The Tucker Carlson Show - February 24, 2025


Luke Gromen: Why the CIA Doesn’t Want You Owning Gold, & Is Fort Knox Lying About Our Gold Reserve?


Episode Stats

Length

1 hour and 37 minutes

Words per Minute

175.89336

Word Count

17,172

Sentence Count

722

Misogynist Sentences

8

Hate Speech Sentences

30


Summary

On today's episode of the Stock Market Movers podcast, host Ryan Henderson sits down with his good friend and long-time friend, Peter Schiff, to discuss why gold is the most valuable monetary metal in the world and why it's been around for as long as it has.


Transcript

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00:00:15.620 So it's amazing to me to watch countries spending, a bunch of countries,
00:00:21.900 spending so much effort, money on gold
00:00:26.840 at a moment where technology dominates the conversation
00:00:30.940 and crypto and AI are the future,
00:00:32.660 and gold is the oldest and most primitive medium of exchange.
00:00:38.620 I mean, cultures have been using gold around the world,
00:00:41.380 every culture around the world for at least 6,000 years as a store of value,
00:00:46.160 and they still are.
00:00:47.660 Why?
00:00:49.220 Because it's worked.
00:00:56.840 It is when things get spicy, gold has a 6,000-year track record,
00:01:17.920 and I think store of value, your point store of value is really critical, right?
00:01:21.160 Because currency has medium of exchange, unit of account, store of value.
00:01:26.060 Those are the three functions of money.
00:01:27.840 And we have moved on from gold as a unit of account.
00:01:32.080 Our bank accounts aren't denominated in gold.
00:01:34.160 We moved on from gold.
00:01:35.220 I'm not walking around with gold coins in my pocket.
00:01:37.900 Unfortunately.
00:01:38.300 But it has always retained that store of value component of money
00:01:45.900 and, and critically, at the, at the highest levels of finance.
00:01:50.340 The global central banks who are running our currency and monetary system,
00:01:56.740 as much as we have moved away from gold and those other functions,
00:02:00.880 as much as we've moved to fiat currency,
00:02:02.520 as much as technology has developed,
00:02:04.080 as much as our economies have developed,
00:02:06.180 they have always continued to hold their gold.
00:02:08.500 And in the last 10, 11 years,
00:02:11.540 I think one of the big origin stories of macroeconomics,
00:02:16.540 as they have developed over the past 10 years,
00:02:20.020 has been the fact that global central banks,
00:02:24.200 on net, in 2014,
00:02:27.480 stopped growing their holdings of treasury bonds.
00:02:30.020 So global central banks have not bought a treasury bond on net.
00:02:32.840 In fact, they've sold about $300 billion worth.
00:02:35.660 U.S. Treasuries.
00:02:36.180 U.S. Treasury, since 2014.
00:02:37.640 In their, they're called FX reserves,
00:02:40.020 which is basically their piggy bank.
00:02:42.800 And they've bought about $600 billion worth of gold.
00:02:45.880 That doesn't, I mean, okay,
00:02:47.360 that doesn't make any sense at all.
00:02:49.300 In an era of biotech and nanotechnology and AI,
00:02:52.800 and, you know, everything is abstract and digital.
00:02:55.020 Everything is technology.
00:02:56.020 Why would gold, which doesn't have, like, great inherent, like, value,
00:03:01.860 what is gold actually worth?
00:03:03.820 Like, well, you can't eat it.
00:03:05.700 You can't eat your house with it.
00:03:06.920 And why, why the stranglehold on human beings from gold?
00:03:12.680 And why did it emerge in these separate cultures,
00:03:15.680 as we know from the archaeological record,
00:03:17.520 on separate continents, had no contact with each other.
00:03:20.000 At roughly the same time, they all decided that gold was the most valuable thing.
00:03:23.960 Like, what is that?
00:03:24.720 There is a mystery at the heart of gold, no?
00:03:26.260 Yeah, I think it ultimately evolved to that because it is,
00:03:32.060 because it isn't used for anything, right?
00:03:34.380 So there's something called stock-to-flow in commodities,
00:03:37.040 if you analyze commodities.
00:03:37.980 And stock-to-flow is just what is the stock of inventory of that commodity
00:03:42.960 and what is the flow?
00:03:44.960 How much of it do you use a year?
00:03:46.600 And the lower the stock-to-flow ratio, the more it is a commodity,
00:03:50.540 and the higher stock-to-flow ratio, the more it is like money.
00:03:53.660 And so, for example, oil has a stock-to-flow ratio.
00:03:58.640 When oil inventories are globally,
00:04:00.380 a really high stock-to-flow of oil might be 1.2.
00:04:04.760 When they're low, they might be 1.1.
00:04:06.480 If they get below 1.1, you're going to know
00:04:07.940 because you're going to see prices skyrocketing at the pump.
00:04:10.740 Very low stock-to-flow.
00:04:12.400 Wheat, copper, similar types of low stock-to-flows.
00:04:16.140 Silver is, I don't know, as of a few years ago, around 30 to 1, right?
00:04:20.520 Because silver is both a monetary metal and an industrial metal.
00:04:24.740 Gold is 60 to 1 or more.
00:04:27.320 And so, I think ultimately, I don't know that these ancient cultures
00:04:30.920 were thinking about gold in terms of stock-to-flow,
00:04:34.420 but I think ultimately what they were looking at is
00:04:36.980 stock-to-flow means it keeps well, right?
00:04:40.820 You can put gold in.
00:04:42.180 It's the most money-like commodity there is.
00:04:45.980 And that's why I think independently around the world,
00:04:49.340 all these cultures, excuse me,
00:04:52.020 arrived at gold as the savings store of value par excellence.
00:04:59.260 That's so interesting.
00:05:00.920 So, I said, well, how weird that gold would be,
00:05:05.080 you know, the most enduring store of value
00:05:06.740 because you can't eat it or heat your house with it.
00:05:08.940 And you're saying that's why it's the most enduring.
00:05:11.880 It's precisely why.
00:05:13.040 I mean, it's easily divisible, right?
00:05:14.980 So, even in old days using old technology,
00:05:17.560 thousands of years ago,
00:05:18.280 you could divide it into very small amounts.
00:05:21.060 It doesn't rust.
00:05:22.440 And so, there were obviously, in the old days in particular,
00:05:25.000 very practical applications.
00:05:27.180 You know, you store a bunch of your wealth in wheat
00:05:29.140 and it gets mold and it's all gone, right?
00:05:32.600 Oil, you have a spill, it's all gone.
00:05:35.320 The gold, it's much more portable,
00:05:37.320 it's divisible, it's malleable, it doesn't rust.
00:05:39.380 So, there's, I think, some practical things.
00:05:40.620 But I think, ultimately, it's the most money-like thing
00:05:44.320 with those physical aspects.
00:05:47.220 And it has always been for all recorded history.
00:05:50.400 I do think there's something at the core there
00:05:53.220 that I don't understand.
00:05:55.460 But it's just demonstrable.
00:05:57.780 It's just true.
00:05:58.720 It's true.
00:05:59.480 So, and it endures even in this hyper-technical age.
00:06:04.440 I would say one more thing about gold
00:06:05.980 that I find fascinating
00:06:06.880 is that it is the most private of all currencies.
00:06:10.620 So, the great lie of my lifetime
00:06:12.720 is that crypto was going to be private
00:06:14.320 and was going to free us from, you know,
00:06:15.780 surveillance and control.
00:06:16.760 And that is just not proven true
00:06:17.860 and no one's really tried hard to make it true,
00:06:19.700 which tells you a lot about how much people lie
00:06:21.860 and what the real agenda is, which is control.
00:06:24.500 But gold can actually be moved around privately
00:06:27.960 and stored privately.
00:06:29.980 I mean, there's not a digital record of gold.
00:06:31.460 And that leads to my question,
00:06:33.820 which is, like,
00:06:35.120 what the hell is going on
00:06:36.680 with gold flows around the world?
00:06:37.920 Gold physically moving from one country to another.
00:06:41.160 Why isn't that transparent?
00:06:43.160 This is public money.
00:06:44.960 This is the reserves of different countries
00:06:46.840 owned by the public of those countries.
00:06:49.000 And there's no sort of transparent record of it.
00:06:52.260 Am I missing something?
00:06:54.320 The transparency varies, right?
00:06:56.320 So, in the end, it isn't very transparent.
00:07:01.320 That's very attractive.
00:07:01.900 How can a country move its part of its gold reserve
00:07:04.300 to another country without telling its population?
00:07:07.240 And the funny thing is, is...
00:07:08.480 No, but, like, is that outrageous
00:07:09.400 or am I just missing something?
00:07:10.600 Well, they would say,
00:07:12.220 well, we tell you,
00:07:12.920 you just have to pay very close attention, right?
00:07:14.640 So, you can look in the UK trade statistics.
00:07:17.500 They show you how much gold is leaving London.
00:07:19.380 They don't want to advertise that,
00:07:20.760 but there are times...
00:07:21.620 Do they tell you where it's going and why?
00:07:23.760 The Swiss data are very, very good.
00:07:26.140 They show you...
00:07:27.280 The Swiss data, right.
00:07:28.320 Wow.
00:07:28.720 Swiss data are always good.
00:07:30.420 Yeah, the Swiss are very precise.
00:07:32.200 So, you can...
00:07:32.900 You have an idea,
00:07:33.860 but again, when I say it's transparent and not,
00:07:36.200 those data,
00:07:37.080 as long as what it is,
00:07:38.140 what they classify as non-monetary gold,
00:07:40.440 according to IMF shipping classifications,
00:07:44.320 we'll call them,
00:07:44.700 however they...
00:07:45.180 Industrial classifications.
00:07:46.580 Non-monetary gold gets recorded.
00:07:50.300 Monetary gold, to your point,
00:07:53.020 doesn't have to be declared as it moves.
00:07:55.080 It's how I understand the rules.
00:07:57.860 And so, when you see the monetary gold movements,
00:08:00.760 there is still very much an element of secrecy
00:08:05.340 and non-transparency.
00:08:07.360 And yes, some of that is the public's money,
00:08:09.400 and it's not being disclosed why it's moving
00:08:12.280 and how much exactly you...
00:08:14.960 It's almost like being in the movie Jaws, right?
00:08:23.480 Where early on, you know there's a shark out there,
00:08:25.640 and you see the impact of the shark,
00:08:27.820 and every now and then you'll get a glimpse of it,
00:08:29.580 but you don't really fully see the shark very often.
00:08:33.480 Whenever you have secrecy,
00:08:35.140 you have deception and fraud, period.
00:08:37.540 Generally, that's true.
00:08:38.240 That's the purpose of it, I would argue.
00:08:41.020 Privacy being different from secrecy.
00:08:43.340 But, you know, something that should be disclosed that's not
00:08:46.160 is not disclosed for a reason.
00:08:48.040 And so, when you have huge movements,
00:08:50.440 it might over...
00:08:51.020 You tell me if I'm overstating this,
00:08:52.260 but there are now big movements of gold
00:08:54.460 between countries right now, correct?
00:08:56.760 Correct.
00:08:57.800 And we're not exactly sure why.
00:09:00.060 Correct.
00:09:00.400 And we don't really know the volume, as you just said.
00:09:04.920 And so, someone's getting rich and someone's getting poor,
00:09:08.060 but none of this is public.
00:09:09.380 Like, I smell scam afoot.
00:09:12.320 You know, it's one of these things where
00:09:13.980 gold has long been the competitor to the dollar system.
00:09:21.760 And once you start getting into competitors
00:09:25.980 to government currencies,
00:09:27.620 which are, as you noted,
00:09:30.400 the method, a very effective method of control, right?
00:09:35.600 This is why we use dollar sanctions,
00:09:36.960 why we've been using dollar sanctions.
00:09:41.260 That quickly gets into the reason for,
00:09:46.320 I think, at least some of the reason
00:09:47.420 for the secrecy around gold
00:09:48.800 as it relates to governments,
00:09:50.480 which is, number one,
00:09:55.040 or excuse me, as Greenspan said,
00:09:57.480 that, you know, the only currency
00:09:59.320 that's better than the dollar
00:10:00.340 is gold.
00:10:01.600 And it's been that way for a long time.
00:10:03.060 And that's, that's,
00:10:03.860 he said that in 2013 or 2014.
00:10:05.960 And so, that,
00:10:08.480 number one,
00:10:09.360 is there's a perception, right?
00:10:11.240 Where if you're trying to be a manager
00:10:13.180 of the dollar,
00:10:14.340 as the U.S. government is,
00:10:16.380 that is a perception
00:10:17.520 you are trying to manage.
00:10:18.720 And so, I think there's some element of that.
00:10:20.040 I think there are other countries that have been,
00:10:23.520 for example, the Chinese have been buying lots of gold.
00:10:27.260 They have long said,
00:10:28.260 you can find it in Wikileaks documents from 2009,
00:10:33.140 that China's buying gold to kill two birds with one stone.
00:10:36.520 It's number one,
00:10:37.080 it will build up and help internationalize the renminbi over time.
00:10:40.440 And also,
00:10:41.460 the Americans and the Europeans,
00:10:42.580 they specifically said,
00:10:43.760 have historically tried to prevent gold from rising too much
00:10:47.120 in order to increase the prestige
00:10:50.620 and the attractiveness of their own currencies.
00:10:53.220 And so, we're buying gold for that reason.
00:10:54.880 So, you get into this,
00:10:57.560 gold is very much a geopolitical metal
00:10:59.240 because when you think of it in those terms,
00:11:01.240 if you're China
00:11:02.040 and you're buying lots and lots of gold,
00:11:04.840 as China has done at times over the last 15 years
00:11:07.720 after the great financial crisis,
00:11:09.960 let's be clear,
00:11:11.620 that can be construed in certain circles in Washington
00:11:13.840 and in Brussels and in London
00:11:15.180 as a tax on those nations' currencies.
00:11:18.540 And so, it is in the interest of nations
00:11:21.880 nations that might want to diversify from the dollar,
00:11:26.760 from the euro reserves,
00:11:29.140 in which FX reserves are primarily denominated in.
00:11:34.900 It behooves those nations
00:11:37.300 to have a level of secrecy around it as well.
00:11:39.540 So, it's that element of
00:11:40.880 trying to manage currency systems
00:11:45.260 from two opposite sides of the coin.
00:11:48.900 Okay.
00:11:49.240 So, let me,
00:11:49.980 this is directly to your point.
00:11:52.380 This is the Google result
00:11:54.620 if you type in
00:11:55.760 which countries own the most gold.
00:11:57.760 Who's got the biggest gold reserves
00:11:59.300 in the United States?
00:12:00.340 Have you seen this list?
00:12:02.020 I have.
00:12:02.900 I'm reading this to you
00:12:03.560 because it's just so clearly bullshit.
00:12:05.520 It's so clearly not true.
00:12:07.460 So, this is in order,
00:12:08.780 the countries with the largest gold reserves.
00:12:10.380 U.S. won.
00:12:11.100 Okay.
00:12:11.860 Number two, Germany.
00:12:13.720 Number three, Italy.
00:12:14.880 Italy.
00:12:15.680 Okay.
00:12:15.960 It's got an economy like the size of Ohio.
00:12:18.380 France,
00:12:19.620 Russia,
00:12:20.600 China.
00:12:21.880 Switzerland, Japan, India, Netherlands.
00:12:26.180 You're telling me that China is
00:12:29.440 one, two, three, four, five,
00:12:31.420 is number six
00:12:32.220 and India's number nine?
00:12:37.320 That's a lie.
00:12:38.620 That's just a flat out lie.
00:12:40.000 Like, that is not the actual ranking.
00:12:41.640 That's not the,
00:12:42.160 and those-
00:12:42.460 There is no chance.
00:12:43.480 You're telling me France
00:12:44.460 has bigger gold reserves than China?
00:12:46.460 And this is why,
00:12:47.520 when I say it's a political
00:12:48.460 and a geopolitical medal, right?
00:12:50.120 Because those are the official monetary reserves.
00:12:53.900 Chinese have been bringing in
00:12:55.020 thousand plus tons of gold every year.
00:12:57.340 The Indians have been doing it.
00:12:57.740 The Indians have been stockpiling gold
00:12:59.160 for thousands of years.
00:13:00.140 I mean, to their great credit,
00:13:01.140 I'm not criticizing them.
00:13:01.960 Oh, yeah.
00:13:02.480 Yeah, the chart of gold in Indian rupees
00:13:03.700 looks like apple in dollars.
00:13:05.180 It's up and to the right forever.
00:13:07.800 So, I guess the only point I'm making
00:13:09.980 again and again and again
00:13:11.420 is at the heart of this
00:13:13.040 incredibly important phenomenon,
00:13:15.220 the movement of gold around the world,
00:13:16.320 is a lie.
00:13:16.980 Like, there's lying.
00:13:17.540 Like, we don't actually know
00:13:18.800 what the stake in the play is.
00:13:19.640 There's not great clarity.
00:13:20.640 No, there's-
00:13:21.080 Not great clarity, right.
00:13:22.000 There's massive lying.
00:13:23.800 And again, whenever there's massive lying,
00:13:25.960 there's going to be massive fraud.
00:13:27.500 And there's a reason for it, right?
00:13:28.600 There's always a real reason why that is.
00:13:32.020 Why, you know, for that, for that.
00:13:33.340 So, Fort Knox is one of the places,
00:13:35.540 the physical places in the United States
00:13:37.000 where we're told our gold is stored.
00:13:39.080 Half, maybe, supposedly, of our reserves.
00:13:41.380 Yeah, I want to say, yeah,
00:13:42.660 there's some there.
00:13:43.160 There's some in Denver.
00:13:43.880 There's some at West Point.
00:13:44.700 Right, right.
00:13:44.920 Spread around.
00:13:45.600 But Fort Knox is the famous one.
00:13:47.060 Yep.
00:13:47.400 And, you know, members of Congress,
00:13:49.460 almost all of them with the last name Paul,
00:13:52.080 have been calling for an audit of Fort Knox
00:13:54.260 for, I mean, just decades.
00:13:55.920 And if you really press,
00:13:57.900 it doesn't look like Fort Knox
00:13:59.560 has been actually audited
00:14:01.560 for close to 100 years since the 30s.
00:14:03.600 I think that's right.
00:14:04.240 I stand open to correction.
00:14:06.260 They said it was audited in the 70s,
00:14:08.040 but it wasn't actually audited.
00:14:09.800 It was like some of it was audited.
00:14:12.440 Why is it so hard
00:14:13.960 with the federal workforce,
00:14:15.760 you know, including contractors,
00:14:17.380 like 10 million people
00:14:18.460 to just like go through
00:14:20.320 the contents of the vaults
00:14:21.660 and weigh them
00:14:22.460 and make sure that they're not
00:14:23.460 gold-plated titanium
00:14:24.340 and make sure they're all there
00:14:26.260 and then figure out who owns them.
00:14:27.660 Like, why is that so hard?
00:14:29.320 We're told, oh, that's too complicated.
00:14:31.260 Really?
00:14:32.320 No, I don't think it's anything
00:14:33.100 to do to your point.
00:14:33.920 It's not complicated at all.
00:14:36.040 I think it comes down to policy
00:14:38.540 and that gold is a geopolitical metal.
00:14:40.540 And if you go back to,
00:14:42.540 again, declassified documents
00:14:44.820 and of conversations
00:14:46.240 and memos around
00:14:47.640 a lot in the 70s,
00:14:49.700 and you'll see some familiar names there,
00:14:51.440 Volcker, Kissinger,
00:14:53.720 Weintraub,
00:14:55.420 some of those types of names.
00:14:56.500 The US in the 60s
00:15:00.720 was losing a lot of gold, right?
00:15:02.660 The system was essentially
00:15:03.800 dollar is pegged to gold,
00:15:05.660 $35 an ounce.
00:15:07.200 Everything else is tamed to the dollar.
00:15:09.400 And it started becoming clear
00:15:10.920 as we got deeper and deeper
00:15:12.780 in Vietnam
00:15:13.200 and guns and butter with LBJ
00:15:14.820 that we didn't have the gold
00:15:16.560 to cover our debt offshore
00:15:19.120 at $35 an ounce.
00:15:20.480 Were countries trying to redeem their gold?
00:15:22.320 They were.
00:15:22.920 Yeah, we went from,
00:15:23.980 I want to say after World War II,
00:15:25.180 we had 18,000 tons of gold,
00:15:27.100 official gold.
00:15:28.260 And by the time we got to call it 71,
00:15:31.160 we were down to the 8,100 we have today.
00:15:33.180 And that's where...
00:15:33.820 No way.
00:15:34.420 So we shipped out about 10,000 tons of gold
00:15:36.540 to satisfy these deficits.
00:15:38.680 Actual physical gold.
00:15:39.900 Oh, absolutely.
00:15:40.560 Like, here are my dollars,
00:15:41.580 send me my bars?
00:15:42.300 If I recall the story correctly,
00:15:43.660 the French sent warships into New York
00:15:45.960 to pick it up.
00:15:46.740 Oh, yeah.
00:15:47.840 No way.
00:15:48.880 Oh, yeah.
00:15:49.320 Yeah.
00:15:49.540 And we were sending, you know,
00:15:50.680 if I recall correctly,
00:15:51.840 we were sending an airplane a month
00:15:54.120 to Riyadh with bullion, right,
00:15:56.400 to settle gold deficits
00:15:57.300 as we had agreed to.
00:15:58.220 Yeah, by the way,
00:15:58.780 Saudi,
00:16:00.240 one of the richest countries per capita
00:16:01.580 in the world,
00:16:02.780 is not even in the top 10
00:16:04.000 for gold holding.
00:16:04.460 Oh, Saudi owns so much gold.
00:16:06.360 It's just not on the official list.
00:16:11.220 Sorry.
00:16:11.580 I'm just, again,
00:16:12.340 I'm making the same point again,
00:16:13.500 which is the numbers are lies.
00:16:15.000 Right.
00:16:15.280 So, but,
00:16:15.640 and I think the reason
00:16:16.520 why the numbers are lies
00:16:17.540 is when you,
00:16:18.900 or why there's not great clarity, right?
00:16:21.300 Why they manage the optics
00:16:23.000 in the way they're clearly
00:16:23.980 managing the optics
00:16:24.900 is you can go back.
00:16:29.560 Once we closed the gold window
00:16:30.840 in 71,
00:16:32.300 Nixon said,
00:16:32.780 hey, no more gold.
00:16:33.700 You know,
00:16:33.880 the dollar's now free floating.
00:16:35.240 And you can read
00:16:36.860 from these declassified documents
00:16:38.380 that the U.S.
00:16:39.380 very much had an interest
00:16:40.720 in getting gold
00:16:42.400 out of the system.
00:16:43.440 We didn't want,
00:16:44.600 because there were,
00:16:45.260 there was a,
00:16:45.920 one of the declassified documents
00:16:48.680 in question,
00:16:50.200 there is,
00:16:52.660 there was a proposal
00:16:53.460 that was afoot
00:16:54.580 in 73, 74
00:16:56.500 by the Europeans
00:16:57.260 to revalue their gold
00:16:59.120 to settle oil deficits, right?
00:17:02.180 Because Europe
00:17:02.720 doesn't have a whole lot of oil.
00:17:03.880 They were importing
00:17:04.320 a bunch of oil.
00:17:04.860 Oil had gone up
00:17:05.360 a bunch in price.
00:17:06.020 So they had a bunch
00:17:06.380 of oil deficits.
00:17:06.920 They were looking
00:17:08.160 to basically revalue gold
00:17:10.460 and then settle deficits
00:17:11.820 with OPEC in gold.
00:17:14.360 And the Americans
00:17:15.000 in question,
00:17:16.240 excuse me,
00:17:19.040 Kissinger,
00:17:20.060 Weintraub,
00:17:20.520 Volcker,
00:17:21.160 said this isn't
00:17:21.700 our interest.
00:17:22.200 This is not what we want.
00:17:22.920 We want the Saudis
00:17:24.260 not getting gold.
00:17:25.040 We want them getting
00:17:25.660 treasury bonds.
00:17:26.860 And so,
00:17:28.240 right,
00:17:28.600 the famous Bill Simon deal.
00:17:30.000 And so I think,
00:17:31.100 I think,
00:17:31.640 I can't believe
00:17:32.100 they took that deal.
00:17:32.980 I think it might have been
00:17:36.240 a gold or the lead
00:17:36.920 type of deal
00:17:37.480 at that point in time.
00:17:39.900 You know,
00:17:40.040 we'll give you not only,
00:17:41.200 you know,
00:17:41.420 you take the gold,
00:17:42.160 you take the lead.
00:17:42.820 And the gold is,
00:17:43.560 we'll provide you protection,
00:17:44.560 we'll provide you weapons,
00:17:45.280 we'll let you access
00:17:45.860 to our markets.
00:17:46.440 And if you don't do it,
00:17:48.060 we're going to regime change you.
00:17:49.420 And oh,
00:17:49.600 by the way,
00:17:49.980 we'll give you maybe
00:17:50.820 a sweetener on your,
00:17:51.820 you know,
00:17:51.980 I think it's very possible
00:17:52.900 they were getting higher
00:17:54.140 than market interest rates
00:17:55.380 on the treasury bonds
00:17:56.160 for decades
00:17:56.820 as part of that deal.
00:17:57.720 Who knows?
00:17:58.180 But,
00:17:58.700 What do you mean,
00:17:59.060 who knows?
00:18:00.140 It's,
00:18:00.580 it's,
00:18:01.260 it's not something
00:18:01.980 that's ever been disclosed,
00:18:02.900 but.
00:18:03.420 Well,
00:18:03.580 how can we,
00:18:04.980 we,
00:18:05.380 we give country specific
00:18:08.480 interest rates on treasures?
00:18:09.680 I think,
00:18:10.060 I have heard credible rumblings
00:18:11.180 from people
00:18:11.880 that were
00:18:12.620 around then
00:18:14.840 that part of that deal
00:18:16.040 may have been the,
00:18:16.780 not just countries,
00:18:17.860 just Saudi,
00:18:18.920 may have gotten a sweeter deal
00:18:20.260 than other countries.
00:18:22.160 How could,
00:18:22.560 but how can that not be disclosed?
00:18:24.760 It's how you get a $10,000 wrench
00:18:26.480 at Department of Defense.
00:18:28.400 Wrenches don't cost 10 grand.
00:18:30.140 It's right.
00:18:30.780 You move stuff around a little.
00:18:33.800 This is why they're always
00:18:34.700 encouraging us
00:18:35.460 to get mad at each other
00:18:36.340 about race
00:18:36.960 and the tranny stuff.
00:18:38.500 You know what I mean?
00:18:39.040 It's like,
00:18:39.420 because the big things
00:18:40.280 are just not even,
00:18:41.080 not even.
00:18:41.720 Well,
00:18:41.880 you know,
00:18:42.440 in fairness,
00:18:43.040 I think,
00:18:45.040 you know,
00:18:45.600 it's always about power
00:18:46.620 and control,
00:18:47.000 right?
00:18:47.140 This is about control
00:18:47.860 of the system.
00:18:48.420 This was the dollar system.
00:18:49.420 Clearly 71 was a default
00:18:50.920 in the gold.
00:18:51.760 And so we were trying
00:18:52.600 to sort of get around this.
00:18:54.740 And so I think
00:18:55.120 sort of the original sin,
00:18:57.240 or again,
00:18:57.540 origin story
00:18:59.100 of the refusal
00:18:59.980 of wanting
00:19:00.620 to even talk about
00:19:01.700 or,
00:19:02.120 you know,
00:19:02.600 what is an audit,
00:19:04.000 you know,
00:19:04.220 what is,
00:19:05.060 is,
00:19:05.460 you know,
00:19:05.780 as it relates
00:19:07.060 to audits
00:19:07.700 of Fort Knox
00:19:09.520 is once we close
00:19:11.280 that gold window,
00:19:12.100 I think that,
00:19:13.120 you know,
00:19:13.520 generation of leadership,
00:19:14.740 70s,
00:19:15.200 80s,
00:19:15.620 and didn't want
00:19:17.360 to talk about gold
00:19:18.780 and going in
00:19:19.580 to audit it
00:19:20.220 brings gold back up
00:19:21.640 and brings it back up
00:19:23.060 that,
00:19:23.340 hey,
00:19:23.380 we defaulted
00:19:24.220 on our gold clauses
00:19:25.380 like twice
00:19:26.720 in the past 80 years,
00:19:27.600 by the way,
00:19:27.960 FDR defaulted
00:19:28.800 on gold clauses
00:19:29.480 to the domestic Americans.
00:19:31.540 So I think
00:19:32.460 the original origin story
00:19:34.740 was about
00:19:35.520 this reticence
00:19:36.840 about is the gold there?
00:19:39.340 Has it been audited?
00:19:40.160 What is an audit?
00:19:40.900 Has it been fully audited?
00:19:41.800 Has it been fully assayed?
00:19:42.900 All of the things
00:19:43.580 you would think
00:19:44.280 are pretty easy to do.
00:19:45.020 I think go back
00:19:46.060 to that policy
00:19:47.780 of petrodollar,
00:19:51.380 we don't want gold
00:19:52.340 back in the system,
00:19:53.360 the Europeans do,
00:19:54.340 we don't,
00:19:55.160 this is the deal,
00:19:56.140 we threw our weight
00:19:56.820 around in the 70s
00:19:57.820 and sending people
00:19:58.620 into Fort Knox
00:19:59.560 to show them
00:20:00.140 we have the gold
00:20:01.000 doesn't help us
00:20:02.560 remove gold
00:20:03.500 from the system
00:20:04.180 and ultimately,
00:20:05.620 why do we want
00:20:06.040 to remove gold
00:20:06.540 from the system?
00:20:07.780 Control and it's easier
00:20:08.760 to run deficits
00:20:09.380 without tears.
00:20:10.060 Sure,
00:20:10.320 because gold
00:20:10.780 is an anchor in reality.
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00:20:22.140 and selling your digital profile
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00:22:33.800 What's so interesting, boy,
00:22:36.100 you're teaching me a lot.
00:22:38.380 Thank you.
00:22:41.300 They don't want to talk
00:22:41.960 about gold,
00:22:42.300 and they haven't since
00:22:43.200 the default of 71,
00:22:44.560 which is never described,
00:22:45.400 by the way,
00:22:45.580 as a default.
00:22:46.640 And it was.
00:22:47.800 Well, of course.
00:22:48.540 Right.
00:22:48.840 You're not making good
00:22:49.520 on your promise.
00:22:50.240 Of course.
00:22:50.600 It's a default.
00:22:52.280 They don't want to talk
00:22:53.000 about gold.
00:22:53.340 The U.S. government
00:22:53.700 doesn't want to talk
00:22:54.140 about gold.
00:22:55.060 Ever since then,
00:22:56.080 which is my whole lifetime,
00:22:57.400 people who are interested
00:22:58.040 in gold have been derided
00:22:59.480 as, quote,
00:23:00.320 gold bugs.
00:23:02.220 And it just occurred to me,
00:23:04.180 it's one of those phrases
00:23:05.320 that's so devastatingly effective.
00:23:07.240 You're like a nutcase.
00:23:08.720 Yeah.
00:23:08.960 You're buggy.
00:23:09.780 Yeah.
00:23:09.900 You're crazy.
00:23:10.760 Right.
00:23:10.900 Bug house.
00:23:11.440 Of course.
00:23:12.080 Mental patient.
00:23:13.480 And it reminds me so much
00:23:14.500 of the term conspiracy theorist.
00:23:16.580 So CIA,
00:23:17.680 possibly with the help
00:23:18.360 of a foreign government,
00:23:19.420 murders the president
00:23:20.880 of the United States.
00:23:21.840 And it's super obvious
00:23:23.000 that that happened
00:23:24.500 in 1963,
00:23:25.560 and nobody believes
00:23:27.180 the Warren Commission,
00:23:28.080 and it's like,
00:23:28.420 it doesn't make any sense,
00:23:29.240 actually.
00:23:30.220 And so they start calling
00:23:31.260 anyone who raises questions
00:23:32.260 about it a conspiracy theorist.
00:23:34.200 And that was a phrase
00:23:35.360 that was devised
00:23:36.120 by the intel community
00:23:37.100 to discredit people
00:23:38.380 who asked uncomfortable questions.
00:23:40.140 And you sort of have to wonder
00:23:41.420 if the phrase gold bug,
00:23:42.640 this is just occurring to me now,
00:23:44.240 is in a species of that, right?
00:23:46.140 It's entirely possible.
00:23:47.000 Shut up, gold bug.
00:23:47.880 It's entirely possible.
00:23:48.920 And even to this day,
00:23:50.220 people who,
00:23:50.880 and I know some of them,
00:23:51.940 who are interested in gold
00:23:53.200 and sort of follow,
00:23:54.480 you know,
00:23:54.840 its global movements
00:23:56.640 and buy gold,
00:23:57.480 physical gold,
00:23:58.700 non-abstract gold,
00:24:00.080 they're embarrassed of it.
00:24:02.320 Oh, yeah.
00:24:03.020 I mean,
00:24:03.160 I mean,
00:24:03.580 there's like a social sanction
00:24:04.780 to even talking about gold.
00:24:06.320 Oh, it's fascinating.
00:24:07.180 I've been working
00:24:08.060 in investment research
00:24:08.920 for 30 years
00:24:09.940 and at high levels
00:24:11.320 at major institutions
00:24:12.580 around the U.S.,
00:24:14.080 around the world
00:24:14.720 as, you know,
00:24:16.500 doing investment research
00:24:17.660 for major money managers.
00:24:19.540 And it's fascinating
00:24:21.380 what you say
00:24:22.160 because there is always,
00:24:24.920 not amongst all of them,
00:24:26.020 but amongst a lot
00:24:27.920 of investment professionals,
00:24:29.300 they watch gold.
00:24:31.880 They watch it
00:24:33.060 more than you would think,
00:24:35.720 more than the average American
00:24:36.400 would think.
00:24:36.940 They own it.
00:24:38.080 But there is that stigma
00:24:39.420 where it's sort of,
00:24:41.160 you know,
00:24:41.820 you know,
00:24:42.680 hey,
00:24:43.640 you see gold?
00:24:44.780 You know,
00:24:45.080 it is.
00:24:46.600 There is a,
00:24:47.880 stigma is too strong a word,
00:24:49.240 but there is a...
00:24:50.880 Kind of.
00:24:51.460 A little bit.
00:24:51.860 I was with one
00:24:52.680 of the richest people
00:24:53.260 in the world the other day,
00:24:54.120 a very famous investor.
00:24:55.120 I'm sure you know him,
00:24:55.960 wonderful guy.
00:24:57.320 And somebody said to me,
00:24:58.140 you know,
00:24:58.260 he buys gold.
00:24:59.080 And I said to him,
00:25:00.020 off camera,
00:25:00.680 do you buy gold?
00:25:01.600 And he's like,
00:25:01.980 yeah,
00:25:02.180 among other things.
00:25:03.200 Sure.
00:25:03.880 I said,
00:25:04.260 do you buy a lot of gold?
00:25:05.040 Yeah,
00:25:05.320 buy a lot of gold.
00:25:05.880 But he clearly
00:25:06.780 just didn't want to...
00:25:07.740 It's even to someone,
00:25:09.460 you know,
00:25:09.800 open-minded,
00:25:10.700 brilliant person,
00:25:11.660 it's not something
00:25:14.140 that people talk about
00:25:15.160 in public.
00:25:15.880 It's almost like admitting
00:25:16.620 you have some kind
00:25:17.140 of weird fetish
00:25:17.760 or something.
00:25:18.760 I dress up
00:25:19.820 in a chicken costume,
00:25:20.640 I don't want to talk about it,
00:25:21.600 but you know what I mean?
00:25:22.620 Well,
00:25:22.880 and it's fascinating,
00:25:23.660 right,
00:25:23.780 because it is,
00:25:25.280 I think it goes back
00:25:26.120 to that original point
00:25:26.900 of why those movements
00:25:28.340 are shrouded in secrecy,
00:25:29.680 which is gold
00:25:33.000 on some level
00:25:34.520 is a hedge
00:25:36.980 or an insurance policy
00:25:38.320 against the existing system
00:25:40.400 as it has been allowed
00:25:41.520 to evolve
00:25:42.280 over the last 50 years.
00:25:43.440 And so once you get
00:25:45.420 to a certain level
00:25:46.740 of wealth,
00:25:48.000 power,
00:25:48.660 influence
00:25:49.200 within that system,
00:25:51.380 you clearly understand
00:25:53.800 the Achilles heels
00:25:55.180 and the risks
00:25:55.900 and how that system
00:25:57.020 will at some point,
00:25:58.620 mathematically,
00:25:59.580 certainly,
00:26:00.080 it could be next week,
00:26:01.300 it could be 50 years from now,
00:26:03.980 will at some point
00:26:05.280 need to be reset
00:26:06.600 in some fashion.
00:26:07.820 You understand that.
00:26:08.820 And it is not
00:26:10.860 in your interest,
00:26:12.960 socially,
00:26:13.240 financially,
00:26:13.940 et cetera,
00:26:14.320 to advocate
00:26:17.060 or advertise
00:26:17.800 that you are hedging
00:26:19.240 or insuring
00:26:19.940 against the collapse
00:26:21.480 of that system.
00:26:22.440 No, right.
00:26:22.980 Or the restructuring
00:26:23.760 of that system.
00:26:24.060 No, I mean,
00:26:24.600 no, you make a great point
00:26:25.900 and I shouldn't,
00:26:27.160 thank you for saying that
00:26:27.960 because it's not just
00:26:29.860 yet another
00:26:30.460 Intel community-inspired
00:26:32.120 conspiracy,
00:26:33.460 though it is that,
00:26:34.680 obviously,
00:26:35.020 but it's also,
00:26:36.580 it is in some sense
00:26:37.740 like almost unpatriotic
00:26:38.840 to say,
00:26:40.820 you know,
00:26:41.120 I'm all about
00:26:41.940 golden land
00:26:42.760 or whatever
00:26:43.260 about physical assets
00:26:44.200 because what you're saying
00:26:44.880 is I don't believe
00:26:45.760 in the system
00:26:46.360 of the U.S. government.
00:26:47.520 Well, which is horribly ironic
00:26:49.240 because if you go back
00:26:50.540 to 1948,
00:26:51.860 Warren Buffett,
00:26:52.620 famous investor,
00:26:53.840 poo-poo's gold
00:26:54.340 every chance he has
00:26:55.180 and his father,
00:26:57.860 Congressman Howard Buffett
00:26:59.220 from the state
00:26:59.960 of Nebraska,
00:27:00.700 wrote a missive,
00:27:01.400 you can still find it online,
00:27:02.620 saying gold convertibility
00:27:04.600 is essential
00:27:05.900 to human freedom
00:27:06.640 in which on the first page
00:27:08.020 he says,
00:27:08.520 look,
00:27:08.840 the first thing
00:27:09.820 autocrats
00:27:10.800 and evil empires
00:27:12.700 that we just got done fighting,
00:27:14.060 right,
00:27:14.220 this is 1948,
00:27:15.320 first thing they did
00:27:16.420 when they got to power
00:27:17.480 was remove the convertibility
00:27:20.300 of their currency to gold.
00:27:22.720 So it's ironic,
00:27:23.680 it's always ironic
00:27:24.220 to me,
00:27:24.440 people say,
00:27:24.740 well,
00:27:24.920 you own gold,
00:27:25.560 you're anti-American.
00:27:26.300 I said,
00:27:26.440 there's nothing more American
00:27:27.900 than gold.
00:27:28.900 People say,
00:27:29.220 well,
00:27:29.320 what does gold do?
00:27:29.960 It's useless.
00:27:30.540 I said,
00:27:30.760 no, no,
00:27:31.020 gold,
00:27:31.480 the very use of gold
00:27:33.520 is that
00:27:34.820 as long as you can
00:27:36.640 convert your currency
00:27:37.820 into gold,
00:27:39.540 you are still a free person.
00:27:41.100 When you can no longer
00:27:42.560 do that,
00:27:44.380 your vote really
00:27:45.360 doesn't matter
00:27:45.940 because they control
00:27:46.680 the currency,
00:27:47.200 right?
00:27:47.320 It's the famous statement,
00:27:48.260 give me control
00:27:48.800 of a nation's currency,
00:27:49.760 I care not who makes
00:27:50.480 its laws.
00:27:51.060 The Warren Buffett thing,
00:27:51.940 man,
00:27:52.120 that's like,
00:27:53.700 I mean,
00:27:54.320 it,
00:27:54.700 right,
00:27:55.080 he's famously
00:27:56.180 mocking gold buyers,
00:27:57.740 right?
00:27:58.180 Of course,
00:27:59.100 I would say
00:27:59.920 Warren Buffett,
00:28:00.460 you know,
00:28:00.660 so much to admire there
00:28:01.700 and be impressed by
00:28:02.400 and I am
00:28:02.860 and all that,
00:28:03.560 but he's a political player
00:28:05.080 among many other things.
00:28:06.400 He's a very powerful
00:28:07.880 political player
00:28:08.380 and in particularly
00:28:08.940 for the banks,
00:28:09.760 right?
00:28:10.000 Think about who they go to.
00:28:11.300 Of course.
00:28:11.840 1989 or six
00:28:13.180 with Solomon,
00:28:14.300 who is a big player
00:28:15.420 in the 98 long-term
00:28:16.420 capital bank,
00:28:17.340 rescues,
00:28:18.960 Buffett,
00:28:19.600 Buffett,
00:28:20.000 great financial crisis.
00:28:21.380 There's lots of great
00:28:22.300 investors out there.
00:28:23.180 Warren Buffett is,
00:28:23.860 you know,
00:28:24.000 near the top of that list,
00:28:24.840 of course.
00:28:25.400 And he's a legendary
00:28:26.740 investor,
00:28:27.140 of course.
00:28:27.440 Of course.
00:28:28.580 However,
00:28:29.620 massive propaganda
00:28:30.940 around Warren Buffett.
00:28:32.960 Of all the investors
00:28:33.960 in the world,
00:28:35.020 who's received
00:28:36.000 more slavishly,
00:28:38.760 sort of ass-kissingly
00:28:40.440 positive press
00:28:41.780 than Warren Buffett?
00:28:43.440 Like,
00:28:43.620 there's never been
00:28:43.980 a bad word.
00:28:44.540 You're not allowed.
00:28:45.080 He's like the Oprah.
00:28:46.160 It's the all-shocks.
00:28:47.020 Yeah,
00:28:47.160 it's the all-shocks.
00:28:47.880 But no one has been
00:28:49.780 promoted more aggressively
00:28:50.860 by the American media
00:28:52.040 than Warren Buffett.
00:28:53.360 I think that's fair
00:28:54.180 and it's,
00:28:54.500 you know,
00:28:54.660 it's interesting
00:28:55.100 because it's-
00:28:55.520 But he's a hard-asset guy.
00:28:56.900 He's absolutely a hard-asset guy.
00:28:58.020 He literally bought
00:28:58.680 Borsheim's jewelry store.
00:29:00.400 Oh, yeah.
00:29:00.680 Which sells gold.
00:29:01.440 He bought railroads, right?
00:29:02.480 Exactly.
00:29:03.340 Railroads and-
00:29:03.960 Omaha Steaks
00:29:04.800 and like,
00:29:05.280 this is not,
00:29:05.980 this is a guy
00:29:06.620 whose whole philosophy
00:29:08.240 is about,
00:29:09.060 you know,
00:29:09.880 buying physical things.
00:29:11.160 Yeah,
00:29:11.400 oh, yeah, absolutely.
00:29:11.920 With an inherent value.
00:29:12.940 And he's,
00:29:13.480 you can go back to-
00:29:14.280 He's against gold.
00:29:15.260 Oh, yeah.
00:29:16.460 He's not against gold.
00:29:17.580 He's,
00:29:17.900 you can see,
00:29:19.320 you know,
00:29:19.480 and this goes back
00:29:20.000 to that conflict
00:29:20.580 of once you become
00:29:21.480 big enough within the system,
00:29:22.660 it's not in your interest
00:29:24.000 to highlight
00:29:26.740 some of these things.
00:29:27.400 I mean,
00:29:27.620 one of his Berkshire letters
00:29:29.840 from late 60s,
00:29:31.260 early 70s,
00:29:31.780 he highlights
00:29:32.200 that basically Berkshire,
00:29:33.220 it might have been
00:29:33.500 in the late 70s,
00:29:34.820 Berkshire stock
00:29:35.560 priced in gold
00:29:36.400 had gone nowhere
00:29:36.980 for 10 or 15 years.
00:29:38.540 And he,
00:29:38.800 I mean,
00:29:39.040 that flat out shows you,
00:29:40.180 right?
00:29:40.380 So all of these
00:29:41.100 productive business
00:29:41.740 and all these things
00:29:42.300 he says about these
00:29:42.900 productive businesses
00:29:43.460 over time,
00:29:44.140 100% true.
00:29:45.560 And there are instances
00:29:47.560 in history
00:29:48.460 where gold outperforms,
00:29:51.820 where gold preserves
00:29:52.560 purchasing power,
00:29:53.160 where currencies are
00:29:53.760 being debased.
00:29:54.340 It's interesting.
00:29:55.260 He frequently talks about,
00:29:56.980 well,
00:29:57.140 I started investing in,
00:29:58.280 I think it was
00:29:58.640 when I was 10 years old,
00:29:59.480 I bought my first stock,
00:30:00.500 which would have been
00:30:00.920 1941 or 42,
00:30:02.500 which just happened
00:30:03.300 to be basically
00:30:03.760 the all-time
00:30:04.540 generational low
00:30:05.600 of U.S. stocks
00:30:06.260 because we won
00:30:07.240 the battle of Midway
00:30:07.940 and at that point
00:30:08.460 it was sort of obvious
00:30:09.500 we were going to win
00:30:09.920 World War II
00:30:10.440 and so on and so forth.
00:30:11.720 But I always say
00:30:12.860 to clients and friends,
00:30:14.480 like,
00:30:14.840 yes,
00:30:15.700 and look back
00:30:17.200 15 years.
00:30:19.400 The prior 15 years
00:30:20.960 from 1918 to 1939,
00:30:24.540 1915 to 1931
00:30:26.300 were catastrophic
00:30:28.120 for financial assets
00:30:29.340 of all types
00:30:30.500 in the West.
00:30:31.560 Gold,
00:30:32.200 like,
00:30:32.500 all you wanted to own
00:30:33.420 was gold.
00:30:33.980 And so,
00:30:34.640 it's interesting,
00:30:35.200 I think part of,
00:30:36.240 you know,
00:30:36.460 the point being,
00:30:37.040 part of,
00:30:37.640 I think,
00:30:37.940 your view of the world
00:30:38.940 depends upon
00:30:39.680 when you're born
00:30:40.340 and what happens
00:30:40.960 as you're growing up.
00:30:41.520 It's sort of that cycle theory
00:30:42.760 of, you know,
00:30:44.800 the fourth turning.
00:30:45.640 I think it affects
00:30:46.180 your views
00:30:47.120 on investments too.
00:30:48.460 Why wouldn't it?
00:30:49.300 Of course.
00:30:49.860 And it affects your views
00:30:50.600 on the future in general.
00:30:51.940 Sure.
00:30:54.000 And as you just said,
00:30:55.960 the degree to which
00:30:57.240 you're vested
00:30:57.740 in the system
00:30:58.460 currently in place
00:30:59.440 affects your outlook
00:31:00.700 and affects very much
00:31:01.800 what you're willing
00:31:02.240 to say in public.
00:31:03.540 And the bigger
00:31:04.360 you are within that,
00:31:05.440 the more pressure
00:31:06.920 can be applied to you,
00:31:08.080 right?
00:31:08.360 If you don't get
00:31:10.020 deal flow
00:31:10.660 on Sunday night
00:31:11.680 if you are pumping goals,
00:31:13.660 if you're Warren Buffett,
00:31:14.780 or you have,
00:31:16.960 you know,
00:31:17.140 you don't get
00:31:17.920 the approval
00:31:18.680 of whatever thing
00:31:21.180 you need approved
00:31:22.180 or from the congressman.
00:31:24.220 It's just,
00:31:24.800 look,
00:31:25.100 I'm not opining on it.
00:31:26.120 It's just how
00:31:26.420 the game is played.
00:31:27.500 Well,
00:31:27.640 it was so obvious
00:31:28.440 I'm not a financial expert,
00:31:30.480 that's for sure,
00:31:31.540 but I have been
00:31:32.160 in the media
00:31:32.540 my whole life
00:31:33.160 and I know
00:31:33.540 what a fluff job
00:31:34.220 looks like.
00:31:35.400 And I know,
00:31:36.440 no,
00:31:36.680 I do.
00:31:37.160 I know a lot about it
00:31:38.160 and I watch Warren Buffett.
00:31:39.520 I've never been
00:31:39.880 against Warren Buffett.
00:31:40.540 I'm not against him now,
00:31:41.600 but I mean,
00:31:42.620 the amount of promotion
00:31:43.500 that guy received
00:31:44.680 from the system
00:31:45.640 told you everything
00:31:47.040 about his orientation
00:31:48.860 and the incentives
00:31:49.860 in place for him
00:31:50.820 and like,
00:31:51.220 they were promoting
00:31:51.760 Warren Buffett
00:31:52.300 and Warren Buffett's
00:31:52.980 worldview
00:31:53.420 like very aggressively.
00:31:55.880 And so,
00:31:56.660 you know,
00:31:56.960 I didn't believe
00:31:57.460 half of it
00:31:57.900 and you shouldn't either.
00:31:58.880 That's my view of it.
00:32:00.060 Yeah,
00:32:00.160 I think you always
00:32:00.740 want to think critically
00:32:01.420 about this stuff.
00:32:02.280 You think?
00:32:02.880 Yeah,
00:32:03.140 I think so.
00:32:03.820 Absolutely.
00:32:04.620 So give us a sense
00:32:05.960 of where gold
00:32:06.880 is flowing
00:32:07.340 in the world right now
00:32:08.220 to the extent we know.
00:32:09.420 To the extent
00:32:09.880 what we can see,
00:32:11.000 I would describe it
00:32:13.100 simply as
00:32:13.880 from the UK
00:32:14.800 and the EU
00:32:16.460 to a lesser extent
00:32:17.500 into the US.
00:32:19.160 It's still flowing
00:32:20.160 into China.
00:32:21.000 It flows into China
00:32:21.660 all the time.
00:32:23.180 But
00:32:23.700 they're the big delta,
00:32:25.860 the big change
00:32:26.720 in since the Trump
00:32:28.260 election essentially
00:32:29.700 has been a significant
00:32:32.280 ramp up
00:32:33.020 in the flows of gold
00:32:34.180 out of the UK
00:32:35.080 into the US.
00:32:37.180 So that would seem
00:32:37.980 good for the US.
00:32:38.760 Yeah,
00:32:39.880 historically,
00:32:40.780 when you
00:32:41.700 see where gold
00:32:43.480 is flowing,
00:32:44.100 that's your economic winner.
00:32:45.500 That's who's winning.
00:32:46.880 And where the countries
00:32:47.840 that are losing gold,
00:32:48.780 those are the countries
00:32:49.320 that are losing.
00:32:49.760 That goes back
00:32:50.340 several hundred years.
00:32:52.720 That's sort of how it works,
00:32:53.980 which makes sense, right?
00:32:54.640 I would say several thousand years.
00:32:55.520 Yeah,
00:32:55.840 exactly.
00:32:56.860 Yeah.
00:32:58.540 So do you,
00:32:59.560 and I should have asked this earlier,
00:33:00.620 do you anticipate
00:33:01.600 any time in the future
00:33:02.800 where gold
00:33:03.320 is no longer regarded
00:33:04.440 as a measure
00:33:05.100 of economic strength
00:33:06.340 and health?
00:33:06.920 Does it ever get
00:33:08.460 eclipsed by crypto?
00:33:12.120 No,
00:33:12.640 I don't think so.
00:33:13.560 I don't,
00:33:14.020 you know,
00:33:14.960 at some point,
00:33:15.740 Bitcoin could compete
00:33:16.460 with it,
00:33:16.780 in my opinion,
00:33:17.400 possibly,
00:33:17.900 but I think that's
00:33:18.420 far down the road
00:33:19.260 and failing that,
00:33:22.080 it would take something
00:33:25.360 unforeseeable, right?
00:33:26.180 We discover,
00:33:27.280 we discover an asteroid
00:33:29.220 that has,
00:33:29.960 you know,
00:33:30.340 gazillions of dollars
00:33:31.360 of gold on it
00:33:32.160 and we develop
00:33:33.040 the ability
00:33:33.620 to go up there
00:33:34.760 and bring it back cheaply
00:33:35.780 in a way that competes
00:33:36.600 So gold is almost
00:33:38.100 hovering at about 3,000,
00:33:39.800 a little under 3,000 an ounce.
00:33:41.400 It's clearly going to make it
00:33:42.400 to 3,000,
00:33:42.900 I would guess.
00:33:44.440 Is there a threshold
00:33:45.480 at which,
00:33:46.100 like,
00:33:46.500 it becomes,
00:33:47.320 because there's a lot of gold
00:33:48.240 actually on the Earth's crust,
00:33:49.340 a lot,
00:33:49.960 and it's just too expensive
00:33:50.660 to extract it,
00:33:51.520 but is there a threshold
00:33:52.340 at which,
00:33:52.800 like,
00:33:53.600 gold production
00:33:54.160 just ramps up dramatically?
00:33:55.500 It becomes worth it
00:33:56.440 to, like,
00:33:56.760 extract a lot more gold
00:33:57.860 and it affects the price
00:33:59.480 because of supply and demand.
00:34:01.360 Yes,
00:34:01.740 is ultimately,
00:34:03.040 its supply will be
00:34:04.040 a function of price
00:34:04.700 and then there's a lot
00:34:07.140 of it in the ocean,
00:34:07.640 right?
00:34:07.860 In theory,
00:34:08.320 if you sort of dry out
00:34:10.060 the oceans
00:34:10.480 and filter it,
00:34:11.220 filter it,
00:34:11.680 yeah.
00:34:11.780 You know,
00:34:12.200 you could,
00:34:12.860 and that's just a question
00:34:13.620 of price
00:34:14.060 and the question
00:34:15.300 of price
00:34:15.700 is ultimately
00:34:16.220 a question
00:34:16.900 of energy efficiency,
00:34:19.580 right?
00:34:19.820 If you wanted to,
00:34:21.780 you know,
00:34:22.080 that's,
00:34:22.500 that's how much energy
00:34:23.740 do you need to expend
00:34:24.800 to dig
00:34:27.000 and get that
00:34:27.900 out of the crust
00:34:28.780 where it is
00:34:29.520 and refine it down
00:34:30.360 so that it makes sense
00:34:31.360 and right now
00:34:32.760 it's going to cost you
00:34:33.460 way more in energy
00:34:34.380 in order to get that
00:34:35.800 and so they're not,
00:34:36.600 you're not going to do that
00:34:37.240 and so if price goes up enough
00:34:38.600 then it makes sense
00:34:40.060 for you to expend
00:34:40.760 that amount of energy
00:34:41.700 to do that
00:34:42.700 and I think that's
00:34:43.160 a really important point
00:34:44.740 that ties back
00:34:45.500 to our stock to flow
00:34:46.580 and why gold is valuable
00:34:47.700 is when you think of it
00:34:49.680 in those terms
00:34:50.380 of it is,
00:34:51.640 you need to expend
00:34:52.580 a lot of energy
00:34:53.620 to get gold
00:34:54.840 and the price of gold
00:34:55.860 determines how much energy
00:34:57.560 you're willing to expend
00:34:58.620 to get it,
00:35:00.080 it's just a compressed
00:35:01.340 and portable storage
00:35:02.660 of energy
00:35:03.240 and,
00:35:04.380 and,
00:35:05.100 so that raises a deeper
00:35:06.240 and more fundamental question
00:35:07.860 which is
00:35:08.500 do the great powers
00:35:10.380 have a built-in incentive
00:35:11.680 to keep energy prices higher
00:35:13.260 than they would
00:35:14.060 naturally be
00:35:15.040 in a truly free market?
00:35:16.940 Depends which great power,
00:35:18.120 right?
00:35:18.360 The Chinese,
00:35:19.320 all else equal,
00:35:20.220 want to build
00:35:20.640 a consumer society,
00:35:21.580 they would like to have
00:35:22.300 energy prices cheaper.
00:35:24.360 America,
00:35:24.920 we like cheap oil
00:35:26.080 but not as cheap
00:35:26.860 as we used to like it
00:35:27.800 because now we have shale
00:35:28.700 so we want,
00:35:29.520 you know,
00:35:30.140 we want Goldilocks oil
00:35:31.260 so,
00:35:31.800 you know,
00:35:32.000 above $90
00:35:33.240 starts to be a problem
00:35:34.800 for our consumer,
00:35:35.960 below $70
00:35:36.700 starts to be a problem
00:35:38.220 for our shale industry
00:35:39.300 and,
00:35:39.780 and so
00:35:40.320 if you look at
00:35:41.540 the price of West Texas
00:35:42.680 crude intermediate,
00:35:43.860 WTI crude oil
00:35:44.920 over the last
00:35:45.480 two,
00:35:46.140 three years now,
00:35:47.080 oil's been 70 to 90
00:35:49.000 and I think that's,
00:35:50.120 so like,
00:35:50.420 we need Goldilocks oil.
00:35:51.560 The Europeans,
00:35:52.740 same kind of thing,
00:35:53.480 they need a cheaper oil.
00:35:54.440 The Russians,
00:35:55.640 they would probably like
00:35:56.600 more expensive oil.
00:35:57.360 The Saudis,
00:35:57.840 you know,
00:35:58.260 Saudi has $90
00:35:59.440 fiscal break even,
00:36:00.700 you know,
00:36:00.880 anything below 90,
00:36:02.680 they're borrowing money
00:36:03.640 and things get spicy
00:36:05.040 over there
00:36:05.800 if they don't maintain
00:36:07.220 their promises
00:36:07.680 to their people.
00:36:09.520 So,
00:36:10.060 but,
00:36:10.520 okay,
00:36:10.700 so you're talking
00:36:11.060 about hydrocarbons.
00:36:12.200 Correct.
00:36:13.080 But,
00:36:14.240 you know,
00:36:14.900 there's been,
00:36:15.980 for all the talk
00:36:16.820 of the Green New Deal,
00:36:17.640 now we're getting far afield
00:36:18.440 but I think it's really
00:36:19.100 fundamental to the world,
00:36:20.140 where all the talk
00:36:21.340 of the Green New Deal
00:36:21.900 and all these new forms
00:36:22.840 of energy
00:36:23.360 and,
00:36:23.780 you know,
00:36:24.520 renewables
00:36:25.080 and green technology,
00:36:26.740 it's really been
00:36:27.580 pretty shockingly lame.
00:36:30.140 Really?
00:36:30.640 I mean,
00:36:30.720 it's like windmills
00:36:31.500 and solar panels,
00:36:32.580 both of which
00:36:33.020 are just like
00:36:33.480 kind of absurd.
00:36:34.220 there are like
00:36:36.320 a lot of advanced
00:36:38.040 technologies,
00:36:38.920 particularly in biotech,
00:36:39.760 that are moving
00:36:40.240 like crazy fast,
00:36:41.520 AI crazy,
00:36:42.380 crazy fast.
00:36:43.720 Energy generation
00:36:44.680 technologies
00:36:45.360 are not moving
00:36:46.080 crazy fast at all.
00:36:47.660 Like,
00:36:48.080 no one's like,
00:36:48.780 hey,
00:36:49.260 actually there's a
00:36:49.980 brand new nuclear
00:36:50.760 breakthrough,
00:36:51.300 like we're not building
00:36:51.820 any nuclear.
00:36:52.640 Like you,
00:36:53.520 conceivably,
00:36:54.240 if you got off
00:36:54.620 hydrocarbons,
00:36:55.180 could,
00:36:56.420 I don't know,
00:36:57.100 why isn't there
00:36:57.820 a greater effort
00:36:58.380 to figure out
00:36:59.300 cheaper ways
00:37:00.920 to produce energy?
00:37:02.680 I think a lot of it
00:37:03.760 is on some level
00:37:04.480 political,
00:37:05.000 right?
00:37:05.240 I think there's...
00:37:05.860 Okay,
00:37:06.100 right.
00:37:07.440 So maybe if,
00:37:08.680 maybe the Green New Deal,
00:37:09.840 I mean,
00:37:10.080 obviously it's
00:37:10.640 anti-civilization,
00:37:11.760 it's anti-human,
00:37:12.840 it's really dark
00:37:14.060 and it's built on a lie,
00:37:15.680 but it's also built
00:37:17.400 on geopolitical realities,
00:37:19.880 right?
00:37:21.300 I think so,
00:37:22.340 yeah.
00:37:22.700 I mean,
00:37:23.000 it's,
00:37:23.660 look,
00:37:23.840 there are things
00:37:24.380 we could do
00:37:24.900 that would ramp up
00:37:26.000 energy production fast
00:37:27.280 that is nuclear.
00:37:29.580 Like,
00:37:29.800 we should have,
00:37:30.720 we should be building
00:37:31.400 nuclear plants
00:37:33.000 a bunch every year
00:37:34.280 as far out as the eye
00:37:35.360 can see.
00:37:35.840 But if you really got,
00:37:37.620 you know,
00:37:38.920 nuclear or any form
00:37:40.280 of energy down
00:37:41.100 in,
00:37:41.520 in hydrocarbon equivalents
00:37:43.140 to like $10 a barrel oil,
00:37:45.060 equivalent,
00:37:46.120 you'd like blow up
00:37:48.800 the,
00:37:50.960 like the world
00:37:52.020 financial system,
00:37:52.900 kind of.
00:37:53.900 Um,
00:37:54.480 I think it depends.
00:37:56.660 There's a lot of other
00:37:57.380 puts and takes.
00:37:58.580 You know,
00:37:58.880 and some of that
00:38:01.420 gets into,
00:38:02.400 you know,
00:38:05.080 how you would have to,
00:38:06.200 you'd probably have to
00:38:06.800 restructure some debt.
00:38:07.760 Some of that is how gold,
00:38:08.920 gold,
00:38:09.700 right?
00:38:09.900 Because the Saudis
00:38:10.460 at $10 a barrel.
00:38:12.340 But again,
00:38:12.940 that then gets into gold,
00:38:13.940 right?
00:38:14.140 Where we go,
00:38:14.720 okay,
00:38:14.940 well,
00:38:15.360 as partly some grand deal,
00:38:17.100 now this is far afield,
00:38:18.260 but some sort of grand deal,
00:38:20.560 we are going to revalue
00:38:22.420 oil and gold reserves,
00:38:25.080 right?
00:38:25.280 Or,
00:38:25.480 or we're going to revalue gold
00:38:26.680 so that Saudis,
00:38:27.600 like Saudi doesn't care
00:38:28.420 how they get paid.
00:38:29.480 If,
00:38:30.040 if,
00:38:30.360 if oil goes to 10,
00:38:31.460 but their gold goes up to
00:38:32.920 10,000,
00:38:34.640 they still have all the money.
00:38:35.800 They get compensated for past.
00:38:37.280 Well,
00:38:37.300 right.
00:38:37.560 But if energy,
00:38:38.180 as you just said,
00:38:38.880 if energy prices dropped,
00:38:40.360 you know,
00:38:40.660 far below what we can currently imagine,
00:38:42.520 then the price of gold would also drop
00:38:44.060 because the price of extraction of gold
00:38:46.280 would,
00:38:46.480 would drop.
00:38:47.620 So you'd have a,
00:38:48.680 maybe.
00:38:48.920 Well,
00:38:49.140 yes.
00:38:49.680 Yeah.
00:38:49.840 Fair,
00:38:50.280 fair.
00:38:50.560 If you can apply that energy.
00:38:51.700 Yeah.
00:38:51.920 Yeah,
00:38:52.200 sure.
00:38:52.640 Right.
00:38:52.920 But I mean,
00:38:53.160 you'd have two competing forces.
00:38:54.340 Your,
00:38:54.420 your cost of energy to mine gold
00:38:56.160 would go down.
00:38:56.780 But at the same time that
00:38:58.060 if you drop energy,
00:38:59.940 there's two groups of,
00:39:00.800 you know,
00:39:01.240 nations in the world.
00:39:02.020 There's a U S as a reserve currency.
00:39:03.320 And then there are U S creditors
00:39:05.100 that import energy and U S creditors
00:39:06.520 that export energy.
00:39:07.220 Right.
00:39:07.520 And they all own a bunch of bonds.
00:39:08.820 Yes.
00:39:09.020 And they own a bunch of financial assets.
00:39:10.580 And so if oil drops really low,
00:39:12.820 all of your oil exporting creditors
00:39:16.300 are going to sell their dollar assets
00:39:18.120 because they're going to need to,
00:39:19.960 because right.
00:39:20.920 Saudi owes money at $90 a barrel.
00:39:23.320 And if they don't pay that money
00:39:24.760 for social programs,
00:39:26.520 et cetera,
00:39:27.440 place,
00:39:28.080 the place has political problems.
00:39:30.020 Yes.
00:39:31.140 And so they're going to be selling treasury bonds.
00:39:32.980 They're going to be selling stocks.
00:39:34.380 And that creates,
00:39:35.360 and the U S economy is so leveraged
00:39:37.360 that that it's,
00:39:38.920 that's not going to take a lot of selling
00:39:40.040 to create an economic crisis from it.
00:39:41.760 So you'd have to reach,
00:39:43.080 basically you would get into a situation
00:39:45.120 where in some way,
00:39:46.680 shape or form,
00:39:47.160 the fed would be printing money again
00:39:48.540 as a result of oil prices getting too low,
00:39:51.060 which is in theory,
00:39:51.700 a good thing,
00:39:52.260 which then could actually be net good for gold.
00:39:55.120 Right.
00:39:55.580 So there's,
00:39:56.180 there's,
00:39:57.560 there's puts and takes depending on.
00:39:59.960 Basically you're describing a world
00:40:01.460 that's so complex and interconnected
00:40:03.900 where,
00:40:05.400 you know,
00:40:06.220 global finance,
00:40:07.140 the cost of energy,
00:40:08.100 and then,
00:40:08.920 you know,
00:40:09.400 the geostrategic stuff,
00:40:10.440 you know,
00:40:10.780 military rivalries,
00:40:12.020 it's all of a piece.
00:40:14.640 So it's like pretty scary
00:40:17.120 to mess with any single factor in that
00:40:19.140 in a dramatic way.
00:40:20.120 That's kind of what I mean.
00:40:20.960 It's disruptive.
00:40:21.540 It's potentially disruptive.
00:40:22.480 Super disruptive.
00:40:23.080 Yeah,
00:40:23.220 it's potentially,
00:40:23.800 and,
00:40:23.980 and I think that's ultimately the,
00:40:26.320 the power and the encouraging thing about gold.
00:40:28.580 Gold is always thought about as a,
00:40:30.420 oh,
00:40:30.520 you're buying gold,
00:40:31.120 you're a doomer,
00:40:31.920 the world's going to end.
00:40:33.300 No,
00:40:34.380 part of the problem of what I just described,
00:40:37.040 change in and of itself isn't a problem,
00:40:38.860 but rapid change,
00:40:39.960 when you have high levels of debt,
00:40:42.060 it's the debt that creates the problem.
00:40:43.900 And so if you,
00:40:45.780 when you look around
00:40:46.740 and you see these central banks
00:40:47.980 buying all this gold
00:40:49.040 and having all these countries
00:40:50.280 buying this gold,
00:40:51.660 if you revalue gold enough
00:40:54.440 to basically re-collateralize
00:40:56.340 or buy down,
00:40:57.340 effectively buy down your debt
00:40:58.760 so that you have low debt levels,
00:41:00.920 then you can make dramatic,
00:41:03.120 more dramatic changes
00:41:04.340 to the economic system
00:41:06.060 and its connections
00:41:07.000 without running the risk
00:41:09.380 of blowing up the financial system,
00:41:11.640 right?
00:41:11.800 Because whether gold,
00:41:12.760 you know,
00:41:13.720 once you take,
00:41:16.500 you introduce something deflationary
00:41:18.440 into a debt-based system,
00:41:20.300 the debt starts to go boom,
00:41:21.740 right?
00:41:21.980 People don't generate the income
00:41:23.500 to pay the interest.
00:41:25.340 In a more equity-based system
00:41:27.480 or in a gold,
00:41:28.620 I hate to say gold-based
00:41:30.020 because it's,
00:41:30.820 I'm not talking about a gold-backed currency,
00:41:32.360 but if your debt to GDP is low
00:41:36.160 because you've revalued your gold
00:41:37.900 much higher
00:41:38.720 and restructured your balance sheet,
00:41:40.920 a deflationary recession
00:41:43.460 or a restructuring of the economy
00:41:45.400 that is deflationary
00:41:46.280 or a good energy introduction
00:41:48.900 or AI productivity enhancement
00:41:50.800 that is deflationary,
00:41:52.120 that can be weathered
00:41:54.300 and benefited from
00:41:55.600 without blowing up
00:41:56.460 the debt-based system.
00:41:57.660 So gold is paradoxically
00:41:59.160 a way to foam the runway
00:42:03.320 for a major change,
00:42:05.140 be it geopolitically
00:42:06.160 or energy or AI,
00:42:08.200 something deflationary.
00:42:09.100 Foam the runway.
00:42:10.960 So there's been a lot of talk
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00:42:13.480 especially changes
00:42:14.120 that affect cryptocurrency investing.
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00:45:06.600 So you said a minute ago
00:45:07.720 that big picture,
00:45:10.080 over time,
00:45:11.540 countries that are acquiring gold
00:45:13.640 are stronger
00:45:14.120 and countries that are
00:45:15.260 seeing their gold reserves
00:45:16.780 depleted or weaker.
00:45:18.200 Seems obvious.
00:45:19.260 Over time, yeah.
00:45:19.860 You're running, right?
00:45:20.760 You're saving more
00:45:21.620 than you're spending, essentially.
00:45:23.200 And the United States
00:45:24.460 is acquiring gold
00:45:26.080 because why?
00:45:29.040 That's the $64,000 question
00:45:30.940 in markets right now.
00:45:31.700 It is the official nominal reason
00:45:34.760 being given in markets
00:45:37.540 and in the media
00:45:38.280 is that Trump's administration
00:45:41.160 may or may not put tariffs
00:45:43.280 across any number of countries
00:45:45.380 as we've discussed,
00:45:46.160 including possibly gold hubs
00:45:48.500 like the UK.
00:45:49.760 And if you put a 25% tariff
00:45:53.400 on the UK across all items,
00:45:55.460 just to pick a number,
00:45:57.260 you run the risk.
00:45:58.640 The mechanical impact of that
00:46:00.300 would be to increase
00:46:01.160 the price of gold 25%.
00:46:04.500 And the problem is,
00:46:06.020 is that...
00:46:06.420 Tariffs against American imports
00:46:08.200 of British goods?
00:46:09.400 Yes, exactly.
00:46:10.740 But other than like shortbread,
00:46:12.700 is there a British export?
00:46:14.100 Not really, no.
00:46:14.780 Right.
00:46:15.420 They're a twin destination, no.
00:46:17.580 So...
00:46:17.880 They don't make anything, right?
00:46:19.040 Not on net, no.
00:46:19.880 No.
00:46:20.320 Not on net.
00:46:20.880 And so this is what the story is,
00:46:26.540 is that there's been
00:46:27.840 this massive flow of gold
00:46:29.300 out of the UK to the US
00:46:30.840 because tariffs might happen,
00:46:33.780 which would impact the price of gold
00:46:35.660 in a manner such that
00:46:37.480 it would be very disruptive
00:46:38.500 to what are called
00:46:40.700 basically spread trades,
00:46:42.560 that gold traders in New York
00:46:44.440 or London,
00:46:45.280 bullion banks
00:46:45.940 that traffic in gold bullion,
00:46:48.180 they may have a position on
00:46:51.220 in gold futures in New York
00:46:52.760 and a physical gold position
00:46:54.220 in London.
00:46:55.320 And if a tariff were to change
00:46:57.140 the price relationship
00:46:58.500 between those two,
00:47:00.020 it could create
00:47:00.940 significant losses for them.
00:47:02.380 And so the response is basically
00:47:04.080 bring the gold here
00:47:05.880 to mitigate that risk.
00:47:07.120 That is the official story.
00:47:09.120 There is absolutely
00:47:10.380 a strong element of truth to that.
00:47:14.700 With that said,
00:47:16.060 the longer this goes on
00:47:18.220 and the gold flows continue,
00:47:21.260 the less that story
00:47:24.080 holds up as the sole reason.
00:47:27.160 When we go back in time to 2020
00:47:29.500 and during COVID,
00:47:30.640 we saw a very similar spike
00:47:32.900 in gold futures
00:47:34.740 relative to spot prices in London.
00:47:36.540 And it was driving
00:47:37.720 a massive flow of gold
00:47:39.080 out of London here
00:47:39.920 because of COVID,
00:47:40.740 because supply chains broke down
00:47:42.920 with the shutdowns of flights
00:47:44.180 and what have you.
00:47:44.700 A lot of gold is shipped
00:47:45.660 on transatlantic commercial airliners
00:47:49.480 in the cargo holds.
00:47:50.280 And so those flows stopped.
00:47:51.940 It drove a mismatch.
00:47:53.720 And what the COMEX,
00:47:55.780 the gold futures exchange
00:47:57.560 in the U.S. did,
00:47:59.720 ultimately,
00:48:00.620 one of the things
00:48:01.180 to sort of settle
00:48:02.840 those markets down
00:48:03.980 was to,
00:48:05.220 what I'll say,
00:48:05.860 change the rules
00:48:06.600 for the layman.
00:48:07.300 They introduced
00:48:08.140 a gold futures contract
00:48:10.140 that made
00:48:11.980 the good delivery
00:48:13.500 denomination,
00:48:14.880 I think 400 ounces
00:48:15.780 in London,
00:48:16.260 100 ounces in New York,
00:48:17.820 either or, right?
00:48:19.120 So that, okay,
00:48:19.760 well, the gold that's here
00:48:20.560 is fine,
00:48:21.000 so we don't need to move it.
00:48:22.060 So they took a step
00:48:22.800 to change the rules
00:48:23.660 to settle the market down.
00:48:25.600 Another famous example
00:48:26.560 we were talking about
00:48:28.060 before we got on air
00:48:29.460 was the Hunt Brothers
00:48:30.920 run on silver.
00:48:31.760 They tried to corner
00:48:32.340 the silver market
00:48:32.940 in the 80s.
00:48:33.780 This was COMEX,
00:48:34.780 and they changed the rules
00:48:35.900 on the Hunt Brothers.
00:48:36.500 Once it became apparent
00:48:37.700 that the Hunt Brothers
00:48:38.900 were successfully
00:48:39.800 cornering physical silver,
00:48:41.680 they changed the rules.
00:48:42.920 They set the market
00:48:44.420 to sell only.
00:48:45.620 You couldn't buy
00:48:46.900 gold or silver futures,
00:48:48.300 and you could only sell,
00:48:49.740 and the market
00:48:50.160 promptly tanked.
00:48:53.180 At any point in time,
00:48:54.580 Trump,
00:48:55.280 Besant,
00:48:56.460 Rubio,
00:48:57.760 other American officials
00:48:59.340 could come out
00:48:59.980 and say and clarify,
00:49:01.520 we're not going to put
00:49:02.740 tariffs on gold.
00:49:03.440 There will never be
00:49:04.040 tariffs on gold.
00:49:04.660 There's a lot of countries
00:49:05.420 in the world
00:49:05.760 where there's no VAT.
00:49:06.500 They'd have VAT
00:49:07.040 that there's no VAT on gold.
00:49:08.940 So this is the long,
00:49:10.400 my point being that
00:49:11.080 the longer this goes on
00:49:13.400 without a rule change
00:49:15.420 or a political pronouncement
00:49:16.940 about tariffs,
00:49:18.200 political clarification
00:49:19.080 about tariffs,
00:49:20.980 the more likely it becomes,
00:49:23.620 in my opinion,
00:49:24.700 speculatively,
00:49:25.680 that the tariffs
00:49:26.800 are on some level
00:49:28.500 as reason for the gold flows
00:49:30.460 cover.
00:49:31.720 The gold's being brought here
00:49:32.960 for some other reason,
00:49:33.900 and they're just saying.
00:49:34.480 So what could,
00:49:34.980 I mean,
00:49:35.320 and that always is,
00:49:36.240 the likely explanation,
00:49:37.920 that there's something else
00:49:39.560 that accounts for at least
00:49:40.960 part of a phenomenon
00:49:42.540 that you're watching.
00:49:43.800 So what could
00:49:44.900 that other reason be?
00:49:46.680 I think there's two things.
00:49:49.620 There's a tactical reason.
00:49:51.000 There's a strategic reason.
00:49:52.200 The tactical reason is
00:49:54.180 if you Google
00:49:57.540 gold revaluation,
00:49:59.680 you'll find a number of stories
00:50:02.400 in any mainstream financial media
00:50:04.400 over the last two,
00:50:05.640 three,
00:50:05.820 four weeks.
00:50:06.280 There has been
00:50:06.920 increasing speculation
00:50:07.820 in the aftermath
00:50:08.940 of Trump's election,
00:50:10.040 and in particular,
00:50:11.240 in the aftermath
00:50:11.920 of Scott Besant
00:50:12.780 being approved
00:50:13.420 as Treasury Secretary,
00:50:14.600 that there is a gimmicky,
00:50:17.920 but completely legal
00:50:19.620 and mandated
00:50:20.420 in the rules way
00:50:21.680 by which the United States
00:50:23.480 could revalue
00:50:25.720 its gold,
00:50:27.100 which it currently holds
00:50:28.580 on its books
00:50:29.080 at $42 per ounce
00:50:30.620 up to the current market price
00:50:33.380 and in so doing,
00:50:34.920 or even higher,
00:50:36.200 and in so doing,
00:50:37.920 it creates
00:50:38.840 a bank deposit,
00:50:41.340 basically,
00:50:41.920 at the Treasury's
00:50:43.280 bank account
00:50:44.360 at the Fed
00:50:45.000 that the Trump administration
00:50:47.040 could then use
00:50:48.440 to buy down debt,
00:50:51.500 to not have to borrow
00:50:53.220 as much.
00:50:53.740 It's effectively
00:50:54.500 money printing
00:50:55.380 through gold.
00:50:56.500 It's creating money supply
00:50:57.880 using gold
00:50:59.260 through basically
00:50:59.940 an accounting gimmick
00:51:00.880 that is already on the books.
00:51:01.720 But that gold
00:51:02.100 would never be sold to anyone?
00:51:03.300 Never be sold to anyone.
00:51:04.060 It's just literally
00:51:04.740 an exchange of paper.
00:51:05.640 So the United States
00:51:06.640 would not lose
00:51:07.180 its gold reserve?
00:51:08.400 There's no chance of that?
00:51:10.340 Not under that transaction,
00:51:12.140 no.
00:51:13.180 Okay.
00:51:13.940 As it's been explained to me.
00:51:15.060 Because you'd hate to get
00:51:15.340 to a point
00:51:16.040 where the nation
00:51:17.760 has so much debt
00:51:18.820 backed by nothing
00:51:21.400 other than its navy,
00:51:23.540 which may become
00:51:24.500 irrelevant thanks to drones.
00:51:25.820 So you could see
00:51:26.640 this all moving very fast.
00:51:27.860 It's like all of a sudden
00:51:28.420 we owe the world
00:51:29.040 trillions of dollars,
00:51:30.020 but where's the collateral
00:51:31.440 where policymakers
00:51:33.620 are forced to sell off
00:51:35.800 physical assets
00:51:36.780 that belong to the country?
00:51:38.440 Oil, water,
00:51:40.060 because we have
00:51:40.540 some of the world's largest
00:51:41.760 fresh water reserves
00:51:42.780 in the Great Lakes,
00:51:43.640 and gold.
00:51:45.560 I don't think,
00:51:45.960 is that a crazy way to think?
00:51:47.160 I think ultimately
00:51:50.260 there'll be no need
00:51:51.600 to do that
00:51:52.080 because you've got
00:51:52.760 the assets
00:51:53.560 and you've got
00:51:53.940 a printing press, right?
00:51:54.880 So ultimately
00:51:55.500 it's really a function
00:51:56.340 of the currency.
00:51:57.520 Of course,
00:51:58.320 as long as you're
00:51:58.840 the world's reserve currency.
00:51:59.740 And even if we're,
00:52:00.560 I mean,
00:52:00.720 I think we will be,
00:52:01.520 but they'll always have
00:52:02.620 the ability to print dollars.
00:52:03.900 It's just a question
00:52:04.640 of what happened.
00:52:05.020 But what if nobody
00:52:05.220 wants them?
00:52:06.680 It would just
00:52:07.440 depreciate faster.
00:52:08.800 Right.
00:52:09.300 But I mean,
00:52:09.880 at some point,
00:52:12.480 like if I take a loan
00:52:14.260 against my house,
00:52:14.900 if I have a mortgage
00:52:15.340 on my house,
00:52:15.940 and also if I don't pay it,
00:52:18.000 you know,
00:52:18.460 the holder of that mortgage
00:52:19.500 gets my house.
00:52:20.640 There's collateral.
00:52:21.820 So like,
00:52:22.820 where's the collateral
00:52:23.580 in the United States
00:52:24.380 other than like,
00:52:25.760 I don't know,
00:52:26.300 people like us?
00:52:27.260 I don't,
00:52:27.480 you know,
00:52:27.620 what is the collateral?
00:52:28.100 The collateral is,
00:52:29.420 it's a complicated question.
00:52:31.800 It's,
00:52:32.220 I mean,
00:52:32.480 on some level,
00:52:33.520 it's the threat of violence.
00:52:34.320 I think some of what
00:52:35.060 we're seeing in terms
00:52:35.800 of these,
00:52:36.400 you know,
00:52:36.760 discussions around
00:52:37.800 will we leave NATO
00:52:38.720 or will we not?
00:52:40.580 This is a,
00:52:41.540 this is a discussion
00:52:42.540 that goes back
00:52:43.160 to the 70s.
00:52:43.940 There was something
00:52:44.380 called the blessing letter,
00:52:45.440 Carl Blessing
00:52:46.140 was a governor
00:52:47.200 of the Bundesbank,
00:52:48.280 the German Bundesbank.
00:52:49.540 And the French
00:52:50.700 were asking for their gold back.
00:52:51.880 Others around the world
00:52:52.760 were asking for their gold back
00:52:53.700 in the 60s and 70s.
00:52:55.660 I guess the blessing letter
00:52:56.900 might have been late 60s.
00:52:58.320 The Germans
00:52:59.000 started hinting about
00:53:00.080 asking about their gold back.
00:53:01.700 And the Americans
00:53:02.500 sent a letter
00:53:03.720 that essentially said,
00:53:05.360 you know,
00:53:06.280 if you ask
00:53:07.260 for your gold back,
00:53:08.220 we will have to reconsider
00:53:09.700 store,
00:53:10.600 stationing US troops
00:53:12.060 in West Germany
00:53:13.080 to protect you
00:53:13.860 from the USSR.
00:53:15.440 So you're going
00:53:16.160 to keep taking dollars
00:53:17.120 or else we're going
00:53:17.760 to bring our boys home
00:53:18.720 and you can deal
00:53:19.540 with the Soviets yourself.
00:53:20.860 And the Germans
00:53:21.400 never asked for their gold back.
00:53:22.960 And so
00:53:23.620 what collateralizes
00:53:26.380 is a complicated
00:53:29.040 multi-body,
00:53:30.220 right?
00:53:30.520 It's,
00:53:31.440 it is
00:53:32.340 goodwill,
00:53:33.780 protection,
00:53:34.640 access to markets,
00:53:36.080 the threat of violence,
00:53:37.000 military protection.
00:53:38.000 There's,
00:53:38.520 gold is way,
00:53:39.500 way down there.
00:53:40.540 I don't think the gold
00:53:41.500 is thought of as collateral
00:53:42.620 at all,
00:53:43.400 but it could be
00:53:45.180 as a reserve asset
00:53:47.180 if we wanted to change
00:53:48.540 the system.
00:53:48.920 We would need to have it
00:53:50.220 if we wanted to change
00:53:51.780 from the system
00:53:53.120 we've,
00:53:53.760 we've been in
00:53:55.440 for the last 50 years.
00:53:56.280 And that kind of gets
00:53:56.860 to the strategic side of it.
00:53:58.140 What if we have no choice?
00:53:59.120 What if,
00:53:59.420 I mean,
00:53:59.560 because we're not the only
00:54:00.320 decision makers
00:54:01.000 in this process.
00:54:02.380 We're not,
00:54:03.020 true.
00:54:04.300 I think you would see
00:54:07.760 some sort of
00:54:08.700 grand deal
00:54:09.760 be discussed
00:54:10.700 ahead of that.
00:54:12.180 And I think that's,
00:54:12.860 you know,
00:54:13.020 some of what we're seeing
00:54:13.860 in real time
00:54:14.660 when we talk about us
00:54:16.420 and the Russians
00:54:16.960 and the Saudis
00:54:17.800 and the Chinese
00:54:18.380 all getting together
00:54:19.020 in Saudi
00:54:19.440 and talking about,
00:54:20.380 you know,
00:54:21.160 probably not how the Yankees
00:54:22.160 are going to do this year.
00:54:24.020 And probably not just
00:54:24.640 the end of the war
00:54:25.240 in Ukraine.
00:54:26.220 No,
00:54:26.580 I,
00:54:26.800 absolutely,
00:54:27.580 I don't think it's only
00:54:28.120 about the war in Ukraine.
00:54:29.060 Of course not.
00:54:29.840 You know,
00:54:30.000 those are,
00:54:30.400 think about what you've got there.
00:54:31.340 Because the war in Ukraine
00:54:32.220 is not about Ukraine
00:54:33.080 and never has been.
00:54:34.300 You know,
00:54:34.740 you've got the four biggest,
00:54:35.780 you know,
00:54:35.980 Saudi,
00:54:36.540 U.S.,
00:54:37.200 China,
00:54:37.660 or Russia,
00:54:38.200 although that's 40%
00:54:39.400 of global oil production.
00:54:40.820 And U.S.,
00:54:41.700 China is,
00:54:43.340 what,
00:54:44.220 probably 60%
00:54:45.520 of global oil imports?
00:54:46.880 Global,
00:54:47.220 global oil.
00:54:48.780 So you can,
00:54:51.080 oil's going to have a role there.
00:54:52.340 Now,
00:54:53.060 the strategic side
00:54:54.200 of what
00:54:55.120 I think we're seeing
00:54:56.700 in the gold movement
00:54:57.940 is
00:54:58.960 ultimately
00:55:01.200 what,
00:55:02.020 if you,
00:55:02.480 if you take a step back
00:55:03.880 and try to see the forest
00:55:05.820 for the trees
00:55:06.300 of what
00:55:06.740 the Trump administration
00:55:08.020 is trying to do,
00:55:11.060 the Ukraine war
00:55:13.480 showed us
00:55:14.100 we got outproduced
00:55:15.020 by the Russians
00:55:15.580 badly.
00:55:16.740 We couldn't produce shells.
00:55:17.840 We couldn't produce
00:55:18.560 Stinger missiles.
00:55:19.300 We couldn't,
00:55:20.260 we were reliant
00:55:22.080 on essentially
00:55:24.220 China
00:55:24.820 to supply our industrial base,
00:55:26.340 to supply our defense base.
00:55:27.560 We've been borrowing money
00:55:28.500 from China
00:55:28.940 to build weapons
00:55:29.700 to face down China
00:55:30.520 using Chinese components.
00:55:31.500 It's not a good strategy
00:55:33.140 when your biggest
00:55:34.020 geopolitical adversary
00:55:35.540 is China.
00:55:37.500 And so,
00:55:38.380 starting with COVID.
00:55:40.300 Could it be that
00:55:40.900 we were using
00:55:42.000 Chinese components
00:55:42.980 to arm
00:55:43.860 the Ukrainians
00:55:45.720 in a war
00:55:46.340 against Russia,
00:55:48.000 which has lied
00:55:48.620 with China?
00:55:49.840 I think
00:55:50.300 that absolutely
00:55:51.380 could be the case.
00:55:52.060 And I think that
00:55:52.500 we know the Chinese
00:55:53.400 were supplying Russians
00:55:54.340 with dual-use goods
00:55:55.360 as well.
00:55:56.840 So China's on both sides.
00:55:58.560 China's on both sides.
00:55:59.460 And critically,
00:56:00.180 think about the implications
00:56:02.320 of this, right?
00:56:03.000 So we,
00:56:04.560 America,
00:56:05.180 when we wore
00:56:06.080 the dominant power,
00:56:07.780 we were the ones
00:56:08.640 supplying
00:56:09.960 the weapons
00:56:11.220 to these types
00:56:11.920 of conflicts.
00:56:13.060 Now we didn't
00:56:13.860 really have
00:56:14.600 the ability
00:56:15.120 to credibly
00:56:17.100 say,
00:56:18.600 Ukraine,
00:56:19.620 Taiwan,
00:56:20.860 and Israel,
00:56:21.680 we can supply
00:56:22.520 all of you at once.
00:56:24.260 Empirically,
00:56:24.840 we demonstrated
00:56:25.780 over the last three years,
00:56:26.780 it was impossible.
00:56:27.500 We were moving
00:56:27.900 patriot systems
00:56:28.620 out of Israel.
00:56:29.460 to Ukraine
00:56:30.580 and then,
00:56:31.380 you know,
00:56:32.160 having to backtrack
00:56:33.760 in certain areas
00:56:34.600 in different conflicts
00:56:36.760 as a result of that.
00:56:38.720 When paired with
00:56:39.540 what happened in COVID,
00:56:40.540 which was,
00:56:41.740 hey,
00:56:41.860 we need more PPE
00:56:43.340 and supplies
00:56:44.080 and what have you,
00:56:44.600 and China said,
00:56:45.760 just as soon as we get,
00:56:47.220 you know,
00:56:47.540 ours,
00:56:47.800 we were dependent
00:56:48.200 on China and COVID.
00:56:49.880 And we,
00:56:50.720 it was made crystal clear
00:56:51.940 to Washington
00:56:53.140 that the defense
00:56:55.100 industrial base
00:56:56.100 has been too hollowed out
00:56:58.060 by this currency system
00:57:00.580 whereby
00:57:00.960 we export dollars
00:57:03.300 and we export our factories
00:57:05.440 and our workers
00:57:06.040 and China sends us stuff
00:57:08.360 and we send them dollars
00:57:09.220 and they send us goods
00:57:11.560 and,
00:57:11.940 and,
00:57:12.500 sorry,
00:57:14.100 they send us goods,
00:57:14.700 we send them dollars
00:57:15.320 and then they reinvest those dollars
00:57:16.560 in our financial markets
00:57:17.400 and that's fine.
00:57:18.060 That has been how the world
00:57:19.180 has worked for 50 years
00:57:20.100 and it's been great
00:57:21.260 for Wall Street,
00:57:21.800 it's been great
00:57:22.100 for Washington,
00:57:22.740 it's been great
00:57:23.120 for China,
00:57:23.580 it's not been great
00:57:24.100 for the,
00:57:24.420 the American middle
00:57:25.480 and working class
00:57:26.080 whose factories
00:57:26.580 got offshore to China
00:57:27.500 and Washington was fine
00:57:29.680 with that
00:57:30.000 until all of a sudden
00:57:30.820 they realized
00:57:31.420 this process
00:57:33.320 has gone so far,
00:57:34.780 we cannot credibly
00:57:36.240 fight a war
00:57:37.180 without Chinese factories
00:57:38.660 and the defense department
00:57:39.820 is saying,
00:57:40.840 and they began saying
00:57:41.440 it 10 years ago,
00:57:42.020 no mas,
00:57:42.480 we're done here,
00:57:43.000 this is,
00:57:43.820 we need to start reshoring
00:57:45.300 as a matter
00:57:45.680 of national security
00:57:46.500 and the,
00:57:47.120 the origin problem
00:57:49.500 is the structure
00:57:51.640 of this dollar system
00:57:53.040 and so,
00:57:53.780 we need to get out
00:57:55.140 of the business
00:57:55.680 of supplying China
00:57:57.120 the dollars
00:57:57.780 to buy up the world
00:57:58.660 and that means
00:57:59.680 we need to change
00:58:00.680 the currency system
00:58:01.600 that's been in place
00:58:02.220 for 50 years.
00:58:02.920 Well,
00:58:04.000 when you say
00:58:04.680 these types of things,
00:58:05.780 the instant response,
00:58:07.220 the correct response
00:58:08.020 is,
00:58:08.320 well,
00:58:08.440 okay,
00:58:09.140 if the US
00:58:09.880 isn't going to run deficits,
00:58:11.880 run up debt
00:58:12.540 to supply the dollars
00:58:13.660 to the world,
00:58:15.160 who will?
00:58:15.900 No one else will.
00:58:16.880 The Chinese won't
00:58:17.840 and no one else can
00:58:18.660 and that is correct
00:58:19.680 and the answer is
00:58:21.420 is then
00:58:22.080 you're going to have
00:58:22.860 to settle deficits
00:58:24.140 in something else
00:58:25.520 that is nobody else's debt,
00:58:27.160 nobody else's liability
00:58:28.200 and that is gold
00:58:29.640 and I think
00:58:30.300 that's where this is going
00:58:31.520 which is
00:58:32.140 and I think
00:58:32.800 it's part of the reason
00:58:33.380 why the US
00:58:33.940 is actually buying gold
00:58:35.380 is to try to
00:58:36.480 turbocharge
00:58:38.140 this change
00:58:39.140 to the system.
00:58:39.980 When you hear
00:58:40.540 President Trump say
00:58:41.860 we want to go back
00:58:42.620 to tariffs
00:58:43.100 and cut income taxes,
00:58:44.340 when you hear
00:58:44.720 Marco Rubio
00:58:45.420 on his confirmation hearing
00:58:46.620 say within 10 years
00:58:49.040 we are going to be dependent
00:58:50.040 on China for everything
00:58:51.160 if we do not take
00:58:52.320 aggressive actions
00:58:53.280 to change
00:58:54.140 and start to reshore,
00:58:55.780 change this currency system
00:58:56.960 and reshore.
00:58:58.700 When you have
00:58:59.540 Senator Vance
00:59:00.380 say what he said
00:59:01.680 in 2023
00:59:03.080 to Powell
00:59:03.860 about
00:59:04.520 the dollar
00:59:05.760 increasingly being
00:59:06.660 a resource curse
00:59:07.680 about which Vance
00:59:08.360 is very familiar
00:59:09.100 having grown up
00:59:09.800 in West Virginia
00:59:10.580 and Southern Ohio
00:59:11.380 and seeing the
00:59:11.960 deindustrialization.
00:59:12.880 the chapter
00:59:15.160 and verse
00:59:15.460 this administration
00:59:16.080 understands this problem.
00:59:16.920 What the current
00:59:20.280 Vice President
00:59:20.720 J.D. Vance
00:59:21.180 said to
00:59:21.980 the Fed Chairman.
00:59:23.740 So in 2023
00:59:24.540 he said
00:59:26.080 that
00:59:27.920 the dollar
00:59:29.100 shows the hallmarks
00:59:31.040 of a resource curse
00:59:32.060 which is
00:59:33.020 it's often called
00:59:35.340 Dutch disease.
00:59:36.060 I might refer to it
00:59:37.080 as air
00:59:37.220 which is effectively
00:59:38.720 if you're Saudi Arabia
00:59:40.860 and you discover
00:59:41.580 that you are
00:59:42.020 the biggest
00:59:42.460 lowest cost
00:59:43.040 producer of oil
00:59:43.860 you produce
00:59:44.300 a lot of oil
00:59:44.880 and the rest
00:59:45.320 of your economy
00:59:45.980 shrivels up
00:59:46.580 and does nothing.
00:59:47.460 You know
00:59:47.620 it withers away
00:59:48.420 and it ultimately
00:59:49.220 becomes a strategic
00:59:50.180 handicap
00:59:51.500 or a strategic risk.
00:59:52.520 And you get
00:59:52.760 corruption
00:59:53.120 every time.
00:59:53.680 Exactly.
00:59:54.840 And Vance's
00:59:56.880 point was that
00:59:57.740 the dollar's
00:59:58.580 reserve status
00:59:59.460 we are the
01:00:00.120 Saudi Arabia
01:00:00.760 of money.
01:00:01.460 That's how the
01:00:01.920 system has worked
01:00:02.420 for 50 years.
01:00:03.140 We produce
01:00:03.660 the world's
01:00:04.080 reserve currency
01:00:04.740 we're the
01:00:05.740 Saudi Arabia
01:00:06.280 of money
01:00:06.780 and what has
01:00:07.580 followed is
01:00:08.400 the hollowing
01:00:10.320 out of industries
01:00:12.440 other than
01:00:13.340 those most
01:00:14.160 closely tied
01:00:15.300 to the money
01:00:16.000 printer
01:00:16.260 to the dollar
01:00:16.780 Washington
01:00:17.540 Wall Street
01:00:18.680 and his
01:00:21.340 point is
01:00:21.820 it is becoming
01:00:22.480 this resource
01:00:23.660 curse of
01:00:24.440 being the
01:00:25.120 Saudi Arabia
01:00:25.800 of money
01:00:26.420 is increasingly
01:00:27.300 not good
01:00:28.820 for the
01:00:29.080 American middle
01:00:29.600 class
01:00:29.980 the American
01:00:30.480 working class
01:00:31.200 the U.S.
01:00:31.740 defense
01:00:32.000 establishment
01:00:32.420 he specifically
01:00:33.360 cited our
01:00:34.100 inability
01:00:34.640 to produce
01:00:35.640 shells
01:00:36.220 for Ukraine
01:00:36.880 in his
01:00:37.680 question to
01:00:38.340 Powell
01:00:38.580 in 2023
01:00:39.320 and you
01:00:39.580 can find
01:00:39.880 this online
01:00:40.280 you can
01:00:40.520 google it
01:00:40.820 I think
01:00:40.960 it was
01:00:41.120 April
01:00:41.500 or March
01:00:42.020 of 2023
01:00:42.580 and so
01:00:45.100 it showed
01:00:45.500 a fundamental
01:00:46.100 understanding
01:00:46.880 of this
01:00:47.480 connection
01:00:48.180 between
01:00:49.100 the
01:00:49.740 structure
01:00:50.720 of the
01:00:51.280 dollar
01:00:51.540 system
01:00:51.980 over the
01:00:52.340 last 50
01:00:52.920 years
01:00:53.280 and the
01:00:54.400 situation
01:00:54.840 in which
01:00:55.120 we find
01:00:55.580 ourselves
01:00:56.000 where our
01:00:56.520 defense
01:00:56.920 industrial
01:00:57.500 base
01:00:57.920 is so
01:00:58.420 hollowed
01:00:59.000 out
01:00:59.340 and our
01:01:00.020 debt
01:01:00.280 level
01:01:00.580 so high
01:01:01.440 we cannot
01:01:02.760 credibly
01:01:03.340 fight a
01:01:03.980 war against
01:01:04.660 our major
01:01:05.120 adversaries
01:01:05.640 without
01:01:05.960 them supplying
01:01:06.960 us and
01:01:08.260 our debt
01:01:08.600 is so
01:01:08.940 high
01:01:09.420 that
01:01:10.520 they can
01:01:11.560 weaponize
01:01:12.080 our debt
01:01:13.100 against us
01:01:13.780 and so
01:01:14.600 ultimately
01:01:15.260 I think
01:01:15.780 the strategic
01:01:16.900 reason why
01:01:17.640 we're starting
01:01:18.220 to see
01:01:18.660 gold
01:01:19.140 re-enter
01:01:19.760 the conversation
01:01:20.500 why central
01:01:21.440 banks have
01:01:21.800 been buying
01:01:22.240 gold for
01:01:22.680 10 to
01:01:23.000 12 years
01:01:23.620 why the
01:01:24.280 U.S.
01:01:24.640 is
01:01:24.860 gold
01:01:26.860 is
01:01:27.520 we're likely
01:01:28.100 moving to
01:01:28.720 a system
01:01:29.500 advocated
01:01:31.280 for by
01:01:32.160 the policies
01:01:32.800 of the
01:01:33.320 United States
01:01:33.920 if not
01:01:34.280 outright
01:01:34.660 saying hey
01:01:35.560 we want
01:01:35.920 gold
01:01:36.220 to be
01:01:36.520 we want
01:01:37.820 gold to
01:01:38.500 be the
01:01:38.640 neutral
01:01:38.800 reserve
01:01:39.120 asset
01:01:39.940 but we
01:01:41.060 can see
01:01:41.500 the policies
01:01:42.140 and they
01:01:42.540 are functionally
01:01:43.200 indistinguishable
01:01:44.900 from saying
01:01:45.340 we want
01:01:45.700 gold to
01:01:46.000 be the
01:01:46.200 neutral
01:01:46.380 reserve
01:01:46.620 asset
01:01:46.980 I think
01:01:47.700 what we're
01:01:47.960 going to
01:01:48.160 do is
01:01:48.500 move
01:01:48.920 toward
01:01:49.300 a system
01:01:49.880 where
01:01:50.320 the foreign
01:01:51.860 capital
01:01:52.340 flows
01:01:52.740 basically
01:01:53.000 we bring
01:01:53.560 factories
01:01:54.020 but we
01:01:54.320 put tariffs
01:01:54.760 on
01:01:54.980 we lower
01:01:56.380 income
01:01:56.660 taxes
01:01:57.240 U.S.
01:01:57.800 consumer
01:01:58.040 spending
01:01:58.360 rises
01:01:58.860 the
01:01:59.760 dollar
01:02:00.960 we start
01:02:03.240 to see
01:02:03.680 foreigners
01:02:04.560 send goods
01:02:05.860 here
01:02:06.100 also
01:02:07.040 pay
01:02:07.280 us
01:02:07.440 tariffs
01:02:07.840 start
01:02:08.540 to
01:02:08.700 reinvest
01:02:09.100 in
01:02:09.220 our
01:02:09.360 factories
01:02:09.860 instead
01:02:10.160 of
01:02:10.300 just
01:02:10.440 buying
01:02:10.680 our
01:02:10.820 treasury
01:02:11.100 bonds
01:02:11.520 and
01:02:12.180 our
01:02:12.480 financial
01:02:12.780 assets
01:02:13.260 employment
01:02:14.840 goes up
01:02:15.520 building
01:02:16.820 goes up
01:02:17.280 growth
01:02:17.680 goes up
01:02:18.240 ultimately
01:02:19.180 though
01:02:19.660 if they're
01:02:21.140 not
01:02:21.360 recycling
01:02:21.920 their
01:02:22.240 dollars
01:02:22.800 into
01:02:23.480 they can
01:02:25.100 only put
01:02:25.400 so much
01:02:25.700 in
01:02:25.820 factories
01:02:26.280 they're
01:02:27.340 not
01:02:27.460 putting
01:02:27.660 them
01:02:27.720 in
01:02:27.820 treasury
01:02:28.060 bonds
01:02:28.320 anymore
01:02:28.620 they
01:02:28.820 haven't
01:02:29.080 for
01:02:29.200 some
01:02:29.360 time
01:02:29.740 what
01:02:30.020 are
01:02:30.200 they
01:02:30.300 going
01:02:30.420 to
01:02:30.500 put
01:02:30.660 it
01:02:30.760 in
01:02:30.940 if
01:02:31.360 they
01:02:31.500 have
01:02:31.660 a
01:02:31.760 surplus
01:02:32.100 left
01:02:32.380 over
01:02:32.660 from
01:02:32.900 dealing
01:02:33.180 with
01:02:33.380 us
01:02:33.660 where
01:02:34.080 they
01:02:34.160 can
01:02:34.240 put
01:02:34.320 their
01:02:34.440 surplus
01:02:34.680 dollars
01:02:35.120 etc
01:02:35.460 I
01:02:36.980 think
01:02:37.140 the
01:02:37.280 answer
01:02:37.520 is
01:02:37.640 gold
01:02:37.900 and
01:02:38.060 I
01:02:38.160 think
01:02:38.320 the
01:02:40.080 flows
01:02:41.160 of
01:02:41.400 gold
01:02:41.740 the
01:02:41.940 longer
01:02:42.280 we
01:02:42.540 go
01:02:43.080 where
01:02:45.040 the
01:02:45.440 tariff
01:02:45.820 story
01:02:46.460 it's
01:02:47.000 just
01:02:47.160 tariffs
01:02:47.580 and
01:02:48.200 it
01:02:48.300 just
01:02:48.440 keeps
01:02:48.640 coming
01:02:48.960 which
01:02:49.980 I'm
01:02:50.180 hearing
01:02:50.460 is
01:02:50.680 still
01:02:51.200 to
01:02:51.420 this
01:02:51.580 point
01:02:51.780 continuing
01:02:52.260 to
01:02:52.440 keep
01:02:52.580 coming
01:02:52.860 gold
01:02:53.120 flowing
01:02:53.420 in
01:02:53.660 the
01:02:54.240 more
01:02:54.460 likely
01:02:54.920 in
01:02:55.220 my
01:02:55.380 opinion
01:02:55.740 when
01:02:56.120 married
01:02:56.560 with
01:02:56.800 the
01:02:56.960 pronouncements
01:02:57.560 from
01:02:57.740 Trump
01:02:58.180 Rubio
01:02:58.740 Vance
01:02:59.300 Stephen
01:02:59.820 Mirren
01:03:00.120 the
01:03:00.380 Council
01:03:01.060 of
01:03:01.180 Economic
01:03:01.500 Advisors
01:03:02.100 Besant
01:03:03.780 the
01:03:04.240 more
01:03:04.560 likely
01:03:05.120 it
01:03:05.340 is
01:03:05.720 that
01:03:06.200 these
01:03:06.480 flows
01:03:06.840 of
01:03:07.040 gold
01:03:07.440 into
01:03:07.840 the
01:03:08.040 U.S.
01:03:08.460 are
01:03:08.580 effectively
01:03:09.140 front-running
01:03:10.800 what will
01:03:11.080 likely be
01:03:11.540 a higher
01:03:12.100 price
01:03:12.480 of
01:03:12.660 gold
01:03:13.180 driven
01:03:13.900 there
01:03:14.320 by
01:03:14.600 the
01:03:14.800 recycling
01:03:15.400 of
01:03:16.020 global
01:03:16.340 trade
01:03:16.900 more
01:03:17.660 into
01:03:17.960 gold
01:03:18.500 and
01:03:19.260 less
01:03:19.660 into
01:03:20.300 U.S.
01:03:20.880 financial
01:03:21.160 assets
01:03:21.520 than has
01:03:21.900 been the
01:03:22.180 case
01:03:22.400 over the
01:03:22.680 last
01:03:22.900 50
01:03:23.520 years
01:03:23.640 it's
01:03:23.820 just
01:03:23.940 an
01:03:24.120 incredible
01:03:24.560 story
01:03:24.900 if
01:03:25.080 what
01:03:25.220 you're
01:03:25.340 saying
01:03:25.540 is
01:03:25.700 right
01:03:26.000 it's
01:03:26.260 incredible
01:03:26.860 because
01:03:28.060 really
01:03:28.660 it's
01:03:30.160 a
01:03:30.260 move
01:03:31.040 toward
01:03:31.280 the
01:03:32.080 fundamentals
01:03:32.600 toward
01:03:32.940 the
01:03:33.060 past
01:03:33.440 it's
01:03:33.640 actually
01:03:33.860 moving
01:03:34.160 backward
01:03:34.660 what
01:03:35.600 you're
01:03:35.740 saying
01:03:35.980 is
01:03:36.120 the
01:03:36.260 future
01:03:36.480 is
01:03:36.640 like
01:03:36.800 building
01:03:37.280 more
01:03:37.520 factories
01:03:38.040 and
01:03:38.320 buying
01:03:38.600 more
01:03:38.800 gold
01:03:39.220 really
01:03:39.580 I
01:03:40.480 thought
01:03:40.660 we
01:03:42.580 were
01:03:42.700 moving
01:03:43.020 to
01:03:43.260 a
01:03:43.380 far
01:03:43.740 more
01:03:43.960 abstract
01:03:44.420 I
01:03:44.780 mean
01:03:44.880 I'm
01:03:45.180 thrilled
01:03:45.380 by
01:03:45.580 it
01:03:45.700 let me
01:03:45.880 just
01:03:46.040 say
01:03:46.260 but
01:03:47.060 it's
01:03:47.160 the
01:03:47.300 opposite
01:03:47.720 of
01:03:47.980 what
01:03:48.140 I
01:03:48.280 think
01:03:48.420 many
01:03:48.620 of
01:03:48.740 us
01:03:48.840 anticipate
01:03:49.240 which
01:03:49.620 is
01:03:49.800 a
01:03:49.960 world
01:03:50.180 that
01:03:50.360 is
01:03:50.560 increasingly
01:03:51.180 abstract
01:03:51.620 and
01:03:53.160 you're
01:03:53.440 describing
01:03:53.800 world
01:03:54.160 that
01:03:54.300 is
01:03:54.460 increasingly
01:03:54.920 concrete
01:03:55.500 I
01:03:57.360 think
01:03:57.660 or an
01:03:57.900 economy
01:03:58.320 an
01:03:58.600 economy
01:03:58.940 yeah
01:03:59.180 and
01:03:59.360 I
01:03:59.480 think
01:03:59.860 I
01:04:00.060 think
01:04:00.720 there
01:04:00.860 will
01:04:00.980 still
01:04:01.220 be
01:04:01.560 growth
01:04:02.200 in
01:04:02.660 services
01:04:03.260 and
01:04:03.420 the
01:04:03.520 abstractions
01:04:04.140 and
01:04:04.220 these
01:04:04.380 things
01:04:04.780 the
01:04:06.120 technology
01:04:06.440 this
01:04:06.900 doesn't
01:04:07.080 mean
01:04:07.200 technology
01:04:07.660 stops
01:04:07.960 progressing
01:04:08.380 and
01:04:08.580 when
01:04:08.680 I
01:04:08.800 say
01:04:08.940 factories
01:04:09.420 I
01:04:10.440 would
01:04:10.620 use
01:04:10.840 the
01:04:11.120 broadest
01:04:11.660 possible
01:04:12.040 definition
01:04:12.420 of
01:04:12.580 factory
01:04:12.860 right
01:04:13.120 so
01:04:13.340 making
01:04:13.700 things
01:04:14.100 robotic
01:04:15.380 factories
01:04:15.900 they're
01:04:16.240 making
01:04:16.480 things
01:04:16.840 exactly
01:04:17.340 and
01:04:17.860 that
01:04:18.260 I
01:04:18.420 think
01:04:18.760 is
01:04:19.240 where
01:04:20.500 this
01:04:20.740 is
01:04:20.900 going
01:04:21.200 and
01:04:21.360 again
01:04:21.580 critically
01:04:22.060 I
01:04:22.780 think
01:04:22.920 the
01:04:23.100 reason
01:04:23.420 it's
01:04:23.660 going
01:04:23.980 there
01:04:24.440 and
01:04:25.640 I
01:04:25.760 think
01:04:25.900 the
01:04:26.080 reason
01:04:26.500 these
01:04:27.500 policymakers
01:04:28.240 again
01:04:28.740 Trump
01:04:29.420 Besson
01:04:29.960 Rubio
01:04:30.540 Vance
01:04:31.140 chapter
01:04:32.620 and verse
01:04:33.240 is
01:04:34.580 it has
01:04:34.880 become
01:04:35.240 clear
01:04:35.960 that
01:04:36.420 the
01:04:36.700 status
01:04:37.200 quo
01:04:37.540 dollar
01:04:37.940 system
01:04:38.480 has
01:04:38.780 become
01:04:39.240 an
01:04:39.480 acute
01:04:39.880 national
01:04:40.380 security
01:04:40.880 threat
01:04:41.260 to
01:04:41.420 the
01:04:41.560 United
01:04:41.800 States
01:04:42.140 on
01:04:42.320 two
01:04:42.480 fronts
01:04:42.800 we
01:04:43.440 can't
01:04:43.740 make
01:04:43.880 weapons
01:04:44.280 which
01:04:44.720 we
01:04:44.900 keep
01:04:45.180 hearing
01:04:45.460 we
01:04:45.820 can't
01:04:46.040 make
01:04:46.160 them
01:04:46.300 fast
01:04:46.560 enough
01:04:46.760 to
01:04:46.920 credibly
01:04:47.420 defend
01:04:48.460 our
01:04:49.200 allies
01:04:49.740 and
01:04:51.220 project
01:04:53.040 power
01:04:53.420 and
01:04:54.920 our
01:04:55.640 debt
01:04:55.820 has
01:04:55.980 gotten
01:04:56.140 so
01:04:56.420 high
01:04:56.920 that
01:04:57.920 that
01:04:58.120 too
01:04:58.380 has
01:04:58.600 become
01:04:58.860 a
01:04:59.060 national
01:04:59.380 security
01:04:59.920 threat
01:05:00.340 and
01:05:00.860 this
01:05:01.360 sort
01:05:01.560 of
01:05:01.660 checks
01:05:01.940 both
01:05:02.280 boxes
01:05:02.720 of
01:05:03.300 in
01:05:04.000 terms
01:05:04.240 of
01:05:04.380 this
01:05:04.540 systemic
01:05:04.980 change
01:05:06.220 and
01:05:08.040 it
01:05:08.360 makes
01:05:09.640 America
01:05:10.000 great
01:05:10.260 again
01:05:10.460 so
01:05:11.060 the
01:05:11.160 people
01:05:11.360 built
01:05:11.600 this
01:05:11.760 country
01:05:11.980 built
01:05:12.180 it
01:05:12.260 because
01:05:12.420 they
01:05:12.580 wanted
01:05:12.820 freedom
01:05:13.160 one
01:05:13.400 word
01:05:13.580 freedom
01:05:14.000 they
01:05:14.260 wanted
01:05:14.460 freedom
01:05:14.720 from
01:05:14.900 oppressors
01:05:15.460 who
01:05:15.600 forced
01:05:15.860 them
01:05:16.020 to
01:05:16.200 buy
01:05:16.500 overpriced
01:05:17.240 tea
01:05:17.560 then
01:05:18.380 blockaded
01:05:18.960 them
01:05:19.140 when they
01:05:19.340 tried to
01:05:19.640 dump it
01:05:20.000 into the
01:05:20.360 ocean
01:05:20.640 how'd that
01:05:20.960 work out
01:05:21.340 well we
01:05:21.680 built
01:05:21.880 America
01:05:22.280 in
01:05:22.600 response
01:05:23.100 so it's
01:05:24.420 time to
01:05:24.680 throw your
01:05:24.960 big
01:05:25.380 overpriced
01:05:26.080 wireless
01:05:26.600 contract
01:05:27.140 overboard
01:05:27.660 to
01:05:27.980 a new
01:05:28.340 tea
01:05:28.620 party
01:05:28.860 you don't
01:05:29.120 have to
01:05:29.520 pay
01:05:29.780 a hundred
01:05:30.400 dollars
01:05:30.700 a month
01:05:31.220 just to
01:05:31.540 use a
01:05:31.860 phone
01:05:32.120 most people
01:05:32.940 don't
01:05:33.680 use that
01:05:34.260 much in
01:05:34.660 services but
01:05:35.140 they pay
01:05:35.360 it
01:05:35.460 anyway
01:05:35.780 our
01:05:37.040 cell phone
01:05:37.520 company
01:05:37.860 pure
01:05:38.120 talk
01:05:38.340 says no
01:05:38.880 to those
01:05:39.280 prices
01:05:39.700 with a
01:05:40.460 qualifying
01:05:41.020 plan you
01:05:41.560 can choose
01:05:41.940 an iPhone
01:05:42.460 14 or
01:05:43.220 a Samsung
01:05:43.640 Galaxy
01:05:44.220 for nothing
01:05:45.440 zero
01:05:45.980 get premium
01:05:47.240 service on
01:05:47.780 America's most
01:05:48.400 dependable 5G
01:05:49.300 network it
01:05:49.780 only takes a
01:05:50.240 minute to
01:05:50.580 switch we
01:05:51.640 highly recommend
01:05:52.320 it no
01:05:52.580 hassle no
01:05:53.080 gimmicks just
01:05:53.860 honest to
01:05:54.360 goodness
01:05:54.620 wireless
01:05:55.080 priced
01:05:55.540 right
01:05:55.900 so you get
01:05:56.780 your iPhone
01:05:57.320 14 or
01:05:58.040 Samsung
01:05:58.380 Galaxy for
01:05:59.080 nothing
01:05:59.580 zero dollars
01:06:00.220 with a
01:06:00.420 qualifying
01:06:00.780 plan
01:06:01.160 go to
01:06:01.860 puretalk.com
01:06:02.860 slash
01:06:03.120 tucker
01:06:03.400 visit
01:06:04.020 puretalk.com
01:06:05.780 slash
01:06:06.040 tucker
01:06:06.220 for details
01:06:06.840 America's
01:06:08.200 wireless
01:06:08.460 company
01:06:08.880 I mean
01:06:10.220 it's an
01:06:10.480 that's an
01:06:10.980 amazing
01:06:11.320 story that
01:06:12.300 you're
01:06:12.460 telling
01:06:12.780 I guess
01:06:14.060 here's the
01:06:14.720 flying
01:06:15.000 the ointment
01:06:15.320 there's an
01:06:16.520 entire
01:06:16.760 class of
01:06:17.160 people some
01:06:17.560 of the
01:06:17.700 richest
01:06:17.860 people in
01:06:18.180 our
01:06:18.280 society
01:06:18.640 some of
01:06:18.960 whom I
01:06:19.160 know
01:06:19.340 you know
01:06:19.640 too
01:06:19.860 who've
01:06:20.880 gotten
01:06:21.200 you know
01:06:21.700 rich
01:06:22.540 beyond
01:06:22.960 the
01:06:23.220 dreams
01:06:23.440 of
01:06:23.580 creases
01:06:23.860 by
01:06:24.460 really
01:06:24.780 doing
01:06:25.020 nothing
01:06:25.280 and
01:06:25.420 adding
01:06:25.620 nothing
01:06:25.980 just as
01:06:26.920 parasites
01:06:27.260 on the
01:06:27.620 financial
01:06:27.860 system
01:06:28.300 you probably
01:06:30.100 would be
01:06:30.320 more generous
01:06:30.920 than I am
01:06:31.380 in describing
01:06:31.820 what they
01:06:32.140 do
01:06:32.300 but
01:06:32.500 they're
01:06:33.040 useless
01:06:33.640 people
01:06:34.080 who've
01:06:34.520 looted
01:06:34.760 the
01:06:35.360 country
01:06:35.680 but
01:06:36.520 they're
01:06:36.680 really
01:06:36.840 powerful
01:06:37.220 they're
01:06:37.420 the biggest
01:06:37.740 donors
01:06:38.080 and so
01:06:39.160 they're
01:06:39.340 going to
01:06:39.500 stand by
01:06:40.000 and just
01:06:40.420 let
01:06:41.160 their
01:06:41.800 world
01:06:42.600 collapse
01:06:43.020 well
01:06:44.320 I don't
01:06:44.580 think so
01:06:45.220 I mean
01:06:45.700 I don't
01:06:46.000 you know
01:06:46.860 it's one
01:06:47.140 of these
01:06:47.360 things
01:06:47.620 where
01:06:48.040 I think
01:06:49.480 you know
01:06:50.020 what's
01:06:50.600 Charlie
01:06:50.860 Munger
01:06:51.080 say
01:06:51.240 you show
01:06:51.580 me an
01:06:51.800 incentive
01:06:52.020 I'll show
01:06:52.300 you an
01:06:52.480 outcome
01:06:52.740 right
01:06:53.100 it was
01:06:53.480 one of
01:06:53.720 Charlie
01:06:53.980 Munger's
01:06:54.280 famous
01:06:54.480 quotes
01:06:54.720 and so
01:06:55.440 I don't
01:06:55.620 I don't
01:06:55.900 see them
01:06:56.180 as
01:06:56.360 I don't
01:06:56.620 see them
01:06:56.840 as
01:06:57.060 parasites
01:06:58.260 or whatever
01:06:58.780 I think
01:06:59.040 I see them
01:06:59.760 as rational
01:07:00.500 people
01:07:00.820 responding
01:07:01.200 to it
01:07:01.540 I don't
01:07:02.980 think you
01:07:03.240 can stand
01:07:03.660 back
01:07:04.020 and say
01:07:04.460 like
01:07:04.880 you know
01:07:06.140 I don't
01:07:06.720 know
01:07:06.880 I don't
01:07:07.140 want to be
01:07:07.400 too mean
01:07:09.500 but like
01:07:09.860 it's
01:07:10.120 it's harder
01:07:11.040 for the
01:07:11.340 layman
01:07:11.620 me
01:07:12.060 to understand
01:07:13.420 sort of
01:07:14.260 the added
01:07:14.740 value
01:07:15.120 is that
01:07:15.360 the term
01:07:15.620 that they
01:07:15.880 use
01:07:16.080 of some
01:07:17.280 of these
01:07:17.640 quote
01:07:18.000 industries
01:07:18.600 it all
01:07:19.060 seems
01:07:19.380 fake
01:07:19.780 it all
01:07:20.220 seems
01:07:20.720 sort of
01:07:22.520 the product
01:07:23.000 of short
01:07:23.260 term
01:07:23.400 thinking
01:07:23.820 it seems
01:07:24.620 very mercenary
01:07:25.280 it seems
01:07:25.640 disconnected
01:07:26.060 from the
01:07:26.420 national
01:07:26.700 interest
01:07:27.140 it seems
01:07:28.260 greedy
01:07:28.700 among other
01:07:29.340 things
01:07:29.660 and basically
01:07:30.760 disgusting
01:07:31.160 and it hasn't
01:07:31.660 made the
01:07:31.880 country
01:07:32.120 stronger
01:07:32.840 it's made
01:07:33.220 it in fact
01:07:33.640 weaker
01:07:33.940 it's
01:07:34.400 made the
01:07:35.340 country
01:07:35.500 you just
01:07:35.760 described
01:07:36.160 totally
01:07:37.720 overwhelmed
01:07:38.420 by debt
01:07:38.900 and can't
01:07:39.340 even
01:07:39.520 produce
01:07:39.920 artillery
01:07:40.260 shells
01:07:40.620 think about
01:07:41.840 it
01:07:41.960 right
01:07:42.100 so
01:07:42.280 the system
01:07:43.660 we set
01:07:44.200 up
01:07:44.560 when you're
01:07:45.660 the Saudi
01:07:46.000 Arabia
01:07:46.320 of money
01:07:46.780 as we've
01:07:47.760 been
01:07:47.980 since
01:07:48.320 71
01:07:48.840 you're
01:07:50.320 going
01:07:50.600 to have
01:07:51.180 dollar
01:07:51.540 Dutch
01:07:51.840 disease
01:07:52.240 this is
01:07:52.860 the resource
01:07:53.300 curse
01:07:53.560 Vance
01:07:53.760 talked
01:07:53.980 about
01:07:54.160 in
01:07:54.240 23
01:07:54.520 and so
01:07:55.040 you're
01:07:55.660 going
01:07:55.860 to have
01:07:56.460 two
01:07:56.860 sectors
01:07:57.540 grow
01:07:58.020 to the
01:07:58.520 detriment
01:07:58.780 of all
01:07:59.080 other
01:07:59.260 sectors
01:07:59.680 federal
01:08:00.900 government
01:08:01.280 and finance
01:08:03.300 insurance
01:08:03.660 real estate
01:08:04.420 the fire
01:08:05.000 industry
01:08:05.220 finance
01:08:05.580 now
01:08:06.080 both
01:08:07.320 of those
01:08:07.800 industries
01:08:08.200 are absolutely
01:08:09.040 and I'm
01:08:09.620 not calling
01:08:10.140 them parasites
01:08:10.680 but they
01:08:11.440 are parasitic
01:08:12.060 industries
01:08:12.380 they make
01:08:13.040 money
01:08:13.340 by taking
01:08:14.380 a small
01:08:14.780 cut of
01:08:15.200 everything
01:08:15.560 that comes
01:08:15.960 in
01:08:16.180 and if
01:08:17.640 you just
01:08:18.280 think about
01:08:18.740 this
01:08:19.120 intuitively
01:08:19.800 biologically
01:08:20.480 in the
01:08:21.040 natural
01:08:21.280 world
01:08:21.660 if you
01:08:22.580 have a
01:08:22.780 small
01:08:22.980 parasite
01:08:23.360 on you
01:08:23.820 you have
01:08:24.020 a small
01:08:24.400 whatever
01:08:24.760 gut
01:08:25.360 parasite
01:08:25.940 it takes
01:08:26.640 a little
01:08:26.900 bit of
01:08:27.140 every meal
01:08:27.520 you eat
01:08:27.920 maybe you
01:08:28.780 don't feel
01:08:29.060 100%
01:08:29.460 but you're
01:08:30.140 fine
01:08:30.700 the parasite
01:08:32.060 is great
01:08:32.560 and you're
01:08:33.200 fine
01:08:33.560 at some
01:08:35.180 point
01:08:35.620 the parasite
01:08:36.200 gets so
01:08:37.220 big
01:08:37.640 if it's
01:08:38.000 allowed to
01:08:38.380 get so
01:08:38.820 big
01:08:39.240 that it's
01:08:39.620 taking
01:08:40.100 too many
01:08:41.220 of your
01:08:41.540 calories
01:08:42.040 you start
01:08:43.080 to wither
01:08:43.580 and you
01:08:43.980 die
01:08:44.280 ultimately
01:08:44.800 and that
01:08:45.240 is where
01:08:45.760 we're at
01:08:46.420 unfortunately
01:08:47.340 that's
01:08:48.000 the symptoms
01:08:48.800 of this
01:08:49.340 are 100,000
01:08:50.520 people a
01:08:51.020 year dying
01:08:51.420 of drug
01:08:51.740 overdoses
01:08:52.300 the inability
01:08:53.700 to make
01:08:54.120 shells
01:08:54.680 the hollowing
01:08:56.120 out of the
01:08:56.420 defense
01:08:56.680 industrial base
01:08:57.720 and these
01:08:58.980 are the
01:08:59.320 things
01:08:59.920 that this
01:09:01.980 fixes
01:09:02.300 I mean
01:09:02.540 it's
01:09:03.000 you know
01:09:04.300 I look at
01:09:04.880 myself
01:09:05.200 I was
01:09:05.680 a fairly
01:09:07.000 smart kid
01:09:07.400 I was going
01:09:07.620 to architecture
01:09:08.200 didn't like
01:09:08.600 architecture
01:09:09.000 I could have
01:09:09.320 done engineering
01:09:09.800 but I
01:09:10.700 absolutely
01:09:11.380 35 years
01:09:12.640 ago
01:09:12.920 looked at
01:09:13.640 and said
01:09:13.820 okay well
01:09:14.420 I could
01:09:15.600 study really
01:09:16.120 hard
01:09:16.640 and never
01:09:18.060 go out
01:09:18.300 to the
01:09:18.500 bars
01:09:18.800 and graduate
01:09:20.160 in five
01:09:20.560 years
01:09:20.880 in engineering
01:09:21.420 or
01:09:22.580 I could
01:09:24.200 get really
01:09:24.780 good grades
01:09:25.400 a lot
01:09:26.260 less effort
01:09:26.760 go out
01:09:27.380 to the
01:09:27.560 bars
01:09:27.740 three four
01:09:28.100 nights a
01:09:28.420 week
01:09:28.620 and graduate
01:09:29.260 in four
01:09:29.520 years in
01:09:29.800 business
01:09:30.140 and in
01:09:30.900 finance
01:09:31.200 and I
01:09:32.520 you know
01:09:33.340 I made
01:09:33.680 a self
01:09:34.220 you know
01:09:35.760 I made
01:09:36.140 a it's a
01:09:36.700 tragedy
01:09:36.980 the commons
01:09:37.440 problem
01:09:37.680 right
01:09:37.820 I did
01:09:38.260 what was
01:09:38.540 best for
01:09:38.840 me
01:09:38.980 and my
01:09:40.240 family
01:09:40.540 most of
01:09:41.400 my friends
01:09:41.740 made the
01:09:42.060 same
01:09:42.180 choice
01:09:42.400 I'm not
01:09:42.720 you know
01:09:43.040 I
01:09:43.240 people respond
01:09:44.540 to incentives
01:09:45.000 and this
01:09:46.360 but this
01:09:46.820 this fundamentally
01:09:47.560 changes the
01:09:48.120 incentives
01:09:48.480 when you
01:09:49.120 do this
01:09:49.840 neutral
01:09:50.700 reserve
01:09:51.060 asset
01:09:51.460 so to
01:09:51.880 answer
01:09:52.060 your
01:09:52.200 question
01:09:52.520 there are
01:09:54.100 a lot
01:09:54.200 of people
01:09:54.380 vested
01:09:54.760 in the
01:09:54.980 a lot
01:09:55.220 of people
01:09:55.500 vested
01:09:55.820 yes
01:09:56.120 powerful
01:09:56.460 how are
01:09:56.840 they
01:09:56.940 I think
01:09:57.760 what we
01:09:58.060 have been
01:09:58.300 watching
01:09:58.680 over the
01:09:58.960 last
01:09:59.140 five
01:09:59.500 years
01:09:59.980 and I
01:10:00.400 think
01:10:00.500 this
01:10:00.640 part
01:10:00.960 of
01:10:01.120 the
01:10:01.420 the
01:10:02.260 you know
01:10:02.680 the
01:10:03.080 Trump
01:10:03.420 versus
01:10:04.040 you know
01:10:04.980 the
01:10:05.320 no
01:10:06.300 question
01:10:06.840 the
01:10:07.200 animosity
01:10:08.380 to him
01:10:08.720 manifest
01:10:09.240 in party
01:10:09.620 politics
01:10:10.060 oh yeah
01:10:10.600 I think
01:10:10.980 absolutely
01:10:11.340 and I
01:10:11.820 think
01:10:12.060 there
01:10:12.220 has
01:10:12.380 been
01:10:12.560 a
01:10:12.900 sort
01:10:14.720 of
01:10:14.900 the
01:10:15.240 a
01:10:16.780 progression
01:10:17.520 of the
01:10:17.860 U.S.
01:10:18.320 you know
01:10:18.480 what was
01:10:18.920 you know
01:10:19.880 1960 to
01:10:21.040 1980
01:10:21.420 what's good
01:10:21.800 for GM
01:10:22.140 is good
01:10:22.340 for America
01:10:22.760 and then
01:10:23.200 from 1980
01:10:23.720 to 2020
01:10:25.680 what's
01:10:27.000 good
01:10:27.740 for
01:10:28.360 Goldman Sachs
01:10:29.760 is good
01:10:30.040 for America
01:10:30.540 and I
01:10:31.120 think
01:10:31.240 starting
01:10:31.780 Trump
01:10:32.660 introduced
01:10:33.160 some of
01:10:33.480 these
01:10:33.600 concepts
01:10:34.020 16 to
01:10:34.560 20
01:10:34.800 but I
01:10:35.020 think
01:10:35.140 COVID
01:10:35.420 and then
01:10:36.860 the
01:10:39.300 war in
01:10:39.580 Ukraine
01:10:39.960 reinforced
01:10:40.680 it
01:10:41.000 I
01:10:41.680 think
01:10:41.800 we're
01:10:41.940 shifting
01:10:42.240 to a
01:10:42.540 what's
01:10:42.740 good
01:10:42.980 for
01:10:43.140 the
01:10:43.280 U.S.
01:10:43.640 defense
01:10:43.920 industrial
01:10:44.400 base
01:10:44.760 and
01:10:45.140 middle
01:10:45.340 and
01:10:45.460 working
01:10:45.660 class
01:10:46.120 is good
01:10:46.620 for
01:10:46.780 America
01:10:47.140 and so
01:10:47.600 there's
01:10:47.960 you know
01:10:48.860 this
01:10:49.360 to your
01:10:50.060 point
01:10:50.340 this
01:10:50.780 old
01:10:51.520 what's
01:10:51.880 good
01:10:52.000 for
01:10:52.160 Goldman
01:10:52.440 Sachs
01:10:52.840 is good
01:10:53.100 for
01:10:53.260 America
01:10:53.700 wing
01:10:54.440 of the
01:10:54.760 world
01:10:55.140 the
01:10:55.360 Robert
01:10:55.600 Rubens
01:10:56.040 and
01:10:56.420 the
01:10:56.620 you know
01:10:57.180 the
01:10:57.340 Larry
01:10:57.520 Summers
01:10:57.940 and a
01:10:58.160 lot
01:10:58.240 of
01:10:58.300 these
01:10:58.420 guys
01:10:58.640 you're
01:10:58.800 seeing
01:10:59.020 lament
01:10:59.380 against
01:10:59.700 all
01:10:59.880 the
01:11:00.000 tariffs
01:11:00.300 and
01:11:06.860 if
01:11:07.340 because
01:11:08.480 what
01:11:08.720 you're
01:11:08.880 talking
01:11:09.180 about
01:11:09.340 the
01:11:09.480 two
01:11:09.680 most
01:11:09.980 pronounced
01:11:10.720 dynamics
01:11:11.800 are
01:11:12.360 going
01:11:12.680 to be
01:11:13.280 the
01:11:14.100 real
01:11:14.560 value
01:11:15.100 of
01:11:15.320 long-term
01:11:15.920 treasury
01:11:16.700 bonds
01:11:17.040 long-term
01:11:17.560 dollar
01:11:17.900 bonds
01:11:18.340 will fall
01:11:19.180 relative
01:11:19.700 to
01:11:20.120 industrial
01:11:20.600 assets
01:11:21.020 production
01:11:21.720 equities
01:11:22.680 etc
01:11:23.120 so
01:11:23.540 these
01:11:25.020 guys
01:11:25.300 may
01:11:25.500 have
01:11:25.620 less
01:11:25.800 political
01:11:26.300 power
01:11:26.820 but
01:11:28.020 the
01:11:28.200 reality
01:11:28.620 is
01:11:28.900 that's
01:11:29.360 just
01:11:29.500 a
01:11:29.640 marking
01:11:29.860 to
01:11:30.040 market
01:11:30.340 their
01:11:30.660 worldview
01:11:31.200 has
01:11:31.520 been
01:11:31.660 proven
01:11:31.960 wrong
01:11:32.300 we
01:11:32.480 can't
01:11:32.780 make
01:11:32.920 shells
01:11:33.140 there
01:11:33.320 are
01:11:33.580 100,000
01:11:34.060 people
01:11:34.300 dying
01:11:34.540 of
01:11:34.660 drug
01:11:34.840 overdoses
01:11:35.260 every
01:11:35.520 year
01:11:35.660 you
01:11:36.100 do
01:11:36.360 have
01:11:36.540 a
01:11:36.660 hollowed
01:11:36.920 out
01:11:37.020 defense
01:11:37.340 industrial
01:11:37.760 base
01:11:38.000 we
01:11:38.140 do
01:11:38.340 have
01:11:38.500 too
01:11:38.620 much
01:11:38.780 debt
01:11:38.980 like
01:11:39.300 those
01:11:39.680 things
01:11:39.940 are
01:11:40.080 no
01:11:40.300 longer
01:11:40.780 debatable
01:11:41.480 they're
01:11:41.760 all
01:11:42.020 empirically
01:11:42.500 true
01:11:42.800 they're
01:11:43.020 all
01:11:43.240 empirically
01:11:43.720 shown
01:11:44.120 to be
01:11:44.760 hurting
01:11:45.020 the
01:11:45.200 US
01:11:45.380 so
01:11:45.720 they
01:11:46.120 can't
01:11:46.400 argue
01:11:46.580 on
01:11:46.720 the
01:11:46.860 merits
01:11:47.120 so
01:11:47.300 they've
01:11:47.440 got
01:11:47.520 to
01:11:47.620 attack
01:11:48.100 the
01:11:49.080 people
01:11:49.420 trying
01:11:49.820 to
01:11:50.040 implement
01:11:50.400 it
01:11:50.700 but
01:11:50.900 in
01:11:51.040 the
01:11:51.140 end
01:11:51.440 I
01:11:52.260 don't
01:11:52.460 think
01:11:52.800 they
01:11:53.000 can
01:11:53.320 win
01:11:53.840 this
01:11:54.060 argument
01:11:54.400 anymore
01:11:54.740 because
01:11:55.080 events
01:11:55.680 have
01:11:55.880 proven
01:11:56.280 them
01:11:56.560 wrong
01:11:56.980 the
01:11:57.200 system
01:11:57.600 is
01:11:57.780 going
01:11:58.340 to
01:11:58.580 change
01:11:59.060 because
01:11:59.740 the
01:11:59.920 US
01:12:00.120 military
01:12:00.600 is
01:12:00.860 not
01:12:01.140 going
01:12:01.420 to
01:12:01.600 sit
01:12:01.800 here
01:12:01.980 and
01:12:02.080 go
01:12:02.260 you
01:12:02.840 know
01:12:03.020 what
01:12:03.200 guys
01:12:03.460 you're
01:12:03.720 right
01:12:03.960 let's
01:12:04.340 keep
01:12:04.580 that
01:12:04.820 system
01:12:05.200 and
01:12:05.400 we'll
01:12:05.540 just
01:12:05.700 have
01:12:05.840 China
01:12:06.120 make
01:12:06.360 everything
01:12:06.680 for
01:12:07.000 us
01:12:07.140 in
01:12:07.240 five
01:12:07.540 years
01:12:07.840 and
01:12:08.020 when
01:12:09.520 you
01:12:09.840 want
01:12:10.020 us
01:12:10.140 to
01:12:10.260 face
01:12:10.480 down
01:12:10.660 the
01:12:10.800 Russians
01:12:11.140 over
01:12:11.580 in
01:12:11.980 Georgia
01:12:12.700 or
01:12:13.160 Lithuania
01:12:14.580 we'll
01:12:16.020 ask
01:12:16.380 the
01:12:16.540 Chinese
01:12:16.840 to
01:12:17.000 make
01:12:17.160 weapons
01:12:17.500 for
01:12:17.660 it
01:12:17.760 that's
01:12:18.320 not
01:12:18.440 going
01:12:18.540 to
01:12:18.620 happen
01:12:18.940 so
01:12:19.320 if
01:12:19.600 that's
01:12:19.920 not
01:12:20.320 going
01:12:20.600 to
01:12:20.760 happen
01:12:21.120 and
01:12:21.660 if
01:12:21.780 we're
01:12:21.880 not
01:12:22.200 going
01:12:22.380 to
01:12:22.500 default
01:12:22.800 on
01:12:22.980 our
01:12:23.140 debt
01:12:23.440 then
01:12:24.780 the
01:12:24.980 only
01:12:25.220 outcome
01:12:25.800 is
01:12:26.340 they're
01:12:27.620 going
01:12:27.720 to
01:12:27.800 have
01:12:27.920 to
01:12:28.000 restructure
01:12:28.420 this
01:12:28.640 system
01:12:28.940 in
01:12:29.220 this
01:12:29.480 way
01:12:29.740 which
01:12:30.000 will
01:12:30.480 be
01:12:30.620 good
01:12:30.780 for
01:12:30.900 these
01:12:31.040 people's
01:12:31.420 equity
01:12:31.700 bases
01:12:31.980 right
01:12:32.140 there'll
01:12:32.280 be
01:12:32.380 a lot
01:12:32.640 more
01:12:32.820 bank
01:12:33.060 loans
01:12:33.340 so
01:12:33.760 it's
01:12:34.000 just
01:12:34.200 more
01:12:34.540 it's
01:12:35.340 not
01:12:35.500 catastrophic
01:12:36.140 it's
01:12:36.520 just
01:12:36.680 catastrophic
01:12:37.080 to
01:12:37.260 a
01:12:37.420 world
01:12:37.700 view
01:12:38.060 but
01:12:38.540 the
01:12:38.680 world
01:12:38.900 view
01:12:39.140 like
01:12:39.440 to
01:12:39.780 any
01:12:40.040 objective
01:12:40.500 observer
01:12:40.900 is
01:12:41.160 already
01:12:41.500 dead
01:12:41.900 could
01:12:42.720 I
01:12:42.900 mean
01:12:43.060 just
01:12:43.260 to
01:12:43.400 ask
01:12:43.660 a
01:12:43.780 kind
01:12:43.900 of
01:12:44.020 google
01:12:44.240 question
01:12:44.660 because
01:12:44.840 I
01:12:44.960 can't
01:12:45.280 control
01:12:45.620 myself
01:12:45.920 but
01:12:46.160 you know
01:12:47.460 you'd
01:12:47.860 hate
01:12:48.060 to see
01:12:48.420 manufacturing
01:12:49.020 come
01:12:49.340 back
01:12:49.720 and
01:12:50.960 then
01:12:51.140 discover
01:12:51.520 the
01:12:51.720 only
01:12:51.940 manufacturing
01:12:52.600 is
01:12:52.940 like
01:12:53.240 machines
01:12:53.980 that
01:12:54.180 kill
01:12:54.360 other
01:12:54.560 people
01:12:54.980 could
01:12:55.920 you
01:12:56.060 also
01:12:56.420 because
01:12:56.860 that's
01:12:57.660 totally
01:12:58.700 disgusting
01:12:59.220 you
01:12:59.820 can't
01:13:00.360 be
01:13:00.440 proud
01:13:00.640 of
01:13:00.740 a
01:13:00.840 country
01:13:01.180 whose
01:13:01.760 only
01:13:01.980 export
01:13:02.380 is
01:13:02.680 bombs
01:13:03.540 I
01:13:03.940 mean
01:13:04.080 that's
01:13:04.540 you
01:13:05.520 can't
01:13:06.440 be
01:13:06.540 proud
01:13:06.680 of
01:13:06.780 that
01:13:06.880 that's
01:13:07.060 totally
01:13:07.280 immoral
01:13:07.600 so
01:13:08.500 you
01:13:08.720 need
01:13:09.100 military
01:13:09.760 you
01:13:09.940 need
01:13:10.060 weapons
01:13:10.380 but
01:13:10.680 you
01:13:10.940 also
01:13:11.200 want
01:13:11.400 to
01:13:11.480 build
01:13:11.620 things
01:13:11.880 that
01:13:12.000 are
01:13:12.100 beautiful
01:13:12.420 and
01:13:12.620 uplifting
01:13:12.980 and
01:13:13.140 life
01:13:13.320 enhancing
01:13:13.640 also
01:13:13.980 could
01:13:14.460 you
01:13:14.580 get
01:13:14.720 that
01:13:14.900 too
01:13:15.120 I
01:13:15.660 think
01:13:15.820 absolutely
01:13:16.260 I
01:13:16.460 mean
01:13:16.640 ultimately
01:13:17.960 you
01:13:19.240 think
01:13:19.520 about
01:13:19.700 everything
01:13:20.180 we've
01:13:20.560 shifted
01:13:20.940 to
01:13:21.560 you
01:13:21.900 know
01:13:21.980 this
01:13:22.220 system
01:13:22.560 has
01:13:22.680 required
01:13:22.900 us
01:13:23.120 offshoring
01:13:24.020 infrastructure
01:13:25.860 manufacturing
01:13:26.620 etc
01:13:27.000 that
01:13:28.720 stuff
01:13:28.940 needs
01:13:29.120 to
01:13:29.220 be
01:13:29.340 rebuilt
01:13:29.680 right
01:13:29.940 we're
01:13:30.220 sort
01:13:30.560 of
01:13:30.760 when
01:13:30.960 you
01:13:31.080 look
01:13:31.380 at
01:13:31.500 the
01:13:31.760 flows
01:13:32.240 of
01:13:32.400 the
01:13:32.500 last
01:13:32.680 50
01:13:33.000 years
01:13:33.580 our
01:13:37.000 infrastructure
01:13:38.100 looks like
01:13:38.720 we lost
01:13:39.060 a war
01:13:39.440 it's
01:13:40.160 been
01:13:40.700 hollowed
01:13:41.620 out
01:13:41.920 it's
01:13:42.260 been
01:13:42.580 dilapidated
01:13:43.520 and so
01:13:44.360 there's
01:13:44.720 decades
01:13:45.660 of open
01:13:46.160 field
01:13:46.440 running
01:13:46.840 of
01:13:47.460 I mean
01:13:48.600 I'm an
01:13:49.060 investor
01:13:49.340 in a
01:13:49.540 private
01:13:49.780 equity
01:13:50.180 investment
01:13:51.140 in
01:13:51.500 U.S.
01:13:51.980 electrical
01:13:52.620 infrastructure
01:13:53.220 it's
01:13:54.140 boring
01:13:54.540 business
01:13:54.820 they just
01:13:55.080 make
01:13:55.280 metal
01:13:55.660 bending
01:13:55.880 stuff
01:13:56.180 that
01:13:56.320 goes
01:13:56.500 into
01:13:56.620 transformers
01:13:57.300 it's
01:13:57.420 absolutely
01:13:59.560 the future
01:14:00.160 and
01:14:00.800 they've
01:14:01.740 got
01:14:01.940 so much
01:14:02.520 demand
01:14:02.940 they can't
01:14:03.460 hire
01:14:03.640 enough
01:14:03.840 people
01:14:04.260 once
01:14:05.580 you get
01:14:07.360 the right
01:14:08.040 incentives
01:14:08.460 in place
01:14:08.960 in terms
01:14:09.560 of the
01:14:09.820 monetary
01:14:10.180 system
01:14:10.820 and those
01:14:11.580 flows
01:14:12.060 the markets
01:14:13.220 will start
01:14:13.620 to work
01:14:14.120 and they'll
01:14:14.440 start to
01:14:14.840 feed on
01:14:15.160 themselves
01:14:15.540 and then
01:14:15.840 we can
01:14:16.120 get into
01:14:16.680 things
01:14:17.040 okay
01:14:17.280 wow
01:14:17.520 we have
01:14:17.800 enough
01:14:18.040 demand
01:14:18.340 now we
01:14:20.900 need to
01:14:21.160 build
01:14:21.320 the power
01:14:21.680 plants
01:14:21.960 once we
01:14:22.220 build
01:14:22.340 the power
01:14:22.740 plants
01:14:23.100 then we
01:14:23.460 can build
01:14:23.860 more
01:14:24.240 high-speed
01:14:24.880 rail
01:14:25.180 we build
01:14:25.460 more high-speed
01:14:25.860 rail
01:14:26.120 we need more
01:14:26.540 train stations
01:14:27.500 we need more
01:14:28.420 electricians
01:14:28.980 we need more
01:14:29.420 totally
01:14:29.820 and it can
01:14:30.640 feed on
01:14:31.020 itself
01:14:31.300 it's not
01:14:31.920 easy
01:14:32.220 there's
01:14:32.520 a high
01:14:33.700 degree of
01:14:34.080 executional
01:14:34.680 risk
01:14:34.960 not least
01:14:35.680 of which
01:14:35.960 is
01:14:36.160 because we
01:14:37.500 have
01:14:37.680 dawdled
01:14:38.020 so long
01:14:38.420 because this
01:14:39.120 other wing
01:14:39.920 of Washington
01:14:40.700 has been
01:14:41.140 so successful
01:14:42.000 in fighting
01:14:42.560 off what has
01:14:43.060 long been
01:14:43.540 obvious to
01:14:44.080 the military
01:14:44.500 and others
01:14:45.000 we got to
01:14:46.480 run fast
01:14:46.900 we got to
01:14:47.280 run not
01:14:47.820 quite on a
01:14:48.260 Manhattan
01:14:48.600 project type
01:14:49.780 of time
01:14:50.160 frame
01:14:50.380 but we
01:14:50.700 need to
01:14:53.420 be aggressive
01:14:54.240 in doing
01:14:54.760 this
01:14:54.980 and I think
01:14:55.240 it's part
01:14:55.600 of the reason
01:14:56.000 why we've
01:14:56.580 seen the
01:14:57.040 Trump
01:14:57.240 administration
01:14:57.660 be so
01:14:59.520 aggressive
01:14:59.900 with some
01:15:00.240 of their
01:15:00.400 moves
01:15:00.620 so early
01:15:01.060 on
01:15:01.300 it has
01:15:02.000 been
01:15:02.240 fascinating
01:15:03.160 how quickly
01:15:03.900 they've been
01:15:04.380 doing things
01:15:05.320 and moving
01:15:05.920 fast and
01:15:06.480 breaking
01:15:06.960 stuff
01:15:07.360 and some
01:15:07.660 of the
01:15:07.780 stuff
01:15:07.960 it's
01:15:08.380 oops
01:15:08.780 we didn't
01:15:09.220 need to
01:15:09.460 do that
01:15:09.760 but I
01:15:11.020 think that
01:15:11.440 speed
01:15:12.160 reflects
01:15:13.060 in my
01:15:13.500 opinion
01:15:13.700 my read
01:15:14.040 of that
01:15:14.280 speed
01:15:14.680 of action
01:15:15.260 by the
01:15:15.560 Trump
01:15:15.720 administration
01:15:16.100 is a
01:15:17.100 nod
01:15:18.600 towards
01:15:18.940 understanding
01:15:19.500 that this
01:15:20.120 needs to
01:15:20.680 get going
01:15:21.400 fast
01:15:21.900 it's so
01:15:22.500 big picture
01:15:23.280 it's just
01:15:24.000 so impressive
01:15:25.100 you know
01:15:28.200 just from a
01:15:28.840 management
01:15:29.260 perspective
01:15:29.860 like that
01:15:30.360 they're thinking
01:15:30.900 in these
01:15:31.380 terms
01:15:31.820 and I think
01:15:33.240 we know
01:15:33.560 that they're
01:15:33.900 thinking in
01:15:34.340 these terms
01:15:34.840 they absolutely
01:15:35.540 are you can
01:15:35.980 see it in
01:15:36.340 their public
01:15:36.680 pronouncements
01:15:37.260 J.D. Vance
01:15:37.780 specifically
01:15:38.520 maybe I'm
01:15:39.080 tell me if you
01:15:39.980 think I'm
01:15:40.220 giving him too
01:15:40.660 much credit
01:15:41.000 but he
01:15:42.000 seems to have
01:15:42.600 thought about
01:15:43.060 this like
01:15:44.080 holistically
01:15:44.600 like in a
01:15:45.160 big way
01:15:45.700 you
01:15:46.500 described that
01:15:47.680 exchange with
01:15:48.740 Jerome Powell
01:15:49.200 I mean are you
01:15:50.860 getting indications
01:15:51.460 that Vance
01:15:52.540 has a big
01:15:53.540 picture in
01:15:53.940 mind
01:15:54.220 I think
01:15:55.940 Vance
01:15:56.600 understands
01:15:57.680 it at
01:15:58.780 a level
01:15:59.480 as good
01:16:01.840 as any
01:16:02.200 politician
01:16:02.920 that I've
01:16:03.480 seen in
01:16:03.860 this country
01:16:04.460 in my
01:16:06.040 in
01:16:06.520 decades
01:16:07.640 and I
01:16:08.480 think some
01:16:09.040 of that
01:16:09.420 is
01:16:09.840 you know
01:16:11.160 if viewers
01:16:12.480 haven't
01:16:12.900 watched
01:16:13.560 Hillbilly
01:16:14.280 Elegy
01:16:14.600 or read
01:16:14.880 the book
01:16:15.160 Hillbilly
01:16:15.500 Elegy
01:16:15.900 he understands
01:16:17.760 that it's
01:16:18.020 such an
01:16:18.280 intuitive level
01:16:18.840 because he
01:16:19.120 lived it
01:16:19.500 he was in
01:16:19.880 Middletown
01:16:20.200 Ohio
01:16:20.540 he saw
01:16:21.040 what happened
01:16:21.360 in Middletown
01:16:21.760 Ohio
01:16:21.980 he saw
01:16:22.400 what happened
01:16:22.720 to his
01:16:22.880 family
01:16:23.120 he saw
01:16:23.480 the hollowing
01:16:25.040 out
01:16:25.300 so much
01:16:26.200 so that
01:16:26.700 Larry
01:16:27.140 Summers
01:16:27.540 one of the
01:16:27.860 people
01:16:28.100 trying to
01:16:28.800 fight this
01:16:29.300 was publicly
01:16:30.760 praising
01:16:31.500 Vance
01:16:32.900 and Hillbilly
01:16:33.540 Elegy
01:16:34.040 in 2017
01:16:35.500 you can find
01:16:36.360 it on X
01:16:36.920 saying oh my
01:16:37.660 gosh I had
01:16:38.260 no idea
01:16:38.800 this was
01:16:39.120 happening
01:16:39.560 so I
01:16:40.580 think Vance
01:16:41.180 he's such a
01:16:41.680 foolish man
01:16:42.420 Larry Summers
01:16:43.580 damn that's a
01:16:44.500 whole different
01:16:44.800 topic
01:16:45.000 no but just
01:16:45.460 like for
01:16:45.800 it's
01:16:46.220 I mean
01:16:46.560 as smart as he is
01:16:47.460 it's yeah he's
01:16:48.320 as smart as he is
01:16:49.420 I mean air quotes
01:16:50.080 because I mean
01:16:51.440 we're constantly
01:16:52.260 bombarding this
01:16:52.860 propaganda about
01:16:53.440 how smart all
01:16:54.060 these different
01:16:54.460 people are
01:16:55.000 oh they're so
01:16:55.400 smart
01:16:55.740 really are they
01:16:56.380 so smart
01:16:56.800 how are they
01:16:57.220 how do they
01:16:57.700 order their
01:16:58.100 own lives
01:16:58.640 for one thing
01:16:59.320 smart
01:16:59.840 like how's
01:17:00.220 your marriage
01:17:00.620 doing
01:17:01.020 like your kids
01:17:01.660 respect you
01:17:02.220 like how smart
01:17:02.880 are you actually
01:17:03.660 what's the
01:17:04.660 you know
01:17:04.900 what's the
01:17:05.220 your output
01:17:05.940 what have you
01:17:06.340 created
01:17:06.860 that's
01:17:07.380 worth having
01:17:08.480 like smart
01:17:09.600 people almost
01:17:10.220 by definition
01:17:10.760 would have
01:17:11.340 sort of
01:17:12.180 successes
01:17:12.580 right
01:17:13.000 what's his
01:17:13.660 success
01:17:14.060 I don't
01:17:14.340 really get
01:17:14.720 it
01:17:14.880 gathering
01:17:15.360 you know
01:17:16.260 merit badges
01:17:16.820 whatever I'm
01:17:17.280 sorry
01:17:17.440 anyway so
01:17:18.060 yeah
01:17:18.340 the whole
01:17:18.760 leadership
01:17:19.040 class is
01:17:19.560 like that
01:17:19.940 there's
01:17:20.200 so smart
01:17:21.400 really show
01:17:21.800 me how
01:17:22.220 then it's
01:17:23.780 you know
01:17:24.340 so Vance
01:17:24.860 I think
01:17:25.360 really gets
01:17:26.360 at a
01:17:27.200 he lived
01:17:27.920 it
01:17:28.080 he saw
01:17:28.980 like more
01:17:30.320 than anyone
01:17:31.340 in that
01:17:32.100 seat that
01:17:32.860 we've seen
01:17:33.340 in our
01:17:33.620 lifetimes
01:17:34.140 I would
01:17:34.600 argue
01:17:34.940 saw
01:17:36.380 and is
01:17:37.500 spoken
01:17:37.980 about
01:17:38.600 has spoken
01:17:40.560 about
01:17:41.100 the resource
01:17:42.480 curse
01:17:42.820 and so
01:17:43.720 Vance
01:17:44.360 you know
01:17:44.900 the dollar
01:17:45.480 dutch disease
01:17:46.000 what happened
01:17:46.640 to manufacturing
01:17:47.220 what happened
01:17:47.720 to families
01:17:48.180 what happened
01:17:48.720 to the social
01:17:49.340 fabric
01:17:49.860 of the middle
01:17:50.820 and working
01:17:51.120 class across
01:17:51.700 America
01:17:52.100 and he wrote
01:17:52.560 about it
01:17:52.900 you know
01:17:53.260 the movies
01:17:53.620 about him
01:17:54.020 and
01:17:54.140 in 2023
01:17:58.080 he specifically
01:18:00.180 linked
01:18:00.980 reserve currency
01:18:02.420 status of the
01:18:03.000 dollar
01:18:03.260 specifically said
01:18:04.760 it might not
01:18:05.260 be a good
01:18:05.680 thing for the
01:18:06.080 US
01:18:06.360 specifically said
01:18:07.720 we are getting
01:18:08.080 wildly outproduced
01:18:09.260 by the Russians
01:18:09.840 in Ukraine
01:18:10.320 and we can't
01:18:11.220 credibly maintain
01:18:11.940 our defense
01:18:12.860 obligations
01:18:13.520 because we don't
01:18:14.080 have the industrial
01:18:14.620 base to do so
01:18:15.300 because of the
01:18:16.560 dollar system
01:18:17.260 and the resource
01:18:17.840 curse
01:18:18.240 and kind of
01:18:19.560 left it open
01:18:20.060 for Powell
01:18:20.560 to kind of
01:18:20.980 say hey
01:18:21.320 you know
01:18:21.600 you got two
01:18:22.360 minutes to answer
01:18:22.900 you know
01:18:23.240 what do you
01:18:23.820 think
01:18:24.100 and
01:18:24.340 I think
01:18:27.120 he gets
01:18:27.840 it
01:18:28.080 so fundamentally
01:18:29.840 from
01:18:30.500 we talked
01:18:31.580 earlier about
01:18:31.980 you know
01:18:32.260 where you
01:18:32.960 grow up
01:18:33.580 leads and
01:18:34.480 influences
01:18:34.920 your views
01:18:35.400 on investing
01:18:35.920 in the world
01:18:36.400 etc
01:18:36.700 the time
01:18:37.460 frame
01:18:37.660 in which
01:18:37.920 you
01:18:38.020 grow up
01:18:38.220 and where
01:18:38.520 you
01:18:38.640 grow up
01:18:38.860 think about
01:18:40.060 the time
01:18:40.500 frame
01:18:40.720 in which
01:18:41.000 he grew
01:18:41.360 up
01:18:41.640 and where
01:18:42.300 he grew
01:18:42.680 up
01:18:42.920 and
01:18:43.440 and he's
01:18:44.520 brilliant
01:18:44.900 and his
01:18:45.400 ability to
01:18:46.000 just
01:18:46.460 synthesize
01:18:47.360 data
01:18:47.740 and understand
01:18:48.720 not just
01:18:50.140 the direct
01:18:51.160 linkages
01:18:51.840 but the
01:18:53.420 second and
01:18:54.000 third
01:18:54.240 derivative
01:18:54.880 implications
01:18:56.120 and the
01:18:57.020 policies
01:18:57.660 that could
01:18:58.400 be taken
01:18:59.040 the levers
01:18:59.680 that could
01:18:59.960 be pulled
01:19:00.480 to move
01:19:01.940 those
01:19:02.540 second and
01:19:03.220 third
01:19:03.340 derivatives
01:19:03.720 in a way
01:19:04.560 that is
01:19:04.900 beneficial
01:19:05.460 to fix
01:19:06.520 to really
01:19:07.300 fix the
01:19:07.900 issue
01:19:08.180 and not
01:19:08.480 just
01:19:08.720 print money
01:19:09.520 and try
01:19:09.740 to paper
01:19:10.060 over it
01:19:10.840 he's
01:19:12.200 very
01:19:13.300 encouraging
01:19:13.680 in my
01:19:13.900 opinion
01:19:14.180 kind of
01:19:14.980 shocking
01:19:15.300 I think
01:19:15.920 a lot
01:19:16.240 you don't
01:19:17.220 want to
01:19:17.420 curse him
01:19:17.760 he's the
01:19:18.020 vice president
01:19:18.480 not the
01:19:18.700 president
01:19:18.980 but on the
01:19:19.700 other hand
01:19:20.040 I think
01:19:20.340 some people
01:19:20.720 in the last
01:19:21.100 month
01:19:21.400 have looked
01:19:21.680 at some
01:19:22.200 of the
01:19:22.360 things
01:19:22.520 J.D.
01:19:22.760 Vance
01:19:22.940 has said
01:19:23.320 and written
01:19:23.740 and been
01:19:24.920 sort of
01:19:25.220 stunned
01:19:25.720 by how deep
01:19:26.680 and well
01:19:27.600 expressed
01:19:27.900 they are
01:19:28.380 you're not
01:19:29.280 used to that
01:19:29.940 last
01:19:31.180 weekend
01:19:31.460 is a
01:19:31.660 perfect
01:19:31.920 example
01:19:32.340 and again
01:19:33.200 it goes
01:19:35.020 to that
01:19:35.300 whole
01:19:35.720 the existing
01:19:36.580 system
01:19:37.100 that's
01:19:37.300 empirically
01:19:37.700 been proven
01:19:38.260 to not
01:19:39.060 be what's
01:19:40.040 right for
01:19:40.520 us
01:19:40.760 all you
01:19:41.980 heard about
01:19:42.420 last
01:19:42.760 weekend
01:19:43.160 was how
01:19:44.000 he had
01:19:44.840 insulted
01:19:45.540 free speech
01:19:46.860 in the UK
01:19:47.580 and in
01:19:48.080 the EU
01:19:48.540 and I
01:19:49.980 thought
01:19:50.140 is that
01:19:50.340 what they
01:19:50.500 were saying
01:19:50.960 oh my
01:19:52.460 goodness
01:19:52.800 they were
01:19:53.180 every
01:19:54.380 wilting
01:19:55.520 flower
01:19:56.100 about
01:19:56.680 liberal
01:19:57.600 free
01:19:58.020 speech
01:19:58.580 and blah
01:19:58.980 and I
01:19:59.660 think
01:19:59.860 they buried
01:20:00.740 the lead
01:20:01.180 they're
01:20:01.700 idiots
01:20:02.140 I mean
01:20:02.380 they're
01:20:02.500 just
01:20:02.660 liars
01:20:03.040 he said
01:20:04.680 Germany
01:20:05.860 you were
01:20:06.320 the only
01:20:06.980 country
01:20:07.720 that did
01:20:08.820 not
01:20:09.120 follow
01:20:09.720 and I
01:20:10.220 quote
01:20:10.520 the
01:20:11.160 stupid
01:20:11.940 Washington
01:20:12.640 consensus
01:20:13.500 of the
01:20:14.120 70s
01:20:14.720 80s
01:20:15.240 and 90s
01:20:16.040 that
01:20:16.280 deindustrialized
01:20:17.200 all of
01:20:18.080 us
01:20:18.340 and now
01:20:19.240 you're
01:20:19.480 choosing
01:20:19.740 to
01:20:19.920 deindustrialize
01:20:20.740 that passage
01:20:22.520 alone
01:20:22.880 tells you
01:20:23.400 the
01:20:23.540 Biden
01:20:23.800 administration
01:20:24.180 blew up
01:20:24.780 their
01:20:24.940 effing
01:20:25.360 natural
01:20:25.660 gas
01:20:26.020 pipeline
01:20:26.580 I mean
01:20:27.000 it
01:20:27.160 deindustrialized
01:20:28.000 the country
01:20:28.360 for them
01:20:28.980 and they're
01:20:29.280 such
01:20:29.520 self-hating
01:20:30.380 cucks
01:20:30.680 that they
01:20:30.900 said not
01:20:31.160 a word
01:20:31.400 about it
01:20:31.820 they've
01:20:32.000 been
01:20:32.120 trained
01:20:32.560 for 80
01:20:32.940 years
01:20:33.100 to hate
01:20:33.400 themselves
01:20:33.760 and the
01:20:34.420 net
01:20:34.600 result
01:20:34.920 is the
01:20:35.260 total
01:20:35.600 destruction
01:20:36.100 of the
01:20:36.800 heart
01:20:36.960 of Europe
01:20:37.240 which is
01:20:37.540 Germany
01:20:37.820 sorry
01:20:38.160 it is
01:20:38.560 it's
01:20:38.900 it's
01:20:39.120 been
01:20:39.320 it was
01:20:39.920 shocking
01:20:40.300 to me
01:20:40.780 how is
01:20:41.080 this
01:20:41.300 the world
01:20:42.100 it's not
01:20:42.600 how is
01:20:43.380 this good
01:20:43.640 for the
01:20:43.860 United
01:20:44.000 States
01:20:44.260 to destroy
01:20:44.860 Europe
01:20:45.320 it makes
01:20:47.060 no sense
01:20:47.460 it's
01:20:47.640 vandalism
01:20:48.240 on a
01:20:48.560 scale
01:20:48.820 that most
01:20:49.220 people
01:20:49.420 don't
01:20:49.640 understand
01:20:50.140 and I
01:20:51.240 anyway
01:20:51.940 god bless
01:20:52.540 J.D. Vance
01:20:53.020 for saying
01:20:53.440 that he's
01:20:53.780 absolutely
01:20:54.060 right
01:20:54.360 and he's
01:20:54.680 and yeah
01:20:55.160 and that
01:20:55.440 ties back
01:20:55.940 into this
01:20:56.220 whole point
01:20:56.600 of these
01:20:56.900 policymakers
01:20:57.580 are telling
01:20:58.260 when was
01:20:59.040 the last
01:20:59.300 time you
01:20:59.500 had the
01:20:59.760 vice
01:21:00.040 president
01:21:00.460 of the
01:21:00.640 United
01:21:00.800 States
01:21:01.280 call
01:21:01.880 the
01:21:02.120 70s
01:21:02.780 80s
01:21:03.120 90s
01:21:03.620 holy
01:21:03.960 grail
01:21:04.520 this is
01:21:05.320 the dollar
01:21:05.920 system
01:21:06.500 stupid
01:21:07.860 the stupid
01:21:09.400 Washington
01:21:10.060 consensus
01:21:10.680 I don't
01:21:11.960 ever
01:21:12.320 remember
01:21:12.640 hearing
01:21:12.840 that
01:21:13.060 and if
01:21:13.760 it was
01:21:13.980 a one
01:21:14.280 off
01:21:14.540 okay
01:21:14.860 whatever
01:21:15.140 but we've
01:21:15.720 heard it
01:21:16.100 the interactions
01:21:17.320 with Powell
01:21:17.860 Trump saying
01:21:19.020 I want to
01:21:19.380 make us
01:21:19.760 like great
01:21:20.280 like we
01:21:20.580 were
01:21:20.740 1870
01:21:21.300 1913
01:21:22.160 which is
01:21:22.860 tariffs
01:21:23.360 low income
01:21:24.120 tax
01:21:24.380 no income
01:21:24.800 tax
01:21:25.160 Rubio
01:21:26.700 saying
01:21:27.060 listen
01:21:27.380 guys
01:21:27.720 we can't
01:21:28.420 make
01:21:28.780 stuff
01:21:29.160 in 10
01:21:29.500 years
01:21:29.740 we're
01:21:29.940 going to
01:21:30.000 be
01:21:30.200 dependent
01:21:31.200 on China
01:21:31.660 for
01:21:31.860 everything
01:21:32.400 we need
01:21:33.000 Besant
01:21:33.820 saying
01:21:34.300 in his
01:21:35.160 confirmation
01:21:35.560 hearing
01:21:36.040 Wall Street
01:21:36.480 has had
01:21:36.680 a great
01:21:37.000 run
01:21:37.380 Main
01:21:38.480 Street
01:21:38.680 has really
01:21:39.040 suffered
01:21:39.460 it's
01:21:40.200 Main
01:21:40.400 Street's
01:21:40.780 time
01:21:41.120 we need
01:21:41.520 to pursue
01:21:41.780 policies
01:21:42.380 that bolster
01:21:42.980 Main
01:21:43.260 Street
01:21:43.540 Wall Street
01:21:43.980 will still
01:21:44.340 be okay
01:21:44.960 they'll still
01:21:45.800 do fine
01:21:46.220 maybe not
01:21:46.680 as well
01:21:47.200 but it's
01:21:47.580 Main
01:21:47.800 Street's
01:21:48.180 time
01:21:48.420 we need
01:21:48.740 a Main
01:21:49.020 Street
01:21:49.240 these
01:21:49.740 policymakers
01:21:50.360 are telling
01:21:51.160 us
01:21:51.380 and it
01:21:52.160 all in
01:21:52.540 my opinion
01:21:53.060 goes back
01:21:53.600 to the
01:21:53.880 structure
01:21:54.280 of the
01:21:54.620 system
01:21:55.060 which is
01:21:56.120 as long
01:21:56.720 as we
01:21:57.140 store
01:21:57.700 global
01:21:58.220 surpluses
01:21:58.860 in our
01:21:59.140 financial
01:21:59.480 markets
01:21:59.900 and in
01:22:00.220 particular
01:22:00.580 treasuries
01:22:01.060 that system
01:22:02.380 is going
01:22:02.560 to continue
01:22:02.960 you move
01:22:03.820 to a
01:22:04.160 neutral
01:22:04.420 reserve
01:22:04.800 asset
01:22:05.180 like
01:22:05.560 gold
01:22:06.080 because
01:22:06.900 now
01:22:07.360 when they
01:22:07.800 store
01:22:08.020 money
01:22:08.260 in gold
01:22:08.700 price
01:22:09.060 of gold
01:22:09.360 goes up
01:22:09.900 currencies
01:22:10.260 can move
01:22:10.700 around
01:22:11.080 we can
01:22:11.440 it's a
01:22:12.000 natural
01:22:12.320 rebalancing
01:22:13.020 mechanism
01:22:13.660 the dollar
01:22:15.040 will weaken
01:22:15.460 against other
01:22:15.980 against the
01:22:16.440 yuan
01:22:16.620 right
01:22:16.840 what have
01:22:17.040 we been
01:22:17.260 saying
01:22:17.500 we want
01:22:17.760 the Chinese
01:22:18.160 to weaken
01:22:18.460 the yuan
01:22:18.760 weaken the yuan
01:22:19.320 excuse me
01:22:19.620 strengthen the yuan
01:22:20.140 strengthen the yuan
01:22:20.920 strengthen the yuan
01:22:21.460 strengthen the yuan
01:22:21.980 if gold
01:22:23.280 goes up in
01:22:23.840 dollars and
01:22:24.460 doesn't go up
01:22:24.940 as much
01:22:25.280 in yuan
01:22:25.780 by virtual
01:22:27.420 flows into
01:22:28.520 you know
01:22:29.100 dollar flows
01:22:29.680 into gold
01:22:30.200 and fewer
01:22:30.700 yuan flows
01:22:31.720 into gold
01:22:32.720 the dollar
01:22:34.060 is going to
01:22:34.420 go down
01:22:35.180 versus the yuan
01:22:36.140 which is the very
01:22:37.060 thing we've been
01:22:37.780 trying to get
01:22:38.540 the Chinese
01:22:39.020 to do
01:22:39.400 to stop
01:22:39.900 dumping so much
01:22:41.080 cheap product
01:22:42.220 here
01:22:42.500 gold will take
01:22:43.700 care of it
01:22:44.180 it just does
01:22:46.740 what it's
01:22:47.580 are you advising
01:22:48.580 the new
01:22:48.940 administration
01:22:49.400 no
01:22:50.340 I hope you
01:22:51.880 will
01:22:52.160 the only
01:22:54.160 criticism I
01:22:54.840 would have
01:22:55.160 of your
01:22:55.400 critique
01:22:55.700 which I
01:22:56.000 think is
01:22:56.240 kind of
01:22:56.480 brilliant
01:22:56.740 and very
01:22:58.500 well explained
01:22:59.140 is that I
01:23:00.280 think you
01:23:00.540 may be
01:23:00.960 undervaluing
01:23:02.080 or underrating
01:23:03.080 the ferocity
01:23:04.880 of the response
01:23:05.560 I don't disagree
01:23:06.840 I'm from DC
01:23:08.060 and I just
01:23:09.080 think the stakeholders
01:23:10.160 as we call them
01:23:11.020 the people who are
01:23:11.500 benefiting from the
01:23:12.140 system in place
01:23:12.920 can be really
01:23:14.140 ferocious
01:23:14.620 in protecting that
01:23:15.680 I agree
01:23:16.420 and one of the
01:23:16.940 things I
01:23:17.420 don't have as much
01:23:19.660 familiarity with that
01:23:20.420 and so I would
01:23:20.920 admit naivete
01:23:22.040 towards the degree
01:23:22.980 of that
01:23:23.400 to a certain
01:23:23.860 extent
01:23:24.160 one thing I
01:23:24.780 would say
01:23:25.160 to me
01:23:25.480 it's killed
01:23:25.640 like a million
01:23:26.160 people in Ukraine
01:23:26.900 for like no
01:23:27.540 reason
01:23:27.960 so clearly
01:23:29.220 they don't care
01:23:30.300 about the human
01:23:30.980 cost
01:23:31.380 and it's
01:23:32.120 from a layman's
01:23:33.680 perspective
01:23:34.220 I thought
01:23:36.220 a lot of
01:23:37.120 the Trump
01:23:37.720 appointments
01:23:39.200 were interesting
01:23:40.020 in and of
01:23:40.400 themselves
01:23:40.780 but as you
01:23:41.380 know
01:23:41.560 there's
01:23:41.760 appointments
01:23:42.100 and then
01:23:42.360 there's
01:23:42.480 confirmations
01:23:43.040 and so I
01:23:43.480 was withholding
01:23:44.020 judgment
01:23:44.380 to see
01:23:45.000 and I
01:23:46.260 think there
01:23:47.020 is some
01:23:47.860 to me
01:23:48.640 again
01:23:48.960 as a
01:23:49.280 Washington
01:23:49.800 layman
01:23:50.260 encouraging
01:23:52.500 that he
01:23:53.800 picked Vance
01:23:54.400 number one
01:23:54.840 after what
01:23:55.360 Vance said
01:23:55.780 that to me
01:23:56.300 was check one
01:23:56.660 most important
01:23:57.260 thing
01:23:57.500 I agree
01:23:57.900 so okay
01:23:58.980 Vance gets it
01:23:59.660 on that policy
01:24:00.220 but then
01:24:00.660 when you see
01:24:01.420 when you see
01:24:02.400 Tulsi
01:24:03.680 very unpopular
01:24:05.180 in the beltway
01:24:05.800 okay
01:24:06.180 not only
01:24:06.660 does she get
01:24:06.920 picked
01:24:07.160 she gets
01:24:07.640 confirmed
01:24:08.040 RFK
01:24:09.740 Jr.
01:24:10.720 I know
01:24:11.020 not only
01:24:12.000 gets picked
01:24:12.860 but gets
01:24:13.400 confirmed
01:24:13.940 like
01:24:14.360 cash
01:24:15.500 yesterday
01:24:16.220 okay
01:24:16.780 another
01:24:17.320 so
01:24:17.640 point being
01:24:18.640 that you
01:24:19.200 are seeing
01:24:20.280 you know
01:24:21.460 Hegseth
01:24:21.940 unpopular
01:24:23.600 confirmed
01:24:24.400 so there's
01:24:25.120 this slate
01:24:25.860 of people
01:24:26.600 that are
01:24:27.700 non sort
01:24:28.500 of deep
01:24:30.620 state
01:24:30.980 if we
01:24:31.260 will
01:24:31.540 get
01:24:32.920 picked
01:24:33.280 and get
01:24:34.480 confirmed
01:24:34.980 and so
01:24:35.320 to me
01:24:35.780 you know
01:24:36.080 I would
01:24:36.340 I would
01:24:36.840 defer to
01:24:37.200 your
01:24:37.300 but as
01:24:37.800 a layman
01:24:38.520 to Washington
01:24:39.140 the fact
01:24:39.520 they got
01:24:39.780 picked
01:24:40.080 and then
01:24:40.560 that they
01:24:40.760 got confirmed
01:24:41.580 is at least
01:24:43.140 encouraging
01:24:43.860 that
01:24:44.760 that fight
01:24:46.820 that I
01:24:47.120 think
01:24:47.400 is
01:24:47.920 presents
01:24:49.000 executional
01:24:49.960 risk
01:24:50.280 to this
01:24:51.860 optimistic
01:24:52.580 view of
01:24:53.200 where we
01:24:53.560 could be
01:24:53.900 in 2
01:24:54.360 3
01:24:54.740 5
01:24:55.060 10
01:24:55.220 years
01:24:55.480 in my
01:24:56.640 opinion
01:24:56.980 it's
01:24:57.460 those
01:24:58.680 appointments
01:24:59.120 and what
01:24:59.540 have you
01:24:59.820 have
01:25:00.000 on some
01:25:00.920 level
01:25:01.120 mitigated
01:25:01.740 or at
01:25:02.140 least
01:25:02.380 their
01:25:02.680 victories
01:25:03.020 their
01:25:03.680 victories
01:25:03.960 they're
01:25:04.300 huge
01:25:04.660 victories
01:25:05.100 and you
01:25:06.100 know
01:25:06.240 we're now
01:25:06.760 31 days
01:25:07.700 in
01:25:08.040 I don't
01:25:08.680 know when
01:25:08.840 this is
01:25:09.060 going to
01:25:09.240 air
01:25:09.380 but we're
01:25:09.820 a month
01:25:10.080 and a
01:25:10.300 day
01:25:10.520 into the
01:25:11.000 administration
01:25:11.340 and
01:25:11.840 they've
01:25:12.700 won almost
01:25:13.100 everything
01:25:13.460 except
01:25:13.680 Matt
01:25:13.900 Gates
01:25:14.180 and
01:25:14.820 you know
01:25:17.920 I think
01:25:18.360 it's
01:25:18.500 incredible
01:25:18.860 I've
01:25:19.120 never
01:25:19.260 seen
01:25:19.440 anything
01:25:19.620 like
01:25:19.760 this
01:25:19.880 nothing
01:25:20.080 like
01:25:20.260 this
01:25:20.400 has
01:25:20.540 happened
01:25:20.760 in
01:25:20.880 my
01:25:21.000 lifetime
01:25:21.320 in
01:25:21.620 Washington
01:25:21.900 on the
01:25:23.180 other
01:25:23.320 hand
01:25:23.680 it was
01:25:24.140 really
01:25:24.360 a
01:25:24.540 victory
01:25:24.820 over
01:25:25.120 the
01:25:25.260 Republican
01:25:25.600 Senate
01:25:26.020 which is
01:25:27.380 a collection
01:25:27.960 of some
01:25:28.220 of the
01:25:28.440 worst
01:25:28.660 people
01:25:29.020 I've
01:25:29.440 ever
01:25:29.760 met
01:25:29.980 but also
01:25:30.400 some
01:25:30.580 of the
01:25:30.760 dumbest
01:25:31.200 and weakest
01:25:31.840 and
01:25:33.220 so it's a
01:25:34.360 great victory
01:25:35.140 and I love
01:25:35.560 to see them
01:25:35.940 humiliated
01:25:36.500 and you know
01:25:37.260 every day
01:25:37.840 that some
01:25:38.960 of these
01:25:39.160 people weep
01:25:39.780 is a
01:25:40.020 happy day
01:25:40.400 for me
01:25:40.800 on the
01:25:41.160 other
01:25:41.320 hand
01:25:41.660 like
01:25:42.040 they're
01:25:42.300 not
01:25:42.580 you know
01:25:42.840 some
01:25:43.020 of the
01:25:43.300 stakeholders
01:25:43.880 in the
01:25:44.180 current
01:25:44.480 financial
01:25:45.060 system
01:25:45.460 are
01:25:46.420 smart
01:25:47.080 and
01:25:47.480 serious
01:25:47.940 and they
01:25:48.360 you know
01:25:48.660 they are
01:25:48.860 not
01:25:49.060 people to
01:25:49.420 play
01:25:49.580 with
01:25:49.720 at all
01:25:50.140 I think
01:25:51.200 they're
01:25:51.340 completely
01:25:51.640 ruthless
01:25:52.040 I think
01:25:52.640 they are
01:25:53.060 you know
01:25:53.500 willing to
01:25:53.900 resort to
01:25:54.280 things
01:25:54.520 it's hard
01:25:55.040 to even
01:25:55.340 to imagine
01:25:55.800 and I
01:25:57.200 don't know
01:25:57.440 I just think
01:25:57.740 there's a
01:25:58.000 fight ahead
01:25:58.660 I think
01:25:59.300 it's
01:25:59.540 I would
01:26:00.240 defer to
01:26:00.600 your
01:26:00.720 judgment
01:26:00.920 on it
01:26:01.200 but I
01:26:01.480 intuitively
01:26:02.240 makes perfect
01:26:02.700 sense to me
01:26:03.140 yeah
01:26:03.520 one last
01:26:04.520 question
01:26:04.900 where does
01:26:05.620 this leave
01:26:06.180 the
01:26:06.540 average
01:26:07.560 person
01:26:07.960 the retail
01:26:08.540 investor
01:26:09.000 whatever
01:26:09.300 we're
01:26:09.500 calling
01:26:09.780 that
01:26:10.260 person
01:26:10.560 now
01:26:10.860 on the
01:26:11.280 question
01:26:11.520 of
01:26:11.660 gold
01:26:11.920 like
01:26:13.160 you know
01:26:14.240 I mean
01:26:14.960 if governments
01:26:16.420 love gold
01:26:17.060 if gold
01:26:18.240 plays a
01:26:18.920 really
01:26:19.940 essential
01:26:20.340 part
01:26:20.700 of the
01:26:20.980 global
01:26:21.140 financial
01:26:21.440 system
01:26:21.780 which
01:26:21.960 you've
01:26:22.180 described
01:26:22.500 I think
01:26:22.780 in great
01:26:23.080 detail
01:26:23.420 is it
01:26:24.620 wise
01:26:24.940 for the
01:26:25.180 average
01:26:25.340 person
01:26:25.660 to take
01:26:25.920 delivery
01:26:26.240 on gold
01:26:27.000 and just
01:26:27.440 bury it
01:26:27.700 in his
01:26:27.840 yard
01:26:28.100 yes
01:26:28.540 I think
01:26:29.120 I think
01:26:29.500 the average
01:26:29.920 investor
01:26:30.380 should have
01:26:30.900 probably
01:26:31.200 five to
01:26:31.780 ten percent
01:26:32.380 of their
01:26:32.680 net worth
01:26:33.160 in gold
01:26:33.880 bullion
01:26:34.260 coins
01:26:34.640 it's
01:26:35.820 fascinating
01:26:36.140 throughout
01:26:36.440 I've been
01:26:36.840 in the
01:26:37.160 investment
01:26:37.400 research
01:26:37.700 business
01:26:38.020 for 30
01:26:38.440 years
01:26:38.760 and
01:26:39.360 one of
01:26:40.660 the
01:26:40.920 it's
01:26:42.080 offensive
01:26:42.400 on some
01:26:42.920 level
01:26:43.160 but it's
01:26:43.520 an old
01:26:44.460 saw
01:26:44.660 because it's
01:26:45.120 true
01:26:45.360 is once
01:26:45.840 you start
01:26:46.320 to see
01:26:46.800 retail
01:26:47.200 investing
01:26:47.780 retail
01:26:48.380 investors
01:26:48.820 plowing
01:26:49.340 into
01:26:49.620 something
01:26:50.180 en masse
01:26:51.140 right
01:26:51.540 run away
01:26:52.100 and a lot
01:26:52.600 of times
01:26:53.000 the banks
01:26:53.600 too by the
01:26:54.020 way the
01:26:54.220 commercial
01:26:54.460 banks
01:26:54.860 run away
01:26:55.900 and you
01:26:56.480 know we
01:26:56.640 saw that
01:26:57.080 with you
01:26:57.800 know dot
01:26:58.500 com stuff
01:26:59.100 in the late
01:26:59.400 90s
01:27:00.160 I remember
01:27:03.040 them well
01:27:04.600 right and
01:27:05.000 then it
01:27:05.280 was you
01:27:05.860 know sand
01:27:06.780 state real
01:27:07.380 estate and
01:27:07.940 subprime
01:27:08.300 mortgages and
01:27:09.100 those kind
01:27:09.660 of things
01:27:09.880 and in
01:27:11.360 the last
01:27:12.220 three to
01:27:13.180 four years
01:27:14.580 the biggest
01:27:16.440 marginal
01:27:17.300 buyer of
01:27:18.220 long-term
01:27:18.920 U.S.
01:27:19.480 treasury
01:27:19.840 bonds
01:27:20.380 has been
01:27:21.360 U.S.
01:27:23.240 retail
01:27:23.580 they've been
01:27:24.440 investment
01:27:24.800 funds
01:27:25.120 right so
01:27:25.620 the biggest
01:27:26.360 buyers of
01:27:27.020 2, 3, 5,
01:27:29.240 7, 10, 20
01:27:30.160 and 30 year
01:27:30.940 U.S.
01:27:31.420 treasury bonds
01:27:31.920 they've been
01:27:32.520 buying anywhere
01:27:33.220 from 60 to
01:27:34.000 70 percent
01:27:34.860 of new
01:27:36.100 issuance
01:27:36.620 for the last
01:27:37.420 three to
01:27:37.680 four or five
01:27:38.000 years and
01:27:38.420 that's I'm
01:27:39.140 not saying
01:27:39.400 there's any
01:27:39.700 risk to
01:27:40.160 treasury bonds
01:27:40.800 on a nominal
01:27:41.180 basis there
01:27:41.680 isn't however
01:27:42.660 no it sounds
01:27:44.060 totally safe
01:27:44.920 you're gonna
01:27:46.840 get every
01:27:47.180 dime you're
01:27:47.580 promised but
01:27:48.320 we can't
01:27:48.880 guarantee you
01:27:49.520 what those
01:27:50.580 dollars will
01:27:51.840 buy you in
01:27:52.580 the real world
01:27:53.320 those dimes
01:27:53.740 will be worth
01:27:54.260 right
01:27:54.480 that's why
01:27:55.160 you know
01:27:55.460 when you've
01:27:56.320 got this
01:27:56.700 dichotomy
01:27:57.460 where for
01:27:58.000 40 years
01:27:59.120 you know
01:28:00.020 from 1974
01:28:00.760 to 2014
01:28:01.920 global central
01:28:03.320 banks were
01:28:03.680 buying treasury
01:28:04.180 bonds and
01:28:04.980 they were
01:28:05.200 selling gold
01:28:05.580 why would
01:28:05.900 you ever
01:28:06.340 buy a
01:28:07.040 bond from
01:28:07.720 from the
01:28:08.240 same person
01:28:08.780 who can
01:28:09.040 print the
01:28:09.420 currency
01:28:09.780 I just
01:28:11.680 don't
01:28:11.880 understand
01:28:12.220 that
01:28:12.720 I mean
01:28:13.100 if you
01:28:13.460 believe the
01:28:13.940 inflation
01:28:14.320 numbers
01:28:14.840 and like
01:28:15.360 look
01:28:15.640 there are
01:28:16.000 I mean
01:28:16.400 it's
01:28:16.780 it's
01:28:17.060 kind of
01:28:17.280 like a
01:28:17.640 rigged
01:28:18.040 system
01:28:18.380 right
01:28:18.700 like
01:28:19.520 the
01:28:19.740 government
01:28:20.120 is issuing
01:28:20.820 the debt
01:28:21.560 which is
01:28:23.020 held in a
01:28:23.460 specific
01:28:23.720 currency
01:28:24.220 but that
01:28:24.620 same
01:28:24.880 government
01:28:25.260 prints
01:28:25.640 that
01:28:25.840 currency
01:28:26.300 yeah
01:28:27.500 and that's
01:28:27.900 why they're
01:28:28.240 they're so
01:28:28.680 hyper-focused
01:28:29.280 on the
01:28:29.560 Fed
01:28:29.760 managing
01:28:30.160 inflation
01:28:30.600 oh I
01:28:30.940 know
01:28:31.080 it doesn't
01:28:31.820 make any
01:28:32.220 sense
01:28:32.600 it's
01:28:32.800 kind of
01:28:33.180 a rigged
01:28:33.580 game
01:28:33.820 it is
01:28:34.420 my ignorance
01:28:35.260 protects me
01:28:36.040 from bad
01:28:36.460 investments
01:28:36.940 because like
01:28:37.500 if it doesn't
01:28:37.880 make sense
01:28:38.260 I'm not
01:28:38.780 not that I
01:28:39.260 invest
01:28:39.560 but like
01:28:39.960 you know
01:28:40.140 what I
01:28:40.260 mean
01:28:40.380 no
01:28:40.540 intuition
01:28:41.360 is to
01:28:42.420 be trusted
01:28:42.780 well that
01:28:43.060 just like
01:28:43.520 that just
01:28:43.880 doesn't
01:28:44.100 make sense
01:28:44.640 that was
01:28:45.520 ultimately
01:28:45.940 why I
01:28:46.280 first got
01:28:46.600 interested
01:28:47.260 in gold
01:28:47.460 because
01:28:47.600 the key
01:28:48.300 question
01:28:48.740 is not
01:28:49.240 do you
01:28:49.880 get paid
01:28:50.360 back
01:28:50.740 what they
01:28:51.100 owe you
01:28:51.760 the key
01:28:52.180 question
01:28:52.520 is what
01:28:52.760 you just
01:28:53.160 said
01:28:53.360 which is
01:28:53.720 what is
01:28:54.400 the value
01:28:54.880 of what
01:28:55.160 they pay
01:28:55.400 you back
01:28:55.880 you may
01:28:56.900 get every
01:28:57.340 dime
01:28:57.600 back
01:28:57.920 but maybe
01:28:58.220 those
01:28:58.400 dimes
01:28:58.600 aren't worth
01:28:59.000 anything
01:28:59.400 well
01:28:59.820 and they
01:29:00.260 determine
01:29:00.600 what the
01:29:00.840 dimes
01:29:01.020 are worth
01:29:01.440 so it's
01:29:01.960 a rigged
01:29:02.360 deal
01:29:02.660 and it's
01:29:09.260 when the
01:29:10.560 US
01:29:11.100 you know
01:29:11.500 depths of
01:29:11.920 the great
01:29:12.140 financial
01:29:12.440 crisis
01:29:12.840 came out
01:29:13.340 and they
01:29:13.540 said
01:29:13.900 okay now
01:29:14.800 we're going
01:29:15.020 to print
01:29:15.260 a trillion
01:29:15.600 dollars
01:29:15.960 and we're
01:29:16.200 going to
01:29:16.300 buy treasury
01:29:16.740 bonds
01:29:17.000 QE
01:29:17.380 and I
01:29:18.200 remember
01:29:18.460 thinking to
01:29:18.900 myself
01:29:19.180 going
01:29:19.460 how can
01:29:21.560 an oil
01:29:21.840 producer
01:29:22.160 like Russia
01:29:22.740 or our
01:29:23.420 factory base
01:29:24.020 like China
01:29:24.520 look at
01:29:24.960 that
01:29:25.140 and say
01:29:25.600 so I'm
01:29:26.560 going to
01:29:27.160 expend all
01:29:27.860 this energy
01:29:28.460 to pump
01:29:28.900 this oil
01:29:29.420 and produce
01:29:30.060 it and
01:29:30.320 refine it
01:29:30.820 and ship
01:29:31.220 it and
01:29:31.520 send it
01:29:31.940 and pay
01:29:33.260 you for
01:29:33.560 dollars
01:29:33.960 and then
01:29:34.540 put that
01:29:34.940 those dollars
01:29:35.820 into treasury
01:29:36.480 bonds
01:29:36.900 and you're
01:29:38.560 just going to
01:29:39.220 click a couple
01:29:40.040 keys on a
01:29:40.460 computer
01:29:40.800 and buy
01:29:41.760 a trillion
01:29:42.160 dollars
01:29:42.460 of treasury
01:29:42.820 why would
01:29:43.820 I sell
01:29:44.240 my oil
01:29:44.940 and store
01:29:45.480 my surpluses
01:29:46.320 in treasuries
01:29:46.920 that was
01:29:47.300 what first
01:29:47.660 and sure
01:29:48.360 enough
01:29:48.620 guess what
01:29:49.100 happened
01:29:49.380 later in
01:29:49.740 2008
01:29:50.240 or into
01:29:51.760 2009
01:29:52.240 2010
01:29:52.560 Russia
01:29:53.520 started
01:29:54.280 buying
01:29:54.700 gold
01:29:55.080 in their
01:29:55.700 reserves
01:29:56.040 of course
01:29:56.720 the Chinese
01:29:57.440 same thing
01:29:58.300 how could
01:29:58.840 you sell
01:29:59.360 all this
01:29:59.780 stuff to
01:30:00.120 the United
01:30:00.380 States
01:30:00.500 like actual
01:30:01.000 storm
01:30:01.340 in treasury
01:30:01.800 yeah
01:30:02.180 and store
01:30:03.460 it in
01:30:03.820 treasury bonds
01:30:04.360 and have
01:30:04.620 the Americans
01:30:05.020 print it
01:30:05.920 and sure
01:30:06.400 enough
01:30:06.700 Chinese
01:30:07.480 gold
01:30:07.760 purchase
01:30:08.080 started rampant
01:30:08.500 so for
01:30:09.480 me
01:30:09.700 when you
01:30:10.020 go back
01:30:10.700 to what
01:30:11.000 does it
01:30:11.200 mean
01:30:11.320 for US
01:30:11.660 retail
01:30:12.020 it's
01:30:13.020 the same
01:30:13.460 type
01:30:13.860 of
01:30:14.040 dynamic
01:30:14.580 the United
01:30:15.080 States
01:30:15.320 government
01:30:15.680 owes its
01:30:16.120 baby boomers
01:30:16.780 right now
01:30:17.200 it's
01:30:17.560 United States
01:30:18.460 takes five
01:30:18.980 trillion dollars
01:30:19.540 a year
01:30:19.780 in tax
01:30:20.120 receipts
01:30:20.420 and right
01:30:20.760 now
01:30:20.900 we're
01:30:21.040 paying
01:30:21.360 baby
01:30:21.660 boomers
01:30:22.000 in
01:30:22.160 entitlements
01:30:22.580 3.3
01:30:23.200 trillion
01:30:23.500 dollars
01:30:23.800 of that
01:30:24.060 so about
01:30:24.600 70
01:30:25.280 almost 70%
01:30:26.860 of receipts
01:30:27.360 are going
01:30:27.620 to boomers
01:30:27.960 has there
01:30:28.400 ever been
01:30:29.100 a generation
01:30:29.760 that deserves
01:30:30.300 it less
01:30:30.800 I'm serious
01:30:33.080 has there
01:30:33.700 ever been
01:30:34.180 a generation
01:30:34.740 has there
01:30:35.940 ever been
01:30:36.180 a more
01:30:36.360 destructive
01:30:36.720 generation
01:30:37.320 a more
01:30:37.580 self-involved
01:30:38.180 generation
01:30:38.780 a more
01:30:39.900 annoying
01:30:40.280 generation
01:30:40.980 if I could
01:30:41.560 I just
01:30:41.900 I take
01:30:42.380 you know
01:30:42.680 as a
01:30:42.900 Gen X
01:30:43.240 and I
01:30:43.520 take it
01:30:43.820 again
01:30:44.000 it's
01:30:44.220 it's
01:30:44.660 I try
01:30:46.100 to put
01:30:46.300 myself
01:30:46.600 in their
01:30:46.940 shoes
01:30:47.200 and it's
01:30:47.640 it's
01:30:48.060 look
01:30:48.380 if I
01:30:48.700 was born
01:30:49.160 when they
01:30:49.420 were born
01:30:49.860 and their
01:30:50.140 parents
01:30:50.440 came home
01:30:50.820 from
01:30:50.960 World War
01:30:51.280 II
01:30:51.480 and basically
01:30:51.960 had you
01:30:52.400 know
01:30:52.520 16 kids
01:30:53.480 and like
01:30:53.860 let them
01:30:54.680 go be
01:30:55.200 free range
01:30:55.620 chickens
01:30:56.000 and they
01:30:56.420 they just
01:30:56.760 sort of
01:30:57.080 I love
01:30:57.400 all that
01:30:57.820 they were
01:30:58.340 general
01:30:58.740 they were
01:30:59.380 they were
01:30:59.960 a product
01:31:01.060 of the
01:31:01.580 environment
01:31:01.960 and
01:31:02.300 the time
01:31:02.920 they lived
01:31:03.220 talking about
01:31:03.680 themselves
01:31:03.900 that's
01:31:04.240 I love
01:31:04.900 huge families
01:31:05.560 I love
01:31:05.880 prosperity
01:31:06.400 I like
01:31:07.220 peace and
01:31:07.800 freedom
01:31:08.060 I like
01:31:08.540 all that
01:31:08.880 stuff
01:31:09.180 what I
01:31:09.940 don't like
01:31:10.320 is self-involvement
01:31:11.240 and
01:31:12.180 those people
01:31:13.540 never stop
01:31:13.920 telling their
01:31:14.240 own story
01:31:14.720 the stupid
01:31:15.600 Vietnam Wars
01:31:16.340 every cliche
01:31:17.260 about Woodstock
01:31:18.220 and the dumb
01:31:18.680 civil rights
01:31:19.280 movement
01:31:19.600 which actually
01:31:20.020 didn't really
01:31:20.380 help anybody
01:31:21.020 and everything
01:31:21.820 about it
01:31:22.380 was just
01:31:22.720 like
01:31:22.980 just
01:31:23.800 it was just
01:31:24.500 they were
01:31:24.760 drowning in
01:31:25.460 Lake Me
01:31:26.000 and I was
01:31:26.900 raised around
01:31:27.640 people like
01:31:28.140 that
01:31:28.420 and they
01:31:28.920 were my
01:31:29.220 teachers
01:31:29.600 and I
01:31:30.140 every single
01:31:31.180 one of my
01:31:31.420 teachers
01:31:31.640 went to
01:31:31.920 Woodstock
01:31:32.300 every single
01:31:32.820 one of my
01:31:33.100 teachers
01:31:33.380 was at some
01:31:33.760 sit-in
01:31:34.160 and some
01:31:34.440 lunch
01:31:34.800 counter
01:31:35.100 in Greensboro
01:31:35.680 or so
01:31:35.920 it's like
01:31:36.220 they all
01:31:37.180 were participating
01:31:37.780 in these
01:31:38.320 same mass
01:31:39.060 market
01:31:39.440 cliches
01:31:40.180 which
01:31:41.440 they thought
01:31:42.540 were like
01:31:42.860 a sign
01:31:43.180 of you know
01:31:43.800 unique
01:31:44.520 individualism
01:31:46.060 or something
01:31:46.340 but they
01:31:46.580 were all
01:31:46.960 like a
01:31:47.260 herd
01:31:47.520 they were
01:31:47.800 like
01:31:47.940 dumb
01:31:48.500 and
01:31:49.400 narcissistic
01:31:50.200 and
01:31:51.200 mediocre
01:31:51.600 did you
01:31:52.060 not notice
01:31:52.440 that
01:31:52.720 I
01:31:53.340 would agree
01:31:53.820 with the
01:31:54.080 narcissism
01:31:54.660 as a
01:31:56.600 generation
01:31:57.040 yeah I
01:31:57.380 would agree
01:31:57.640 with that
01:31:58.080 talking about
01:31:59.700 Selma all the
01:32:00.420 time and I
01:32:00.720 would be like
01:32:01.100 how is Selma
01:32:02.160 like have you
01:32:03.060 been to Selma
01:32:03.840 like it's an
01:32:04.440 actual place
01:32:05.160 with actual
01:32:05.720 people like
01:32:06.280 are they
01:32:06.500 thriving
01:32:06.940 you know
01:32:07.980 all these
01:32:08.480 people are
01:32:08.880 like you
01:32:09.300 know just
01:32:09.760 lecturing you
01:32:10.240 about how
01:32:10.480 great they
01:32:10.820 were because
01:32:11.060 they were
01:32:11.220 at Selma
01:32:11.680 and I
01:32:12.080 was I
01:32:12.880 was wanted
01:32:13.260 and then I
01:32:13.660 wound up in
01:32:14.060 Selma
01:32:14.220 you ever
01:32:14.380 been to Selma
01:32:15.340 I've never
01:32:16.080 been to Selma
01:32:16.420 yeah you
01:32:16.700 should go
01:32:16.900 to Selma
01:32:17.240 and then you
01:32:19.260 can tell them
01:32:19.660 like shut
01:32:20.580 up actually
01:32:21.720 because like
01:32:22.260 the sum
01:32:22.660 total of
01:32:23.040 your efforts
01:32:23.520 was you
01:32:24.080 know like
01:32:24.440 poverty
01:32:25.280 despair
01:32:25.860 and chaos
01:32:26.340 like you
01:32:26.700 didn't actually
01:32:27.140 achieve anything
01:32:27.780 so be quiet
01:32:28.720 sorry you can
01:32:29.720 feel my
01:32:30.220 resentment
01:32:30.520 no no no
01:32:30.960 so think
01:32:33.420 about that
01:32:33.740 right so if
01:32:34.220 you're getting
01:32:34.580 3.3 trillion
01:32:35.520 in receipts
01:32:36.700 you're so rational
01:32:38.600 and nice
01:32:39.240 and I'm like
01:32:39.760 such a lunatic
01:32:40.420 excuse me
01:32:41.420 excuse me
01:32:42.460 but how do
01:32:45.640 you get them
01:32:45.960 to pay more
01:32:46.360 for their own
01:32:46.700 care
01:32:46.920 well simple
01:32:47.400 you get them
01:32:47.780 into treasury
01:32:48.180 bonds
01:32:48.520 and then you
01:32:49.380 tell them
01:32:49.660 inflation's 4
01:32:50.440 you give them
01:32:50.820 a 4.4%
01:32:51.800 on the treasury
01:32:52.300 bond
01:32:52.560 and you actually
01:32:53.060 let inflation
01:32:53.620 run 6
01:32:54.700 8
01:32:55.100 right exactly
01:32:55.960 and that's why
01:32:56.880 you need to
01:32:57.520 also as an
01:32:58.180 investor
01:32:58.540 whether you're
01:32:59.260 a boomer
01:32:59.660 whether you're
01:33:00.180 not a boomer
01:33:00.720 or younger
01:33:01.000 you need to
01:33:01.980 own some gold
01:33:02.440 because over
01:33:02.940 time
01:33:03.480 you'll lose
01:33:05.180 on your bonds
01:33:06.160 but your gold
01:33:07.040 will more than
01:33:08.100 compensate you
01:33:08.800 for that inflation
01:33:09.560 you maintain
01:33:11.000 your purchasing
01:33:11.680 power
01:33:12.140 and you know
01:33:14.040 I think your
01:33:14.340 stocks will
01:33:14.860 and certainly
01:33:15.260 you know
01:33:15.820 if broadly
01:33:16.520 diversified
01:33:16.960 but that gold
01:33:17.640 is ultimately
01:33:18.560 the release
01:33:20.060 valve
01:33:20.580 that that is
01:33:21.500 happening
01:33:21.860 that that
01:33:22.240 and it needs
01:33:23.020 to happen
01:33:23.440 but basically
01:33:24.040 we're not
01:33:25.080 going to be able
01:33:25.360 to have an
01:33:26.220 election
01:33:26.560 where
01:33:26.900 and say
01:33:27.920 hey boomers
01:33:28.660 we need you
01:33:29.280 to pay more
01:33:30.100 for your
01:33:31.440 care
01:33:31.940 then no
01:33:32.400 politician
01:33:33.040 will be in
01:33:33.740 office after
01:33:34.240 trying to do
01:33:34.800 that
01:33:35.040 if they raise
01:33:35.780 taxes on
01:33:36.340 boomers to
01:33:36.740 do that
01:33:37.080 so what do
01:33:38.080 they do
01:33:38.420 because they
01:33:38.920 can't do
01:33:39.260 that
01:33:39.480 they take
01:33:39.960 sort of the
01:33:40.560 politically
01:33:41.180 uncourageous
01:33:42.000 way out
01:33:42.320 which is
01:33:42.680 you inflate
01:33:43.460 you have
01:33:44.560 to inflate
01:33:45.160 and that's
01:33:45.560 what they're
01:33:46.280 doing
01:33:46.580 what they have
01:33:47.080 been doing
01:33:47.400 what they're
01:33:47.980 going to
01:33:48.220 continue to
01:33:48.780 keep doing
01:33:49.140 in my opinion
01:33:49.680 and that's
01:33:50.720 why I think
01:33:51.780 you want to
01:33:52.340 own I think
01:33:52.860 retail investors
01:33:53.660 need to own
01:33:54.280 five ten percent
01:33:55.160 of their of their
01:33:55.960 assets in gold
01:33:56.560 billions
01:33:56.800 so it's
01:33:57.240 I didn't check
01:33:58.380 the spot
01:33:58.700 price this
01:33:59.120 morning
01:33:59.320 but
01:33:59.580 2950
01:34:00.840 ish
01:34:01.420 where do
01:34:03.360 you think
01:34:03.500 it goes
01:34:03.880 in the next
01:34:04.560 I know you
01:34:05.180 hate questions
01:34:05.640 like this
01:34:06.080 but like
01:34:06.640 I can't resist
01:34:08.780 final question
01:34:09.540 where could
01:34:10.620 gold go
01:34:11.500 so
01:34:13.720 this is
01:34:15.320 something in
01:34:15.680 our business
01:34:16.080 I say
01:34:16.380 if you give
01:34:16.840 a price
01:34:17.200 never give
01:34:17.480 a time
01:34:17.840 right now
01:34:18.220 of course
01:34:18.780 I'm sorry
01:34:19.660 I know
01:34:20.100 it's okay
01:34:20.420 it's okay
01:34:20.800 no I do
01:34:22.400 it to be
01:34:23.200 self-aware
01:34:23.760 and parody
01:34:24.140 myself
01:34:24.540 on some level
01:34:25.160 but in all
01:34:26.360 seriousness
01:34:26.640 over time
01:34:27.680 one of the
01:34:28.320 metrics I have
01:34:28.980 looked at
01:34:29.580 when we're
01:34:30.400 talking about
01:34:31.100 a restructuring
01:34:31.620 of a system
01:34:32.020 we talk about
01:34:32.500 the debt levels
01:34:32.980 being a problem
01:34:33.520 all these things
01:34:33.920 I have a metric
01:34:35.080 that looks at
01:34:35.840 the market value
01:34:37.000 of US official
01:34:37.900 gold right
01:34:38.400 so let's
01:34:38.820 let's pretend
01:34:39.400 it's all there
01:34:39.860 we had that
01:34:40.720 discussion already
01:34:41.280 let's pretend
01:34:42.040 it's all there
01:34:42.560 or it's being
01:34:43.100 brought back here
01:34:43.700 maybe as we
01:34:44.240 speak
01:34:44.500 but it's all
01:34:45.660 there
01:34:45.900 there's a metric
01:34:47.300 that I follow
01:34:47.840 that is the
01:34:48.380 US official
01:34:49.260 gold
01:34:49.800 as a percentage
01:34:51.340 of the
01:34:52.940 foreign held
01:34:54.260 portion
01:34:55.840 of the US
01:34:56.500 federal debt
01:34:57.200 right
01:34:57.620 so it's
01:34:58.000 what percentage
01:34:58.780 at market price
01:34:59.760 what percentage
01:35:00.540 is the United States
01:35:01.800 official gold
01:35:02.440 collateralizing
01:35:03.540 our foreign held
01:35:04.980 debt
01:35:05.240 because in the end
01:35:05.800 we can cram down
01:35:06.620 our own people
01:35:07.300 but we have to
01:35:08.080 we have to
01:35:08.620 maintain
01:35:09.420 foreign
01:35:09.720 creditors
01:35:10.620 yeah
01:35:10.800 so long term
01:35:12.540 the average
01:35:13.540 going back to
01:35:14.200 I think
01:35:14.480 1960 or 1950
01:35:16.020 that number
01:35:16.900 was 40%
01:35:18.420 US official gold
01:35:19.680 at market price
01:35:20.540 collateralized our debt
01:35:21.420 by on average
01:35:22.140 40%
01:35:22.660 as recently
01:35:24.460 as 1989
01:35:25.260 that number
01:35:25.840 was 20%
01:35:26.700 in the
01:35:28.800 dollar crisis
01:35:30.180 of 79-80
01:35:31.460 that number
01:35:31.980 was 135%
01:35:33.500 that was a true
01:35:34.100 gold bubble
01:35:34.540 in other words
01:35:35.100 if our foreign
01:35:35.900 creditors would have
01:35:36.520 been so inclined
01:35:37.120 we did it
01:35:37.520 they could have
01:35:38.080 demanded gold
01:35:39.520 for treasuries
01:35:40.560 and we still
01:35:41.060 would have had
01:35:41.320 a third of our
01:35:41.780 gold left over
01:35:42.300 okay
01:35:42.600 where is that
01:35:43.480 number today
01:35:43.980 that number
01:35:44.740 today
01:35:45.080 with gold
01:35:45.660 having risen
01:35:46.440 40%
01:35:47.860 in the last
01:35:48.800 year
01:35:49.100 is at 9%
01:35:50.820 yeah that's bad
01:35:51.360 so gold
01:35:52.140 in my opinion
01:35:52.700 minimum
01:35:53.980 over time
01:35:55.100 probably has to
01:35:57.160 rise at least
01:35:57.900 2x
01:35:58.340 and probably
01:35:58.660 more like
01:35:58.960 4x
01:35:59.600 just to get
01:36:00.080 back to
01:36:00.380 historical
01:36:00.820 levels
01:36:01.260 assuming
01:36:01.800 no further
01:36:02.760 growth in
01:36:03.180 the debt
01:36:03.520 and assuming
01:36:04.240 no
01:36:05.300 ever again
01:36:05.940 and assuming
01:36:06.820 no
01:36:07.400 dollar crisis
01:36:10.160 that leads
01:36:10.880 it to go
01:36:11.200 over 40%
01:36:12.280 and so
01:36:13.000 it's still
01:36:14.100 paradoxically
01:36:14.880 one of the
01:36:15.220 cheapest assets
01:36:15.760 on the board
01:36:16.340 when you look
01:36:16.900 at it
01:36:17.120 relative
01:36:17.640 to the debt
01:36:18.680 outstanding
01:36:19.140 and the way
01:36:19.480 this probably
01:36:20.340 needs to be
01:36:21.000 resolved
01:36:21.440 from a debt
01:36:22.480 perspective
01:36:22.960 and an economic
01:36:23.780 restructuring
01:36:24.280 perspective
01:36:24.580 China clearly
01:36:25.060 thinks so
01:36:25.600 yep
01:36:26.080 if people
01:36:27.000 found what
01:36:27.820 you said
01:36:28.260 compelling
01:36:28.840 and smart
01:36:30.080 and really
01:36:31.100 insightful
01:36:31.500 my views
01:36:32.240 where do they
01:36:33.020 read more
01:36:34.220 of your insights
01:36:35.280 we have
01:36:37.020 institutional
01:36:37.720 and mass
01:36:38.500 market products
01:36:39.360 at
01:36:39.660 fftt-llc.com
01:36:41.800 I appreciate it
01:36:43.220 thank you
01:36:43.660 thank you
01:36:44.140 we want to
01:36:49.180 thank you
01:36:49.420 for watching
01:36:49.860 us on
01:36:50.220 spotify
01:36:50.860 a company
01:36:51.240 that we
01:36:51.620 use
01:36:51.920 every day
01:36:52.500 we know
01:36:52.700 the people
01:36:52.980 who run
01:36:53.260 it
01:36:53.380 good people
01:36:54.080 while you're
01:36:55.080 here
01:36:55.380 do us a
01:36:55.960 favor
01:36:56.140 hit
01:36:56.600 follow
01:36:57.240 and tap
01:36:58.040 the bell
01:36:58.680 so you
01:36:59.000 never miss
01:36:59.420 an episode
01:36:59.840 we have
01:37:00.980 real conversations
01:37:01.720 news
01:37:02.180 things that
01:37:02.600 actually matter
01:37:03.440 telling the truth
01:37:04.240 always
01:37:04.720 you will not
01:37:05.320 miss it
01:37:05.840 if you follow
01:37:06.820 us on
01:37:07.420 spotify
01:37:07.800 and hit
01:37:08.000 the bell
01:37:08.320 we appreciate
01:37:09.100 thanks for
01:37:09.500 watching
01:37:09.820 bye
01:37:33.380 bye
01:37:33.540 bye
01:37:34.420 bye
01:37:35.440 bye