drip, drip, drip.
00:34:35.520
And it can go on for months and years and years and years.
00:34:39.200
And all of a sudden, we super care about the Houthis in Yemen.
00:34:46.180
And we have to underwrite a war in Israel until every single member of Hamas is dead.
00:34:54.480
And it's just not clear that the U.S. national interest is there, to put it lightly.
00:35:04.240
And I guess what I object to is, I mean, I'm never offended by people with different ideas.
00:35:09.960
Um, I'm never offended by someone who makes a sincere case, affirmative case or something
00:35:16.280
And by the way, maybe he's right and I'm wrong.
00:35:19.200
But the part where I get enraged is the bad faith.
00:35:25.040
And so you ask questions like, well, is this in our interest?
00:35:39.960
And, um, and a lot of these people have the gall to describe themselves as, you know, warriors
00:35:47.780
When, of course, free speech is the last thing they want.
00:35:50.520
And they've gone out of their way to prevent any kind of open conversation about the most
00:36:03.500
I would say, and by the way, I'll even go farther and say, having worked for Bill
00:36:09.540
William Crystal, the editor of the Weekly Standard, that was the absolute, uh, launching
00:36:17.060
I mean, I started the very first day of the Weekly Standard, August 1st, 1995, 30 years
00:36:23.280
And I thought Bill Crystal, I still would say it was a great boss, you know, interesting,
00:36:30.720
Um, obviously I think he's taken a really dark turn in his life.
00:36:33.480
It's been kind of a disaster and I feel bad for him.
00:36:36.520
But one thing I'll say about Bill Crystal circa, you know, 2000 is that he would make
00:36:43.900
He would say, we have to go in and take out Saddam for the following eight reasons.
00:36:52.180
And I wasn't paying super close attention because I was dumb and I was focused on other
00:36:56.720
And I was like, oh yeah, it's his foreign policy, hobby horse, you know, he's into that
00:37:02.300
I didn't really understand anything actually when I was like a kid.
00:37:04.440
But I always admired and still admire his willingness and that generation's willingness to make their
00:37:15.660
And now it's just like, can we censor the people?
00:37:18.200
Can we call them names to the point where they get kicked off social media?
00:37:24.100
Well, even Crystal himself had stopped writing.
00:37:27.820
Not a genius, I will say, but, you know, an affable, amusing person in meetings, you know.
00:37:34.860
I mean, probably the most successful political organizer of the last 30 years.
00:37:39.160
Yeah, and tireless, you know, and there are good things to be said about Bill Crystal.
00:37:44.100
Obviously, he's called me a Nazi like a hundred times, but that's kind of the point.
00:37:50.860
I just don't, you know, I've got different views.
00:37:53.040
And that's the turn that I'm really bothered by, is just the pure ad hominem attempts at
00:38:03.500
And Barry Weiss engages in that, like, relentlessly behind the scenes, using all kinds of proxies,
00:38:13.580
I just want to say, oh, this is deception here.
00:38:17.780
I think it makes it impossible for the new president to do what he's promised to do if
00:38:26.860
So, I mean, if the president wants to send troops to the U.S. border, and the president
00:38:32.020
wants to rebuild the American economy, and the president wants to focus on China, and the
00:38:39.600
president wants the moral credibility to end the Russia-Ukraine war at some point.
00:38:46.080
The U.S. expanding the war in the Middle East, even with prolonged arms sales, corrodes
00:38:59.760
No, but I mean, we literally are operating in the red to the tune of trillions of dollars.
00:39:10.060
We don't have any functioning community hospitals left.
00:39:12.980
We have the reserve currency, and we can keep writing debt until it causes an inflation
00:39:19.880
crisis, which a lot of people thought would happen earlier and did not.
00:39:22.740
And even our inflation crisis in the 2020s was mild by global standards.
00:39:27.060
So, accordingly, we've got plenty of room for the big enchilada, which is an Iran war.
00:39:38.640
To me, and it feels like it's worth—I mean, certainly, if you comment on this, you do ask
00:39:47.540
By the way, a lot of people I really like and I'm friends with violently disagree.
00:39:52.640
So, you run the risk, which I really don't want, of rupturing friendships over it.
00:39:59.900
And you think, all right, maybe I should be quiet.
00:40:06.460
And at the very least, the public ought to understand that there are highly motivated
00:40:14.340
Do you think that we will participate in a military action against Iran?
00:40:18.000
Well, the big question is right now—so, there's a new Iranian president.
00:40:22.740
So, the previous Iranian president died along with his foreign minister in a helicopter accident
00:40:29.640
Are you going to use air quotes around accident or—
00:40:41.780
The Iranians' equipment, helicopter equipment, to my understanding, is old.
00:40:49.340
And it's possible that it—it's likely that it just went down.
00:40:56.720
I would not fly in a helicopter with Iranian officials.
00:41:01.360
And, again, if you think it was Israel, the Israelis pretty much took credit or didn't
00:41:07.580
deny all the other assassinations that occurred last year.
00:41:10.860
Speaking of Hamas leadership, et cetera, et cetera, et cetera.
00:41:14.580
Just for the record, I try to suspend judgment because I know a lot about what countries do.
00:41:21.240
And I do think—this is one thing I'll say in support of Israel.
00:41:25.180
I do think that it is—you know, it isn't fair to just single out Israel and say they're
00:41:33.980
My only—you know, the only point where I would feel like I want to say something is
00:41:42.540
Now, we're talking about our interests, my country, where my family's from.
00:41:48.840
So, I guess maybe the 2025 zoom out, you would say there was an election in Iran right afterwards.
00:41:56.380
A lot of people disagree with our perspective, will disagree with this term, but the more
00:42:02.620
moderate candidate—people think there are no moderates within the regime—but the less
00:42:08.860
hardcore candidate, one, this is the first time this has happened since Trump left the
00:42:15.040
And this person, it is not clear how much power he has within the system.
00:42:26.140
And there will be a succession crisis to succeed the supreme leader should he die.
00:42:31.120
So, it is this weird situation where every time Iran is in a crisis—and they're in a
00:42:36.140
They're in an electricity crisis by all reporting.
00:42:38.640
Again, don't know if we can trust all the reporting, but they can't keep the lights on
00:42:45.400
And so, every time Iran is at a decision point, there is a fracas between what I will call
00:42:51.720
the moderates and the hardliners within their government.
00:43:05.600
They also recently signed a defense pact, just short of mutual defense pact, but a security
00:43:13.580
So, they seem to have a bunker mentality right now.
00:43:18.440
If U.S. intelligence or Israeli intelligence or Western intelligence assesses that they
00:43:24.440
are going for the bomb in a real way, so they can either be true or false, but if they assess
00:43:30.680
it, then there will be severe pressure on the new administration to do airstrikes on Iranian
00:43:47.780
And Pakistan is a country with a lot of wonderful people in it.
00:44:03.340
ISI has been, you know, really a source of disorder in South Asia for a long time.
00:44:07.960
And they've exported nuclear technology, including to North Korea.
00:44:13.860
Like, it's not a crisis that the Islamic Republic of Pakistan has the bomb.
00:44:25.040
I guess it occurred basically when the U.S. was still quasi-pro-Pakistan over India.
00:44:41.400
I think we can say longitudinally that was a bad bet.
00:44:43.760
He just didn't like one person and it didn't really matter in the Cold War.
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Look, all I'm saying is it's important to maybe dial back a little bit on the moral outrage and assess the world as it is, assess what you can do, you know, create a hierarchy of priorities.
00:48:15.160
Like, we don't want other countries to get nuclear weapons.
00:48:17.280
I think that's, I'm with the neocons 100% on that.
00:48:21.020
But, you know, in a complicated world that we don't actually control, what can we do?
00:48:27.640
What are the limits of our power given a lot of other factors like our domestics, our economy, the needs of our people?
00:48:36.200
Yeah, no, I mean, so I think Trump should complete the work of his first term, which is he revoked the JCPOA, the Obama-Iran deal, and he should do a Trump-Iran deal.
00:48:47.000
Well, he's sending Wyckoff over to do that, apparently.
00:48:48.620
So, Wyckoff, the aforementioned, not only did what he did with the Israelis, he was promoted for it, per reporting.
00:48:57.200
It has not been confirmed to my understanding by the transition or the White House.
00:49:01.340
But per the FT and, I believe, another outlet, Wyckoff is getting, quote, the Iran file.
00:49:06.080
Within the Trump universe, that's as much power as the president wants to give it.
00:49:14.980
And if Trump wants a lasting legacy of peace and prosperity, there needs to be an accommodation with the de facto government of Iran.
00:49:32.160
It's counter to our interests, I guess, is what I would say.
00:49:34.280
But if you were Trump and you say to Steve Wyckoff, hey, Steve Wyckoff, go get a, you know, ceasefire in place, and he comes back like 20 minutes later with a ceasefire, wouldn't you say, okay?
00:49:52.700
Yeah, I mean, I think, yeah, I mean, and this is actually something both Trump and Obama, who apparently get along now, at least perfunctorily, agreed on.
00:50:04.540
So, they, remember Obama on the debate stage in 08, said, and he was, he was just howled down for this, whatever you think of Barack Obama, said, we should meet with the Iranian leaders face to face.
00:50:17.780
And Trump did similar maneuvers in the first term.
00:50:28.040
I mean, was North Korea policy more stable from 2017 to 2021 or 2021 to 2025 when there was no engagement?
00:50:35.500
I don't think after 25 years of this nonsense, killing dictators and watching their countries become more chaotic and more dangerous to the United States and the world, that we have any obligation to listen to people who chirp like that.
00:50:50.840
Some of the, so we started this conversation with, you know, sort of the campaign against the cadres that are now serving Secretary Hexeth.
00:50:59.560
The people that are leading it, as far as I can infer, are oftentimes many of the people that were behind the original Iraq war.
00:51:09.520
Well, I'm 55, so this is driving me completely insane.
00:51:12.140
I mean, I thought after we discovered that the pretext of the war was a lie, that those people would, I don't know, don ashes in sackcloth and go, like, sit on a pillar for 10 years.
00:51:23.660
I think a lot of Americans assumed that they did.
00:51:27.280
They went around the World Bank and they still run the State Department.
00:51:29.980
And Toria Nuland, who was an architect of the Iraq war, was an architect of the Ukraine war.
00:51:35.660
But most Americans have real jobs and don't know this.
00:51:39.940
And so, these people are disguised or shrouded from public view.
00:51:44.400
And they are still quite effective at driving home an agenda.
00:51:49.220
In fact, I would assume they will win absent pushback.
00:52:01.240
And even if they're a minority government, so to speak.
00:52:07.640
And I'm, because I've spent my life in the media, I'm very kind of fixated on their enablers, their agents in the American news media.
00:52:19.220
And one of them who's working, has been working for years on their behalf, on behalf of Permanent Washington, the foreign policy establishment, every bad idea, is Jennifer Griffin at Fox, the Pentagon reporter.
00:52:29.400
Who is now, you know, basically texting Domino.
00:52:37.260
Yeah, is, you know, running around on behalf of, you know, her sources at the Pentagon, doing their bidding, trying to torpedo these guys because permanent staff doesn't want to be challenged on anything.
00:52:53.320
And, okay, you know, there's a role for that kind of behavior.
00:52:59.740
But it's a little crazy that, like, a supposed news reporter would be acting like that.
00:53:04.940
She's doing that right now and has been doing that kind of thing for as long as I've been paying attention, like, a couple decades.
00:53:13.320
But what I will say is the role of most Pentagon reporters has always struck me since I've done this as extremely hierarchical.
00:53:24.420
It almost felt like the reporters worked for the Pentagon.
00:53:27.560
So, I mean, in any place that I've worked that had a Pentagon correspondent, and that was the only way you stayed in the room, and—
00:53:37.120
Isn't this a democracy where we have civilian command of the armed forces and the entire federal government works for the population of the country, its voters, its citizens, its constituents, shareholders?
00:53:52.400
There's no sense of that whatsoever in Washington at all.
00:53:57.560
I mean, you didn't see criticisms or skepticisms of the military from the right until the very last few years, including from the new president, including from organs of conservative media.
00:54:10.260
I think it started with Mark Milley, but also the sort of—
00:54:22.700
You know, I just refer you back to the pivot point in American politics in my lifetime, which was the 2016 debate in Greenville, South Carolina, where Donald Trump, home of the highest percentage of military veterans of any state, famously, and Donald Trump came out against the Iraq War.
00:54:37.840
And all the dumbos at the channel I work for and in Washington are like, oh, he's lost it now.
00:54:44.800
And, of course, all the guys whose lives were destroyed fighting these wars, not on behalf of the United States, not to the benefit of the United States.
00:54:52.400
They were filled with many emotions, frustration, shame, rage, sadness, and they immediately knew what he was talking about.
00:55:03.640
And no one in D.C. knew what he was talking about.
00:55:07.360
He was polling a certain—he was ahead, and the Bush family came in.
00:55:12.000
That's when—it was the last stand for Mr. Jeb in February of 2016.
00:55:19.880
And it was like, we've got to keep him in the race, we're going to make our stand, and he did the big, fat mistake, that is Iraq debate.
00:55:33.220
Don't quote me out of that, but it was something like that.
00:55:39.120
So, like, not only did he not go down and still won, he went up and then clearly triumphed.
00:55:44.380
That was the moment when I was just, you know, whatever his flaws, I was for Trump because here was a guy telling a real truth, a hard truth that no one wanted him to tell and was rewarded for it.
00:55:56.880
And I just felt like that was—that's consistent with my principles and beliefs, which is you ought to tell the truth, and a healthy country rewards people who tell the truth, not people who lie.
00:56:05.540
There's a cynical bet, though, I would say that—and it's a cynical bet on Trump, and it's a cynical bet on Americans, and it's a cynical bet on Republicans and independents, which is—I'll just—let's use the actual language of center-left or left-wing media.
00:56:24.260
It's a cult, and once the cult leader leaves, we can just go back to 2005 and implant the same old free trade, open borders, endless neoconservatism.
00:56:39.700
And actually, the people that are driving the opposition to these selections in the Pentagon agree with President Trump's critics in spirit and in practice.
00:56:59.520
I mean, it's like MSNBC-level dumb person analysis, but it's also like a real analysis.
00:57:04.660
And there is a sense in which devotion to Trump has a religious quality to it.
00:57:08.140
I mean, that's undeniable. I was just in D.C. for the inauguration. I can confirm that.
00:57:15.500
You know, I think a lot of voters feel like Trump is the only person who cares about them.
00:57:21.840
And so they're on board regardless because where else are they going?
00:57:24.520
And I think that's true, A, and B, I think that's a reflection of, like, how badly the leadership of the country has failed.
00:57:33.680
But I also think saying true things out loud changes history.
00:57:40.040
The only people who actually change history are not the ones who marshal the biggest armies, but the ones who speak the truth out loud.
00:57:48.820
And all of history is the story of that act, actually.
00:57:52.180
And sometimes it, you know, it takes centuries for the consequences to unfold, but they do.
00:57:59.160
Once you, that's why there's such a, almost a crazed attempt to shut down people from speaking.
00:58:08.160
They care about talking because they understand correctly that that's what matters over time.
00:58:12.900
So once Trump has said all this stuff, there's kind of no going back.
00:58:21.720
I think it's a bad bet, which is why the tactics are increasingly hysterical and marginal.
00:58:32.060
You know, if you think it's so important to kill the leaders of Iran and get into a full-scale war with a real country, which Iran is, which is part of a real coalition.
00:58:48.580
It's very important to use as scary words as possible.
00:58:51.720
Ayatollah, the Mullahs, the Islamic Republic emphasize, you know, and again, like, basically the bin Laden who's dead runs a country, even though these are different ethnicity and a different religion.
00:59:13.400
But again, some of the people pushing this stuff didn't say an invasion in 1996.
00:59:26.020
I mean, it's a little harder here, too, because on the question of Russia, it's been surprisingly effective for them to just dismiss all criticism as sponsored by Putin.
00:59:36.020
Like, you don't think it's a good idea to prop up the Zelensky government.
00:59:45.720
Can you really call like a white American Christian guy a puppet of the Mullahs?
01:00:03.520
I just don't think as a rhetorical matter, it's quite as easy.
01:00:08.680
I mean, so Wyckoff, I believe, took his real estate firm, took some sort of investment from Qatar.
01:00:14.520
So, first of all, I would say, throughout the Trump entourage, a lot of them have worked with Gulf states.
01:00:21.700
And as far as I can tell, the real estate business is rife with investments from Gulf states.
01:00:28.680
And then additionally, as far as I'm aware, this is hardly that man's network.
01:00:31.780
Well, the domestic—I mean, you can't buy an apartment in New York because there's so much Chinese money in the residential real estate market.
01:00:40.560
You're only allowed to invest in your own country's real estate?
01:00:45.100
Let's ban foreign investment in our real estate markets.
01:00:55.340
Well, I mean, with the Qatar argument specifically, I mean, I think it's an unusual place.
01:00:59.900
It was supposed to be the Eighth Emirate, so it is separate from the UAE.
01:01:03.580
It is the most conservative of those emirates, I would say, at least in terms of the government.
01:01:18.620
But the idea that this small, jetting, LNG-dependent peninsula controls U.S. foreign policy, hook, line, and sinker, top to bottom, if you think that, I don't think you're extremely curious.
01:01:42.080
I think it's worth having an honest, I've never seen one, there never has been one, but an honest conversation about foreign influence on American policy.
01:01:49.960
I think that's a totally legitimate topic, and we've kind of done a lot of lying and pretending, for example, that Russia has undue influence over American foreign policies.
01:02:05.080
Are there foreign countries that exert influence on American policy, whose interests supersede those of American citizens in the minds of policymakers?
01:02:15.480
How would we rank Qatar, you know, in terms of its influence?
01:02:25.640
So, just having lived in D.C., this whole conversation is, like, so infuriatingly false and just silly.
01:02:35.360
I mean, are they running intel operations against us?
01:02:37.840
There's a lot of Qatar surveillance in Washington.
01:02:41.640
A lot of Qatar agents running around the Willard Hotel.
01:02:59.920
But making the allegation, though, is a kind of armor, though.
01:03:24.580
It is not saying we have different values and, you know, shaking each other's hand and
01:03:31.740
Well, so that's exactly the complaint that I have.
01:03:35.020
And that's the problem that I have with Barry Weiss.
01:03:40.000
It's the problem I have with The Washington Post.
01:03:42.720
And just so much of the media coverage of foreign policy is based on insinuation.
01:03:49.220
And, like, the cruelest sort of character-destroying insinuation is that you're not loyal to your
01:04:01.540
And I just think that that's beneath a great nation like ours.
01:04:05.420
I think it's beneath any decent person to behave.
01:04:08.720
Like, if you have evidence that someone's selling out his country, tell me what it is.
01:04:12.360
But to start with that, to accuse Steve Wyckoff of being a tool of Qatar, it's, like, so over
01:04:19.000
I just feel like it's important to call out the people doing it and say, you're disgusting.
01:04:24.660
You have no influence except that that you project through aggression and threats.
01:04:32.940
I think a lot of it is effective in Republican politics.
01:04:36.220
Because, you know, so you were there for the inauguration, I observed a week ago.
01:04:41.680
Um, and, uh, you know, I've always observed that, uh, is usually when I meet someone from
01:04:49.180
a red state, like a deep red state, uh, Oklahoma or Alabama, it's often their first time in
01:04:54.360
It's very, like, uh, Roman province, uh, visiting Rome for the first time.
01:05:02.960
Uh, versus, uh, I would say Blue State America actually has a lot...
01:05:06.640
The coasts have a lot more familiarity with D.C.
01:05:12.820
So when they hear, uh, the argument going on in the Capitol, there's actually a de facto
01:05:18.360
trust, um, there that might be not as much there on the Democratic side.
01:05:24.140
There's actually, there's actually a more jaundiced cynicism on the Democratic side.
01:05:28.700
They assume that the, despite it all, despite all the failures that you've announced, that
01:05:34.240
you've reported on fairly tirelessly, they assume that the people in D.C. know what they're
01:05:38.480
doing, um, and I'm not sure that's the greatest default assumption.
01:05:43.860
Well, I, I mean, I think the track record is pretty, uh, speaks conclusively.
01:05:48.640
Um, I mean, look, I, uh, respectfully to the new president, I mean, Donald Trump, again,
01:05:54.500
is the only U.S. president who has, was not a general or a former statewide official or
01:06:05.920
And with all due respect to the new president, a healthy country doesn't elect something like
01:06:11.700
It had that level of outsider, that level of outsider could only exist within a polity that
01:06:23.440
And the fact that, uh, uh, the Capitol doesn't imbibe that lesson, I think they're imbibing
01:06:30.120
a little bit more, but it's like, uh, I mean, it's still bizarre.
01:06:37.500
So June this year, 10 years of Trump, you know, longer than Obama at this point, the Trump
01:06:42.200
era, uh, in spirit, um, in length, uh, it's like, well, maybe there's something wrong with
01:06:52.300
I think national, I mean, first of all, I agree completely.
01:06:54.940
And I wrote a piece at the very beginning of this whole saga, almost 10 years ago.
01:07:04.640
It was five years ago this month that people started to drop dead in the central Chinese
01:07:12.780
And yet for some reason, we still don't know answers to the most basic questions.
01:07:20.660
And now a documentary filmmaker called Jenner First is out with a new film explaining exactly
01:07:38.220
So whether you're a newbie or a seasoned pro, you can make your investing steps count.
01:07:42.540
And if you're like me and think a TFSA stands for Total Fun Savings Adventure, maybe reach
01:08:08.480
But I also think at this point, Trump is the most powerful president, certainly since
01:08:15.360
And the potential for, you know, achieving his promises is really high.
01:08:21.120
America has greater problems in its head since the Great Depression, maybe even bigger
01:08:27.880
Probably not solve all of them, but make some headway on things that could help Americans.
01:08:31.720
It's sealing the border, stopping the chaos, just taking a breather so we can figure out
01:08:37.680
And the only thing that could derail that is another foreign war.
01:08:46.700
We cannot do the border if we do the Middle East.
01:08:49.600
So you had, what, 200,000 people a year dying of drug ODs and no one said anything about
01:08:56.460
And it's no disrespect to the Ukrainians, who I really feel sorry for.
01:09:00.440
But like, that's so unbelievable that that happened.
01:09:04.800
And now we've woken up from the dream and we have this chance.
01:09:08.460
And I'm sorry, I just, you know, with respect to Barry Weiss and Jen Griffin, you can't do
01:09:13.800
I'm just not going to go without a fight this time.
01:09:19.920
That's no disrespect to any other country, to our allies who we wish well and will help
01:09:25.160
But like the idea that we're responsible for all these other countries when we're dying
01:09:36.800
But it's very upsetting, not only to leaders of some foreign countries, and this is not
01:09:47.680
But like, I mean, that perspective is obviously very, very relevant for extricating the United
01:09:54.620
And almost every European capital is unhappy with that.
01:09:58.820
And, you know, you can have a conversation with a nice Danish person, and you might agree
01:10:07.780
But you mentioned like, hey, I'm not really sure the United States should be underwriting
01:10:17.580
The Western Europeans, and not the Eastern Europeans or Central Europeans, but the Western
01:10:24.120
And it's almost like if someone's standing on a bridge or in a window of a skyscraper and
01:10:32.520
I think there's a supernatural element at work, is my personal view.
01:10:36.160
But whatever you think the cause is, that's what it is.
01:10:39.120
You destroy, you blow up Nord Stream, destroy the German economy, and you're not allowed to
01:10:42.520
say anything about it in Germany, I don't know that we can help you at that point.
01:10:49.160
Like, if you're that intent on self-harm, that anxious to destroy your own civilization,
01:10:54.360
make it impossible for your children to live there, then you're killing yourself.
01:10:58.300
You can't help someone who doesn't want to help himself.
01:11:02.900
But just from an American perspective, like, all of this has been bad for us.
01:11:06.560
There's no way to pretend otherwise, except to launch into some airy moral lecture about
01:11:13.480
dictatorships and Winston Churchill and Neville Chamberlain or something.
01:11:24.040
But there's a gamble that some of this stuff isn't played out, though.
01:11:27.200
I mean, there's a gamble that, I mean, I think people have...
01:11:34.760
This country has a generational problem, right?
01:11:42.580
And I think there's just a bet that a lot of the voters that made the decisions in the
01:11:48.620
90s and 2000s are dumb and don't care about their kids' future and will vote for the exact
01:11:58.020
And will exert pressure on the new administration to do the same thing.
01:12:02.040
And I think there's a bet that the president is a desperate, cynical man who will do whatever
01:12:12.140
And I think the early evidence is that it's untrue.
01:12:18.400
The evidence is that Trump is less cynical than even his supporters thought he was.
01:12:25.420
Do you want to discuss the Pompeo, Brian Hook stuff?
01:12:31.240
I was just reading the Barry Weiss editorial about how pulling Pompeo's...
01:12:46.780
You are required to pay for Mike Pompeo's security detail.
01:12:50.420
And I will just say, point blank, as someone who has faced greater physical threats than
01:12:58.380
I, you know, if I have security, I pay for it myself.
01:13:00.740
Like, wow, why does Mike Pompeo, as a private citizen, get to stick me with the bill for
01:13:07.680
And the point is that Mike Pompeo is a faithful servant of the kind of ideas that she is here
01:13:16.460
And therefore, he will be defended at all costs.
01:13:18.880
But, like, let's just be honest about what's going on.
01:13:30.700
But I think the interesting thing, so it's very easy to just glaze over Trump fighting
01:13:38.060
You know, and sort of the ur example of this is Trump versus Bolton.
01:13:41.300
And we talk about that and it's fun, but it's kind of over, right?
01:13:48.380
But he's still got bits of egg in his mustache.
01:13:50.520
And I don't have his cell anymore, so I can't tell him, but he needs to fix that.
01:14:02.220
Yeah, so Mike Pompeo was the former Secretary of State, former CIA director, former Kansas
01:14:27.620
The disagreement with Pompeo is potentially quite new.
01:14:32.400
And so by all available information, Pompeo was in the mix for Secretary of Defense, most
01:14:44.640
So much so that his son, Donald Trump Jr., intervened in a sort of online campaign.
01:14:50.720
And, you know, other allies within that milieu stopped both Pompeo and the former UN ambassador
01:14:58.200
to South Carolinian governor, Nikki Haley, from getting administration posts.
01:15:06.940
Patriotic Americans rallied, as they did in Boston in the 18th century, to act on behalf
01:15:13.920
of their nation at some personal risk, but they did it anyway.
01:15:18.740
One of Pompeo's former deputies, Brian Hook, who ran something called the Iran Study Group
01:15:23.940
and had various other portfolios and titles at the State Department.
01:15:27.460
He's actually someone Pompeo inherited from Rex Tillerson, his predecessor.
01:15:33.580
Brian Hook, at various points throughout the transition in the last 100 days, was reported
01:15:40.080
to be running the State Department's transition at some point.
01:15:43.760
Then was rumored, again, rumors, it's rumored, I don't post about it, I don't tweet it out,
01:15:50.960
I don't write about it, but it was rumored to have been fired.
01:15:54.740
Here, Trump, in the days leading up to him taking the Oval Office oath, issued, essentially,
01:16:07.240
an enormous denunciation, a fatwa against Mr. Hook.
01:16:12.920
To say, not only is this guy not in the mix, I hate him.
01:16:20.540
And then additionally, both Hook and Pompeo's security detail was removed in the last few days.
01:16:30.460
I don't know that Brian Hook has served in government in four years.
01:16:34.420
Why would he have a security detail paid for by taxpayers?
01:16:37.340
Not an expert on who gets Secret Service details.
01:16:44.080
So the key thing here is that there is an allegation, a belief, many in the intelligence community
01:16:51.680
believes this, that there were serious, credible plans by the Iranians to assassinate
01:17:02.200
So Trump, Hook, John Bolton, et cetera, et cetera, in revenge, principally for the Soleimani
01:17:10.140
Because they've been creating a lot of terror attacks in the United States, you've noticed.
01:17:15.400
And so, that is the essential, that is the causes.
01:17:20.040
I'm just going to have to scoff at all of this.
01:17:23.740
I think the key thing here is the critique on Trump always was he fired Bolton, but he
01:17:30.840
So he just, he soured on the guy, but he didn't change any like policy.
01:17:37.360
This is the sort of pedantic way of looking at the president.
01:17:42.040
But with the Hook and Pompeo removal from his inner circle, there is, I think, very credible
01:17:53.000
evidence that Trump's personal grudges are now blending quite heavily with policy.
01:18:02.840
A lot of the Iran hawk old guard think tanks struck out in getting transition officials and
01:18:11.640
And again, circled around this very unlikely Pentagon, helmed by a guy who has changed his
01:18:20.060
life, it appears, in pretty severe ways over the last five years, both ideologically and
01:18:24.580
morally, is this very new Pentagon that is now being targeted by all the usual suspects.
01:18:34.540
And it is the biggest story in American politics that people aren't talking about.
01:18:41.020
So if I could sum up what I think you're saying, it is that Donald Trump may have actually broken
01:18:48.040
I mean, you control the Pentagon, you control the military.
01:18:54.260
It just seems like this is, because there was always this question about Trump, like you
01:18:58.860
get up and you give these speeches where you say, we don't want more pointless wars, I
01:19:05.200
Not a wuss, it's not Jimmy Carter, but like, you know, you assert American power, but you
01:19:09.940
don't embroil the country in wars that you can't win for no reason.
01:19:13.080
It's a very moderate, sensible, common sense, I would say, view.
01:19:19.120
So you say those things, but then you hire John Bolton.
01:19:23.980
And Trump would say, I've heard him say, well, I hired Bolton, I beg your pardon, I hired
01:19:33.220
He's obviously like watching war porn late at night, and people can smell that on him.
01:19:38.220
And so when he goes into a negotiation, he scares the crap out of everybody.
01:19:41.200
And then I show up, you know, he's the heavy and I'm-
01:19:48.760
And I didn't know if I believe that or not, but I'm starting to think that I should have
01:19:54.560
just believed him because it sounds like Trump's actual instincts are what he says they are.
01:20:00.200
I mean, the Bolton firing itself is, again, ancient history, but it's circled around an issue
01:20:06.740
So, I mean, Trump had invited the Taliban, which was then the outlaw, not government
01:20:12.220
of Afghanistan, as it is today, to Camp David on 9-11.
01:20:22.720
I mean, I don't have to, I mean, I'm just reporting the facts here.
01:20:28.960
So tonight, who's coming for dinner tonight at Camp David?
01:20:32.060
Bolton, Bolton was wiped out before this meeting never happened, but it was the instigating
01:20:40.380
incident for the final breakdown of their relationship.
01:20:44.200
I do think it's important, Kurt, to just recognize the inherent hilarity of a lot of,
01:20:48.800
you know, just, it is, in addition to being grave and, you know, historically significant,
01:20:58.280
Um, so under, you're, you're very restrained and businesslike and precise as a reporter
01:21:04.640
should be, as an editor should be, but the story that you're telling, I think, I don't
01:21:08.040
want to put words in your mouth, is a, is a, is a story of like real change.
01:21:13.120
Finally, we actually appear to be getting to like a foreign policy that puts America close
01:21:24.020
No, I mean, I, I mean, I mean, I mean, if he sees this through, this is, this is the
01:21:28.400
biggest presidency, uh, certainly since Reagan, you alluded to FDR, uh, I mean, it is moving
01:21:33.820
the ship of state, um, and people are going to try to stop him from doing it.
01:21:39.020
But they're not, but not, they're not going to, they're not going to say that he's bad
01:21:46.340
Well, I just want to counter signal by saying, I think what you're saying is true.
01:21:50.180
I think it's real and I've never admired Trump more.
01:21:54.780
Um, I don't, I don't think I'm going to ask us around the Trump question, but this is like
01:22:00.440
It's just super important and it's not radical at all.
01:22:03.300
It's not attacking anyone or canceling our ally ship with any country at all.
01:22:09.220
It's just, it's, you know, readjusting expectations for what we can achieve.
01:22:13.600
The reason that I started covering war and foreign policy principally, um, is that, uh,
01:22:18.860
the reality is that U.S. domestic policy is a morass.
01:22:26.560
They did six years in, they couldn't even get the website working.
01:22:29.120
You know, the country's hard to govern, but externally, the president is imperial.
01:22:35.000
They, they, most, quite literally the most powerful person on earth.
01:22:39.540
And, uh, if you want to burnish a legacy real quick, you do big things in foreign policy.
01:22:47.460
That's what all the Republican senators have figured out.
01:22:50.260
You're John McCain, like you're, you know, whatever.
01:22:53.060
You've got a lot of problems in your personal and public life, but you can bomb around Eastern
01:23:01.700
You're, you know, Jim Risch or Mike Rounds or some like U.S. senator nobody's ever heard
01:23:08.160
But when you travel to Romania to tour a NATO base, people are like, oh, you know, Senator
01:23:19.040
And so that's a, that's a big, that's a big motivator for our lawmakers, isn't it?
01:23:29.180
You go to Idaho Falls and no one's like, oh, I can't believe you're here.
01:23:44.000
And I interrupted you because I can't, I can't control myself.
01:23:49.500
And get on the topic of pizza or neocons and I'm just out of control.
01:23:52.480
Tell me your analysis of Trump canceling the security details for Brian Hook and Mike Pompeo.
01:24:01.880
Well, he seems to have the authentic view that these people can afford it.
01:24:06.660
Especially with Fauci and especially with Bolton.
01:24:12.240
And Pompeo, like, who's now running around being like, I'm actually, I'm a businessman.
01:24:17.560
He's on a board of a Ukrainian company as well.
01:24:23.700
But he's certainly running around, including with people I know, saying, I'm a really kind
01:24:28.840
Look, I mean, so the Pompeo things, I mean, is like, I mean, it's supremely interesting
01:24:31.820
because I, you know, I think it's somebody who probably would have positioned himself
01:24:40.840
I think it's somebody who's not going to quit being president.
01:24:51.200
And I don't want to say he's part of the cynical bet crowd, but he's making a bet that
01:24:56.180
the Trump thing will pass and I will be able to steamroll people like Vance and even
01:25:04.580
And in the meantime, you know, maybe make some money, influence the debate, et cetera,
01:25:14.940
I mean, I like, I mean, if you don't come in with huge foreign policy convictions, as
01:25:19.220
I think you and I do, he can be very persuasive.
01:25:22.720
Just for the record, I had no foreign policy convictions.
01:25:26.180
I don't think I'm ideological on the question at all.
01:25:28.620
I just think in general, our foreign policy should serve.
01:25:32.460
I mean, I mean, like, I mean, so I think this was very interesting about some of these
01:25:36.660
Pentagon picks, not to keep linking it back, but also the vice president.
01:25:40.660
A lot of these people, my generation, the millennials fought in these wars.
01:25:44.800
And although the baby boomers, forget it, we're now old, you know, and we grew up and
01:25:55.000
It's not just like a Democrat, you know, anti-Iraq war, indie music thing.
01:26:04.060
And they might hate it more, actually, which is actually the interesting thing.
01:26:08.420
And the Republican Party, frankly, under Trump, might be a vessel of anti-war sentiment far
01:26:18.040
I mean, I didn't see a lot of protests for the Ukraine war.
01:26:20.920
Remember, the Israel stuff was pretty interesting.
01:26:24.460
That was probably what was number one threat to Biden circa April.
01:26:29.200
But, you know, if you look at the conversation online, if you look at the sentiments of
01:26:33.140
younger conservatives, younger Republicans, the anti-war stuff is big and it's not going
01:26:39.820
And I think that also drives a sense of a timetable, which is, you know, we've got these
01:26:48.840
They're the people that voted for the stuff in the 90s and 2000s.
01:26:52.140
And we get this stuff done now before the United States turns, you know, on both parties
01:27:01.160
So we can't afford it anymore and our allies pivot to China and sell even more defense technology
01:27:09.120
I do think they're, okay, so the backbone of support for these wars has been evangelicals.
01:27:15.920
It's everyone, you know, beats up on the neocons or whatever, these fervid intellectuals in
01:27:20.640
But really, the foot soldiers of this have been Fox News viewers who are not ideological.
01:27:27.580
They're not, they're just normal American patriotic, heavily evangelical people.
01:27:33.080
And the truth is, I think a lot of them are beginning to recognize that their religion
01:27:39.840
And it's really clear, Genesis 6, why do we have the flood?
01:27:46.420
All the people except Noah and his family, all the animals except the ones in the ark.
01:27:51.080
He spells it right out because they're committing violence.
01:27:55.100
So it's like the idea that, I mean, the Iraq war breaks out and all these preachers are like,
01:28:00.200
We have to fight Islam and kill all these people.
01:28:07.120
And there's no mention of any specific secular government in the New Testament.
01:28:12.240
And I think a lot of Christians are beginning to realize this.
01:28:14.860
It doesn't, because you're a Christian doesn't mean you have a specific political agenda at
01:28:20.340
But if your political agenda is like violence, that's prohibited.
01:28:30.500
So I don't know the deception involved in this was just like mind boggling that these
01:28:34.200
preachers could get up on Fox News and tell you that like, yeah, killing people is what
01:28:40.600
And I, I just feel among people I know a growing recognition of that.
01:28:44.860
And I think it's a huge problem for the war lobby, which has used these people as its
01:28:49.900
And you see it in the Congress, you know, I'm an evangelical and I'm for another war with
01:28:59.940
I, I, yeah, I think that they're hoping the country's old, tired, zoned out, can't
01:29:04.940
And they're hoping that these initiatives can be achieved piecemeal, you know, start
01:29:14.900
Maybe the government will collapse, et cetera, et cetera, et cetera.
01:29:20.460
The same people who replaced Assad and Gaddafi and Saddam and the Taliban.
01:29:26.160
I mean, to take the other side, I mean, I mean, the Assad thing is, that's like pretty
01:29:31.300
close to the best case scenario of how that could have gone.
01:29:33.500
I think in Iran, it would go way, way, way worse.
01:29:41.440
You know, you start killing people and things go sideways.
01:29:43.780
Like you think it's, it's pretty close to Iraq and Afghanistan combined, right?
01:29:48.360
You have, you have, you have urban, you have, you have the, you have the capacity for major
01:29:53.660
You have huge cities, not that Kabul is small, but you know, you have that.
01:29:57.600
And then additionally, you have the mountain element.
01:29:59.600
So any, any outlaw contingent can just flee there.
01:30:05.140
I mean, and, and, and we learned this with our Southern neighbor.
01:30:19.160
I mean, it's, I mean, it's, it's, it's hard to, it would be very, very, very difficult.
01:30:23.220
And ask Saddam Hussein, who tried to invade Iran and didn't work out for Mr. Hussein.
01:30:32.580
Well, you have actually given me, I asked you to come for this conversation.
01:30:40.160
You were nice enough to come and, um, we're in a hotel room in some city, but, uh, I thought
01:30:45.760
I was going to be more depressed by the end, but actually I feel really heartened by what
01:30:52.460
Well, thank you for making me feel a lot better.
01:31:01.120
If you enjoyed it, you can go to tuckercarlson.com to see everything that we have made the complete