In this episode, I sit down with Steve Krieger, a close friend of President Trump, to talk about his journey to becoming the most effective Middle Eastern peace negotiator in my lifetime. Steve talks about how he got to where he is now, what it takes to be a good negotiator, and why he thinks Qatar should pay for the peace process.
00:02:13.500And once you decide where you want to get to, then it's all about tactically figuring out what that pathway is.
00:02:19.640With the Middle Eastern, you know, Tucker, when I first got in and I was talking to Brett McGurk, who was the envoy on behalf of Biden, he was a smart guy.
00:02:44.440He said to me, this is where I want to get to, Steve.
00:02:47.100And so when I went in there, I went in with the imprimatur of the president and it became a, you know, that's the difference maker.
00:02:54.600But I mean, clearly and no one doubts that you speak for the president, that you know what the president wants because, you know, the president, you talk, you actually talk to him.
00:12:27.760And I've spent a lot of time with him and broken bread with him.
00:12:30.940And he's just a good, decent human being who wants what's best for his people.
00:12:36.280But also, like what you were alluding to before, he's able to put himself in the shoes of the Israelis, of the United States, and I think explain to the Qataris, excuse me, explain to Hamas where they're going to have to get to to make a deal.
00:12:53.560And, I mean, from an American perspective, like it's just hard to even understand what Hamas is thinking or do you, but it's essential to understand.
00:13:04.000I mean, just as a procedural matter, we need to know.
00:13:10.420Like, do you feel like you can effectively communicate with them even through proxy and understand what they want and what their, you know, what their red lines are or whatever?
00:14:45.720And unfortunately, there were security lapses that day that shouldn't have happened, that accentuated what happened that day, which shouldn't have happened.
00:23:26.400So I am – how could I not collaborate with the mediator and be – if I'm not collaborating with the mediator, I'm bound to be ineffective.
00:23:37.200It's not even possible that I could do the job.
00:23:40.740I had to know everything that they knew.
00:24:35.240When you have a chance to sort it out when all this is over, I think you're going to look at your own life and say, well, that was amazing.
00:26:00.360People who talked about children who might not come home, many of these people were captives themselves, hostages.
00:26:10.120You know, it's a very real experience when you sit there and you listen to what it was like.
00:26:16.000Some of these people lived in cages, were chained 24 hours a day.
00:26:20.700We had – you know, we talked about what it was like to find a bathroom, right, or what it was like to live in the dark or to be starving to death, you know, as some of them were, or to have watched people be murdered.
00:26:33.820And the president, as a president, he doesn't have to do that if he doesn't want to.
00:26:38.560He could sort of get the information just from me.
00:26:41.340But he's – it's up close and personal for him.
00:26:44.460And that way of doing things guides people like me who work for him.
00:26:49.820Now, I want to get up close and personal.
00:27:19.860And it's connected to what you've been saying for the last 20 minutes, which is you have to understand all sides if you want to affect the outcome that you've decided you want.
00:27:53.960I think they – there are things that they're trying to get done.
00:27:57.540You know, as an example, we would not be as effective in what we're doing there if Bibi did not get Nasrallah out of the picture in Lebanon.
00:28:07.980If he did not decapitate – because he's effectively decapitated Hezbollah.
00:28:12.180If he did not do what he did with Hamas, he's decapitated Hamas.
00:28:17.640Hamas is nowhere close to the terrorist organization that they were beforehand.
00:28:22.700Both of those events inform on his relationship with Iran and Iran using – continuing to use proxies and so forth.
00:28:33.800They're less prone to do those sorts of things today, right?
00:28:37.520And so that sort of Iranian crescent or that Islamist crescent that everybody thought was going to be effective, it's been largely eliminated.
00:28:48.540So he's done an exceptional job with that.
00:28:50.860But, of course, the rap he gets is that he's more concerned about the fight than he is about the hostages.
00:28:55.920I think in some respects – I understand how people make that assessment, but I don't necessarily agree with it.
00:29:03.880I think that he does want to get hostages home if he can, but he believes that pressuring Hamas is the only way to do it.
00:29:58.960Yeah, you don't get that sense, I don't think, from American media, but Israel has always been – there's been a robust debate since I started going to Israel.
00:30:09.240They have a very vigorous debate internally about their government.
00:30:13.220Like, it's – you know, people feel free to say.
00:30:16.320I went to hostage square, and I went with a detail, and my guys were afraid for me to get out.
00:30:26.120There were, I don't know, 4,000 or 5,000 people there, and we were passing by, and I said, let's stop.
00:30:33.700You know, it was – there was no plan to go there.
00:32:00.880Like everyone kind of knows that's the agenda.
00:32:02.600And you've said many times, we talk through what we want the outcome to be before we begin the tactical considerations.
00:32:10.800I – just in my traveling, there are a lot of Gulf countries that are, you know, have extensive, very – much more than people understand relations with Israel.
00:32:41.600Well, I understand we have to have that notion.
00:32:44.160I understand that we have to be outcome-oriented.
00:32:46.380What would be – how we're operating myopically if we're not outcome-oriented.
00:32:51.360If we don't – I mean, peace, stability, the Gulf Coast could be one of the most undervalued opportunities if we get peace and stability throughout the region.
00:33:02.260If we solve Iran and you can finance in that market, the Israelis are brilliant from a technological standpoint.
00:33:09.540They've got a huge technological base there.
00:33:59.100I think it might be helpful for everybody if there was just a clear picture of when this is all done, here's what we want the map to be, and then we can debate that.
00:34:05.740Do you have any sense of what the map would look like from Israel's perspective?
00:34:46.940And we can talk about it in this session, how bold it was for the president to send that letter.
00:34:54.760Because many would not, and that's an important thing, but I'll leave it to the end.
00:34:59.160So it begins with Iranian nuclear, but most importantly, because Iranian nuclear, if they were to have a bomb, that would create North Korea in the GCC.
00:44:52.560And so, like, the trajectory was like that.
00:44:55.140And all of a sudden, it just went in the opposite direction.
00:44:59.620And so then the question becomes, well, like, how do you ensure –
00:45:04.400how do you build a framework where there's, like, enduring peace and everyone can just go on with living their lives and building their businesses and all that?
00:45:11.000Well, we're going to need a very good plan on Gaza.
00:45:13.940That's – it's going to begin with that.
00:45:15.420We're going to need stability on Gaza.
00:45:18.600Stability on Gaza could mean some people come back.
00:45:21.700It could mean some people don't come back.
00:45:23.900But I believe we have to get to a place where people can live a better life in Gaza.
00:45:56.260They don't have that opportunity for their families.
00:45:59.260We have to give them that opportunity or find pathways for them to pursue those opportunities.
00:46:04.480That's what President Trump was talking about when he talked about a new way of thinking about Gaza.
00:46:08.600So – and we're going to attempt to ascertain different development plans for Gaza could involve the word two-state, could not involve the word two-state.
00:52:52.580That was a bridge to get to a peace deal.
00:52:55.300A bridge to get to demilitarization of Hamas and a discussion about an enduring truce.
00:53:04.140That's what I was presenting 10 days ago.
00:53:06.720And Hamas, their, their reaction was completely inappropriate.
00:53:14.160That's inappropriate is probably a light word.
00:53:16.620But I warned everybody that this was going to, this was going to result in some sort of military action.
00:53:24.260Not because I know, I did not know before the Israelis went in.
00:53:27.860I just sensed that that was going to be the only alternative based on Hamas's reaction.
00:53:32.300Now, that may not, we may be able to reverse things or we may use this.
00:53:37.500We may be able to use this to get Hamas to be a whole lot more reasonable because they have a lot of sway there.
00:53:42.960And they impose that sway at the point of a gun, which is why we have to demilitarize them.
00:53:49.140We need real elections in, in, in Gaza.
00:53:51.940There has to be a whole new way of thinking.
00:53:53.740We need a real security force there to ensure to Israel that they're not going to have a problem with them long term.
00:54:01.100If Israel thinks they're going to have a problem in Gaza because Hamas is going to be there long term, this is never going to end.
00:54:06.020So the only way to deal with this conflict is to make sure that we satisfy everybody, that we're not going to have, we're not, we're never going to have an October 7th ever again.
00:54:18.720There is huge concern, as I know, you know, from a lot of the neighboring countries that the conflict in Gaza, which is, of course, streamed in everyone's iPhone, a lot of people will be killed in Gaza, a lot of kids.
00:54:31.640And that's inflaming the populations of some of these countries, again, specifically Egypt and Jordan, to such a point that those governments could fall and cause like massive chaos, including in Europe.
00:56:52.300And this being driven by this being driven by what's happening in Syria, which, of course, Turkey participated in the Erdogan is seen by some in his country as a tool of Israel.
00:57:02.020Or what I mean, if if you had like real problems in Turkey, that would be like a global disaster, of course, because they've got this massive military.
00:57:24.560I think it's been underreported, to tell you the truth.
00:57:26.920And I think it's underreported because of the Houthis, because of what happened with Israel and because of what's going on with Russia, Ukraine.
00:57:35.820It's not really, you know, a headline.
00:57:38.000But I think Tom Barrack, who's the ambassador there, has done and will do an exceptional job.
00:57:43.040I think the president has a relationship with Erdogan and that's going to be important.
00:57:47.120And I think that there's there's there's some good coming.
00:57:52.340There's some just a lot of good, positive news coming out of Turkey right now as a result of that conversation.
00:57:57.820So I think you'll see that in the reporting in the coming days.
00:59:38.480And hopefully we'll chalk it up to a misunderstanding and we'll get to the, and we'll get to a peace solution here.
00:59:44.260But I believe that we have made more progress in Russia, in the last, in Russia, in this Russian-Ukraine conflict in the last eight weeks than anyone thought we could, we would ever make.
00:59:56.000I hear people describe this last conversation that the president had with, uh, with, uh, President Putin as, uh, you know, unsuccessful.
01:01:34.360When I say satisfied, feeling that we came out of this thing, okay, with a deal that everybody can live with.
01:01:39.340I think that we have moved, move Russia in ways that no one thought was possible.
01:01:45.420So in the last conversation, they agreed to a, an energy infrastructure ceasefire, which means Russia is not going to target Ukraine's energy infrastructure.
01:01:57.340And Ukraine will not target Russia's energy infrastructure.
01:02:01.260They've never talked about that before.
01:02:35.460The ultimate goal is a 30-day ceasefire during which time we discuss a permanent ceasefire.
01:02:41.680We're not far away from that, but a 30-day ceasefire is something where we have to figure out what all the battlefield conditions are, which is why I began with Kursk.
01:02:51.020But Kursk is just the beginning of it because there's this 2,000 kilometer, that's 1,200 miles, this 2,000 kilometer border between Ukraine and Russia, where the Russian and Ukrainian troops are involved in, I don't know, 50, 60, 70, maybe 80 firefights throughout this border with all kinds of different conditions.
01:03:14.780Putin asked me in the meeting, what should I do in a particular area where we have people surrounded and they don't want to give up?
01:03:28.500I'm happy to get people to wave the white flag if I can get them to wave the white flag.
01:03:35.720And that one situation, Steve, this is Putin talking to me, is just one example of 70, 80, 90 different situations out there along this border, each one having different battlefield conditions, each one needing a separate conversation.
01:03:54.000That's what has to happen for a ceasefire, and yet we're talking about it.
01:04:06.540There's all kinds of good, positive talk coming out of Russia about their willingness to consider all of these different things.
01:04:14.620And Zelensky had a wonderful conversation with the president after the President Putin's conversation the next day.
01:04:21.740And I think that indicates that they've got some degree of flexibility in the way that they've been thinking about finishing up this conflict.
01:04:30.000So I am not to sound like a forever optimist, but I am very, very optimistic that we're going to be able to bring the two sides together.
01:04:39.620We have narrowed the issues so considerably.
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01:05:09.020Cop takes his license registration, goes back to the patrol car, runs him, comes back, looks in the window, and sees a tin of Alp on the dashboard.
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01:06:56.140So, Russia, Putin, who's been in power 25 years, has been consistent for the whole duration of his presidency in one demand,
01:07:05.120which is that NATO stop encroaching on its borders, and specifically that Ukraine, which is the largest country that borders Russia, not be in NATO.
01:07:13.780And that is my understanding, my certainty, is that that still remains the central demand, period.
01:07:18.800No Ukraine and NATO can't have peace without that, in the same way that Israel doesn't want Hamas and its border.
01:08:21.780The elephant in the room is there are constitutional issues within Ukraine as to what they can concede to with regard to giving up territory.
01:08:31.480The Russians are de facto in control of these territories.
01:08:53.420But on NATO, I think that Zelensky, and he's got a right-hand guy, Jermak, I think that they've largely conceded that they are not going to be a member of NATO.
01:09:05.100There's been all kinds of talk about whether they could still have, quote-unquote, what is called Article 5 protection.
01:09:19.080Whether Ukraine could have that in some respect from the United States or European nations without being a member of NATO.
01:09:26.300And I think that's open for discussion.
01:09:28.660But I think it's accepted that Ukraine, if there's going – and Russia, if there's going to be a peace deal, Ukraine cannot be a member of NATO.
01:10:35.200Every president around the world I've ever spoken to is like – they may disagree with what Russia's doing or whatever, but they're like, you know, Putin's a straightforward guy.
01:10:40.660First of all, I thought it was gracious of him to accept me.
01:11:26.960I mean, if you don't – you know, in our country, if you don't act like a lemming and just walk off the cliff like everybody else, then, you know, you get attacked.
01:11:36.180It's – by the way, how would we settle a conflict with a guy – with someone who is the head of a major nuclear power?
01:11:46.120Unless we establish trust and good feelings with one another.
01:11:50.800I don't know how you would do such a thing.
01:11:52.800And President Putin said to me in the first meeting I had, he said, Steve, do you know that I didn't talk to Joe Biden for three and a half years?
01:12:13.540And we never have a conversation about it.
01:12:15.760I mean, who – how do you resolve things?
01:12:18.080That's why I went over there last year because I thought we're moving toward a nuclear war.
01:12:21.020And I just feel like if no one's talking to Putin, like someone should at least broadcast his views to the world because we could have a war otherwise.
01:12:31.500When I came back after – before the first meeting with President Putin when President Trump said to me, go over and have that conversation.
01:12:40.420I think we're going to have a good, healthy conversation.
01:12:43.160Before that conversation, there was no talk about a Black Sea moratorium.
01:12:46.900There was no conversation about an energy infrastructure moratorium on hits, you know, between the two countries.
01:12:53.940We were not talking about prisoner exchanges and all kinds of other stuff.
01:12:58.300After one meeting, and I am saying to you, not because of me, because this was President Trump sending a signal to President Putin that he wanted to resume his relationship together and that they were going to be two great leaders figuring out this conflict.
01:13:18.160That was my message to President Putin.
01:13:20.860I was directed by President Trump to deliver that message that we were here to begin a real discussion, a productive discussion about how to end this conflict.
01:13:32.200And President Putin, to his credit, sent all kinds of signals back to the president that this is the path that he wanted to be on, including statements that he made.
01:13:42.560In the second visit that I had, it got personal.
01:13:47.120The president – President Putin had commissioned a beautiful portrait of President Trump from the leading Russian artist and actually gave it to me and asked me to take it home to President Trump, which I brought home and delivered to him.
01:14:01.080It's been reported in the paper, but it was such a gracious moment and told me a story, Tucker, about how when the president was shot, he went to his local church and met with his priest and prayed for the president.
01:14:15.220And not because he was the president of the United – he could become the president of the United States, but because he had a friendship with him and he was praying for his friend.
01:14:24.600It was – I mean, can you imagine sitting there and listening to these kind of conversations?
01:14:27.880And I came home and delivered that message to our president and delivered the painting and he was clearly touched by it.
01:14:38.560So this is the kind of connection that we've been able to reestablish through, by the way, a simple word called communication, which many people would say, you know, I shouldn't have had because Putin is a bad guy.
01:15:16.660Everything you've said, I don't think any fair person – everything you've just said about Russia, Ukraine, any fair person would acknowledge, yeah, that's true.
01:15:26.420But why – there has to be some reason that none of this has been acknowledged for three and a half years.
01:15:31.960Like why the effort to prevent Americans from hearing the other side, from understanding the conflict in its totality, not just parts of it, but the whole thing.
01:15:40.260Like why – why the censorship designed to keep us from knowing what's actually happening?
01:15:46.120Because that's what we've been enduring.
01:15:58.080I give interviews about President Trump and I – guess what?
01:16:01.740All the nice things I have to say about him because I believe in that, that sort of gets excised out of the – you know, out of my interviews.
01:16:09.620Not with you, I know, but – because you're a fan too.
01:16:13.360I'm a great fan of his, you know, so you hear it.
01:16:16.640Trump derangement syndrome still exists out there today.
01:16:20.500I don't – you know, he said it at the State of the Union.
01:16:23.260If I came here and he was looking at the Democrats, if I came here, I had the cure for cancer and I could – and I had a magic pill that would cure all conflicts all over the world, nobody would cheer for me on your side.
01:18:09.720And he's also up against a nation that has four times the population that he has.
01:18:14.900And so he's got to know that he's going to get ground down.
01:18:19.360Now is the best time for him to get a deal done.
01:18:22.280President Trump can deliver him the best possible deal he's ever going to get.
01:18:25.480Who's giving him, like, the – I mean, you know, I blame Zelensky.
01:18:29.340The man for his behavior in Washington a few weeks ago.
01:18:32.980But I also blame whoever briefed him before he went into the Oval with the president and vice president.
01:18:38.300Whoever told him to act that way, and it's clear people did, whether it was Samantha Power or whoever it was.
01:18:43.340Those people, I mean, that was criminally bad advice.
01:18:47.080Do you think he's speaking to realistic, clear-eyed people who can – you know, who have the welfare of Ukraine in mind?
01:18:55.240So without getting into names, I've talked to multiple European leaders, and I've said to them, the more you encourage him not to be proactive at the peace table, the more you suggest that aid will continue without any conditions attached to it.
01:19:17.100No one says that we shouldn't aid Ukraine today or in the – and in the reconstruction later on.
01:19:24.200But it's got to come with certain conditions.
01:19:28.740If we're going to give a lot of money to Ukraine, we want to hear the business plan of how this is going to get resolved.
01:19:34.240Because it's an unsustainable business plan if they don't have a plan for how it gets resolved.
01:19:40.960We just can't forever give money for – because they'll get ground down.
01:19:47.580And ultimately – and this is – you know, me and – we've discussed this in the administration.
01:19:52.000Ultimately, what you can't have here is risk of any kind of nuclear action, even the tactical nuclear action.
01:19:58.100I mean, even if it's not a big bomb explosion, just a tactical nuke would take stock markets down all over the world.
01:20:05.520Well, they haven't been used in 80 years.
01:20:06.940They've been used exactly twice in human history.
01:22:39.060I mean we just came out of a world where a judge who was not even an elected judge could tell a man that he was going to spend 10 years in prison, you know, and he had 80 million votes in this country.
01:23:01.100So there's the negotiation that's going on in Eastern Europe between Russia and Ukraine, which you're obviously at the center of.
01:23:08.980But there's also an informal negotiation going on back in Washington where you have a lot of people with, you know, economic interests in this war.